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How President Jimmy Carter Saved The Space Shuttle (blastingnews.com)

MarkWhittington writes: Eric Berger has published an account in Ars Technica about how President Jimmy Carter saved the space shuttle program. The article is well worth reading for its detail. In essence, around 1978 the space shuttle program had undergone a crisis with technical challenges surrounding its heat-resistant tiles and its reusable rocket engines and cost overruns. President Carter was not all that enthused about human space flight to begin with, adhering to the since discredited notion that robotic space probes were adequate for exploring the universe. His vice president, Walter Mondale, was a vehement foe of human space flight programs, maintaining that money spent on them were better used for social programs.

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  1. Carter was a great President! by EzInKy · · Score: 5, Funny

    If it weren't for pussy weakling Republicans willing to sellout to Iran he would have had a second term and our great Nation would be on a solid progressive course.

    --
    Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
    1. Re:Carter was a great President! by tsotha · · Score: 2

      That is quite possibly the dumbest thing I've read today.

    2. Re:Carter was a great President! by EzInKy · · Score: 2

      You must not read much then. Reagen created the "rust belt".

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
    3. Re:Carter was a great President! by EzInKy · · Score: 2

      it was Iran giving them a gift and they just ran with it.

      A gift they could've have refused.

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
    4. Re:Carter was a great President! by gtall · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Well, possibly. I tend to think they were frightened about Reagan would do. After he'd been elected and before inauguration, I believe in January, he was getting into a vehicle and a reporter shouted a question: would the Iranians be better off waiting until you are president before dealing on the hostages. Reagan, without missing a beat, looked over his shoulder and said in a rather icy tone, "I wouldn't if I were them."

      Reagan scared the crap out of a lot of the rest of the world. Carter's canoe was attacked by a swimming rabbit. That summed up the election right there, Americans didn't want another 4 more years of someone who could be attacked by a rabbit.

    5. Re:Carter was a great President! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The Iranians held the hostages because the Republicans promised them weapons. They got them with Iran-Contra.

    6. Re:Carter was a great President! by number6x · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That is the image that Ronald "we will not deal with terrorists" Reagan projected.

      The truth is that President Reagan and his staff cut a deal with the Iranian terrorists. In order to negotiate the release of American hostages held by Lebanese terrorists who were backed by Iran, Reagan was willing to sell the Iranian terrorists arms so they could spread terrorism and threaten more people. These arms weren't shipped directly from the USA to Iranian terrorists. That would have been illegal. Reagan's team worked out a deal where the arms were sold through third parties to the Iranians.

      Not satisfied with just supporting and spreading Iranian terrorism, Reagan's team wanted to also support a bunch of narco-terrorists, called the Contras. Monetary and material support for the Contras was prohibited by law. The Republican administration didn't like the left leaning Sandinista government of Nicaragua and wanted to support a right wing revolution so a puppet government could be installed. Similar to the support for the Shah's puppet government in Iran that lead the Iranian people to hate America so much.

      American intelligence officials syphoned some of the money made selling arms to Iranian terrorists, to the drug trafficking Contras in Nicaragua who opposed the left leaning government there. The Republicans called these drug trafficking scum 'Freedom Fighters'.

      The Iranian revolutionary terrorists were completely aware of the arms deal Reagan had made with them, although the American people were not.

      So when the Iranians saw President Reagan give the icy stare and say those scary words, the Iranians were in no way frightened. The Iranians knew Reagan was a liar with no morals. A man who would sell out his own principles in order to gain power and high office. They labelled him "The Great Satan" because of his skill at lying.

      The American people were unaware of the deal that Reagan had made to give arms and money to the Iranian terrorists, and were unaware that the freedom fighters were really drug traffickers sending poison to the streets of America and spreading terrorism throughout Central America. The American people saw Reagan as a tough guy who would never deal with terrorists and never waiver on truth, justice and the American way.

      So once you read up on the Iran Contra affair, you will realise that the tough talk and that icy stare threatening the Iranian terrorists was one of Ronald Reagan's best acting jobs.

    7. Re: Carter was a great President! by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 5, Informative

      No, Iran contra was half a dozen years later. Do you idiots even wiki this shit?

      Iran-Contra was discovered some years later. Specifically, getting arms to an enemy of the united States and to another group via an end-around in order to circumvent the Boland amendment was started as a way to attempt to get some hostages held by Hezbolla in Lebanon.

