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Electric Cars Are Already Cheaper To Own and Run Than Petrol Or Diesel, Says Study (theguardian.com)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from The Guardian: Electric cars are already cheaper to own and run than petrol or diesel cars in the UK, US and Japan, new research shows. The lower cost is a key factor driving the rapid rise in electric car sales now underway, say the researchers. At the moment the cost is partly because of government support, but electric cars are expected to become the cheapest option without subsidies in a few years. The researchers analyzed the total cost of ownership of cars over four years, including the purchase price and depreciation, fuel, insurance, taxation and maintenance. They were surprised to find that pure electric cars came out cheapest in all the markets they examined: UK, Japan, Texas and California.

Pure electric cars have much lower fuel costs -- electricity is cheaper than petrol or diesel -- and maintenance costs, as the engines are simpler and help brake the car, saving on brake pads. In the UK, the annual cost was about 10% lower than for petrol or diesel cars in 2015, the latest year analyzed. Hybrid cars which cannot be plugged in and attract lower subsidies, were usually a little more expensive than petrol or diesel cars. Plug-in hybrids were found to be significantly more expensive -- buyers are effectively paying for two engines in one car, the researchers said. The exception in this case was Japan, where plug-in hybrids receive higher subsidies.
The study has been published in the journal Applied Energy.

47 of 474 comments (clear)

  1. Corrects its own headline in the third sentence by SlaveToTheGrind · · Score: 5, Insightful

    At the moment the cost is partly because of government support, but electric cars are expected to become the cheapest option without subsidies in a few years.

    So it's cheapest -- as long as you ignore that pile of money over in the corner that someone else is paying, and one we promise will go away Real Soon Now. Good grief.

    1. Re:Corrects its own headline in the third sentence by someone1234 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Maybe there should be a healthcare tax on diesel.

      --
      Patents Drive Free Software as Hurricanes Drive Construction Industry
    2. Re:Corrects its own headline in the third sentence by rgbatduke · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah, and I strongly suspect that somebody just can't do arithmetic as well. Perhaps SOME electric cars are less expensive than SOME gasoline cars, but there is a huge range of prices for gas cars, even in a given class. If you compare a high end luxury gas car to the cheapest electric, add in the subsidy, and make negatory assumptions about the probable price of gasoline over the expected lifetime of the car, you can probably fudge it to make it come out a win, but if you compare apples to apples without subsidies, it isn't so clear. Suppose a car goes 12,000 miles in a year. At 20 mpg, that costs 600 gallons of gasoline, or around $1500/year. Over a ten year lifetime, fuel costs are only around $15,000, so if electric cars ran FREE you'd need price points for CHEAP electric cars to match those of CHEAP gasoline cars within around $12,000, allowing for the cost of money. But the cheapest electric cars are easily this much more than the cheapest gasoline cars, and even the study only allows for a 10% difference in maintenance costs, which really remains to be seen as these costs are highly variable by manufacturer. But electricity is NOT free -- even if it is being provided "free" in some places it is really just another subsidy, and costs SOMEBODY somewhere between $0.10 and $0.20 per KWH.

      I ran into the same difficulty with our Priuses. The first Prius we bought was $40,000. At the time, we could have easily gotten a similar size/class car for maybe $20,000 to $25,000, one that got around 30 mpg. There is no way we paid off the difference in financing costs over the lifetime of the car with the marginal savings on gasoline at around 50 mpg. New cheap Priuses are better -- close to break even -- but electric cars IMO have a ways to go.

      --
      Even when the experts all agree, they may well be mistaken. --- Bertrand Russell.
    3. Re:Corrects its own headline in the third sentence by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 2

      It doesn't appear to me they included the cost of charger and installation.

    4. Re:Corrects its own headline in the third sentence by wonkavader · · Score: 2

      There should be one on gasoline as well, but certainly diesel's should be higher.

    5. Re:Corrects its own headline in the third sentence by taiwanjohn · · Score: 4, Informative

      In a few years, EVs will be cheaper anyway, even without any subsidies. The price of battery storage (in $/kwh) has been declining steadily at about 15%/yr for the last couple of decades. By 2022~23 there will be several EVs on the market for around $20k, simply because the batteries will be that cheap by then.

      At that point, it's getting close to 'game over' territory for the ICE vehicle market. If EVs are cheaper all around, they will win. (Not to mention that they also tend to be far more reliable, because they only have a few dozen moving parts, rather than thousands.)

      A Stanford lecturer, Tony Seba, wrote a book about this upcoming market shift, called "Clean Disruption." He also does a lecture on the topic, which you can find on YouTube. Pretty interesting stuff.

