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US' Proposed China Tariffs Would Target Robotics, Satellites (engadget.com)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from Engadget: The U.S. Trade Representative has published the list of Chinese products that would be subject to its proposed tech tariffs, and there are a few clear themes. The move would hike the costs of about 1,300 products, including industrial robots, communication satellites, spacecraft and a slew of semiconductors.The aim, as before, is to punish China for allegedly goading American companies into transferring their patents and technology to Chinese firms for the sake of claiming economic superiority. The USTR claimed the proposed tariffs would stymie Chinese plans while "minimizing the impact" on the American economy. The tariffs are still subject to a 60-day notice process that would include public comments until May 11th and a public hearing on May 15th.

208 comments

  1. USA! USA! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Fuck yeah!

    1. Re:USA! USA! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can someone hook me up with the best Guacamole recipe?

  2. Those are already banned. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Even those it's arguably unconstitutional, machine guns have been banned among the US citizenry for a very long time.

    Also, last I checked, the US Government is supposed to be a government of the people, by the people, and for the people; so, the people do indeed need guns. The 2nd Amendment makes this very clear: "A well regulated militia being necessary to the security of a free state, the right of the people to keep and bear arms, shall not be infringed."

    In those days, "well regulated" meant "armed with equipment of regular and high quality", and "militia" still means "group of patriots".

    1. Re: Those are already banned. by peragrin · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Well regulated also meant that those who owned cannons took proper care of them and didn't fire cannon falls into the homes of those they disputed with.

      Lastly fully automatic weapons are banned in most places. The weapon of choice now is rapid fire semi auto where you fire as fast as you pull the trigger.

      Also prohibition doesn't work. Mental health expansion, and questioning(with police able to schedule one appointment would do far more for this country than banning gun models.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    2. Re:Those are already banned. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "militia" still means "group of patriots".

      BULLSHIT dector overload militia any connection between the meaning of Militia and patriot is entirely coincidence.

  3. So... let me get this straight... by Opportunist · · Score: 5, Funny

    Importing cheap semiconductors to the EU, designing and assembling my technology in Romania and then selling the finished product to the US could well be cheaper and more profitable than producing it in China and importing it directly from China to the US because the tariffs are going to even out the cents I have to pay the Romanians more? And all that without risking having my designs stolen so the Chinese could crank out cheap knockoffs?

    On behalf of the EU, I wish to express my gratitude towards dear leader across the pond.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    1. Re: So... let me get this straight... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The purpose of this is to control China specifically, economically they are our biggest threat by far and they need to be contained. Inexpensive products isn't that point.

    2. Re: So... let me get this straight... by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      At least as long as you can keep the EU and Russia from agreeing to cooperate.

      Imagine the economic power of the EU coupled with the natural and personnel resources of Russia.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    3. Re: So... let me get this straight... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      At least as long as you can keep the EU and Russia from agreeing to cooperate.

      Imagine the economic power of the EU coupled with the natural and personnel resources of Russia.

      All the EU has to do is to agree to tolerate extra-national hit squads in their country. It's a small price to pay for economic power, right?

    4. Re:So... let me get this straight... by Headw1nd · · Score: 1
      Moving production out of China will reduce IP theft

      You have a good point...

      We can move it to Romania!

      ...aaand you lost it.

    5. Re:So... let me get this straight... by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Don't worry, there WE get to steal it! ;)

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    6. Re:So... let me get this straight... by lsatenstein · · Score: 1

      If the tarifs are steep, the vendors will raise their prices and ask the USA to reduce tarifs.
      The deficit is not harmful. The USA receives goods for it's purchases, and those goods, coupled with ingenuity in the USA, makes the USA one of the most profitable countries in the world (for the billionaires).

      The tarifs should only be applied against competing goods. The USA can't produce cellphones of the quality and quantity as can China. The USA's market is able to engineer well, but salaries are out of line with the rest of the world.

      The tarifs are going to raise domestic costs substantially, which are also going to be reflected in the goods and services the USA sells globally.

      But on the bright side, it is a hidden tax that Trump will use to cover the near trillion dollar gift to the super rich and to corporations. Now we wait for the cost sto trickle down. Should the tarifs persist, expect your car to cost your between $5K to $10K more in the coming two years.

      --
      Leslie Satenstein Montreal Quebec Canada
  4. Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by rally2xs · · Score: 0, Troll

    Instead, we damage ourselves continuously by taxing the hell out of US manufacturing, mining, and agriculture with income taxes that harm nearly every aspect of US production. We have individual income taxes and payroll taxes that make labor much more expensive than it should be, we have capital gains taxes that make investing more expensive, we have corporate income taxes that harm our businesses by making products more expensive, we have estate taxes that especially harm agriculture when family farms are taxed when the owner dies, we have gift taxes and alternative minimum taxes and these all just hurt everyone.

    What we should do instead is to pass the FairTax. The FairTax completely repeals ALL Federal income taxes in the USA and replaces them with a retail sales tax on new goods and services - used items aren't taxed - and prevents taxing the poor by giving every legal resident of the USA a check from the gov't to pay for the FairTax on all their spending up to the poverty level - $230/month for a single person making $12K a year.

    Untaxing US manufacturing, mining, and agriculture in this manner would put rocket engines on the economy, and further allowing citizens to set their level of taxation by deciding how much tax they want to pay by either buying or not buying taxed items. The FairTax is essentially a luxury tax, then, since it only taxes non-essential items - items purchased above the poverty level - so it really nails the big spenders (the rich) and gives a pass to the really poor and very frugal.

    The FairTax would "Make America Great Again" by putting rocket engines on the economy, and untaxing our exports while greatly incentivizing both foreign and domestic manufacturing to come here or stay here. Jobs available would go up dramatically as would wages when the labor shortage hits.

    The Fair Tax would be a winner for everyone in the USA, and a horror for foreign economic competitors.

    1. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      WTF? Troll? This speaks to the heart of the problem, which is our taxes. We've been damaging ourselves with income taxes for over 100 years. We need to stop, and gain great advantage over our international trading partners.

    2. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by Tokolosh · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Taxes are not the problem. The problem is spending. Government spend must be reined in, particularly spending which is not for the common good, i.e. entitlements.

      If spending is reduced, the taxes and borrowing will take care of themselves.

      --
      Prove anything by multiplying Huge Number times Tiny Number
    3. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by rally2xs · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Taxes are the problem because the promote the offshoring of US jobs. Eliminating income taxes would cause the world's manufacturers to stampede to build factories here, in a no-income-tax environment, and quickly employ everyone who ever thought that he might, maybe, someday want a job. Prosperity would return to the USA if we got rid of income taxes. The FairTax would let us get rid of income taxes.

    4. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      Abolishing income taxes would put virtually everyone back to work again, and "entitlements", which is a code word for welfare, would plummet. There wouldn't be many people left that actually need assistance, because they would have good jobs in factories or mines or in farming, and would be producing the world's goods, raw materials, and foods. The USA would become the major manufacturer of the world, have full employment, with wages spiraling up as the supply of jobs exceeded availability of workers. We might be able to tolerate open borders again - think Ellis Island - and accommodate anyone willing to work. Abolishing income taxes would make the USA insanely rich. The income taxes are suppressing that now.

    5. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by Barsteward · · Score: 2

      Utopia with unicorns does not exist

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    6. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And you would replace the tax you pay with higher priced goods and services which would eventually end up being pretty close to the same. How do you imagine roads and hospitals and fire departments and police and education etc etc etc are paid for? Bingo, Taxes, thanks for playing.

    7. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The above is the WRONG way. Many countries would do it cheaper. Now they do it right in Germany though, where speculation is taxed, and production rewarded.
      America has to be careful though, because much so called IP has been evergreened, and would fail an independant challenge.

    8. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "entitlements", which is a code word for welfare, would plummet. There wouldn't be many people left that actually need assistance, because they would have good jobs in factories or mines or in farming, and would be producing the world's goods, raw materials, and foods.

      Wow. So the 15-19% of people over 65 will work in factories, mines, or farms. Nice solution.

    9. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      The USA was financed by consumption taxes before the 1913 passage of the income taxes, and had roads, libraries, fired departments, etc. The FairTax is just another way to collect the same amount of taxes as before (until the economy expands dramatically from all the new business opportunity) so revenues will remain the same until the economy expands, and then will exceed present day tax collection.

    10. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      The 15% - 19% over 65 are existing on pensions, 401K's, social security (SS is NOT welfare, people paid into that their whole lives and now they are withdrawing), and indeed SOME will probably deem that they are able to do some basic things in a factory in order to draw the kind of wages that factory work will spiral up to. Can an over-65 be climbing up and down ladders all day, repairing plumbing, compressed air, and sprinkler pipes, as well as laying electrical conduit, repairing electrical faults, and drawing wire thru the conduits? Probably not. But they can probably sweep up, they can do office-style work, etc., and some may decide that more money at a job is better than living on SS while sitting home alone.

      I'm 70. I think had I not gone into software and engineering, my other ideal job would have been railway engineer, as in locomotive driver. Could I do software and engineering yet? Yep. Could I do locomotive driving as a new career? I think my less-strong state of existence now would probably have me missing or losing a grip on a handhold on a railway car or engine and slipping under the wheels for a final slice and dice. While that job would seem to still be a great adventure and a lot of fun, I don't think I could do it any more and stand a good chance to survive it.

      The savings of actual welfare will come from no longer having to shell out for unemployment, "disability" payments to working-age people that took that fraudulent route in order to avoid both starving and being a "welfare recipient" with the accompanying shame that goes with it amongst a lot of people. I mean, you can have a bad back and get "disability" and people won't think you're a lazy-ass lowlife like they will if you're on welfare, even if you've looked like crazy to find a job and just can't. And of course the actual welfare system will experience a great shrinkage as those people find they can make far more money building widgets in a factory than they can staying home and collecting what we pay for welfare now. Yeah, it can be pretty good, but factory work will be excellent once the proliferation of factories and the supporting businesses suck up all the labor and create a labor shortage. Wages spiral up during a labor shortage.

    11. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Government spend must be reined in

      You should be awarded One Internet for spelling this word correctly on Slashdot.

    12. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The opinion of a guy who does not really know the various names of taxes (hint: a company/corporation does not pay "income tax") is most likely not very trusted in the merits of his opinions.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    13. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 2

      The more likely result would be a decade long recession where very few people had jobs.

      Look, it's just a fact that even the lowest paid worker in the u.s. needs about $18,000 a year to survive.

      You can survive in china for $3000 a year. You can survive in India for about $1800 a year (and many get by on $720 but with a very low standard of living and reduced lifespan).

      A tax cut isn't going to cut it. High inflation in china and india are fixing the problem but it's going to be 2045 and 2055 before they approach wage parity (and that's assuming the inflation rate doesn't drop).

      Meanwhile, automated factories are destroying even those low paid jobs in china and india.

      Your view is unrealistic, simplistic, and naive.

      You are a good example of the Dunning Krueger effect. You don't know much so it seems easy. But it's not. It's very hard and it's going to get harder as more automation replaces more jobs. Humans can't afford to retrain for a new career every 5 years. At a minimum, we need to have health care independent of companies (it's a big incentive to fire older and less healthy people and dump them on public assistance) and we need free education for adults. It doesn't have to be harvard level. But we can't put people into unforgivable debt and get thru this. Once they are in debt, they can't retrain any more. And instead of producing resources, they consume resources.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    14. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If everything was so lovely back in 1913, why did they start income tax? Oh yea, because the government was going insolvent.

      The standard deduction ensures low income earners don't pay any income tax. How much more "Fair" do you want it to be? (and remember, sales tax is state and local, not federal).

    15. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      The 16th Amendment authorizes the income taxes and the payroll taxes are enabled by the 16th Amendment, therefore the payroll taxes are the identical form of government stealing as are the personal income taxes. Capital gains, alternative minimum, corporate, inheritance, gift self-employment are also all income taxes and should be abolished just on moral grounds, as well as to eliminate the damage to prosperity that they cause.

    16. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      That's funny... why did they start the income taxes? Because the rich were paying almost all of them, where tired of it, and acted to be able to steal it from the average American instead of them paying almost all of it, that's why. And if you're of the persuasion that the rich are in control of everything as some are, and we still have the income taxes, then you have to ask yourself why that is. Its because the rich get to skate on the income taxes, with guys like Warren Buffet bragging that he pays less income taxes than his secretary. Its true, of course, because his secretary is paying payroll taxes that account for a much higher percentage of her earnings that they do for WB's earnings. But... it was a plot of the rich, over 100 years ago, that got the government stealing directly from us. That's why.

    17. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      no longer having to shell out for unemployment, "disability" payments to working-age people that took that fraudulent route in order to avoid both starving and being a "welfare recipient" with the accompanying shame that goes with it amongst a lot of people.

      I had a long reply but I'm just gonna shorten it down to the point: Fuck you. I asked to be disabled just so I couldn't work. I mean I worked my ass off for 30 years straight but said "Ya know, I'd like to reduce my income by 75% to under minimum wage just so I can sit around and play Xbox and get high. Yeah, that's exactly it. You found ONE fucker you thought wasn't "really" disabled and now think we all are like this. Just fuck you. I'm happy you're 70. You'll be dead soon and we won't have to put up with your stupid ass anymore.

    18. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      Its not the wages, its the taxes making our stuff expensive.

      For instance, cars. It takes about 30 - 33 hours of labor to build each car in the USA. The auto companies claim $78 / hr for labor, the unions say less but lets go with the auto companies, and multiplying that out gives us about $2,500 worth of labor expense to build a car.

      The research into the FairTax has yielded a figure that, on average, 22% of the price of goods manufactured in the USA are composed of the effects of embedded income taxes. So, if those workers assemble a $40K SUV, their expense in labor is still $2,500, but the expense in taxes is about $8,800. Not all of that expense is recoverable even if the incomet taxes go away, because the company can't access the worker's individual income taxes which belong to them if the income tax collection goes away, but it is expected by some economists that about 14% will go away. So $5,600 would be the decrease in the price of the SUV from losing the income taxes. That's way more than if you decided to pay the workers $0, made them slaves and chained them to the machines to work for free. You could only recover their costs to the company, the $2,500, but the tax cost recovered could be around $5,600.

      That's what I mean about taxes being the big driving force in our disadvantage with overseas competition. Foreign factories don't work under the same high tax rates Americans do, or at least they didn't until the Trump tax cuts. While corporate taxes were cut under the Trump tax cuts, there's still a whale of a lot of other income tax based taxes that harm American companies and that foreign manufacturers avoid. Additionally, taking Trump's 21% down to 0% would have a great effect too, if the FairTax were passed and all Federal income taxes eliminated.

      But as JFK said way back when the income taxes were only 50 years old:

      "“The largest single barrier to full employment of our manpower and resources and to a higher rate of economic growth is the unrealistically heavy drag of federal income taxes on private purchasing power, initiative and incentive.” John F. Kennedy, Jan. 24, 1963 "

      He cut taxes and pretty wild prosperity ensued. If we eliminated income taxes, the boost would be tremendous.

