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BMW Says Self-Driving Car To Be Level 5 Capable In Five Years (reuters.com)

German carmaker BMW is on track to deliver a self-driving car by 2021, the company's senior vice president for Autonomous Driving, Elmar Frickenstein, said on Thursday. From a report: "We are on the way to deliver a car in 2021 with level 3, 4 and 5," Frickenstein told a panel discussion in Berlin, explaining the vehicle will have different levels of autonomy, depending on how and where it is used. A level 5 vehicle is capable of navigating roads without any driver input, while a level 3 car still needs a steering wheel and a driver who can take over if the car encounters a problem.

149 comments

  1. So what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Everyone's doing this now.

    1. Re:So what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not sure why I would want to buy a BMW at level 5. Might as well just buy a Buick if you aren't going to actually drive it.

    2. Re:So what? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Back in 2013, Google said their SDCs would be available in 3 years, which means that they were ready LAST YEAR. So BMW is way behind.

    3. Re:So what? by Altus · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I suspect you will see a pretty big shift in what makes a car desirable when self driving cars become the norm, its hard to say if ownership will even be as common as it is now, it seems unlikely that kids who grow up in a family that has a self driving car will ever learn to drive.

      I suspect that more and more, in car entertainment, comfort, ride smoothness and fuel economy/range will be the primary things used to market cars in the future and not the ultimateness of the driving machine.

      --

      "In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women..." -H. Simpson

    4. Re:So what? by reboot246 · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Kids who grow up in a family that has a car of any kind now are not learning how to drive. Driver education is just about a complete failure. The written tests and road tests to get your license are a joke.

      I have about 2 million miles of driving experience and I've just about seen it all. Very few people really know how to drive and phones have made a bad situation worse. I wish they would get off the road and leave the driving to people who know how to do it right.

      Instead of self-driving cars we need to have all vehicles equipped with manual transmissions and have real tests of a person's driving ability. I guarantee it would remove 75% of drivers (or more) from the road. Wanta drive, kid? Show how much you want it by learning how or take public transportation.

    5. Re: So what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      OK, you excelled at the Luddite test. Well done.

    6. Re:So what? by Guybrush_T · · Score: 1

      Yeah because in Europe, all cars are manual and driver tests are much harder so there are only 25% of people driving.

      No, people just learn how to drive. Sure, they are more skilled drivers than the average US driver, but they're also more prone to driving like crazy. Incompetent drivers have more frequent, but less serious accidents. See also men versus women statistics. (because yeah, like it or not, men tend to be more skilled in average compared to women when it comes to driving but also more dangerous).

    7. Re:So what? by HornWumpus · · Score: 2

      As a counter example I put up my German Aunt. Took her more than two years and five figures to get her license, but she still can't drive for shit. She will stop in the middle of an intersection to argue about the route with her passenger.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    8. Re:So what? by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 3, Interesting
      Yeah, I remember being called names and downvoted when I said no way that was going to happen. I even wonder about five years. I took a ferry last week and despite talking with three different people I was still clueless, not to mention the hand signals that people were giving me.

      wait, what lane do you want me to go in?

      Randomly picks a lane, wait for yelling to commence if I guess wrong.

    9. Re:So what? by tlhIngan · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Wanta drive, kid? Show how much you want it by learning how or take public transportation.

      The problem is needing to drive in the first place.

      In places with good public transportation (e.g., Europe), you don't need to drive - you can get around pretty damn effectively with just public transportation. Hell, you can even get between cities taking the trains and planes and never needing to step in a car.

      Problem is, then you go to places like North America, where the vast majority of cities are car-only. Walking only gets you from one big box store to another (assuming you can cross that 10 lane highway in-between them), and public transit is non-existent. There you less WANT to drive but instead NEED to drive.

      Driving's a chore. It's something most drivers in North America don't want to do (as evidenced by their attention being held elsewhere, typically on small handheld devices). What needs to be done is eliminating the need to drive, so those who drive are those that want to.

    10. Re:So what? by Rockoon · · Score: 0

      Nobody is ready to remove the steering wheel and likely they never will be acceptably ready.

      Even if the car never gets into an accident when driving autonomously, there will still be situations where the vehicle simply wont go when or where it should.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    11. Re:So what? by Overzeetop · · Score: 2

      Better yet, if we can get your sorry ass off the road and replace you with a self-driving vehicle, we won't have to pay your salary and all the shit you peddle will be cheaper. You'll be fine because you've saved your money and have a comfy retirement, so we all win. Or you'll die penniless having spent your money and had your job eliminated due to automation, in which case we win. Either way, it's a win for most of us.

      --
      Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
    12. Re:So what? by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      We're running out of places that can afford to keep their public transportation up to date.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    13. Re:So what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That'd be Annelise Frickenstein, Elmar's sister.

    14. Re:So what? by jawtheshark · · Score: 1

      In places with good public transportation (e.g., Europe), you don't need to drive - you can get around pretty damn effectively with just public transportation.

      Americans seem to think that. True if you are in a big city like Berlin or Paris... Anything else... not so much.

      --
      Ahhh...the great dumpster continuum. Many a free computer will be found there. -- sowth (748135)
    15. Re:So what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > In places with good public transportation (e.g., Europe),

      Spaniard here: HA! That's a good joke.

    16. Re:So what? by Xenna · · Score: 2

      > In places with good public transportation (e.g., Europe)

      What? Have you ever been to Europe? I live there, probably in one of the places with the best public transport and it's STILL a disaster. Sure, I can get to work with public transport but it'll take me 3 times as long and I'll be stuck in a cramped space with people I don't want to be stuck with.

      I'll just take the car, thank you, like most people around here who can afford one.

    17. Re:So what? by jjbenz · · Score: 1

      I think reliability would still have to be at the top of the list.

    18. Re:So what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I live in Europe and getting around by public transport here is better than car, because it's just as fast when you dont forget about the time spent searching for parking spot and cheaper and greener. Even though my car is probably better than yours.

    19. Re:So what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's plenty of money, just not political will to fix/create basic things like public transit.

      Just wait til the next downturn. It doesn't seem like there's much keeping a lot of things going these days, in the next downturn I'll bet we'll start to see some MAJOR moves toward public transit as fewer and fewer people can afford cars. They can't afford housing now, cars will be next.