      --
      XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
    6. Re:Corrects its own headline in the third sentence by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 2

      Also, it's not just the finance costs on the downside, it's the capital costs on the upside, if you could have put that $17K delta to work for you over the same period (even in an index fund).

      My kids learned "the time value of money" before kindergarten - how can a professional economic analysis ignore it?

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    7. Re:Corrects its own headline in the third sentence by shmlco · · Score: 5, Funny

      "Your EV wastes more energy than my diesel."

      Are those your numbers or Volkswagen's?

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    8. Re:Corrects its own headline in the third sentence by Rei · · Score: 2

      one we promise will go away Real Soon Now.

      News flash to Americans: there exists a world outside America.

      Meanwhile, let's compare the Tesla Model 3, without any subsidies, to the similarly sized BMW 3-series. First off, which models to compare?

      Model 3 SR: 0-60=5,5s; BMW 330i: 0-60=5,4s
      Model 3 LR: 0-60=4,8s (Motor Trend)-5,1s(official); BMW 340i: 0-60 various measured at 4,8 and 5,1s.

      So now we have our comparison points; let's do the comparisons. Note for the below that the 3-series all have a 15,8gal tank, and the Model 3 LR has an EPA-calculated range of 347/334/318mi in city/combined/highway driving, respectively. SR's battery is the same as LR's except 31 cells per brick rather than 46, so its range figures should be 31/46 times as much, plus a bonus for the reduced weight (estimated at 4%/3,2%/2,5% in city/combined/highway, respectively).

      Base price (before options):
      SR/330i: $35k vs. $40,3k
      LR/340i: $44k vs $49k

      Curb weight:
      SR/330i: 3549 lbs vs. 3501lbs (manual) - 3541lbs (auto)
      LR/340i: 3814 lbs vs 3675lbs (manual) - 3704lbs (auto)

      Energy consumption, City/Combined/Highway (Wh/mi or mpg):
      SR/330i: 248/260/274 vs 21/25/32(manual), 23/27/34(auto)
      LR/340i: 258/267/281 vs 19/23/29(manual), 21/25/32(auto)

      Annual energy cost, based on US average gasoline $2,561/gal, US average residential electricity $0,1319/kWh, and an average US driving distance of 13476/yr. The difference between the gas and electricity prices is roughly doubled in the EU averages.
      SR/330i: $441/$461/$487 vs $1648/$1384/$1081 (manual), $1505/$1282/$1018 (auto)
      LR/340i: $459/$476/$499 vs $1821/$1505/$1193 (manual), $1648/$1384/$1081 (auto)

      Model 3 annual energy cost savings ("combined" is representative of most drivers); again, differences are roughly doubled in the EU:
      SR/330i: $1207/$923/$594 (manual), $1064/$820/$531 (auto)
      LR/340i: $1363/$908/$582 (manual), $1189/$908/$582 (auto)

      Vehicle range (mi):
      SR/330i: 243/232/220 vs 332/395/506 (manual), 363/427/537 (auto)
      LR/340i: 347/334/318 vs 300/363/458 (manual), 332/395/506 (auto)

      Time stopped for filling on a 100% highway-driving trip (anything less than 100% highway = more EV friendly comparison). Assumed EV driving down to 10% capacity, charging to 60% (unless a small amount more will mean one less stop), with average 7,5mi/min for LR and 6mi/min for SR. 4 min overhead assumed per stop (based on my timing of vehicle stop lengths), minimum 30mi remaining at arrival, gas vehicles filled to full at each stop, 1 minute tank fill time. Assumed half tank starting point for gasoline. Format: "trip length (drive time@70mph): SR LR / 330i-manual

      --
      Pinkypants -- my favorite!
    9. Re:Corrects its own headline in the third sentence by serviscope_minor · · Score: 5, Informative

      Most electricity is generated from fossil fuels, so it would be hit by the same tax.

      Why? Powerstations, even coal fired ones, don't dump huge amounts of very nasty particulates into the air at ground level right in the middle of densely populated cities.

      Do note that EVs are not more efficient than ICE vehicles. Take the ~40% efficiency of an electricity-generating coal plant, multiply it by 90% transmission losses, by the 75% battery charging efficiency, and approx 85% electric motor efficiency, and you get (0.4)*(0.9)*(0.75)*(0.85) = 0.2295. Or 23% energy efficiency for EVs.

      So basically, you get much better pollution control without any loss in efficiency? Sounds like a huge win to me.

      Except...