    19. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      Hey, I've seen accounts of the situation where there are pretty much hordes of people that are perfectly healthy, but have faked disabilities in order to qualify for enough money so they're not living in a refrigerator carton under a bridge, nor actually going to the welfare office and getting handouts. You see it every now and then on the news, some guy on disability gets filmed dancing up a storm, and is then either cut off from disability payments or prosecuted for fraud or both. I wasn't talking about people with ACTUAL disabilities.

    20. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      If you eliminate all taxes (on what ever ground), how would you run a government?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    21. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      The FairTax. We're eliminating all INCOME taxes. Tax consumption instead. Read back thru this thread.

    22. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I read most of your posts, but no idea what FairTax would be.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    23. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      That's understandable, I forgot how difficult it is to understand this otherwise extremely simple tax system. It took me about 3 months to really get my mind around what it actually was, and that was just basically.

      The best thing to do is to read the book, "The Fair Tax Book: Saying Goodbye to the Income Tax and the IRS." Don't know whether it is available at libraries or not, but is extremely cheap otherwise, $4.95 used at Amazon right now.

      https://www.amazon.com/Fair-Ta...

      Basically, the FairTax completely replaces all income taxes, including personal, corporate, capital gains, payroll, gift, self employment, inheritance, alternative minimum, and maybe 1 or 2 others I may be forgetting, there's lots of them. The FairTax, as described in House Bill HR25 and Senate bill S18, replaces all these income taxes with a simpler tax on new goods and services sold at retail. Tuition is exempt because it is treated as an investment. It takes a while to realize what is and what is not taxed - medical services received and paid for by your insurance is not taxed because that is not "retail", but a business-to-business transaction between the medical people and the insurance company. Your premiums to the insurance company are what is taxed. Things that are bought to conduct business are not taxed - the airlines' aircraft are not taxed because when being sold to the airlines, they are not sold at retail, but in a business-to-business transaction. If that airliner is ever sold to private parties, then that is a "conversion" from business to private use, and that sale is taxed at the market value of the airliner at the time of sale. One of the most significant features of the FairTax is the "prebate" that send, each month, a check from the federal government to each legal resident of the USA that is just large enough to pay the FairTax on spending up to the poverty level. The amount of the check is keyed to the size of the family - a single person would get 23% (the FairTax's inclusive rate of taxation) of the poverty level spending as defined by the government for a single person (around $12K right now, or $1K / month so the check would be $230 / month for a single person) and increases for marrieds, marrieds with X dependents, and so forth. I think the poverty level for a family of 4 is somewhere around $24K right now, so their monthly check would be $460.

      There are many subtlities of the FairTax that take a while to realize. One is that, since businesses no longer pay corporate taxes, their costs to manufacture things in the USA goes down fairly dramatically. The FairTax book relates that 22% of the price of domestically manufactured goods is composed of income taxes at all levels, including increased costs of labor due to the individual's expense of personal income taxes and the "employee's share" of the payroll taxes. And a bit more obviously, the "employer's share" of the payroll taxes goes away too, so that frees up money for the business to use to lower prices or raise wages or raise dividends on their stocks. Fortunately, recipients of those benefits are US as consumers, US as employees, and US as stockholders.

      Significantly, foreign manufacturers who manufacture goods outside the USA receive no such benefit when the income taxes go away, since they aren't paying US income taxes. So, while the prices of US goods are expected to fall by 10% - 20%, foreign manufactured goods will not fall in price at all, giving an advantage to US manufacturing. It is a great incentive for foreign companies to manufacture in the USA, which should skyrocket the number of jobs available and probably create a labor shortage which would create an upwardly spiraling wage rate.

      There are websites for the FairTax, but the book is a basic read that explains things better for someone starting out learning the FairTax. One of the better websotes is:

      https://fairtax.org/

      There is much information there. Hope this helps.

    24. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      One is that, since businesses no longer pay corporate taxes, their costs to manufacture things in the USA goes down fairly dramatically.
      That is nonsense. The taxes you pay on your earnings/income have nothing to do with the cost of production.
      If you want to say: workers are cheaper because a corporation has not to pay the "extra part" the worker will pay as tax, then you have a point.
      But I don't see how you would have a country where the state has a tax income and can pay things with that income.

      Your summary sounds as if you want to replace taxes on earnings with VAT ... could make sense. Most certainly it would simplify tax filings and put many tax accountants out of business :)

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    25. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      "That is nonsense. The taxes you pay on your earnings/income have nothing to do with the cost of production."

      Yes, the businesses are not going to benefit from the taxes going away for employees' personal income tax. However, technically, that income tax makes labor more expensive. The employees who cease to pay individual income taxes will benefit from the income taxes being abolished.

      "But I don't see how you would have a country where the state has a tax income and can pay things with that income."

      I don't know how to parse that statement.

      The country would run on the proceeds of the FairTax equally well with the proceeds of the income taxes it uses now. The FairTax is designed to generate the same amount of revenue.

      "Your summary sounds as if you want to replace taxes on earnings with VAT .."

      Nooooo.... I don't want to burden US businesses (since you can't do a VAT on overseas factories) with another tax to make our products more expensive. I want to replace ALL the income taxes with taxes on new goods at retail and services, and give everyone in the country enough money each month so they don't pay FairTax on basic living expenses up to the poverty level. That's all we need. We don't need to burden our industries. Our industries are our weapons in internation trade (a competition) so everything we do to damage them, like taxes, hampers our side, allowing foreigners to capture more of the market. I want American business to capture as much of the market as it possibly can, so jobs are created HERE, not in China and Mexico and Canada an Korea and Europe.

      Like I said, the FairTax is an extremely simple tax that is devilishly difficut to understand. Took me 3 months just to realize the major benefits. I keep finding small ones even yet, and it's been 10 years of reading / contemplating it.

    26. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      "One is that, since businesses no longer pay corporate taxes, their costs to manufacture things in the USA goes down fairly dramatically. "

      This part, however, is true. Corporations used to pay 35% on their business profits, now it's 21% due to the Trump tax cuts. If either of these numbers were to be reduced to 0, then the corporation would benefit greatly.

    27. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      want to replace ALL the income taxes with taxes on new goods at retail and services
      That is exactly how VAT works ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    28. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      No, VATs are generally done IN ADDITION to income taxes. The FairTax totally replaces the income taxes. VAT doesn't do a thing for removing individual income taxes, payroll taxes, capital gains taxes, gift taxes, self-employment taxes, alternative minimum taxes, inheritance taxes, and so forth.

      Also VAT isn't typically forgiven for business-to-business purchases. If VAT is applied to a Boeing 757, it doesn't matter whether Donald buys it or American Airlines buys it, the tax hurts American Airlines by increasing their costs, and hurts Boeing by making them less competitive in the marketplace when compared to, say, Airbus where the VAT _is_ forgiven for export items from France. This isn't what we want. We want American Airlines to do better and expand, hiring more people and we want Boeing to do better and expand, and hire more people. We especially want them to hire people HERE in the USA, rather than some other country. Boeing has some composite wing parts coming from Italy. Really think the Italians can make wing parts that much better than Americans? I don't, I think its the Federal corporate income taxes (and all those other income taxes) that cost Boeing money only if they build that wing part in the USA. If the build it in Italy, none of those income taxes from the Feds apply, but the Italian gov't removes VAT from their exports, so the Italian stuff is simply cheaper.

      VAT is also a bookeeping nightmare, costing lots of money simply to keep track off how much tax is applied at each "value added" operation. The FairTax, by contrast, simply taxes all products, both foreign and domestic, at the same rate over the counter and is applied at the cash register. The big difference is that the American-manufactured thing arrives at the cash register without any manufacturing income taxes having been charged to it, so it is suddenly somewhere between 10% and 20% less expensive than it used to be, while the foreign-manufactured stuff arrives at the cash register at its old price. It is blindingly simple to charge them both the same sales tax rate under the Fair Tax, but the American stuff comes out much cheaper than it used to be.

      Also, unlike VAT, thee tax rate is starkly visible to the purchaser. Its right there on the sales receipt, and not buried in the multiple applications of VAT along the manfacturing process. Sure, the Europeans can see that final number, but they don't know where it came from what the tax rates were at each stage, and so forth.

      And will the bonehead US gov't remove a VAT for our export market? They don't do it for the embedded income taxes that the American manufacturers endure, so will they do it for the VAT? Its not an issue under the FairTax, since no additional tax is added at the factory, it is added at the cash register. Shouldn't be a problem, and so our exports get cheaper as well.

    29. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      No, VATs are generally done IN ADDITION to income taxes.
      No, they are not. You pay them on the bill when you buy a product or a service.

      Your proposal is the exact same thing as VAT.

      The FairTax, by contrast, simply taxes all products, both foreign and domestic, at the same rate over the counter and is applied at the cash register.
      That is exactly how VAT works ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    30. Re:Tariffs Aren't The Way To Do This by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      You are simply wrong. Europe is riddled with both VAT taxes and income taxes. United Kingdom as 19% corporate income tax rate, 20% personal income tax rate, 45% high-end personal income tax rate, and a 20% VAT tax rate with a discounted 5% VAT tax rate for home energy and renovations while life necessities such as food, medicine, etc have no VAT at all. See:

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      All those European countries all have VAT and income taxes together.

      The FairTax totally abolishes Federal income taxes, and runs the country strictly on the consumption tax that is the FairTax.

  5. Just remember - there is no trade war by OzPeter · · Score: 3, Insightful

    We are not in a trade war with China, that war was lost many years ago by the foolish, or incompetent, people who represented the U.S. Now we have a Trade Deficit of $500 Billion a year, with Intellectual Property Theft of another $300 Billion. We cannot let this continue!

    When you’re already $500 Billion DOWN, you can’t lose!

    And this folks, is what leadership has come to mean today.

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    1. Re:Just remember - there is no trade war by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 2

      Remember as well that imports make your citizens wealthier (and, if the differential is large enough, creates a net-increase in domestic jobs); exports draw money in (creates jobs directly, and gets cash for productivity); and your customers can move to another exporter if they find it cheaper elsewhere (e.g. buy from Indonesia instead of China), so exports are lucrative but also put you in the submissive position of the power dynamic and risk propping your economy up on a basis that may vanish at any time.

      Trade deficit doesn't mean "becoming poorer"; it means we're becoming richer by two mechanisms, and one is in greater force than the other. It's like saying you have access to food and shelter, but you have more shelter than food and so you must be losing and you need to cut back on shelter and have less of a house.

  6. UBI doesn't work by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's a stupid idea no matter how you try to disguise it.

    1. Re:UBI doesn't work by rally2xs · · Score: 0

      FairTax isn't Universal Basic Income, its simply not taxing the poor. UBI _is_ a dumb idea, but this ain't that.

    2. Re:UBI doesn't work by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      FairTax isn't Universal Basic Income, its simply not taxing the poor. UBI _is_ a dumb idea, but this ain't that.

      I didn't see what this is replying to, but anyway. The progressive tax system works, such that the higher the income the more you get taxed as a percentage.

      Is it "fair"? Certainly not, but it does product good results for the economy. Everyone has an incentive to work, though it becomes less once you have insane amounts of money and helps to prevent dynasties from which bad things emerge.

      UBI is sort of the progressive tax taken to extreme such that it goes negative. I think some form of UBI could work, but it would have to be highly limited. You want to live like a priest, with very few worldly possessions other than basic meals and health care? I could see UBI providing that. I could also see it providing a certain amount of education, though not infinite. If you worked for awhile with those skills, then it might provide more education.

      In other words, a safety net, that provides a floor for how bad it could get, but that's it.

    3. Re:UBI doesn't work by rally2xs · · Score: 0

      "I didn't see what this is replying to, but anyway. The progressive tax system works, such that the higher the income the more you get taxed as a percentage."

      Except the income taxes are not progressive, they're highly regressive.

      Since the payroll taxes are part of the income taxes, and since they stop taxing when income reaches the low $100k's, they end up taxing the snot out of the poor, and essentially letting the rich off scot free, except for that small amount that is less than the lower-$100K's cutoff."

      The FairTax is actually the progressive tax that we could have, since it taxes the more you SPEND. The rich spend out the wazoo, but when the poor and near-poor spend, it is often on non-taxed stuff - used items aren't taxed, so the poor or near-poor that buys a used car isn't taxed on that purchase, and the poor or near-poor that buys a house almost always buys and existing house, which is classified as a "used" item which is not taxed, and poor and near poor are great patrons of pawn shops, 2nd-hand / thrift stores, etc. which sell used items, and therefore those things aren't taxed.

      The FairTax is progressive, the income taxes are very regressive.

      "Is it "fair"? Certainly not, but it does product good results for the economy. "

      The income taxes have produced terrible results for the economy. Our manufacturing jobs have left the country in large part, and this is the result of income tax burden on industry. I remember seeing interviews with business executives on TV after they had sent jobs overseas, and this was way back in the 1980's, and they would say things like, "Well, if the USA didn't have a tax system that incentivizes leaving the country..." I didn't have a clue what these business executives were talking about at the time, but now I know they were talking about getting hammered by income taxes at every turn, and that many foreign countries had far lower taxes than we do for manufacturing. Up until Trump's tax cut, that cut the corporate income taxes from 35% to 21% for the 1st time since 1941, we had the highest corporate tax rates in the world. We didn't have the highest corporate taxes in the world from 1941 on, but we acquired them as other countries lowered their corporate taxes, and we bacame the most expensive. Japan was the last one to lower theirs from their 39%, which gave us the "highest" status for a while, but now that's fixed. Still, we could easily over-compete with the rest of the world, and get most of the manufacturing back in the USA, but abolishing income taxes.

      "Everyone has an incentive to work,"

      They do, but it's called "not starving", and has nothing to do with our income taxes. Our income taxes actually disincentivize work, as you get taxed more if you work more and therefore make more money. My Dad used to work overtime in a factory and was very upset with the sabotaged compensation that he earned for his extra effort because they tax rates were increased for the jump to the next bracket.

    4. Re:UBI doesn't work by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 2

      > Except the income taxes are not progressive, they're highly regressive. :rolleyes:

      They are not. Please read the definition before posting about it.

      > Since the payroll taxes are part of the income taxes

      Payroll taxes are NOT part of "the income taxes". Have you ever filed a tax return? Did you understand why you were entering those numbers?

      > they tax rates were increased for the jump to the next bracket

      And he still made more money. It appears you are unaware of the definition of "marginal tax rate" as well.

    5. Re:UBI doesn't work by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't get to make up your personal definitions for words while expecting others to understand. Regressive taxation is explicitly taxing the poor more than the rich. That's it.

    6. Re:UBI doesn't work by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      From GGP's post:

      giving every legal resident of the USA a check from the gov't to pay for the FairTax on all their spending up to the poverty level - $230/month for a single person making $12K a year

      Not sure what that number was pulled out of, but whether you call it FairTax, Negative Tax, UBI, or Magic Unicorn Dust, it's the same thing.

