Slashdot Mirror


NASA Safety Panel Finds Concerns With the Journey To Mars (examiner.com)

MarkWhittington writes: NASA's Aerospace Safety Advisory Panel issued its annual report on various space agency programs. The panel found a number of areas of concern surrounding the Journey to Mars program, virtually all of them stemming from inadequate funding. It suggested that NASA's plan to launch the first crewed mission on the Orion, which would use the heavy lift Space Launch System to go around the moon, in 2021 was unrealistic given current, anticipated funding. The panel also suggested that lack of a clear plan for the Mars program is compromising its viability. It also suggested that the decision not to return to the moon should be revisited in view of the desire of international partners to do so and the need of low gravity surface experience in advance of going to Mars

155 comments

  1. Pfft by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sounds like the 'Don't Be' Committee to me..

  2. Elon Musk will beat them there by jfdavis668 · · Score: 1

    He will be the first to drive a Tesla on Mars.

    1. Re:Elon Musk will beat them there by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He already announced he'll be driving a Tesla on Mars by the end of 2016, ahead of schedule.

    2. Re:Elon Musk will beat them there by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, he let it slip in the Iron Man 2 movie. He'll be going on an electric rocket, as he said.

    3. Re:Elon Musk will beat them there by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have to agree with you. NASA gave us the :Space Shuttle' the biggest economic disaster in space history; Space Station Freedom, still born by cost;ISS, economic disaster and platform to nowhere; Mission to Mars, still born by cost. NASA should be banned from building or buying anything. Go Elon.

  3. Re:Paper rockets by Midnight+Thunder · · Score: 4, Informative

    Paper rockets for a has-been nation. Obama killed NASA heavy launch and gave us fake, unfunded programs. Go talk to China or India if you want progress.

    Are you sure this was Obamas's doing? I thought these sort of funding decisions was down to congress?

    The president can have great visions, but in the end depends on congress to allow them to happen.

    --
    Jumpstart the tartan drive.
  4. Great Timing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why do they come out with this kind of stuff right after I bought my ticket? The damn thing is non-refundable! [rushes out to see if CowboyNeal cashed the check yet]

  5. we've BEEN going to Mars! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    We first went to Mars in 1964, and we've never stopped. We've done all kinds of amazing science there, on an ongoing basis, and we continue to do so..

    Seriously, sending humans is silly. Humans are frail, highly expensive to maintain due to all the extra mass that must be taken along to keep them going, and increase the price of missions by two orders of magnitude. Let's get the most science for the dollar, which is not done by "flags and footprints". It's done by continuing to push the envelope of robotic exploration. We're so far from a sustainable Mars-colony that we don't even have to think about that. Maybe in a thousand years we can revisit. For now, it's a waste.

    1. Re:we've BEEN going to Mars! by MachineShedFred · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Perhaps you don't get as much science by sending a human, but humans relate to the experience of another human far better than what can be done remotely via camera and sensor.

      When Apollo 11 landed on the Moon in 1969, which was hardly one of the most peaceful years on record, the whole world stopped and watched. An entire generation of aerospace engineers was energized and motivated. It was a seminal moment in a turbulent era that defined what humans are capable of when we try.

      The Apollo program was worth 10x what we paid for it, and as a highly taxed citizen of the US, I'd happily pay to see my generation's moment when we step onto another planet for the first time in our species existence.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    2. Re:we've BEEN going to Mars! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Space Nuttery was never about science or exploring. It's all about a grandiose show and emotional, dramatic gothic sci-fi for autistic shut-ins.

    3. Re:we've BEEN going to Mars! by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 2

      Perhaps you don't get as much science by sending a human, ...

      Perhaps not as much science for the money spent, but perhaps more flexible science. With robotics, you have to decide *all* the science up front and bundle it with the machine. Humans can do all that and improvise and adapt. We can go places, see and do things robots cannot. Of course the reverse is true for really human-hostile places - for example, I do not want to be the first man to land on the Sun.

      --
      It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    4. Re: we've BEEN going to Mars! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yawn. I sense your desperation. And I don't really care. You should have given up on her in high school already, she was way out of your league.

    5. Re:we've BEEN going to Mars! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That depends on how highly scripted the human mission is, and how much true flexibility there is in terms of creating or modifying instruments on the fly, and how single-purpose the instruments are at launch time. And also on whether you are sending only fighter-jocks, or scientists and possibly engineers as well.

    6. Re:we've BEEN going to Mars! by Rei · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Really? Humans can improvise and adapt? So the human is supposed to build a mass spectrometer out of duct tape and discarded food pouches?

      Modern science isn't conducted by rubbing two sticks together and seeing what happens, it requires complicated equipment. Whatever we send, that's going to be the equipment that does the science, whether it's a rover or a human behind it.

      Humans can "go places and doing things" by means of us sending them and a huge amount of mass to support them, mass that could have made the robot vastly more capable of "going places" and "doing things" than the humans using up that payload mass could have. If your manned Mars mission costs 50 times more than a typical robotic mission then you're displacing 50 different robots with 50 completely different sets of capabilities sent to 50 different places on the planet. Or a dozen vastly more advanced rovers. Or hundreds of stripped down rovers.

      Humans just simply cannot compare, gram for gram. And gram for gram is what matters when delivering payload to the surface of Mars costs upwards of $100 per gram. Humans really only buy you latency. And who gives a rat's arse about latency when budgetary constraints limit how often you can fund something like that? If you can get the money for such a "supermission" once every 20 years, what does it really matter if the data comes back after one year or three?

      --
      He's the sort of person who would sell the Red Cross to Dracula.
    7. Re:we've BEEN going to Mars! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What's really telling about Space Nuttery, is how few of them go into the industry. It really shows their level of commitment (or lack thereof) and belief. Do as I want, not as I do.

    8. Re:we've BEEN going to Mars! by AthanasiusKircher · · Score: 1

      Perhaps you don't get as much science by sending a human, but humans relate to the experience of another human far better than what can be done remotely via camera and sensor.

      I don't know -- maybe we just need to make a movie about sending a human, make that human act like he's having an emotional experience, and everyone will just think the story is true?

      When Apollo 11 landed on the Moon in 1969, which was hardly one of the most peaceful years on record, the whole world stopped and watched. An entire generation of aerospace engineers was energized and motivated. It was a seminal moment in a turbulent era that defined what humans are capable of when we try.

      It also was a different era. Although concern about things like Vietnam and culture wars with college students was heating up, there still was less cynicism than today.

      For average people, you'd probably get much more "bang for your buck" by making movies like The Martian ("Based on a 'true' story") in terms of inspiring the masses. For educated folks like engineers today -- well, just take a look at a typical Slashdot discussion when stuff like this comes up.

      Unlike 1969, educated folk like engineers all know it's technically feasible to send a human to Mars. In 1969, it was a serious technical problem, and there were huge numbers of unknowns.

      Now the major problem is money. Achieving that is a lot less interesting to technical folks. But today I have absolutely no doubt that we could easily build the stuff and launch the stuff to put a guy on Mars with unlimited cash. But why would you?

      The Apollo program was worth 10x what we paid for it, and as a highly taxed citizen of the US, I'd happily pay to see my generation's moment when we step onto another planet for the first time in our species existence.

      If I thought it would actually create the kind of inspiration you assume it would, I'd agree with you. But I just think we live in a different culture now -- one that's more cynical about "inspirational figures," one where there's more distractions rather than the possibility of a widespread communal focus on such an achievement, and one that's more likely to "move on" to the next news cycle after a few weeks or months and forget about the billions and billions (trillions?) of dollars spent.

      I just don't think it's very likely to cause the same sort of major cultural revolution that led up to and extended beyond the Apollo program. And meanwhile, we have a LOT of serious problems on Earth to worry about, which that money could be really useful for.

      I'm not exactly against it, but I think we'd need a good reason to consider it other than the outside possibility of "inspiration."

    9. Re:we've BEEN going to Mars! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Time for you to get some therapy. You have a lot of issues to work out.

    10. Re: we've BEEN going to Mars! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Speaking of autistic, I seem to have a stalker with OCD, always repeating the same word salad. It's a symptom of mental illness or neurological damage; I suggest you stay on this rock and seek medical advice. Since I think Space Nuttery is also a sympton of a mental disorder, might as well get help for that too.

    11. Re:we've BEEN going to Mars! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Mars Rover program has wildly exceeded expectations, and budgetary concerns. But I have been given reason to believe an onsite astronaut could have done it in an afternoon. Wrong? You have to remember too that there would be people still lining up even if it was a oneway trip to eventual suicide.

