Why the LHC May Mean the End of Experimental Particle Physics
StartsWithABang writes: At the end of the 19th century, Lord Kelvin famously said, "There is nothing new to be discovered in physics now. All that remains is more and more precise measurement." He was talking about how Newtonian gravity and Maxwell's electromagnetism seemed to account for all the known phenomena in the Universe. Of course, nuclear physics, quantum mechanics, general relativity and more made that prediction look silly in hindsight. But in the 21st century, the physics of the Standard Model describes our Universe so well that there truly may be nothing else new to find not only at the LHC, but at any high-energy particle collider we could build here on Earth. If there are no new particles found below about 2–3 TeV in energy—particles that the LHC should detect if they’re present—it’s a reasonable assumption that there might not be anything new to find until energy scales of 100,000,000 TeV or more. And even if we build a particle accelerator to the fullest capacity of our technology around the equator of the Earth, we still couldn’t reach those energies.
Well, if we find a way to measure either of those using high-energy experiments, we'll get a few more decades out of the field.
Just when we think we're done, we're usually just at the beginning...
-Chris
The source of gravity?
Wormholes, do they exist (outside of theory or models), how to work with them, etc?
There's gotta be more out there.
In the article this: "it’s a reasonable assumption that there might not be anything new to find until energy scales of 100,000,000 TeV or more. " is asserted without supporting evidence.
There is nothing preventing us from building something bigger than the LHC. This is just the beginning.
What on earth is this article about? We KNOW the standard model is incomplete. It accounts for neither dark matter nor dark energy, which we know exist. Nor does it account for quantum gravity. Nothing even in the summary is close to accurate.
Turn it up to eleven.
Which is exactly the same contextual caveat Lord Kelvin failed to incorporate in his thinking.
Here's your money quote: Until we know everything, we don't know everything. And I assure you, we don't know everything.
--me
I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
As there very well may be some dark matter (one of several types of non-baryonic matter), left for us to investigate. The LHC and it's ilk simply can not detect dark matter.
excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
Large scale space structures are planned by futurists using asteroid resources. The limit there is available asteroids. About one planet worth. Perhaps we would be better off making a virtual collider in space without all the hardware. Or skip it and do experimental testing of applied methods and skip the predictive physics. That's how we did it with rope and the wheel.
JJ
"... Standard Model describes our Universe so well ..."
Dark Energy
Dark Mater
Quantum Gravity
Data loss in black holes
to just name a few.
It describes those sooooo well.
SM might cover the bulk of observed phenomenon but until you can point at anything you see and say "this is how/why that works" it is incomplete and humanity must never stop seeking answers.
And didn't someone say something similar about how everything that could be invented had?
captcha: "stagnant"
that anyone would be stupid enough to say this out loud, let alone in print... And then to have it presented to the slashdot community seriously, is incredible.
TFA isn't saying that there might be no new particles. High energy physicists agree that there have to be new particles. TFA is saying that there will be new particles, but they may be almost impossible to find. That would be a bummer, but such is life. I think it's amazing that we've been able to probe such small length scales, but there are limits to what we can do given our resources.
When we look back from the year 5000, the years between 1800 and 1980 will stand out as the time period during which we figured out the main fundamental science to understand how the world around us works. We are not at the end of particle physics. There will be lots more to learn from higher energy and higher luminocity colliders, as well as studies of extremely high energy cosmic rays and astronomical data. But even if a bunch of new particles with masses in the TeV range are found, they won't change the models we use to describe materials, biology, planet formation, or neuroscience. Particle physics may make new discoveries or may turn cold, it is hard to say, but you can be essentially certain that it will not be practically useful.
"And even if we build a particle accelerator to the fullest capacity of our technology around the equator of the Earth, we still couldn’t reach those energies."
There are far bigger accelerators 'out there', and they're called quasars, pulsars and black holes. Even if the claims in the article apply, the study of high energy cosmic rays could help us to discover and study new particles, In a similar way to what is being done with neutrinos.
