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India Just Flew Past Us In the Race To E-Cash (backchannel.com)

New submitter mirandakatz writes: Since India's prime minister banned 86 percent of the rupee notes in circulation last month, citizens have been waiting in hours-long lines for ATMs. But these circumstances have also created an unexpected progression: a burgeoning cashless economy. At Backchannel, Lauren Razavi explores how India is now beating many Western countries in adopting mobile payments, and how demonetization has triggered a radical shift toward reimagining India's enormous informal economy as a data-driven digital marketplace. From the report: "Before last month, Paytm, a mobile app that allows users to pay for everything from pizza to utility bills, saw steady business -- it was processing between 2.5 and 3 million transactions a day. Now, usage of the app has close to doubled. 6 million transactions a day is common; 5 million is considered a bad day. Rather than being forced to idle away time in excruciatingly long lines, 'people are proactively exploring other ways to settle payments besides cash,' says Deepak Abbot, senior vice president at Paytm. 'Now people are realizing they don't need to really line up, because merchants are starting to accept other forms of payment.' All of this has created a newfound system that practically incentives mobile payment. With so many people queuing up at banks every day -- and a lot of Indian bureaucracy to wade through in order to open a traditional bank account or line of credit -- the appeal of more convenient digital alternatives is easy to understand. According to a report in the Hindu Business Line, as many as 233 million unbanked people in India are skipping plastic and moving straight to digital transactions. 'Cash has lost its credibility and payments are no longer perceived in the same way,' says Upasana Taku, the cofounder of Indian mobile wallet company MobiKwik, which reported a 40 percent increase in downloads and a 7,000 percent increase in bank transfers since demonetization. 'There's chaos at the moment but also relief that India will now be an improved economy,' she says."

37 of 216 comments (clear)

  1. What's the rush? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    That's a race I don't want to win.

    1. Re:What's the rush? by techvet · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Completely agreed. Elimination of cash means the government knows everything you are doing.

    2. Re:What's the rush? by 110010001000 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Any cashless payment platform leaves an audit trail. Even bitcoin. So not sure what you are talking about.

    3. Re:What's the rush? by cayenne8 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Completely agreed. Elimination of cash means the government knows everything you are doing.

      Exactly, I enjoy having and spending cash.

      It is largely anonymous, and I find that if I take out my spending money and see myself spending cash and the amount dwindling away off my money clip...it means more to me.

      Credit cards and the like, abstract money like chips in a casino do...and I don't find myself fretting over spending nearly as much when money is abstracted in this manner.

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    4. Re:What's the rush? by DRJlaw · · Score: 5, Insightful

      That's ridiculous on its face. Counter-example: I give you an ounce of gold and you give me a laptop. Extend that example to any comparable cashless payment platform.

      Ah, youngsters.., they forget that an ounce of gold was cash, for example, classic US "double eagle" coins prior to 1933.

      Hint: cash is any material object commonly used to exchange value, as distinguished from use for barter between individuals seeking specific items.

      "Cashless" is any electronically-based payment system relying upon an exchange of information -- rather than material obects -- and requiring three parties, such as a buyer, a seller, and a payment system. Bitcoin's third party is those maintaining the blockchain.

      That three party system invevitably extends to include the government, which will demand things like "complete user security settings and history (including confirmed devices and account activity)." Presuming that the information is not public to begin with, as in the bitcoin blockchain.

    5. Re:What's the rush? by DogDude · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Elimination of cash means that VISA and MASTERCARD know everything you're doing, and take 2% off the top of every transaction.

      --
      I don't respond to AC's.
    6. Re:What's the rush? by vtcodger · · Score: 2

      Given the dismal state of computer security, why on Earth would anyone with half a brain think that a fully cashless economy is a desirable goal? Depending on digital cash seems to me entirely too much like renting a residence at the base of an elderly dam with water seeping from visible cracks.

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    7. Re:What's the rush? by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 2

      ... Go..ogle ...

