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Astronomers To Announce Discovery of a Nearby 'Earth-Like' Planet (seeker.com)

astroengine quotes a report from Seeker: Scientists are preparing to unveil a new planet in our galactic neighborhood which is "believed to be Earth-like" and orbits its star at a distance that could favor life, German weekly Der Spiegel reported Friday. The exoplanet orbits a well-investigated star called Proxima Centauri, part of the Alpha Centauri star system, the magazine said, quoting anonymous sources.

"The still nameless planet is believed to be Earth-like and orbits at a distance to Proxima Centauri that could allow it to have liquid water on its surface -- an important requirement for the emergence of life," said the magazine.

It's orbiting our sun's nearest neighboring star -- just 4.25 light years away -- meaning it could someday be considered for the world's first interstellar mission.

347 comments

  1. interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    "meaning it could someday be considered for the world's first interstellar mission."

    This is the longest timescale for 'someday' ever. Not going to happen in the lifetime of any descendent we can imagine.

    If there was anyone on that planet, we could talk to them for sure. But no visiting is going to happen before humans cease to be creatures we recognise as the same as us.

    1. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Also it's insane to think that humans could ever fly like birds in the sky, that the horseless buggy could ever outpace a solid 8-steed-wagon, or that the demons causing polio will ever be driven out by the power of Christ.

      You fucking moron.

    2. Re:interstellar mission by currently_awake · · Score: 0

      It's close enough we could send a probe. Making an anti-matter powered rocket is doable with current technology, if we had a really good reason to spend the cash. In about a hundred years such a probe mission would be within NASA's budget, at the current rate of tech advancement.

    3. Re:interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      Making an anti-matter powered rocket is doable with current technology

      Uhm, no. That would require:
      - an antimatter rocket engine
      - antimatter containment
      - antimatter

      None of those is "current technology". We can create beams of antimatter (particles, not even atoms), but with terrible efficiency.
      Of these, we can only trap a few dozens at a time, and not for very long. Once they escape containment, they disappear in a "puff" of gamma rays.
      If we could contain more antimatter, it would probably be used to build more powerful bombs first, so I'm kinda hoping it won't be in the near future.

    4. Re:interstellar mission by bosef1 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Making an antimatter rocket is "do-able" for some value of do-able, but making the antimatter is whole 'nother issue. According to Wikipedia, estimates put the cost of a gram of antimatter somewhere between $25 billion (2006) and $62 trillion (1999). Given the 2014 gross world product was about $78 trillion, the puts the price somewhere between "a lot" and "all of the money".

      If we started now, I guess we could build a two-copy redundant probe set in 20-50 years that would take 400-4000 years to get to Proxima using either ion propulsion or nuclear pulse propulsion (Orion type) (assume max roughly 1% light speed). The probe set would cost $10-1,000 billion depending on how you amortize costs, R&D and NRE, launch facilities, and fuel. The US, EU, and China have GDPs of roughly $17, $17, and $11 trillion, respectively, so that's the scale you'd be working against.

    5. Re:interstellar mission by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

      We could probably do a regular-matter probe that'd get there in a hundred years, as long as it's an extremely light micro-probe which only does a flyby. The thing about sending a probe though is that it might be more cost-effective to build a bigger telescope to get the same data. It's not necessarily better to get a tiny probe close for a brief flyby than to develop the tech to look from afar.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    6. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So.... got any ideas how to cross Interstellar space yet?

    7. Re:interstellar mission by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      We could probably do a regular-matter probe that'd get there in a hundred years, as long as it's an extremely light micro-probe which only does a flyby.

      I have read proposals to do exactly that, using a probe about the size of a postage stamp, and using a 1x1 meter solar sail made of mylar. The proposal was by a group of high school students. It would launch from a Cubesat, and would cost ~$10k. The hardest part was figuring out how to steer the contraption with sufficient accuracy.

    8. Re:interstellar mission by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      Oh yeah, thats the hardest part. The steering. We launch probes the size of postage stamps all the time to go to other star systems. Well we WOULD have done it, except we couldn't figure out the steering.

    9. Re:interstellar mission by NotInHere · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Nope, anti-matter is not just a theory. It has been confirmed to exist in the first half of the last century: https://home.cern/topics/antim...

      Antimatter can be used as very efficient rocket fuel, so you would have to carry less weight.

      The problem however is how to do efficient production of antimatter.

      Also, you would still have to carry some kind of propellant with you.

    10. Re:interstellar mission by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 2

      This civilization has seen our I Love Lucy broadcasts, and is planning war.

    11. Re:interstellar mission by ScentCone · · Score: 1

      Christ, space nutters are delusional. Anti-matter rockets? Don't you realize that anti-matter is simply a theory? It isn't something you just stuff in a rocket. Christ.

      Yes, talking about visiting is nuts. But you're objectively wrong about the "just a theory" part, anti-matter-wise. That doesn't make it practical or even plausible from an engineering perspective, but your understanding of it is simply incorrect.

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    12. Re:interstellar mission by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 1

      Don't you realize that anti-matter is simply a theory?

      Antimatter has been created and stored (quote below) and noted here Q & A: How to make antimatter, so it's more than a theory, but doing so in large quantities and using it is still a wild impracticability.

      This has been done at CERN, the European centre for nuclear research, by slowing the antiprotons in a machine called the AD (Antiproton Decelerator). Electric and magnetic forces then gather them together with positrons. Since 2009, ALPHA has trapped atoms in a magnetic bottle on a few hundred occasions.

      In 2011, the ALPHA experiment at CERN managed to make atoms of antihydrogen, the antimatter equivalent of hydrogen, and store them for nearly 17 minutes.

      --
      It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    13. Re: interstellar mission by brasselv · · Score: 1

      I believe your heart is in the right place, but you won't help this challenging endeavor by calling names your fellow human travelers.

      --
      "Whenever people agree with me I always feel I must be wrong." (Oscar Wilde)
    14. Re:interstellar mission by kuzb · · Score: 1

      You don't know as much as you think you do. Not only is Antimatter real, scientists have been making it for over 100 years for experiments and study.

      --
      BeauHD. Worst editor since kdawson.
    15. Re:interstellar mission by Gr8Apes · · Score: 2

      Christ, space nutters are delusional. Anti-matter rockets? Don't you realize that anti-matter is simply a theory? It isn't something you just stuff in a rocket. Christ.

      Sure, anti-matter rockets are merely theoretical. Anti-matter, however, exists.

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    16. Re:interstellar mission by kuzb · · Score: 2

      Sorry, that should be 10 years, not 100.

      --
      BeauHD. Worst editor since kdawson.
    17. Re: interstellar mission by beelsebob · · Score: 4, Insightful

      No, what AC was pointing out was that a mere 100 years ago, people made sweeping statements like "no one in our lifetime will ever fly". We were flying in commercial jet airliners less than 30 years later, and landing on the moon another 20 after that. The pace of advancement in the last 100 years has been enormous, and shows no real signs of slowing down. The idea that there's 0 chance that any of us will see an interplanetary or interstellar mission is crazy.

    18. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      EM drive, also zuckerberg's diminutive spaceships

    19. Re:interstellar mission by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 0

      And in a few years they'll see Trump and figure it's not worth the trip.

    20. Re:interstellar mission by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Oh yeah, thats the hardest part. The steering.

      Indeed. The target is about a second of arc squared. There is no way to just point it in the right direction and go, but in-route adjustments are hard because of the lack of power in deep space. The students' proposal was for the "sail" to be an inflated sphere, with aluminum coating on half, and carbon black coating on the other half. It could then be rotated to steer with differential thrust. The reflective surface gives slightly more thrust than the absorbent surface. The plan was to leave solar orbit with enough accuracy to get close the target star (maybe 100 AUs) so that it could collect enough energy to power up, and then use that power to steer itself closer and closer to the target star. You would be doing this with electronics that have been in space for over a century, and hopefully your great-great grandkids are listening when the signal arrives.

    21. Re:interstellar mission by Toutatis · · Score: 1

      Don't you realize that anti-matter is simply a theory?

      Scientific theories are the most reliable, rigorous, and comprehensive form of scientific knowledge.

    22. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well said!

    23. Re: interstellar mission by The_Rook · · Score: 2

      a solar sail with a number of cubesats as the payload.

      with a lightweight payload, a solar sail could reach a significant fraction of the speed of light, letting a spacecraft make the journey to proximal centauri in six to eight years, within the lifespan of a robot probe.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_sail

      CubeSats are small and light enough for several to be packed into a solar sail payload. the individual sats can be configured for separate tasks like imaging, field measurements, etc. perhaps with some extras for redundancy.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CubeSat

      i think the cubesats would still need some sort of relay satellite to receive their transmissions and send them on to earth, but a large number of small satellites would allow the solar sail probe the flexibility multiple points of interest.

      --
      when religion is no longer the opiate of the masses, governments will resort to real opiates.
    24. Re:interstellar mission by tie_guy_matt · · Score: 2

      Although I think you will find that we can indeed produce antimatter in very small quantities, I still enjoyed your comment. Anything that reminds me of the awesomeness that is Red Dwarf always makes me smile.

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

      Certainly the most underrated sci-fi comedy series ever.

    25. Re:interstellar mission by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      Actually they would probably not be offended by I Love Lucie. If they any of the reality TV shows we are doomed.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    26. Re:interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Since antimatter has been proven to exist and even manifactured and stored, I see your desperation is reaching the final stages of reality denial. Are you about to enact your plan for the Day of Reckoning? Will you fail to go on a killing spree and fail to kill yourself? Will you be able to outdo Elliot Rodger (fellow dejected nerd) and outfail him?

    27. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Anti-matter is real, moron.

    28. Re:interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Confluence sci-fi con had a panel on stuff like this, I think Geof Landis would know all the figures, Bob Forward proposed a laser driven solar sail interstellar probe. The massive orbital laser should be doable, and the probes are getting lighter weight all the time.

      NIls K. Hammer

    29. Re:interstellar mission by N3wsByt3 · · Score: 1

      You can say that again. Red Dwarf rules! ;-)

      That said, I don't know if it's *really* underrated; it was pretty popular in its day, and it has achieved cult status by now.

      --
      --- "To pee or not to pee, that is the question." ---
    30. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      With current tech if we really wanted to, we could accelerate a probe to about 10% speed of light, getting there in about 40 years. The EM drive technology, which isn't well understood but appears to work, theoretically could make a interstellar journey in much less time. Your pessimism is based on 20th century science and physics.

    31. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nature makes antimatter all the time through lightning bolts. Those flashes are bright because the electric charge is enough to ionize atoms and pull a few anti-particles out of space-time. Those rapidly annihilate with electrons giving a bright flash.

    32. Re: interstellar mission by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      Some things are possible. Some are not. People have imagine some giant bearded creature in the sky for thousands of years yet he's not any more real today than he was 6000 years ago.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    33. Re: interstellar mission by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      No, what AC was pointing out was that a mere 100 years ago, people made sweeping statements like "no one in our lifetime will ever fly"

      That would have been a silly thing to say 100 years ago considering hot air balloons had already existed for over 100 years and Zeppelins were being used to cross oceans.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    34. Re: interstellar mission by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      Just think of ALL THE INFORMATION it will beam back at us with it's 1/10th of a watt transmitter while it breezes through the Proxima system in 16 hours, at that speed.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    35. Re:interstellar mission by Dunbal · · Score: 2

      Don't you realize that anti-matter is simply a theory?

      That's good. Gravity is only a theory. Evolution is only a theory. God, on the other hand, is not even a theory.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    36. Re:interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly what type of signal would they be receiving from a postage stamp sized probe in another star system? Subspace?

    37. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Last I checked Gravity was a law; not a theory.

    38. Re:interstellar mission by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Exactly what type of signal would they be receiving from a postage stamp sized probe in another star system?

      I don't remember the exact details since I read the proposal a while ago, and I am not an RF guy, but I think their plan was to reel out a carbon-fiber directional antenna, and then use a very high gain antenna here on Earth as a receiver. Or something like that.

    39. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, because he needs a starship to escape through the great Barrier confining him to sha-ka-ree.

    40. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except is 4 ish LY. I have seen Alpha A and B. Key West in Spring FYI

      So it's TV from 2011-2012 yeah we arein trouble

    41. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I doubt you millennials will get us to Mars let alone out of the solar system. Science is hard and you are soft.

    42. Re:interstellar mission by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      The technology to send a probe to Proxima Centauri within a couple of decades more or less exists now. It only requires the will to do it.

    43. Re: interstellar mission by ceoyoyo · · Score: 3, Funny

      If only the solar sail spacecraft had some means of propulsion that could help it slow down at it's destination.

    44. Re:interstellar mission by ceoyoyo · · Score: 4, Funny

      That's a pretty intense rate of deflation. At that rate we'll all be walking around with antimatter keychains next year.

    45. Re:interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why do people sign in when they shitpost like this? I don't understand.

    46. Re:interstellar mission by skids · · Score: 1

      Or we could wait 25,000 years or so for it to get closer, and that would shave *years* off the trip :-)

    47. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Then you checked wrong. Gravity is, in fact, a theory. We know it exists, but we have no idea how it actually works.

      The problem is that some people describe hypothesis as theories, and so the word theory has become diluted in every day parlance, but it still has a very forgiving meaning in the academic world. What most people call theory is better describe as a hypothesis.

    48. Re:interstellar mission by penguinoid · · Score: 2

      This is the longest timescale for 'someday' ever. Not going to happen in the lifetime of any descendent we can imagine.

      Joke's on you, some of us plan to cure aging in the next several decades. Or at least give it a good try.

      --
      Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
    49. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Redundant

      Why couldn't sail be turned toward proxima to do this?

    50. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Sorry to break this to you but solving interstellar travel will be orders of magnitude more difficult than every problem that man has ever overcome combined. Your mind is too pathetic to even imagine the scales involved.

    51. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So since we can fly in airplanes, we will be visiting other star systems real soon now? Cool! Also, because we can fly in airplanes, it must mean that Star Trek transporters are possible too!

      As someone other than the guy you are responding to who also hates people like you, let me explain: if you think anything is flatly impossible or unachievable, kill yourself, you aren't fucking Human and you are consuming resources the rest of us need to do those things.

    52. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The only thing I'd trust Zuckerberg to do is decide which ads to spam the astronauts with during their years(decades) en route.

    53. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Collect fuel for antimatter engines by building solar-powered antimatter generators and parking them in close orbit around the sun.

    54. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And it will likely come some day as a breakthrough technology that allows it all to happen. Most progress is that way. Nobody can see a way of doing X, and all of a sudden, some innovation clears the way.

      But I wouldn't expect you to understand. Your mind seems too pathetic to imagine the possibilities.

    55. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because unlike you, real people can be wrong.

    56. Re: interstellar mission by bestweasel · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure that shining a giant laser pointer at the aliens is the best way to introduce ourselves.

    57. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You watch too many movies, kid.

    58. Re:interstellar mission by mcswell · · Score: 1

      But that's only because those ____ Klingons have cornered the market on dilithium crystals.

    59. Re:interstellar mission by mcswell · · Score: 1

      Which is entirely scary. How big would an antimatter bomb have to be in order to have the destructive power of an H-bomb? I guess it all depends on the size of the containment vessel and its power supply, because the amount of antimatter needed would be around 25 grams, I think. (I'm basing that on estimates elsewhere on the web, I haven't done the calculation myself; but roughly 50 grams of matter totally converted to energy per megaton equivalent.)

      I hope we can't produce large quantities of anti-matter for a very long time. Because I just don't trust the Starfleet Academy (or anyone else) to keep it under control.

