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How Nukes Were Almost Launched From Okinawa During Cuban Missile Crisis (thebulletin.org)

Lasrick writes: Aaron Tovish is calling on the U.S. government to release documents pertaining to one of the scarier incidents of the Cuban Missile Crisis. According to an Air Force airman, the system designed to prevent an accidental launch of nuclear weapons failed as the codes ordering a launch were given in each of the three transmissions required for a launch: "By Bordne's account, at the height of the Cuban Missile Crisis, Air Force crews on Okinawa were ordered to launch 32 missiles, each carrying a large nuclear warhead. Only caution and the common sense and decisive action of the line personnel receiving those orders prevented the launches -- and averted the nuclear war that most likely would have ensued."

289 comments

  1. Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by NotDrWho · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Considering the number of incidents in the Cold War where a nuclear war was averted by cool heads, it makes me glad (as General Baringer would say) that our boys were in those silos, instead of a computer.

    --
    SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    1. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by NotDrWho · · Score: 5, Informative

      Obligatory shout out:

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    2. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by jellomizer · · Score: 4, Funny

      Bah. All you need is your simulation program of a nuclear war to cross reference with Tic-Tac-Toe to come up with some correlation that the only way to not fail, is to not start. To make sure this is effect, please make sure your sumulation program is hooked up to a 300bps modem, and allow anyone who had war diled the number to get it.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    3. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by Eloking · · Score: 5, Interesting
      --
      Elok
    4. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Unless, of course, the computer discovered that the way to win is to go first and hope the other player messes up.

    5. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by LWATCDR · · Score: 3, Interesting

      If it happened. From the link.
      "I recognize that Bordne's account is not definitively confirmed. But I find him to have been consistently truthful in the matters I could confirm. An incident of this import, I believe, should not have to rest on the testimony of one man."

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    6. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Considering the number of incidents in the Cold War where a nuclear war was averted by cool heads ...

      There may have been a number of incidents ... but I doubt if this one really happened. This is all based on the testimony of ONE person, backed up by another anonymous witness that may, or may not, actually exist. Since there were dozens of people supposedly aware of the situation, I find it hard to believe that no one told this story before, or is able to corroborate this one guy's story.

      This is likely just some half-senile old geezer trying to draw attention to himself by making up wild war stories.

    7. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by ranton · · Score: 4, Interesting

      it makes me glad (as General Baringer would say) that our boys were in those silos, instead of a computer.

      If this story is true, it is an example of a tragedy that would have only happened because humans were in control instead of computers. There was no order to move to DEFCON 1, so the computer would never have launched the missiles. The human operators in this case did just what a computer would have done (not launch), except for one lieutenant. It is this single human officer who allegedly almost launched his nukes.

      I'm not saying we should remove humans from launch command, but if this story is true it is an argument against having humans in the loop, not the other way around.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    8. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Considering the number of incidents in the Cold War where a nuclear war was averted by cool heads, it makes me glad (as General Baringer would say) that our boys were in those silos, instead of a computer.

      I prefer Joshua's line : The best move is not to play.

      Get rid of nuclear weapons altogether. They benefit no-one and endanger all of us.

    9. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually Defcon 1 is peace, and Defcon 5 is war. War Games got that wrong along with most other cold war films.

    10. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by barbariccow · · Score: 1

      Unless, of course, the computer discovered that the way to win is to go first and hope the other player messes up.

      Guess you've never seen "War Games"...

    11. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or maybe, you know, installing a spell checker on that computer too.

    12. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually Defcon 1 is peace, and Defcon 5 is war. War Games got that wrong along with most other cold war films.

      Not sure where you got your information, but you are the incorrect one and everyone else is correct.

    13. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by JMZero · · Score: 4, Informative

      No, you're wrong. Defcon 1 is "most ready", Defcon 5 is "least ready". https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      --
      Let's not stir that bag of worms...
    14. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by 0123456 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Get rid of nuclear weapons altogether. They benefit no-one and endanger all of us.

      Nuclear weapons have done more for peace than any other invention in the history of the human race. No-one can risk fighting a major war any more.

      The downside, of course, is that if we ever do get into a nuclear war, we're screwed.

    15. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by amorsen · · Score: 2

      I give you Frigate Peder Skram. Missile coordinates were given to the launch computer, and the Harpoon missile launched, without the launch keys being inserted.

      And that was back when computer code was small enough to be reasonably scrutinized.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    16. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by Jason+Levine · · Score: 4, Interesting

      One of my first introductions to card-based gaming was a game called Nuclear War. As you might guess, players lob nuclear warheads at each other trying to decimate each others' populations. One of the more inventive gaming rules was "Final Strike." A player whose last civilian died would be able to throw everything he still had in one last "I'm dying and will take everyone I can with me" maneuver at either a single player or at multiple players. If any of those players were then killed, they would launch their own Final Strike. It was quite common for games to end with everyone dead.

      It was a fun game, but could also teach a valuable lesson about battling using nuclear weapons.

      --
      My sci-fi novel, Ghost Thief, is now available from Amazon.com.
    17. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by plopez · · Score: 1

      And a password set to the programmer's son's name.

      --
      putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    18. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    19. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by sjames · · Score: 1

      First paragraph of TFA:

      John Bordne, a resident of Blakeslee, Penn., had to keep a personal history to himself for more than five decades. Only recently has the US Air Force given him permission to tell the tale, which, if borne out as true, would constitute a terrifying addition to the lengthy and already frightening list of mistakes and malfunctions that have nearly plunged the world into nuclear war.

      So, it seems there was a permission process involved and it was only recently given. That would put everyone involved into the 70-90 year old range by now. Some are no doubt dead. Others just don't care anymore. Someone had to be the first to say something.

    20. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by nitehawk214 · · Score: 1

      This man was such a badass that he was portrayed by Liam Neeson and Denzel Washington. (The plot of Crimson Tide was loosely based on the B-59 incident.)

      In fact, his heroics on K-19 were much of the reason his caution was heeded on B-59.

      --
      I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
    21. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by Whatsisname · · Score: 1

      Do you live in Detroit and drive a Pontiac 600 SUX?

    22. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by Rob+Riggs · · Score: 0

      No-one can risk fighting a major war any more.

      Said the people who fought in the war to end all wars. And then Germany let one crazy mofo take over...

      --
      the growth in cynicism and rebellion has not been without cause
    23. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      So they were a little premature.

      The fact remains war used to be a profitable business. Now all sides always lose in real wars. So all they can do is fight proxy battles with pawns.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    24. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But since we are talking specifically about the Cuban missile crises, Charles Xavier's gang of misfits was the saving agent at that time, at least according to our historical multimedia archives.

    25. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by edxwelch · · Score: 2

      Bullshit. That article proves that they have come very close to wiping us out. Really, we've only averted full scale nuclear war by blind luck.

    26. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nuclear war is an all-or-nothing proposition.

      Thankfully the human race has chosen the nothing option... so far.

    27. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      War USED to be a profitable business? What planet are you on man, we are making more money fighting more wars than ever before - In the old days if the superpowers wanted the slug it out most of the world could just get on with life. All that's changed is now there is a Sword of Damocles hanging over *every* nation's necks, and if it CAN drop it WILL drop. It's just a matter of when.

    28. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Actually, they are pointing out a major logic hole in the movie.

      Very interesting.

      The movie also assumes a short time scale and pretty much direct attacks. Some retaliatory strikes that were targeted at the economy and power generation followed by peace talks instead of all out war might be a winning move too.

      LIkewise, nuking to 'wound' instead of nuking to kill.

      Still a fun movie. But it automatically succeeded because it was the point the writers wanted to make.

      In a craptastic universe, (say on the outer limits TV show), it would have automatically failed.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    29. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's one definite error in the article:
      The missiles are described as Mace-B
      Wikipedia (art. "MGM-13 Mace") reads: Development of the "B" missiles began in 1964
      So the B variant was not in use in 1963.

    30. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      So, it seems there was a permission process involved and it was only recently given.

      No. HE SAYS he had to wait for permission. There is no evidence that this is true. If permission was granted, it would have been in writing, and he would have a document to prove it. So where is it?

      There are two possibilities:
      1. There was a very unlikely sequence of events, and then a vast conspiracy of silence involving dozens of people over 5 decades, to cover up something that no moral person would believe should be covered up, for no logical reason other than avoiding the embarrassment of officials that retired and mostly died long ago.
      2. One guy made up a story.
      William of Okham says it is #2.

    31. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by budgenator · · Score: 2

      Nobody lives in Detroit, it's total zombie apocalypses south of 8 Mile road.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    32. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the great arsenals of nuclear weapons in the hands of all nations are not maintained - as I am sure in a few cases they won't be, then you quite literally have a ticking time bomb. Your problem is you are thinking about what you have pointing at others, not what they have pointing at you.

    33. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

      Knowing the military the document giving clearance to tell of the sequence of events is probably classified and will remain so for 50 years. /s

    34. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by budgenator · · Score: 0

      Hillary Clinton is about the only person who can get away with get away with mishandling TOP SECRET information without going to Leavenworth for 20 to life; so it's not that surprising. Would you want to live like Manning, Assange or Snowden?

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    35. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you mean the "boys" who dropped a wrench which created a bit of a mess (Damascus, Arkansas,) and all the associated "sound decisions" leading to a much larger mess?

    36. Re: Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Grow up.

    37. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Knowing the military the document giving clearance to tell of the sequence of events is probably classified and will remain so for 50 years. /s

      Most documents are automatically declassified after 30 years. These alleged events happened 53 years ago. Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, and you are adding an additional unlikely conspiracy to keep it classified, to the already extraordinary claim that the events happened at all. And there is no evidence whatsoever that any of it true, except one guy's story.

    38. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by SpelledBackwards · · Score: 1

      Actually Defcon 1 is peace, and Defcon 5 is war. War Games got that wrong along with most other cold war films.

      Nope, DEFCON1 is imminent war, while DEFCON 5 is peacetime readiness: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      From http://www.airspacemag.com/mil...

      What’s “high”? Screenwriters often get the scale wrong, so begin with this fact: the lower the number, the higher the worry. DEFCON 5 is peacetime, while DEFCON 1 is imminent war.

    39. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by rastos1 · · Score: 1

      Nuclear weapons have done more for peace than any other invention in the history of the human race. No-one can risk fighting a major war any more.

      Nobody rational can risk fighting a major war anymore.

      But watching the news lately, there is plenty of people out there that do not fall in that category and are happy to destroy the world just because the ${DIETY} told them.

    40. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by jjbenz · · Score: 1

      I used to drive a Pontiac 6000 SUX, it was a good car aside from the power steering rack.

    41. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      So instead they fought 'proxy' wars, leaving lasting damage on all of the countries that were involved (Vietnam, Korea, Afghanistan, and so on). Much easier to keep fighting, because it's not your civilians / voters who are dying most of the time.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    42. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by wallsg · · Score: 2

      I'd piss on a spark plug if I thought it would help.

    43. Re: Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by kenh · · Score: 1

      It was written in the mid-seventies, using a proportional font that wouldn't be invented until two decades later - but no worries, Dan Rather swears it's authentic. In fact, he'll stake his reputation (as host of an unknown interview show on an obscure cable channel) on it!

      --
      Ken
    44. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

      I purposefully put the /s on the end to indicate that I wasn't being serious in case the humour deprived were unable to tell and even that didn't help you.

    45. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      You're just wrong.

      Today the only people that make money on war are the arms dealers.

      In the old days every winner made money on war.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    46. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It would be a good thing if we were around to hear the lone testimony. The voice of the one would certainly herald good news.

    47. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are speaking from the point of view of the West, and your logic would work, with their mindset. Now re-think your post from the other guy's point of view.

    48. Re:Amazing we didn't kill ourselves by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Whatever you do, don't mention the ratio of blacks to whites in that city. There's ABSOLUTELY NO CORRELATION between Detroit turning into Detoilet in proportion to the increasing number of blacks that make up the population. Can't say that, because DA TROOF BE RACISS.

  2. And this is why war can never be automated by halivar · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Nothing can replace the wisdom or common sense of a discerning and skeptical human being.

    1. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by EmagGeek · · Score: 2

      That's so untrue, it's a real WOPR.

    2. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Nor can the meanness, paranoia, stupidity, psychosis, or evilness be replaced either.

    3. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Nuclear war is just idiotic and it gives a false sense of security. Mutual Assured Destruction IS MAD!

      As far as Japan and the end of WWII is concerned, we should have forgone the nukes, invaded and if it caused hundreds of thousands of deaths on either side, then so be it.

      We have sanitized war too much and as a result, we have these continuous conflicts. We don't see the body bags come back or the kids seeing their Mom's and Dad's come home without arms and legs.

      Let's make war short and extremely brutal, bring back the draft and make Congressman's kids obligated to serve in the infantry on the front lines - regardless of their background. Got an MD? Well son, here's a gun and you're a grunt now - tough shit. I think that will cool the heals of the general public's desire to go to war.

      And when we do go to war and the Taliban hides in a Mosque, we shoot a flame thrower through the fucking windows - none of this bullshit of leaving them alone. I like the way the Russians are fighting IS - they don't pussy foot around like the US does. And they - the Russians - are going to be the ones who put IS/ISIS out.

      General Sherman was right in his attitudes towards war.

    4. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      On the other hand, if those had been real orders, the hesitation of those officers very well could have resulted in a successful Soviet first strike. It's not beyond the pale to interpret this as evidence that coordination of our nuclear arsenal, had it actually been necessary, would have failed miserably.

    5. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Marginal+Coward · · Score: 2

      Nothing can replace the wisdom or common sense of a discerning and skeptical human being.

      I follow your point, but all my instincts tell me to doubt it.

    6. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by MightyMartian · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The two nuclear attacks on Japan basically ended any chance of World War III, and guaranteed that the Great Powers would never again become directly embroiled in a major war against each other. Yes, it's meant lots of proxy wars, but those are far preferable than a nuclear age version of the great wars of the past.

      Nuclear weapons are the most profoundly successful peacemaker in history.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    7. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The two nuclear [] guaranteed that the Great Powers would never again become directly embroiled in a major war against each other.

