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Intel Confirms 8th Gen Core On 14nm, Data Center First To New Nodes (anandtech.com)

Ian Cutress, writing for AnandTech: Intel's 8th Generation Core microarchitecture will remain on the 14nm node. This is an interesting development with the recent launch of Intel's 7th Generation Core products being touted as the 'optimization' behind the new 'Process-Architecture-Optimization' three-stage cadence that had replaced the old 'tick-tock' cadence. With Intel stringing out 14nm (or at least, an improved variant of 14nm as we've seen on 7th Gen) for another generation, it makes us wonder where exactly Intel can promise future performance or efficiency gains on the design unless they start implementing microarchitecture changes.

78 comments

  1. And this is what happens now that AMD is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    D.E.A.D.

  2. Translation... by Lumpy · · Score: 1, Insightful

    8th gen will suck as bad as 7th gen, so that means the 4th gen stuff will STILL outperform it.

    --
    Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    1. Re:Translation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Except benchmarks show you are an idiot.

      http://core0.staticworld.net/images/article/2016/12/kaby_lake_cinebench_multi_threaded_oc-100700619-orig.jpg

    2. Re:Translation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All of the gains come from modestly higher clocks and a higher core count. We're talking generally about the microarchitecture.

    3. Re:Translation... by Glarimore · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Okay fine, so 4th gen isn't literally faster than 8th gen, but I agree with what OP is getting at... What the graph you posted is best at showing is that Intel CPU performance improvements have been paltry for the past six years.

      According to your graph, the new Kaby Lake 7700k is only ~55% faster than my 2nd generation Sandy Bridge 2600k. Which means that between January 2011 and January 2017, Intel performance improvements for like-for-like CPU's has been about 7.5% per year, which is pretty shitty. It's not that 8th gen is going to suck as bad as 7th gen -- it's that both 7th gen and 8th gen suck as bad as everything Intel has released fort the past six years.

    4. Re:Translation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's pretty close. Consider the passmark benchmark https://www.cpubenchmark.net/compare.php?cmp%5B%5D=1907&cmp%5B%5D=2905

      As you can see, the 4770 vs 7770, the newer chip is faster, but not by much. Considering there is also a frequency increase, it's really not that good. I have a desktop PC with the i7-4770 and haven't bothered to upgrade because the performance difference is so pathetic. Not to mention that even my desktop chip is 2x faster than intel's mobile lineup now that they only push ultrabook processors. I hope ryzen isn't all hype. We're stuck in yesteryear performance. I'm cool with intel hitting roadblocks, but then start pushing 6 core chips reasonably priced so we have a reason to upgrade again.

    5. Re:Translation... by alvinrod · · Score: 5, Interesting

      It's actually worse than that though if you're just looking at the architecture. The 7700k has a 20% clock speed advantage over a 2700k, which means that their architectural improvements aren't even 7.5% per year. Both of those chips exist within a similar TDP bracket as well (91W vs. 95W) so it isn't as though Intel has been using process improvements to offer the performance at lower power consumption levels either. And that's only certain benchmarks as there are others where Intel's older chips perhaps only fair worse by single digit percentages once accounting for clock speed differences. Sandy Bridge was a great chip for overclocking and it wasn't difficult to get as much as 4.4 GHz without putting a lot of effort into it. Some enthusiasts have been able to get up to 5 GHz with a good chip and cooling solution. The newer Core i7 chips usually require de-lidding since Intel uses a substandard TIM which doesn't transfer heat effectively enough.

      Intel needs a new microarchitecture to replace Core. Core was an exceptional design, especially considering what it replaced and how much the early performance gains were like if you bought an early Nehalem CPU. Hell, even Core itself traces its roots back to the P6 microarchitecture after Intel abandoned Prescott (which was sold as the Pentium 4 back in the wild days of the clock speed wars) which goes back decades. It's pretty clear that Core is tapped out in terms of what can be squeezed out of it and Intel needs to go back to the drawing board like AMD did and use all of the lessons they've learned to make a new architecture.

      Even if AMD's offerings aren't quite as good as Intel's, they'll still be closer than they ever have before and it will allow AMD to challenge Intel in their high-margin consumer market segments or in markets were AMD hasn't been relevant in years. Intel could afford to tread water while AMD was using their failed Bulldozer architecture, as Intel would just as gladly sell you a 4 year old CPU as a new one if the prices hadn't moved much, but now AMD is going to erode those price points or offer a competing product if they don't undercut Intel. Intel will still have a process advantage with their own fabs, but they need a new architecture to widen the gap if they want to have any hope of maintaining their profit levels.