    60. Re:interstellar mission by roc97007 · · Score: 1

      They didn't say *manned* mission. There exists a possibility of an unmanned probe. It could take its time getting there and back. The people who launched it wouldn't live to see it return, but there would be all kinds of cool data to be had from it while it went. Like Voyager today.

      --
      Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    61. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not crazy, and comparisons to atmospheric flight are faulty. There's no argument to be made there, just false equivalencies. I really wish scientists and engineers were forced to learn how to reason about things that aren't mathematically based. It would spare us about 80% of the intellectually bankrupt bullshit on this site.

      I mean, really, your only point is the rather bland 'you can't say that anything is absolutely impossible.' Wow, stop the presses. That's such an argument in favor of space-nerd dreams of interstellar travel in the foreseeable future.

    62. Re: interstellar mission by mcswell · · Score: 1

      Why would you need to pull anti-matter particles out to create a flash of visible light? Surely electrons dropping down a few energy levels into ordinary positively charged ions is enough. Happens at the surface of the Sun all the time.

    63. Re:interstellar mission by mcswell · · Score: 2

      I have it on good authority that they're coming to rescue the crew of the Minnow.

    64. Re: interstellar mission by Greyfox · · Score: 1

      Indeed. And so this discussion is the delightfully quaint discussion about how we'll eventually balloon to the moon of our times! Oh yes fuf fuf fuf I'm sure we'll be ballooning to Proxima Centauri in no time! *adjusts his monocle*

      --

      I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

    65. Re:interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Orion pulse could get you to 10% light speed.

    66. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You give up too easily.

    67. Re:interstellar mission by jandersen · · Score: 1

      Not to mention that while anti-matter/matter reactions do release an awful lot of energy, because it is in the form of gamma radiation, it will have little practical value, since gamma photons have a tendency to zip right through most things and offload all their energy in whatever they do manage to hit. Unless you make your rocket out of, I don't know, 100 meters of lead shielding or so, its passengers will simply evaporate. It might work, of course, if we could direct the radiation and hold on the whichever device is used to do so.

    68. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Give up? I'm not even working on space travel, so it would be impossible for me to give up on it. I'm going to hazard a guess that you haven't lifted a finger with regards to space travel either, so you have no position to speak from.

      _If_ humans ever do figure out how to travel between the stars, it will be in the very distant future.

    69. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, it's so simple! You should totally draw up some plans for that and take them to a space agency to get that done right away. I'm glad we have a super genius like you around who can solve these problems so easily!

    70. Re:interstellar mission by Rei · · Score: 1

      Maybe they meant antimatter-initiated microfission / microfusion? That's certainly much closer (although still not "current technology").

      There's some work on significantly improving antimatter production efficiencies (a couple orders of magnitude), although that still doesn't bring us to starship-levels. And significant work on traps. We absolutely can trap positrons... the density is terrible, though. But then again, in starship it's mass density that really matters, not volume density. And I know that improvements to traps is a significant research field.

      Re: engines, only positrons turn purely into gamma. Antiprotons turn into a mix of gamma and pions, and a fraction of the pions are charged. So you lose efficiency if you only funnel them out through a magnetic nozzle, but that is certainly current technology, magnetic nozzles for funneling charged particles are nothing new. As for gamma, it can be thermalized, but it requires a large rocket for a low thermalization efficiency and ISP below what would be desired. Perhaps combination with a ram scoop could make up for it.

      So no, they're not current technology, you're absolutely right. But they might be at some point in the future.

      I have often pondered using an artificial toroidal magnetosphere orbiting through Earths, or better Jupiter's, magnetosphere, to concentrate plasma enough to thermalize it and then use standard magnetic separation techniques along the central dense focus to remove the resultant antiprotons from the high-energy ions (thermalized = maxwellian distribution = some ions in the GeV range). Not sure how well it'd work in practice, though. You'd also get some limited fusion. The plasma in the Io torus is about 100eV (~1e9 K) but "dense", while the plasma further out is gets into the tens of keV (~e11) - hotter than ITER and tens of time hotter than the core of the sun, but increasingly sparse. There's also a variety of techniques one could do to increase the plasma temperature at the cost of decreasing the net flux. The natural flux in the vicinity of Io is about 2000 particles per cubic centimeter, which isn't much, but the research on artificial magnetospheres shows that you can inflate rather large (dozens to hundreds of kilometers) ones with reasonable masses (although toroidal would be expected to be more challenging... but you need a central focus)

      All of that said... for interstellar missions, with near-term technology, my money would be on fission fragment propulsion.

      --
      No, she's fine. My associate is vomiting for a totally unrelated reason.
    71. Re:interstellar mission by Rei · · Score: 1

      Anything involving "massive orbital objects consuming unthinkable amounts of power" is not near-term technology.

      Surface lasers... maybe. For extremely light probes, at least. COIL, with exhaust recovery and regeneration, could net you something like 20-30% system efficiency, with an excellent capital cost to power output ratio. The chlorine is recovered as potassium chloride, which returns to the needed potassium hydroxide and chlorine with electrolysis. The exhaust, scrubbed in water, yields iodic acid and other iodine compounds which are readily converted back to iodine with heat, and in the case of iodic acid, oxygen as a byproduct. Hydrogen peroxide is generated from H2 and O2. So the inputs that you need are H2, electricity, and heat. You get all of these things from hydrocarbon gassification and separation with cogeneration.

      --
      No, she's fine. My associate is vomiting for a totally unrelated reason.
    72. Re: interstellar mission by stevelinton · · Score: 3, Informative

      For the velocities in question (say > 10% of light speed) the sail would need to be accelerated using lasers -- sunlight isn't bright enough for a large enough proportion of the journey to be useful.

      For the same reason it would not get enough thrust from Proxima's light to brake to a stop (or slow down much as all) especially as Proxima is a dim red dwarf.

      It might be possible to do better with a magsail, but probably better to focus on recording as much data as possible during a fly-through and then transmitting it back to Earth over the succeeding years, much along the lines of New Horizons at Pluto. With a little cunning the sail can probably serve as the main antenna.

    73. Re:interstellar mission by Big+Hairy+Ian · · Score: 1

      Not to put a damper on this for every one but Proxima Centauri is the 3rd Star in A trinary star system and is roughly 10% the mass of the Sun so being in the habitable zone will probably preclude it from being habitable because of the increased radiation and solar flares (This being the tiny companion star orbiting two roughly Sun sized stars just think of the solar flares caused by tidal forces).

      --

      Build a Man a Fire, and He'll Be Warm for a Day. Set a Man on Fire, and He'll Be Warm for the Rest of His Life.

    74. Re: interstellar mission by telchine · · Score: 1

      No, what AC was pointing out was that a mere 100 years ago, people made sweeping statements like "no one in our lifetime will ever fly".

      They were bloody stupid if they did say that considering people had been flying for well over a century before that and in aeroplanes for 13 years!

    75. Re:interstellar mission by samwichse · · Score: 1

      Heck, at 4.25 LY away, this civilization has seen Lost randomly flail around and have a terrible ending.

      And now they're planning war.

      Sam

    76. Re:interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Agree. Any new source of energy is usually used in an uncontrolled application before it is controlled (oil for starting fires before lamps & engines, fission, fusion is currently only uncontrolled, etc.)

      That being said depending on the "solution" to the energy-density required for single stage multiple reuse interplanetary flight problem may also allow some interstellar flight with further development. It will depend on the scalability of future development of the technology (increasing storage, increasing efficiency, increasing reliability, etc. to get more range and velocity). Aircraft just prior to WWI were capable of great things but flying such an unreliable thing over open ocean was insane. Today we take this for granted.

    77. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can't break the laws of physics. Some things simply are not possible. A trip to Proxima Centauri with any conceivable technology we could muster would take upwards of 20,000 years.

    78. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We've made anti-hydrogen.

    79. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The calculation would be E=mc^2.

    80. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The pace of advancement has slowed down greatly. We are advancing horizontally rather than vertically. So Genetics and microprocessing have advanced greatly but we aren't really flying faster than in the 1960's. Interstellar flight by humans will require a number of fundamental leaps where we do not have the payback on those leaps from our common everyday needs. The prior human tech advancements you mentioned all had practical applications that paid for their continued development. I could see a launch of a probe to this planet in the lifetimes of some of us. I feel a mission to Mars in our lifetimes is optimistic.

    81. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Using what for a power source? Assuming a small spacecraft the size of New Horizons and a 100% efficient propulsion system, you need 215 gigajoules of energy just to get there and do a flyby. And the powerplant needs to last 40 years. This doesnt include extra weight for the power plant and propulsion system. Plus you have a serious problem communicating any data back to Earth from that far away.

    82. Re: interstellar mission by Trax3001BBS · · Score: 1

      Also it's insane to think that humans could ever fly like birds in the sky, that the horseless buggy could ever outpace a solid 8-steed-wagon, or that the demons causing polio will ever be driven out by the power of Christ.

      You fucking moron.

      The chances of it being habited by human like beings is a leap.

      For us to become what we are today took at least 5 mass extinction events to allow evolution, and a nitch. http://www.bbc.co.uk/nature/ex.... Even then it only takes one to bring about a new species to take our place.

      Our DNA shows we all come from a single female, she's considered one who survived a catastrophic event.

      For us - you to exist everything had to go right, and one needs to really appreciate each day as we got lucky, as so many things had to fall into place.

      Yet no, humans will never acquire wings to fly, our breast isn't nor ever will be large enough.

    83. Re:interstellar mission by Rei · · Score: 1

      Any propulsion technology can get you to any speed, the question is what sort of scaling factor you're willing to put up with.

      And Orion is old tech; it's not really that great. Even as far as nuclear pulse propulsion goes. Medusa is much better in pretty much every regard (efficiency, ability to scale down, radiation exposure to the crew, shock absorption, etc). But non-pulse-propulsion techs are probably best. Check out, for example, fission fragment rockets. Scales down all the way to probe-size, no need for bombs, no "tons of energy released in a short burst", and much more efficient. In terms of performance, it's like a VASIMR engine operating at full thrust for years to decades, with no need for external power. If you went up to larger scales, you might be able to do a fast reactor version and get rid of the moderator and its associated cooling (the heaviest part); the current version has the core surrounded by a moderator (both to reflect the neutrons back in and moderate them down). With a large enough core you could ensure that most neutron free paths would be reflected within the core itself before fissioning (and any external reflector would scale proportional to r^2 anyway while the core mass scales at r^3). Still need to control the reactor temperature, but scattering from high-Z targets transfers a lot less energy to them.

      --
      No, she's fine. My associate is vomiting for a totally unrelated reason.
    84. Re:interstellar mission by stevelinton · · Score: 1

      Actually most of the energy comes out as charged pions which you can direct with a magnetic field. Electrons and positrons produce gamma rays, but protons and anti-protons produce a much messier result.

    85. Re:interstellar mission by jandersen · · Score: 1

      We live and learn :-) Thanks for enlightening me.

    86. Re:interstellar mission by kheldan · · Score: 1

      "meaning it could someday be considered for the world's first interstellar mission."

      Sure. All we need to do is get past this trivial little hurdle of using chemical reaction motors to move things. Will someone look up Zefram Cochrane in the White Pages and tell him to go apply for a job at NASA or (more likely) SpaceX? We'll need that warp drive ASAP, and get a team on designing navigational deflectors and subspace communications while you're at it, k? Just don't let Musk have anything to do with the navigation systems, we don't need the first warp-capable human spacecraft crashing into the Moon or something because it got rushed to market.

      --
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    87. Re: interstellar mission by cyberchondriac · · Score: 1

      Parent never said it would not ever happen, he said "not in our lifetime". Or descendant we can imagine as modern day human.
      Okay, I'm not sure I agree with his last part, as 1,000 years from now, who knows? - but it won't happen in our lifetimes, nor our great great grand children's lifetimes. Have you any idea how far 4.25 light years really is? Interstellar is a whole new scale of distance.We don't have any kind of technology remotely capable of reaching that distance with manned craft, and even a robotic craft with our latest cutting edge technology (ion drive, EM drive) would take tens of thousands of years to reach PC, currently.
      No one should say "never", but at the same time, some pragmatism is called for. It's a little depressing, but realist: it'd be a far greater challenge than anything mankind has attempted before.

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    88. Re:interstellar mission by cyberchondriac · · Score: 1

      And I suppose time is just a concept?

      --

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    89. Re:interstellar mission by cyberchondriac · · Score: 1

      No, they've seen Japanese hentai and are coming to get their rocks off.

      --

      Look back up at my post, now look back down, you're on the Internet. Now look back up. I'm a signature.
    90. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I believe your heart is in the right place, but you won't help this challenging endeavor by calling names your fellow human travelers.

      They aren't Human if they think things are impossible.

    91. Re:interstellar mission by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

      If we started now, I guess we could build a two-copy redundant probe set in 20-50 years that would take 400-4000 years to get to Proxima using either ion propulsion or nuclear pulse propulsion (Orion type) (assume max roughly 1% light speed).

      Where are you getting 1% from? Most estimates including from Freeman Dyson himself are much higher. More like 5-10% of the speed of light.
      My guess would be more like 50-100 years to build a Lagrange point manufacturing facility, another 100-200 years to build the massive nuclear pulse ship, and then 50-100 years to actually get to Proxima Centauri. Of course if we could launch the ship from earth we could potentially save the time building the massive space based manufacturing facility, but it's unlikely we'd be willing to expel so much radioactive fallout on our little planet.

      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    92. Re: interstellar mission by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

      We've had the tech to get to Proxima Centauri in half a century since the 1960s. Only reason we don't already have an unmanned probe there is because of financial and political issues. We don't lack the tech. No new tech would be needed for such a mission. I do agree however that an ion drive isn't going to do it. Luckily we have this thing called nuclear fission, a true wonder created way back in the 20th century. Just imagine if our world had had the vision to move forward with Freeman Dyson's propulsion system in a serious way and we had started building the ship 60 years ago. I sometimes wonder if it is capitalism that is to blame for our lack of interest in such missions. After all we humans *could have* build just such a ship. It could have been done *for free* just through volunteer labor. If every engineer had spent all of their free time contributing to the project we might have a live video feed at this newly discovered planet right now.

      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    93. Re: interstellar mission by Blaskowicz · · Score: 1

      Find a way to turn matter into antimatter at negligible energy cost then annihilate the matter with antimatter.

    94. Re:interstellar mission by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

      And Orion is old tech; it's not really that great

      It doesn't have to be. It just has to work. It just has to get us to Proxima Centauri in 50-100 years. Are you saying that fission fragment rockets are current tech? Is it really viable now? I mean at least as compared to Freeman Dyson's old system? I hadn't heard of fission fragment propulsion before. It looks interesting. Has the math been done with respect to interstellar missions? Can it match or exceed the 5-10% c estimates for Orion type propulsion?

      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    95. Re:interstellar mission by Blaskowicz · · Score: 1

      100 years is still correct as there's some in beta radiation. Nuclear reactors are known to make antineutrinos too.

    96. Re:interstellar mission by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

      The thing about sending a probe though is that it might be more cost-effective to build a bigger telescope to get the same data.

      There are physical limitations to how large a mirror we can build, to how perfect we can make its surface. I don't think it *would* be the same data. Apples and oranges. The real problem would be that that little probe would need a hell of a transmitter to relay its data back to us. A big heavy gyrotron with superconducting magnets and a large (at least 20m diameter) radio telescope would most likely be required at those distances. Of course you could try to build a probe which could return home with its data stored in memory for retrieval. Then no transmitter would be necessary. Then maybe you could just get away with a camera and whatever nuclear propulsion the probe is using.