      The sexy version of the ancient Chinese board game that's exciting to watch.

      --
      It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    8. Re: What's the rush? by rickb928 · · Score: 2

      In the US you'll have to give up something for reloadable cards. Terrorisum.

      --
      deleting the extra space after periods so i can stay relevant, yeah.
    9. Re:What's the rush? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It's not even that they know what you're doing. It's that no cash means they can "turn off" all your money. Even now they can turn off *most* of my money, but at least with cash I can buy a sandwich and get some gas until I figure out what's going on.

      Just a couple weeks ago I was getting lunch and their card reader was down. Down. Think about that. The place would have done no lunch business, but they take cash. They didn't have the old-fashioned impact reader for credit cards. A lot of places don't. Yeah, they could all get those; but a lot of the cashless people are advocating things for which, AFAIK, such legacy non-electronic alternatives don't exist.

    10. Re:What's the rush? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Informative

      The problem is that there are a ton of freeloaders in India that aren't paying their taxes. This is a clear-cut way to track down that money.

      It isn't working out that way. If you have over about $10,000 in rupees you need to have an explanation of where they came from. But plenty of services have popped up that, for a small cut, will spread your cash out over many smaller transactions, each under the threshold. Competition has driven the price of these laundering services down so far, that many people with legitimate cash are using them just to avoid standing in line at the bank for hours.

    11. Re:What's the rush? by infolation · · Score: 2

      There is no comparable cashless payment platform that leaves no audit trail. Sorry.

      Monero is an example of one.

      Unlike Bitcoin, a Monero output transaction is crypographically unrelated to its input transaction.

    12. Re:What's the rush? by cyberchondriac · · Score: 2

      Some people conflate moving "forward" a form of progress, even if it's a mistake or rushing to the edge of a cliff. It just sounds too good I guess.

      --

      Look back up at my post, now look back down, you're on the Internet. Now look back up. I'm a signature.
  2. Banning cash is bad news by cfalcon · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The summary makes it sound like losing access to cash is a good thing, as long as it can be replaced by a number on a server in all cases. It is not.

  3. "Us" by tripleevenfall · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Who's "Us"?

  4. Doubtful by 110010001000 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Apple Pay itself eclipses all of those numbers. 3 million transactions a day is nothing.

    1. Re:Doubtful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      Not sure how this is marked as interesting when it is completely devoid of any sort of actual fact.

      First of all, the summary states 6 million transactions a day. That's over 2 billion transactions per year. Transactions and dollar amount are two completely different things. So how many is Apple Pay processing? The only number I could find for Apple Pay states was that in 2015 they processed almost $11billion
      http://appleinsider.com/articles/16/06/01/apple-pay-transactions-totaled-109b-in-2015-suffers-growing-pains-report-says

      So that would mean that for Apple Pay to be competing with over 2 billion transactions per year, the average transaction would be less than $6, which is highly doubtful.

      This doesn't make it sound like Apple Pay is really kicking ass at all:
      http://www.pymnts.com/news/2015/new-apple-pay-adoption-numbers/
      Neither does this:
      http://www.pymnts.com/apple-pay-tracker/2016/apple-pays-big-drop/

      So where are your stats? I don't believe Apple Pay is processing more than 6 million transactions a day, or even 1 million for that matter. Is you use an average transaction amount of $20 Apple would be processing around 1.5 million transactions a day based on the amount they processed in 2015.

    2. Re:Doubtful by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2

      Further, Samsung Pay racked up 100 million transactions in its first year. That's about 1/20th of what's going on in India. And I don't think Apple is 20 times the volume of use as Samsung Pay...

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
  5. And it was a complete and utter disaster by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    You cashless society morons are staring at the wreckage of India's economy and thinking "boy, this sure sounds like a great idea, I can't wait to try it!"

  6. Re:race FROM e-cash by fiannaFailMan · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Note that the socialist utopias are moving to e-cash.