    6. Re:Translation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Looking forward to see arm architecture catching up in desktops and data centers market. That said, I don't think intel is afraid of amd competition as it's from arm.

    7. Re:Translation... by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      It's worse than the picture might indicate. This could have been an outlier due to AVX improvements.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    8. Re:Translation... by rsmith-mac · · Score: 2

      Intel needs a new microarchitecture to replace Core. Core was an exceptional design, especially considering what it replaced and how much the early performance gains were like if you bought an early Nehalem CPU. Hell, even Core itself traces its roots back to the P6 microarchitecture after Intel abandoned Prescott (which was sold as the Pentium 4 back in the wild days of the clock speed wars) which goes back decades. It's pretty clear that Core is tapped out in terms of what can be squeezed out of it and Intel needs to go back to the drawing board like AMD did and use all of the lessons they've learned to make a new architecture.

      It's not for a lack of effort on Intel's part. Despite the misconception, Core isn't one microarchitecture. Intel has revved the architecture several times at this point, always incorporating some of the latest theories and designs on branch prediction and the like.

      The issue is that Intel's on the bleeding edge of single-threaded performance, and it's increasingly looking like there's nowhere left to go. Your options are either to increase the clockspeed - something that's proving impractical due to power consumption going crazy past 4.5GHz or so, even with FinFETs and other adaptations - or you increase the IPC.

      And on the latter point, Skylake/Kaby Lake is already a wide, deep out-of-order architecture with more execution resources per core than most threads can take advantage of. The linchpin to IPC is out-of-order execution to fill these complex cores, and on that front Intel is already well into the diminishing returns stage. The re-order buffer is now 224 entries, which is deep enough that you're most often blocked by instructions you can't re-order around well before you reach the full depth of that buffer. And Intel's branch prediction is one of the best in the industry, so there's not much room left to improve performance by eliminating bad branches. Fast radix division? Already done. Low latency caches and basic instructions? Done. Decoding x86 into swiss-cheese and reassembling it into highly tuned macro ops? Been doing that for years. Meanwhile the damn backend is already 8 ports wide.

      At the end of the day Skylake is already taking virtually every opportunity to increase IPC, and for most tasks they're likely close to the theoretical maximum IPC (in an information science sense) for those tasks. So what's Intel to do? It's one thing to say that Intel "needs a new microarchitecture", but what would that microarchitecture do differently from Skylake?

      All that's really left for Intel right now is low-level brute forcing. This means tweaking data paths to avoid the already small numbers of times where the processor is bottlenecked by those paths waiting for data, implementing larger L3/L4 caches, etc. Otherwise the only path not yet explored is extreme speculative execution in the form of eager execution, which is massively wasteful from an energy efficiency standpoint, and still not all that great because branch prediction is so good.

    9. Re:Translation... by UnknownSoldier · · Score: 1

      Fantastic summary!

      The elephant in the room is that Silicon doesn't scale past 5 GHz. Everyone knows about it but no one in the commercial sector is interested in doing anything about it. :-(

      Hell, even back in 2007 SiGe was proposed to get up past 50 GHz.

      What's really freaky is that a close friend of mine was playing with 1+ GHz CPUs in the (late) 70's. I guess we'll never have those 100 GHz Gallium Arsenide CPU's anytime soon ... :-/

    10. Re:Translation... by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      but no one in the commercial sector is interested in doing anything about it.

      Why not?

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    11. Re:Translation... by WhoBeDaPlaya · · Score: 1

      As much as 4.4GHz? There are a ton of us running overclocked Sandys (2500K/2600K/2700K) at 4.7 - 5GHz. Comparing balls-to-the-walls overclocked Sandy and Kabylake parts (non-HT vs non-HT, HT vs HT), you'll see at most ~30% more absolute performance assuming a slight clockspeed advantage to Kaby.

    12. Re: Translation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, stop using Silicon :) What about optical computing? That has been promised for decades.

    13. Re:Translation... by UnknownSoldier · · Score: 1

      Because it has a HUGE Risk for very little Reward. Silicon is literally dirt cheap.

      99% of people don't know or care that Silicon CPU's do everything they need. They will never be able to justify the cost of a CPU that is 10x or 100x then what they currently pay. The current tech is "good enough" for 99% of people -- that's where the bread and butter is.