      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    97. Re:interstellar mission by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately it needs more than just an antenna made out of unobtanium that requires future tech. Interstellar messages based on current tech require high powered microwave or laser devices which are bulky and heavy by micro standards. Not sure about the requirements for a powerful enough laser, but for microwave transmissions you'd need a gyrotron, which is basically a metal tube with a tungsten emitter (electron source) at one end and a particle exhaust at the other with superconducting magnets around it to act as a sort of particle (electrons) accelerator. You'd probably also need a 20 meter parabolic dish as an antenna, but that may be possible to build out of a very fine conductive mesh of some kind. I think a powerful enough laser would also tend to be massive. A little diode laser isn't going to do it. But we don't necessarily have to transmit anything. After gathering its data the probe could head back to us again and we could physically retrieve its data. Or possibly a small solid state transmitter could start transmitting once the probe was back in orbit around the earth again.

      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    98. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Our breast isn't nor ever will be large enough." Truer words were never spoken, though Pamela Anderson comes close.

    99. Re: interstellar mission by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

      He's talking about Freeman Dyson's system, AC. Nuclear pulses against a pusher plate.

      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    100. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Please explain the tech that we've had since to 50's to allow any complex machine (such as a nuclear reactor) to work unattended for 50 years. Hell, show me any electronic device of any design that has a 99% chance of working 50 years from now. You can't just keep adding redundancy to achieve this. Your spares will go bad sitting unused just from aging and thermal processes.

    101. Re:interstellar mission by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

      Not to put a damper on this

      Party pooper. Yes I think you are right. 0.123 solar masses is just too small I think. The planet would have to be too close. Proxima is also a flare star. Nevertheless if the conditions are right on the planet itself you just never know. Maybe there is some exotic form of life underground somewhere or at the bottom of an ocean. We should still at least send some probes there to check it out. And maybe send some microwave and laser messages over there just in case.

      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    102. Re:interstellar mission by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

      Sure. All we need to do is get past this trivial little hurdle of using chemical reaction motors to move things.

      Bzzzt. Warp drive is not required to get to Proxima Centauri. The first (experimental) nuclear reactor was built in the early 1940s. Chemical reaction propulsion has not truly been required for something like 75 years. Nearly every machine we make could be powered by nuclear fission instead of heat engines. Note I say could be rather than should, but for spacecraft propulsion nuclear fission is still the best tech we've got.

      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    103. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I was right there with you right up to the point where you started invoking religious nonsense as if it was fact.

      You must understand, to us Atheist, you just made a statement that the flying spaghetti monster swooped down and sucked out all the bad blood. Literally, that is how silly religious people sound.

    104. Re: interstellar mission by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

      Please explain the tech that we've had since to 50's to allow any complex machine (such as a nuclear reactor) to work unattended for 50 years.

      So just to clarify, your argument as to why human beings cannot even travel as far as Proxima Centauri a mere 4 ly away is that our machines are not reliable enough? Seriously that is your argument? Voyager 1 has been operating for nearly 39 years without a problem. Yes it's RTG is winding down but it was never intended to be a true interstellar mission. A longer lasting power supply could have been built even back in 1977. And incidentally that was 1970s tech. Presumably we could build something even more reliable now with all the fancy new tech we have. We could even build an unmanned ship with a robot like this inside to at least try to maybe do some crude repairs. Yes a human onboard would be a huge advantage in terms of reliability, but there are also huge advantages to not having any delicate humans onboard.

      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    105. Re:interstellar mission by MiniMike · · Score: 1

      You're assuming the rate is linear, while it's actually just asymptotically approaching a value large enough to make his point. Which is too bad, because we could probably fund a lot of the research costs for the probe by selling those keychains.

    106. Re: interstellar mission by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

      Give up? I'm not even working on space travel

      Yes that is coming across.

      _If_ humans ever do figure out how to travel between the stars, it will be in the very distant future.

      Agreed. It would probably take 200 years just to build the infrastructure, manufacturing facility, and then the ship itself. Then another 50-100 years to make the trip. I'd consider 300 years to the be 'distant future' wouldn't you?

      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    107. Re: interstellar mission by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

      We've had nuclear energy since the 1940s. It would be more like 50 years. Not 20000.

      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    108. Re:interstellar mission by kheldan · · Score: 1

      I didn't even bother mentioning those because they're likewise still not enough to get anything 4 light years from here in anything less than 100 years, and the way things are going in 100 years there won't BE anyone around to receive the signal from it, assuming it even makes it there at all. I think maybe we should be concentrating more on fixing major problems with Earth and human race that will one way or another wipe us out before we expend any major efforts trying to get to another star, unless someone discovers a way to have an FTL drive and technology to protect us from all the radiation out there.

      --
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    109. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's what the dilithium is for, of course. It moderates the matter/antimatter reaction rate. Sheesh. You'd think he didn't have a TV or something.

    110. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Making mirrors and lenses with "perfect" surfaces is a problem that was solved long ago. Even amateur telescopes have diffraction limited optics today, which means they are functionally "perfect".

    111. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A very low bitrate and a moderately powerful transmitter would work for getting the data back. Lasers might be even better. What's 10 or 20 years to get the data back when you've waited for 100 or so for it to get there. Returning the data physically is probably the worst way to do it.

    112. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Proxima centauri is 0.21 ly away from alpha centauri. That's 15,000 AU. Alpha centauri would just be a bright star in the sky of this planet. Proxima is over 2 deg from Alpha as seen from earth.

    113. Re: interstellar mission by painandgreed · · Score: 1

      If only the solar sail spacecraft had some means of propulsion that could help it slow down at it's destination.

      There is. As another commenter stated, to get up to interstellar speeds, it will require a laser to shoot at the solar sail. Once it is near it's destination, the sail separated and the laser is then bounced off the separated sail and back at the original probe and remaining sail to slow it down.

    114. Re: interstellar mission by jc42 · · Score: 1

      I doubt you millennials will get us to Mars let alone out of the solar system. Science is hard and you are soft.

      Actually, the same could be said about every generation/cohort. Most of the population are usually the anti-thinking sort who contribute nothing much to our knowledge. The advances have always come from a tiny minority who are typically not much respected by their cohorts. There's a tiny minority of "millennials" who are involved in making the advances that most of us won't live to appreciate. They're not hard to find if you hang out with the right crowds, but most people (including the /. crowd) would never bother with that.

      --
      Those who do study history are doomed to stand helplessly by while everyone else repeats it.
    115. Re:interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, we can create antimatter hydrogen atoms. It was first detected in the 90's, and isolated at CERN in 2010. The stuff is stable for at least minutes.

      And no, they don't disappear in just a puff of gamma rays. The positron does, but most antiproton nuclei collide with other atoms leading to a "dirty" annihilation, with a shower of other particles. This is because the antiproton isn't bound to anything, while the annihilated proton will be bound by nuclear forces.

    116. Re:interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To be honest, I'd rate production as the smallest problem. It's merely insanely expensive.

      The two main problems IMO are the long-term storage - there's little weight savings if you need a ten ton container for one gram of anti-matter - and secondly the problem that anti-matter annihilation releases its energy chiefly as radioactive particles. That's not good for propulsion.

    117. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Stay calm. He was foreshadowing about the zombie apocalypse. Now carry on!

    118. Re: interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes. Bend time space with antimatter. However the emergence of dementional shifts would need to occur or else the collision of matter is eminent. Boom goes Starship Mathew Maconayay!

    119. Re:interstellar mission by stealth_finger · · Score: 1

      "meaning it could someday be considered for the world's first interstellar mission."

      This is the longest timescale for 'someday' ever. Not going to happen in the lifetime of any descendent we can imagine.

      If there was anyone on that planet, we could talk to them for sure. But no visiting is going to happen before humans cease to be creatures we recognise as the same as us.

      Think how long it took to go from first powered flight to landing on the moon. Think were we might be in the next 100-500 years. If you think its basically the same place we are now then you can fuck off with that attitude because you're part of the problem. We already know how we can get up a decent-ish fraction of the speed of light to get there is a reasonable time, there's just the problems of stopping and what to do when we get there and, well, building a ship and all that but all it's waiting for is someone to want it bad enough to work out the problems properly.

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    120. Re:interstellar mission by Rei · · Score: 1

      It's more viable than Orion. Neither have a fully built rocket. Both are readily buildable without requiring any new "major advances" in science. But fission fragment propulsion can be done on a vastly smaller scale, and with a lot less uncertainties. Small scale testbeds have been made, which is more than can be said about Orion (which by definition can't be done on any scale less than "supermassive" and still support humans - around 40 million tons or more with 30m bombs in the original design, 400k tonnes with 300k bombs in Dyson's improved variant (not sure if the latter still counts as "Orion")). You can have a "satellite Orion" version as small as ~300 tonnes, but the accelerations would kill people, and the specific impulse is terrible.

      Orion really is not a good design. Again: if you're going to insist on nuclear pulse propulsion, at least upgrade to Medusa. But I don't recommend pulse in general.

      I''ll reiterate that quoting a "speed in which a technology can reach" is meaningless. A rocket that propels itself by firing pingpong balls out the back with an air cannon can reach relativistic speeds.... if you're willing to have uncountably many stages, each one vastly larger than the last, so that the size of your rocket ends up big enough to be seen from many light years away ;). The figure that you're actually looking for is ISP (big I, little sp.... aka specific impulse), which determines what sort of scaling factor, which is proportional to the velocity of the exhaust. And fission fragment rockets have a much higher ISP than Orion. Orion (baselined for manned missions to Alpha Centauri) had an unimpressive ~6k sec with a theoretical maximum of 100k, while the first generation dusty fission fragment rocket has 527k sec ISP with a theoretical maximum of 1m. Also, like VASIMR, a FF rocket can trade ISP for thrust as desired by injecting gas into the exhaust stream. For example, if one wanted Orion's unimpressive ~6k ISP then with a FF rocket you could get an acceleration of about 0,01 g. The original Orion design called for average (not pulse) accelerations of 0.00003 g (Dyson's variant allowed for 1g acceleration, but when you're talking interstellar missions, there's no practical difference between 0,01g and 1g).

      Basically in short, a fission fragment rocket is built around the same-old magnetic nozzle technology we use for a variety of magnetic propulsion methods. No new ground there. The trick is that the ions are the fission fragments from a nuclear reactor, which move at relativistic velocities. Normally fission fragments get thermalized (scattered until they lose their energy to their surroundings), but in a fission fragment reactor, the core is sparse or highly anisotropic or asymmetrical. Magnetic fields curve the fragments away from areas of high mass density to areas of low mass density, giving them the mean free path length they need to be ejected out the nozzle. Even your radioisotopes from daughter products contribute (except gamma & neutrinos).

      There's a variety of approaches (mainly limited by the need to cool such a sparse core), such as rotating discs or wires, but my favorite design is the dusty plasma approach, which uses an electrostatically suspended dust (dust has a huge surface area to volume ratio). As a general rule, except for in some situations (usually with large scales), the mean neutron free path length is much larger than the diameter of the core ("reentrant"), so you need a moderator (Be, 13C, or D) or at least reflector on all sides to bounce the neutrons back through the core as many times as you can in order to reach criticality.

      The technology keeps advancing... hopefully we'll start to see them deployed on missions in the next decade or two. Even ignoring the potential for interstellar missions, they'd make superb reusable interplanetary tugs, operating for decades and requiring only reaction mass (any gas) if you want to operate in high thrust / low ISP mode, and nothing at all to operate in low thrust / high ISP mode. It occurs to me that one could use waste CO2 from any manned missions as your reaction gas - about 4-5kg of CO2 for a 5-man crew per day.

      --
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    121. Re:interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The thing about sending a probe though is that it might be more cost-effective to build a bigger telescope to get the same data."

      This is true. I've been pondering about the same thing. I'm all for an interstellar probe, but purely pragmatically speaking, I think you get more info for less bucks and time building a larger telescope than from a micro-probe in a flyby.

      It would be different in the probe could actually do in-situ experiments on the planet itself, of course, but that would make it a multitude more complex and costly, since it wouldn't be a flyby-mission anymore, and thus need a way to slow down as well, etc.

    122. Re: interstellar mission by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Which requires precision bouncing of lasers at a distance of over 4 light-years. Assuming we have powerful lasers with tight beams at that distance, we'd blast the separated sail way away from the rest pretty fast. All of the fancy laser targeting has to be done over 8 years before we know what's going on. I have my doubts.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    123. Re: interstellar mission by beelsebob · · Score: 1

      No, but you can discover new physics. At one point, something heavier than air staying up in the air was considered "impossible", and "breaking the laws of physics" because the physics of aerodynamics was not well understood. In the same way, we may well make breakthroughs that mean that interstellar travel in a reasonable time no longer requires breaking any physical laws. Heck, your 20,000 years estimate is already way off. Hawking already proposed probes that could get there within not just our life time, but within a very sane few years. Now it's "just"* a matter of figuring out how to do that with a larger cargo.

      * this is actually the hard bit.

    124. Re:interstellar mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I want in. Where can I go to help?

    125. Re: interstellar mission by painandgreed · · Score: 1

      Which requires precision bouncing of lasers at a distance of over 4 light-years. Assuming we have powerful lasers with tight beams at that distance, we'd blast the separated sail way away from the rest pretty fast. All of the fancy laser targeting has to be done over 8 years before we know what's going on. I have my doubts.

      As Frank lloyd Wright would say, "That's a problem for the engineers."

      In theory it could probably be done similarly with sails at the destination as captured photons are bounced between the two sails indefinately creating a constant, increasing pressure.

    126. Re:interstellar mission by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

      I''ll reiterate that quoting a "speed in which a technology can reach" is meaningless.

      Excellent! so then there is no problem getting close to the speed of light via fission fragment propulsion then? Or were there practical engineering limitations you are ignoring with that statement? To me the speed reachable by a spacecraft that we could actually build (budgetary issues aside) today is very much the whole point of the exercise. In theory you probably could build an antimatter rocket with just a few atoms of antimatter, but it would not do very much now would it? And yet in theory it has a VERY high specific impulse, right? For a picosecond. Don't ion drives have excellent specific impulse? But they have barely any thrust and are not (at least not yet) practical means for propelling any serious spacecraft (in terms of mass).

      And fission fragment rockets have a much higher ISP than Orion.

      So what is the maximum speed reachable by a reasonably sized manned or unmanned spacecraft using fission fragment propulsion? You may say it doesn't matter, but then tell me how long it will take for a non-micro sized ship to get to Proxima Centauri using fission fragment propulsion. Has the math been done? Have you done it?

      A rocket that propels itself by firing pingpong balls out the back with an air cannon can reach relativistic speeds

      Prove it by building one.

      As for the rest it is very interesting, but given the billions or trillions of dollars necessary could we build an interstellar ship with this system today using current tech that could reach Proxima Centauri in half a century? We know that we probably could do exactly that with Dyson's simple spring pusher plate pulsed system. Yes it is untested except at a ridiculously small scale, but it should all work using 1960s tech (and A LOT of money). As in any untested system it would probably fail dramatically the first few times, but at least no new tech is needed and plutonium in the form of bombs has the energy density to actually have enough fuel to reach high speeds. Lack of fuel is really the biggest problem with spacecraft propulsion. Not Isp. If we had infinite quantities of massless fuel we could reach relativisitic speeds easily even with standard chemical rockets. That's why every space enthusiast's dream is some kind of warp drive or space drive or ramjet or solar sail that doesn't require that you bring your fuel with you. What makes Orion or any nuclear pulse drive so special is that you can bring enough fuel with you for practical interstellar missions. I don't care about Isp. I care about the total trip time to various destinations like Proxima or Gliese 581.

      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    127. Re:interstellar mission by idji · · Score: 1

      we can get there in 20 years with 2 minutes of 100 GW laser blast on a 1g space probe accelerated to 0.2 c. http://www.space.com/32551-bre...

