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Bitcoin Hits $10,000 Because Ceilings Are Just a Construct, Man (gizmodo.com)

An anonymous reader shares a report: On Tuesday, the trading price of the most prominent cryptocurrency hit $10,000 for the first time. And that nice round number will almost certainly have the kind of psychological effect that brings in new traders. Based on analysts' recent predictions, the $10,000 milestone could be the beginning of the end or just the beginning. Some thought that $2,000 would be the point at which we'd see a reversal of Bitcoin's ascent. Others predicted it would top out at $4,000. Then, $4,000 became the floor. These days, analysts with decent reputations have predicted the cryptocurrency's trading price could go as high as $50,000, $100,000, and even $1 million.

33 of 348 comments (clear)

  1. 5 bucks by Danathar · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I bought 5 bucks worth of bitcoin last year... It's now worth $80 bucks (as of this writing). I'm simply floored by how much its gone up!

    1. Re:5 bucks by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 5, Funny

      Good grief! You're loaded! It's time to think about hiring a butler!

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    2. Re:5 bucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Pure speculation. It is not used (and can not be used) as currency. Somebody is just pumping the price to lure in suckers. Ironically crypto is propably most manipulated market in the world. And people just buy it with no other intention than to sell it later to somebody else for higher price. This can not and will not end well. Remember, value is not generated out of thin air, just transfered from one to another, in order for one person to get a "bitcoin millionaire" there MUST be thousand people who lose 1000$. There is no way around it.

    3. Re: 5 bucks by gweihir · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The second one is pretty much assured when it crashes, as the Bitcoin blockchain is slow and will get much slower during a crash. 10k/coin just means that people are doing a pump&dump scam. Most people that buy now will not even recover their investment.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    4. Re:5 bucks by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 2

      If it's worth $80 with a Bitcoin value of $10K, wouldn't it be a gross of $7995 if Bitcoin hits one million?

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    5. Re:5 bucks by religionofpeas · · Score: 3, Insightful

      In that case it's the exchange that loses the money.

      It's the people that are holding fiat that are losing the value of their money

    6. Re:5 bucks by viperidaenz · · Score: 2

      So can horse manure. Is that a currency too?

    7. Re: 5 bucks by gweihir · · Score: 3, Interesting

      They misjudged the size of the pool of fools. The sharp rise of the last few months is a sure sign the crash is near. At the moment, those that have invested are frantically trying to get more to invest, because a $10'000 coin is worth nothing if nobody buys it. But the remaining pool of fools is dwindling fast.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    8. Re:5 bucks by war4peace · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Um... let me simplify.
      John has 1 BTC. It's worth a dollar.
      Jack wants that BTC and is willing to play John 2 dollars.
      John now has 1 BTC worth 2 dollars, but Jill wants to buy it for 10 dollars.
      Fast forward through 10, 20, 50 subsequent buyers, end up with 1 BTC worth 10K dollars and rising. Money (as in dollars) wasn't lost, they simply exchanged hands between various people for the same product.

      Value was not generated out of thin air, it was a product of the ancient demand/offer balance. As long as people want BTC and are willing to play hefty sums of money for it, its value would increase.

      Also BTC can be and is used as currency. It has a slow transfer rate, that's for sure, but it works. Here in my 3rd world country I can buy a variety of legal products with it, such as IT hardware, software and general goods.

      --
      ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
    9. Re:5 bucks by Bucky24 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      In that case it's the exchange that loses the money.

      It's the people that are holding fiat that are losing the value of their money

      It's true that if you assume bitcoin is actually worth what the exchange pays for it (and it would be, because some entity is willing to pay for it), then the exchange has not actually lost any value, just exchanged one form of it for another. But from what I gather, GP wasn't counting the value of bitcoin as an actual value. With that assumption, then the exchange is rapidly losing money because they are paying out something of value (USD) for something of no value (bitcoin).

