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NASA Wants To Get Supersonic With New Passenger Jet (networkworld.com)

coondoggie writes: NASA wants to put a supersonic passenger jet back in the sky that promises to a soft thump or supersonic heartbeat as the agency called it - rather than the disruptive boom currently associated with such high-speed flight. The 'low-boom' aircraft known as Quiet Supersonic Technology (QueSST) will be built by a team led by Lockheed Martin Aeronautics. It will cost $20 million to develop baseline aircraft requirements and a preliminary aircraft design.

23 of 144 comments (clear)

  1. What's the market? by msauve · · Score: 5, Interesting

    ...and what sort of fuel economy will it get?

    Boeing failed with the SST, due to anticipated fuel costs not meeting market needs. Similarly with the Concorde, which couldn't operate profitably.

    Sure, there are some rich folk who would pay for short flight times, but the mass market is price conscious. The problem with supersonic flight is not sonic booms, but efficiency.

    Finally, why is NASA wasting taxpayer money designing passenger aircraft for the civilian market?

    --
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    1. Re: What's the market? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 3, Informative

      Concorde operated profitably for quite some time.

      No. This is wrong. The Concorde never even came close to being profitable. It received $8000 per passenger-trip in subsidies from British and French taxpayers. But as the costs continued to climb, even that wasn't enough, and the politicians decided that there was actually a limit on how much they were willing to tax poor and middle class people in order to subsidize filthy rich Concorde passengers.

    2. Re:What's the market? by Robotbeat · · Score: 2

      Concorde couldn't operate profitably because it only had a few routes it could service due to the sonic boom restrictions. Some of the routes that it did originally serve had to be curtailed due to booms. Sonic booms most certainly IS the main problem keeping supersonic flight from gaining a foothold.

      NASA's job is to research Aeronautics for all purposes, especially civilian (since the DoD has plenty of funding for defense purposes). It's what the first A in NASA stands for. It's not a waste, it's probably the most efficient part of NASA as far as how much direct benefit comes back to the US's economy.

      NASA also has a huge initiative for energy-efficient aviation that's overall much bigger than this supersonic transport concept.

      And as far as fuel efficiency, it IS possible to have supersonic flight using methane or other inexpensive fuels. Even fully electric supersonic flight is possible using lithium-sulfur and especially lithium-air battery chemistries. But you're never going to do that without first solving the sonic boom problem because there will simply be too few routes it can service.

      "Mass" air travel ALSO used to be only for rich folk, and it took decades of price reductions and increases in incomes before it became feasible for most people in developed countries to travel by air on occasion. Supersonic air travel cannot EVER be mass market until it has /some/ civilian market to grow from. And that requires solving the boom problem.

    3. Re:What's the market? by k6mfw · · Score: 2

      I think NASA should do some research on supersonic flight, i.e. a technology demonstrator. And if commercial markets want to take it from there, then they can go for it. If not then document what was done. Cmon you guys, it ain't that much money, we piss magnitudes more on other guvmint programs and yet everyone is conspicuously silent about those but when NASA programs are mentioned, then comes the usual "Think of the starving children!" Besides an airplan, there are other things such as control systems, materials, lubrications, new glass for windows, etc. Kind of like what NACA did, their airplanes later went to museums rather than prototypes for mass productions. Some of this NACA stuff was embraced by US companies that eventually put the US #1 in airplanes. The big question should be can supersonic transport scale up? Concorde, Tu144, and if Boeing built the SST, none of these can scale up like subsonic transports.

      A major hazard is if this demonstrator program proceeds then have to do something very dangerous. One, get serious money to design and build a flying machine. Two, high risk of encountering developmental problems from software bugs to delayed delivery of important parts, and have to get a strong program manager to manage people when they get disorganized. Besides dangers of the demonstrator crashing and killing flight crew, there is also danger of inviting the media for the big event of first flight but something might go wrong so they have to cancel the flight. Then everyone will bitch about all the time they wasted traveling to Edwards, setting up cameras for nothing. Hey, many of the X15 flights were excruciatingly painful to get all those systems going before take off (and many times they had scrub. Scott Crossfield said one time he sat in the cockpit for 8 hours while everybody else was trying to get all the systems going).

      Or do it the easy way, make a PPT and do a video with flashy CGI and awesome music.