    12. Re:we've BEEN going to Mars! by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 1

      Really? Humans can improvise and adapt? So the human is supposed to build a mass spectrometer out of duct tape and discarded food pouches?

      Don't be obtuse and/or an ass. If you send people, you'd probably *also* send the same/similar equipment you'd send for a robotic mission. By "improvise and adapt" I meant things like people could select samples that might outside the operational parameters for a robot - too big, out of reach, etc... Humans can explore places a robot isn't designed to go.

      The rest of your argument is, of course valid, but it ignores my statement that agrees sending humans would provide: "Perhaps not as much science for the money spent,".

      I agreed with your points before you made them, but offered that having humans onsite offers more that what robots alone can provide. I didn't discount the value of robotic-only missions.

      So, stop jerking your knee and actually read what someone writes.

      --
      It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    13. Re:we've BEEN going to Mars! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Aerospace pays pretty well. The thing is that many space enthusiasts are geek, and aerospace is hard. Very hard. Contrarily to a much-cherished legend (mostly cherished by geeks themselves), geeks are actually not that smart. They're average intelligence at best, they may give some impression of knowing more than they do because they like to sprinkle their uncoordinated speech with high-sounding words and repeat concepts memorized and not really understood, but that's about it. Do not confuse real and dedicated enthusiasts with geeks: aerospace engineers are quite a modest and unassuming lot who enter the field knowing that they have a lot to learn. Geeks think they already know it all. They rarely make it past the first year in college. It's not "because asparagus" or whatever, they simply aren't up to it.

    14. Re:we've BEEN going to Mars! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > When Apollo 11 landed on the Moon in 1969...

      It was one giant leap of faith for mankind.

    15. Re:we've BEEN going to Mars! by GrumpySteen · · Score: 1

      Modern science isn't conducted by rubbing two sticks together and seeing what happens, it requires complicated equipment.

      Sometimes it's not much more complicated than rubbing two sticks together, no complicated equipment required.

    16. Re:we've BEEN going to Mars! by lgw · · Score: 1

      Really? Humans can improvise and adapt? So the human is supposed to build a mass spectrometer out of duct tape and discarded food pouches?

      It like you've never seen a SciFi movie, or something.

      Humans just simply cannot compare, gram for gram.

      Depends on the goal. You were responding to a post about "the science", and in that context, sure, that's clear. But I've never seen that as the point of the space program - science is a happy byproduct.

      The point is to inspire. To inspire people to care about science and engineering. To inspire people to think beyond their neighborhood or nation. To inspire people to want to become scientists. It takes humans on grand adventures to do this.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    17. Re:we've BEEN going to Mars! by Rei · · Score: 1, Insightful

      You should see the setup they use to produce the graphene before separating out the layers with tape.

      Also, may I add: it's a stupid assumption that robot operators can't innovate either. Because they do this sort of stuff all the time, inventing new techniques - using the hardware they sent - to do things that weren't expected at the time. From rovers dragging wheels to expose buried sediments while they roam, to New Horizons' doubling its planned data throughput by the realization that they could run both TWTAs at the same time with different polarization if they got the extra power by shutting down the flight computer after spin-stabilizing the craft.... the limitation isn't humans. Because humans are involved, they're the ones controlling the robots. The robots are only limited by what hardware was sent. As are humans. Send a robot with a duct tape tool and it can make things out of duct tape too that weren't planned when they launched.

      --
      He's the sort of person who would sell the Red Cross to Dracula.
    18. Re:we've BEEN going to Mars! by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      Let's get the most science for the dollar, which is not done by "flags and footprints". It's done by continuing to push the envelope of robotic exploration.

      That is an interesting assumption. Do probes actually give us more "science" for the dollar?

      Did we learn more about the Moon from the Apollo missions than the Soviet Union learned from all of their Luna missions? I'd argue that we learned more than they did. But it cost us more money. Unfortunately, there isn't really a good way to know the actual cost of the Luna missions (socialist governments and all) so it's tough to compare the cost/knowledge.

      In reality, sending human beings is the best option. Humans can solve problems and have greater capabilities than probes. But human are really expensive to send because of all the reasons that you give. While you may get more "science" from the larger amount of money and the ratios might be better than sending probes, it's still a large amount of money to spend over a fairly long time. That can be tricky to arrange in any political climate.

      Probes, to me, are the next best thing. They're more limited, but they are much cheaper. So rather than spending a billion dollars to send scientists to Mars to learn as much as possible, I can spend 1 million to send a probe to Mars to look for evidence of water (as an aside, how many probes did we send to Mars to find evidence of water?) and spend another million to send a probe to Mars to sample the air and so on. Spread that out over 40 some-odd years and it's not quite so painful to the pocket book than putting everything into one mission.

    19. Re:we've BEEN going to Mars! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      People line up to blow themselves up for Allah too, doesn't mean that people lining up for something is
      1) A guarantee of sanity
      2) An indication of the worth of yuor project

    20. Re:we've BEEN going to Mars! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Issues like talking for the entire species? Like worrying about Death Asteroids in some distant unspecified future? Issues like worrying about the species in a million years when evolution is still happening and there won't be a human species anyways? Issues like thinking science fiction is a blueprint for the species? Issues like being impressed by fictional concepts at 14 and not letting them go when you're middle-aged?

      Issues like that?

    21. Re:we've BEEN going to Mars! by drunk_punk · · Score: 1

      You're robot isn't going to get much science done when MY astronaut kicks it over the nearest cliff.

    22. Re:we've BEEN going to Mars! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't disagree on your idea that robots are more practical right now. However I do think you are oversimplifying that humans only buy latency. There's much more to it than that.

      Human presence buys you flexibility and fault tolerance. Things go wrong, discoveries get made, priorities change. Having a human present allows the mission to morph quickly and in a far more optimal way.

      Robotic systems often have a very limited set of backups for equipment failures. It's not at all uncommon for some mechanical system to get "stuck" and there's little or nothing that can be done about it. The engineers will tell you, "oh well that's a planning failure, we should have put a redundant system on that." Except you never know which system will experience the failure. So you attempt to make everything redundant and in the process, you make your robot too heavy, too expensive, too slow, draw too much power, and the planning/engineering/build cycle takes too long. "Oh that's the wrong kind of redundancy, you just make 2 robots. Or 12." Yes that helps, but typically the mission quickly grows to depend upon the entire fleet being in service. Or most of it at least.

      Here's another issue people do better at. At Mars distances the communication lag gets very significant. People can do well in this environment. You can give them high level instructions and they will follow the plan until they need to improvise. Even if your comm link goes down the people will remain active, productive, and highly functional. Robots need much more detailed instructions and when they run out of instructions to perform, they just stop.

      I realize this is a category of latency but it's worth parsing out.

    23. Re:we've BEEN going to Mars! by raind · · Score: 1

      Are you sure our species has never been on another planet?

      --
      Get up!
    24. Re:we've BEEN going to Mars! by dryeo · · Score: 1

      Of course your astronaut isn't going to do much after breaking his foot trying to kick a 1000kg robot

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
    25. Re:we've BEEN going to Mars! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We did not have the cheap technology and experience during the Apollo missions to compare costs to value as we do today. I think all the funds on the Apollo missions would produce far more science and exploration through robots than we did spend on human and the carriages they required.

      I am sorry that some cannot experience joy through discovery itself and require a human hand to be present to even relate. Would they be happy if the robots looked more like humans? Because that would be much cheaper and allow for much more thrilling and deep exploration.

      I agree with the original post that moving humans in outer space is a waste when so much more can be achieved through digital/mechanical means.
      But humanity should not pay for their deficiencies.

      I feel great worry and excitement whenever a probe lands or data comes back from a science satellite. I do not require a human life to be in danger and at stake in order to feel joy.

  6. Funding by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "The panel found a number of areas of concern surrounding the Journey to Mars program, virtually all of them stemming from inadequate funding."

    Then the panel is considering the wrong things. The areas of concern regarding a journey to Mars are many, all much greater than any funding consideration. Basically, sending people to Mars with current technology is a stupid idea. The moon is _right next door_. Let's figure out how to live there first.

    1. Re:Funding by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The moon is _right next door_. Let's figure out how to live there first.

      AFAIK living on the Moon is a bigger challenge than living on Mars. It stays dark on the Moon for a month, so it gets very cold. There's also no lunar atmosphere to provide a little radiation protection.

    2. Re: Funding by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Both the moon and Mars suffer cold and radiation, so in practice on both you would live underground.

      Nearly all that you would learn by living on the moon would transfer to living on Mars.