      Now might such a thing have happened in the goings on in the 1980 election? Who knows? But a group that is wiling to give aid to enemies of the US, it is at least plausible that a very similar thing happened a few years earlier, merely undiscovered.

      In the meantime, it was interesting that this whole thing included a metric shitload of illegal actions, like destroying classified evidence to avoid prosecutions, removing classified materials under cloathing, selling arms to an enemy of the US and violating laws passed by congress.

      In the end? Acquittals and pre-emptive pardons, and the party of the moral high ground was pleased.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    8. Re:Carter was a great President! by number6x · · Score: 3, Informative

      Thanks, I didn't mean to imply that but the way I wrote it sure does.

      Probably better to say that when Reagan made a deal with terrorists over the hostages held in Lebanon, having said those words with his icy stare previously, the Iranians knew he was a liar.

      The Iranian hostages were released in on January 20th, 1981 (the day Reagan was inaugurated) because the US and Iran had negotiated the release and signed the Algiers Accords of January 19th, 1981. Part of the Algiers accords had the Iranian revolutionary government releasing the hostages as part of its terms. It was the Carter administration that secured the release of the hostages as the last act of the Carter administration, bringing and end to the crisis that plagued his term in office. Carter had promised to bring them home, by any means. That would include dealing with the terrorists. The US was first referred to as the great satan, Iblis. Severeal western leaders, including Regan, have been compared to Iblis as well. The Iran Contra affair came to public attention in 1986, Reagan's second term. However, the actual events trade deals and shipments took place over several years during the first and second terms.

  2. Since discredited? by nekosej · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Star Trek is fiction, you realize. That ship taking pictures of Jupiter right now? Kirk isn't on it.

    --
    Never pet a burning dog.
    1. Re: Since discredited? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      Because there aren't any chicks on Jupiter.

    2. Re: Since discredited? by Crashmarik · · Score: 2

      Because there aren't any chicks on Jupiter.

      How do we know if we don't go ?

    3. Re: Since discredited? by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 3, Funny

      Probe Droids. Even the Empire uses them.

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
  3. Since discredited by jemmyw · · Score: 5, Insightful

    adhering to the since discredited notion that robotic space probes were adequate for exploring the universe.

    Since discredited by what? I think there might be some bias in the reporting there, because it should say "since credited by 4 decades of remote robotic exploration"

    1. Re:Since discredited by Hognoxious · · Score: 2

      I don't see anything like that in the Ars[e] article, so it looks like either the submitter or BeauHD made that bit up.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    2. Re:Since discredited by finlayson · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Since discredited by something that the OP pulled out of his ass...

    3. Re:Since discredited by tsotha · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If anything has been discredited it's the idea we need a manned space program for exploration.

    4. Re:Since discredited by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 2

      The claim isn't that robots have no use or that humans are better for exploration. Strictly speaking it only claims that there is some exploration that only humans can do well. If that is true, I don't know.

      Suppose we could put a couple of scientists on Mars, with tools, a rover, and lab equipment, and let them work for a few weeks (in reality they need to stay for a few months IIRC to get a feasible return trajectory to home). In those weeks, what would they be able to do in terms of science that a robot couldn't do? (The robot might take much longer but that doesn't matter as long as the battery and solar panels last). I've no idea.

      What humans are good at is adapting to new circumstances. If something new and unexpected is found on Mars, humans are much better equipped to get the most out of their limited time and equipment to get to the bottom of it.

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    5. Re:Since discredited by Big+Hairy+Ian · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Since discredited by what?

      Self driving cars! Oh no wait never mind.

      --

      Build a Man a Fire, and He'll Be Warm for a Day. Set a Man on Fire, and He'll Be Warm for the Rest of His Life.

    6. Re:Since discredited by JoeMerchant · · Score: 2

      Editorial license, if the notion of robotic probes being inadequate to explore the universe is discredited, we have yet to accomplish anything concrete in the restart of manned exploration - Orion is on a slow track to early cancellation.

    7. Re:Since discredited by painandgreed · · Score: 2

      The claim isn't that robots have no use or that humans are better for exploration. Strictly speaking it only claims that there is some exploration that only humans can do well.

      Yes, we could get lots of science done fairly quickly by putting a couple of people on Mars for a few months. However, it still comes down to that for the resources it would take to do that, we could put hundreds of robots on Mars that could work for years, each doing their own little specialized job, and do more science and get the results sooner.