    20. Re:So what? by toddestan · · Score: 1

      That's my thought too. There's just way too many corner cases and unforeseen circumstances out there. We may eventually get there, but I'm guessing we'll be stuck at level 3 for quite a while, with vehicles that can really only be autonomous in limited, well-defined situations. Even with your ferry loading situation, even if an AI was capable of understanding what it needed to do, it may just be quicker and easier for a human to take control and just do it rather than having to figure out how to tell the AI exactly what it needs to do. On a ferry with dozens of vehicles, all it would take is one car where the AI just doesn't "get it" and refuses to move to cause a big problem. That's one of the reasons I don't see myself ever buying a car that doesn't have a steering wheel or some way for me to manually drive it.

  2. Five years? by freeze128 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Hell! I'm Level 5 right NOW.

    BTW: WTF is Level 5?

    1. Re:Five years? by wulfhere · · Score: 1, Funny

      I'm an old-timer, so I can understand not RTFA, but you didn't even RTFS?

      --
      -- Sent from a computer.
    2. Re:Five years? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One more than level 4.

    3. Re:Five years? by Frederic54 · · Score: 1

      Cannot be first post if you RTFA or even RTFS :)

      --
      "Science will win because it works." - Stephen Hawking
    4. Re:Five years? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The rating scale for AV's goes from 1 (least capable) to 4 (most capable). But BMW engineers have figured out a way to turn theirs up to 5.

    5. Re:Five years? by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      He's applying for a job as /. editor.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    6. Re:Five years? by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      Level 5, is do not ever say or write or even imply anything deragatory against NATO or CIA or NSA or else they'll level 5 you right off a cliff. Level 5 software warranty is really going to be interesting.

      Obviously the cars wont be running M$ because "Microsoft excludes all implied warranties and conditions, including those of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, and non-infringement." and "Except for any repair, replacement, or refund Microsoft may provide, you may not recover under this limited warranty, under any other part of this agreement, or under any theory, any damages or other remedy, including lost profits or direct, consequential, special, indirect, or incidental damages." from https://www.microsoft.com/en-u.... So if you have an accident in a M$ car basically fuck off heres you fifty bucks back and it is your fucking fault for using M$, this according to M$.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    7. Re: Five years? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It drives yo

    8. Re:Five years? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Autonomous car Classification

      Level 5: Other than setting the destination and starting the system, no human intervention is required. The automatic system can drive to any location where it is legal to drive and make its own decisions.

      It's not really surprising that BMW believes that they can get there in 5 year.
      Replacing BMW drivers is a lot easier since the program doesn't have to be aware of other vehicles or lanes.
      It works just fine since everyone else wants to live.

  3. Great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Now make it last more than a year before major mechanical malfunctions.

    1. Re:Great by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Let it keep itself going in a snow storm. Or try using it after the morning of a snow storm.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  4. No one can afford german, not my generation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Once that Tesla model 3 comes out for under 30K plus country subsidies it'll be game over for german cars - the highest end tesla can do 0-60 faster than 99% of the porsches & german cars available so ya, lol....

    1. Re:No one can afford german, not my generation by GrumpySteen · · Score: 3, Insightful

      So you can't afford a $17k VW Jetta, but you're confident that the $30k Tesla 3 will replace it in the market?

      Are you Joe the Plumber?

    2. Re:No one can afford german, not my generation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Once that Tesla model 3 comes out for under 30K plus country subsidies it'll be game over for german cars - the highest end tesla can do 0-60 faster than 99% of the porsches & german cars available so ya, lol....

      So you can't afford a $17k VW Jetta, but you're confident that the $30k Tesla 3 will replace it in the market?

      Are you Joe the Plumber?

      The GP said german cars, but by the context it should be clear that they are talking about luxury / high performance german cars.

      Are you Joe the Plumber?

    3. Re:No one can afford german, not my generation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The VW Jetta is not a German car. It is imported from Mexico and it was designed primarily with the North-American market in mind, where C-segment saloons are apparently still a thing.

    4. Re:No one can afford german, not my generation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Last time I checked, German car companies controlled more than a third of the car market and even small manufacturers like Suzuki and Honda sold many times more cars than Tesla. I strongly doubt that the Tesla Model 3, if and when it actually bewcomes available, will somehow be less of a pile of crap than their current offerings that are two or three times as expensive.

    5. Re:No one can afford german, not my generation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's also a really poorly built car, even by VW standards. Still fun to drive if optioned right, but I would never own one.

    6. Re:No one can afford german, not my generation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've been in one. It felt very cheap compared to the Bora it replaced, or to the Golf of the same generation. Somehow, it doesn't feel like VW. More like an Opel or a Hyundai. It's the same with the New Beetle.

  5. Level 5 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's amazing.

    I almost shit my britches.

    CAPTCHA: Nonsense

  6. blinker too? by Frederic54 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It would be cool is future BMW have blinkers, because all the ones I see on the road do not!

    --
    "Science will win because it works." - Stephen Hawking
    1. Re:blinker too? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't worry, this model will come with a proper hologram of a middle finger and will do brake checks at random on highways. Maybe even a small water sprinkler to emulate spitting at pedestrians when walking by, as well as a hydraulically actuated door opener to body-check passing cyclists.

    2. Re:blinker too? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It would be cool is future BMW have blinkers, because all the ones I see on the road do not!

      While we're at it, let's get them for all those empty pickups that look showroom-new.

    3. Re:blinker too? by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      If a 'brake check' bothers you, you are tailgating.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    4. Re:blinker too? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It would be cool is future BMW have blinkers, because all the ones I see on the road do not!

      However, they are capable of time travel - since I hear BWM drivers blowing their horns before the light turns green.

    5. Re:blinker too? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It would be cool is future BMW have blinkers, because all the ones I see on the road do not!

      The some with blinkers. Their owner just don't keep up on maintenance.

    6. Re: blinker too? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He can't be both offended by BMW drivers and be one.

    7. Re: blinker too? by bulled · · Score: 1

      Challenge accepted sir. Seen exactly this too many times...

