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222,000 Jobs Added To US Payrolls In June; Unemployment Rate Rises To 4.4 Percent (npr.org)

From an NPR report: An estimated 222,000 jobs were added to the U.S. economy in June, according to the monthly employment report released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Friday. "The job gains were better than expected -- most economists had predicted a gain of 180,000 jobs," NPR's Chris Arnold reports for our Newscast unit. The unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.4 percent from 4.3 percent -- a 16-year low that was hit in May. "Since January, the unemployment rate and the number of unemployed are down by 0.4 percentage point and 658,000, respectively," the BLS says. Previous estimates of job gains in recent months were revised upwards -- from 138,000 to 152,000 in May and from 174,000 to 207,000 in June, for a net gain of 47,000.

45 of 300 comments (clear)

  1. unemployment numbers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Unemployment numbers don't count those who just straight up gave up on looking for work. I wonder what the numbers would look like if you included working age people on "Social Security Disability". It seems the primary disability here is the lack of ability to find a job and you are too old to go into the military(the other jobs handout program).

    Lies, damn lies and statistics.

    1. Re:unemployment numbers by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 5, Informative

      Actually, unemployment numbers count discouraged employees in U4. U4 is currently 4.7. This year, starting in January, it has been 5.2, 5.0, 4.8, 4.7, 4.5, and 4.7. U3 has been 4.7, 4.5, 4.4, 4.3, 4.4.

    2. Re: unemployment numbers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      Because the only jobs are for robots, Indians, or don't pay a livable wage?

    3. Re:unemployment numbers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      4.4% unemployment where? The job market in San Francisco has very little to do with the job market in say, Charleston, WV or Bismark, ND. If you've ever been to some of the more rural areas, there just aren't any decent jobs at all. Just a complete lack of economic activity. The smart people who can find employment elsewhere leave, that whole brain drain effect.

      That leaves behind people without much in the way of economic prospects or marketable job skills. Then we wonder why those same people get hooked on opioids. At least then you don't give a shit that you are stuck as a have-not in this country, at least until the drugs wear off.

      Marx was completely wrong about religion being the opiates of the masses. Opiates are the opiates of the masses.

    4. Re:unemployment numbers by Captain+Splendid · · Score: 5, Informative

      But that is pretty much an insane way to look at our work force.

      It worked for eight years for Sean Hannity. Until a few months ago, it was a daily ritual for him to mention the 90 million Americans who weren't working in Obama's America.

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    5. Re: unemployment numbers by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 2

      Obamacare taxes the whole economy in myriad ways. That you can't see this reflects more on the propaganda your Masters feed you than anything else.

    6. Re:unemployment numbers by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2, Informative

      U definitions; U6 is most of the people who want to work but cannot find a job, cannot find a full time job (underemployment) and thus still need assistance, or who have given up.

      ShadowStats also factors in those who have permanently left the work force but are still in the 19-64 age range. It's no secret that permanent disability and permanent Medicaid status have both exploded since 2008. ShadowStats factors those people into their own unemployment rate, as it appears the Federal Government moved a permanent segment of society from the unemployment rolls (U3 and U6) to "out of workforce" in an effort to lower the unemployment rate. Perhaps that's why the Labor Force Participation Rate is the lowest it's been in 40 years (note: labor force participation rate only includes those who are of working age, who are physically able to work, but are not actively working - it does not include retirees).

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    7. Re: unemployment numbers by sycodon · · Score: 2

      The skilled trade job market is booming and not finding many applicants.

      Everyone wants to go to college and work at a desk. No one wants to weld on a pipe line in North Dakota despite the fact it pays more than a desk job.

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    8. Re:unemployment numbers by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 2

      Thanks for the info; the alternative unemployment numbers are all available here. The classic non-participation rate (if I understand correctly) is U6, or 8.6% seasonally adjusted, down from 9.6% a year ago.

    9. Re: unemployment numbers by rnturn · · Score: 2

      It may pay more than that desk job but it's more likely than not going to be a long-term job. That's a tough situation for anyone with a family; you'll be leaving the family behind to work on another short-term welding job. Then another and another. Not everyone can take that for long.

