Ashley Madison CEO Steps Down, Reporter Finds Clues To Hacker's Identity
Dave Knott writes: Following the recent hacks on the infidelity website Ashley Madison, Noel Biderman has stepped down as CEO of both AshleyMadison.com and its parent company. Avid Life Media Inc., the company that owns the site and many others, announced Biderman's move in a short press release on Friday: "Noel Biderman, in mutual agreement with the company, is stepping down as chief executive officer of Avid Life Media Inc. (ALM) and is no longer with the company. Until the appointment of a new CEO, the company will be led by the existing senior management team." Before the data hack, the company was planning an IPO in London that would have taken in as much as $200 million from investors. According to regulatory filings, the company had $115 million in revenue last year, more than four times the amount it obtained in 2009.
Meanwhile, in related news, Brian Krebs (the reporter who first uncovered the hack) says he has uncovered clues to the possible identity of the hacker. Krebs says he noticed the Twitter account operated by a known hacker recently posted a link to Ashley Madison's stolen proprietary source code before it was made public. Intrigued by the poster's apparent access, he examined the account's posting history and noticed a predilection for the music of Australian hard rock band AC/DC. This jibes with the behavior of the hacker(s), who had displayed threatening messages on the computers of Ashley Madison employees, accompanied by AC/DC song Thunderstruck. In a series of tweets, the owner of the account, one Thadeus Zu, appears to deny that he was behind the hack, and indeed makes several suggestions that the account itself isn't even run by one person, but is instead an amalgam of like-minded digital vigilantes. The NY Times also reports that people whose details were contained in the leak are beginning to face threats of blackmail.
Meanwhile, in related news, Brian Krebs (the reporter who first uncovered the hack) says he has uncovered clues to the possible identity of the hacker. Krebs says he noticed the Twitter account operated by a known hacker recently posted a link to Ashley Madison's stolen proprietary source code before it was made public. Intrigued by the poster's apparent access, he examined the account's posting history and noticed a predilection for the music of Australian hard rock band AC/DC. This jibes with the behavior of the hacker(s), who had displayed threatening messages on the computers of Ashley Madison employees, accompanied by AC/DC song Thunderstruck. In a series of tweets, the owner of the account, one Thadeus Zu, appears to deny that he was behind the hack, and indeed makes several suggestions that the account itself isn't even run by one person, but is instead an amalgam of like-minded digital vigilantes. The NY Times also reports that people whose details were contained in the leak are beginning to face threats of blackmail.
There must only be a handful of people that could match such a specific description: listens to AC/DC, uses twitter, and denies any culpability. AC/DC has only sold around 200 million albums, so that alone dramatically restricts the possible culprits. The intersection between AC/DC aficionados and Twittter's 300M active users must be minuscule, maybe only one or two possible people.
Than all of them, probably.
The guy who ran a website for cheaters was always open about that fact.
I'm less convinced in the transparency or honesty of pretty much any political candidate.
Lost at C:>. Found at C.
He ran a fraud:
Almost None of the Women in the Ashley Madison Database Ever Used the Site
...
About two-thirds of the men, or 20.2 million of them, had checked the messages in their accounts at least once. But only 1,492 women had ever checked their messages.
...
... a member had last replied to a message from another person on Ashley Madison. 5.9 million men had done it, and only 9700 women had.
...
Out of 5.5 million female accounts, roughly zero percent had ever shown any kind of activity at all, after the day they were created.
...
I...I am Spartacus.
Protip: The CEO stepping down after a public embarrassment has never been anything other than a publicity stunt to save face. It does not represent remorse or an intent to change policy. At most, it means "we want someone who will do continue to do the same things we've always done but, somehow, will magically make these revelations stop happening".
I would be shocked if Biderman wasn't receiving a nice golden parachute along with it. Or at least silver.
He'll find another place to lose control of people's data.
Has anyone compared the claimed $115 million in revenue to the leaked data? I've read some suggestions that their revenue was a lot higher.
Make no mistake, I don't like what Ashley Madison did. They've been exposed for running a scam web site designed to sucker men out of lots of money quickly. However, that doesn't justify the hack - which is almost certainly a criminal offense at this level. Sure, the hackers took down the CEO of Ashley Madison, but we don't know what will happen next. They might just relaunch with the same aims and different window dressing. Meanwhile we seem to be celebrating the actions of the hackers, in spite of the fact that they did break the law.
Just because they used illegal techniques to attack a morally reprehensible company doesn't mean their techniques are magically vindicated. Celebrating the hack is immoral as well.
Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
That guy is dead. I guarantee there are enough well-funded sociopaths outed by this that there will be a hit placed on this dude. He will be in worse shape that Assange or Manning.
Sure he does.....
http://nypost.com/2015/08/27/ashley-madison-ceo-gets-caught-in-ashley-madison-hack/
He decided he 'wanted to spend more time with his mistress... err, wife.'
Corruption is convincing someone that the selfless ideal is the same as their selfish ideal.