      That's if you have an old coal plant. If you have a combined cycle plant you'll hit 62% thermal efficiency on the front end, never mind if you use nuclear or renewables.

      Your figures for charging are pessimistic. Charging is more like 80-90% efficient.

      http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/doc...

      Distribution losses are more like 6.5% in the US not 10% that you quoted. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      And even some random low power cheapo electric motor easily beats 85% efficiency:

      https://www.acdcdrives.co.uk/t...

      And larger motors are almost always more efficient.

      And even if we take your incredibly pessimistic numbers, you still have the advantage of electric braking. But more realistically, the efficiency is more like 42% plant to wheel (47% taking the more optimistic end of the range).

      So penalizing technologies solely based on pollution emissions is equivalent to penalizing higher energy efficiency. Higher efficiency and higher pollution come as a package deal with combustion processes.

      Which is a phenomenally good argument for electric cars. If you want the efficiency, you want to put the relatively dirty place a long way from people and all in one place so you can have effective scrubbers on the output.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    10. Re:Corrects its own headline in the third sentence by Rei · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Also, more to the point, new electricity generation in the US (and most of the developed world) is a mix of wind, solar and natural gas. Modern natural gas baseload plants (combined cycle), BTW, are around 60% efficient, not 40%. Coal is dying.

      When you add new load to the grid, they're not filling that load with coal; they're filling it with renewables.

      --
      Pinkypants -- my favorite!
    11. Re:Corrects its own headline in the third sentence by squiggleslash · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Most electricity is generated from fossil fuels, so it would be hit by the same tax.

      Kinda. You state the inefficiency of electric cars by only measuring fuel->drivetrain efficiency, but:

      1. Ground->Distribution for fuel is much more efficient for electric power plants than for cars: power plants can make use of trains and pipelines, cars have to use a network of fueling stations.
      2. Not all electricity is generated from fossil fuels
      3. Centralized electricity generation provides fewer points for environmental clean-up, making it both easier and more efficient, thus cutting any (sane) environmental fuel tax significantly
      4. ICE engines can't generally turn braking energy into gasoline. While regenerative braking's efficiency is frequently overstated, it's still a factor.

      Real world experience seems to support the notion that electric cars are more efficient. People generally run them for pennies (well, dimes - that's a 10c coin for non-Americans out there) a day, as opposed to dollars for ICE engines. If it were somehow more efficient to fuel a diesel VW Golf than a Tesla, then you'd expect that to be reflected in the relative costs of running them. Existing taxes on gasoline and diesel are tiny, and indeed gasoline is frequently subsidized, both by government and by the businesses selling it (the 7-Eleven, not the pump, is where the money's made in an average US gas station) so that doesn't explain why it cost so much more.

      That's what's being glossed over in the environmental movement's crusade to eliminate diesel vehicles based solely on emissions.

      It's not lost, it was originally a popular argument in the 1980s, before it became clear that diesel was significantly worse with emissions per gallon than gasoline. France even subsidized diesel for a while, leading to massive pollution problems. Burning diesel may result in less CO2 per mile than gasoline, but the health effects are disastrous when the other pollutants are taken into account.

      Despite being a tiny minority of vehicles and accounting for a relatively small percentage of total fuel sold, diesel-powered vehicles and equipment account for nearly half of all nitrogen oxides (NOx) and more than two-thirds of all particulate matter (PM) emissions from US transportation sources. Tens of thousands of people die in the US every year due to particulate pollution, this isn't a theoretical problem.

      Is it solvable? Sure. If burned at scale, it becomes easy to do "clean diesel" using a mixture of fuel additives and filters and converters of various kinds. At scale in practice means "Anything the size of a Diesel locomotive, or larger, with, like the locomotive, a dedicated team of support staff on hand to change filters and maintain additives, who aren't going to shirk off the job dismissing it as "treehugger bullshit from the lieberals in Washington."

      Electric cars make sense. Increased use of diesel would be a massive retrograde step towards dirty air and the kind of issues with mass respiratory syndromes that I saw when I grew up with in the 1970s and 1980s and haven't seen since. Let's not do that.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    12. Re:Corrects its own headline in the third sentence by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      Also, it's not just the finance costs on the downside, it's the capital costs on the upside, if you could have put that $17K delta to work for you over the same period (even in an index fund).

      Most people are buying a car on credit, so that money is being put to work, but it's being put to work for the financing company, since they're the ones who actually have it. No matter how hard they try, the consumer is not going to be able to invest money they don't have.

      My kids learned "the time value of money" before kindergarten - how can a professional economic analysis ignore it?

