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Solar Planes Aren't the Green Future Of Air Travel (vox.com)

An anonymous reader writes: By any standard, the Solar Impulse 2 is a marvel of engineering. This solar-powered plane didn't use a drop of kerosene on its epic trip across the Pacific Ocean. It's a real testament to how far solar technology has advanced. Unfortunately, for anyone hoping that we'll all be puttering around in solar planes soon -- well, that's pretty unlikely. From a Vox report, "Consider: The Solar Impulse 2 features 17,000 solar cells crammed onto its jumbo jet "size wings, along with four lithium-polymer batteries to store electricity for nighttime. Yet that's still only enough power to carry 2 tons of weight, including a single passenger, at a top speed of just 43 miles per hour. By contrast, a Boeing 747-400 running on jet fuel can transport some 400 people at a time, at top speeds of 570 miles per hour. Unless we see some truly shocking advances in module efficiency, it'll be impossible to cram enough solar panels onto a 747's wings to lift that much weight -- some 370 tons in all. Nor is it enough to load up on batteries charged by solar on the ground, since that would add even more weight to the plane, vastly increasing the energy needed for takeoff. A gallon of jet fuel packs about 15 to 30 times as much energy as a lithium-ion battery of similar weight. That fundamental difference in energy density is a big reason we're unlikely to see large commercial airliners powered by batteries fill the skies."

286 comments

  1. Still by NotInHere · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Having a solar driven plane circle the world is still cool.

    1. Re:Still by jellomizer · · Score: 2

      The problem is people are always thinking progress need to equate to a practical consumer level solution.

      Many times the process of doing it just because you can, comes up with many side effect results.
      I am wondering if the lessons learned to make an airplane fly around the world with solar, can have factors brought to the next generation fuel planes that are more efficient.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    2. Re:Still by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But impractical and incredibly more expensive than the alternative.

    3. Re:Still by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The most obvious "customer-facing" application here is a solar powered armed drone.

    4. Re:Still by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

      The problem is people are always thinking progress need to equate to a practical consumer level solution.

      Seriously, what a strange summary. "This technology demonstrator that is capable of flying around the planet using only solar power cannot replace a Boeing 747 with today's technology." Yeah, no kidding. Why did someone spend the time to write this? Is this an article paid for by Exxon-Mobile or something?

      --
      "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
    5. Re:Still by chaboud · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Limitless in-theater dwell time, controllable deployability (at 43mph). If the military isn't already all over this, something is horribly out of whack.

    6. Re:Still by tlhIngan · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Many times the process of doing it just because you can, comes up with many side effect results.
      I am wondering if the lessons learned to make an airplane fly around the world with solar, can have factors brought to the next generation fuel planes that are more efficient.

      Exactly - it's how progress is done. The innovation isn't that it'll replace a 747 immediately, but with R&D, it might. Or it might fit itself in a new niche.

      I mean, it's like saying airplanes are stupid when you see the Wright brother's 1903 example. The thing only flew a few meters. What, airplanes are completely pointless because anyone can walk farther than they can fly?

      No, progress is made by refining the process. It flies a few meters first, then as you learn from it, you fly farther and farther until you can go halfway around the world.

      Likewise, solar planes will likely not replace a 747, but they may replace balloons and satellites (which are extremely expensive).

      There's a lot of research going on airships too - while not as fast as a plane, they have enormous cargo carrying capacity and can be launched inland, so if you have cargo that's not required to be there within a day, but can take a week or two, it's competitive with regular shipping (which usually takes a month), plus you don't need a port and trains/trucks to bring it inland.

      Just because something isn't a perfect replacement for an existing piece of technology, doesn't make the development pointless.

    7. Re:Still by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "Wright Brothers fly only 59 seconds, proving flight is not the future of travel."

      "Wright brothers fly 852 feet, air travel obviously impractical and will never happen."

    8. Re:Still by vtcodger · · Score: 1

      Hmmmm. And only five centuries after Magellan circled the world powered only by wind.

      Making progress by leaps and bounds.

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    9. Re:Still by Wycliffe · · Score: 1

      Likewise, solar planes will likely not replace a 747, but they may replace balloons and satellites (which are extremely expensive).

      Just because something isn't a perfect replacement for an existing piece of technology, doesn't make the development pointless.

      Also, a solar plane would not need to be able to fly at night or around the world to be useful. A solar plane that could take off and land in fair weather without using fuel would still be useful. It would still likely need a small battery for emergency landing but not for 8+ hours of flying at night.

    10. Re:Still by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Exactly. Look at the Apollo moon landings. We haven't made traveling to the moon a reality for consumers, and we basically did it just because we could. But in the process, we came up with all kinds of spin-off technologies that were a huge boost to the economy.

      The lessons learned in flying a solar airplane around the world might not just help with other aircraft, they could have benefits for many other not-that-related industries as well. The Apollo program provided a big boost to the electronics industry, for instance.

    11. Re:Still by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My understanding is this was the purpose of the nuclear powered aircraft...unlimited espionage and first strike capability.

    12. Re:Still by NotInHere · · Score: 2

      The key word is plane here.

    13. Re:Still by legRoom · · Score: 5, Informative

      A solar-powered direct replacement for something like a Boeing 747 is impossible, period. Incremental technological development cannot get us from here to there.

      Boeing 747-8I maximum fuel = [240 kL]
      Energy density of Kerosene = [37 MJ / L]
      Thermal efficiency of a modern turbofan engine = [40+%]
      Flight duration = [16+ hours]

      Energy required = ([240 kL] * [37 MJ / L] * [40%]) / [16 h] = [220 GJ/h] = [62 MW]

      So, even a hypothetical 100% efficient solar-powered 747-8I replacement would require about 62MW of average (not peak!) power to operate. The maximum power that can be collected by a solar energy system (no matter how efficient) is limited by its surface area: it cannot gather more energy than what is present in the sunlight hitting it.

      Maximum solar irradiance at Earth's Orbit: [less than 1.4 kW/m^2]
      Upper surface area of a Boeing 747-8I: [less than 1000 m^2]
      Maximum solar power available to a solar 747-sized object: [less than 1.4 kW/m^2] * [less than 1000 m^2] = [less than 1.4 MW]

      Even an ultra-high-tech solar 747-8I replacement could not possibly generate more than about 2% of the power required to perform the same mission. It would inevitably need to fly much slower and lower (probably low enough for cloud shadowing to cause major problems), and/or carry a far smaller payload.

      Barring a major (read: not foreseeable) physics or engineering breakthrough, true solar-powered jet replacements are not possible. Electric planes might happen eventually, but they will require refuelling or recharging on the ground, just like today's hydrocarbon-powered designs.

    14. Re:Still by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You missed the point. They are not trying to replace 747's with electric airplanes. A solar-powered plane that can stay in the air indefinitely might be useful for other things (e.g. a communications platform), but really the point of the exercise is to demonstrate that we can now manufacture solar panels (and batteries) that are lighter, more compact and robust than previously available.

    15. Re:Still by vtcodger · · Score: 2

      Yes and no. Your math looks OK. However, I think a lighter than air craft with solar power might work out as a cargo carrier and possibly even as passenger vehicle. The Graf Zeppelin did a round the world trip sometime back around 1930. It took them something like a week and a half. They didn't use a lot of power and I'd expect that a modern design might be a bit faster. I think the zeppelins maxed out around 100kph (60mph in American).

      I can't see them replacing jets at current fuel prices, but who knows what kerosene will cost in four or five decades.

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    16. Re:Still by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

      I feel like you're trying to argue that the limited capacity of the GM Sunraycer from 1987 is proof that solar power will never be used to power a loaded 300-car freight train across the country.

      The goal of the Solar Impulse 2 was never to provide a drop-in replacement for the Boeing 747-400. Just like today we can see that electric passenger cars are viable, and home solar power is viable (and, by extension, using solar power to recharge and thereby power your passenger car), the Solar Impulse project is probably going to lead to small efficient electric light aircraft. Think about replacing a Cessna 188, not a 747.

      --
      "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
    17. Re:Still by legRoom · · Score: 1

      I agree that (thin-film) solar is worth considering more seriously for a slow, buoyancy-lofted craft like a Zeppelin - but those would have to target a different market than something like a 747, because of their low speed and sun-blotting size. For now surveillance-like tasks, and maybe cargo transport to remote areas seem like the only good fits.

      As you say, rising fuel prices could open up other possibilities later - I doubt large-scale, long-range passenger transport will ever be one of them, though. People are kind of the ultimate "time sensitive" cargo.

    18. Re:Still by CWCheese · · Score: 1

      The problem is people are always thinking progress need to equate to a practical consumer level solution.

      Without a practical consumer side, what are we solving then? Sure, it seems altruistically wonderful to engage in basic research, however, if it doesn't lead to widespread, large scale adoption as a technology, it seems a waste of time. You speak of lessons that are learned, well the basic lesson learned so far is that it is hardly feasible to use solar photovoltaic as an alternative aviation fuel.

      --
      Have a Day!
    19. Re:Still by CWCheese · · Score: 1

      You may be onto something with the lighter than air craft, as there are several firms working on zeppelin-like craft. Each of those craft employ several propeller motors which could be electric powered. Assuming the weight of PV panels doesn't negate too much of the cargo lifting capacity, to generate the appropriate amount of power for the motors, this is a potential application. Perhaps the advent of thin film PV could be used instead of the current panels.

      --
      Have a Day!
    20. Re:Still by legRoom · · Score: 1

      Human-carrying solar planes are unlikely to replace something like the Cessna 188, because there simply is not enough space in community airports for everyone to have their own 200 foot wingspan single-person solar slow-poke, even if that's what people wanted.

      As to "small efficient electric light aircraft" - I already said that electric aircraft are plausible; they just won't be powered by solar panels while in flight.

    21. Re:Still by bjohnson · · Score: 1

      Expensive. Not as much space as a Nomad. Lame.

    22. Re:Still by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why not just put solar panels on the 747 and reduce fuel consumption?

    23. Re:Still by Maxwell'sSilverLART · · Score: 1

      Limitless in-theater dwell time, controllable deployability (at 43mph). If the military isn't already all over this, something is horribly out of whack.

      43 MPH and very limited maneuverability? You could shoot the thing down with a spitwad, let alone a SAM.

      --
      Moderate drunk! It's more fun that way!
    24. Re:Still by wierd_w · · Score: 1

      I dont think you are thinking about this correctly.

      You have clearly shown that solar-electric with chemical battery storage is not equivalent to fossil fuel.

      Why stop at that point, and not continue? Namely, the 737 is designed with a specific set of criteria in mind, which focus heavily on cost per flight, which is why the design impetus is to cram as many people as possible on board, and the strap big assed engines that produce lots of thrust on what is otherwise a ballistically propelled brick with aerofoil control surfaces.

      The principle feature driving the design of the 737 (and 787, and other jumbo jets) is the cost of fuel, and the need to maximize occupant to fuel consumption ratio.

      In short, you are making a faulty comparison. You correctly point out that photovoltaic power is not a replacement for jet fuel. yes. This is true. Photovoltaic is MUCH CHEAPER over vehicle lifetime than jet fuel.

      With that in mind, the design considerations for commerical PV air transports are completely different-- why insist on the 737 form factor? it makes no sense at all to do so!

      What makes sense for commerical PV air transports is leveraging the reduced costs of the "fuel" and maintenance, against the lower energy density. Due to lower maintenance costs, more vehicles can operate on the same maintenance budget. Due to less expensive "fuel", more vehicles can operate on the same budget. So, logically, the number of passengers per vehicle can be reduced, and retain the same profitability by increasing the number of vehicles in service.

      The target ratio is, and always will be, humans delivered to destination / cost of delivery.

      It will of course, take longer due to the lower engine thrust (unless a solution is found), but the service on the flight can be increased, making the flight a more enjoyable feature of the trip. There are fewer passengers per flight, so better attention per passenger from flight attendants.

      Writing off commercial PV air transport because PV cannot substitute jet fuel in a system designed for features related to the costs of jet fuel, without considering the reasons for those designs is not very rigorous intellectually.

      Instead of jumbo jet, think more Cessna Citation personal jet size craft, and more of them.

      Remember, not everyone needs to get from Dallas to Tokyo in under 6 hours. The slower, cheaper, and more amenity rich trip on a properly considered PV powered flight are for people who want to get from A to B as part of a deadline relaxed vacation.

      The people needing to get there yesterday will have the option of more expensive jet fuel based transport.

    25. Re: Still by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You missed what I think is the most important and long lasting of any of the statistics:
      Weight of spent kerosene: 0%
      Weight of spent batteries: 100%

    26. Re:Still by legRoom · · Score: 1

      The solar demonstrator plane in the article can only carry a single person, and yet, in order to fly, it requires the wingspan of a 747 (among the largest aircraft ever built). It's already far too wide to operate from most airports.

      You want to take that plane - which can barely accommodate a single pilot - and weigh it down with multiple passengers, flight attendants, and amenities? You must be joking.

      Remember, not everyone needs to get from Dallas to Tokyo in under 6 hours. The slower, cheaper, and more amenity rich trip on a properly considered PV powered flight are for people who want to get from A to B as part of a deadline relaxed vacation.

      Those people who are not in a hurry will take trains or cruise ships, both of which actually exist today, and still work just fine even after being weighed down with attendants and amenities. Or - if you insist on air travel - perhaps an airship like vtcodger suggested above.

      Namely, the 737 is designed with [...] big assed engines that produce lots of thrust on what is otherwise a ballistically propelled brick with aerofoil control surfaces.

      1) Do you really not know the difference between the 737, and the 747 I was actually talking about in the post you replied to?
      2) If you think either of those planes is "a ballistically propelled brick", you know nothing about aerodynamics.

    27. Re: Still by legRoom · · Score: 1

      Honestly... not really. Fuel is only about half the mass of a long-range hydrocarbon plane at take-off.

      Not being able to dump spent batteries during the flight only increases the average mass of the plane over the course of the flight by about 30%, which isn't really that big of a deal compared to the more basic problem that current batteries weigh 40x as much as jet fuel for the same energy. The extra 30% is just a rounding error, in comparison.

    28. Re:Still by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      A solar-powered direct replacement for something like a Boeing 747 is impossible, period. Incremental technological development cannot get us from here to there.

      Unless you...you know, like, synthesize substitute liquid fuel from solar energy? Which is one of the obvious things to do with surplus solar energy you don't know what to do with? (Synthetic fuels, I'm being told, are pretty good for engines. They seem to burn very cleanly. Perhaps there's some maintenance savings benefits in it as well.)

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    29. Re:Still by ultranova · · Score: 2

      A solar-powered direct replacement for something like a Boeing 747 is impossible, period. Incremental technological development cannot get us from here to there.

      A battery-powered direct replacement, however, is possible. It simply requires a battery chemistry that can match jet fuel for energy density. There's nothing impossible in that; your own cells accumulate electric charge as an intermediate step in the process of "burning" your food, and plant cells can run the process in reverse (photosynthesis).

      Or if all else fails, just develop jet engines that run on biofuel and run the farming equipment on batteries.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    30. Re:Still by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just because something isn't a perfect replacement for an existing piece of technology, doesn't make the development pointless.

      Just because it is possible doesn't mean it is practical or economical. Realistically we have a ramjet, turbine and propellers. Electric circuit can be only hooked up directly to only one of them, namely propellers. So unless you are willing to strap a nuclear reactor to a prop plane for high power applications, there is no reason to use an electric circuit. If you do strap a reactor to a prop plane (which has been done), there is no reason to convert that power to electricity. Might as well use nuclear turbo prop, turbo, rocket/ramjet or turbo/ramjet combination instead.

      I am sure solar planes and technology derived from blimps can have very interesting niche and practical applications. Like blimp transports for LARGE cargo anywhere on the planet where electric engines and surface area allow to generate enough power to at very least stabilize the craft and compensate for harsh weather conditions given volume. May be use of solar planes as drones for surveillance or interplanetary atmospheric probes. Transporting living cargo we care about in an economical way will never be a part of it though.

      By the time source of jet fuel becomes a problem, we will be able to at least synthesize what is needed (or something better, already done and tested on an actual 747s or 737s I think), replace it with "safe" nukes (assuming it is even possible) or there will be no planes left to fly.

      Sorry drunk...

    31. Re:Still by Suomi-Poika · · Score: 3, Insightful

      LZ-129 (airship Hindenburg) surface area: 27,299 square meters. If upper half is covered with solar panels there would be ~4MW of power if we use current off the shelf 30% efficient solar panels. That power is actually more than the four 16 cylinder Daimler Benz diesels provided for that airship.

      However when flying over water the reflected sunlight would provide energy too. It would be probably wiser to wrap the entire airship with solar panels. Remove diesel engine weight three times (one left for emergency backup) and reduce fuel volume to one quarter of the original amount of diesel. It might actually work during daytime. However I don't have any idea would even the lightest thin film solar panels be light and strong enough to replace current materials used as outer shells. Then there is the night cruising issue, there should be batteries or some other energy source for that.

      If I recall correctly there are some solar powered airship projects where U.S. military is seeking a "all seeing eye" functionality, unmanned high altitude airship where solar power is the primary source of energy. Maybe something interesting spawns from there.

    32. Re: Still by Type44Q · · Score: 1

      not everyone needs to get from Dallas to Tokyo in under 6 hours.

      Ever been to Dallas? You'd be in a hurry to get the fuck out of there, too...

    33. Re: Still by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most military drones can be easily shot down, a high powered ( top drawer military equip ) sniper rifle can in theory bring down the drones we are flying today. The thing is small drones are still hard to spot anywhere you don't have an effective ground based radar network, they have a low heat signauture so are hard to track once you do spot it.

