Stephen Hawking Wants To Find Aliens Before They Find Us (cnet.com)
Stephen Hawking is again reminding people that perhaps shouting about our existence to aliens is not the right way to go about it, especially if those aliens are more technologically advanced. In his new half-hour program dubbed, Stephen Hawking's Favorite Places, the theoretical physicist and cosmologist said (via CNET):"If intelligent life has evolved (on Gliese 832c), we should be able to hear it," he says while hovering over the exoplanet in the animated "U.S.S. Hawking." "One day we might receive a signal from a planet like this, but we should be wary of answering back. Meeting an advanced civilization could be like Native Americans encountering Columbus. That didn't turn out so well." Hawking manages to be both worried about exposing our civilization to aliens and excited about finding them. He supports not only Breakthrough: Listen, but also Breakthrough: Starshot, another initiative that aims to send tiny nanocraft to our closest neighboring star system, which was recently found to have an Earth-like planet.
would know that TV and radio -- except for AM -- transmitters are designed so as not to radiate energy where it's wasted (like, for example, towards the sky). Plus, of course, the transition to fiber optics reducing EM emissions even further.
If we figured that out pretty soon after inventing radio, it stands to reason that ETs would have also.
"I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
There's no possibility that aliens capable of FTL would find us remotely interesting. Once you get to that technology, energy and resource problems either have been solved, or become very easily solvable. In addition, given that FTL is far more likely to be developed using AI rather than human intelligence, space faring races (if they bother to be space faring) are more likely to be 2nd order intelligences (i.e. artificial intelligences),rather than 1st order, genetically based naturally developing intelligences).
Bottom line? To space faring AIs, we're squirrels. Our nuts are safe. Really.
Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
It makes sense to guess that the dominant species on other worlds got to the top of the food chain because they're also the most skillful killers. It's wishful thinking to suppose that a more technically advanced civilization would be more peaceful and tolerant. Just like it was wishful thinking for the Aztecs to give the Spanish gold and hope they'd go away.
He's right. We should be careful about broadcasting our presence around the 'verse.
That's our life, the big wheel of shit. - The Fat Man, Blue Tango Salvage
Whoah. I'm an alien. I'm a legal alien. I'm an Englishman in New York.
We all know that "Mr. Hawking" is in fact an alien, residing on our planet to observe us.
-- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
The answer to the Fermi Paradox: Alien civilizations are cowards, just like us.
He was the guy who basically married general relativity to quantum mechanics, and catapulted our understanding of stellar phenomenon forward by a substantial amount. Long after your bones are dust, people are going to remember him for his important contributions to science.
BeauHD. Worst editor since kdawson.
by being an "exotic" mouthpiece for mainstream propaganda
How has he advanced science again?
Certainly not by this
Black holes and big bang stuff. You know, obscure shit no one cares about.
"Dumbass" is a good description of anyone who believes aliens are particularly likely to be benevolent. The evolution of altruism is by no means universal, particularly altruism towards different species.
If he wasn't crippled, you wouldn't have any idea who he is.
Bane/10.
Did you "not somehow get" that we have two different INCOMPATIBLE theories of physics (GRand QM) that haven't been reconciled? And did you also miss the bit about GR solutions that imply it may be possible to warp space?
Or do you just think you're smarter than the guy the wheelchair because you 'know' the solution to the Drake equation? What values did you select for the variables and how did you discern their values?
We're not quiet. Aliens will reason that we must have superior technology. They duck and hope we don't find them. Well, the truth is anyone's guess and this guess was mine.
Bert
Who at times thinks he hears aliens still laughing for a prank long time ago where they secretly pulled a dead corpse from a cave three days after he died.
If you're referring to his lost "bets", my understanding was that he was purposefully making tongue-in-cheek bets against what his gut told him. He's probably not the most important scientist of his generation, but he's not lower-rung. Singularity theory is quite important because that's one of the main areas where our current science breaks down, and he's made some important contributions there.
Yes, he has some extra celebrity because of his medical condition. So what? I wouldn't begrudge him that.
Let them shoot down the drone.
