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People Often Deride Game Changing Technology as 'a Toy' (medium.com)

Steven Sinofsky, former President of the Windows Division at Microsoft, has cataloged how often game-changing technologies have been derided as toys. Some of the things he has included in the list include a PC, C programming, PC networking, GUI, color screen, AI, and internet video. He writes: As many have recognized, when inventions and innovations first appear they are often (always) labeled as "toys" or "incapable" of doing "real work" or providing "real entertainment." Of course, many new inventions don't work out the way inventors had hoped, though quite frequently it is just a matter of timing and the coming together of a variety of circumstances. It can be said that being labeled a toy is necessary, but not sufficient, to become the next big thing. This got me thinking about all the conferences, trip reports, and new products I have looked at over many years. Sure turns out that a huge number of things in my own career were labeled as toys -- not just by me, but by an industry at large. Check out the list on Medium.

282 comments

  1. Windows... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Was a toy, still is a toy, and always will be a toy.

    1. Re:Windows... by U2xhc2hkb3QgU3Vja3M · · Score: 4, Funny

      And that's why most games are released on Windows!

    2. Re:Windows... by Progman3K · · Score: 5, Insightful

      When I first started programming, I dreamed of owning a Mac.
      I couldn't afford one, so I got a PC and learned about programming DOS.

      When Windows came around, I bristled when people would tell me "It's just a fad, a toy"

      When first being exposed to linux, I told others "It's just a toy" and laughed that it had so much ground to make up to be anything like Windows.

      When I switched to linux, I realized that it was Windows and the pre-OSX Mac that were toys.

      I suppose I'll be saying the same thing again some day...

      --
      I don't know the meaning of the word 'don't' - J
    3. Re:Windows... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      DOS was certainly a toy, as was Windows 3.1, but Windows NT, designed with the help of a real programmer, was a huge step up.

    4. Re:Windows... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I had used Windows 3.x before, but it was complete shit and didn't give me the level of control, stability or compatibility that DOS did. Win9x offered one thing that I wanted: a web browser (Arachne was never very good). The first version of Windows that I installed on one of my own PCs was Windows 95, but I still had it set up to boot directly to DOS and I treated Windows as the DOS program that it was, starting it manually and quitting back to the DOS prompt when I was done. I continued to use Windows this way until Windows 2000, which not only didn't run on DOS any more, but was much better than Win9x. The problem is that Windows 2000 and every subsequent version of Windows is still crap compared to other operating systems. Versions of Windows can only be considered "good" when compared to other versions of Windows.

      I had other PCs running everything from FreeBSD to OS/2 to BeOS to various Linux distros and greatly preferred (and still prefer, the case of BSD and Linux) using those over Windows. It's a shame that OS/2 and BeOS didn't really have a chance to grow due to the MS monopoly. I know Haiku is being worked on, but it still has a long way to go and very little hardware support (although BeOS never supported a lot of hardware). FreeBSD has supreme stability, Linux has a very active developer base, OS/2 had compatibility (completely surpassed by Wine now) and BeOS has superior performance and UI. It would be wonderful to see the strengths of each combined into a single, super awesome OS.

    5. Re: Windows... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah Windows does those things too. Maybe you shouldn't base your opinion on home edition.

    6. Re:Windows... by westlake · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Was a toy, still is a toy, and always will be a toy.

      The geek has had about twenty years now to topple Windows as a desktop OS --- with damn little to show for it.

      Windows in all its incarnations a modern, very capable, OS and it is past time the geek stopped pretending otherwise,

    7. Re:Windows... by Aighearach · · Score: 2

      My first home computer was a Timex/Sinclair 1000 with Sinclair BASIC ROM and 2k RAM. No storage. Why? Because it was all I could afford with my neighborhood lawn mowing business. My family thought home computers were a "scam" to sell toys, that they were just for games and not useful for education. I quickly set to work programming "hang man," and I failed to succeed inside of 2k. The RAM had to hold both the working memory, and also the program source. When the RAM filled up, the thing simply locked up; reboot required. No storage device, so program lost. Worthless generally for beginners, but worth the yard sale price.

      Luckily I had access to Apple ][ computers at school and the public library.

      Looking back though, the kids who learned the most the fastest were the ones with a Commodore 64 at home.

      It was probably the best toy, too.

    8. Re:Windows... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, the problem is that we tend to compare the newcomer to the existing marketplace

      When Windows 2 first showed up, we wanted to see more than just a removable graphic layer, we wanted a more complete integration of Motif or X-windows like we could see on many Unix and Vax workstations

      When Windows 3 appeared we wanted to see "real" user spaces, with login-based access control that could not be worked around by switching to DOS

      When Win NT showed up, we wanted access to more than 3GB of RAM per process and a user management system that was not a flat-file system, but a more capable directory services like Novell offered

      And so it goes, right now any Windows machine is vulnerable to booting from cdrom or thumb drive and cracking passwords via a rainbow table, STILL has the user interface too tightly coupled to system space and is not inclined to allow gt 3GB assigned to a process, like you would see on any DB server where you allocate many tens of GB to the applications

      So, there are real historical reasons to doubt the capabilities of Windows as well as curernt ones. If we fail to demand me, we will be stuck with the lame feature set that we are offered

    9. Re:Windows... by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      Linux was NEVER aimed at consumer desktop. It does topple the scientific workstation and server world for windows. I dont see NASA or JPL using windows on anything that matters except for Word, reports, and email.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    10. Re:Windows... by geoskd · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The geek has had about twenty years now to topple Windows as a desktop OS --- with damn little to show for it.

      Thats because toppling windows cant be done with a technical solution. Doing so requires a sales and marketing solution, which requires things that computer geeks are not good at, nor desire to be good at.

      Microsoft got windows where it is by being good at the business side of selling software. It had little to do with the quality of their product, and much to do with their ability to create vendor lock in, and then de facto standards. Remember: Embrace, Extend, Extinguish.

      --
      I wish I had a good sig, but all the good ones are copyrighted
    11. Re:Windows... by barc0001 · · Score: 1

      Ah yes, that old chestnut. Never change, Slashdot.

      Windows was probably the single biggest driver for the mass adoption of computers in the 90s that transitioned them from a work/niche device to a home must have.

    12. Re:Windows... by bmk67 · · Score: 1

      Wait wait wait... Let's get this straight.

      You're arguing that something can't be a toy, because it's used to play the most games?

      That sound about right to you?

    13. Re:Windows... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, WinNT, or WNT and letter step increment from VMS due to David Cutler was a great stride forward from Win 3.0, 3.1, 3.11 and Win 9x

      It was the first Windows box that I could install an Oracle database on, that was HUGE for me at the time because I could download the most current version of the DB and tools from Oracle and build out product demos on my home computer

      The downsides were a limit of 3GB per process (try bringing up Oracle when it is expecting even a smidge more memory than that), and the way that it aggressively swapped everything to disk (as opposed to running on a Unix box with 24 GB or RAM, almost all of which could be allocated to the DB) made the whole affair glacially slow once that you entered the hell of disk thrashing after using up your 3GB of ram

      These are the sort of things which led mainframers to thrash me about that toy Oracle in the early 90's. and the same thing that I threw at MS SQL users (what is that? Access?) for most of the 00's. Of course I have put out some enterprise level applications written against SQLServer since then, but deep inside of my I feel like I am playing with legos.

    14. Re:Windows... by U2xhc2hkb3QgU3Vja3M · · Score: 1

      Parent said Windows was a toy, I agreed by saying most games are released on Windows.

      I don't know why you read that in any other way.

    15. Re: Windows... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Reading too much between the lines, I suppose.

    16. Re:Windows... by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      Win 3.x had exactly as much DOS as DOS did! lol

      I was still running it with the Win32s extensions until I switched to linux. Much better than 95, which was a disaster for power users.

      I had an OS/2 partition at the time, but it didn't have any software. And, while there were nice things about it, it had at least as many problems as windows.

    17. Re:Windows... by Aighearach · · Score: 2

      Linux was NEVER aimed at consumer desktop.

      It was so awesome in the 90s with a linux desktop, it was like having a 30k *nix workstation, but free. Well, and with less hardware to be sure, but for those of us targeting internet and database servers, it was the real thing.

      The only shortcoming I've ever had with a linux workstation is in the past decade, with the "paradigm shifts." Get your toys away from my existing knowledge base, thank you. I'm back to XFCE and I'm no longer even willing to try new desktop-related things. Just show me lots of xterms.

    18. Re: Windows... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure, if you put out the money for Windows 2008 Server Datacenter, Enterprise edition you can break the 3GB ram per application limit

      Which you can also do on every version of Unix and Linux available in 64 bit hardware

      big whoopdie effin doo

      Oh, what is the price different between Windows 2008 Server Datacenter, Enterprise and an Linux build?

    19. Re:Windows... by Progman3K · · Score: 1

      Don't know why whoever posted this anonymously, it's so bang-on

      --
      I don't know the meaning of the word 'don't' - J
    20. Re:Windows... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      ROTFL.. are you insane?

      Cadence? Solaris/Unix/Linux, NOT WINDOWS.
      Mentor? The same?

      Chips are designed under Unix/Linux, NOT Windows. No one, anywhere, uses Windows for this.

    21. Re: Windows... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So price is what constitutes a toy? Free == tools for adults, paid == toys?

    22. Re:Windows... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Win 3.x had exactly as much DOS as DOS did! lol

      Windows 3.x didn't run a lot DOS programs or didn't run them correctly and it crashed a lot more. You also could only configure certain things from DOS. I should also mention that I was a DR/Novell DOS + 4DOS user, so my DOS setup wasn't the limited MS-DOS experience. For me, running Windows 3.x would have been pointless and actually hindered my computer use.

      I had an OS/2 partition at the time, but it didn't have any software. And, while there were nice things about it, it had at least as many problems as windows.

      The only major problem I had with OS/2 was its RAM requirement. When I first installed it, I was running a 386 with 4MB of RAM, which was painful. Once I upgraded to 8MB, it was much better. Later on a 486 with 16MB and a VLB video card, it was pretty seamless.

    23. Re:Windows... by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 0

      Altium. OrCAD. Cadence. All run on Windows. Solidworks. Creo. NX. All run on Windows. Walk through the Dell, HP, Compal, Quanta engineering departments. You see Windows machines wall-to-wall.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    24. Re:Windows... by nukenerd · · Score: 2

      Windows was probably the single biggest driver for the mass adoption of computers in the 90s that transitioned them from a work/niche device to a home must have.

      No, games and the ability to work at home were the main factors. Personal computers were heading for mass adoption with or without Windows, with or without the IBM compatible PC. They were already taking off nicely with the likes of Amigas, Amstrads, BBC micros, Commodores etc.

    25. Re:Windows... by houghi · · Score: 2

      One word: preinstall. If people would be able to buy a device that has another OS installed, they would be buying it. Just look at your phone.

      The reason why companies do not leave Window is that they are able to make extra money of it. Also the reason why Linux machines are often more expensive. Shareware.

      The production of computers would still be happening identical. For the companies putting aWindow, Linux or PCDOS immage or their PCs is the same identical cost.

      However with Windows they have the ability to install an antivirus scanner and other software and they get money for that. This easily makes up for the cost of the Windows licence.

      --
      Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
    26. Re:Windows... by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Thats because toppling windows cant be done with a technical solution.

      Of course it can. The problem is the technical solution that Windows has can not be met by the desires of people who want to topple Windows (i.e. Linux).

      Windows is a technical marvel in that it is capable of doing a lot and yet being used by nearly everyone, in nearly every scenario. When that is tried in Linux the resulting programs are poopooed as "not part of the Unix philosophy" or "stupifying the OS".

      There's nothing magical keeping Windows on top. Just produce an OS that can do everything that Windows does, while being as easy to use as Windows, being Windows like enough to not need to retrain people, support Windows software, and then you may have something that can beat Windows.

      Now would you be happy with that? I wouldn't.

    27. Re:Windows... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just as Michelin-starred restaurants haven't toppled McDonald's. Doesn't mean that McDonald's produces anything resembling real food. I also bet that if you randomly ask around, you'll probably find more people who listen to garbage like Justin Bieber and Adele rather than Mozart or Beethoven.

      Popularity isn't an indication of quality. When it comes to ability, stability and scalability, Windows is a toy. That's why no supercomputer uses Windows.

    28. Re: Windows... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then show me a supercomputer that runs Windows.

      Even Microsoft uses Linux and BSD servers. If Windows were so great at heavy lifting, why aren't they using their own product?

      Perhaps you should stick to Facebook and checklist based faux-admin work.

    29. Re:Windows... by rhyous · · Score: 1

      You can't just reach feature parity with Windows as an OS. No. You have to to provide feature parity for not just everything Windows does, but everything all the important (or even unimportant but wanted) applications built on Windows can do, too.

    30. Re:Windows... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In other words, Windows can show you the pretty pictures.

    31. Re:Windows... by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      Was a toy, still is a toy, and always will be a toy.

      The geek has had about twenty years now to topple Windows as a desktop OS --- with damn little to show for it.