      You ignored the basic realities of the situation to try to make a really killer point, which turned out to be nonsense. Over eighty percent of vehicles are financed.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    13. Re:Corrects its own headline in the third sentence by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      No, we've just gone through this in the UK. Diesels were given a tax break (less tax on fuel) for decades because of the lower CO2 emissions, and now we've got dangerously high NO2 levels everywhere and lots of health problems attributed to particulates from diesel soot.

      And that's all with Euro spec diesel and diesel engines. With the bunker fuel they sell as diesel on your side of the pond and lax environmental regulations, it's a health hazard to be anywhere near a diesel powered vehicle.

    14. Re:Corrects its own headline in the third sentence by AMDinator · · Score: 2

      Or you could just purchase 100% wind/solar power like me. My power company purchases more renewable power than they would have otherwise to offset my usage. Still have a gasoline car for now, though.

    15. Re:Corrects its own headline in the third sentence by religionofpeas · · Score: 2

      Does your car have a gas tank?

      What are you trying to prove with this example ? Gas tanks are not interchangeable, not all the same size, and carefully designed to fit one particular model of car.

      Compared to a gas tank, a battery pack is huge and heavy, so it's even more important to carefully integrate the design of the battery pack with the car. Also, the connection between battery pack and car is complicated due the large voltages and currents, as well as some systems that circulate coolant throughout the pack, which may be attached to the car's air climate control or air conditioning system.

    16. Re:Corrects its own headline in the third sentence by Solandri · · Score: 3, Informative

      The first Prius we bought was $40,000. At the time, we could have easily gotten a similar size/class car for maybe $20,000 to $25,000, one that got around 30 mpg. There is no way we paid off the difference in financing costs over the lifetime of the car with the marginal savings on gasoline at around 50 mpg

      That's actually a problem with how the U.S. measures fuel efficiency. MPG is actually the inverse of fuel efficiency. So the bigger the MPG number, the less fuel you're saving. The rest of the world uses liters per 100 km to avoid this problem. e.g. Suppose you needed to drive 100 miles. How much fuel would you need to use?

      6.25 MPG tractor trailer = 16 gallons
      12.5 MPG full-size SUV = 8 gallons
      25 MPG sedan = 4 gallons
      50 MPG Prius = 2 gallons
      100 MPG supercar = 1 gallon

      Notice how every time MPG doubles, the fuel saved over the previous step is halved? Economy cars like the Prius are the worst place to put a hybrid engine. It's already a very fuel-efficient vehicle without a hybrid motor. Adding a hybrid motor and batteries doesn't save you very much fuel. Say a non-hybrid Prius got 33 MPG (3 gallons per 100 miles). Converting it to a hybrid only reduces its fuel consumption to 2 gallons per 100 miles. That +17 MPG may look big, but it's only saving you 1 gallon per 100 miles.

      The best place to put a hybrid motor is in the gas guzzlers - tractor trailers and SUVs. Precisely the vehicles the environmentalists scoffed at hybridizing. If you can improve a 12.5 MPG SUV's mileage to 14.3 MPG (+1.8 MPG), that will save 1 gallon per 100 miles. Exactly as much as putting a hybrid in a Prius-type vehicle. The +1.8 MPG and +17 MPG represent the same fuel savings. (Yes you can save more by switching from the SUV to the econobox, but that has nothing to do with hybrids nor is it a viable option for people who might need the SUV.)

      Likewise if you can improve a tractor trailer's 6.25 MPG to 6.67 MPG (+0.42 MPG), that also saves 1 gallon per 100 miles. This is why Elon Musk was so insistent on developing an electric tractor trailer. He understands that MPG is the inverse of fuel efficiency, and that the best way for the country to reduce it's fuel consumption is to improve the efficiency of low MPG vehicles.

    17. Re:Corrects its own headline in the third sentence by hey! · · Score: 4, Insightful

      People pay piles of cash to subsidize ICE vehicles too.

      There are in fact two big piles, in fact. The first and larger pile is the non-governmental pile: this is the least visible pile because it's spread out over the population in things like medical bills. Air pollution in the US causes 16,000 premature births, and that alone costs the public 4.3 billion annually.. Overall cost to the US health care economy from ICE air pollution is on the order of $40 billion a year, conservatively. That's not counting the subjective costs of being sick or dying prematurely, it's straight up health spending.

      Many of the public costs of ICE nobody so far as I know have even attempted to quantify, like the cost of noise. The noise cost of ICE vehicles is mind-boggling if you think about it: just take the difference in value of a real estate property located on a noisy street vs. a quiet one and multiply that by all the properties which are exposed to high levels of traffic noise. Surprisingly noise pollution has a health cost too, estimated in the billions for heart disease alone.