      I hope we do send men to Mars but I seriously think people do not realize how much that will actually take to do and how long it will take. The ISS is the most expensive project mankind has worked on and it hasn't even left orbit. It's resupply missions don't have to leave orbit. It doesn't have to deal with deep space radiation. It doesn't have to support it's own independent landing and launch facilities. etc. etc. etc.

  4. What "discredited notion"? by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 5, Insightful

    the since discredited notion that robotic space probes were adequate for exploring the universe

    Hah. What? Robotic space probes are bloody brilliant for exploring the universe, and they've done far more of it than could have been achieved if we'd had to send a meatbag along for the ride.

    --
    systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    1. Re:What "discredited notion"? by gweihir · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Indeed. There is basically no human-based "space exploration", except for a few brief visits to the moon a long time ago. No, there is nothing to explore in low earth orbit, so the ISS does not count as "space exploration". All I see in the non-robotic space is grand and usually stupid and unworkable plans, while in the robotic space I see mars rovers going strong long after they were expected to, deep space probes still being useful after decades and so on.

      Anybody that thinks the notion of robots being the way to go in space exploration is "discredited" is a moron.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    2. Re:What "discredited notion"? by gtall · · Score: 2

      Yeah, sending a meatbag to Pluto would have been a real thrill for the meatbag. That last craft took 9 years. And that's only because we were able to chose the optimum orbital positions for Earth and Pluto. So, what, we gonna send Mr. Bag out for 9 years, assume he's not lost his mind on the journey and able to perform experiments for several months, then return Mr. Bag. Of course, with that kind of investment, we couldn't be sure Mr. Bag might not develop a sudden death along the way what with the radiation that tends to permeate space, we might consider sending more than one Bag.

      Let's assume we choose 3 bags. Now we'll be wanting to feed them for 18+ years otherwise they'll get cranky due to low blood sugar. We'll also need a bigger ship than the small thing-a-bob we did send. That will require more fuel for speeding up and slowing down because whizzing by Pluto probably won't leave a lot of time for experiments.

      There is also the problem that lack of gravity will tend to make muscles like the heart atrophy, so we'll be wanting to pack Mr. Gym-in-a-Box into the spacecraft.

      There are the space rocks in the asteroid belt to consider. Admittedly, the probability of being hit is small. Then again only a small pebble will doom the craft.

      We'll need to advertise for "subjects" to go on the mission: Wanted - three suicidally insane hearty individuals to go on a roughly 20 year mission to Pluto, be sure to see a lawyer to get a Last Will and Testament BEFORE you leave.

  5. Given that the shuttle program... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ... held back usable, affordable space flight for several decades, this was one program that was not worth saving.

    Unless, of course, all you care about in space flight is the feeling of awesomeness while getting exactly nowhere. Then the 250mn per "reusable space vehicle" flight might be well worth it?

  6. Interesting quote in article by dbIII · · Score: 3, Insightful

    “You’d have to be an idiot to get up in front of people and say, ‘I’m now going to trash $5 billion even though we’re that close to the finish line, and I’m going to quit human spaceflight.’
    Carter was not such an idiot.
    It would take Baby Bush to be that idiot and leave manned flight to the Russians.
    Maybe Obama is also an idiot for not trying to revive a gutted NASA while the capability was still there, but he would have had to fight being blocked all the way.

    1. Re:Interesting quote in article by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Insightful

      O is the one that has kept the CCDev going while the GOP wanted it dead. GOP did not want new space going, ESP. SPACEX.
      OTOH, O has kept the fundings flowing to CCDev, though it has been a battle all the way. Once we have human flight going, and allow new space to compete, we will see space costs plummet. This will allow us to not only do human flights, but also a lot more automated flights further in the solar system.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    2. Re:Interesting quote in article by dbIII · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The extra costs associated with starting up again instead of incremental progression are the price of stupidity.
      Also having even China ahead of us will make it difficult to "compete". The big deal about private space is a distraction - it was always as much private space as it is today. Grumman built the Eagle lander that first touched onto the moon and not NASA.

    3. Re:Interesting quote in article by Crashmarik · · Score: 2

      The Misconception: You make rational decisions based on the future value of objects, investments and experiences.

      The Truth: Your decisions are tainted by the emotional investments you accumulate, and the more you invest in something the harder it becomes to abandon it.
      Sunk Cost Fallacy: https://youarenotsosmart.com/2...

