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Uber Loses At Least $1.2 Billion In First Half of 2016 (bloomberg.com)

An anonymous reader writes: The ride-hailing giant Uber Technologies Inc. is not a public company, but every three months, dozens of shareholders get on a conference call to hear the latest details on its business performance from its head of finance, Gautam Gupta. On Friday, Gupta told investors that Uber's losses mounted in the second quarter. Even in the U.S., where Uber had turned a profit during its first quarter, the company was once again losing money. In the first quarter of this year, Uber lost about $520 million before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, according to people familiar with the matter. In the second quarter the losses significantly exceeded $750 million, including a roughly $100 million shortfall in the U.S., those people said. That means Uber's losses in the first half of 2016 totalled at least $1.27 billion. "It's hardly rare for companies to lose large sums of money as they try to build significant markets and battle for market share," said Joe Grundfest, professor of law and business at Stanford. "The interesting challenge is for them to turn the corner to become profitable, cash-flow-positive entities."

156 comments

  1. Offtopic by I4ko · · Score: 4, Interesting

    How is this a related link "10 Confirmed Dead In Shooting at Oregon's Umpqua Community College" to every article I look at, even this one?

    1. Re:Offtopic by Cigarra · · Score: 1

      Yes, thank you! I though it only happened to me.

      --
      I don't have a sig.
    2. Re:Offtopic by 110010001000 · · Score: 2

      Because both articles have numbers in the title.

    3. Re:Offtopic by Quirkz · · Score: 1

      I've been meaning to mention that, too. The related articles seem to have been frozen/broken ages ago. I think it's based on some function of high post count (those are all around 1000 comments). Might be vaguely related to topic, too. On a lot of articles the "Kentucky man shoots down drone" article shows up as top recommendation.

      Regardless, that feature badly needs some attention.

    4. Re:Offtopic by Oxygen99 · · Score: 2

      Agreed. I also see:

      10 Confirmed Dead In Shooting at Oregon's Umpqua Community College
      VC, Entrepreneur Says Basic Income Would Work Even If 90% People 'Smoked Pot' and Didn't Work
      Yelp Employee Posts Open Letter About Cost Of Living And Low Wages, Gets Fired
      Universal Basic Income Programs Arrive
      Explosions and Multiple Shootings In Paris, Possible Hostages

      Linked to virtually every story.

      --
      I had a dream, bright and carefree, but now there's doubt and gravity
    5. Re:Offtopic by I4ko · · Score: 1

      I also see a +1 score added to each of mine comments when viewing the threads as apposed to what I see when I go in my profile.

    6. Re:Offtopic by Calydor · · Score: 1

      Yes, that is a standard setting.

      --
      -=This sig has nothing to do with my comment. Move along now=-
    7. Re:Offtopic by Ziktar · · Score: 2

      Worse than just that, the subject is "You may like to read" ... "10 Confirmed Dead."

      Even if these articles were related, I certainly would not like to read that 10 people were confirmed dead.

    8. Re:Offtopic by RobotRunAmok · · Score: 2

      The stories aren't related. My educated guess is that the promoted articles are the ones with the highest amount of posts or are the "most engaging" as determined by user up and down votes. The number of people responding to slashdot stories has plummeted so dramatically in the past year or so that I think that the powers that be feel they are better off promoting generic stories that mathematically qualify as "what the people want" than creating some sort of metadata-driven recommendations consumers "should" find useful. Plus, it's less work to maintain, and these editors are clearly nothing if not flat-out lazy.

    9. Re:Offtopic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How is this a related link "10 Confirmed Dead In Shooting at Oregon's Umpqua Community College" to every article I look at, even this one?

      "Related Links" appears to be a miss-titled list of the most commented stories over some recent time-span.

    10. Re:Offtopic by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      I also see a +1 score added to each of mine comments when viewing the threads as apposed to what I see when I go in my profile.

      You can turn off the +1 karma bonus in your account settings. At least the option was there the last time I looked.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    11. Re: Offtopic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      With this kind of attitude I would think twice about saving you from drowning in your own porta potty.

    12. Re:Offtopic by I4ko · · Score: 1

      I don't think it is the karma bonus. For example when I posted this, it showed that my original post was +5. But when viewed from my profile of from another device it was +4. I consistently see my posts at point higher in a thread than what I see them in my profile or on another device

    13. Re:Offtopic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      funny, when I look at it, it says -1 Troll

    14. Re:Offtopic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      reality hypes liberalism, if it does not make sense to you... then YOU are the problem

    15. Re:Offtopic by EndlessNameless · · Score: 1

      If you have high karma, your posts start at +2 instead of the normal +1 for logged in users.

      Most people will stop modding a post up when it has 5 points. That 5-point threshold represents a net +3 moderation above your starting value.

      Your profile page only adjusts your +3 moderation with the baseline +1 value for being logged in.

      If you receive excessive positive moderation, that post can show as +5 on your user page, but I expect this to be uncommon.

      --

      ---
      According to the latest ruleset, this post should be modded as Vorpal Flamebait +5.
    16. Re:Offtopic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Amount of posts? Sounds pretty uneducated to me.

    17. Re: Offtopic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We're very sorry that the liberal cunts don't wants to fuck you so please go away

  2. Worked for Amazon. by 0100010001010011 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "It's hardly rare for companies to lose large sums of money as they try to build significant markets and battle for market share,"

    How long did Amazon lose money? Uber's just collecting data until they can get rid of the drivers and their cars and move to their own self driven vehicles using the infrastructure they're building now.

    1. Re:Worked for Amazon. by ledow · · Score: 5, Informative

      "Amazon's initial business plan was unusual; it did not expect to make a profit for four to five years. This "slow" growth caused stockholders to complain about the company not reaching profitability fast enough to justify investing in, or to even survive in the long-term. ... It finally turned its first profit in the fourth quarter of 2001: $5 million"

      Seven years it took to hit profit, but they knew that and said it would be like that all along.

      I suspect that Amazon's turnover and revenue were significantly higher than anything Uber's ever seen, and I suspect they never lost $1.2bn at any stage of their inception.

      It was also - as stated - highly unusual.

    2. Re:Worked for Amazon. by jellomizer · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Also unlike many of its Late 1990's .COM counterparts when it started Amazon had a business plan, that sold stuff not shares. They knew enough to price under the Brick and Mortar competition without any sustainable plan. Its prices and products were based on the cost it will be after they had completed their infrastructure. So while they were selling at a loss for a while, once the infrastructure was in place then they can make profit without having to change their competitivity.

      Most of the other .COM plan was based on the idea if they sell at a low enough price then their suppliers will start giving them bulk discount... However with too much competition all trying to undercut themselves in prices they couldn't get enough traction to make it worth the suppliers effort to give them bulk pricing.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    3. Re:Worked for Amazon. by Luthair · · Score: 2

      I pointed this out last time it was brought up... Amazon had huge capital expenditures in goods and warehouses. Uber's business model should dictate it needs nothing beyond a handful of servers and headquarters. Heck, their software requirements are even far less than something like Amazon.