A guy who runs a web site for cheaters has more integrity than a certain presidential candidate...
You sure? See other posts.
Come to think of it, though, he could very well be that fraudulent and STILL have more integrity then Hillary! She really does set a low bar for integrity and honesty. Well, OK, she doesn't set any bar. If she said it was raining out, I'd go check. And expect to see a cloudless sky.
There are many analysts checking the massive data leak, this thing, the entire company & website could turn out to be scam of the century.
Don't speak too soon about integrity and the CEO.
You'd be foolish to not raise an eyebrow to the timing of the hack related to the fact that ALM was about to do an IPO. After all, hackerz can work for corporations, too.
I've often wondered what happens to people like this after the fact.
For example, recall Aaron Barr, the guy running HB Gary and who claimed he could "out" the Anonymous members by dubious correlation of social media accounts.
Or that guy Paul Christoforo who threw down with Penny Arcade founder Mike Krahulik (and got fired, banned from PAX, and his marketing company's client dropped them).
Do these people find jobs somewhere on this planet? Does Kevin Mitnick's security firm have a lot of customers?
The Ashley Madison guy - that's 'gotta be an awkward interview, you know.
"Why did you leave your previous place of employment?"
Wonder what his "last pay check" looked like.
I'm less convinced in the transparency or honesty of pretty much any political candidate.
Apparently some people find Trump to be a little too transparent and honest.
If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
Given the user database has multiple occurrences of email addresses it's pretty hard to imagine the actual owners of which using on the site (some of which even reported to have been validated)... it would not surprise me at all if the hackers decided to inject some false data into one of the stores to try to grind their axe even more.
Help Brendan pay off his student loans
Never have I been more ashamed (and afraid) of having an AC/DC collection ;) .
BINGO! Found him (them). This is a typical reply of a perp LOLZ. If a warrant cannot be sent out at least there is a physical trail which can be constructed from the digital trail.
Looks like he (they) will get some busted arms and legs out of this if nothing else.
; )
A guy who runs a web site for cheaters has more integrity than a certain presidential candidate...
This is just stupid. Seriously? Hillary had her own mail server. Big deal. That doesn't make me dislike her any more than I already do because all politicians are clueless about technology. The AM CEO basically discussed hacking a rival with his CTO: http://krebsonsecurity.com/201...
The Daddy casts sleep on the Baby. The Baby resists!
The guy who ran a website for cheaters was always open about that fact.
On the other hand he was less than honest about how many actual women were on the site. (Fewer than 15,000 vs millions of clearly fake profiles) and also less than honest about what a "paid delete" actually paid for.
So men paid money to join a site to cheat with women that didn't exist, were then charged extra to send messages to women's accounts that were fake, and then when they paid even more to delete their accounts, well that didn't happen either.
If that's your idea of honesty and transparency, I don't know what you think counts as "dishonest".
He had no choice. "Stepped down" is a way of saying, "realized the board wanted to fire him." The only question is whether he was able to keep his stock.
"First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
Biderman has milked the fake cow for all it's worth. Time to move on.
This wasn't from the user accounts db, they ganked his email and there are _hundreds_ of messages that seem to point to several affairs.
He had no choice. "Stepped down" is a way of saying, "realized the board wanted to fire him." The only question is whether he was able to keep his stock.
That stock is going to be worth a lot once the Avid Life gets sued into the ground.
The Daddy casts sleep on the Baby. The Baby resists!
Indeed, equal in integrity to the former CEOs of Redditt and Enron.
This whole thing screams "inside job".
A lot of the information that has been released, most notably employee emails and internal company documents, couldn't possibly have also been on the servers that held the databases for the AM site. So either (1) the hackers thoroughly penetrated the company and got *everything*, or (2) the people running AM were stupider than I believe possible (actually you would have to *work* to put all of your eggs in one basket that way), or (3) someone swiped backup tapes when they were on their way out the door.
The last theory is the simplest.
Most places I worked at did offsite backups. The backups were left at the front desk for the courier to pick up each day. If some backups went missing there probably wouldn't be a freakout -- they'd just figure someone had thrown them in the trash or picked them up by mistake. Even if they did freak out they would do so very privately.
Exactly. The mail server issue is not an issue, and those Republicans just spew lies. There was no classified information every sent to her. Not a single email message. Plus, if someone copied it from a secure system to an insecure one so they could mail it to her, then they're the ones committing the crime. It is logically impossible for her to have committed a crime. Of course since the Republicans are too stupid to understand logic, thus why they're Republicans, they think there is something illegal about her having classified material on a mail server in an apartment bathroom. They're so stupid.
Thadeus Zu can't claim innocence while having an actual cyberpunk hacker name on his birth certificate :-P
"When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
> displayed threatening messages on the computers of Ashley Madison employees, accompanied by AC/DC song Thunderstruck
Curiously the AC/DC song Thunderstruck was also featured in a cyber-weapon malware, which was employed by Israel, USA and Australia against the iranian nuclear programme three years ago. See:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2012-07-25/iranian-nuclear-plants-hit-by-virus-playing-ac-dc-website-says
Burning people. He says what we're all thinking!