      Nobody is flying drones against targets/opponents with effective control of third air space. Being able to loider over Yemen for weeks would be useful.

    34. Re:Still by legRoom · · Score: 1

      Synthetic fuels are a sensible idea. I would not call that a "solar-powered" plane though, for the same reason that I won't call a Tesla Model S a "methane-powered car", even if that's what your local grid power plant is burning.

    35. Re:Still by djinn6 · · Score: 1

      Even assuming the solar powered zeppelin can reach the same speed as a fossil fuel powered one, it's still incredibly slow. What would have been a 14 hour transpacific flight is 6 days in a zeppelin (the round the world trip is actually only around the northern hemisphere, so it's much shorter than the circumference of the Earth). You have to provide food and entertainment for the duration. Probably internet as well since nobody can miss work for that long on a regular basis. All of that needs to be solar powered too. Low price alone won't make that viable. If kerosene gets too expensive, they will just switch over to synthetic fuels.

    36. Re:Still by legRoom · · Score: 1

      A battery-powered direct replacement is theoretically possible, but unlikely. The reason that hydrocarbons have such phenomenal energy density (for a chemical source, anyway), is that because of Earth's oxygen atmosphere, you don't have to carry 75+% of the required mass of reactants with you.

      Batteries, on the other hand, force you to carry the oxidizer, which makes them quite heavy, even if the main chemical reaction is just as energetic as burning hydrocarbons. Fuel cells are the only battery-like option that I'm aware of that avoids this problem, but they still run on hydrocarbons. Metal-air batteries look good, until you realize that they actually get heavier as the flight progresses...

      With major advances, battery power could work for short hops and/or low speeds, but it will probably never be viable for long-distance, high-speed manned flight.

      Or if all else fails, just develop jet engines that run on biofuel and run the farming equipment on batteries.

      Biofuel or synthetic fuel is a far more sensible power source for planes.

    37. Re:Still by legRoom · · Score: 1

      Solar-powered airships have some potential. The square-cube law could be a problem though: airships generally need to be extremely large in order to be efficient, but you can't make it too big if you want to use solar power, because the mass of the ship grows faster than its surface area.

    38. Re:Still by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Some more recent developments in airships are in relatively flat shapes, not cylinders, that also develop some additional lift, so that might reduce the issue of mass versus area. They don't completely rely on being lighter than air, so in a sense they are mix of airship and aircraft, which also facilitates landing, although it might be a bit interesting in strong winds. I don't know what the speed is like.

    39. Re:Still by NotAPK · · Score: 1

      You can shoot down a Predator pretty easily as well.

      This kind of aircraft would typically only be deployed once air superiority was assured.

      Most of the places where the USA would deploy a slow-flying solar powered drone, would probably have very limited resources.

    40. Re:Still by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      The 747 doesn't need to carry the fuel production equipment. Also, there is quite a bit of unused land in every airport, why not just use solar power derived fuels?

      The Navy has been developing water derived jet fuel for quite a while, it isn't impossible. If you use solar power to produce the fuel, doesn't that mean that the 747 is entirely solar powered?

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    41. Re:Still by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

      Ah. Because any future solar-powered plane will necessarily look just like Solar Impulse 2. Got it.

      --
      "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
    42. Re:Still by legRoom · · Score: 1

      Do you understand why the Solar Impluse 2 looks like it does? I do.

      Solar planes need a huge wingspan both to provide surface area on which to mount photovoltaic cells, and also in order to achieve the excellent lift-to-drag ratio required to fly with so little power available. Future improvements in solar cell efficiency, battery energy density, etc. could plausibly cut the wingspan in half (down to 737 size), but it would still be huge, slow, and fragile.

      Unless you think solar cells can be built with greater than 100% efficiency, it's just not reasonable to expect much more than that, for reasons of basic physics which I already outlined in my original post.

      Ah. Because any future solar-powered plane will necessarily look just like Solar Impulse 2. Got it.

      Yes (if it's big enough to carry people, anyway).

    43. Re:Still by legRoom · · Score: 1

      If you use solar power to produce the fuel, doesn't that mean that the 747 is entirely solar powered?

      You can call that a solar-powered 747, if you're willing to let Tesla drivers who live near a fission power plant say that they drive an "atomic car".

      More seriously, though: yes, of course, solar energy can be used indirectly to power airplanes - as can hydroelectric, wind, nuclear, etc. But, that's not really the topic we were discussing.

    44. Re:Still by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

      And therefore, the GM Sunraycer is proof that the Tesla Model S is not possible. I understand.

      Although imagine the surface area and power requirements of something like this.

      The point I'm trying to make is that it's a stupid argument to say that the Solar Impulse 2 is not a drop-in replacement for any existing aircraft. It is a technology demonstrator. Of course it's not going to replace anything. It's going to advance the state of the art though, and it's going to bring about additional research and investment into related technologies in various applications.

      --
      "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
    45. Re:Still by legRoom · · Score: 1

      And therefore, the GM Sunraycer is proof that the Tesla Model S is not possible. I understand.

      "A straw man argument is one that misrepresents a position in order to make it appear weaker than it actually is, refutes this misrepresentation of the position, and then concludes that the real position has been refuted. This, of course, is a fallacy, because the position that has been claimed to be refuted is different to that which has actually been refuted; the real target of the argument is untouched by it."
      Straw Man Fallacy

      I gave a specific mathematical argument as to why a solar-powered AIRPLANE is an inherently bad idea. Cars are not airplanes. Moreover, the Tesla Model S is NOT SOLAR-POWERED; it is battery powered. I have already stated that a useful battery-powered airplane could plausibly be developed in the future.

      More generally, you are falsely accusing me of saying, "because this technology is bad today, therefore it always will be." But, what I actually said is, "there are basic scientific reasons why this technology is bad, and probably always will be." If you don't understand the difference between those two statements, then you have no understanding of how science and engineering work.

      Although imagine the surface area and power requirements of something like this [shiply.com].

      Many other people in this discussion have already suggested solar-powered airships, and I already replied to a couple of them agreeing that the idea has some potential. Nevertheless, airships are not airplanes, and will never compete in the same markets as a Cessna 188. (They could overlap a little with the Boeing 747, but not that much.)

      The point I'm trying to make is that it's a stupid argument to say that the Solar Impulse 2 is not a drop-in replacement for any existing aircraft. It is a technology demonstrator.

      And the point which I made rather clearly in my original post, was that the inadequacy of the Solar Impulse 2 is not due to technological immaturity, but rather due to fundamental physics that are unlikely to ever be overcome, no matter how much money and time is spent trying.

      Of course it's not going to replace anything. It's going to advance the state of the art though, and it's going to bring about additional research and investment into related technologies in various applications.

      No doubt. When did I ever suggest otherwise? That's not the subject of the article, though.

    46. Re:Still by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

      No doubt. When did I ever suggest otherwise? That's not the subject of the article, though.

      Right, the subject is that the Solar Impulse will not lead to a 747 replacement, which brings us back full circle to my original comment:

      Seriously, what a strange summary. "This technology demonstrator that is capable of flying around the planet using only solar power cannot replace a Boeing 747 with today's technology." Yeah, no kidding. Why did someone spend the time to write this? Is this an article paid for by Exxon-Mobile or something?

      --
      "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
    47. Re:Still by legRoom · · Score: 1

      Seriously, what a strange summary.

      It's not a strange summary, because it's not obvious to anyone who hasn't studied the math, science, and engineering of it that direct solar power is unlikely to ever work for a 747 (or a Cessna 188) replacement. The point of the article is for the author to say, "Hey! I did the math, and now I'm going to tell you what I learned from that."

      Is this an article paid for by Exxon-Mobile or something?

      Because basic physics is a conspiracy by the oil companies?

      Truth has value, whether it is politically pleasing to your or not. Even if all you care about is renewable technologies, pointing out which are obvious dead ends is still highly beneficial, because it preserves the movement's engineering and political credibility, and frees up resources to pursue other ideas that have more merit - such as synthetic fuels, airships, etc.

    48. Re:Still by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1
      The real application would be for transporting freight, not passengers.

      What would have been a 14 hour transpacific flight is 6 days in a zeppelin

      Making it comparable to a ship (albeit at much greater cost), but a ship can only go seaport to seaport while a solar zeppelin could potentially go anywhere to anywhere.

  2. Battery weight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    A gallon of jet fuel packs about 15 to 30 times as much energy as a lithium-ion battery of similar weight. That fundamental difference in energy density is a big reason we're unlikely to see large commercial airliners powered by batteries fill the skies."

    This isn't even the whole story. As a plane flies, it burns fuel, essentially throwing mass out the engines for thrust. Getting lighter allows the plane to climb to a higher altitude where it is more efficient.

    1. Re:Battery weight by MightyYar · · Score: 5, Insightful

      In addition, a plane would have to be made stronger to support landing at full-takeoff weight. Current planes cannot land safely when fully loaded with fuel.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    2. Re: Battery weight by saloomy · · Score: 0

      Really? What about an emergency that requires the plane to turn around and land? Citation please? Not that I think your lying, it's just that I can't image that's the case.

    3. Re: Battery weight by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 5, Informative

      They dump the fuel before landing.

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    4. Re: Battery weight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The dump a bunch of fuel before they land in such cases

    5. Re: Battery weight by ryanmetcalf · · Score: 5, Informative

      "Aircraft without fuel dumping capability are certified for overweight landing if necessary. Should an event occur requiring an immediate return for landing, the crew executes the landing and notes in the maintenance log that an overweight landing was made. The maintenance department conducts an inspection, and if there was no damage the airplane is released back into service."
      http://www.usatoday.com/story/travel/columnist/cox/2014/07/13/fuel-dumping-emergency-landings/12530075/


      "It all comes down to the fact that certain planes are designed to be significantly lighter when landing than when taking off -- in some cases more than 200,000 pounds (90,909.1 kilograms) lighter [source: Boeing]. This may sound backwards; one might think that taking off at a heavy weight would necessarily be harder than landing with that same weight. But landing can put more stress on a plane. When a plane lands heavy, it's very easy to hit the ground too hard and cause damage to the aircraft."
      http://science.howstuffworks.com/transport/flight/modern/planes-dump-fuel-before-landing.htm

    6. Re: Battery weight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fuel_dumping

    7. Re: Battery weight by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Yes, perhaps I should not have written "safely". They might return with all hands safe and sound, but the aircraft may be damaged.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    8. Re: Battery weight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not a citation, but from first hand experience, I was on a plane that flew out over Lake Michigan almost immediately after after take off and dumped fuel to make "landing weight". We had to land due to a mechanical issue. I think its obvious they would have attempted a full fuel tank landing if they had too, but given the alternative, they dumped fuel in the lake instead.

    9. Re: Battery weight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why would it be backwards? When you take off, your momentum is forward and upward where there's nothing stopping you, when you land it's forward, hopefully, and downward... and landing with a vertical component that is zero isn't very realistic.

    10. Re: Battery weight by corinath · · Score: 1

      One example: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/.... There is about a 230,000 pound difference in takeoff weight and landing weight. Aircraft of this sort would have some means of dumping fuel if necessary, there are FAA regs covering this case. Of course, in the case of a true emergency, you do what you need to do to get the plane on the ground.

      As a (student) pilot, I'm immensely interested in alternative power plants for aircraft. AvGas is not cheap. Solar may not get you 100% of the way there, especially for instrument conditions, but it could offer a boost to a battery operated system. Obviously, like with electric cars, energy density and recharge time continue to provide significant hurdles. There are a few examples of small, limited range, general aviation type aircraft cropping up already, and I expect that progress will continue to be made on this front.

      --
      Hockey - Canada's gift to the world
    11. Re: Battery weight by saloomy · · Score: 1

      Thanks, thats my thing learned for today!

    12. Re:Battery weight by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 4, Funny

      planes only fly at certain heights

      Really? I'm sure I've seen them go up and down. Wouldn't they have to put on all the airports on mountains otherwise?

      --
      systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    13. Re: Battery weight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To quote an old pilot "Any landing you can walk away from is a good one. A great landing you can use the plane again"

    14. Re: Battery weight by mspohr · · Score: 2

      I was on a 737 leaving Baltimore for the West Coast (Southwest Airlines). We took off and were starting ascent when the pilot came on and said "there's a red light on in the cockpit that shouldn't be on so we'll have to go back".
      We immediately turned and landed... probably less than 10 minutes in the air. We were greeted by fire engines which the pilot said were "a precaution" and we stopped away from the terminal for an inspection. We had to wait for them to find another plane to continue our trip which took a few hours. (BTW, Southwest sent me a voucher for the full amount of my fare for "the inconvenience".)
      This plane probably had a pretty full fuel load for the cross country flight. I do believe that they can land but I don't think it's good for the airplane which probably required maintenance in addition to whatever caused the "red light".)

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    15. Re:Battery weight by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      The altitude for flying is fixed. Meaning planes only fly at certain heights.

      For the most part, you have 'lanes', and most planes fly a set route at a set altitude, but this is more a traffic control measure and that they've worked out that that route is the most efficient, on average.

      I've been on flights where the pilot varied his altitude by more than 5k feet in order to get a more favorable wind or to avoid weather.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    16. Re:Battery weight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Google continuous climb.

    17. Re:Battery weight by slacktide · · Score: 1

      The altitude for flying is fixed. Meaning planes only fly at certain heights. Therefore the notion that as plane sheds weight it will climb to higher altitudes is false.

      You are wrong. Very, very wrong. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    18. Re: Battery weight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      * Facepalm *

    19. Re: Battery weight by serviscope_minor · · Score: 4, Informative

      On a non emergency, such as a mild tail strike on takeoff, where the plane appears safe but they would not risk a transatlantic crossing, they'll fly around in small circles for a few hours with full flaps, full airbrakes and high thrust to burn off the fuel as fast as possible in order to safely land at the same airport. Dumping fuel is messy, dangerous and nasty, so it's only done in a real emergency.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    20. Re: Battery weight by Type44Q · · Score: 2, Funny

      As a (student) pilot, I'm immensely interested in alternative power plants for aircraft.

      I don't mean to rain on your parade but you probably ought to know: while pilots may be interested in solar- powered aircraft, physics majors are likely to be less so.

    21. Re:Battery weight by Ichijo · · Score: 1

      Or next to a mountain, and launch the aircraft with a giant railgun catapult anchored to the base and the top of the mountain.

      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    22. Re: Battery weight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      737 and A320 mgtow is also max landing weight, so no dump capability is required. However, for most larger aircraft this isn't the case.

    23. Re: Battery weight by LunaticTippy · · Score: 1
      They don't dump though.

      Many movies and TV news stories mistakenly assume that all aircraft can dump fuel, when in fact most cannot.

      - That is from yer wikipedia article

      --
      Man, you really need that seminar!
    24. Re: Battery weight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      more than 200,000 pounds (90,909.1 kilograms)

      AAAAARRRRRRRGH!!!!

    25. Re: Battery weight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Many movies and TV news stories mistakenly assume that all aircraft can dump fuel, when in fact most cannot."

    26. Re: Battery weight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Depending on the model, it wouldn't have been safe. Doing some quick looking the plane would have probably been fully fueled unless it was an ER model, and at that point it weighs 20K lbs more than it's rated to land at. (maximum takeoff 154500 lb, maximum land weight 134000 lb). But then again, maybe it wasn't fully loaded?

    27. Re: Battery weight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, no. Typically in an overweight landing the runway is too short to stop with normal braking, so the brakes catch fire. And then you have to somehow evacuate the crew and passengers before the fire gets to dangerous levels.
      Landing overweight is a risk based decision not taken lightly. It is better than flying into a mountain, but probably worse than a controlled ditching.

    28. Re: Battery weight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He meant you might think that takeoff is more stressful for the airframe, but in fact it is the landing. You can take off with more weight than you can land with.

  3. energy densities are the key by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    "A gallon of jet fuel packs about 15 to 30 times as much energy as a lithium-ion battery of similar weight."
    Which means we need about a 40x-50x increase in battery energy-density to weight before electric planes become efficient.

    As you burn fossil fuel your plane becomes a lot lighter. Not so much with a battery.
    So per unit of weight the battery has to be more efficient than fuel to be comparable.

    1. Re:energy densities are the key by Maxwell · · Score: 1
      but aren't you starting with less mass too? Those 4 giant engines, the fuel system itself, all the monitors and sensor system to manage fuel flow, pressure in lines etc...could all be simplified and lightened? If wing didn't have to carry fuel could it be more efficient? We're still thinking in terms of "buy gas powered X, replace gas parts with batteries" That method is never efficient, you need a clean sheet design not a fuel tank for battery cell swap out.

      Still way off, sure, but the future sometimes surprises...

      OT: I am impressed a 2ton electric plane can fly.

    2. Re:energy densities are the key by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      That's not really what electric aircraft are about. There are basically two types.

      You have light weight solar powered aircraft that can stay up indefinitely. The benefits are obvious.

      The other type is the commercial passenger/cargo aircraft. It will still need liquid fuel, but can cut emissions around the airport by using battery power when taking off and landing. Take off in particular needs very high thrust, and thus very high emissions.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    3. Re:energy densities are the key by saloomy · · Score: 1

      For mass-transit, it really doesn't matter!
      There are plenty of advances and savings with not having a fuel system, starter system, throttle, ballast pumping system and all the rest that a dirty fuel burning plane needs, but all of them will never EVER equal the displacement in power-to-weight ratio that a hydrocarbon plane has over solar, for one simple reason:

      The sun is just not bright enough from Earth

      Even if we did manage to make solar cells 100% efficient, they just won't capture enough light from the sun to power a plane for a long period of time with that much weight.