      Guaranteed? I don't think so. The future is a long, long time my friend.

    8. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nuclear weapons are the most profoundly successful peacemaker in history.

      Are they? That's what we're told in school, but is there any evidence where nuclear weapons actually prevented a war between the great powers? And considering the results of these proxy wars and the wars as a result of these proxy wars,we are paying the price for them - and will continue to pay the price for generations. An example is Afghanistan. Bin Laden wouldn't have had a home or any reason for his actions if it weren't for our involvement in some of those proxy wars.

      I think one big ass war between the USSR and the US right after WWII would have been preferable. It would have settled decades of BS wars and wars that will come in the Middle East and SE Asia - oh yeah, we're gonna be dealing with that again!

    9. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by khallow · · Score: 1

      The two nuclear attacks on Japan basically ended any chance of World War III

      At least through 1961.

    10. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Nuclear weapons are the most profoundly successful peacemaker in history" ...said the fat, content American from the comfort of his armchair. Instead of your fat, content opinion, I'd like to hear the opinions of the actual victims of those horrendous nuclear attacks. Of course we can't do that, but I'd like to invite you to guess what their opinions would be, or the opinions of their family and friends who managed to survive the atrocity. Go ahead, take a WILD guess.

    11. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Tablizer · · Score: 2

      ...the most profoundly successful peacemaker in history.

      Sorry, there's no free lunch. MAD prevents wars only if something doesn't go horribly wrong. It generally exchanges bunches of smaller wars for an all-or-nothing situation: peace OR "instant mass rapture".

      It just shuffles the risk profile, and is arguably more dangerous because it can end humanity. Lots of smaller wars couldn't end humanity.

      We either got lucky per these near-misses, or multi-verses "saved" us (see my other message).

    12. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The two nuclear attacks on Japan basically ended any chance of World War III

      At least through 2015.

      FTFY

    13. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by bobbied · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The two nuclear [] guaranteed that the Great Powers would never again become directly embroiled in a major war against each other.

      Guaranteed? I don't think so. The future is a long, long time my friend.

      Perhaps, but you do understand that so far it's been working for nearly 4 generations?

      The future may be a long time, but anything that has worked for 70 years and has successfully reduced the number of the weapons in question is not a bad start.

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    14. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Nuclear weapons are the most profoundly successful peacemaker in history.

      I don't think that's necessarily true. Say that nuclear weapons had never been invented, or a ban had been placed on them and no-one had broken it. We would still have extremely powerful conventional weapons, probably more advanced than our current ones since the vast investment in nuclear would have been diverted. The potential losses would still be huge, and it's likely that no superpower would want to get into an all-out conventional war with another.

      So perhaps it's more accurate to say that MAD seems to have been a successful peacemaker, be it via nuclear or conventional or space weapons or whatever.

      Even that I would dispute. Modern diplomacy and the European Union have done more to keep the peace. Nuclear weapons just created paranoia and undermined efforts to work together. Fear is what pushed the US to a more extreme position, centred around Christianity, and to reject socialism so completely, which made it harder to use diplomacy.

      --
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      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    15. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      You have to remember that in World War II, 60 million people died as a result.

      All the proxy wars don't even add up to a tenth of that. If MAD prevented another global-scale conflict from happening, then the GP is correct in his / her assessment.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    16. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by khallow · · Score: 1

      There's a reason I didn't choose that date - the USSR military buildup of the late 60s and 70s, and the subsequent economic collapse of the 80s.

    17. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Perhaps, but you do understand that so far it's been working for nearly 4 generations?

      70 years is (almost) 3 generations. 4 would be more like 100 years. Just pointing out an error in your calculations.

    18. Re: And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lolnub. 50 million died in ww2, the 'continuous conflicts' since then are relative eutopia. If this is MAD I don't want to go back to SANE.

    19. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Kjella · · Score: 0

      You do realize that they called WWI "the war to end all wars" as the extremely suicidal charges towards trenches with machine guns were expected to deter war forever? And then ~20 years later Hitler charged around it with tanks. Yes, nukes are powerful if you can deliver them. If they're shot down by a rocket shield, not so much. And that's assuming the next great war will be as simple as nation states, when by far the most imminent threat to world peace is militant religious fundamentalists who are only occupants among a vast civilian population it would be totally unacceptable to nuke. Warfare is never static, it will always adapt to change the terms it is being fought on.

      Also you forget the "I got nukes and I'm bat shit crazy" defense which makes it a lot harder to put pressure on various two-bit dictators like North Korea. The problem is that they might get so high on their own power, they take it one step too far. Somebody usually does, Hitler was annexing countries left and right thinking he could push everyone around until he pushed one step too far. No matter the cards, somebody will overplay them and then you either have a nuclear state walking all over you or you got nuclear war. The Cuban missile crisis was one such moment, who blinks first and if both thought they could make the other back down well...

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    20. Re: And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Taking into account just Russia and U.S., there have been like 25 leaders in that time. 75 years is a blip in the grand scheme of things, and it only takes one country electing a genuinely crazy person. How are the polls looking today?

    21. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by ranton · · Score: 1

      Nothing can replace the wisdom or common sense of a discerning and skeptical human being.

      Skeptical and discerning humans did not solve this problem. They were simply following orders, and their orders were not to fire missiles unless they were at DEFCON 1. Based on this story, they most certainly would have launched if they were at DEFCON 1.

      The only real tragedy that almost happened was one lieutenant who was going to fire his missiles even though they were not at DEFCON 1. If this tragedy had happened, it would have been because the process was not automated enough.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    22. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      None of which is even remotely comparable to "world war III"

    23. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the world keeps going the way it is going. We'll have WW III here in no time. There is so much unrest in the world.

    24. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by MightyMartian · · Score: 0

      Hitler was given every reason to think that he could annex countries. The League of Nations had basically stood by while the Italians invaded Eritrea and the Japanese invaded China, it had sat on its hands while Spain descended into civil war. If you were an ambitious dictator in the mid-1930s what would have been your takeaway from the Allies confusion, disunity and mindless disarmament that had the ridiculous effect of leaving a country like France largely impotent?

      Hitler had every reason to believe that the US and the British Empire would just fold, and would force France to capitulate. That he misjudged his opponents is a given, but judging by the quality of leadership in all three Allies, it was an understandable mistake.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    25. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      My family has had 5 generations in that time. My great grand parents were adults around that time, my grand father flew in the Korean war, my mother, me, and my kids who are 15 and 13. I was 20 when my oldest was born, and I get the impression my mother was around that age as well, her parents were a bit older, and I am unsure of their parent's ages. You are forgetting that the first generation can start already an adult, and the last generation isn't necessarily to adulthood yet.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    26. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      Would you rather see 10 times the losses to force Japan to stop fighting? The US would have shelled all the cities of Japan until the emperor surrendered, which he had every likelihood of never doing. You are assuming that the losses in Nagasaki and Hiroshima are anything like what an invasion would have caused in losses for either side.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    27. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      70 years is (almost) 3 generations.

      I suspect there won't be a fourth.

    28. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      MAD prevents wars only if something doesn't go horribly wrong..

      MAD only works on the assumption that the players are rational. It is not an axiomatic truth. Things can [ans ultimately will] go very wrong.

    29. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by khallow · · Score: 1

      None of which is even remotely comparable to "world war III"

      Only because we got a bit lucky.

    30. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by chipschap · · Score: 1

      I love the way people second-guess Truman's decision to use atomic weapons, and assume they are right.

      Truman had to make one of the toughest decisions any human has ever been called upon to make. Would anyone liked to have been in his shoes?

      He knew he would be judged by history, but he made the best decision he could given what he knew.

    31. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nuclear weapons are the most profoundly successful peacemaker in history.

      In Europe, we talk much more of Hitler, as an argument against a new world war, than nuclear weapons. "We have to remember how terrible this war was, to never make the same mistakes again".

      There is general humanism, social programs, rejection of extremes, education, rights and laws to protect them, pacifism, the European Union, etc.

      In the US, it's like "hell yeah, we nuked 'em good, 'don't nobody mess with us now, fuck these jap chinks, fuck these red commies, fuck herr hitler and his nazi boyfriends, we're the kings of the world, and we'll send back our boys to war and beyond whenever needs be for us! we're supermen!".

      If we dig deep enough, the more moderate Americans may bring out McDonald's and Hollywood as their best peace ambassadors.

      Obviously, things are far for idyllic in Europe, but the mentality differences are globally quite visible...

      That being said. Overall, I think it's clear nuclear weapons are far from being even the main contributor to the very relative 'peace' most 'developed' countries somewhat 'enjoyed' since WWII on their main territories. Time passed, and society, technique, and technologies, progressed a lot since then. Communication in particular, but the daily life for most people in 'developed' countries has changed quite profoundly. We are more 'modern', and 'modernism' is simply opposed to war for most of the good reasons. Nuclear weapons is just one bullet point in the long list. Sure nuclear mushrooms are big in the sky, but it's been banalized quite a bit, and it's quite far away for most people, particularly outside Japan, the US, and the neighboring territories, where the summarized story told to children sure is a bit different than in the rest of the world.

    32. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by bev_tech_rob · · Score: 1, Insightful

      As far as Japan and the end of WWII is concerned, we should have forgone the nukes, invaded and if it caused hundreds of thousands of deaths on either side, then so be it.

      Your tune would change if your ass was about to be drafted into the armed forces to take part in said invasion, like so many men were in that war.

      --
      You're messin' with my Zen Thing, man.....
    33. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by jdavidb · · Score: 1

      The two nuclear attacks on Japan basically ended any chance of World War III, and guaranteed that the Great Powers would never again become directly embroiled in a major war against each other. Yes, it's meant lots of proxy wars, but those are far preferable than a nuclear age version of the great wars of the past.

      Nuclear weapons are the most profoundly successful peacemaker in history.

      At the cost of untold numbers of human lives.

    34. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We don't see the body bags come back or the kids seeing their Mom's and Dad's come home without arms and legs.

      A better claim you have been if you had typed "I didn't see the body bags ...".
      The rest of us did see the bags and the amputees. You live in California, don't you? Or is it New England area?

    35. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Fwipp · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Truman already had knowledge of intercepted messages indicating that the Japanese were prepared to surrender. Dropping the bombs on two civilian populations was wholly unnecessary.

      If he was concerned about being judged by history; it was only to make sure he made a name for himself.

    36. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Nuclear weapons are the most profoundly successful peacemaker in history" ...said the fat, content American from the comfort of his armchair. Instead of your fat, content opinion, I'd like to hear the opinions of the actual victims of those horrendous nuclear attacks. Of course we can't do that, but I'd like to invite you to guess what their opinions would be, or the opinions of their family and friends who managed to survive the atrocity. Go ahead, take a WILD guess.

      Better yet, ask the thousands of Chinese that were being killed every day by the Japanese up to the day of surrender.
      This is the choice that had to be made and the question you must answer:
      How many Chinese should have we let die so that we could avoid using the atomic bomb on Japan?

    37. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, but if the possibility of unintended nuclear launches is in the mix, then that's kind of like trying to settle an argument with Russian roulette and thinking you're pretty safe because the first few chambers were empty.

      A careful analysis of the near-launch incidents is vitally important because as long as the possibility is there, so is the risk it will go horribly wrong.

    38. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Considering 70 years later we are still arguing about it rather than roundly condemning it... well, I'd say that reflects pretty well on Truman. It shows how it was a difficult decision, even given the cooling of heads that comes with the passage of time.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    39. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      "Rational" is kind of an open-ended word. It's quite possible for "rational" people to make unfortunate mistakes. I've made plenty of errors in judgement when I thought I was acting rational. Sometimes one just fails to conceive/notice a key factor, makes a typo, miscommunicates with another person, etc.

    40. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Whorhay · · Score: 1

      From what I recall the Emperor was actually more pro-peace than much of his military leadership was. The Emperor actually put down a coup when he decided to surrender after the bombings? Before that though he did seem to want to resist a land invasion before surrendering as a means of saving face somehow. He definitely was looking to surrender, he just wanted to save as much face as possible before doing so. Nothing quite like trading thousands of lives for personal pride.

      Which reminds me of one of my favorite Diderot quotes, something about mankind finally being free when the last king is throttled with the entrails of the last priest.

    41. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you would have preferred the nukes not have been used thus prolonging the war and still having thousands of people die on both sides of the conflict through conventional weapons instead?

    42. Re: And this is why war can never be automated by jmac_the_man · · Score: 1

      In Europe, we talk much more of Hitler, as an argument against a new world war, than nuclear weapons. "We have to remember how terrible this war was, to never make the same mistakes again".

      There is general humanism, social programs, rejection of extremes, education, rights and laws to protect them, pacifism, the European Union, etc.

      In the US, it's like "hell yeah, we nuked 'em good, 'don't nobody mess with us now, fuck these jap chinks, fuck these red commies, fuck herr hitler and his nazi boyfriends, we're the kings of the world, and we'll send back our boys to war and beyond whenever needs be for us! we're supermen!".

      You're starting your argument for Europe being less warlike than the US at the conclusion of WWII. Fine. Since the end of World War II, the US has nuked exactly the same number of "jap chinks," red commies, and "Hitler's Nazi boyfriends" as the combined forces of the EU Member Nations, so I'm not sure what your problem is.

      I'd check your facts on relative pluralism and "rejection of extremism" on either side of the Atlantic as well.

    43. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not really that shocked that someone from a family stupid enough to knock someone up as soon as possible every generation is stupidly pedantic.

      Your response, as well as mine, has nothing to do with the discussion.

    44. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by nukenerd · · Score: 1

      As far as Japan and the end of WWII is concerned, we should have forgone the nukes, invaded and if it caused hundreds of thousands of deaths on either side, then so be it.

      There was no need either to nuke Japan or invade it. Japan was no longer capable of fighting, and had/has practically no indigenous resources with which to re-arm and resume the war. Strange this third alternative is rarely mentioned

    45. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      32 would not make a difference one way or another. First strike is only a numbers game and more akin to 'first post'. The other 1000 or so would make up for the missing 32. Which would be included in the second strike...

      32 is not enough to make a difference in a nuclear war. But they are enough to start one.

