California's $68 Billion Bullet Train Project Faces Major Hurdles (latimes.com)
New submitter willworkforbeer writes: The proposed US$68B high speed rail project in California faces extraordinary hurdles, both in terms of budget and timeframe. Even Einstein (no, not that one; Herbert Einstein, an MIT civil engineer and top tunneling expert) says the schedule is probably not possible. "Having looked at a number of these long tunnels, [the California] plan is aggressive," said Einstein, who has consulted on a 35-mile-long tunnel under the Swiss Alps. "From a civil engineering perspective it is very, very ambitious — to put it mildly."
New York's 11-mile East Side Access tunnel project is 14 years late and about 2.5x its original budget. If California's 72 miles of tunnels (twin tunnels of 36 miles) go like New York's, that would be over US$160B spent, with an opening date sometime in the 2030s. The article goes through a number of complicating factors for the tunnels, from the major faults they must cross to the melange of rock types they must drill through.
New York's 11-mile East Side Access tunnel project is 14 years late and about 2.5x its original budget. If California's 72 miles of tunnels (twin tunnels of 36 miles) go like New York's, that would be over US$160B spent, with an opening date sometime in the 2030s. The article goes through a number of complicating factors for the tunnels, from the major faults they must cross to the melange of rock types they must drill through.
Anyone who didn't know this was a giant fucking scam before it even got off the ground has to be a fucking idiot.
who's this for? By the sound of it It's going to be so expensive that if I could afford to take it I'd just take a plane instead. Maybe if we didn't all have cars, but again if you can afford to ride this you can afford a car, and you're probably going to prefer that. If it's just pork I'm surprised it made it though.
Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
The first was from "Singles." No one wants it but politicians and construction companies.
The second is the reason why politicians and construction companies want it is because it's a gravy train of taxpayer money and cost overruns.
Marge: But Main Street's still all cracked and broken.
Bart: Sorry, Mom, the mob has spoken!
Crowd: [heading outside to the front steps while singing] Monorail... Monorail... Monoraaaaaaaaail! MONORAIL!
Homer: Mono - D'oh!
The first hurdle is political lobbying at all levels by the airline companies that want to protect the SF-LA air route, their bread winner router.
The second hurdle are the various city councils along the way that want to maximize the benefits to their cities, instead to the state, in ways that are sometimes "unfathomable".
The technical hurdles... are details in comparison.
This is absurd (and not an argument presented in the article, because the author isn't a moron). You can't just act like all tunnel building costs are the same per mile, they vary by orders of magnitude. The East Side Access project is to go through some of the most valuable, infrastructure-heavy, densely populated real estate in the US and to merge into Grand Central Terminal.
"Oh, goodness. Look at my wrist, I have to go." "But what about your clothes?" "I don't love these."
Fucking build it. We excel at building giant projects. This is an infrastructure project that will pay off in spades over the next 200 years. It's not like the zombie apocalypse is going to come through and wipe out 2/3rds the population of California every 25 years. Long term this is absolutely needed. Just cough up the dough and move forward with it. Dig those tunnels, lay that track.
Big projects need big vision, and if we don't have that kind of vision in America anymore, I don't want to live here anymore, we're just any other country.
P.S. Even Morocco has high speed rail now. Let's try and keep up with Northern Africa perhaps? "Oh it's such a big project we can't handle that". Well fucking fire that guy let's put someone in place that actually believes they can do their own damn job. You don't hire a guy who's afraid of heights to do your balancing wire act at the circus.
moox. for a new generation.
... I can state two things:
- it's buying the land that shifts the schedule. Definitely true, to the extent the south-east is not covered by our 'bullet-trains' 20 years after going operational elsewhere (TGV is for 'hi-speed-train' in french, over 300Km/h)
- when the rails are done, then, it's over for train/airplane competition. Definitely. 90% of the air traffic switches to rail.
Even when the rail stations are not close to cities.
When adding every delay, car/parking/x-ray/plane and the same at the other hand, generally the bullet train is at least as fast, and way less of a bother (no X-ray, you can take metallic objects, load your computer, walk and get decent coffee in a decent train bar...)
So, to me it's a matter of patience but the switch is unavoidable. The only thing is, for people in their fifties like me, one has to be aware this in some places is just an investment for our children, not for us.