  2. Misquoted by javawocky · · Score: 1

    The quotes should have been around 'Nearby' as well as 'Earth-Like'. Throw me a freckn bone.

    1. Re:Misquoted by Travis+Mansbridge · · Score: 2

      Orbiting Sun's nearest neighbor.. doesn't get much more nearby than that. Were you hoping it was hiding in our own goldilocks zone right next to Earth?

    2. Re:Misquoted by mschuyler · · Score: 1

      That would be Clarion, on the opposite side of the sun from us. Truman Bethrum met a captain from one of their ships, Aura Rhanes, who was small and latin-looking, who wore a tight black dress, a red blouse, and a red beret at a jaunty angle. The people on the planet Clarion are all Christians and can speak any language on Earth. Ms. Rhanes was named as a corespondent on Bethurum's divorce papers. See "Aboard a Flying Saucer" 1954.

      --
      How about a moderation of -1 pedantic.
    3. Re:Misquoted by Rei · · Score: 3, Interesting

      In cosmic terms, I think "nearby" is fair. However, I always snicker a bit when planets get described as "earthlike" just because of their mass and distance from their star. We have counterexamples right in our own system. A distant astronomer using the same logic, upon discovering Venus would have declared its surface "Earthlike" and start going on about how it probably has oceans perfect for discovering life.

      A body being "earthlike" requires a lot more than a similar mass and proper solar distance. Heck, do we even know that it's rocky? Proxima Centauri is a red dwarf - would it actually have blown away most of the volatiles during its formation like our sun did? Or by contrast maybe it's volatile-devoid. Earth was whalloped with volatile-containing rock during the Late Heavy Bombardment thanks to Jupiter. Does Proxima Centauri contain a Jupiter? Probably not. Also: my understanding of the habitable zone of red dwarfs is that they leave their surfaces too irradiated for LAWKI. Now, one could say, "well, it'd be in subsurface water". But you can make that argument for half a dozen bodies in our own solar system without requiring a 4+ light year journey.

      --
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    4. Re:Misquoted by tmjva · · Score: 1

      First thing I thought of also. But also drop them around Earth-Like, it was already hyphenated.

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    5. Re:Misquoted by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

      Also: my understanding of the habitable zone of red dwarfs is that they leave their surfaces too irradiated for LAWKI.

      It's more complicated than that. Red dwarves vary greatly in size from tiny like Proxima Centauri to something close to half the size of our sun and also vary a great deal in their luminosity variance. Proxima Centauri is highly variable and is what is known as a 'flare star' due to this. Then there is the issue of whether the planet is tidally locked in place or rotates. If it is tidally locked then there will always be a side facing away from the radiation. There are many factors involved.

      Incidentally Mars and even Venus may have been genuinely habitable at one time. One theory of the origin of life on earth is that it originated on Mars first when the sun was younger and hotter. Obviously that is pure speculation but it's not impossible that Mars once had a thick enough atmosphere and a high enough temperature to support life.

      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    6. Re:Misquoted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      'could allow it to have liquid water' is a much different statement than 'probably has oceans perfect for discovering life'.

    7. Re: Misquoted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A planet with the size and density of Earth must be rocky. It can't be a gas giant. It has the density of rock.

    8. Re: Misquoted by Rei · · Score: 1

      A planet with the size and density of Earth must be rocky. It can't be a gas giant. It has the density of rock.

      1. There are not only two categories of planets, "rocky", and "gas giant". Even in our own system there's also the ice giants, which are very different from the gas giants, being covered by a thick gas layer over massive central cores of "ices" and presumably some rock as well. Other systems may well have other categories.

      2. The inner planets are devoid of large gas envelopes not because "sufficient light to be in the habital zone means gases leave", but because the solar wind - which is not some sort of 1:1 correlation with light output for stars - blew it out of the inner solar system before Earth the inner planets were even formed. Most of our volatiles were added back by the late heavy bombardment. When you're talking about exoplanets, first off, you're going to have different ratios of light output to solar wind intensity. You're secondly going to have a different planetary / stellar evolution history. And lastly you're going to have different post-bombardment formation histories. Bombardment from distant-formed bodies is what brings water, nitrogen (initially primarily as methane and ammonia), and the rarer noble gases.

      The inner planets are not at some sort of "perfect gas-quantity equilibrium with the sun". If that were the case, Venus - closer to the sun and exposed to more intense solar winds - wouldn't have an atmosphere over 90 times as dense as Earth's. The solar wind (at least in our system) doesn't appreciably deplete heavier gases from Earth-sized planets even when they don't have a magnetic field, and has trouble depleting light gases even when they do.

      --
      No, she's fine. My associate is vomiting for a totally unrelated reason.
  3. Good luck with that. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Proxima Centauri is a flare star. Good luck with it being Earth-like.

    1. Re:Good luck with that. by Longjmp · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Correct. But not only that.
      It's most likely also 'tidal-locked', meaning one side will always face the sun (and be damn hot) and the other side permanently dark (damn cold) - with storms between which will make Earth's hurricanes look like the blow of a butterfly.
      With an evironment like that, we can rule out higher life forms.
      However, even primitive algae and amoebae in the belt between the extreme zones would be a sensation.

      --
      There are fewer illiterates than people who can't read.
    2. Re:Good luck with that. by Gavagai80 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Take a tidally locked planet around a flare star. Let the sunny side be too hot for life, so that the dark side is just the right temperature for life. The dark side is also well-protected from radiation by the mass of the planet, isn't it? As long as the atmosphere isn't blown off, which it wouldn't be according to theory, what would be the difficulty for life? Obviously photosynthesis wouldn't develop, but we have plenty of life on Earth that doesn't require that, and the abundance of photosynthesis on Earth may simply be an adaptation to the abundance of sunlight we have rather than a necessary path for life.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    3. Re:Good luck with that. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They (the Proxima Centaurians) are already on their way here.
      They're sick and tired of their enviornment, and Earth looks like a
      suitable replacement.

      CAP === 'ballad'

    4. Re: Good luck with that. by brasselv · · Score: 5, Funny

      "With an evironment like that, we can rule out higher life forms."

      Centaurians called.
      They wanted to know how can we sustain higher life forms on Earth - since we have neither the cyclic megahurricans that are essential to recharge cyclic biotanks, nor we have a proper dark side of the planet where we can comfortably hatch our silicon eggs.
      To be frank, they sounded rather narrow minded about any real possibility of life without those things.

      --
      "Whenever people agree with me I always feel I must be wrong." (Oscar Wilde)
    5. Re:Good luck with that. by arth1 · · Score: 1

      CAP === 'ballad'

      The first thing I though of when seeing TFA was '39 by Queen; a ballad about interstellar travel and Lorentz factors.

    6. Re: Good luck with that. by Longjmp · · Score: 1

      That's easy.
      We'd just tell them we defy all known physics, from flares and radiation to pure mechanical forces like they do, obviously ;)

      --
      There are fewer illiterates than people who can't read.
    7. Re:Good luck with that. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This. +1

    8. Re: Good luck with that. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As funny as this comment is, the first species to obtain interstellar travel will be the first to colonize.

    9. Re:Good luck with that. by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      It's hard to replace sunlight as an energy source. Volcanism is either going to be in limited spots, or causing mass damage. Any chemical metabolism couldn't last particularly long as it will eventually get "used up".

      Good lasting energy typically comes from long-to-medium-wavelength radiation and/or temperature differentials.

    10. Re:Good luck with that. by Tablizer · · Score: 2, Funny

      They already sent a Mr. Trump to clear out the humans.

    11. Re: Good luck with that. by sysrammer · · Score: 3

      In fact, their armored trading fleet is being readied right now...to back up negotiations for that bit of prime real estate closest to Sol.

      Perhaps we could trade Mercury for one of their worthless water worlds. As the Centaurians like to say, "If you like mucking about in the slime, we will view you, but we will not see you". (It loses something in the translation)

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    12. Re:Good luck with that. by mcswell · · Score: 1

      Nuts, I was going to say this, but you beat me to it. Anyway, well said!

    13. Re:Good luck with that. by mcswell · · Score: 1

      anyone running from Neptune?

    14. Re: Good luck with that. by king+neckbeard · · Score: 1

      The point is that we have a relatively small sample of the conditions under which life can arise. Even in the extremes on Earth, we have found life. Often, it is less complex than life in what we consider to less extreme environments, but we also have to consider that 'extreme' is relative. We can point to factors that would make it inhospitable for most complex life on Earth. However, it's quite possible that Earth has equally strong factors against it that would make the majority of sentient species surprised that Earth can support life. Cursory research says that the biosphere is a mere 0.0007% of the Earth's volume, and there may be a set of conditions that can support some kind of advanced life in a different minuscule percentage of this planet's volume.

      --
      This is my signature. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
    15. Re:Good luck with that. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I thought tidally locked planets typically lacked the magnetosphere needed to protect an atmosphere like we have.

    16. Re:Good luck with that. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Funny, since Hillary seems to be the one that has trouble surviving the conditions here on Earth.

    17. Re:Good luck with that. by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      Us Proxima Centaurians gave Earth email technology in order to confound her into submission.

  4. " first interstellar mission." by turkeydance · · Score: 2

    ours or theirs?

    1. Re:" first interstellar mission." by philipmather · · Score: 1

      We might be the result of theirs given everything we don't know.

      --
      Regards, Phil
    2. Re: " first interstellar mission." by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Would be a cosmic shame if we ran into each other

  5. In Political News... by bogie · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Donald Trunp has just announced he wants to build a wall to keep out illegal aliens from the newly discovered planet. He also promised said aliens would be paying for the wall themselves.....

    --
    If you wanna get rich, you know that payback is a bitch
  6. For values of 'nearby' that equal 'still very far' by Isquiesque · · Score: 1, Insightful

    4.25 light years is still 24,984,158,550,305mi and we really don't have anything that can travel fast enough to get us there in less than tens of thousands of years.

  7. Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right. by EmperorOfCanada · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Minimally we need to start seriously looking at a robotic probe.What is the time line for something that does a flyby? Can we get a probe up to 10%c or are we looking at even 1%c as too hard? 50 years is pretty cool. 500 or more years would be taking the risk that two things happen, one civilization falls enough that we forget we sent it. Or that in the next 500 years we easily build way faster probes.

    Also with 50 years and we find something worth visiting, and now can think about sending people. 500 and we are back to science fiction.

    Minimally, this justifies building one huge honking telescope to get a good look at this planet.

  8. Re:For values of 'nearby' that equal 'still very f by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    Physics disagrees.

    http://www.space.com/32546-interstellar-spaceflight-stephen-hawking-project-starshot.html

  9. "mission" by iggymanz · · Score: 1

    starshot project and similar, preliminary designs of tiny probes less than a gram, in a swarm of hundreds to thouands accelerated to sizeable fraction (10-20%) of the speed of light seem like the only plausible way to explore other "nearby" star systems for the next century.

    1. Re:"mission" by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      Science fiction. Blog posts aren't reality.

    2. Re:"mission" by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      starshot project and similar, preliminary designs of tiny probes less than a gram, in a swarm of hundreds to thouands accelerated to sizeable fraction (10-20%) of the speed of light seem like the only plausible way to explore other "nearby" star systems for the next century.

      And they would get data back to us how?

    3. Re:"mission" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Duh, they are stamp sized. They will mail themselves back.

    4. Re:"mission" by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      1W laser doing comm in very short bursts

      read the real project description, the dumbed-down popular ones leave a lot of details out

    5. Re:"mission" by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      leading physicists are working on it and believe it technically possible.

      so you know more than they do?

    6. Re:"mission" by mcswell · · Score: 1

      Will the USPO still be around then?

    7. Re: "mission" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, but they will have had to prepay the retirement fund for any possible AlphaCs that may be hired one day...

    8. Re:"mission" by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      yes, but a first class stamp will cost the same as 1.5 probe missions to alpha centauri system

    9. Re:"mission" by mcswell · · Score: 1

      Guess I'd better hoard my Forever stamps.

  10. will Earth like planets matter? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Isn't it safe to assume will would have mastered energy/matter conversion technology by the time we have the means for interstellar travel? Enclosed habitation with holodecks for "outdoor" recreational activities will be all we need.

    1. Re:will Earth like planets matter? by FrankHaynes · · Score: 1

      That would require Intrepid-class starships for the really useful and good holodecks, so that's quite some time into the future.

      --
      slashdot: A failed experiment.
    2. Re:will Earth like planets matter? by epyT-R · · Score: 0

      Someone's been watching too much star trek.

    3. Re:will Earth like planets matter? by Enigma2175 · · Score: 4, Funny

      That would require Intrepid-class starships for the really useful and good holodecks, so that's quite some time into the future.

      Actually, holodecks in Intrepid-class starships are notoriously unreliable and liable to tricky failure modes like "the safeguards have somehow been shut off" and "everyone in the simulation is now alive and they all want to kill me".

      --

      Enigma

  11. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 5, Funny

    Minimally, this justifies building one huge honking telescope to get a good look at this planet.

    Didn't you read the article? They were able to take a pretty detailed picture already.

    --
    #DeleteChrome
  12. in 10+ generations by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    using as reference the speed of the fastest man-made space object, about 25 miles/s or about 0.014% of speed of light, the 4.5 light year distance could be reached at 321.5 years, give or take some.
    that is more than 10 generations even for late boomers...

     

    1. Re: in 10+ generations by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Off by a factor of 100. About 32,000 years

    2. Re:in 10+ generations by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

      using as reference the speed of the fastest man-made space object

      Was this 'object' actually designed for interstellar travel? If not then it is irrelevant. It's like saying the fastest bird only flies at 30 mph so what hope do we ever have of breaking the sound barrier. We have aircraft that can travel over 2000 mph because we designed them to do that. We have had the tech to reach around 0.08c since the 1960s. All we would need is the money to build the ship and admittedly it would be very, very, very expensive. Well unless it worked like an open source software project with people donating their time for free, but then of course it would take orders of magnitude longer.

      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
  13. Re: For values of 'nearby' that equal 'still very by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Umm what?

    We could have a probe there in 30 years... It's not even that expensive (less than a moon landing).

  14. The only way to get there by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Is a NUCLEAR ROCKET.

  15. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by 110010001000 · · Score: 2, Informative

    The fastest probe we ever has built goes 0.023%. It is doubtful we will even get to 1%, ever.

  16. Re: For values of 'nearby' that equal 'still very by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If we could devise something that accelerates at g and decelerates at g, I've read probably get there in under a decade. The problem is that at high speeds, random space debris might annhilate your space craft.

  17. "to announce"? by Xtifr · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I like the "to announce" part. Like, if they haven't announced it, why are you reporting on it? Maybe there's a reason they haven't actually announced it yet! Perhaps the data is tentative and admits of another explanation, which, on further review, will prove to be true. Perhaps it's simply one guy's wild-ass guess based on incomplete data.

    Contacted by AFP, ESO spokesman Richard Hook said he is aware of the report, but refused to confirm or deny it. "We are not making any comment," he said.

    Maybe, just maybe, there's a reason he's not making any comment? Like, they want to avoid making false statements in public and embarrassing themselves? Quite unlike certain (most?) Internet "news" sites which are perfectly happy both to make false statements and to embarrass themselves? "Who cares? Just give us those clicks!"

    Anyway, this is pretty cool if confirmed, but at this point, I'm treating it with all the seriousness it deserves, which is approximately zero.

    1. Re:"to announce"? by Xtifr · · Score: 3, Funny

      p.s. I realize I've violated the unwritten rules of slashdot by actually reading the article and commenting on what it says, instead of leaping to snap judgment based on the headline alone. In my defense, I actually read the article yesterday, before it was posted to slashdot. :)

    2. Re:"to announce"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "maybe"

      More likely, insiders already know and the only reason why it has not yet been officially announced is because of the press-release schedule.