    46. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by onepoint · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Hi, can you cite the source of this. I have heard of this before, but did not know if it was real or not.

      --
      if you see me, smile and say hello.
    47. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      no the biggiest danger to the world is deluded americans who refuse to believ that the cia created most of these problems for reasons that don't benefitmost americans.

    48. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      As soon as possible? In their 20's? Hardly...

      Pedantic is the one above me arguing that 70 years isn't 4 generations but 3.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    49. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by towermac · · Score: 1

      What school did you go to? No public school I'm familiar with would ever say such a thing. True or not.

    50. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by onepoint · · Score: 1

      Untold is correct. problem is that most people think, and or want, peaceful outcomes. it's just not going to happen. at the core it seems we are a violent species

      --
      if you see me, smile and say hello.
    51. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Religious types are skeptical there is no God. (Straight-up superstition.)

      Ghost hunters are skeptical there are no Ghosts. (No ghosts...)

      The heaven's gate types were skeptical that there were no UFO's coming to get them. (No UFOs...)

      The NIMBY folks are skeptical that nukes are safe (they are.) ...and so it goes.

      I have no doubt there are perfectly reasonable roles for machines driven by algorithms in war. AI, not so much, but so far, that's not even an option, so there's that.

    52. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by paiute · · Score: 2

      As far as Japan and the end of WWII is concerned, we should have forgone the nukes, invaded and if it caused hundreds of thousands of deaths on either side, then so be it.

      Imagine two hundred thousand grieving parents finding out that the government had the bomb but didn't use it.

      --
      If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
    53. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A simple google search will find lots of information. It all boils to the Allies insisting on an "unconditional surrender" while the Japanese were trying to negotiate and end to the war with continuation of the imperial rule and without an occupation by foreign military. Especially after Germany fell, the Japanese were very aware that they would be promptly invaded by the Soviet Union if the war went on so they were actively negotiating for peace. The US could have ordered a cease-fire any time in the months leading up to the Hiroshima bombings and signed any one of the Japanese proposals, but it was not politically acceptable to leave the Japanese government in power. After the bombings, leaving the Emperor as a "spiritual" leader was a last-minute concession to finish up the negotiations (otherwise the Soviets would have annexed Japan and the US didn't want that).

    54. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

      And then ~20 years later Hitler charged around it with tanks.

      You do know, don't you, that tanks were first developed by the British during WWI? To be specific, they were first used at The Battle of Flers-Courcellette in 1916.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    55. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Richard Rhode's book on the history of the atomic bomb goes into a bit of detail about this.

      The US had declared publicly that the only terms that they would accept was unconditional surrender. Some of the Japanese were looking at surrender (others, their military in particular were not), but they were trying to impose conditions on it, which the US couldn't accept as it would have been seen as weak compared to their statements.

      But the primary reason for using is wasn't just that they wanted Japan to surrender. It's that they wanted Japan to surrender NOW, as Russia was already amassing troops preparing to invade Japan from the north, and the US and allies desperately wanted to avoid the situation that was already occurring in Germany, and they wanted to end the war before Russia set foot on the Japanese mainland.

    56. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Solandri · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Truman already had knowledge of intercepted messages indicating that the Japanese were prepared to surrender.

      Which is why Japan immediately surrendered after the first atomic bomb was dropped on Hiroshima. Oh, wait. No, they didn't.

      You're twisting history to try to condemn something you dislike (the atomic bombings). The Allied forces had drafted the Potsdam Declaration demanding the unconditional surrender of Japan and outlining how the Allies would treat Japan in exchange. Yes Japan was willing to surrender, but only if key provisions of the Potsdam Declaration were changed in their favor. In other words, they wanted to keep fighting to try to gain better terms for surrender.

      By best accounts, the first bombing was met with disbelief among those in power in Imperial Japan. That the reports of the city being gone were inaccurate, or this was some sort of trick - a regular bombing raid and not just a single plane. They wanted to continue to fight, or negotiate for better terms of surrender. It took the second bombing (and the Soviets breaking their non-aggression pact and declaring war on Japan) to convince the emperor to overrule the hawks and surrender unconditionally. In fact there was even a rebellion by some of those hawks to try to take over the government after the surrender was announced.

      There's a tendency for people to compare decisions like these against a vacuum. i.e. To compare the atomic bombings to if the bombs hadn't been dropped but the rest of history proceeded the exact same way. You can't compare to a vacuum like that. For those of us who grew up in countries which were occupied by Japan at the time, we were living in a hell of subjugation, inhumane treatment, and executions. Japanese soldiers forced my grandmother to watch as they raped and killed her sister and niece, all to coerce my grandfather (a doctor) into treating their commanding officer. Any act which might shorten that hell was justifiable. For people in the occupied territories, the atomic bombings meant liberation. Roughly 15% of the people killed in the Hiroshima bombing were Koreans brought over to Japan for slave labor. Aside from the lack of recognition (they're classified as Japanese deaths because Korea didn't exist as a country at the time) Korea has never complained about those deaths. Because as a price of liberation, those deaths were worth it.

      10-15 million civilians were killed during the Japanese occupation. That works out to an average of about 150,000 killed by the Japanese each month. If the atomic bombings shortened the war by just 2 months, it was worth it purely on those numbers alone (never mind the number who would've been killed in an invasion of the Japanese mainland). That's the context you have to compare the bombings against. Japan likes to play the "innocent" victim in the atomic bombings, but they weren't innocent. They were guilty as hell of a mass extermination on the order of the Holocaust in Europe. Hastening the end of that extermination was completely justified.

    57. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Trueman dropped those bombs to help set the state for a post-war splitting of the good in the US favor.

      The whole "we have a new device of unusual power" to Stalin shows the point (Stalin already knew about it thanks to his spies).

      Even the targets were carefully selected.. not to force japan to surrender, but to allow the US to see the power of the bomb by choosing "fresh" targets (cities which had previously not been bombmed with conventional weapons)..

    58. Re: And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Very true, but so far, a computer doesn't make decisions based on emotion nor political motives.

    59. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Read about him, especially prior to being President. It will make a lot more sense.
      One thing to take note of was the increasing alarm about the Russians and fear of what would happen if they owned Korea and Japan. In hindsight it appears that was when US leadership was going from considering Stalin as "Uncle Joe" to finally starting to listen to what their intelligence, what the Brits and what anybody in the USA who could speak Russian was saying about him. Showing off the nukes to the USSR was a major part of the reason. Ego was another, especially with the second bomb.

    60. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by dbIII · · Score: 1

      We don't have to imagine, we only have to remember Korea, Vietnam, Iraq, Afganistan and the various actions in Central America - all places where those grieving parents knew that the government had the bomb but didn't use it.
      So I really don't get why you wrote the above comment without thinking of something so obvious.

    61. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tell me, what can I say to piss you off and thereby undermine that logic of yours?

      Republican? Democrat? Libertarian? Hipster? Fanatic? Christian? Muslim? Terrorist? Holocaust? Racist? Nazi? Atheist?

      Yet all those words and more can be applied to an AI, and the effect will be absolute ZERO.

      A synthetic intelligence doesn't care about you, or me, or what we think, or say, or feel. It operates according to discrete rules that don't suffer emotion, nor bias, nor ambiguity. Human "wisdom" will never be free of this biological bias, nor can our lifespan ever hope to match that of a being that doesn't decay and rot over time.

      You sound like one of those humanist believers, proudly proclaiming we're the best ever. Yet even on our own planet, that's up for debate. We don't even have enough information to gauge what may be on all the countless others.

      Only a 10 year old is so certain of the truth with so meager evidence.

    62. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Once again, this revisionist history bullshit.

      Cite your sources, please. I say you're making shit up.

    63. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, I have the citation right here on my dick. Would you like it anally or orally?

    64. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by KGIII · · Score: 1

      For those who like to argue the point, I like to ask them what they think the Japanese would have done had they acquired the bomb... They often usually fall silent or change the subject. Funny, that...

      I would not say that I'm biased against Japanese people, there are few alive today who were perpetrators then, but I do, in some regards, hold a grudge. I like them, well enough, as a people and as individuals but I sure as hell hope they continue to be sane. Their atrocities are simply beyond the pale. I'd like to think that I, personally, could not have done such things regardless of how much my culture tried to persuade me to believe that such was the right thing to do. I also realize that I've the benefit of hindsight.

      I also don't like the minimization of the barbaric behavior and revisionist history. I'm okay with Truman dropping the bomb - even if it was just to show the Russians a message and, probably, because we didn't want Russia taking over more land in the area. See Korea and Red China as possible outcomes. The Russians had already started (and were well on the way) with their ascent on East Asia after the pressure on their West had subsided a bit. Most people don't seem to know about the involvement of Russia in the East. I don't think I even heard about it in high school and I didn't take many history classes in college. Yay! Documentaries!

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
    65. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Fwipp · · Score: 1

      Yes Japan was willing to surrender, but only if key provisions of the Potsdam Declaration were changed in their favor. In other words, they wanted to keep fighting to try to gain better terms for surrender.

      Framed differently - the Japanese were willing to surrender, but the US wanted to keep fighting to their preferred terms for their surrender. (Specifically, the Japanese wanted protections for their Emperor - at the least, an assurance that we weren't going to execute him).

      Here's a 1946 report that indicates that Japan was already ready to (and trying to) surrender months before the atomic bombs were dropped: http://www.anesi.com/ussbs01.h...

      Here's a (admittedly very biased - skip the filler & just look at the quotes; though I suspect you've heard many of them before) source that quotes many people involved on their opinions on using the bomb: http://www.ihr.org/jhr/v16/v16...

      To be clear; I condemn any violence committed against civilians. I do not believe, however, that the (well-documented) atrocities committed by the Japanese soldiers excuse or justify the US's fire-bombing and nuking of Japanese civilians. While Japan was not innocent by any stretch of the imagination; the Japanese people largely were.

    66. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by kellymcdonald78 · · Score: 1

      The "untold" deaths since WWII are almost a rounding error compared to the 6 years 1939-1945 http://www.fallen.io/ww2/

    67. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The same number you let stave to death under Mao?

      Other then using China for an air base (the flying tigers) the US was never that interested in trying to help the Chinese.

    68. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      A simple google search will find lots of information. It all boils to the Allies insisting on an "unconditional surrender" while the Japanese were trying to negotiate and end to the war with continuation of the imperial rule and without an occupation by foreign military. Especially after Germany fell, the Japanese were very aware that they would be promptly invaded by the Soviet Union if the war went on so they were actively negotiating for peace. The US could have ordered a cease-fire any time in the months leading up to the Hiroshima bombings and signed any one of the Japanese proposals, but it was not politically acceptable to leave the Japanese government in power. After the bombings, leaving the Emperor as a "spiritual" leader was a last-minute concession to finish up the negotiations (otherwise the Soviets would have annexed Japan and the US didn't want that).

      I did a simple google search, and I discovered that you are full of shit.
      There was no "Truman already had knowledge of intercepted messages indicating that the Japanese were prepared to surrender."
      What Truman had was knowledge of was that the Japan had instructed the ambassador to Russia to try to get Russia to intercede on their behalf for a negotiated end to hostilities, and Truman knew that the Russians refused to discuss it with the ambassador.

      Here's the actual ultra document.
      http://nsarchive.gwu.edu/NSAEB...
      The ambassador (Sato) was the one that said Japan should surrender, and Tojo basically told Sato to shut up and not even mention that he had said that. Sato wasn't stating the government's position - he was just an ambassador and a few thousand miles away.

      The US could have ordered a cease-fire any time in the months leading up to the Hiroshima bombings and signed any one of the Japanese proposals, but it was not politically acceptable to leave the Japanese government in power.

      Bullshit. There were no proposals from the Japanese government to sign.
      As for "not politically acceptable to leave the Japanese government in power", it wasn't a political issue. It was a"not being stupid" issue.

      As for the idea of negotiating a surrender with Japan, why on earth does anyone think that Japan should get a better deal than Germany?

      Also, the "must save the Emperor" was important, but several members of the war council held the position that the Emperor was superfluous and that they would sacrifice the Emperor if that would stave off surrender. After all, another Emperor could be installed later on.

    69. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes Japan was willing to surrender, but only if key provisions of the Potsdam Declaration were changed in their favor. In other words, they wanted to keep fighting to try to gain better terms for surrender.

      Framed differently - the Japanese were willing to surrender, but the US wanted to keep fighting to their preferred terms for their surrender. (Specifically, the Japanese wanted protections for their Emperor - at the least, an assurance that we weren't going to execute him).

      Here's a 1946 report that indicates that Japan was already ready to (and trying to) surrender months before the atomic bombs were dropped: http://www.anesi.com/ussbs01.h...

      Here's a (admittedly very biased - skip the filler & just look at the quotes; though I suspect you've heard many of them before) source that quotes many people involved on their opinions on using the bomb: http://www.ihr.org/jhr/v16/v16...

      To be clear; I condemn any violence committed against civilians. I do not believe, however, that the (well-documented) atrocities committed by the Japanese soldiers excuse or justify the US's fire-bombing and nuking of Japanese civilians. While Japan was not innocent by any stretch of the imagination; the Japanese people largely were.

      OK, I took the trouble to read the anesi.com link, and it does not state what you think it does.
      The Japanese had begun internal discussions on ending the war, but that does not constitute "trying to surrender".
      What the Japanese was doing was trying to get Russia act as an intermediary in negotiating a "cessation of hostilities".
      The "protect the Emperor" thing was a red herring from the Japanese War council; they didn't give a shit about him.
      They wanted to keep as much as possible their existing military government, and they wanted to try to keep as much conquered territory.
      I'm sorry, but no.
      Japan's militaristic government could not be allowed to continue, and Japan military leadership must be tried for war crimes.

    70. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      "I'd like to hear the opinions of the actual victims of those horrendous nuclear attacks."

      What? No love for the victims of the fire-bombings?

      War is, literally, hell.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    71. Re: And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Algeria. The Suez crisis. Vietnam. All of it on the euros' hands. AFTER WW2. But then as long as lily-white sophisticated effete racist eurosluts don't get killed everything's fine, isn't it?