    4. Re:Worked for Amazon. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      If their goal is to collect data for autonomous car research they're doing a piss poor job of it. "Comma.AI" has an open source dataset published and I KNOW it didn't cost them $1 billion dollars to make.

      The future of autonomous vehicles is doing more training in video games.

      Right now, training a basic convolution neural network on ImageNet requires 8-12GB of GPU memory. That's a $1200 investment to get your feet wet!

      256x256x3 tensors are NOTHING compared to the 1080p-4K images which are trivial to collect with today's technology. Until the performance of convnets trained on 256x256 resolution images improves: there's not much point in scaling up the networks.

      Last MLP I ran on a much smaller image took 33 seconds to process on a GTX 970. Those frame-rates are not conducive to reasonable servo controller's at 60-90 mph. This is no-doubt why the original Google vehicles had such low top-speeds.

      There's a relationship between algorithms and hardware and we need much better algorithms, much better hardware, or some combination to make autonomous vehicles more than just science experiments. Just my humble opinion from the trenches...

    5. Re:Worked for Amazon. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Wat?

      http://www.wikinvest.com/stock...

      Amazon ran a deficit of far beyond 1.2 billion, for a relatively long time. The lessons of the 90's have already been forgotten, as predicted.

    6. Re:Worked for Amazon. by slack_justyb · · Score: 5, Interesting

      get rid of the drivers and their cars and move to their own self driven vehicles

      This is the thing that a lot of people quote as being the thing that will help Uber turn the corner but if anything it'll make turning a profit that much more difficult. As it currently stands Uber is deferring a lot of business costs to drivers. Things like equipment, insurance, fuel, repair, and so on. When they have their own fleet of self driving cars, they take on all of those things that they haven't been paying for. Not only that, depending on the regulation a state/city might have for self driving cars, there might be a very high cost associated with self driving taxis. Yes, Philadelphia is all too happy to jump on, but that's because of the novelty. Years from now when it goes mundane, I'm pretty sure governments will be less affable to companies wanting to have a lot of self driving autos crowding their streets wearing down their roads. Switching over to self driving isn't going to be this panacea that allows them to go crazy insane profitable, there's a lot of costs involved and Uber will have to switch (or pivot since that's the fun word this season) from being just a purely service based company to a more complex company altogether. Pair with that, the ever evolving attitude of governments that will ultimately wane as time marches on, with ever increasing expectations from locals. If they don't have that mental change happen early in the game as they go self driving, they won't last long. I've seen tons of companies try automation and them not fully understanding what they're getting into is a killer (worst case)/hindrance (best case) for most of them.

      I'll add this, what Uber wants to do is of a scale that I've never dealt with personally, so something this large might have totally different challenges and I'm just talking out my butt. So that said, take all the above with grains of salt. But I do think that those are rationale challenges that they're going to run into down the road which will prevent them from being insta-profitable the second a robot hits the street.

    7. Re:Worked for Amazon. by gaiageek · · Score: 1

      Uber's business model should dictate it needs nothing beyond a handful of servers and headquarters.

      Not true moving forward, assuming they will own the self-driving cars they use.

    8. Re:Worked for Amazon. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I pointed this out last time it was brought up... Amazon had huge capital expenditures in goods and warehouses. Uber's business model should dictate it needs nothing beyond a handful of servers and headquarters. Heck, their software requirements are even far less than something like Amazon.

      Uber has nothing to do with ride sharing whatsoever. Uber exists to monopolize self-driving taxis, they spend money to build up a user base temporarily utilizing drivers to fill the role. Drivers have minimum costs they don't pass on to the riders specifically to build up a name and drive the existing taxi services out of business while waiting on self driving cars. Once the technology is in place and functional for self driving cars they will make a profit pretty much equal to the entire taxi industry because they will already have a client base willing to try self driving cars (slowly by doing things like sticking "engineers" in them to make people feel safe first.)

    9. Re:Worked for Amazon. by rjstanford · · Score: 2

      Yup. Uber's deficits serve purely to push everyone else out of the marketplace by offering well-below-market priced services. Its working in a number of places too.

      --
      You're special forces then? That's great! I just love your olympics!
    10. Re:Worked for Amazon. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In addition to everything you said, as self-driving cars become more ubiquitous... self-driving cars will be more ubiquitous. Joe Sixpack, who had too much beer at a pub, currently calls a taxi, I mean Uber and not a taxi, to take him home from a bar. If he also has a self-driving car, why would he bother when he can just get into his own car and sleep it off while the car shuttles him home?

      Uber's (and taxi) services will face a major change if people get self-driving cars.

    11. Re:Worked for Amazon. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Cars do virtually nothing to harm current roads, the vast majority of damage comes from large trailer trucks

    12. Re:Worked for Amazon. by rockmuelle · · Score: 1

      Sure, from a technical perspective you could probably run Uber off a small server farm*. But, you forgot about all the lawyers, lobbyists, and canvassers needed to sway local populations and politicians to change the laws to make Uber legal. And the subsidies to drivers so they can undercut their competition's prices.

      *Though I doubt the Uber developers architected for performance (when you have money, you hardware looks cheap) and it's probably running on a few thousand nodes on some cloud service somewhere. For comparison, in the early days of the internet, the mapping company I worked for (the one everyone used from 1995 until Google pretended they invented web-based mapping/trip routing) ran the whole thing off five servers. Serving hundreds of thousands of directions and millions of maps each day and running an ad serving business on the side. And that was on mid-90s hardware.

    13. Re:Worked for Amazon. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, but dem 90's Amazon Quilts doe.

    14. Re:Worked for Amazon. by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      When I first used Google Maps it was mind blowing.

      Not because I thought they invented it, but because I could zoom in and out and pan far quicker.

      I don't think google pretended they invented mapping, they made it awesome.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
    15. Re:Worked for Amazon. by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      That does not say how long it took for them to get that deficit. We are talking about losing $1.2 billion in six months here.

    16. Re:Worked for Amazon. by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      And they will finance those self driving vehicles with their mountain of debt and excellent lack of credit rating.

      I like Uber. But this seriously reminds me of the DotCom days. The usual business formula is to keep income GREATER than expenses.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    17. Re:Worked for Amazon. by MitchDev · · Score: 1

      HInt on what to look for:

      How much money did the actual drivers make/lose?
      How much did the Uber Execs give themselves as huge raises?

      I think you'll find the loss somewhere on the exec side...

    18. Re:Worked for Amazon. by lsatenstein · · Score: 1

      "Amazon's initial business plan was unusual; it did not expect to make a profit for four to five years. This "slow" growth caused stockholders to complain about the company not reaching profitability fast enough to justify investing in, or to even survive in the long-term. ... It finally turned its first profit in the fourth quarter of 2001: $5 million"

      Seven years it took to hit profit, but they knew that and said it would be like that all along.

