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SpaceX's Latest Launch Successful, But Ends With a "Hard Landing" (theverge.com)

Eloking writes with this news from The Verge: SpaceX successfully launched its Falcon 9 rocket into space this afternoon, but — as expected — failed to land the vehicle on a drone ship at sea afterward. CEO Elon Musk said the rocket 'landed hard' on the drone ship. The mission requirements made a successful landing unlikely. This was SpaceX's fourth attempt to land the Falcon 9 post-launch on an autonomous drone ship floating in the ocean. All of the previous sea landings failed too, though the third attempt came very close. The company had low hopes of a successful landing from the start of this mission, since the rocket had to send a heavy satellite into a high orbit. That requires a lot of fuel for the launch itself, so there wasn't much fuel left for the rocket's return to Earth and powered landing.

129 comments

  1. That was about time this news reached Slashdot! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It happened last night..

    1. Re:That was about time this news reached Slashdot! by haruchai · · Score: 0

      Oh yeah! Well so what?? "It happened one night" dates back to 1934 and I STILL haven't seen a Slashdot story about it.

      Frank Capra gets no respect around here.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
  2. Expectations game by ratnerstar · · Score: 4, Funny

    SpaceX and Marco Rubio are duking it out to see who wins "best management of the expectations game." Personally, I'm gonna give "third place win" the edge over "successful failure," but that's just me. Good hustle all around guys!

    --
    Just because you sold your soul to the devil that needn't make you a teetotaler. --The Devil and Daniel Webster
    1. Re:Expectations game by infolation · · Score: 1

      They're managing expectations with 'crash euphemisms'.

      Shame my car insurers won't accept I just 'parked it hard'.

    2. Re: Expectations game by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Another elon musk fuckup but, as per usual, we are masturbating furiously over it.

    3. Re:Expectations game by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fucking with Rubio because you're a racist? How the fuck does racism get modded up around here?

    4. Re: Expectations game by Type44Q · · Score: 2

      Because Musk is a total fuckup unless every rocket test goes perfectly?? He is indeed an impressive guy and attempting to put him down can't be easy but surely you could've come up with better than that?

    5. Re:Expectations game by Kjella · · Score: 1

      The difference is that one of them scores a win in their primaries. Yes, eventually SpaceX has to reliably nail their landings to make it useful but it was a first for this type of mission and they still almost reached their stretch goals while adding yet another successful satellite delivery to the Falcon 9 reliability stats. So apples and oranges, IMHO.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    6. Re:Expectations game by chispito · · Score: 1

      they still almost reached their stretch goals

      I don't think it was "almost." That describes the landing when the first stage touched down then tipped over. This sounds like it was not even close to a soft landing.

      . So apples and oranges, IMHO.

      Yes, comparing a politician's primary campaign and a rocket launch is definitely "apples and oranges."

      --
      The Daddy casts sleep on the Baby. The Baby resists!
    7. Re:Expectations game by NoNonAlphaCharsHere · · Score: 1

      Sorry, making fun of a loser doesn't make OP a racist. Accusing him of it, however, DOES make you an idiot.

    8. Re: Expectations game by beelsebob · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Right, successfully inserting a communications satellite into geostationary orbit, exactly as contracted to do... Such a fuck up.

    9. Re: Expectations game by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "One grows weary" is a good summary of the killjoys, too.

    10. Re: Expectations game by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 5, Interesting

      "When NASA has a launch failure or even a postponement it's nightly news, complete with commentary as to how it's all a waste of money, government can't do things right, etc."

      The public expects a government space program to be run with perfect safety, which everyone in the business knows is as unattainable as safe aviation was in 1920, and that it must not do anything "adventurous" like landing a booster, even if the activity is not mission-critical and does not pose any threat to human life. Manned space programs have to go private not because NASA is incompetent, but because only the private sector is allowed to take risks.

    11. Re: Expectations game by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your comment may well be the stupidest fucking thing I'll read all month, and we're still on the 5th. You'll get a participation trophy no matter what.

      You've managed to take an impressive fact - that SpaceX is making (mostly) reusable rockets for a fraction of the cost of the other guys - and spiral into a rant about millennials.

    12. Re: Expectations game by Teancum · · Score: 2

      Another elon musk fuckup

      If that is a fuckup, I think he deserves to continue receiving money for many more similar fuckups.

      Seriously, what possible standard are you seeking here? The payload got delivered to the proper orbit and the customer themselves were so impressed that they want to send another payload with SpaceX.

      Geez, nobody can possibly be pleased.

    13. Re: Expectations game by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      even a postponement it's nightly news,

      Delays with launches happen a lot, as I have to explain to visiting family members that want to go see a launch as I live not that far from Cape Kennedy. Even for major missions, delays get just blurbs in the news with no commentary. Lost of smaller satellites get delayed all the time, but get no mention in the news at all.

      In the practical world, it doesn't matter who thought of something, but who actually does, and does it cheaper than other people. Even if you're doing the exact same things as people before you, but cheaper, you can become the leader in a field. Yet somehow you're the one who things companies like SpaceX are special and should be treated differently, that they should be held extra responsible for delays that are par for the course and want more from them than "just another government contractor" as you yourself label them.

    14. Re: Expectations game by Teancum · · Score: 2

      If they (NASA) tried to land boosters and had the same fail rate they'd be accused of being a total waste with calls of how they should get back to expendable rockets because God forbid they should innovate and maybe fail.

      If NASA was operating rockets that had the flight success of SpaceX, I doubt they would be accused of total waste like you are stating. This launch was a friggin success that got the payload to the intended destination for crying out loud. What the hell are you talking about?

      The failure of the recovery of the lower stage just means an experimental concept using reserve fuel for a stage that otherwise would have just been tossed in the ocean if it wasn't built up for recovery has yet another data point that can be used to refine the recovery concepts.... concepts that many of "those in the 40s, 50s, and 60s who actually laid out how to do this stuff" said couldn't be done in the first place.... yet here is SpaceX actually doing it.

      Calling a huge resounding success as an abject failure is just somebody who delights in the misery of others when there is no call for misery in the first place.