      The second big pile is the government spending pile. This takes some explicit forms, such as the costs of drafting, monitoring and enforcing vehicle pollution regulations. But most of it is squirreled away under other headings. Do you really think that we'd spend a dime in the Middle East on defense if there were no oil there, or if oil were as worthless as sand?

      The externalized costs imposed public by internal combustion engine car are staggering. They're just as much public subsidies as any government program, and they're much larger than e-car subsidies. The only difference is that they aren't gathered into a single line item in the budget, which means we don't automatically have to argue for or against the fairness of that subsidy every year. In fact the burden distribution for ICE vehicle external costs is wildly arbitrary and unfair. It's just easy to ignore that.

      The whole point of e-vehicle subsidies is to bring down net externalized public costs for vehicles all types in the long term.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    18. Re:Corrects its own headline in the third sentence by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

      An EV is about 4 times as efficient than an ICE.
      No idea where you got that 90% transmission losses from ... and why they apply for an EV but nit your lights, your cooking oven and your TV.
      And where did you get the 40% for an diesel engine from? It is just around 20% and gasoline is slightly below.
      Only very few specialized engines are touching or even exceeding the 40% margin.

      No idea who pays you to spread such nonsense/FUD.

      --
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    19. Re:Corrects its own headline in the third sentence by religionofpeas · · Score: 2

      It does not "stifle" battery improvements

      Yes it will. Compare the old Tesla battery pack with the new one. They made a ton of improvements and changes with respect to temperature control, charging electronics and physical packaging. In some cases, they moved functionality from the battery pack to the car, or the other way around.

      And that's just two generations from a battery pack from the same vendor.

      Imagine if the old battery pack was standardized, then they could not have made any of these changes without breaking the standard, and requiring an update on all the charging stations.

    20. Re:Corrects its own headline in the third sentence by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      Most electricity from fossil fuels does not pump massive amounts of NOx in the very centre of densely populated spaces.

      Neither do modern diesels. The combination of catalysts and urea injection all but eliminates NOx output.

      But thanks for playing.

      Back atcha.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    21. Re:Corrects its own headline in the third sentence by drinkypoo · · Score: 4, Informative

      And that's all with Euro spec diesel and diesel engines.

      Guess what? That's inferior to US spec, where you wind up having to have a catalyst and inject DEF — thereby eliminating almost all NOx emissions. Meanwhile, direct-injected gasoline engines can produce NOx just like diesels...

      With the bunker fuel they sell as diesel on your side of the pond and lax environmental regulations, it's a health hazard to be anywhere near a diesel powered vehicle.

      On our side of the pond, most of the diesel is now ULSD.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    22. Re:Corrects its own headline in the third sentence by thegarbz · · Score: 4, Interesting

      On our side of the pond, most of the diesel is now ULSD.

      Oh lol. Talk about picking on the spec that wasn't a health hazard and holding it high above your head. *golf clap* But since you're so proud of it, let's compare. ULSD in the USA contains 15ppm sulphur, introduced in 2006. A commendable effort. On our side of the pond the requirement was ULSD be 10ppm and available as of 2005 and was mandated as a requirement from 2009. No doubt by the time you'll shave off those 33% we'll have banned diesel vehicles.

      And to reply to your quote out of order:

      Guess what? That's inferior to US spec

      You're not even close. Never were. The USA has been a very distinct follower rather than a leader in the west when it comes to fuel standards. Not just in sulphur spec, but also in your much lower cetane (where the EU was 17 years ago), higher ash content (where the EU was 12 years ago), higher water content (this was actually at one time better in the USA), and the GP was right your thick diesel gunk has much more in common with bunker fuel than the higher cut-point EU specs.

      where you wind up having to have a catalyst and inject DEF

      You see you're conflating two issues. The diesel in the USA is garbage compared to that in the EU, but all of that is actually not relevant to NOx, or PM2.5 emissions which is the battle against diesel. These are a direct result of vehicles in the rest of the world focusing on fuel economy. So while a european car will produce more NOx and more PM2.5 emissions regardless of if you buy your diesel in europe or the USA, your lovely all American soot mobile will blast PM10, CO, and that wonderful global warming inducing CO2 out the tailpipe like it's going out of fashion.

      Just like your large CocaCola in the USA is much larger than the large in the EU, so are your vehicle's insatiable thirst for fuel. I'm sure in 5 or 10 years you guys will catch up too, start producing fuel efficient engines, realise NOx is a problem, start peeing in the exhaust pipe to try and control the emissions and then stand there wondering why the EU fought a war against diesel vehicles (my own city has gone from 730000 registered diesel vehicles in 2006 to 120000 in 2016 and we're much better for it).