    7. Re:UBI doesn't work by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      Payroll taxes are earned income taxes, and go away upon the repeal of the 16th amendment, which enables them. The payroll taxes, individual income taxes, capital gains taxes, gift taxes, self-employment taxes, corporate income taxes, inheritance (estate) taxes, are all taxes on income, and would be abolished under the Fair Tax.

      And since the payroll taxes tax the poor at 15.3% (the poor are actually paying them "employer's share" of the payroll taxes whether they know it or not, because the employer simply lowers their wages to make up for the money he has to cough up to Washington for the payroll taxes he sends in) while those making millions are taxed at insignificant rates - 15.3% of $130K (approx where they payroll taxes stop taxing) would be $19,890 which would be all that the rich guy would ever have to pay. Donald Trump was making $400,000,000 a year before he became President, so his payroll tax rate was 19,890 / 400,000,000 X 100 = 0.0049725%. 15.3% vs 0.0049725%. How's that for regressive?

    8. Re:UBI doesn't work by rally2xs · · Score: 0

      "And he still made more money. It appears you are unaware of the definition of "marginal tax rate" as well."

      Dad didn't care about definitions, he just knew he was paid way less than what he should have been paid for that extra 8 hours of work on Saturday, and also knew that taxes were the reason.

      We can fix all that with the Fair Tax, dramatically incentivizing working more, not less.

    9. Re:UBI doesn't work by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      "You don't get to make up your personal definitions for words while expecting others to understand. Regressive taxation is explicitly taxing the poor more than the rich. That's it."

      Yep, and the payroll taxes, enabled under the 16th Amendment and which vary at the rate of earnings of the taxed labor, are definitely income taxes and definitely regressive. As I stated in another post here, the poor sot making $12K a year is getting taxed at 15.3%, while Donald Trump, making $400,000,000 a year before he became President, was being taxed at 0.0049725% by the payroll taxes. So, the poor person was getting taxed at a rate 15.3 / 0.0049725 = 3076.92 times as much as Donald. That's regressive.

    10. Re:UBI doesn't work by tsqr · · Score: 1

      the poor are actually paying them "employer's share" of the payroll taxes whether they know it or not, because the employer simply lowers their wages to make up for the money he has to cough up to Washington for the payroll taxes he sends in

      If you believe that, you must also believe that if employers were relieved of the requirement to pay their share of payroll taxes, the savings would be passed on to the employees. Right?

      By the way, Social Security benefits are capped just like the tax is. When you stop contributing, your benefit stops growing.

    11. Re:UBI doesn't work by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

      UBI is sort of the progressive tax taken to extreme such that it goes negative. I think some form of UBI could work, but it would have to be highly limited. You want to live like a priest, with very few worldly possessions other than basic meals and health care?.

      Like prison? at least there you can get cable tv and some free college also the health care covers more then ER

    12. Re:UBI doesn't work by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      "If you believe that, you must also believe that if employers were relieved of the requirement to pay their share of payroll taxes, the savings would be passed on to the employees. Right?"

      They might be used to lower the price of the product, they might be used to increase wages, they might be used to increase dividends of their stock. In each case, the beneficiaries of this is us, us, and us. We're the consumers, we're the employees, we're the stockholders assuming we have retirement savings, which many do.

      The thing that controls wages is supply and demand. If the demand for labor exceeds the supply, which is almost certain under the Fair Tax because of the dramatically increased business opportunities in the USA, then the labor pay rates will rise as employers compete for people. If an employer doesn't raise his wages, and the factory down the street is paying $2 / hr more for the same job, then his employee is liable to walk. If he doesn't want that to happen, especially if the job has a learning curve at all, he's going to want to retain the employee so he doesn't have to do a training thing all over again, and will raise that wage in order to ensure his employee is happily compensated. Supply and demand, its simple, and works in the labor market too.

    13. Re:UBI doesn't work by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      That number is 23% of the $1000 a month that a guy making $12K a year receives. The guy would thus be receiving $230 from the gov't every month. The FairTax rate is 23% inclusive, or 30% exclusive, but either way, the $230 will make sure that the guy making the $12K a year pays no FairTax. At the end of the month, if the guy buys new good and services with the entire $1000 he's making, he'll have paid $0 FairTax because he's using the money the gov't gave him to pay the FairTax charged on his purchases. If he's found a way to spend below the poverty line without starving, such as buddying-up with a bunch of people to rent a house and split the rent down to $100 a month each, he might actually make a few bucks off the check from the gov't. But no, it ain't UBI.

    14. Re:UBI doesn't work by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      UBI is sort of the progressive tax taken to extreme such that it goes negative. I think some form of UBI could work, but it would have to be highly limited. You want to live like a priest, with very few worldly possessions other than basic meals and health care?.

      Like prison? at least there you can get cable tv and some free college also the health care covers more then ER

      That is an important point. A person not in prison should live, by definition, no worse than one in prison, assuming he takes reasonable advantage of what is available. If that is not the case, then our society has work to do, since if ever makes sense to commit a crime to get out of the cold then we are doing something wrong.

    15. Re:UBI doesn't work by tsqr · · Score: 1

      There are a lot of optimistic assumptions wrapped up in that post.

      They might be used to lower the price of the product

      This assumes that the cost of labor is a significant driver for price, which it isn't for low-paying jobs.

      they might be used to increase wages

      This assumes that competitors are willing to pay your low-paid workers more than you are. Again, not really true for low-paying jobs.

      they might be used to increase dividends of their stock

      This assumes that the employer is a public corporation that actually pays dividends. Demonstrably untrue for most jobs in the US. Anyway, you missed a significant "might": They might be used automate production so the business owner doesn't have so many unreliable human workers that don't show up every day, get injured on the job, and otherwise drive up costs.

      If the demand for labor exceeds the supply, which is almost certain under the Fair Tax because of the dramatically increased business opportunities in the USA

      Unless you can cite a reputable study, the proposition that the Fair Tax drives "dramatically increased business opportunities in the USA" is opinion stated as fact. Your passionate belief doesn't make it true.

      if the job has a learning curve at all

      One of the major factors making low-paying jobs low paying, is that they don't have much of a learning curve. That's why there's a bountiful supply of qualified workers.

    16. Re:UBI doesn't work by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      "Unless you can cite a reputable study, the proposition that the Fair Tax drives "dramatically increased business opportunities in the USA" is opinion stated as fact. Your passionate belief doesn't make it true."

      https://fairtax-structure-psyc...

      Page 28 chart is supportive:

      https://fairtax-structure-psyc...

    17. Re:UBI doesn't work by tsqr · · Score: 1

      Those are very interesting, though I noticed that almost all of the citations are over 20 years old, which makes me wonder why more recent data is absent.

      One thing I'm left to wonder about: the studies say the Fair Tax is revenue neutral. Under the current system, nearly half of American workers pay zero income tax, and the overwhelming majority of them are not below poverty level and hence would not be exempt from consumption tax. On the surface, it appears that those workers would face a large increase in Federal taxation.

    18. Re:UBI doesn't work by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      Yes, the studies are old because the initial proposal for the income tax was about 20 years ago and financed by a group of businessmen who wanted to change the tax system to promote prosperity for everyone. Since then, money to redo the studies for more modern times has not been available. Maybe we could talk Donald into financing it?

      It is not true that half of American workers do not pay income taxes because those so stating wish to ignore the payroll taxes as income taxes. Authorized under the 16th Amendment, and abolished by the FairTax if passed, the payroll taxes actually place a tremendous burden on the poor and those others that supposedly don't pay income taxes.

      Those not paying income tax are still paying the 22% embedded taxes of anything they buy new that is made in America, and those prices would expected to be reduced by about 14% of the income tax expense to American manufacturers that can actually be recovered by them. So, while the not-poor but otherwise no-individual-income-taxes-owed person loses the actual tax burden of the payroll taxes he's been paying, he can expect a moderate rise in the new goods and services that he purchases from American manufacturers. Foreign manufacturers stuff would go up about 30%, but that's just a nice incentive to buy American and promote American jobs.

      Which brings us to the jobs. There will be vastly more jobs available under the FairTax because of being able to manufacture without companies having to pay income taxes. Bill Archer, former chair of the house ways and means committee, conducted a survey of 500 foreign CEO's and asked them what they would do if America passed the FairTax. 400 of them said they would build their next factory in the USA, and 100 of them said they would move their headquarters to the USA. That seems pretty definitive of what to expect out of the manufacturing sector under the FairTax. So, with good manufacturing jobs becomnig plentiful, a worker shortage will almost certainly be created, so manufacturers will have to boost wages to keep their people from walking out to the next factory paying more money, as well as enabling those who are currently sitting at home with insufficient academic skills to support child care for multiple offspring and be able to make enough to live well on, so they just stay home and either live off a spouse or welfare. Those people would be able to afford the child care, which would open 1000's of new jobs in child care while they work in a factory to achieve prosperity.

      I grew up in a family where money was not the sort of plentiful it is now for me as a retired engineer, and I can tell you that the FairTax would work to the advantage of the not-well-to-do. Why? Because those working in factories and just making ends meet typically don't buy new cars, they buy used. Used items for sale are not taxed by the FairTax. They also typically don't commission general contractors to build them houses, they find one already on the market, that is also considered used and not taxable under the FairTax. Dad repaired our cars himself in most cases, and sometimes with parts from junkyards, which would also be untaxed by the FairTax. Mom shopped at thrift and 2nd hand stores for used things that were cheaper than new, and those things also would be untaxed under the FairTax. Dad installed things like our whole-house air conditioner, and built things such as a detached garage, and of course only the materials would be taxed. I doubt if any workman made a dime off doing things around our place, as Dad was a journeyman workman in a local factory and capable of doing most everything that was considered maintenance. Our FairTax hit would have been extremely low. Dad never bought a new car until retirement.

      And taxes would be lower for most everyone except the rich because the tax burden is spread out to many that really aren't paying these taxes now, those that are working "under the table" and those working illegally such as the illegal aliens. Those in the count

  7. Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The US has a trade imbalance with China... that means the US imports more from China than China does from the US. Therefore, quid pro quo... the US can deny China more revenue than China can deny the US.

    Sure, the US can hurt ITSELF by denying ITSELF Chinese goods which the US ITSELF makes more expensive in the US through tariffs. However, with really no exceptions there are comparable trade partners that can offer the same good at either the same or very similar price point.

    What is more, there really isn't anything China produces that has to come from China. They don't own any IP that anyone cares about. The only reason anyone does anything in China is mostly due to low labor costs which are less relevant now for two reasons. First, Chinese labor costs have been going up such that labor costs are often cheaper somewhere else if that is important. And second, the rise of automation is rendering the relevance of labor costs of that type... less relevant.

    Will tariffs help US producers? Maybe. They can and they sometimes don't. It is complicated. There are countries with very high tariffs that have absolutely flat-lined manufacturing... which results in things being more expensive for consumers without any pay off in terms of domestic production. Then there are places where tariffs are hugely helpful to domestic production.

    A big part of the controversy so far as I can see if that there is a myth about "free trade"... that it is "the american way" and that "it actually exists anywhere". Historically, the US Federal Government funded itself principally from tariffs. This didn't really stop until the Cold War when very generous trade deals were offered as an inducement for fence sitting nations to join the "first world". For reference, first world during the Cold War referred to any nation allied with the US. Second world referred to any nation allied with the Soviet Union. Third world referred to any nation not allied with either the US or Soviet Union. Regardless, "free trade" was a marketing term the US used to brand its trade deals. The US was branding everything it did as "free" something. Freedom fighters, Free World, Free Trade etc. US Free Trade doctrine was only created to put pressure on the Soviets and has really no purpose in the 21st century unless again applied to serve some kind of geopolitical agenda. Instead, the US is applying the concept mindlessly with no particular purpose. Its cited as "the american way" like its something essential to American values when any fool that looks at history can see when it came around and why. Second, ACTUAL free trade only exists domestically within certain nations and doesn't really exist in any international context and never did. Trade is conditional. The US doesn't have free trade with Mexico and Canada through NAFTA much less with anyone else. And neither does any other country.

    China has higher tariffs on US goods into China than the US does on Chinese goods into the US... and that was before Trump or any of this current bullshit.

    Restrictions are happening everywhere all the time for various reasons. Some of the restrictions are a matter of law and policy and some are a subtle consequence of process or relationship. The net effect either way is that goods don't flow freely. They're restricted and regulated and taxed and have quotas applied etc.

    US goods when they go nearly anywhere are limited in some way. US goods to Japan for example sometimes ROT on the pier because the Japanese want to protect their domestic market by limiting US trade. Countries come up with all sorts of pretexts to do it. Health and safety is a popular one. Differing regulatory standards which are approved at time X and then suddenly are questioned at X+1 at the worst possible time fucking over who ever chanced the market.

    As regards China specifically, their fast and loose treatment of trade agreements, business agreements, licensing, intellectual property... etc is well known at this point. We're due a big shift in trade relationships with

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    1. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Making things more-expensive by producing them domestically when it's cheaper to do so abroad always hurts the poor and middle-class by reducing their purchasing power (making them more-poor).

      When the differential is sufficiently large (this is pretty trivial to achieve: it's not even a viable living wage in the US, as of 2006; although better technology is narrowing the gap by reducing the labor-hours invested in manufacturing et al), you also suffer a net-loss in jobs by cutting off imports (yep!). Any losses or gains are temporary, though, and buff themselves out in a few years (if not only several months) to normalize to your nation's population and labor force carry capacity.

      Generally, that means free trade is optimal; however, sudden trade shifts are severely painful, and so it may be wise to create barriers to slow the transition. All trade and technology shifts tend to cause transitional unemployment, so you need a social safety net which adequately protects the worker whose job is lost until such time as they are brought into new employment. That can be months, unless you screw up and put yourself in an economic recession (I'm trying to end all recessions forever).

      There is something to be said for fair trade in its capacity to build up foreign, poor nations. Fair trade accelerates their growth and then transitions to free trade--although the normal process is free trade, some growth, enough power to demand fair trade, and then fair trade. Once your nation is at a level of wealth wherein the provisions of fair trade are just what would happen anyway, it's basically free trade.

    2. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Tariffs funded the US Government until the cold war? Really? Federal income tax revenues (individual and corporate) exceeded tariffs back in 1937, and have continued to do so ever since. That's a solid decade before the Cold War really got rolling...

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    3. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The trade gap is bullshit economics, most of the product manufacture in china exported to U.S. are made from U.S. companies like APPLE with APPLE wining a big chunk of the profits and China receiving pennies, if you take this into account the trade deficit with the U.S is reduce significantly adding to that is the fact the U.S. is not a big Market for Chinese companies, how many Chinese cars do you see in U.S. streets? no much right ehh, in fact the U.S. has a surplus when you take into account profits margins and services.
      If the U.S. wants to reduce its trade deficit with china, they should tax U.S. companies that outsource their manufacturing to other countries.

    4. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How long before you bend over and spread them for the big Chinese cock when your iphone cost $2k?

    5. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You know those fancy gadgets you buy from China. Assembled in China, well all the parts come from Japan and South Korea Taiwan etc. All the profits go to those countries, but China gets all the blame for the 'trade balance' just because it was the last stop in the train.
      It's quite absurd to be blaming China and praising all the other countries who are the ones you need to balance trade with. $1000 iphone and China gets $20 and all the blame.

