Slashdot Mirror


BMW To Compete With Google To Build Software For Self-Driving Cars (reuters.com)

SmartAboutThings writes: Google is about to get some serious competition in the self-driving car race from none other than BMW, one of the most prominent names in the car industry. Speaking to Reuters, BMW's Head of Research and Development, Klaus Frohlich, said the following while present at the Geneva Motor Show: "For me it is a core competence to have the most intelligent car. Our task is to preserve our business model without surrendering it to an internet player. Otherwise we will end up as the Foxconn for a company like Apple, delivering only the metal bodies for them." BMW believes its competitors in the future will include internet taxi service Uber and sales website TrueCar. As the company is approaching its 100th birthday, the company is now on a quest to build the "ultimate driving machine." The company is preparing for a world in which its customers will be mere passengers, and the cars will do the driving themselves.

26 of 124 comments (clear)

  1. Why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    90% of the reason I buy BMWs is because they ar enjoyable to drive. If it drives itself then they are alienating their fan base, who may as well buy from other manufacturers.

    1. Re:Why? by NotInHere · · Score: 2

      Unless regulators require something else, they will make it possible to turn the self driving features off, if their customers demand it. But some people are lazy. I for example prefer to write posts on slashdot over having to focus on urban traffic. So a self driving car is something I look forward to. They just don't want to become foxconn if it turns out that most of the people are lazy, or if regulators suddenly require each car to include safety features that are so strict that only google and apple can provide them.

    2. Re:Why? by Dutch+Gun · · Score: 2

      True. Thank goodness we'll be getting a chauffeur that can literally see in all directions at the same time using vision, lidar, and radar, who's attention never wavers, and can react to unexpected events about 1000x faster than a human. And oddly enough, you don't really need to be all that intelligent to drive a car... just very specialized.

      --
      Irony: Agile development has too much intertia to be abandoned now.
    3. Re:Why? by just+another+AC · · Score: 2

      If the bus is also driven by a computer it probably will when there is doubt. Only humans act (over)confident when there is uncertainty.

    4. Re:Why? by Dutch+Gun · · Score: 2

      Once autonomous vehicles are on the road in significant numbers, we'll be able to see what the accident rates are. If they're a couple of orders of magnitude safer than manually-driven vehicles as I suspect they may be, we could see a significant push to remove non-autonomous vehicles from the road simply for safety reasons. But don't kid yourself - this is going to be a decades-long process. Also, the number of commercially available self-driving cars are still zero as of today, so let's not jump the gun there, no pun intended.

      What I think will happen is that you'll eventually need a specialist license to drive vintage / older cars, and it will be a bit tougher to get and keep than it is today. Most people will not bother with it, preferring the convenience of the AI-driven vehicles. And people who drive recklessly or speed too much will lose their manual license much more easily than they do today.

      --
      Irony: Agile development has too much intertia to be abandoned now.
    5. Re:Why? by Dutch+Gun · · Score: 2

      I fail to see how an autonomous vehicle somehow means the surrender of our personal liberty. The government RIGHT NOW can deny you access to a license to drive. What changes when the car can now drive itself? If anything, it seems like autonomous vehicles will allow even greater personal freedom and autonomy, because at some point these systems will be so effective that non-licensed passengers will be able to use these vehicles as well. Besides, for the foreseeable future, people will still be able to drive vehicles manually. If nothing else, vintage or enthusiast cars will probably always be with us.

      Also, I don't think the goal of eliminating a large percentage of 30K needless US deaths per year (with many more maimed or injured) due to traffic accidents is a "soccer mom mentality".

      --
      Irony: Agile development has too much intertia to be abandoned now.
    6. Re:Why? by Alypius · · Score: 2

      There is driving, then there is slamming on your brakes every 15 feet in LA traffic. I would much rather be productive and/or preserve my sanity by letting the car handle that particular level of hell and save the fahrvergnügen for less urban environs.