      And if you assume, as GP did, that bitcoin is a closed system, and the only way to get bitcoins is to buy them from the exchange (not technically true but for most people entering the market at this point it might as well be), then people are giving USD in exchange for bitcoins, putting money into the market, then it's possible for one person to sell a ton of coins that have gone way up in value, and be paid out all the exchange's USD reserve. In that case, since the exchange can't print more money, they have essentially lost the ability to buy anyone else's bitcoins. At that point the people who still own bitcoins technically haven't lost value either, but as there's no entity (we assume only one exchange in this scenario) that can pay them for their bitcoins, the coins essentially become worthless outside of the bitcoin system.

      So in the end I guess it depends on your definition of money. I don't personally consider bitcoin to be money, though it's getting a lot closer. But if it is money, then the exchange never loses value at all, since it's essentially just a money changer. On the other hand, if bitcoin isn't money, then the exchange is almost guaranteed to lose money if the currency becomes more valuable.

      As with all things, its just down to a point of view.

      --
      All the world's a CPU, and all the men and women merely AI agents
    10. Re: 5 bucks by Goragoth · · Score: 2

      Bitcoin is 100% a bubble and will eventually crash but I'm not so sure that we are near the tipping point yet. It is ridiculously easy to invest in (any fool can create an account with an exchange and buy some BTC), and the pool is vast (anyone in the world with Internet access can theoretically buy in). A lot of people still don't know about BTC and it is only just starting to get some mainstream attention (just because people that visit Slashdot have been bombarded with BTC news doesn't mean everyone else has). I expect the real fools (people with not even a cursory understanding of how cryptocurrencies work) are only just beginning to buy in. I wouldn't be surprised to see BTC skyrocket to $100,000 in a year or so, maybe even more before crashing spectacularly to basically 0 in the span of days. Cautious people tend to underestimate just how irrational the market can go, while the idiots think it will go up forever.

    11. Re: 5 bucks by phantomfive · · Score: 2

      I'm just wondering if it will go away completely or not.

      No, it won't go away completely: as long as there is one person who still is willing to compute transactions on an old 486 computer, bitcoin will still be around. So even if it's only Satoshi himself in a room somewhere, lit by the light of a single bare bulb..........

      More practically, it's the only good option for making payments on things like malware, so it's likely to stay around for a while even if it drops drastically in value in the interim. At current transaction costs, it's only worth using for very large transactions, though (people are doing it: I don't know who those people are, but for some reason it's worth it to them).

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    12. Re:5 bucks by houghi · · Score: 2

      Reminds me of how we joked how Internet companies where valued in 1995. You start a company. You make 1.000.000 shares. You sell 1 share for 100USD. BOOM, the company is worth 100.000.000USD.

      --
      Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
  2. Parabolic... by b0s0z0ku · · Score: 2

    Search for "buy bitcoin" on Google's site.

    The first suggestion will be "buy bitcoin with credit card."

    If ordinary people are leveraging up at 10-20% per annum to buy a currency that's not accepted for most things, you know where this is going.

  3. "Traditional" speculators entered the fray by rsilvergun · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I don't know what else to call them, but the kind of day trader types that play the stock market noticed the price going up. So now in addition to the drug traffickers, money launders and ransomeware authors we've got those jackals. I'm sure this will all end well.

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
  4. aka by grasshoppa · · Score: 5, Insightful

    These days, analysts with decent reputations have predicted the cryptocurrency's trading price could go as high as $50,000, $100,000, and even $1 million.

    In other words, they have no idea why it's doing what it's doing.

    I'm starting to think "expert" is someone who is physically unable to utter the words "I don't know".

    --
    Mod me down with all of your hatred and your journey towards the dark side will be complete!
    1. Re:aka by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 5, Funny

      These days, analysts with decent reputations have predicted the cryptocurrency's trading price could go as high as $50,000, $100,000, and even $1 million.

      In other words, they have no idea why it's doing what it's doing.