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    4. Re: What's the market? by Solandri · · Score: 2

      For those who don't grok just how atrocious Concorde's fuel economy was, just look at the right-most column of these charts (liters per 100 km per seat). Concorde was 16.7 L/100 km per seat.

    5. Re: What's the market? by Richard_at_work · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I would love for you to back that up - after privatisation, British Airways increased the ticket price, still filled the aircraft (until post 9/11) and made a profit doing so.

      From a WSJ article in 2003:

      "It was a tough decision to make emotionally but the right decision from a business perspective," said Rod Eddington, chief executive of British Airways.

      British Airways has never given figures on Concorde's profitability, but Mr. Eddington said it had been profitable until last year. During the past year, corporate travel on Concorde has declined "massively" as investment banks and other once-heavy users "have been writing Concorde out of their travel plans," he said.

      I have never seen any evidence of subsidisation of Concorde post-privatisation.

  2. Re:This will only help the wealthy... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Concord is a variety of grape. Indeed, there can be some expensive wines out there. This story is about fast planes, however. Maybe you mean the Concorde?

  3. Invented here by bugs2squash · · Score: 2

    The regulatory barriers had more to do with concorde being a foreign invention. No reason to block a US design.

    --
    Nullius in verba
  4. "... sky that promises to a soft thump ..." by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    The only thing any of us should "promise to a soft thump" are our heads hitting our desks after we all get aneurysms trying to figure out how the hell to parse these inane and poorly edited summaries.

  5. Re:This will only help the wealthy... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I'm not a Republican and I flew on the Concorde.

    I remember most of the passengers being Hollywood types, and Rod Stewart flying to New York for his weekly haircut (no shit).

  6. Re:It will be just as cost effective as the SLS by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 4, Insightful

    More pork for Lockheed Martin.

    Obvious pork is most definitely obvious. After spending $20 million, NASA gets... a pile of paper. For $20 million, not one sheet of metal will be bent, not one rivet will be hammered, not one seam will be welded. And why is NASA spending this $20 million? Because it might not work. Or maybe nobody will want one.

    After 70 years of this bullshit, we're suffering far more than we realize. Because of contracts like this, big business is now convinced of its own infallibility, and Republicans are convinced of the ineptitude of government. This is not the capitalism they've been selling us all these decades. This is ridiculously socialized risk. If we were pursuing actual capitalism, Lockheed would have done a market analysis, possibly discovered that there's a profitable niche going unfilled, and attempted to fill it by designing and building an aircraft. With their own goddamn money.

    Instead, Lockheed did a market analysis, possibly discovered there's a profitable niche, and hedged their bets by shoving their risk up our collective asses. So now it's all upside for Lockheed. They can't lose. If it turns out that designing planes on paper is still a stupid idea (F-35, we're looking at you), and the pile of paper NASA receives can't be used to build a plane anybody wants, it's "government" that failed. "NASA Failure!" "NASA Boondoggle!" "NASA's Plane Can't Fly!" The headlines write themselves.

    And so the perception that government is incompetent is reinforced, and Lockheed Martin's stock doesn't take a hit, because hey, they delivered a pile of paper. That's what the contract specified. US businesses are never wrong, US businesses never make mistakes, especially not big expensive multi-million dollar mistakes. No, only governments do that.

    It's insidious. It's wrong. Every contract like it should be opposed by every American.

  7. Re:Does NASA have nothing better to do? by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 2

    I don't understand why a superjet for rich people is something that should eat a single cent of NASA's budget.

    In ten years, SpaceX will have accomplished everything NASA has planned for the next forty. They need a Plan B.

    $20 for a buildable design is either entirely impossible or fantastically efficient.

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  8. suborbital FTW by darthsilun · · Score: 2

    Forget supersonic. New York to Tokyo at mach three is still a five hour flight. Suborbital is what I want.

  9. Re:This will only help the wealthy... by blindseer · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Refrigeration is only for the wealthy. Automobiles are only for the wealthy. Indoor plumbing is only for the wealthy. Computers are only for the wealthy. Going to college is only for the wealthy. Electric cars are only for the wealthy.

    Ethanol subsidies are just corporate welfare. Windmill subsidies are just corporate welfare. Solar panel subsidies are just corporate welfare. Electric car subsidies are just corporate welfare. Government backed student loans are just corporate welfare. CFL subsidies are just corporate welfare.