  7. Re:Paper rockets by jfdavis668 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yes, Congress funds projects, not the President.

  8. Nano straw to Earth by Dareth · · Score: 0

    If you had a "nano" straw to Earth from the moon, could you sip air from it?

    --

    I only look human.
    My mother is a halfling and my dad is an ogre, so that makes me an Ogreling
    1. Re:Nano straw to Earth by dominux · · Score: 3, Informative

      no, and sticking nano on the front of it doesn't make much difference.

      You know how barometric pressure used to be given in inches of mercury? well that was the number of inches you could suck a pool of mercury up a straw (don't do that!) before you end up with a vacuum at the top of your straw and you are sucking away and nothing is rising any further because the pressure of the atmosphere won't push it up any more. Turns out you can't suck it up that far before it would rather not go any further. If you use other fluids the same kind of thing happens, but more so, because mercury is heavy. For water I think it is about 13 meters For the atmosphere itself the distance you can suck it up a straw is exactly the height of the atmosphere!

    2. Re:Nano straw to Earth by PSXer · · Score: 1

      Maybe you could blow the air instead? Granted, it'd have to be a pretty magic straw since the earth-moon distance changes by 26,000 miles through it's orbit. Not to mention that the pumping station would have to be mobile unless you want the straw to wrap around the Earth.

    3. Re:Nano straw to Earth by bobbied · · Score: 1

      If you had a "nano" straw to Earth from the moon, could you sip air from it?

      No, that takes MEGA MAID and the combination to Druidia's atmosphere.... Be sure to get the switch in the right position...

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    4. Re:Nano straw to Earth by Rei · · Score: 1

      no, and sticking nano on the front of it doesn't make much difference.

      I nanodisagree with you.

      --
      He's the sort of person who would sell the Red Cross to Dracula.
    5. Re:Nano straw to Earth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the moon were made of spareribs, would you eat it? I would, I'd ask for seconds!

    6. Re:Nano straw to Earth by IceAgeComing · · Score: 2

      Careful, you might be committing a nanoaggression with that statement.

    7. Re:Nano straw to Earth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Couldn't you just package up some of the air from earth in some sort of container and bring it there, and then use that to breathe? Just brainstorming this issue....

    8. Re:Nano straw to Earth by Dareth · · Score: 1

      These comments have gone from suck to blow!

      --

      I only look human.
      My mother is a halfling and my dad is an ogre, so that makes me an Ogreling
  9. Congress power of purse by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I think more important things need to be done on Earth then a sending people to Mars. So far, all the unmanned vehicles have not provided any real reason to send a human to Mars. We dream to go there because our technology does not provide any other manageable travel to anything else. We go to the Moon again, or Mars.
    It's like not being able to go to Hawaii so let's go to Disney World again. We go go to Mars many times for the price of one human trip. Why would we do that?
    To plant yet another flag?

  10. Oh? What were they thinking before? by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

    That it would be a easy trip to California?

    La cucaracha, la cucaracha...

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
  11. Re:Paper rockets by Pseudonymous+Powers · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The problem is not a particular president or a particular Congress. It's the fact that space missions have, somehow, become politicized. So, every time the balance of power shifts, the new legislature/administration immediately cancels the space program decided upon by the previous administration/legislature, because they want to screw over the other party. Then the new guys propose their own plan for space exploration, which, just like the old one, will take 15 years to show results, which of course guarantees that it will be cancelled in its turn when the electorate gets tired of the clowns in charge and votes them out again.

    If NASA is ever again going to be a serious participant in the exploration of space, then it's going to need to either run missions that only take a couple years start-to-finish, which severely limits what can be done, or get buy-in from both parties for a longer-term project, which will be almost impossible to achieve.

  12. Re:Paper rockets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "the Obama administration decided to exclude Constellation from the 2011 United States federal budget." -- Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    Obama killed Constellation and replaced it with paper rocket program called Space Launch System.

  13. Can I be the first to say "Duh"? by sjbe · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The panel found a number of areas of concern surrounding the Journey to Mars program, virtually all of them stemming from inadequate funding.

    They needed a panel to figure this out? Shit, I have nothing at all to do with NASA and I thought that was bleeding obvious from the cheap seats where I sit. The Apollo program required funding about 4X what we see today as a percent of federal budget. I don't really see us getting back to the moon within my lifetime (much less mars) without a very substantial budget increase. It's been 40 years since we landed on the moon and we haven't been out of low orbit since. I see nothing in the current plans that will change that.

    1. Re:Can I be the first to say "Duh"? by MachineShedFred · · Score: 2

      Showing NASA's budget as a percentage of the entire Federal budget isn't a very good comparison, as the Federal budget has ballooned into an unmanageable pork buffet with each and every member of Congress swilling at the trough, as well as each and every corporation that can find space to dip their own snouts.

      Our elected officials are not nearly the stewards of the country's treasure as they once were.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    2. Re:Can I be the first to say "Duh"? by Lodlaiden · · Score: 1

      Replying to cancel moderation. Meant +1 Insightful

      --
      Suborbital [spaceflight] is the special olympics of spaceflight. - Rei
    3. Re:Can I be the first to say "Duh"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What is more, better technology means the ability to do more with less resources. Any given thing should be cheaper now (in real terms) then in the 1960s. And it is...if you look at SpaceX. Not so much at NASA but if they still had the Apollo mentality it would be different.

    4. Re:Can I be the first to say "Duh"? by OzPeter · · Score: 1

      A better comparison from the same page is Cost of the Apollo Program which estimates that the total Apollo cost was around $136B in 2007 dollars. Yet Mars One says it will only cost $6B to put the first 4 people on Mars and $4B per 4 people after that. That's a hell of a difference compared to the cost per person of putting people on the Moon (about $11B per person all up).

      --
      I am Slashdot. Are you Slashdot as well?
    5. Re:Can I be the first to say "Duh"? by painandgreed · · Score: 1

      The panel found a number of areas of concern surrounding the Journey to Mars program, virtually all of them stemming from inadequate funding.

      They needed a panel to figure this out?

      They probably needed a panel to officially tell the public this. If any particular official would happen to call bullshit on the government's claims of wanting to send people to Mars, they'd probably find themselves alone and in hot water. Form a p[anel, collect the facts, dot their i's and cross their t's and announce what everybody knows and see if anybody cares now that official notice has been given.

    6. Re:Can I be the first to say "Duh"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A better comparison from the same page is Cost of the Apollo Program which estimates that the total Apollo cost was around $136B in 2007 dollars. Yet Mars One says it will only cost $6B to put the first 4 people on Mars and $4B per 4 people after that. That's a hell of a difference compared to the cost per person of putting people on the Moon (about $11B per person all up).

      True, but Mars One doesn't have a goal of getting people back from Mars. If you're willing to send people somewhere for them to die, you can cut a lot of corners...

    7. Re:Can I be the first to say "Duh"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Its kind of sad too. a 4x increase in nasa's budget would mean 4 drops get put into the bucket instead of 1.

    8. Re:Can I be the first to say "Duh"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What the hell is insightful about comparing budget on percentage of the federal budget?

    9. Re:Can I be the first to say "Duh"? by Mr.+Shotgun · · Score: 1

      I don't really see us getting back to the moon within my lifetime (much less mars) without a very substantial budget increase.

      Then the problem is easy to solve. with Nasa's recent announcement:

      1. Reorganize Nasa as a military branch
      2. Retitle the Planetary Defense Office as the Planetary Defense Force as suggested by Slashdot user hey!
      3. Designate Mars as an ideal forward observation post
      4. Watch that sweet sweet defense spending money roll in (bonus if they Photoshop a turban onto an asteroid)
      --
      Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the (supposed) good of its victims may be the most oppressive
  14. Tax money is always political by sjbe · · Score: 2

    The problem is not a particular president or a particular Congress. It's the fact that space missions have, somehow, become politicized.

    When you are spending taxpayer money it is ALWAYS political. This was true back during the Apollo era too. We just ignored it because of the Cold War.

    The real problem is that to fund something like a space program you either need to be doing it for national security (see Cold War) or there needs to be economic opportunity. The economic opportunity is actually there but unfortunately the benefits are indirect and long term which makes it a hard sell to politicians who only care about the next election cycle.

  15. Can we stop this ? by gx5000 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Let's go back to the moon and stay in high orbit.

    Let's stop pretending humans can survive in deep space or or Mars.
    It doesn't take a week of reading articles @ JPL to realize we're not built for longterm weightlessness or different gravities.
    Let's send remote devices that can do our bidding now.