Disclaimer: IANAPP :-)
And yet physics cannot explain consciousness - seems like we have quite a way to go. (Although quantum mechanics seems to tell us that consciousness and reality are somehow linked - seems like there might be quite a bit to explore there.) And we still do not understand our where our universe sits in the total scheme of things - are we in a black hole? And do we really think that there is no new physics in the range of size down to the Plank length? For those who think that we know a-lot about reality, I recommend the book "Doubt and Certainty", by George Sudarshan (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/E._C._George_Sudarshan) and Tony Rothman.
We've barely just scratched the surface of that box.
Most of what we know in particles physics is BASIC, at best. We understand some basic reactions, force mediators and that is about it.
We still don't full understand higgs, if we even truly HAVE found higgs, dark matter and energy, graviton or some other method of gravity, super-dense materials, space itself, quantum entanglement and about a million other things. Million is almost not even an exaggeration at this point with all the different discrete things we have found. (okay, it is, but still!)
Honestly, physics, and particle physics especially, is just getting to the really really exciting parts.
So much is going to be found out over the next 50 years alone, never mind the next few hundred.
If it doesn't? No point living after that I guess. If the universe was that boring, I wouldn't want to live.
... particles that the LHC should detect if they’re present ...
If only this thing could collide and detect small and medium hadrons.
It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
The summary is obviously full of holes, because there are plans to make matter/antimatter colliders that would harness way more energy. So yes we have identified a need, and we know that the Standard Model is incomplete and needs more work. Saying there is nothing new to discover truly lacks a scientific imagination. This is the same sort of bs that prevented the LHC or equivalent from being constructed in the US: "Will we find the 'God' particle?"
Society use your Sciences
>And even if we build a particle accelerator to the fullest capacity of our technology around the equator of the Earth, we still couldn’t reach those energies.
So build one the size of the solar-system.
Has this guy never heard that the mere fact neutrinos have a mass does not fit in the Standard Model, and that plenty of good experimental physics can be made on these particles?
So, StartsWithABang starts by telling us that Lord Kelvin was a fool for thinking there was nothing left to discover and then he goes on to say practically the same thing.
I see.
There is a good reason for that - there is no supporting evidence and, in fact, very strong evidence suggesting that it is completely wrong...but that's what you get with 'startswithabang', it usually ends with a whimper. The one of the most damning bits of evidence that there is something well before 10^19 GeV (no clue where he gets the 1^8 TeV figure from) is that the Higgs mass 125 GeV/c^2.
Unlike every other fundamental particle the Higgs has no spin, which means it has no intrinsic angular momentum like electrons, quarks, photons etc. This has the effect that quantum corrections very strongly affect its mass. In fact these corrections apply to the square of the Higgs mass and grow as the square of the energy scale so if the Standard Model is good up to the Planck scale at 10^19 GeV these corrections are of the order of 10^38 in size. Each Standard Model particle has its own correction to the Higgs mass with fermions and bosons providing opposite sign corrections.
Here is the problem though. In the Standard Model there is no symmetry between fermions and bosons and the coupling to the Higgs field, which determines these corrections, are all free parameters. So if we believe that there is nothing but the Standard Model before the Planck scale then we have an amazing co-incidence that a series of essentially random terms each of order 10^38 cancel so precisely that the remainder is of order 10^4.
To put that in context it would be like tossing a coin about 100 billion times and getting heads every single time. I don't know about you but personally I would start getting suspicious that something was fixing the result sometime around toss 100.
This is the issue with the Standard Model: the fact that there is a Higgs at 125 GeV is like the 100 billion coin tosses all coming up heads. The problem is that we do not yet know how nature is fixing the result but it does mean that the new physics required to fix it most likely occurs below ~10 TeV. While this is not a hard limit the higher in energy you go the less natural any accidental cancellation will be so really the energy limit where you expect new physics depends on how many times you can toss a coin and get heads before you believe that something is fixing the result.
also a Resonance Cascade will end most stuff as well. Better stock up on crowbar and ammo
I guess the writer hasn't read this yet then?
Why the LHC May Mean the End of Experimental Particle Physics
But Probably Won't, So Shut Up?
If there are no new particles found below about 2–3 TeV in energy—particles that the LHC should detect if they’re present—it’s a reasonable assumption that there might not be anything new to find until energy scales of 100,000,000 TeV or more.
So they're going to stop looking on the basis of a "reasonable assumption"? Not how science works, last time I checked.