    6. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The idea of "trade imbalances" is rather silly to begin with.
      If foreigner A sells something to an american for US dollars, the only place where those dollars can be spent is the US of A. This might not happen directly, of course, but it will eventually happen (for example, Foreigner A will buy Oil or something from Foreigner B, but those dollars will always end up being spent back in the USA eventually). Those foreigner purchases can be anything from grain, bonds, to real estate, or entire corporations.

      If the USA had nothing worth buying for some foreigner, the value of the currency would go down naturally as foreigners would demand more money for their items - leading to inflation.

      Trade imbalances are in essence, like monitoring your bills. You're not in trouble until your income your bills. Panicking because you pay more to your hydro company than they pay you (and trying to solve this "problem" by putting self imposed tariffs on your hydro) is ridiculous.

    7. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by hey! · · Score: 5, Insightful

      General Omar Bradley once said, "Amateurs talk strategy; professionals talk logistics." In other words winning a war depends not just on the damage you can inflict, but on your ability to sustain the conflict.

      Let's suppose it's true, as you claim, that China will suffer greater damage in a trade war measured in dollars; that's a secondary point. The side that "wins" (note scare quotes) is the one that can maintain its will to fight the longest. You win a trade war by being the first to inflict economic damage that is too painful for the other side to sustain politically.

      Suppose the US loses a million jobs as a result of the trade war. Now imagine saying to those million people who are out of work, "It's OK because China lost two million jobs. We won." Now further imagine China gets to decide exactly in which Congressional districts those one million jobs will be lost -- because for practical purposes they do.

      It's important not to overestimate an enemy's strengths, but you can't ignore them either. The Chinese leadership isn't beyond public opinion, but it doesn't have to put a key part of its government up for elections every two years. Over here Democratic discussion sites are full of lugubrious hand wringing over the effects of a trade war, but there is a very discernible note of glee over what it is going to do to the Republicans.

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    8. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The only reason anyone does anything in China is mostly due to low labor costs"

      Oh no, not at all, if it's just a matter of labor cost you manufacture in Vietnam etc, not China. You manufacture in China because your entire supply chain is in China and no, most companies can't just up and move because no place on Earth has a supply chain like you can find in China. Labor costs little compared to materials and if you have to pay customs on materials and customs on exporting completed product you are screwed both ways. In China you can manufacture without customs taxes, source parts locally, manufacture in customs free zone and export for free, there is just no competition to manufacturing in China.

    9. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      As to trade restrictions hurting the poor, not always since it can have economic benefits. Though as I said, it is totally possible for it to be net negative.

      And just to be clear here so I can short circuit any attempt to make a purist free trade argument, the US had a tariff based tax policy prior to WW1. And that period of US economic activity was the most productive and the statistically benefited the poorest in US society more than at any other period of US economic development. Everything from the per-colonial period to WW1 operated on a heavy tariff system.

      Process that before you say tariffs MUST be damaging to the poor. Because it empirically was a very healthy and prosperous economy.

      As to free trade being optimal, perhaps if it exists but it doesn't. There is no example of ACTUAL free trade in the international context and there never has been. It was a marketing term used by the US during the Cold War as I made clear. Every example you could cite actually has limits put upon it as to the type of goods that can be exchanged and often tariffs still are imposed on goods that are cited as operating under "free trade".

      As to "fair trade" this is also a marketing term and has no clearly defined meaning and thus can just be rejected as a concept unless explicitly defined.

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    10. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Gilgaron · · Score: 1

      Well put... it does seem that winning a trade war with a centrally planned economy governed by a president-for-life strongman would be more or less impossible.

    11. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      The argument here seems to be that because the US is a democracy it is more vulnerable to economic propaganda where as China has controlled media and controlled economic elements that allows it to control the public response or whether the people even matter.

      Ultimately, this is not an argument against trade war but rather an argument against representative democracy itself and a suggestion that autocracies are better at weathering conflicts. This is objectively invalidated by numerous historical examples of representative democracies winning over various autocracies over time.

      Why did the US win out over the Soviet Union if we follow your logic? Play some devil's advocate with your position please. Just ask why you're wrong... take the opposing position and really rigorously go through it. I think you'll be able to rip your own argument apart pretty easily if you try.

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    12. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by hey! · · Score: 1

      I'm not talking about propaganda; wars would be easy if you could propaganda your way to victory.

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    13. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 2

      Nice try at a strawman.

      What I said was:
      1. Prior to WW1, the US Federal government relied primarily on tariffs.

      2. Free Trade was generally promoted by the US government as a marketing term to describe the US trade deals that came along with First World association. It was a geopolitically motivated bribery to get countries to side against the Second World and join the First World.

      3. Actual Free Trade doesn't exist and never did internationally. Cite any trade arrangement you like and I'll show the limitations in it. It doesn't even exist in the EU and the entire selling point of the EU was "free trade" within the EU. But it doesn't even exist within the EU. True, there are generally not tariffs within the EU. But there are quotas that forbid member nations from producing more than X units of all sorts of products. There is inbuilt protectionism for French agriculture and German manufacturing for example. Thus as there is protectionism there is not free trade. And if it doesn't even exist within a trade federation that was specifically created with the stated goal of free trade... where else are you going to presume it actually exists?

      This is a hopeless argument. Objectively examine the concept and its empirical real world application. Tell me why I'm wrong.

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    14. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem for the US is that China mainly exports things that cannot easily be sourced elsewhere for a comparable price, whereas most of their imports from the US are bulk goods. China can much more easily replace the bulk of its US imports than the US can replace its Chinese imports.

    15. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      This is what you said:
      ""General Omar Bradley once said, "Amateurs talk strategy; professionals talk logistics." In other words winning a war depends not just on the damage you can inflict, but on your ability to sustain the conflict.

      Let's suppose it's true, as you claim, that China will suffer greater damage in a trade war measured in dollars; that's a secondary point. The side that "wins" (note scare quotes) is the one that can maintain its will to fight the longest. You win a trade war by being the first to inflict economic damage that is too painful for the other side to sustain politically.

      Suppose the US loses a million jobs as a result of the trade war. Now imagine saying to those million people who are out of work, "It's OK because China lost two million jobs. We won." Now further imagine China gets to decide exactly in which Congressional districts those one million jobs will be lost -- because for practical purposes they do.

      It's important not to overestimate an enemy's strengths, but you can't ignore them either. The Chinese leadership isn't beyond public opinion, but it doesn't have to put a key part of its government up for elections every two years. Over here Democratic discussion sites are full of lugubrious hand wringing over the effects of a trade war, but there is a very discernible note of glee over what it is going to do to the Republicans.""

      I'll now pull out the relevant citations that lead me to judge this post as I did above.

      ""You win a trade war by being the first to inflict economic damage that is too painful for the other side to sustain politically.""
      The argument in this line is that China will be more able to sustain the political damage than will the US.

      ""Now further imagine China gets to decide exactly in which Congressional districts those one million jobs will be lost -- because for practical purposes they do.""
      The argument here is that the representative political system in the US is more susceptible to influence by the Chinese than is the Chinese system to US influence.

      ""The Chinese leadership isn't beyond public opinion, but it doesn't have to put a key part of its government up for elections every two years.""
      Here the argument appears to be that the autocratic Chinese political system is less susceptible to influence again.

      To this I responded as I did above which I need not cite.

      To my comment in the previous post you said this:
      ""I'm not talking about propaganda; wars would be easy if you could propaganda your way to victory.""
      Here you're suggesting that this isn't about propaganda despite the fact that you were talking about congressional districts which implies elections etc which is absolutely a propaganda argument.

      This last post by you makes no sense in context with your previous comments and my replying comment. Please rationally put your comment into context. Because it feels like we're having two different discussions that are not meshing at all.

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    16. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Completely irrelevant... the tariff will do that as well and a trade war would still impact china more than the US.

      It is a buyer's market. China is already selling to as many markets as it can.

      IF china loses the US as a market or has that market limited China cannot replace the US market elsewhere because China is already saturating the Global market with their products.

      However, the US can very easily source their needs from other countries or even domestically because there is a surplus of production and a deficit of consumption. As such the US can resource their needs from other markets at almost no cost where as China cannot replace US consumption by selling to other markets.

      The point remains, China is at a disadvantage and should negotiate.

      They have very little leverage and it is in their interest to cave. Being proud and refusing to negotiate is frequently stupid. This is business. The US has superior leverage, China has no ability to resist that simply by talking tough.

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    17. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      I previously owned a US assembled Moto X that was made in Texas. It cost the same as any other smart phone. China isn't actually "making" the core components of most of the tech. They're mostly assembling. And that assembly costs are fairly incidental. Again, we had a Motorola cell phone assembly plant in Texas not long ago. The costs are marginal.

      Do you want to do any kind of analysis on your argument? Are you actually curious as to whether what you're saying has any merit what so ever? Because I'm happy enough to go into detail on this one to enlighten you if you want.

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    18. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Those countries are negotiating and are not adopting a hostile geopolitical posture.

      South Korea and Japan have already agreed to alter aspects of their trade policy to avoid tariffs. So... what say you about that?

      Your argument is that China is a scapegoat for trade issues throughout east asia.

      To this, I have said that those other countries in East Asia have already caved to US requests for better trade deals and indifferent to that are not adopting hostile geopolitical policies.

      So... there you go.

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    19. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      It doesn't matter. I wasn't talking about trade imbalances being silly or not. I was saying that China has greater economic exposure to restricted trade with the US than does the US with China. You can disagree with whether we should care about trade imbalances or not but indifferent to that if trade war happens china cannot help but be at greater economic risk.

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    20. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Things move all the time. We have massive automotive plants in Georgia for example despite legacy investments in Michigan.

      Nothing will move on a dime. But over decades, anything can change.

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    21. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by hey! · · Score: 1

      It's important not to overestimate or underestimate an opponent. China has distinct advantages and disadvantages vis a vis the US.

      China no longer has a centrally planned economy, but they do have a lot more ability to intervene in the economy, both de jure and de facto. What's more the Chinese government has more political will to mitigate the effects of a trade war than the US would. Nobody in the Chinese government would disagree with intervening to start with, and its in everyone's interests to do so.

      The US government doesn't have the political will to pass a budget. They had to pass a law to force themselves to pass a budget resolution, with the predictable effect that Congress passed budgets that it ignores, struggling over new budgeting priorities in appropriations bills, which is like trying to do your household budget while you're writing checks. My theory is that it's due to widespread gerrymandering. This produces safe congressional seats for both parties, resulting in congressmen elected from both parties with fewer political skills. Unless an effective response can be mounted by the Trump administration using already existing programs and laws, the idea that Congress will be able to respond in real time is far-fetched. Twenty-five years ago, maybe.

      On the other hand, China has the problem of endemic corruption that poses huge internal problems for them with public trust in the government. The thing is open conflict doesn't make their problem harder.

      Now largely I've been playing devil's advocate here, but here's what I think will happen: I think the Trump adminsitration may be able to force enough to claim a "victory", but they'll be concessions that Beijing could have been negotiated to anyway, so Beijing will also claim a "victory". Nobody will have the power to claim an absolutely clear political win. Looked at economically both sides will lose.

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    22. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      There really isn't anything the US gets from China that it can't get from another market. Its cheap plastic crap or packaged electronic goods from China... In the case of the plastic stuff we can get that from almost anywhere. In the case of the packaged electronic goods, they don't have to be packaged in China... we can shift assembly out of China. There was a fairly large cellphone assembly operation in Texas for example that was assembling Moto X's (Generation 1). Its really a tempest in a tea pot. People try to make out like if we don't maintain the status quo with this it will mean the end of our economy. Never mind that our economy didn't use Chinese assembly or sourcing to this extent 10 years ago. Some how we didn't die a firely death. Its all mindless hyperbole and chicken-littlism.

      The US has strategic advantages and the rest of the Global market will be chomping at the bit to eat China's lunch. Its hardly like there isn't enough surplus industrial capacity around the world to soak up the difference.

      Its a buyer's market out there. China sells as much and to as many players as they can. They are not limited by their ability but by the market's demand. If China loses the US as a market or has that trade restricted they cannot replace that trade with other markets because the global market is already saturated. Where as the US can easily source from other providers because just like China, most international exporters are limited by demand. If US companies come to other markets and say "we need to source from you instead" we'll have no lack of other markets more than happy to take China's place.

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    23. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by hey! · · Score: 1

      You don't know what propaganda is. Let me illustrate.

      Suppose a million soldiers died in an actual war. That fact is not propaganda. It is useful fodder for propagandists, who if they're skillful adhere to a carefully curated version of the truth. I know we think of voters as a tabula rasa onto which political strategists write their masterpieces, but peoples' personal experiences play a role in how they vote. This is why the Republicans had setbacks in 2008; they couldn't propaganda their way into making people think Iraq was going well. It affected too many peoples' lives.

      Now I don't have time to discuss every point you raised in your very long post, so I'll pick one: the fall of the Soviet Union. I think that's an interesting analogy, but you may have the wrong end of the stick. You're thinking we're us, and China's the Soviet Union in this analogy, because, well, we're us.

      Let me invite you to consider that while US economic, diplomatic and military pressure played a role in the fall of the Soviet Union, you have to also consider the fact that the Soviet Union was made up almost entirely of people who didn't want to live in a Soviet Union. A look at the history of that part of the world is illustrative. There's a myth that invading Russia is a stupid, suicidal move for anyone to take, and you can point to many doomed attempts. But you can also point to many successful attempts. And it turns out there's a single factor which determines whether invading Russia is a good idea: how politically unified Russia is a the moment.

      So I ask: which country will be more politically unified in a contest of economic wills here: the US or China?

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    24. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Which is why autocracies always win against representative republics...

      Oh wait, they actually tend to lose.

      Seriously, play devil's advocate with the argument. Historically representative democracies tend to perform very favorably against autocracies. They have significant economic advantages over time and are dramatically more resilient than their detractors would suggest given that when push comes to shove... they tend to win.

      The last two hundred years give a wealth of examples here. I'm actually sort of baffled as to why you wouldn't see that.

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    25. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Must resist ...
      looking at...
      the third...
      column.

    26. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      This doesn't change my initial point or criticism of you post.

      You're suggesting that China can more robustly politically weather economic and political consequences than the US. So the US will cave because it cannot sustain even moderate damage where as China by this argument can ignore extreme damage by comparison without losing stability.

      There are multiple problems with this argument.

      First, China's ability to damage the US is in practice very limited. Their putting tariffs on their minor US imports is unlikely to impact the US economy measurably. Thus the damage to the US economy that is "not" propaganda will be negligible.