Initial estimate - $68 billion and completed by 2022
Final bill - $250 billion, and completed by 2045.
Or, never...But they will spend that $250B.
Anyone who uses the word "melange" is a faggot.
I would have used, "melange" in the submission, if I spoke what my guidance counsellor called "High School Graduate Level English You Moron".
I think I used, "crazy messed up".
Pretending this is my office full of bitter coworkers..
Just tell Americans the NRA is supporting it and that the 2nd Amendment guarantees bullet trains to all.
Sounds like an opportunity for hyperloop!
Time to declassify those nuclear-powered tunnel-boring machines?
Everything in California is way over budget and way over time.
But that's not the point.
Follow the money?
The article sounds remarkably like the articles written when the Anglo-French Channel Tunnel project was proposed. Various aspects of the project were allegedly impossible when digging began, including concerns about the nature of the rock under the Channel and that the air in the tunnels would overheat because of the absence of ventilation tunnels under the sea. The project did run over-budget, but it worked, and is still working, and has transformed the way people and freight travel along that route.
Virtually serving coffee
J'aime bien les Trains de Grand Vitesse!
And I voted against it then, too
Here in Atlanta, we are spending $1.1 Billion on widening just one highway interchange: Contractors vying to build $1.1 billion Ga. 400/I-285 interchange
IMHO, that makes the $68 billion California is spending seem like a bargain since they'll be getting 36 miles of tunnels, plus "300 miles of track, dozens of bridges or viaducts, high-voltage electrical systems, a maintenance plant and as many as six stations".
Years ago, BART in San Francisco was able to tunnel through the same tectonic plate boundary - underwater. A century ago, Switzerland built high tunnels through the Alps like the ones being contemplated here to connect Germany, France and Italy. But because those tunnels required trains to spiral up into the mountains to reach one end and then spiral down from from the other end of the tunnel, It is now driving a series of straight "base tunnels" underneath the entire range. These will allow bullet trains to rip through as though the Alps didn't exist.
you could run a hyperloop around the entire US touching every major city, have money to spare, and be producing MW of spare electricity to boot from it.
LA to NY in 3 hours for a $50 ticket....
Moi aussi. Et les trains à grand vitesse japonaises!
bb9e 57ad 9a15 1572
// Capcha, always being relevant: decipher
29c4 3f33 054e 9ec1
7e44 fc9c 49d8 884f
4ff9 74db eab9 57f5
a9c7 7e5b 5af8 e612
c760 9f6d 392d f1bf
bff2 703f b575 5bf1
nt
If the government wants to support public transportation, I wish they'd spend money on projects for which there's a demand.
For example in the SF Bay area, a public transit train system is BART (Bay Area Rapid Transit). One problem with BART is a lack of parking spots at its stations. I wish the government would spend a few million dollars to build a multi-story parking lot at the BART stations where there is a shortage of parking spots. That would definitely get more people out of their cars.
The cost overruns they're noting here are almost certainly just the tip of the iceberg. It was originally only said to cost around $34 Billion, they've barely gotten started and its already ballooned to at least in the neighborhood of $70 Billion but even the Authority admits it "may" go up to almost $120 Billion suggesting it will probably hit that and quite possibly go even higher. Even at the ~$70 billion number it is almost double the cost per KM as similar European systems. At the same time the anticipated ticket prices will be below that of world counterparts (20%), specifically set to try to attract airline passengers. And even at that rate its not expected to compete very well with car/truck transportation costs.
We can't do things any more.
The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
Big giant massive nuclear powered autonomous self repairing tunnel boring machines with on board smelters to extract the minerals would work perfectly. We should have had these things 10 years ago. It's the 21st Century for Chrissake! Let's stop living in the 19th...
“He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
#1 in anything the greatiest nation on earth and can do spirit surely you can do a little railroad?
I live in CA too, and have yet to meet anybody who will admit to supporting this gravy train of pork slop.