    72. Re: And this is why war can never be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're right. My smartphone is better than you. Are you happy now?

    73. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by halivar · · Score: 1

      You read very much from very little.

    74. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      A surrender on the condition that the Emperor was not to be touched wouldn't have been sufficient for some of the people whose assent was needed, particularly War Minister Anami.

      I don't regard the US Strategic Bombing Survey as all that accurate in its depictions of Japan. It seems to me biased to favor the US Air Forces. In any event, there is more modern scholarship that includes a greater variety of sources. Read Richard Frank, "Downfall". The second link is to a Holocaust denial site, which I wouldn't trust at all.

      There were differing opinions at the time, although mostly in hindsight, since very few people outside the Manhattan Project knew about the bomb before its use.

      The Hiroshima bombing was against a major headquarters of the Japanese Army, and trashed their ability to coordinate the defense of one of the home islands. Nagasaki was a major port. By the standards of the time, they were legitimate targets, and the Japanese should not have had civilians in the areas.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    75. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I've seen speculation (all we're ever going to have about Japanese decision making) that the nukes allowed the Japanese to surrender while saving face. The Emperor, in his announcement to the Japanese public, referred to a "new and most cruel bomb" and the rest of the war as events "not necessarily to Japan's advantage".

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    76. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The Japanese had been launching incendiaries against the US by balloon. One of them actually killed some people out for a picnic. I see no moral difference between Japan and the US bombings here, only differences in effectiveness.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    77. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      What I never see is consideration for the hundreds of millions of civilians under Japanese occupation. They were dying from harsh and incompetent Japanese rule at the rate of very approximately one nuke a month. If two nukes hastened Japanese surrender by three months, it was probably a net savings of civilian life.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    78. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Fwipp · · Score: 1

      The second link is to a Holocaust denial site, which I wouldn't trust at all.

      Fuck, I'm very sorry about that. I didn't realize.

    79. Re: And this is why war can never be automated by clovis · · Score: 1

      "The same number you let starve under Mao"?

      Uh, whut? We all know about the great famine under Mao, but WTF do you think the USA was supposed to do about it?

    80. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by jdavidb · · Score: 1

      I have no gripe with people using violence to defend themselves. Just not against innocent people.

    81. Re:And this is why war can never be automated by Sardaukar86 · · Score: 1

      Truman already had knowledge of intercepted messages indicating that the Japanese were prepared to surrender. Dropping the bombs on two civilian populations was wholly unnecessary.

      It seems totally unnecessary only when speaking of the Japanese.

      The nuclear attacks were less about Japan and more for Stalin's 'benefit'.

      --
      ..Mullah or Pope, Preacher or Poet, who was it wrote: "Give any one species too much rope and they'll fuck it up"?
  3. according to an Air Force airman by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Is that the only thing evidence we have to go on here? He could be senile, crazy, or just making shit up.

    1. Re:according to an Air Force airman by bobbied · · Score: 2

      I'm guessing it's a bit of both... Something dangerous happened and many of the safeties where disabled, but the true story isn't as bad as this sounds.

      As close as we where to a nuclear exchange during the Cuban Missile crisis (and we where close) and as bad as the technical faults may have been or not, it didn't happen. I'd like to point out that for each of these "We almost launched" stories we have on this side, there are at least as many on the other side, even during this crisis, yet nobody has died during a mistaken nuclear explosion since WW2.

      The guys/gals in the silos have procedures they follow and that is EXACTLY what they do, usually without exception. Even today, where being in the missile service is seen as a dead end and morale is lower than the bottom of the silos, if the launch order really shows up, you can bet the majority would do their jobs and launch. There is no way that during the Cuban missile crisis, when the safeties where off and launch orders where on a hair trigger that a *mistaken* launch order would have been ignored/disobeyed by the whole missile squadron following their procedures.

      So, one can safely conclude that the procedures where followed and they had the desired result of preventing unauthorized unintended launches, even in the face of high tension and danger between two superpowers.

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    2. Re:according to an Air Force airman by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      where != were.

      They don't even sound the same, unless you're from Liverpool.

    3. Re:according to an Air Force airman by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      nobody has died during a mistaken nuclear explosion since WW2.

      Was there a mistaken nuclear explosion that killed people in WWII?

      I recall a couple of intentional ones towards the end of WWII, that's all.

    4. Re:according to an Air Force airman by aitikin · · Score: 1

      You didn't read TFA, did you? DEFCON 2 was in place. That's the only reason they didn't launch. The captain on duty called the major who broadcast the coded order to strike telling him that he needed to either issue a recall of the orders or the order to go to DEFCON 1. So your argument is things likely unfolded the way the man said they did, but he's senile and crazy?

      Also, your comment, "a bit of both" would imply there were only 2 options...the OP said "senile, crazy, or just making shit up." leaving us with 3 options. Just a little confusion from that, but I'm guessing you meant all of the above.

      --
      "Don't meddle in the affairs of a patent dragon, for thou art tasty and good with ketchup." ~ohcrapitssteve
    5. Re:according to an Air Force airman by bobbied · · Score: 1

      2 options... A bit of fact mixed with fiction. Truth and made up stuff... Or as Mark Twain puts it, "A good Stretcher" (as in the truth gets stretched).

      Sorry if my meaning wasn't clear enough. Really this whole story is CLICK BAIT and not much more. Well it could be the continued propaganda war... But one has to be a bit more cynical to go with that option..

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    6. Re:according to an Air Force airman by bobbied · · Score: 1

      Ah yes, my point... There hasn't been an accidental nuclear explosion of a nuclear device that has killed ANYBODY. No accidental ICBM launches, no armed bombs dropped or anything since the end of WW2.

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
  4. most likely??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    "...averted the nuclear war that most likely would have ensued."

    I should think firing 32 nuclear missiles is the very definition of nuclear war.

    1. Re:most likely??? by halivar · · Score: 1

      Only if some of yours in the first volley miss.

    2. Re:most likely??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      The first 32 aren't so bad. It's the next 1,000 that *really* ruin your day.

    3. Re:most likely??? by locopuyo · · Score: 1

      I don't it considered a nuclear war if only one side uses nukes.

    4. Re:most likely??? by sjames · · Score: 1

      Had those missiles launched, I doubt very much the Soviet Union would have presumed it was a mistake and forgiven the "little oopsie".

    5. Re:most likely??? by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      640 kiloton equiv. oughtta be enough for anyone

  5. Common sense seems common by Habberhead · · Score: 2

    It is encouraging, the number of times we read about launch orders being given and the people manning the silos or submarines disobeying those orders, only to find out later that a mistake had happened to generate the order.

    That is a bright spot in humanity's hope for survival.

  6. A fun book to read is Command and Control by bogie · · Score: 2, Informative

    http://www.amazon.com/Command-...

    A fun history of one particularly disturbing incident where a single dropped tool almost caused a huge explosion and also some other fun anecdotes as well. When you think about how true the phrase "to err is human" is, you have wonder why they ever thought building these WMDs was ever a good idea in the first place. Scary stuff.

    --
    If you wanna get rich, you know that payback is a bitch
  7. Only 32 missles? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Nobody's saying we wouldn't get our hair mussed, but let's not throw around the term nuclear war so lightly.

    1. Re:Only 32 missles? by bruce_the_loon · · Score: 1

      Yeah only 32. In what would have been the first wave of a full scale nuclear war.

      The Soviets would have either picked up the missiles being launched or maybe only the explosions, can't remember the level of launch detection technology in 62, and launched their alpha strike weapons. Once the US realized the Soviets had launched, their retaliatory strike would launch. Remember both sides were extremely twitchy that week and looking for the slightest signal that the other side was firing.

      Maybe the lieutenant's 4 missiles might not have triggered the Soviet's alpha, but anything more than that would certainly have pulled the hair trigger.

      --
      Trying to become famous by taking photos. Visit my homepage please.
    2. Re:Only 32 missles? by Grog6 · · Score: 1

      No more than 10 to 20 Million killed, tops. Uh, depending on the breaks.

      I think I'll have some more pure grain alcohol, in rainwater.

      Anyone seen my golf bag?

      --
      Truth isn't Truth - Guliani
    3. Re:Only 32 missles? by k6mfw · · Score: 1

      No more than 10 to 20 Million killed, tops. Uh, depending on the breaks.

      Amazing how that movie has left so many references/comparisons/insights/zanyness of nuclear war. CPAN3 had a lecture by a history professor about the Cold War to a college class (obviously all too young to remember living through the Cold War). Professor said that was just like general Lemay.

      I met a B52 navigator who flew on such aircraft in the 1960s. He said Kubrick must have got SAC assistance or something because procedures were much like the A model. It shows all the tedious procedures to arm the bombs to be ready for drop.

      --
      mfwright@batnet.com
    4. Re:Only 32 missles? by Grog6 · · Score: 1

      You're on target for General LeMay; the base commander Gen. Ripper was supposed to be General Powers.

      Supposedly, when Reagan got into the White House, he wanted to see the war room, and was crushed to find out there wasn't one.

      There was by the time he left... :)

      --
      Truth isn't Truth - Guliani
    5. Re:Only 32 missles? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Love that movie.

  8. deterrent by bigdavex · · Score: 3, Funny

    That seems like a reasonable deterrent. How else would we stop the Cuban software?

    --
    -Dave
    1. Re:deterrent by Megane · · Score: 1

      We just need to get Colossus and Guardian to work together!

      --
      #naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
  9. decline in leadship quality by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sadly I have absolutely no faith in Dick and Shrub to remain cool if placed in the same situation, and these loops had their fingers on the button.

    1. Re:decline in leadship quality by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      At least they weren't so reckless to bomb Spain like "Hey, hey LBJ, how many kids did you kill today?"...

    2. Re:decline in leadship quality by bobbied · · Score: 1

      So JFK and his brother where better leaders than what we've had lately? Well, maybe...

      However, good leaders tend to rise to the need when necessary in history but are not always evident or seemingly available before they are needed. Lincoln was a two bit lawyer with zero experience that many believed was largely responsible for the Civil War. He took the highest office of a deeply divided country and it literally fell apart under his leadership. As a leader, he failed in his first term and almost didn't win the primary to be elected to his second term. Yet we remember him as a leader, as an important part of the Civil War, one of the BEST presidents on record.

      So, don't be discouraged, leaders are out there and they will step up when the time is right...

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    3. Re:decline in leadship quality by careysub · · Score: 3, Informative

      ... Lincoln was a two bit lawyer with zero experience that many believed was largely responsible for the Civil War. He took the highest office of a deeply divided country and it literally fell apart under his leadership. As a leader, he failed in his first term and almost didn't win the primary to be elected to his second term. Yet we remember him as a leader, as an important part of the Civil War, one of the BEST presidents on record.

      What bizarrely ignorant claptrap!

      Lincoln took office on 4 March 1861. By that date seven of the eleven states of Confederacy had already seceded (with the secession process in full swing the last four); the CSA government had already been declared, and the first hostilities of the war (by the South) had already occurred when South Carolina fired on the Star of the West that was resupplying Ft. Sumter, which was under siege, on 9 January 1861.

      Very odd notion of a "failed first term". When Lincoln was re-elected the western half of the Confederacy had been defeated, and the last remaining Confederate army of any strength (Lee's army) was pinned down, unable to move or act against the Union in any way, was shrinking through desertion, and was only five months from final surrender. Basically the war was already won, it was then only a matter of time to get the defeated to lay down their arms.

      Lincoln had also abolished slavery in fact everywhere in the Confederacy where Union troops had set foot (most of it), and gotten the 13th Amendment abolishing slavery everywhere, completely, passed by the Senate, and well on the way to ratification.

      Oh, and his diplomacy had kept even a single nation anywhere in the world from recognizing the Confederacy.

      And his first term wasn't even all about the war either. He had gotten the Pacific Railroad Bill passed in July 1862, that set in motion the transcontinental railroad project that would unite the two coasts of America by rail in 1869.

      The bit about "almost didn't win the primary to be elected to his second term" is truly bizarre. First, there were no primaries. Second, the challenger to Lincoln - Salmon P. Chase - withdrew in March and Lincoln faced no opposition when he was renominated in June. He won the election 212-21. If by "almost didn't win" you meant "easily crushed all opposition" then you would be far closer to the truth.

      Please cite who these "many" are that think he was "largely responsible for the Civil War".

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    4. Re:decline in leadship quality by bobbied · · Score: 2

      From the perspective of the South, the Election of Lincoln was the trigger that ignited the war. He was a Republican, which had at it's core two fundamental beliefs that where antithetical to life in the South. The position that Slavery was wrong and should be made illegal and that the southern states who where threatening to leave the union over the first issue should not be allowed to leave. This is why many of the southern states left the union AFTER Lincoln was president-elect but before he took office. They knew what was coming, Lincoln was going to be president and we will be loosing our way of life if he and his party have their way.

      From the North's perspective.... Most of what you said is true.. However, The first election was razor close, with the electoral college split FOUR ways, with the South's choice taking 55 electoral votes for Breckenridge. .It's instructive to pay attention to the popular vote, which with over 80% of voters casting ballots, Lincoln took just less than 500,000 more votes out of about 4.5 Million over his nearest competitor. It was close, and Lincoln was NOT well supported but would become president over a deeply divided country.

      In the second election There was a nomination fight, though brief, where the leaders of his own party questioned his position. He largely ran unopposed in the north but Had the south been voting in the second election his margin of victory would have been thinner than his first election. He won with 55% of the popular vote his second time out, but with only Northern votes and with less margin over his single rival.

      But my point it all that is that Lincoln was not universally recognized as a good leader, mostly until AFTER his death. He was reviled and savaged in the press of his day, even in the north by Confederates and Abolitionists alike. Plus, I'm trying to make the point that Lincoln was decidedly NOT recognized a an effective leader, but had many who thought him very wrong with at least one member of his cabinet tendering his resignation over the emaciation proclamation and his own party being generally opposed to this and his handling of the war. You see, for the bulk of the war, the North was loosing, loosing materials, men and battles one after another until Gettysburg. This was true for *most* of his first term and only near the end of his term, during the election, did the North start seeing success in the bloody scary war, Especially in the east.