      This creates a chicken-and-egg scenario. None wants to risk investing billions into alt. tech when the status quo is much more profitable. i.e. Who is going to change first? Intel? AMD? The _other_ guy won't so why take that risk? With Intel abandoning Tick-Tock for for Process-Architecture-Optimization there is even less motivation.

      I don't see any "disruptive technology" happening anytime soon -- due to the HUGE $$$ barriers of entry. i.e. AMD has been fabless for years. Intel isn't interested in Knight's Landing, er, Xeon Phi in shipping to consumers. ARM is in't going to invest into Hybrid-Silicon or non-Silicon CPUs. Who's left? nVidia? There has been rumors of them making their own CPU's and Mobo's for years but that hasn't happened.

      Instead of going deep, everyone is going wide but it is significantly cheaper to scale.

      The industry is stagnating. :-/

    14. Re:Translation... by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Gallium Arsenide was useful down to the 0.35 micron node. Below that, other factors meant that it was no longer faster than silicon. ( I'm not knowledgeable about the details, but IIRC the superior transconductance available from GaAs was offset by an inability to develop high electron velocity over short distances.)

      --
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    15. Re:Translation... by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      It's difficult. A manufacturer would have to see so obvious a business case for making a super-speed non-silicon processor that the worries about risk would be swept aside. (And from a paranoid viewpoint, the military might want to keep a super-speed process tightly under its own control.) That said, IBM has been working with SiGe for decades and may have a viable process. https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2015/07/ibm-unveils-industrys-first-7nm-chip-moving-beyond-silicon/

      Be aware that SiGe is mostly used for mixed signal devices, where the ability of Ge to make good bipolar devices is useful. The native oxide of germanium is not a good insulator like SiO2, which makes Ge FETs problematic. There are other challenges with making Ge FETs, discussed here: http://www.adsel.ece.vt.edu/files/journal/74.pdf.

      It's going to take time, and when we get there, the processes with new materials or silicon hybrids are going to be more expensive.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    16. Re:Translation... by Carewolf · · Score: 1

      8th gen will suck as bad as 7th gen, so that means the 4th gen stuff will STILL outperform it.

      Except it will have 6 cores. I assume they are talking about the old news of Coffee Lake which is a Skylake achitecture with 6 cores and will be the desktop and high-end laptop CPU of the "8th gen", where cannonlake would only be on ultrabooks.

    17. Re:Translation... by kronix1986 · · Score: 1

      Kaby Lake isn't even a new architecture. People did some sleuthing and discovered it's literally a new stepping of Skylake, given a new CPUID string to signify it's a "new generation" of Intel Core CPUs. The reality is it's just Skylake with HEVC decode blocks added to the GPU, and a 100/200MHz clock bump. https://www.cpchardware.com/co...

      People have benched the i7-6700K and 7700K at the same clocks and lo and behold, the results were identical on every bench they ran...because they are literally two different steppings of the same CPU.

      Incidentally, Coffee Lake also isn't a "new" architecture - it's Cannon Lake fabbed on an iteration of the 14nm process that's been used since Broadwell.

    18. Re: Translation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What you see is what you get dummy

    19. Re: Translation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Aren't there more improvements like more lanes and other shit like that. Buss speed? Fuck, other shit beside 'ghz'.

      People tend to focus on single, simplistic things. Kinda show a very shallow understanding of the subject matter. Like the new MacBook.

    20. Re:Translation... by currently_awake · · Score: 1

      It's obvious the future is putting smarts directly in the memory for massive parallel processing with no memory bottlenecks. Everything else is just incremental improvement.

    21. Re: Translation... by Carewolf · · Score: 1

      Aren't there more improvements like more lanes and other shit like that. Buss speed? Fuck, other shit beside 'ghz'.

      People tend to focus on single, simplistic things. Kinda show a very shallow understanding of the subject matter. Like the new MacBook.

      Maybe, but that is more in the integrated chipset. It was the only thing upgraded in Kaby Lake, so they will probably upgrade it in minor ways again.

    22. Re:Translation... by lsatenstein · · Score: 1

      8th gen will suck as bad as 7th gen, so that means the 4th gen stuff will STILL outperform it.

      Nah, they will buy amd's Ryzen chips in a modified backage, rebrand them as their own, and resell those.