      There are only so many advances you can go before you start to hit physical limits and math limits. Takeoff weight, and power needed to fight gravity are concepts we understand pretty well (just ask NASA, the guys with huge R&D budgets). The sad fact is, we can only derive about 1KW/square meter of solar energy. One could say it's a design challenge to just make the plane bigger, but one would need ever increasing structures and weight to capture the increasing size of the solar power plant on top the craft. See here for NASA's explanation of a similar issue with rocket power. So, one would be wrong.

      What might be the answer is: batteries. If you could make a battery 100X the density of a modern battery, then it would take 1/3 the weight and volume of the fuel modern aircraft expend during their journeys, making them equivalent to throwing out the fuel through the engines as planes do today. Charging them in flight is a silly notion because such a small amount of energy in the form of sunlight actually hits the plane vs. the total energy required to physically overcome gravity with the mass of a few hundred souls, luggage, and craft. You would need these batteries to charge very fast while on the ground, have long life-spans and cycle-count ratings for it to be economically worth it. Maybe when our ability to work with single-atom thick graphene sheets has advanced we could achieve this. There are probably things we need to do better to the electric motor to produce that kind of horsepower, but that seems like the next problem to solve, not the current one.

    4. Re:energy densities are the key by mspohr · · Score: 1

      I believe I read recently that someone was working on a "hybrid" airplane which would use battery power for takeoff and on the ground maneuvering which would help with emissions and efficiency. (I believe the article may have even made it to /. where it was trashed, of course.)
      Here's one hybrid almost ready to fly. It has a 300 mile battery range and a small motor for 1000 mile range.
      http://voltavolare.com/

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    5. Re:energy densities are the key by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Thanks, interesting link.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    6. Re:energy densities are the key by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      Taking off with batteries is stupid, you'll be carrying that extra battery and motor weight for the entire flight for no reason. Aircraft carrier makers figured out how to give planes a take-off boost long ago in a much more practical way.

    7. Re:energy densities are the key by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Wrong.

      Most of the energy in a gallon of jet fuel is wasted as heat. You're correct about planes losing mass as they fly, but the inefficiency of turbine engines and of anything Carnot-cycle-based probably more than makes up for that. Electric motors, OTOH, are well over 95% efficient, and there'd be more losses in the batteries themselves.

      So yeah, we definitely need a significant increase in battery energy-density before electric planes become feasible, but not nearly as much as you claim. Probably more like 10x-15x.

    8. Re:energy densities are the key by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      You would need these batteries to charge very fast while on the ground, have long life-spans and cycle-count ratings for it to be economically worth it.

      No, you don't need fast charging rates. With an airport, you have dedicated ground crews handling the preparation of the planes between flights, employed by the airline. So instead of refueling the plane, they just need to swap out some battery packs while the people are unloading. It should be entirely possible to build a fast-swap battery module into the underside of the fuselage, or thinner modules into the wings.

      There are probably things we need to do better to the electric motor to produce that kind of horsepower

      Huh? We already have electric motors driving aircraft-carrier-sized cruise ships and pulling massive trains. Electric motors are a solved problem and have been for ages. The power in huge power plants is all created by enormous electric motors (called "generators"). This isn't a problem.

      But yes, charging airplanes in flight is a silly idea. It's cool on a research project like this, but on something that carries 500 passengers it's infeasible because the actual solar energy incident on the plane's surface would be far too small to even bother with.

    9. Re:energy densities are the key by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      That's a pretty good point: why don't they use catapults for airports? Probably inertia at this point: it'd require all the airports to install them, all the airplanes to be redesigned for them, all the pilots to be retrained for them, etc.

    10. Re:energy densities are the key by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Because aluminum has really shitty metal fatigue characteristics.

      The redesigned airplane would carry more weight in structure than it was saving in fuel and would have a much shorter service life.

      You'll note the Air Force doesn't do the catapult launch thing. And they are flying fighter jets.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    11. Re:energy densities are the key by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's right. The major commercial aircraft companies - Boeing and Airbus - never claimed solar was the solution. I myself don't really see the Google plane (cool as it is) as being anything more that that, cool. The It might be the case that you get 15 - 30 times more energy density from jet fuel than do with batteries now, and that the aircraft sheds that weight over its journey but that's now. Planes are built around being able to take off heavy but not land safely that way - that's as much a design around the power source - fuel - as it is a limitation of batter technology. It's design. If the Earth drops fossil fuels completely, the new efficiency competition would still be a level playing field amongst manufacturers. It wouldn't be at all surprising if that was the case too. Noise reduction is also already on the agenda. Older planes were louder. High bypass turbo fans are quieter and they were chosen not just because of new technology but because they are quieter. Sonic booms are a thing of the past for commercial flight.

      We never believed we'd have electric cars at competitive prices that can out perform fossil fuel based cars but we do. Tesla have demonstrated that it's very doable. They don't get nippier as they run low like gas powered cars (that shed their fuels weight) but if an aircraft engine powered by batteries can be made more performant, it's just a matter of redesign to allow it to land heavier.

      Hybrid, inevitably is the first step:
      Boeing are working on Sugar Volt behind the scenes and Airbus are working with Siemens on hybrid planes also.

    12. Re:energy densities are the key by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      The Navy does catapult launches with rather large AWACS aircraft, not to mention F/A-18s. It seems to work out just fine for them, and the F-14 had a service life of about 4 decades before they finally retired those. The AF doesn't do it because there is a trade-off and they don't need to, and also because the AF is worried more about things like being able to drop forces into an area where there's no airport at all, and have them construct one on the spot (out of dirt). Notice that most large USAF planes have very heavy-duty landing gear, much more than what's needed for landing on tarmac.

      You may be right about the trade-off still not being worth it for commercial airplanes, but I wouldn't be so sure. Also, at a commercial airport, you don't need to catapult the plane to lift-off velocity in a couple hundred feet; you have at least 3000 feet of runway you could use for takeoff, so you could use much lower acceleration on your catapult. You wouldn't want to replicate a carrier catapult anyway: passengers wouldn't be too happy being accelerated that fast. But if you built a catapult which approximated the acceleration provided by the existing jet engines during take-off, that'd be no different than current take-off forces as felt by passengers, while saving a lot of fuel and probably also allowing you to downsize the engines a bit. The main problem would be the structural reinforcement at the towhook.

    13. Re:energy densities are the key by legRoom · · Score: 1

      You would need these batteries to charge very fast while on the ground, have long life-spans and cycle-count ratings for it to be economically worth it.

      No, you don't need fast charging rates. With an airport, you have dedicated ground crews handling the preparation of the planes between flights, employed by the airline. So instead of refueling the plane, they just need to swap out some battery packs while the people are unloading. It should be entirely possible to build a fast-swap battery module into the underside of the fuselage, or thinner modules into the wings.

      A battery-powered Boeing 777 equivalent would need (very roughly) 1 GWh in its battery pack. Someone recently claimed that Tesla is paying something like $200/KWh to build their battery packs now, which implies that a 1 GWh pack would cost around 200 million dollars. Even allowing for advances in technology (which are, of course, required in order to make such a battery light enough to fly in the first place), it would surely still be worth 10s of millions.

      Such prices are not unreasonable considering the cost of the airplane itself - if only one or two packs are required per plane. However, even with battery swaps, you still need to be able to charge the pack in something like the same amount of time it takes to discharge it in flight: about 10 hours. Otherwise, you end up needing way too many spare batteries and charging stations.

      For a 1 GWh pack, this means routinely charging it at about 100 MW. If that's not a "fast charging rate", I don't know what is. Sure, on a per cell basis 1/10th C isn't that much - but the sheer size of the thing is going to cause real difficulties for safety, cooling, etc.

      Each large airport would require hundreds of chargers (every one equivalent in size and cost to a very large electrical substation) and a local generation capacity greater than most nation-states. The land-use alone would be prohibitively expensive, when you consider that large airports are usually found near city centres with astronomical property values.

    14. Re:energy densities are the key by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Are you sure about that 1GWh figure? Remember that most of the energy in jet fuel is just wasted as heat; only maybe 25% or so does any useful work.

    15. Re:energy densities are the key by legRoom · · Score: 1

      only maybe 25% or so does any useful work.

      Modern turbofans have over 40% thermal efficiency. True, there are some additional inefficiencies associated with transforming shaft power into thrust - but since a turbofan and an electric ducted fan both use the same basic means of generating thrust, I see no reason to believe that an electric engine would do much better in that respect. (Also, when people quote wonderful-sounding efficiency numbers for electric motors like 95%, they are ignoring other large inefficiencies in the system, like battery internal resistance, voltage conversion and power filtering.)

      Are you sure about that 1GWh figure?

      Boeing 777-200LR fuel capacity = [180 kL]
      Energy density of Kerosene = [37 MJ/L]
      Energy content of a full tank = [180 kL] * [37 MJ/L] = [6.7 TJ] = [1.9 GWh]

      Assuming the turbofan has [40% thermal efficiency], and the electric plane has [80% battery-to-shaft-power efficiency], this means the equivalent battery-powered plane will require about [1 GWh]. I am fairly confident this is accurate to the one significant digit at which I listed it.

      As a sanity check, consider:

      The turbines, of which the 777 caries two, have a naval equivalent which produce up to [40 MW shaft power] each.
      The plane can fly for around [17600 km (max range)] / [892 km/h (cruise speed)] = [19 h] before refuelling.
      Given [1.9 GWh] in the tank, flying for [19h] implies an average energy consumption rate of [100 MW].
      [100 MW] * [40% (thermal efficiency)] = [40 MW shaft power], meaning that at cruise the engines are producing about [50% of max power] (which is not necessarily the same as being set at [50% of max throttle]).

      Regardless, my basic point about the difficulties of charging stands even if I am off by quite a bit concerning the relative efficiency of kerosene turbofans versus battery-powered ducted fans.

    16. Re:energy densities are the key by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Navy does catapult launches with rather large AWACS aircraft, not to mention F/A-18s.

      Unfortunately, the empty weight of many passenger planes is already higher than that at the max, and carrier operations try to avoid that anyway.

      It seems to work out just fine for them, and the F-14 had a service life of about 4 decades before they finally retired those.

      The real question is how much maintenance they needed for that. Turnaround time is important.

      But if you built a catapult which approximated the acceleration provided by the existing jet engines during take-off, that'd be no different than current take-off forces as felt by passengers, while saving a lot of fuel and probably also allowing you to downsize the engines a bit. The main problem would be the structural reinforcement at the towhook.

      No, the main problem is building the catapults. EMALS still isn't quite ready, and it might not be suitable for all operation conditions. The current steam systems, no, they can't change their acceleration profile that much.

    17. Re:energy densities are the key by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, the empty weight of many passenger planes is already higher than that at the max, and carrier operations try to avoid that anyway.

      That's just a scale problem. They don't fly 747s off of carriers for two good reasons: 1) they don't need to, and 2) carriers aren't big enough. Airports don't have this problem: they have huge runways.

      The real question is how much maintenance they needed for that. Turnaround time is important.

      Military jets are known for needing lots of maintenance, but I seriously doubt structural issues are part of that. Most likely, the planes are designed to handle those stresses from the outset and it's just not a problem.

      No, the main problem is building the catapults. EMALS still isn't quite ready

      They're already using it on the Ford. It's due to be delivered any day now, though it still has to go through sea trials I believe. But even if they used seam catapults (seems unlikely since airports don't conveniently have nuclear reactors colocated), it wouldn't be hard to design them for a certain acceleration profile, just as they did with carriers. The main problem would probably be lack of flexibility relative to EMALS: a catapult capable of launching a 747 on a 5000ft runway would probably delver too much acceleration to a 737 (or worse, some commuter jet). Something electromagnetic would probably allow selecting profiles much more easily.

    18. Re:energy densities are the key by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      On that. The F14's main structural box was titanium, a single casting. Machining it to final dimensions had 7 figure tooling costs (that's just the cost of used up cutters, fancy side cutting 'drill bits'). Insanely strong and expensive. Specifically to make the structure handle carrier ops. The F-14 lasted much longer than most carrier based airplanes.

      Cracks in those boxes, more or less, ended the program. The fatigue life of the airframe is always limited. Late in their lives the crew has to disassemble and inspect much more often than when they are new. You can't just design to 'handle those stresses'. Aluminum doesn't work that way, at all. Titanium is better, but nether are mild steel. Made of steel, the planes wouldn't get off the ground.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    19. Re:energy densities are the key by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      > We already have electric motors driving aircraft-carrier-sized cruise ships and pulling massive trains.

      Have you seen the size and mass of those motors?

      > Electric motors are a solved problem and have been for ages.

      Not lightweight ones.

      On the other hand, a gas turbine engine driving electric motors with a peaking battery might work. Airbus are working on this concept but it needs practical superconductors to work.

    20. Re:energy densities are the key by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's just a scale problem.

      Scale problems are bigger problems than you think.

      They don't fly 747s off of carriers for two good reasons: 1) they don't need to, and 2) carriers aren't big enough. Airports don't have this problem: they have huge runways.

      The 747 isn't designed or built with flying from a catapult in mind. You will need a lot of work to make it happen just for the plane. And that'll include some things that may change the applicable weight ratios.

      Military jets are known for needing lots of maintenance, but I seriously doubt structural issues are part of that. Most likely, the planes are designed to handle those stresses from the outset and it's just not a problem.

      Most likely you are not an aviation mechanic. They are indeed designed with those stresses in mind, and SO IS THE MAINTENANCE program.

      Both are quite intensive.

      They're already using it on the Ford. It's due to be delivered any day now, though it still has to go through sea trials I believe.

      They've installed it on the Ford. It had problems when first tested (using weighted sleds), and it remains to be seen what will happen at sea.

      And it's been VERY expensive. But no, they have NOT used the Ford's EMALS to launch a plane. It's all been done at Lakehurst.

      Would be something in the way of BLOODY FUCKING STUPID to launch an actual plane from its dock.

      Even assuming it has power, which I doubt.

      But even if they used steam catapults (seems unlikely since airports don't conveniently have nuclear reactors colocated), it wouldn't be hard to design them for a certain acceleration profile, just as they did with carriers.

      Nope. Part of the reason they built the EMALS was because they couldn't design steam catapults to work that way.

      The main problem would probably be lack of flexibility relative to EMALS: a catapult capable of launching a 747 on a 5000ft runway would probably delver too much acceleration to a 737 (or worse, some commuter jet). Something electromagnetic would probably allow selecting profiles much more easily.

      Yes, another factor in EMALS.

      Seriously, I'm not saying this is not feasible in an engineering since, but I do not think you appreciate the costs or the considerations properly.

    21. Re:energy densities are the key by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      I wonder why machining would cost so much. Titanium is a rather soft metal, and doesn't have nearly the hardness of steel, so it should be pretty easy to machine with decent machine tools. Modern mills are made of high-speed steel with various coatings (different variations of titanium nitride usually) and should have long life, certainly longer than if they were machining steel for instance. Of course, the F-14 is a product of the early 1970s so machining technology wasn't as advanced back then.

    22. Re:energy densities are the key by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Titanium is a bitch to machine, even now. I don't know who told you it's 'soft'. BTW you don't machine steel when hardened. You machine it mild and buttery, harden it, then finish it with EDM (Electronic Discharge Machining, pleasant sounds next to Electronic Dance Music), abrasives or carbide.

      It's a bitch to cast too. Needs to be done in an inert environment.

      IIRC they finished it with CNC abrasive passes (again pleasant sounds vs Disco).

      Back in the 70s the only way to mill titanium was with carbide tools. Which are so hard they are brittle and are spendy. It would cost a lot less today, but it would still be expensive.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    23. Re:energy densities are the key by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Titanium is a bitch to machine, even now. I don't know who told you it's 'soft'.

      I thought the issue with Titanium is that it has poor surface hardness. This is why, if you get a titanium ring, it gets scratched pretty easily and ends up developing a "patina" from accumulated micro-scratches. By contrast, the other metal that's popular for men's rings these days is tungsten carbide, which is valued for its scratch resistance: http://www.tungstenworld.com/t...

    24. Re:energy densities are the key by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      IIRC carbide is the second hardest substance known. Fuck yes it's scratch resistant.

      Titanium is about 30+ (Rockwell), which isn't hardened steal, but isn't gold ether.

      Titanium is a bitch because it's strong (so you have to take shallow cuts, usually by spinning fast), abrasive (which dulls tools) and can catch fire if the tool goes dull and the machine tries to keep cutting.

      Carbide is also a powder, to make it into a tool or ring it's usually held in a Cobalt matrix. About 5% of the population reacts very badly to Cobalt. Nobody should get Carbide powder (like from grinding a custom carbide tool) in their lungs. For 5% of the population, just a tiny bit will kill them, slow and painful. There is no test.

      I think gold is a nice metal, but as I've noted on /. before: Caustic sweat is my superpower. Cheap metal watches fear me. If I was locked up, I would sweat on the bars and escape.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  4. Why not have nuclear powered planes? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's the only known way aside from hydrocarbons to store that much energy in a small space. The reactor can be tightly sealed to prevent radiation contamination even in the event of a crash.

    1. Re:Why not have nuclear powered planes? by rossdee · · Score: 1

      What could possibly go wrong?

      Apart from one crashing that is.

      At least the NB36 never crashed.

      Yes I know the reactor never powered the plane.

    2. Re:Why not have nuclear powered planes? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or you use some source of energy (solar, nuclear, etc.) to synthesize liquid hydrocarbon fuels, using carbon already present in the carbon cycle.