    Maybe one day when we start either manipulating our DNA or build ships with artificial gravity....but landfall is going to be unhealthy
    and not in anyone's lifetime that can even see this page. It's all a con.

    --
    End of Line.
    1. Re:Can we stop this ? by bobbied · · Score: 1

      To me, the problem isn't so much gravity or technology but radiation.

      Space is a NASTY place to try and stay alive in. If you can survive the weightlessness and vacuum with the right technology but the radiation is going to kill you. Providing shielding is theoretically possible, it's just not practical. Some kinds of radiation don't respond to magnetic or electric fields so they cannot be deflected, only blocked by using mass, lots of mass. It doesn't take much imagination to figure out why having lots of mass is a issue for space craft designers...

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    2. Re:Can we stop this ? by Rei · · Score: 1

      "Artificial gravity" is actually a well understood technology - centripetal/centrifugal force. We still need prototype testing though before we try it out, particularly if we want to do it with tethers rather than rigid structures (our experience with tethers in space has been less than stellar). It also imposes minimum size constraints on the diameter of the craft, as you don't want people exposed to too much tidal forces between their head and their feet.

      Regardless, while living in space isn't "good for a person", the sort of timespans being talked about aren't fatal. The effects of the radiation exposure are more concerning. And the easiest way around that is huge amounts of mass being launched. And the most realistic way to do that at this point in time is probably to make launch costs lower (that's probably easier than dragging large enough asteroids into orbit and building spacecraft into them or breaking them into bits and cementing them onto a spacecraft). Low launch costs also have a tremendous number of side benefits. So in terms of "keeping humans safe and healthy during long voyages", the focus should be on reducing launch costs. Dramatically.

      Thankfully physics doesn't stand in the way - our costs to orbit are several orders of magnitude higher than the energy costs, and even taking the rocket equation and "normal" chemical propellants as a given (not necessarily a fundamental assumption) it's "simply" a matter of engineering to get the costs down**. But said engineering takes serious funding. The sort of funding that we generally prefer to put into moon voyages, space stations, and the latest trend, manned Mars missions. ;)

      ** Assuming a 20:1 mass ratio and $1/kg propellants, both of which are actually rather unfavorable assumptions, the propellant-cost-to-orbit is a mere $20/kg. Current launch costs are 100 to 1000 times that. So there's a massive amount of room for improvement.

      --
      He's the sort of person who would sell the Red Cross to Dracula.
    3. Re: Can we stop this ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It depends on how its done, the timing is the most important thing. Getting there and retaining enough muscle and bone mass for Mars 1/2 gravity is doable if its timed right and if the crew sticks to a vigorous workout program.

      It's the return that is the killer. By the time they got back the astronauts bones would be too brittle to handle earth's gravity and muscle atrophy would be even further advanced.

      This is really the best case argument for going to the moon first, so we can build a small rehabilitation facility to get them back in to shape starting with 1/6 gravity before subjecting them to the full weight of earth after 2.5 years or longer in very low G.

      More so than radiation, supplies, return launch vehicle, Mars labs/shelter/etc...the gravity well is the real potential problem.

      It's not insurmountable, but is going to require a lot more thought unless we are willing to send enough supply/shelter ahead of time for Mars to Stay and are willing to send an elderly crew.

      Personally, I think this would be better, find a group of verg healthy people in their 40s and 50s now and every year for the following decade, launch a fully supplied lab module like an inflatable Bigalow Station with dried food and equipment to extract water and oxygen.

      Assuming Robotics is good enough and the modules are light enough and can be landed somewhat near each other, (a lot of assuming I know) it might be possible to at least remotely join them together or at the very least position closely so that the humans and rovers the arrive can finish placing them, linking and inflating them.

      We ought to send like 20 to 30 heavy cargo pods all aimed for the same general area and many packed with redunt supplies so we can be safe in assuming even of 50% fail to make it reasonably close together, enough will be that the colony would have a fighting chance of lasting more than a week.

      Once those pods are in place (or close enough) then we could launch an elderly human crew in their late 50s and early 60s with no return trip planned.

      Very few people would be able to handle it and we would have to be prepared to take drastic measures if one of them lost their marbles and risked endangering the other colonists, which could mean having to euthanize the troubled crew member, something we are not ready willing to do.

      So yeah, I am not in the 'impossible for 1000 years camp, in fact I think we could do it in ten to twenty if we want to keep them in exile and dramatically shorten the colonists lives.

      If we want to do a return trip, your talking more like 30, ten to build the moonbase/rehab facility and another twenty to supply the landing site on Mars with return craft and put enough supply on the ground and in orbit for our arrival and departure.

      Mars to Stay sounds much better to me and were I older and still healthy I would do it even if it meant sentencing myself to an early death.

    4. Re:Can we stop this ? by StikyPad · · Score: 1

      Stop peddling your fictitious forces! We're not buying it!

    5. Re:Can we stop this ? by Rei · · Score: 1

      Come now, do you really expect me to do coordinate substitution in my head while strapped to a centrifuge?

      --
      He's the sort of person who would sell the Red Cross to Dracula.
    6. Re:Can we stop this ? by Brett+Buck · · Score: 1

      This is the usual "oh, look at all the insurmountable problems/medical disaster" Chicken Little stuff. Since day one, there has been one scare story after another about how people aren't designed to be in space and that some unresolved disaster is waiting just a bit beyond current experience. Virtually ALL of it has proven to be nonsense or a pretty-easily-resolved problem. Same people were around when the steam engine was invented, they/you were wrong then, and you are wrong now.

      There's absolutely nothing we know or suspect about this sort of mission that doesn't have a relatively simple technological solution. Solar flare? we know how to use the massive supplies as shields. 0-G effects? - solution devised in Collier's magazine in the 50's and demonstrated on-orbit in 1966.

                The panel is more-or-less correct, the biggest issue is the lack of consistent funding and changing priorities from year to year. These prevent solving the real issues of the massive scale of such a project.

    7. Re:Can we stop this ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No Mr Anonymous,
      I expect you to die!

    8. Re:Can we stop this ? by IceAgeComing · · Score: 1

      I see your Collier's magazine reference from 50 years ago and raise you a recent peer-reviewed article:

      "Why the NASA Approach Will Likely Fail to Send Humans to Mars for Many Decades to Come"

      http://link.springer.com/chapt...

    9. Re:Can we stop this ? by lgw · · Score: 1

      Just so. It's all about the cost-to-orbit IMO. And to go beyond high orbit, it's mostly about the cost to get fuel into orbit. I do think mankind will be traveling the Solar System one day, and not just sending robots, but we're not going to get very far without near-free fuel available in orbit. And that of course requires making it there from asteroids.

      Robotics has moved so far in the past 20 years that this no longer seems like a fantasy. Turning a CHON asteroid into a fuel depot opens up the Solar System to us, and the hard part of that isn't getting an asteroid parked someplace convenient, but the difficulty of make fuel out of it. The process itself isn't overly complicated, but the robotics needed to do so nearly autonomously is beyond us. It no longer seems like an unapproachable problem now, however, from self-driving cars to increasingly automated manufacturing, it seems like we're nearly there.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    10. Re:Can we stop this ? by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      Some kinds of radiation don't respond to magnetic or electric fields so they cannot be deflected [...]

      In that case, wouldn't those of us on Earth have the same problem?

    11. Re:Can we stop this ? by painandgreed · · Score: 1

      Let's go back to the moon and stay in high orbit.

      Trouble is, the people not paying for a Mars trip don't have any interest in paying for a moon trip either.

    12. Re:Can we stop this ? by grahamwest · · Score: 1

      NASA Ames had an interesting concept for that, which is not only to use the large amount of water a long-duration mission would need as shielding, but to use the "waste products" of the astronauts to replace that shielding as the water was lost (extremely hard to avoid small losses even with really good recycling tech).

      Getting the mass off Earth is expensive but not difficult per se. Re-usable launchers will change that game, because the amount of mass per launch is flexible, unlike launching a giant space station. Water's water, whether it takes 15 launches or 17 isn't that big a deal.

      --
      Graham
    13. Re:Can we stop this ? by bobbied · · Score: 1

      No, we live on this thing called Earth which has a really deep and dense atmosphere which shields us from the really bad stuff that makes it though the magnetic shielding which naturally exists...

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    14. Re:Can we stop this ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I see your Collier's magazine reference from 50 years ago and raise you a recent peer-reviewed article:

      "Why the NASA Approach Will Likely Fail to Send Humans to Mars for Many Decades to Come"

      http://link.springer.com/chapt...