    Isn't it funny on how the definition of "wealthy" and "corporate welfare" changes depending on the who, when, and where? There's plenty of evidence that what is now a luxury that only the 1% could afford will eventually become affordable for the other 99%.

    Oh, and let's pick on just the Republicans because the Democrats NEVER give free stuff to corporations.

    If there is something to complain about with government spending then I can give much better examples than funding NASA to research high speed flight. Researching high speed flight is EXACTLY the kind of thing that NASA was created to do.

    Go soak your head.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  10. How many passengers? by damn_registrars · · Score: 3, Insightful

    With all the fun description in the article I did not see any mention of how many people can fly on this. I was never able to fly on the Concorde, though I have walked through the one on display at the USS Intrepid. Walking through it one thing that I noticed immediately was how small it actually was; it took about as many passengers as a large EmbraerJet - and far fewer than a 747 or even 737.

    I don't want to try to oversimplify aeronautical engineering - and I am certainly not an aeronautical engineer myself - but in the current economy it certainly seems that something this expensive will only be viable if it can take a larger number of passengers than the Concorde could.

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    1. Re:How many passengers? by GrahamCox · · Score: 2

      far fewer than a 747 or even 737

      You're wrong about the 737 - the 737-100, which was the 737 variant around when Concorde was designed, could seat 85-124 depending on configuration. Concorde was 92-128. The 747 was only unveiled the same year Concorde was, so again the Concorde design was contemporary with the 707 rather than the 747. The 707 had a slightly higher seating capacity, but it wasn't vastly more. In the 60s, it probably was anyone's guess how things would go - they'd only just left the propellor era behind. Some thought speed, others capacity. In hindsight, capacity won out, but that was far from obvious in the early 60s when Concorde's specification was fixed.

  11. Re:This will only help the wealthy... by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I would agree with most of what you say until you get to "Researching high speed flight is EXACTLY the kind of thing that NASA was created to do." Technically, NASA was created because of Sputnik and had nothing to do with anything but the space race.

    But ignoring that point. Isn't the US about free market capitalism. Doesn't that mean that those that risk capital benefit from the success of taking that risk? Government funding of the project removes the risk, but Lockheed still gets the reward. Now government funding makes sense when there is low return so nobody takes the risk such as certain medical research, infrastructure projects, etc. But that is not the case with this. Government funding of this is like government funding of an oil pipeline. Surely the private sector can do this on their own.

    If one truly values capitalism as an economic system, then how can this be seen as anything other than corporatism, which is basically corporate welfare.

  12. Micro SST is better answer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    1-3 person pilotless, lying in 'coffin' wearing VR headset to eliminate claustrophobia. Use just 25-50g/s fuel (1-2MW heat) vs 7kg/s of concorde (300MW). Small power use=tiny boom noise.
    -Small ramjets just as efficient as big ramjets (unlike gas turbines), Small turboramjets have good efficiency as most of compression not done by turbomachinery. Use small gas turbine or more efficient IC engine to fly to altitude and dive to accelerate through sound barrier and ignite turbo-ramjet.
    -Enables supersonic flight overland without annoying people (low power/small boom).
    -Enables use of efficient designs that don't compromise efficiency to minimise boom.
    -Enables use of more efficient unconventional Oblique Flying wing design that is not possible within space constraints of airport due to large wingspans for 100-200 person design.
    -No volume/weight wasted on galleys, toilets, aisles, overhead lockers, emergency doors, cockpits. Passengers/cargo can be higher proportion of takeoff weight.
    -2-3x as many passenger miles per day per 'seat' as subsonic aircraft.
    -Development costs at least an order of magnitude lower (possibly $1 billion), manufacturing costs per seat relatively low (possibly up to an order of magnitude) due to high manufacturing volumes, and over time is likely to result in very thoroughly debugged and safe aircraft.
    -Small enough to incorporate a ballistic parachute for safety.
    -Cost saving on flight crew.
    -No long check-in delays or security required - could be flying within minutes of airport arrival.
    -Could fly from smaller local airports. No inefficient hub/spoke design required.
    -Maybe possible to use vertical supersonic catapult in mineshaft at airports (boom only propegates forwards) to increase speed further
    -8000km range with kerosene, 10000km range with LNG, 20000km range with LH2

    Likely 2-4x faster than subsonic flight (less wasted time at airports), at similar or lower cost.