"the company was planning an IPO in London that would have taken as much as $200 million from investors"
There...fixed that for ya.
I object to power without constructive purpose. --Spock
You just know one of those republicans sent her something classified to try to get her in trouble.
They can't take his stock away from him, at least not the stock he owns already. That belongs to him personally like his house does.
Obviously, he might lose options or stock grants that he hasn't received yet as part of his compensation package, but not necessarily. It depends on the contract.
Of course, stock is pretty much moot at this point, although it may be interesting to see if ALM can dig out of this.
I wouldn't be surprised if they do, cockroaches are good at surviving things that would have killed any other organism.
Never underestimate the ability of con-men to part men from their money when the dick is involved. Rumors are that AM has gotten more users as a result of this hack.
"First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
Xenophobia starts at home...
...we're the Wet Bandits! Congrats on signing your crime with a song so that we can laugh at how you got nabbed.
I am fully aware of that... and once you have a copy of someone's db & email account, there is no end to the fun you can have with regards to adding/removing/changing entries within... and the only way to prove it is for the original owner of the content to compare everything... however given what people think about AM and it's business model/practices... how likely would they be to be believed?
Help Brendan pay off his student loans
So freelance blackmailers are encroaching on their paid delete quasi-blackmail-wink-wink.
> people whose details were contained in the leak are beginning to face threats of blackmail.
"I see you joined Ashley Madison, Mr. Slashdotter, but nobody cheated with you. I will reveal your pathos unless you pay me 400 quatloos in Bitcoin."
(-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
Trump isn't remotely honest, but he does say the xenophobic things
Please keep making comments like this. Comments like this are what is fueling Trumps campaign.
We are so fucking sick of being called out as racists or mean or anti-woman or anti-science or whatever sanctimonious bullshit phrase you want to throw at us.
And yes, I'll get a flamebait mod with a few smug responses like "well then don't be conservative" or some variation of that but these comments are getting old.
Just look at this thread...
http://slashdot.org/comments.p...
For me to defend Bush makes me sick but these lies and name calling are getting ridiculous. And we are not really even into the primaries yet!
Welcome to the Internet where:
Hillary had her own mail server. Big deal. That doesn't make me dislike her any more than I already do because all politicians are clueless about technology.
Yeah, because that's the only thing she's ever done.
Taking guns away from the 99% gives the 1% 100% of the power.
I'm not quite sure why blackmail is illegal. The gathering of the information may have broken laws so I'm not arguing that. But if you find out information on someone why would it be illegal to sell your promise of silence?
I love Jesus, except for his foreign policy.
Saying whatever the most ignorant of the GOP wants to hear while simultaneously acting as a puppet for Hillary is hardly honest.
while(1) attack(People.Sandy);
look at my user name.
Trump went on air and intentionally mocked Asians by using a stereotyped pinyin/coolie accent. he went on air another time and labeled latino immigrants as criminals and worse things.
that is racist in my book. and if you don't see it, consider that you might actually be a racist, too. racism isn't just wearing white hoods and going around burning crosses. it's ALSO staying silent or even applauding utter garbage like that uttered by Trump.
the most disgusting part of it: Trump knows EXACTLY what he's doing. he's riling up the ultra-conservative base to build primary support. that is solid proof of what powers the modern GOP.
a lot of slashdot users work in IT, since when would we ever allow one of our users to setup and use their own personal email server while at work? we don't like to allow non-approved devices on our networks.
make an example of her!
Disclaimer I think both the dems and reps are crooks and don't support either group.
haven't they read the stories about there being almost no women on the site? or is that what those new customers prefer?
We are so fucking sick of being called out as racists or mean or anti-woman or anti-science or whatever sanctimonious bullshit phrase you want to throw at us.
So stop being racist, mean, anti-woman, anti-science sanctimonious bullshit?
In all seriousness though, this article has an interesting take on Trump:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/...
"Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
especially thunderstruck. Reminds me of the time I first heard it driving through a massive lightning disply during a monsoon storm .
What does this have to do with anything? Well, nothing really, just thought nerds might be interested in it.
Fewer than 15,000 vs millions of clearly fake profiles
We'll never know exactly how many women were actually using the site. 12,000 seems awfully low, frankly. That number only comes from the number of female accounts who paid to have their information deleted, which is the single best indicator that an account belonged to an actual person. On the men's side, only around 173,000 thousand men (out of over 31 million accounts) paid to have their information deleted. If the same proportion of men and women paid to have their accounts deleted then that would indicate over 2.1 million actual women using the site.
Like I said, I doubt we'll ever know the exact number, but the truth is probably somewhere between 12,000 and 2.1 million.
"Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
Well actually, I would say he plays to a broad demographic of uneducated, mostly poor, white people. He is, and always has been, playing a public character. His public character started when he inherited his fortune and spent the next decade or two pretending to be a shrewd business man just because he is rich.