    15. Re: Expectations game by haruchai · · Score: 1

      How is that different from any other government contractor company?
      By the way, SpaceX has plenty of customers that are NOT government.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    16. Re:Expectations game by AmiMoJo · · Score: 0

      Didn't Blue Origin already do this a while back anyway? They landed a rocket... Okay, this is at sea, but Blue Origin are reusing their's. It's interesting but seems like Musk is really hyping up second place.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    17. Re:Expectations game by Teancum · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I don't think it was "almost." That describes the landing when the first stage touched down then tipped over.

      There wasn't really much of an expectation it would be successful anyway. The largest problem was that there was very little reserve fuel left in the rocket due to the fact that nearly all of the fuel needed to get the payload delivered to GEO (also due to the heavier payload itself) that it wasn't really thought that the rocket could land.

      SpaceX basically made an attempt anyway. Close in this case is that the rocket ran out of fuel when it was close (in proportion) to hovering velocity, but 1%-2% of the original velocity when it was in space was still going way too fast to land gently.

    18. Re: Expectations game by Rei · · Score: 2

      But he didn't land a nearly empty 70 meter rocket on a boat in the middle of the ocean. That makes him a failure. I don't know about you, but I've never once crashed a 70 meter rocket on a boat landing - like most people, my rockets have a perfect record.

      --
      Stale pastry is hollow succor to one who is bereft of ostrich.
    19. Re:Expectations game by Rei · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Are there still people here who don't know the difference between an orbital and a suborbital rocket? I thought we were past that.

      AmiMoJo: the difference between landing a suborbital rocket and landing an orbital rocket is the difference between jumping off your couch and landing on your feet without falling over, and jumping off a ladder and landing on a pogo stick without falling over.

      --
      Stale pastry is hollow succor to one who is bereft of ostrich.
    20. Re:Expectations game by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure, it may be true that Blue Origin launched a rocket to a hight that is technically defined as being in space and landed it before SpaceX, it isn't a fair comparison as Blue Origin didn't actually deliver a payload to orbit with its test flight.

      SpaceX quite probably could have beaten Blue Origin to that particular milestone, but they had already demonstrated low-altitude VTVL with their rockets back in 2013, and they didn't see the value of going higher short of actually launching to orbit.

    21. Re:Expectations game by slashping · · Score: 1

      See this comparison including handy graphic: http://www.popularmechanics.co...

    22. Re: Expectations game by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      [...] concepts that many of "those in the 40s, 50s, and 60s who actually laid out how to do this stuff" said couldn't be done in the first place.... yet here is SpaceX actually doing it.

      Well, I think part of his argument is that they aren't doing it. How many successful landings have they had on their barge?

      That said, my attitude--since this is a private company--is go for it. It's not costing me anything for them to try, they may figure out what would be necessary (more fuel? better engines?) to do it, and I occasionally get to see cool blowey-upey videos.

      If it were my tax dollars at work? Tricky call, but I'd probably still be in favor. Many of the above points are still valid and, as SpaceX might say, it's not like they've lost anything because the booster would have just ended up in the ocean anyway.

      I like to see companies try new things, even if they are ultimately unsuccessful.

    23. Re: Expectations game by Teancum · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well, I think part of his argument is that they aren't doing it. How many successful landings have they had on their barge?

      How many successful landings has anybody had from landing a 5 story tall launch vehicle above the Karman Line (aka what is commonly thought of as actually outer space) and then landing that rocket on a barge in the ocean?

      I think the level of expectation here is just a tad bit high, where even the notion of calling this a failure is simply absurd.

      Very useful engineering data was obtained on this flight, including in the landing. For a rocket that wasn't expected to be recovered at all in this particular case, SpaceX did a pretty good job at trying to recover it, and got some pieces anyway as it actually did land on the barge.... just not as slowly as necessary to get it in one piece.

    24. Re: Expectations game by Teancum · · Score: 1

      It is in a thread that started out talking about Marco Rubio and then comparing Elon Musk to that same Presidential candidate.

      I happen to agree with you though that is one of the most inane and intentionally ignorant posts I've ever read this month and will likely read too. Only the Moon landing deniers can possibly top this for sheer stupidity.

    25. Re:Expectations game by Teancum · · Score: 1

      I couldn't have said it any better, other than landing on that pogo stick on a raft in the middle of a swimming pool.

      Besides, it was SpaceX that made the first attempts on that concept too. Blue Origin just took an easier to accomplish task (aka the sub-orbital) and did it earlier.

      Or if you want to give credit where it is due, the thanks goes to the DC-X team who was successful in landing a suborbital flight like that.

    26. Re:Expectations game by Teancum · · Score: 1

      they had already demonstrated low-altitude VTVL with their rockets back in 2013, and they didn't see the value of going higher short of actually launching to orbit.

      To be fair, SpaceX lost their test vehicle that they were planning on making those higher altitude test with. Also, SpaceX didn't have the clearance from the FAA to launch rockets any higher at their Texas test facility (being under major airline flight paths sort of makes that a problem), which is why SpaceX was going to be moving the testing to New Mexico instead.

      It was just pointless for SpaceX to build another test vehicle when they had already been quite close at recovering a core used for revenue service, where reflights would actually make a whole lot more sense.

    27. Re:Expectations game by Baloroth · · Score: 1

      SpaceX has already landed a rocket on land as well, they just want to get the sea landings down, because not every launch allows landing on land.

      --
      "None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license." --John Milton
    28. Re: Expectations game by SpaceDave · · Score: 1

      This recovery wasn't expected to "succeed" because the mission profile was very different to the other attempts they've been making. This mission was going to geosynchronous orbit which means the recovery would be significantly more difficult. The landing attempt was more about gathering data than hoping for a soft landing. The fact that you didn't know this shows that you're not really qualified to comment on what constitutes success or fuckup.

    29. Re:Expectations game by rasmusbr · · Score: 2

      It's really mostly about speed and kinetic energy.

