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N. Korea Launches Ballistic Missile

The BBC reports that North Korea's military today launched a ballistic missile from that country's east coast; the missile fell into the water after a flight of about 500 miles. Reuters adds some more details, and names a different launching point. From their report: South Korea's Yonhap news agency said the missile was likely a medium-range Rodong-missile. ... The missile was launched from an area near the west coast north of the capital, Pyongyang, flying across the [peninsula] and into the sea off the east coast early Friday morning, the South's Office of the Joint Chiefs of Staff said in a statement. CNN adds a sobering graphic indicating the projected range of North Korea's missile arsenal.

21 of 123 comments (clear)

  1. Interesting by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 2

    The missile was launched from an area near the west coast north of the capital, Pyongyang, flying across the peninsular and into the sea off the east coast early Friday morning.

    It would be funny if we later found out that wasn't the intended flight plan.

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    1. Re:Interesting by PolygamousRanchKid+ · · Score: 4, Funny

      It would be funny if we later found out that wasn't the intended flight plan.

      I'm guessing that the intended flight plan is about detailed as those of my bottle rockets on New Year's Eve. Stick it in the bottle. Light the fuse. Hope that it will land somewhere that will scare the Japanese.

      When North Korea starts placing nukes on these missiles, with no idea where they will land . . . well, that's time to upgrade your tinfoil hat to a lead hat.

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    2. Re:Interesting by delt0r · · Score: 2

      One reason ICBMs worked was because with nuke you don't need to be very accurate. Fortunately so far they have failed in making said nuke. But is 2016, it is a lot easier to make a nuke than in '45. Over all there is no reason to think they can't do it. Probably. Eventually. Also the low end small n. bomb is probably around 10-30kgs depending how you slice it.

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    3. Re:Interesting by delt0r · · Score: 2

      This is just not true. Sure the peasant working in the farm may not have access to the modern trappings of technology and development. But you bet your arse the nuclear bomb department has it all. They will have all the microprocessors and accelerometers and gyros they want. After all if you can get uranium, getting the other stuff is just not going to be difficult.

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  2. 800km vs 9000km by Overzeetop · · Score: 3, Informative

    800km is a pretty far cry from the 9000km range on the graphic. And scaling up isn't all that easy to do, much less include a payload of significant mass.

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    1. Re:800km vs 9000km by iggymanz · · Score: 2

      that's for the longer range missiles that have to date spectacularly failed for various reasons. So yes it's laughable until N. Korea works out the bugs in the Taipodong-2

    2. Re: 800km vs 9000km by meglon · · Score: 2

      They can strike "allied" territory any time they want.... Seoul is within range of who knows how many NK arty batteries. If NK escalates their rhetorical bullshit into a hot incident, it will most likely be an arty barrage on the SK civilian population coinciding with an armored push into the DMZ. This entire missile thing is simple bluster, like the war parades of the old Soviet Union.

      It won't be WW3 though. When we went into Iraq in 1990, the Iraqi military at that time was the 4th largest in the world. It was mostly current, and 1-gen back Soviet military hardware. It showed in the first few days to be completely inferior to ours. NK, at this time, is still using 1-gen back Soviet gear... 1-gen back as of 1951. Admittedly, they do have some current Soviet hardware...well, again, current as of 1951. We were still flying several prop driven WWII fighter aircraft against them at the time.

      Don't get me wrong, their arty may be from the 50's, but if you lob a shell downrange and it explodes....well, that will delay Christmas for who ever is in the area of effect... but their armor most likely can be compromised with single LAW strikes, and we won't need to fly into their airspace (and their SAM coverage) to hit them with some very precision cruise missiles.

      On top of that, they really don't have much in the way of allies. Hell, even China would rather they just shut up now days (which is you remember history, China was the reason NK wasn't overrun by the UN in short order the first time around). If they started a hot war, it would be a brutal few days if you live within 30-40 miles south of the DMZ, and then it would be much much worse if you lives north of the DMZ.... with no real end in sight.