  7. The only people stupid enough by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    To pay $500 for a screw:

    1. The US government

    2. German car owners

    1. Re:The only people stupid enough by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Much better than the Italians.

      Hot Rod magazine has been mocking Ferrari for decades now (e.g. proving the Pontiac GTO was faster than the Ferrari GTO, around Monza. etc etc). They fixed the Enzo that what's his name (comic) 'totaled' and reported on the costs.

      Price of a red anodized aluminum washer used to retain the headlight on an Enzo? $5000. They have created a new definition for Chutzpah.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  8. Yawn. by Ichijo · · Score: 2, Insightful

    the vehicle will have different levels of autonomy, depending on how and where it is used.

    So it's autonomous except when it isn't.

    Wake me when we have a car that's full-time Level 5.

    --
    Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    1. Re:Yawn. by b0bby · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If it can drive 80% or more of a 200 mile trip, I'm buying one. I can handle the edge cases myself for a few more years.

    2. Re:Yawn. by MadCow42 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Well, that's only valid if the 80% or more of the trip that it CAN handle are known ahead of time. If the 20% of cases that it can't handle are "surprise, there's a deer on the road ahead!" or "surprise, the guy in front of you slammed on his brakes!", then you still have to sit there 100% of the time ready to react.

      you need 100% confidence that the care is fully capable of handling EVERYTHING that comes up for the next XYZ minutes/hours/miles/whatever to be able to really have a useful Level 5.

      Personally I'd rather be driving the car than sitting there prepared to take over just in case something goes wrong. Until I'm not needed at all for driving, I'll keep the control thank you.

      --
      I used to have a sig, but I set it free and it never came back.
    3. Re:Yawn. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wake me when we have a car that's full-time Level 5.

      Dude, you have it backwards. When you have Level 5, you can fall asleep.

    4. Re:Yawn. by number17 · · Score: 1

      Personally I'd rather be driving the car than sitting there prepared to take over just in case something goes wrong. Until I'm not needed at all for driving, I'll keep the control thank you.

      I've been on call for IT support at conferences where there is a high probability that something will go wrong as the tech is in the hands of promotional staff. You're on pins and needles the whole time. Anytime your phone makes a noise the adrenaline starts pumping. It was a much better feeling supporting the same tech when I was acting as the promotional staff, but I really did grow tired of standing all day.

    5. Re:Yawn. by Immerman · · Score: 4, Insightful

      At least far enough ahead of time to give you take a few minutes to wake up and figure out what's going on before you have to take control.

      I mean I'm totally fine with "hey, there's snow/mudslides/migrating crabs covering the road, and I'm not sure what to do, so I'll pull over while I wake you up to decide what to do."

      For the faulty, over-hyped present though there's far too much "I'm confused. Catch!" going on. Or worse, "I misunderstood what I thought I saw, goodbye." I'll keep control myself, thanks.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    6. Re:Yawn. by BasilBrush · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Reacting to stuff in the road in front of you like your 2 examples is the easy stuff where automation is already better than you are.

    7. Re:Yawn. by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      'Edge case' will be anything except divided highways in clear weather.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    8. Re:Yawn. by Kjella · · Score: 5, Informative

      So it's autonomous except when it isn't. Wake me when we have a car that's full-time Level 5.

      Level 3: Within known, limited environments (such as freeways), the driver can safely turn their attention away from driving tasks, but must still be prepared to take control when needed.

      When a level 3 car is driving, you're not. You will not be required to jump in and intercept or overrule the car. But it will be normal for the car to say "Your exit is coming up, please take over" or "The road markings are too unclear, please take over" or "There's road construction ahead, please take over" or "There's emergency services with sirens nearby, please take over" and so on and if you don't it'll pull over and refuse to drive. Unless you want clogged roads with pulled over SDCs, the driver has to be ready to take control within a reasonably short time. This is basically "I'll handle the best conditions", level 4 is "I'll handle all normal conditions" and level 5 "I'll handle all conditions". But they're all genuinely self-driving within those confines.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    9. Re:Yawn. by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      It's better except when it isn't, and when it isn't it's a lot worse.

      I saw something on TV the other day - self driving car totally failed to notice a roadsweeping van with a huge fluorescent sign on the back doing 15mph in the fast lane of a motorway. Carbon unit took over just in time. Now it probably shouldn't have been there...

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    10. Re:Yawn. by Ichijo · · Score: 0

      Agreed on all points. +1 if I could.

      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    11. Re:Yawn. by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Flying is hours of boredom punctuated by seconds of pure terror.
      Pilots train long and hard for this.

    12. Re:Yawn. by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      My car can back up out of the driveway under normal conditions` by itself, no computer required.

    13. Re:Yawn. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When a level 3 car is driving, you're not.

      Until you have to take over at some unpredictable interval, which forces you to always be ready to take over, which requires at least as much attention as actually driving. QED.

    14. Re:Yawn. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Not really. A lot of drivers are already at their phone, ready to take over if they spot something in their peripheral vision and they don't even have an autonomous driver in their car.
      A level 3 car should be able to handle any panic situation that requires immediate braking or steering but it might not be able to drive legally in a construction zone or even roads that haven't been mapped up yet.
      The time to hand over to a manual driver isn't shorter than the time a phone rings until you answer.

      But all this is really unnecessary for a first step. The game changer for autonomous driving comes with level 4 but can be limited to slow lane and on highways only.
      That would make it possible for truck drivers to get a full tank and go to sleep on the mind numbing driving sessions, he will only need to be there to do the last driving and offloading.
      Once autonomous drivers gets there then there will be no need for truck drivers to find a place to park and sleep, that saves 8 hours of the transport time for the really long hauls or at least the round trip will be shorter.
      The amount of money to be saved there is pretty staggering.

    15. Re:Yawn. by BasilBrush · · Score: 2

      The automated car doesn't have to be better than humans for every single case. It just has to statistically have less collisions and less fatalities than when the cars are people are driving.

    16. Re:Yawn. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      That would be the rational view. Humans are not rational. Autonomous cars will have to be much safer to be accepted by the public.

      If a human driver runs over a child, the driver will be charged with involuntary manslaughter. That is acceptable to society.