Like most politicians, his words have no meaning, and his real backers know that. They know what side he will be on when the decisions come, and, its the same side all the other candidates are on.
It really has nothing to do with conservatism or liberalism, these are just words in the current politics. There is no ideology in a big tent parties, you can't maintain a large tent and actually stand for anything at all.
Fact is, Trump plays to both Republican and Democrat interests because he helps force people into the big tents by increasing the percieved danger of defectors, because defectors from the big tents are the only people who pose any danger to them.
"I opened my eyes, and everything went dark again"
(Captcha: infidels)
I can see it now, "If you don't pay me money, I'll leak all your Ashley Madison information on the internet ... um, well, oh, ... nevermind."
Now there's a surprise...
Like I said, I doubt we'll ever know the exact number, but the truth is probably somewhere between 12,000 and 2.1 million.
http://gizmodo.com/almost-none...
The truth is probably somewhere below 15,000 'real' members, and probably much lower, like 1000. After all, someone joining and responding to a couple messages and then never coming back is being counted as an "active" member here. I'm willing to bet of the 10k women who had replied to "at least 1 message", a majority of even them were gone within a week or two. And that 15,000 includes people who were active in the past but might not have used the site in 2 years... how many active women were there in the last 3 months? I think one could credibly suggest it was in the hundreds.
Only 1,492 women had ever checked their inbox. (20 million men had)
Only 9,700 women had ever replied to a single message. (Note the article explains how this number can be higher than the above number.) (6 million men did)
Only 2,400 women had engaged in chat. (11 million men did)
The higher portion of paid deletes for women also lines up with the large number of female accounts that basically existed for one day and never came back; a good number of those may have opted for the paid delete. Especially if they were only checking to see if their husband had an account.
The proportions don't line up 100% (although it makes sense that more men checked their inboxes; they weren't getting all the messages on login that women did. So women would answer their messages directly from login, and rarely check their inbox, while men would futilely check their inbox looking for messages that would never come.)
Frankly, as I said, based on what I see there. I don't think the site even credibly had even 1000 active women on it at any one time.
Deliberately rude and abrasive isn't the same as honest. Rush Limbaugh has said that he doesn't believe what he says, but it gets the results he wants. I suspect Donald Trump is closer to that than honest. Or he's truly that much of an ignorant hypocrite. Who can better lead us to financial prosperity because no other candidate has declared bankruptcy as many times as he has, who understands the Mexican Menace more than anyone else because he employees more illegal aliens than any of them.
Learn to love Alaska
It's dishonest if he's faking it.
It he genuinely has that particular mental illness, then it's honest.
What's your opinion of illegal immigration?
Hillary is evasive because if someone asks her what she had for dinner, and she says "chicken" the conservatives go to the media and talk about Hillary's anti-beef agenda, and then go to the beef lobby for money and support against the evil fascist anti-beef Hillary. So when asked about dinner, she says "food" and is attacked for being evasive.
It doesn't matter what her stance is. So many hate her as a person that her politics don't matter. To the conservatives, this is a personal issue, not a political or ideological one.
Learn to love Alaska
I try to avoid politics and the only overtly political people I know are conservative, highly educated wealthy minorities. If you still consider Asians to be political.
Why do you care how many women were on the site? You were probably looking for men there, you dirty bird gaywho.
Political defenses are funny. When ever someone says something negative about ones party or brings up an issue about a person the defense is typically one of two things.
Totally ignore the actual issue and come up with an excuse of why they are questioning the issue. The are only going after him/her because of "political" reasons or or because it is a witch hunt etc.
or
Totally ignore the issue and claim someone from another party is doing something just as bad.
The issue is typically not addressed directly.
I read that article the other day, that's where I got my numbers from.
The truth is probably somewhere below 15,000 'real' members, and probably much lower, like 1000.
If 12,108 accounts marked as female paid to delete their information, it is highly unlikely that there were fewer actual female users than that. 12,108 is the minimum. The paid delete functionality is the one good indication that an account was genuine, and those numbers were 12,108 for women and around 173,000 for men, like I said above.
31,343,429 male accounts
173,838 men paid to delete
0.55462342...% of men
12,108 women paid to delete
If the same percentage of women paid to delete, then there were 2,183,102 actual women
Hence my claim that the real number is probably somewhere between 12,000 and 2.1 million, which is less than the 5.5 million total female accounts and far less than the advertised 70/30 ratio. That's what I see from the data.
I don't think the site even credibly had even 1000 active women on it at any one time.
I'm not talking about "at any one time". We can't draw any conclusions about that from the data, I'm talking total numbers. Dating sites do not advertise who is online "at any one time", they show total accounts.
"Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
Who can better lead us to financial prosperity because no other candidate has declared bankruptcy as many times as he has
Oh, I'm sure some candidates have filed bankruptcy more than zero times, which is the number of times Trump has filed.