The people in CA who live in the biggest handful of cities are generally very far to the left (as are the citizens of most Democrat-run mega-cities) the people in the smaller cities and rural areas tend to be to the right of center. The State USED to be "up for grabs" in elections with either party able to win it, but after the 1986 Amnesty the combination of the huge uptick in legalized Hispanic immigrants and the huge wave of children they've had since, most of whom vote Democrat have made the state permanently Democrat (and thus created the illusion that the state is one massive unified far-left state). Oh, and the election of Ahhnold to run Kahleefornia was a fluke - he was a celeb and pretty far left within the GOP (a member of the Kennedy family at that time).
This train was put to a vote in CA under false premises; the voters were promised 4 things that were all false:
1. It would cost $33 Billion. Critics said it would cost more and were branded "liars" in the press out here which is entirely Democrat-run.
2. The federal government would foot much of the bill. It will not, but this was at the time of the Obama Trillion dollar stimulus bill when many people seemed to think the skies had opened and it was raining free money.
3. It would link the entire state. It will not. The train will not even link the major cities of SF, Sacramento, LA, and San Diego in the foreseeable future.
4. It would be "high speed". It will not. They are building the rails for the type of trains they are buying and the trains they are buying are just moderately-fast (slower than many cars).
If CA really wanted affordable high-speed mass transit, it could go with Musk's Hyperloop which would be VASTLY superior to the pork Moonbeam Brown is building. CA will NOT build Hyperloop because it would operate without the need for a big unionized labor force (vital Democrat constituency group), and would cost a lot less to build (which has less opportunity for fraud and kickbacks.
The only way a person can come to the conclusion that lies are good and we need more of them is by severe retardation. Yes, lies are inherently wrong. Even if someone claims that the lie will benefit more than just themselves. Trusting someone you know to be a liar is an idiots task..
...for a train that no one will ever ride in numbers significant enough to justify it at 1/100 the cost.
According to wiki the entire Interstate system (in 2006 dollars).
If you vote me for governor, I promise to defund the rail, subject to any necessary propositions and/or legislative action. Furthermore, I will use the funds currently set aside for high speed rail to do two things:
1. Eliminate grade crossings at existing rail lines, starting with Caltrain from San Francisco to San Jose, or alternatively starting with those crossings that have killed the most people if the aforementioned route isn't actually the most deadly.
2. If there's sufficient money left over after that, I will establish the SF-LA Autobahn program which will entail building a limited access highway that parallels portions of US 101 and Interstate 5. The program will be partially funded with a special licensing and inspection program, which will permit drives who are willing to pay increased fees to travel at a minimum speed of 80 mph in the right lane, and maximum speed of 200 mph in the passing lane. Autobahn-like lane discipline rules will be strictly enforced.
For all intensive purposes, "whom" is no longer a word. That begs the question, "who cares"?
There is so much brain drain in California. A majority of California voters have absolutely no understanding of finance and economics. They keep voting and approving these type of measures. They vote in endless bond measures not realizing they are appeals to borrow money to finance borrowed money. When a minority in California opposed this measure back when the cost was around 33 billion a majority of California voters shot them down. Then the costs goes up to an estimated 68 billion. You could hear crickets chirping. More than likely the costs will double that amount.
Elon Musk's Hyperloop is a far better idea for so many reasons, and far cheaper.
Scrap this train and build that instead.
Why OpalCalc is the best Windows calc
"Florida Gov. Rick Scott joined three other Republican governors in rejecting Obama administration funds for rail projects, saying a planned high- speed line in his state could saddle taxpayers with $3 billion in added expenses." Yeah, nobody could have predicted this.
If the voters voted to spend a certain amount of money for the bullet train, and if the actual cost is way more, and if the trains will be slower than a bullet train, then does CA have the legal authority to go ahead with the project?
The voters voted for X, and the state is doing Y. Seems to me that the state wouldn't have the authority to do Y, only to do X.
Hyperloop has some advantages here.
1. Large ranges can be approached on a parallel and slowly elevate over instead of drilling.
2. Hyper loop tubes could have more seismic give, similar to oil pipelines in permafrost, than train track.
3. Now that we hav realistic price assessment (more anyway), we can get on our way to having a real comparison with hyperloop.
With the dying breath from Governor Jerry Moonbeam Brown after been hit and run-over by used-car piloted by a woman complaining of vagina spasms and legally DUI, Moonbeam dies on site with his guts splattered by automobile ties. An ignominious ending of one of California's most hated of celebrities a few meters from a illegal California brothel.