Earth declares war
Earth sends nanocraft with We come in peace post-it
Earth-base prepares 10 megaton warhead for 'signature required priority overnight' delivery
WARNING: Smartphones have side effects--most of them undocumented.
So basically Hillary pulls off the mask and goes from President to Reptillian overlord?
He's a mess and he has low ratings. He's a loser and at least an 8-handicap golfer. Sad! And what's with that voice, right? [imitates Stephen Hawking]
When I'm president, you can bet the aliens will know where we are.
You are welcome on my lawn.
We are a threat to ourselves and in a hundred years (if we survive them intact) a threat to everyone else in the galaxy. Much of Star Trek on this is plausible. They are likely to intervene at least before we become a threat to them.
Then there's the question of what they might want from us. Do we have any resources here that they might want? Any data? That is harder to understand but we cannot rule it out. For that reason, I agree with Hawking. Why take the risk?
I actually started my analysis of the Fermi Paradox from the other side. What if some civilization wanted to be noticed? Turns out to be a relatively minor problem, which strongly indicates that no one wants to be noticed. Alternatively, they tried it and got shut up quickly. Bottom line is that no one is trying right now (where now includes the 100,000 years it would take to span our galaxy--still an extremely small value of "now" on the galactic scale).
My position has evolved over the years, but I'm basically standing on the position that the synthetic intelligences (ASIs) that replace the naturally evolved intelligences like us are amused. They are watching and probably gambling quatloos on whether we create ASI successors before exterminating ourselves. Longer version at:
https://ello.co/shanen0/post/v...
Again hoping for "funny" or "insightful" comments at Slashdot, but it's a young article, soon to become an obsolete article...
Freedom = (Meaningful - Coerced) Choice != (Speech | Beer^2), and sad sock puppets' bad mods avail them naught.
Some of them are just catching "I Love Lucy" and "Abbott and Costello". Maybe it will keep them occupied for 50 years or so... If they were more advanced than we are, they won't be for long.
“He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
No they won't. They'll remember him for being a cripple that speaks with a monotone robotic voice machine.
Hawking is on the lower rung of great scientists, a lot of this theories have been debunked. He just throws out so many that when a couple turn out right, we all give him a standing ovation. If he wasn't crippled, you wouldn't have any idea who he is.
I wasn't sure if you were joking or not, then I noticed you posted this garbage anonymously, so I must assume you were indeed joking. Hawking's greatest achievement may not be his scholarly work but instead the great success he has had in communicating arcane science to the masses and convincing them to think about matters like this in an intelligent, inquisitive way. Guys like Hawking, Tyson, Sagan, and even Bill Nye and Don Herbert have arguably had as big of an impact on society as have Einstein, Bohr, or Tesla. They make otherwise dense and dry topics exciting and interesting, and if there's one thing we need it's more people of all ages maintaining an interest in science, and being open to learning and continuing to investigate the workings of the universe.
You could have said your piece in a less offensive way, too.
This is a hacked account, for which the owner can not be held responsible.
Go ahead and move the goalpost if you want, but they're more likely to be malevolent than benevolent or indifferent if they do exist. I don't think a tremendous amount of resources should be devoted to hiding ourselves from them (should they exist) but I don't think Hawking said that, either.
Hawking said something perfectly reasonable based on fair assumptions (although it's hard to judge the amount of time or resources that should be spent on it.) You made a bunch of unsupported assertions and changed the topic when challenged.
The debates will be between Mrs. Gorn and Donald the Hutt.
Table-ized A.I.
So basically Hillary pulls off the mask and goes from President to Reptillian overlord?
You are making a few large assumptions that pro-Trump wackos automatically reject.
This is a hacked account, for which the owner can not be held responsible.
Noh, thay weel reefaktr Eenglish speleeng tu bee fohnetik and lojikul.
Table-ized A.I.
... and thus consider all biological lifeforms inherently dangerous.
We could do worse. I'm sure our saurian masters will be pleased when they learn that humans have been tinkering with mice for so long that we can genetically modify them to be twice the size and ten thousand times as tasty before you can say "Sssss'Sthss".