      The Blue Orbital New Shepard first stage and the Falcon 9 first stage are both suborbital vehicles, but the F9 is faster and way more energetic in terms of energy per unit of mass. Here are some numbers:

      New Shepard first stage
      Speed at MECO: 1250 m/s
      Kinetic energy per kilogram: 0,8 MJ

      Falcon 9 first stage, LEO launch
      Speed at MECO: 1650 m/s
      Kinetic energy per kilogram: 1,4 MJ

      Falcon 9 first stage, geostationary launch:
      Speed at MECO: 2250 m/s
      Kinetic energy per kilogram: 2,5 MJ

      The Falcon 9 first stage also has to navigate to its landing site, while the New Shepard just has to basically go straight up and down.

      An actual orbital vehicle like the Falcon 9 second stage or the Dragon spacecraft travels at at least 8500 m/s and has 36 MJ/kg of kinetic energy when it begins entry. Landing a second stage of a rocket like the Falcon 9 will obviously be incredibly difficult.

    30. Re:Expectations game by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Thanks for pointing that out, but you could just say it without the snark you know.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    31. Re: Expectations game by haruchai · · Score: 2

      You could make the same claims about electric cars & vactrains yet we now have a Musk company that's built & sold 100k battery-only electric cars and has inspired
      several Hyperloop-based projects that are getting close to very small-scale 1st testing.

      He's not (yet) Ford, Edison, Westinghouse nor Tesla nor is he Tony Stark but he's doing a damn fine job of trying.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    32. Re: Expectations game by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Huh, we landed on the moon? Where's the movie about it? I remember a movie about a rocket that tried to make it to the moon but had a problem so they had to turn back; it had great CGI but didn't seem realistic. I thought we had only gone to Mars and left a guy there. An I confused?

    33. Re: Expectations game by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 2

      How many successful landings has anybody had from landing a 5 story tall launch vehicle above the Karman Line (aka what is commonly thought of as actually outer space) and then landing that rocket on a barge in the ocean?

      None. On the other hand, if I say I am going to walk barefoot on water and I fail, I doubt you would be so quick to say that, "Oh, he almost made it that time..."

      Don't get me wrong, I don't disagree. SpaceX can try as many times as they like and I'm rooting for them to figure out a way to do it. And they're not necessarily losing anything, since the first stage would be thrown away anyhow. If I were an investor--and I'm not--about the only question I might be asking would be how much are they spending to develop this technology and how much money do they think they'll save--in short, what is the ROI for something like this? If you end up spending $100 million to save $1 million, that means 100 or so launches until you see the profit from your work.

      I imagine that Elon Musk and the folks at SpaceX have calculated it out and decided it's worthwhile.

    34. Re:Expectations game by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Credit for the software architecture goes to John Carmack of Doom fame during his time at Armadillo Aerospace.

      They aren't using your fathers autopilot, the new software is hardware agnostic and self adjusting in real time. Falcon 9 is probably the most "intelligent" aircraft to ever fly, capable of managing everything from last second post ignition scrubs to engine out events without help from ground control. SpaceX is hands off minutes before liftoff, they trust their hardware, their crazy smart hardware.

      Cool fact, SpaceX shaved tons of their rocket by replacing the aviation cable bundle everyone else uses that's tried and true with Ethernet cable, while massively expanding bandwidth so they can mount an unprecedented number of sensors, that they analyze with machine learning. I mean I get how it works, I've read the papers, I've seen the results, and still. Fucking witchcraft.

      They knew about that strut because they listened very carefully to the explosion. Who thinks this shit up?!

    35. Re:Expectations game by Rei · · Score: 0

      Basically, if they wanted to make New Shepard comparable, they'd have to get the payload fraction inline by cutting its mass down to, what, a third of its current mass? Then they'd have to eliminate the ability to hover (because the engines need too much thrust in an actual orbital rocket - Falcon 9 shuts down all but one of their engines and throttles it down to 70%, and it's still too much thrust), and have it attempt its landing from a far higher delta V, onto a tiny platform in the ocean.

      Yeah, good luck with that, Blue Origin. Maybe some day. Until then, they're just patting themselves on the back for winning a plastic trophy in the Little Leagues.

      --
      Stale pastry is hollow succor to one who is bereft of ostrich.
    36. Re: Expectations game by beelsebob · · Score: 1

      To be fair, your rockets also have a 100% failure record :D

    37. Re: Expectations game by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Whatever happened to extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence?

    38. Re:Expectations game by Teancum · · Score: 1

      You are 100% correct on every point above, at least based on stuff I have heard about from SpaceX from a variety of sources.

      Switching to an internal TCP/IP network for the rocket also saved a tremendous amount of mass for sensor cabling too, which matters a whole ton more when you are talking about the rocket equation.

    39. Re: Expectations game by Teancum · · Score: 1

      An I confused?

      Yup, but you still don't even have the most ignorant post on even this thread.

    40. Re: Expectations game by Teancum · · Score: 2

      about the only question I might be asking would be how much are they spending to develop this technology and how much money do they think they'll save--in short, what is the ROI for something like this?

      Some hard numbers to throw around on something like this:

      The current "price" of a Falcon 9 is about $70 million USD. This is how much you would be asked to pay for a standard Falcon 9 if you made a serious inquiry to sales @ spacex.com for a real quote, but that comes before special one time engineering charges or extra features and special handling. That price gets you a rocket, the basic range fees for an ordinary simple LEO payload delivery, and engineering data for a standard SpaceX payload connector. Most payloads usually require some special engineering considerations, so the price usually goes up from there.

      The "cost" of a Falcon 9, in terms of raw labor and manufacturing costs to get that vehicle actually manufactured is definitely less than that figure, where I've heard the price is speculated to possibly in the very roughly $20-$30 million range to build that rocket, with most of that cost concentrated in the construction of the lower (1st) stage of the Falcon 9.... let's say about $15-$20 million for actual labor & manufacturing costs of the lower stage. That is a huge profit margin, which one of the reasons why Steve Jurvetson (a member of the SpaceX board of directors) is publicly quoted as saying the SpaceX financials are "financial porn".

      Elon Musk also suggested that the fuel costs for a typical Falcon 9 flight are well less than $1 million per flight, more along the line of about $250,000 per flight to give a general ball park figure.