      I'm starting to think "expert" is someone who is physically unable to utter the words "I don't know".

      I'm not an expert, but I don't know if you're right.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    2. Re:aka by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 5, Insightful

      They don't know, and there is a valid reason for it. The market is irrational. The market is as much about emotion as it is about fundamentals, maybe even more so. There will be a correction. The problem is, there are no forces that can take any of the irrationality out of the market. The real panic will happen when the BTC is worth 5 or 6 figures each, and corrects down to three or so. That's when people holding fair numbers of coins will start to panic, and sell off just like everyone else, trying to get any part of the profit they missed when it peaked.

      And then you'll see it normalized for a while, perhaps even disappear. People mocked when a guy bought a 20,000 BTC pizza, and now many of those same people are mocking $1000 BTC.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
  5. Re:DIY Cryptocurrency Mining... by Kenja · · Score: 5, Funny

    If you want mine your own crypto currency, you need a motherboard with 19 PCIe 1X slots to plug in 19 GPUs and a couple of 1200W PSUs.

    And an extension cord to steal the electricity from your neighbor.

    --

    "Have you ever thought about just turning off the TV, sitting down with your kids, and hitting them?"
  6. That's not all that's spiking upwards by timholman · · Score: 5, Interesting

    In related news .... the average BTC transaction fee is now at $6 USD, and climbing fast. Could be worse, however. Two weeks ago, it spiked above $19.

    Does anyone seriously think that BTC is being used for anything except speculation? It sure isn't being used for "money". You've got people buying BTC using their credit cards, and converting their savings to BTC. It's a classic bubble.

    It's gonna be nasty, and when the bubble pops the transaction backlog will be huge as people try to dump their BTC before they lose everything. Transaction fees will shoot through the roof. Boom or bust, the Chinese mining pools will make money hand over fist.

    1. Re:That's not all that's spiking upwards by gweihir · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The mining-pool will just be as screwed as anybody else. The only ones that will win is those that get out early enough to actually have somebody buy their worthless merchandise. That point may already be in the past. There are indications that actually selling larger amounts of Bitcoin is already difficult.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  7. Re:Release the Trolls by Jzanu · · Score: 2

    If you actually use bitcoin even once for anything but investment, meaning you paid the current premium price and then sold it for goods at some fixed quantity, when it increases in price this quickly then you are retarded.... Every day makes you insane. The question of buying bitcoin in the first place makes both outcomes likely, since it has no value outside of the hype and unlicensed "experts" doing the major pumping. There is some financial force behind this, and it is extremely likely to be a combination of Russia, the DPRK, and every other ever-so-nice pariah state using bitcoin to evade sanctions.

  8. Enough already! by hackertourist · · Score: 3, Insightful

    this is the fifth story in as many weeks with no more substance than "bitcoin hits $x!". Comments from the fist story can be copied verbatim to all the others, there's nothing new to be said on the subject. Can we please find a more interesting subject to talk about?
    If I wanted to know the day price for Bitcoin, I'd use a stock ticker.

  9. This is great insider info! by NEDHead · · Score: 2

    How can I get in before everybody hears about it?

  10. Re:Seems like you can use it as currency by TheRealMindChild · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There's no incentive to ever spend it

    Sure there is. I need food *now*, and these might not be valuable enough in the future to sacrifice starving right now.

    --

    "When life gives you lemons, don't make lemonade. Make life take the lemons back!" -- Cave Johnson
  11. Re:Seems like you can use it as currency by nealric · · Score: 3, Informative

    Most of those websites aren't really using BTC in the sense that they are actually holding BTC you transfer to them like they would hold the USD you transferred to them. Rather, they've simply set up a conversion as part of the transaction where they receive USD in exchange for the BTC you sent them.

  12. Re:Except as a curiosity ... by viperidaenz · · Score: 2

    How many Lindsay Lohan's can I buy with 1 BTC?