      Why introduce science into the argument at this late date? Pay attention to the important question - in which state will the money be spent?

  16. I was right, I was right!! by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

    I've been saying for ages that this push to skip the Moon and go straight to Mars with manned missions was a bad idea.

    1. Re:I was right, I was right!! by jfdavis668 · · Score: 1

      I am so glad that someone on the Internet was right.

  17. Re:Paper rockets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm sure you're ready to move there too, you know, to make your feet follow your mouth?

  18. Invest in our future by sjbe · · Score: 1

    I think more important things need to be done on Earth then a sending people to Mars. So far, all the unmanned vehicles have not provided any real reason to send a human to Mars.

    Sure they have. It's another freakin' planet. Or haven't you seen the photographs? You think another planet wouldn't be awfully interesting to explore in person?

    It's like not being able to go to Hawaii so let's go to Disney World again. We go go to Mars many times for the price of one human trip. Why would we do that? To plant yet another flag?

    Because we would hugely advance human knowledge by going. On trip involving humans would require advances in medicine, life support, shielding, power, communications, propulsion, ground transport, and even possibly agriculture just to start with. More technology would have to be developed than you will see from 100 years of robotic probes. You also will get FAR more excitement about humans going. Only science geeks really give a shit about sending probes but pretty much everyone will be interested (at least for a while) in a human setting foot on Mars. Sending a person to Mars can inspire entire generations of engineers and scientists. Robots not so much.

    We can make the choice to not invest in sending people outside of low earth orbit but I think that is extremely foolish and short sighted. A manned space program is among the very best investments in our future I can think of. Economically, socially and experientially.

    1. Re:Invest in our future by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      The future is in cyberspace, not outerspace.

    2. Re:Invest in our future by craighansen · · Score: 1

      Do you think preventing the next asteroid impact on Earth might be more important than colonizing Mars? Sentinel is also short of funding.

  19. Great! by no-body · · Score: 1

    Who needs to be on Mars when the own planet is in peril. Just a mind-distraction from currently unsolved issues.
    Seems to be some firmware bug in human brains. Fixing that one, maybe a collective reboot is needed....
    Good luck!

    1. Re:Great! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The idea that you can (or should) do only one thing at a time is sheer foolishness. In real life a leader needs to manage multiple tasks at a time, giving each one the proportionate amount of attention that it needs. If you (as a person or a nation) are only capable of one thing at a time, you should step aside and let someone with more chops run things.

    2. Re:Great! by bobbied · · Score: 1

      Fixing that one, maybe a collective reboot is needed....

      Advocating for another mass extinction event eh? Yea, that's the ticket. Let's wipe civilization off the face of the earth....

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    3. Re:Great! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you read Kim Stanley Robinson's 2015 book, Aurora, you will see that even he, the author of the famous Mars trilogy, now thinks that we need to concentrate on Earth before we start reaching for other planets. Life is local.

    4. Re:Great! by no-body · · Score: 1

      Fixing that one, maybe a collective reboot is needed....

      Advocating for another mass extinction event eh? Yea, that's the ticket. Let's wipe civilization off the face of the earth....

      Nope - will first go into another mode and maybe comes to it's senses, like firmware/kernel update on a running system. If you look at the dysfunction of political systems across the board, appearance of pseudo authorities killing everyone not following their programming - IS comes to mind - then terrorizing more democratic systems, Europe for example, those systems going bonkers in reaction.

      Interesting times. Ah - I forgot Trump becoming president, where did he get his money from and how many underlings worked for it, so it comes together? With Bill Gates this is easy to determine. The frame of mind of the guy Martin Shkreli being proud of buying a company/rights and then rise the price of a pill from $ 13 to $ 750, being proud of it and praised by some money folks - great stuff!

      Factum: The smaller the income spread in a population is, the more happy people live in it. The reverse of this is .... Aren't there rich-people conclaves where they stick together an can be happy?

    5. Re:Great! by bfpierce · · Score: 1

      "Who needs to explore the New World when we have plenty of unsolved issues right here in Europe"

      The Natives here would have been happy I guess, but this line of thinking isn't how to make technological progress.

    6. Re:Great! by jerryjnormandin · · Score: 1

      It's what makes us human. We need to explore.

    7. Re:Great! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Which peril are you referring to, there are so many, which have been with us for so long. We'll never have all of our problems here on Earth solved, while that shouldn't stop us from working on them it shouldn't stop our other endeavors. NASA's budget is around 1% of our governments expenditures, that sounds a little low to me. 5% should probably go towards exploration (deep sea, space, etc), 10-15% to defense, the rest to social/infrastructure/environment/etc.

    8. Re:Great! by no-body · · Score: 1

      It's what makes us human. We need to explore.

      Says who? - "need" ???

    9. Re:Great! by no-body · · Score: 1

      The idea that you can (or should) do only one thing at a time is sheer foolishness. In real life a leader needs to manage multiple tasks at a time, giving each one the proportionate amount of attention that it needs. If you (as a person or a nation) are only capable of one thing at a time, you should step aside and let someone with more chops run things.

      "One thing" - where do you get "one thing" on this planet?

    10. Re:Great! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How much of this planet have you explored yourself?

  20. Re:Paper rockets by LWATCDR · · Score: 2

    President puts forward the budget and congress approves.
    If you support the President you blame congress.
    If you do not like the President you blame him.

    Truth is that President Obama did have the killing of the constellation program as a plank in his platform. Frankly none of the HHLV that have been proposed over the last decade or so seem like great ideas. They mostly seem like recycling old programs.

    --
    See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
  21. Absent political leadership by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You'd think someone like the head of the Senate Subcommittee on Space and Science would realize that there was not enough money budgeted to design payloads, to actually use the SLS. Knowing this, shouldn't that senator have pushed for the cancellation of the SLS program years ago? I think someone whom has successfully developed luxury properties would understand project management better.

  22. Re:Paper rockets by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 2

    somehow, become politicized.

    There has never been a time in history when it wasn't politicized. NASA was never all that popular, even in the heyday of Apollo. I think the highest it has ever been was during Apollo 11.

  23. Congress should have let it die by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Congress should have known they were not going to allocate enough money to make the SLS worthwhile. You'd think Congress would understand itself better than that.

    They should have let Obama kill it off, and keep the ISS fully funded with research.

  24. Re:Paper rockets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    With Obama's track record of executive actions?

  25. We're spending less is the point by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Showing NASA's budget as a percentage of the entire Federal budget isn't a very good comparison

    There are plenty of others if you prefer. Pick any one of them. My point stands. We are spending less on the space program by whatever inflation adjusted measure you care to use. Thinking we are going to get to Mars which is MUCH harder than getting to the moon while spending less is pretty naive I think.

  26. Radiation.. weighlessness.. random space debris.. by jerryjnormandin · · Score: 1

    There's many risk during space flight. I'm impressed with our rover track record. what many people don't realize is the martian magnetosphere is very week. It's not strong enough to protect DNA from damaging radiation. The solar and cosmic radiation bombarding mars will need to be dealt with. We've learned how to build a life support system.. but even the ISS needs oxygen, nitrogen, and water and depends on supplies sent. I don't think we have the technology to support a 150 - 300 day flight to Mars (all depends on time of launch). Lets say a the mission starts when mars is closest to the earth. 150 days out. .. 10 days on mars... @ 300 days to make it home. the mission would last at least 1 1/2 years. That's a long time to survive space. Life support systems can fail. return command module can fail. The landing module would need to provide a shelter against the harsh martian environment. Adequate air pressure, oxygen, nitrogen, and protection against solar and cosmic radiation. The martian magnetosphere is very weak. We need that drive we had in the 50s that lead to being the first to land on the moon. we didn't know if our astronauts would make it home then either. We are going to need enough fuel for lift off of mars, break martian gravity and point the spacecraft to earth, and a safe reentry. I am not sure if we have the technology yet.

  27. Rocket scientists by macson_g · · Score: 2

    So trip to Mars is dangerous? Go figure...

    1. Re:Rocket scientists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd be a lot more worried if NASA said "what the heck, why not, it'll be a piece of cake."

  28. Private companies aren't taking us to Mars by sjbe · · Score: 2

    Any given thing should be cheaper now (in real terms) then in the 1960s. And it is...if you look at SpaceX.

    SpaceX is doing things that have already been done. They aren't breaking major new technical ground. They are breaking new economic ground by improving already existing technology. Don't get me wrong, that's SUPER important but SpaceX isn't going to send us to Mars. They aren't working on that problem in any meaningful way because they can't. No private company can make a credible business case for going to Mars. The economic and physical risks are large and mostly unquantified, the cost is enormous, the technology needed is substantial and well beyond any one company to develop, etc. No business could possibly hope to do it.