    I'll keep my dollars, thanks. No need to bother the tax man every time I buy something from a local vendor.

    As long as you didn't drive to said vendor on a government-funded road under government-funded street lights using gas that was purchased from a government-inspected pump (so as to make sure that you pay for a gallon and get a gallon) then sure. Don't bother paying the same sales taxes that the rest of us pay.

    --
    Drill baby drill - on Mars
  7. Queue BitZtream bichting about BeauHD post in... by BitztreamNotARealNam · · Score: 2

    ...3....2....1

  8. Re:gov't trust [Re:What's the rush?] by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

    Republicans don't trust Democrat administrations, and Democrats don't trust Republican administrations.

    And some don't trust either.

  9. This probably won't end well by Billy+the+Mountain · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Because computer security and how it seems to universally suck.

    --
    That was the turning point of my life--I went from negative zero to positive zero.
    1. Re:This probably won't end well by Drethon · · Score: 2

      Because computer security and how it seems to universally suck.

      Now announcing Yahoo Cash! Trust Us(TM)!

  10. What? by argStyopa · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Who the fuck is "racing to e-cash"?

    "Cash has lost its credibility"
    To whom? Bureaucrats? Banks? The NSA?

    This sounds very much like that contrived "Internet of Things" we're supposed to all need.

    --
    -Styopa
  11. The rest of the story by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 5, Insightful

    India has devalued its largest denomination bills by surprise, in an attempt to get folks in the "black economy", and this even means professionals like doctors, to account for their cash and stop avoiding taxes. Everyone has a very short time to deposit the old bills in a bank, or lose their value.

    The problem with this is that because it was a surprise, India did not print new bills first, and does not have the capacity to print them at anything near the number required.

    So, right now many businesses are shut down because they can't pay their employees. It seems that it was the case that these employees were paid in cash and might not be able to get bank accounts.

    Their economy is going to take a hit.

    1. Re:The rest of the story by tinkerton · · Score: 2

      Seems to turn out into a disaster according to this guy
      https://www.project-syndicate....
      Interesting , these draconian measures. Standard question to ask is who are the power players and what was their position before the decision.

    2. Re:The rest of the story by rsmith-mac · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Their economy is going to take a hit.

      It definitely will. But I'm not sure there was any other way around it.

      India's corruption is legendary. You all but have to buy houses and other real estate on the black market, because the seller doesn't want to pay the taxes on a legitimate transaction. Which leads to a status quo of well-off families hoarding cash from illegal deals and essentially never paying taxes. There are other countries that are more corrupt, but these tend to be 3rd-world countries without a functioning government. Of any semi-developed country (or of nuclear powers, for that matter), India's economy is massively corrupt. Something had to be done.

      Replacing bank notes in this fashion is undoubtedly the nuclear option. But the argument is (and I agree) that anything more gradual would have tipped off many people, who would have found ways to convert their cash to other forms in an effort to perpetuate the black economy. India will be in a lot of pain for the short term, but in the long term they will have a much stronger economy with proper funding for public services. They are never going to fully transition to a developed economy (and enjoy the benefits thereof) with that much corruption.

    3. Re:The rest of the story by johannesg · · Score: 2

      It's a total disaster:

      - Factories are closing or laying of large numbers of people since demand for anything non-vital has collapsed.
      - Building sites are closing since there is no cash to pay workers.
      - Farmers are unable to buy seeds and fertilizer for the new planting season. Planting food is not an optional luxury for India.
      - Every single bank or ATM that is open has a 4-6 hour long queue.
      - 2/3rd of all ATMs are closed.
      - Banks have stopped opening new bank accounts.
      - A quarter of all Indians is illiterate, and presumably unable to deal with electronic payment.
      - A significantly greater number has no form of ID, and therefore cannot open a bank account anyway.
      - Tourists are spending 80% less than before (since they don't have money either).
      - Tourism is dropping sharply. ...all of this according to local newspapers, discussions with locals, and/or personal observation.