      If an autonomous vehicle kills a child, there is no-one who can charged with a criminal act. The public outcry will be enormous. The car manufacturer can only make it worse by telling the public that "statistically, our cars kill less children than human drivers".

    17. Re:Yawn. by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      If it can drive 80% or more of a 200 mile trip, I'm buying one. I can handle the edge cases myself for a few more years.

      That's reasonable if it's 10 miles city driving, 80 miles on a clear highway and 10 miles of city driving at the end. And as long as absolutely nothing unexpected happens on the highway.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    18. Re:Yawn. by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1

      Flying is hours of boredom punctuated by seconds of pure terror.

      OK, but this post is about driving not flying.
      And nobody gets to fly a plane (with or without autopilot) without extensive training.
      This is not the case with a car.

    19. Re:Yawn. by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1

      So could Anton Yeltchin's.

    20. Re:Yawn. by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      Does extensive training included dozens of hours of training, hundreds of hours of real world experience and all day tests?

    21. Re:Yawn. by toddestan · · Score: 1

      The problem is even if you are paying attention to what's going on, by the time you realize "oh shit, it doesn't see that stalled car in my lane!!!" it may be too late. If I have to pay attention and constantly second-guess what the AI is doing, I'd rather just drive the car myself, possibly with an AI backup that can react if I fail to notice something.

  9. Even better by s.petry · · Score: 2

    LUDICROUS SPEED!

    --

    -The wise argue that there are few absolutes, the fool argues that there are no probabilities.

  10. Musk cultists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You Musk cultists get more delusional every day.

    I'm just waiting for the mass suicide when Tesla goes bust.

    1. Re: Musk cultists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are an idiot. Musk makes so much cash in so many ways he could run Tesla without it ever making a profit as long as he lives.

    2. Re: Musk cultists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Musk may be rich, but he is not rich enough to keep on covering Tesla's losses indefinitely. More importantly, he doesn't seem interested in doing so. He's been gradually reducing his share for a long time and he had other investors cover previous losses with a series of stock offerings.

  11. Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'd rather have to walk everywhere than ever get into a some deathtrap on wheels with no steering wheel, brake pedal, or accelerator pedal, and I'm far from being in the minority, and so far as we're concerned you're a nutjob if you do want to ride in one of those. Furthermore I'd never pay any amount of money for any so-called 'self-driving' technology in any vehicle. Now stop all this nonsense and institute reforms of driver education and training so we don't need this bullshit troll/meme 'autonomous car' bullshit.

    1. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by Immerman · · Score: 1

      I've seen far too many idiots behind the wheel that are even worse than the current error-prone "autonomous" systems. They're a low bar to clear, but they're allowed on the road, so that's the reality to measure against. And autonomous systems are improving rapidly, I would not be at all surprised in with another 5-10 years they're significantly safer than even the average driver. Probably not in "weird" scenarios, but weird scenarios are by their nature uncommon.

      If an autonomous car can avoid 95% of normal accidents, then it can afford to do pretty spectacularly badly in the face of "weird" scenarios, and still be dramatically safer overall (assuming those weird accidents aren't spectacularly worse than the ones avoided would have been).

      At this point I'd say the single biggest thing that could be done to improve autonomous vehicle safety would be to get better at detecting impending weirdness. It doesn't even have to deal with it - just warn the driver that it's not completely sure how to deal with something coming up, and they should pay attention and put get their hands on the wheel.

      Unfortunately, I suspect that will prove exceptionally difficult. For the simple reason that current AI technologies are far, far better at recognizing things they expect to see than recognizing that they're misinterpreting the data. Which is not completely unlike humans, but humans possess two huge advantages:

      1) We've been exposed to vastly more "weirdness" - in fact pretty much the entire process of learning to be human can be summed up as "WTF!?!... okay, I think I get it... wait, WTF?!?" ,
      2) We actually (think we) comprehend what they're seeing, making us far more likely to notice the inconsistencies that indicate that we're mistaken

      In fact, I suppose both can be summed up as, humans are accustomed to being wrong and figuring out how to deal with it. An AI only knows "Patterns I recognize" and "What???"

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    2. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      And here I thought you were going to write a long rambling post all for the purpose of calling me a luddite, idiot, and bad driver. Imagine my pleasant surprise when I discovered actual, thoughtful content! You've brightened my day, sir.

      Now, then..

      At this point I'd say the single biggest thing that could be done to improve autonomous vehicle safety would be to get better at detecting impending weirdness.

      Yes, that's the major problem. They're trying to 'teach' some computer running a 'learning algorithm', but the damned machine can't actually think, it just knows what this-that-and-the-other is. How can you have a 'self driving car' with no controls for a human being when it can't handle 100% of everything it comes across? Does it just stop dead in the road, and call a tow truck or something? Or worse, some remote operator? If it's the latter, how is that a 'self driving car', then?

      humans are accustomed to being wrong and figuring out how to deal with it.

      That's the problem: We're talking about some so-called 'machine intelligence', only 50% of which is actually true, because it can't actually 'think'. I don't see these machines 'learning from their mistakes'. Of course if someone gets hurt because a so-called 'self driving car' screws up, it has no emotions, it has no conscience, it doesn't feel remorse because a human being was injured (or KILLED), it just goes on it's way after it's repaired, and does nothing different than before.

      I would not be at all surprised in with another 5-10 years they're significantly safer than even the average driver.

      I'd be very surprised, because from the information I'm getting, there's no way that in 5 to 10 years they'll figure out how human-level consciousness actually works, and be able to implement that in a machine -- and that's what I think is actually going to be necessary in order to be the equivalent of human drivers (NOT replace them!). In any event, as previously stated, there's no way I'd get into some box on wheels, strap myself into a car seat, and sit there with no way to control the damned thing other than to scream at it STOP! STOP! STOP! STOP! STOP!!!!!. Not happening! Gladly, I do not see having to make the choice between that and walking everywhere, not in my remaining lifespan, because as I mentioned earlier, I do not forsee human beings being prohibited from driving themselves anytime sooner than there being true machine intelligence, fully conscious and human-equivalent. There's just too many possible circumstances for a vehicle where you can't just follow some simple set of rules.