      Second, to the extent the US economy "IS" damaged by this trade war it will be almost entirely self inflicted in that the damage will come by disrupting IMPORTS of chinese goods into the US. This at best can only be a very temporary inconvenience to US industry because there are many alternatives to China. There are an entire world of nations that have it in their interest to offer themselves as that alternative. They are currently and were previously marketing themselves as just that for... well always. What is more, what remains in china will not be stopped... merely subjected to a higher tariff which will marginally increase the cost. Wise corporations will diversify production and prioritize chinese production to the international market whilst prioritizing non-chinese manufacture to the US market. Thus efficiently addressing the bottleneck is actually pretty easy. THey don't need to produce enough outside of china to replace all production to the global market they sell to. They only need to replace the portion that is shipped to the US. This is a fraction of total production from the American Multi-Nationals that supply most US consumer demand. Point is, the "actual" damage is trivial if it manifests at all.

      Third, China is hardly free from political instability. There are many factions within China that are increasingly challenging the primacy of the Chinese Communist Party. The Communist Party maintains legacy institutional control and the oaths of the army. But the basis of their power at this point is largely founded on long term generational improvement in living standards. If that is disrupted then political instability is actually very likely.

      Forth, there is serious discontent in the US political system with the long running status quo as regards trade. It has been a recurring point of contention at least since the Reagan administration and has the potential to unite typically democrat voting unions with tariff supporting republicans. Saying it has to go one way or the other on that ignores the polling statistics that have been surprising many establishment political parties in the US. Again, you want to talk reality and not propaganda... that is reality. The empirical evidence of these sentiments and that they're catching established political relationships by surprise is public record.

      Fifth, the tales of representative republics being weak willed and blood shy is a tale as old as the republic itself. Every autocracy has made this criticism of representative republics and democracies from their inception. And yet, autocracies lose all the time to republics. There is a reason why republics are in international political ascendancy and autocracies which were once the only type of government are relatively waning. Trade wars are wars of attrition. The US has deeper pockets, deeper resources to draw upon, more options, a dramatically more diverse economy, and an incomparably more favorable geopolitical relationship with the world. Betting on China in this context is a sucker's bet.

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    27. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Gilgaron · · Score: 1

      They don't have to win out, though, they just have to hurt the wealthy donor class enough to get them to twist Trump's ear or get him defeated in the next election. Look at what they are putting tariffs on and it is clear this is their plan.

    28. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Time will tell. There are also powerful interest that benefit from tariffs.

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    29. Re: Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That you keep talking about "hostile geopolitics" is hillarious, if not hypocrital.

    30. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Chinese companies don't depend that much of the US market, by example the US government has make anything to oust Huawei from the U.S. Market and still Huawei manage to make a profit without relaying too much of the U.S. market, you and the Trump administration are overestimating the importance of the U.S market, most of the deficit come from U.S.companies outsourcing their manufacturing from china, in witch china receive little profit margin.
      Another thing that you haven't taken into consideration is the 1300 products that the U.S. is putting tariff are not products that the Chinese export too much to US market (Nuclear Reactors, Aircraft, Weapons, Rail, Manufacturing equipment(which is stupid because hurts manufacturers) ), meanwhile China is putting tariff in strategic sectors of the US economy, don't get me wrong this is a lose-lose scenario with the biggest victims being consumers and workers in both sides.
      And last China wanted to negotiate this from the very beginning but the U.S. has refused, so this time is not China fault.

    31. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They're mostly assembling.

      Bullshit with all due respect.
      "mostly assembling" implies it would be even cheaper getting it from Mexico (transportation, free trade agreement...).
      Look at your automobile. That's "mostly assembling"...in Mexico.

    32. Re: Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      how is anything I'm saying hypocritical? Try to make the argument. Double dog dare you.

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    33. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by hey! · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, you're ignoring the actual numbers. China imports 115 billion dollars in US goods annually plus another 54 billion in services. 169 billion dollars is not "minor". The marginal effects are going to be greater, because its affect on commodity prices will send a lot of producers out of business.

      This is King Cotton thinking all over again. After South America gears up to replace the 14 billion dollars in soybean exports the US loses, they aren't going to just go away. They'll have the capacity and commercial relations to compete with the US for that and other markets.

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    34. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Time will tell. As to china wanting to negotiate, really? What were they willing to offer to redress the US's grievances? What materially were they offering? Because we have a list here of things the US has been complaining about for well over a decade.

      https://www.theguardian.com/te...

      This sort of shit is typical. Is china "actually" going to do anything about this sort of thing?

      Or this:
      https://variety.com/2017/film/...

      or this:
      https://www.cbsnews.com/news/6...

      These are not "EVIL TRUMP" sources here, chum. The guardian... Variety... CBS News...

      I can do this all day. What did the happy harmless did nothing wrong chinese offering? I'm dying to know "actually" what you're referring to here.

      *gets popcorn*

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    35. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Assuming a 100% termination of those exports and no alternative market to sell those goods anywhere in the world... which isn't very likely since some of those goods are of premium quality and would shove other suppliers out of the market before they would go unsold at their listed price...

      You're looking at 7% of total US exports... and that's including both goods and services as you listed right there. US exports are about 2.4 Trillion a year. So... 164 billion / 2.4 Trillion = 7%

      That would be unpleasant for the US.

      The US's imports represents roughly 25% of China's total exports.

      Now the argument here is that the US will have a hard time finding a market for in many cases... premium agricultural products which China buys from the US largely as a luxury and the US will not be able to source electronics assembly partners outside of China.

      This doesn't make any sense.

      I'm not arguing the Chinese don't have options. I'm just saying that objectively the US is in a better position. Ironically you suggested it was "I" that was ignoring the numbers.

      You're saying 7 percent is larger than 25 percent. Why don't you actually compare the numbers. Because you demonstrably didn't do that.

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    36. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You typed too many words. I didn't read them all.

    37. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Trump administration has to grow up first, then they can go to the adult table and meet with China.

    38. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Cellphones... where is the CPU made? Where is the ram and solid state storage made? Where is the circuit board made?

      What china is doing mostly in these relationships is receiving a kit from various places and assembling it.

      As to mexico... look at Michigan... they can build the entire car in state to say nothing of the country. China generally can't say the same thing as regards many of these products. They source from foreign third parties. And generally speaking the IP in any case is owned by foreign third parties... like the US.

      You can look at global market share for these things if it helps you. Apple all by itself has 20% of the global market share. Samsung also has 20%. All the chinese companies combined have something like 20% of the cellphone market... MAYBE. It looked more like 10% to me for all them together but let us say I'm missing something and its double that. Apple has them at least matched all by themselves.

      Beyond that, the double edged sword of not taking brands seriously means China has no brands that anyone cares about. They don't value patents or brands. And as a result they don't invest in them and they don't have patents or brands anyone cares about. These are systemic disadvantages.

      The US has stronger brand name recognition in BANANAS than the chinese have in literally anything. If push goes to shove in a trade war, its going to be a slaughter.

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    39. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Who's auditing who is and is not adult? Who judges and on what authority?

      The Soviet Union had a guy banging his shoe on the podium... still a super power.

      Various countries have outright fist fights that break out in their legistatures... does that mean they don't get a seat at the table?

      I can go on.

      By what standard is the US deficient and compared to whom?

      Chinese have a totalitarian autocracy. Does that make them adults? They literally kill people that disagree with them politically in their country. Its standard practice.

      Who are you judging me against here, sport? The Swiss? Remind me when anyone cared what they thought.

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    40. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They say they are willing to buy more semiconductors from the U.S. than South Korea or Japan, the same for other technologies, but the US refuse. What the U.S want china to do buy more agriculture products? if you are no willing to sell they are not going to buy.

    41. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A trade war with China would result in the US gaining jobs. Manufacturing is on the rise in the US, despite common misconceptions largely due to automation. The creation of automation equipment is one industrial area where the US is the world leader in both R&D and manufacture.

      Worst that would happen is the quality of cheap products would dramatically increase and the cost would moderately increase.

      It's a win-win. Anyone claiming otherwise wants the US to fail.

    42. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      But there are quotas that forbid member nations from producing more than X units of all sorts of products.
      Har har har har ...

      There is inbuilt protectionism for French agriculture and German manufacturing for example.
      That is complete nonsense.

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    43. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Let's suppose it's true, as you claim, that China will suffer greater damage in a trade war measured in dollars; that's a secondary point.
      People don't know much about China.
      That is the main "problem". Chinese this, Chinese that. Most is simply nonsense.

      Who is building infrastructure in Africa? Rails, Schools, Hospitals? China is.
      Which country has the most savings in "foreign" currency? And actually a positive government budget since nearly half a century? China.

      America going into a "trade war" is the most ridiculous thing that happened after WW2 ... good luck. You will need it.

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    44. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Chinas economy is not centrally planned since over 25 years.
      It is a capitalist economy, where only the important targets, like housing, schools, health care are "semi central planned".

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    45. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      can I get a citation?

      I found this:
      https://www.zerohedge.com/news...

      Seems like a nothing concession from China as best I've been able to find.

      If China has a 25 percent tariff on US automobiles and outright forbids US beef... don't you think its a bit hypocritical to complain about the US imposing some tariffs as well?

      This is how trade works. THIS for THAT. If the Chinese are giving the US a trade deal it doesn't like... then negotiations are reasonable. Why must either party accept a trade deal it doesn't like? The US has been complaining about chinese trade practices for years. Its been an ongoing thing from BOTH political parties.

      Many like to just blame the evil Trump for this... never mind that Obama, Hillary, etc complained about it as well. That pacific trade pact that Trump killed was specifically marketed as a means to control chinese trade misdeeds. And Obama was pushing it... Hillary was pushing it... So... it seems like everyone agrees that china has to be slapped on trade. Which major player besides china itself disagrees? Because the entire american political establishment agrees. I'm sure the EU agrees as well since I've seen some German companies complain about Chinese tech theft.

      Who is in your corner here, bub? Because whilst I see a lot of people trying to spin this to make their political opposition look bad, whenever they're in power they agree with the position effectively anyway... which merely calls into question their integrity when they say otherwise out of power.

      Get over it. Its a real issue. Go through the stages of grief and arrive at acceptance... you're at denial right now so I expect you're going to try "anger" next... Save your breath... just go through bargaining, depression, and finally just take it. It is what it is. Accept it.

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    46. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Why did the US win out over the Soviet Union [if we follow your logic]?
      Because the elected leaders in the SU, Gorbatschow and later Jelzin changed the system.
      In 1991 the army made a coup to dethrone Gorbatschow, mass protests made the coup fail.

      The US did not win anything, nothing to see here.

      Claiming the US won the cold war is just idiotic, considering that we are again in a cold war because the "democratic reforms" in the SU are on the level of the "democracy" in the US around 1800.

      Putin is the new Stalin, just behind a fake democracy (and Trump is in no way better). US and SU even wage war in the same country ... business as usual, I guess.

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    47. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Suppose the US loses a million jobs as a result of the trade war. Now imagine saying to those million people who are out of work, "It's OK because China lost two million jobs. We won." Now further imagine China gets to decide exactly in which Congressional districts those one million jobs will be lost -- because for practical purposes they do.
      But you do know that this is utter nonsense, or don't you?

      A american worker who loses his job is soon: homeless, poor, no longer a member of the society.
      A Chinese worker still has free housing, free education for his kids, free health care and a basic income to pay for his cloth and food. And on top of that he can always go home to his family and simply live of the land.

      How many american jobless have a relative who has a farm? A friend who lets them live for free? A government that puts the kids in school regardless?

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    48. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      https://techcrunch.com/2018/03/26/china-trades-semiconductors/
      South Korean and Japan don't like the idea.

    49. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by hey! · · Score: 1

      US manufacturing output has increased on a dollar basis in recent decades. But on a number of jobs basis we're where we were in the late 1940s, but with a much larger population. What's happened is that US manufacturing has specialized on high value areas like aerospace where unskilled labor is not a big factor in the end cost.

      There's no doubt that some domestic manufacturers will add jobs as a result of a trade war, but this does not represent a net job gain, even in manufacturing as a whole. Sure we'll gain some steel mill jobs, but those manufacturing dollars being created are in things like aircraft, which will take a hit. This is the ill wind principle at work: somebody always benefits from change. So while the steel mill putting on more employees is good news, it's not the whole picture.

      I have no doubt we could replace Chinese imports entirely, but it won't happen overnight. It took a decade of concerted effort for China to capture all those manufacturing jobs the US lost. What's more it's certain we won't be employing as many people as we used to. Again it gets to my point: even presuming the policy works out in the end, it may not reach the end because of short term pain.

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    50. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One of the main reasons was, previously, although media may not have been tightly controlled, those who did the reporting, who actually created the media had certain standards generally.

      Now, anyone can setup a website with domain and hosting for a year for 100 bucks, throw in wordpress or some other platform and a free theme. If you are cheap, you can just use facebook or some other freely available social plartform and do the same.

      You can look professional enough to fool the guilable folks.

      And since anyone can create media, there are probably 100000s of pieces of media being created for consumers of all types every hour. Youtube vids, FB posts, Blog posts, everything. Previously you were limited to the newspaper's publishing cycle / tv news cycles. People had time to fact check. Now every rumour, conspiracy theory, dream, thought, anything, has a ready audience.

    51. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Binestar · · Score: 1

      What I said was: 1. Prior to WW1, the US Federal government relied primarily on tariffs.

      I'm sorry, but in the parent to the person responding to you you did NOT say that. You said:

      A big part of the controversy so far as I can see if that there is a myth about "free trade"... that it is "the american way" and that "it actually exists anywhere". Historically, the US Federal Government funded itself principally from tariffs. This didn't really stop until the Cold War when very generous trade deals were offered as an inducement for fence sitting nations to join the "first world".

      His response that it wasn't the Cold War, pointing out that in 1937 10 years prior to the cold war. I do not see that as a straw man at all. The changes occurred during the great depression, not as a part of the cold war. What have we mis-read from your post? Link to your post is here: https://hardware.slashdot.org/...

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    52. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As to mexico... look at Michigan... they can build the entire car in state to say nothing of the country

      Thanks, you just proved my point.
      If it is in fact "mostly assembling", it can be done anywhere close to where the components are made...even Michigan.
      Alot of products are basically China only production (none in Michigan last time I checked).
      Because most of the components are made in China (has nothing to do with your hare brain argument about IP ownership...would be made in the UK for cell phones if that were the case via ARM...actually Japanese owned now).

      Your hare brain rant continue to some kind of brand recognition penis waving, which is
      (1)completely irrelevant to the topic at hand, which is industrial production.
      (2)would you have bought anything "Samsung" 30 years ago?
      How about "Toyota" 50 years ago?
      Now half the parts in the iphone are made by "Samsung" (in China probably).
      (3)reflects your insecurity about the size of your own penis.

    53. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      according to NYT
      "The United States has also asked for a $100 billion reduction in the $375.2 billion trade deficit it runs with China. But the goods China has offered to buy to narrow that gap — including semiconductors — are not products the Trump administration wants to export. And some advisers say these kind of sales will not do anything to address the underlying problems with the Chinese economy.

      China experts say an inconsistent message and approach could undermine America’s ability to successfully negotiate."

      WTF they want them, i never thought the i would saw the day the U.S. become more ideological than China.

    54. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1
      No, what you said was:

      Historically, the US Federal Government funded itself principally from tariffs. This didn't really stop until the Cold War when very generous trade deals were offered as an inducement for fence sitting nations to join the "first world".