      Join the craze man, being able to breath is like cool and stuff.

  2. That's why I use gasoline by jfdavis668 · · Score: 4, Funny

    I can't afford Petrol or Diesel.

    1. Re:That's why I use gasoline by thegarbz · · Score: 2

      You jest, but that's a universal truth. Everytime someone mentions the price of "gasoline" you know they are paying far less for it than those people talking about the price of "petrol".

      At least in the west.

  3. Taxes by kenh · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Let's not forget that in most markets electric cars get a free ride on public roadways. Gasoline taxes are collected to pay for the infrastructure combustion engines drive on, electricity has no such taxes so plug-in electrics pay no taxes based on usage, and hybrids only pay minimal taxes, based on the gasoline they use when the charge runs out.

    --
    Ken
    1. Re:Taxes by Mashiki · · Score: 2

      More like a double or triple ride. As you pointed out, there's no taxes being collected by gas. The electricity in the charging stations is "free" and I use that term loosely, because the actual cost of it is coming out of general taxes, or municipal taxes which have to offset that cost. There's also generally "transmission" taxes, and then taxes on the electricity itself which aren't being paid by people who are driving them.

      If electric car owners had to pay the price for electricity when using those stations, it would quickly dry up. Especially in places like Ontario, where "peak"(8am-8pm) they'd be paying $0.18kWh plus transmission(probably $10-30) on top of the electricity price. Right now, that's being paid for out of general taxes.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    2. Re:Taxes by aevan · · Score: 2

      iow: Coming Soon: Tollways, the Everywhere ?

    3. Re:Taxes by rmdingler · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Think of it as another way to subsidize new technology that may improve our future lives. Currently, there's not enough drivers using the free charging stations to create a taxing imbalance. When tax revenue is ultimately an issue for highway maintenance, one thing you can count on your local, state, and federal governors to do is figure out a way to tax electric vehicle usage.

      Advantages:

      The delivery logistics alone for petroleum-based fuels cannot economically compare to the efficiency of the national electrical grid.

      Electric vehicles can be charged during off-peak generation hours.

      Environmental savings alone by reducing/eliminating ICE emissions would more than offset electrical general pollution even if all new power was provided by the dirtiest coal buring plants.

      Battery technology is currently in its infancy, and whatever current efficiency projections are, it seems a safe gambit future electric vehicles will improve in efficiency dramatically.

      --
      Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.

      Ernest Hemingway

    4. Re:Taxes by thegarbz · · Score: 2

      Gasoline taxes are collected to pay for the infrastructure combustion engines drive on

      Gasoline taxes are just collected. They don't even remotely cover the cost of infrastructure maintenance let alone the creation of new infrastructure, and there's no law saying exactly what they are to be spent on or that no other forms of funding for infrastructure exists.

  4. Re: Corrects its own headline in the third sentenc by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Given the tax bill the republicans just passed, ahahahahHhahahhahahahahahahahahahaha

  5. Re: Corrects its own headline in the third sentenc by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    eGolf lease deposit - $4000
    Lease monthly payment - $50
    Price to drive to work 12000 miles at 4m/kWh and $0.11 per kWh - $330
    Total cost of ownership over 3 years - $6740

    Golf lease deposit - $3000
    Golf lease monthly price - $170
    Price to drive 12000 miles at 36mpg and $2.60 per gal - $867
    Price for yearly service - $300
    Total cost of ownership over 3 years - $12451.

  6. Re:Inconvienence by kanweg · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Yes, as soon as the kid has grown up, it has to do exactly that. Until then, we don't force the kid to work and don't tax him. Just like human kids.

    Bert

  7. Re: Corrects its own headline in the third sentenc by Imrik · · Score: 2

    Really? Having your car out of power in a natural disaster means you can't easily go somewhere else for a little while to wait for them to fix basic infrastructure. If something is significant enough to knock out power for a week, being able to use the car would be one of my largest concerns.

  8. The true cost of gasoline -- huge! by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 4, Informative

    To support AC's point:
    http://www.dollarsandsense.org...
    https://www.energyandcapital.c...
    https://www.huffingtonpost.com...

    From the first one, discussing the US defense-related costs as just one aspect: "Put all these numbers in perspective: The price of a barrel of oil consumed in the United States would have to increase by $23.40 to offset military resources expended to secure oil. That translates to an additional 56 cents for a gallon of gas, or three times the federal gas tax that funds road construction. If $166 billion were spent on other priorities, the Boston public transportation system, the âoeT,â could have its operating expenses covered, with commuters riding for free. And there would still be money left over for another 100 public transport systems across the United States. Or, we could build and install nearly 50,000 wind turbines. Take your pick."