      --
      Leslie Satenstein Montreal Quebec Canada
  3. The hope is that RYZEN will be good by Ecuador · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The hope is that AMD's RYZEN will be good enough to compete with Intel in performance - not just price. That will wake Intel again, since they are always relaxing when there is no competition i.e. no motive to do something more.

    --
    Violence is the last refuge of the incompetent. Polar Scope Align for iOS
    1. Re: The hope is that RYZEN will be good by esonik · · Score: 1

      Well, a new node implies heavy infrastructure investment, so it's understandable. Issues / delays with EUV lithography aren't helping either.

    2. Re: The hope is that RYZEN will be good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You mean FAB42, which was being discussed internally back in 2006...

      Yeah, since it will take 2 years to just complete the interior, and EUV is still a lab project, timing is actually pretty good to me. But is this a desktop/laptop play?

      OR is Intel planning to attack the mobile space with truly revolutionary chipsets? Like a SoC with a mobile side that is quick, mobile-focused, low power, and then a desktop side that is better than M3, preferably i5-i7 capable, waiting to be turned on and go all desktop when the inevitable gigabit LTE modem discovers your desktop environment and offers to be everything else you wanted?

      Is anyone talking about this in public? Because if Intel doesn't do it, they will watch x86 give way to ARM SoCs that do it all. And Nvidia is the logical graphics partner for that solution, while AMD will have to up their game to do anything like this.

      And that sort of device is your everything all the time solution. The impact it brings is even a challenge to wired ISPs (listening, cable and DSL cos?) since the gigabit LTE modem doesn't really care which mode the chi is on, it's happy to be your connection.

      In a very few years our phones will need that desktop jack to be the heatsink also. But the difference between handheld and desktop will become a button on whatever screen you choose to look at and nod approval. Woot.

    3. Re: The hope is that RYZEN will be good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Last time I checked, Intel were offering Intel computing cards

      http://www.intel.com/content/www/us/en/compute-card/intel-compute-card.html

    4. Re:The hope is that RYZEN will be good by dinfinity · · Score: 1

      If the benchmarks leaked today turn out to be legit, it is looking very good indeed for Ryzen:
      http://wccftech.com/amd-ryzen-...

  4. Ryzen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...must have put the shits up them, so screw this 10nm process to get something out quicker on 14.

  5. Competition by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Competition is quite a bit behind Intel at the moment, so no reason to move forward while they can milk this current generation. Once competition starts getting *near* 14nm.... Intel will nudge forward to keep a few steps ahead.

    What's beyond 7nm though?

    1. Re:Competition by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1 and 0.5nm.

    2. Re:Competition by erice · · Score: 2

      Competition is quite a bit behind Intel at the moment, so no reason to move forward while they can milk this current generation. Once competition starts getting *near* 14nm.... Intel will nudge forward to keep a few steps ahead.

      What's beyond 7nm though?

      It's another confirmation that Moore's Law is dead. If Moore's Law were still in effect, Intel would make their new chips at smaller geometry regardless of competition because it would be cheaper to do so and that would make for fatter profits. Cost per transistor is the driver of Moore's Law. That stalled at 28nm because that was last node that could be made without resorting to multi-patterning. Scaling worked in the past because the cost to make a wafer was roughly constant. By making features smaller, you either got more chips or bigger chips for the same cost. Multi-patterning means the cost per wafer as you scale down is going up faster than the transistor count per wafer. Performance still increases but you have to have customers willing to pay more. If the cost delta is large enough, Intel my not jump to 10nm even if AMD catches up. Process performance isn't the only knob they can turn to improve performance.

    3. Re:Competition by TheSunborn · · Score: 1

      I think they are making the chips smaller, but who really cares? (Remember: The package is far larger then the chip itself).

      This can best be seen in the Xeon chips, where they use their abilities to pack even more transistors into a cpu, to include more and more cores(They are up to 26 now, I think).

      They don't do it for consumer chips, because It's really difficult to sell a 8 core chip if each is even 10% slower then in the 4 core version, and there is very little consumer software to use that many cores.
       

    4. Re: Competition by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Atoms don't scale.

    5. Re: Competition by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unless you are referring to the shitty Intel CPU, the atoms actually do scale, hydrogen being the smallest one.

    6. Re: Competition by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      hydrogen being the smallest one.

      Really?