    7. Re:Why? by BasilBrush · · Score: 2

      I think there might be roads where you are not allowed to drive manual cars. Starting first with lanes that are for autonomous vehicles. Also I expect tax breaks for autonomous vehicles.

  2. What makes them think they can deliver? by mysidia · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Google is about to get some serious competition in the self-driving car race from none other than BMW

    Google has been working on this AI problem since probably 2008 or so and been road-testing self-driving cars since 2011. As far as I know BMW has no development at all on this concept.

    What makes BMW think they have some great insight into the artificial intelligence problem, that will make it possible for them to emerge as a serious autonomous vehicle competitor today, if Google is already 5 years ahead in learning and development of the software, data collection, and STILL does not believe their fully autonomous vehicle can be fully productized until 2020?

    Even Tesla has a head start on BMW.

    Autonomous driving is not a simple solved problem. It's not like you can just slap a clone together and have it out within a year or something....

    Research and development is an extremely long process, there, and as far as I know BMW's R and D is focused on building cars.... they probably don't have people who even know about robotics, let-alone AI for the self-driving problem.

    1. Re:What makes them think they can deliver? by 0100010001010011 · · Score: 4, Informative

      The German companies do it a bit different than American companies, they pool resources for the common R&D good. It's why they had stuff like CAN bus while Ford and GM were all developing their own unique busses.

      BMW, VW and Benz all have a lot of research into this. I sat in on a grad seminar given by VW engineers back in 2010 on lane change obstacle avoidance. They certainly have the IP already, even if they aren't announcing it state side. They even have ISO standards for how to test obstacle avoidance: ISO 3888-2:2011 defines the dimensions of the test track for a closed-loop, severe lane-change manoeuvre test for subjectively determining the obstacle avoidance performance of a vehicle, one specific part of vehicle dynamics and road-holding ability. It is applicable to passenger cars as defined in ISO 3833 and light commercial vehicles up to a gross vehicle mass of 3,5 t.

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

      I had a BMW and Benz rental in 2012 that had the auto stop feature that is just now starting to show up in American cars. http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/v...

      If there is any group of car companies that is going to give you autonomous driving with manual over ride it's going to be the German ones. German drivers also have a different mentality towards driving. Driving falls into two categories, either you have to do it and you can automate it or you want to do it and you don't want to automate it. I would say of my driving there's a good 80/20 split. 80% of the time I'd like the car to just get me somewhere but 20% of the time I do want an autobahn experience.

      Just because you don't think BMW hasn't done any research into self driving cars doesn't mean they haven't. It is an incredibly long process and Germans have had an ISO standard for testing it since 2011 as well. The TÜV doesn't mess around when it comes to safety or testing and I trust anything they verify much more than the DOT.

    2. Re: What makes them think they can deliver? by dj245 · · Score: 2

      Using that logic, any company that wanted to design and build an airplane after 1913 was a complete fool and was wasting their time and money.

      --
      Even those who arrange and design shrubberies are under considerable economic stress at this period in history.
    3. Re:What makes them think they can deliver? by just+another+AC · · Score: 2

      You forget one important difference... We can price (almost) all meatbag drivers off the road because the pieces are already there.

      Want to drive on public roads? You need compulsory 3rd party insurance and pay government special levies. Every year insurance companies and government double the price for human drivers as their comparative risk keeps going up compared to autonomous vehicles that will only keep improving.

      We can also inconvenience them off the road...

      Want to use that new expressway? Sorry autonomous vehicles only because only they can safely follow with only 6 inch gap.

      For the gun analogy, if it cost 100K a year to own a gun, there would be very few NRAA members

    4. Re:What makes them think they can deliver? by 50000BTU_barbecue · · Score: 2

      No, DARPA was the pioneer.