Ha ha
They started in 2007 and have the largest high-speed network in the world (High-speed rail in China). It's sad that America is getting so far behind in the balls department.
I don't understand the allure of High density and the being under the control of big government. Humans are not meant to live in the proximity and densities that is the current effort.
No. LA area has ~19 million people. SF area has ~7.5 million people. If the cost per mile were around ~$50 million per mile, or less, HSR in California would be a decent deal. At this point, it is going to cost more than $130 million per mile, or more, very expensive.
If you didn't know: Your infrastructure crumbles. Most of is is from the 30s, some was built in the 50s and 60s and that's it. The rest is sometimes a hundred years old or even older. Because you don't want to fund it with higher taxes, that's not going to change.
Public projects like these are going to have cost overruns. The Swiss NEAT (Trans-Alp-Tunnel) is about 65% over budget right now.
You can't have a State, a Country without investing in its infrastructure.
In another decade or two, you'll be just another emerging nation, but with nukes.
You're just proving you're nation as such is not a sustainable model.
Windows 2000 - from the guys who brought us edlin
WE? I am a Texan, not a Californian. I think both of our states are bad at building giant projects. Be realistic.
I can't help but wonder how much better the ROI would be if this money was put towards California's urban transportation problems rather than fighting congestion on rural patches of the I-5. Even the infamous MUNI could accomplish wonders with it.
In New Mexico, the Rail Runner connects Santa Fe and Albuquerque, and some other smaller cities.
After 9 years, ridership doesn't pay for operating costs, not even 1/10th of the operating costs, let alone pay for the cost of the capital invested. Add the cost of capital and fares pay only 1/20th of the cost.
California had better think not once, not twice, but ten times about the economic case for their bullet train--if it is as much of a flop as New Mexico's Rail Runner, it'll blow a huge hole in the state's budget.
--PM
The most inexpensive way to build this HSR is to just run it right down I-5 with two stations, one in SF and the other in LA. No tunnels, no costly land purchases. Could probably knock it out in a couple of years.
But where would the I-5 traffic go? Who cares... Why does every American city need to be connected by highway?
Mi gusta questo:
http://www.valencia-tourist-guide.com/en/transport/high-speed-train-valencia-to-madrid.html
After you've taken a few trains like this, the people arguing against them on this page sound like the most pathetic luddites that it's possible to imagine.
The new maglev bullet train in Japan will be partially operational (Toyko-Nagoya) by 2027, after starting construction late last year. Around 86% will be underground. Cost of that section will be about $50 billion, all financed privately.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ch%C5%AB%C5%8D_Shinkansen
So how come Japan can do project like this, but America can't?
The Japanese got it to work but they connected larger population centres than Santa Fe and Albuquerque - just as the Californians are going to do.
It is a bit annoying that the last time a train did 100MpH near where I live was a century ago - on steam FFS.
Sounds like a better deal to me.
Quite a lot of people who use the word "faggot" as an insult are really really scared to admit to themselves that they are turned on by the idea of having sex with men. The homophobia is a cover for their fear and anger.
Hold the contractors to the price, legally. If they go over, it comes out of their pocket. If they go late, fine the board and the c-suite 1% of the total project per day. Require the c suite and board to stay on the entire time the project is run, or they are jailed.
The biggest hurdle is that it is not cost effective. It will cost too much to use, and yet still won't pay for itself. We had a similar problem with streetcars in Okahoma City in the early 1900s. When buses came around, they were far cheaper, more maneuverable and could go places that streetcars couldn't, so they were replaced with buses. Now, OKC has the bright idea to raise taxes to create a streetcar system. Hello! History! Read it!.
If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
How much would it cost to add a couple lanes to both I5 and 99?
Even if there were NO graft this would be an absolutely useless project. There are so many better ways that the money could be spent that the only possible reason for its existence has to be bribery and corruption. So much for Jesuit training...
You know, build some dams, desal plants, etc etc etc? Nope. We'll spend 68 billion on a classic white elephant. Seriously for a fraction of that you could fund a dozen LFTR / molten salt reactors, decomm the old dangerous ones built on fault lines, use the off peak excess to desal & pump water when and where you need it ....