      As for everyone wanting to go to college... I know one car rental company that--at least at one time--wanted their employees to have a college education just to stand behind the counter and help customers fill out rental forms. That's the kind of job that high school kids used to do in a work-study programs. It used to be called "Diversified or Office Occupations" when I was in HS and students got jobs in local businesses working as office clerks, cashiers, etc. At least back then, it was recognized that not all jobs required, nor were all students cut out for or even looking to obtain, a college degree. Now companies seem to be more than happy to force high school graduates to go through the process of racking up a huge college loan debt for the privilege of working for slave wages while they pay their loans off.

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    10. Re:unemployment numbers by ranton · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You claim Labor Force Participation rate only includes those who are of working age, who are physically able to work, but are not actively working, but then link to a chart which lists the participation rate of everyone 16 and up.

      The commonly used participation rate for working adults is the Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate: 25 to 54 years. It is currently at 81%, which is still lower than it has been in 30 years (not 40). But if you take away the second half of the 90's, where it peaked, our current participation rate is only about 1% lower than the average over the last 30 years. It has also been trending up since 2014.

      Those who are physically unable to work, students, stay at home parents, or whatever are all included as part of the 19% in this statistic.

      These figures still show around 1-2 million people who would have been working 15 years ago and aren't today, but the problem certainly is "exploding" as you put it. A bigger problem which isn't reflected in this statistic is how stagnant wages have been; mostly as a product of our economy losing $20/hour jobs and replacing them with $12/hour jobs.

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    11. Re:unemployment numbers by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 3, Insightful

      U6 is a bastard number. It measures underemployed, and it peaked at 16%-ish.

      I don't like U6 because it's not a good measure of anything. Underemployment means you have 10 people and 5 jobs, so 10 people work half a job (40 hours). They're only underemployed if they desire more working time and work less than full-time. Thing is 10 people working 20 hours each is 10 underemployed; 10 people working 10 hours each is 10 underemployed.

      For underemployment, I want new metrics.

      The first metric is to measure only the U6 underemployed--they want more hours, but can't get them. Count their hours. Every 40 hours is one job. Give us the number of full-time jobs available as 40 labor-hours per week (2,080 per year) and the number of underemployed. That tells us how many people are fighting over how many jobs.

      The second is that, plus people who are content and working less than full time. That gives you an accurate count of all available working hours, excluding any overtime worked. It lets you see how many people are working and content (UN2 persons - UN1 persons) and how many full jobs are available among them.

      The third is a full count of all hours including overtime hours. That lets you count the number of full-time jobs against the number of employed plus any UE metric you want. (UN3 jobs)

      Now you know precisely how much work is available, how it's distributed, and how our employment market really looks.

    12. Re:unemployment numbers by Bartles · · Score: 2

      When jobs are added AND the unemployment rate rises, it means people are entering the workforce. In other words, people who had given up and previously weren't counted, are now looking for work.

  2. Re:I have a suggestion... by Highdude702 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I have a criminal record.. I have never gone more than a week without work unwillingly. Even in prison.

  3. Re:I have a suggestion... by pastafazou · · Score: 2

    Reading comprehension fail. You don't know what a double negative is. (Never without work) means always working. (Never without work unwillingly) means always working unless forced not to.

  4. Re:"Discouraged" job seekers. by plopez · · Score: 3, Informative

    go to bls.gov

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  5. Re:That makes no sense. by plopez · · Score: 2

    Crime, leaching off of others, politics, managment. Though the last 2 are redundent.

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  6. Re: Curious... by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 2

    You just can't accept that America is better under Trump.

    The economic numbers say otherwise.

    It's tough when reality stands in the way of your political views.

    What political views are those?

  7. Re:"Discouraged" job seekers. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Keep in mind that the IRS has records of every lawful employment payment (and many unlawful). Each one is reported with time period, money earned, and a unique identifier.

    As long as you don't get too picky arguing about why someone hasn't received another legal paycheck since their unemployment returns ended, you can get a useful number. Reporting it as "no longer looking for work" may not be entirely accurate, but "no longer receiving any reported income" doesn't have quite the same ring to it.

  8. Re: "Discouraged" job seekers. by Salgak1 · · Score: 2

    . . . or you're stuck in an area with low income to start with, and a single industry that's shut down. West Virginia coal-mining towns come to mind, when the mine shuts down, nobody has the cash to move elsewhere.