      And I corrected you. You literally stated exactly what you now claim you didn't. Which is it? Did the US Federal Government fund itself principally from tariffs until the Cold War, or did that change over before WWII? Cannot have both be true. You claimed the former, when clearly data shows it's the latter.

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    55. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      As to trade restrictions hurting the poor, not always since it can have economic benefits. Though as I said, it is totally possible for it to be net negative.

      It is USUALLY net-negative.

      More-expensive products ALWAYS hurt the poor. That's an inarguable fact. The question is whether a trade situation causes economic growth (by population growth, not individual wealth) or not. In other words: are people (per-capita) wealthier, or is the nation (economic power, military might) wealthier?

      the US had a tariff based tax policy prior to WW1. And that period of US economic activity was the most productive and the statistically benefited the poorest in US society more than at any other period of US economic development

      Your parents also got new, higher-paying jobs while your sister was in 7th grade, so having a 7th grader is empirically beneficial to the household income.

      Why has our economy cycled between highly-productive and deep in recession without changes in our trade situation? There are a lot of factors here and it seems you're looking at a giant, complex situation and cherry-picking a factor and data. That's statistical confounding.

      As to "fair trade" this is also a marketing term and has no clearly defined meaning

      Fair Trade is a trade process in which trade agreements include environmental considerations, working conditions, and prices which reflect those of trade between developed nations, even when trading with undeveloped and impoverished nations from whom we could extract a much-lower rate.

    56. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bradley was a PC, liberal pussy.

      Trump is more of a Patton kinda guy.

    57. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      I don't think you know much about the US labor statistics or how our subsidies function. We have housing assitance, health assistance, food assistance, etc. If you look at the statistics on the American homeless population you'll also find that it doesn't correlate with joblessness. For example, the US homeless population really started to go up in the 1980s and 1990s. This doesn't correlate with rising unemployment. It instead correlates with "de-institutionalization".

      In the 1950s the US had roughly 500,000 people in mental institutes. Today, we have something like 70,000 despite double the population.

      You can see similar correlations in the US prison population and evaluations of homeless people and prisoners shows a very high correlation of serious mental illness.

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    58. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      What was the point of the cold war? If there is a war, then there is an objective... something you are fighting over.

      The US won in that it ultimately stopped the USSR from controlling global trade, global politics, and global culture. Where as the US has been dramatically more influential. Keep in mind, the Soviets had an interest in spreading their ideology to the world.

      They failed.

      And the US was dramatically more successful.

      So the US did win. The US set the mold for most of the major structures in international policy throughout the world. The Soviets had very little input in the end. That is total failure.

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    59. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Never heard of CAP apparently.

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    60. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      US income taxes were instituted to pay for war spending. Prior to the WWs it was tariffs.

      As a separate issue...

      Free Trade was instituted and promoted to support US foreign policy during the Cold War.

      Income tax and free trade are different points.

      Income tax was to pay for wars.

      Free trade was to promote US foreign policy during the Cold War.

      Prior to those conditions the US used tariffs, had high economic success... so... now that that is cleared up.

      Questions or comments?

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    61. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      You're right. The US did switch to the income tax via the World Wars. But that was only as a means to fund the military.

      Again, prior to WW1, it was tariffs.

      And they were still a very big part of government revenue through the time between WW1 and WW2.

      Tariffs are not great income sources when international trade shuts down due to world wars. And the expense of WW spending exceeded what that revenue could pay for in any reasonable time span.

      Regardless, the US economy was very productive, had very robust trade, and a relatively higher standard of living than its competitors whilst funding itself through tariffs.

      As a separate issue, the Free Trade concept was promoted as an aspect of cold war policy.

      The point being that absent the cold war, the free trade concept lacks a geopolitical purpose.

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    62. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      The US is an exceptional context. The US is a large market, has vast domestic resources, has one of the most diverse economies in the world... I can go on. It is easily capable of being an exception given the long list of things that makes the US unusual.

      As to cherry picking, no to the contrary I'm not ignoring the history. I'm taking the entire trade situation the US had prior to WW1 into consideration. You're outright ignoring it and pretending that only the current status quo is effective. This ignores the history of what led to the current status quo and why it was set up this way.

      We set up the free trade system to support Cold War policy. You're ignoring that. That's worse than cherry picking which is not what I'm doing. You're doing something WORSE than what you're falsely accusing me of doing.

      As to "fair trade" I don't think there is any way to actually manage something like that in any kind of objective sense. Its just going to be a negotiation. If you want to pay me MORE for whatever reason then I'll take that money and say thanks. If you want to pay me LESS for some reason then I'm going to try and find ways to increase what you're paying me.

      Your "fair trade" concept would either require a rich party that didn't mind sacrificing its profit margin for some reason or an economic system that didn't care about money.

      As you will... it seems like virtue signaling and empty lost causes to me.

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    63. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1
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    64. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Your argument is a "status quo" argument.
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      You're not even processing the concept or assessing why things are one way vs another or why they have to be anyway or weighing the pros and cons of various concepts or looking at examples.

      You're just saying "this is the way we do things so it must be that way."

      Its not even an actual opinion. You're just mindlessly accepting things. Actually think about it next time.

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    65. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Given that you have to prove your affiliation to the communist party to donate to sperm banks in China, that day has not even remotely come.

      https://www.telegraph.co.uk/ne...

      This kind of hysterical chicken littlism out of you guys is... cowardly. What kind of a nation could people like you produce?

      You'd be intimidated by anything.

      Just take a page out of old B movies, realize you're a the streaking woman, and slap yourself.

      Here you're going to have the unjustifed gall to presume to be offended. Never mind that you just suggested the US is more ideological than China.

      Sperm banks.

      And because I'm sure you're going to lack the integrity to concede the point and suggest I'm just giving one example that doesn't matter:

      https://www.independent.co.uk/...

      This is something out of a bad movie and they're actually doing it.

      Go through the stages of grief at realizing you said something stupid... no denial... no anger... just accept it and we need not talking about it again.

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    66. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Nope ... and google shows nothing related to EU trade with 'CAP' in the name.

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    67. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Ah, I found the CAP reference.
      Care to explain how it restricts or encourages trade of food or technology between EU member states? The parent specifically talked about agriculture products from France and industrial goods from Germany ....

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    68. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      The US is a large market, has vast domestic resources, has one of the most diverse economies in the world... I can go on. It is easily capable of being an exception given the long list of things that makes the US unusual.

      "Vast domestic resources" have to reflect a per-capita context to reflect the health of the market. Even then, a market disturbance quickly damages the resources we have. Nothing you've said here suggests that the US can do anything more than survive--in the same way that North Korea is surviving: as a nation, if a very poor and malnourished one.

      I'm taking the entire trade situation the US had prior to WW1 into consideration.

      Yes, the trade situation, not the economic situation.

      I could stab you through a major artery and then tell you that you're perfectly-healthy and should have no medical issues: I'm taking your entire immune situation into consideration, and you have no viral infections, no bacterial infections, and no parasites. Then: you die.

      The US's technology is different than pre-WW1. The size of the population is different. The way our businesses provide services is different. If you just cut computers or even communications, we collapse. Our economy critically relies on high-volume, instantaneous communications to keep rapidly-changing facts flowing through commercial logistics management, and would fail with the Pony Express.

      Our economy is built around many businesses which rely on consumer buying power to survive. Making e.g. steel more expensive starts cutting back consumer buying volume, which impacts domestic and international sales by American businesses. The matter of carry capacity shifts, and the maximum population we can sustain actually goes down. Then: the US becomes a lower standard-of-living nation, and possibly must go through severe famine and death before stabilizing at that lower level so as to shed the excess, unsupportable population.

      Trade has increased consumer buying power. It's a big part of that "why is the US so wealthy and why would it suffer in a trade war?" equation: we need to buy from outside. If China starts shutting us out, they'll break their economy worse; and Indonesia right next door is currently selling us cheap, high-quality manufacturing as well, so we'll go next door.

      We set up the free trade system to support Cold War policy

      Oh really?

      The one supreme objective for the future, which we discussed for each nation individually, and for all the United Nations, can be summed up in one word, security.

      And that means not only physical security which provides safety from attacks by aggressors.

      It means also economic security, social security, moral security, in a family of nations.

      In the plain down-to-earth talks that I had with the Generalissimo and Marshal Stalin and Prime Minister Churchill, it was abundantly clear that they are all most deeply interested in the resumption of peaceful progress by their own peoples, progress toward a better life.

      All our allies have learned by bitter experience, that real development will not be possible if they are to be diverted from their purpose by repeated wars, or even threats of wars .

      The best interests of each nation, large and small, demand that all freedom-loving nations shall join together in a just and durable system of peace.

      In the present world situation, evidenced by the actions of Germany, and Italy and Japan, unquestioned military control over the disturbers of the peace is as necessary among nations as it is among citizens in any community.

      And an equally basic essential to peace, permanent peace, is a decent standard of living for all individual men and women and children in all nations.

      Freedom from fear is eternally linked with freedom from want.

      There are, of course, people who burrow, burrow through the

    69. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      You know nothing.
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      ""The Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) is the agricultural policy of the European Union.""

      You just struck out on this topic. Talk you in the next thread but on this one... complete failure.

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    70. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      This is futile. The US lived very well in the past with tariffs. We weren't starving north koreans.

      Peddle your silly arguments to those addled enough to be swayed by such nonsense.

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    71. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Yes, I have read it yesterday. Perhaps you should do that, too.
      It has no 'trade limitations' or what soever between EU nations, how the funck would that even be enforceable?

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    72. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      You mean to people who know that the world isn't just "tariffs" or "not tariffs", but a combination of tariffs, technology, global market health, etc.?

      Funny enough, back prior WW1, we were at today's North Korean wealth levels.

    73. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      No we weren't at NK's wealth levels. Citation needed.

      I can invalidate that rather easily with the housing price over the last 100 years or so:
      https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-kjO...

      If US median income were at NK levels 100 years ago no one would be able to buy homes at that price. They were.

      You're likely not adjusting for inflation.

      The US dollar has lost something like 96 percent of its value since 1917. Recalculate.

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    74. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      The dollar? Bud, look at the standard of living. Back in 1917, the average family-sized apartment was under 400sqft. Never mind what counted as a "car" that cost over half your income, compared to the same thing you get for 56% of your income today. The average household spent over 40% of their income on food, and had to prepare that food at home instead of eating out 4-5 days per week because how would we pay all these servants to make our cheeseburgers and large fries?

      The wooden shipping pallet eliminated 92% of loading and unloading labor in shipping. The amount of the median (and the per-capita) income that goes into the shipping portion of anything you buy is much lower, and shipping distances are longer. The same goes for all kinds of other stuff we've got today that was unaffordable or unavailable.

      Cell phones used to cost $4,000 with $250/month service if you talked 2 hours per week; now we have these insane smart phones and I get unlimited voice and text plus 2GB data for $17/month. I have an internet connection for which I pay $87/month; could have had the same bandwidth in 1998, if I paid $58,000/month.

      Clothes cost 1/4 the share of the income than they did in the early 1990s; they cost a hell of a lot more than that back in 1917.

      You go ahead and play with your inflation measures. Meanwhile the world today has moved on past donkey-pulled carts, rough-cut wooden planking walls, and 80-hour work weeks just to barely feed your family as the sharp blue-collar worker with the high-paying job.

    75. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      on food security alone you're not making sense.

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    76. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Let's try this slowly.

      For every $1,000 the average family had in 1900, they spent $400 on food. They couldn't afford to go out and eat at restaurants all the time, so they cooked food at home rather than pay additional expense for support of another location and wage of employees cooking their food for them.

      For every $1,000 the average family had in 2010, they spent $120 on food. They ate out 4-5 times per week, paying not just for food, but for the wages of restaurant workers, for the rent of the restaurant, for operating electricity and gas, additional taxes, and so forth.

      $120 is less than $400. Buying food and paying servants to prepare it, serve it, and clean up after your mess is buying more than just the food and preparing and cleaning yourself.

      Likewise, the great majority of Americans worked 12-14 days even in 1910. The Adamson act established the 8-hour day in 1916 for railroad workers; the Fair Labor Standards Act made it the natural and common working day in 1937. People worked 80-hour work weeks for that income in pre-WW1 America, which means that $400 comes from half the per-hour pay that it would have from a 40-hour week--or you could just think of it as $800, although trying to resolve that with income share will make your head hurt (it's quite simple: every person worked two of today's full-time jobs to survive, and expended 200% of the income share comparing a modern full-time job).

      That means Americans spent more than 6.6x as much of their labor effort on food back in pre-WW1 US. Where you might work for an hour to afford a thing, a pre-WW1 American worked for over seven.

    77. Re:Played correctly, the US has an advantage by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      North Koreans have food security issues and often extreme mal-nourishment. You're comparing them to Americans a hundred years ago that had no such problems.

      Your argument has no credibility. We're done.

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  8. I guess we're in a trade war by Okian+Warrior · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Importing cheap semiconductors to the EU, designing and assembling my technology in Romania and then selling the finished product to the US could well be cheaper and more profitable than producing it in China and importing it directly from China to the US because the tariffs are going to even out the cents I have to pay the Romanians more? And all that without risking having my designs stolen so the Chinese could crank out cheap knockoffs?

    On behalf of the EU, I wish to express my gratitude towards dear leader across the pond.

    Don't discount the economic damage done by the cheap knockoff process - it's so common that it's become a meme. It's nigh impossible for anyone to make electronics in China any more, even small hobbyist designers (think Adafruit and Sparkfun) get their products copied and sold for pennies.

    Then there's the direct theft of IP (trade secrets, business practices, and such) that the FBI estimates at $600B/year.

    Then there's selling steel and aluminum at below-market prices until our domestic producers go out of business (at last count, we had one steel foundry left that was capable of making the steel plates needed for military hardware).

    Then there's the lack of IP enforcement, so that lots of Chinese run pirated code and view bootleg media without paying for it.

    Then there's "thousand grains of sand", where Chinese students and scientists (in the US) coming back to their country are encouraged to bring one or two small pieces of technological or scientific information.

    Then there's keeping their currency artificially low, so that we always have a trade deficit with them (they end up getting more and more of our money).

    China has consistently violated their trade agreement in every possible way, and has done so for decades.

    We're *already* in a trade war, it's only just now that we're doing something about it.

    1. Re:I guess we're in a trade war by Jzanu · · Score: 2

      And already losing it. Soybeans and pork, anyone?

    2. Re:I guess we're in a trade war by PolygamousRanchKid+ · · Score: 3, Insightful

      And already losing it.

      . . . as in any war . . . the little folks always lose . . . no matter what side they are on . . . none of the little folks win.

      . . . maybe some big business folks and politicians win.

      The rest, lose.

      And we're all little folks.

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    3. Re:I guess we're in a trade war by gnick · · Score: 4, Funny

      And already losing it.

      My president sent me a message that said "trade wars are good, and easy to win". You're not calling him a liar, are you?