      You can use that as a range of figures to try and figure out what the ROI of performing multiple failures and how many times you need to recover the lower stage before it becomes profitable. Also of note, this particular launch of the SES-9 vehicle likely would have been to purchase the full vehicle and not really involve any bonus for lower stage recovery where the expectation is that the stage would not have been recovered. It should also be of significant note that purely for R&D purposes that have nothing to do with reflying the lower stage, obtaining the physical equipment for engineering review is incredibly valuable where actual rocket engines used to delivery payloads into space and then put on a test stand for additional performance testing can help to significantly improve reliability. Just using a borescope to peek inside of the engine parts to see how they held up under actual flight conditions is alone worth the price of that stage if it means fewer disasters like the CRS-7 flight.

      In short, I think you could likely make a case that even recovering one in three or more likely every other launch for that lower stage would more than pay for this whole recovery program effort from a strict cost accounting basis. I'd love to see what the engineering costs for this recovery development have been,but compared to the costs of developing the Merlin engines or the costs of developing the Dragon spacecraft, I suspect it is minor and almost incidental. A single successful recovery is worth at a minimum of $10-$15 million cash in hand, and that even includes the costs of the barge operations.

      To show where SpaceX is looking from their own caculations, they intend to drop the price of the Falcon 9 to about $30 million with the regular recovery of the Falcon 9 lower stage, and if they can ever get the upper stage to the point of being recovered as well, that price goes down to a mere $7 million per launch that they intend to charge their customers. SpaceX has also announced their intention to perform payload faring recovery and reuse, just to show the extent of their reuse plans.

    41. Re: Expectations game by someone1234 · · Score: 1

      Well, they don't reuse any of the rockets. The only rocket that was claimed to be reusable will gather dust in a museum.
      I hoped they will manage this latest recovery, but it seems they are still way too far from reliably recovering a rocket.

      --
      Patents Drive Free Software as Hurricanes Drive Construction Industry
    42. Re: Expectations game by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It actually got it to a slightly higher orbit than targeted, and in this case it was a good thing! ~1000km higher apogee, IIRC.

    43. Re:Expectations game by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      First stage for falcon rocket is also sub orbital - Blue Origin is doing much better job in so far as they actually have highly reliable reusable rocket.

    44. Re: Expectations game by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      https://www.google.com/search?...

      We already have Tony Stark :)

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    45. Re: Expectations game by haruchai · · Score: 1

      Branson isn't tinkerer or inventor enough to be Tony Stark but he deserves another peerage for that naked model surfing stunt.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    46. Re: Expectations game by beastofburdon · · Score: 1

      But he was trying soooo hard!

  3. Elon Musk designs anti-drone rocket by penguinoid · · Score: 2

    Boom!

    --
    Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
  4. ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by WindBourne · · Score: 2

    Right now, both of the barges have horizontal thrusters that will keep the barges in 1 place. In that regard, it makes much easier for the craft to come down. However, the barges do not have vertical thrusters, so, they will pitch and roll in the same location. Without these, it is going to be impossible for these to land on the barge during heavy seas such as what was seen. On a calmer day, with say 1 m waves and under, the stages will do just fine.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Since you can't call up Poseidon and order some calm seas, this is a problem they're going to have to fix sooner or later.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by chill · · Score: 1

      Threaded conversations are fun. Since you didn't quote the original, your use of this as a pronoun refers to having to figure out how to call up Poseidon and order some calm seas.

      Sir, your ideas are intriguing to me and I wish to subscribe to your newsletter. I wonder if we can get a Federal grant for research efforts into replicating Triton's conch horn?

      --
      Learning HOW to think is more important than learning WHAT to think.
    3. Re:ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by short · · Score: 1

      If they were confident they can land it safely they could wait multiple launch windows until the sea is calm.

    4. Re:ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by rasmusbr · · Score: 1

      Right now, both of the barges have horizontal thrusters that will keep the barges in 1 place. In that regard, it makes much easier for the craft to come down. However, the barges do not have vertical thrusters, so, they will pitch and roll in the same location. Without these, it is going to be impossible for these to land on the barge during heavy seas such as what was seen. On a calmer day, with say 1 m waves and under, the stages will do just fine.

      If the ship itself is stationary in the horizontal plane then all they really need to do is to make sure the platform on to of the ship is horizontal and not moving in the z-axis.

      They could probably mount the platform on top of some actuators that could compensate for the motion in the z-axis.

    5. Re:ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by Kjella · · Score: 1

      Right now, both of the barges have horizontal thrusters that will keep the barges in 1 place. In that regard, it makes much easier for the craft to come down. However, the barges do not have vertical thrusters, so, they will pitch and roll in the same location. Without these, it is going to be impossible for these to land on the barge during heavy seas such as what was seen. On a calmer day, with say 1 m waves and under, the stages will do just fine.

      Heavy seas and heavy winds tend to go together, the main issue is that you're bringing down a huge, mostly empty cylinder that'll get caught by the wind. If they can compensate for that they certainly can compensate for a pitching/rolling surface. It's been pretty clear from past failures that it's the rocket failing to make a good touchdown, not the ship acting up. Including the one where the landing leg didn't lock. Until SpaceX start showing footage of rockets coming down so soft they "should have" landed, I think your concern is misplaced.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    6. Re:ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Out on the open ocean, especially the Pacific, you will be waiting a long time for those conditions. Swells come from thousands of miles away, all year around.

    7. Re:ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      A deep keel would help with stability. Since their ships are barges, I assume they have no keels. When I was a Marine, I spent quite a bit of time on amphibious ships (aka "gators") which also have no keels, so they can get in close to the shore. They rolled a lot in rough seas, and I spent many days puking over the railing.

    8. Re:ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by Mryll · · Score: 1

      It reminds me a little bit of an ill-fated stunt on the ill-fated program "Stunt Junkies" where a guy wanted to jump a motorcycle from one barge to another. Caught enough of a vertical difference between the barges to barely but completely overshoot his landing ramp, landed horizontal, and broke a bunch of bones in his back. Touchy stuff on a relatively simple trajectory.