If God forks the Universe every time you roll a die, he'd better have a damned good memory.
Where physics meets religion.
Achille Talon
Hop!
What do you mean "may be" possible. It is a fact. Mass warps space, or rather spacetime. You may mean to the degrees possible for faster than light travel, but many people are unaware of or forget the initial situation, so this is my blunt way of drawing attention to the fact. All the stuff about GR that is generally poorly understood and poorly communicated being that way is a continuous source of frustration for me.
Hopefully they'll treat us better than we treat lower life-forms. Especially if we happen to taste good to them.
The likelihood that another life form traveled the 4.5 billion year path to intelligence, as we did, is close to zero. It assumes that there is a bias toward intelligence in evolution, of which there is no evidence whatsoever. The dinosaurs ruled the Earth for hundreds of millions of years and probably still would if the Chicxulub asteroid had not hit the Earth 65 million years ago, part of a very particular series of events over 4.5 billion years. Chimpanzees, who share 99.9 percent of our DNA are not us. They build no cities, write no great books, land on no moons. Hawking has a teenagers' science-fiction understanding it seems outside of Black Holes. And as far as the "Fermi Paradox" is concerned, it is not a paradox at all. We are not living on the Earth, we ARE the Earth. We are not going to settle the Galaxy, or even the Solar System. We can live nowhere else. We are not mere visitors to the surface of the Earth. We are an intrinsic part of the Earth. It would be the same for any "intelligent species." End of question.
E Proelio Veritas.
Logically, the encounter between us and a more advanced society would be less like "Indians and Columbus" and more like "single-celled bacteria and humans".
Assuming the universe is ~15bn years, and the earth's existence to-date (including the evolution of our stellar system, and the giant star from whose planetary nebula we formed) took about 6bn years to evolve from essentially nothing, that means that a more advanced civilization could be anywhere from 0 to 9bn years ahead of us. Let's assume conservatively they're "only" a billion or two years ahead.
On earth 2bn years ago we were in the age of multicellular microorganisms.
So my guess is that they won't even notice us, nor we really even comprehend them, much less "try to communicate".
It's entirely possible that things we've rationalized away, that we simply don't really understand, may be the result of their activity on an incomprehensible scale. When some bored pre-sociopathic kid steps on an anthill, do they have great elaborate ant-scientist rationales for "tectonic migration" to rationally explain why the catastrophe?
-Styopa
Yawn. Well, some of us have no intention of remaining a wretched human being forever.
I wonder how many people are a little miffed about these people getting credit for their innate curiosity and how many give them credit for giving them the curiosity that was in them all along.
... shouting about our existence to aliens is not the right way to go about it, ...
I heard that Trump is going to build a Space Wall. Not sure who's going to pay for it though. :-)
It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
No, he did nothing of the sort. No one has successfully "married general relativity to quantum mechanics", that is beyond present day physics.
He has applied quantum thermodynamics to certain aspects of a black hole, but that is not the same thing.
Yes yes, I understand that GR is modeled as a distortion of spacetime and those distortions are measurable and have been repeatedly measured. I meant warping to an extent that fast travel is possible, be it FTL or otherwise.
Which bit? Black holes, the likelihood of intelligent life evolving on other planets or the evolutionary stability of universal altruism towards conscious creatures? None of these things involves, invokes or borders on religion.
Or, how many people have curiosity as an innate characteristic, but would have never tapped it to useful ends were there not voices like Hawking's in our society.
They could have, instead, become curious about the Kardashians' dinner or something.
"Hawking is on the lower rung of great scientists, a lot of this theories have been debunked. "
Bow before the recipient of the Anonymous Internet Keyboard Prize! Okay, now explain to us why Kepler was a chump, and how the orbit of Jupiter can be explained in epicycles.
To make America Great Again, we should send all the crippled back to -- where do they come from, again?
Right at the moment, Brazil.
Useful ends... now that's where knowing about Ecclesiastes and Nietzsche come in handy. I decide for myself what I find useful and fully impose upon the world to bring that about. If a God created me, he built those things into me. If a God is perfect then he wants for me what I want for me only is better at knowing the whole situation. If aliens come, I will be useful to them in some form and they will share resources with me. Of course there is the possibility that this me will die, but the universe is a big place and I feel there is much certainty that another such as me will crop up. A portion of the universe will reflect my will.