    3. Re:Why not have nuclear powered planes? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or you use some source of energy (solar, nuclear; high temperature nuclear reactors have an advantage here) to synthesize liquid hydrocarbon fuels from carbon already present in the carbon cycle.

    4. Re:Why not have nuclear powered planes? by dsmatthews9379 · · Score: 1

      The plan is to have fusion powered aircraft and given Lockheed's reactor will be the size of a truck it should fit in large cargo and passenger planes. But you will have to wait a few decades before it is in civilian vehicles. Then you will have solar powered aircraft, but they will have their own little star on the inside. Old school fission power needs so much extra weight in shielding and support technology that it really isn't practical unless you are cruising the atmosphere of some other planet and you don't care if you radiologically trash it, i.e. it would be a good way of exploring a gas giant.

  5. Sail ships by mi · · Score: 1

    only enough power to carry 2 tons of weight, including a single passenger, at a top speed of just 43 miles per hour

    May as well go back to sail ships... Maybe, not as fast, but certainly much more capable.

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    1. Re:Sail ships by dsmatthews9379 · · Score: 1

      Done, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... good luck trying to fund building one.

  6. Obviously not by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nuclear powered flight is the way of the future. Like turbines at Indy, it's a natural.

  7. Solar Planes Aren't the Green Future Of Air Travel by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...catapults are!

  8. Not yet. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm sure the Boeing 747-400 is the first of its kind too, right? No iteration over time or anything?

    Using a prototype commercially is as ridiculous as assuming that it won't be improved upon.

    1. Re:Not yet. by roc97007 · · Score: 1

      Not really the point. The technology itself has limits that prevent it from scaling up to reasonable size. This is not a matter of figuring out how to make a better motor. The issue is the density (energy per weight) of the energy source itself. Surely this could be improved upon, but unlikely that sufficient gains could be made to power a passenger airplane.

      --
      Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    2. Re:Not yet. by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      Yes, barring an absolute revolution in battery storage densities, we're not going to approach the energy density of hydrocarbon fuels even with sustained incremental advances.

      That revolution may happen at some point in the future, but we may need to have a much better handle on physics to do it.

    3. Re:Not yet. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Um, they made steam-powered aircraft too.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steam_aircraft

      They simply aren't able to get the power to weight ratio going. Doesn't matter how much better computers get or how many prototypes you spin.

    4. Re:Not yet. by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      Yep large aircraft will be the last type of vehicle to run on liquid hydrocarbon fuels. Land vehicles, small planes, and small boats can run on batteries. Large boats can run on a combination of nuclear, solar, and wind power (yes, as in bringing sails back, for certain values of "sails").

      The best solution for large aircraft is biofuel.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    5. Re:Not yet. by Wycliffe · · Score: 1

      Yes, barring an absolute revolution in battery storage densities, we're not going to approach the energy density of hydrocarbon fuels even with sustained incremental advances.

      That revolution may happen at some point in the future, but we may need to have a much better handle on physics to do it.

      We already know how to store energy at the same density as hydrocarbons. They are called hydrocarbons. The most straightforward solution for a greatly improved battery might be to figure out how to create hydrocarbons on the fly. Likely won't help small portable devices but a plane is large enough that if you could generate hydrocarbons with 500 pounds worth of equipment, it would be worth it. The real problem is not the "battery" but rather that solar just doesn't create that much energy per square foot per hour compared to how much is being consumed. It's comparable to why we have lungs vs gills. We just burn energy too fast. Even if a solar 747 could create all it's own fuel, it would have to be idle for weeks just to make one flight.

  9. It's a joke by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's like these things you hear every so often, about a bunch of students breaking a distance record with a solar car. Cute, but pretty much irrelevant, and almost useless.

  10. Efficiency is irrelevant in air-flight by Changa_MC · · Score: 1

    We already have aircraft that can go 80MPH and take almost no fuel: they're called zeppelins. If people wanted something faster than a bus, train or car that costs less than an airplane, we'd be on earth2, where the Hindenburg never happened and people have much more convenient options available. Alas, c'est la vie, there's no interest in flying cheaply and efficiently across country, state or even town.

    --
    Changa hates change.
    1. Re:Efficiency is irrelevant in air-flight by Aqualung812 · · Score: 2

      People are a bit picky about planning travel in advance and getting places on-time.

      There are usually thunderstorms daily in the USA, and buses, trains, cars and airplanes go right through that.

      Zeppelins have to wait for the storm to pass.

      Regardless of Hindenburg, their fate was already sealed.

      --
      Grammer Nazis - I mod you "troll" unless you actually add something on-topic. Yes, I know I have mispellings in my sig.
    2. Re:Efficiency is irrelevant in air-flight by chispito · · Score: 1

      We already have aircraft that can go 80MPH and take almost no fuel

      Gliders (sailplanes) can hit about 170. Granted, then they occasionally need to slow down and fly around in circles in pockets of lift, but even their average speed is probably a lot faster than most people realize.

      --
      The Daddy casts sleep on the Baby. The Baby resists!
    3. Re:Efficiency is irrelevant in air-flight by roc97007 · · Score: 1

      I thought of that too -- lighter than air craft helps make solar power more practical by significantly reducing the energy required for lift.

      But there's a catch-22 waiting for you there. The Hindenberg disaster was related to the use of hydrogen, which is easy to make but very volatile. Modern lighter than air craft use helium, which is not volatile at all, but extremely difficult to make. Once we use up the helium available to us on Earth, we're pretty much out. Kinda like fossil fuels.

      --
      Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    4. Re:Efficiency is irrelevant in air-flight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What's that old chestnut? "Linux is only free if your time has no value."

      Same goes for transportation options. A cheap but slow transportation option is only cheap if your time has no value. Back in the early 20th century air travel was an event and an experience, so people didn't really care much if their Zeppelin was slower than a bicycle. You could smoke and drink and listen to jazz while you waited!

      Contrast that with today, where the shine has worn off, and people view air travel as a commodity, rather than an experience. Every hour stuck on a plane (or in a terminal) is an hour wasted, and depending on how much you value your time, something that's slower and cheaper could actually be more expensive in real value.

      Of course, the old chestnut about Linux has become increasingly irrelevant, mainly because all the old time sinks have been addressed, and you don't need to invest the time that you did before. To make the more efficient air travel worth while, you need to do the same. You would need to make the time spent less of a waste. That either mean reducing the amount of time spent, or increasing the value of the time spent (e.g. can you treat your plane seat a mobile office?) -- I don't see that happening for these solar planes, though. The space is too much a premium. People will be crammed in like sardines even more.

    5. Re:Efficiency is irrelevant in air-flight by Admiral_Grinder · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but the map of North America looks funny with all these different nation states, and I'm getting tired of being shot down by a guy that brags about his two first names.

    6. Re:Efficiency is irrelevant in air-flight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Airplanes certainly don't go "right through" thunderstorms, unless they really have to, like in "are caught out with no other option". Thunderstorms are dangerous as hell, the vertical winds can rip your wings off in the blink of an eye, and that's just one of the things that can happen.

    7. Re:Efficiency is irrelevant in air-flight by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      The Hindenburg was going to happen eventually. It was only a matter of time with hydrogen. More usage of Zeppelins would have just increased the probabilities.

      Which is not to say it is impossible to make them much safer even with hydrogen, but I think the probability of an accident was always going to be high enough that its hard to imagine them having gotten far enough into the future for them to have been fully developed.

    8. Re:Efficiency is irrelevant in air-flight by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      There are usually thunderstorms daily in the USA, and [...] airplanes go right through that.

      You don't fly much, do you?

      First, airports will close in bad weather. That means airplanes either have to wait for the airport to reopen or they will land elsewhere.

      Second, airplanes will go around bad weather. This means that the flight might arrive late, which affects the flight after it, and so on and so forth. Airlines hate bad weather because it messes up their schedules.

    9. Re:Efficiency is irrelevant in air-flight by Aqualung812 · · Score: 1

      You don't fly much, do you?

      Quite a bit, actually.

      First, airports will close in bad weather. That means airplanes either have to wait for the airport to reopen or they will land elsewhere.

      Airports closing in bad weather is rare for more than a few hours. We're usually talking about a single airport, and the delays are usually on the order of an hour or so. Sometimes 4-8 hours, but it's not that common.

      However, a storm front moving across the plains would ground nearly every transcontinental zeppelin for a day or more.

      Also, if we're just looking at airplanes, we're talking about around 500mph, not 80 mph. An airplane can suffer through a 2-hour delay and still beat the zeppelin, who is sitting on the ground waiting for the storm to stop. The jet just needs to see the runway a few hundred feet before landing.

      Finally, trains are still chugging along at around 80mph and could easily be powered by "green" power by installing electric lines overhead, and they're not going to get stopped by weather. Even feet of snow can be pushed aside by a plow train.

      That's incomparable.

      --
      Grammer Nazis - I mod you "troll" unless you actually add something on-topic. Yes, I know I have mispellings in my sig.
    10. Re:Efficiency is irrelevant in air-flight by john.r.strohm · · Score: 1

      Graf Zeppelin was 770 ft long, carried 40 crew and 20 passengers. (Note that an American football field is 300 ft from goal line to goal line.) Boeing 747-400 is 230 ft long, carries somewhere between 400 and 600 passengers.

      That means that the ground facilities to handle the zeppelin are going to be a lot bigger and you're going to need a lot more of them, to handle the zeppelins.

      You'd need 20 to 30 Graf Zeppelins to carry one 747 passenger load. Fly to Tokyo Narita, or Bangkok Suvarnabhumi, and look at the 747s and 777 lined up side-by-side, and think about how many zeppelins you'd need to replace them.

      A Boeing 777, flying at speeds north of 500 mph, takes about 12 hours to cross the Pacific. A zeppelin at 80 mph, or 1/6 the speed, is going to take about three days to make that trip. This means that instead of carrying one full meal, a light meal, and a snack, for each passenger, it must carry about nine full meals for each passenger, and a lot more drinking water. This also has implications for crew staffing. You're going to need a lot more pilots and flight attendants, since you're going to be running three shifts for three days. The holding tanks for the lavatories are going to have to be appropriately sized, as well: the people under the flight path do not appreciate you dumping your holding tanks on their back yard barbecues.

    11. Re:Efficiency is irrelevant in air-flight by compro01 · · Score: 1

      Graf Zeppelin was 770 ft long, carried 40 crew and 20 passengers. (Note that an American football field is 300 ft from goal line to goal line.) Boeing 747-400 is 230 ft long, carries somewhere between 400 and 600 passengers.

      That's not quite an accurate comparison. Unlike the 747, the Zeppelin had cabins and a dining room.

      How many modern airliner seats would fit in 71x22ft?

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    12. Re:Efficiency is irrelevant in air-flight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know, that's damned funny way of reasoning. You wouldn't fly in an airship that is full of hydrogen, but you're completely fine with sitting in a firebomb filled with thousands of pounds of fuel.. Not to mention that in basically any major accident involving a large airliner, more people die, every time, than has ever died in civilian airships combined.

    13. Re:Efficiency is irrelevant in air-flight by legRoom · · Score: 1

      Are you volunteering to sit in a "modern airliner seat" for three days? Unless you are, it's a fair comparison.

    14. Re:Efficiency is irrelevant in air-flight by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      I never actually said I wouldn't fly in an airship. You are confusing my assessment of the general safety situation with what I would or would not do.

      And the reality is that an airplane might well go up, but it's not going to go up in flames and burn down in less than a minute while it is docking on the ground in an otherwise *completely normal landing*.

      Hydrogen is considerably more flammable in that situation than jet fuel. There's a difference between the well secured potential fire of a gas or jet fuel tank going up and something that's just going to flame up into a fireball due to an event that *no one still knows what exactly happened*.

    15. Re:Efficiency is irrelevant in air-flight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How wide was the Hindenburg? How wide is a 747?

  11. Hybrids first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Probably Hybrid planes first to allow electricity use for times when fossil fuel use is inefficient. Like any technology it will evolve over time and adapt to be used where appropriate. Seems like battery use to takeoff and then solar for slower transit times might be workable.

  12. Re:Solar Planes Aren't the Green Future Of Air Tra by roc97007 · · Score: 2

    Elbonian Air?

    --
    Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
  13. The Future? by Art+Challenor · · Score: 1

    Just over 100 years ago man figured out heavier-than-air flight. About 70 years after that, we had flying buses and a man on the moon. To say anything is "not the future" in air travel is stupid.

    1. Re:The Future? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >About 70 years after that, we had flying buses and a man on the moon

      And then we stalled out when we beat the soviets, until private businesses started moving us forward again. It seems like we need an enemy to compete with to get the U.S. to engage in large scientific projects.

    2. Re:The Future? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, Russia is in a hurry to make themselves the enemy of the world, so good times, if you take advantage of it.

    3. Re:The Future? by Nutria · · Score: 3, Insightful

      We also stalled out with SST. Why?

      Efficiency. The gains from going 1,200 MPH instead of 600 MPH aren't worth the extra expense. Amdahl's Law -- though aimed at computing -- comes to mind

      --
      "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
  14. Agree on "Self powered" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    The future could still hold electric air travel as a foreseeable and even likely outcome of this experimental tech. And if you decouple solar energy production from storage, i.e. battery powered plane, and ground based solar energy plant/airport. Then you could still literally have a solar powered plane. I think that short duration small aircraft flights and decentralized flight (non-airport hub based) are the primary implementation of this type of tech. All electric VTOL is the way of the future, way of the future.

  15. Efficiency by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Unless we see some truly shocking advances in module efficiency

    It wouldn't work with 100% efficiency, so why would increase in efficiency matter as far as making it practical? What is happening to critical thinking skills?

    1. Re:Efficiency by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Some sort of "over unity" efficiency would be truly shocking though, wouldn't it?

    2. Re:Efficiency by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Still, converting 20% of the incoming power to electricity is not very efficient. Unfortunately, I don't know where the thermodynamic limits are, but there's still a lot of unused energy there.

      I'm thinking of things like unmanned long duration flights (e.g. planes circling over camps or towns as communication relays) where the tech might actually be useful, even if it does not compete with airliners.

    3. Re:Efficiency by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Just put a magnifying glass over the solar cells. I can't believe you guys fail to see the obvious solution to these things (now if you excuse me, I have a thesis to write on time travel and to prepare for my concert at carnegie hall).

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    4. Re:Efficiency by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Show your work.

    5. Re:Efficiency by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is all assuming that the technology should be used to replace other solutions that work perfectly fine.

      Critical thinking leads us to applying the technology to places where it actually IS needed.

      Imagine an airborne drone exploring Mars, or scanning the oceans.

      Critical thinking involves your imagination as well, not just shooting down ideas.

  16. Offsetting? by SumDog · · Score: 2

    I think it's pretty apparent that the solar concepts are just concepts. Obviously there's not enough energy output to replace passenger flight.

    But the question is, can solar panels on a plane offset the energy consumption enough to make a difference? That's probably also a no, but that's where the question should start.

    Keep in mind, some cargo ships have been experimenting with massive kites/sails that help offset the energy needed for their engines:

    http://www.skysails.info/english/skysails-marine/skysails-propulsion-for-cargo-ships/

    1. Re:Offsetting? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I just spent some time on Google because these kites are very interesting. Right now, these kites do not seem particularly useful. The current model seems to have a peak power of 55kW while ship motors on small to medium ships are in the range of 500 to 1000kW and go to 10MW and above for the biggest freighters. So I do not see how these can have that much of an impact right now.

      However, the company is said to work on a model that can deliver 1MW based on a 400 m^2 kite at high altitutes (winds get stronger the higher you go - the reason why kites are interesting in the first place). Now, this would very interesting for moderately sized ships.

    2. Re:Offsetting? by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 2

      >But the question is, can solar panels on a plane offset the energy consumption enough to make a difference? That's probably also a no, but that's where the question should start.

      There's just not enough energy in sunlight per square foot to make it worth it. You put all you effort into creating a huge receptor area and keeping weight down that the other needs become impracticable (comfort, speed, luggage, etc). Storage density and associated weight are the things that matter. If we have a very big leap in storage capability, then short hop flights with small planes might become practical. Until then, we might see some recreational crafts that get used for a very short duration thrill.

    3. Re:Offsetting? by lgw · · Score: 1

      400 m^2 of sails might help more. There are a few sails on cargo ships out there as experiments. The fuel cost savings seems pretty good. Combining the two might be interesting.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  17. Batteries by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 1

    I thought the energy density gap between batteries and jet fuel was greater than a factor 15-30. Batteries are still being improved, and getting the energy density into the same ballpark doesn't seem completely impossible. Of course there's also the actual propulsion to consider; you need something able to put out as much power as a jet engine and at the same efficiency. But all in all it seems a lot more feasible than it did only a few years ago.

    Not sure if solar panels on the airplane make sense though. Wing area of a 737 is around 250m^2, say you get the same again on the fuselage, and you end up with 500m^2. Cover it in solar panels generating around 200W/m^2 = 100kW. That's not even 2% of the power required to keep a 737 at altitude (7.2MW). I just grabbed these figures off the web so they are probably not very accurate, but it looks like there's not much point using solar panels on regularly shaped airplanes (as opposed to the typical solar powered ones, which look more like sailplanes)

    --
    If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    1. Re:Batteries by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Flying a battery with that kind of energy density is one of the stupidest conceivable things you could do. At 30x density, a cell phone battery holds the energy of 0.28 pounds of TNT or 0.54 sticks of dynamite. They blow up now when smacked with a hammer; imagine the tiny, tiny fault required to cause a chain reaction and the size and sheer reaction time of the explosion: it would detonate immediately. Now you want a plane loaded with that shit?