      I suspect that Amazon's turnover and revenue were significantly higher than anything Uber's ever seen, and I suspect they never lost $1.2bn at any stage of their inception.

      It was also - as stated - highly unusual.

      How much of that 1.2billion were director salaries and initial owners (Pres, CFO, CEO, etc.) of course, no dividends. It does require large data centers to manage Uber, but these centers need only be regionalized, say one center for each timezone or 15 million people population, with the neighbouring centre serving as a backup-recovery role, if needed.
      Very few people want autonomous vehicles. If they did, municipal bus companies would be a thriving business.

      --
      Leslie Satenstein Montreal Quebec Canada
  3. But will they ever be profitable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    They are in a market where the bar is so low that anyone with a car and access to craigslist can set themselves up as a ride-hailing business. Apparently you don't need commercial license, vehicle inspections, or liability insurance. They are nothing but a 99 cent app and a marketing department - no special sauce.

    1. Re:But will they ever be profitable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They have a trusted brand and the back office system in place to match drivers and riders... it's a little more than you make it out to be. (but maybe not that much more)

    2. Re:But will they ever be profitable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't think Amazon could easily move into this place? They already have some system to match people up with contractors for home repair and stuff. This would be an extension.

    3. Re: But will they ever be profitable? by fubarrr · · Score: 5, Interesting

      At least, they need to stop letting people to give free ride codes to themselves. In Russia, we coined a word "Uberist" for people who chain Uber promo codes or ride and hail themselves from the second phone.

    4. Re:But will they ever be profitable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Can drones carry people?

    5. Re:But will they ever be profitable? by smooth+wombat · · Score: 0

      So what you're saying is Uber is a cab company. They have a headquarters which helps to arrange rides for both their drivers and the public who want to go to some place the driver is not.

      Got it.

      --
      We will bankrupt ourselves in the vain search for absolute security. -- Dwight D. Eisenhower
    6. Re:But will they ever be profitable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No. They're not a cab company. They're competing with the cab companies, but they have a different business model entirely.

      I still have no idea how the hell they're losing money.

    7. Re:But will they ever be profitable? by JonnyCalcutta · · Score: 2

      What's different about their business model? They connect drivers with passengers and take a cut of the fare.

      Now, lets look at a typical taxi company business model - they connect drivers with passengers and take a cut of the fare. Sounds familiar.

    8. Re:But will they ever be profitable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They don't pay off local political pigs. They pay off federal political pigs. Kapeesh.

    9. Re:But will they ever be profitable? by gfxguy · · Score: 2

      And uber doesn't have the overhead of buying cars/radios/meters or having depots..... so again, how are they managing to lose that much money?

      --
      Stupid sexy Flanders.
    10. Re:But will they ever be profitable? by BLToday · · Score: 2

      And uber doesn't have the overhead of buying cars/radios/meters or having depots..... so again, how are they managing to lose that much money?

      Truckload of cocaine and on-site hookers for employees. It's the new perks for working in Silicon Valley. You have to top the on-site masseuse and chef in order to recruit the best people.

    11. Re:But will they ever be profitable? by thegarbz · · Score: 3, Insightful

      They are in a market where the bar is so low that anyone with a car and access to craigslist can set themselves up as a ride-hailing business

      Except for that nasty thing called customers. The bar may look low, but when you're one person with a car and an app no one knows about, good luck competing with Uber.

    12. Re:But will they ever be profitable? by Darinbob · · Score: 2

      Trusted? That's just for those who believe the marketing, there are plenty who do not trust Uber at all.

    13. Re:But will they ever be profitable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But wait, there's more! Any driver that doesn't use uber to make their own book of regular customers is doing it wrong. Max time on uber should be about 3 months.

    14. Re:But will they ever be profitable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Pretty much everyone knows about craigslist. They even have a category called "rideshare". Best part - no dubious privacy-compromising "app" required.

    15. Re:But will they ever be profitable? by plopez · · Score: 1

      yes

      --
      putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
  4. News by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Slashdot: News for investors, other tech related news as needed.

  5. MS spent $2 billion on Xbox by UnknownSoldier · · Score: 2

    As the summary notes, breaking into an existing entrenched market is extremely expensive.

    Especially when you're trying to upset the status quo.

    We'll see if Uber is still around in 5 years.

    1. Re:MS spent $2 billion on Xbox by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      It was a lot more than that. The figures vary but this article puts the loss on the original Xbox at $5-7billion:

      http://n4g.com/news/1789459/former-xbox-head-says-original-xbox-lost-between-5-billion-and-7-billion

      They then launched the 360 and immediately had to allocate $1billion to fixing units that had RROD.

    2. Re:MS spent $2 billion on Xbox by UnknownSoldier · · Score: 1

      WOW.

      I didn't realize it was that bad.

      Thanks for the update!

  6. I would invest by 110010001000 · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    I would still love to be one of those private investors. Uber is going to be huge. It already is. Although Slashdotters like to whine about it, Uber has improved taxi service for the common person. Yes, Uber is a taxi service. And yes, it is cleaner, safer, more efficient and cheaper than other taxi services. And stop the bullshit claim that the drivers are getting ripped off: if that were true then they wouldn't be doing it. Uber drivers aren't idiots.

    1. Re:I would invest by rockmuelle · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Webvan was great. So was Pets.com. So is Uber.

      Unfortunately, none of those companies had/have a chance without investor money to subsidize their services. Once forced to actually pay their costs, they will have no choice but to raise their rates or go out of business. With Webvan and Pets.com, customers left when the rates went up. Same will happen with Uber.

      That said, I'm happy to spend investor's money to save a buck. Use it while it's there!

      -Chris

    2. Re: I would invest by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh come on they are practically running a pyramid scheme trying to get enough drivers to do luxury limousine service for minimum wage. The driver system is just the wedge to remove taxi services and replace them with self driving cars. They treat their drivers like shit because they have no real value to the company long term. Every aspect of the driver experience is to get the most desperate or naive people they can to drive enough to make up for the ones leaving by using the 'sign up a friend for cash (who then has to drive 20-50 rides for you to get the cash)' scam. What other company actually advertises onl tv and radio for employees? It all becomes apparent when you do your taxes and realize the massive tax evasion going on by laboeing uber drivers as contractors instead of employees. These aren't even real jobs, their just a way of using technology to subvert labor laws and create a desperate scab force to get rid of taxis and taxi unions.

    3. Re:I would invest by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      100% agree

      Most people I know have at least 2 ride sharing apps installed, and they tend to pick whomever is cheapest.

    4. Re:I would invest by known_coward_69 · · Score: 1

      in NYC the market seems to be people too lazy to walk 20 minutes to the train if you're somewhere away from the subway. or drunk people who need a ride out of manhattan on weekends.

      otherwise the idiot drivers seem to be no better than the murderous taxi drivers in how they drive around manhattan

    5. Re:I would invest by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Uber drivers are idiots. Back of the envelope math clearly shows driving for Uber only achieves one thing: It allows the driver to pull the capital value of their car out in the form of "wages" while still owning the vehicle, rather than just selling the vehicle for cash value today.