    9. Re:ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      About the only issue I can see, from a commercial point-of-view, is that those delays may mean I have to wait for my satellite to be operational. You need to have "perfect" weather now in two places across the globe.

    10. Re:ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by Dereck1701 · · Score: 2

      Satellites take years to develop, and sometimes sit on a shelf for years more before they get a launch slot. Waiting a few days/weeks for "perfect" weather is nothing compared to that. I imagine launch customers look at the criteria in the following order, First that their satellite makes it to orbit, secondly that it is done so as cheaply as possible, and a distant third that it is launched on time. The only exception might be some interplanetary launches, but in with a properly designed propulsion system there is no reason why the satellite/probe couldn't be launched a few weeks/months early to loiter in an elliptical orbit until the window came up.

    11. Re:ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by Harlequin80 · · Score: 1

      I still think, that the future holds a permanent landing pad structure built in the ocean. There are parts of the sea floor in the right area that a significantly shallower than some of the depths oil platforms operate at.

      Whether this happens or not will be down to how re-usable the rockets are of course. But if they, for example, allow a 75% cost reduction, then the economics of building a platform for recovery are probably there.

    12. Re:ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      I don't believe "vertical thrusters" are practical because you would either be lifting the barge's entire weight into the air or pushing its entire displacement under the water. And it weighs a few hundred tons. You might mean "stabilizers", which are used to prevent rocking in cruise ships and are essentially underwater wings.

      It might just be that a slow cyclical 20-foot vertical motion isn't a challenge to landing with radar altimetry. It's not likely to tip the rocket, either, because the empty rocket is bottom-heavy.

    13. Re:ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by k6mfw · · Score: 1

      Since you can't call up Poseidon and order some calm seas

      wow, this reminds me Poseidon is a god and not a trademark name of Lockheed.

      --
      mfwright@batnet.com
    14. Re:ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 2

      This is problematical, because it freezes a whole bunch of parameters. It means you can't aim for your orbit, you have to aim for your re-entry destination instead. Orbital inclination, speed, and the length of the burn must be exactly what is necessary to hit that platform. Especially for high-delta-V missions like this last one, where there isn't enough fuel for a boost-back burn and the barge was 600 kM downrange.

    15. Re:ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 2

      On the Reddit spacex forum, the moderators aren't allowing posts with back-of-napkin engineering like this any longer. You need to present the math. They are doing that because we've heard all of the suggestions before and we're totally bored with them. Nets. Moving platforms. Big foam yonis. A big crane that grabs the rocket really fast. Giant baseball gloves.

      One would hope the rocket itself could handle up-and-down motion of the barge. It has a radar altimeter and a computer.

    16. Re:ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 3, Informative

      The challenge here for SpaceX is that a single engine can not throttle down enough to hover the empty booster. That's why they call it "hoverslam", if the engine stayed on the rocket would bounce back up. There would be a lot more room for error correction if that was the case.

    17. Re:ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by rasmusbr · · Score: 1

      Your idea should be fairly easy to do the math on, if you have the data on the Merlin engine. Can the Merlin engine ramp up thrust fast enough to compensate for a rising ocean wave at the last moment? I doubt that data is publicly available, thought.

      If you had data on the weight distribution of the first stage and the mechanical characteristics of the landing legs you could also run simulations to see if the stage would tip over and fall in heavy seas after a successful landing. Again, I doubt you can get that data unless you work for SpaceX.

      I suppose the Reddit moderators work there.

    18. Re:ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I fully expect that once they get more test data (over probably the next year) and have better idea on the cost savings of refurbished 1st stages, they will invest in something much larger and stable then a pair of barges.

      Right now, they're apparently not willing to invest that money on something that may not pan out long term. Plus they're still in the "figuring out all the failure modes not due to wave height" phase. Like not enough hydraulic fluid, not fast enough CPU power, landing legs not locking...

    19. Re:ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      There seems to be a lot of inside information flowing to at least one of the Reddit moderators. Even lowly I have had my tour of the SpaceX plant. :-)

    20. Re:ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by werepants · · Score: 1

      Hoverslam is certainly a challenge, but even if they could throttle the engines to arbitrarily low levels they would still probably use a similar descent profile. It's inefficient to hover or come in gently - the best possible (read: most efficient) descent is the "suicide burn", where you wait until the last millisecond and then go full thrust. So, even if they didn't have to hoverslam because of throttling constraints, they would probably still do it to save fuel.

    21. Re:ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by Harlequin80 · · Score: 1

      You know the stage does course corrections after separation right? The barge doesn't just happen to be sitting where the stage will land by default. I suspect that at the speed and altitude that separation occurs there is a significant arc the rocket can land in with marginal difference in fuel use. The fins alone will give significant steering capabilities.

      Yes for some launches, such as this one, the amount of available fuel will be extremely limited and you may decide to use a barge in that instance because of the high likely hood of kabooming. But for the majority of launches there will be more than enough fuel to land on a platform if the platform is in the right general vicinity. Of could if it is a polar orbit then you aren't going to use that platform.

    22. Re:ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Quite the opposite. Fins are only good for ships underway. When they are stationary or the water is moving that slow, then the fins are worthless.
      OTOH, VERTICAL STABILIZERS, or vertical thrusters, can and are used in various systems (namely a number of floating oil rigs). They will not stop the roll and pitch, BUT, they will limit it under the right conditions. And that is what is needed. Basically, the barge needs to have limited pitch.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    23. Re:ocean landing will not happen during rough seas by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      That is not entirely accurate. What was announced is mostly guess work. In addition, so far, the only constant landings are on stable land, while medium to rough seas seems to have all sorts of mechanical issues, but it is never the barge's motion.
      However, if I were musk, the last thing that I would do is tell the world exactly what is wrong and how we solved it.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  5. How about aiming for a pool? by MMC+Monster · · Score: 0

    Would there be benefit in trying to land the rocket in a pool of fresh water (or even pure water or some other non-ionizing solution)?

    It would at least be less corrosive than salt water, and if they get it out quickly maybe not significantly damaging at all?

    --
    Help! I'm a slashdot refugee.
    1. Re:How about aiming for a pool? by Eloking · · Score: 1

      Would there be benefit in trying to land the rocket in a pool of fresh water (or even pure water or some other non-ionizing solution)?

