The Hyperloop Industrial Complex
Jason Koebler writes: Two and a half years after Elon Musk pitched the technology, actually traveling on a hyperloop is still theoretical, but its effect on business is not. There is a very real, bonafide industry of people whose job description is, broadly speaking "make the hyperloop into a tangible thing." The SpaceX Hyperloop Pod Design Weekend at Texas A&M University earlier this weekend was the coming out party for people in that industry.
I can already sit in a high speed transportation vehicle that doesn't need evacuated high-tolerance tube, it just needs the pressurized tube that everyone sits inside (with luggage and avionics down below). Just like the Tesla, Musk pushes expensive toys that solve nothing and are inferior solution to existing tech (Telsa car inferior to piston engine running on biofuel)
You can be paid and produce nothing. Look at Facebook, or the US Federal Government. That doesn't mean you're an industry.
Cut a hole in the top of one in the middle of the night. Pour in some concrete. Wait for first 400 mph fatality.
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I hardly think this is a new thing ... in 1999 you could say you were a dot-com, and people would be throwing money at you. For a while you could declare an iAnything and people would be all over it. Business to Business caused a lot of hype for a while. Web 2.0 also had this huge amount of companies in the gold rush to get rich, as did Social Media. Internet of Things got all the hype you could imagine, but nobody even knew what it was yet.
Now it's "overhyped hyperloop hype". Once again, tons of people (both sincere but deluded and just hucksters cashing in) are all over this Next Big Thing.
People just go crazy and want to cash in, this isn't a new thing we're seeing. It just seems like in the last 20 years the hype cycle has gotten much shorter .. in a couple of years there will be done of companies left in the wake as the hype machine moved onto something else.
Somewhere, there are people with investment money looking to monetize an investment in something they've never heard of just in case it turns into something huge -- but I suspect an awful lot of wealth gets wiped as all these people just on random bandwagons which sound awesome.
Lost at C:>. Found at C.
I too would like to have a coming out party, I've kept it secret how gay I've become for Elon Musk given all his monumental achievements, most notably his role in founding Paypal.
Tube masturbation.
THERE IS A /. STORY THAT IS RELATED TO ELON MUSK THAT ALSO MENTIONS HIS NAME. Let us pause our day to take a moment
and reflect on his greatness.
Filter error: Don't use so many caps. It's like YELLING ELON MUSK.
How much does the battery cost to replace?
Or is the battery non-expendable?
This is what a special-interest framing argument looks like. It puts the question into the reader's mind, and without context (and noting that most readers don't take the time to think about things) it makes it seem like an insurmountable problem.
(Viz: "Ted Cruze's Canadian birth will be a problem for him, I'm just 'sayin".)
Tesla is addressing the battery issue directly, with a buy-back program.
Also note that Lithium batteries have an exponential usage lifetime ('sorta), which means that once you've depleted your battery to 90% of it's capacity, it'll stay at that level for a long time.
Also also note that a battery which is taken out of service will still have 85% of it's charge capacity for a really long time, and there are a lot of uses for such storage. A factory building filled with old Tesla batteries could help smooth out electrical grid demand - supplying power during peak times, and recharging at night.
(Put that building full of batteries next to a wind farm, or inside the industrial area of a large city.)
Again, the batteries will keep 85% of their capacity for a long time, and if the application doesn't care much about space or weight, this makes a good use for older batteries.
Also, no one has even begun thinking about recycling the batteries. Ten years from now we might start thinking about reforming batteries, and making removable/reusable cases with the option to recycle the lithium inside. Like we now do with lead.
And finally, all of this information is just a click away using this neat new service called "Google".
Implanting doubts, uncertainty, and fear in the minds of readers is so much harder nowadays.
USA struggles just to get started in high speed rail systems of what rest of industrialized countries has for years. HSR has face significant resistance in culture and business (sorry the excuse for it costs too much is bankrupted considering how much this country has spent on other stuff with not much to show for it). Now along comes Hyperloop and HSR opponents immediately say we need to go this route because it's done by private industry. Not that there is anything wrong with private industry but I don't see them as implementing it where it needs to go, only where the investment pays off for them. However, as gstoddart pointed out this is a buzzword before business model that may kill HSR in the US and then it will go way of all those dotcom companies leaving nothing behind.
mfwright@batnet.com
Moron.