    But there are many other external costs to fossil fuels like health care costs (the legacy of leaded gas is still taking a tremendous toll on our society, but air pollution in general is a killer). For example:
    https://thinkprogress.org/here...
    "The average cost of a gallon of gasoline in the U.S. right now is $2.47. If that cost took into account the environmental and human health costs of burning the gasoline, however, it would more than double, according to a new study. The study, published this week in the journal Climatic Change, created models for the âoesocial cost of atmospheric release,â a method of determining the costs of emissions beyond their market value. According to the study, accounting for the social costs of burning gasoline would add an average of $3.80 per gallon to the pump price, raising the price to $6.27. Diesel has an even higher social cost of $4.80 per gallon. The study also measured the social costs of other fossil fuels not used at the pump. Coal, for example, would jump from 10 cents per kilowatt hour to 42 cents per kilowatt hour, the study found. And natural gas, which has emerged in recent years as a cheap source of fuel, would see its price rise from 7 cents per kWh to 17 cents per kWh."

    And on the legacy of leaded gas (and how it has contributed to the USA's huge prison populations): http://www.motherjones.com/env...

    A related essay I wrote in 2009 on "Why luxury safer electric cars should be free-to-the-user":
    https://groups.google.com/foru...
    "This essay explain why luxury safer electric (or plug-in hybrid) cars should be free-to-the-user at the point of sale in the USA, and why this will reduce US taxes overall. Essentially, unsafe gasoline-powered automobiles in the USA pose a high cost on society (accidents, injuries, pollution, defense), and the costs of making better cars would pay for themselves and then some. This essay is an example of using post-scarcity ideology to understand the scarcity-oriented ideological assumptions in our society and how those outdated scarcity assumptions are costing our society in terms of creating and maintaining artificial scarcity."

    But the real answer (if maybe not politically acceptable) is not to subsidize electric cars. It is to tax *all* the externalizes of fossil fuel use at the point of purchase, bringing the cost of gas to, perhaps, US$10 a gallon or more. The tax could be redistributed as a basic income to everyone.

    Perhaps the deepest irony about all this (mentioned in the above essay) is mentioned here by B

    --
    A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
  9. Re: Corrects its own headline in the third sentenc by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If you're going to factor in the production and transmission efficiencies of electrical power, you need to do the same for gasoline or you are comparing apples to oranges.

  10. Re: Corrects its own headline in the third sentenc by Rei · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Or instead, instead of playing amateur scientist on the net, the GP could listen to actual scientists who've studied the issue. ;)

    --
    Pinkypants -- my favorite!
  11. Re: Corrects its own headline in the third sentenc by Rei · · Score: 3, Informative

    Meanwhile, here's what its actually like to have an EV in a natural disaster.

    --
    Pinkypants -- my favorite!
  12. Re:EVs are great, but they don't solve everything. by jerry33 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "However, upgrading a residential switchboard to handle a high output EV charger is a significant expense, and one that reasonably needs to be factored into the total cost of owning an EV. " Installing a 240V outlet is not expensive. To put a NEMA 14-50 on to an existing 200 AMP service is typically between $200 to $400. This is enough to charge any EV overnight (e.g. 6-8 hours). Because most EV owners charge at night, when their other demands are lower, there's no issue. In addition the urban environment becomes cleaner, asthma rates lower, and healthcare costs are reduced. It's far easier to clean up a power plant than it is to clean up millions of 20% efficient vehicles. And only 39% of the U.S. electricity is generated by coal, so the "OMG it's from coal" is a mainly bogus claim, as is the Solar and wind are more expensive--that was true at one time, but not any longer in most cases (there are always exceptions). And driving an EV is a much better experience than driving any gas car and far better than any diesel car. Most of the arguments against EVs are of the "it will put the blacksmiths and horse traders out of business" type. Having driven one for over 100K miles, there is no way I would go back to an internal combustion car.

  13. Re bailouts: Started on Bush Jr watch by lenski · · Score: 2

    Yo Sparky,

    Apparently 9 years ago is "history", and I infer from your comment that you didn't do too well there.

    The bailout began on Bush Jr's watch. Bernanke and Paulson brought a single-page set of required steps to the U.S. Congress in October 2008 to prevent an immediate and complete meltdown of a worldwide financial system.