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
  6. Good Analysis by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Yesterday prices were leaked on AMD Ryzen. For equal peformance, the AMD parts are abot 70 percent cheaper. Intel has been goofing off for several years now. Tweaking process improvements is not innovation. Intel's Architecture is tired and needs to be rethought. I'm really surprised that Intel has been caught with their pants down.

    1. Re:Good Analysis by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Heres a link: https://hothardware.com/news/leaked-amd-ryzen-pricing-should-give-intel-pause-kaby-lake-positioning

  7. consumer products need more pci-e lanes AMD is by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 2

    consumer products need more pci-e lanes AMD is doing better with ryzen. 16+4+4(chip set link?) Also USB 3 may be in the cpu as well.

    ryzen server / workstation may have even more pci-e lanes and will there be 1 socket systems with 32 or more pci-e lanes + chipset link + 4? that can go after the high end consumer products form intel that are a gen behind there consumer products?

    1. Re:consumer products need more pci-e lanes AMD is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I hope that your suggestion that USB 3 might be on the CPU is incorrect. Putting external ports wired directly to the CPU seems like a bad idea.

    2. Re:consumer products need more pci-e lanes AMD is by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

      USB controller may be in the cpu and not stacked to the chipset link.

    3. Re:consumer products need more pci-e lanes AMD is by UnknowingFool · · Score: 1

      Sounds like a terrible idea. There's a reason that USB even USB 3 should not be in the CPU but part of the chipset.

      --
      Well, there's spam egg sausage and spam, that's not got much spam in it.
  8. Remove the spyware/outdated debug crap for savings by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Meh, if Intel would just remove most of the debugging crap almost nobody uses anymore because it was superseded by newer debugging crap(!), and dedicated the 8th gen just to bug-fixing, they'd save a lot of transistors, power, and also get a lot of good will.

    Can you imagine an Intel processor where the errata sheet is not a mile long? Which you could trust your embedded products to without the fear of it being a timebomb as it happened several times already (the Atom C2000 is just the latest incarnation)? Which you could spec the features without fear they would have to be disabled because they are broken beyond any hope (TSX, Interrupt remapping on the 5520 chipset IOMMU, etc)?

    Oh well. Let's hope Ryzen is good. Intel is too used to selling unfinished, improperly tested crap.

  9. So..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Tick-tock-tock-tock?

    1. Re:So..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tick-tock-tock-tock-tunk.

      Mind you, a world with just AMD is just as bad as a world with just Intel.

    2. Re:So..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Somehow I doubt that assertion.

    3. Re:So..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More likely tick-tock-tock-layoffs-bonuses-tock-layoffs-bonuses-oops-goldenparachutes-oops-bancryptcy.

    4. Re:So..... by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Intel should never have hired Leroy Anderson.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
  10. Intel needs have it's ass kicked the cutting pci-e by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Intel needs have it's ass kicked the cutting pci-e lanes on a $400 chip that in last gen had way more no you need to go up to a $600 chip to get them back and that is on the last gen workstation / server sockets. The desktop boards have been stuck on the same pci-e lanes for years and maxing out at quad core.

    AMD is going have more pci-e and more cores on the desktop boards then what intel has. With the server / workstation ones like to have even more then what the amd desktop boards have.

  11. Moore to come by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Slower clocks, lower power / lower heat, 3d stacking, more cores, more cache (or RAM that runs at CPU speed and to hell with caching.) Plenty of room for Moore's law to continue describing the process.

    There's also a lot yet to be done with multi-core algorithms, which could then be leveraged by additional cores. But I suspect we won't see much a change there until AI is doing the coding. It's too difficult for most programmers. Need better storage+filesystems, too - most storage+filesystems are crap at getting file B if they're in the process of getting file A at the time. We need more EC ram, battery backup, and huge ram disks that are only backed up to mag media. Storage is one of the primary things slowing current systems down - both RAM and more traditional mass storage.

    When I got my first 64 GB machine, the first thing I did was create a 32GB ramdisk. Huge (not Yuge) performance increase.

    1. Re: Moore to come by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you sure MOORE is better?

    2. Re: Moore to come by nichogenius · · Score: 1

      Are you sure MOORE is better?

      I'm pretty sure less is Moore

    3. Re:Moore to come by tigersha · · Score: 1

      Agree. I have a 14 core machine with 128GB RAM. When I quickly fire up a Debian VM to test some Ansible script or something I simply give the entire VM 64GB RAM. Huge Huge Difference. Thing boots in less than a second from a Cold start. Very useful test Rig.