      His position as a leader was not firmly established prior to his taking office nor before his re-election as president. Nobody really expected that much from the lowly businessman, lawyer turned politician with nearly zero success in just about all he touched from Illinois. Yet, he turned out to be much more, even more than his shocking martyrdom in office might elicit. He arose to the occasion, having taking the presidency in a 4 way battle, without the majority's support, during an exceedingly difficult time and transformed himself into a principled leader, now remembered and admired for what he accomplished. But nobody really expected Lincoln's presidency to amount to much when it started.

      My point is that leaders have historically been much like Lincoln; Leaders who nobody expected to amount to much, rising to the occasion, becoming the very leaders necessary for the times, much to the surprise of all.

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    5. Re:decline in leadship quality by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      as you state the southern states had seceeded, which means ....
      the northern troups in fort sumpter where now stationed on foreign soil against the wishes of the foreign government
      it was lincoln's orders as the commander in chief that kept those troops there, ergo lincoln is the one that provided the casus belli that started the us civil war

    6. Re:decline in leadship quality by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      Lincoln had also abolished slavery in fact everywhere in the Confederacy where Union troops had set foot (most of it),

      For a certain value of 'abolished'. It was another 30 years before all of the legally free former slaves were actually freed.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    7. Re:decline in leadship quality by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      OK, I'm coming out of cryogenic storage to tell you to shut up. You opened this subthread with *bizarrely ignorant claptrap*, and should have shut up when the first reply called you out on your lies. But now you're doubling down.

      Lincoln could not be the "trigger that started the Civil War" when he was elected *after the war started*, after the majority of the Confederate states had already seceded, the last 4 were already proceeding with secession, and the Confederacy had already started shooting at the Union. Which should have been enough facts to shut you up, but I suppose you enjoy the kind of BS sometimes known as "from the South's perspective": any lie to deny the truth, however bizarrely ignorant.

      Lincoln wasn't a "two-bit" lawyer prior to his political career, he was an extremely well accomplished lawyer. And he didn't have "zero experience", he had represented Illinois prominently in the US House of Representatives, and served in the Illinois House of Representatives for 8 years prior to that.

      Lincoln was of course recognized as a good leader while destroying the Confederacy, being reelected to do so. That is the very definition of "recognized as good leader": reelected wartime Commander in Chief of the USA. Yes, the US press and many factions are always highly critical of any president; "universally recognized as a good leader" doesn't even belong to FDR.

      Oh, how about your BS about Lincoln's "razor close" first election? Lincoln: 1,866,452; Douglas: 1,376,957; Breckinridge: 849,781; Bell: 588,789. That 489,495 margin over #2 was a *landslide* 10.4%, . What the hell are you talking about? You also said something deranged like "but if the South had been voting in the second election". What about "but if the South had freed its slaves instead of seceding"? Because they're equally nonsensical hypotheticals. And your Electoral College split 4 ways because *there were 4 candidates*, no reflection on Lincoln's leadership. But Lincoln's 180 EVs to the combined total of the other 3 at 123 EVs was an even bigger landslide than the popular vote. The words "razor close" don't describe any aspect of Lincoln's *landslide victory* over a full field, representing a new party in a large war-divided country.

      And how does maintaining his commitment to Emancipation, even in face of a resigning Cabinet member (showing Lincoln's commitment to including even those who disagreed in his Cabinet, more committed than they were to staying), show anything but deeply effective leadership - as the government didn't suffer, but instead the nation was kept together even despite the war?

      Your spin on all that crazy talk is that Lincoln turned out to be a leader who rose to the occasion, despite no reason to expect it. But in fact Lincoln gave all indications of being an exemplary leader from start to finish of his presidency.

      Were you perhaps educated about Lincoln out of some "ex" Confederate state textbook? In any case, who taught you that when you're totally wrong you should ignore being proven wrong and double down with even more wrong?

      --

      --
      make install -not war

  10. Oopsie! by AntronArgaiv · · Score: 1

    That is all.

    Damn near WAS all...thank $DEITY CPT Bassett had a good head on his shoulders.

  11. What if the nuclear war happened? by Eloking · · Score: 2

    From the first Fallout game :

    In 2077, the storm of world war had come again. In two brief hours, most of the planet was reduced to cinders. And from the ashes of nuclear devastation, a new civilization would struggle to arise.

    A few were able to reach the relative safety of the large underground Vaults. Your family was part of that group that entered Vault Thirteen. Imprisoned safely behind the large Vault door, under a mountain of stone, a generation has lived without knowledge of the outside world.

    So far, it have been mostly what I have imagine the world during a nuclear conflict, but how will it have turned out exactly? Is there a more thoughtful research on the subject? I've found a few text with a quick google search but none really catches my eyes so far.

    --
    Elok
    1. Re:What if the nuclear war happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Being downwind of the atmospheric test blasts of Operation Upshot-Knothole was an early death warrant for some of the cast and crew of 1956's The Conquerer. Now imagine that on a scale where most major settlements around the world were hit. If you are in the immolation zone of a blast the end is quick, but for everybody else as well as those downwind of the fallout the effects are more long lasting and wider spread. Think post WWII Japan but on a global scale, with no means of support or aid.

      (11 tests were carried out via Operation Upshot-Knothole ranging from 100 t to 61 kt yields)

      OT: the best test was shot Grable, which used a gun deployed device "Atomic Annie"

    2. Re:What if the nuclear war happened? by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

      Being downwind of the atmospheric test blasts of Operation Upshot-Knothole was an early death warrant for some of the cast and crew of 1956's The Conquerer.

      The Harry test released an unusually large amount of fallout [...] much of which later accumulated in the vicinity of St. George, Utah. [...] Two years after the blast, Howard Hughes filmed the motion picture The Conqueror near St. George. The cast and crew totaled 220 people. By the end of 1980, as ascertained by People magazine, 91 of them had some form of cancer and 46 had died of the disease.

      [Howard Hughes] withdrew The Conqueror from circulation, and for years thereafter the only person who saw it was Hughes, who screened it night after night during his paranoid last years.

      I'd heard that one of his hot buttons, during his recluse period, was fallout and nuclear tests. But I hadn't heard this story of the source of his fixation. Holy Cow!

      --
      Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    3. Re:What if the nuclear war happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ICE CREAM!

    4. Re:What if the nuclear war happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's probably mostly accurate, except for the part about there being large underground vaults.

  12. The answer remains eternal by SuperKendall · · Score: 2

    As far as Japan and the end of WWII is concerned, we should have forgone the nukes, invaded and if it caused hundreds of thousands of deaths

    You first.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:The answer remains eternal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Did we invent time travel when I wasn't looking?

    2. Re:The answer remains eternal by Carewolf · · Score: 1

      As far as Japan and the end of WWII is concerned, we should have forgone the nukes, invaded and if it caused hundreds of thousands of deaths

      You first.

      Accepting the surrender they already offered would have been easier. All they asked for was that we dind't prosecute the Emperor for war-crimes, which we didn't

    3. Re:The answer remains eternal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes but we didn't let any of the stupid people know about it.

      Oops!

    4. Re:The answer remains eternal by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The Japanese had not offered a surrender, and there were more demands they considered. Specifically, keeping the Emperor (which they were told they were allowed to do by the Allied demands), evacuating occupied territories on their own schedule, no occupation of Japan, and trying their own war criminals. The Liaison Council was not able to come to a decision until the Nagasaki bomb and the Emperor's intervention. It had members who wanted to surrender on the Allies' terms, members who were in favor of a surrender on the conditions I listed, and members who were against surrender.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  13. Corbyn by pr0nbot · · Score: 2

    Suddenly having a prime minister who'd at least hesitate at the height of a crisis before nuking a few million civilians doesn't sound like such a bad idea...

    http://blogs.new.spectator.co....

    1. Re:Corbyn by Jamu · · Score: 1

      I used to think that we needed nukes to prevent someone nuking us. But I'm not sure this makes any sense. What we need is the capability to retaliate. We need a way of killing the people responsible for launching nukes. We don't need a way to kill lots of people in the same country.

      --
      Who ordered that?
    2. Re:Corbyn by Type44Q · · Score: 1

      So, what, are you suggesting that our "leadership" shouldn't be made up of complete sociopaths?

    3. Re:Corbyn by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      I'll just leave this here.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
  14. Re:I don't believe you. by known_coward_69 · · Score: 1

    there is a procedure to follow and it wasn't followed in this case. which is why the missiles weren't launched

  15. Re:And if it had been a real war? by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

    NATO's military might dwarfs Russia's. Hell, NATO's military might dwarfs the rest of the world's combined military capability. Yes, Putin could do a helluva lot of damage to NATO's member states if he wanted, but if he ever did, we'd end up with a modern version of the Roman salting of the fields of Carthage would bring Russia so low it's hard to see how it would ever rise again.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  16. Fermi Paradox by somenickname · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Anecdotes like this practically answer the Fermi Paradox. We don't meet advanced civilizations because those civilizations destroy themselves fairly quickly. Once you have the technology to destroy your civilization, you only have to fuck up once to do it.

    1. Re:Fermi Paradox by bobbied · · Score: 2

      Let's take the philosophical musing of a nuclear physicist as good clear headed thinking. Yea, he has a real gift for understanding human nature.

      I don't agree with Femi on this particular point. Nuclear weapons have been used ONCE in the 70 years since their invention and have in recent decades been declining in number. Where I'm not willing to claim success on this, evidence seems to say that Man has at least *some* capacity for restraint. In fact, we have made great strides in limiting "weapons of mass destruction" of all kinds, including chemical and biological agents which do far less large scale damage, yet have not been used on a large scale.

      If mankind has shown restraint though multiple generations of leaders, and has managed to not use nuclear weapons in war *at all* and if there are the many advanced civilizations out there that have gone though similar weapons development, surely some will have survived..

      IMHO I believe that the basic reason we've not seen or been contacted by other civilizations out side our solar system is more due to the Physics of interstellar travel and the absolutely huge timeframes needed to both travel and communicate with current technology making it impossible. So the evidence used to support the Fermi Paradox, really has other possible explanations which are far more reasonable. We don't see them because we simply cannot, given the astronomical distances involved and the difficulties that distance imposes on current technology and not because such civilizations die out before we can even observe them.

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    2. Re:Fermi Paradox by sinij · · Score: 1

      Anecdotes like this practically answer the Fermi Paradox. We don't meet advanced civilizations because those civilizations destroy themselves fairly quickly. Once you have the technology to destroy your civilization, you only have to fuck up once to do it.

      To build on this - as your civilization becomes more advanced, the ways to destroy itself multiply and the threshold to trigger this is lowered.

      So within couple generations, something equivalent to incorrectly dereferencing a pointer on nanbots cloud can trigger the end of the world.

      We are f*&^ed.

    3. Re:Fermi Paradox by gweihir · · Score: 1

      The human race has failed to do it so far, but a lot of criminally insane politicians and military "leaders" are hard at work to make us achieve that end-point eventually. If the stupidity, the arrogance, the paranoia and the insanity of basically all leaders is as strong in every civilization, it is really no surprise no older ones seem to be around.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    4. Re:Fermi Paradox by gweihir · · Score: 2

      And people like you are a huge part of the problem. No, this is not some irrelevant side-show and hopes of people not eventually fucking up completely are entirely misplaced. This is the thing that still has a good chance of sterilizing this planet. The weapons are around and ready to use. The safeguards are not really better, as the fully insane military mind-set places destruction of the enemy above survival.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    5. Re:Fermi Paradox by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In fact, we have made great strides in limiting "weapons of mass destruction" of all kinds, including chemical and biological agents which do far less large scale damage, yet have not been used on a large scale.

      No we haven't. We've just been good at limiting our enemies from gaining the same advantage. If you really believed this bullshit you should be advocating for Iran to have nukes... hell, EVERY nation should just be given a free nuke to level the playing field and ensure world peace.

    6. Re:Fermi Paradox by bobbied · · Score: 1

      Never said it was a side show or that there isn't danger in having the weapons, only that I don't agree with Fermi's theory, or that his purported "evidence" of his musing isn't otherwise explainable. Given that we've been nearly 70 years and 4 generations removed from nuclear weapons development and we've still only seen ONE instance of them being used, there might be enough evidence to call Fermi's philosophical theory might be wrong.

      Of course, if you choose to believe that eventually mankind will eradicate himself from existence using these weapons, you may be right, but why bother going on if Fermi was right? Might as well limit as much suffering and sickness as possible and just end it now.

      IMHO we are better than that, and recent history shows that we are headed in the right direction with nuclear weapons. Eventually we will get there....

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    7. Re:Fermi Paradox by raind · · Score: 1

      IMHO we have been contacted, and in fact came from other extraterrestrial worlds, we have regressed since then of course. Hell we still use (mostly) wheels to get around.

      --
      Get up!
    8. Re:Fermi Paradox by morkk · · Score: 1

      The real reason we've never seen aliens is because they look like lobsters and if they came here...OM NOM NOM.

    9. Re:Fermi Paradox by somenickname · · Score: 1

      Nuclear weapons have been used ONCE in the 70 years since their invention and have in recent decades been declining in number.

      That's true. But, in another post in this thread, it was stated that we've had 7 nearly catastrophic incidents with nuclear weapons. It doesn't even matter how accurate that number is. The number is greater than 0 and probably greater than 7. For the sake of easy math, let's assume 7 is correct. So, in the 70 years since we've had nuclear weapons, on average, we have nearly destroyed civilization about once a decade due to human/computer/whatever error. I'm not a statistician but, those numbers don't strike me as particularly cheerful. Again... At this point, it only takes a single fuck up to destroy civilization.

    10. Re:Fermi Paradox by bobbied · · Score: 1

      Then Fermi was wrong according to you too..

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    11. Re:Fermi Paradox by bobbied · · Score: 1

      7? Not even ONE that I know of.

      Not that the government would be out blabbing about them under any circumstances, but I am confident that there hasn't been even one "near miss" where a nuclear explosion was barely avoided.