      How many people died on shuttle flights ? How much more expensive was the program than expendable launch vehicles ?

      The finish line was an expensive and dangerous vehicle that was more a hindrance to getting into space than a help. Hell we would have been better off just using the 5 billion to restart Saturn V production. The knowledge and materials were considerably more available back then.

      Obama, you're kidding MR "Nasa should be about Muslim outreach" ??

    4. Re:Interesting quote in article by jonwil · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The biggest problem is that the idiots in congress (or more specifically those that represent specific parts of the country) have been forcing NASA to use space shuttle parts in its projects (Constellation and now SLS) even when those parts aren't the right parts for the job.

      That's a big part of why Congress doesn't like the "commercial crew" program, namely the fact that the new lightweight companies like SpaceX, Blue Origin, Sierra Nevada etc dont provide all that pork in key congressional districts the way the old guard like Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Orbital ATK etc are doing.

    5. Re:Interesting quote in article by Rei · · Score: 2

      Restarting Saturn V production wasn't a reasonable choice either, unless you also had the budget to fund the sort of missions that the Saturn V was designed to launch.

      The Shuttle was a classic case of the hazards of ignoring TRL. It should have been designed as a small-scale tech deliverable, which may or may not also prove to provide great economic advantages in spaceflight as only a secondary objective - not as a giant vehicle designed from scratch to be the cornerstone of all launch business in the western world. It's just way too risky to try to make huge jumps like that. We would have gotten just as much useful data from a mini test-shuttle as we did from the big expensive one.

      I think the Apollo program gave exactly the wrong lesson (that the best things come from giant leaps). Maybe if you can dedicate a percent or two of your GDP to the thing, sure, but otherwise, that's just too dangerous of an approach. You don't learn to crawl by running a marathon.

      IMHO one of the biggest problems with NASA is the fact that it ever came into being. The NACA model, where the agency was an entity for funding basic research and cooperative collaboration with external entities toward the advancement of the state of the art, rather than a body for carrying out congressional megaproject-mandates, seems much more desirable.

      --
      Hourglass says she knows a kid in Iowa who grows up to be president.
    6. Re:Interesting quote in article by Megane · · Score: 2

      The difference is:

      Old Space = "cost plus" contracts - Whoops, we've gone over the budget, but keep paying us until we're done!

      New Space = fixed-price contracts - Whoops, our rocket went RUD from a bad strut, now we have to launch another one without you giving us more money! *

      (Yes, I know they lost some expensive cargo, even if they had enabled the Dragon capsule to pop its chute. The final resolution was to add four new launch missions at a discounted price.)

      --
      #naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
    7. Re:Interesting quote in article by swillden · · Score: 3, Informative

      The important thing is that on a fixed price, the launch provider gets more profit if they reduce launch costs and schedules. On cost-plus, the provider is incentivized to have cost overruns and schedule slips.

      I have several good friends who work for ATK, maker of the shuttle boosters among lots of other aerospace components. They say the old and new approaches are radically different... so different that ATK is having a hell of a time making the transition. The old organizational structure was enormous, with tremendous amounts of fat and redundancy at every level, because cost management was not a concern, at all. At best they basically ignored costs, at worst they actively worked to increase costs, because that boosted profits. Learning how to operate like a real business has required a complete restructuring of their world, including massive layoffs not just to cut costs but to remove all of the people with decades of "cost plus" methodology ingrained into their thought processes.

      Old space and new space are both largely private, but they're dramatically different, even aside from Musk's ambitions.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
  7. Not impressed by tsotha · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The shuttle was a terrible program. It set the space program back thirty years by cementing in the public mind the idea manned spaceflight must always be far more expensive than the value of any possible benefit.

    And the idea Carter is some sort of hero because he was too weak to say "Let's not throw good money after bad..."? Ugh.

    1. Re:Not impressed by Richard_at_work · · Score: 2

      If you want to read a thrilling, in-depth and well researched background to the Space Shuttle, including its links to the Manned Orbital Laboratory program, then read "Into the Black" by Rowland White - excellent commentary on the Airforce/NASA relationship (its often construed that the Airforces requirements crippled the Shuttle, when in-fact it was highly likely that the Shuttle would have been cancelled completely had the Airforce not been forced to be involved), spy satellites, the MOL program and the Shuttles first mission.