    3. Re:"to announce"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In modern journalism practice, news agencies are sent information packets by organizations so they can be interested and attend the announcement. However, news agencies immediately take that "please attend" packet and publish it as the news story so they can be the ones that get the scoop. This makes the actual announcement far less interesting, because everyone even trivially interested has already read the summary and knows (or believes they know) the conclusion already.

      I would have a sudden surge of respect for any organization that blacklists news organizations that pre-announce in this manner.

    4. Re:"to announce"? by poofmeisterp · · Score: 1

      I like the "to announce" part. Like, if they haven't announced it, why are you reporting on it?

      Because when "secret, undisclosed information" is even hinted at, it drives the viewership up 1000 fold, without even breaking a sweat. Someone/thing wants $ to state the obvious. Again. AGAIN.

  18. Re: For values of 'nearby' that equal 'still very by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

    Under a decade? Try 30,000 years.

  19. don't forget by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    there's that whole Prime Directive thing

  20. Re:For values of 'nearby' that equal 'still very f by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How the heck did you manage to beat slashdot's auto-link?

  21. Great news! by Ecuador · · Score: 4, Funny

    I am so relieved that all those colonization spaceships I've sent to Alpha Centauri, over many years of playing Civilization, will have somewhere to land!

    --
    Violence is the last refuge of the incompetent. Polar Scope Align for iOS
    1. Re: Great news! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But this is Proxima Centauri...

    2. Re: Great news! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You do realize it is the same star system, right? And since Proxima is sort of on the way, a spaceship would go ther upon detecting a planet...

    3. Re: Great news! by mcswell · · Score: 1

      Yes, but the real estate agent was selling land on a planet around Alpha. It's much more expensive over on Proxima.

  22. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 3, Funny

    The fastest probe we ever has built goes 0.023%. It is doubtful we will even get to 1%, ever.

    Seems to me I once read that early last century someone said words to the effect of "what's the point of airplanes? Not like they'll ever be able to fly nonstop across the Pacific or anything".

    Oddly, your comment reminded me of that....

    --

    "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  23. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by ScentCone · · Score: 1

    The fastest probe we ever has built goes 0.023%. It is doubtful we will even get to 1%, ever.

    And yet decades have technology has improved since, and we've never built a probe for this purpose. Everything else has been built with planetary observation/fly-by in mind, not blazing out of the solar system for blazing's sake.

    --
    Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
  24. Re:In 2016 FBI move to it. by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 0

    Unwanted on Earth, they left the reign of their new employer Bernie Sanders.

    Unfortunately, Bernie Sander's woodburning rocket would take 32 million years to get there.

  25. Re: For values of 'nearby' that equal 'still very by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 1

    At 1g? That will get you to c in about a year (disregarding relativistic effects), so under a decade to travel just over 4 lightyears sounds like the right ballpark.

    --
    If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
  26. Re: For values of 'nearby' that equal 'still very by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    About 14 years at ~1 G Acceleration and then Deceleration. This has been known for decades, and the subject of some really crappy Science Fiction:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_travel_using_constant_acceleration

    The Math is there, what isn't there is the means of fueling, and the lack of clean restrooms on the way.

  27. Round up the families! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Prepare the Jupiter One!

  28. We already have plans for 1/5 light speed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Our Children will see Alpha Centauri in their lifetime via small probes propelled by lasers here on earth.

    check it out....

    http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/100-million-plan-will-send-probes-to-the-nearest-star1/

    1. Re:We already have plans for 1/5 light speed by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      Or not, since the whole thing is BS. Mr. Hawking needs to stick to his field. What kind of transmitter do you think you can fit on there? What kind of camera? What kind of power source? And THEN what quality of data do you think you can pick up when you are moving at 20% of the speed of light? There's no point getting close to stuff because it will be in and out of your field of view for so little time you probably couldn't time any sort of observation. You move through an area of space wider than the diameter of the earth every 0.2 seconds at that speed. Hell you would move from one side to another of the Earth's ORBIT in 80 minutes. And if you want to observe it from far away - well, you need instrumentation for that. Might as well work a bit harder on your instruments and put them in orbit here.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    2. Re:We already have plans for 1/5 light speed by Gojira+Shipi-Taro · · Score: 1

      And your qualifications vs his are?

      I'm pretty sure Dr. Hawking has thought this through a lot more than you have.

      What exactly have you done that qualifies you to gainsay him?

      Please explain in detail.

      --
      "Oh my God. This is terrible. This is the end of my Presidency. I'm fucked."; ~ Donald J. Trump
    3. Re:We already have plans for 1/5 light speed by Dunbal · · Score: 0

      Equal, since neither he nor I are engineers. And since I have my own doctorate hanging on my wall, I certainly don't have to prove anything to YOU.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    4. Re:We already have plans for 1/5 light speed by Gojira+Shipi-Taro · · Score: 1

      OK Dipshit. You're going to run your mouth without justifying it, you can go fuck yourself. *plonk*

      --
      "Oh my God. This is terrible. This is the end of my Presidency. I'm fucked."; ~ Donald J. Trump
  29. Re:For values of 'nearby' that equal 'still very f by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hawking is a theoretical physicist, not an engineer.
    While it may be theoretically possible to accelerate a small spacecraft to 0.2 c, there are many unsolved practical difficulties.
    For example, when a spacecraft travels at 0.2 c, interstellar dust it encounters has more kinetic energy than a car moving at 100 mph.
    Basically, all the Hydrogen gas it encountered would slam into it as hard radiation, destroying any electronics.
    Also, good luck trying to take pictures at that speed, or even simple measurements.
    You'll need to compensate for relativistic effects everywhere (time moves differently, geometry warps, frequencies shift, energies shift)...

  30. Umm no.... by LWATCDR · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "No, what AC was pointing out was that a mere 100 years ago, people made sweeping statements like "no one in our lifetime will ever fly". We were flying in commercial jet airliners less than 30 years later, and landing on the moon another 20 after that."
    What?
    100 years ago was 1916. Man first flew in a ballon in 1783.
    Gliders? Otto Lilienthal was well know in the 1890s
    Airplanes The Wright Brothers first flew was Dec 17, 1903. By 1916 hundreds of different aircraft had already flown including some pretty large aircraft.
    "We were flying in commercial jet airliners less than 30 years later,"
    The first jet commercial airliner the Comet did not enter service until 1952 which is well over 30 years later.

    "The idea that there's 0 chance that any of us will see an interplanetary or interstellar mission is crazy."
    I think you are right about interplanetary flight. I hope that we will see that in a life time. Manned Interstellar fight is where you are very much off. The difference in scale between going to Mars vs going to a star system is HUGE. Maybe we will see some supper shocking tech like an unexpected breakthrough in FTL flight.
    But the odds are massively in favor of none of us today living to see a manned interstellar mission. Un manned we may live to see one launched but I doubt that we will see it arrive.

    --
    See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    1. Re:Umm no.... by N3wsByt3 · · Score: 0

      Your first paragraph was a bit pedantic, since we all know he meant 'heavier than air' flight, and while it wasn't 100 years *exactly*, it should also have been clear the time was indicative, and not meant to be precise to the year. (The mere fact that a random event would have occurred *exactly* 100 years ago, is pretty slim.) I mean, you could still 'correct' him even if he was off by even a mere day, then, if one is going to be (even more) pedantic about it.

      And while the first commercial *jet* airliner may have been in 1952, the first commercial airline was already opened in 1914, a mere 11 years after the first flight, thus.

      Anyhow, the gist of his post was that technological development goes blistering fast, and you can't really say something is impossible. I think. Which I would agree with as long as its confined to technological problems/difficulties prohibiting it. I think humankind will *always* find a way (if they really want to) to overcome technical 'impossibilities'. It's a whole other story for things that go against the basic laws of physics, though, (such as the FTL, or 'devices' like the EM-drive, which is pure bullocks).

      Of course, rest us the question of 'when', and I would agree with your last paragraph on that, which is that it is extremely unlikely that we or our descendants will see any landing by humans on a planet outside our solarsystem.*

      We *might* see an interstellar probe going for it, in a form such as this: https://breakthroughinitiative...
      If it can really reach it in 20 years, we might even see reach its destiny.*

      *caveat: aside from sudden enormous breakthroughs in technology and/or physics (which is unlikely), the argument whether we will be able to see it or not, is also largely dependent on our lifespan. Ergo, if progress on longevity is picking up, the above scenarios would dramatically increase, in as far as the likelihood we could see them is involved. Even if we had to drink blood of children, I mean, have plasma infusions, for it. (http://www.inc.com/jeff-bercovici/peter-thiel-young-blood.html)

      --
      --- "To pee or not to pee, that is the question." ---
    2. Re:Umm no.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are way wrong. All we need to do is to discover oil on that planet. Then we will be there in a jiffy!

    3. Re:Umm no.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The problem is that we as a society have stagnated by currently only caring about Apps and who gets to use which bathroom.

    4. Re:Umm no.... by cprasky · · Score: 1

      "Manned Interstellar fight is where you are very much off. "

      Most likely we should probably be concentrating on interplanetary expeditions now, but interstellar trips may not be as far in the future as you think. It is true that we currently do not have the technological wherewithal right now for Star Trek type space flight, but a generation ship is not out of the question. In 1998, NASA launched Deep Space 1. This runs on an ion drive rocket engine generating 1/50th of a pound of thrust. Not much compared to traditional chemical rockets, but it is capable of constant thrust for a very long time. Given sufficient fuel, such an engine is capable of eventually reaching an appreciable fraction of light speed. Here is a link to an article discussing ion drive propulsion and the Deep Space 1 mission: http://science.nasa.gov/scienc...

      --
      The optimist proclaims we live in the best of all possible worlds and the pessimist fears this may be true.
    5. Re:Umm no.... by mschuyler · · Score: 1

      If anybody ever needed my sig, it's this one.

      --
      How about a moderation of -1 pedantic.
    6. Re:Umm no.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Generational ships travel over too long of a timeframe to make it intact IMHO. Something will eventually break down in an irreparable way. I see the same thing for umanned flights in this manner - it's just too long of a distance to practically build a spacecraft that would last the journey.

      That said - there's an awful lot of worrying about "in our lifetime". Realistically - humans have been around in mostly our modern form for more than 100,000 years now. The last ~3000 of those years have seen technological leaps that are unfathomable. Sure we might not see this in our lifetime, but realistically humans will likely still be biologically identical to what we are now in another 3,000 years, and by that time I'd wager we'll either have achieved interstellar travel, or realized that it simply cannot be done (which is a significant possibility - just because it's a bit of a downer and we'd really like to do it doesn't make it a requirement - physics doesn't have to be "fair").

    7. Re:Umm no.... by LWATCDR · · Score: 2

      Gee this is Slashdot AKA News for Nerds. I see a huge difference between the state of the art in aviation in 1916 vs 1903.

      "Anyhow, the gist of his post was that technological development goes blistering fast, and you can't really say something is impossible."
      Yes you actually can say something is impossible we have limits based on the physical universe.
      Let's go with the dumb metaphor of the original post.
      Aviation and rockets where basically unrelated tech for a good while. Let's take a look at aviation again. So how much faster is a modern airliner than a typical airliner in 1965.... Modern airliners are a bit slower than a 707. They burn less fuel per person. Tech reaches a level of maturity and then it slows. The same is true of automobiles and is becoming true of PCs. Rockets are actually much older than airplanes. It too a change to liquid fuel rockets to start an advance. The development of the V-2 and nuclear weapons caused a rapid development and then they reached maturity. Modern rocket engines are not that much more efficient than the engines developed in the 1960s.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    8. Re:Umm no.... by LWATCDR · · Score: 2

      We can not even reach .01c yet. 4 light years == 400 years. I just do not see me getting to be that old.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    9. Re: Umm no.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The point is that sweeping declarations about science using words like "never" can often sound hilariously stupid, sometimes within months or years of them being spoken.

      Keep an open mind. Or at least sound like you are, so you don't look like a fucking moron when you're occasionally wrong.

    10. Re:Umm no.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh well that settles it then. You have proved that we are now capable of predicting the future of advancement beyond doubt. I shall never again bother with foolish idiotic things like hope, faith and dreams. People are wrong to doubt your cold immovable logic. It is wrong of people to look beyond the known and dare to pursue something greater.

      Lets all take the safe road and never take risks or push the envelope because we already know the outcome, pessimism it the one true way.

    11. Re: Umm no.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you traveled near the speed of light you could, asshole.

    12. Re:Umm no.... by dadelbunts · · Score: 1

      Im sorry but your post is full of misinformation. First of all why do you choose speed as a measuring stick for performance. Modern aircraft engines are much more advanced than something from 1965 they are just optimized for fuel economy. If you want speed tho, Concorde existed. The same is true for automobiles. A modern engine is leaps and bounds more efficient than an engine from 1965.

    13. Re:Umm no.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Any suggestion that speed isn't a reasonable measure of the performance of commercial airliners is a great big joke. Everyone, and I mean everyone, would rather fly from the USA to Europe in a few hours. They used to be able to, now they can't. So they're a bit more fuel efficient - who cares? Only the airlines. We once went to the moon after huge expense and effort, we can't do that anymore. Thanks to Newton and Einstein we have a metric for how long it will actually take to get to another solar system and how much energy will be required. Your hope is that some guy or gal is going to come up with a whole new physics; good luck with that.

    14. Re:Umm no.... by someone1234 · · Score: 1

      So, scramjets will never be used in commercial flight?

      --
      Patents Drive Free Software as Hurricanes Drive Construction Industry
    15. Re:Umm no.... by N3wsByt3 · · Score: 1

      Being a nerd doesn't mean being pedantic. Though granted, on slashdot you may find pedantic nerds as well. ;-)
      Let's face it here: you actually *knew* he was talking about 'heavier than air flight', right? As anyone with a bit of reading comprehension would understand. As any nerd with even a slither of knowledge would understand, because any nerd worth his salt knows fully well the Montgolfier brothers didn't fly for the first time in a balloon in 1916 (in the middle of WWI, thus). And since you seem pretty intelligent - seen your second paragraph - I'm sure you understood that as well. Those who didn't, aren't nerds, they're dumbasses, which you find plentiful on slashdot too these days, granted. But catering to the dumbasses makes little sense, so my guess is you were being a bit pedantic about it.

      "I see a huge difference between the state of the art in aviation in 1916 vs 1903."

      As do I. As does the parent poster, since that was part of his argument.

      "Yes you actually can say something is impossible we have limits based on the physical universe."

      Which is why I said: "It's a whole other story for things that go against the basic laws of physics, though, (such as the FTL, or 'devices' like the EM-drive, which is pure bullocks)." The parent poster didn't argument with things going against basic laws of physics, though. Let's, thus, give him the benefit of the doubt he was talking about technical difficulties.

      I'll grant you that enough idiots are on slashdot that think the two are similar, and come up with things like 'the EM drive' (in fact, didn't I see such a post already?), and it's also true those same idiots quote things that people once (presumably) said were impossible, while talking about technical obstacles, instead of inherent (physical law) obstacles. And many make the faulty jump to say: "well, since that person said *that* (technological) was impossible, but he was shown wrong, it follows that *this* (physical law) which is said to be impossible, will turn out to be possible too!" (As, for instance, the first, original poster of this thread (anonymous coward), was implying, me thinks).

      Those are idiots failing to see the difference, though. But I wouldn't call them nerds, since those lack even a passing knowledge of the subject at hand, nor, in fact, normal reasoning capacity.

      "Tech reaches a level of maturity and then it slows."

      This is largely true. But after some time of stagnation, new tech comes up which is better than the old, and replaces it. With the caveat that 'better' can also mean 'more economically' in our times, not merely technically better (though it often is, since at least on some fronts it must be superior for it to be also economically better).