    The ONLY institution with enough money and the ability to absorb the risk of pure exploration is a nation state. They might contract SpaceX to do something but the only realistic route to the first boots on Mars is through NASA or some other nation's equivalent agency.

    1. Re:Private companies aren't taking us to Mars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No business could possibly hope to do it.

      The ONLY institution with enough money and the ability to absorb the risk of pure exploration is a nation state.

      Except for Apple, what with their $205 billion dollars in cash on hand...

    2. Re:Private companies aren't taking us to Mars by solartear · · Score: 1

      Any given thing should be cheaper now (in real terms) then in the 1960s. And it is...if you look at SpaceX.

      They might contract SpaceX to do something but the only realistic route to the first boots on Mars is through NASA or some other nation's equivalent agency.

      That is the point. NASA needs companies like SpaceX who are about developing the technology to drastically reduce costs to make the program/mission efficient enough. NASA enables companies to develop the cost-efficient technology, and then those companies' technologies enable NASA do the expensive missions within a lower budget.

    3. Re:Private companies aren't taking us to Mars by lgw · · Score: 1

      SpaceX is doing things that have already been done. They aren't breaking major new technical ground. They are breaking new economic ground by improving already existing technology. Don't get me wrong, that's SUPER important but SpaceX isn't going to send us to Mars

      Well, TFA insists that the main obstacle to going to Mars is cost (which is another way of spelling funding). SpaceX is focused only on a part of that, launch costs, but dropping the price-to-orbit of 1 kg by an order of magnitude would make a huge difference in space exploration, whether human or robot. It may be a necessary part of going to Mars, given the funding environment.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    4. Re:Private companies aren't taking us to Mars by grahamwest · · Score: 1

      I think that's an unfair characterisation of what SpaceX has done/is doing.

      Landing an intact first stage after it was travelling 6,000mph the other direction is pretty groundbreaking. Propulsive landing of a space capsule for re-use is pretty major too. That one's only partially demonstrated, but it's not the blocker in Dragon 2 progress and the work on Falcon 9 re-use feeds into it as well.

      Then there's the Raptor engine, most of the way through the development with some components already tested to a high degree. A full-flow gas-gas staged combustion engine and a large one at that. No-one's built an engine like that before. The Russians had the RD-270, which does most of this (and was 3x the thrust, which is very impressive indeed) but not with cryogenic propellants nor having them be fully gaseous when they drive the turbopumps. Mastering all the technologies for that is a big deal.

      --
      Graham
    5. Re:Private companies aren't taking us to Mars by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      SpaceX is doing things that have already been done. They aren't breaking major new technical ground.

      Well said. NASA's job is to break new ground and push the boundaries of what we know. Once they do that to some level it's up to others to take what NASA has done and commercialize it.

    6. Re: Private companies aren't taking us to Mars by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      And yet, spacex is busy developing inexpensive shlv to take there. In addition, they are developing a lander for mars as well. Now, who will pay for it? My guess is that spacex will be happy to take cargo and ppl to the moon. And how many groups want that now? A lot. Private space will get us to the moon AND Mars.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  29. Re:Paper rockets by bigpat · · Score: 1

    Paper rockets for a has-been nation. Obama killed NASA heavy launch and gave us fake, unfunded programs. Go talk to China or India if you want progress.

    Are you sure this was Obamas's doing? I thought these sort of funding decisions was down to congress?

    The president can have great visions, but in the end depends on congress to allow them to happen.

    The president's study on the future of human space flight suggested a manned mission to an asteroid as a next step because it would be a more doable milestone, we could pick the easiest asteroid to get to and back from and it would give us experience in deep space without having to also get us back off the surface of Mars which essentially doubles all the mission cost and risk.

    An asteroid mission was a practical milestone (despite my own initially poor reaction) but not very sexy, so they went back to the 'Ya sure we are going to Mars' because that has captured the public imagination and Hollywood more than any other destination. Fortunately (or unfortunately depending on your view) it has not captured the public's wallets enough to fund it and it isn't clear that NASA actually has any intention to fund it, but it is still using Mars as a PR tool to help fund all the incremental stuff they are doing.

    I think in the long term it further undermines NASA's credibility to be using Mars as PR for a bunch of other potentially worthwhile stuff they are doing. But for now, everything is about Mars, and getting there, and then... studying the shit out of a bunch of dead rocks. Except it really isn't.

  30. Re:Paper rockets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    When someone blames Obama for something, 95% of the time it turns out the person was brainwashed by Republican propaganda. The Republicans have spent a lot of money to place credulous people in an alternate reality, to trick them into voting for the superstitious, destructive scoundrels who drove most of the smart people out of the GOP. It's a bizarre media-driven cult like nothing I've seen in my lifetime.

  31. worse yet. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The deeper problem is a public relations one. The American people have lost the will to travel to space. Many people see the huge cost of resources etc. necessary to take the next step and consider it to be a case of diminishing returns. If 90% or 80% or even 40% of American people were strongly highly supportive of space exploration it would happen. However, if you look at national polls about which issues are of highest concern to likely voters , space exploration doesn't even register in any of them.

    I believe the reason is there is really a lack of a well articulated goal that reaches the general public. Even I have trouble framing any.

      There are of coarse many interesting things to learn and learning is beneficial but there is still a whole lot to learn here on earth , in deep space and in near orbit. There isn't any one achievable goal that is set forth in a specific vision like there was for the moon launch.

        Also, with robots getting better the question of , why risk and send fragile human beings that cost much more needs to be addressed. Why not simply but the money towards advancing robotics and communications equipment until we can learn everything we want to without risking human life.

    If you actually wan to get into the colonization you have to ask the question why?
    Most of the common answers just don't play well off the big screen with most voters.
    Economics? ( if it was as good economic idea then why not let it be handled by free enterprise and for profit).
    Survival of the species? Exactly what is that important to the individual voter, value of anything is more or less a religious argument and something as abstract as the species just isn't very motivating to most people.

    So challenge for the true space enthusiast. Why should we devote resource to space exploration that could be just as easily spent on , 'solving global warming problem' , 'decoding the human genome and improving medicine' , 'solving problems with robotics AI and quantum computing'.

    Why not make the 'go to' scientific issue that stimulates research solving global warming?

    My point is in no way to disparage. My point is if you who wish to support space exploration cannot articulate it fully to yourself how are you going to convince anyone else. Also, I'd really like to know, as maybe it would help me articulate it to someone else myself and right now I have difficulty arguing for it in the face of the questions I posed.

    1. Re:worse yet. by MobSwatter · · Score: 1

      Not really the people that lost interest, it is the elite that would be footing the bill for it and they themselves are not for anything more than the theatrics of a space program and only for entertainment value, if there were one that stayed to it's focus the elite would lose control of the people. The real problem with NASA is not within NASA, it is because the US has been run by a non domestic imperialist bus load of retards through mafia occupation for over a century now. There will be no advancement of a US space program, I see Putin standing up to this imperialist NWO bullcrap so my bet is on Russia for an actual space program that isn't just a pork barrel.

  32. Duh! by painandgreed · · Score: 1

    President puts forward the budget and congress approves.

    Yep, and this has been an issue way before Obama. I stopped listening to State of the Union addresses under Bush the Younger because while he would usually bring up going to Mars and other hopeful NASA missions, when I checked, NASAs budget would not even been keeping up with inflation. Presidents and even Congress have been talking about Mars missions for years, but they have just been talking, not actually doing anything. It's all just sound bites for the public and this safety panel is probably just NASA diplomatic way to telling everybody including the public that. Anybody that has been following the effort to get to Mars knows that there has been lots of talk and never a budget to actually do so.

  33. Re:Paper rockets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    You mean much less than previous presidents, or are you in wingnut alternate reality where they hallucinate outrages, because if they stop and think, they'd have to admit they've been living in a fantasy-land, and that Republicans are too delusional to ever have power outside their cult.

  34. Re:Paper rockets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't worry, Democrats - somehow it's probably George Bush's fault, even after 7 years out of office.

  35. Space Bonds? [Re:Paper rockets] by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    Space has always been politicized. We need to find a way to make funding and planning more stable.

    Perhaps the money should be committed up-front to specific plans and not subject to fiddling by the next shift in DC. I'm not sure how to legislate something with a "lock box" built into it. Space bonds?

       

    1. Re:Space Bonds? [Re:Paper rockets] by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bonds don't work for a secure revenue stream. Read up on War Bonds in WW2. They were good propaganda but ultimately funded very little of the effort.