  8. Robots are discredited? News to me... by gweihir · · Score: 4, Insightful

    In fact, when I look for any successes in space exploration (and no, low earth orbit does not count as "exploration"), all I see is robots and what I see is that many of them are wildly successful.

    It seems the story writer is an idiot.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  9. Re:Wow, that's some serious spin by Eunuchswear · · Score: 2

    half our ships were sailing unarmend

    You may or may not have been in the Navy, but you are a lying bullshitter.

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  10. Hindsight is 20/20 by sjbe · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ... held back usable, affordable space flight for several decades, this was one program that was not worth saving.

    That's obvious in hindsight. For those of us old enough to remember the shuttle when it was new I can tell you anyone who thought that about the shuttle at the time was mostly keeping it to themselves. Yes it was a dead end but it took a while to realize that. That happens sometimes. At the time the shuttle seemed like the next logical evolution of spaceflight.

    Unless, of course, all you care about in space flight is the feeling of awesomeness while getting exactly nowhere.

    Manned spaceflight has had tremendous benefit to humanity. The amount of technology development that has come from the manned program has been tremendous due to the challenge of the task. The information value of manned spaceflight is easy to overlook but it should not be. We've probably gotten more economic benefit from manned spaceflight than from probes and I would argue that the scientific value has been at least equal.

    The argument of probe vs manned space flight is an idiotic one. We need both. Probes can tell us things that would be hard to learn or take MUCH longer and are quite economical for many mission profiles. But there are many things we can only learn though manned spaceflight and the technology and economic side benefits tend to be bigger as well. We need both and to present it as an either/or really is doing all of us a huge disservice in the long run.

    1. Re:Hindsight is 20/20 by Gavagai80 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The reason manned spaceflight developed better technologies is that more money was thrown at it. Give robotic space exploration an Apollo-sized budget and we might see even greater technological advances. Imagine the tech we'd have to develop to drill into Europa, make submarines for Titan, construct rovers that can survive on Venus, or reach other star systems.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    2. Re:Hindsight is 20/20 by rubycodez · · Score: 2

      Wrong, we have not had manned exploration of another world for over four decades. Almost all tech for the space program was developed for unmanned flights, before and after the moon program.

      The argument for manned space flight at this point in time is an idiotic one, only in the far future could there ever be any kind of benefit. The way we support human life at the present is too primative, prolonged habitation of any space craft or the ISS causes massive damage to the human body. It's not the right way

  11. Exploring close to home and far by sjbe · · Score: 2, Informative

    low earth orbit does not count as "exploration"

    Disagree. With the caveat that it is exploration as long as you learn something. And we've learned a lot from our activities in nearby space. It doesn't have the pretty pictures we get from planetary probes but the technology and economic benefits we get from spaceflight are almost entirely from our activities in low to geosync orbit as is virtually all of what we have learned about biology in space. Those probes we send to Jupiter and Pluto have their technology developed and proven in our low earth orbit activities. What we are doing there is definitely exploration unless you are using a needlessly restricted definition of the word.

    It seems the story writer is an idiot.

    Saying robotic probes are "discredited" is clearly wrong. They have clear and substantial scientific value and they account for a large portion of our understanding of our solar system and astronomy data.

  12. Both manned and unmanned spaceflight by sjbe · · Score: 2

    The reason manned spaceflight developed better technologies is that more money was thrown at it.

    R&D doesn't work quite like that. More money thrown into research does not automatically equal better results. It helps but the relationship isn't causal. The relationship is more of a correlation. You can throw a LOT of money into R&D and get very little to show for it sometimes. Similarly you often can get very good results without spending a fortune. What technology you get out of the R&D depends heavily on the problem domain. Some areas of research are more fertile ground for technology spinoffs than others. I have no doubt that more money thrown into space R&D (manned or unmanned) would result in better and faster advances but the reason manned spaceflight developed (generally) better tech had probably more to do with the problem domain and the ease of transfer to commercial applications than it did the budget.

    Give robotic space exploration an Apollo-sized budget and we might see even greater technological advances.

    We almost certainly would see greater advances. No argument there. But the thing is that the manned program necessarily develops technologies that are generally more transferable to human needs. The reasons for this should be obvious. Furthermore the Apollo budgets ended 40 years ago and despite substantially reduced budgets for manned spaceflight it has continued to be a treasure trove of valuable research and technology advances. I'd love to see both robotic and manned spaceflight go back to Apollo era budgets but to be frank that kind of misses the point. Whatever we do it is important to do both manned and unmanned space exploration. We would be negligent if we neglect one or the other.