    3. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One more example I'd like to point out about the state of so-called 'machine intelligence': So far as I know, they still can't teach a robot to sort and fold laundry properly. What little it can do takes and order of magnitude longer than a human child can do it in, and it does a poor job at that. We really expect a car to be able to drive better than a human under all circumstances? Bah!

    4. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Except you don't need to figure out consciousness to make autonomous cars safer than humans - you just have to program them to deal with a sufficiently large amount of the more common weirdness it might encounter.

      Option A: You're a passenger in a car with an average human driver, who can probably figure their way through pretty much any weirdness they encounter, but through carelessness or distraction will sometimes get in accidents even in normal circumstances - odds of death, currently about 10 per billion miles traveled.

      Option B: You're a passenger in an autonomous car that can perfectly handle anything it's programmed to, but will probably kill you if it encounters anything sufficiently weird.

      So long as the odds of encountering an unprogrammed weirdness are less than 10 per billion miles traveled, you'll be safer with Option B. You may not *feel* safer, but you will *be* safer.

      That said, I'm not getting in any autonomous vehicle that doesn't at least possess a big red "Emergency Stop" button. Because as unlikely as it is, I have absolutely no desire to see an impending disaster with plenty time to avert it, but not enough control. That's what dealing with a bureaucracy is for.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    5. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1
      here is a picture of all that is required to drive a car under nominal conditions. This has been possible for decade, nearly perfected at that.

      The problem is that there are no nominal conditions while driving, unlike flying an aircraft, rocket or spacecraft. Nothing is going to be in your way to steer around, your path was charted down to the last meter months in advance, every move that you could possibly make was built into the design years in advance. Automobiles operate under an almost entirely different set of requirements, many unknown until the last hundred milliseconds.

    6. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      That's a poor example because not a lot of effort has gone into creating a device to sort and fold laundry. Dump a hundred million dollars into the problem and it will likely be solved in not to long of time.

    7. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      There are a lot of edge cases in the set of interactions entire physical world can have on a vehicle. I'm not confident they will ever think of enough. Some kid will always be getting run over because he was in a shadow and the sun was shining in a stripe and it reflected off the red shirt the child was wearing and confused the car.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    8. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Sure. But that's not relevant to the question.

      The question is: Will such accidents, regardless of cause, be more common with an autonomous car than with your average idiot driver at the wheel?

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    9. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      No, the question is who will compensate for the damage. If a human driver kills a child then it is possibly just a tragic accident where nothing could be done. If an automated car kills a child then it is something that should have been caught unless it can be definitively proven a human would have made the same mistake in the same circumstance. The question is whether the compensation will make it undesirable or unprofitable.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    10. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by Immerman · · Score: 1

      And why would it need to be "definitively proven a human would have made the same mistake in the same circumstance", when with a human driver it is not necessary to definitively prove that a *different* human would have made the same mistake. And even if it is decided to be a tragic unavoidable accident, odds are your insurance will still have to pay out, you just won't end up going to prison for it.

      And as far as financial liability is concerned, Tesla and many others have already indicated they expect to accept full liability for their autonomous vehicles.

      Consider this:
      A fully autonomous car that does not need insurance, because liability is accepted by the manufacturer, who has deep enough pockets to pay directly.
      The cost of insurance can thus be added to the price of the car, allowing the manufacturer to reap the profits previously enjoyed by insurance company.
      Even greater profits in fact, because statistically speaking the autonomous cars are (expected to be) safer, and insurance is an industry that lives and dies on statistics.
      And as an added bonus, further safety improvements will be doubly profitable - customers will almost certainly be willing to pay a premium for a safer car, while simultaneously the company can now expect fewer losses due to liability payouts.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    11. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Sure I'm fine with it as long as the manufacturer pays, I just don't see it that way. I see insurance companies raising premiums on people who were never responsible for their accidents in the first place.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    12. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      the single biggest thing that could be done to improve autonomous vehicle safety would be to get better at detecting impending weirdness

      The problem is that, even assuming your AI was able to realise something weird was coming up, most drivers don't have the reflexes of a fighter pilot or F1 driver, so being given a split second warning to get your hands on the controls and do something won't be enough.

      Most accidents happen very quickly indeed.

      The scenario of "there is a massive snowstorm coming up in five minutes time, please take manual control" is totally different.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    13. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      That's a poor example because not a lot of effort has gone into creating a device to sort and fold laundry. Dump a hundred million dollars into the problem and it will likely be solved in not to long of time.

      I'm pretty sure there was an article here a few months ago about a laundry folding machine. It was very slow, extremely expensive and had already killed two users (joking).

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    14. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      $60 million is really not a lot of money.

    15. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by Immerman · · Score: 1

      I agree that would be a problem - but it's a problem already being addressed by the manufactures themselves saying that full liability should fall on them. A completely reasonable position, since any avoidable autonomous accident clearly reflects a product defect.

      If the eventual reality fails to reflect that, then yes, we'll have a problem. But I suspect they have a major vested interest in making sure it does - they want to sell expensive new autonomous cars, and customers are going to be a lot more confident in making that purchase if the manufacturer consistently stands behind their product.

      Plus, you know, the whole "they get to steal the profits from the auto insurance industry".

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    16. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Still it remains to be seen if autonomy will be affordable once all these costs are considered. There will be several deaths due to various situations possibly warranting settlements into the billions. Will these be just as safe on ice as on pavement? What happens when someone directs their automated vehicle to drive into a weather condition that is "not supported"? Many questions, and many people thinking that it will just work itself out somehow.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    17. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Let's be clear - by "weirdness" I'm not talking about an imminent accident. Collision avoidance is a comparatively simple thing, at least in theory, and autonomous cars are mostly *really* good at it, far better than a human. Except when they misunderstand what they're seeing.

      What I'm discussing is that last part - and it covers pretty much all the autonomous vehicle accidents we've seen so far - not noticing there was a semi crossing the road, driving into lane-squeezing road work barriers at high speed, etc. Some of that can be fixed with better sensors, but they all boil down to the computer misinterpreting what it was seeing, and better sensors can only help so much with that.