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      Fascism: An authoritarian and nationalistic right-wing system of government and social organization. See also: NAZI's
  3. Re:Oops... by lgw · · Score: 2

    Still, better to shoot down the missile in flight. How did it become an Accepted Truth of the left that missile defense was a bad thing? Because Reagan first proposed it? I'll take a system with a 50% chance of working (as does any cop wearing a bullet-"proof" vest). Hell, I'll take a system with a 20% chance of working over nothing, if it can be improved over time.

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  4. Re:Oops... by meglon · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Because idiots keep saying every penny we spend on the military is a good thing, even when it's trillions of dollars wasted for shit. The "lefts" tolerance for idiots, and lies, is slightly less than the gullible cowards of the "right."

    http://www.latimes.com/nation/...

    Hell, I'll take a system with a 20% chance of working over nothing, if it can be improved over time.

    From the article:

    Despite years of tinkering and vows to fix technical shortcomings, the system's performance has gotten worse, not better, since testing began in 1999. Of the eight tests held since GMD became operational in 2004, five have been failures.

    So the difference is... people on the right want to piss away large amounts of money on useless things to help them from being scared of their own shadow, while people on the left want something that actually works. Must be hell going through life as a coward.

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  5. Re:Oops... by Crashmarik · · Score: 4, Informative

    Theater Missile Defense

    http://www.britannica.com/topi...

    Your thing of the day.

    Remember THAAD is your friend

    http://www.cnn.com/2016/03/04/...

    If you would like bonus points, remember all the people who were taking a crap on president Reagan because they said this was pointless.

  6. wouldn't that be closer to 5%? by raymorris · · Score: 4, Interesting

    > Given that this is a missile capable of hitting nearly anywhere in about 50% of the world,

    It says 500 miles for this launch, and it's believed they can go a bit further, maybe 800 miles.

    Last I checked, the earth is roughly about 24,000 miles around. Ballistic missiles, unlike cruise missiles, also can't hit just anywhere within their max range. If max range is 800 miles, minimum might be 400 miles.

    1. Re:wouldn't that be closer to 5%? by Blaskowicz · · Score: 3, Funny

      As everyone who played Dune 2 knows, you can send a single infantry guy against a mobile rocket launcher and the rocket launcher vehicle will hopelessly fire rockets than land damn anywhere at their minimum range ; meanwhile the infantry guy slowly fires bullet after bullet until the vehicle is set on fire. It's dangerous still : the enemy supreme commander may order the rocket vehicle to move a bit, which crushes the infantry guy.

    2. Re:wouldn't that be closer to 5%? by Pseudonym · · Score: 4, Funny

      As everyone who played Dune 2 knows, [...]

      President Trump is going to need a defense secretary. Mind if we put your name forward?

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      sub f{($f)=@_;print"$f(q{$f});";}f(q{sub f{($f)=@_;print"$f(q{$f});";}f});
  7. Re:Oops... by meglon · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Straight defense spending is about the same as social security being the program WITH A DEDICATED TAX THAT FUNDS IT PAID FOR BY WORKERS. Medicare also has THAT DEDICATED TAX SYSTEM. That defense spending is just what's in the defense budget, and doesn't include veterans, the nuclear arsenal, and interest on the debt made up of past military/war expenditures. All told, our "defense" spending purely on military oriented items is ~1 trillion a year.

    BUT, here's the difference. social security are DEDICATED taxes. They are paid for by a tax that is collected ONLY because SS and Medicare exist. And i'll be honest, i think providing 40 million elderly a fixed income WHICH THEY PAID FOR WITH A DEDICATED TAX, and 65 million elderly and disabled medical services WHICH THEY PAID FOR WITH A DEDICATED TAX, to be a hell of a lot better use of money than giving billions to companies that produce weapons systems THAT DO NOT WORK.

    I do think "idiot" is a good term for anyone who would rather piss away money on something THAT DOES NOT WORK rather than helping tens of millions of people with something that does, especially when THEY PAID FOR IT WITH A DEDICATED TAX.

    So we're again back to, it takes a special kind of coward to waste money on FAILED military programs just to keep them from being scared of their shadow.

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    Fascism: An authoritarian and nationalistic right-wing system of government and social organization. See also: NAZI's
  8. Re:Oops... by chadenright · · Score: 2

    I've seen claims between 30% and 95% effectiveness for the US missile defense network. Even given a cost of 39 billion dollars and a 30% effectiveness ratio, it is still cheaper to have the defense network than to not have it.