      Of course the press loves to make small accidents into near catastrophic events when they can so we are regaled by stories of how dangerously close we came. For instance, the recent story of the three nuclear devices that impacted Spain and exploded after a refueling accident. Even today we are told that we "narrowly avoided setting off a nuclear bomb" when that happened. That's not true. Yes, the bombs where fully operational, yes many of the safeties had been shut off because of the mission being flown, but NO, the chances of these weapons going nuclear during the accident was nil.

      So I'm not buying that there have been 7 unintentional "near detonations" and we KNOW that although there have been situations where nuclear forces have been put on what amounts to a "hair trigger," we never really had somebody pulling said trigger or a situation where the process safeguards didn't work.

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
  17. Schrodinger's Luck? by Tablizer · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There have been several near-misses to nuclear Armageddon on both sides of the Atlantic. We got real lucky.

    With that many near misses, we statistically should not be here*. Common sense is usually hit and miss during crisis.

    Let's say common sense kicks in about half the time, which is typical of humans in crisis. We've had roughly 7 near misses. 0.5 to the 7th power is about 0.008, which is less than 1 percent. (Remember, it takes only one instance out of those 7 to finish us.)

    I wonder if multi-verses are not at play: only "forked" realities in which we got "lucky" have us in it to ponder our luck. 99% of the forks got fried.

    * At least not in large numbers. A few lucky stragglers perhaps could survive an all-out nuclear war. But most likely the vast majority of us would not be here reading this if launched.

    1. Re:Schrodinger's Luck? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That would indicate also that we quite possibly REMAIN In imminent danger of such an event happening again, and us remaining on the, er, "wrong side" of it. However, if the multiverses were only virtual then they might inform the development of real time and lead directly and indirectly to a number of unlikely events that contribute to the most globally desirable outcome (i.e., no apocalypse)

    2. Re:Schrodinger's Luck? by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      I would hope these near misses taught owners of the contraption to have more checks and balance.

      But I'm sure new kinds of threats are growing, such as rogue group launches and hacking. But hopefully the big dogs will not be so quick to launch back; take their time to understand the cause, and then use mostly conventional retaliation.

    3. Re:Schrodinger's Luck? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      With that many near misses, we statistically should not be here*. Common sense is usually hit and miss during crisis.

      Perhaps then, rather than speculating that we won the multiverse lotto, you should listen to Occam and consider that those near misses were not all that near.

      * At least not in large numbers. A few lucky stragglers perhaps could survive an all-out nuclear war. But most likely the vast majority of us would not be here reading this if launched.

      Nuclear war would suck massively, no doubt about it. However, the chances that it would eliminate humankind are just about zero. It's a very large planet with a lot of people on it, and while nukes are stupendously destructive, not even they are that destructive.

    4. Re:Schrodinger's Luck? by Blaskowicz · · Score: 1

      Well if you get back in time and step on a dead leaf, you will kill insects that a slug will then eat, thus a rat won't have the same encounter with the slug meaning its sperm cells configuration inside of gonads won't be the same when it meets its significant other, and baby rat will or will not be eaten by a bird of prey who will shit at a different time or not at all on your great-grandmother's post box, meaning in any "alternate timeline" starting before you were conceived or born (or even after that) it will be a different you, likely different enough or not timely enough that this is not the real you at all thus you don't exist and can't be reading this thread here.

    5. Re:Schrodinger's Luck? by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      There may be lots of forks at lots of times, we don't really know. There may not be any one single "real" me, just forked variations of. I'm the "me" of THIS instance of the universe, which may or may not resemble any other instances of me's in the other forks.

      In short, "alternative universe" is relative.

    6. Re:Schrodinger's Luck? by sinij · · Score: 1

      We cannot build such large-scale simulation, it follows that the owners of this simulation are more advanced and already cleared the hurdle of surviving up to much further point into technological civilization. So this still doesn't answer how part.

    7. Re:Schrodinger's Luck? by sinij · · Score: 1

      While you are correct that in is unlikely to eliminate entire humanity, it doesn't take that much destruction to wipe out technological civilization. I am not sure at what point it becomes impossible to rebuild civilization, but whoever has to do it next won't have easy access to oil and metals.

    8. Re:Schrodinger's Luck? by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      near misses were not all that near.

      True, this is all speculative, but at least three of the near-misses could have easily gone the other way. Kennedy was heavily pressured to launch, for example. If McCain was in the same situation, I'm pretty such he'd press The Button. Different personalities will choose different paths. It appears to me to be to dumb luck WW3 didn't start.

      However, the chances that it would eliminate humankind are just about zero

      Even if that were the case, WW3 hasn't happened. If it had, few of us would be around to ponder why it did. We are more likely to be a universe that didn't have a huge population reduction. (Anthropic principle.)

      not even they are that destructive

      The primary effect, perhaps; but secondary effects are far worse. An "artificial" winter would be quite possible (although models are still immature), and multiple failing n. power plants would add to the danger.

    9. Re:Schrodinger's Luck? by Whorhay · · Score: 1

      Metals actually aren't likely to be a major problem. Most of the metals we've refined over the years are still available and frequently in higher purities than we found them. Junk yards and landfills would be the best place to go after them in all likelihood. Metals aren't commonly destroyed, even iron and steel just oxidize, which is pretty much what we smelt to get iron in the first place.

      Oil would definitely be in short supply though. I've actually wondered what would happen in the long term with oil wells like deep water horizon in the event of a nuclear apocalypse. Even if they shutdown down safely how long would it take before something failed and that pressurized well pop'd and started spewing oil. Imagine every pressurized oil well in the world gushing it's contents until the pressure equalized, that might actually be more devastating than a nuclear winter.

    10. Re:Schrodinger's Luck? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I love statements like "let's say this happens half the time - therefore the odds are less than ...."

      BASED ON WHAT. Because Tablizer on Slashdot said it's 50%? You think presented with the option to launch a nuke at someone a human will decide to do it FIFTY PERCENT OF THE TIME?!?!

      That doesn't even pass a very faint sniff test. Score:3. Morons.

    11. Re:Schrodinger's Luck? by r0kk3rz · · Score: 1

      There have been several near-misses to nuclear Armageddon on both sides of the Atlantic. We got real lucky.

      With that many near misses, we statistically should not be here*. Common sense is usually hit and miss during crisis.

      You're right, statistically we should be toast by now

      Makes me think that when it comes to something of existential gravitas, like starting a nuclear war, that it not only requires psychopaths in charge, but all the way through the chain to the grunt that does the launch.

      Sure, it only takes once to screw up, but it also only takes one person in the chain to stop the launch

    12. Re:Schrodinger's Luck? by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      I have a right to speculate on human behavior in such situations. If you have a different speculative value or an academic study, then simply present it as counter evidence rather than go into neckbeard-mode.

    13. Re:Schrodinger's Luck? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Funny because after all the near misses I've had in my life (I literally should have died a dozen times in my idiocy-filled existence) I've theorized many times that we go through life over and over until we get it right. This just happens to be the time where I made it this far.

    14. Re:Schrodinger's Luck? by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      I've theorized many times that we go through life over and over until we get it right.

      So in some forked universe, MS-Windows is actually good?

    15. Re:Schrodinger's Luck? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wonder whether it is hell or heaven if I continue to exist in the multi-verse for all time...just surviving.somehow.

    16. Re:Schrodinger's Luck? by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      Addendum

      On second thought, we don't even need to invoke forked universes. The Anthropic Principle alone could explain our apparent luck. If we didn't get "lucky", most or all of us simply wouldn't be here to ponder our good fortune.

      Just as history is written by the victors, it's also written by survivors. Corpses don't ponder their existence and don't write.

      Side note: here's a list of 20 alleged near misses:

      http://nuclearfiles.org/menu/k...

    17. Re:Schrodinger's Luck? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      * At least not in large numbers. A few lucky stragglers perhaps could survive an all-out nuclear war. But most likely the vast majority of us would not be here reading this if launched.

      I'm not sure I would describe the survivors of an all out nuclear war 'lucky'.

  18. Re:And if it had been a real war? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Russia has Tzar Bomba. NATO should think twice before trying anything stupid.

  19. Okay, I'm going to need a lot more. by aslagle · · Score: 5, Insightful

    So, we have: a single-sourced story from a news source that has in the past been an advocate of the removal of the U.S. base from Okinawa, an anonymous verification source (and thus unable to be contacted for independent verification), and a reprinting of the story by the BoAS, which has long changed its tune to keep itself as being seen as relevant.

    I'm surprised that this story was even allowed to be printed, as single-sourced stories are usually laughed out of the editors' offices. Even in this case, if you allow 2 sources, usually you'd need hard evidence, not just hearsay.

    How does the expression go? "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence"? I don't see anything extraordinary here.

    1. Re:Okay, I'm going to need a lot more. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I had this same thought while reading the story. Additionally, while I am sure it was a hair-raising experience for the folks involved, it seems that following proper procedure also played a huge role in preventing the crisis (more than common sense and caution). According to the article a legitimate launch order could only come under DEFCON 1. Since they were at DEFCON 2 it was not only prudent, but required that he confirm the order. Without additional sources it is hard to say how close this was to a near miss, or how much was embellished in his mind over the last 50 years.

    2. Re:Okay, I'm going to need a lot more. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So by that logic every leak by a single whistleblower is also just a bunch of lies?

    3. Re:Okay, I'm going to need a lot more. by MasseKid · · Score: 1

      The ones that don't contain documents are generally dismissed rather quickly. When you release a treasure trove of documentation, it tends to back up your story.

    4. Re:Okay, I'm going to need a lot more. by bobbied · · Score: 1

      Such is the state of journalism today, especially on the internet where nobody knows or cares about your ethics or editorial standards and revenue is determined by how many clicks you generate and not if you are telling the truth or not. If you lack credibility for you story, who cares, just put of a snappy good looking website, a couple of good pictures and pay for Google placement for as long as it generates clicks...

      Don't get me started on Social Media.... Where everybody becomes the reporter with a selfie stick..... Just witness or make up a good enough story and you get your 15 min of fame. Bonus points are given for stories that supposedly "stick it to the man" or illustrate some social injustice, but just plan stupidity or being gross is sometimes enough.

      It's got to be true, I saw it on the internet!

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    5. Re:Okay, I'm going to need a lot more. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They're pretty honest at the end of the article about the tentative and unconfirmed nature of the story and the debate about whether it should be published given that status, so I'm fine with it if it provokes release of evidence to demonstrate the contrary or to confirm it.

    6. Re:Okay, I'm going to need a lot more. by tomhath · · Score: 1
      No, but it should be corroborated by something. The author admits that the entire article is based on a junior enlisted man hearing one side of a phone conversation about a radio message that everyone involved agreed didn't make sense:

      According to Bordne's account—which, recall, is based on hearing just one side of a phone call

    7. Re:Okay, I'm going to need a lot more. by dbIII · · Score: 1

      But if you release documents you are consider a thief or a traitor as well. The whistleblower always loses if they are leaking against someone powerful enough.

  20. Re: And if it had been a real war? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    NATO couldn't find Serbia's armoured forces in Kosovo. If it comes to war with Russia, half of Europe will panic and desert the alliance anyway.

  21. Another such story? by thegarbz · · Score: 1

    Is slashdot going to have a monthly column entitled one man vs the apocalypse? I mean do we need a near nuclear holocaust story every month?

  22. Castro scared Khrushchev ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

    Considering the number of incidents in the Cold War where a nuclear war was averted by cool heads, it makes me glad (as General Baringer would say) that our boys were in those silos, instead of a computer.

    In a somewhat tangential note, the hotter heads frightened the cooler heads into making a deal. Castro basically told Khrushchev to go nuclear if Cuba is invaded by the US. Supposedly Castro's willingness to sacrifice his own country and millions around the globe to defend the global Communist movement frightened Khrushchev, convincing him Castro was nuts. Not so coincidentally Khrushchev and Kennedy reached a deal immediately after Khrushchev received Castro's letter.

    1. Re:Castro scared Khrushchev ... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Considering your average dictator of the time and the fact that both US and USSR dealt with such dictators as a matter of routine, your theory sounds highly implausible.

      Those leaders did not get any say in usage of the weapons stationed in their countries.

    2. Re:Castro scared Khrushchev ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Considering your average dictator of the time and the fact that both US and USSR dealt with such dictators as a matter of routine, your theory sounds highly implausible. Those leaders did not get any say in usage of the weapons stationed in their countries.

      Of course they, the local dictators, had no say in the use of nuclear weapons. It was Castro's expression of support for the nuclear option to be used that frightened Khrushchev and caused him to lose faith/trust in Castro. Not that Castro could not be useful, but merely a useful fool in Khrushchev's opinion.

    3. Re:Castro scared Khrushchev ... by Insipid+Trunculance · · Score: 1

      As a matter of fact it was Khrushchev and Kennedy, both active participants in the World war , who defused the situation. If they had deferred to their military and other professional advisers , the world as we know would not exist.

      --
      Wanted : A Signature.
    4. Re:Castro scared Khrushchev ... by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      You make it sound like geopolitics consider dictators of smaller foreign countries in light other than tools. Could you cite any examples of such behaviour?

  23. That seems a tad far fetched by nedlohs · · Score: 1

    Now sure the military has a great track record of screw ups and what could go wrong doing so.

    But this one sounds like it has grown over time, like the stereotypical fish that got away story.

  24. Millions expected to die in US invasion of Japan by perpenso · · Score: 2

    As far as Japan and the end of WWII is concerned, we should have forgone the nukes, invaded and if it caused hundreds of thousands of deaths on either side, then so be it.

    Actually the invasion was expected to cause hundreds of thousands of deaths on the US side and millions of deaths on the Japanese side (weapons + disease + starvation + ...).

  25. I call BS by rossdee · · Score: 1

    There weren't any nuclear missile silos in Okinawa

    1. Re:I call BS by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 4, Informative

      There weren't any nuclear missile silos in Okinawa

      Without commenting on the veracity of the story, the missiles in questions were Mace missiles, which, like the Regulus, Bomarc, et. al. were what we today call cruise missiles. So a "silo" is likely to be more like a building than an ICBM silo. They even had Regulus silos on submarines.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    2. Re:I call BS by james_shoemaker · · Score: 1

      these were Mace B cruise missiles, no silos needed, there were container and portable versions.