, who understands the Mexican Menace more than anyone else because he employees more illegal aliens than any of them.
Oh, I'm sure some candidates employ more than zero illegal aliens, which is the number that Trump has hired.
If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
Xenophobia starts at home...
Damn, I thought it started at "X".
The guy who ran a website for cheaters was always open about that fact.
On the other hand he was less than honest about how many actual women were on the site. (Fewer than 15,000 vs millions of clearly fake profiles) and also less than honest about what a "paid delete" actually paid for.
[...]
If that's your idea of honesty and transparency, I don't know what you think counts as "dishonest".
OK then tell me which presidential candidate in the history of American politics, has ever admitted that some of his campaign promises might be for entertainment purposes only.
Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
and looks like they got their money's worth. (not my statement, another poster mentioned this on a AM thread.)
"If you don't pay me money, I'll email all your Ashley Madison information to your wife"
since we already know there are no women on the internet.. the info on the net is pretty safe. excepting facebook
Yes, I know where and how you calculated based on paid deletes.
The paid delete functionality is the one good indication that an account was genuine,
a) First, no. I think "responded to at least one message" is FAR more telling. In theory they could have been faking reponses etc making that metric useless... but the fact that it is SO RIDICULOUSLY LOW tells us that they weren't, and it tells us that however many women joined only an insigifcant number deleted.
b) Also no. I think women may have been significantly more inclined to use the paid delete option then men for a variety of reasons. So your calculation is suspect. Further it evidently counts women who created an account only to lurk or see if their husband joined. Even if you want to count them as "members", the fact that they weren't responding to any messages at all is material evidence that even though they joined they simply weren't engaging in the site.
Look at "responded to at least one message" and "checked inbox".
Less than 10,000. You don't need to "correspond that with men" to come up with a number of women engaged in the site. It stands on its own. Less than 10000 accounts belonging to a female ever responded to a single message, fewer still ever checked there inbox. Half the men responded (to what exactly, I wonder?!!) and nearly all of them checked their inboxes.
You can't tell me there 2 million women on the site, when fewer than 10k ever responded to a single message or checked their inbox or enaged in chat. If they were "there" they may as well not have been as far as the men were concerned. And more likely than not, they weren't really there, or were signed up en-masse at A.M sponsored ladies night events. And they never used the site at all, beyond filling out a paper ballot with some info to get a free drink or something. (I admit I'm speculating here.) To count such accounts, where there is no evidence they logged in more than once, no evidence they logged in even once... is dishonest to say the least.
There is evidence 20,000,000+ men used the site. There is evidence fewer 10,000 women did. Whereas you call the paid deletes the "one good bit of data" I disagree... I suspect more women paid to remove there info from the site than actually used it, under a variety of scenarios.
I'm not talking about "at any one time".
I know. I brought that up after the fact to illustrate that not only was 10,000 the upper maximum of responsive women, but its extremely unlikely there were even that many women. 2 million simply lacks any credibility at all whatsoever.
OK then tell me which presidential candidate in the history of American politics, has ever admitted that some of his campaign promises might be for entertainment purposes only.
The president isn't the king. Anyone with basic civics knows that the president isn't really empowered to do all that much without the support of Congress; and is subject to the law and consitution, at least in theory :) and that even on something he can act on, may be challenged in court and tied up.
So an "election promise" by a presidential candidate amounts to little more than a policy statement.
That said, 45% kept, another 25% compromised isn't bad, and 7% more "in the works"...
http://www.politifact.com/trut...
http://www.politifact.com/trut...
And even the GOP leadership, fairs pretty well all things considered.
Really, if a politician really actually succeeded in doing everything they said they'd do, I'd be pretty worried that the entire democratic government system had collapsed. Putin maybe has the clout to do almost anything he says... not necessarily a good thing.
Donald Trump has filed for bankruptcy 4 times. More than any other candidate, from any party.
Donald Trump has had many employees of his come forward as illegal aliens. No other candidate has had any do the same.
Learn to love Alaska
And pointing out the truth when someone is being an idiot is a "political defense". I don't like Hillary. I won't be voting for Hillary. But I see her treatment by the conservatives (And the conservative media) as unfair and quite silly. But pointing that out apparently makes me a Hillary supporter, like her eating chicken makes her a beef-hater.
Learn to love Alaska
I'm less convinced in the transparency or honesty of pretty much any political candidate.
Apparently some people find Trump to be a little too transparent and honest.
It's not the transparency and honesty that bothers me. It's the batshit crazy that is on full display which bothers me.
We are so fucking sick of being called out as racists or mean or anti-woman or anti-science or whatever sanctimonious bullshit phrase you want to throw at us.
If you don't wish to thought of as "racists or mean or anti-woman or anti-science or whatever" then you would probably be well served by driving from your midst those who take (or support) outrageous xenophobic, anti-woman, anti-science stances on issues. Seriously. You guys have dug your own grave on this one. I used to be registered Republican but I just can't be associated with you any more. It's no longer just that the clown car is embarrassing but that I now consider many of the front running candidates to be a clear and present threat to the Republic. When you have dealt with the most egregious lot of crazy and driven them out, I might actually take another look at your party. Until then, though,....