      If we could, somehow, get the computer to recognize when it doesn't really understand what it's seeing, then generally speaking all it would need to do is stop as rapidly as it safely can, blinking it's hazard lights so that everyone around it know that something is wrong, and ask the passenger what to do. Sure there's no doubt a few cases where that might be exactly the wrong thing to do to avoid disaster, but in the vast majority of situations a stopped car is far safer than a moving one.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    18. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by Immerman · · Score: 1

      >There will be several deaths due to various situations possibly warranting settlements into the billions.

      Well, I have no doubt people will *try* for that, but I see no reason why courts would be any more inclined to award such a penalty than they would with a human driver at the wheel.

      Now, if there's systematic flaws warranting a class-action lawsuit - maybe. But so long as the manufacturers can point to a track record proving that their vehicles are substantially safer than those with a human driver, justice would be on their side (the law? who knows) And if they can't do that... well then let them burn.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    19. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      You try telling that to a family that lost a child because a computer got blinded by the sun.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    20. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Don't have to, that falls under "I have no doubt people will *try*"

      The question is whether they can convince a judge and jury to inflict such an outrageous penalty.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    21. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Having a child die in a tragic accident that is caused by an imperfect human is one thing, but releasing and profiting from driving software that knowingly has flaws and has not been tested for every situation is quite another. In the former case you are likely to just receive an insurance settlement, in the other case the irresponsible party is a billion dollar company that should have done everything within their power to prevent the death from happening in the first place. America is a place where you can get a million dollar settlement if you serve the coffee too hot, how much is a child's life worth in punitive damages to a company with deep pockets. It's not just the deaths either, it is every fender bender, every scrape. It will probably just make more sense to have a system whereby they can accept claims and pay them out to the vehicle owners rather than going through small claims court for every one.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    22. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by Immerman · · Score: 1

      No, it really isn't. You're arguing that anything short of perfection should invoke penalties, by which standard no business could ever afford to produce *anything*. So long as my kid is provably safer in an autonomous vehicle than with me at the wheel, and there's no actual attempt to cover up known flaws rather than trying to improve them, I have no case.

      Also, your invocation of the McDonalds hot coffee suit is way off base - look it up, it's nothing like you probably imagine - that's the result of a massive spin campaign by McDonalds to try to weasel out of a case of serious criminal negligence. Their coffee was just shy of boiling, far above safe limits, and they had been repeatedly warned about the risk over the course of many months. Not "Yow that's hot!", but "Holy shit the skin is falling off my genitals!"

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    23. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      I don't care if a business is making teddy bears and every fifth bear missing an ear. This is a little different. They don't make front end loaders that can explode and kill the driver, so automated cars shouldn't be killing drivers either. Maybe just maybe the technology isn't really quite there to do it safely yet, I'm not willing to give these companies a pass because they relaxed their standards enough to get out the gate first.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    24. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      The idiot driver goes to jail. What happens when the autopilot does it? Not sure how placated a lawyer and jury will be with yeah, sorry, but your kid would have died last week because statistics..

    25. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      full liability

      When death is involved, it goes beyond liability.

    26. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      I see no reason why...

      You sound very young and inexperienced in the real world.

    27. Re:Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by Immerman · · Score: 1

      >They don't make front end loaders that can explode and kill the driver

      Of course they do. They do their best to make it not happen, but just the wrong combination of bad luck, poor maintenance, etc and it can still happen.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    28. Re: Not a chance in hell I'd ride in one of those by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      We're not talking about age and maintenance. We're talking about out of the box brand new.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  12. Doubtful by Arkham · · Score: 2

    Level 5 takes full autonomy to "all driving modes." That means the car is fully capable of driving itself anywhere in any condition, from a snowy, moonlit road to an unmapped desert. It should be noted that, at this point, Level 5 is theoretical. One Audi representative went so far as to describe it as "mythical." It's unlikely we'll see Level 5 autonomous driving in our lifetimes.

    http://mashable.com/2016/08/26...

    Level 4 is definitely obtainable though.

    --
    - Vincit qui patitur.
    1. Re:Doubtful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      By that reasoning, humans can't handle level five either. How much less deadly does the new system have to be than the current system before delaying the change any further is tantamount to murder?

    2. Re:Doubtful by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      Agreed. People have been spoiled by advances in computer technology driven by Moores Law. That is coming to an end. Just because your computer is 10000x faster than it was 10 years ago doesn't mean it will be 10000x faster 10 years from now. Same idea applies to any technology.

    3. Re:Doubtful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      An average human will have what, 2 or 3 accidents of any kind in their lifetime? Fatalities are on the order of one every 100,000,000 vehicle miles. On an individual basis, you may have a case for forcing one of these on someone (trying to revoke someone's license these days usually gets you some sob story about not being able to feed their kids because they need to drive to get to work), but in aggregate, no chance.

    4. Re:Doubtful by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      Just because your computer is 10000x faster than it was 10 years ago doesn't mean it will be 10000x faster 10 years from now.

      I'd still bet on speed increases similar to past decades continuing for another.

      Memory latencies alone could be increased by close to several orders of magnitude, and honestly that doesnt even require new technology... just current technology becoming cheaper and then applied to memory, which is inevitable.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    5. Re:Doubtful by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Since it can't be out there getting people into accidents that otherwise wouldn't be getting into them, it has to be damn near perfect. People keep saying that owners will want to pay the insurance for these but that it will be cheap, well insurance will only be cheap if the automaker pays for all damage or the occurrence of an accident is rare. Yet plenty of other people say they only have to be as good as the average driver, which means the same number of accidents and still expensive insurance. So which is it?

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    6. Re:Doubtful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the automaker pays for the insurance there is no need for an insurance.
      It is cheaper for them to just pay for the damage directly and skip the insurance.

      That goes for everything that happens in large amounts.

      The reason you get an insurance is that there is an uncertainty about if the accident will happen to you or not.
      For the insurance company the accident is guaranteed. They know that it will happen, they just don't know who will be involved in it.
      The insurance company has to make a profit so they take the cost of the damages, add the profit they want and spread out the cost on everyone who has an insurance.

      The automaker is in the same position as the insurance company. With that many cars out the accident is guaranteed. The cost will show up anyway so they need to deal with it. Paying for the insurance company's profit on top of that is just pointless.

      Healthcare works the same way by the way. If there is a single payer then insurance companies are just an extra cost that doesn't add anything of value.