      --
      Mostly random stuff.
  3. They probably can't deliver by ErikTheRed · · Score: 3, Informative

    I say this as somebody who owns and loves BMWs... they suck ass at software. They can't even get things like their console information / entertainment system to be reasonably bug-free, so how the hell do they think they can actually do difficult and important stuff?

    --

    Help save the critically endangered Blue Iguana
    1. Re:They probably can't deliver by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      My biggest beef with BMWs is that if you disconnect or replace the battery, the car has to be towed to a dealership to get the battery "registered". No registration, engine will refuse to start. The dealer claims it is to protect the circuitry from overvoltage as non-approved 12 volt batteries can be dangerous.

    2. Re:They probably can't deliver by QuietLagoon · · Score: 2

      I say this as somebody who owns and loves BMWs... they suck ass at software.

      They suck at console/entertainment software (e.g., idrive).

      .
      BMW does quite well with car control software (e.g., the all-wheel drive anti-slip software).

    3. Re:They probably can't deliver by drinkypoo · · Score: 3, Interesting

      BMW does quite well with car control software (e.g., the all-wheel drive anti-slip software).

      They don't do that without help. They don't make the hardware that handles that stuff — just like Audi and Daimler, they buy all of that stuff from Bosch. They also don't write the software, they only make customizations to it and even that is assisted by Bosch engineers. Or in the case of transmissions, ZF engineers. Nearly all German cars are based around a ZF transmission. Then again, it often seems like practically all cars worldwide are using a ZF transmission now — they make the 8- and 9-speed automatics that everyone and their mom is putting into a car now. Automakers are still making their own small manual transmissions in some cases, but almost nobody seems to be making their own automatic that isn't a CVT. A handful of automakers do that. Honda famously makes their own automatic transmissions, which infamously suck. Ford, too. Transmission shop owners love Ford to little bitty pieces. GM seems to be using the ZF8 and ZF9 now...

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  4. Naw, BMW will add some more cool features... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    BMW will add some cool features that the GCars won't have:

    1: A weighting for their e-cars to slide into narrow gaps between cars in traffic, then panic stop.
    2: No turn signals.
    3: Auto detection of parking line spaces, and automatic parking to take up as many as possible.
    4: A middle finger sign that pops out, when a lane change is successfully executed.
    5: e-Ink on the sides of the vehicle to mimic being keyed by unhappy people after #1-4 are done.

  5. Here Maps by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Look at Here Maps (maps.here.com) , and there offline app navigation. Really you'd think nobody could compete with Google maps, and yet Here is far superior.
    Less worthless bells and whistles and noise and more the "where is X" fundamentals of maps.

    BMW has shown self driving prototypes since 2011, European cars already have features like lane follow, auto park, sign recognition, collision avoidance and so on, so they're already rolling out key components in existing cars.

    My expectation from BMW is that it will make cars that drive from A to B with cameras watching the roads.
    My expectation from Google is that they will make cars that drive from A to Sponsored C to Sponsored D to B with cameras watching me.

    If you think that's a joke, look at what their glorified Android radio does (it requires all the internal engine data and position, be sent to Google server), so if you're driving a car with a Google android 'radio/navigation' its tracking you and every detail of your driving even when its off.

  6. time to put the BMW mystique to rest . . . by swell · · Score: 3, Interesting

    "...delivering only the metal bodies for them."

    No, they won't even be doing that- Google & Uber will not want their metal body or their programming expertise. The mystique of the quality German car quickly evaporates when you own one or crunch the numbers on the cost of purchase, maintenance, parts and accessories.

    I'm on my third BMW motorcycle; each new purchase 20+ years after the previous. During that time I've owned a couple dozen other motorcycles. Like the Harley, BMW motorcycles have made only minor changes over the last 100 years, and like the Harley they still can't get it right. Meanwhile the Japanese can snap their fingers and come up with a totally new design that is almost flawless and it's relatively affordable.