And one of those 15,000 women was my ex-girlfriend. Man do I know how to pick 'em.
Legal definition of fraud is engaging in deception for financial advantage.
Actual numbers of warm bodies behind the keyboard are irrelevant, If they aren't responding to messages, they might as well not be there.
And what is your opinion of the Statue of Liberty?
In the end, unless you are Native American, you are an immigrant.
This is a sig. This is only a sig. Had this been an actual sig you would have been informed where to tune for more sigs.
If Illegal Immigration bothers you, there is a very easy solution. Legalize it!
Now, a reasonable debate can be had as to how much immigrations should be allowed, what the process should be, etc., etc. If there were some reasoned debate around what the immigration laws should be, that would be one thing. Start by looking at facts. For instance, almost any economist, of any political leaning, will tell you that immigration is good for economic growth.
Instead, all we ever hear is the histrionic "It's illegal, so it's bad". This really really comes off sounding xenophobic and racist. Absent a debate about what should or shouldn't be legal, I have a hard time understanding it any other way.
Businesses Trump has been involved with have filed for corporate bankruptcy 4 times and he has been deeply involved in over 100 large scale business ventures. His record on this is ridiculously good and he has never filed for personal bankruptcy or come anywhere close to it.
Look, I hate Trump and will vote for Sanders or not at all, but attacking him on business is absolutely idiotic. He has been incredibly successful in business by any reasonable metric and he has far more experience here than any other President.
He labelled illegal immigrants as criminals which they obviously are. He has said nothing but positive things about legal immigrants.
Businesses Trump has been involved with have filed for corporate bankruptcy 4 times
So he signed the paperwork on 4 bankruptcies, but never went bankrupt. That makes logical sense only to an insane fanboy.
He has been incredibly successful in business by any reasonable metric
And, like most rich people, was born rich and white. Yay white privilege. He worked hard to be born rich and white. Eminem has more "business" experience than Trump. Eminem's net worth is many more times greater than Trumps, comparing today to birth. Yes, trump did well with the millions he was born with, but he was born a multi-millionaire. If you want to talk success, try talking about someone who started with nothing and built on that. Perhaps even had hurdles, other than how best to be a slumlord. His business track record isn't impressive.
Learn to love Alaska
Personally I think its one of Hillary's greatest strengths - as a candidate she's kinda boring but the R's have been throwing mud, bile and slander at her since the beginning of the 90s, nearly a quarter of a century of hate. At this point you could show her barbequing babies live on TV and half the US would go "see that proves she's a Socialist!" while the other half goes "Meh, Republicans will say anything."
Hell, even the Native Americans are immigrants. They came from Africa just like everyone else.
Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
The whole thing about the left, is that they say they are nice because they want to spend someone else's money to do what they want. If they got up and did whatever they wanted to do, on their own, they wouldn't need government. But nope, they want to take everyone else's money to build their wonder society because their own society is too useless to build anything for itself. It's like a cancer, consuming everything in the body of the nation.
This is my sig.
If anyone finds me in the Ashley Madison database, I just want to emphasize that I was under the impression that it was a fine furniture retailer.
Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
His public character started when he inherited his fortune and spent the next decade or two pretending to be a shrewd business man just because he is rich.
Donald Trump was rich well before his father died...
First, no. I think "responded to at least one message" is FAR more telling.
You think it's more likely that a fake account will pay to delete their information than sending messages? I don't agree with that. Why would a fake account pay to delete anything? It's fake. Only a real account would bother to pay to have their information deleted.
but the fact that it is SO RIDICULOUSLY LOW tells us that they weren't
No, the number doesn't reveal anything like that.
and it tells us that however many women joined only an insigifcant number deleted.
Although that number is more significant than the number sending messages.
I think women may have been significantly more inclined to use the paid delete option then men for a variety of reasons.
The percent of female accounts that paid to delete is a little less than half of the male accounts who paid to delete, whatever that means. And it doesn't really matter what you think, I'm looking for what the data can point to instead of opinions.
Further it evidently counts women who created an account only to lurk or see if their husband joined. Even if you want to count them as "members", the fact that they weren't responding to any messages at all is material evidence that even though they joined they simply weren't engaging in the site.
That is not even relevant. It also doesn't factor the number of men who signed up only to look for their wife, so what? We can't even guess what those numbers are. Maybe it's 100%. Who the hell knows? Neither of us, and the data doesn't provide any evidence either way. I'm specifically trying to determine the number of actual women on the site as opposed to fake accounts. I'm not interested in, and cannot guess, their motivations for being there. The data does not provide a way to estimate that and, again, I'm less interested in opinions than statistical evidence.
Look at "responded to at least one message" and "checked inbox".