BUT NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
(John Belushi voice ^^^)
you had nothing to contribute, you just did not like that post.
got it
A money grab corrupt boondogle -- from a State that diverts all of its gas taxes into the general fund and never has anything to fix roads badly made by shady contractors. California needs to disassembled and replaced with 4 or 5 separate new States. (Los Angeles, San Diego, Big Valley, The Sierras and Pacifica.)
a government is required to divert funds towards projects that the private sector would not have built.
Just one problem with your argument. There are hundreds of historical examples of the private sector building railroads. In fact, the private sector was so eager to build railroads that the network was overbuilt; it exceeded demand and a significant fraction of the privately-built railroads entered bankruptcy.
We need to achieve the proper balance between a 19th-century free-for-all, and the current regulatory environment that kills any private initiatives into more modern forms of transportation. When that's accomplished, any route capable of profitable operation would be built. And any route not capable of profitable operation, of course, should not be built.
That that is is that that that that is not is not.
I disagree with the premise of your argument. Just because something is unprofitable does not mean that it should not be built. Also the corollary to that is just because something is profitable doesn't mean it should be built.
For example, a sea wall will never be profitable to the builder. It may or may not prevent property damage in the future but the builder of that sea wall will never ever see those returns. There is no realistic possibility of collecting the funds from the nearby residents, because you are asking them to fund a multi-generational asset which they would only see partial returns on.
Rail is another example. Rail is something that should be considered as part of a wider transport network. If I build rail here, will it reduce load on a road network there? If it does what are the overall economic benefits of that piece of infrastructure? Does that economic benefit exceed the cost of the railway? Note that this is significantly different from "is this railway line profitable?". In fact there are many many many economic arguments for building transport networks that are loss leaders.
If you want to have a look at a non transport equivalent, consider Android the OS. Google develops Android and releases it open source to the market. Loads and loads and loads of people have built devices based on something google did, and not paid a cent to Google. Now Google makes a bucket load of cash from the play store but the actual Android OS is a total cost centre. Google has decided that building Android is better for their wider economy than not building it, despite it not directly making them money. Think about rail the same way, if I build a rail line, does my wider economy benefit?
The market that allowed the rail barons to exist, no longer exists. Land was cheap, labour was cheap, and there was a captive market. Also most of those projects were given government support in some way, be it low interest loans or land grants.
Bullshit. If the sea wall prevents the destruction of property at any occurance which costs more than the sea wall, then it was a profitable endeavor to build it. ROI is calculated by how long it takes to save its own worth in propert that would have otherwise been damaged or destroyed. Profit in the economic sense means you are better off for having done it, not the accounting sense of hard dollars flowing into your pockets.
But the builder of the sea wall will never see those profits. Because the profits are spread across the wider community, unless it is built by the government. There will never be a private entity that will build that sea wall.
Just because something is unprofitable does not mean that it should not be built.
Yes, in most cases, that's exactly what it means. If it's unprofitable, it will have to be subsidized. The perfect example for the subject at hand is Amtrak. The "overall economic benefits" are miniscule compared to the billions in subsidies Amtrak has blown through. Here's just one of many examples of how it's mismanaged:
http://www.the-american-intere...
Why was Amtrak created in the first place? Purely as a pander to two very special interest groups:
1) Politically-connected railworker unions, and
2) Those who wrung their hands about "it's a crying shame what's happened to our railroads... do something to bring back the good old days!" (Not comprehending that there are reasons travelers voted with their dollars and actions such that passenger rail service became unprofitable.)
Please don't double down on the huge mistake that was Amtrak.
That that is is that that that that is not is not.
Just call the Japanese. This entire country (japan), though all the Mountain ranges, and below most cities is a Swiss cheese patchwork of amazing tunnels. They build them on credit in most neighboring countries (i.e. Vietnam and the philipines) and they are glorious feats of engineering. Of course for the question of if high speed rail were a cost effective idea or good idea for California, I have no idea but I'd guess no.
"The train... faces major hurdles"
This should be good.
Political correctness is really just herd psychology pushed by insecure people who desperately seek social conformity.
"Anyone who uses the word "melange" is a faggot."
Or French.
