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Americans Still Deeply Skeptical About Driverless Cars, Says Poll (theverge.com)

A new poll was released today that basically repeats data we've seen in previous surveys: Americans still don't trust self-driving cars, and are nervous about the coming onslaught. The Verge reports: Asked how concerned they'd be to share the road with a driverless car, 31 percent said they'd be "very concerned," while 33 percent said "somewhat concerned," according to the poll which was just released by Advocates for Highway and Auto Safety. A majority (63 percent) said they would not support "mass exemptions" from federal motor vehicle safety standards for self-driving cars, and were not comfortable (75 percent) with automakers having the power to remotely disable vehicle controls, such as the steering wheel, and brake and gas pedals, when the autonomous vehicle is being operated by the computer. And people overwhelmingly support (75 percent) the U.S. Department of Transportation developing new standards related to driverless vehicles. The poll surveyed 1,005 adults between December 7-10th, 2017, with a margin of error of +/- 3.09 percent.

29 of 275 comments (clear)

  1. Well... by jawtheshark · · Score: 5, Interesting
    I'm not an American, but I'm wary too. Besides, I like driving. When the topic comes up, most people who welcome driverless cars seem to be those that hate driving or have to spend a lot of time in traffic jams.

    My main concern is not safety. I worry that driving will become cost prohibitive if driverless cars have a certain amount of adoption. Insurance companies will say "use driverless, or you pay X times more". That would relegate driving to the rich. Also, it would make current cars worthless overnight. Poorer people wouldn't be able to afford personal transportation at all any more, since there won't be enough second hand driverless cars. All in all a rather bleak future in my eyes.

    --
    Ahhh...the great dumpster continuum. Many a free computer will be found there. -- sowth (748135)
    1. Re:Well... by JMZero · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I think you're right that "car ownership" would become less accessible over time, but I think "transportation by car" is likely to get very cheap. I think we'll see ubiquitous "Driverless Uber" style services pop up everywhere (in a variety of flavors), and that's how the non-wealthy get around (at least in urban settings).

      But I also think the transition will take a while, especially in rural areas - enough so that I don't think the transition will be too brutal for most people economically. If anything, some may benefit from cheaper human driven cars as they're essentially discarded. But yeah, further out in time it will definitely not be good for people who like driving - just as it's currently very expensive/awkward to maintain and use a horse drawn carriage.

      I think some people are jumping the gun a bit right now, but once driverless cars are reliable they're going to go from niche to everywhere very quickly.

      --
      Let's not stir that bag of worms...
    2. Re:Well... by Archfeld · · Score: 2

      But it will drastically reduce the need for parking lots and garages, increasing the space for residences and parks, and additional commercial development. Possibly reducing the cost of said property whether for good or bad...

      --
      errr....umm...*whooosh* *whoosh* Is this thing on ?
    3. Re:Well... by arth1 · · Score: 2

      Turns out, apes can't drive cars.

      Evidence to the contrary, there are more than a billion car driving apes in the world.

    4. Re: Well... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I drive a Tesla...autopilot is quite good but not even close to being something yiu can depend on. No matter what other sensors get added to support such things as recognizing traffic signals, stop signs and so forth, itâ(TM)s going to be a long time before before these systems can anticipate, for example while driving down a street, recognizing that there are kids playing on the path, kicking a football and one of them might run into the road.

    5. Re:Well... by Archfeld · · Score: 2

      There will be far fewer of them, and they will park at strategic areas determined by an algorithm and respond to requests as needed. They will likely be electric or hybrid at least so the areas will probably be near the 21K sub-stations. Note I'm still not gonna give up my car either but I would certainly ride hail to and from work or the grocery store reserving my cycle/jeep for leisure trips in my off time.

      --
      errr....umm...*whooosh* *whoosh* Is this thing on ?
    6. Re: Well... by Mkkby · · Score: 3

      There are a lot of false assumptions in play here. First, that insurance will go up on manual cars. Insurance cost is based on claims rates. If self drivers lower the overall number of accidents in the system, insurance rates should go down, not up. Even the manual drivers will be living in a safer system, with lower accident claims.

      Second, self drivers will be great for the disabled. Maybe in the long term, but not early on. Disabled people can't just be dropped off near a building. Yet GPS maps don't know where the entrances are located. Like the dominos pizza tester that you have to meet on the side of the road to get your pizza out of a lock box.