      So basically its not far off from payday lending with a labor component added. Brilliant these Uber driver are!

    6. Re:I would invest by ninthbit · · Score: 1

      You're looking at a bad investment then. Once self driving cars are truly autonomous, then Uber is dead. There will be way to many competitors. Not to mention, some cities may end up subsidizing a version as a means to supplement their train and bus infrastructure. Yes, they're "doing great" in the sense of gaining market share, but that share is costing them and will quickly evaporate when the one thing that finally makes them profitable (autonomy) comes to fruition.

    7. Re:I would invest by danbob999 · · Score: 2

      Uber drivers aren't getting ripped off. Those who pay their taxes and licenses are. The governments not getting their taxes are.
      The same rules should apply to all taxi services, Uber included.

    8. Re:I would invest by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      1) Driverless cars are NOT GOING TO HAPPEN.
      2) Uber is at the forefront of autonomous cars.

    9. Re:I would invest by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 1

      Webvan was great. So was Pets.com. So is Uber.

      Unfortunately, none of those companies had/have a chance without investor money to subsidize their services. Once forced to actually pay their costs, they will have no choice but to raise their rates or go out of business. With Webvan and Pets.com, customers left when the rates went up. Same will happen with Uber.

      That said, I'm happy to spend investor's money to save a buck. Use it while it's there!

      -Chris

      Okay, but what exactly is Uber spending $1.2B on? I ask this seriously. I understand a pets.com scenario where you have to build up inventory and all that - it takes capital up front and you won't get it back quickly. But Uber? They have a $100K app and some rented servers? I mean, I'm missing something *really* big somewhere. I don't see how they can blow that much cash with nothing to show for it.

    10. Re:I would invest by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      Uber has actually made money in certain financial quarters. Webvan and Pets.com didn't. Uber rates can go up and people will still use them: what is the alternative? Uber rates would need to DOUBLE in order to be close to what classic taxi services charge. There is a lot of room. Saying that X lost money, thus Y will is silly.

    11. Re: I would invest by 110010001000 · · Score: 0

      I love people like you. You think everyone else is so stupid to do their job. Uber drivers aren't stupid. But thanks for caring so much!

    12. Re:I would invest by 110010001000 · · Score: 0

      Uh huh. Everyone else is too stupid to figure it out, but you are so clever you have "figured it out". Classic slashdotter.

    13. Re:I would invest by 110010001000 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Marketing. They have 6,700 employees all over the world. They have offices all over the world to handle accounting/marketing/support. That costs money. I know Slashdotters think they can whip up a few shell scripts and call it a business, but the real world doesn't work that way.

    14. Re:I would invest by jittles · · Score: 4, Funny

      Okay, but what exactly is Uber spending $1.2B on?

      Strippers, hookers, and blow. Drugs and sex are the fastest way to burn money from what I have seen.

    15. Re:I would invest by JustAnotherOldGuy · · Score: 3, Insightful

      1) Driverless cars are NOT GOING TO HAPPEN.

      I expect they will happen, but not as quickly as most people are predicting.

      --
      Just cruising through this digital world at 33 1/3 rpm...
    16. Re:I would invest by jittles · · Score: 2

      Uber has actually made money in certain financial quarters. Webvan and Pets.com didn't. Uber rates can go up and people will still use them: what is the alternative?

      Back in my day, we called them taxis.

    17. Re:I would invest by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      ...So is Uber...

      Uber isn't great. It's s scam that is allowed to persist simply because there are no laws against running this type of scam.

      It's basically a Kansas City Shuffle. The key to a Kansas City Shuffle is getting the mark to think that they're part of the scam. Uber has done a masterful job in convincing marks (the drivers) that they're in on a sure thing. I'm sure you've seen the advertisements: "Make $20/hr just driving you're car!". "Stick it to the taxis while making buku bucks!". "Set your own hours!". You aren't an "employee", you're a "partner".

      In reality though, you're neither. Your a mark. They rely on the fact that most people won't bother to dig beneath the surface of the scam. Eventually though, reality comes crashing in on the "driving dream" and the marks realize just how much they're being screwed over. They stop driving for Uber, but Uber doesn't care because they already have their cut and have thousands of other ignorant/naive marks lined up to continue the churn and burn cycle.

      Start with $20/hr nonsense. Let's say you hustle, do 3 rides, and live in the right area and you manage to get $20/hr in fares. But you don't get $20. Uber takes 30% right off the top (if you're a new driver).

      But we're just getting started. There's an additional "booking fee" that Uber takes as well. That can be anywhere from $1.50 to $2.50 PER RIDE. You did 3 rides, and let's use $2 as an average. So from $20, you're down to $8.

      Well, that's not great but you could do worse, right? Well it does get worse. An average car is going to go through about a gallon a gas for that hour. Let's be generous and say that's another $2. Now you're down to $6. And then there's taxes, and again let's be generous and say that's another dollar gone. Now you're down to $5. Then there's wear/tear/maitenance costs of your vehicle which can drastically increase due to the increase usage (some of that can be offset by deductions). Let's say that's $.50/hour.

      So out of $20 of fares, you're actually getting maybe a quarter of that in real dollars. And it's just going to get worse. Over the past couple of years, they've increased their take from 20% to 30%, while dropping driver rates 40% across the country. Once they do away with surges (and that's a when, not if) there won't be any real way to even make minimum wage.

      And the cherry on top? Their lease and sub-prime lending programs are borderline criminal. I truly feel bad for anyone naive enough to get suckered into one of those. They're the ultimate marks.

      Uber, and pretty much every other "gig" company out there (freelancer, rent-a-coder, etc) all operate on the same principles. Race to the bottom, and feed off the truly desperate. The sooner drivers realize it's a scam, the faster Uber will go up in flames.

    18. Re:I would invest by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lawyers. They're getting sued all over the place, execs have been put in jail and everyone is bringing the hammer down. Also, subsidizing Chinese scammers, I mean drivers, trying to muscle their way into China.

    19. Re: I would invest by rjstanford · · Score: 3

      Don't forget that they're also screwing the city by putting lots of wear and tear on the streets without generally paying any commercial fees/taxes that would otherwise go to offset that damage - street infrastructure is stupid-expensive and they're basically using it for free (individual car fees are generally much lower on the expectation that you're not spending all day driving around downtown).

      --
      You're special forces then? That's great! I just love your olympics!
    20. Re:I would invest by stabiesoft · · Score: 2

      Free rides and lobbying local govs. I think they blew 10 mil on a failed prop in austin. They left. And as I told friends, they'll be back after a few months begging to come back. I hear they did a meet and greet with council last week. Maybe they will do the fingerprint check (along with all the other requirements the city has for ride shares) after all even though when the prop was being pushed, they said they could not possibly do that. Their other big cost in an effort to push out cab companies is to give free or heavily discounted fares. There were stories about phantom passengers in china because uber was giving free rides. So inventive drivers created fake passengers to drive around. Driver got paid by uber for the fake trip.