      If you're argumenting that normal chemical rockets are not going to reach any star soon, and certainly not in our lifetime; hey, I'm with you on that. But other things are feasible, even with current or near-term tech. You *did* look at the link I provided, I hope? The (unmanned) 'StarChip' they're proposing is technological feasible, and *could* get to the nearest star, arguably within our lifetime.

      As said, I do agree with your last paragraph, that it's pretty damn unlikely we'll ever see a manned interstellar rocket land there, though. Well, unless longevity-research knows some major breakthroughs, mayhaps. ;-)

      --
      --- "To pee or not to pee, that is the question." ---
    16. Re: Umm no.... by N3wsByt3 · · Score: 1

      With the caveat that a difference must be made between saying something is impossible based on technological limits or difficulties, and saying the same about things that break the basic laws of nature (physical laws). The former is likely to be shown incorrect, the latter isn't.

      After all; keep an open mind, but not so open your brain falls out.

      --
      --- "To pee or not to pee, that is the question." ---
    17. Re:Umm no.... by N3wsByt3 · · Score: 2

      Hope, faith and dreams may be of importance to the mental state of an individual, but it has no place in science, though - at least, not in the actual implementation, methodology and results of it.

      In fact; hope, faith and dreams are often in the way of reaching a scientific conclusion.

      And it's not with hope and faith that we managed to save millions with modern medicines, but by the fruits of science. We saved more lives in the past 300 years with science, than in the 3000 years before that with 'faith'.

      --
      --- "To pee or not to pee, that is the question." ---
    18. Re:Umm no.... by N3wsByt3 · · Score: 1

      I would agree speed is an important parameter and indicator of being 'better' or 'higher performance'. It could also be argued, however, other things may be regarded as improvements too.

      Efficiency is also such a possible indicator. "Who cares?" is not an argument in determining that.

      Let's say you have airplanes that go equally fast, but one uses half as much fuel than the other (which also means less pollution, more potential carrying-capacity, etc.).. now which one is 'superior'?

      If all things are equal for the rest, it clearly is the more efficient one.

      Ego, more than one 'measure-stick' can be used, as the parent poster said. Speed is one of the more important ones though, as you indicated.

      --
      --- "To pee or not to pee, that is the question." ---
    19. Re:Umm no.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think you are right about interplanetary flight. I hope that we will see that in a life time. Manned Interstellar fight is where you are very much off. The difference in scale between going to Mars vs going to a star system is HUGE. Maybe we will see some supper shocking tech like an unexpected breakthrough in FTL flight.

      You don't need FTL to make it viable.
      An average speed of 0.5c means you can go there, dick around for a year and get back in less than 20 years.
      Then you need to scan internet forums for people who have responded to any "would you spend 20 years in jail for N millions." post.

      But yes, a manned mission that long will probably require some large breakthrough.
      For an unmanned mission we could settle for 0.1c. The younger scientists and engineers working on it might get the signal before they retire.

    20. Re: Umm no.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How would you do that and how would you survive if you did? Magic?

    21. Re:Umm no.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And what if advances in medicine manages to increase life expectancy by more than one year per year? It's plausible that there are people alive today who will still be alive in 1000 years time.

    22. Re:Umm no.... by peragrin · · Score: 1

      Except you are not paying attention to physics. The more we smash atoms together to understand physics the more thins like FTL , artificial gravity

      My prediction is we won't be visiting even Mars before 2060
      We have 2 decades worth of science to do before we can send people there and no one is even trying to do those. Well each experiment takes several years to run and we need several iterations of them.

      Primarily. We need to study rotational sections in space craft and how it affects the flight. Then we need to study plant and bone growth in those rotating sections.

      Everyone assumes because Mars has gravity it is just like earth's. But Mars has 1/3 the gravity so while you get a sense of down you are still going to get bone loss.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    23. Re:Umm no.... by vipw · · Score: 2

      What people really want is for air travel to be cheaper, not faster. I think the best measure of performance of commercial airliners is revenue -- they're COMMERCIAL airliners.

      You should look at military or experimental aircraft if you're interested in other performance aspects of aircraft design.

    24. Re: Umm no.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So we get light speedish star cruisers...
      Bc airplanes got slower, but more fuel efficient over the last hundredish years (75).
      Logic fail.
      If a plane went a million mikes an hour today, we still wouldn't reach it in our lifetimes.

    25. Re: Umm no.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We haven't tried magic yet ?!?!? NASA sucks.

    26. Re: Umm no.... by gordguide · · Score: 1

      The speed of light is a million kilometres per second. Just sayin'.

      In order to reach this planet within the lifetime of someone born this day on Earth, we probably would have to reach it within maybe 120 years. In order to actually know we had reached this planet, we need to subtract some years to account for the time it takes to transmit a message back to Earth. At lightspeed that leaves us 115.75 years.

      Potential Issue: Sending the message via a very fast medium may not be a huge problem, but receiving it could be. Just identifying the message amongst the noise of space may be very difficult. We may be forced to use a much slower transmission technology, which will reduce the years available for our mission.

      But, ignoring that, we need to have our spacecraft travel at least 1/27.5 (115.75 years / 4.25 years) x the speed of light, or about 36,364 km/second or a little over two million kmH (1.3 million MPH).

      Now, this all requires we leave TODAY. So, we would need to subtract the number of years it will take us to create a space ship capable of carrying humans that can travel at that speed, if we are going to see this happen in a current lifetime.

      Calculating the speed of space vessels itself is tricky (the point of reference changes, plus gravity of celestial bodies increases or decreases the speed) but Juno reached it's destination with an average speed of 265,000 km/h (165,000 MPH) relative to Earth.

      So, we only need to increase our ability to move through space by a factor of about 8x, with a craft many times larger and heavier than Juno, which is about 10 feet by 10 feet and weighed, fully fuelled at launch, just over 1.6 tonnes, or about the same as the average compact car.

      The Apollo Lunar Module, carrying three astronauts, weighted about 10x that amount (15,065 kg).

      Rather than claiming to being able to predict "future technology", maybe a sober assessment of only a few of the difficulties that would have to be overcome would be better. And I will go on record as saying I don't think we can pull it off.

    27. Re: Umm no.... by gordguide · · Score: 1

      My error:
      The Lunar Module was about 4x the mass of Juno, not 10x.

    28. Re: Umm no.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Technological development goes blistering fast, and you can't really say something is impossible."

      Sure, assuming we ignore the laws of physics.

    29. Re: Umm no.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What a stupid thing to say. Given sufficient fuel ANY engine is capable of a significant fraction of light speed. As always, energy is the problem. Significant fractions of light speed require more energy than anyone can reasonably carry.

    30. Re: Umm no.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Logically then, we nee to expand our lifetimes.

      ok lets go that route. I'm game. either way it works.

    31. Re:Umm no.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the 'fruits of science' used to be based on hope and dreams.

      we didn't go to the moon because of scientists who said the technology isn't ready yet, so we can't try anything.

      we went to the moon because JFK captured the minds and imaginations of the public at large and funded NASA to invent, risk and do things never before conceived until then.

      they didn't say well, we can;t do this, so scrap it.

      they said HOW can we do this? and made it happen.

    32. Re:Umm no.... by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      Unobtainium mountains floating in the sky would work too...

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    33. Re:Umm no.... by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      "You should look at military or experimental aircraft if you're interested in other performance aspects of aircraft design."
      You mean like the SR-71 which is still the fastest airplane? Built in the 1960s....

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    34. Re:Umm no.... by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      Yes I did but since we have never gotten anything to .01c I do not see building and testing a system good for .1c in less than 20 years. Massive lasers in solar orbit and a massive solar sail? I think 20 years is wildly optimistic. 4 light years at .1c is 40 years so 60 years and that is again being wildly optimistic.
      If they started today and you are only 20 then maybe.
      No it will not happen in our lifetime your starchip is frankly scifi right now. They never really talk about communications systems. How do you make a sub gram system that can transmit across 4.5 light years. They are claiming .2c but since we have not hit .01c yet I think .1c is far more reasonable. For the life of me I have no idea why the are suggesting a be/cu shield for it.
      So no as of today it is impossible to send a probe to the nearest star in a lifetime.
      As to the starchip well when they can send one to jupiter that will be a start.You would not even need a light sail you could put thousands of them on a Delta and launch them to Jupiter it would be a good test. Until then it is paper.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    35. Re:Umm no.... by N3wsByt3 · · Score: 1

      There have been a few tests with lightsails, such as...well, the Lightsail (of the planetary society). I happen to have sponsored that on their kickstarter, since I deemed it worthwhile. They'll send an updated version with the heavy falcon.

      Of course, most of these experiments were meant to use photons from our sun, not from laserbeams. And most were near-earth tests, nothing like a flight to Jupiter. I'm all for testing it out small-scale first, with an solar-system interplanetary StarChip (PlanetChip? ;-) ).

      But well, for arguments' sake, I think we can agree that, while unlikely, it *could* be possible we (depending on our age, and/or longevity progress) see a thing like the StarChip reach that starsystem. They've raised most of the problems themselves on their site, but all of them are technical and engineering problems, nothing that is a real showstopper, let alone that it would violate a law of nature. So I think we'll get there, at least in principle. And, well, in our lifetime... I deem it unlikely, but as said, it's *arguably* possible.

      I agree with you on the beryllium copper shield (well, actually, they said coating); it doesn't seem very practical in resolving the issue, and depending on the thickness it would have a dramatic effect on the weight (and thus, thrust/weight ratio) - which seems weird, seen their focus on ultra-light apparatus. But I'm no expert (yes, an unheard-off confession on slashdot ;-)) on shielding, so I wouldn't know the benefits of such a coating, and how thick it would need to be to be effective.

      That said, I disagree with your stance .2c would be unattainable. At least, on the principle of the matter (talking outside the 'in our lifetime'-argument, thus). In fact, I remember reading that, at least theoretically, a lightsail with good (sail)surface/(useful)mass ratio powered by large amounts of powerful lasers, and - most importantly - which are *continuous* working for years or decades, could attain speeds of up to .6c. The latter being the most important, since the speed it gets from the photons is cumulative, and thus the longer it gets pushed forward, the more its relative speed will increase. Of course, the destructive power of interstellar dust-particles would augment too, so there are other considerations to be made as well. But I don't think there is anything prohibiting reaching .6c in principle, at least.

      The same article also said the more mass it has, the more exponentially difficult, aka: more energy it would need (which is why the StarChip is so focussed on the ultra-small too), and anything that transports humans would be quite massive, and need gigantic lightsails and dito lasers pointing at it.

      So, yeah, not going to happen any time soon.

      Still, I'm all for NASA or whomever to at least test a system like StarChip out in our solarsystem. At least it wouldn't be wasted like on an EM-drive.

      --
      --- "To pee or not to pee, that is the question." ---
    36. Re: Umm no.... by N3wsByt3 · · Score: 1

      Please keep reading.

      --
      --- "To pee or not to pee, that is the question." ---
    37. Re: Umm no.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Muhammad was flying 1400 years ago, our only hope to reach there is islam.

    38. Re:Umm no.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not at all. The fruits of science comes from the results one get when applying scientific methodology.

      It's not based upon hopes and dreams. If the fruits were based on that, there is no reason why we wouldn't have gotten the same astounding development for the last 10000 years. After all; we had dreams and hope for thousands of years... so why didn't we have airplanes thousands of years earlier? Because we had no science. Period.

      What you are talking about are possible motivations for *people* to research something, but that is something else, and isn't imperative to getting scientific results. In fact, many inventions and discoveries and scientific/technological progress were made by accident, and even *against* the hopes and dreams of that time. Nature, after all, does not care about hopes and dreams of humans.

      And no; we went to the moon because we were in a geo-political 'cold war' rivalry with the USSR at the time. Which is, indeed, yet another motivation, aside from hope and dreams.

    39. Re:Umm no.... by stealth_finger · · Score: 1

      Any suggestion that speed isn't a reasonable measure of the performance of commercial airliners is a great big joke. Everyone, and I mean everyone, would rather fly from the USA to Europe in a few hours. They used to be able to, now they can't.

      Well then that's their fault for not buying enough tickets to keep the service viable then isn't it. They didn't pack it up because they got bored of it and it certainly wasn't for environmental concerns. If it was profitable enough it would still be running today.

      --
      Wanna buy a shirt?
      https://www.redbubble.com/people/stealthfinger/shop?asc=u
    40. Re:Umm no.... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      We presumably could build faster aircraft today if we wanted, but we seem to have arrived at speeds that aren't practically useful.

      Warship top speed roughly peaked around WWII, after which high speed became more the domain of aircraft and became less useful tactically. Aircraft speed peaked later, but world air forces generally stopped being interested in really high top speeds (with exceptions like the MiG-25 and the SR-71), and (last I looked) were more interested in making planes do things better at supersonic speeds.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    41. Re:Umm no.... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The unobtainium was buried underground. I have no idea what was in those floating mountains, but it was evidently of no particular value since nobody was trying to exploit them.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    42. Re:Umm no.... by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      The unobtainium was in both. The mountains floated because they contained room temperature superconductors. It is a property of superconductors that they produce a magnetic field, which would cause that effect. The reason they didn't mine the floating mountains was that there is a risk when removing lift from something that is floating. If they mined out the mountain, it would fall from the sky (probably over time), and likely damage the mining equipment.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
  31. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by arth1 · · Score: 1

    Seems to me I once read that early last century someone said words to the effect of "what's the point of airplanes? Not like they'll ever be able to fly nonstop across the Pacific or anything".

    Oddly, your comment reminded me of that....

    Oddly, your comment reminded me of how much progress has halted, not to say reversed. We had SR-71. We had Concorde. We had the Space Shuttle. We had man on the moon.

  32. Re: For values of 'nearby' that equal 'still very by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    OK, so you can't get to C since you have to have infinite power to accelerate infinite mass. (Ignoring relativistic effects proves stupid). Where would you get fuel to accelerate continuously? A Bussard ramjet? In interstellar space? They work great. In novels. I think you also might have forgotten deceleration. Unless you wanted to pass the planet at a significant fraction of light speed.

  33. Re:For values of 'nearby' that equal 'still very f by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I can think of quite a few things that can survive a car at 100 mph. Like this dick. Especially when it is in full on throb mode having caught wind of your leaking asshole. Nothing could match that.

  34. Crap... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This planet will become Beziez and attack Earth and Arus in 2151. Then we have to deal with the false flagger nuts and
    the end the occupation of Beziez movments on Earth, Arus and the colonies in 2218

  35. Re:For values of 'nearby' that equal 'still very f by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well, then. Make sure to launch it to the nearest star (excluding the sun). And have it send a post card when it arrives.

  36. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by guruevi · · Score: 1

    There is nothing stopping us from building a probe that goes that fast except for the expense (more weight) and some engineering (bigger/better shielding, more efficient rockets, bigger fuel production). We have the tech for it, we just don't have the political willpower to do it, I mean, who really wants to have a nuclear reactor going up in the air, something goes wrong and the US will be turned to dust and be inhabitable for 1000 years.

    --
    Custom electronics and digital signage for your business: www.evcircuits.com
  37. Re:In 2016 FBI move to it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sanders wouldn't use his own rocket. He will just convince his Israeli friends to make a movie denigrating whites and use the profits to form lawyer alliances and sue the rich fathers of 12 year old kids that download Bieber mp3's.

    Eventually he gets his rocket up.

  38. Re: For values of 'nearby' that equal 'still very by Dunbal · · Score: 1

    Oh wait you're using a MAGICAL fuel source and engine. Well, that's called CHEATING.

    --
    Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  39. Don't look at FBI SLASHDOT! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    stare into space.