      The last few meters of navigation will be very difficult for decades until a system of sensors and maps can be developed. Until then it will be very frustrating or even impossible to tell your car how to navigate thru a parking garage, to a drive up window, temporary barricade/detour. This makes me very skeptical that a car without manual steering will be anything but a reason for users to tear their hair out in frustration.

      Remember, the biggest complaint about cars today is hard-to-use infotainment systems. If software engineers can't get something like this right in 2018, we are a long way off from frustration free self driving.

    7. Re: Well... by Mkkby · · Score: 2

      The uber cars will blast ads in your face for the whole ride. Or it will stink from the dirty hippies who rode last week. Or it will cost 3x as much as you can afford because uber decided it's peak time and they had you at a disadvantage.

      People won't give up their private ownership, especially once they've experienced everything evil corps will have in store for them. Adoption will be fast for a few taxi-like fleets. But slow for regular people. The sensors/computers will push the cost over $100k until mass production can lower the cost.

  2. I am 62 and a computer programmer by oldgraybeard · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I will ride in them, when I verify they have no special liability protection! Being involved in IT and Sensors and such. I do not think the time it right! It will come in 10 -15 years. But it sure is not ready today.

    The only way they put these things on the road is with blanket complete liability protects from the GOV saying they are not responsible for anything bad that happens.

    Just my 2 cents ;)

  3. Can't even make a computer I trust by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Think I'm going to let Intel, Microsoft or Google drive me around at 100 km/h? HAHAHAAH

  4. Of course not by I'm+New+Around+Here · · Score: 4, Funny

    What if a gorilla walks across the road in front of you?

    --
    If you think I voted for Trump because of this post, you're wrong. I voted for Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party. Again.
  5. They're perfect for the city by fustakrakich · · Score: 2

    The speeds are lower, the roads and boundaries are better defined. I wouldn't ride one on a twisty mountain road in Bolivia though.

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    1. Re:They're perfect for the city by sn0wflake · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I watched a news report where they tested out driver-less cars in Germany. All went well until they came upon some road construction. The sensors didn't seem to register the cones and signs that were set up, and the car wanted to drive through it into a hole that the construction crew had dug. The person observing the car had to interfere. Errors like these is a sure sign that autonomous cars are far away in the distant future.

  6. Driver Assists Make Lazy and Dangerous Drivers. by DatbeDank · · Score: 2

    I have a friend who works for an insurance company. They've noticed over the past year that there has been an increase in accidents. Doing further research into each accident, they've discovered that people have been over relying on driver assist features.

    One story he told me was about a guy who slammed his car into the rear of a late 1960s Thunderbird which was stopped at a light in his new BMW. He apparently had gotten so used to the automatic braking system that he just never bothered to hit the brake. This being the one time it just didn't work for some reason.

    Call me a Luddite, I don't care. I don't trust computers and I don't trust cars driven by them, especially in this post-NSA car hacking world.

  7. I would like a driverless car by Rosco+P.+Coltrane · · Score: 2

    I just don't want one that's powered by software from evil companies like Google. Since internet-free, advertising-free, non-privacy-invading driverless car software will never happen, I'll pass.

    --
    "A door is what a dog is perpetually on the wrong side of" - Ogden Nash
    1. Re:I would like a driverless car by NettiWelho · · Score: 2

      Highway robbery was supposed to be a medieval thing.

      After occupant controlled cars are banned it will be trivial to rob or do worse to people everywhere and anywhere by simply having of the offenders step on the path of the vehicle and then waiting for it the car to come to halt, the victims can't use the car to escape the situation and are caught in a location chosen by the attackers.

    2. Re:I would like a driverless car by gargleblast · · Score: 2

      I just don't want one that's powered by software from evil companies like Google.

      ProTip: When using the navigation system, don't press "I'm feeling lucky",

  8. Safer than humans by Hadlock · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I think most people haven't shared a street with them. I spent two years in the same city with these things, as a pedestrian, driver, and cyclist. They're infinitely patient with cyclists, hyper-paranoid about pedestrians wandering in to the street, like a parent is with their toddler.
     
    Two weeks around self driving cars and you pretty much immediately realize that humans are just sacks of meat piloting cars, is about the dumbest idea, and the pedestrian fatality statistics back that up.
     