    It's not just motorcycles; Consumer Reports can't find a single excellent car in the 2015 BMW lineup. It's sad, I'd love to own a vehicle that actually lived up to such a reputation but they don't seem to come from Europe or America.

    --
    ...omphaloskepsis often...
  7. Re:Great. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 5, Interesting

    BMW drivers are insufferable enough now.

    Yes, I was also wondering if BMW self-driving cars would also drive like assholes.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  8. So it's BMW's programmers verses Google's by jools33 · · Score: 2

    So its BMW's programming team verses Google's, I know where I'm placing my money...

  9. I can't wait by golgotha007 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    for driverless cars to become popular. I'll be able to take advantage of their dialed-up safety protocols and be able to cut my way through traffic faster with less risk.

  10. Re:Great. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Actually, as an avid cyclist, I can tell you there are worse cars for harboring asshole drivers.

    And as an avid driver, I can tell you that avid cyclists are the biggest assholes on the road, by far. It's not even close.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  11. failure is not an option. 1911 smartphone (death by raymorris · · Score: 2

    > or a gun person (amazing how those seem to go hand in hand) then you have to make stupid comments about how they'll never be able to make a smart gun that works

    Your ignorance of the topic is glaring. I'm making this post via my smart phone. Often, as I post on Slashdot, my smart phone suddenly hides the keyboard, so that as I begin to press the "h" or "j" keys, they vanish and the press instead goes to the Submit button which was underneath. I end up posting half a post because the smarts in my smart phone decided it was time to remove the keyboard from my screen.

    Sometimes, my smart phone phone randomly locks up for a few seconds, which is no big deal because it only lasts maybe ten seconds before it starts working again. That kind of thing happens with smart devices.

    In 2011, the model 1911 (introduced in the year 1911) was still the world's most popular handgun because it's been proven reliable (partially because it has only about foir moving parts that are critical). When your smart gun locks up for ten seconds, that's enough time for the bad to put ten bullets in you.
    In a gun fight, a snafu with your hardware means you are dead. We carry the hundred-year-old 1911 model because reliability means life. A bug, an imperfection, an "undocumented feature" with your handgun means your kids no longer have dad, so that's why we're not interested in nifty new designs with cool new features.

    The upgrade cycle on handgun designs for serious users is about once every hundred years for this reason. After 30 years of torture-testing the Glock design, including testing it after burying it in sand, in swamp, etc., we've started to trust that it's reliable, and it's taking it's place as the handgun design for this century. We pay $650 for a Glock rather than $250 for a very similar Kel-Tec model because we trust the Glock's reliability just a little bit more. In defense guns, reliability is life, so we'll absolutely pay more than twice as much to get something 2% more reliable.

    Go bury your smart gun in wet sand, in a swamp, drop it down the stairs, then test it. Keep doing this for 30 or 40 years and you'll meet the testing standards we've always required of any new design.

  12. I'll buy a Browning smart gun by raymorris · · Score: 2

    To illustrate a bit further for those who don't "get it", virtually every gun made today, from pistols to machine guns, is a John Moses Browning design. People have tweaked things here and there, adjusted the size and shape, but they mechanisms for all types of guns are John Browning's designs. Second place is Gaston Glock, for figuring out which plastic could be used to make a frame for a Browning breach-lock design.

    Basically, John Browning is the one guy we trust with our lives. We trust his designs. When he designs a smart gun, I'll buy one. That really is holding "smart" guns to the same standard we hold traditional guns - we trust their design only if John Browning signs off on the design. Of course he's been dead since 1926, so that's unlikely.

    Actually any "smart" gun would almost have to be the opposite of Browning's genius - he's THE gun designer because he was a master of simplicity, of having the fewest possible moving parts. Simplicity, few parts to go wrong, is what makes his designs so reliable. That's the opposite of "smart".

        Your smart thermostat is so complex and therefore difficult to FULLY understand that it can't be made secure or reliable; they get hacked and crash. That may be okay for a thermostat.