Perhaps it should have been "Why the LHC may mean the next few years or even centuries of experimental particle physics might be a bit less exciting."
systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
There is no price too high for knowledge.
Sure, when you're spending Other People's Money. But would you be willing to contribute 100% of your income to a new collider?
I remember going to a talk around 2003 where the upper limit of particle smashers was discussed by radius and compared to theoretical energy values for various particles. It's a known problem - and there have been (expensive) suggestions put forth for years.
PS: I don't reply to ACs.
Not quite, he's saying there's lots left to discover. There just might not be anything left for the LHC to discover.
I suspect even that is false, that there will be all kinds of science to be done with it. But it may be true we don't discover any new particles with it by smashing things together, which is the thing it was built for.
There are still particles known to exist with no supporting theory for why they exist.
One year after confirming the existence of the Higgs Boson, or “God Particle,” scientists at CERN say they are struggling to find other uses for the giant particle accelerator. http://www.theonion.com/video/...
Even if we discovered new physics at the current LHC energy levels, putting them to practical use would require accessing the particles involved at much smaller scales. There are desktop collide today...but they don't reach anywhere near LHC levels...
There are collisions happening at energies MUCH higher than any man-made collider will ever achieve right above our heads, in the upper atmosphere, every second. It's just still much cheaper to build giant colliders than a reasonable detection system to gain new information from those collisions.
Once we've milked the LHC for all it can give, if it doesn't provide clues to it's successor, then we can start trying to catch cosmic rays in a controlled manner.
"Unheard of means only it's undreamed of yet,
Impossible means not yet done." ~~ Julia Ecklar
Why can't LHC's be built in space?
We've already started such things, with the Ice Cube Telescope looking at the collisions of cosmic rays with a kilometer cube block of ice and the the Auger Observatory looking at cosmic rays striking the atmosphere. There is a lot of room for improvement though, and the observations are now where near as detailed as with the collisions in LHC.
Building it would probably be a bigger endeavour than all the satellites and space stations we've launched combined. I'm sure it's possible, but you're probably looking at trillions of dollars.
it’s a reasonable assumption that there might not be anything new to find until energy scales of 100,000,000 TeV
Nope, not a reasonable assumption at all.
The LHC in space wouldn't give any better results than the LHC on earth. It's about acceleration distance, so you need a bigger distance and more powerful magnets to get higher power. Or you wait till something that has been accelerated by a galaxy hits a slow moving nitrogen atom in the upper atmosphere.
Too many unknowns to declare discovery done. What is time? Why discrepency between current theories? Why all these constants?
I think the limiting factor is going to be financial.
That's one way to look at it but I prefer to think that the limiting factor is really cleverness. The techniques we use in the LHC to accelerate particles are fundamentally the same as those used since the 1930's albeit with significant, incremental improvements. We have indeed reached the financial limit of current accelerator technology but there are alternatives.
One way, as you suggest, would be to go for new acceleration techniques. Plasma physicists have had some impressive results with particle acceleration but while the accelerating gradients are incredible there are major issues with reproducibility, scaling and intensity.
Another way to go is to let nature do the acceleration for you. There are an increasing number of experiments looking for or studying exceedingly high energy particles from astrophysical sources e.g. IceCube, Hesse, Auger etc. The problem there is that there are not very many of these particles so you need a big detector to have a chance of seeing enough to be able to study them.
Lastly you can let quantum mechanics give you access to physics well above the energy scale that you are at through 'virtual' particles. For example nuclear beta decay is only possible through the W-boson which has a mass ~80 times that of the proton and so larger than some of the nuclei which beta decay! If we can observe rare decays of particles which the Standard Model says are forbidden we can start to get some idea of the new physics out there. An example of this is the search for proton decay which 'grand unification' models of the fundamental forces suggest should happen through extremely heavy (10^16 times the mass of a proton) particles which is why the proton is so incredibly stable.
So that's three possible ways around the financial limit of ever larger accelerators so with the 'easy', incremental option off the table really we are now only limited by how clever we can be in coming up with ways around this.
1e8 * 1e12 = 1e20 eV, which I suppose is kind of like GeV.
1GeV=1e9 eV. The 'G' is the SI prefix 'giga-'...just like the 'T' you correctly identified as 'tera-'! ;-)
Why all these constants?