    If I were to describe the "personality" of a self driving car, imagine a super chilled-out Mr. Rodgers paitent type, but he's also double-dosed on adderall and hyper alert for pedestrians, got 9 hours of sleep last night, good blood sugar, and his cell phone is on silent, locked in the trunk. And he has an IQ of 175 and can see in all directions and does not blink, and has a third eye that can see through shrubs and around cars.
     
    Compare to the sleep-deprived, over caffinated, underfed mother who is juggling three kid's schedules and probably running late to pick up johnny from swim class while answering a phone call and trying to remember if she needs to pick up groceries on the way home.

    --
    moox. for a new generation.
    1. Re:Safer than humans by Hadlock · · Score: 5, Informative

      When I think hyper paranoid, I'm thinking of a very specific incident.
       
      I'm on castro street, which is the main resturaunt drag in Mountain View, about 6pm, peak hour. Getting ready to cross the street at the crosswalk to go to the train station. I'm standing on the sidewalk, about 2' from the curb, facing away from the street talking to them. We decide it's time to go, so I spin around on my heel so that I am facing towards the crosswalk/street. At this exact moment there's a break in traffic and the next car is one of the "cute" white waymo electric cars. I hear the tires chirp, and there's a surprised expression on the attendant's face. At this point the car has come to a complete stop, about 15-20' (one car length) ahead of the crosswalk. I hadn't started to walk in to the street/crosswalk yet, just spun in place.
       
      Now, this tells me a few things
      1. The car knew I was there. I've almost been run over IN that same crosswalk by inattentive drivers in the span of 18 months.
      2. The car was tracking my motion and making assumptions about my intent
      3. The car decided my motion passed a certain threshold and decided to take evasive action.
       
      Keep in mind this is a very busy intersection, it's a 3-way T car intersection, plus a crosswalk, and no less than four outdoor seating areas for resturaunts, plus rush hour sidewalk traffic. Easily 100+ people in a 50' radius around the car. I was partially obscured by no less than two other tall people on the sidewalk.
       
      But the car saw me moving what it thought was erratically, made the call and stopped, rather than risk slowly bumping in to me.
       
        That might seem unremarkable, but I've had two human-driven cars back in to me while walking through a parking lot, I've been turning left at a stop sign, and a (Very exhausted) hospital nurse came to a stop, then drove in to me in the intersection, I've had cars not see me in the crosswalk and drive in to me when their light turns green. I was a good 15' away in this instance and the car chose to stop rather than risk any contact with me. Yes, that's hyper-paranoid, but didn't delay anyone getting to their resturaunt, nobody was late getting home and more importantly nobody died that day (even if this would have been minor at worst).
       
      So yeah, I'm pretty happy with how they've designed these things, sure they're a bit more careful than the average human, but what I've seen at that intersection previously, humans are awful at piloting cars, especially when tired/hungry/distracted.

      --
      moox. for a new generation.
    2. Re:Safer than humans by ZorinLynx · · Score: 2

      >But the car saw me moving what it thought was erratically, made the call and stopped

      This makes me think that once self driving cars become more common, some people (especially kids) are going to start to "mess with them" on purpose just for fun, which is going to cause annoyance and maybe even accidents.

      Imagine some kid discovering he can make an entire line of self-driving cars stop suddenly just by spinning around on the curb. You just KNOW he's going to abuse his newfound powers!

    3. Re:Safer than humans by swillden · · Score: 2

      Imagine some kid discovering he can make an entire line of self-driving cars stop suddenly just by spinning around on the curb. You just KNOW he's going to abuse his newfound powers!

      And the software will be adjusted.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    4. Re:Safer than humans by Mkkby · · Score: 2

      "Easily 100+ people in a 50' radius around the car."

      Your insignificant move was probably not the reason for the emergency stop. For all you know it was a bird flying by, a glint of sunlight, or one of the other people milling around. Don't be so full of yourself.

  9. There's No Reason to Trust Them Yet by eepok · · Score: 2

    Seriously. How many are on the roads in NON-TESTING situations? Have you seen the testing reports? GM reports every collision they have with their autonomous vehicles in California to the state. (https://www.dmv.ca.gov/portal/dmv/detail/vr/autonomous/autonomousveh_ol316+) The others?