  40. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by Dunbal · · Score: 1

    1% C is too hard. The current fastest man made object is the Juno mission that made it to 25 miles per second. Considering that light speed is 186,000 miles per second, we've only ever reached 0.01% of the speed of light.

    --
    Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  41. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by Dunbal · · Score: 1

    Diminishing returns kid. When you get older and the stars fade a little, you'll realize the bit about diminishing returns...

    --
    Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  42. Laws of nature, not Man's laws of physics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    It's a whole other story for things that go against the basic laws of physics, though, (such as the FTL, or 'devices' like the EM-drive, which is pure bullocks).

    You started off with some very good points about precision in speech, and then you wrote the above sentence which is so wholly incorrect that it verges on funny. :-) Although I understood what you meant (I'm sure that most readers did), it's certainly not what you wrote.

    Short version: the "laws of physics" are invented by Man and limited by our understanding, while the "laws of nature" or the underlying principles of reality are inherent to the universe around us. Your sentence confused the two things completely.

    The laws of physics are in continuous flux as physicists redefine them, and they always will be. As they evolve, so will our capability to manipulate the fabric of reality around us using the physics at our disposal. Of one thing we can be certain: what we will be able to do in 50 years' time would be seen as preposterous science fiction today if we could glimpse the future.

    Your total certainty about what is bollocks based only on our few-hundred year old state of physics was extremely funny. :-)

    1. Re:Laws of nature, not Man's laws of physics by N3wsByt3 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I would refute this.

      The laws of physics are not 'made' by men - at least not in the sense of 'made up', it's based on what nature tells us it is. If nature had shown us something else, our physical laws would be something else as well. If you want to argue that our knowledge is not perfect, I'll grant you that. In fact, this has been known to science for quite some while.

      But what most lay people do not seem to understand, is that, while our current laws aren't perfect, they're astonishingly accurate nevertheless and *anything new* (aka, new physics) would NOT contradict what we already observed for the last 400 years. Any new physics, thus, would not go *against* our current physics, but would merely improve upon it, specifically in extreme situations (like in the singularity of a black hole), where our current laws break down.

      It would NOT suddenly allow for CoM and CoE to be broken, like the EM device would. Because if a microwave-oven would be able to brake CoM, we would *ALREADY HAVE OBSERVED* the consequences of such a thing. A microwave hardly is an extreme situation where our laws break down, after all. And if that's all that it takes to break CoM and CoE, we would already have seen the consequences in the universe around us. This is because IF the CoM principle could be violated (and by mere resonance of microwaves, no less), it would mean that fundamental laws vary depending on localisation. This in turn would mean, the speed of light varies, the strong nuclear force would change, etc., and thus whole swats of matter would spontaneously disintegrate into atomic and subatomic particles and exotic matter, and flood the universe . This, however, we have not observed, not even once, for the last 400 years. Hence, the extreme unlikelihood of such a claim.

      As said, any new laws would still need to adhere to all previous predictions and observations. Since we never observed any of the consequences of such a thing, it is EXTREMELY unlikely to be true. About as unlikely as that we'll discover tooth-fairy magic holds the universe in check.

      That's why I think people thinking a microwave-oven (which the EM device basically is) is going to get us to the stars, are, indeed, extremely funny. :-)

      Well, sometimes they're pretty annoying too, granted. That's because they're fanatical in their ignorance, and are not prone to any arguments whatsoever. So after a while it gets tiring.

      --
      --- "To pee or not to pee, that is the question." ---
    2. Re:Laws of nature, not Man's laws of physics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It would NOT suddenly allow for CoM and CoE to be broken, like the EM device would. Because if a microwave-oven would be able to brake CoM, we would *ALREADY HAVE OBSERVED* the consequences of such a thing.

      While I doubt CoM and CoE will be broken, we have observed odd things in our universe. If we plug observed galaxy mass in our scientific theories, the result doesn't match what we observe (dark matter). We also come up with a handwave for the expanding universe (dark energy).

      Now it may be that DM and DE exist. Or it may be that our theories are wrong.

      There's plenty of "that's odd" problems out there. Some may be the result of flaws with our model.

    3. Re:Laws of nature, not Man's laws of physics by N3wsByt3 · · Score: 1

      The point is, a microwave-oven is well understood, and has well-understood physics. It's not an extreme situation, like in a singularity of a black hole. And it's in those circumstances (the very large or the very small, or the very energy dense) that our current laws break down.

      IF the resonance in a microwave oven really could break CoM and CoE, we would have seen the dramatic consequences of such a thing (and its underlying law) ages ago.

      Also: our basic laws aren't wrong in the strict sense. (Though this comes into the domain of semantics, I guess). They're incomplete, yes, but in their own domain, they describe reality with an astonishing accuracy. If any *new* physics will be discovered or developed, it will incorporate ALL that our current physics have demonstrated and have been observed, it won't negate it.

      --
      --- "To pee or not to pee, that is the question." ---
  43. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by swillden · · Score: 1

    Seems to me I once read that early last century someone said words to the effect of "what's the point of airplanes? Not like they'll ever be able to fly nonstop across the Pacific or anything".

    Oddly, your comment reminded me of that....

    Oddly, your comment reminded me of how much progress has halted, not to say reversed. We had SR-71. We had Concorde. We had the Space Shuttle. We had man on the moon.

    Progress was neither halted nor reversed. We had to take a step back and focus on efficiency, rather than just relying on brute force. All of those systems worked fine, but they were just too resource-intensive to justify their operation. We'll get back to the moon soon enough, and it will cost a tiny fraction of what the Apollo missions did. The SR-71 is just unnecessary today given better satellite coverage and better optics. The Concorde... that may never be back.

    --
    Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
  44. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by Gojira+Shipi-Taro · · Score: 1

    You're exaggerating the effect that a simple nuclear reactor would have even in a catastrophic failure by a whole lot.

    --
    "Oh my God. This is terrible. This is the end of my Presidency. I'm fucked."; ~ Donald J. Trump
  45. Re:For values of 'nearby' that equal 'still very f by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Basically, all the Hydrogen gas it encountered would slam into it as hard radiation, destroying any electronics."

    Protons at 0.2C only have an energy of ~20MeV above Rest Energy. For decades, we have hardened Electronics to withstand substantially more than that; they are routinely tested at Berkeley, Davis, TAMU, Chalk River, etc up to the several hundred MeV level.
    Those Electronics are zipping above your head right now, and in any event, a couple of millimeters of Aluminum will stop 20MeV Protons right in their tracks.

    Are you _really_ an Engineer? That was a High School level mistaken claim.

  46. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by Jeremi · · Score: 1

    who really wants to have a nuclear reactor going up in the air, something goes wrong and the US will be turned to dust and be inhabitable for 1000 years.

    I don't claim to be a nuclear scientist, but I'm pretty sure that even in the worst-case scenario that would not happen.

    --


    I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
  47. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

    More like progress has gone sideways. The focus has changed from high speed vehicles to high fuel efficiency vehicles ever since the 1970s oil crisis. It's the same reason you do not see cars powered by Wankel engines or turbines. It's not that we do not have the technology it just does not make economic sense.

    Today we have satellite reconnaissance and regardless of how fast you make a jet aircraft a SAM rocket will prove to be faster. You might as well send a high-altitude relatively slow drone like the Global Hawk to make the reconnaissance.

    Things might change though. There has been more emphasis on scramjet research in the last decade and the proposals for the next fighter aircraft after the F-22 have sometimes included variable cycle engines.

  48. Wait a minute... by roc97007 · · Score: 1
    --
    Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    1. Re:Wait a minute... by sconeu · · Score: 1

      Movie? MOVIE?????

      There are those of us who watched the series on Black & White TV.

      I'm tempted to ask you to hand in your geek card, but you're probably too young to remember the series.

      --
      General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
    2. Re:Wait a minute... by roc97007 · · Score: 1

      Careful, you're showing your age. :-)

      I watched the first run of LiS in glorious black in white. I was, um, pretty young, but remembered loving the first season, and disliking the show more and more as it descended into camp. (Although I didn't know what "camp" meant at the time. I just found the later episodes awkward and frivolous). When the SciFi channel first started, they ran reruns of LiS, Voyage, and Time Tunnel back to back for awhile, and I was able to confirm my earlier impressions.

      I used the movie trailer because I thought more of the people here would remember it. We all loved the movie, despite the fact it falls apart about 2/3 of the way through. Incidentally, right at the time when Allen's material ran out, and Akiva Goldsman was on his own.

      But the point is, in all incarnations of LiS (including comic book) their destination was the Centauri system.

      On a completely unrelated note, how is it that we're just *now* discovering that the nearest star to us save the sun has a possibly habitable planet? Shouldn't we have been checking there, like, first?

      --
      Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    3. Re:Wait a minute... by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      Shouldn't we have been checking there, like, first?

      Well, you certainly could make that argument. If you thought that a 2 decade process of searching for candidate planets would be a significant part of the time to get exploration equipment to this postulate planet. OTOH, if the 2 decades of searching moves the first human exploration from your great-great grand children's time to your great-great-great grand children's time, it's probably not terribly important.

      (You'll note that I refer to "human exploration," not to "exploration by humans.")

      Our current planet-detecting technologies are strongly (very strongly) biased to large panets close to their primaries and orbiting in a plane that passes through the solar system. That's around 1% of star systems (for Sun-like stars and Earth-like planets, regardless of the above biases). Since we can see the mutual orbits of Alpha and Beta Centauri on the plane of the sky, then the most-likely orientation of the angular momentum vector for the Proxima Centauri system (including any putative planets) is off the plane of the sky, which in turn means that transiting methods are unlikely to work well in this system. That's in spherical geometry 1.0.1 - a basic piece of geometry. So now you know why the last 20 years of planet hunting technologies haven't been aimed at a system unlikely (on information we've had for a century or so) to yield useful information.

      TFA doesn't say what the data source is, or whose embargo they're breaking. Maybe they're trying a new planet hunting technique developed in the last few years (the Atacama telescopes are mentioned, so it's not a space telescope, and so might be less than 15 years old, technology-wise).

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    4. Re:Wait a minute... by roc97007 · · Score: 1

      I was being a little facetious, but I genuinely wanted to know. You answered the question handily. Thanks.

      --
      Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    5. Re:Wait a minute... by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      No problems.

      Generally, a question involving space science that boils down to "why didn't they think of 'X'?" is normally going to have an answer "they did think of 'X', but these (or other) reporters didn't think it worth writing about".

      Actually, that answer goes for most other fields of science which I've studied or worked in.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  49. What's it Called? by youngone · · Score: 1

    The still nameless planet is believed to be Earth-like and orbits at a distance to Proxima Centauri that could allow it to have liquid water on its surface -- an important requirement for the emergence of life," said the magazine.

    Of course it's still nameless stupid. We haven't got there yet to ask the locals what the planet's called.

  50. Small issue by Smiddi · · Score: 1

    just 4.25 light years away - there's your problem right there.

  51. Zefram Chochrane... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...could happen, after all? I await the arrival of Colonel Green.

  52. beard by mcswell · · Score: 1

    Beard? Says who? I think that has more to do with Michelangelo (and more recently, Monte Python).

    BTW, have you never heard of the barber paradox? The barber who shaves every man who doesn't shave himself. Got is quite able to be that barber, whether He shaves himself or not.

    1. Re: beard by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A barber who shaves those who do not shave themselves can still also shave those who do, including himself.

    2. Re:beard by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Simplest answer to your paradox is that the barber is a woman :-)

      Sexist Christianity began a very long time ago, and you aren't making it better :-(

  53. Ever hear of a PET Scan? by gerald.edward.butler · · Score: 1

    PET stand for "Positron Emission Tomography". A "Positron" is identical to an electron but it has a positive charge. It is anti-matter. Want to see anti-matter in use every day? Go get your head scanned.

  54. Re: For values of 'nearby' that equal 'still very by mcswell · · Score: 1

    If you can accelerate, you can decelerate with the same technology. That assumes of course fuel. And I did say *if*.

  55. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by mcswell · · Score: 1

    I don't think the issue with reviving the Saturn V is the fuel, it's the cost of building those engines, and everything else that goes with it. (Including more reliable sources of electricity than Apollo 13 carried, although I guess that's solved.)

  56. We interrup this commercial by mcswell · · Score: 1

    to bring you an announcement: the Jesuits will be there first.

    Ok, so it's science fiction; The Sparrow (and its sequel, Children of God). But it's good sci-fi.

    1. Re:We interrup this commercial by sumsguy · · Score: 1

      +1 to you, sir. I came here, CTRL-f: "sparrow", and glad to see this referenced here.

  57. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by dadelbunts · · Score: 1

    Not even. We are still working on SCRAMJET/RAMJET aircraft as you just mentioned. And thats just things we know of like the X-51, it doesnt even account for all the black projects the Air Force has cooking.

  58. Re:For values of 'nearby' that equal 'still very f by SeaFox · · Score: 1

    How the heck did you manage to beat slashdot's auto-link?

    He had his post sent via antimatter rocket.

  59. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Minimally, this justifies building one huge honking telescope to get a good look at this planet." Siriously.

  60. Summary has Wrong Star? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The exoplanet in question, Kepler 425b is not in orbit of Proxima Centauri, at 4.25 light years distant, but rather Kepler 425 at a distance of approximately 1,400 light years. Thus, Kepler 425b is 329 times more distant than Proxima Centauri, give or take a light year or two. The New Horizons probe, which just recently flew past Pluto at a speed of 59,000 kph relative to the sun, would require 26+ million years to arrive there, assuming that it was headed in the right direction (which it's not).

  61. Where was the pre-pre-announcement announcement? by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 1

    Astronomers To Announce Discovery of a Nearby 'Earth-Like' Planet

    Would've been nice to have some warning of this pre-announcement. Cuh.

    --
    systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
  62. Gastrointestinal containment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The chances of maintaining adequate containment, much less producing enough antimatter to be viable, is about the same as my ability to maintain gastrointestinal containment after eating four Taco Bell chicken tacos with fire sauce and drinking two liters of beer.

  63. Launch the alert five! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We've lost Maverick and Goose. I repeat, we've lost Maverick and Goose. All pilots pop Imodium immediately and scramble!

    1. Re:Launch the alert five! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Break wind right!

    2. Re:Launch the alert five! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When this thing hits 0.88c you're going to see some serious shit. Like all over the windshield.

    3. Re:Launch the alert five! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But I'm constipated from too much cheese after watching the U.S. election coverage. I can't launch! Magnesium citrate, STAT!

    4. Re:Launch the alert five! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Explosive decompression, your ass! Seal main engineering!

  64. HOOAH! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Cant wait to freedomize it!

  65. Re: For values of 'nearby' that equal 'still very by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 1

    I was responding to the (strange) claim that it would take 30.000 years to reach a nearby star even with an engine providing a constant 1g acceleration. Where we get that acceleration is left as an exercise to the reader.

    --
    If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
  66. Re:For values of 'nearby' that equal 'still very f by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Are you _really_ an Engineer? That was a High School level mistaken claim.

    Actually, I am. Are you?
    If you think your piece of aluminium will still work as a shield after being constantly bombarded with protons and alpha particles for 100 years or so, you are in for a surprise.
    Hint: if it works as a radiation shield, it will capture protons, and will become highly radioactive.
    Not to mention that a mere 100 microgram speck of dust will go through it like a bullet.

  67. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Or at least pointing all the current radio and optical telescopes at it.

    And watching it for 8 years. If it's merrily broadcasting crap out into the universe... and listening to ours... and suddenly goes "oh shit. We've been rumbled. Shut it down. Pretend we're not home."

  68. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If a Soviet-era nuclear satellite can fall to earth and not leave Canada any more radioactive and uninhabitable than it already was, then I suspect a spacecraft designed and built using modern technologies and techniques isn't going to cause much harm to anything other than whatever it happens to fall on.