      Windows in all its incarnations a modern, very capable, OS and it is past time the geek stopped pretending otherwise,

      It seems to be a law that given the choice between different technologies, the US market will always standardize on the worst. NTSC video, VHS videotapes; 44khz CDs, 19 khz subcarrier stereo FM, MP3s, JPGs, IBM architecture PCs, Windows, MS-DOS,

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    32. Re:Windows... by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      Was a toy, still is a toy, and always will be a toy.

      The geek has had about twenty years now to topple Windows as a desktop OS --- with damn little to show for it.

      Windows in all its incarnations a modern, very capable, OS and it is past time the geek stopped pretending otherwise,

      It seems to be a law that given the choice between different technologies, the US market will always standardize on the worst. NTSC video, VHS videotapes; 44khz CDs, 19 khz subcarrier stereo FM, MP3s, JPGs, IBM architecture PCs, Windows, MS-DOS,

      oh, and ethernet vs token ring.

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    33. Re:Windows... by barc0001 · · Score: 1

      Are you daft?

      >They were already taking off nicely with the likes of Amigas, Amstrads, BBC micros, Commodores etc

      I've been using microcomputers since the late 70s, thing were not "taking off nicely" with Commodores, Amigas, Atari 400/800/1200/600XL, Tandys, etc. Most software companies didn't write for more than a couple of platforms so there was a ton of fragmentation in the market. Even with the PC and MSDOS people had to fiddle with 2 or 3 copies of their autoexec.bat and config.sys files to get different things to run. Want to play X-Wing? Gonna have to load up your other boot batch file to allocate XMS and EMS correctly. Want to use Wordperfect? Load the other ones. It was a huge pain to many people and it greatly limited who would even be interested in using a computer with all the bother.

      Windows brought CONSISTENCY. WIndows brought usability and simplicity. When you got a program "designed for Windows 3.1" you knew you just had to install it and it would *work*. That was the missing piece. That was the moment companies started seeing value in everyone having a computer because the experience would be the same for everyone, and it was simple to train people to use them.

    34. Re:Windows... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      There are several places that will be happy to sell you a computer with some form of Linux, typically Ubuntu, installed. It hasn't led to the downfall of Microsoft yet.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    35. Re:Windows... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Windows isn't a technical marvel in the sense of doing a lot and making easy things easy. Windows stays on top by running Windows-compatible software.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    36. Re:Windows... by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      "I had used Windows 3.x before, but it was complete shit and didn't give me the level of control, stability or compatibility that DOS did"

      Which is why office staff I dealt with routinely dropped to DOS to run just about everything important.

      They continued doing that even in W95 days (but not as much) - because it was FASTER than the gui.

      It was only when MS made it harder to drop to a command shell _and_ made the common operations (bulk file moves in particular) faster that most stopped doing it.

    37. Re:Windows... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your right. Microsoft is not a software company. They are a Marketing company that sells software.

      Sure miss Sun Systems.

    38. Re:Windows... by formfeed · · Score: 1

      One word: preinstall. If people would be able to buy a device that has another OS installed, they would be buying it

      Rrright....
      And after buying it, they would complain about it:
      http://www.geek.com/news/dell-...

    39. Re:Windows... by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Windows stays on top by running Windows-compatible software.

      Not even remotely. Windows stays on top because it has defined how to use a computer for the largest mass of people possible. The expectation of being able to run a certain kind of software is a small subset of this.

    40. Re:Windows... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      You can substitute some Linux distros for Windows if you don't make a big deal about it, and anyone who's used Windows 7, 8, and 10 won't have any difficulty working with friendly distros. However, most people will want to run some Windows software at some point. That's why Linux tends to fail in the marketplace.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    41. Re:Windows... by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Nope. I would like to think that Linux is an easy substitution, but frankly outside of the power users or non-power users with free help support (called kids) the number of people who happily substitute Linux are either very small OR have incredibly basic requirements.

      I run Linux in a variety of places, but every year I try several distros on the desktop and every year I think, next year will be the year of Linux on desktop and leave disappointed. Truly basic crap isn't working. Change wifi networks or from wifi to lan connection and things break. Suspend may as well be called halt and catch fire. Audio has come along way but still has some infuriating features like being unable to remember the default audio device, failing at auto switching when you do things like plug a headset in during a video call, resetting volume settings so you get a nice blast off your arse when you plug headphones in, lock screen blocks play/pause buttons so I can't pause music without logging (a lot of fun when I'm trying to answer a phone call).

      I mean this is basic usability stuff, and what annoys me more is that all the effort is being spent on a deciding what colour the new start button is going to be while this type of crap remains unfixed for years.

      One thing it has got going for it is that Windows 10 has started introducing equally stupid usability problems e.g. Surface used in portrait orientation, then put to sleep, while sleeping has it's keyboard attached, wake it up and it's stuck in portrait orientation with the screen rotation button locked because it thinks it's in laptop mode. It's basic infuriating shit like that which gets in the way of the user and the OS and if Windows keeps going like then it will be equal to Linux in stupid bugs, and at that point Linux stands a real chance.

    42. Re: Windows... by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      The 3GB of ram limit that is only in 32 bit Windows? So, like go out and get 64 bit Windows Server and enjoy all the ram goodness.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    43. Re:Windows... by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      And so it goes, right now any Windows machine is vulnerable to booting from cdrom or thumb drive and cracking passwords via a rainbow table,

      So, but a computer with a TPM and encrypt the hard drive, or use an encrypting hard drive? Set the BIOS to be password protected and not allow boot except from hard drive on the SATA/SAS/RAID card.

      STILL has the user interface too tightly coupled to system space

      Not sure what you mean to even be able to address your concern.

      and is not inclined to allow gt 3GB assigned to a process, like you would see on any DB server where you allocate many tens of GB to the applications

      I run Windows 10 Pro on my home desktop, and Windows 10 Home on my laptop, both of them don't have this issue, because Windows went 64bit since Windows XP (which didn't work very well, but worked great in 7). If you are running into a 3GB limit, it is because the application is not 64bit, or you are running 32bit Windows, as this is NOT and issue with Windows 64bit.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    44. Re:Windows... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You weren't even alive when computers gained popularity, junior.

    45. Re:Windows... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      False. You see, in Romania, and in most other "developing markets") the vast majority of computers come with only FreeDos installed. Nothing else.

      Example: http://www.emag.ro/laptopuri/c?ref=hp_menu_link_1_2&tree_ref=2172&type=menu_tree

      Not many Windows here ! :-)

      Why ? Because wages are low, and the retailers try to keep prices to the minimum. No money to pay for licenses.

      So... what happens next ?

      95% of all people buying those naked computers used (before windows 10) to install a (usually cracked) version of Windows (7, for instance). Now they simply download Windows 10 and install it.

      Precious few bother with Linux - even those who bought a computer with Linux pre-installed. The recipe is "Download - create boot disk - format HDD - install Windows 10 - you're in business".

      Fact.

    46. Re:Windows... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I've only had problems like that trying to install Linux on random hardware, particularly laptops When I bought a laptop that had Ubuntu installed, it had no problems (until the video died, anyway). I don't have a lot of experience here, but the impression I get is that Linux is unstable when used on laptops not intended to run it. I haven't heard similar complaints coming from people who bought low-end Linux machines; the complaints seem to be that they can't run programs they expected to be able to run. The reasons Android is such a comparative success are that tablets and phones are built to run Android, and the different form factor means nobody expects typical Windows programs to run.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  2. Oh, like what S. Balmer said about the iPhone then by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sheesh.

  3. yeah! like 3d tv!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    sure sure, you may be the exception. but you may in fact be a toy.

    1. Re:yeah! like 3d tv!!! by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      and some things labelled as game changers turn out to be of little use, some things that are game changers are recognized as such, and some things nobody expects to be a difference maker becomes disruptive.

      We need submissions to cover all of these scenarios.

    2. Re:yeah! like 3d tv!!! by NotDrWho · · Score: 2

      Nonsense! I've been waiting since the 1950's, but I'll never give up on the dream of the flying car! NEVER!

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    3. Re:yeah! like 3d tv!!! by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      How about the Segway... billed as the great game changer to human transportation ...until we actually started using them.

    4. Re:yeah! like 3d tv!!! by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      and some things labelled as game changers turn out to be of little use

      The most overhyped "game changer" was the Segway, with predictions that cities would be redesigned for it.

      The least appreciated was when Og invented fire, and all the other Australopitheci laughed.

    5. Re:yeah! like 3d tv!!! by internerdj · · Score: 1

      A pretty decent counter-indicator of whether or not it will be a game changer is the marketing department of the company labeling it as a game changer especially prior to actually selling any units.

    6. Re:yeah! like 3d tv!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    7. Re:yeah! like 3d tv!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The least appreciated was when Og invented fire, and all the other Australopitheci laughed.

      people still tend to laugh when someone says "Here Zug, hold my beer and watch this." and then they proceed to burn off their eyebrows.

    8. Re:yeah! like 3d tv!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How about the Segway... billed as the great game changer to human transportation ...until we actually started using them.

      If we had actually started using them, then it might have been a game changer after all. As it is, they were rightly derided for being a stupid idea.

    9. Re:yeah! like 3d tv!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The most overhyped "game changer" was the Segway, with predictions that cities would be redesigned for it.

      Cities are being redesigned for it a we speak, only not because of it, but because of people in wheelchairs. Once the process is done, we may see another wave of Segway adoption due to its newly expanded usefulness, unless of course it is abruptly stopped by some incredible revolutionary invention that would obsolete wheels.

    10. Re:yeah! like 3d tv!!! by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      3D printers aren't being hyped because 3D printers are new, they're being hyped because cheap 3D printers are new. You need to get a lot of use out of a $30K 3D printer for it to be worthwhile. At under $1K, you need to use it a lot less. Even without owning one individually, at that price there are a lot of reasons to have on in a shop that people can use to print one-off replacement parts. We throw away a huge amount of stuff because finding a replacement for the small plastic part that's broken is more expensive than replacing the whole device.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    11. Re:yeah! like 3d tv!!! by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure they were a bad idea, the technology just wasn't quite ready. The range was almost enough, but parking was too hard. You want one with about a 30km range that can fold up and be carried. There are a few electric unicycles that are a bit closer (easy to pick up and carry, but still a bit heavy and with too short a range, and the added disadvantage of needing a bit more practice before you can use them).

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    12. Re:yeah! like 3d tv!!! by nukenerd · · Score: 1

      No form of transport will ever be a game changer now or in the future unless:-

      (1) it provides cover against the weather,
      (2) the average 75 year old feels safe with it, and
      (3) 99% of disabled people can use it.

      75 year olds or 99% of disabled people do not actually have (or want) to use it; in fact they won't. It is just that the principle is a political pre-requisite.

      Segways etc fail. Self driving cars might succeed.

    13. Re:yeah! like 3d tv!!! by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      They were also too expensive for what they did to be game changers. They never had the sales figures to make much of a difference.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    14. Re:yeah! like 3d tv!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      PRT is an idea whose time came and went.

      It was a brilliant solution for automating transit, but it required an investment in infrastructure that nobody wanted to make.

      Plus people don't want to be limited to where the tracks are; they want to travel anywhere in a city as fast as a car can get there.

      So along come self-driving cars, which can use existing roads and do the job PRT was designed to do, better, only 30 years later.

      What I always wanted was for downtown cores to have "turbolifts" that could take you from building to building. You just punch in your destination, the door closes, it takes you down to a sub-level and goes a few blocks horizontally, then elevates you directly to the floor you're going to.

      Again, that would require infrastructure nobody wants to invest in.

  4. 3D printers by U2xhc2hkb3QgU3Vja3M · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Enough said. Watch the flow of negative replies under this post.

    1. Re:3D printers by tnk1 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well, that's not really true. There are already industrial 3D printing machines.

      Now as for "tabletop" 3D printing? It is a toy at the moment, but it wouldn't be hard to see how the idea could become something very important under the right circumstances.

    2. Re:3D printers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or why not try to be positive and list all the things *you've* made with your 3D printer, how much they cost you to make, including the time, and how long they lasted? Oh and what 3D printer you have, how long it took to get working, how many different models you've bought.

      You started it! Can you finish it?

    3. Re:3D printers by ArylAkamov · · Score: 1

      Agreed. I had fun with mine, it is useful for prototyping and making custom parts easily is really nice, but now I'm regretting not buying a decent MIG welder.

    4. Re:3D printers by jklovanc · · Score: 1

      3D printers is a huge category. There are a wide range of 3D printers from sub-$500 glorified hot glue guns to multi$100K laser-sintering printers. To me, the low end printers are a toy as they have many issue that only hobbyists could love. The high end ones are definitely not toys considering the awesome stiff they can make. Sometimes it is the implementation and not the technology that makes it a toy. For example, the standard household oven is not a toy but the Easybake Oven is.

    5. Re:3D printers by jofas · · Score: 2

      "Computer, Earl Grey tea, hot."

    6. Re:3D printers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You have to go from least specific to most...
      Tea, Earl Grey, Hot

      I mean really, hand in your geek card

    7. Re:3D printers by U2xhc2hkb3QgU3Vja3M · · Score: 1

      No 3D printer yet but I'm planning on adding a hot end (E3D v6) and extruder (something geared, current choice is the Toranado right now) to my CNC.