Because we're using the wrong units.
CLI paste? paste.pr0.tips!
but the short lifetime of the muon has kept anyone from coming up with a workable proposal so far.
The other problem they had with the muon accelerator proposals which Fermilab looked at a while ago was the lethal amounts of neutrino radiation from muons decaying. While neutrinos rarely interact at energies below a PeV if you get enough of them there can be enough interactions to be dangerous if a human stood in the beam and unfortunately shielding really isn't an option with neutrinos.
There is nothing preventing us from building something bigger than the LHC.
Like building it in orbit - or solar orbit. B-)
But that's just scaling up a particular method of accelerating particles. There are other ways to get to higher energies in MUCH shorter distances.
For instance: plasma acceleration, both wakefield and other approaches.
A couple laser pulses into a plasma and you can create fields that accelerate electrons to a couple GeV in as many centimetres, something that takes about four orders of magnitude more path length in classic accelerator approaches. You're talking doing on a tabletop what had been done on a "staple across the San Andreas fault".
And this technology is just getting started. Given big enough laser systems (on the scale of those at the National Ignition Facility) I don't see any reason you shouldn't be able to both get somewhat stronger and keep it up for miles. (Or, in solar orbit, for astronomical units.) Getting the timing of things like wakefilds right is just a matter of geometry, not anything fancy.
Unless some new particles screw it up, of course. But that's what you're looking for, right? B-)
Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
_EVERY_ time somebody says "There's nothing new to be learned", within a few years we discover that there are vast realms of reality that we had never suspected might exist. Between "string theory" and "dark matter" and "dark energy", there are enough assumptions and hand-waving to make me think that we're about at that stage again.
"Real Soon Now", we're going to discover that the current generations of physics professors have been chasing after imaginary rabbits and that reality is very different. Our understanding of the universe will be completely changed - again - and we'll be in for a new era of discovery. Where that will lead, I can barely guess.
The coolest thing about physics is the uncertainty principal. Even now, some experiments are casting doubts upon the "standard model". Trust me (the husband and son of particle physicists), we "haven't seen anything yet"! There are wonders that we mere humans cannot comprehend just waiting to be discovered!
One of the best AC comments I've read in the 8 years I've masochistically visited this site.
And even if we build a particle accelerator to the fullest capacity of our technology around the equator of the Earth, we still couldnâ(TM)t reach those energies.
there is a great vacuum over our heads...
Umm, no. The Ice Cube detects neutrinos, not cosmic rays. Completely different thing.
Just create a machine that builds the segments automatically in a slight curve until it goes around. It may take hundreds of years, but once you have it going...
I don't see any reason you shouldn't be able to both get somewhat stronger and keep it up for miles. (Or, in solar orbit, for astronomical units.) Getting the timing of things like wakefilds right is just a matter of geometry, not anything fancy.
How to scaling up wakefield accelerators is still an open, complex issue, and the whole reason why they haven't taken the table top models and just made a more expensive building size one that can out perform traditional accelerators.
Ice Cube detects a huge number of cosmic rays. When looking for neutrinos, they have to filter the cosmic rays out, or look only at neutrinos that are coming up from the ground. The data from the cosmic rays is still there regardless, and a fair amount of researchers are looking at non-neutrino data. Additionally, looking at atmospheric neutrinos gives you data about cosmic rays (with enough fidelity to see the shadow of the moon). Heck, even the predecessor, the Antarctic Muon And Neutrino Detector Array, has muon right in its name.
Because you'd still be trying to build an object larger than the earth. It's going to be rather expensive.
"we still couldn’t reach those energies"
Actually, there are a couple of rather trivial methods by which such energies can be achieved, and you don't even need something as large as an LHC for any of them.
It _does_ detect muons from cosmic ray interaction with the atmosphere, which are easily distinguished from neutrinos.
Then we could just use those units that turn all constants to 1, pi, e , etc but for the pesky fact that there are more constants loose than units to choose.
First of all... this is the first article in a REALLY long time on Slashdot where I've seen genuine intelligence being applied in the comments. There are absolutists, nay-sayers, pragmatists and more here and I swear, I feel like I've grown smarter from the comments which is just so rare for most articles. So... thank you everyone for contributing to my personal education, I mean this wholeheartedly.