    3. Re:I call BS by wm2810 · · Score: 1

      "the 498th Tactical Missile Group in December 1961 took up positions in semi-hardened sites on Okinawa"
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      "The unit was inactivated on 8 July 1969, and the missiles returned to the United States and were expended as full-size target drones."
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    4. Re:I call BS by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Nowadays, cruise missiles have very accurate and precise navigation. At that time, the real question about intercontinental cruise missiles was which continent they'd hit. The Maces would likely have missed their targets by a good many miles, which might well not provoke retaliation.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  26. Re: And if it had been a real war? by bobbied · · Score: 1

    NATO couldn't find Serbia's armoured forces in Kosovo. If it comes to war with Russia, half of Europe will panic and desert the alliance anyway.

    Oh please, they where not really looking. Everybody knew what the Rules of Engagement where, so Serbia just put their stuff where NATO wasn't going to look. Not to mention that it's likely *everybody* knew where the stuff was and that NATO wouldn't touch it where it sat. Everybody was just sitting on their hands telling themselves that it wasn't worth poking the bear and risking an all out conflict over Kosovo.

    If the gloves come off and NATO actually *does* something more than give lip service to containing Russia's advance, very bad things will happen to Russia. Everybody knows that going nuclear in your own back yard is basically shooting your self in the foot, so NATO it is going to take something serious to make NATO take a stand, something serious enough to make the mess of a nuclear engagement with Russia the lessor of two evils. So shooting down civilian airliners and invading parts of NATO countries just don't cut it.

    --
    "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
  27. The launch codes were given huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You mean 000-00000-0000-00000?

  28. Almost Doesn't Count, Does it? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Pfft. Almost.

    Almost only counts in horseshoes, hand grenades, and atom bombs.

    Oh wait.

  29. Generations by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No, not four. Childbearing is optimum around 17...18. And a lot of it happens around then (and some even earlier.) A family can build four generations in 60 years, or 70. The term "generations" isn't some fixed number. It's great grandparents, grandparents, parents, and kids. That's four generations on the face of the planet. 70 years is also, somewhat interestingly to me, about an average lifespan.

    1. Re:Generations by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      According to this random guy, you're both right.

  30. Re: And if it had been a real war? by phayes · · Score: 1

    Not Kosovo, Bosnia. The the Serbs folded real quick once NATO decided to stop playing hit the weasel & destroy Serbia's means of supporting it's war.

    Anyway, rules avoiding civilian casualties are abandoned in "Real Wars".

    --
    Democracy is a sheep and two wolves deciding what to have for lunch. Freedom is a well armed sheep contesting the issue
  31. You have a very screwed up definition of peace by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nuclear weapons are the most profoundly successful peacemaker in history.

    After seeing movies like "War Games" and "Testament", I spent a good portion of my childhood in 1980's America trying to wrap my mind around such a profoundly "peaceful" situation. As a boy I somehow got ahold of an account of the horrors suffered by the civilians targeted by the Hiroshima & Nagasaki bombs. I decided very early on that there was something profoundly & utterly insane about the M.A.D. status quo, and adults' tacit acceptance of it.

    But people like you who hold up Mutually Assured Mass Murder as some sort of virtue...this goes beyond notions like peer pressure, consensus reality, or trying not to rock the boat and look like an anti-nuclear wingnut. Profound Stockholm Syndrome might describe it, perhaps the genes for capture bonding are strong in your lineage, or is there something more?

    I prefer to think of it as the blackest, purest form of evil our species can practice. A technically & philosophically sophisticated evil, capable of profound ethical truths and great good, while simultaneously ignoring incredible contradictions and unanswered questions that are *easily* within its grasp...indeed, believing confident dismissal of such questions to be a virtue. A naïve, banal, dependable sort of evil perhaps within all of us, that allows a person to hug their children in the morning, got to work, and proudly spend the day building gas chambers for a well-spoken madman. A species-killing evil that has now built a planetary suicide device, and dutifully and unquestioningly handed the keys to a cadre of sociopaths, a power-mad gang of lawyers with nukes.

    My God, what have we done?

    1. Re:You have a very screwed up definition of peace by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are completely ignorant of the non-nuclear horrors humans have inflicted upon each other.

    2. Re:You have a very screwed up definition of peace by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Any no point did I say anything to indicate knowledge or ignorance. What train of thought caused you to think this?

  32. Re:And if it had been a real war? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    That is what Napoleon thought when he burned Moscow.
    That is what Hitler thought when he tried to conquer Stalingrad.
    Without nukes you don't beat the Russians on their own territory ... and as they have nukes too ...

    If the Russians would attack west Europe, they would get a bloody nose, likely by the sacrifice of Germany, Poland and the baltic nations. Perhaps even France and Denmark.

    However underestimating the capabilities of the Russian Military is plain dumb. It is only american magazines where an american fighter is superior to a Russian one ... every one (and that includes all americans who write on the net about it) who ever flew a Su or a Mig prefers that greatly over an F16 or F18 or F15. Yeah, we have now the stealth fighters guided by AWACS etc. just wonder how long an AWACS actually will last if it is not over Iraq but over an close to first world power.

    How long do you want to take the invasion and destruction of Russia? As soon as you have winter in the areas you have conquered, none of the american planes is flying anymore. I would not bet on your tanks either.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  33. DEW Line commissioning. by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I wonder if multi-verses are not at play: only "forked" realities in which we got "lucky" have us in it to ponder our luck. 99% of the forks got fried.

    That's an interesting application of the Anthropic Principle.

    One of the near-misses I read about was the commissioning of the DEW Line over-the-horizon early-warning radar.

    There was some concern that the Russians might stage a pre-emptive strike just before it went into service. So the US put it into service a few days ahead of the announced date, disguised as a late-stage test of the equipment. The military and administration were prepared to react to the expected possible strike.

    Some hours after the system went live it started showing volleys of missiles rising. Oops! Was it the feared attack? Was it time to retaliate, before the soviet missiles could wipe out that capability, leaving Russia in charge of a half-charred planet?

    There was only one fly in the ointment: The system did not identify expected impact locations for the missiles. Failure of the computation, or a sign that this might be an illusion? (Remember this was 1957. Cray's first mainframe computer for CDC, with substantially less than 1 megaflop, was still three years in the future.)

    The commander in charge smelled a rat, and recommended that the US NOT stage a "before their missiles wipe out most of our stuff" retaliatory strike, at least until we had other confirmation. The Russians actually WEREN'T attacking, so war-by-mistake was averted.
    It turns out that the radars had seen Moonrise. The moon was big enough to be visible by the sensitive over-the-horizon radars. But the round trip was long enough that several pulses had gone out meanwhile. The radar paired the returns with later pulses - and between that, the size of the moon, and other details came up with a fleet of targets. The imaginary targets were not on a ballistic trajectory (it looked like a "forced orbit" - orbiting with acceleration still occuring, rather than a ballistic trajectory - and even if you assume the "engine" would cut off right now and it went ballistic, the illusion wouldn't hit the planet). So the failure to identify expected impact locations was correct. Somehow, previous tests hadn't happened to occur at the right time of day for this effect to be noticed.

    The system was modified to reject moonrise, went into service, and the Cold War stayed cold until it ended.

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    1. Re:DEW Line commissioning. by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      "Nuke the moon!"

      The incident sounds similar to this one:

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    2. Re:DEW Line commissioning. by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

      The incident sounds similar to this one: [Russian air defence having first one, then several more, bogus detections of US missiles, in the days after they downed KAL 007, with Larry McDonald, US congressman from Georga, aboard, when it mis-navagated, over their secure base at Kamchatca and was mistaken for a spy plane.]

      Rumor I heard about KAL 007: Former president Richard Nixon was scheduled to occupy the seat next to McDonald but had to cancel. It might have been a different story if the Soviets had downed a civilian plane with a former US President (and rabid anti-Communist) aboard.

      --
      Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
  34. Bulletin of Scientists = BS by jmac_the_man · · Score: 1, Interesting
    Slashdot should stop pretending that the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists is, you know, a group of scientists. They're not, they're an anti-nuclear special interest group whose key symbol was appropriated by the graphic novel Watchmen. (That's their only link to either "News for Nerds" or "Stuff that Matters.")

    The summary should probably mention the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists since that's where the link goes and that's who is making the claim.

  35. Re:And if it had been a real war? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    *had*

  36. Re:Millions expected to die in US invasion of Japa by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

    Expected by those who wanted to test the bombs. Japan was on the brink of surrender, and it's people were beginning to starve. Despite the propaganda, no country fights to the last man.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  37. COMMIE BS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You all realize this is from a commits anti-america hate group. The stories a mix of half truths to convince the dolts.
    The Green Peace FOIA's that I worked on for release while in the Air Force stationed at ACC during the 90's are a better source of information.

  38. Oblig Slim Pickens by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  39. Re:And if it had been a real war? by Whorhay · · Score: 2

    Napoleon can be chalked up as a failure of logistics. The doctrine of the time was that your armies relied heavily on plundered resources for their sustenance. That doctrine was especially important given the distances involved in invading Russia. The Russians denied Napoleon that strategy and it all went south from there.

    Hitler was stopped in Russia because Stalin basically decided to just poor conscripts into the fight as long as it took to choke the German offensive. If Hitler had actually been able to bring all of his might to that fight he might have won anyways, as it was his armies were split fighting and holding conquered ground all over Europe and Africa.

    If NATO went after Russia, instead of having the army of any one single nation to fight, they'd have several major nations and many smaller ones to fend off. Those nations would likely not have large portions of their military busy elsewhere. And they'd have the support of modern logistics where you don't have to worry about salting the earth strategies.

    Air power would likely be a huge factor, and I don't know who would win on that front initially. But I'm pretty sure that NATO would have the better ability to sustain that kind of war and eventually win through attrition in the same way the Russians won at Stalingrad. Stealth fighters from my understanding are essentially a dead end though. Drones in an Anti Aircraft role would probably be more important.

    I'm not sure how affected by cold temperatures tanks and other ground level stuff would be, the USA has been building and testing equipment for that purpose in Alaska for decades though. Aircraft would likely not be affected at all though, they are designed to function at such an altitude that the ground temps aren't really important. And it's not like those aircraft would be based out of conquered Russian territory anyways, they'd be flying sorties in from well behind any lines of battle.

    Anyways, it's not like this is a situation unique to Russia, they just have a history of resisting invasion. The USA would face and ultimately crumble under the same kind of situation where it to face a significant portion of the industrialized world coming after it with torches and pitchforks. That is after all why the USA went all out in WW2 once the realization was made that we couldn't hope to win/survive by being isolationists.

  40. don't follow orders blindly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why you don't follow orders blindly. Thanks buddy

  41. History books. READ THEM. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They thought it was a good idea because Hitler, and because Tojo. Read your history. I know it's all cool and stuff to be completely ignorant of history and cry in your soymilk about anything nuclear, but there actually were some very good reasons to develop these, followed by very good reasons to drop them on the Japanese, followed by very good reasons to build up an arsenal of them.

    Would the world be, have been, better off without war and the various weapons of war? Sure. But see, that's not an option unless everyone is willing to play that way. We're nowhere near that yet, nor have we ever been near that.

  42. If all the codes were given, by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    how is it a failure of the failsafe for accidental launch? Sounds like they really did want to launch, and those clowns at Okinawa defied them and should have been courtmarshalled.

  43. Fluke of history, not rational workings of govt by perpenso · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Expected by those who wanted to test the bombs. Japan was on the brink of surrender, and it's people were beginning to starve. Despite the propaganda, no country fights to the last man.

    The massive civilian suicides on Okinawa in the face of defeat, and the repeated suicidal attacks by the military in the face of defeat and throughout the war, indicate that things were not that simple.

    Surrender was only a consideration by *some* diplomats and politicians, and they kept their opinions very close and lived in fear of assassination by the militarists. Even the emperor's surrender announcement, which was an absolute game changer, was nearly prevented as military units mutinied and attacked the imperial palace in an attempt to remove the emperor from the corrupting influence of "cowards and traitors" that were misleading him. They nearly found and would have destroyed the emperor's surrender recording. The vast majority of the military was ready to face US landings and to oppose them and to have massive assistance from civilians to resists US forces as they moved inland. Even the atomic bombings did little to change this. The military was telling civilians how wearing white sheets helped protect them from the flash of the new atomic bombs. I believe some Japanese war plans called for the use of chemical weapons on US landing forces.

    Surrender was an option to a fearful minority in government. Only a fluke of history, the emperor's decision saw their path adopted. Given the actual evidence available to the US, invasion or blockade were the only two likely non-atomic paths, either risking millions of civilians. Note that the firebombing would have continued during a blockade and such firebombing inflicted far more casualties than the atomic bombings.

    Your basic premise fails due to its assumption of rational actors. The militarists of imperial japan were inherently irrational. As navy minister Yamamoto tried to argue against the militarists (primary from the army) with respect to war with the US. He tried to argue manpower and industrial production. He told his subordinates that all his facts and figures were dismissed by the militarists as irrelevant, that the "superior fighting spirit" of the japanese soldier will assure ultimate victory. Various assassination attempts were made on Yamamoto for his opposition to alliance with Germany and war with the US. He was actually forced to move his office from town to a battleship. Given the eventual attack on the imperial palace when surrender rumors began to spread it seems little had changed, rational thinking was still not being used. Except for one single person that even the militarists would not oppose, the emperor. Again, surrender was more a lucky fluke of history than any rational working of a government.

    1. Re:Fluke of history, not rational workings of govt by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      A couple of notes.

      On Okinawa (as well as Saipan), many of those "suicides" were arranged by the Japanese army.

      There was also some rationality for continuing to resist. The original grand strategy was to grab a bunch of territory and defend it tenaciously, believing that the Allies would lose stomach for the fighting and negotiate a peace in Japan's favor. Given estimated casualties for a couple of invasions (two islands), that grand strategy had not yet been proven wrong.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    2. Re:Fluke of history, not rational workings of govt by perpenso · · Score: 1

      On Okinawa (as well as Saipan), many of those "suicides" were arranged by the Japanese army.