      Since I don't have a 3D printer yet, let's use my CNC as a comparison. So far, I've cut a lot of parts for projects that would already have cost me a lot more than the CNC itself if I had to pay to have the parts made by someone else. And judging from the quotes I get from 3D printing services online, it won't take long for my future 3D printer to pay for itself.

    8. Re:3D printers by jklovanc · · Score: 1

      In your cost calculations how much did you figuratively pay yourself? If you valued your time at $0/hr your calculations may be a bit off.

      As for 3D services, they generally have printers that produce much higher quality that desktops can produce. A desktop extruder is very different than a laser sintering printer.

    9. Re:3D printers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe he wanted the replicator to make an attractive guy named Earl wearing a gray t-shirt?

    10. Re:3D printers by U2xhc2hkb3QgU3Vja3M · · Score: 1

      I'm not calculating my time because the parts I make are for personal projects, i.e. it's a hobby.

      As for 3D services, it's desktop FDM printers and not polyjet or anything fancy and even those prices are too high. Once you add shipping on top of that, plus the delays, it's much better to make the parts yourself. These days, even commercial FDM printers have a hard time beating a properly calibrated 3D printer kit or a home-made one. One service I called was proud that their Stratasys was able to make 0.25mm layers even though a properly calibrated home-made printer can do 0.10mm layers.

    11. Re:3D printers by Iamthecheese · · Score: 1

      "hot" is way less specific than tea...

      --
      If video games influenced behavior the Pac Man generation would be eating pills and running away from their problems.
    12. Re:3D printers by jklovanc · · Score: 1

      I'm not calculating my time because the parts I make are for personal projects, i.e. it's a hobby.

      By definition a tool used for a hobby is also a toy.

      What commercial services use FDM? The one I have seen use much more expensive technologies.

      One service I called was proud that their Stratasys was able to make 0.25mm layers even though a properly calibrated home-made printer can do 0.10mm layers.

      That is kind of strange since the lowest cost Stratsis, the Mojo, can do 0.178mm layers. This also brings up the question of how hard is it to "properly calibrate" and how long does that celebration last? If it takes hours of setup to print one item it is a toy. Sure, if you compare low quality prints done by a hobbyist and the same prints using similar equipment by a service the hobbyist will always be cheaper. You have to pay something for not doing it yourself.
      There are quite a few services that use technologies other than FDM. I was referring to companies like Shapeways and Quickparts.

    13. Re:3D printers by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      3D printer advocates have as much trouble getting their replies to flow as they do their printing material.

    14. Re:3D printers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you think that a Star Trek replicator is even remotely possible just because some people 3D print Yoda coffee cups, there's no help for you.

    15. Re:3D printers by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

      IF a toy is something you can't do real work with then no, desktop 3D printers do not qualify as mere toys. Citation: I've done actual real work using one.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    16. Re:3D printers by U2xhc2hkb3QgU3Vja3M · · Score: 5, Interesting

      By definition a tool used for a hobby is also a toy.

      Really? Who's definition is that? Does your hammer become a toy if you repair something in your house with it? You should look up the definition for the word "toy". A hobby is not "playing" with something.

      That is kind of strange since the lowest cost Stratasys, the Mojo, can do 0.178mm layers.

      It's a Stratasys uPrint Plus. In the specifications page, it says "Layer thickness: .254 mm (.010 in.) or .330 mm (.013 in.)"

      This also brings up the question of how hard is it to "properly calibrate" and how long does that celebration last? If it takes hours of setup to print one item it is a toy.

      It depends. If it takes hours of setup every time you print one item, it's just an unreliable tool, but still not a toy. If it takes hours of setup to properly calibrate once in a while, it's just normal wear and tear. We're talking about fractions of millimetres here.

      Sure, if you compare low quality prints done by a hobbyist and the same prints using similar equipment by a service the hobbyist will always be cheaper. You have to pay something for not doing it yourself. There are quite a few services that use technologies other than FDM. I was referring to companies like Shapeways and Quickparts.

      Of course the quality from higher-end 3D printers will be much better, but so will the cost. If we're talking precision alone, an FDM from Stratasys won't stand a chance against a Polyjet from the same company.

      But comparing the output quality of a Stratasys FDM vs a well-calibrated RepRap? You'd be surprised which one you'd pick and the price difference between the two.

    17. Re:3D printers by U2xhc2hkb3QgU3Vja3M · · Score: 1

      Give me a break, it's -17C outside, of course I have flow problems!

    18. Re:3D printers by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      No, it's not a toy. They're used in a lot of low-volume specialized applications like R&D.

    19. Re:3D printers by HideyoshiJP · · Score: 1

      In fact, industrial 3D printing came first. Look at Makerbot's parent company, Stratasys

    20. Re:3D printers by jklovanc · · Score: 1

      On the issue of "toy". What do most people say when they have purchased a FDM printer? It is usually "Look at my new toy".

      Show me a service that uses a uPrint Plus. Notice that it is in the "Idea" line of printers and not the higher quality series.

      But comparing the output quality of a Stratasys FDM vs a well-calibrated RepRap? You'd be surprised which one you'd pick and the price difference between the two.

      Who would build the RepRap for me if I don't have the skill? Who will teach me how to calibrate it successfully?

      It comes down to the fact that if you put your time at $0 doing it yourself will always be cheaper.

    21. Re:3D printers by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      We ultimately returned our 3D printer because the building air was rarely above 18C and the printer couldn't get decent adhesion between layers because the material cooled too quickly.

    22. Re:3D printers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >> By definition a tool used for a hobby is also a toy.

      > Really? Who's definition is that?
      > ...
      > A hobby is not "playing" with something.

      It kind of is.

      One of the definitions of "toy" according to Merriam-Webster is "something that an adult buys or uses for enjoyment or entertainment."

      For "hobby," they have "an interest or activity engaged in for pleasure."

      You seem to think household maintenance is a hobby, but it isn't. Hobbies are a diversion; they require effort but keep your mind occupied by something which takes your mind off work. A lot like play in that respect.

    23. Re:3D printers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A replicator is pretty far-fetched.

      But a Nutri-Matic Drink Synthesizer is a distinct possibility.

    24. Re:3D printers by Euphorinaut · · Score: 1

      "Really? Who's definition is that?" Possibly most peoples, or possibly not. I've personally always understood the two(toys and hobbies) to be closely related, and the prescriptive interpretations do as well. In fact, they're so closely related that the word "hobby" is actually the shortened word for the name of a "toy". And on a note more personal than prescriptive interpretations(I'm not a prescriptivist by any means), I would say that a hobby is in fact "playing" with something, or at least it is for me.

    25. Re:3D printers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The hobby printers are capable of great things, and have been used to such an end. Every 3D printer has problems - who could "love" these problems does not determine whether the printer is a toy or not. Sure, it meant you didn't have to actually think about what constitutes a toy printer versus something more professional, but you completely failed to make a point.

    26. Re:3D printers by nukenerd · · Score: 1

      [3D Printers] Enough said. Watch the flow of negative replies under this post.

      Here's one (negative reply) :-

      3-D printers will be used, but they are not a game-changer. I would place them on about the same level as say Dymo label printers or super-glue.

      I am a practical guy and make and repair a lot of stuff, but would not see much use for one. To make a replacement part with one I'd first need to code in the shape I wanted; I could probably make the thing by other means faster.

    27. Re:3D printers by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 1

      A reasonable MIG welder isn't that expensive. Granted Hobart is a Miller with some corners cut (example: mine doesn't have a thermal switch for the fan so the fan just runs all the time) but they are well made. For what I weld even the smallest ones are overkill. Unlike some of the really cheap crap they are reliable and I gather that Lincoln Electric also offers some small ones now so just check around you and get one that does what you need, as the Miller vs. Lincoln fight makes Vi vs. Emacs fight seem halfhearted.

      I view 3d printers now like welders from 30 years ago. You could get some consumer ones but they weren't good but someone could produce things with them and at the professional level there were great ones. I figure by the time I retire 3d printers will likely be like welders now where one can get pretty nice ones that offer professional quality but with fewer features for a good price.

      --
      Time to offend someone
    28. Re:3D printers by U2xhc2hkb3QgU3Vja3M · · Score: 1

      We ultimately returned our 3D printer because the building air was rarely above 18C

      Holy crap, do you live at the North Pole or something?

      Wait... Santa? Is that you?!

    29. Re:3D printers by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I've seen some nice-looking things coming from sub-$500 printers. They still look more like another hobby than I want at the moment, but I think I'm going to get one in a few years.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    30. Re:3D printers by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      If you could download the file for the replacement part and set up your 3D printer, it wouldn't take much of your time. I'm seeing downloadable files becoming available for stuff I'm interested in.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    31. Re:3D printers by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      Florida, in a building built in the 1960s when the theory of AC was: put in a huge, oversized chiller and adjust the temperature with heat strips - so the most efficient way to run the units is at "full cold" (or not at all, which leads to problems due to lack of ventilation.)

    32. Re:3D printers by U2xhc2hkb3QgU3Vja3M · · Score: 1

      Florida? Well, put the 3D printer outside, you won't even need a hot end!

    33. Re:3D printers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      3-D printers will be used, but they are not a game-changer. I would place them on about the same level as say Dymo label printers or super-glue.

      Oh, they are a huge game-changer. They are a disruptive technology on the level of the printing press.

      Your problem is you're only looking at what they can do today, not at the principle of how they work. Every day, 3D printers are able to print with more kinds of materials at higher resolution and in combination with CNC tools (drills, machining tools, routers) they will probably (certainly within 20 years) be able to produce anything automatically that you can now make by hand.

      If you don't see what this means for skilled labor, I pity you. Wasteful mass production will no longer be necessary or practical. High-priced custom work will be available at the corner shop. "My God, it'll be beautiful!" :)

  5. They laughed at Columbus.... by DerekLyons · · Score: 5, Insightful

    They laughed at Columbus - but they also laughed at Bozo the Clown.

    1. Re:They laughed at Columbus.... by Okian+Warrior · · Score: 1

      James Bond: "Go on, laugh. They laughed at Einstein."
      Mata Bond: "Nobody laughed at Einstein!"
      James Bond: "Well, they would have, if he'd carried on like this!"

      (From the movie "Casino Royale")

    2. Re:They laughed at Columbus.... by Sir+Realist · · Score: 1

      Precisely. Do they list all the things touted as "game-changing" that turned out to be toys?

    3. Re:They laughed at Columbus.... by Tablizer · · Score: 4, Insightful

      They laughed at Columbus - but they also laughed at Bozo the Clown.

      They were both stupid, silly, and lucky.

      Columbus made several mistakes; such as miscalculating the size of the Earth without checking with existing sources; not finishing his trek across across Panama, which would have revealed the Atlantic (disproving his India theory); and being a crappy island governor, lacking people skills and sliding into wacky religious rants.

      The boundary between "stupid" and "brave" is perhaps a blurry one.

    4. Re:They laughed at Columbus.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      **cough**Segway**cough**

    5. Re:They laughed at Columbus.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      what do you expect he was the prototypical Merkin, you'all then went on to develop in his image.

    6. Re: They laughed at Columbus.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Was game changing in the way it gave us a ton of "cop fails" videos.

    7. Re:They laughed at Columbus.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He surely would have preferred staying in Genoa and sunbathing in Portofino every day if he had known the future in advance.

      And the Cinque Terre! That's even more gorgeous than Portofino. It's insane to search for a new continent when one can live in the Italian Riviera.

    8. Re:They laughed at Columbus.... by Tablizer · · Score: 2

      with all the alleged "mistakes" that you think he made, he's on the History books now

      His life ended not so well, between prison, poverty, and illness. He wasn't given credit during his own lifetime, in part because his lousy people skills ticked off too many.

      I wonder if he'd trade a better living ending for the future notoriety.

    9. Re:They laughed at Columbus.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wonder if he'd trade a better living ending for the future notoriety.

      I'm sure he would. Seeing what a trashy civilization he unwillingly gave birth to, and seeing that now some random idiot from KardashianLand dares calling him "stupid", he surely would.

    10. Re:They laughed at Columbus.... by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      Whaddya got against Cardassians?

    11. Re:They laughed at Columbus.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...and his "twin", Bozo the CLONE!

    12. Re:They laughed at Columbus.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    13. Re:They laughed at Columbus.... by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      Precisely. Do they list all the things touted as "game-changing" that turned out to be toys?

      segways

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    14. Re:They laughed at Columbus.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [...]not finishing his trek across across Panama, which would have revealed the Atlantic...

      From which side did he start?

    15. Re:They laughed at Columbus.... by Andtalath · · Score: 1

      Obese I'll give you.
      Alcohol abuse has been pretty rampant throughout human history though.
      Being controlled by information monopoly has been the norm to an even larger extent.

  6. Tablets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I still consider them as toys.

  7. Dear manishs, by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    This is not news, this does not matter, this is not thought-provoking.

    This is some suit's banal blog-spam.

    Leave it on medium.com where it belongs, along with the other shite

    1. Re:Dear manishs, by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Manish is a content farm, the volume is way too high. Still better than Timothy though!

    2. Re:Dear manishs, by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't remember any of the latter stuff he mentions ever being derided as toys. He's just making shite up.

  8. Brand new technology... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Brand new technology rarely as well fleshed out as existing technologies, This is the obvious statement news at 11.