      Just use solar power or some other source to convert atmospheric CO2 and H2O into manufactured hydrocarbon, then push that through a fuel cell or diesel generator with an electric engine. Even then, you might be best off with just jet turbines: the atmosphere gets thin up there, and you need *something* to push off--driving the plane off the dense mass of burning fuel exhaust is better than simply venting said exhaust into the atmosphere.

      This will happen when the labor cost of manufacturing such a hydrocarbon from a non-hydrocarbon energy source no longer exceeds the labor cost of pumping oil out of the ground and refining it into jet fuel.

    2. Re:Batteries by avandesande · · Score: 2

      Unfortunately it is impossible. There are hard physical limits on battery energy density.

      --
      love is just extroverted narcissism
    3. Re:Batteries by MondoGordo · · Score: 1

      Citation ?

    4. Re:Batteries by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      Perhaps a different design--like a Flying Wing--might give more aerodynamic area and other options.

    5. Re:Batteries by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm sure some nuclear batteries have much higher densities than oil.

      Nuclear planes are what we should be researching more. They tested them in the 60s, but technology and engine designs have changed a lot.

    6. Re:Batteries by Obfuscant · · Score: 1

      E = mc^2

    7. Re:Batteries by avandesande · · Score: 1
      --
      love is just extroverted narcissism
    8. Re:Batteries by avandesande · · Score: 1

      Riiiight.... NASA uses extremely dangerous/expensive plutonium in exploration spacecraft because they are just a bunch of fancy-pants!

      --
      love is just extroverted narcissism
    9. Re:Batteries by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, that dangerous energy density. I'm so glad that we're using something with far lower energy density: jet fuel!

    10. Re:Batteries by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I do not think you know what that means.

    11. Re:Batteries by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      E = mc^2

      So.... a single square of chocolate should power every 747 for a year.

  18. But wait by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We have 3D printers now and Elon Musk landed a firecracker on its ass. Oh and computers got better, so doesn't that mean everything gets better??

  19. module efficiency by roc97007 · · Score: 2

    > Unless we see some truly shocking advances in module efficiency, it'll be impossible to cram enough solar panels onto a 747's wings to lift that much weight [...]

    Besides that, I strongly suspect there isn't enough power in the form of sunlight falling on a surface the size of a 747's wings to achieve the objective. In other words, it's not just a matter of solar panel efficiency, it's also a matter of total energy available for capture.

    --
    Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    1. Re:module efficiency by oh_my_080980980 · · Score: 1

      It's a matter of efficiency. That's how solar energy is generated.

    2. Re:module efficiency by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Parent's point is that you'd need solar cells with >100% efficiency for that to actually work. (About 1000% efficiency by JaredOfEuropa's calculations.) Since that's impossible (creating energy out of nothing), it ain't a matter of efficiency.

    3. Re: module efficiency by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're absolutely right.
      In the complete best case scenario:
      Extraterrestrial solar radiation is 1367 Watts per square meter.
      A 747 is 76m long and 68m wide. Lets just let it be a big square to be extra charitable. Thats 5168 square meters.
      5168 * 1367 = 7.06 million Watts
      7.06 million Watts = 9500 horsepower for a square 747 outside the atmosphere with 100% efficient panels.
      Internet says cruise horsepower is 60,000, so it's not going to happen.

      Same problem with reasonable solar cars.

      Not that solar isn't great, but it has its limits, (although an increase in efficiency to 1000% would indeed be shocking).

    4. Re:module efficiency by Cyrano+de+Maniac · · Score: 4, Informative

      Exactly. I ran some back-of-the-envelope calculations on this 3.5 years ago in another Slashdot thread. https://slashdot.org/comments....

      And because we're presumably too lazy to click that link, I'll paste it below for your reading pleasure...

      This is why: http://what-if.xkcd.com/17/ [xkcd.com]

      There simply isn't enough solar power delivered to the surface of the aircraft, even at 100% conversion efficiency, to move people and luggage using only available sunlight.

      Google tells me direct illumination to a surface perpendicular to incoming full intensity sunlight is about 1.4 kW per square meter. Google also tells me that the wing surface area of a 747 is around 5500 square feet. Only half of the 747 wing is directly illuminated by sunlight at any given moment, but the surface of the fuselage could be covered with photocells as well, so 5500 square feet overall is probably a decent estimate for the directly illuminated surface area of the aircraft as a whole. And for hand-wavy purposes lets assume that the entire surface of the 747 is perpendicular to the incoming sunlight (i.e. a planar plane... pun totally intended). And that we have perfectly efficient photocells giving us 100% conversion efficiency. Running the math, this gives us around 715kW under bright direct sunlight, or about 959 horsepower -- the equivalent of 1.5 2012 Ford Shelby GT500's.

      Each engine of a 747 generates around 15,000 horsepower at cruise, and around 30,000 at takeoff, and a 747 has four engines. So you need around 125 times the power generated by a perfectly efficient perfectly illuminated solar-powered 747 to get said plane off the ground, and around 65 times the power for cruising. And then you could only fly it in the middle of the day near the equator.

      --
      Cyrano de Maniac
    5. Re:module efficiency by fnj · · Score: 1

      I strongly suspect there isn't enough power in the form of sunlight falling on a surface the size of a 747's wings to achieve the objective

      Master of the understatement. At high noon, there is only a peak on the order of 1/100 of the required power impinging on the wings in the form of sunlight - in the DAYTIME. And zero power after the sun sets. The idea of solar powered jetliners is no more than fantasy for the feeble-minded.

    6. Re: module efficiency by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh my, you're thick.

    7. Re:module efficiency by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Each engine of a 747 generates around 15,000 horsepower at cruise, and around 30,000 at takeoff, and a 747 has four engines. So you need around 125 times the power generated by a perfectly efficient perfectly illuminated solar-powered 747 to get said plane off the ground, and around 65 times the power for cruising. And then you could only fly it in the middle of the day near the equator.

      I wouldn't use take-off energy as a limitation for solar aircraft, since that could be powered by directed microwave, or the plane climb could be done by (slow) railgun ramp, dirigible, etc.

      As well, airplanes have redundancy, so they don't actually need all engines to fly, many can cruise on a single one. Furthermore, other posts are using the fuel tank capacity, which again is irrelevant, since that's often more than is used or is necessary. A solar craft that has inherent buoyancy, like a dirigible, would not necessarily need access to such large reserve energy in emergencies, especially if they don't need access to large run-ways for landing.

      But really, the problem with this whole thread is that it's talking about the possibility of a solar airplane replacing an existing passenger jet. That's simply not how disruptive technologies work. They are a lower cost alternative that does a good enough job at accomplishing a similar task. It doesn't matter is they travel a quarter the speed, if that means there are no 3 hour long lay-overs, or if they provide enough space to sleep in a bed instead of in a seat, or if the cost is noticeably less, or if you can bring noticeably more luggage with you.

    8. Re:module efficiency by LienRag · · Score: 1

      But why is everybody talking of the surface of a B747? Isn't the idea of solar plane precisely to use a much wider surface in order to fit enough solar panels?

  20. manishs omg shut up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You answer everything in the summary while actually everything put is not news in the slightest anyway. Holy shit I hate you Manishs - get a blog and go away

  21. Batteries need similar engines for thrust by raymorris · · Score: 5, Informative

    Batteries, or solar cells, don't make thrust by themselves either. You'd still need the same turbofans, just with heavy electrical windings in the middle rather hollow combustion cavities. Electric motors tend to be quite a bit heavier than empty cavities are, so I'd expect the electric engine to be probably a bit heavier.

    You could put a prop on an electric motor. That limits maximum speed, and still electric motors are heavy.

    > The fuel system itself

    Such as the fuel lines and fittings , the hollow copper tubes? Compare with the copper required to carry thousands of amps safely, with heavy-duty insulation. The fuel line and fittings are probably lighter than electrical lines and fittings capable of transmitting the same amount of power.

    > If wing didn't have to carry fuel could it be more efficient?

    Wing efficiency is determined by shape and surface smoothness. What's inside doesn't matter, except a snall effectbthat carrying load in the wing is slightly more efficient than carrying the same load inside the fuselage, by eliminating the bending moment on the wing root. Putting solar panels on the SURFACE of the wing, where it's right in the critical boundary layer airstream , is a much bigger design constraint than putting something IN the wing.

    1. Re:Batteries need similar engines for thrust by Maxwell · · Score: 1
      Thanks...short of miracle batteries this is an issue...

      I was also curious and looked up what a Tesla weighs - at 2100kg it weighs more than the equivalent gas car (E-class mercedes) and ~63% of the weight is batteries and motors. So we have an example of a ground up gas to electric design and it doesn't come out ahead on weight.

    2. Re: Batteries need similar engines for thrust by Type44Q · · Score: 2

      at 2100kg it weighs more than the equivalent gas car (E-class mercedes)

      I wasn't aware there was anybody who considered the Model S and the E-class Benz to be equivalent. In what way??

    3. Re:Batteries need similar engines for thrust by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The height at which planes can fly is now limited by the efficiency drop of gas turbines when there concentration of oxygen drops at heigh altitude. Electric planes can fly at higher altitude where they can fly faster with less air resistance, so less required power.

    4. Re:Batteries need similar engines for thrust by legRoom · · Score: 1

      Batteries, or solar cells, don't make thrust by themselves either. You'd still need the same turbofans, just with heavy electrical windings in the middle rather hollow combustion cavities. Electric motors tend to be quite a bit heavier than empty cavities are, so I'd expect the electric engine to be probably a bit heavier.

      A turbofan engine has five main parts:

      1) Ducted fan
      2) Compressor
      3) Combustor
      4) Turbine
      5) Nozzle

      Of those parts, I believe that most of the weight, complexity, and expense is associated with #2 and #4.

      In a hypothetical electric airplane #5 (the nozzle) is not needed, and #4 (the turbine) is replaced by the electric motor. It is not obvious to me which of those is heavier or more expensive, in the long run.

      One might expect that #2 (the compressor) and #3 (the combustor) would go away also, but in reality they are still required, albeit in a very different form. Why? Because currently the only plausible way that an electric airplane could compete in range with a hydrocarbon turbofan design, is by powering itself with either metal-air batteries, or fuel cells. In either case, a great deal of air must continually be collected, compressed (not as much as in the turbofan, though), and "burned" (but at much lower temperatures than in the turbofan) inside the power source.

      The compressor will get much lighter and cheaper, but still be required. I don't know if the reaction chambers and catalysts for the electric design end up being lighter or heavier than the combustor - but they will certainly be more expensive, if we go by current fuel cell prices...

    5. Re:Batteries need similar engines for thrust by brambus · · Score: 1

      Actually turbine engines vs electrical motors aren't all that much different in terms of power-to-weight ratio. You can design a ultra-high-bypass turbofan that's electrically driven and suffer no loss of speed. It'll just be a fan and the turbine engine core is replaced with an electric motor. It's the battery weights that kill the idea. ATM far too heavy and too many operational complications to be practical.

  22. Electric plane in the works, just not solar by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Vertical take off and landing, light airplane with not too much training required (compared to helicopters) and 400 km/h speed.
    Must be plugged to fill batteries, though, no solar cells.
    But not done yet.

    http://www.esa.int/Our_Activities/Space_Engineering_Technology/TTP2/Personal_aircraft_aiming_to_take_off_from_your_home

  23. Doesn't matter anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Air travel is doomed. It will be the first to go when we find out that renewables cannot do what oil could. Say goodbye to intercontinental travel and even long rage continental travel. Maybe some trains will work, but the fares will be too high for the ordinary citizen. We will see some oceangoing vessels, but they will have sails. It's going to become a big world again and most of us will live and die exactly in the place they were born. Welcome to the past.

    1. Re:Doesn't matter anyway by tnk1 · · Score: 0

      Not necessarily. We don't need to dig up fuel from the ground, it's just considerably more efficient and convenient. We would need to seriously amp up our power from renewables to do it, but it should be possible to synthesize hydrocarbon fuel. And if fusion ever actually became a thing that works, we'd almost certainly have the power to do it.

    2. Re: Doesn't matter anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not gonna happen. Ever. Get over it: if you're still able to, enjoy the ability to travel the world. If you're looking for some special place far from where you live you would like to spend the rest of your days, plan your move now. Don't wait until it's too late.

    3. Re:Doesn't matter anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is already possible to synthesis fuel from seawater so that's not a question.

      Then again, the Fischer-Tropsch process has been around for a century now, and ammonia and methane can easily be used as a fuel. Or to make a fuel.

  24. In other news by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Fire is hot.

  25. Why not just keep using hydrocarbons? by mrchaotica · · Score: 2

    "Hydrocarbon fuel" doesn't necessarily imply "fossil fuel," you know! Synthetic fuels and biofuels are easy sustainability solutions that even work with the infrastructure and aircraft we have now, without the physical impossibility of solar or the political impossibility of nuclear.

    --

    "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    1. Re:Why not just keep using hydrocarbons? by mlts · · Score: 1

      Didn't Audi make a synthetic diesel that could be synthesized from CO2 (although to do so requires a good chunk of energy)?

      Battery innovations are quite useful, but if we can pull a usable, energy-dense fuel from the air, this would help with sustainability. As an added bonus, it would be a carbon negative or at worst, carbon neutral.

    2. Re:Why not just keep using hydrocarbons? by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      Right. Batteries are not the only way to generate fuel for a plane from solar power. In theory, if you were somehow able to pull carbon from the atmosphere and use that material to make hydrocarbon fuels, you'd at least have a nearly carbon neutral jet fuel, even if carbon was emitted at some point in the cycle. Obviously, this is not something we know how to do at the industrial levels required to support all air traffic, but if we're able to scale out current methods, or more likely, find a more efficient method, we'd be able to continue to fly jets in close to the same way we do now.

      And someone else mentioned that batteries used for takeoff and landing assist might help reduce fuel use without having to have so many batteries as a fully electric plane would.

    3. Re:Why not just keep using hydrocarbons? by Nutria · · Score: 1

      Synthetic fuels and biofuels are easy sustainability solutions

      If they were easy sustainability solutions, we'd be using them by now. But they're not:

      --
      "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
    4. Re:Why not just keep using hydrocarbons? by mspohr · · Score: 1

      Synthetic fuels may be easy but fossil fuels are so cheap that they can't compete. A carbon tax would level the playing field.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    5. Re:Why not just keep using hydrocarbons? by Nutria · · Score: 1

      Synthetic fuels

      As in "using energy to combine carbon monoxide and hydrogen"?

      --
      "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
    6. Re:Why not just keep using hydrocarbons? by mspohr · · Score: 1

      I think it's more like this from Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      Biofuels processes
      One example of a Biofuel-based synthetic fuel process is Hydrotreated Renewable Jet (HRJ) fuel. There are a number of variants of these processes under development, and the testing and certification process for HRJ aviation fuels is beginning.[35][36]

      There are two such process under development by UOP. One using solid biomass feedstocks, and one using bio-oil and fats. The process using solid second-generation biomass sources such as switchgrass or woody biomass uses pyrolysis to produce a bio-oil, which is then catalytically stabilized and deoxygenated to produce a jet-range fuel. The process using natural oils and fats goes through a deoxygenation process, followed by hydrocracking and isomerization to produce a renewable Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene jet fuel.[37]

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    7. Re:Why not just keep using hydrocarbons? by compro01 · · Score: 1
      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    8. Re:Why not just keep using hydrocarbons? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Strawman: Use all the readily available solar you want on the ground, but it's stupid to put the panels on the plane anyway. Charge the batteries on the ground off solar.

      Go hybrid at first, and in time with technology, legislation, anti-lobbying - go full battery.

      "Where's the energy needed to build the solar panels gonna come from?", you say from your armchair.
      It comes by doing. You have to accept some losses on the road to carbon neutral but eventually you can close the loop and solar is the way you do it. Solar, regulation, and an overall general change in the way we abuse the Earth and each other. Solar cells get their energy from the sun - billions oof years of that left. Wind Power gets its energy form the win, which comes from weather, which comes from the sun. Hydro gets its energy from precipitation which is caused by the sun.
      Tidal energy gets it's energy from the pull of the moon. The moon will remain here for a long time. There are no excuses. Just Lobbyists and people with an agenda that are against this.

  26. Won't help by no-body · · Score: 1

    to increase efficiency of solar cells - Sun radiation is not increasing, pretty much constant, I would say. Probably need a football-field size surface constant to generate enough oompf to compare to kerosene-propelled turbines.

    Generating fuel from solar/wind/water and propel airplane traffic will probably show the discrepancy between necessity and actual use - no one will even touch restricting air traffic, so....

    Compared fuel efficiency/use per person from airplanes to cars, airplanes are winners, hands down, but looking at the distances traveled, it looks bad.

    Interesting though, how the consumption has gone down and the difference between domestic and international, but that's US carriers only, whole world would be interesting...

    http://www.transtats.bts.gov/f...

     

  27. "because I can't imagine such a future" by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 4, Insightful

    yeah, this whole airplane thing reminds me of that fool who thought people would have computers in their houses. pfft! how can you fit a giant electromechanical machine that fills a warehouse into your living room? some people, am i right?