  36. Re:Paper rockets by bfpierce · · Score: 1

    We just need to wait for the Chinese to start seriously pushing for a manned Mars mission, then you'll get all those right wingers on board with their dollars. Nothing gets a conservative to spend money like the fear of non-white people doing something before they do it.

    It's the exact same thing that happened with Mercury/Apollo.

  37. Re:Paper rockets by StikyPad · · Score: 1

    NASA is actually quite popular.

    http://www.pewresearch.org/fac...

  38. Well... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Well ... the start of budget negotiations is the President's Budget Request. The surprise in the mars program being overfunded is BECAUSE it was not in PB16. Such gives rarely happen except as pork in the military budget to buy a certain already designed thing from a certain representative's district. Very rarely does it happen with RDT&E money.

  39. Re:Paper rockets by Megane · · Score: 2

    President proposes a budget, Congress does whatever the fuck they want with it before passing it on to the Senate. NASA funding is heavily affected by pork considerations. And this year it seems they forgot to under-fund commercial crew.

    Constellation deserved to die, its only official mission was to be an ISS ferry, and it required killing ISS to fund it. Falcon Heavy will probably be launching manned missions before the Senate Launch System ever launches humans in non-test missions. (And yes, I know they're planning to use Falcon 9 for commercial crew.)

    --
    #naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
  40. Do Practical Research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Mars dreams give targets, but shouldn't dictate policy or actual project goals. Sci-Fi is fiction, and there's a reason it is often paired with fantasy - super colony ship is just as much a fantasy as Puff the magic dragon. Create practical technology and an actual "in-space" industrial base by continuing efforts in LEO and work on handling the risks we face now. Those are primarily the recovery of sattelites for repair, control of waste/wreckage, and maintaining the agreements against space-based weaponry. A few attacks/collisions and then there are trillions of titanium particles whizzing around would easily make Swiss cheese out of everything else up there.

  41. Re:Paper rockets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "the Obama administration decided to exclude Constellation from the 2011 United States federal budget." -- Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    Obama killed Constellation and replaced it with paper rocket program called Space Launch System.

    The President submits a budget proposal. Congress then adds or removes anything they fucking WANT to. It doesn't matter if Obama's initial draft excluded Constellation, Congress was MORE than capable of simply putting it back in IF they wanted to. They didn't, but now they can 'blame' Obama for 'removing' the funding, and stupid fucking retards like YOU swallow that shit hook, line, and sinker.

  42. Re:Paper rockets by mschwanke97402 · · Score: 1

    "So, every time the balance of power shifts, the new legislature/administration immediately cancels the space program decided upon by the previous administration/legislature"

    Well then, you are in luck!

    Obama wanted to cancel manned space exploration and shift support of the existing ISS to a commercial, contracted manned taxi service. Instead a bipartisan, manned space exploration program, beginning with development of the SLS was mandated by Congress. Obama got some money for commercial manned space taxis too.

    The only thing I see changing, regardless of who the next president is, might be joining the Europeans in going to the moon and putting Mars on the back burner, where IMHO, it belongs.

  43. Can't prove ROI = private companies don't do it by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Except for Apple, what with their $205 billion dollars in cash on hand...

    Apple has cash (not enough for a Mars mission) but if they said they were going to Mars their stock would plummet faster than you could say "shareholder lawsuit". Companies cannot do things which have unknown ROI, distant if any payback, huge costs and unquantified risks. Doesn't matter how big the bank account is, they can't do it because they can't show how they'd make a profit doing it.

    A realistic Mars mission is probably going to cost north of a trillion dollars and I'm not even counting all of the R&D costs.

  44. Re:Paper rockets by vtcodger · · Score: 1

    "President puts forward the budget and congress approves."

    The president presents a budget proposal. But the actual spending legislation is put together by the House of Representatives which can add funding for other things and is under no obligation to follow any of the president's recommendations. Indeed, before the 1920s, the president wasn't even legally required to submit a budget proposal. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    --
    You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
  45. Re:Paper rockets by jfdavis668 · · Score: 1

    Yes. That proposed budget that the president presents and has a billion printed copies made has very little to do with what actually gets approved.

  46. Re:Paper rockets by IceAgeComing · · Score: 0

    The problem is not a particular president or a particular Congress. It's the fact that space missions have, somehow, become politicized.

    A central question within the political debate is: "why send people on long-term missions at all?" Astronauts and companies building capsules for people don't want us thinking too hard about that question.

    If we want to explore outer worlds to learn more about them, the logical and financially viable answer is to send out autonomous robots engineered for outer space. People are simply not designed to be outside of the Earth's atmosphere or in zero G, or away from an incredibly complex biosphere that gives us food, water, and microorganisms that help us live.

    It's time we realize that every space drama we have seen on TV is fiction, created in 1G gravity.

  47. Re:Paper rockets by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

    True support is where money is spent.

  48. Re:Paper rockets by StikyPad · · Score: 1

    Then you just undercut your own argument, since more money was spent at the height of the Apollo program. But whatever, nobody every admits being wrong on the internet. I get it.

  49. Re:Paper rockets by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

    Falcon Heavy will probably be launching manned missions before the Senate Launch System ever launches humans in non-test missions.

    This is an interesting issue in regards to NASA--what should they be doing about rockets?

    One the one hand, NASA does research and they should be looking at rocket technology as a benefit to the space community. Look at the Shuttle Engines: they are beasts. They burn hydrogen, not some hydrocarbon. The SLS will use 6 engines to lift a little more than the same amount of cargo as the Falcon Heavy's 18 engines. And NASA is looking at ways to improve that further. This sort of research is a good thing. And while research is a wonderful thing, shouldn't we take advantage of this research and build systems to use it?

    On the other hand, does NASA really need it's own rocket to do it's missions? The rocket business, now-a-days, is such that NASA can get the same capabilities for significantly less from private industry. It's not like SLS will necessarily do something that Falcon/Falcon Heavy can't, at least in regards to lifting payloads into whatever orbit you might want. And should the government even be in the rocket business at this point? Yeah, there was a time when it was necessary, but is it still necessary today? Hell, the Space Shuttle put a serious crimp in the US rocket business when it first came out, because they could underbid everyone else. NASA was going into orbit with the Shuttle anyway, so they could give space away at a loss because it lowered the cost of flying the Shuttle.

  50. Re:Paper rockets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No, it's not. Oh sure, everyone loves looking at the astronauts wearing their fancy suits and standing in front of their rockets. The public loves the idea of going to the moon, traveling to Mars, and building huge space stations.

    But no one wants to pay for any of that. The public only supports NASA until they're asked to reach for their wallet, at which point space travel is suddenly the most useless thing ever and why the fuck should MY TAX DOLLARS be spent on a fancy space hotel for FOREIGN ASTRONAUTS!?!?!?!?!

  51. Re:Paper rockets by IceAgeComing · · Score: 1

    Zombies approve this message.

  52. NASCAR by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We'll get to mars the same way cup cars run races: sponsors. Get enough sponsor stickers on the side of that space ship and you can turn left all the way to mars.

  53. Funding consistancy by Etherwalk · · Score: 1

    The problem is not a particular president or a particular Congress. It's the fact that space missions have, somehow, become politicized. So, every time the balance of power shifts, the new legislature/administration immediately cancels the space program decided upon by the previous administration/legislature, because they want to screw over the other party. Then the new guys propose their own plan for space exploration, which, just like the old one, will take 15 years to show results, which of course guarantees that it will be cancelled in its turn when the electorate gets tired of the clowns in charge and votes them out again.

    If NASA is ever again going to be a serious participant in the exploration of space, then it's going to need to either run missions that only take a couple years start-to-finish, which severely limits what can be done, or get buy-in from both parties for a longer-term project, which will be almost impossible to achieve.

    This is actually a problem throughout government. It's impossible to plan long-term missions well when you have to argue for funding every year, rather than being able to get a five-year spending plan approved. This bugs the hell out of the CIA, for example.

  54. Re:Paper rockets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Maybe those people need to be reminded of just how much technology we have now due to the needs of space exploration.

    NASA just needs a good advertising campaign.

  55. Needs more potato. by dsmatthews9379 · · Score: 1

    They need to establish resupply dumps all the way there and back to ensure the potato supply does not run low. In fact if they grow a sufficiently large potato in orbit that could solve all of their problems including shielding the crew from space radiation. The only risk then will be the question of if a sufficiently large potato could become sentient and decide they would make good fertiliser or somehow enslave them as a source of poo.