"Tactical sanity"? I don't know enough about what you're saying to even be able to tell if it's a joke or not.
If you're not making a joke... no, there's no realistic way for "swinging around a star" to just reverse the direction of a relativistic craft like Starshot. Even with a very close flyby, gravity's effect on its trajectory would be minimal.
"You abandoned me! You abandoned my hatred!" "I... I have cuttlefish..."
"Or did you not somehow get that E=MC2 obviously has not been beaten and the immense distances that we cant reach with fesible technolgy in the next 1000 years?"
The infeasibility of interstellar travel absent wormholes or other unknown shortcuts has nothing to do with the existence of other species. It only affects our ability to find them.
Because? Do you think interstellar civilizations are based around burning coal?
"You abandoned me! You abandoned my hatred!" "I... I have cuttlefish..."
Very true.
far more advance than we are. We have been using radio for a century or so. So for us to find aliens less advance than we are they would have to be between 10 to 100 years less advance than us. On the other hand the aliens could be billions of years more advance. That is a far bigger space. So the odds are the aliens are far more advance.
Whenever I'm out of my mind enough to look at the world as an outsider, I would advise any aliens to take off and nuke the site from orbit. Though they certainly have some way to just kill off the human species and let evolution try again. Come back in a million years (surely you've managed age) and check if earth intelligence v2.0 is better.
We definitely want to find them first, so we can check if we can conquer, enslave and economically exploit them. If not, to buy us time to improve our military until we can. We didn't claw our way to the top of the food chain for no reason, right?
Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
If THEY are more technologically advanced than we are, THEY already know about us. Or at least they know that there's something peculiar about the third planet around our sun, with its nitrogen-oxygen atmosphere and such.
As in, the age of the universe? If aliens existed, they would be so far advanced that he, you and anyone else could even fathom it. Now lets put it this way, would we as humans go our of our way to step on a a tiny ant colony in the middle of the desert in Australia?
You know who tries to locate someone without being noticed? Predators. This sounds like a good way to make aliens wary of us, especially if we're unsuccessful. And it stands to reason that we would be unsuccessful if they're more technologically advanced than us. If they're not, then we have little to be afraid of anyway.
https://www.eff.org/https-everywhere
He did a lot of work on Black hole thermodynamics, such as predicting Hawking radiation.
You could have said your piece in a less offensive way, too.
Hello, and welcome to the internet.
Who ordered that?
What conspiracy? To keep people in the dark? That's a fact, not a theory.
You can see NASA's own evidence of UFO's, Edger Mitchell's own testinomy, many Government officials, researchers, time and time again admit this.
Lastly, 12 years ago I met an alien -- but you can keep trying to label other people's experiences that don't fit within your myopic perspective.
Only the ignorant stick their head in the sand and ignore a problem. The truth is:
We were never alone.
In roughly 8 years this fact will be public. You can either accept it now or later. Your choice. But all the wishful thinking won't change fate.
When are you going to grow up and realize yelling doesn't make your question any more valid?
See proof here:
https://slashdot.org/comments....
How does the periodic table imply "burning through all of one's resources"? Your argument thusfar is "Because 1 + 1 = 2, then banana."
"You abandoned me! You abandoned my hatred!" "I... I have cuttlefish..."
To put it another way: the total mass of the universe is about 180000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000 kilograms, which is the mass equivalent of 16200000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000 joules. There is no shortage of "resources" in the universe. Even the rarest of "resources" is available in unthinkable abundance to any entity that has a range broader than a single planet. Not like it's particularly easy to actually exhaust resources on a given planet; you just move from the easiest ones to the much more abundant, but harder to access ones (while simultaneously your technology advances with time, making resources in general more accessible; prices are based on the competition between these two factors, but in the long term generally follow a downward trend)
"You abandoned me! You abandoned my hatred!" "I... I have cuttlefish..."
And don't hide behind AC if you want another reply.