    21. Re:I would invest by ninthbit · · Score: 1

      They will happen, people are lazy. Any lazy task people don't want to do, will always get automated as soon as technology can affordably perform the task. Video games have been driving cars for years, not well, but the proof of concept is there. Once it's reliable enough for it to show a decrease in collisions/deaths then it will naturally take hold. In 10 years it may be an option... in 20 it may become a mandated requirement as a "safety feature". And as for Uber leading the forefront... that just increases the likelihood they will get burnt. The lead of the pack carries all the expense of developing the tech, then a swarm of competitors come in and kill the profitability. Ride sharing/taxi service is a commodity type service. The customer doesn't really care what company gets them to their destination, just so long as they get there quick and cheap. Uber has nothing to provide a strong barrier to enter the market, and nothing to distinguish their service as unique. They're the Betamax, and some future copycat (amazon, GM, Ford, any car maker really, google) will be the VHS to swoop in and ruin it for them. The best Uber can hope for is, is to have a massive IPO right after they release automation, but before the competition sets in. They can sell the idea/lie that they own the market, and it's a pure profit engine.

    22. Re:I would invest by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nope, they'll be here, and just as quickly as most people are predicting.

      Betting against driverless cars is a very, very bad bet.

    23. Re:I would invest by danbob999 · · Score: 1

      Oh I don't like the rules either. I'd prefer not to pay any tax too (but still benefit from all services).
      There is a way to change that and it is called democracy.

    24. Re:I would invest by Enigma2175 · · Score: 1

      Are you really this daft? The story posted to Slashdot RIGHT BEFORE this one is "Singapore Launches World's First 'Self-driving' Taxi Service". Also, Uber is planning on deploying autonomous cars to Pittsburgh "as soon as this month". Yes, there will be a "driver" (at least for now) but autonomous driving systems are only getting better and cheaper while human drivers keep the same skill level and get more expensive. They're not only coming, they are here today.

      --

      Enigma

    25. Re:I would invest by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >from what I have seen.

      Cough(!) Jittles, you mean "from what you've heard & read about".
      - Signed, your legal team on the 5th floor.

      ps: don't forget this week's Family Bowling Night at Church, (your CC statement will show a different business name, so bring cash this time).

    26. Re: I would invest by Jack_the_Tripper · · Score: 1

      Most people already figured this out a while ago but apparently you weren't playing attention. Most drivers just don't care apparently since a dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow (which, incidentally, is the principal behind 'interest') so they happily pull the equity out of their car.

      Kind of like people pulling the equity out of their houses during the real estate boom, to them it seemed rational at the time but in hindsight wasn't the best plan.

    27. Re:I would invest by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 5, Funny

      Strippers, hookers, and blow. Drugs and sex are the fastest way to burn money from what I have seen.

      Don't have children, do you...

    28. Re:I would invest by jittles · · Score: 1

      Strippers, hookers, and blow. Drugs and sex are the fastest way to burn money from what I have seen.

      Don't have children, do you...

      Like I said... Sex is one of the fastest ways to blow money.

    29. Re:I would invest by cmdr_klarg · · Score: 1

      Okay, but what exactly is Uber spending $1.2B on?

      Strippers, hookers, and blow. Drugs and sex are the fastest way to burn money from what I have seen.

      The rest they squandered on useless stuff.

      --
      THE SOFTWARE, IT NO WORKY!!!
    30. Re: I would invest by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm very impressed with how you incisively rebut the gp's points.

    31. Re:I would invest by bartle · · Score: 1

      Those Singapore cars rely on not just one, but two drivers.

      That's what's fascinating about the self-driving car movement. So much money, and so many promises - entire companies even are banking on a technology that doesn't exist in a meaningful way. What we get instead are pledges and advertisements that are completely disconnected from reality.

      They may come eventually, but no one in the industry seriously expects to see an autonomous car that can handle city driving within the next 10 years.

    32. Re:I would invest by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      Where do you live that taxis are a viable alternative?

      I saw someone at work wait 2 hours for a cab, uber had three drivers in 10 minute range (if I knew her I would have offered to call one).

      My house has a thirty minute wait for cab, uber 5.

      I've been areas where can companies have refused to route a ten minute drive, uber, shows up in ten, no complaints.

      In the larger cities uber may be competing on price, but in much of the country, it's convenience and reliability.

      When I was in New Orleans, $8 cab ride from bourbon st, I frequently paid uber surge of $15 to get into town (could flag a cab the other way, but took 30-60 minutes to call from where I was sleeping). In the college town I grew up (Newark, DE) cabs were useless, in Wilmington, DE where I love now, they're bad.

      I fully expect uber to start creeping up prices in areas and make a killing, out side of downtown in million person plus cities, cabs aren't an option.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
    33. Re:I would invest by farble1670 · · Score: 1

      Uber rates can go up and people will still use them: what is the alternative?

      Walk.
      Bike.
      Buy a car.
      Take public transit.
      Use your current car.
      Call a friend.
      Use a taxi.
      Make fewer trips.

      You are mistaken if you think Uber's customer base is a bunch shut-ins that were finally able to come out and see the light of day thanks to Uber. For me Uber is a luxury. I can bike or use public transit, just like I did prior to Uber (because I hate taxis).

      You are right, some people would take Uber at higher prices, but it doesn't take much of a downturn in business to make startups like this shutter their windows and board up their doors.

    34. Re:I would invest by jittles · · Score: 1

      Where do you live that taxis are a viable alternative?

      I saw someone at work wait 2 hours for a cab, uber had three drivers in 10 minute range (if I knew her I would have offered to call one).

      My house has a thirty minute wait for cab, uber 5.

      I've been areas where can companies have refused to route a ten minute drive, uber, shows up in ten, no complaints.

      In the larger cities uber may be competing on price, but in much of the country, it's convenience and reliability.

      When I was in New Orleans, $8 cab ride from bourbon st, I frequently paid uber surge of $15 to get into town (could flag a cab the other way, but took 30-60 minutes to call from where I was sleeping). In the college town I grew up (Newark, DE) cabs were useless, in Wilmington, DE where I love now, they're bad.

      I fully expect uber to start creeping up prices in areas and make a killing, out side of downtown in million person plus cities, cabs aren't an option.

      I have never lived anywhere that has had a 2 hour wait for a taxi. I live on an island right now with a very low population density and could get a taxi to my door in 10 minutes if I called the dispatcher. And that's with them coming from the city next door. There's a bridge to the island, obviously, not a ferry. I have lived in California and Florida and have been all over the US and have actually seen instances in California where it is faster to get a taxi than to get an uber. That's rare, but it can happen if you're in an area near a popular taxi stand. And I've never lived downtown anywhere, ever.