  13. Re:Release the Trolls by thechemic · · Score: 3, Funny

    I appreciate your perspective, though it incorrectly assumes that I purchased a sum of bitcoin and now I'm running around daily consuming/burning that bitcoin when it should be left alone to mature in value. You seem to believe that I should have two stacks of currency: one stack of dollars to live life by, and another stack of bitcoin to leave as an investment.

    In reality, all the money received from my 9-5 job, my sideline business, and my miners goes into bitcoin. Therefore, I have no dollars left for daily life. I have a constant stream of finances going into bitcoin, and some coming out of bitcoin in the form of commodities and services needed to live daily life. This model ensures that my entire budget increases in purchasing power as rapidly as bitcoin increases in value. All I have to do is ensure that the stream of finances going into bitcoin is larger than the stream coming out of bitcoin and my nest egg grows at an even more rapid pace than if I only used bitcoin as an investment.

    To quote yourself, "when it increases in price this quickly then you are retarded" you would be retarded to NOT put every dollar you have into bitcoin.

    --
    Let's make like a bird... and get the flock outta here.
  14. Re: What does this do to mining economics by viperidaenz · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Except for the little detail of: If some miners stop mining, mining becomes easier, making mining more profitable.

    The cost of mining is related to the popularity of mining. The profitability of mining is a combination of the value of bitcoin and the size of the mining pool, making it not a simple economic problem.

  15. Re:Seems like you can use it as currency by squiggleslash · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Not just no incentive to spend it (beyond the absolutely necessary right now) but no incentive to lend (invest) it either unless the returns are so astronomical they outweigh the loss in value of any collateral that the borrower might put up.

    Bitcoin enthusiasts are overjoyed about this, because they're suddenly rich, so overjoyed they're missing the part that this entire thing is a disaster for Bitcoin in terms of its supposed use. And if Bitcoin is completely unusable for the purpose for which it was designed then... what's the point of Bitcoin? The world's biggest disorganized pyramid scheme?

    Can this last anyway? Will it reach a peak and then start slowly dropping, or will it collapse? If it collapses (again!) then even if it reaches a more reasonable level, will retailers (who presumably will lose quite a bit of money on it) ever accept it again?

    Hyperdeflation, to be followed at some point by hyperinflation. This is not what a stable currency looks like. BTC enthusiasts should be thinking "Well, failure never felt so good", not "Woohoo, this is good news for Bitcoin". Because it really, really, isn't.

    --
    You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
  16. Re:Question by orlanz · · Score: 3, Informative

    If Bitcoin totally collapsed in a short enough time frame (say 2 weeks), it would be noticeable but hardly damaging to the economy at large. Google has $700B as its cap. The SPY ETF from one company that links to the S&P 500 (meaning its a small percent of the total) is ~$250B. A loss of either wouldn't significantly impact the economy*. Bitcoin's collapse would be even more minor.

    The primary impacts we would notice would be any highly leveraged hedges that would collapse too and rip out funds from proper investments to cover the losses. Basically people who borrowed to pay interest on loans to buy coins would now have to liquidate stable assets to cover the required payments. If they can't pay, then the lender would need to do the same to cover lost operational cash flows.

    It is quite difficult to ascertain between speculation and investment. Society has been trying to do it for centuries to curb bubbles, recessions, in/deflations, gold rushes, etc and hasn't gotten anywhere. Any interventions have resulted in worse outcomes.

    * = Thou in Google's case we wouldn't lose the services totally, they would be bought up cheap and serviced by someone else. We would see service degradation and no new stuff, but it would still work.

  17. In related news ... by PPH · · Score: 5, Funny

    ... the US dollar dropped to 0.0001 BTC.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  18. Re:Release the Trolls by networkBoy · · Score: 5, Informative

    I really hope you are not serious mate!

    When guys doing similar enough to what you're doing now encountered 29-Oct-1929 a fair portion of them jumped out of windows...

    --
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