    And, of course, HR types not even considering long-term unemployed compounds the problem. . .

  9. Re:Both jobs and unemployment up? by pastafazou · · Score: 3, Informative

    Not any more. Unemployment is now defined as when you don't have a job, but are actively looking for one. Not counted are those that have stopped looking, those that have done any kind of work just to make a dollar but aren't holding a job (if you earned $20 in a week, you're not considered unemployed), and those that are working part-time but want full time.

  10. Re: Curious... by Tablizer · · Score: 5, Informative

    You just can't accept that America is better under Trump.

    The GDP numbers are basically the same as they were under O, and the unemployment changes are consistent with a general longer-term trend that has been in place since roughly around 2013. Same with the stock market.

    Further, T hasn't signed any legislation or Executive Order that would have notable impact on the economy either way. In short, he hasn't change enough to matter. The economy is on cruse control.

    It's only a political issue because he has been bragging about the economy "under" him. I gotta call BS on that one.

  11. Re: "Discouraged" job seekers. by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 2

    HR types not being blood-let and piled into trenches is a big part of the problem.

  12. What's your point? by Comboman · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The census reports don't count homeless people as unemployed nor does it count people who have given up looking.

    It also doesn't include people who are retired, or children, or stay-at-home parents, or people in prisons/mental institutions/hospitals/etc. Nor should it. Unemployed doesn't mean "not working", it means "ready, able and willing to work but unable to find a job".

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  13. Re:Statstics can lie, data omitted in these number by Tablizer · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Not this issue again. There are multiple ways to measure "unemployment", and each are imperfect for different reasons. Part of the problem is that "unemployed" can be a grey area. Lets say Bob is recently retired. He would take up a job if it paid really well or piqued his interest, but Bob otherwise is happy with retirement and is not actively looking. A house wife* may view the job market similarly. Is that "unemployed"?

    The metric typically used by the press has been a de-facto standard yardstick for decades, for good or bad.

    Pundits often complain about it based on their bias or desired audience influence angle. There are other published metrics of "unemployment", as a nearby message lists, and pundits often switch to one of these others when it suits them.

    If a pundit plays such games without explaining the difference and trade-offs, you know they are either biased, manipulative, or clueless. Granted, just because a pundit bungles one issue doesn't mean they bungle everything, but this one is a yellow flag.

    * There's probably a PC way to say it. "Non-paid domestic worker?"

  14. Re:That makes no sense. by omnichad · · Score: 2

    a non-livable wage is more money than zero money from not working

    And takes away all your useful hours you could otherwise use to find a livable wage.

  15. Re:What is true unemployment. by sycodon · · Score: 2

    The fact that the unemployment rate actually went up a notch indicates that more people are getting back into the job market.

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  16. Re:"Discouraged" job seekers. by BarbaraHudson · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Keep in mind that the IRS has records of every lawful employment payment (and many unlawful). Each one is reported with time period, money earned, and a unique identifier.

    These numbers are never used, even though they obviously would give the best data. They can't be manipulated as easily, and it would be too easy to point out that job income per worker has been stagnant or even declined for a generation. GDP has increased tremendously, but it's not showing up in pay packets.

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  17. Re:Curious... by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2

    Obama moved millions to permanently out of the workforce . The biggest way was via moving 2 million unemployed to permanent disability, which resulted in a nice shaving of unemployment by 3% or so.

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  18. Labor force participation rate by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 2

    All the U- numbers have certain guesses, models, and biases involved. For raw data just go for the labor force participation rate which is the least-political measure.

    It's slightly improved, but there was clearly no "Obama Recovery" and the US economy hasn't gotten back to pre-crash levels.

    "It's the jobs, stupid" as a politician once said.

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  19. Re: Curious... by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2

    The DJIA took a big jump as soon as the election was over... Due mainly the belief the business climate and economy would improve...

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  20. re: WV and coal mining towns by King_TJ · · Score: 2

    As someone who lives close to some of those former coal mining towns in WV, I'd have to say the core problem comes down to lack of education. The fact that coal mining went away certainly means the primary source of income for people disappeared. But the large percentage of people who still keep trying to do what they've always done, expecting a better/new result is disturbing. If you go out in public in those communities, you see a whole bunch of people who can't spell any words properly if they contain more than about 4 letters. Their math skills are just as rudimentary. Many lack even basic people skills, needed to negotiate things like confrontations with dissatisfied customers in a workplace. They're simply not mentally equipped to be employable in modern society.