I've seen many comments that make many good points.
We have the obvious which is "using LHC technology, scaling an accelerator to the next useful step would require a longer 'straight stretch' than we have available"
There's also "The possibility and benefits of acquiring a budget to consider another accelerator undertaking at the suggested massive scale, even if achievable wouldn't be profitable as the results we expect to gain based on current theory couldn't justify the project when the money can be better spent on studying other sciences which can be applied more easily"
There's also "We have ideas of what to look for next, but we're lacking legitimate proposals for how to make the observations." followed by "We're pretty sure we can observe these things if we slam enough energy into it."
The nice ones I see are the people who suggest thinking outside the box and using techniques like beaming lasers into plasma to produce higher voltages in smaller spaces. (did I summarize that properly)
I have seen a few small comments about better sensor technology. A few about data storage and processing constraints. I've seen of course the mandetory goofing around and as always the statements made by the ignorant providing solutions to problems they can barely spell let alone understand.
Let me ask a few small questions and hope for an answer from the people here who I believe are quite brilliant on this topic.
1) Does an accelerator have to be in one big line or is it acceptable to wrap it around a core like thread on a spool?
2) Do we actually need higher voltages to produce the reactions we're looking for or do we theorize these reactions happen at levels achieved within the limits of the LHC but we lack the knowledge or tools (maybe even theories) to observe the results?
3) While SM doesn't appear to explain everything, what is an example of what it fails to explain? (Wikipedia didn't help me here)
4) While I wish I could devote 20 years of my life to becoming knowledgeable enough to understand this topic, I am curious, beyond satisfying our curiosity, what additional benefits to we hope to achieve by detailing the standard model further? Higgs to me made sense, but I don't understand what components we feel we're missing that are scientifically profitable beyond what we already have found. It feels like finding another digit of PI. Unless we find a way to make PI a rational number, I don't see that the next 1 or 1 million digits will matter much.
5) To use the PI example again... could we ever complete the standard model? Or will it be like PI... no matter how many digits we find, there will always be more afterwards?
I thank you in advance if you do in fact take the time to answer my questions. I have 20 more, but I just grabbed the first 5 that came to me. I feel I've made it sound like I'm on the budget committee trying to pull funding, but in reality, I'd love to see the next step. If a complete and accurate standard model is even possible I would love to see it happen. I'm just curious as to whether a completed standard model is actually possible.
Remember Lord Kelvin was wrong. This is a common conceit among those of the current "in" theory, that it is all just dotting the is and crossing the t's. That Reality is all just what the theory said. If you don't test it, how will you know?
Even now, we know of problems in the Standard Model, but many say it is perfect. It doesn't match with Relativity, it has a fixed clock and fixed space, but experiments have borne out General Relativity, proving Quantum Physics wrong in this matter already.
Quantum physics looks like statistical classical physics, yet that doesn't show that there could be a deeper deterministic version of reality?
When physics turns from a description of reality into claims that it is reality, it has turned from science into philosophy; when we stop testing physics, it turns into religion. And we know what people do to those who question religion.
It is only according to current theory that there might not be anything left until we get massive accelerators, but current theory is not the only theory out there that match current observables, there are several other theories lying about that also match, but are rejected because they don't predict any testable differences in the current regime. That does not make the current theory correct in all aspects, only reasonably accurate in its description within the tested regime. Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence (ie. just because an asteroid hasn't fallen down and killed you doesn't mean an asteroid can never fall down and kill humanity)
This prediction will look just as silly as the one that's derided here...
We will ever learn?
Just a few days ago CERN announced in the “Physical Review Letters” an important article regarding an anomalous effect discovered by the Large Hadrons Collider in the experiment LHCb. B mesons have an anomalous tendency to decay into tau leptons instead of into muons, in which they are supposed to decay along the Standard Model.
AFAIK this is the third kind of anomaly not fitting in the Standard Model they found. And there are a lot of other unexplained phenomena found by other institutes that cannot be explained with the Standard Model, either.
Those who claim that the end of physics is near nowadays will one day sound as stupid as Lord Kelvin does to us.
There are unitless constants for which no change in units will remove or change.
Good science takes patience and a willingness to let go of scientific dogma from time to time.