    --
    Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    1. Re:"because I can't imagine such a future" by srmalloy · · Score: 1

      It's not that no one can imagine such a future -- a little digging into science fiction stories should turn up a variety of examples of battery- or solar-powered air vehicles. One that I can think of is Robert Heinlein's novel Friday, with vehicles powered by Shipstones, an energy-storage device. What causes battery- or solar-powered air vehicles to be dismissed is an awareness of the energy density limitations of current generation and storage systems, and the progress of improvement in these systems; either will require a quantum leap in energy density before they become viable. Unfortunately, how such a leap would occur is the stumbling block; the inability to forsee the invention of the transistor, then of the microchip was what made the idea of a 'home computer' laughable. And it's the people who understand current technology and its limitations who most often fall into the "can't imagine" group -- to use Robert Heinlein in another example, if you consider his novel Starman Jones, the starship computers were massive and required input in binary; the 'secret books' of the Navigator's Guild were mostly conversion tables to and from binary, and the navigators would set up a computation, convert their numbers into binary, toggle them into the computer, get the results, convert them back from binary, and apply them to the engines. He failed to imagine compact computers that would have convenient human interfaces that could be directly connected to sensors to detect course and speed, and to the engines to control flight, because the computers he was familiar with didn't have the ability to do that, and he couldn't see the changes that would occur that would make modern auto-navigation systems possible.

    2. Re:"because I can't imagine such a future" by thegarbz · · Score: 2

      Yeah, and those people who say perpetual motion machines will never work and that we can't make a transistor out of something smaller than a single atom... we'll show them.

      Computers in every house were solved through steady miniaturisation and were far from being impossible as defined by laws of physics.
      By comparison here we're talking about a situation where a theoretically perfect solar energy source driving theoretically perfect engines on a theoretically perfect wing still won't have the ability to do efficient international flights.

    3. Re:"because I can't imagine such a future" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, but one of the fun things about science is that it allows us to understand both what we can and what we CAN'T do - at least can't do without a game-changing breakthrough in technology.

      A good engineer could take the weight factors into account and estimate how much energy production an array of solar cells would need to accomplish the task of getting a given mass (say, 400 people plus their luggage) airborne. I imagine this will be an iterative calculation, as adding more panels, batteries, and engines itself adds weight... etc.

      And with that number we can answer: is current technology there, almost there, or orders of magnitude away? If almost there, sending a solar planes across an ocean is a good way to test the limits. If orders of magnitude, sending a solar plane across an oceans is mostly a PR stunt. That doesn't mean we should stop investing in solar technology - it just means we should recognize that not everything will be solved with solar.

    4. Re:"because I can't imagine such a future" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just as impossible as landing a rocket. It would add so much extra parts and fuel that it wouldn't be able to carry any payload at all. Oh, wait...

    5. Re:"because I can't imagine such a future" by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

      the idea isn't that you have a plane that is powered exclusively by solar panels, the idea is the solar panels and batteries. batteries are have been going through a similar process of increased power density and the required power density is far from being impossible as defined by laws of physics. so tell me, who's to say that in 50 years our planes won't be one hundredth the weight, battery powered and have its entire surface be composed of photovoltaics?

      --
      Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
  28. Re:Solar Planes Aren't the Green Future Of Air Tra by rsborg · · Score: 1

    Elbonian Air?

    More like "railgun airways".

    --
    Make sure everyone's vote counts: Verified Voting
  29. That isn't what solar powered flight is for. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Solar powered flight is for payloads that need to loiter for a long time in the upper atmosphere.

    So...
    Science experiments
    Experimental radio networks
    Military surveillance
    etc.

    Not humans particularly. Unless you have an irrational craving to spend a week or more in the upper atmosphere, this is not the technology you are looking for.

  30. Gas turbines are hard to beat by zerofoo · · Score: 1

    They are lightweight relative to their power output and are approaching 60% efficiency.

    They also are very durable requiring little maintenance over their lifetime.

    Fuel density and turbine efficiency are pretty hard to beat when it comes to aircraft.

  31. Duh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Can't get enough energy out of solar power to do the job, not news.

  32. Er, okay by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Solar Planes Aren't the Green Future Of Air Travel

    I never thought they were. Jeez, why always looking for the negative?

    Next: The LHC can't solve global warming.

    --
    systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
  33. Huge potential for cost advantage, plausible by goombah99 · · Score: 1

    The wall street journal estimates that for a 100 seat airliner, 30% of the cost of a flight is fuel. And another 14% is govt fees and taxes. Thus if batteries let you get cheaper fuel, don't know if thats true, then there's a large margin for cost savings. And if the gov't were willing to kick back taxes for not polluting the upper atmosphere. Then there's an even greater margin. So there's a powerful incentive to come up with electric power aviation if the total cost of ownership for electric power can be achieved.

    Denver internation airport occupies over 10^8 sq meters. Solar cells have peak efficiencies around 15% but lets derate that. so if you could get 100 watts of power per meter then that's 10^10 watts. Obviously you can't use the whole airport area, and modulo all the other issues with solar power and battery round trip efficiency.

    a flying 737 plane uses about 750 gallons per hour. thats 28 443 206.8 watts if you assume every BTU is converted to kinetic energy. Perhaps jets are wasteful and electric motor planes are less wasteful? I would guess so but don't know how to derate that.

    Thus in raw numbers that 10^10 could power 350 aircraft. Since batteries have loses assume 75% of that is more practical. Still that's more than the number of aircraft taking off per hour.

    So the numbers for the energy requirmements seem plausible. Thus perhaps it comes down to weight, safety and how fast you can charge the batteries. These are all technological issues which while formidable may not be insoluble.

    jet fuel is about 42MJ/kg. the current best flow battery is about 5MJ/kg. But recent advances suggest this could rise 10 fold in the near future. Flow batteries have been made with >99% energy recovery if I read the literature correctly. Now not all of these charateristics are achieved in the same designs and scaling these can be an issue.

    Thus technologically it seem plausible one could store electric energy at the same weight density as jet fuel

    --
    Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    1. Re:Huge potential for cost advantage, plausible by goombah99 · · Score: 1

      Obviously I ignored that takeoffs use a lot of fuel. But that's factors of 2 and I was just roughing it out to orders of magnitude.

      --
      Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    2. Re:Huge potential for cost advantage, plausible by legRoom · · Score: 1

      Perhaps jets are wasteful and electric motor planes are less wasteful? I would guess so but don't know how to derate that.

      Modern jet engines are very efficient (over 40%), assuming you spend most of the flight near their intended cruising speed. Electric might do better - but not more than 2x better, and probably less than that.

      Thus in raw numbers that 10^10 could power 350 aircraft. Since batteries have loses assume 75% of that is more practical. Still that's more than the number of aircraft taking off per hour.

      You forgot to divide the solar capacity by three to account for night time, intermittent clouds and fog, and the lesser amount of light available early in the morning and late in the afternoon.

      Obviously I ignored that takeoffs use a lot of fuel. But that's factors of 2

      The 750 average gallons per hour number you used is reasonable for a 737, even allowing for takeoffs (which are somewhat balanced out by the low-power glide into landing). However, many jet planes are a great deal larger than the 737; for example, a 777 or 747-8I burns about 5x as much fuel.

      jet fuel is about 42MJ/kg. the current best flow battery is about 5MJ/kg. But recent advances suggest this could rise 10 fold in the near future.

      Do you have a source for this?

      I find it very difficult to believe that any battery design which stores its own oxidizer can ever compete with a hydrocarbon for "energy density", since the hydrocarbons get to cheat by not counting the majority of the mass required to complete the reaction (at least 3x as much oxygen is required, as fuel). My expectation is that the only kinds of chemical batteries which could even theoretically compete with hydrocarbon fuels, would be metal-air batteries since they get to cheat in the same way.

    3. Re:Huge potential for cost advantage, plausible by goombah99 · · Score: 1
      --
      Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    4. Re:Huge potential for cost advantage, plausible by legRoom · · Score: 1

      The highest I see in that article is 5 MJ/kg. You said, "this could rise 10 fold in the near future". Where are you getting 50 MJ/kg from?

  34. Re:Solar Planes Aren't the Green Future Of Air Tra by roc97007 · · Score: 1

    Elbonian Air?

    More like "railgun airways".

    Sounds like takeoffs could be rather unpleasant.

    --
    Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
  35. beam power by microwave? by ljw1004 · · Score: 1

    I wonder if there's any potential to beam power to a plane by microwave, either from a satellite or from a network of ground stations?

    (I'd read a proposal to do space ship launches this way, to save on fuel weight.)

  36. As usual, it won't be how you think it will be by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We won't see a solar powered 747, or 787. That's just not physically possible. But that doesn't mean we'll keep flying around in fossil fuel powered planes, or that future plane engines will burn fuel instead of being electrically powered, or that planes won't be covered in solar panels.

  37. Solar fuel for regular planes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    This is silly. Don't put the solar panels on the plane. Use liquid fuel derived from solar energy and waste biostock. Break down all the waste kitchen scraps into their component molecules/atoms, and then use solar energy to recombine them into liquid jet fuel, and then use that to fuel your regular planes.

    If the fuel is derived from carbon sources already in the biome and the energy source used to make it is renewable, then it's carbon neutral, and that's all we really care about.

    Am I missing something here? Yes, this will be more 'expensive' initially than regular jet fuel, but so what? I'm sure economy of scale would solve that problem.

  38. Solar planes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yet hydrogen could do the job http://www.boeing.com/defense/phantom-eye/

  39. Critical thinking by Okian+Warrior · · Score: 2

    Unless we see some truly shocking advances in module efficiency

    It wouldn't work with 100% efficiency, so why would increase in efficiency matter as far as making it practical? What is happening to critical thinking skills?

    Regarding critical thinking, why couldn't we just use solar panels on the ground to make jet fuel(*)?

    Jet fuel in this instance is just an energy carrier, and has a much higher energy density than lithium. While Lithium batteries may be appropriate in some cases (portable devices, ground transportation), for air flight it's more appropriate to use something else.

    (*) Or perhaps a biological method such as GM modified algae or a bio-yielding plant. The Wikipedia page of crop yields indicates that Algae can yield 80,000 kg/ha/yr, with "ha" being the area of a square 100 meters on a side.

    A quick calculation shows that a 747 holds around 183,000 kg of fuel, so 3ha of open-pond algae could supply enough fuel for one tank each year.

    Anyone who has driven across the "great basin" and other nearby sections of the US (western part of Utah, Nevada, parts of Arizona) knows that we have lots and lots of unused area that gets a lot of sunlight, and water is generally available from wells.

    It seems reasonable that we could put up large solar and wind installations in these places, generate biodiesel and other organics, then ship them by tanker truck to where they are needed.

    About 11 million gallons of fuel used in the US for aviation annually, that's 31 million kg, which requires 387 of those 10m x 10m algae pools(*).

    At roughly $5 per gallon, the output of such an installation would be worth $55 million per year.

    This seems like a futuristic prediction, but it makes sense.

    Once the price of fuel goes up, this sort of installation may not be far in our future.

    (*) This seems low. Have I dropped a digit somewhere?

    1. Re:Critical thinking by fnj · · Score: 2

      A quick calculation shows that a 747 holds around 183,000 kg of fuel, so 3ha of open-pond algae could supply enough fuel for one tank each year.

      I doubt your 3 ha figure, but let's run with it just for fun.

      And how many hectares of algae ponds would it take to supply one tank of fuel several times a day for each of thousands of 747-equivalents? Several MILLION hectares? That's several tens of billions of square metres, or several tens of thousands of square km. How about the colossal energy input you would need to synthesize the biofuel from all that algae? You don't know just shovel algae muck into fuel tanks, you know. And what about the gigantic amount of hydrogen you have to add as well? Where will you get that? Algae can provide the C for your hydrocarbon, but you still need the H.

    2. Re:Critical thinking by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The error in your calculation is you're reading the linked bts.gov site's table wrong. It's not 11 million gallons, it's 11 thousand million gallons, i.e. ~11,000,000,000 gallons or ~31,000,000,000 kg. This implies that you need 387,500 hectares of algae pools, not 387. For reference, 387,500 hectares is equal to 3,875 square km, or an area somewhere between the size of Rhode Island and Delaware.

    3. Re:Critical thinking by blindseer · · Score: 1

      Regarding critical thinking, why couldn't we just use solar panels on the ground to make jet fuel(*)?

      Jet fuel in this instance is just an energy carrier, and has a much higher energy density than lithium. While Lithium batteries may be appropriate in some cases (portable devices, ground transportation), for air flight it's more appropriate to use something else.

      (*) Or perhaps a biological method such as GM modified algae or a bio-yielding plant. The Wikipedia page [wikipedia.org] of crop yields indicates that Algae can yield 80,000 kg/ha/yr, with "ha" being the area of a square 100 meters on a side.

      The reason we don't use solar panels to make jet fuel is because it's cheaper to pump it out of the ground as petroleum. I assume you knew that but you want to see jet fuel come from an energy source that does not contribute CO2 into the air.

      Lucky for you the US Navy has been working on such a process for some time now and they've been quite successful with it. What they do is take electricity from a nuclear power plant and use that to "squeeze" CO2 from seawater and split off hydrogen from the H2O, this CO2 and H2 is processed to create oxygen and jet fuel. Their intent is to be able to fuel the aircraft that serve on ships at sea without needing supply ships to carry fuel to them. While they intend to use this at sea there is no reason we cannot use this on land with water from a lake or river.

      This process does not require many hectares of land like the algae ponds you envision. As much as tree huggers hate seeing people burn fossil fuels they also hate seeing people pave over pristine land to build industry. I have no doubt that any plan to turn desert into jet fuel plants will get protests from disturbing the habitat of turtles or something. These people will protest nuclear power plants too but at least we've proven that nuclear power plants can be operated safely and at a profit. We have very little evidence that we can turn algae into fuel and do so at a price competitive with petroleum.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    4. Re:Critical thinking by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm questioning your entire everything simply on where the hell did you get 11 million gallons? The link you posted says in 2015 the total fuel was about 17,000 million gallons, or 17 billion gallons. Not 17 million (the 11,000 million was for domestic air travel only). Also, the $5 per gallon is for avgas, not jet fuel. Jet fuel is basically glorified kerosene and is much cheaper, again according to your link, about $1.84 a gallon. Very few aircraft use avgas, mostly private planes such as small Cessnas and such. Granted, for that sort of use, I could believe 11 million gallons since the amount of flying being done that way is tiny compared to commercial air travel.

    5. Re:Critical thinking by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      H comes from water in photosynthesis.

  40. Gee, patronize much? by hey! · · Score: 4, Insightful

    To slashdot's new masters: your readers aren't so ignorant that we think that Solar Impulse 2 means we'll be seeing solar powered 747s. Sheesh.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    1. Re:Gee, patronize much? by BitZtream · · Score: 1

      Nor are we so ignorant as to think improvements in solar panels are what allowed solar impulse to do its thing.

      Solar panels aren't why we have Solar Impulse. Electronic speed controllers, high powered brushless motors and far more energy dense storage methods are why Solar Impulse2 did what it did.

      The improvement in solar panels over the last 30 years is an utter joke in comparison to the increase in totally solid state motor controllers and brushless motors.

      The same shit that makes cheap quads anyone can fly is the reason Solar Impulse2 did what its did.

      Solar power had little to do with it. They finally got the rest of the gear efficient enough to be able to run off low power solar cells (cause you aren't using high output ones on a airplane unless you want to ensure it never leaves the ground)

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
    2. Re:Gee, patronize much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      that beats my comment choice of: "duh!"

      One person in a huge plane and what, one person cars that need to break 90% of the safety laws in place for cars in order to function. Obviously right around the corner.

      They have similar 'cars' that are pedal powered too, perhaps we should scale that up for airplanes as well.

    3. Re:Gee, patronize much? by thegarbz · · Score: 4, Funny

      To slashdot's new masters: your readers aren't so ignorant that we think that Solar Impulse 2 means we'll be seeing solar powered 747s. Sheesh.

      Have you looked at some of the comments here?

    4. Re:Gee, patronize much? by hey! · · Score: 1

      That literally was how my comment started out. "Duh!"

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  41. Aw, C'mon... by rgbatduke · · Score: 1

    ... In order to make commercial solar, one has to abandon the wing, not solar power per se. Imagine a blimp whose entire bag is made up of ultrathin solar cells. Now lift is "free" -- all one needs is enough power to run a pusher that can exceed the drag force of the prevailing wind, and surface (of the blimp) to volume works in your favor, as increasing the surface area increases net buoyancy and hence the total weight of storage batteries one can lift. The Chinese are building a prototype already, as are several other folks. They may not go fast, but they can probably go as fast as the solar winged plane did.

    Norman Spinrad speculated on a hybrid/inflatable wing solar plane (single person) run by a mix of muscle and wind in "Songs from the Stars". It isn't even a particularly new concept. If any of the new designs for flexible, cheap, e.g. "printable" solar cells work out so one can buy solar plastic by the yard and make up with cheap quantity what one loses in efficiency, people will be building stuff like this in their back yards (right after covering their roofs and houses with cheap siding made from it).

    The top article's headline asserting that solar planes aren't the future may be true, but solar powered flight, on the other hand, may work out just fine. And that isn't even considering doing it the easy way -- using solar power to make biofuels to run existing kinds of airplanes or jets. Or directly synthesizing fuels with solar energy. Will solar blimps happen anytime soon? Prototypes, sure, but the real payoff comes when solar technology advances the next notch, as it is very likely to do. Some of the organic solar cell technologies being investigated could yield quite reasonable efficiencies and drop costs by as much as an order of magnitude on mass production compared to solid state cells. One could imagine cars, boats, houses and more being coated in a solar film in a decade that doubles as weatherproofing and dumps power into high storage capacity next-gen batteries all day long, for a cost that isn't that much higher than existing e.g. siding or surface coatings.