    Imagine the tech we'd have to develop to drill into Europa, make submarines for Titan, construct rovers that can survive on Venus, or reach other star systems.

    And imagine the tech we would have to develop to GO to Europe or be in that submarine on Titan. You seem to have missed the point. I'm not arguing for manned or robotic spaceflight. I'm pointing out that we get a huge amount of benefit in the form of technology from our manned program AND our robotic programs and we'd be idiots to neglect either one. The benefits from each are different but I don't see one as more important than the other.

    1. Re:Both manned and unmanned spaceflight by oh_my_080980980 · · Score: 2

      Unless you mean Tang there is nothing that resulted only from manned space flight that had any benefit on man-kind. It's a loss leader.

  13. Saved the space shuttle, killed the metric system by mark-t · · Score: 2

    Pretty amazing what a fella can do with only 4 years to do it in.

  14. Since discredited? Been to Mars lately? by number6x · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Since discredited? Been to Mars lately?

    Mars is a planet entirely populated by robots.

    We built the robots and sent them there, but it is still a planet entirely populated by robots.

  15. Shuttle, Saturn [Re:Interesting quote in article] by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 2

    I will suggest instead that the problem with the shuttle was that it was kept in service so long.

    In the 1960s, we went from launching humans on Redstone, to Titan-II, to Saturn 1B, to Saturn V. Four generations of human launch vehicles in ten years.

    In the 1970s, we developed: shuttle. One vehicle in a decade.

    In the 1980s, we developed-- nothing new.

    The problem isn't that the shuttle didn't turn out to be as cheap and as reliable as it had been expected to be. The problem is that we stopped the practice of try something, learn what works and what doesn't, and then design something new.

    You learn by doing. It's no flaw if something doesn't work as well as you hoped... that's the way to find out, to try it. But that only works as long as you can learn from it and design something better the next time.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  16. Re:Shuttle, Saturn [Re:Interesting quote in articl by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The problem is that you hit material and physical limits. That's the end of the space fantasies, you neck-bearded virgin. Look at air travel, same thing there too, a lot of development in a short period, then... coasting. We don't even have the Concorde anymore, you four-eyed sci-fi writing nerd.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Logistic_function

    I'm sorry you're so emotionally invested in dead fantasies and metal boxes that go into space that you can't see the reality that's right in front of you.

    And in case you don't get it, here are those realities:
    1) Manned "space exploration" is a joke, it always was. Vannevar Bush knew it, why don't you?
    2) Space is a dead end, it's a deadly empty radiation-blasted vacuum with less in it than a vacuum tube.
    3) There are no space spinoffs, the technology came first.
    4) It's over, finished, done. The Space Age fantasies will never, ever happen. Ever.

  17. Discredited? Really? by duckintheface · · Score: 3, Insightful

    "adhering to the since discredited notion that robotic space probes were adequate for exploring the universe." Uh, forgot a source for this one. :) Not only are robotic probes "adequate" but they are essential, since humans are fragile bags of water that can't withstand heat, cold, radiation, or lack of oxygen.

    I wonder how much more knowledge about our solar system we would have if we hadn't wasted so much money and political capital on human space flight. And please don't tell me we are going to send humans on a generation ship to Wolf 1061c. (maybe frozen embryo's to be raised by an AI but that's it)

    --
    "He took a duck in the face at 250 knots." -- William Gibson, Pattern Recognition
  18. He was the kind of pres people THINK they want. by hey! · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Reagan scared the crap out of a lot of the rest of the world.

    Which only a fool thinks is a good thing. But there are a lot of fools who fantasize about other people being submissive toward them because they're scared. The problem is that scared people don't necessarily act submissively. They often respond aggressively as well.

    Put in a Cold War context, the Soviets and the US were in a Mexican standoff, with both sides having their hammers cocked and fingers on the nuclear trigger. In that situation you don't want to alarm anyone, but that is exactly what the senile fool did.

    That summed up the election right there, Americans didn't want another 4 more years of someone who could be attacked by a rabbit.

    I voted in that election, and I remember it well. You capture the way people were thinking accurately, but not critically. Anyone can be attacked by a (possibly rabid) animal; it wasn't a real issue. There were three actual substantive things people were reacting to in the election: (1) stagflation, (2) the Iran hostage crisis, (3) the energy crisis. While Carter's leadership style might leave a lot to be desired, it's hard to criticize his actions in any of these situations.