    1. Re:Brand new technology... by Wycliffe · · Score: 2

      Brand new technology rarely as well fleshed out as existing technologies, This is the obvious statement news at 11.

      It's not that it's "not as well fleshed out". There are lots of things that start out as "not as well fleshed out". It's not about features and power users. It's more that many technologies actually start out as toys. Being a toy is the killer app that allows them to continue to grow until they get a real killer app. Today's CPUs and GPUs would be a lot further behind if they didn't have the cashflow from gamers on the leading edge. If you want to look at current toys that might one day make the switchover look at drones, immersive technology, 3d printing, and the handsfree interfaces of xbox/wii. At their current level they aren't really useful outside of toys but people buying them as toys is what allows money to continue to flow in so that they can improve. The automobile is another such toy that took early adopters to get it off the ground.

      Another interesting thought experiment would be what technologies are we missing out on because they are harder to "toyify" and therefore never get the cashflow needed to progress to the next level?

    2. Re:Brand new technology... by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      While we're on the topic of "fleshed out" - what about the "porn drives technology" factor behind internet (DVD, VHS, printed, etc.) transmission of photos, video, video chat, and all manner of other remote applications? If it's "a tech toy" that has porn applications, that seems to drive adoption and growth in most cases - later leading to more mainstream applications.

    3. Re:Brand new technology... by Wycliffe · · Score: 1

      While we're on the topic of "fleshed out" - what about the "porn drives technology" factor behind internet (DVD, VHS, printed, etc.) transmission of photos, video, video chat, and all manner of other remote applications? If it's "a tech toy" that has porn applications, that seems to drive adoption and growth in most cases - later leading to more mainstream applications.

      Sadly, I think it all really comes down to "money drives technology". Whether it is toys, porn, war, the space race, smuggling drugs, or grants for pure research, it takes money to move technology forward. And in the case of just a tinkerer in the basement, it has to be something interesting to the tinkerer for them to invest time and money into making it better and unless you're Tony Stark, the scale is usually going to be considerably smaller than what can be achieved by selling the intermediate products to first adopters.

    4. Re:Brand new technology... by Lotus456 · · Score: 1

      If you want to look at current toys that might one day make the switchover look at drones, immersive technology, 3d printing, and the handsfree interfaces of xbox/wii

      What I would like is a robot arm that takes the game disc out of the Xbox/Wii, puts it away, and puts in another one I want to play next.

      Yep - that would be a game-changer.

      --
      "It's a good computer... for I to BM on!" - apologies to Triumph, the insult comic dog
  9. no thanks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    >it's a medium article

    1. Re:no thanks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who are you quoting?

  10. your hobby is childish; mine is super-serious! by Pseudonymous+Powers · · Score: 4, Funny

    "People Often Deride Game Changing Technology as 'a Toy'"

    That is ridiculous. Things that change games are properly classified as "sports equipment".

    1. Re:your hobby is childish; mine is super-serious! by Luthair · · Score: 1

      You spelled cereal wrong.

    2. Re:your hobby is childish; mine is super-serious! by Calydor · · Score: 1

      Silly boy, they're called mods. Sometimes expansion packs.

      --
      -=This sig has nothing to do with my comment. Move along now=-
  11. Clippy by xxxJonBoyxxx · · Score: 1, Offtopic

    Clippy was once a "toy" Microsoft sent to annoy millions of office workers just trying to get something written and go the hell home.

    After a sex change (not that there's anything wrong with that), he/she's back to annoy over a billion people as "Cortana" (que the ESPY awards) whether they are at work or not.
    http://www.theverge.com/2014/4/15/5617234/clippy-replaces-cortana-in-windows-phone-easter-egg

    1. Re:Clippy by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      "They laughed at Columbus, they laughed at Fulton, they laughed at the Wright brothers. But they also laughed at Bozo the Clown."

      Note that many of those things were toys when they were first introduced, and needed to increase in power and capability before competing in the real world.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    2. Re:Clippy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Clippy was once a "toy" Microsoft sent to annoy millions of office workers just trying to get something written and go the hell home.

      After a sex change (not that there's anything wrong with that), he/she's back to annoy over a billion people as "Cortana" (que the ESPY awards) whether they are at work or not.
      http://www.theverge.com/2014/4/15/5617234/clippy-replaces-cortana-in-windows-phone-easter-egg

      Thankfully, Cortana can feel comfortable in the transgender-friendly separate bathroom known as Windows 10.

    3. Re:Clippy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As long as the bathroom is not in north Carolina. She'd need a sex test first. Windows 10 is clearly a male bastard. Women ones are far more cunning. The data slurping is just so open.

  12. Let's not check out medium by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    it still is unreadably sucky.

  13. [citation needed] by bigHairyDog · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This article is just a list of game-changing technologies coupled to unsourced assertions that these were derided as toys when they were first introduced.

    I don't recall a widespread opinion that color monitors, sound cards, digital cameras, wireless networking or AI were "toys" when first introduced. If anything, I recall and endless stream of over-hyped articles about how they heralded the second coming of Christ.

    --

    foo mane padme hum

    1. Re:[citation needed] by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      Color and sound were considered toys for a long time. You only needed them to play games. Real work was done on Green/Amber Screens.
      Wireless networking took some time and I remember when everyone was waiting for the year of the network when networking would be commonplace. Heck even cars and aviation where considered toys when new.
      AI was over hyped as was 4G programing. Don't forget Prolog.

      New technology is often unreliable and expensive when compared to new technology. It took over a decade for jet aircraft to take over for piston engined airliners.It took about a decade for microcomputers to take over from the Minicomputer. It took about the same for the GUI if not longer.
      Until the Model 3 and the Chevy Bolt ship, electric cars are still a toy.
      That is just the way of the world.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    2. Re:[citation needed] by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      none of the items in the summary, except perhaps some current implementations of an "ai", have ever been dismissed by anyone as being a 'toy'. face it, the guy used to be in charge of windows for microsoft, probably was involved with bob and clippy, and doesn't know his bunghole from a gopher hole.

    3. Re:[citation needed] by Scoth · · Score: 1

      I think a lot of it depends on perspective too. A lot of times you have entrenched old-timers (for certain values of old - they may not be old age-wise) who aren't able to see the value in new things when they're comfortable with their current things. I was a kid when color monitors were getting to be a big deal and I remember being blown away at high-resolution color graphics. I also remember plenty of people first getting into computers who obviously wanted color screens - some people speculate this may be why Apple killed the IIgs since there was no color Macintosh at the time of its release and even well into the lifespan of color Macintoshes it still competed well in memory and graphics expansion for the cost.

      Likewise things like sound cards were considered unnecessary by people who primarily saw computers as business and development machines while most of the general public ate it up. It's a little tricky to find primary sources anymore since the major magazines would have been pretty heavily into marketing them, but you can still turn up a few editorials from the late 80s and early 90s folks asking who would want such a thing in a computer.

      So yeah, "widespread" might be a bit overreaching but there was certainly significant pushback and derision towards many of the listed things by at least some groups.

    4. Re:[citation needed] by gstoddart · · Score: 1

      Color and sound were considered toys for a long time. You only needed them to play games. Real work was done on Green/Amber Screens.

      Hmmm ... I'm not that old, but I'm pretty fucking sure both sound and color pre-dated the use of computer screens. ;-)

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    5. Re:[citation needed] by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Not true. I've seen old pictures that are all black and white and totally silent. That's what it was like back then. Also, back then nothing moved.

    6. Re:[citation needed] by Barlo_Mung_42 · · Score: 1

      This is just Sinofsky saying what he thought was a toy. He's the guy behind removing the Start button so I'm not shocked at his lack of foresight.

    7. Re:[citation needed] by aliquis · · Score: 1

      Color and sound were considered toys for a long time. You only needed them to play games. Real work was done on Green/Amber Screens.

      And Apple solved that by releasing the inferior much more expensive Macintosh. PC guys rejoice:
      https://youtu.be/7h4tepFbMso?t...

      Also more color on the Apple II and CGA effectively lowered resolution.
      https://youtu.be/_rsycfDliZU?t...
      https://youtu.be/niKblgZupOc?t...

    8. Re:[citation needed] by erice · · Score: 1

      Color and sound were considered toys for a long time. You only needed them to play games. Real work was done on Green/Amber Screens

      Affordable colour screens were toys for a long time. They lacked the resolution to display large amounts of data (mostly text) clearly. They were sharp enough for games but nearly useless for doing work.

      In the same era, machines that had good sound lacked significant business applications and/or the ability to display 80 columns.

      Sound never really justified its existence on work machines. It just became cheap enough that it did not make any sense to leave it out on machines that people did not expect to play on.

    9. Re:[citation needed] by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      "Sound never really justified its existence on work machines."
      Actually in some markets it did. I used to work in the Court Reporting software industry. When sound became common we added the ability to record the audio while the court reporter took the testimony on the steno machine. The audio and steno where time stamped so you could go listen to the audio at the location your cursor was on.
      Today you can use VOIP on the PC to replace a phone on the desk so I would say that sound is now justified on business machines.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    10. Re:[citation needed] by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      This article is just a list of game-changing technologies coupled to unsourced assertions that these were derided as toys when they were first introduced.

      I don't recall a widespread opinion that color monitors, sound cards, digital cameras, wireless networking or AI were "toys" when first introduced. If anything, I recall and endless stream of over-hyped articles about how they heralded the second coming of Christ.

      ibm pc color monitor was 40 char wide, ridiculous blocky graphics. there was no sound. both were not for business purposes.
      for that matter, when windows started being preinstalled on PCs, my employer at the time decreed that we would stick with the Word and Lotus for DOS we had always been using; and anyone caught "playing around with Windows" would be considered to be wasting company time, as if they were caught doing personal email or phone calls or something.

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    11. Re:[citation needed] by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      Color and sound were considered toys for a long time. You only needed them to play games. Real work was done on Green/Amber Screens.

      Hmmm ... I'm not that old, but I'm pretty fucking sure both sound and color pre-dated the use of computer screens. ;-)

      i remember back in the 30s before they invented color, the world was all black and white. you can see it in the movies they made back then.

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    12. Re:[citation needed] by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      I would also add that I do not think it was the screens as much as the ram and address space that where an issue. Going back to the Commodore/Atari days if you have a 320x200x24 bit image it was much larger than the address space of the CPU. Go up to the PC CGA era and you are looking at 640x200x24 or 375k! That is why you saw the limited color pallets and lower resolution back then and not really the displays.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
  14. Not reciprocal ... by gstoddart · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Some things which have been game changers have been dismissed as toys. Just because your shit was dismissed as being a toy doesn't make it a game changer either.

    All that shit Microsoft said was a game changer but nobody gave a damn about? Not game changers.

    The only thing which differentiates the two is reality of what has actually happened. But the history of people saying "this will revolutionize the world", or "in 5 years we'll all be doing X" -- well, the pundits seem to have a far worse track record of telling us what will happen than what won't.

    How many of us have spent decades seeing the stuff the pundits and futurists said would change our lives, only to have them fizzle out into nothing?

    If we stamped 100% of all ideas as "toy" or "garbage", I bet we'd be right 80% of the time. People suck at predicting the future.

    --
    Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    1. Re:Not reciprocal ... by Jawnn · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Yep. I can sum that up in one word, "Segway".

    2. Re:Not reciprocal ... by tnk1 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yes, being labelled a "toy" is not a predictor of future success. Indeed, being labelled a toy means there is little immediate application for it.

      On the other hand, applications do appear which turn toys into game changers. So, it makes sense to evaluate toy-like creations for how readily they can be repurposed for something interesting.

      Tabletop 3D printing? Toy. However, it is very clear how tabletop assembly of components can be extremely useful, if you can get around the challenges with the current iteration.

      So, toys with a roadmap of improvements and applications ahead of them are probably worth looking at.

    3. Re:Not reciprocal ... by Flavianoep · · Score: 1

      Not to mention that Linux was intended as a 'toy' for hobbyists. If the author of the article got anything right is that new technology not always get to be used just as intended.

      --
      Linux is for people who don't mind RTFM.
    4. Re:Not reciprocal ... by NotDrWho · · Score: 1

      "Flying cars"

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    5. Re:Not reciprocal ... by gstoddart · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well, strangely the author of TFA actually says "It can be said that being labeled a toy is necessary, but not sufficient, to become the next big thing."

      I mean, that's a completely unsubstantiated and meaningless claim.

      It's like the entire article is intended to make the bullshit argument that being labelled as a toy is a strong indicator you're onto something.

      Being labelled a toy is neither necessary nor sufficient to become the next big thing. The entire article is drivel.

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    6. Re:Not reciprocal ... by jofas · · Score: 1

      Agreed, but one simply has to scroll down half the endless parade of badly scanned ads from bygone tech to realize the article is baseless.

    7. Re:Not reciprocal ... by Art+Challenor · · Score: 1

      On the other hand, applications do appear which turn toys into game changers.

      With a few exceptions, if you ask about the products on the list, "does this represent a new ways to promote porn, and/or sex" then you would see a successful product. But then humans are pretty creative in that department, so there may yet be hope for the 3D printer.

    8. Re:Not reciprocal ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As I recall, the only people billing the segway as a game changer was segway. Once we all got to see "IT/Ginger" we all collectively said, nope, that's not going to change shit, especially with a multi-thousand dollar price tag.