      Yes. I recall the story of a Japanese nurse who was given a grenade by a soldier. When she later tried to use the grenade it failed. When an American soldier approached her, took out his knife and began cutting open her pants she was expecting a rape. As she was taught by the Japanese military that would be part of a long line of abuse and torture the Americans will commit. She was shocked when the American soldier began sprinkling a disinfecting powder over a wound on her leg and began bandaging it up. She began to realize the degree to which she had been lied to and mourned for her many colleagues who had committed suicide due to these lies.

      There was also some rationality for continuing to resist. The original grand strategy was to grab a bunch of territory and defend it tenaciously, believing that the Allies would lose stomach for the fighting and negotiate a peace in Japan's favor. Given estimated casualties for a couple of invasions (two islands), that grand strategy had not yet been proven wrong.

      I tend to think otherwise. After the casualties the Americans took at Saipan, Iwo Jima and Okinawa (on both land and at sea) and the fact they they continued suggested otherwise. Plus the American air campaign was largely ineffectively opposed. Even if the blockade route was chosen over invasion Imperial Japan was doomed due to the air campaign. Plus in Europe units were already being told there were going to retrain and re-equip and be deployed to the pacific for the invasion of Japan. The Japanese strategy was not working and in fact this strategy contributed greatly to the decision to use the atomic bombs. It not only failed but backfired immensely.

      There really was nothing rational about this plan in August 1945. It was the same irrational "the superior spirit of the Japanese soldier will ultimately prevail" nonsense that Admiral Yamamoto confronted when in 1940 (?) he spoke against alliance with Germany and against attacking the Americans. When he confronted the militarists with facts and figures of American manpower and industrial production, with his first hand impressions of the American spirit he gained from living and going to school in the US.

  44. God exists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    1) He made us stupid 2) We have nukes 3) We're still there ERGO God exists ... Frankly, I almost wish I believed in that.
    But the reason of 3) is most probably that the redesigning of Hell's gates is still not finished. Still not wide enough for a massive influx.

  45. Japan wanted an armistice not surrender by perpenso · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Truman already had knowledge of intercepted messages indicating that the Japanese were prepared to surrender. Dropping the bombs on two civilian populations was wholly unnecessary.

    Japan was **not** prepared to surrender. The militarists thought that by inflicting severe casualties upon the US they could force negotiations, an armistice - a cease fire, not a surrender. They wanted to remain in power, have no limitations on their military size and capability, have no occupation and possibly hold on to some of their conquered territory.

    When surrender rumors began military units mutinied and attacked the imperial palace in an attempt to remove the emperor from the corrupting influence of "cowards and traitors" that were misleading him. They nearly found and would have destroyed the emperor's surrender recording. The vast majority of the military was ready to face US landings and to oppose them and to have massive assistance from civilians to resists US forces as they moved inland. Even the atomic bombings did little to change this. The military was telling civilians how wearing white sheets helped protect them from the flash of the new atomic bombs. I believe some Japanese war plans called for the use of chemical weapons on US landing forces.

    Surrender was an option to a fearful minority in government, diplomats and politicians who kept their opinions very close and lived in fear of assassination by the militarists. Only a fluke of history, the emperor's decision saw their path adopted. Given the actual evidence available to the US, invasion or blockade were the only two likely non-atomic paths, either risking millions of civilians. Note that the firebombing would have continued during a blockade and such firebombing inflicted far more casualties than the atomic bombings.

    1. Re: Japan wanted an armistice not surrender by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      On LeMay's target list for September 1945 were the rail switchyards for the north/south railways. Destruction of the switchyards, and the resulting inability to ship food to population centers, would have resulted in 3 million deaths from famine.

    2. Re: Japan wanted an armistice not surrender by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The railroads weren't going to run for all that long anyway. US naval dive bombers had destroyed the coal ferries from Hokkaido (the northernmost of the four big islands).

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  46. Re:And if it had been a real war? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    Aircraft would likely not be affected at all though, they are designed to function at such an altitude that the ground temps aren't really important.
    How do you start an F15 that was parkd on an air field at -35degrees centigrade over night and is covered by 50cm snow?
    Simple answer: you don't park it on an airfield but in a heated hall.
    Complex answer: you cant start it. More complex answer: you have a special truck heating it and powering it, so you an "probably" start it.

    And it's not like those aircraft would be based out of conquered Russian territory anyways, they'd be flying sorties in from well behind any lines of battle.
    The strike range of a modern fighter is how far? 2000km? Not likely. Ah, I just found this: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... so the strike range is indeed close to 2000km.

    How far is Moscow from Warschau? Roughly 1300km.

    Most certainly, if you want to "destroy" Russia in a conventional war you are building up new bases or use conquered bases while you move east ... or if you attack via Japan/Alaska, while you move west.

    The USA would face and ultimately crumble under the same kind of situation where it to face a significant portion of the industrialized world coming after it with torches and pitchforks.

    Not sure if that was on /. or somewhere else, but the days after 9/11 it was argued that the USA had just 8 fighter planes ready to defend the air space. More likely 8 wings, but well ... thinking that a country like the USA as big as it is only has a couple of dozens fighters over their own territory because the rest is (pun intended) terrorizing the rest of the world ...

    Bottom line discussions like this are mood anyway. Don't remember why I entered it :D it is like the stupid stuff on youtube: who would win a fight if Jet Lee and Jackie Chan would enter the ring. Funnily most posters believe Jet Lee ... and most posters indeed think that Jackie Chan is just a talented actor ... albeit it is so easy to google up his martial arts history ...

    My best bet is: they are both Chinese, they would stage it and bet accordingly, haha. And then they would repeat that in a revenge fight.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  47. Re:Millions expected to die in US invasion of Japa by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    Japan was on the brink of surrender, for suitably "cease fire and we keep what we stole and don't have to even say sorry" values of "surrender".

    FTFY.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  48. Why use the past tense? by GPS+Pilot · · Score: 2

    Amazing we didn't kill ourselves

    I wish it were appropriate to use past tense here. Unfortunately, the risk of a launch that is accidental or based on misinterpreted data, and sparks a major nuclear exchange, is about as high today as it ever was.

    --
    That that is is that that that that is not is not.
  49. Re:And if it had been a real war? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As soon as you have winter in the areas you have conquered, none of the american planes is flying anymore. I would not bet on your tanks either.

    Well, you can always plan for the winter, and use to your advantage.

  50. Re:And if it had been a real war? by dbIII · · Score: 1

    However underestimating the capabilities of the Russian Military is plain dumb

    I remember a quote from a WWII German general that went something like this:
    You know those four Russian tank divisions we were facing? So far we have destroyed twelve of them.

  51. Absolutely false. by Brannon · · Score: 1

    If that was true, then why did Japan refuse to surrender between the first bomb and the second bomb? Those were 3 days apart and Truman explicitly asked for surrender between the two.

  52. Not new and not news... by kupekhaize · · Score: 1

    I hate to say it, but this kind of thing happening with our strategic forces is hardly new. There is a book by a hardened anti-nuclear weapon activist named Eric Schloss that goes into a lot of similar incidences over the years. He's obviously got an anti-nuclear agenda so read the book with a grain of salt, but the stories he talks about are true and verifiable.

    One such gem: At one point in time, we had a default signal that got broadcast out to all of the strategic warning centers to make sure the emergency alert systems were functioning normally. The test message was the exact same message that got sent out in event of a real nuclear emergency, with one difference. The "test" Message said the equivalent of the following:

    000 Nuclear Weapons have been launched at us.

    Unfortunately, due to a faulty computer chip on the sending end, one of these 0's computer errored and became a 2. Instead of the regular "test" message that was periodically sent saying "000 Nuclear weapons have been launched at us", a fault with a $.40c chip turned a 0 into a 2 and made it say this:

    "200 Nuclear weapons have been launched at us."

    Once the error was discovered and the cause of the fault detected, the "test" message was promptly changed afterwards.

    This is one example of hundreds of similar incidences, some far more concerning then others, and most of them we don't hear about until decades after the fact. Who knows how many more are out there that have yet to be declassified.

    --
    One of these days i'm going to find this 'peer' guy and reset HIS connection!
  53. The US should be disarmed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Of all the countries that shouldn't be allowed nuclear weapons, the United States should be top of the list. This is the only country ever to use nuclear weapons against a civilian population, and the only country that routinely de-stabilises and terrorises other countries across the world. It doesn't surprise me at all, that this type of incident would happen within the US military - which appears hopelessly unprofessional. It should be remembered that the Cuban missile crisis was caused by the United States putting missiles around Russian borders, provoking Russia. This is just like what they are doing today, with NATO expansionism.

  54. Re:Millions expected to die in US invasion of Japa by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    are you sure no country fights to the last man?
    look at afghanisatan, they kept fighting and first the french then the sovjets left, they're still fighting and sooner or later the us will leave to

  55. Re:And if it had been a real war? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    Yeah, the german tanks where better *then*.
    That does not say much about today. And who won in the end? It was the Russians. At what price? A high price, yes.

    So did the americans. The Germans where tactical so superior when ever they met in a battle tank versus tank they wiped the opposition away. And many tricks are so simple. I saw a documentation, tried to google for it but don't find anything: one of the final tank battles in the west, germans against US tanks. The Germans where just a few dozens, they killed roughly 1000 US tanks over a course of a few days. The main difference was the US tanks mainly shot while standing and the Germans while driving.
    The main problem was "range finding". So the germans drove over the intended battle area and used landmarks like trees and did test shots like: 10 yards to the left of the tree. Then when a tank crossed or reached that imagnary line through the tree they only needed to use the "recorded" elevation and could fire while passing by.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  56. In other words... by scarboni888 · · Score: 1

    They disobeyed orders.

    You can call them heroes if you like. I call them traitors.

  57. Re: And if it had been a real war? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Keep telling yourself that. Truth is, *nobody* in Europe wants to see the work of entire generations destroyed and all of our countries - which are already in the grip of a deep economic crisis - reduced to poverty with our capital cities in ruin. If NATO decides to take on Russia, the EU nation will *desert*. Immediately. The stupid sanctions already did enough damage - to Europe. Of course you stupid warmongering yanks knew it and planned it. Nobody in Europe wants NATO. Nobody wants the US presence. We should kick out every fucking yank in Europe.

  58. Re:And if it had been a real war? by dbIII · · Score: 1

    I think I phrased it badly and misrembered the quote. The situation was apparently that one force found itself facing several times more Russian tanks than were thought to exist in total and then more just kept coming.

  59. Re:And if it had been a real war? by david_thornley · · Score: 1

    Your documentary was very short of the truth. In fact, US tank forces were very effective at the time, and were supported by artillery and aircraft of a quality only Britain could match. At the time, the Germans had no way to fire effectively while moving. The US had gyrostabilizers, to allow fire on the move, but they were generally disliked and usually turned off (or broken - after some practice with them, they weren't generally repaired when they went).

    The big problem for US tanks was not German tanks but German anti-tank guns, which were very effective. The premeasured ranging you mention was done when possible, but could only be done in a prepared defense. The major factor in US tank losses was that they were almost always on the offensive.

    --
    "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  60. Re:And if it had been a real war? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    At the time, the Germans had no way to fire effectively while moving.
    That is wrong. In basically every battle the germans, won because they had the better guns and shot while driving. Or _all_ documentaries are wrong, which I find hard to believe.

    The major factor in US tank losses was that they were almost always on the offensive.

    The battle was an open field battle with mainly tanks alone on both sides. It was pretty dumb by the americans to go into that battle without air support (which actually was used very scarcely during WWII) and no heavy infantry or artillery support.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  61. Re:And if it had been a real war? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    I guess your phrasing was good enugh ... the kill ratio tank wise was far above 10 : 1.

    Especially when you consider the first battles mainly the less good german crews got weeded out and later those met the young freshly educated Russian tank crews.

    However the germans liked the conquered Russian tanks, they where overall more robust.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  62. Re:And if it had been a real war? by dbIII · · Score: 1

    With respect, US tank forces did not even exist early in the war and they did not go from zero to very good in a single step.

  63. Re:And if it had been a real war? by david_thornley · · Score: 1

    Tanks were not a separate arm in 1939, being divided into tanks used by the infantry and "combat cars" used by the cavalry. However, the US Army learned very quickly during WWII. They sometimes learned the wrong things (like what to do about enemy tanks), but at the end of the war were quite effective.

    --
    "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  64. Re:And if it had been a real war? by david_thornley · · Score: 1

    Exactly what do the documentaries show? The Germans may have been very good at firing from a short halt, but they had no automatic stabilization for their guns, and hence could not fire effectively while moving. With the exception of the not-particularly-successful US gyrostabilizer, gun stabilization for firing on the move was a post-WWII thing. I haven't watched those documentaries, but if they portray the Germans as firing on the move and hitting their targets, they're wrong.

    I don't know the battle you're referring to. I particularly don't know of any tank battle where the US lost anywhere near a thousand tanks in a few days. You'd think that would have made the history books. The US Army generally did not go into serious battle without artillery, and they used a lot of air support in the last year of the war.

    It's sounding more and more like you're watching the wrong documentaries.

    Strategically, the main reason for US losses was that they were on the offensive, and hence tended to run into anti-tank guns.

    --
    "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  65. Re:And if it had been a real war? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    I haven't watched those documentaries, but if they portray the Germans as firing on the move and hitting their targets, they're wrong.
    I don't know the technology behind it, but german Tigers did fire while moving. Not like a Leopard in any terrain, though. But plenty of terrain in the east where tank battles happened was level enough to fire while moving.
    Everybody knows that, no documentary needed for that.
    The documentary I mentioned was about the last/one of the last tank battles in the WEST germans against US ... the fact that germans fired while moving id not relevant. Relevant was that a few dozen german tanks killed with their remaining ammunition about 1000 US tanks.
    Actually only wrote that in the hope one remembers the place and can remind me ...

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  66. Re:And if it had been a real war? by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Have you considered that the above poster may not have been discussing the end of the war, just as the comment about Russian tanks around 1940 was not at the end of the war. The big clue is the line "Yeah, the german tanks where better *then*".