    The problem with solar is it is (largely) a premature technology. But there is a ton of R&D being done, and I'm pretty confident that it will bear substantial fruit, if it isn't killed dead by functional fusion power making fuel costs for electrical power irrelevant compared to everything else in the distribution system.

    rgb

    --
    Even when the experts all agree, they may well be mistaken. --- Bertrand Russell.
  42. Solar Powdered Fuel Generations from Co2 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What we need is to use Solar power to create airplane fuel directly from CO2 in the Atmosphere, This gives you energy dense furl which is carbon neutral, Biofuels already do this (CO2 > Plants > Fuel) but a direct method would be better.

  43. yes but energy conversion efficiency =/= 100% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "A gallon of jet fuel packs about 15 to 30 times as much energy as a lithium-ion battery of similar weight. That fundamental difference in energy density is a big reason we're unlikely to see large commercial airliners powered by batteries fill the skies."

    Electric engines are much more efficient than turbines (not sure on the exact number, but approx an order of magnitude I suppose). This difference in energy density rapidly shrinks when this is taken into account.

  44. Green can include jets and internal combustion ... by perpenso · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ... progress is made by refining the process ...

    Yes, and the bias against internal combustion and jets and the bias towards solar are causing people to miss a major piece of that process. The fuel. There is nothing wrong with internal combustion and jets, the problem is only their current petroleum based fuels. Switch to bio fuels that are carbon neutral and we have no problem. Carbon is not the problem if it is taken from and returned to the current environment, as with bio fuels. Carbon is only a problem when we mine ancient sequestered carbon and reintroduce it to the current environment, as with petroleum.

    Liquid fuels have incredible energy density. We would probably need a Back-to-the-Future-like "Mr Fusion" reactor, not improved batteries, to make electrically powered fixed/rotary wing aircraft practical.

  45. Biofuel aircraft farther along than solar aircraft by perpenso · · Score: 1

    Synthetic fuels and biofuels are easy sustainability solutions

    If they were easy sustainability solutions, we'd be using them by now. But they're not:

    Bio-fuel powered flight is far farther along than solar powered flight. The US Navy has had some F/A-18 Hornets flying on bio-fuel since 2010. Scaling up bio-fuel generation is quite a bit more practical/doable that batteries that have the energy density of jet fuel.

  46. Military biofuel jumpstarts biofuel infrastructure by perpenso · · Score: 2

    Synthetic fuels may be easy but fossil fuels are so cheap that they can't compete. A carbon tax would level the playing field.

    So would passing peak petroleum production, which we may have already done.

    So would national security concerns about foreign petroleum supply lines. Note the military has had jets flying on biofuels since 2010. They can justify the higher cost with more secure supply lines. Satisfying the military's need for jet fuel, or a large part of it, can jump start the biofuel generation infrastructure and bring costs down.

  47. Re:Green can include jets and internal combustion by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

    We would probably need a Back-to-the-Future-like "Mr Fusion" reactor, not improved batteries, to make electrically powered fixed/rotary wing aircraft practical.

    Technically, we only need 1960's "let's make it nuclear" optimism and it doesn't even need to be electric. That thing is that's so awesome it needs a use. Maybe a supersonic atmospheric flyer on Jupiter for planetary research?

    --
    SJW n. One who posts facts.
  48. Re:Biofuel aircraft farther along than solar aircr by Nutria · · Score: 1

    Synthetic fuels and biofuels are easy sustainability solutions

    If they were easy sustainability solutions, we'd be using them by now. But they're not

    Bio-fuel powered flight

    Biofuels are not the same as synthetic fuels.

    --
    "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
  49. Battery improvements continue fairly constantly. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    FTS: "A gallon of jet fuel packs about 15 to 30 times as much energy as a lithium-ion battery of similar weight."

    And what multiple was it 5 years ago? 10? 15? 20?
    What multiple will it be 5, 10, 15, or 20 years into the future?

    *What happens when our best batteries (be they lithium-ion or another) become more energy-dense than jet fuel?*

  50. launch catapult by bugs2squash · · Score: 1

    There are lots of small savings to be made

    For a short commuter flight, say between LA and SFO. the speed of the plane is just one consideration, there are lots of on-the-ground delays that add to the total travel time

    Here's my plan...

    Step 1 - abolish the TSA, they're worthless and that saves an hour off the trip for a start

    Prior to flight, batteries loaded, fully charged, into plane on the runway. The batteries here have a different function, they are a power boost for a daylight flight not a reserve for overnight / deadweight during the day

    Plane full of passengers towed by an electric tow plane to 40,000ft and 700miles/hour and released in the direction of its destination for a gentle downhill glide

    solar cells on airplane body only need to power propulsion and maneuvering and don't have to charge the batteries for an overnight reserve

    plane has a conventional fuel emergency engine, so it need not retain too much in the way of emergency battery charge, it can plan to run the batteries near flat in the normal course of a flight

    Those provisions have each earned incremental increases in mass/speed over the original 2-tonne/43mph plane.

    Taken together and with the help of some improvements in battery capacity that we might ordinarily expect, I would have thought that even adding, say 10 tonnes of passengers the plane should be able to average a few 100 miles / hour over a commuter-length flight.

    Now that I think of it, just towing a conventional plane to cruise altitude and letting it go would probably save a lot of fuel, It would be interesting to know how much of the fuel is used up in the first 25% of the flight when it is fully loaded and climbing.

    --
    Nullius in verba
    1. Re:launch catapult by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      Nice idea but that would be one heck of an electric tow plane. as in "not doeable".

  51. Wrights were screwups by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wright Brothers were screw-ups, but ruthless business competitors and that's why so many still think they flew first.
    First in "Sustainable, powered, controlled" flight is their claim. Compare:
    1903 Wrights launch from a rail downhill into a wind, 'fly' straight, and land so hard that after three "flights" the plane is damaged so much it doesn't fly again while being repaired for several months.
    1901, August 1, Gustav Whitehead takes off from a level field flies higher than treetops, makes a wide turn (wing-warping) and lands safely.
    The Wrights, and their estate, made a pact with the Smithsonian that their Kittyhawk Flyer can stay at their museum only if the Smithsonian NEVER mentions anyone flying prior to the Wrights.

  52. I had a "technology of the future"-type book ... by Ihlosi · · Score: 1
    I had a "technology of the future"-type book that suggested planes being powered with lasers from orbit (which doesn't require all the conversions that an 'electricity from orbital power plant' system needs since the plane would consume most power in the form of heat).

    Intriguing.

    I'm sure nothing can go wrong when aiming a couple dozen megawatts of laser power at a moving target.

  53. Re:Green can include jets and internal combustion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I hope you don't literally mean a nuclear powered aircraft. If so you are simply replacing heavy batteries with heavy shielding and a heavy nuclear core. Weight is a deal-killer when it comes to flight.

    Ever notice the tiny legs and feet of most birds? They shed the weight of those and thus gave up all hopes of being great runners. The roadrunner aside.

  54. Idiotic troll in the summary... by evilviper · · Score: 1

    It used-to be just in the comment section that idiots would spout-off idiotic nonsense like this. Now Bizx is publishing any worthless crap some moron submits...

    it'll be impossible to cram enough solar panels onto a 747's wings

    It'll be impossible for a horse to haul the extra weight of a fuel tank, wheels, and an internal combustion engine...

    A gallon of jet fuel packs about 15 to 30 times as much energy as a lithium-ion battery of similar weight.

    Massively, idiotically, wrong. Liquid fuels are subject to horrendous conversion inefficiency, while batteries are not. See: Carnot's Theorem. This is the same drooling moron nonsense we heard about electric cars... And guess what; existing electric cars aren't any heavier than their conventional brethren, while having similar range between refueling. They're not quite comparable, yet, but they're damn well not 15-30 times heavier, are they?

    If you want to go full-retard, why don't we talk about the amount of energy we can get from nuclear reactions of Lithium atoms versus carbon atoms? It's just as relevant as this spewing crap.

    Here's what I said here last month, on exactly the same damn subject:

    "Compared to advanced piston engine airliners of the 1950s, current jet airliners are only marginally more efficient per passenger-mile."

    Fuel cells are more thermodynamically efficient than even the best turbines at converting hydrocarbons into work, and they conveniently happen to output electricity, directly.

    Fuel cells are being developed that can run directly on common liquid hydrocarbon fuels, not just hydrogen.

    At lower-speeds, props are much more efficient than turbofans, and props can of course be easily driven by electric motors.

    The lower speeds of prop-driven planes gives additional added efficiency in lower aerodynamic drag, as well.

    Instead of retrofitting such a system onto current jets, combine electric propulsion with "blended wing" aircraft, and the future of passenger air travel could be vastly quieter and more fuel efficient, albeit slower.

    And electrically-driven aircraft is incredibly simplified, to the point that airlines would want them for their lower maintenance costs and less downtime, even if the efficiency wasn't substantially better... See my quote above, as airlines previously embraced inefficient turbines for just this reason.

    https://slashdot.org/comments....

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    Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    1. Re:Idiotic troll in the summary... by brambus · · Score: 1

      If you want to go full-retard, why don't we talk about the amount of energy we can get from nuclear reactions of Lithium atoms versus carbon atoms? It's just as relevant as this spewing crap.

      Gee I hope you're not doing nuclear reactions in your fuel cell.

      Compared to advanced piston engine airliners of the 1950s, current jet airliners are only marginally more efficient per passenger-mile.

      Yes. But the pistons were also a lot slower, noisier, less comfortable and less reliable, all of which are rather important details to airlines.

      At lower-speeds, props are much more efficient than turbofans, and props can of course be easily driven by electric motors.

      And you know what's most efficient? Not going anywhere. If there's a flight that takes 4 hours and another that takes 8 hours, I'll strongly consider the 4 hour one, even if it costs more. Moreover, the airline sees it like this: how many passenger-miles can I do with this type per year? That equates directly to profit. Slower airplane = fewer seats sold per year = lower profit margin. Even if your shiny new airplane is twice as efficient, if it's half as slow, you've not actually gained anything. Why do you think airlines buy jets for anything above regional?

      At lower-speeds, props are much more efficient than turbofans, and props can of course be easily driven by electric motors.

      You can also drive a fan using an electric motor just as well.

      And electrically-driven aircraft is incredibly simplified, to the point that airlines would want them for their lower maintenance costs and less downtime, even if the efficiency wasn't substantially better

      Well, maybe. It depends on the details. For one thing, the FAA won't let you get away with just one fuel cell system. You're gonna need two independent ones, or else you won't be allowed to put any passengers on it. It's unclear if it's gonna be simpler, require less maintenance or be more reliable, as no such aircraft are even on the serious drawing board (I don't mean concepts, I mean actual detailed designs for flight worthy hardware).

    2. Re:Idiotic troll in the summary... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, you went full retard... NEVER go full retard.

      Jet fuel is about 25.6 times more energy dense (MJ/kg) than batteries. And jet engines are about 30% efficient. So let's assume your battery and electric motor are 100% efficient; you only need about 8 TIMES the mass of batteries as compared to jet fuel to get the same output.

      Of course, building an electric jet will be hard, so you're kind of stuck with motors and propellers, and those really lose efficiency as speed and altitude both increase. So yeah - you went full retard. And it backfired.

      PS: high-speed prop planes (those moving faster than ~400 MPH - like a jet) are considerably louder than a jet engine.

    3. Re:Idiotic troll in the summary... by evilviper · · Score: 1

      Jet fuel doesn't just turn into propulsion on its own. You need to account for the weight of all those fuel tanks, pumps, the heavy turbofans, monitoring and balancing equipment, fire suppression systems, and much, much more.

      More than that, it's pretty obvious you didn't bother to actually read more than a line or two into my comment.

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
  55. Half the range, 50% higher price, 30% slower 0-60 by raymorris · · Score: 1

    Well the Tesla has half the range, costs 50%, and it's 30% slower 0-60. On the other hand, they are both cars. :)

  56. Re:Green can include jets and internal combustion by evilviper · · Score: 1

    There is nothing wrong with internal combustion and jets,

    Combustion has horrid conversion efficiency, explosive fuel adds ample expense and dangers, requires tons of extra equipment weight, etc.

    the problem is only their current petroleum based fuels. Switch to bio fuels that are carbon neutral and we have no problem.

    Bio fuels will have the same lousy efficiency. They won't reduce the environmental effects of contrails, won't eliminate smog and small particulate emissions, or otherwise improve air quality at all.

    Existing bio fuels are every bit as dirty as fossil fuels... requiring clearing (by burning down) big sections of rain forest, or extensive use of petroleum based fertilizers, and more. The EU was on a big biofuel kick until they saw the damage caused by their feel-good policy.

    Liquid fuels have incredible energy density.

    And yet electric cars are on their way to overtaking internal combustion cars in the next decade.

    --
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  57. Why not rethink the plane? by thecountryofmike · · Score: 1
    Solar power - lots of area needed. Not nearly as energy dense as combustible fuel. Instead of replacing the jet engine in a 747 with an electric fan, why not rethink the plane?

    Remember airships? Lot's of area for panels, plenty of lift for passengers/cargo. If the electric motor didn't have to propel the plane at 400mph to generate the lift required, solar powered forward thrust is totally doable.

    Just means air travel won't be as fast. And it'll end up even safer if the airships don't use hydrogen :)

  58. Bias by moorley · · Score: 1

    "Nor is it enough to load up on batteries charged by solar on the ground, since that would add even more weight to the plane, vastly increasing the energy needed for takeoff."

    Fuel Cells can rectify liquid hydrogen (and some other hydrocarbons), and you would have the same operating parameters as jet fuel: Lighter on landing than on take-off.

    Solar planes may or may not happen, but the bias of the author seems pretty obvious to me.

    Even though I would debate if plane that flies on liquid fuel derived from solar panels is really a "Solar Powered" craft but... Bias is still evident.

    --
    "Don't fear death... fear not living..." -me :)
  59. Batteries might be included by Ken_g6 · · Score: 1

    Airliners powered by onboard solar panels? No.

    Solar-powered drones? Those seem very likely. They work like satellites for some applications, but they're cheaper, and are likely to remain so unless SpaceX makes some incredible breakthroughs.

    Battery-powered airliners? Maybe. At the very least we might get battery-assisted airliners.

    --
    (T>t && O(n)--) == sqrt(666)
  60. So, my second sentence by raymorris · · Score: 1

    > . You can design a ultra-high-bypass turbofan that's electrically driven and suffer no loss of speed. It'll just be a fan and the turbine engine core is replaced with an electric motor.

    So you're basically saying?:
    >> You'd still need the same turbofans, just with heavy electrical windings in the middle rather hollow combustion cavities.

    1. Re:So, my second sentence by brambus · · Score: 1

      Well, sort of, but you missed what I told you, that a pound-for-pound, there's really not much difference in terms of power between a turbofan engine core (often referred to as the gas generator, loosely) and an electric motor.

  61. Wings need air, but ducted fans need more by raymorris · · Score: 1

    If you're an aerospace engineer, you'll recognize. pmin=2â...mâ...g(Mach2â...cL)maxâ...a2â...S.
    If you're not, suffice to say that wings work by air pressure, and speed. As air pressure reduces with altitude, velocity must increase. The highest flying aircraft (SR-71) had to also be the fastest - planes can't go that high without going that fast. Designing planes to fly mach 3 means making different design decisions than designing an airliner. That's why a 777 flies half as high as jets can fly - because otherwise it would have to be built like the SR-71. Two-seater airliners don't work so well.

    You may note that an electric motor must use a propeller/ fan design. It can't be a ramjet, scramjet, etc. Fans (electric or otherwise) need air to operate, more air pressure than scramjets need. Therefore an electrically powered plane will have a LOWER service ceiling than a jet has.

    1. Re: Wings need air, but ducted fans need more by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The base sr71 was a one seater.

  62. Niche for now, but its time may come by EmperorOfCanada · · Score: 1

    I suspect there are all kinds of niche reasons for an electric plane. Farmers monitoring fields, scouting for poachers, or other situations where carrying huge fuel sources for small planes is not good. Even hopping from place to place in the Australian bush might justify a solar plane.

    But it all boils down to energy density and economics. Batteries are getting better and better which will drive battery planes into more niches. Then the day may very well come when the economics for boring commercial flight might be a reality. It won't be that simple as turnaround time on a plane is very important, also the amount of energy required to charge a large number of commercial flights at the same time could be staggering.

    So I would put away the popular mechanics ideals of us all taking an electric commercial flight in a few years, but I am willing to bet that we will see more and more small electric craft popping up, and they will slowly grow in number and size. At that point you could probably point to when on an extrapolated graph they will move into commercial passengers.

    Remember, respected publications around 1910 thought that commercial passenger flights were never ever going to happen, they had a laundry list of insurmountable obstacles that had to be first overcome.

  63. Re:Green can include jets and internal combustion by CWCheese · · Score: 1

    You may be presumptive in asserting electric cars will overtake ICE in the next decade. Without a breakthrough in battery tech to increase storage capacity and reduce recharge time by 2 to 3 orders of magnitude, they will remain a richie rich boytoy. I'd love to have an electromotive passenger car, but should I choose to travel long distances, I'd rather not do it as the pioneers did in their Conestoga wagons on the prairie.

    --
    Have a Day!
  64. Physics by tylersoze · · Score: 1

    It's almost as if you can apply an understanding of basic physics concepts (like say, conversation of energy, the laws of thermodynamic, concept of energy density, etc) to immediately understand why certain things (like say, a perpetual motion machine, the EmDrive, cold fusion, faster than light travel, powering a heavier than air vehicle with solar cells, gasoline made from plants, solving our civilization's energy/pollution issues without using nuclear, etc) aren't workable.