Political correctness is really just herd psychology pushed by insecure people who desperately seek social conformity.
Conversely, many people will also use the word "faggot" as an insult because the thought of having sex with a man is so completely disgusting and revolting that they want apply that derogatory connotation to someone that they don't like.
Political correctness is really just herd psychology pushed by insecure people who desperately seek social conformity.
Anyone who uses the word "melange" is a faggot.
Faggot.
"uBlock is using 33MB of RAM" - by andymadigan (792996) on Friday June 12, 2015 @10:31PM (#49902053)
Inefficient: Hosts @ 3-11mb w/ current data & does things adblock variants can't & U RAN FROM IT http://apple.slashdot.org/comm... ).
UBlock uses 63++ MB & AdBlock = 128mb++ -> http://www.ghacks.net/2014/06/...
SCREENSHOT -> http://cdn.ghacks.net/wp-conte...
BEST UBlock's done = 38mb/ABP = 64mb -> http://www.extremetech.com/wp-... From http://www.extremetech.com/wp-...
* See 'p.s.' below - Says all (& I didn't do the saying!)
---
"which blocks more ads? Answer: uBlock/Adblock" by andymadigan (792996) on Sunday June 14, 2015 @12:04AM (#49907001)
WRONG - "Almost ALL Ads Blocked"'s PAID NOT TO by default-> http://techcrunch.com/2013/07/...
&
ABP too http://finance.yahoo.com/news/...
UBlock/Adblock = far less efficient on CPU & RAM (added messagepassing, SLOW usermode vs. hosts in kernelmode) & NEITHER does a fraction of what hosts do in more speed, security, reliability, & anonymity.
---
"your system blocks fewer ads" by andymadigan (792996) on Sunday June 14, 2015 @12:04AM (#49907001)
See above: + hosts do MORE w/ less via 1st link above!
---
"I'm more than happy to spend an extra 1% of my computer's power to block far more ads than your shitty idea" by andymadigan (792996) on Sunday June 14, 2015 @12:04AM (#49907001)
You're 'happy' being illogical & stupid?
AdBlock's 4++gb & 100% CPU use inefficiency -> https://blog.mozilla.org/nneth...
+
ClarityRay defeats it & NOT hosts (clarityray BLOCKS addons via native browser methods).
---
YOU started it -> http://apple.slashdot.org/comm... & here too http://slashdot.org/comments.p...
I finished YOU WITH IT all above!
APK
P.S.=> Howard Stark in "Capt. America" - hosts (Cap's Shield) vs. AdBlock & variants (steel):
"It's stronger than steel & 1/3rd the weight"
So
"Run, Forrest: RUN!!!" & "eat your words"
... apk
"Chrome has thankfully started warning users who try to download it." - by andymadigan (792996) on Sunday June 14, 2015 @03:48PM (#49909947)
Google can try explaining it vs. proof my ware's CLEAN (from VirusTotal which GOOGLE owns, you stupid freak):
MalwareBytes' hpHosts Admin (MalwareBytes employee who also has the source & verified it safe too) hosts & recommends it -> http://hosts-file.net/?s=Downl... & MalwareBytes = BEST antivirus per this VERY recent testing of them all http://www.av-test.org/en/news...
&
It's GUARANTEED safe & clean per it being checked by 57 antivirus programs recently in BOTH its 64-bit model https://www.virustotal.com/en/...
+
In its 32-bit model also https://www.virustotal.com/en/...
* :)
In case you hadn't noticed it, like when you made your PUNY THREATS effetely *trying* to "blackmail me" on Hilton Hotels here http://slashdot.org/comments.p... ?
(which I could give 2 fucks about, I made the money already on a successfully done large scale project with them on contract)
I SMOKED YOU TOTALLY @ EVERY TURN, & who started it twice here http://slashdot.org/comments.p... AND HERE TOO http://apple.slashdot.org/comm... saying "I should die painfully" etc. - et al?
You failed badly on all accounts.
APK
P.S.=> Especially funny is that you work for CLOUDWORDS (an advertiser affiliate of Marketo) which tips your hand & PROVED YOUR ILL MOTIVES for your stupidity, running away from this most of all -> http://slashdot.org/comments.p...
... apk