(who had some damned wise things to say about a LOT of stuff .. curiously enough even the LHC:
http://www.brainyquote.com/quo...
"If an elderly but distinguished scientist says that something is possible, he is almost certainly right; but if he says that it is impossible, he is very probably wrong."
> Not quite, he's saying there's lots left to discover. There just might not be anything left for the LHC to discover.
Not quite, he's saying there's lots left to discover. We just don't know how to build the machine to discover it.
But of course that's really just particle scientists talking to accelerator builders. Astronomers are discovering new physics all the time, and its so weird that most in the field cover their ears, chant "la la la!" and pretend it doesn't exist.
Like, for instance, the story that came up right here on /. a few days ago about a fully developed galaxy only a few million years after the start of time. Nothing we currently know can explain this, so we just say it started that way. No problem! Black hole information paradox? Who cares! Mach's principle is based on what, exactly? The "distant stars"! Wavefunction collapse? Shut up and do your homework!
pure hubrus to assume we have the entire universe figured out hell they havent explained dark matter and energy out beside the mere concept of them
Most of what you say is either ignorant or incorrect.
3). There is no serious, viable physics describing singularities;
Please.
4). The trigger for the Big Bang is still unknown;
There's no basis for even theorizing about that. At this point it's not really a question for science to answer.
5). Particle/Wave dualities are not fully explained. The Copenhagen Interpretation is ultimately unsatisfying;
No, you simply do not understand the particle/wave duality. And the Copenhagen Interpretation is just an interpretation, not an explanation, and it doesn't change experimental results.
6). Superconduction is not fully explained;
Nothing is fully explained. Empiricism doesn't go in for full explanations, nor absolute truths. Low-temperature superconductivity does have a good explanation. We have hypotheses for HTS, but this has fuck-all to do with the LHC, which is concerned with high-energy physics, not condensed matter physics.
7). Quantum entanglement can cause information transmission faster than the speed of light. All explanations of this are nothing more than arm waving and efforts to divert attention from the core problem;
No it cannot, and you clearly have no idea what it even is. I understand that it's distressing to think that locality is not observed for all phenomena, but you can't dismiss empirical evidence just because you don't like it.
As for #8, you're misinterpreting the article. It's not suggesting that we will never build a machine to probe those energy levels. It's saying atomic physics isn't something you can figure out with a microscope (It took Rutherford to start us down that track). You're arguing against a straw man.
history does repeat itself
Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that.
Almost every article has tons of assumptions, lots of hand waving, refuses to correct mistakes even when pointed out, etc.
First thought - two things pretty much totally incompatible - general relativity and black holes. (the problem is the physics inside the outer event horizon)
Astronomy now has pretty much watertight proof that black holes exist.
Doesn't look good for general relativity..
No new physics???
Below the speed of light Special Relativity is one of the most accurate theories in physics - above the speed of light..
More stupid. Who could have predicted relativity in Kelvins time?
Below the speed of light Special Relativity is one of the most accurate theories in physics - above the speed of light..
Not that there is any evidence of Lord Kelvin actually saying it, but it is attributed to a speech in 1900, and sometimes thought to come from other speeches in the late 1890s. This is already after interferometer experiments started showing problems with aether theory, Lorentz earlier work, and even Searle and others thinking faster than light travel is impossible due to relativistic mass reaching infinity. Relativity was not developed in a vacuum without warning.
General relativity by itself has no problem with black holes, at least outside the event horizon which is all that matters for observation. The problems only come up when you bring quantum mechanics into it. Astronomy's evidence of black holes is in no way "watertight" when it comes to those issues that quantum mechanics brings up, as all the evidence amounts to is a dark, dense object. Alternative proposals of other objects that would exist if black holes couldn't form would also fit existing observations, and it might not be until something like the Event Horizon Telescope that some of that stuff can be falsified.
I think the willingness to leg go of "scientific" dogma is always the hardest part.
It has always been what has held us back, and it didn't get much better after science broke free of religious dogma. Groups of scientists just started to create their own dogmas at that point. Some of these dogmas are from ignorance or deference to those seen as betters and some of it is created due to corruption to maintain power for individuals or corporations.
So, that means we build a huge accelerator in space, right?
Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.