  65. Re:Green can include jets and internal combustion by perpenso · · Score: 1

    Existing bio fuels are every bit as dirty as fossil fuels... requiring clearing (by burning down) big sections of rain forest, or extensive use of petroleum based fertilizers, and more. The EU was on a big biofuel kick until they saw the damage caused by their feel-good policy.

    Liquid fuels have incredible energy density.

    And yet electric cars are on their way to overtaking internal combustion cars in the next decade.

    The logic you applied to biofuels being "dirty" also applies to electric power generation. And if demand for electricity is significantly increased due to the adoption of electric vehicles then "dirty" electric power generation will likely still be required in the next decade.

  66. Duh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In other news, perpetual motion machines will not be powering aircraft any time soon!

  67. Timberland Homme Pas Chers by shencunyi · · Score: 1

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  68. Re:Green can include jets and internal combustion by wierd_w · · Score: 1

    This got me thinking.

    Oxyhydrogen may be a good "energy transport" medium for use in PV aviation. (Hear me out here. I am well aware of the fringe BS associated with oxyhydrogen. I am not going to spout any of that here. I am much more interested in how it can actually be leveraged.)

    According to wiredchemist.com, distilled water has a vapor dissolution capacity for hydrogen and oxygen gasses as follows:

    100g of water can dissolve .00016g of hydrogen gas and .0043 of oxygen gas, at 293K.

    According to wikipedia (yay.) oxyhydrogen, when burned at 2:1 ratio produces 241kJ for every mole of H2 burned.

    1 calorie is 4.186 Joules, and 1 calorie is the amount of energy needed to raise 1g of water 1C. (C and K conveniently align on the same scale by design.)

    1 mole of hydrogen weighs 1.00794g.

    With these values, we can determine how many moles of hydrogen can be suspended in a water based carrier, and how many degrees we can raise the temperature of that water via combustion.

    This works out to 629962.5 g of water needed to hold the full 1mole hydrogen gas.

    The combustion of the 1mole hydrogen produces 241kJ of energy, which is 60250 calories. It takes one calorie per gram of water to be raised one degree. Doing the math:

    60250cal / 629962.5g water = .09C increase in temperature.

    Not surprising, this is why we dont have water powered cars. :)

    What we need is a way to increase the amount of hydrogen we can store in the water. The best way to do that is with reactive polar molecules that contain a lot of hydrogen, that are highly soluble in water. Sadly, the best candidates are also major contributors to smog formation. (Ammonia being a very good candidate. Ammonia is highly exothermic in the creation of nitrous oxide in the presense of a platinum-rubidium catalyst, causing a self-sustaining reaction as long as there is oxygen to combust with. It contains a shitload of hydrogen, and is highly soluble in water. However, the resulting compound is basically nitric acid, and is basically acid rain. Yay.)

    Since all the usual chemical additives to add more hydrogen all contribute to atmospheric pollution, we have to sideline them.

    Thankfully, water ice can form stable molecular cages for dense hydrogen gas-- eg, "Hydrogen Clathrate" is a real thing that can be made.

    Instead of the paltry .00016g/100g ratio of liquid water, solid hydrogen clathrate can have ratios 48mole hydrogen gas to 136mole water ice! (ratio of 1 : 2.8333)

    1 mole of water is 18.015g.

    Now, that 1 mole hydrogen still will produce the 60250cal of energy on combustion, but now only has to heat 51.04g of water. The net temperature increase from 0c (ice) is 1180 degrees C from combustion of this fuel!!

    60250cal / 51.04g water = 1180.44670 delta-C

    Now we're talking!

    But there's a rub:

    Hydrogen clathrate can only be formed under absurd pressures. How absurd? 300MPa @ 250k, and takes over 30 minutes to form.

    So, let's compromise.

    We dont really need a steam exhaust stream hot enough to melt aluminum, now do we? And, efficient combustion of a solid is very much dependent upon particle size, and rate of reactant intermix. So, let's not use solid hydrogen clathrate. Let's use a combination of hydrogen peroxide and distilled water, with hydrogen clathrate slush as the fuel. This gives us our oxidizer in liquid form, gives us our fuel in the form of the clathrate ice microcrystals, and gives us bulk propellent in the liquid water. We can add a tiny amount of sodium silicate to help prevent the mixture from freezing solid. (On combustion, it will turn into trace amounts of silica gel in the exhaust stream. Basically, microparticle glass dust. You dont need very much of this stuff to combat ice formation. Alternatively, you could add alcohol if you dont mind the production of some CO2 in the exhaust stream.)

    This reduces the amount of hydrate nee

  69. Re:Green can include jets and internal combustion by evilviper · · Score: 1

    Nonsense. Power generation by coal is quickly going away. Natural gas is far cleaner than gasoline, kerosene, or bio equivalents. Solar (thermal or PV) and wind are being installed at a quick and increasing pace, far faster than demand is growing.

    A decade isn't far enough out... Jets take more lead-time than that even when just based on conventional and established tech, while electric is still only a concept.

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  70. Re:Green can include jets and internal combustion by evilviper · · Score: 1

    increase storage capacity and reduce recharge time by 2 to 3 orders of magnitude,

    I must assume you don't know what an order of magnitude is. a Tesla Model S has a range of 300 miles, and charges up to 170 miles of range in 30 minutes.

    3 orders of magnitude would be a 300,000 mile range, and when charging would get 170,000 miles of extra range every 30 minutes. Safe to say they'd be practical vehicles long before that point.

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  71. A was 2-seat. B trainer was 2-cockpit THREE seater by raymorris · · Score: 1

    You're probably thinking of the two SR-71B trainer aircraft which had an extra cockpit added above and behind the SRO position. The SR-71A, the standard model, had one cockpit - with two seats. One seat for the pilot and one for the RSO (reconnaissance system officer). You can see the RSO's window in this photo:
    http://www.sr-71.org/photogall...

    Here's a video of a SR-71 pilot showing the two positions and talking about the roles of the pilot and the RSO.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

    Interestingly, neither person can fly and land the plane by themselves. The RSO did the navigation, telling the plane where to go (auto navigation to specified points is required at mach 3), while the pilot controlled altitude, rudders for landing, etc. If either the pilot or the RSO became incapacitated or the intercom was lost, they would have to bail out.

  72. hydrogen by bigtreeman · · Score: 1

    I prefer hydrogen as a fuel, it can cleanly power turbines.
    Just a few problems to iron out.
    When the cost of pollution gets too great,
    someone will work out a clean alternative.

    --
    Go well
  73. Re:Green can include jets and internal combustion by hackertourist · · Score: 1

    What makes you think there's a bias against internal combustion for aircraft?
    There are several projects aimed at using biofuel for jet engines. There have been commercial flights already that were powered in part by biofuels.
    The unsolved problem here is the currently very limited supply of biofuels, but that's being worked on as well.

  74. Re:Green can include jets and internal combustion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Liquid fuels have incredible energy density. We would probably need a Back-to-the-Future-like "Mr Fusion" reactor, not improved batteries, to make electrically powered fixed/rotary wing aircraft practical.

    Thank you! Someone said it. Again. And btw we do have "Mr Fusion" type tech for aerospace applications from 70s I think. I just wouldn't put living cargo we care about anywhere near it. Just in case you didn't know. Not many people do.

  75. Reality always trumps fantasy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Energy density has always been the reason why we drive gas powered cars and fly in kerosene-fueled planes.

    It's never been an evil plot by some nefarious scheming "Big Oil" executives, who are simply making money efficiently providing what the market demands at prices the market is willing to pay.

    The Sun, Wind, etc simply do not pack as much energy into a cubic inch/millimeter or into a pound/kilogram as the highly-optimized-by-nature fossil fuels (which are created over time by extreme pressures and temperatures compressing huge volumes of plant and animal matter, making it into VERY dense energy sources). There's nothing magic here and no conspiracy.

    Solar planes are a good, geeky,stunt that demonstrate how far battery tech and solar panel tech have come. They are not, however, even a display of advancing aviation tech - there's nothing here that is even an advance over the human-powered planes of Paul Macready from 30+ years ago. People who dream of "free stuff" and therefore dream of solar powered planes should ask themselves a few questions:

    1. How big would you have to scale the plane to make an airliner for 100+ passengers? (this was an airliner-sized plane to haul just one guy)

    2. How much did the solar panels and motors on this plane cost to haul just one guy through the air? (and thus how much for a plane to haul 100+?)

    3. How many passengers would pack onto an airliner like sardines if it would fly at the speed of a bicycle, rather than getting to the destination in only several hours by traveling at over 300mph???

    4. How many people would be willing to board an airliner constructed as light and fragile as this crate had to be to make it even possible? Most people would probably be frightened if they knew how thin and light the structure of current airliners actually is, and THAT is far too heavy for solar-powered flight.

  76. The green future of air travel is ... by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
    Exactly what it always has been since the Montgolfier brothers : telecommunications.

    OK, slight exaggeration with the Montgolfier brothers. Their aircraft took off about a decade before the first telecommunications networks were developed.

    Moving bits between points 'A' and 'B' is always going to be greener than moving meatbags between points 'A' and 'B.'

    --
    Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  77. Re:Green can include jets and internal combustion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Switch to bio fuels that are carbon neutral and we have no problem. Carbon is not the problem if it is taken from and returned to the current environment, as with bio fuels. Carbon is only a problem when we mine ancient sequestered carbon and reintroduce it to the current environment, as with petroleum. .

    Sorry, I like flying too, but it is hopeless.

    Carbon neutrality only works if carbon dioxide is immediately removed directly from the atmosphere by a process that is outside and in addition to the Earth's natural systems. It does not matter where the sequestered carbon comes from, whether living trees or dead coal: emissions are emissions -- farts are farts -- and they all stink.

    Greenhouse gas emissions are economy-wide, so shuffling the emissions over to some other place or shifting them to other sectors doesn't help much. The problems are (1) planes being heavier than air and (2) trying to go faster than Ivan Illich's speed limit.

  78. solar energy to power the catapult by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    catapult on runways will cut energy use on take off and catch hook cut braking energy
    especially for cargo planes

  79. Re:Green can include jets and internal combustion by Cthulhu's+Physicist · · Score: 1

    "Switch to bio fuels that are carbon neutral and we have no problem"

    I'm not sure you have a very good grasp of the basics of energy flows as in ecosystem thermodynamics.

    Bio Fuels have very poor EROEI ratios, meaning you need more energy going in than you get out. Fossil fuels have the great advantage of having concentrated solar energy over millions of years before being cooked in the earth for another couple of milion They do have the disadvantage of being a finite resource..

    Google Exxon's funding of Craig Venter's research into bio fuels from algae

    Though Bio fuels still have their uses for niche application while fossil fuels long term are a dead end, that's our civilization's current dillema.

    While solar energy probably will not power air cargo transport any time soon, wind and solar can certainly power high speed trains...

  80. solar electric flight is viable. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    nuclear is possible using thorium reactor tech, electric props or laser jet turbines that heat compressed atmosphere without fuel. thorium is safe,cant meltdown and would be safe in a crash by design. thorium wasn't supported during the cold war on both sides since you cant make nukes with it. the tech could be used for ships cars and planes and trains. solar electric would work for lighter than air ships. in fact if we shaped air ships like a flying wing forward movement would add to lift. and solar on top.unmanned could aid with radar early warning midair refueling, cell coverage and drones the size of a bird to the size of a B-52. all solar with very high loiter times, a traditional design with a gondala which could be a turret,with a reconciles cannon, cameras, laser designator and bomb bay with hellfire and air to air missiles.

  81. Re:Green can include jets and internal combustion by perpenso · · Score: 1

    Nonsense. Power generation by coal is quickly going away. Natural gas is far cleaner than gasoline, kerosene, or bio equivalents.

    Actually, that is the nonsense. Nat Gas is still introducing sequestered carbon. Bio is not.

    Your description of bio was BS. Cutting down the rain forest is not necessary. Massive fertilization is not necessary. Biofuel can be generated by bacteria. Ex: Intestinal bacterium producing propane.
    http://www.nature.com/ncomms/2...
    "The authors isolated bacteria that make high concentrations of alcohols including ethanol and 1-butanol, and other strains that make hydrocarbons, like hexane and octane. These compounds are similar to components already found in gasoline. Although the Department of Energy and many investors have invested millions of dollars trying to genetically engineer organisms like these, the scientists from Maryland led by UM professor Rick Korn say that such organisms are already common in nature."
    http://www.biofuelsdigest.com/...

  82. Re:Green can include jets and internal combustion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Biofuels are not only plant based. Biofuels include bacteria generating key chemical compounds of the fuel themselves. These bacteria are the heart of a carbon neutral liquid fuel.

  83. Re:Green can include jets and internal combustion by perpenso · · Score: 1

    Though Bio fuels still have their uses for niche application ...

    A niche, like aviation. Aviation fuel is a very small portion of fossil fuels.

    The US Navy and US Air Force are aggressively pursuing a switch to biofuels. Supply line concerns outweigh initial cost issues, these military programs jump starting the research and infrastructure needed for civilian use.

  84. Re:Green can include jets and internal combustion by NotAPK · · Score: 1

    The US did design and build a nuclear powered plane, though the plane was not technically powered by the reactors that it carried. Really interesting stuff.

    "A nuclear-powered aircraft is an aircraft that is powered by nuclear energy. During the Cold War, the United States and Soviet Union researched nuclear-powered bomber aircraft, the greater endurance of which could enhance nuclear deterrence, but neither country created any such operational aircraft. One inadequately solved design problem was the need for heavy shielding to protect the crew from acute radiation syndrome. The advent of ICBMs in the 1960s greatly diminished the tactical advantage of such aircraft, and respective projects were cancelled; the inherent danger of the technology has prevented its civilian use."

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Convair_NB-36H

    "The NB-36H was converted from a B-36H that had been damaged by a tornado. The original crew and avionics cabin was replaced by a massive lead and rubber lined 11 ton crew section for a pilot, copilot, flight engineer and two nuclear engineers. Even the small windows had 10-12 inch thick lead glass.[1][2][3][4] Unlike the planned Convair X-6, the three-megawatt air-cooled reactor in the NB-36H did not power any of the aircraft's systems, nor did it provide propulsion, but was placed on the NB-36H to measure the effectiveness of the shielding.[1]"

  85. Re:Green can include jets and internal combustion by evilviper · · Score: 1

    Cutting down the rain forest is not necessary. Massive fertilization is not necessary.

    It's clearly necessary, as that's how most biodiesel is produced, today.

    Biofuel can be generated by bacteria.

    They've been trying for decades and decades, and can't get it to work outside of a lab. It doesn't scale up to even the tiniest production quantities. Bacterial growth and biofuel films are apparently mutually incompatible.

    --
    Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
  86. Re:Military biofuel jumpstarts biofuel infrastruct by kellymcdonald78 · · Score: 1

    The vast majority of US foreign petroleum supplies come from Canada. Not exactly an unsecure supply

  87. What about airships? by Rexdude · · Score: 1

    Airships can carry much more weight than a 747 even if they fly slower. An airship covered with solar panels could possibly generate enough electricity to propel itself through the air, and as a substitute for cargo sent by ships rather than as a substitute for passenger traffic. Or they could build one like a luxury liner. Getting enough helium is the stumbling block though.

    --
    "..One hosts to look them up, one DNS to find them, and in the darkness BIND them."
  88. Oh, please.... DO learn a little history. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    NASA and its contractors studied landing and re-using launch vehicle first stages in the 1960s. Von Braun's team immersed a Saturn I first stage in salt water to study the effects and see if the stage would be reusable in the even it landed in the sea and was towed back to shore. There was a lot of interest. NASA at that time, however, switched from a long slow march to the moon begun under Eisenhower to complete immersion in the Kennedy moon-in-a-decade plan. Re-use options, along with other concepts like lenticular Apollo shapes, and Gemini capsules coming down under a parawing and landing horizontally like a plane on retractable landing gear became something the schedule could not handle.

    After the moon landings, NASA and the contractors again studied re-use. Convair, Martin, Boeing and others offered designs for reusable 1st stage launch vehicles, but NASA opted for a re-usable spacecraft. They hoped to mate the reusable shuttle orbiters to reusable winged launch vehicles but the Nixon administration decided the R&D would cost too much and take too long, so the agency went with the reusable spacecraft mated to recoverable and reusable boosters and a disposable external tank.

    There's tons of documents about all the reusable launch vehicle concepts NASA and the contractors studied. It was well understood to be possible, but the contractors were never going to spend their own money developing a capability if there was a chance the government might fund it at some point, and they certainly were never going to do it to lower launch costs as long as their launch contracts were "cost plus" (lower costs would produce a proportionally lower "plus" which would upset share holders).

    There's a HUGE difference between "the physics says NO" (as in solar powered airliners) and "the physics works, but nobody currently wants to pay to develop it" (as in the reusable launch vehicle).

  89. Re:Military biofuel jumpstarts biofuel infrastruct by perpenso · · Score: 1

    The vast majority of US foreign petroleum supplies come from Canada. Not exactly an unsecure supply

    US political policies could see Canadian exports shift from the US to China.

  90. Re:Green can include jets and internal combustion by perpenso · · Score: 1

    Yes, lots of work is still to be done on the bacteria side. Again, I argue that for a ten year window additional electrical power generation needs are likely to include dirty fossil fuels to meet demand.

    But in the long term bacteria is still an option, its not a dead end. Internal combustion and jet engines are not a dead end. Battery powered aircraft are probably even less farther along than bacterial biofuels. That is my point, not that we'll be switching to bacteria any time soon.

    Also the US Navy program is not going the burn the rainforest and/or heavily fertilize and devote farmland/farmcrops to biofuel. I believe they are using a grass (weed?) that naturally grows in austere conditions in land not traditionally used for farming.