Seriously. I was a big fan of Hyperloop Alpha. But the MIT team that won the "Hyperloop" contest is proposing something nothing like Hyperloop. The test track that SpaceX is building is designed to support a wide range of vehicles, most nothing like that in the Hyperloop Alpha document. So if I say "I like hyperloop", I don't know what exactly it is I'm supporting anymore. What exactly is "Hyperloop" these days?
All I can say is that I really liked the alpha one. The MIT team's maglev thing is Meh^2.
We should start dealing in those black-market beagles.
First, let's drop the hype, this idea is ancient for 'new ideas', it was published in an issue of Popular Mechanics older than Elon Musk (40s era issue I believe) .
Now here's a huge issue I haven't seen anyone talking about that gets progressively worse as the track/tube length increases, subsidence and ground movement.
Yes, that's right, all those super tight tolerances needed to keep it air tight and within safe turning range of a high speed capsule are at risk.
No matter how much we like to pretend, the earth isn't 'rock solid steady'.
If you don't know what I'm talking about, look up soil subsidence, faults, and even earth tide.
Earth tide is an interesting one and it can be around half a meter, depending on location and conditions, but it effects pretty much the entire planet.
The point is, there are serious issues about trying to keep an airtight low pressure tube of extraordinary length intact and functionally safe, especially when you're going to be shooting giant passenger carrying bullets down it. That's one target you better not miss.
Yes, there are probably a ton of other issues I've never thought of, but I'm not an engineer and it's not my job to be intimately familiar with variant thermal expansion rates or whatever else might go wrong with this concept. I still think it makes cool mad science fiction, but I don't see it being a rational expenditure of resources and effort at this time. (By the way, how much material would such a full sized tube use up, and whats the current national production of said materials?)
California is a strange place to start the hyperloop project. There are two mountain ranges between LA and San Francisco, and the dominant cost of the high-speed rail project is bridges and tunnels to cross the mountain ranges. Hyperloop is designed to go over twice as fast as high-speed rail, which means the curves have to be much more gradual, meaning longer and more expensive tunnels and bridges.
Musk should really think about starting the project in a flatter area, perhaps between Chicago and Dallas, where it really could be cheaper than rail.
HSR is a niche technology. You have to have a megacity, like Japan, China, or South Korea to make high speed rail really work. Most of Europe really just uses upgraded passenger rail. Spain is never going to get its money back on its lines, and most of France's new lines are unprofitable (the best city routes were built first).
As for the United States, the governments in the Northeast have big problems. The Northeast United States has some of the highest construction costs in the WORLD. California has mountains with complicated geology, and fault lines, which means very high costs. No where else in the country can support high speed rail.
Airplanes are very efficient, except for energy consumption. Even artificial hydrocarbons made from wind power will be cheaper than high high speed rail.
will the sequel be called the ultraloop? ehh, "hyper" seems a bit above "ultra".
throw some german in to sound cool? uberloop?
hyperloop II, brough to you by carls jr?
maybe call it the fermiloop, market the colloquial version as "ride the fermi", then give it a cute mascot geared toward children?
I want to get into a field where I don't have to show results - but still cleaner than politics.
See, this is why you're not a genius billionaire like Elon Musk.
He's going to save money on expensive high-performance compressors by simply extending the ends of the tubes to space where there's plenty of vacuum to be had for free.
Film at 11.
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Nothing new about the idea of using pods to move people around in tunnels nor are any of the propulsion technologies anything new.
There is no Hyperloop and until we have robotic labor nobody is going to be able to afford the immense building costs for the relatively small payoff in transport.
In other words.. a train would still move a lot more people around for a lot less money and most nations will want to go with that approach.
Why not just drive a car into the hyper loop pod and make it even easier? These are all old ideas that we've bounced around for decades. Pickup a Popular Science or Scientific American magazine sometime and enjoy the endless ideas out there. Sadly though, few wind up being practical.
n/t
They were in the hyperloop industry before it was cool, or even a thing.
Pro-tip: You might want to let someone prototype and test the concept and see if it actually works before getting carried away about building the infrastructure for the hyperloop economy. Speculation is great until you fuck up and get it wrong and are left with a lot of pissed off investors and a hyperloop seat cushion factory that no one wants.
Left MS Windows for Linux Mint and never looked back!
Vote for Bernie in 2016!
Would somebody please tell Mr. Musk about http://skytran.net/
Hyperloop is an interesting concept but it doesn't come anywhere near what we really need right now or even in the near future.