      I visited India for three weeks starting on november 10th. I was carrying 32000 rupees (worth roughly 450 euro), which turned out to be so much old paper. During any single transaction you can only exchange 4000 rupees worth of old notes, and any holiday where you spend 8 of your 21 days standing in lines at banks for 4-6 hours isn't really all that much fun. In the end we exchanged much of our money on the black market (at a 30% loss, but without the queue), paid with credit card where we could, and only paid for essentials if the only choice was cash.

      The whole thing is an unmitigated disaster, and rather than a success story about how India is modernizing rapidly, this should have been a story about how India destroyed its own economy, and possibly caused a famine in the process.

  12. Good for India by OneHundredAndTen · · Score: 2

    If they now devote some resources to developing their infrastructure, the rest of the world will start taking them seriously.

  13. Oops by PopeRatzo · · Score: 2

    Here's an article from earlier today that would seem to disagree with a basic assumption of this story:

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news...

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  14. Re: Frugal millionaires by WarJolt · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This idea that you can't buy something without the government knowing about it leads to the inevitable you can't buy something without the government approving of it. This fear of not being able to trade freely has been around for a long time. The bible had the mark of the beast.

  15. Re:race FROM e-cash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Before the government can steal something and give it to you,

    You mean like how the government paid for networking research that lead to the internet? Or how they fund basic science research with grants that private companies would never do? And then the same companies just take the research and make money off of it. Brilliant innovation. Socialize the losses, privatize the gains. Yay Capitalism !

    Meanwhile in the real world, it's evil capitalism that gets things done.

    Said the person commenting on a SOCIAL website where people congregate under a SOCIAL contract for a COMMON goal to SOCIALLY and FREEly exchange ideas. But perhaps you're the special kind of ayn-rand-boot-licking prick who invoices their friends and peers for giving them your time.

  16. Re:race FROM e-cash by barc0001 · · Score: 3

    Such a blinkered, narrow view. Did Capitalism protect those inventors from having their inventions stolen by those with more resources, or was it the socialist patent office that helped them out? For that matter, did capitalist forces keep their countries safe from invasion so they could work without concern for marauders coming over the hills to kill them and take their resources?

  17. Different reasoning by s.petry · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If you don't believe that you are tracked on other purchases you are not doing any homework. Donate to the wrong event or charity and suffer the consequences. Legally you can donate to the Political Party of your choosing, but is that action truly protected. How about donating to the wrong author, artist, public speaker, etc..? Ever see how Professors in Universities get treated when it's revealed that they are Republicans? They may not be fired directly, but you bet your ass that they are censured and ostracized. Plenty of examples for you to find if you look.

    --

    -The wise argue that there are few absolutes, the fool argues that there are no probabilities.

  18. Wa On Cash by labnet · · Score: 4, Informative

    That's a race I don't want to win.

    Agreed.

    There seems to be a general war on cash.
    Australia is talking about getting rid of the $100 note.
    Europe is limiting cash transactions.

    I think there are a few reasons for this.
    1- Negative Interest Rates. ie It is better to hoard cash than have it in a bank earning -ve interest.
    2- Govts need more tax revenue
    3- Long term globalist agenda to have a cashless society so all men can be controlled as predicted 2000 years ago in Revelations 13
    16And the second beast required all people small and great, rich and poor, free and slave, to receive a mark on their right hand or on their forehead, 17so that no one could buy or sell unless he had the mark — the name of the beast or the number of its name.

    --
    46137
  19. Re:gov't trust [Re:What's the rush?] by jedZ · · Score: 2

    The fear of government "Taking away your guns" is uniquely American. The rest of the world has solved the problem far upstream by not making firearms and ammunition freely available to the general public. Ethnic profiling is done anyway, through various other means. They're not depending on cashless payment systems for this. And finally, very few people are worried about being deported FROM India.