      It would at least be less corrosive than salt water, and if they get it out quickly maybe not significantly damaging at all?

      Hmmm I don't think it'll work.

      First, you'll probably need to stop the rocket at the surface of the water, it'll will have the time to gain a lot of momentum while it enter.

      Second, the rocket will now slow down that much if it enter the water vertically, you'll probably have to figure a way to deploy a short of water parachute (which will add some weight).

      Thirdly, those rocket are quite fragile so, even if the drag of the water will slow the rocket a bit, I'm quite sure it'll be damaged if it tip over and fall like in the last landing where the leg didn't lock.

      --
      Elok
    2. Re:How about aiming for a pool? by stevelinton · · Score: 2

      They can do a landing on solid ground (or at least they have done it once). Unfortunately, there is no solid ground in the right place for most flights

    3. Re:How about aiming for a pool? by fabioalcor · · Score: 0

      If they use big parachutes to slow the descent, and fluctuators to keep the rocket afloat? Will they be heavier than all the rocket fuel used to land the rocket?

    4. Re:How about aiming for a pool? by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      Big hot rocket engines and nozzles crack when immersed in cold water.

    5. Re:How about aiming for a pool? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Considering the insane power to weight ratio an almost empty boost has, I'm not sure which weighs more, the parachutes, or the fuel needed to do the same amount of slowing down. Furthermore, attaching big parachutes to something as low weight as this empty cylinder, would make it even more sensitive to winds -- something which is already a real issue.

  6. Why does nobody... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...wonder where SKYLON is? http://www.space.com/32112-how-skylon-space-plane-works-infographic.html

    1. Re:Why does nobody... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Or the 1997 Japanese Space Hotel.. Or the 2016 Solaren space-based solar power array? Space attracts a fair number of snake-oil salesmen, and their true believers.

    2. Re:Why does nobody... by Dereck1701 · · Score: 1

      Its development is still on a slow simmer, the company is still working on it, but it looks like they're trying to develop the SABRE engine for "commercial" (US Air Force and BAE Systems) purposes to raise capital for a push at developing SKYLON.

    3. Re: Why does nobody... by Type44Q · · Score: 1

      They've been promising us space hotels forever; did none of you read Charlie and the Great Space Elevator?? ;)

    4. Re:Why does nobody... by Guspaz · · Score: 1

      Because it will basically never be cheaper than expendable rockets due to the massive R&D and construction costs, and by the time it was flying, it would be competing against other reusable rockets anyhow.

  7. Cylon musk is a robot! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    He will destroy us all!

  8. Possible solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It is not uncommon for rockets to be held in place by arms that fall to the side when it goes to launch. Why not have arms from the side rise up to grab the rocket landing on the barge?

    1. Re: Possible solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because there are no arms on Mars.

    2. Re: Possible solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      On the other hand there are also no oceans on Mars.

    3. Re:Possible solution by JoshuaZ · · Score: 1

      That would require a much more precise landing. Moreover, the strongback which holds the Falcon 9 steady before launch wouldn't work here since that's dealing with very tiny amounts of being pushed in one direction or another, orders of magnitude less than what would occur during landing. The rocket is not designed to have a lot of pressure from one side like that, and making it so that it could would add a lot of mass.

    4. Re: Possible solution by TechnoCore · · Score: 1

      The rocket stage is much like a soda can. Super thin alloy. It can only handle stress in the vertical direction. Therefore the answer is *no*.

    5. Re:Possible solution by AJWM · · Score: 1

      Those arms aren't holding the rocket in place (except for the strongback on some launchers which retracts a half-hour or so before launch, typically used for launchers which are transported horizontally then raised into position), they're arms supporting various cables and hoses for supplying ground power, communications, fuel and pressurization. They retract at launch to pull out all the connectors and get them safely away from the vehicle.

      Vehicles are usually held down by explosive bolts or retractable clamps at the very base of the vehicle, which ensure that thrust has built to a stable point before release (depending on the vehicle).

      --
      -- Alastair
    6. Re: Possible solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Soda can is strong when filled with pressurized soda.

      The pressure keeps the can cylindrical which preserves its strength, The pressure also supports the ends of the can.

       

      Experiment anyone can do

      Set can on floor. Attempt to crush the full can of soda.

      Open the can - drink the soda.

      Which can is easier to crush?

  9. Why not have a big net by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just let it flop into the net. Problem solved.

    1. Re:Why not have a big net by JoshuaZ · · Score: 3, Informative

      The rocket is not designed to handle stress from all angles. Flopping into a net would entail coming down hard in a direction that it is not designed to handle stress. The primary advantage of a vertical landing is that most of the stress remains vertical just like when the rocket is being launched. Building it to handle other directions would require much more mass. They'll get this to work eventually, and this was a very difficult run anyways because the orbital profile required the rocket coming down from higher up, at a higher velocity and with less fuel to work with. Please be patient.

  10. Re: outside US coast no environment important? by Type44Q · · Score: 1, Funny

    I have to wonder if there's a language this vodka-tainted gibberish could be translated into where it actually makes sense... Okay, probably not.

  11. Design flaw by U2xhc2hkb3QgU3Vja3M · · Score: 1

    The company had low hopes of a successful landing from the start of this mission, since the rocket had to send a heavy satellite into a high orbit. That requires a lot of fuel for the launch itself, so there wasn't much fuel left for the rocket's return to Earth and powered landing.

    So their design allows them to send heavy loads into orbit but that requires so much fuel that they can't land it afterward.

    So either don't launch things heavier than X, or increase the fuel capacity. It's not rocket sci... oh wait, it is!

    1. Re:Design flaw by slashping · · Score: 1

      There are many different loads and orbits. The rocket can launch a lighter load or a lower orbit, and make a successful return, or it can launch a heavy load into a higher orbit, and act as a standard disposable rocket. Once they get a routine started, they can relaunch a rocket multiple times, and when it starts to wear out, use it for one last disposable launch.