    9. Re:Not reciprocal ... by penguinoid · · Score: 1

      Well, strangely the author of TFA actually says "It can be said that being labeled a toy is necessary, but not sufficient, to become the next big thing."

      Just like nuclear power and weapons were considered toys before they became big.

      --
      Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
    10. Re:Not reciprocal ... by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      Some things which have been game changers have been dismissed as toys. Just because your shit was dismissed as being a toy doesn't make it a game changer either.

      All that shit Microsoft said was a game changer but nobody gave a damn about? Not game changers.

      The only thing which differentiates the two is reality of what has actually happened. But the history of people saying "this will revolutionize the world", or "in 5 years we'll all be doing X" -- well, the pundits seem to have a far worse track record of telling us what will happen than what won't.

      How many of us have spent decades seeing the stuff the pundits and futurists said would change our lives, only to have them fizzle out into nothing?

      If we stamped 100% of all ideas as "toy" or "garbage", I bet we'd be right 80% of the time. People suck at predicting the future.

      The IBM AT was billed as a game changer. "A computer so advanced it will run programs that haven't been written yet".

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    11. Re:Not reciprocal ... by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      "Flying cars"

      "aerodynamics"

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    12. Re:Not reciprocal ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The article is *really* short, and the highlighted line is:

      It can be said that being labeled a toy is necessary, but not sufficient, to become the next big thing.

      Everybody calling this insightful did not read the article.

  15. On the contrary... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Techno-obsessed people, especially in modern startup culture, claim their useless toy technology is "game changing".

  16. Add Slashdot forums to that list by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They're frequently derided as mere idle chatter, trolling and entertainment. And yet...

    Oh wait.

  17. True. Definitely. Welcome to survivor bias. by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 2
    There will be some people who deride all new things. Some people will deride all the old things.

    Decades later, people will dig up the quotes about the new thing that has survived all these years, make a big story about it and feel smug about it. Many new things that actually turned out to be dumb (NeXT? Newton? That Timex+Microsoft chimera watch that downloaded data by the blinking[*] CRT montor? Plasma TV? HD-DVD? TurboPascal? FoxBase? Quattro spreadsheet? ), and the new things that were merely ahead of their time (geocities? myspace?) will be forgotten...

    [*] Actual blinking, blinking not used as a euphemism

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    1. Re:True. Definitely. Welcome to survivor bias. by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      That Timex+Microsoft chimera watch that downloaded data by the blinking[*] CRT montor?

      I lost the drivers for mine. Does anyone know where I can get new ones?

      --
      Your ad here. Ask me how!
    2. Re:True. Definitely. Welcome to survivor bias. by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      I would disagree with Newton. It was an idea ahead of its time, regardless of implementation. We are using the Great Grandson of Newton today, they are called iPads.

      The technology wasn't ready for what Newton promised at that time.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    3. Re:True. Definitely. Welcome to survivor bias. by gstoddart · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The technology wasn't ready for what Newton promised at that time.

      Which is very often the problem when people make these claims about being The Next Big Thing.

      Often the technology IS just a toy, and is a proof of concept of something which might be useful in a bunch of years.

      So, yeah, you have a seed of a kernel of a nugget of an idea which points to some Really Cool Things down the road. But your cobbled together demo which doesn't, at present, actually DO anything is a long way from changing the world, and you'll excuse us if we roll our eyes and think that you're getting a little ahead of yourself.

      I mean, the flying car has been coming Real Soon Now since, what, the mid 60s? Nuclear fusion as cheap energy? Routine trips to space for all of us?

      He, we want the cool new future. We're just seldom convinced when the guy in marketing tells us that he has it; because we pretty much know he's full of shit, and he will claim to have The Next Big Thing pretty much for everything he ever tries to tell us about.

      By about the 10th time, you stop listening.

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    4. Re:True. Definitely. Welcome to survivor bias. by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      The articles also miss the other point, which is so many other inventions were just "toys" and never really amounted to anything at all. We tend to forget Failures, discarding them along the way.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
  18. What? by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

    None of these things were considered "toys" when first introduced. Who ever said the "C programming language" was a "toy"??? No wonder this guy is VP at MS. He is clueless.

  19. It's all a toy by Tomster · · Score: 1

    Every new thing is a 'toy' because it's unproven in the real world. An academic paper, or lab experiment, or startup company doesn't mean much. And for every 'toy' that ends up being the next big thing there are thousands that are failures.

    And that's why research, and experimentation, and startups are so important. It takes hundreds or thousands of failures to find one success story, but the benefits of that one success pay for the failures a thousand-fold.

    1. Re:It's all a toy by i.r.id10t · · Score: 1

      Yup. Almost any first gen technology product is probably closer to "toy" than "game changer". If a version 2 makes it out the door, you may have something...

      --
      Don't blame me, I voted for Kodos
  20. iPad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the ONLY "new tech" ive ever heard all that said about is the iPad, and it has pretty much shown true - a fantastic consumtion device, but very limited in the creation or modification of data - so "work" tasks are sortof limited.

    All other new tech that I have seen isnt derided for being toys, its usually called too expensive, but not really a toy per se.

    1. Re:iPad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I see lots of sales people doing their work with tablets. Trying to convince customers by showing some presentation on a tablet. Instead of walking around with a laptop case and the trouble of unpacking and packing for every customer, they just take their tablet and show it to the customers.

      Not all jobs are about creation, many if not most jobs are just consumption.

  21. Flash storage a toy? by dstyle5 · · Score: 2

    How would this ever have been considered a toy? Small, non-mechanical and fast, seems like the future to me. Yeah it was expensive when it first came to market but like most tech you know its going to improve and get cheaper as time goes by.

    1. Re:Flash storage a toy? by tomhath · · Score: 1

      Several "game changing" breakthroughs preceded it, e.g. Bubble memory. People were jaded.

  22. 2016 - "Your mom is a toy" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oh great just what we need an article implicitly encouraging unfalsifiable statements and cherry picking to fit narratives.

  23. Guilty as charged by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yep. I regard the whole keyboard retardation with cherry switches and leds and ricing about as "game changing" as a headphone nut taping crystals on their shit for "better sound".
    Toy shit no different from that cringe inducing idiotic heatsink crap Gigabyte and MSI do to their motherboards by designing them in the form of guns and bullets and other cringe inducing crap.

    1. Re:Guilty as charged by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Judging by your writing style, my Cherry keyboard with MX black switches is likely older than you are.

    2. Re:Guilty as charged by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You care deeply about the sound keys on a keyboard make, and how a key moves as you are pressing it.
      The only thing that's gone downhill is the amount of psychological help people like you are not getting.
      You should apply for those autism help programs. It would do you good, and it would do this site good.

    3. Re:Guilty as charged by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, I care deeply about not having to throw out my keyboard every few months because it doesn't register properly and not suffering from joint pain from constantly having to bottom out rubber membrane crap.
      But hey, you're free to be a good consumer and not give a shit about e-waste and your personal health.

  24. The airplane by jennings · · Score: 1

    The prime example is Edison calling the air plane a toy and therefore declining to work on it.

    1. Re:The airplane by Calydor · · Score: 1

      That was only because it had already been revealed and he didn't see a way of stealing the patent.

      --
      -=This sig has nothing to do with my comment. Move along now=-
  25. No links in the article. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's a list claiming things are toys, yet there is no link to other articles for proof. Even if it did, that wouldn't constitute any sort of consensus or public opinion on the matter. For instance, one item is "Internet is a toy" even though Internet access had been used for business and other uses for years. Consumer access to websites at the time could have been considered more of a toy since there wasn't a ton of stuff that could be done with it. (In 1995, there was some shopping and games, with some research on top of that.)

    Immature technologies can be considered toys, I guess. Microsoft had a Tablet PC, but those were bulk, unbalanced, and expensive. Apple fixed those problems thanks both to design (cut down OS) and technology improvements (SD storage, integrated WiFi, etc.). The iPad was a better product than those early Tablet PCs.

    Likewise, a digital camera is 1993 was probably expensive and low resolution, so it had little use beyond gadget geeks. Professional photographers would still use film and average consumers wouldn't pay those high prices.

    Same with soundcards: compare the first soundcards with ones released a decade later and you'll see massive improvements.

    1994 streaming technology? In 2000 I saw some streaming video in glorious 156x120 resolution. Couldn't replace television then.

    If anything, the article is proof that people shouldn't be first adopters for expensive technology that will be replaced with something better.

  26. Well, sure... but by zarmanto · · Score: 2

    I looked down the entire list: well, yeah... they're all toys. What's wrong with that?

    I love my toys. The fact that I happen to make a living using some of those toys is really immaterial.

    1. Re:Well, sure... but by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      The fact that I happen to make a living using some of those toys is really immaterial.

      Does it not by definition cease being a toy at this point?

    2. Re:Well, sure... but by zarmanto · · Score: 1

      The fact that I happen to make a living using some of those toys is really immaterial.

      Does it not by definition cease being a toy at this point?

      Does a video game cease to be fun, just because you're good enough to compete in tournaments and win cash prizes? Does a race car driver cease to enjoy the drive just because he makes a living by outracing other racers? Does a musician grow weary of the beat, simply because he's amassed multiple platinum albums?

      And the crux of the matter is, each one of these questions might be answered differently, depending upon your personality. So, for me, and my personality... no: the computer in front of me has not ceased to be a toy. Nor have the programming languages which I work with on a daily basis. Nor has the compiler I use to create productivity software. They all still offer me opportunities for enjoyment, even as they happen to also offer me a means of supporting my family... and they are still my favorite toys. (In fact, if that were not so, then I would probably be searching for another line of work.)

      Everything depends upon your point of view.

    3. Re:Well, sure... but by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Does a video game cease to be fun, just because you're good enough to compete in tournaments and win cash prizes? Does a race car driver cease to enjoy the drive just because he makes a living by outracing other racers? Does a musician grow weary of the beat, simply because he's amassed multiple platinum albums?

      Not at all, but then I'm not sure that fun or enjoy are the defining definitions of a toy either.

    4. Re:Well, sure... but by zarmanto · · Score: 1

      Not at all, but then I'm not sure that fun or enjoy are the defining definitions of a toy either.

      Excerpted from a Google search for define toy:

      1. an object for a child to play with, typically a model or miniature replica of something.
      * an object, especially a gadget or machine, regarded as providing amusement for an adult

      (emphasis mine)

    5. Re:Well, sure... but by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      That definition has a one to many relationship. An object that provides amusement for an adult may be a toy, but if an adult derives amusement from an object it is not necessarily a toy. The question is if it has some other functions too.

      The definition itself that you quote has history of being a derogatory use of the word intended to demean both the item and the user. So for your earlier example a race car driver can most definitely have fun driving hot cars. That doesn't make them a toy. Even if he's not a professional and just doing it as a hobby it doesn't make it a toy.

      What makes it a toy is if someone intends to demean his choices implying that a) he's a child for playing with it, and b) the item is not worthy of being real i.e. it's not a real car, just a toy. e.g. I consider my iPad a toy. I don't do any "real" work on it, I play games when I'm on the crapper, I read the news. "Toy" here is demeaning to the iPad. The restaurant down the road however don't consider their iPads toys, but rather part of the ordering system for their business.

      So back to my point, you're not making a living with "toys" unless you're selling them or intentionally trying to demean the tools you work with.

    6. Re:Well, sure... but by zarmanto · · Score: 1

      ... So back to my point, you're not making a living with "toys" unless you're selling them or intentionally trying to demean the tools you work with.

      I would opine that this is a very cynical (and self contradictory) point of view. As I noted in one of my previous responses, everything depends upon your point of view. My referring to computers as toys does not in any way diminish my ability to use them as tools... nor does it follow that I am somehow diminishing my computer is some fashion, merely by calling it a toy. Computers are toys. They are also tools. In fact, from my point of view, to refuse to acknowledge that a given device is multifaceted and well capable of simultaneously being both tool and toy is an example of you intentionally diminishing them; you're trying to force them into a box. You're creating narrowly defined constraints that simply don't need to exist. (To give you one very literal example: You could very easily conduct a business call on an iPhone or Android smartphone, while simultaneously playing a video game on the very same device, entirely unbeknownst to the party (or parties) on the other end of that phone call. It might not be a very wise choice to do so... but it can be done, technically.)

      As for my allegation of contradiction: really, you seem to have already acknowledged that these various innovations are capable of both: You yourself pointed out that an iPad can be used as a toy in one setting, and as a tool in another setting. So how can it possibly be demeaning to freely acknowledge the multi-functional nature of any given gadget?

      Word meanings change over time. What was historically a derogatory term in certain contexts, need not remain so forever.

    7. Re:Well, sure... but by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      My referring to computers as toys does not in any way diminish my ability to use them as tools...

      No. It diminishes other's peoples view of what they think you think about your tools. If you think it's a useful tool don't call it a toy. Even ever example from the various dictionaries do the same.

      Computers are toys

      Disagree. Yours may be a toy and I think it's a shame you think like that.

      example of you intentionally diminishing them

      Actually it's an example of language analysis. Toy has a definition, tool has a definition. The implicit definition of a toy is that it's a play thing and not something a real manly man would use.