    35. Re:I would invest by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      Fair enough, they won't come 20 mins out of a downtown in Delaware, unless it's an airport run, Philly and Nola were more 30 or so minutes.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
    36. Re:I would invest by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      In suburban south Eastern PA, they refused to pick me up from the bar, so much for the call a cab campaign, but they may be an uber dead zone too.

      As for California, in San Francisco, I used uber as a convenient way to get an official cab.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
    37. Re:I would invest by jittles · · Score: 1

      In suburban south Eastern PA, they refused to pick me up from the bar, so much for the call a cab campaign, but they may be an uber dead zone too.

      As for California, in San Francisco, I used uber as a convenient way to get an official cab.

      I'm sure it all depends on where you are. I've never tried a NYC cab or somewhere like that but I know my experience in Boston with a taxi wasn't amazing. It was easy enough to get a taxi but the driver was very difficult to communicate with and didn't know the city at all. I ended up pulling up my destination on google maps and directed him there myself.

    38. Re:I would invest by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      Your giving me flashbacks to working in NYC prior to smart phones. They didn't have GPSs yet in '05, and it was a mess.

      Even when I had a smart phone, it was as you describe.

      In Philly, way too late they were required to take credit cards by law, still refused, same in NYC (though three years earlier).

      The cab industry used regulatory capture to make money and not innovate.

      I'm crying them no rivers.

      When a GPS was $200, every fucking cab with a 500k medallion (NYC) should have had one, but no.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
  7. How can a taxi company... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How can a taxi company with literally no expenses except for keeping a few servers running run a loss in the billions?

    1. Re:How can a taxi company... by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1

      Maybe, just maybe, Uber's infrastructure is more complicated than a "few servers."

      --
      If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
      Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
    2. Re:How can a taxi company... by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 1

      Investments. Self-driven cars. Software. And I suspect a lot of expenses from the leaders. Keep your tears, though.

      --
      Slashdot, fix the reply notifications... You won't get away with it...
    3. Re: How can a taxi company... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Those judges and government officials have high tastes, don't you know?

    4. Re:How can a taxi company... by ranton · · Score: 2

      How can a taxi company with literally no expenses except for keeping a few servers running run a loss in the billions?

      Uber spends far more money on marketing and ride subsidies than on running their servers. They undercut taxi companies by simply losing money on each ride in many markets. The claim is their costs would go down once economy of scale raises, but there is also a good chance prices would go up significantly if they ever win their battle with taxi companies.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    5. Re:How can a taxi company... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm willing to bet legal, lobbying and marketing costs far outweigh their infrastructure costs.

    6. Re:How can a taxi company... by danbob999 · · Score: 1

      Uber spends far more money on marketing and ride subsidies than on running their servers. They undercut taxi companies by simply losing money on each ride in many markets.

      And also by paying less in taxes and licenses than competitors.
      Uber is not a tech company. It is not a taxi company either (the drivers are, though). It's a lobbying company.

      but there is also a good chance prices would go up significantly if they ever win their battle with taxi companies.

      This is the only reason why Uber investors accept loosing that much money now. They want a future monopoly with higher prices.

    7. Re:How can a taxi company... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 4, Interesting

      How can a taxi company with literally no expenses except for keeping a few servers running run a loss in the billions?

      Uber CEO Travis Kalanick is worth over $6 billion. The loss belongs strictly to the investors. The company's doing fine, otherwise.

      This is why Uber is not a public company. It's a money laundering operation.

      http://www.cnbc.com/2016/03/28...

      http://investorplace.com/ipo-p...

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    8. Re:How can a taxi company... by dr_canak · · Score: 1

      Admittedly,

      I don't understand how Uber works, as I'm not a driver. I assumed you paid an Uber driver to take you from point A to point B for some amount. The driver kept some percent and the rest went to Uber.

      How does Uber lose money on this transaction. Or, more to the point, how does Uber lose money on each ride?

      I have the same question as the parent post. It seems like Uber is an App that provides a matching service between driver and rider. Aside from Uber employees, servers, and whatever administrative costs they incur to keep the thing running, what else is there? I can't imagine how they can hemorrhage this kind of cash.

      It seems like they should be raking in the money. As near as I can tell, Uber is basically collecting a royalty on ever ride that takes place.

      What are we missing here?

    9. Re:How can a taxi company... by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Yet look at all the people praising Uber now for their lower prices.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    10. Re:How can a taxi company... by ranton · · Score: 1

      I don't understand how Uber works, as I'm not a driver. I assumed you paid an Uber driver to take you from point A to point B for some amount. The driver kept some percent and the rest went to Uber.

      How does Uber lose money on this transaction. Or, more to the point, how does Uber lose money on each ride?

      The passenger pays the fare in the app, and the driver gets a percentage of the fare. In some instances, Uber will pay the driver more than the fare, otherwise known as ride subsidizing.

      This is mostly done to get more drivers into a new market. Uber has a chicken or the egg problem in new markets (like China) so they need to pay a premium to drivers when there are few passengers. They might have to pay a driver $50 per ride because they will only have 2-3 rides per day, even though they only charge $25 per ride to the passenger. In this state there will usually be far more drivers than passengers, so the level of service is excellent. Soon more passengers install Uber in this city, and once drivers can get 10 fares per day their payment per ride can go down to $20. The price per ride can probably go up a little too since they don't have to undercut taxis as much once Uber becomes more ubiquitous.

      Uber spent around a billion dollars per year trying to break into the China market this way (plus many other similar strategies and marketing costs).

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    11. Re:How can a taxi company... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Any sufficiently large company is essentially "a money laundering operation".

  8. Uber looking forward to driverless cars by perpenso · · Score: 0

    But will they ever be profitable?

    When they switch to driverless cars.

    1. Re:Uber looking forward to driverless cars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How does that make them profitable? Presumably someone is selling them the cars... that company could just set up an app to hail the cars.

      Uber's only advantage would be if they had cheaper access to capital to finance the cars, which is a stupid assumption and not a valid business plan.

    2. Re:Uber looking forward to driverless cars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How does that make them profitable? Presumably someone is selling them the cars

      A lease on a car is less expensive than a driver.

  9. Of course. by bluegutang · · Score: 2

    They are a taxi company. Offering prices lower than the market rate. So of course they are losing tons of money.

    Their goal is to roll out self-driving taxis before they go bankrupt. If they succeed in being the first company with self-driving taxis, they will become incredibly successful. Because of this possibility, they have attracted a huge amount of investment. This allows them to lose lots of money for a long time without going bankrupt.

    In the short term, customers are winners from Uber's lower prices (disregarding legal/ethical issues, which are real, but tangential to my description of the business model).

    1. Re:Of course. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I don't understand how they think they will be first to market with a self driving taxi? Just about every other auto company is working on the same problem but those companies actually build the cars.