      --
      The dangers of excessive individualism are nothing compared to the oppressiveness of excessive collectivism
    4. Re:Moore to come by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      or RAM that runs at CPU speed

      There are many tradeoffs involved in RAM design, but one basic principle is this: this bigger it is, the slower it is. This cannot be escaped. Bigger RAM means more row drivers, and/or more levels of column multplexers. Faster RAM means bigger row drivers and bigger cells. Put it all together and speed*size = heat, and RAM already needs heat sinks to be able to respond in ~20 CPU cycles.

      Basically, you're never going to see big RAM fast enough to respond in a single fast CPU cycle, not even cache does that now.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
  12. Tell me if I'm wrong but by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Hasn't the whole move from 14nm to 10nm kind of been BS because they didn't actually shrink the transistor size just the size of the interconnects between the transistors? No one has a true 10nm transistor right now or at least that's been my reading of it.

    1. Re:Tell me if I'm wrong but by CrashNBrn · · Score: 2

      Intel has been talking about 10nm for at least 3 years. They "pretended" to show off a 10nm chip recently, but all indications point to maybe 2018... the launch of 10nm has been delayed at least three times (official announcements).

      When did intel announce 10nm chips || date range [2015 - 2016]

      Feb 23, 2015 - The first chips based on Intel's new 10nm process are expected in late 2016/early ... to avoid the delays that haunted the belabored release of 14nm Broadwell.

      Intel forges ahead to 10nm, will move away from silicon at 7nm | Ars ...

  13. Re:Remove the spyware/outdated debug crap for savi by Eravnrekaree · · Score: 1

    An IOMMU is quite useful to users since you can map hardware between VMs, so this is a good feature. For debugging, you do need things like being able to single step and to trap instructions, which also is important for VMs. I understand most performance related things have nothing to do with ISA and are more of a electrical engineering and physics thing

  14. Data Center first? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I wonder if that means the Xeon-D SoC family. It's a really interesting low-power, high-core chip but Intel last released a new chip in early 2016.

  15. FAKE so-called NEWS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    with alternate facts as support. Hm. Where have I see that before?

  16. Kinda bad news by cfalcon · · Score: 2

    When Intel struggled to get Broadwell out, their die shrink to 14nm using the architecture that they made in Haswell, you knew that they were having at least some issues. When it turned out that Haswells almost exclusively didn't properly support the new "transaction memory", to the effect that the opcodes had to be patched out, that was also kinda depressing. Skylake, their next in line, and the newest architecture update, was the last time they have even vaguely been on schedule.

    Right after skylake, they announced that, instead of a die shrink to 10nm, they would add a new "optimization" step, and continue to tweak skylake instead of shrinking it. This is kabylake, which just came out in desktop and laptop properly (Xeons lag behind normally: the full suite of Skylake Xeons should be launching in a few months). They redid all their slides to show a full new arrow, giving them effectively another year to do the die shrink. Now that we are getting close to seeing what would be the next guy ("cannon lake"), who properly should be launching later this year on 10nm, we first heard that they were going to insert a "coffee lake", which would be another optimization at 14nm, for desktop, and that only laptop and low power chips would actually be on the 10m "cannon lake". And now, we find out that the first 10nm will be out for datacenter, which means an even further push back.

    Summary: their older slides used to show around a summer 2016 launch for their 10nm process. Then it became a summer 2017 launch, then that became only a partial launch, and now it is looking like a spring 2018 launch. The words change, but the message is the same: "We aren't close to having 10nm be actually profitable, or possibly even all that functional".

    1. Re:Kinda bad news by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Summary: their older slides used to show around a summer 2016 launch for their 10nm process. Then it became a summer 2017 launch, then that became only a partial launch, and now it is looking like a spring 2018 launch. The words change, but the message is the same: "We aren't close to having 10nm be actually profitable, or possibly even all that functional".

      tbh I'll be happy if they get there by 2020.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  17. 7nm by dreamchaser · · Score: 1

    The new plant they are building in Arizona is slated for 7nm dies, so smaller chips are coming eventually.

    1. Re:7nm by hipp5 · · Score: 1

      The new plant they are building in Arizona is slated for 7nm dies, so smaller chips are coming eventually.

      Those chips are destined for mobile markets, no?

    2. Re:7nm by dreamchaser · · Score: 1

      I am not sure they have said definitively.