Look at "sent a message". Wait, you can't, because that's not in the data set. What about someone sending messages to other users telling them to respond via email or phone? That user would never need to check their inbox or respond to any unsolicited messages. That could very well be a large number of people (especially women), and we have no way to know that. We do know the number of people who paid to have their information deleted though.
You can't tell me there 2 million women on the site, when fewer than 10k ever responded to a single message or checked their inbox or enaged in chat.
Actually it's not that difficult, here let me try: There very well might have been 2 million women on that site, actively sending messages to men telling them to respond via email. There, that wasn't that hard. You cannot point to a single piece of evidence which would definitively and unambiguously refute that claim, either.
I admit I'm speculating here.
You are speculating with virtually all of your conclusions. So am I, which is why my range of 12,000 to 2.1 million women is so broad. Here's a question - if Ashley Madison can get men to sign up by operating 10,000 accounts to chat with the men, then why are there 5.5 million accounts marked as female? They don't need 5.5 million accounts, they need 10,000, so where did those other 99.998% of accounts come from? Are you trying to suggest that the database for female accounts contains 10,000 accounts either operated by Ashley Madison or actual women, with millions of women just trying to check on their husband? Now they are claiming that hundreds of thousands of new accounts have been created, including (at least) 87,596 female ac
"Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
I'm specifically trying to determine the number of actual women on the site as opposed to fake accounts. I'm not interested in, and cannot guess, their motivations for being there. The data does not provide a way to estimate that and, again, I'm less interested in opinions than statistical evidence.
One CAN determine to an extent their level of engagement. Never checking the inbox, or sending messages tells us a LOT.
Obviously, I disagree, and a statistician would agree with me.
A statistician would tell you that there are between 0 and 20,000,000 women on the site with an VERY high level of confidence.
They would agree with you that there are between 12,000 and 2.1 million with a high level of confidence; based on the paid deletes and the fact that it is a wide range.
And they would agree with me that there are between 5,000 and 15,000 women ENGAGED with the site with a high level of confidence, based on the strong evidence of a total lack of engagement with the site from the overwhelming majority of female accounts, despite it being a much narrower range.
You're looking at this from a psychological perspective, and I'm looking at it from a statistical perspective. That's the difference.
Not really, I'm looking it from a statistical perspective too. I consider the paid deletes to be something of an outlier; and don't see any evidence to support an assumption that men and women would pay to delete in the same proportion.
Further I am more specifically interested in female accounts that are ENGAGED with the site, as opposed to those who merely had accounts, but clearly did nothing with them, since they never checked their inbox or sent a single message.
I freely admit I am speculating that millions of those un-engaged accounts don't really even belong to women. But lets say I'm wrong and they were created by 'real women'... so what? they weren't checking or responding to messages.
Its misleading to the point of fraud to mischaracterize that many users. Facebook sells advertising based on the number of people on the site, and so forth. People buying the ads know that some percentage of those users aren't real and facebook acknowledges this... but you pay for "millions of users" and you expect to reach "millions" of users. It might not be quite as many millions as they have users, but it should be in the right ballpark. If it came out that only a few thousand people on facebook actually were seeing the ads you were paying for instead of the millions they promised? That would still be fraud.
Similarly, AM was charging money to send messages to millions of women on their site, while they had actual knowledge that only a few thousand were actually even looking at messages... that's fraud in my eyes. And they were withholding that information to entice men to spend more money sending more messages to women that weren't receiving them. That they KNEW weren't receiving them.
One CAN determine to an extent their level of engagement. Never checking the inbox, or sending messages tells us a LOT.
The data does not indicate whether or not a message was sent at all.
based on the strong evidence of a total lack of engagement with the site from the overwhelming majority of female accounts
Again, the data simply does not show that. You're looking at a single metric or two (inbox opened, messages replied to) and trying to extrapolate additional information that is simply not there.
I consider the paid deletes to be something of an outlier; and don't see any evidence to support an assumption that men and women would pay to delete in the same proportion.
I don't see any evidence to suggest that they wouldn't. Hence an upper bound and not an absolute number. I would find it unlikely that the number of actual women would be near the upper bound. It's probably in the middle.
Further I am more specifically interested in female accounts that are ENGAGED with the site
Then you're looking at the wrong data set, because it doesn't contain the information necessary to estimate that. At best you can only estimate the minimum, which you have apparently pegged at "less than 10,000" and assume that to also be the maximum due to a lack of data, which is not even included in the data set we have. You interpret the fact that we don't have that data as assuming that the data simply does not exist. I haven't downloaded the entire leaked data, but it sounded like it contained messages sent between users. That list of messages is the data you're actually looking for, so feel free to set up a database, import the data set, and analyze it. A single field in the table full of users is not a meaningful substitute for that data.
But lets say I'm wrong and they were created by 'real women'... so what? they weren't checking or responding to messages.