  56. You're Doing It Wrong by transami · · Score: 1

    First you build a shipyard in orbit, then you build a long-term interplanetary research vessel, deploy, rinse and repeat. Do that and Mars will naturally follow.

    The present mode of expensive one-off mission after another is horribly flawed.

    --
    :T:R:A:N:S:
  57. Re:Paper rockets by Immerman · · Score: 1

    I don't know - the Moon versus Mars thing is a tough call. The Moon would admittedly avoid the time and radiation danger of interplanetary travel, while laying the seeds for an eventual useful moon base (assuming we can figure out something useful to do there - asteroid mining may steal its thunder).

    However, a moon base is also much more challenging than Mars in many ways. The extreme temperature fluctuations from a 709 hour day. The razor-sharp dust that is going to wreak havoc on air seals and moving parts. And the near-total lack of readily accessible local resources. It's got sand, which should be useful, but only a few spots where there are potentially limited quantities of ice (and those in perpetually-shadowed craters unlikely to be conveniently accessible from somewhere you'd want to build a base).

    Meanwhile Mars seems to have at least trace amounts of water everywhere, plus giant ice caps and smaller glaciers that could be harvested at will, and all the near-pure CO2 you could want delivered continuously to your doorstep. Valuable seed-stock for food, oxygen and, biomass, the latter of which can be easily converted to high-performance construction materials like micro- and nano-cellulose.

    I suppose it boils down to your goals - if you're hoping to establish a self-sufficient colony with the smallest possible up-front investment, Mars is the way to go. But those interplanetary transits means you're basically not going to have any backup if anything goes wrong, and there will probably be a lot of people who die in the early days. Not unlike the European colonization of the Americas - colonization is risky business.

    On the other hand, if you just want to establish a research outpost to practice living on other worlds and see how humans respond to prolonged low gravity, then the Moon is the obvious choice. Greater challenges, but Earth is just a few days away in a crisis. It's likely to be a long time before the outpost can grow without importing substantial resources from Earth, but the things we learn will likely lower the death toll for eventual Mars colonization, and may be more applicable to orbital habitats as well.

    --
    --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
  58. Re:Paper rockets by meadow · · Score: 1

    Re: the Moon as a learning/training tool to help with eventual Mars habitation: One question I would ask is to what extent using the Moon would be that much more useful than what could be learned from simulations/different environments on Earth which might also be similar to Mars, although perhaps lacking the low-G and no oxygen.

  59. Re:Paper rockets by meadow · · Score: 1

    I agree and think that at some point in what will probably be the relatively close future the level of technology is going to be so high that the idea of risking any human life would just seem nonsensical in comparison. What would be the point of going through the horrendous task of putting humans in far away places when the eyes, ears, instrumentation, etc. that could be put there for a fraction of the cost and at no risk to human health would be vastly superior. True, its not as glamorous as sci-fi, and you're right in identifying sci-fi as a kind of romantic delusion that finally needs to be identified and purged.

  60. NASA TODAY by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In the 1960s NASA was a relatively small bureaucracy with lots of engineers and some scientists.

    NASA TODAY is a monolithic bureaucracy with almost no engineers or scientists who will come out of anonymity for fear of being flogged by the Press Corps.

    NASA's well-healed propaganda pice, The Martian, won an award recently for "Best Comedy"!

    And that appraisal is correct!

    Sorry thing is that the TOP BRASS at NASA can't understand the joke!

    Ha ha

    Fuck U

    1. Re:NASA TODAY by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      " well-healed"

      WTF? Was it sick?

  61. Delay at all Cost! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Safety First! But come on, stop the foreplay and get this party going! Follow the money! Like someone on the NET said, "Who's body, What body, No body cares"!

  62. Ground already covered by sjbe · · Score: 1

    I think that's an unfair characterisation of what SpaceX has done/is doing.

    SpaceX is doing some great work in lowering cost to orbit and improving rockets in a variety of ways. The importance of that cannot be overstated. But they are most decidedly NOT at the frontier of human exploration. Rockets to orbit is a solved problem. So is landing rockets on land. We can get better at it and do it cheaper (which is what they are doing) but we've done it before. They are incrementally improving work that has already been done in other projects. They're making the technology better and cheaper and more accessible.

    Landing an intact first stage after it was travelling 6,000mph the other direction is pretty groundbreaking.

    We've landed rockets on the ground before. Hell we've done it on other planets before. Yes it is very impressive but it's a new wrinkle on ground that has already been covered.

    Propulsive landing of a space capsule for re-use is pretty major too.

    Yes it is, though they haven't done that yet.

    Then there's the Raptor engine, most of the way through the development with some components already tested to a high degree. A full-flow gas-gas staged combustion engine and a large one at that. No-one's built an engine like that before.

    Incremental improvements to mostly already existing technologies. They are like Apple making what was already there better and more accessible and more reliable. (and unlike Apple, cheaper) I don't mean to sound like am minimizing what they are doing. It's awesome, important and badly needed. But it isn't work on the frontier of human knowledge for the most part. What SpaceX is doing is lowering cost to orbit. That is a very important piece of the puzzle but SpaceX by itself isn't going to get us to Mars any time soon. They aren't working at all on the thousands of other problems that will have to be solved to enable a Mars mission and they can't because there is no business case for it. One day hopefully there will be and the work SpaceX is doing now is a key piece of making that possible.

  63. Re:Paper rockets by Immerman · · Score: 1

    You could indeed do a lot of practicing on Earth, the problem is we've already done much of it and are well into the realm of diminishing returns. Biosphere 2 showed that we can engineer a self-contained ecosystem, there were a couple of major unforseen problems, but they managed to adapt and future projects would compensate. Current projects tend to focus more on the low hanging fruit like meal variety and other morale issues. It's really just the low gravity, vacuum, and unknown complications that remain to be explored - many of which will be very different between the Moon and Mars, but many will be similar enough to offer useful lessons.

    --
    --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
  64. Re: Paper rockets by billdale · · Score: 0

    If you blame everything you do not like on a can of soup, and the soup is actually innocent, you can rant and rave forever and accomplish nothing. What you do not like about the Space Program (as well as the ACA, immigration, etc.), you have to actually finger the real culprit or nothing will improve. Obama has many issues he is dealing with... in this case, ACA, the economy and a few other issues take a higher priority... the GOP keeps trying to kill Obamacare even though polls show resoundingly that it is working and people want it. As long as GOPs keep wasting their energy and tax dollars insisting it does not work, and all evidence it to the contrary (do you see tens of thousands of people on the street clamoring to overturn ACA?) says otherwise, then other matters such as the Space Program can not be properly addressed.

  65. Re:Paper rockets by KGIII · · Score: 1

    NASA matters to me. When I sold, I looked into it, and made a rather large donation to NASA. I'd wanted to earmark it for Educational Programs but, it turns out, they told me that it was not allowed. I donated a lot, a 7 digit sum, as I was doing everything I could think of to lower my tax burden or at least not give it to the general fund for bombing little brown people. It was still a very, very large tax bill. But, at least I can say I donated to NASA.

    I didn't realize you could but it turns out that you can. You just can't say you want it spent on anything in particular, it goes into the general budget. At least that's what the flurry of emails indicated. So, yeah... I like NASA. I like them a lot.

    --
    "So long and thanks for all the fish."
  66. Re:Paper rockets by Megane · · Score: 1

    It's not like SLS will necessarily do something that Falcon/Falcon Heavy can't, at least in regards to lifting payloads into whatever orbit you might want.

    But it does do one thing that Falcon/FH can't, it's a great way to pass the pork around! The primary mission of SLS is not to launch a rocket, it is to keep Shuttle-era jobs and spending going.

    --
    #naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
  67. Nope by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    The only way that America will do lunar or martian missions is if it is a service. Basically, the GOP will continue to treat NASA as a jobs program, which is horribly wasteful. But the private space that first W, and now O, have been backing funding, will enable NASA to take missions to first the moon and then Mars. These will likely not use the wasteful SLS that Congress forced on O. But this will depend on the GOP to quit trying to kill private space, esp spacex.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  68. Not entirely accurate. by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Congress and president do the budget together. No doubt about it. But the president does have power on this. He can veto anything that Congress pushes. In particular, O did kill off constellation after the group said it was way underfunded and it became obvious that it would never work economically. Instead, O focused on private space to remove congress future ability to mess with things. The GOP has fought hard against private space, and instead created SLS funding. SLS was a deal in which o gets private space funding while the GOP get their jobs bill. In the end, SLS is dead, and private space will take us cheaply to the moon and Mars.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.