    7. Re:Doubtful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you think humans can manage level 4 autonomy?
      Or level 3?
      Or level 2?
      heck I just got back from 900 mile trip last weekend, and I can tell you people can't maintain a constant speed and they don't stay in their own lane, and that's pretty normal most of the time on the highway, that means humans without assistance can't manage level 1 consistently...

      If the computer can handle level 1 consistently, it will probably save lives... it probably already has with adaptive cruise control, lane assist, and automatic emergency braking... level 2 and 3 will probably also save lives, but when it fails to, and a human fails to take over, the computer will be blamed, and we'll see a backlash against self driving cars, even as insurance companies point out how much safer they actually are.
      Level 4 will be the tipping point imho. That's where the benefit of not driving long distances comes into play... that's where we'll start redesigning the standard layout of cars. to allow drivers to turn away from the steering wheel... until then people will be wary of the self driving car that is taking their freedom away or some such nonsense...

    8. Re:Doubtful by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Healthcare works the same way by the way

      That is a faulty comparison. There is no negligence involved when someone gets cancer. In a car accident, there is negligence, which may now be a computer.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    9. Re:Doubtful by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Fatalities are on the order of one every 100,000,000 vehicle miles

      I'm nowhere near even 1,000,000 miles so I should be safe for the rest of my life then.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    10. Re:Doubtful by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      The auto company is not paying for the insurance. They are paying an insurance company to underwrite the policy.

    11. Re:Doubtful by toddestan · · Score: 1

      That's true, but as a human there are some roads I just won't drive on, or some conditions I where won't go out in. But if people do go out in those conditions (and aren't viewed as completely nuts), then the AI will have to handle them if you take away the controls.

  13. Would like to see what different levels mean by mykepredko · · Score: 1

    TFA is rather skimpy on details.

    I presume that Level 5 is possible on clear roads, no precipitation and minimal biologic (humans and animals) interference. Say interstates and major thoroughfares.
    Level 4 would be city streets with a good opportunity for unexpected events where the driver has to take over following the event (ie an accident in front of the vehicle which necessitates high level decision (ie find alternate route, wait for road to clear, pull out shotgun to keep looters/zombies away).
    Level 3 would be the above with active precipitation (snow and rain) which requires the driver to keep an eye on things.

    Anybody have a clearer definition?

    1. Re:Would like to see what different levels mean by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      SAE's definitions: https://www.sae.org/news/3544/

    2. Re:Would like to see what different levels mean by Ultra64 · · Score: 3, Informative

      Level 3: Within known, limited environments (such as freeways), the driver can safely turn their attention away from driving tasks, but must still be prepared to take control when needed.
      Level 4: The automated system can control the vehicle in all but a few environments such as severe weather. The driver must enable the automated system only when it is safe to do so. When enabled, driver attention is not required.
      Level 5: Other than setting the destination and starting the system, no human intervention is required. The automatic system can drive to any location where it is legal to drive and make its own decisions.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    3. Re:Would like to see what different levels mean by mykepredko · · Score: 1

      Thank you.

    4. Re:Would like to see what different levels mean by mykepredko · · Score: 1

      Thank you in a more original way (to get past the /. grammar police robots).

    5. Re:Would like to see what different levels mean by LukeLast · · Score: 1

      Arkham posted the SAE standard for the levels.

      https://mashable.app.box.com/s...

      My understanding is that it's not valid to say "it can do level 5 in some conditions". Level 5 means no human interaction (think no steering wheel) under all situations that a human driver can currently handle.

  14. levels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What's the level where the car can take me home, legally and safely, when I'm drunk, and then go find itself a parking spot?

    1. Re:levels by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      What's the level where the car can take me home, legally and safely, when I'm drunk, and then go find itself a parking spot?

      That's called the cold fusion level.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
  15. Yeah, no... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It really depends WHERE.
    I ain't expecting this to happen anywhere that snows.

    1. Re: Yeah, no... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Jeeesuuuzzzz,

      Totally BS. Tests have already shown a level 3 (.5) vehicle outperformed a human every time in snow and ice

    2. Re: Yeah, no... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Horseshit.

  16. CIA etc might kill you... by ClarkMills · · Score: 2

    I'm an advocate for:

    * Electric
    * Autonomous
    * Shared (ie I don't own it)

    vehicles. I like the potential for:

    * Quiet roads
    * Efficient travel (I'm a lead-foot)
    * No fumes
    * Shared rides even
    * Time to browse /. :)
    * TXT/IM/phone & drive legally
    * Clear the parked cars of the streets (more lanes, even more efficient)
    * Garage & driveway space freed up

    I'm just a little worried about people tampering with the smarts and picking you off. I know of two incidents where people who were about to "talk" within days /hours seemed to have their high-tech cars go nuts and kill them.

    That really is my only concern... (adjusts tin foil hat)...

    1. Re:CIA etc might kill you... by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      Do you support hackable? Just a couple of years ago people were bringing out the proverbial pitchforks because manufacturers were building cars with non serviceable areas and people were demanding access to the things they own, bemoaning the slide to an ownership class and a renter economy. The same arguments that were applied to non hackable cell phones (I think I saw that one yesterday).

  17. Big Lie by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    http://www.thedrive.com/opinion/7324/the-way-we-talk-about-autonomy-is-a-lie-and-thats-dangerous

    Wake me when you figure out how to drive in snow.

  18. Protip: if you won't ride in one, don't walk by Overzeetop · · Score: 1

    If you don't trust an AI while seated in an energy absorbing cage with 3 point restraints and inflatable body protection, you sure as shit shouldn't trust that same AI when you're walking around with nothing to protect you from it at all.

    Personally, I'll take an AI over someone driving a 6000lb vehicle while talking on the phone and/or texting and/or posting to Facebook/Instagram/Snapchat any day.