  13. Re:This will only help the wealthy... by sycodon · · Score: 2

    Aeronautics

    aeronautics
    ernôdiks/
    noun
    noun: aeronautics

            the science or practice of travel through the air. Especially at High Speed.

    --
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  14. Re:Does NASA have nothing better to do? by Solandri · · Score: 2

    It's a stepping stone. The long-term hope is for hypersonic transports which reduce the energy cost by "flying" above the atmosphere (sub-orbital ballistic trajectory) for a good portion of the trip. But to do that, you have to go through the supersonic regime.

    And aerospace has always been heavily subsidized by the government. The physics in these high-speed / high-altitude / high-temperature environments is frequently not well understood. It makes little sense for every aerospace company out there to do duplicate research into it. So the government pays for that research that all companies have access to, and the companies pay for whatever designs they think will work best based on that research.

  15. Re:This will only help the wealthy... by blindseer · · Score: 3, Insightful

    While I agree that there is a lower limit on the distance such an aircraft would make sense I do not agree that it must be so large. A flight from MSP to ORD is 1:20 according to Google Maps, that's not where a supersonic transport would be used.

    What might get people to buy tickets is a SFO to NYC flight that takes 2 or 3 hours instead of 5 to 7. But it is more than just the time in the air that determines travel time. What really kills short hop flights and supersonic transport is the wait times at airports. TSA checkpoints, the rarity of flight choices, and how sensitive flight times are to weather and other circumstances makes travel by air lengthy, inconvenient, and therefore expensive.

    I think we will see cheap and speedy air travel only when the federal government realizes that their are greater threats to our lives than religious nutjobs with suicidal tendencies. I should be able to drive to the airport and buy a ticket to Chicago on the spot for the next flight that leaves. I should not have to reserve a seat in advance, show a government issued ID, or take off my shoes. I can understand a need for some security, we don't want people bringing gas cans and live chickens on the plane. I'm not sure we should even need metal detectors since I see no need to take people's pocketknives and knitting needles. Pat downs and full body scanners don't make sense on matters of security regardless. Anyway, perhaps that is a rant for another time.

    If I can get on a plane with such little hassle then I'd quite likely fly more often. If more people fly then the tickets will get cheaper, if tickets get cheaper then more people will fly. If tickets get cheaper then there is more "room" (economically speaking) for things like supersonic passenger aircraft.

    Faster airplanes would be nice and I do believe that there is a market for them but the most effective way, IMHO, to shorten travel times by air is to improve the mechanics of the modern airport, not that of the modern airplane. If we can get that fixed then we might see supersonic flights make sense for not just transatlantic and transcontinental distances but also for interstate travel.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  16. Re: This will only help the wealthy... by Dr_Barnowl · · Score: 2

    It was very briefly Concord because of a hissy-fit that Harold Macmillan threw.

    Then Tony Benn (Minister for Technology) put the e back on the end at it's launch.

    It is, and always has been, officially, Concorde.

  17. Re: This will only help the wealthy... by Loether · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It seems slashdotter's aren't the only ones who disagreed about the "E"

    Quoted from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/....
    Naming:
    Reflecting the treaty between the British and French governments that led to Concorde's construction, the name Concorde is from the French word concorde (IPA: [kkd]), which has an English equivalent, concord. Both words mean agreement, harmony or union. The name was officially changed to Concord by Harold Macmillan in response to a perceived slight by Charles de Gaulle. At the French roll-out in Toulouse in late 1967,[26] the British Government Minister for Technology, Tony Benn, announced that he would change the spelling back to Concorde.[27] This created a nationalist uproar that died down when Benn stated that the suffixed 'e' represented "Excellence, England, Europe and Entente (Cordiale)." In his memoirs, he recounts a tale of a letter from an irate Scotsman claiming: "[Y]ou talk about 'E' for England, but part of it is made in Scotland." Given Scotland's contribution of providing the nose cone for the aircraft, Benn replied, "[I]t was also 'E' for 'Écosse' (the French name for Scotland) — and I might have added 'e' for extravagance and 'e' for escalation as well!"[28]

    Concorde also acquired an unusual nomenclature for an aircraft. In common usage in the United Kingdom, the type is known as Concorde without an article, rather than the Concorde or a Concorde.[29][30]

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