  9. Re:Oops... by superwiz · · Score: 2

    Patriot, Arrow. Probably some others whose names are classified.

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    Any guest worker system is indistinguishable from indentured servitude.
  10. CNN adds a sobering graphic by Kernel+Kurtz · · Score: 3, Funny

    They should add a sobering graphic of North Korea's half-life should they ever launch an armed missile at anyone.

  11. Re:Oops... by ScentCone · · Score: 2

    i think providing 40 million elderly a fixed income WHICH THEY PAID FOR WITH A DEDICATED TAX

    You might want to consider learning about transfer entitlement taxes and spending before you go on another of your phony, pedantic, condescending lectures aimed at other people whose priorities are different than yours.

    Nobody paid for the Social Security money they later collects. Other people do. When you're working and being taxed for SS, that money is being transferred that year to recipients of that program's entitlements. As defined by congress for that year. It's not going "into your account" or anything even vaguely like that. When you retire, and start filing to collect that program's entitlements for yourself, it's going to be money that's being taxed against the income of other people who will then be working and paying to give you that money. That's why the language on those Social Security statements you see explicitly say that benefits described are only estimates, and that there is no guarantee that you will receive any benefits. Because whether you get it, and how much, is a recurring matter for the legislature, not a function of you having set money aside through that program.

    Of course you probably know this, but are using the misleading language you use in order to distract from the real situation while hoping to score rhetorical points for the occasional viewer here who doesn't know how entitlement programs work.

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  12. Re:Oops... by sumdumass · · Score: 2

    Pal, i was agreeing with you. Ok too think we should put our heads in the sand and sit on our hands while ignoring potential threats in the world. Chamberlain secured peace for parts of Europe doing the same along with a little talking to threats of the time so why can't we? I don't know why you are calling me a coward. I am in agreement. If we ignore them, they will ignore us. Those exceptions in history are just outliers.

  13. Re:What's the angle here? by Xest · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The West wont touch NK because of China, China doesn't want to deal with NK because it doesn't want to deal with millions of desperate migrants out of NK, nor does it want a likely Western oriented nation (United Korea) directly on it's doorstep.

    The calculus will change if and when North Korea becomes a bigger problem to have on your doorstep than a Western friendly nation would and the cost of refugees ends up being lower than the cost of a madman. China doesn't want to have to occupy North Korea because it's already got enough restive regions on it's plate to deal with such as Tibet, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Xinjiang province etc. without having to add yet another one. Contrary to China's big strong image it's a fragile divided nation only one arab-spring type event away from seeing a pandemic of breakaway states. It doesn't need another one of those on it's plate if it can help it.

    Kim exists as he does because he's convenient to the Chinese now - having a buffer nation to retain extremely poor North Koreans so that you don't have to deal with them yourself, and to separate you physically from a Western facing nation like South Korea is extremely convenient for China. As soon as he becomes much more inconvenient he and his state will cease to exist as they do now - if Kim keeps people poor the number of people trying to escape to China will only increase and so China will suffer the refugee influx regardless. If he keeps acting in a manner that forces a greater Western military buildup in the seas around the area then the relevance of that buffer zone between them and the West will start to erode also.

    Kim can push, but only so far, and if he crosses a line he'll no longer be useful.

  14. Re:Oops... by superwiz · · Score: 2

    Only if they are destroyed pre-emptively. Massive battery shelling with explosive charges against high-density targets would reduce the city to rubble within half hour. Even if a counter strike took them out within 10 minutes, the mount Seoul which would be destroyed would make it unlivable. High-density city are very interdependent. Think about how much damage destruction of two sky scrapers did in NYC. It caused massive outages of civilian services in the surrounding areas (electric, internet, etc.) for months after. Now think about a city of the same size which sees 1/3 of its buildings destroyed and most roads damaged. Artillery is easily suppressed in a battlefield because its rate of hitting sparsely-spaced targets is low. But if it's hitting high-density targets like a city, each shot would do massive damage without even aiming. It's an equivalent of carpet-bombing with the only exception that there is no need to fly back to reload. The shells are sitting next to the artillery itself. The proximity of Seoul to the border is a huuuge problem. Don't underestimate it.

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