      I do agree that devices are capable of both. I don't agree that you can call them both in the same scenario, which leads me back to my very first comment: You're using some complex and quite awesome tools, and it's a shame you call it toy, a word that every child first and foremost learns describes their play thing, a word that every child will learn is next used in a demeaning way to describe something that isn't "good enough", and a definition that only few adults (in my experience) will actually say can be used interchangeably with the word tool.

      That leads me to my final point. Ultimately it doesn't matter what you think unless you're talking to yourself. Language is used to communicate and it is interpreted. So while you and I are just having some banter about definitions ultimately my very first reaction was still that you're demeaning your tools by calling them toys. Since that clearly wasn't your intention we had a failure to communicate, and while you may be technically correct I for one still won't call a useful tool a toy as that's not the common language people are taught just after they start walking, ... and it could lead to a misunderstanding :-)

    8. Re:Well, sure... but by Lotus456 · · Score: 1

      Back in 1984, hardcore geeks called the Mac a 'toy' because of point-and-click, icons, smiley faces etc. Then guess what - ALL computers picked up those features. They just got rid of the smiley faces to turn them into "serious business" machines. Fun isn't mutually exclusive with productivity, but it's in how you use it. Nobody

      --
      "It's a good computer... for I to BM on!" - apologies to Triumph, the insult comic dog
    9. Re:Well, sure... but by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Go back up the chain, I already said "fun" is not the definition of a "toy".

    10. Re:Well, sure... but by Lotus456 · · Score: 1

      Sorry if you got the impression I was disagreeing.

      --
      "It's a good computer... for I to BM on!" - apologies to Triumph, the insult comic dog
    11. Re:Well, sure... but by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Apologies, thought you were the other poster.

    12. Re:Well, sure... but by Lotus456 · · Score: 1

      No worries. And sorry if you thought I was calling you a 'nobody' - I started another sentence and hit 'submit' when I meant to keep editing. :)

      --
      "It's a good computer... for I to BM on!" - apologies to Triumph, the insult comic dog
  27. Repitition by jklovanc · · Score: 1

    Repeat something that is true most of the time eventually it will be false. It is the reverse of the "even a broken clock is right twice a day".

    The list on Medium suffers from selection bias. It is merely a list of times when calling a new technology a "toy" was false. It says nothing about the number of times saying "it's a toy" was true.

  28. A toy is still fun by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The reason a lot of things are "a toy" is because the initial practical use is not obvious, so it's considered something that time will be wasted on. This is exactly the same way Drones were about 5 years ago. Drones were always considered toys, even though their predecessors (analog radio control planes and cars) never moved past "toy" or "hobby"

    Right now "VR" is is in it's third or so incarnation of "it's a toy" phase. The first incarnation was the Viewmaster, and the second incarnation was the early 1990's before people started getting horribly sick from it. "3D" films never moved past "toy" phase.

    What the article probably wants to point out and fails to do, is that we often dismiss things as "toys" because "we" don't get it, rather than discover a practical use for the technology, we just refuse to use it. This is why 3D stuff and VR stuff didn't take off before. It's too much of a pain in the ass to use.

    Think about WiFi. The first generation WiFi stuff was released in the late 1990's, That stuff sucked, was insecure, and high latency. 802.11b was released in 1999 but no hardware made use of it till 2004, right when 802.11g hardware was becoming common. Likewise look at "3G UMTS" and "LTE", these were promised years before they ever became mainstream, and only became adopted due to bandwidth crunches, otherwise mobile networks would be content with offering us as little as possible at the highest price possible.

    1. Re:A toy is still fun by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      3D films will move past the toy phase once an entire 3D movie occurs without them throwing something into your face. Once that happens, I expect it to be more accepted. 3D is still used as a gimmick instead of as a storytelling medium.

    2. Re:A toy is still fun by Blaskowicz · · Score: 1

      I didn't know what was a Viewmaster, and I looked it up. It's a passive viewer for stereoscopic stills, this existed much earlier in the 19th century. "3D" has been trying to take over for about 170 years.

    3. Re:A toy is still fun by Anne+Thwacks · · Score: 1
      Drones were always considered toys,

      Londoners who remember buzz-bombs dropping all around them during the blitz would beg to disagree.

      --
      Sent from my ASR33 using ASCII
  29. Like Microsot Did? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When the Mac came out, it was a "toy". They derided it and their fanboys derided it. All the while, they thought it was so cool and so important that they were working on a horrid copy.

  30. "guitar groups are on the way out" by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

    "The Beatles have no future in show business,"

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
  31. Re:Oh, like what S. Balmer said about the iPhone t by mattventura · · Score: 1

    Well, he wasn't entirely wrong. When the iPhone first came out, it wasn't that great for productivity. Sites weren't mobile-friendly, it only had shitty EDGE cellular internet, didn't have (official) third party app support. Back then, you had to jailbreak it for the thing to be usable.

  32. "Game changing" by grasshoppa · · Score: 1

    It's possibly worth noting here that "Game changing" does not necessitate "good". For instance, Windows 8 could be said to have been "Game changing", given how big a turd it was.

    Certainly changed Sinofsky's game, at any rate.

    --
    Mod me down with all of your hatred and your journey towards the dark side will be complete!
  33. I couldnt agree more!! by nimbius · · Score: 3, Funny

    -- not just by me, but by an industry at large.

    Dont get me started. As a scientist here on spider skull island ive created numerous game changing technologies. For example, I created a disruptive app that uses high energy laserbeams to "disrupt" regular people into charred piles of ash, but my colleagues dismissed the whole thing as "impractical" for holding an entire city hostage. absurd!

    i have a new game changing technology im trying out on the city of Metropolis right now that I think will be a real winner if i can just keep those darn haters off my back. You see, it changes regular parking meters into a game by causing every other one to randomly explode into a shower of molten metal and sparks whenever someone doesnt pay my one million dollar ransom. **sigh**

    but knowing my colleagues im sure its going nowhere fast. Dr. Doom (congratulations on your dissertation that melted the entire physics department into a sentient fluid!) has already come up with a scaleable, licensed and renewable heat ray hes using to heat the very breath in your lungs to plasma. Oh and dont get me started on countess chaos...shes invented some kind of innovative and transformational technology at a ted conference that transformed the innards of the entire audience into highly unstable raw sodium. shes just...so creative.

    --
    Good people go to bed earlier.
  34. By Whom? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Steven Sinofsky, former President of the Windows Division at Microsoft, has cataloged how often game-changing technologies have been derided as toys...
    By Him?

    That would explain Microsoft chasing Technology not leading it.

  35. Deservedly so by acoustix · · Score: 1

    Can you show me a game-changing technology that was completely productive on it's first try? Many times it takes a few software updates or even hardware generations to become productive. This is also why many businesses are reluctant to purchase a brand new product that doesn't have much of a history. Can't blame them for being skeptical when money is involved.

    --
    "A plan fiendishly clever in its intricacies"- Homer Simpson
  36. A Toy Never Played With Is Not A Toy At All. by zenlessyank · · Score: 1

    **lyric stolen from Drivin N Cryin'

  37. Conflating Use With Paths to Market by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In order to get something to market it has to be sold to people, selling something on merit is infinitely harder than selling something on interest.

  38. Fully functional sexbot is a toy... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...now how long do I have to wait after saying that for the tech to become low cost and widely available?

    1. Re:Fully functional sexbot is a toy... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sexbot makes it sound like it's primary purpose is being a sex toy, so it will remain like that until it can make sandwiches and use a mop.

  39. Toy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    and yet sometimes they are toys.

  40. The Innovator's Dilemma by ldsviking · · Score: 1

    This is consistent with the principles discussed in Christensen's The Innovator's Dilemma. Low-end products with a new value proposition eventually become good enough to overtake the high-end products.

    1. Re:The Innovator's Dilemma by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The thesis of that book as I read it is that while almost invariably the high-end product will be overtaken, until the very end that high-end product is producing the lion's share of the profits in the market. Point being, it's completely rational for the established players to keep selling the high-end product, partly because they're the only ones able to reap those profits. Which leads to a paradox: the rational economic actor will continue selling the most profitable product even though he's barreling toward a cliff.

      Christensen wrote a follow-on book which examines business strategies to avoid the paradox. But I've never bothered reading that book because I think his original thesis is so powerful that I don't think there exists any strategy which would reliably avoid the paradox. Rather, his thesis is describing a fundamental phenomenon of free markets. AFAIU, the paradox itself describes how markets, in the aggregate, maximize wealth. The only way for an existing corporation to avoid the paradox is to leave money on the table in the existing high-end market to gamble on growth in the upcoming market. In a free market with efficient financing, though, wealth is maximized by investors moving their money around, not by devising ways to prolong the life time of individual corporations. Managerial self-preservation is something to be discouraged.

      Of course, that's before we get into thorny issues regarding employment and dislocations. But theoretically the marginal wealth generated from the innovation roller-coaster could be used to mitigate dislocation. It's called taxes and wealth transfers, and it's a much better system than either managers, investors, or governments devising strategies to protect individual industries. Protection leads to corruption. The death and re-emergence of industries has a way of minimizing corruption.

  41. Re:Oh, like what S. Balmer said about the iPhone t by bipbop · · Score: 1

    I still think of my iPhone as a toy computer. That doesn't mean I don't use it or like it, but it still feels extremely limited compared to a desktop computer (which I think of as a "real computer").

  42. Re:Oh, like what S. Balmer said about the iPhone t by sycodon · · Score: 1

    Mac, iPad, etc.

    --
    When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
  43. So? by kervin · · Score: 1

    I still think anything other than the Nomad is lame.

  44. I just mentioned this guy on a post yesterday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is the same idiot I mentioned yesterday in a comment because he was on some other website saying "As the CIO of a major international Fortune 500 company, I can tell you that the Commodore 64 is completely unhackable."

  45. Camera Phones by jbrown.za · · Score: 1

    In the early 2000's I remember thinking this about camera phones. After all, why would you want a camera in your phone when "real" camera takes pictures that are so much better. Just a toy really ...

    Nowadays it's almost the opposite. Why do you need a camera when you have a perfectly good one in your phone.

  46. Toy = Fun by gurps_npc · · Score: 4, Interesting

    If something is not fun to use, then it isn't a toy.

    If something isn't fun to use, then it is likely to never go anywhere, no matter how much people think it is important to their personal product/use.

    But merely being fun does not mean it is also useful.

    To be a game changer, it must be useful, and also fun. Then people will use it. If it isn't fun, someone will find a better way.

    --
    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    1. Re:Toy = Fun by houghi · · Score: 1

      Not all gamechangers are fun. Fire is not 'fun' but it was clearly a gamechanger. Penecilin is not fun. Many medical things are not fun. Explaining gravity? Not much fun there. Stone, bronze, Iron. Not much 'fun'.

      I still would say that these are all game changers and I am sure people can come up with many game changers that are not 'fun'.

      --
      Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
  47. Subject is missing by Artem+S.+Tashkinov · · Score: 1

    To be fair Facebook seems like a toy.

    I don't know any serious organization or person which uses Facebook as a means of publishing serious data in the first place.

    Perhaps there are serious ways in which FB can be used, but I cannot think of any. Communications? People still end up using their cell phones to set up meetings or exchange the most important information. Spreading of serious information/news/etc? FB is almost always secondary. Ah, blogging ... no, most serious bloggers user wordpress/blogger/LiveJournal.

  48. Eye of the beholder. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What makes a device a toy can really be in the eye of the beholder.
    Most of us, at some point in our lives, have built something out of wood. I'll use the example of the beloved birdhouse as an illustration. When we made the birdhouse we probably chose wood based on cost and some sense of appropriateness - most likely dimension of depth. We cut the wood with any saw that was handy, and either glued the parts together or used some sort of small, cheap nails. That was about it. Our birdhouse probably turned out well, not because we are master craftsmen but because a birdhouse is easy to make.
    Compare that to what master craftsman does. First, a craftsman would probably never bother to make something as simple as a birdhouse. The entire idea of making a birdhouse would be considered a "toy" project and left to neophytes and children. Second, any craftsman would probably only undertake a project for pay, so that any project done for free would be considered an amateur project. Third, a craftsman would choose his wood based on multiple criteria and neither dimension nor cost would be one of those. Fourth, the craftsman would own many, many tools of the same sort and know which tool would be best for each type of wood and each task to be performed. Last, wood joinery is a skill all by itself and a true craftsman might not even use fasteners or glue of any type.
    My point here is that, to an advanced user steeped in the arcane knowledge of a powerful, flexible system, anything with less power or flexibility would be considered a toy.

  49. Basic Math / Basic Logic by s.petry · · Score: 1

    TFA causes a loss in IQ - Labels like "toy", "Fad", and even "Game changing" are simply labels. There are far more failures than successes. Basic mathematics should be all it takes to realize that the label makes no difference in the statement. Things labelled "toys" failed at roughly the same rate as things labelled "game changers", and "must have", and "earth shattering", etc.. etc...

    Society ends up placing the proper label on things. The label does not make the product, the product makes the label.

    --

    -The wise argue that there are few absolutes, the fool argues that there are no probabilities.

    1. Re:Basic Math / Basic Logic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So much nonsense. Thanks for playing. Did you actually have something to say, or did you just assume us mere mortals would be happy to hear whatever words flap out of your flailing hands, vacuity be damned?