    You read stories about some of the exceptions to the rule who found success changing career paths from coal miner to software developer and so on. But that's not a realistic short-term plan for most of the people I've seen out there.

    Businesses who need a specialized workforce would be wise to realize these places are opportunities in disguise. They need to invest the money in educating and training them as part of a job offer. (As just one example, I was talking to a guy who owns a plumbing company. Anyone working for him full-time can earn up to a 6 figure salary with little trouble, and he's willing to provide training. But he still can't get enough people willing to work for him, simply because most people don't want to do plumbing for a living. IMO, if you can live with mining coal, you can surely live with some sewage backups and bad smells?)

  21. Re:Curious... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 2

    According to the experts on Slashdot, I have an "apple-shaped" body.

    Rectangular, with rounded corners?

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  22. Yep by SuperKendall · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The number of jobs increased, and unemployment rose a bit, a clear sign that people are starting to look again... but it will take a while to unwind from the real 10%+ unemployment rate we actually have.

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    1. Re:Yep by dasgoober · · Score: 2

      Guess that master's degree came in handy, then

    2. Re:Yep by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "shows a remarkable lack of initiative and common sense"

      Why would you immediately jump to placing all of the blame on this kid who's trying but can't find a job? Frankly, my experience has been that the lack of initiative and common sense has been entirely with the organization and its rotten "leadership." I cannot tell you how many places put everything but the kitchen sink on their job descriptions and then fight you to the ends of the earth if you ever try to do anything.

      This entire industry is stuck in a terrible malaise. Nothing fucking works because nobody is even trying to do anything right. Just silent failures, unexplained hanging, "oops!" error messages, 40 layers of frameworks, and a Chrome update treadmill set to warp fucking speed.

  23. Re:What is true unemployment. by butchersong · · Score: 2

    You'd need to factor in disability too. We hide a ton of unemployment in those numbers. My family is from eastern KY and WV... no work? Coal down? Disability time.

  24. Re:What is true unemployment. by AvitarX · · Score: 2

    I believe college graduation impacts June numbers too (or are they not counted until July?)

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  25. Re: WV and coal mining towns by lgw · · Score: 2

    IQ is strongly correlated with the kinds of jobs you can hold. Right now, there's almost nothing in the US economy if you're IQ is below about 85 (15% of the population, mostly male). At that IQ, you can only really do repetitive work as instructed in detail. There are a few manual labor jobs left, but automation has nearly eliminated all such jobs already.

    In the coming wave of automation, that IQ bar is simply moving up. I expect most of the current simplest jobs - say those doable with n IQ of about 90, to go away. That higher standard will mean 25% of the population will be effectively unemployable.

    No one has a good idea what to do about this. Just handing them money is not a great plan - these are people whop, by definition, need a boss and need to be told what to to to be engaged in productive work. And most people need to feel productive in order to maintain mental health.

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  26. Re: WV and coal mining towns by fustakrakich · · Score: 2

    Looks more like automation will wipe out middle to upper management first, since it's mostly paper pushing. The folks on top, well, they push the buttons. As for the other 7 billion of us, I don't want to be the one to say.

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  27. Re: WV and coal mining towns by LeftCoastThinker · · Score: 2

    Put them all in phone tech support. It will be a step up from having to deal with the same IQ bracket from India.

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  28. Re:"Discouraged" job seekers. by Bartles · · Score: 2

    Go to the Bureau of Labor Statistics website. It's all there.

  29. Re: WV and coal mining towns by Bartles · · Score: 2

    I would be willing to bet the literacy rate of coal mining areas of WV is quite a bit higher than parts of Chicago.

  30. Re: What is true unemployment. by thundercattt · · Score: 2

    It goes up because all the recent grads who got their shiny diploma are now unemployed and in Mom's basement. Students aren't considered unemployed, graduates are.

  31. Re: WV and coal mining towns by LeftCoastThinker · · Score: 2

    That automation is already done on the web, and I for one won't put up with a non human on the phone. I mash zero until I get a human, I can't imagine I'm the only one.

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