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    4. Re: I guess we're in a trade war by peragrin · · Score: 1

      That is called capitalism. Of you can't compete on price then you lose out to those that can.

      Guess what it is how we defeated the Soviets and as china grows it is how we will defeated them too.

      Lastly robotics is going to introduce a new concept in manufacturing. 20-30 years from now. Just in time manufacturing where you go to Best buy to buy a TV and as you pull one off the shelf to take home, they send an order to an automated factory in the next city over, to print and build another one. Using 3d printing, 3d cnc milling , some pre assembled parts, and you can build it quickly and save distribution costs. Bonus is that production equals demand so you can ramp up and down for seasonal shifts. Without firing or hiring workers.

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    5. Re:I guess we're in a trade war by AmiMoJo · · Score: 4, Informative

      Don't discount the economic damage done by the cheap knockoff process - it's so common that it's become a meme. It's nigh impossible for anyone to make electronics in China any more, even small hobbyist designers (think Adafruit and Sparkfun) get their products copied and sold for pennies.

      So the Chinese are basically IKEA... They clone more expensive furniture, mass produce it out of cheap materials and massively undercut the master craftsmen who built the originals.

      Then there's selling steel and aluminum at below-market prices until our domestic producers go out of business

      That is indeed a problem, but pissing off your allies who you need to solve that problem by slapping them with tariffs too isn't the way to solve it.

      Then there's the lack of IP enforcement, so that lots of Chinese run pirated code and view bootleg media without paying for it.

      On the other hand, there's a ridiculous level of IP enforcement in the US. Perpetual copyright, ridiculous patents on rounded corners, even patent trolls whose sole business is suing other people who can't afford to defend themselves. Also, it's not like piracy is rare in the west either.

      Then there's keeping their currency artificially low, so that we always have a trade deficit with them

      The US is just as bad, with corporate welfare programmes and bailouts. The way to fix it is not to double up and start a trade war, it's to do what the EU does and agree to some rules banning it in exchange for trade.

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    6. Re:I guess we're in a trade war by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Far from it. But he reminds me of the routine of a well known local comedy duo:

      A: Are you so dumb or are you just faking it?
      B: Why should I fake being dumb?

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    7. Re:I guess we're in a trade war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      From a nation that built itself on stolen IP and had and still has the FBI , cia and NSA etc steal ip any time they can.

    8. Re:I guess we're in a trade war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't see how these trade tariffs change any of that, all that will happen is cost of goods in US will soar, gov collects more taxes and Chinese keep on doing the same thing. That's about it. Chinese companies won't lose all that much business and they certainly wont stop or change their business practices.

    9. Re:I guess we're in a trade war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Welcome to global economy. Sucks when you can no longer be the only bully in class.

      At least the chinese do not create new markets by carpetbombing other countries under any excuse. Yet.

    10. Re:I guess we're in a trade war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      And an army ready to rumble when someone becomes too much of a nuisance.

    11. Re:I guess we're in a trade war by Camel+Pilot · · Score: 1

      Then there's keeping their currency artificially low, so that we always have a trade deficit with them (they end up getting more and more of our money).

      Lowering the currency is a double edge sword. If the currency is lowered then their purchasing power on the world marketplace is reduced. Everything like this in economics is a double edge sword.

      Then there's selling steel and aluminum at below-market prices until our domestic producers go out of business (at last count, we had one steel foundry left that was capable of making the steel plates needed for military hardware).

      If indeed they really are dumping a commodity like steel... then go on a buying spree, stockpile the steel and aluminum in the Mohave desert and thank them for subsiding our steel national reserve.

    12. Re: I guess we're in a trade war by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Guess what it is how we defeated the Soviets and as china grows it is how we will defeated them too.
      China is probably the most Capitalist country on the world, followed directly by Russia.

      You have no clue what you are talking about because you are not grasping that "economic system" and "political system" are two more or less orthogonal concepts.

      Hint: you can have a regulated free market, capitalism, multi party political system and health insurance
      If you think only predator capitalism, retarded two party system, no health insurance is the real thing, you are mistaken.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    13. Re:I guess we're in a trade war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Importing cheap semiconductors to the EU, designing and assembling my technology in Romania and then selling the finished product to the US could well be cheaper and more profitable than producing it in China and importing it directly from China to the US because the tariffs are going to even out the cents I have to pay the Romanians more? And all that without risking having my designs stolen so the Chinese could crank out cheap knockoffs?

      On behalf of the EU, I wish to express my gratitude towards dear leader across the pond.

      Don't discount the economic damage done by the cheap knockoff process - it's so common that it's become a meme. It's nigh impossible for anyone to make electronics in China any more, even small hobbyist designers (think Adafruit and Sparkfun) get their products copied and sold for pennies.

      Then there's the direct theft of IP (trade secrets, business practices, and such) that the FBI estimates at $600B/year.

      Then there's selling steel and aluminum at below-market prices until our domestic producers go out of business (at last count, we had one steel foundry left that was capable of making the steel plates needed for military hardware).

      Then there's the lack of IP enforcement, so that lots of Chinese run pirated code and view bootleg media without paying for it.

      Then there's "thousand grains of sand", where Chinese students and scientists (in the US) coming back to their country are encouraged to bring one or two small pieces of technological or scientific information.

      Then there's keeping their currency artificially low, so that we always have a trade deficit with them (they end up getting more and more of our money).

      China has consistently violated their trade agreement in every possible way, and has done so for decades.

      We're *already* in a trade war, it's only just now that we're doing something about it.

      Huge trade imbalance with China but China is not allowed to buy a lot of things in the US. Let them buy Whirlpool, Qualcomm or whatever else. Then we complain that they steal IP when we won't sell it to them but run a massive trade deficit.

      The game was that US protects its IP while China protects its market. There end game was that China IP would be in par with US and US companies would establish themselves in China.

      Who knows if this disruption will come out in favor of US or China? There is plenty of damage to the consumers and gains for local producers but it will be the secondary and tertiary effects decades into the future that will tell what this causes.

    14. Re:I guess we're in a trade war by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 2

      So far China is mostly directly targeting areas where Trump and republicans won the election.

      Interesting way to play the situation.

      The more likely result of these tariffs is that the u.s. will literally be cut apart from the global economy and everyone else will move on without the u.s. That and/or a huge recession (with the risk of a global world war that brings).

      I've already seen some fools talking about taking on China militarily.

      China would need to get *1* of their 260 nuclear missles above the u.s. and most of the u.s. would be back to the 1800s.

      Mr. Trump's attitude about war and nuclear weapons is much to trivial. He doesn't take them seriously.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    15. Re:I guess we're in a trade war by avgapon · · Score: 0

      You make interesting points that make it even more puzzling that the Western companies keep going to China for manufacturing needs and do (did) that more and more.

    16. Re:I guess we're in a trade war by q_e_t · · Score: 1

      So the Chinese are basically IKEA... They clone more expensive furniture, mass produce it out of cheap materials and massively undercut the master craftsmen who built the originals.

      I don't think the master craftsmen made flat packs, on the whole. Well, unless they were building cathedral roofs, which were often prefabricated on the ground, but I don't think IKEA sells a 'Snot' flat pack cathedral as yet.

    17. Re:I guess we're in a trade war by JThundley · · Score: 1

      Property can be stolen through theft, ideas are not property and you're not talking about theft.

  9. Re:BAN MACHINE GUNS by gerald.edward.butler · · Score: 1

    Yes, let's be like Nazi Germany, Stalinist Russia, Marxist China, Pol Pot Cambodia. Let's take away everyone's ability to defend themselves from government overreach. Then we'll only have millions killed! Yay!

  10. You're still getting played by the bankers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    This is not about a "trade war". This is about China using economic warfare to destroy our manufacturing capability. This is not a "trade war", this is a maneuver in blatant economic warfare. If we have no steel or aluminum manufacturing, we have no control of our economy and we have no ability to sustain open warfare against a nation-state.

    Consider WWII. While Russia supplied most of the manpower to defeat the Nazi armies, almost all of the manufacturing for the war effort was in the United States. The Chinese see this and have been paying the investment bankers quite handsomly to sell out our manufacturing capability.

    1. Re:You're still getting played by the bankers by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 2

      > This is about China using economic warfare to destroy our manufacturing capability

      Or it's about China trying to provide a modern quality of life to their citizens.

      > almost all of the manufacturing for the war effort was in the United States

      Soviet production numbers were pretty similar to the US. Aircraft, tanks, trucks, all pretty similar.

      > The Chinese see this and have been paying the investment bankers

      So based on a baseless assumption and counter-factual claim, now I introduce a conspiracy theory.

      And you think the problem in the US is China?

    2. Re:You're still getting played by the bankers by gtall · · Score: 1

      Yes, I fondly remember all the 80,000 T-34s the Soviets imported from the U.S. during WWII. And those Kalashnikovs, yep them was built in the U.S. too. And the entire Soviet Air Force used American built planes.

      Now, are any other facts about WWII you'd like to invent?

    3. Re:You're still getting played by the bankers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well trolled. Factually wrong. We produced over 200K bombers, the Russians about 20K. We produced a 100K fighter aircraft to the Russian's 20K. We produced 120K transport aircraft to the Russian's 20K, and 57K training aircraft to the Russian's 4K. On the naval side, we produced 180 capital ships next to 2 Russian battleships. Just as importantly, we produced 250 destroyers and 35,000 landing craft to the 25 Russian destroyers (they had no need for landing craft),

      Switching to the land forces, you decieve by cherry picking; the russiand did produce twice as many artillery tubes and roughly the same number of tanks as the US. However, that wasn't particularly useful with the logistics trail to support them. We produced over 2 million trucks and jeeps to the Russian's 200K.

      This was all due to our ability to refine 7 times the quantity of iron ore that the Russians could. 35 million soldiers in the Russian army were absolutely vital in Europe, but the American's production created the overwhelming advantage against the Axis forces. The Chinese know that, and are waging an existential economic warfare.

    4. Re: You're still getting played by the bankers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And the US still had to hurry to win the war.

    5. Re:You're still getting played by the bankers by soc_cost_priv_gains · · Score: 1

      The Kalashnikovs ( aka A.K. 47 ) were created after WWII in 1947. I believe the war ended in 1945.

    6. Re:You're still getting played by the bankers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes Russia did manufacture a lot of things... but they did also import a LOT of their supplies from the US like all other allied nations. Lend-lease could have supplied between 40-55% of soviet forces at varying times in the war with food, weapons, vehicles and other tools. The absolutes will never be known because the Russians liked to pretend Lend-Lease provided nothing, or at best inferior products. They wanted to appear to have won alone. This is also only looking purely at the Russians. A great deal of what went to the other countries like France and the UK was also manufactured in the US. GP did not say the US did all of the manufacturing for Russia. He was talking about the war against Germany as a whole. It is pretty accurate, most deaths were Russian in the fight against the nazis. Most supplies, whether food, munitions, vehicles, fuel, whatever... was made in the US.

  11. Re:BAN MACHINE GUNS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You are retarded. Meet my friend the cruise missile launched from a naval destroyer 500 miles off the coast of your state.

  12. Re: BAN MACHINE GUNS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Yet the Vietnamese and Afghanists suited fine despite being against those technologies..

  13. Nope. Linear versus curved by Okian+Warrior · · Score: 2

    Making things more-expensive by producing them domestically when it's cheaper to do so abroad always hurts the poor and middle-class by reducing their purchasing power (making them more-poor).

    Let me introduce you to the difference between linear functions and curves.

    Assume you eliminate one job at $40,000 per year, but make widgets cheaper by $.02.

    If there are enough widget sales across the country, the aggregate savings can add up to much more than the $40,000 lost domestically. One person has to find a new job, but millions of dollars can be saved overall.

    The problem is that "one person has to find a new job" isn't free. It puts stress on the job market, driving down salaries, and incrementally increases the chances of someone turning to crime and welfare.

    For each case of producing something cheaper abroad, there's a corresponding *rise* in expenses associated by having an extra person out of work. The 2nd person has a higher social cost than the 1st person.

    So there's a tradeoff. The first couple of people out of work is probably a net win for the country overall, but you quickly reach a point where domestic jobs are hard to get, and the curve becomes flat. When there are more people than there are jobs, the social cost greatly outweighs the financial benefit.

    Being unable to find work hurts the poor much more than reducing their purchasing power.

    You're assuming a linear relationship to a curved function.

    1. Re:Nope. Linear versus curved by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 2

      The problem is that "one person has to find a new job" isn't free. It puts stress on the job market, driving down salaries, and incrementally increases the chances of someone turning to crime and welfare.

      Actually, the aggregate of making the widget $0.02 cheaper would add up to $40,000 of savings for consumers after 2 million units per year. Essentially, that IS your savings: the cost of the jobs you eliminate.

      Jobs don't come from employer charity; the employer has a need for a unit of labor to keep up with consumer demand. Likewise, price competition sets prices. This means that savings to consumers turn over to become job demand.

      The question in creating a job here versus in China is largely whether you're concentrating consumer spending into fewer American hands. The cost of a widget is its manufacturing, shipping, retail, and all other operations and infrastructure support. Reduce the load on that operations and infrastructure support by selling (and shipping) fewer widgets and you lose those jobs. You can do so by concentrating the wealth of all of those into one hand.

      So, for example, if the aggregate cost of a bunch of widget purchasing is $10,000 of Chinese labor and $20,000 of domestic activity, concentrating that purchase into a $30,000 domestic worker's hands takes away from $20,000 of other domestic activity. That means the retailer, the infrastructure efforts, and the shipping all become one guy's wages.

      When the cost of labor is sufficiently similar (e.g. the Chinese labor costs $28,000 and the domestic labor costs $30,000), you actually might come out ahead by producing domestically: people will be more-poor, but the domestic laborer is doing his local spending at local franchises and small businesses and whatnot, diffusing into local wages and local profits, rather than buying at the Chinese noodle shop in China. When the cost of labor is heavy on your end (e.g. $10,000 Chinese labor vs. $30,000 domestic labor), you have a factory worker who is wealthier than the Chinese factory worker, and everyone else suddenly a lot poorer--and a slowing of your economy, and job loss.

      For each case of producing something cheaper abroad, there's a corresponding *rise* in expenses associated by having an extra person out of work.

      It's a time function, as well.

      The argument that we can have unemployment must necessarily suppose that our workforce can't grow infinitely: we don't have employment capacity to supply infinite jobs. Eventually, our economy hits a carry capacity. This happens because technology scales linearly up to a maximum economy of scale, after which each additional unit produced of a maximally-scaled good costs more than one additional unit of labor.

      The simple example is food. You get an amount of yield with modern farming technology when growing food on good land. Run low on good land and you can still grow; you'll invest more labor and get less yield out of poor soil with bad weather. As you can see, we have the capacity to raise the amount of food produced without increasing the cost per unit of food until we exceed a maximum capacity, and then food starts getting more-expensive.

      That's general across all production: an input becomes scarce, and we can brute force our way around that. The generic case is, of course, that you simply don't have the labor to produce it, so you need more labor, more people, and more food and water--which means going from nice, cheap food and water to expensive vertical farming and desalinization just to support the labor force of computer programmers and pop stars.