  50. Sorry Steven, Windows 8 was a toy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Microsoft was right to sack this terribly-misguided clown due to his poor decision-making, so why should anyone listen to what he has to say?

  51. Microsofties would know ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    After all, they're the ones usually labeling and deriding huge breakthroughs as mere toys. You know, things like the iPhone, the Internet, 1MB ram.

  52. Who is "People"? by Guillermito · · Score: 1

    The article is merely a list of technologies that some people might have referred to as "toys" when they first appeared. There are not links, and nothing indicates that was the prevalent opinion at the time. I'm sure it is possible to find references with "people" calling the same technologies "revolutionary".

  53. It's usually correct by cfalcon · · Score: 2

    Many of the things that are labelled a "toy" really are. Others are until someone drops millions on R&D to make it useful.

    "PC is a toy"

    The PC in 1981 *was* a toy. With 16 kilobytes of memory, no concept of directories, and a ludicrous buy-in required, it was a niche machine. Lotus 1-2-3 was two years away. Obviously it was a toy with a great deal of potential, but it took a lot of time to get there.

    “C programming language is a toy”

    When I google this, it takes me to the article and no place else. If this quote is real, it wasn't a very popular opinion. By 1982, C had been used for Unix for a decade or something- how a popular and standard OS and its myriad of tools was dismissed as "toy-like" isn't obvious to me, and I'd be surprised to find out that this claim got much purchase. Assuming it exists. I mean, it must, right? Someone had to be clueless.

    "Mouse is a toy", "GUI is a toy"

    GUIs were a toy in the early 80s, and so were mice. With a mouse driver chewing up your precious RAM and an utter lack of support, it took a long time before a mouse was considered something that you could assume your users would own. Windows could be run entirely from the keyboard for this reason. Despite being so good at its thing, it took a long damned time before it had real use.

    "Email on a pager is a toy"

    And it was. We don't all have email enabled pagers, we have touchscreens that didn't exist back then with high res displays that didn't exist back then running on batteries that didn't exist back then with a huge wad of software that cost a ton of time and money to create. Smartphones aren't email pagers that got bigger, smartphones are PCs that shrunk.

    Many of the others, I don't think anyone believed. I don't know anyone who dismissed VOIP, the Macintosh, Flash storage, Youtube, or touch screens. Facebook is STILL a toy, it just has large buy-in and a bunch of money. Hell, people keep creating things that will be "the next facebook", and those are mostly toys too- if one catches on and turns facebook into myspace, that won't really change that. Cloud has never been a toy, but its certainly been oversold, and most of the critiques mock that point- the upsides of clouds are hyped, the downsides ignored.

    The list has some good points on it, but mostly it deals with technologies that took years to decades, and tons of research and development, to leave their "toy" status behind. If you call something gimmicky and then it catches on twenty years later after all the underlying tech has changed, that doesn't make you wrong.

    1. Re:It's usually correct by Scoth · · Score: 1

      Most of the things on your end list were dismissed by plenty of people, but they tended to be the minority who didn't foresee various advances rather than even mainstream folks. I remember trying to use early VOIP programs on 14.4 and 28.8 dialup connections and they were largely useless. But while some people dismissed it as a "never work", others kept working on it and it became usable. Likewise there were plenty of people saying Youtube could never make it. This and this talk a bit about what some people thought about Youtube a year or so after it launched. It'll be interesting to see where things getting hyped now end up in a decade or two.

    2. Re:It's usually correct by Notorious+G · · Score: 1

      "Mouse is a toy", "GUI is a toy"

      I worked for a small consulting company in the mid-1990's that was a huge Netware shop. They used to demonstrate the new Windows NT OS by putting on a performance monitor and then moving the mouse back and forth quickly to show CPU cycles being consumed. These dipshits would laugh and laugh while telling customers and potential customers how the GUI had no place in modern business computing and this was the proof. I recall being pretty embarrassed to be in the same room with them. Not long after, we had a company meeting where the owner told us this "internet thing" was a fad that would die off soon so we did not need to develop any strategy around it. I got out of there as fast as I could. Idiots.

    3. Re:It's usually correct by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      C is UNIX (and B) and UNIX is a "toy" compared to Multics.

      That claim is accurate. UNIX was an unofficial project, and only later "approved" .

      Started because MULTICS sucked so bad, and they took away their old OS.

      Out of necessity to have an actual (in fact, not just name) OS research division again.

      MULTICS bombed so bad, all OS research was effectively done...but they did not get their old computer/OS back.

      Blamed because MULTICS screwed up so bad...what's a geek to do? Secretly start an OS, without approval...scrounge around for machines (from psychology department or some such IIRC) without the boss finding out...

      Then it got "approved" and there was "word processing potential" ...

      space wars factors into this somehow too.

      UNIX and C were a "toy" (depending on who you ask...Dennis Ritchie I believe is one of the "always an official project" but Kernighan I believe disagreed with his take, says that is just covering his ass for prestige/the sake of the company).

      I don't know if C was entirely started solely or at all to "port" UNIX, but they are related and intertwined for sure, if not at the start, things became that way. B I am not sure as well.

      I am unclear on certain details, but yes, C being a "toy" and UNIX too are quite accurate IMO. Just depends on who you ask... Bell arguably at some point realized they had something worthwhile on their hands, so after-the-fact tried to market UNIX and C as a "serious" thing, but Kernighan in particular IIRC would say this is all revisionism and covering their asses/saving face/taking credit for things other people started (on company dime and time, without permission from higher ups....lucky they didn't get FIRED and SUED!)

      Further, Kernighan IIRC maintains this view because he was the "starter" ... later UNIX became a "group" thing and possibly still later an official "company" thing IIRC.

      It was a one-man thing at first...perhaps not called UNIX or C yet (or even B) ... he had been wanting to do an OS for a long time....MULTICS bombing so badly, all OS research stopping, their old computer/OS being taken away from them because no more OS research was to be done anymore, was perhaps what kicked UNIX into high gear...dunno if he had prior code/prototypes lying around, or this just finally forced him into drastic measures.

  54. Re:Oh, like what S. Balmer said about the iPhone t by MobileTatsu-NJG · · Score: 2

    The primary reason the iPhone was popular (even around here) was that its browser didn't require sites to be mobile friendly. Before the iPhone mobile browsing sucked.

    --

    "I like to lick butts!" by MobileTatsu-NJG (#32700246) (Score:5, Informative)

  55. What about Thermonuclear fusion? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Is that a toy? Huh? Or jet packs and flying cars? Robot maids and butlers?
    What about swarms of drones carrying cargo?

  56. DNA Sequencer by gringer · · Score: 1

    This has certainly been the case for the DNA Sequencer I've been doing "technology development" on. It's been almost impossible to get people to treat it like a useful, serious sequencing device.

    --
    Ask me about repetitive DNA
  57. Re:Oh, like what S. Balmer said about the iPhone t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I was mobile browsing on my Palm Treo just fine before the iPhone. It didn't require sites to have special content either. I had the touch version so it was pretty easy to zoom around. I also had SIP calling on the Treo which you couldn't get on the iPhone for a few years after its initial launch. It annoyed me that carriers started blocking it on Android. The SIP calling was nice, I had wifi through-out the property and was rarely ever at my desk.

    The iPhone was most certainly a toy when it first came out. Since then it has come a long way and you can actually do some pretty decent stuff now.

    Of course I will forever despise it for the iTunes lock-in. Even iTunes has come a long way, although its still a pig that I'd rather not ever have to see again, except that my girlfriend has about $10k invested in crap from iTunes over the years. Course she is pissed off enough that her iPhone died after 6 months that she's not in a hurry to get access to the content anymore and is buying new stuff on Amazon that can be accessed for every other device we have.

  58. Re:Oh, like what S. Balmer said about the iPhone t by MobileTatsu-NJG · · Score: 1

    I was mobile browsing on the Palm Treo as well and, frankly, I think you're remembering it through Rose-colored glasses. It technically worked but everything was formatted in a screwy way and didn't have the zooming options we're familiar with now. It was a step up from IE on Windows mobile, but the Safari browser blew it away. The only real advantage Palm had was it had working copy/paste.

    --

    "I like to lick butts!" by MobileTatsu-NJG (#32700246) (Score:5, Informative)

  59. No shit. Being considered a toy is a requirement. by Qbertino · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Being considered a toy is a requirement for being a game changer. If a technology is taken seriously early on, it's inmediately locked down with patents and pricetags by big business. That's why toys always win in the long run.

    iPhone? Toy. Who want's that?
    PC? Toy. Here are the specs and the architecture, for free. Go play. We sell real computers. 20 years later x86 is all there is.
    The Web? A toy. ... Whooops.
    PHP? JavaScript? Toy languages, laughed out of the room, even still yet. While everybodys laughing, they're taking over the web. Well, PHP at least.
    WordPress? Yet another shitty CMS/bloggin engine by someone who can't programm. Toy. Oh. 102 Million active installs. 25% of the web. Mmmh.

    Toys win, because they initialy aren't taken seriously and thus have room to get adopted by those who want to build stuff without being at the mercy of some psychopath corporation. Once they've gained traction it's to late to box them in and everybody has to follow suit to stay in the game.

    It's that simple.

    --
    We suffer more in our imagination than in reality. - Seneca
  60. Spaghetti meet wall by Moof123 · · Score: 1

    Seriously, most new stuff is junk and even the survivors of the shakeout were often pretty lousy in their first offerings.

  61. Lacking references... by dermoth666 · · Score: 1

    This article could be interesting if it included references to who said what and in which context. Just saying "[[tech]] is a toy." without further developing or even including at least a reference is pointless - one could come up with just about any tech as an example whenever real or not.

    This article is unfortunately nothing more than a waste of time :(

  62. Re:Oh, like what S. Balmer said about the iPhone t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Palm Treo 600 had a perfectly usable browser for 2003. The iPhone didn't come out until 4 years later, so of course it had a better browser.

    Despite being 4 years older, the Treo 600 was still better for browsing in some ways. The iPhone may have had pinch to zoom in its browser, but the Treo had a real keyboard.

  63. Absolutely by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I've lost count of the number of times I've heard people deride something new as a toy, although they seem to be wising up lately.

    . Personal Computers ("Fad, won't be around in 10 years")
    . Programming ("Not even making anything real there, waste of time")
    . Computers on cars ("There is no way they can work in a hash environment like a car")
    . C language ("Real businesses don't use languages like that")
    . Linux ("Who the hell is going to use a home-made operating system?")
    . Open source ("We're supposed to put our trust in a bunch of crap code written by hippies? No thanks")
    . Phones for any use other than phone calls
    . Home automation ("Technology for its own sake is bullshit")
    . Robots ("Science fiction, never happen")
    . IoT

    Strangely, I fly the hell out of drones as a middle-aged man. And not one person with an opinion I place any value on has said anything about how they're toys, although at this point, the vast majority of them are. From the list above, I've turned the majority of them into ways to make money, so maybe by now they've gotten the point that many things that start out as toys eventually turn into something more.

  64. Re:Oh, like what S. Balmer said about the iPhone t by MobileTatsu-NJG · · Score: 1

    The Palm web browser didnt work on a lot of sites that the iPhone did and the keyboard didn't matter that much unless you were using it to spend an inordinate amout of time posting on forums... where the wysiwyg interfaces never worked. The iPhone also had wifi from day 1.

    Again, rose-colored glasses.

    --

    "I like to lick butts!" by MobileTatsu-NJG (#32700246) (Score:5, Informative)

  65. They ARE toys at first by Tablizer · · Score: 4, Interesting

    New technology usually are toys. They are immature and not road-tested. Hobbyists fortunately don't mind taking the proverbial arrows in the back to find the kinks and build/find uses for them.

    The first photographs required sitting perfectly still for 5 minutes; the first phonographs had the quality of rusted tin cans with a nose plug; the first cars broke down often and required lots of fiddling to keep going, their starter mechanisms often braking arms; the first electronic computers took more time replacing vacuum tubes than computing; the first satellites kept blowing up on the launch pad; the first PC's had crappy software, unreliable storage, and crashed often for no reason; the Newton was bulky and slow; the Lisa & Mac were too expensive for most home/biz users and lacked useful software until desktop publishing matured years after release; the first online services made molasses look fast; both Java and JavaScript were buggy and inconsistent upon release; and HTML 5 is still buggy and inconsistent. And node.JS? I still don't know what the fock that's all about, I hope to finally "get it" before I die, or maybe dying is preferable?

    1. Re:They ARE toys at first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The breaks on my car don't work and the starter tried to brake my arm. (shudder).

    2. Re:They ARE toys at first by samwichse · · Score: 1

      The best example from TFA is "streaming is a toy."

      Just looking at that 1994 RealPlayer window evokes a whole bunch of frustration for me. It didn't work well, and it wasn't useful for anything you would rely on for 20 years. So yes, for 20 years, I would say streaming was a toy. The people who said that weren't wrong in their time (I was one of them). Until network speed/reliability/availability caught up to it. And now, I'm listening to Pandora while I type this.

  66. Users have reason to think this. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Most touted "game changing" technologies turn out not to amount to much. Real game changers are rare.