So what? Maybe they were sending messages. Women I know enjoy using dating sites like window shopping. They look at men and message the ones they are interested in. Why wouldn't they try to take that conversation off the site using a burner email account? That way it looks like they're checking email instead of using a dating site. Your only 2 data points are checking the inbox and responding to messages they get. You don't have any data that shows how many profiles they looked at or how many messages they send, and again, you're interpreting the lack of that data to assume that the data does not exist and setting your maximum accordingly. I'm not making that assumption.
Similarly, AM was charging money to send messages to millions of women on their site, while they had actual knowledge that only a few thousand were actually even looking at messages... that's fraud in my eyes.
They were charging men to be able to read the messages they received from women. If an actual woman sent a message to a man and he paid to be able to read it then that is not fraud. And, for the hundredth time, the data that we are looking at, and the data that Gizmodo analyzed, does not contain that information. It is not possible to claim with even any degree of reasonable certainty that the maximum number of women on the site is the low tens of thousands. That is the lower bound, not the upper bound. We can only determine a reasonable lower bound, and then try to extrapolate an upper bound based on what we know and assume about the men. That's exactly what I did with my calculations above, and the upper bound I reached was 2.1 million. That still leaves well over 10 million total users of the site, or around a third, that probably didn't do anything except look around. That sounds reasonable to me. It sounds ridiculous to assume that a site with that much marketing had no more than 15,000 or so women actually using it. That claim does not pas
"Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
There's actually an update to the Gizmodo article since I'd last read it. I'm reading the new article now.
http://gizmodo.com/ashley-madi...
Its quite interesting.
You're looking at a single metric or two (inbox opened, messages replied to) and trying to extrapolate additional information that is simply not there.
You are right. I conflated "replied to" with "sent". That changes things significantly. But the debate is somewhat mooted by the new article.
-cheers
That seems pretty interesting, I'm kind of losing confidence in the woman writing those articles though. She's making statements like this:
Looking at the code, there appear to be several database tables where the system keeps track of when humans chat or message with other humans. It also seems that Ashley Madison even keeps records of what each member says to the other in chat sessions. ... So much for Ashley Madison's guarantee that they'll keep your affair hushed up. Right now, the company has reams of incredibly incriminating personal information about everything its human users are doing and saying.
I mean, where are they supposed to store that data if not in a database? She sounds a little bit alarmist and relatively non-technical for someone trying to analyze a database dump.
Perhaps one of the most poignant parts of reading the engineers' comments in the code was when I uncovered a set of descriptions for how the engager bots should act. I found these in a database devoted to engager activity. Here are a few of them:
host bot mother creates engagers
birth has been given! let the engager find itself a man!
randomizing start time so engagers don't all pop up at the same time
for every single state that has guest males, we want to have a chat engager
Annalee, you found those in code comments or a database?
They operate by inhabiting, as a demon might, previously existing fake profiles
Yes, it's all witchcraft and sorcery.
The Angels, also called "hosts" by the company’s engineers, lay dormant until a bot animates them and uses them like a skin to contact a male user.
I think that Annalee thinks that her target audience is politicians.
It's unclear what else the engager would say - either the bots really are this simple, or further chat phrases weren't in the code. Most likely, based on what I saw from other bot code, the bot would urge the man to pay credits to talk further.
The most genius part of this entire scam is that the men will never go to the authorities if they figure it out. If a man gets messages from 10 different women all saying this:
I'm sexy, discreet, and always up for kinky chat. Would also meet up in person if we get to know each other and think there might be a good connection. Does this sound intriguing?
He's going to know that he's being scammed. He's not going to tell anyone about it though, beyond complaining to the site. He's not going to the media. It's like the druggie who gets his drugs stolen. He's not going to call the police to report that.
All told though, it's an interesting article with some better analysis. Upon hearing about the leak this was what I was most excited about - getting a real insider peak at how a dating site actually operates, from an analytical perspective it's great that both the source code and some or all of the database was leaked. From a privacy perspective that's obviously a horrible thing, but I'm definitely interested in the broad (non-personal) conclusions that come from seeing all of this information.
She posted another article here that shows the profit motive for running the bots, from email:
http://gizmodo.com/one-chart-t...
"Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
I think that Annalee thinks that her target audience is politicians.
I'd expect it's people that read a lot of gizmodo ... which sort of says all that needs to be said.
The most genius part of this entire scam is that the men will never go to the authorities if they figure it out.
Agreed.
getting a real insider peak at how a dating site actually operates,
Also agreed. I almost think this 'reveal' should prompt some regulation of dating sites. They should be obligated to provide the services people think they are buying. Sites like OK Cupid and eHarmony etc... I'm sure they are better... we all know people who have met someone there... but is it really all on the up and up or is there a lot of shady going on there too?
I think that some are more obvious than others. I was on OK Cupid, for example, and I met people just fine without paying anything. The fact that AM charged men to read messages should be a major red flag. It's kind of hard to legislate though, especially when the fine print says that many accounts are there just for entertainment. It's a pretty thin line, especially when those accounts aren't marked as being a bot.
"Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black