    2. Re:Design flaw by Guspaz · · Score: 1

      There was originally supposed to be enough fuel for the landing. The way it works is that they normally put the satellite in a transfer orbit, and then the satellite moves itself to the final orbit, kind of a third stage of the rocket. That's very slow, however. SpaceX was months behind schedule, so they promised to put the satellite into a much closer to final orbit to shave around a month off the required orbital maneuvering. Unfortunately, that used up the extra fuel reserved for landing.

      Had they not been so far behind schedule, then they would have had a much better shot at the landing. Unfortunately, SpaceX still has a serious problem with launch cadence: they just can't get the thing flying as regularly as they're supposed to.

    3. Re:Design flaw by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      Not only were they months behind schedule, but they got SES to switch places with Orbcomm, so that they could return to flight with a simpler mission. So, they really owed SES.

  12. Re:Successful, but... by belthize · · Score: 1

    The finished the marathon (launch very heavy satellite), they just failed their secondary goal of leading at least one mile of the race (landing on barge).

  13. Misses the big advance by trout007 · · Score: 1

    The use of superchilled liquid oxygen was a big step for them. Making the fuel denser allows them to put more fuel in the same volume.

    --
    I love Jesus, except for his foreign policy.
  14. Why the drone ship by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Can someone explain to me why they're using the drone ship as opposed to say an open flat plain or stretch of desert? It seems to me that adding in the complexity of rolling waves makes this a lot harder. Or, and maybe I'm answering my own question here, is it a lot harder to hit a specific target on land when coming down from LEO and thus the ship's mobility allows them to have a larger area to choose from for a landing?

    1. Re: Why the drone ship by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A flat plain or a desert would be fantastic. Unfortunately neither exist in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean.

    2. Re:Why the drone ship by Guspaz · · Score: 3, Informative

      It's all about the fuel. On launches that leave enough spare fuel, they actually return the rocket all the way back to a landing pad at the launch site in Florida. They successfully landed the rocket once in that manner. But on launches that require more fuel (to put a heavier payload into a faster orbit), there isn't enough fuel leftover for the burn that would send the rocket back towards the launch site. As a result, they are limited to a relatively ballistic trajectory from the launch site, which means landing somewhere out to sea. The landing destination is actually pretty precise (the drone ship is trying its best to stay stationary, not move to meet the rocket), it's just that it's the only place they have enough fuel to get to.

      The first stage of the rocket never reaches orbit: it's still going really really fast, but not orbital velocity. So after the second stage separates, left alone, the first stage would start falling down again downrange and crash into the ocean.

      Normally, after separation, the first stage flips itself over and then does a boostback burn to kill the forward momentum, and give it enough momentium backwards to line up its trajectory back towards the launch site. Then later it does a deceleration burn to slow itself down to keep the atmosphere from ripping it apart. And then finally, it does a landing burn for the last segment to slow it to a stop.

      On some missions, they don't have the fuel to do that full boostback burn, so they kill some of the forward momentum, but that's it.

    3. Re:Why the drone ship by AJWM · · Score: 0

      There's not a lot of land downrange of Florida for an equatorial launch, and the first stage can't make it to Africa.

      When they launch from California (for eg. a polar orbit) they can land on land, and have successfully done so. When they start launching from Texas they can look at landing in Florida.

      --
      -- Alastair
    4. Re:Why the drone ship by slashping · · Score: 2

      Actually their one successful landing was from a launch in Florida, but they had enough fuel to return to the launch site.

    5. Re: Why the drone ship by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's no argument. IT's just an argument to move your launches to California, but doesn't justify a drone ship. Guspaz's comment is way better.

    6. Re: Why the drone ship by Teancum · · Score: 1

      You can't just move the launches to California. The reason why the launches are happening in Florida is because there aren't people to the east of the launch site for hundreds of miles. If the launch was done instead at Vandenberg, the flight path would take the rocket over Santa Barbara and potentially Los Angeles, where not very many people would be happy if pieces of the rocket like what happened during the CRS-7 flight started to fall on their homes.

      Moving the launch site to perhaps the Mojave Airport (which is even licensed by the FAA as a proper spaceport for some spaceflight activities) would still have this rocket arcing over Las Vegas and Phoenix and eventually over the whole south-eastern USA.

      Russia gets away with launching their rockets in the middle of Asia in part because the flight path is similarly over almost completely unpopulated parts of the world (mostly Siberia and the steppe of Kazakhstan)... and the Soviet Union (when the launch site was built) didn't worry about pesky details like lawsuits from its citizens. The Russian government still doesn't care, and by the time rockets from Russia are heading over Alaska it isn't too big of a worry as the rockets are already in orbit.

      In short, a flat plain or desert in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean would be nice, particularly if it had no people. Unfortunately that land without people doesn't exist.

  15. Re:Successful, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I guess, if the primary goal of that person was simply to jump off of the Empire State building, with a safe landing just being a bonus, then I guess it works as an analogy.

  16. Re:Successful, but... by Teancum · · Score: 1

    "His jump off the Empire State Building was successful, but his secondary goal of landing safely was a disaster."

    The Al-Qaeda terrorist successfully jumped off the Empire State Building, fired the RPG into Trump Tower killing Donald Trump, and failed to land successfully into the recovery net at the bottom when he knew he was going to be a martyr anyway.

    Yeah, talking about moving goal posts to the level of stupidity.

    The purpose of the flight was to deliver a communications satellite to geo-synchronous orbit. Your analogy here is sort of suggesting that actual objective wasn't accomplished.

  17. Hey! by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

    How's that barge landing thing working out?

    --
    The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  18. Re:Successful, but... by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

    Yeah, talking about moving goal posts to the level of stupidity.

    The purpose of the flight was to deliver a communications satellite to geo-synchronous orbit. Your analogy here is sort of suggesting that actual objective wasn't accomplished.

    So if landing one of these candles isn't an objective, why are they trying to do it?

    --
    The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  19. Re:Successful, but... by dasunt · · Score: 1

    So if landing one of these candles isn't an objective, why are they trying to do it?

    It's an objective, but not a primary objective.

    Primary objective is to put the satellite in the planned orbit. They accomplished this.