    (1) Stagflation was the result of his and Paul Volker's successful attempt to ward off imminent hyperinflation by a combination of austerity (reducing the federal debt-to-gdp ratio of 3.3%) and sky high Federal Funds rates. Economic growth resumed pretty much in sync with the reductions in Fed interest rates, in fact under the last Carter budget (Presidents in their first year govern under their predecessor's last budget). Arguably milder steps might have done the job without causing the recession, but the fact that inflation continued even as the Federal Funds rate hit 20% suggest that weaker measures wouldn't have worked.

    (2) Carter's handling of the Iran crisis is probably what brought his presidency down, but it came down to this: the military was still dealing with the aftermath of the Vietnam war and couldn't execute the rescue mission successfully. Contrary to popular myth Carter actually raised military spending, from 282 billion under the last Ford budget to 303 billion under the last Carter budget. Yes, some big programs were eliminated or trimmed, but ironically operations and maintenance was a major area of increased spending in Carter's budgets.

    (3) The second oil crisis was caused by the Iran Iraq War. In response Carter deregulated oil prices, which caused domestic production to rise and imports to fall.

    In short, Carter was the kind of president people think they want: honest, prudent, and responsible willing to do unpopular things because they were right. Had two of the eight helicopters in Operation Eagle Claw failed instead of three, he'd be remembered very differently.

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    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  19. Probes are discredited? by HeckRuler · · Score: 2

    how President Jimmy Carter saved the space shuttle program.

    I like Carter. But I guess no one is perfect.

    tl;dr: They told Carter that the shuttle would help spy on and verify Russia's compliance with arms treaties.

    President Carter was not all that enthused about human space flight to begin with, adhering to the since discredited notion that robotic space probes were adequate for exploring the universe.

    ...what? Robotic space probes are most certainly adequate for exploring the universe. At least they are now. In 1978, they had just launched Voyager 1, which was a huge success, right? So it was looking pretty true THEN as well. Jimmy was right on the ball. Just how and when was this crazy notion of sending tools into space discredited?

    But ANYWAY, the space shuttle program was a bit of a boondogle. It wasn't worthless, and it achieved a great many things. But all in all, there were better solutions and it never delivered on it's big selling points:

    - It wasn't cheaper and faster

    - It never captured Russian satellites and brought them back to earth for reverse engineering

    Back in 1970, to win Department of Defense support at the program’s outset, NASA had redesigned the shuttle to launch national security payloads. Now, that decision paid off

    ...Why put the payload inside of the shuttle on top of rocket and not just put the payload on top of a rocket like before and after the shuttle?

  20. Hubble and Spy Satellites by tomhath · · Score: 2

    The shuttle was never about science.

    The reason for the shuttle was to launch, repair, and recover spy satellites. It was also used to launch and repair the Hubble (which is nothing more than a spy satellite looking up instead of down).

  21. Re:Tech transfer by bigdavex · · Score: 2

    It wouldn't be cheaper. It would be substantially more expensive because the research was undirected. Spinoffs come from solving one problem and finding a use for the technology elsewhere. If you don't solve the original problem you don't develop the technology to spin off. It's not the only way to do things but undirected research is difficult to fund and justify. Engineers don't go around solving problems at random as a general proposition. Students rarely solve serious engineering problems at all.

    The proposed alternative to directed engineering for space flight is directed engineering for other stuff, not random engineering. I think space exploration is neat, but I reject the argument that it's uniquely justified because it's hard and creates spin-offs.

    Curing cancers is hard. Building fusion reactors is hard. Detecting gravity waves is hard. If those things are more important (and they arguably are), then do those things and hope they accidentally apply to the space program.

    What idiot would argue that the trying to cure cancer would be more likely to advance rocket design than trying to design better rockets? Why is the inverse considered a serious argument? It's just propaganda for people who don't think space exploration is neat.

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    -Dave
  22. Re:Discredited? Really? by coastwalker · · Score: 2

    Agreed robotic space probes ARE adequate for exploring the universe. The only reason anyone sends meat sacks into space these days is to do experiments on low orbit space stations. Going anywhere further requires wasting money at a rate that only politicians flattering their own vanity can afford. The last time humans were part of the space race was in the 1970's.

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    Facts are history now plebs have politics for religion on social media.