      In practice, that never happens. As you suggested, there are wage pressures, and a labor shortage will tend to produce rising wages (wage competition). That produces rising prices as well.

      Okay, who cares?

      We bring nearly 300,000 immigrant workers into this country every year. Aside from the constant

  14. You're a candidate? by Okian+Warrior · · Score: 1

    According to your sig, you're running for office as a representative from Maryland.

    Good on you, we need more smart people in congress!

    Please be aware that most economics is based on measures of corporate profits that ignores the human condition. It's *entirely* possible to have a healthy economy, by those measures, up to the point where your country falls to civil war.

    As a representative, please consider that the welfare of the people is paramount to the stability of the country. It does no good to have healthy businesses and a good looking economy if the people are miserable.

    1. Re:You're a candidate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We WOULDN'T be so goddamned miserable if you'd stop voting republitard/libertardian

    2. Re:You're a candidate? by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      I've been all over the board with everything from flatly ending poverty to criminal justice reform to a new bill of rights as a guiding principle.

      Good on you, we need more smart people in congress!

      Brute force: I have no friends. No sense of social need, so I don't get lonely or seek relationships. I ended up running for office because I'm tired of seeing beggars everywhere--it's painful to watch. (That's also how I ended up with a cat.)

      Please be aware that most economics is based on measures of corporate profits that ignores the human condition.

      Economics is an odd subject. The root of economics is that people economize: they seek the most ends for the least means. That means greed, financial sense, and rational behaviors are all the same thing. I figured out a while back that things don't have value; instead, people place a valuation on things: value is a property of your imagination. Things have a cost and a price--and the cost is generally abstracted by money, but ultimately must balance to a trade of labor time, so economics is rooted in the laws of physics.

      The measure of economics is, thus, somewhat subjective: we set goals and then attempt to identify if we are objectively supporting those goals. In general, everyone is actually on the right page: the maximization of profits is the maximization of wealth and the minimization of human suffering.

      The problem is in the way people measure profits and approach that maximization. Business profits are only a matter of cash flowing to one place; the total economy has a GDP (production), a GNI (total income--individual and corporate profits), and per-capita measurements of these (how much is produced/earned per person). GDP-per-Capita and GNI-per-Capita are roughly the same thing, but distinct.

      The per-capita GNI and GDP are interesting because every new person is a producer and consumer, and is tax revenue and service cost. The Government has to provide welfare, roads, police, schools, and so forth; the GNI-per-Capita tells you how many dollars you'll get by taxing a percentage of all income, and the GDP-per-Capita attempts to describe how much stuff you're able to produce per person. I generally consider these things "wealth".

      Others like to look at our national economy, our GDP, and our GNI, which describe our strength in the world as an economic superpower. From that perspective, maximizing our national economic production is the goal. That means a maximum population with a lot of poor, struggling workers managed by bare-minimum welfare.

      Calling a nation "wealthy" because it has, as a nation-state, the most total production and global economic clout has obvious flaws. When you hear people talk about trillions of GDP, that's this kind of wealth. When you hear people talk about poor standards of living, that's the effect of low per-capita measures of wealth. Poor nations tend to be small, low-population, or undeveloped--or all of the above--so they have neither national economic power nor high standards-of-living.

      If you want a rough guide to all this, just look from 10 inches and 10 miles: a poor per-capita nation has a median (or wealthy) family clothed in rags, struggling to eat in their grass hut; a wealthy GDP nation has a powerful military and can quite possibly hold its own in the role of Germany in WW3, even if it's full of farmers living in grass huts. High per-capita wealth measures get you Norway.

      please consider that the welfare of the people is paramount to the stability of the country

      And this is the second problem.

      Hayeki

  15. Thanks, Trump! by Locke2005 · · Score: 0

    Thanks for harming US businesses. I notice there's not tariffs on the clothing you and Ivanka import from China... why is that?

    --
    I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
  16. Wait, what? by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

    > The move would hike the costs of about 1,300 products, including industrial robots

    So the solution to China taking all the jobs because of low labor costs is to increase the cost of robots? Yeah, that'll fix 'er.

  17. What about news? by nospam007 · · Score: 1

    China already retaliated and published a list of 106 articles, Soy, Corn, Beef, Orange juice...almost all the things that Trumps deplorables produce.

    It will be fun to watch how the 'winning' will be going.

    Tiger Blood!

    1. Re:What about news? by gtall · · Score: 1

      Last check of Wall Street shows they are tired of winning and are now running away with their tails between their legs. The Republicans in Congress are tired of winning too, so much so they decided to sit out the recent special elections...might even sit out the midterms to catch their breaths.

    2. Re:What about news? by painandgreed · · Score: 1

      China already retaliated and published a list of 106 articles, Soy, Corn, Beef, Orange juice...almost all the things that Trumps deplorables produce.

      It will be fun to watch how the 'winning' will be going.

      Tiger Blood!

      Have no fear, I have word from a devote Republican (my father) than this is all just meant to bring the Chinese to the bargining table, and then Trump will unleash his mastery of business and deal making on them and easily win this "trade war".

  18. And how dumb are you? by Okian+Warrior · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Far from it. But he reminds me of the routine of a well known local comedy duo:

    A: Are you so dumb or are you just faking it?
    B: Why should I fake being dumb?

    What is the non-dumb move that fixes the problem then?

    Come on, tell us! If the president's move is so obviously dumb, what *should* we be doing to fix the litany of problems?

    Your post implies that you're much smarter than him.

    Don't hold back, tell us please!

    1. Re:And how dumb are you? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Advice for Trump: Increase trade, increase regional and global cooperation, and create new markets rather than destroy them. Secure the livelihoods of voters rather than destroy them. Seek mental help, especially that last one.

    2. Re:And how dumb are you? by Opportunist · · Score: 2

      Get together with other markets that face a similar problem. The EU for example. Because that's where China will redirect its trade now, with the US standing at the fence and looking in. Instead of trying to punish countries, punish corporations that try to weasel out of building in the US. When he started out, there was lots of talk about getting fabrication back to the US and there was a lot of talk about companies moving their production back, what came of that? One of his strengths is PR, so why doesn't he use it? You needn't forbid something if you can shame people into compliance, why not start a campaign (needn't be officially by himself, he's shown more than once that he knows how to play social media like a fiddle) shaming "buying Chinese"? Works for corporations just as much as for private citizens, additionally you can make your chances for government (or any public) contracts depend on "how US" your product is. He's got it way easier than the idiots in the EU who have way more bullshit red tape to cut before they can simply demand something like this.

      And yes, bringing fabrication home would definitely be crucial to an economic recovery. Hell, the fact that people still CAN buy shit shows that this country could easily recover, all it takes is a small push in the right direction. Get people to buy domestic! Make the "Made in the USA" brand worth something again and put some credible effort behind it.

      Focus on what you're good at. We needn't produce everything ourselves, but we should find a way to stop people from buying cheap Chinese crap that nobody needs and breaks within 2 years anyway. Sponsor a TV show that puts a spotlight onto this. Show people just how much money they waste on garbage they don't need, and make sure you single out the Chinese garbage. You have a president that has perfect ties with economy and relevant media, use it!

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    3. Re:And how dumb are you? by squiggleslash · · Score: 1

      What is the non-dumb move that fixes the problem then?

      Is this really what you're asking? You're saying we should do a dumb thing that doesn't fix a problem because the people pointing out it's dumb haven't mentioned something that would fix the problem?

      This is why Congress keeps passing stupid laws. You're the problem.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    4. Re:And how dumb are you? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Get together with other markets that face a similar problem. The EU for example.
      The EU has no similar problem, or do you mean the tariffs the US want to put on european steel and aluminium?

      The EU does not import much from China ...
      And actually it was mostly germany and partly sweden (IIRC) that put the Chinese (and indonesian) steel plant into place. We just sold them our old plants. They came here, dismantled them and put numbers on each piece and rebuild them in their country.

      Italy was also involved, that started in the 1980s. European steel is 95% recycling steel, I doubt there is a single plant left in Germany that imports raw ore and cooks its own fresh steel.

      The problem with the US is always the same: predator capitalism. Not willing to pay a wage a man can feed his family from. Looking at the bottom line and thinking: "hey! It brings more money next 2 years if we lay off all workers and sell the plant!"

      And when one says something I said above, he gets defamed as "socialist" or "communist" while he simply points out that company owners in the US have no moral, and the society is at the verge of collapse since decades.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    5. Re:And how dumb are you? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It always amazes me how much better Europeans understand the situation in the United States than Americans do. It's almost like there's some sort of framework in place to keep us ignorant...

    6. Re:And how dumb are you? by q_e_t · · Score: 1

      The EU does not import much from China ...

      Are you serious? From Eurostat: "Among the EU's trading partners, China was the largest partner for EU imports, and the second largest partner for EU exports in 2016.". Imports are just shy of 350b Euros per annum.

    7. Re:And how dumb are you? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Yes I'm serious. The EU GPD is: $17.1 trillion (nominal; 2017) $20.9 trillion (PPP; 2017).
      However you got me surprised that it is meanwhile indeed so much.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    8. Re:And how dumb are you? by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Distance helps when you want to see the whole picture.

      It does create problems, though. From this distance, your two parties look like one.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  19. Re: BAN MACHINE GUNS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That didnâ(TM)t stop the Vietcong. It hasnâ(TM)t stopped the Taliban. The only thing that works against determined fighters is boots on the ground and a military willing to slaughter civilians- ala Tienaman square.

  20. chinduino by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't mess with the Chinduinos buddy or you'll have a lot of very mad and very smart people to deal with.

  21. you're a fkin idiot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    US dollar is down over 10% vs China since the Trumpster came to power.
    China hardly exports any steel or aluminum to the US.
    Is that $600 Billion worth of pirated movies? Surely it's in the Trillions.

  22. Re:BAN MACHINE GUNS by vtcodger · · Score: 1

    You might want to note that China rejected Marxism after the disastrous Cultural Revolution. Nowadays, they are capitalist -- perhaps more so than the US. What they aren't is a representative democracy. But then neither, in practice is the US which is more of a two party oligarchy Hard to think of a country that actually is a representative democracy .... Iceland maybe. Switzerland somewhat I'm told

    --
    You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
  23. Re:BAN MACHINE GUNS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If your country is a shithole as big as any of the cited regimes, having guns or not is the least of your problems. With that said, your country isn't like any of those regimes (is retarded and deeply flawed, that allows for gerrymandering - a very legal way to rig elections - but it's not as bad as the cited regimes) so stop being a f*cking drama queen and act your age... or at least come up with a better fallacy.

  24. Here's a thought.... by gerald.edward.butler · · Score: 0

    You give up your guns. I'll keep mine locked away in a gun safe like they've been for over 10 years. I prefer to have the option to defend myself against tyranny. You can go fuck yourself!

    Stop trying to undermine and water-down the constitution. You may want 1984, but, I (and many like me) don't. So choke on your own cum you fucking batshit idiot!

    1. Re:Here's a thought.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, you prefer to have the option to be mental, that's all.

      All evidence across all other first world, industrialized, western countries shows a reality that completely shatters your opinion, and yet you think that your unfounded opinion is equal to the facts. That's should be the very definition of insanity.

  25. Re: BAN MACHINE GUNS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nuking civilian targets also works wonders.

  26. Deficit is exagerated by aberglas · · Score: 2

    Australia has a huge trade Surplus with China, and a huge deficit with the USA. So the money goes around in a circle.

    And if one focuses on the goods, rather than the money, China is supplementing US incomes, which is silly.

    However, there is a good non-macro economic reason to restrict some things like robots. The US did well historically by supporting its inefficient watch making industry against the Swiss. When war came, they could make instruments.

    But I think that the USA will do what it does best -- large scale farming. And China will do what it does best -- manufacturing and technology.

  27. The stupidity of a trade war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Nobody wins a trade war. Everybody loses.

    A trade war is not capitalistic. It is not free market. It is crony capitalism; managed trade designed to benefit favored companies at the expense of the consumer. I'm a Republican (not happily; more for practicality), and this trade war is the dumbest thing Trump has done.

    American and Chinese consumers alike will suffer because of this.

    1. Re:The stupidity of a trade war by losfromla · · Score: 1

      If repugnicans are against it then I'm all for it.
      Actually I was all for it because "Professional Economists" support it, fucking nutjobs.
      I think it is the first logical thing the orange occupier of the WH has done since he decided being a psychopath was his path in life.

      Protectionism and stealing patents got the US to where it got to at its apex. It is what has gotten China to where it is today. It works because it works.

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    2. Re:The stupidity of a trade war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      fuck off ivan go back to blowing putin

  28. Re:BAN MACHINE GUNS by dev-in-seattle · · Score: 1

    Yes, let's be like Nazi Germany, Stalinist Russia, Marxist China, Pol Pot Cambodia. Let's take away everyone's ability to defend themselves from government overreach. Then we'll only have millions killed! Yay!

    Hitler did zillions of bad things, you can't use his choices as a childish negative reason just because he did it. Hitler built up industry, supported engineering, so we shouldn't do those things? Hitler & his generals were pretty good at tactics, they used tanks well for a time, should we not use tanks? There are endless things like this. Hitler was an almost beyond belief evil leader, who was able to motivate an entire country to do horrible things together. But he brushed his teeth occasionally, don't make idiotic comments that just because he did something we shouldn't. It's like saying "socialism is bad", I am calling X socialism, so it's bad.

  29. Re:BAN MACHINE GUNS by dev-in-seattle · · Score: 1

    You might want to note that China rejected Marxism after the disastrous Cultural Revolution. Nowadays, they are capitalist -- perhaps more so than the US. What they aren't is a representative democracy. But then neither, in practice is the US which is more of a two party oligarchy Hard to think of a country that actually is a representative democracy .... Iceland maybe. Switzerland somewhat I'm told

    China is not really captialist. The govt can step in and change things whenever it suits them, and they do it all the time, like restrictions on money, propping up failing govt loans and real estate overbuilding. They blocked cryptocurrency.

    The us is a democracy, we do have real third parties that sometimes win elections. Not much, but the main reason is the vast majority of people vote for one of the candidates they know. And of course dem and rep don't exatly encourage the rise of third parties, plus our govt system kind of accidentally discouraged third parties with winner take all style congress. We have a lot of problems like too much influence by rich people, the attacks of rich people have been winning for a while but it's not as bad as you say. We aren't quite living in idiocracy but we are moving that way. If we have another president like trump it might be that we are doomed. following the roman empire decline of a series of bad leaders.

  30. But Trump! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Big Giant Orange Head says that we are not in a trade war. Therefore we are not.

    Big Giant Orange Head is always right, even if he contradicts the laws of economics and physics. If such a contradiction arises, the laws change to conform to what BGOH says!

  31. Cheap goods support The West by TJHook3r · · Score: 1

    In the US, cheap foreign manufacturing has done more to improve the lives of the poor than any govt policy. Sure, it might have taken a load of jobs, but look at all those cheap tellies and PS4s that even the jobless can afford. Mild /s