  18. So much for the singularity by DMJC · · Score: 1

    Looks like Moore's Law is starting to fall apart. There's what? 7nm, then Carbon transistors, then 3nm, then 1nm CPU processes left in the bag. Beyond that they can't make transistors smaller and clock speed on Carbon transistors is going to be massively heat bound. (Yes Carbon sublimates at 5000C, but your solder on your motherboard only goes to about 300-350C. Even assuming you could make Steel traces, that still only gets you to 1200C before your board traces melt let alone capacitors and other components). Interesting times.

    1. Re:So much for the singularity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Moore's Law is for transistors, those aren't strictly necessary for computation. For example, there's optical SYMBOL processing http://optalysys.com/ that doesn't really use transistors, to do correlation pattern matching. Interesting times indeed.

    2. Re:So much for the singularity by Khyber · · Score: 1

      A carbon atom is roughly 0.3nm in diameter. I imagine one could make a three-atom long transistor from carbon given how it can be made conductive or non-conductive, putting it at just under 1nm total package size.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    3. Re:So much for the singularity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Solder goes to 300-350C? Granted lead-free is higher temp than leaded solder was, but the most commonly used lead free solders have liquidus tempertures of 217-220C, with typical peak reflow temps of 240-260C.
      Yes, there are some alloys that have higher melting points, but they are rarely used in consumer electronics and honestly should use different board materials to handle the higher reflow temperatures.

    4. Re:So much for the singularity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, this is why tech billionaires are trying to supplicate the gods^H^H^H^H^H operators of the simulation we almost surely live in (with estimated 1.0 - 1.0e-300 probability). A few "pretty please with sugar on top" and we can have a few parameters tweaked, and then -- why -- away we go, to fairyland!

    5. Re:So much for the singularity by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      No reason for the CPU temperature to ever reach the solder. Tungsten is a better conductor of electricity than iron (steel) and has a higher melting point. Some forms of carbon are superb heat conductors - How'd you like to have a diamond heat spreader?

      I suppose liquid cooling - flowing right over the die - is the ultimate solution for heat dissipation.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    6. Re: So much for the singularity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Keep imagining , dumbshits.

    7. Re: So much for the singularity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are a fairy. In fairyland. Your fairyland consists of cocks in every orafice and each of your fingers in a separate asshole. Enjoy your KFC, its finger licking good.

    8. Re:So much for the singularity by Agripa · · Score: 1

      I suppose liquid cooling - flowing right over the die - is the ultimate solution for heat dissipation.

      At least with water, power densities 10 years ago already exceeded the point where film boiling is a problem so a heat spreader has to be used. We are already limited by copper heat spreaders leaving either higher thermal conductivity materials or improved heat pipes.

    9. Re: So much for the singularity by Khyber · · Score: 1

      Meanwhile, we're already using similar tech in fabrication of LEDs to control the Auger effect so we can obtain higher efficiency, so....... no, I'll keep being based in reality while you stick around with your head up your ass.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
  19. Well this postpones my next builds. by Crashmarik · · Score: 1

    No reason to upgrade when there aren't going to be significant performance increases over 4 and 6 year old machines.

  20. Moore obfuscation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Never" is a long time. Your remarks may (or may not... silicon designers have been known to pull off some unconventional wins) apply for silicon, but silicon may very well not be the last word in memory. Your remarks don't change the fact that we need more and faster memory, either.

  21. SPARC by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It is funny that x86 is only 7.% faster per year. Oracle has released six SPARC generations in five years, each cpu at least 100% faster than the previous (except S7, which is a low end version of M7). The M7 is typically 2-3x faster than the fastest x86 or POWER8 cpu. The next year POWER9 will come, which will only be twice as fast as POWER8, so it will still be slower than SPARC M7. Or on par. But then we will see SPARC M8, which will again be 100% faster than SPARC M7. POWER and SPARC is 100% faster every generation, x86 is 10% faster every generation. x86 has lots of bloat and bugs, and stems from 1970s. Better to clean it up and release a new cpu architecture. Oh, wait. Intel tried to do that, and called it Itanium. It failed too. SPARC M7 has 32 cores, 4.1GHz, 256 threads. It encrypts and compresses everything in real time, loosing only 2-3% of performance. Typically, x86 performance is halved or even worse, when turning on encryption. Here are 30ish world records of SPARC cpu:
    https://blogs.oracle.com/BestPerf/entry/accelerating_spark_sql_using_sparc