      What is Uber going to do - buy a bunch of regular cars, attach sensors, and then try to compete with integrated self driving systems? These auto companies could easily just stop selling cars to Uber. I don't get the plan. Where is the competitive position? The app? I can download a new app is seconds and if there are no driver rating to care about, the Uber app is worth no more than the programming cost, which is not much and certainly not billions.

    2. Re:Of course. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Consumers won't buy a $100,000 self driving car because it's ROI will be negative vs. a normal car where they can save $70k-80k by driving themselves. An autonomous car can operate 24-7 around the clock to maximize profits and help amortize the $100k investment before the depreciation curve eats the initial investment.

      While Tesla works out the kinks with it's autopilot system: the commercial grade autopilots equipped with LIDAR sensors probably will be prohibitively expensive to make an economic justification for ownership by general consumers. Not so much for Uber when every minute the car isn't driving is lost-profit obfuscated by car loan payments.

    3. Re:Of course. by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      Yet they have made money in previous quarters. Therefore what you are saying is complete shit.

    4. Re:Of course. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't understand how they think they will be first to market with a self driving taxi? Just about every other auto company is working on the same problem but those companies actually build the cars.

      As the .com boom demonstrated having better/cheaper/etc technology is almost entirely irrelevant. The thing that matters is the size of a user base.

      A thousand cab companies may come out with self-driving cars in their fleets, maybe even with their own ride-hailing apps, but they will be individual companies limited to a city/county/etc with taxi regulations applying. Starting as a "ride sharing" service Uber comes in without the bureaucratic overhead and working across city/county/state/country lines so people know they can use the same app in their home town or in another country, even if they don't know the language of the driver.

      This translates into a virtually guaranteed monopoly.

    5. Re:Of course. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Their goal is to roll out self-driving taxis before they go bankrupt. If they succeed in being the first company with self-driving taxis, they will become incredibly successful.

      No they won't.

      They're going to have to buy all those cars which is a huge capital outlay. Right now, they have folks who use the cars that they bought.

      Uber and Lyft's business is doomed to failure.

    6. Re:Of course. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      An autonomous car can operate 24-7 around the clock to maximize profits and help amortize the $100k investment before the depreciation curve eats the initial investment.

      Miles driven is a greater factor in vehicle depreciation than time, and they are not going to be operating anywhere near 24/7 either.

    7. Re:Of course. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yet they have made money in previous quarters. Therefore what you are saying is complete shit.

      No, they haven't. There is a huge difference between revenue and profit. Uber is burning through cash faster than if they could actually set it on fire. And they're doing that while paying their drivers less than a Walmart greeter while taking what amounts to a 50% or more cut of every fare and not paying the expenses of managing/maintaining a fleet of vehicles.

      Uber is a scam. The sooner they go down in flames the better.

    8. Re:Of course. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For all we know, their positive earnings came from moving expenses around a quarter or two to make themselves look profitable. Complete speculation, I admit, but how can they go from being profitable to losing 1.2 billion in a half year? It looks, at best, extremely suspicious.

    9. Re:Of course. by farble1670 · · Score: 1

      They are a taxi company. Offering prices lower than the market rate. So of course they are losing tons of money.

      Except Taxi fares are fixed; not based on any sort of supply and demand.

  10. Uber is doomed to fail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There is no brand loyalty. Most people only care about getting a cheap ride.

    That's even before Tesla, Apple, and Google have autonomous cars... Remind me why I need Uber again. IMHO in 2020 Uber won't even be a thing anymore.

    1. Re:Uber is doomed to fail by danbob999 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      There is no brand loyalty.

      Don't underestimate the network effect.
      People use Uber because there are drivers. Drivers are on Uber because that's what people use.

    2. Re:Uber is doomed to fail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But no loyalty. Virtually all of my Lyft or Uber drivers use both services (as do most customers).

    3. Re:Uber is doomed to fail by danbob999 · · Score: 1

      maybe in your town. Globally, Lyft is far from Uber.

  11. Build Market Share == Out spend/last competition by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They will become profitable when they drive legacy cab companies and other ride hailing businesses out of the market because Uber has investors willing to take the hit and they don't. Once that happens they can then proceed to jack up prices (it's well established that their current pricing is not sustainable for them or their "independent contractors" in most markets). This is why they bowed out of China, they finally realized that they can't play this game there because the Chinese government has infinitely deeper pockets and controls the legal environment.

  12. EBITDA? Really? by coldsalmon · · Score: 1

    Normally companies use "earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization" to make it look like they are profitable when they really aren't. It's not recognized as a proper measurement of profitability by generally accepted accounting principles. In the words of Warren Buffett, "Does management think the tooth fairy pays for capital expenditures?"

    1. Re:EBITDA? Really? by trepanne · · Score: 3, Informative

      EBITDA is commonly used as a proxy for operating profit in the VC community.

      Depreciation & amortization aren't going to be hugely relevant for Uber (unlike the companies Buffett tends to invest in), and in the context of startups where capital expenditures relate to growth not replacement, and are going to be sourced from further investment rather than retained earnings, these noncash expenses just clutter the laser focus on operating profits, which are the overriding interest... the first thing you want to know is "when are they going to stop burning cash", not "how long will it take them to recoup the investment on their IT infrastructure"

      Interest expense gets taken out because it reflects corporate finance decisions, not operating results. The business isn't doing better or worse because a company relied more or less on debt financing vs. equity, or had to pay a higher or lower interest rate. It's not like anybody's ignoring the debt, it's just that people whose business is to change the capital structure prefer to value the entire enterprise in a capital structure agnostic manner, then deduct the full value of debt to get what's left over for equity... a balance sheet approach, rather than GAAP's approach of anointing net earnings on the income statement as the One True Number that we need to slap a multiple on.

      EBITDA is not a finishing point in evaluating & valuing companies, it's just the point along the way that's of the keenest interest.

  13. How the hell by rfengr · · Score: 1

    How the hell do you lose $1 billion when you don't actually do anything? Can't uber just be run with a server and a handful of people?

    1. Re:How the hell by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Run a lot of ads, hire a ton of lobbyists, offer 20$ of rides free as introduction offer, undercut taxis by subsidizing rides. And probably also pay the management well.
      That is how it works.

    2. Re:How the hell by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      offer 20$ of rides free as introduction offer, undercut taxis by subsidizing rides

      Does this mean, eventually, uber fares == taxi fares, when the subsidizing stops?

    3. Re:How the hell by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lawyers and lobbyists?

    4. Re:How the hell by rjstanford · · Score: 2

      offer 20$ of rides free as introduction offer, undercut taxis by subsidizing rides

      Does this mean, eventually, uber fares == taxi fares, when the subsidizing stops?

      No, they'll be far more expensive if everything stays the same. Taxi drivers make very little and most taxi companies are run on shoestring margins (sometimes for a lot of money because of volume, but still very low margins), and they're selling a far lower quality product in most markets.