    Following up on the Bush bank bailout, Obama had a challenge: Continue supporting the bailout of the motherfuckers that almost took out the world economy, or put up with the fallout of the worldwide depression without it.

    <conjecture>
    I am guessing that you and your other apparatchik friends are all good with the new tax bill the U.S. Senate just passed. You may think that by sucking up to the new oligarchy that they will grant you some space in their world. You are wrong.
    </conjecture>

    History (there's that word again) shows that societies destabilized by extreme inequality always fall and when they do, they tumble down hardest on the general population.

  14. Re:Inconvienence by drinkypoo · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The thing that makes it uneven (and even unfair) is the fact that the public is paying for your use of that vehicle in terms of road maintenance costs you aren't contributing to and subsidies you are getting.

    If you find that upsetting, consider that virtually all road damage caused by vehicles is done by heavy trucks, but they hardly pay more to offset that. Those costs should be paid by transportation companies and wind up baked into the cost of goods, which would permit purchasing decisions which reflect the true state of the world. Instead, everyone has to pay those costs, even people who don't buy goods which are transported long distances.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  15. Re: Corrects its own headline in the third sentenc by Solandri · · Score: 3, Informative

    The cost of the eGolf lease is dependent on the $7500 Federal EV tax credit, and probably the $2500 California credit as well. Add that $10k to the eGolf's lease price and you get a very different picture. Which was GP's point.

    Also, I'm curious where you were able to find it for a $50/mo lease payment. When I almost leased one a couple years back, the lowest price I could find was $79/mo.

  16. Re: Corrects its own headline in the third sentenc by Crashmarik · · Score: 2

    Yeah because the math is different for them and everyone shouldn't reach the same conclusions.

    I love this new science.

  17. I think this is cherry picked by magzteel · · Score: 2
    From the article: "The researchers analysed the total cost of ownership of cars over four years, including the purchase price and depreciation, fuel, insurance, taxation and maintenance. They were surprised to find that pure electric cars came out cheapest in all the markets they examined: UK, Japan, Texas and California."

    But the "journal of applied energy" report they reference said "To address this gap, this research provides a more extensive Total Cost of Ownership assessment of conventional, Hybrid, Plug-in Hybrid and Battery Electric Vehicles in three industrialized countries – the UK, USA (using California and Texas as case studies) and Japan – for the time period 1997–2015."

    So they had almost 20 years of data but reported on only the first 4 years of car ownership. Such a short period seems suspect to me.

  18. Paying income taxes on INCOME is not a subsidy by raymorris · · Score: 2

    They pay taxes like every other business does. No business pays federal income taxes on EXPENSES. That's the main thing the people trying to trick you call a "subsidy", which is just friggin ridiculous. Here's how it works:

    Your local bookstore starts out with $100,000 dollars.
    They buy a bunch of books for $100,000.
    They sell half the books for $75,000.
    They now have $75,000 plus half a shipment of books, worth $50,000. That's $125,000
    They started with $100,000 and ended with $125,000 so that's a profit of $25,000
    They pay corporate taxes on $25,000 profit (and stockholders pay taxes again on the same $25,000)

    Note they would be LYING if they told potential investors or a bank they wanted a loan from that they had made $75,000. The $75,000 in sales cost them $50,000 in books and failing to account for that would be fraud.

    An oil company starts with $100,000
    They buy / lease land with oil for $100,000
    The sell half the oil for $75,000
    They now have $75,000 plus half a shipment of the oil, worth $50,000. That's $125,000
    They started with $100,000 and ended with $125,000 so that's a profit of $25,000
    They pay corporate taxes on $25,000 profit (and stockholders pay taxes again on the same $25,000)

    Again it would be fraud for them to claim $75,000 - they only made $25,000. ($75,000 sales minus the $50,000 it cost them to get the oil they sold).

    That's the main thing that silly "green" propagandists / click bait sites try to tell you is a "subsidy" - the fact that LIKE ALL OTHER BUSINESSES they don't fraudulently claim their expenses as profit.

  19. Re:Wait till you have to replace the battery by Barsteward · · Score: 2

    https://insideevs.com/tesla-le... - read this article for an update... in case you don't, a quote "it appears that most users are retaining over 90% of their vehicles’ original range, even after the odometer rolls well into the 6 digits."

    --
    "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
  20. Re: Corrects its own headline in the third sentenc by doctorvo · · Score: 2

    Or instead, instead of playing amateur scientist on the net, the GP could listen to actual scientists who've studied the issue. [acs.org]

    Ah, appeal to authority! The foundation of all science!

    (That was sarcasm in case you didn't notice.)