  69. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by Drethon · · Score: 1

    Much like Intel's tick-tock approach on a larger scale. That didn't slow down CPU progress much.

  70. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by cdrudge · · Score: 1

    Fastest man made object is believed to be a lowly manhole cover at the top of a nuclear test. Unofficially, it was calculated to be traveling at 45 miles per second.

    That means we've gone to over .024% the speed of light. We just need to detonate a focused nuclear bomb under the probe with a manhole cover as a blast shield, plus another 17500+ years to coast to Proxima Centauri.

  71. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by guruevi · · Score: 1

    Whoosh, that's the sound sarcasm makes as it passes you by

    --
    Custom electronics and digital signage for your business: www.evcircuits.com
  72. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by RobinH · · Score: 1

    There is a project that would involve accelerating tiny probes to a fraction (0.2c) of the speed of light, allowing a mission to a nearby solar system. Also, that system is moving towards us at about 21km/s so the longer we wait, the shorter the trip gets (but not by much, heh).

    --
    "I have never let my schooling interfere with my education." - Mark Twain
  73. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by RobinH · · Score: 1

    We have accelerated particles to almost the speed of light in particle accelerators. The point being that we have to think about how small we can make a probe, and how can we accelerate that tiny device (likely light sails and lasers from Earth).

    --
    "I have never let my schooling interfere with my education." - Mark Twain
  74. We all know what will be there by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Clearly when our probes get there the only signs of life we will find will be a Melnorme trader.

  75. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by dywolf · · Score: 1

    we should make this probe capable of self-repair using available materials.
    in fact, it should also be able to create other probes once it reaches its destination.
    and every good project needs a good codename.
    I suggest...Project Berserker.

    --
    The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
  76. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by arth1 · · Score: 1

    Not even. We are still working on SCRAMJET/RAMJET aircraft as you just mentioned.

    Given that the first ramjet flew in 1939, and the first scramjet in 1991 (both by SU/RU), I'm not terribly impressed with our speed of progress...

  77. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Solar sails can get to 20% of c, supposedly.

  78. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    500 or more years would be taking the risk that two things happen, one civilization falls enough that we forget we sent it. Or that in the next 500 years we easily build way faster probes.

    With the second risk (we easily build way faster probes) that isn't a big risk. At worst we waste some resources (money and materials), but the gains in technology and knowledge will be well worth it. In fact we may only be able to build something faster by first building something that's slower, a stepping stone.

  79. What do you mean, "unnamed"? by whitroth · · Score: 1

    It's name is Rann.

    Paging Adam Strange, Adam Strange, zeta beam for you from Rann....

              mark

  80. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    As I said in my last answer to you: you should read more.
    E.g.: http://www.electric-sailing.co...
    Or: https://en.wiki2.org/wiki/Inte...

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  81. Re:For values of 'nearby' that equal 'still very f by SunTzuWarmaster · · Score: 1

    Just to be clear, the proposed cost of this "get to Alpha Centauri in 20 years" project is $100M for a "nanocraft" that moves at 0.2C. To put this number in comparison, it is approximately 2.3% of the cost of the Large Hadron Collider, which we built. It is not inconceivable that, within 50 years, we could place real, live, people on this planet. That said, it would require a re-prioritization.

  82. Danger! Danger Will Robinson! Danger! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just as long as we don't send the new Jupiter 2 on a course to Proxima Centauri through an meteor storm, they should arrive safely...

    https://youtu.be/qhdyTwVl4RM?t=1313

  83. No man's sky by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No man's sky. there, this thread is now complete.

  84. KLINGONS! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yep, it could be them, or maybe Vulcans, Romulans, Gorn, Tholiens, etc.

  85. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 1

    You left out the part about doing this repeatedly.

    The cool part about Orion propulsion was that it seemed quite plausible to scale it up to ships the size of a city block or more, and get those giant ships to Alpha Centauri in less than a century. They'd just make kind of a mess in the atmosphere on their way up.

  86. Formal declaration of war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I hereby declare war on said planet. These bastards have had it too easy for too long.

    1. Re:Formal declaration of war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and me without my Illudium Q-36 Space Modulator.

  87. Too Soon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They forgot to announce they were going to announce the announcement, throw away all the data and start over.

  88. Re:For values of 'nearby' that equal 'still very f by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

    and we really don't have anything that can travel fast enough to get us there in less than tens of thousands of years.

    Actually we really do. Stop spreading misinformation. We have had nuclear power since the 1940s. A lot of you people seemed to have forgotten this amazing 20th century invention and want to pretend that chemical rockets or ultra-weak ion propulsion are the only options based on current tech. They are not.

    --
    Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
  89. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

    They'd just make kind of a mess in the atmosphere on their way up.

    Which means you basically have to build them off planet. At a Lagrange point or on the moon or whatever. Yes it would probably add hundreds of years to the project to do that, but the alternative may be to never build an interstellar ship.

    --
    Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
  90. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think the implication was that foreign powers would interpret it as a nuclear weapon and launch a retaliatory strike and glass the US.

  91. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 1

    One of the points of Orion was that it provided more than enough power to lift heavy vehicles from Earth's surface. (This is the hardest part for much space travel, though certainly not for interstellar travel.) If you're motivated enough -- say, if you realize that your planet is about to be rendered uninhabitable by a major asteroid strike or a previously-unsuspected large-scale variation in the Sun's output -- it'll get more off the planet quicker than anything else we've thought of.

  92. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by interstellarsurfer · · Score: 1

    That's exactly the point cheesybagel was trying to make. His definition of efficiency is a lot broader than yours, though.

  93. Re: For values of 'nearby' that equal 'still very by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Clean restrooms are not the problem. We can't leave till out craft has been stocked with lemon scented napkins.

  94. Name it Chiron for Hogan's Voyage from Yesteryear by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 2

    James P. Hogan's comments from: https://web.archive.org/web/20...
    =====
    An Earth set well into the next century is going through one of its periodical crises politically, and it looks as if this time they might really press the button for the Big One. If it happens, the only chance for our species to survive would be by preserving a sliver of itself elsewhere, which in practical terms means another star, since nothing closer is readily habitable. There isn't time to organize a manned expedition of such scope from scratch. However, a robot exploratory vessel is under construction to make the first crossing to the Centauri system, and it with a crash program it would be possible to modify the designs to carry sets of human genetic data coded electronically. Additionally, a complement of incubator/nanny/tutor robots can be included, able to convert the electronic data back into chemistry and raise/educate the ensuing offspring while others prepare surface habitats and supporting infrastructure, when a habitable world is discovered. By the time we meet the "Chironians," their culture is into its fifth generation.

    In the meantime, Earth went through a dodgy period, but managed in the end to muddle through. The fun begins when a generation ship housing a population of thousands arrives to "reclaim" the colony on behalf of the repressive, authoritarian regime that emerged following the crisis period. The Mayflower II brings with it all the tried and tested apparatus for bringing a recalcitrant population to heel: authority, with its power structure and symbolism, to impress; commercial institutions with the promise of wealth and possessions, to tempt and ensnare; a religious presence, to awe and instill duty and obedience; and if all else fails, armed military force to compel. But what happens when these methods encounter a population that has never been conditioned to respond?

    The book has an interesting corollary. Around about the mid eighties, I received a letter notifying me that the story had been serialized in an underground Polish s.f. magazine. They hadn't exactly "stolen" it, the publishers explained, but had credited zlotys to an account in my name there, so if I ever decided to take a holiday in Poland the expenses would be covered (there was no exchange mechanism with Western currencies at that time). Then the story started surfacing in other countries of Eastern Europe, by all accounts to an enthusiastic reception. What they liked there, apparently, was the updated "Ghandiesque" formula on how bring down an oppressive regime when it's got all the guns. And a couple of years later, they were all doing it!

    So I claim the credit. Forget all the tales you hear about the contradictions of Marxist economics, truth getting past the Iron Curtain via satellites and the Internet, Reagan's Star Wars program, and so on.

    In 1989, after communist rule and the Wall came tumbling down, the annual European s.f. convention was held at Krakow in southern Poland, and I was invited as one of the Western guests. On the way home, I spent a few days in Warsaw and at last was able to meet the people who had published that original magazine. "Well, fine," I told them. "Finally, I can draw out all that money that you stashed away for me back in '85. One of the remarked-too hastily--that "It was worth something when we put it in the bank." (There had been two years of ruinous inflation following the outgoing regime's policy of sabotaging everything in order to be able to prove that the new ideas wouldn't work.) I said, resignedly, "Okay. How much are we talking about?" The one with a calculator tapped away for a few seconds, looked embarrassed, and announced, "Eight dollars and forty-three cents." So after the U.S. had spent trillions on its B-52s, Trident submarines, NSA, CIA, and the rest--all of it.

    --
    A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
  95. Re:For values of 'nearby' that equal 'still very f by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Actually, I am. Are you?"

    Yup. One of my titles was Radiation Safety Engineer- I also ran a small Nuclear Facility, and brought in donuts for the morning crew; that is if I hadn't spent the whole night there already.

    "If you think your piece of aluminium will still work as a shield after being constantly bombarded with protons and alpha particles for 100 years or so, you are in for a surprise. Hint: if it works as a radiation shield, it will capture protons, and will become highly radioactive."

    At 0.2C we are talking about a few years, not a Century; you made another fundamental math mistake. Now as for the rest, you really should study some basic Radiation Physics. ~20MeV Protons come to a complete stop in Aluminum in less than 2mm, shedding Photons along the way; most of them near the end of the path at a point called the Bragg Peak. Those Electrons of the Nuclei that the Proton encounters spin or split off, yielding soft X-Rays until they are calmly captured internally again. Neither of these are long term and leave _no_ lasting Radioactivity. Now as for Nuclear Reactions; those happen very rarely due to the extremely low cross section, but 27Al + P=> 28Si... which is stable. At these energies, Spallation is possible but not probable, and again, the fragment half-lives are very short.
    We used Aluminum for most of our support structures simply because even under intense bombardment, many many orders of magnitude above what would be seen in deep space, and it simply didn't get hot enough to bother much with.
    Alphas, which you didn't mention initially, are more of a problem, but orders of magnitude less common than the Protons out there.
    You simply have _no_ idea what you are talking about.

    "Not to mention that a mere 100 microgram speck of dust will go through it like a bullet."
    Specks of dust that size are mountains compared to what is currently theorized to exist in deep space. Most of the "dust" is Molecule size out there; even at 0.2C, impact energy is measured in milli-Joules, and there may only be one "Dust Molecule" for every one million cubic Kilometers, if that. Deep Space isn't like our crowded neighborhood.

    What you missed out on is this:
    Static Charge. The guts are Faraday Shielded, but the entire vessel could accumulate a _huge_ Static Charge compared to anything else it encounters, which could be troublesome in trying to maintain a course. Scare yourself with that one.
    I doubt if you are hanging around, but really, you should do a bit of research, and work out the Math like I did, a long time ago, when I was first studying Dynamics and Kinematics. (Yeah, I'm old, but I had some assistance with my studies from two gentlemen that went by Huggins and Oppenheimer respectively. (No, not _that_ Oppenheimer, but his younger brother.))

    To help with the math, remember that E=M(C^2) isn't just some handwaving on a chalkboard; E stands for "Ergs", M refers to "Grams", and that it is a dynamic equation for a Relativistic Universe, useful for producing some real numbers. "Ergs" aren't used much any longer, but since an Erg= 10(e^-7) Joules, more recent useful real numbers can be derived; quite a lot of it actually.

  96. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

    something goes wrong and the US will be turned to dust and be inhabitable for 1000 years.

    And you consider this to be a benefit, or a problem? From this side of the Atlantic, I see it as a useful spin-off.

    --
    Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  97. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

    We had SR-71. We had Concorde. We had the Space Shuttle. We had man on the moon.

    ... not one of which turned a profit, even after a decade.

    QED.

    --
    Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  98. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by mcswell · · Score: 1

    cheesybagel said "The focus has changed from high speed vehicles to high _fuel_ efficiency vehicles" (emphasis added).

  99. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

    One of the points of Orion was that it provided more than enough power to lift heavy vehicles from Earth's surface.

    I never considered that to be one of its primary advantages. It's just too dirty. Not sustainable for multiple launches. It's primary advantage is that it can carry enough fuel with it to actually go somewhere interesting in a reasonable time period. Most propulsion systems cannot. We could just just set up a spacecraft manufacturing facility on the moon and launch from there.

    --
    Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
  100. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 1

    Sure, given time, you wouldn't dream of launching from the ground, probably not even from the atmosphere or exosphere (pulse! pulse! pulse!). It seems to me, though, that setting up a "spacecraft manufacturing facility" (including materials production, fabrication and assembly) on the Moon is a project of many decades. Again, something you can launch this century would trump something you can't launch until next century, if you know that there isn't going to be a next century for Earth.

    From a slightly different perspective, I'd happily put up with a large-scale Orion ground launch, yes, even in my back yard, to lift the equipment needed to divert a 10km dinosaur-killer asteroid. It would make a mess, but not as much of a mess as a hundred-teraton impact dumping a few thousand km^3 of rock vapor into the atmosphere.

  101. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    At the same time, inflation will have increased prices to the point where we are essentially paying the exact same as we did when the first Apollo missions were launched. So, is all this pickiness over "resource-intensiveness" really worth it??? I don't see how. It just seems to be slowing us down. In the same way, people conserving energy does not really help the planet in the long run. We would have had flying cars 10 years ago if it were not for all of the worry about "energy efficiency". Seems to me that "energy efficiency" is just an excuse to allow other countries to catch up to the progress the United States made in the 20th century. I don't see any way in which me using less energy is "helping" the world. Similarly, spending less does not mean you are "saving". It just means you have slowed progress. You have to spend money to make money. This applies at all levels. You have to invest to reap the rewards of that investment. Mulling for 20 years over which investment to pick is not making a better investment.

  102. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

    It seems to me, though, that setting up a "spacecraft manufacturing facility" (including materials production, fabrication and assembly) on the Moon is a project of many decades.

    Yes of course. I'd assume at least a 100-150 year minimum to properly set up such a facility complete with lunar mining, lunar nuclear reactors, probably earth moving equipment manufacturing, smelting and casting and machining. There is so much that would be either necessary or desirable that will take a long long time to get going.

    As far as asteroids go I don't think an Orion ship would be able to change the course of any even moderately sized one. Or were you thinking as a means of getting some humans off planet to prevent the extinction of our species? In any case a pulsed nuclear ship big enough to do either of those missions would be prohibitively expensive.

    --
    Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
  103. Re:Holy shitballs, all the sci-fi books were right by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 1

    I'm thinking any plant capable of changing the course of a dinosaur-killer, at least in a timeframe of decades rather than millennia, would need an Orion to get it off the ground and deliver it to the asteroid. I'd imagine planting some sort of industrial complex, ready to crank out many square kilometers of solar panels and an array of ion drives or magnetic accelerators to spit out asteroidal metal as reaction mass. I'm not sure you're right that the Orion ship itself couldn't do the job, but I can't be bothered to run the numbers, as I'm not currently facing an actual threat of planetary annihilation.

    And as for "prohibitively expensive", I agree -- except that priorities change when the alternative is certain extinction.

    On a related note, while I was snooping around about Orion, I reread some info about the NERVA program. I hadn't fully realized how close that came to being deployed. It's depressing that politics cost us a reliable and affordable drive that could've taken humans to Mars and beyond. Of course, I suppose there are many who are relieved that we dodged a sky full of high-power nuclear reactors. Making compromises that disappoint people is kind of the purpose of politics.

  104. 186 million miles thataway ----------) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The closest one is still on the other side of the Sun. Don't these people ever read?