    Remember Ethanol fuel cell powered cell phones?

    if all the touted "game changers" came true we would be in a SterTrek universe by now.

  67. The irony of the Title by TylerJWhit · · Score: 1

    'Game Changer' considered a 'Toy'.

  68. And the reverse can also true by Forthan+Red · · Score: 1

    And occasionally a piece of technology is heralded as a world-changing innovation, and end up just being a toy. Yeah, I'm talking about you, Segway.

  69. Wrong interpretation of the word "toy" by holophrastic · · Score: 1

    My car is a toy. It's a sportscar, and it's fun. It also gets me places, and it also keeps me warm, but what it brings to my transportation over a normal car is unnecessary for transportation. In other words, the more that it offers doesn't make the transportation any better (not faster, not more comfortable, not easier).

    Each of those items, and the mouse is an easy example to discuss, was a toy when it came out. At the time, computers were used for typing. What the mouse offered wasn't necessary for computer use. It didn't improve any task being done at the time. That's what made it a toy.

    Obviously any toy, once it becomes ubiquitous, becomes flexible as a tool. If everyone had a sportscar like mine, we could redesign the roads to function like the track, and all drive at twice the speed; we could redesign parking lots to fit more cars too.

  70. Re:Oh, like what S. Balmer said about the iPhone t by Cro+Magnon · · Score: 1

    Agreed, but my desktop (or even the laptop) doesn't fit well into my pocket.

    --
    Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
  71. I can imagine how VR will be seen in Engineering by EmperorOfCanada · · Score: 1

    I can just see the senior engineers watching the junior engineers waving their hands in the air with VR goggles on and thinking that it isn't "Real work"

  72. Telescope! by BrookSeaton · · Score: 1

    The telescope was actually a toy first.

    1. Re:Telescope! by KGIII · · Score: 1

      Are you sure? I've seen that subject pop up in documentaries quite a few times. Each time, they've generally referenced the intended use which was to see ships at a distance. This includes climbing a tower (by whom, I do not recall) and watching the ships coming in from what would be over the horizon at ground level and too far away to be seen with the naked eye. I've seen this recounted, in a variety of ways, more than once.

      The specifics, I do not necessarily recall but I may be thinking of the wrong person. The telescope was sort of invented by one guy and another one (Galileo maybe?) stomped off to get his name put on it. I don't recall the original inventor thinking of it as a toy, however. I could be mistaken and my memory is not that good. I watch documentaries, not as a scholastic pursuit but as a forum of entertainment. I really don't much care for anything else in video media format.

      As an aside; that has made the 'net a great boon for me. I love the access and immediacy of all the documentaries. I've never really been into watching much of anything else. Dunno why, but there it is. I find them entertaining and enjoy them. As I said, it's not academic in nature. Any learning is incidental and not the intent.

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
  73. Fixed Headline by ttucker · · Score: 1

    [Stupid] People Often Deride Game Changing Technology as 'a Toy'

    A little less profound that way, but mostly true.

  74. Home automation by Blaskowicz · · Score: 1

    Some of it may be useful, especially energy-related such as closing and opening window blinds, turning off/on heat automatically (even using a weather forecast?). But the rest seems to be crap like a touchscreen mirror that teaches you how to brush teeth, music that follows you around if you have a mansion and no family or friends, a fridge that thinks it's a mainframe or any contraption they can come up with. Will we really need, eventually, a conveyor belt that feeds bread slices to a toaster, then a cartoony white-glove-hand seizes the toasted bread that flies out of the toaster and hand it to a butter-knifing-and-spreading robot?
    Will we spend our time to reconfigure the robot to use peanut butter or jam, rather than do the task ourselves?

    Now a bread dispenser that cuts a slice for me would be fun I guess. Sliced bread is the worst invention since sliced bread : if you slice real bread beforehand, it will just go stale and hard faster. Also it sucks when you want a thick slice but all the slices available are thin ones.
    So, here comes the smart bread slicing machine. It either has a touchscreen, or you pull your smartphone to ask for the desired thickness and number of slices, with options for thickness randomization or custom thickness distributions. Great! Now I can't hurt myself. Although I could hurt myself when doing the cleaning and maintenance of my Bread Slicer 2000, or when it jams. Also I think I should share my bread stats on Facebook. Hey friend, I crumbed you three times today! Why didn't you answer or comment on me?

    In the "real" world there are such fine pieces of art as "smart switches" or power bars that turn everything off if you turn the TV off. (Some might even add an inconspicuous killer switch next to a light switch, for guests to press when they're trying to find their keys). So, your set-top box or ISP box gets its power cut while in the middle of writing to disk ; DVR recording is lost, downloads are interrupted, NAS shares are dead and when you turn the thing on you watch the poor thing show a spinner on its VFD screen forever while it fscks the file system.

  75. Re:Oh, like what S. Balmer said about the iPhone t by U2xhc2hkb3QgU3Vja3M · · Score: 1

    The music files from iTunes can be accessed by most devices too, only the early ones had DRM on them.

    Music videos/TV shows/movies, on the other hand, are another story.

  76. It's always like this by DrYak · · Score: 2

    I suppose I'll be saying the same thing again some day...

    Well, if you think about it, that's actually quite normal.

    Most new disruptive technology are developped quickly, with a lots of iteration and experimentation.
    (That comes more or less with the fact that they are trying something new, and iterative and rapid development are more or less a requirement).
    Of course that means that the technology will necessarily go through a "minimum delivrable" phase.
    It's not complete yet, it only contains the bare minimum to make a viable product.
    Then of course, obviously, old guns won't necessarily see the potential. The only see the current state and consider it a toy.
    They ARE right, it IS *currently* a toy. But a toy designed to show possibilities.
    And thus visionary people will quickly notice all the potential and see beyond the toy. They see what is now possible to achieve with the technology that wasn't possible before.

    One man's shiny new toy, is another man's first step to reaching the moon.

    --
    "Sufficiently advanced satire is indistinguishable from reality." - [Tips: 1DrYakQDKCQ6y52z6QbnkxHXAocMZJE61o ]
  77. You lost me... by God+of+Lemmings · · Score: 1

    when you lumped Java and Javascript together.

    --
    Non sequitur: Your facts are uncoordinated.
  78. iPad by dasgoober · · Score: 1

    Like how the iPad was going to revolutionize the workplace?

    Still a toy

  79. Re:Oh, like what S. Balmer said about the iPhone t by Desler · · Score: 2

    No wireless. Less space than a Nomad. Lame.

    - Slashdot Founder

  80. Some tech goes through all the stages by istartedi · · Score: 1

    Some tech seems to go through a set of stages: 1. Toy, usually just for the rich. 2. Still a toy, but you don't have to be super-rich any more. 3. A nice thing to have that opens doors. 4. A necessity if you really want to do well. 5. So essential in society that it's somewhat subsidized for those who can't afford it, or even regarded as a basic right.

    Consider these 5 basic stages, and ponder this history of: 1. Motorized transportation. 2. Computers. 3. Jet packs. 4. Electric fans. 5. Intravenous fluids.

    Please provide at least 10 references. Have your essays on my desk by Wednesday morning.

    --
    For all intensive purposes, "whom" is no longer a word. That begs the question, "who cares"?
  81. OS/2 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Interestingly enough, OS/2 was never, never referred to as a toy IIRC. It lacked a GUI until it finally hit version 2 and had multiple other disappointments when considering the hype and technical discussions that preceded each release.

    OS/2 had the imprimatur of "serious" all over it. Therefore the fun aspects of a toy, and something else I can't quite find a word for (ambition maybe?), short-circuited the toy label.

    1. Re:OS/2 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, OS/2 got a GUI at v1.1. Only v1.0 was CLI.

  82. Metro by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hurt much about Metro Microsoft? Pssst! it wasn't a game changer in the industry and never will be, unless you count the mass exodus of Windows users for Mac OS and Linux a game changer. PS please burn for the crappy forced OS you call an "upgrade", Windows 10.

  83. This article sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If anything, when something new comes out there's essentially always a bunch of fanboys hyping the crap out of it, and some smaller group that dismiss it completely. However some thoughts come to mind:

    “Java [and JavaScript] programming language is a toy” -- Java is a toy, it's always sucked, the premise has always been a horrible failed idea, and successful marketing pushed it into the most inappropriate applications conceivable (Java on devices with limited resources? holy crap what a horrible idea..). Java single-handedly made the first decade of cellphones suck horribly. The amount of damage java has done is nearly incalculable. Javascript and Java are not related. Though it's fair to say that javascript and web development in general is as screwed an approach to the problem as java is for application development.

    “Intranet is a toy” (picture of sharepoint) -- Said no one ever, sharepoint is and always has been a toy yes, but the internet came about in order to connect various intranets.

    “SMS [in the US] is a toy” -- No, SMS in the US was a scam, there's a difference

    “Flash storage is a toy” -- Uh what? Who said that? Form's of solid state storage have been around forever and have been used in some of the most critical applications.

    “Facebook is a toy” -- And what is it now? It's a popular toy, and that makes for big business, but we have known that since geocities.

    “Cloud is a toy” -- So a natural evolution of hosted services and collocation created by big datacenter users to better utilize their resources, was considered a toy by someone, that someone had no idea what they were talking about.

    Anyway dumb article regardless, but sometimes taking the bait is fun

  84. Re:Oh, like what S. Balmer said about the iPhone t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    One of the best contributions the iPhone made was to make using a smart phone seem normal.

  85. They really are toys! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Computers are not really necessary in our personal lives for happiness. However now we are forced to use it because 'the neighbor has it'. Mankind has complicated its existence unnecessarily with too much personal tech. Yes, maybe they are needed in industry and science, to help solve global problems of poverty and environment, advance scientific knowledge, etc. To help reach other planets, explore space, etc.
    But wasn't your grandpa happy without these gazillion gadgets and online video and music and what not?

  86. Because they mostly are? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    At conception.

  87. Re: Oh, like what S. Balmer said about the iPhone by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ok you don't like the iPhone. But it was a new idea that was transformative. It changed the phone, and the PC industry, by merging them. But at first it just seemed like a super expensive toy. Perfect example.

  88. Hooray for toys! by bitterblackale · · Score: 1

    You say 'Toy' as if it's a bad thing. Toys are awesome. There's nothing quite so childish as wanting to be a grown-up.

  89. Re: Oh, like what S. Balmer said about the iPhone by bipbop · · Score: 1

    You don't seem to have read my post. I do like my iPhone.

  90. It's built in for some people. by JohnStock · · Score: 1

    My aged father, who's seen his son "play" video games since the late 1970's. Who went to university to study Software Engineering. Who worked on both sides of the Atlantic developing applications and games, still considers games to be for children. This is all while he's on his Android tablet playing games! You can't win!

  91. Re:Oh, like what S. Balmer said about the iPhone t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Actually the Treo worked with web sites better than the original iPhone due to the simpler nature of web sites back in 2003.

    Sounds to me like you're the only one with rose tinted glasses on here.

  92. Re:Oh, like what S. Balmer said about the iPhone t by MobileTatsu-NJG · · Score: 1

    No, it didn't. The issue to overcome wasn't the complexity of the page, it was the automatic re-formatting the Treo and Windows Mobile browsers attempted to do in order to make the page fit on a screen that was barely 300 pixels wide. The iPhone's approach was to render the page into a much larger canvas and to use a combination of scrolling and pinch-to-zoom to navigate, sort of like using a magnifying glass over a large book. The meant that unlike the various Treo phones at the time web pages were rendered in their orignal formatting. The Treo was a joke in comparison.

    --

    "I like to lick butts!" by MobileTatsu-NJG (#32700246) (Score:5, Informative)

  93. Re:Oh, like what S. Balmer said about the iPhone t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes it did. Page reflow on the Treo worked fine with most sites of the day. You're talking about stuff that you clearly haven't experienced.

    The iPhone approach meant that you had to constantly zoom in and out to read a page and again. That's why mobile sites still exist to this day.

    And again, the iPhone came out 4 years later. For its time the Treo was much more amazing than the iPhone was for its time.

  94. Re:Oh, like what S. Balmer said about the iPhone t by MobileTatsu-NJG · · Score: 1

    Yes it did. Page reflow on the Treo worked fine with most sites of the day. You're talking about stuff that you clearly haven't experienced.

    Apparently not. Was this on the Palm OS version or the Windows version?

     

    The iPhone approach meant that you had to constantly zoom in and out to read a page and again. That's why mobile sites still exist to this day.

    Yep. Oh and by sheer coincidence it's also the approach all the mobile browsers in use today use, mainly because the automatic-reformatting was too spotty.

    --

    "I like to lick butts!" by MobileTatsu-NJG (#32700246) (Score:5, Informative)

  95. Smart watches by MoarSauce123 · · Score: 1

    The big hype around smart watches got us ridiculously expensive gadgets that are not smart without a smart phone which by itself is shockingly dumb without a decent data plan that allows asking servers permanently for what to do. And what do these overpriced gizmos do? Tell time, measure heart beat, and show a notice that you need to pull your phone out of your pocket. Yea, it is great for bragging, like owning a yacht or a souped up Mercedes that shares the garage with a Tesla and a Porsche, but so far there is little to no practical use that would turn a smart watch to have a positive ROI. That makes the difference between a tool and a toy even in consumer space.