      --
      You're special forces then? That's great! I just love your olympics!
  14. How is this possible? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Others have compared Uber to Amazon, but Amazon had real, huge cost drivers: They needed stocks, warehouses and logistics. Even so, and even given their aggressive growth, they never lost this much money - I think the record was around $1 billion in one year. Uber is purely a service, with essentially no capital costs and no logistical infrastructure. They are an app and a money conduit. How can they lose $1.2 billion in six months?!

    They attribute the losses to subsidizing drivers, i.e., paying drivers more than the passengers are charged. I can see that on a local scale, over the short-term, as they attempt to gain a foothold in a new market. To do so on this massive of a scale? Insane!

    Of course, another aspect is salaries. Why does Uber need 7000 employees? They need a technical team, they need marketing droids and lawyers. But...7000 of them?

    Something here does not compute...

    1. Re:How is this possible? by cheesybagel · · Score: 2

      Uber was supposed to be all about UberBLACK. They only started UberX later. Even Amazon looks more like eBay than a store these days...

  15. Robots by Koreantoast · · Score: 1

    Simple: driverless cars. Survive long enough to get driverless cars perfected, dump your largest cost (driver pay), and there you go.

    1. Re:Robots by DirkDaring · · Score: 1

      So in about 15-25 years?

    2. Re:Robots by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes this. Even if they are on the 5-10 year horizon, you cannot expect to bleed that much money until then, and there will be a HUGE capital investment in the cars and other related infrastructure. If that is truly your goal as an investor, you would be better off shutting down the company until the tech is in place. Or you could hike your rates and survive as a "premium" service. I know many people who would still take Uber even if it was 10% over the local cab rates.

    3. Re:Robots by rockmuelle · · Score: 1

      The main costs for a transportation company (ignoring lobbying, which is Uber's actual largest cost) are drivers, vehicles, and fuel. Uber's found a clever way to avoid the last two entirely and seriously underpay the first. All autonomous cars will do is bring vehicles and fuel back onto Uber's balance sheet. Given that those costs aren't covered Uber right now (their drivers tend to quit once they do the math and realize that they're not going to come out ahead on car/fuel costs), Uber's expenses will go way up with driverless cars.

      -Chris

    4. Re:Robots by farble1670 · · Score: 1

      Simple: driverless cars. [bloomberg.com] Survive long enough to get driverless cars perfected, dump your largest cost (driver pay), and there you go.

      Are you serious? Drivers are their biggest asset. Drivers keep them from paying for cars up front, paying for insurance, paying for car maintenance, and paying for gas. Do you have any idea what it would cost them to fund a fleet of self-driving cars that's even a fraction of the number of drivers they "employee" today?

  16. developed ride sharing app around the same time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    However I call Europe my home. I told everyone I could the app would revolunize cabs.

    People would laugh at me. No money for revolutions they said. If I had something on the scale of Twitter or Facebook or Google or Amazon, of course they would invest. Ride sharing? Already invented, works well.

    I tried just a couple of years later with a similar idea to AirBnb. Same story.

    That's Europe. Missing in action. Doesn't keep them ("investors", politicians) from fretting about how innovative Silicon Valey is in comparison.

  17. The early bird gets the worm, by Overzeetop · · Score: 1

    but the second mouse gets the cheese. Uber may survive being one of the early distributed ride hailing services, but the danger is that the spend so much money in the process that they go bankrupt and only the name will carry on after someone buys it in a fire sale when the company assets are liquidated.

    --
    Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
  18. Re: developed ride sharing app around the same tim by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Airbus and uber operate at the periphery of legislation. They have 100s of lobbyists.

    That's their innovation. Operate at the edge under the auspices of "tech will solve everything". Lobby like crazy.

    Throw billions at it until you are accepted.

    Drivers are not employees, have no rights. They have to accept what they are offered for fear of not getting jobs. No different to other dodgy enterprises.

    Innovation?

  19. It's the ol' scale up fast and dominate strategy by JoeyRox · · Score: 1

    When executed successfully you'll have an unprofitable market all to yourself.

  20. Sure they lost $1.2 billion by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

    But they make it up on volume, right?

    --
    Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
  21. Re: developed ride sharing app around the same tim by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

    This leads me to ask.. why are people pushing the idea that we need to advance technologically when we are clearly not headed for the kind of world that is better for more people here. Do we like shiny new things that much, that we would sacrifice our entire place in the economy?

    --
    Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  22. Re: developed ride sharing app around the same tim by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This leads me to ask.. why are people pushing the idea that we need to advance technologically when we are clearly not headed for the kind of world that is better for more people here.

    The money to be made is not in delivering, but in convincing sucker investors that you will deliver BIG TIME at some point.

    Driverless cars are never going to be a significant thing. The concept of the personal car will be dead long before the technology is "there". Companies who are using the pile of cash that they made doing real business (e.g. Google) are saying it is decades away. Companies who are struggling to make any real money now are pushing the idea that profitability will arrive via driverless car some time next week. What does this tell you?

  23. Re: developed ride sharing app around the same ti by rfengr · · Score: 1

    So now we have come to google doing "real business". So much for mining, farming, and manufacturing.

  24. How? by MMC+Monster · · Score: 1

    What are Uber's expenses? I can't imagine it costs $1 billion+ to run a phone app. Let along lose that much when they make money on every ride.

    Exactly how much cocaine are they paying their execs?

    Or is all in court cases and bribes to local officials?

    --
    Help! I'm a slashdot refugee.
  25. R&D by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In a related note, Uber just pledged $150M on an autonomous drive project together with Volvo Cars (who threw in the same amount), so there does not seem to be any panic regarding liquid assets: Volvo Cars and Uber join forces to develop autonomous driving cars.

  26. Re: developed ride sharing app around the same tim by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Driverless cars are going to be a significant thing.

    When you've got old stodgy car manufacturers like Ford saying they're going to be selling them in 2021, when you've already got technology demo driverless cars on the road today, when many already shipping cars have features that allow them to drive themselves in some conditions, you can be pretty sure that it's going to be a significant thing.

    You'd have to be a complete moron to not see this technology coming. It's not decades away. It's already here.

    I halfway expect the Slashdot Luddites to be blabbing about driverless cars not being a thing while they're riding in one in a few years.

  27. They're Using Movie Accounting... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Movies are set up for accounting purposes so that they will never make money. Revenue, yes, in large amounts, but the way the books are set up practically none of that appears at the bottom line. That's why you want a percentage of the gross, not the net, or an actual salary, if you're going to work on the show. Given the structure of Uber and the way it's pretty much destroyed all potential competitors (cabs, Lyft, whatever), something like movie accounting HAS to be going on to keep losing money in the 9 digits.

    And Uber *has* created a high bar for competitors. Their app is actually available for nearly everybody (even Windows, which Lyft ignores). Their system overall is pretty much seamless and painless for users and, presumably, drivers - it *does* work, which is more than you can say for many cab operations. Yes, the drivers get stiffed on their income after cost of operation, but see movie accounting above. They're extras.