    Do you know how your state would handle a collision involving a driverless vehicle? Who, as a person or corporation, is liable for damages if the driverless vehicle broke the law in does damage to something/someone?

    Step away from the hype and futurism, let the researchers research, the engineers engineer, and tell the marketers to calm down because all the non-research oriented VC is in cryptocurrency right now. Autonomous vehicles will be here eventually, but if we can't even get automatic braking, dynamic cruise control, and lane assist all modern vehicles, then we're nowhere near having 100% autonomous vehicles on the road in any significant number.

  10. Tailgating by chubs · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If you rear-end somebody, it is your fault 100% of the time. The only possible exception is if their brake lights are out. If you're close enough that you can't react in time to an instantaneous stop, you're too close. The problem with human drivers is that none of them believe the laws of physics apply to them. Everyone assumes their stupid driving will be fine because nobody else will do something stupid, too. Several examples:
    1) I had a friend tell me a story about when he was going ~100 MPH on a motorcycle on a rural road. A semi ran a stop sign at an intersection he was approaching and he was forced to stop in an inelegant way that led to damage to himself and his motorcycle. He lamented that his speed would have been perfectly fine if the idiot semi driver hadn't run the stop sign. He didn't appreciate when I pointed out that the semi's running the stop sign would have been perfectly fine if the idiot on the motorcycle hadn't been going 100 MPH.
    2) In snowy areas like mine, big 4x4 trucks zoom past at 15 MPH over the speed limit with black ice all over the road. I have known several who do this. I point out how stupid and dangerous this is. They respond it's fine because their trucks have 4-wheel drive. I point out that 4 points of contact on a friction-less surface is still just a friction-less surface and offers no additional protection from sliding.
    3) Ever time I hear about someone rear-ending someone else, the offended sounds exactly like you and blames the person they rear-ended for stopping too fast. As I mentioned before, it's your own damn fault. Every time.

    Yes, the software will have bugs. No, it won't be perfect. But I sure pick their defect rate over the defect rate of human drivers.

  11. Re:I will tell you where it will go first! by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 2

    Other than takeoff, it has been ready for a long time.

    https://www.wired.com/story/bo...

    Planes regularly fly and land with autopilot now (even in rough conditions).

    Planes are actually a simpler use case than automobiles.

    --
    She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
  12. Senior citizens will make this happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    A key use case for autonomous vehicles is to allow people who can't (or shouldn't!) drive themselves to once again have mobility. Think senior citizens. Seniors vote early and often. This is going to be approved sooner then you think. I bet it starts in Florida or Arizona -- states that have large and vocal retiree populations. Once it starts, it will be very difficult to stop it from spreading to other states. No politician wants to tell grandma that she must be stuck at home.

  13. People scared of strawman poll designed to scare by Optic · · Score: 2

    The questions in this poll are slanted to make people feel negatively about autonomous cars. They talk about removing control and reducing safety standards, things that people are unlikely to agree with. They got their intended result.

    This doesn't actually say much about overall public opinion on the cars.

  14. Re:With good reason. by hambone142 · · Score: 2

    Agreed. There are too many variables. Our roads aren't uniform. Some roads are unmarked full of potholes, uneven surfaces. There's no reliable way to delimit boundaries mid-lane and at road edge.

    How about the vulnerabilities with respect to other vehicles on the road, weather, light distractions... it goes on.

    Add to that the impossibility for software to recognize infinite variables related to image recognition and other unique and changing parameters and we have a recipe for disaster.

    It blows me away that our "government" thinks this is a good idea (rtm).

  15. Re:Test those robot cars on aggressive drivers! by Mkkby · · Score: 2

    I experienced this in california. If you only drive 10 mph over the speed limit people are so angry you will experience road rage all the time. Even in the far right lane people try driving very fast and weaving in and out with no following distance. Occasionally there are massive accidents involving dozens of vehicles because nobody can stop in time. They don't care. That is the culture there.

    I finally figured out how to play defense against this. I would drive in the left lane, shoulder to shoulder with someone in the next lane. When the crazies appear (almost constantly) they have to go 2 lanes around both of us. This ensures nobody is cutting you off and almost taking off your front bumper doing it. It also allows you to keep a comfortable distance from the cars ahead.