    Secondary objective is to recover the rocket via a controlled landing. They did not accomplish this.

    A secondary objective is, of course, secondary (to use a tautology). It's something that's nice to have accomplished, but even if it doesn't happen, the event isn't a failure.

    If you want a famous analogy, take the mission that killed Osama Bin Laden. Primary objective was probably something like capture/kill Bin Laden. Secondary objectives was to capture others and bring them back for interrogation, as well as to recover documents.

    The mission killed Bin Laden. But due to the loss of one of the copters, they weren't able to bring all the captives back. They accomplished their primary objective, but failed to fully carry out their secondary objectives.

    Yet few would consider that mission as a failure.

  20. Re: That was about time this news reached Slashdot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    FUCK YOU! Capra does not deserve to smell my shit!

  21. Re: ocean landing will not happen during rough sea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    FWIW large cruise ships don't have keels but use water balasts and engine pods for stabilization.

  22. Flacon Heavy will land two boosters on land by frank249 · · Score: 1

    Falcon Heavy will benefit most from the reusable technology. It uses two Falcon 9 first stages as boosters. The flight profiles will allow the two boosters to land back at their landing pad. They also have the option of recovering the central on the drone ship which is harder but we can see that they are getting closer with each attempt.

    --

    Today's vices may be tomorrow's virtues.

  23. Isn't There Enough Land to Land On? by tmjva · · Score: 1

    I postulate why? Isn't there enough land to land on?

    Wasn't the original idea of ending up at sea was so they could soft-splash in the water?

    --
    Tracy Johnson
    Old fashioned text games hosted below:
    http://empire.openmpe.com/
    BT
    1. Re:Isn't There Enough Land to Land On? by aslagle · · Score: 1

      Sea landings play merry hell with the equipment, requiring lots of expensive refurbishment (ala the shuttle booster rocket segments). The SpaceX approach is to bring the boosters to a soft touchdown on land, minimizing turnaround costs.

    2. Re:Isn't There Enough Land to Land On? by stevelinton · · Score: 1

      I postulate why? Isn't there enough land to land on?

      No. Or at least not in the right places.

  24. Re: ocean landing will not happen during rough sea by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

    The SES-9 re-entry really was ballistic. Only low-energy missions have the fuel to do a boostback burn, even lower energy if you want to return to launch site, and Falcon 9 Heavy can't return the center stage to launch site because it goes too far down-range. In general they need the barge to be where the rocket will come down, so that recovery does not impinge on mission fuel. A stationary platform is too containing, too expensive, and it only solves one problem: vertical motion. Vertical motion is not so big a problem that you have to build an entire artificial island mid-ocean, there are better ways to deal with it: the rocket can probably compensate for it.

  25. Re: ocean landing will not happen during rough sea by Harlequin80 · · Score: 1

    I'm not talking about boosting back to the starting point. Also SES-9 had less fuel than the original mission spec because Space X punted the satellite out a lot further than the original plan, it would be a prime candidate to remain a barge landing or just a rocket you don't even try to catch. Ideally it would be the xth launch for that particular first stage where the rocket cost was already well and truly covered.

    Also one has to assume that rockets will get more powerful as they develop meaning a wider scope of landing locations given fuel is the cheap part. Google tells me that a deepwater oil platform costs about $650m for one on 3000m legs. SpaceX claims $57m per launch. If it halved that you need 20 launches to recover the cost.

    As for compensating for it, the rocket is a big narrow tube. Any kind of swell will make it likely to tip over post landing. It would be really really annoying to have landed the rocket, shut everything down and then have it top over because of the sea swell.

  26. Re: ocean landing will not happen during rough sea by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 2

    I think SpaceX will sell a lot more geostationary transfer orbit missions now. They've shown that they can do it with a pretty heavy payload: 5300 kg, and they delivered 1300 km greater apogee than promised.

    Your cost figure for building a recovery platform is for one of them. So, suppose that one would work for GTO on F9. To limit the delta-V needed for recovery, you'd probably need another for GTO on F9H center stage, because it gets a lot higher and further downrange, one for LEO insertions that can't return to landing site, one for polar orbits from Vandenberg, one for the 51.6 degree inclination of ISS. You'd also need to permanently man them and sustain the expense of offshore maintenance. And you'd continue to need barges and ships to transfer rockets from them. So, this probably increases the per-launch staff and infrastructure expense significantly when SpaceX is trying to reduce that.

    The rocket is a big narrow tube, yes, but it's quite bottom-heavy at landing. LOX is in the upper tank, and you can see from the Orbcom recovery video that they vent the LOX the instant the rocket sets down, so that tank is empty. RP-1 is at the bottom of the lower tank, and then engines are under that. The engines are the heaviest part. The rest of the rocket is equivalent in thickness and weight to a soda can scaled up to that size. Pressurization is used to keep it rigid during flight. So, I think the chance of tipping over, if the legs actually work correctly, is lower than many folks estimate.

  27. Re: ocean landing will not happen during rough sea by Harlequin80 · · Score: 1

    I could be very wrong, but I thought polar launches had a potential land landing site. As for the multiple landing points, I wouldn't initially try to recover something like the most recent launch. Not enough fuel left for control and it is at the maximum end of the range spectrum. Also who knows about the center stage, I was only thinking about the first stage.

    As for the differences between ISS launch and LEO etc, how much difference is there between them at the point of stage 1 separation? (I genuinely don't know). But my guess was it wasn't that huge. Not relative to the available altitude and speed.

    As I said I could be completely wrong though.

    Also, why are you permanently manning them, or even having that much maintenance? There isn't any moving bits. The 650m is for a working oil platform, I was just thinking a concrete slab on legs.

  28. Re: ocean landing will not happen during rough sea by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

    I thought polar launches had a potential land landing site.

    San Nicolas Island, California, is an offshore navy landing strip which I've speculated about but I've not seen any official word from SpaceX. It's about half the distance from LA that they positioned the barge, perhaps uncomfortably close to LA as far as range safety is concerned.

    I am dubious that any platform in deep water stays in one piece without continuous attention. The British ones that have survived, more or less, since World War II are in shallow water and shielded from large waves.