    --
    Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
    1. Re:Protip: if you won't ride in one, don't walk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      See, you people sound like local nightly TV news: Disaster sells, so you make it sound like it's the end of the world. Guys like you make it sound like we're driving around in some sort of Mad Max post-apocalyptic world where every driver is literally out to kill you. That's not the case. It's not ANYWHERE near as bad out there are YOU and people like you claim it is. You have my sympathy if you've become so traumatized by a few bad drivers that you're now triggered by ALL drivers, but that doesn't mean we should all just hop into boxes on wheels that we have ZERO control over, and HOPE that the pimply-faced programmer who wrote the code it's running on didn't screw up. I'd much rather take my chances with other human beings than face the possible TERROR or knowing I'm going to be in an accident and have NO WAY TO AVOID IT. I'd sooner walk!

    2. Re:Protip: if you won't ride in one, don't walk by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Thank you. I keep telling these people, they only see the one in one hundred thousand who drives badly and that's all they remember. Also, just because someone pisses you off in traffic by driving aggressively in a way you don't like, it doesn't mean they are causing accidents.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    3. Re:Protip: if you won't ride in one, don't walk by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      I own a 6000lb vehicle. It's a 1960. Not many survived as they were very popular demolition derby cars until they were banned (they were tanks).

      6000lbs is an F-350.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  19. Not likely by stabiesoft · · Score: 1

    Just took a long trip using Waze/in car nav. In Nashville, Waze had no idea how to get to a starbucks I had programmed in. I found a parking lot, searched for starbucks near me, and it found one, in Atlanta! Overall both Waze and in car did a good job, missing probably 20% of the time. But 20% is completely unacceptable if they were steering. I had snow in DC area, which I am skeptical self-drive works acceptably. Numerous construction areas, again problematic. I got a feeling self drive is going to be like voice recognition was in the 80's, just around the corner, for another 25 years. Even now, I'm not sure I'd trust voice recognition if my life depended on it.

  20. Missing the point of Level 5 by thisisauniqueid · · Score: 3, Insightful

    He's totally missing the point of the definitions. Level 3 is "can drive autonomously, in some conditions, with occasional human intervention". Level 4 is "can drive autonomously, in some conditions, without human intervention". Level 5 is "can drive autonomously, in any conditions that a human can drive in, without human intervention". Saying "We can do Level 3, 4, or 5, depending on the conditions" is saying "We can do Level 3".

  21. Weight and Cost by Neuronwelder · · Score: 1

    I wonder how much weight, electricity, extra parts and cost is going to be shifted to the buyer. Tell me, what happens when one of these special parts break? This will also give the insurance companies a chance to devour you $$$ if you don't comply. I hope they keep the manual override option for another 10 years. Hopefully I'll be dead by then, and won't have to contend with the car crushing situation. I'm sure even the bare bone cars will not be cheaper. Why can't they just stick to making life easier in general in the workplace and at home to prove them selves worthy of automating cars??

  22. Who are they kidding? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Any talk of level 5 and fully autonomous vehicles presupposes [1] a fantastic leap in AI and/or [2] a major increase in the instrumentation of roads and other vehicles that your car can talk to in real time.

    For example: Just the other day my wife and I drove 60 miles, all on relatively low-traffic highways, during the day, in dry conditions. Sounds like a perfect "easy" case for an autonomous car, right? It might have been, except for [1] the police checkpoint that stopped every car, [2] the unexpected road closure and detour through middle of freaking nowhere, and [3] the two different encounters with horse-drawn carts half on the road and half on the shoulder, a few miles apart. I can't imagine a car being able to handle all that on its own.

    I desperately want to see autonomous vehicles on the public roads. I've been driving a long time and I detest dealing with the distracted morons tailgating, weaving in and out of lanes, cutting me off, etc. But I have no hope that it will happen anytime soon.

  23. Uh-huh, sure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So the auto industry has picked up the hyperbole stick that silicone valley has dropped, huh? It doesn't matter what the car can do in a lab. The world itself isn't going to reshape itself to suit the car anytime soon, possibly not ever. I instantly equate headlines like this with $$$. The greed is astounding. Why did we bail these fuckers out, again?

    1. Re: Uh-huh, sure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, wait, figured it out. The car companies are *hiring* the people from the valley. It's literally still the same hyperbole stick. Good thing it breaks so easy, I guess.

  24. Weather by fluffernutter · · Score: 2

    Not in all weather they won't. Only people in moderate climates will be able to use these.

    --
    Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  25. Stop reading those like an engineer. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Stop reading those like an engineer.

    Read them like a marketer. Then like a salesman. Then like a lawyer, and like a politician.

    Actually I am wrong. A real engineer would require a 500-page specification before deciding if a certain level of marketed self-driving car performance was actually being guaranteed, let alone possible.

    It's 2050. Where is my self-driving car? I was promised self-driving cars!

  26. no they won't by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not going to happen any time soon. Just keep driving your little toy projects in a well defined area.

    Oh, and how are your security protocols? I hope you don't have any exposed USB ports on your little toys.

    1. Re:no they won't by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Spoofing a gps is not that difficult

  27. A self-driving BMW? by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

    Hopefully it won't drive like a BMW driver.

  28. Wake Me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When they get to Level 11. Most amps, uh, I mean cars, only go to Level 10. So Level 11 is one better, right?

  29. John Taylor Gatto on "The Art of Driving" by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 1

    http://schoolsucksproject.com/...
    "Now come back to the present while I demonstrate that the identical trust placed in ordinary people two hundred years ago still survives where it suits managers of our economy to allow it. Consider the art of driving, which I learned at the age of eleven. Without everybody behind the wheel, our sort of economy would be impossible, so everybody is there, IQ notwithstanding. With less than thirty hours of combined training and experience, a hundred million people are allowed access to vehicular weapons more lethal than pistols or rifles. Turned loose without a teacher, so to speak. Why does our government make such presumptions of competence, placing nearly unqualified trust in drivers, while it maintains such a tight grip on near-monopoly state schooling? ...
        It should strike you at once that our unstated official assumptions about human nature are dead wrong. Nearly all people are competent and responsible; universal motoring proves that. The efficiency of motor vehicles as terrorist instruments would have written a tragic record long ago if people were inclined to terrorism. But almost all auto mishaps are accidents, and while there are seemingly a lot of those, the actual fraction of mishaps, when held up against the stupendous number of possibilities for mishap, is quite small. I know it's difficult to accept this because the spectre of global terrorism is a favorite cover story of governments, but the truth is substantially different from the tale the public is sold. ..."

    --
    A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.