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Tesla Batteries Retain Over 90 Percent Charging Power After 160,000 Miles, Survey Finds (engadget.com)

According to a survey of over 350 Tesla owners, Tesla batteries retain over 90 percent of their charging power after 160,000 miles. The EVs dropped only 5 percent of their capacity after 50,000 miles, but lose it at a much slower rate after that. Most Tesla vehicles will have over 90 percent of their charging power after around 185,000 miles, and 80 percent capacity after 500,000. Engadget reports: Tesla has no battery degradation warranty on its Model S and X luxury EVs, but guarantees that the Model 3 will retain 70 percent battery capacity after 120,000 miles (long-range battery) and 100,000 miles (shorter-range battery). That's a bit more generous than the one Nissan offers on the Leaf (66 percent over 100,000 miles) for instance. According to the survey data, Tesla will easily be able to meet this mark.

188 comments

  1. Too expensive by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

    I'd like to see the results of Tesla's amazing battery tech on electric bicycles.

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    1. Re:Too expensive by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 2

      Those use pretty much the same kind of batteries, don’t they? You might not get 500k miles out of them on a bike, but in terms of capacity after x charge/discharge cycles they might well be similar.

      80% capacity after 500k miles is pretty good if it’s true. Currently, the condition and remaining life of the - expensive - battery is a big worry for buyers in the second hand EV market. It would be great if that’s shown to be a non issue.

      --
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    2. Re:Too expensive by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      This 'survery' was basically a collection of message board posts. 350 respondents, but the article doesn't say how respondents reported results with so many miles. I looked at the first few pages of respondents and none reported having driven near 100K miles yet. So I assume the actual sample of high mileage owners was quite small. Too bad the author neglected that obviously important info.

    3. Re:Too expensive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      would make for a much more boring report and one would have to wonder of the few that have driven that far how many are telling the truth? I would suspect some would just be trying to make Tesla look better (happens in survey based results, but when the sample size is so tiny it can have a significant affect).

    4. Re:Too expensive by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 5, Informative

      This 'survery' was basically a collection of message board posts. 350 respondents, but the article doesn't say how respondents reported results with so many miles. I looked at the first few pages of respondents and none reported having driven near 100K miles yet. So I assume the actual sample of high mileage owners was quite small. Too bad the author neglected that obviously important info.

      OK, here is the actual data if anyone is interested;

      https://docs.google.com/spread...

    5. Re:Too expensive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If that is the data then the report is pulling numbers out of its arse. only a tiny fraction have been over 200,000km, none over 500k

    6. Re:Too expensive by nospam007 · · Score: 1

      "I'd like to see the results of Tesla's amazing battery tech on electric bicycles."

      I'd like to see you drive 500.000 miles with that bike.

    7. Re:Too expensive by dgatwood · · Score: 5, Informative

      Those use pretty much the same kind of batteries, donâ(TM)t they? You might not get 500k miles out of them on a bike, but in terms of capacity after x charge/discharge cycles they might well be similar.

      I doubt you would even get close, realistically, for two reasons:

      • Tesla vehicles use a heat pump to keep the battery within a narrow operating temperature range to minimize battery degradation during both regenerative braking and normal charging.
      • Tesla vehicles contain additional pack balancing circuitry to ensure that each cell gets charged as much as possible even if it is surrounded by weaker cells, and to ensure that cells can discharge as much as possible before the pack fails.

      A bicycle is not likely to do either of those things. It probably isn't even physically possible to usefully put a heat pump into something the size of a bicycle—a motorcycle, maybe, but not a bicycle.

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    8. Re:Too expensive by willy_me · · Score: 2

      The Tesla batter will also play games much like modern cell phones. They will only charge to 80% and never discharge below 30%. Applying this technique in cell phones is what allowed Apple to integrate a non-replaceable battery that would get 1000 charge cycles. Previous phones would only get ~100.

      Electric bikes want to maximize their range so they probably go from 0 to 100% when charging / discharging. Most battery powered electric tools do the same thing --- working time is more important then the number of charge cycles. Maximizing energy storage at the expense of longevity is a good compromise for such applications.

    9. Re: Too expensive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      After replacing all the parts many times, is it still the same bike?

    10. Re:Too expensive by dgatwood · · Score: 3

      The bigger problem is that there are four different batteries represented here: the 75kW, 85kW, 90kW, and 100 kW packs. And that's not even counting all of the silent upgrades to those batteries over time. From what I've read on the various Tesla-related forums, the early 90kW batteries lose their capacity much faster than other models.

      By combining every pack version into a single number, it masks any design flaws in any single model of pack, resulting an average that doesn't reflect anyone's actual experience; if the 90D packs really are significantly worse than average, then for most users, the experience will be much better than these numbers suggest, and for those unlucky few, the experience will likely be much worse.

      A more useful way to summarize this data would be something more like "X% of 90D battery packs were projected to have 90% of their life or more at XXX,000 miles." at several different mileages.

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    11. Re:Too expensive by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 0

      It's OK, it's Tesla. We're expected to accept numbers pulled out of the arse because Musk (praise be unto his name).

      --
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    12. Re: Too expensive by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 2

      There is still one original washer on the seat clamp assembly,

    13. Re:Too expensive by geoskd · · Score: 2

      I'd like to see the results of Tesla's amazing battery tech on electric bicycles.

      This does not appear to be exclusive to Tesla batteries. I have two EVs, the older one has more than 60k miles on it, and the decrease in capacity is barely noticeable

      I expect that this has to do with the battery conditioning that is present on all modern EVs, which means that it would be impractical for bicycles.

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    14. Re:Too expensive by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      I was referring to the pack balancing circuitry. Why would that be useless on a bicycle?

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    15. Re:Too expensive by dev-in-seattle · · Score: 2

      tesla has the most miles driven, the most long distance ev cars. there just aren't much info from their competitors.

    16. Re:Too expensive by haruchai · · Score: 1

      If the average Model S was only getting 120 miles out of a full charge, there would be hundreds of Tesla every day that needed towing.

      --
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    17. Re:Too expensive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let's see... 10,000 per year on a bike is fairly common (depending on home-work distance I've averaged from ~5000 to ~15000 per year), so... see you in ~50 years :)?

    18. Re:Too expensive by vtcodger · · Score: 1

      Moreover, they are reporting what the car tells them is the remaining battery capacity. Unlike Lead Acid batteries, it is apparently difficult/impossible to determine charge state of Lithium ion batteries from the battery voltage except near full charge and near empty. Since EV owners presumably avoid low charge states. there's little or no opportunity for the computer to recalibrate capacity based on actual battery charge level information.

      The vehicle computers could be a lot more honest than than those in laptops and cell phones and still be not terribly accurate.

      --
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    19. Re: Too expensive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because the novelty in Tesla's battery packs is the level of balancing in a battery pack with that many cells. A bicycle battery will only have a few cells, and we've had balancing in small batteries for years

    20. Re:Too expensive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The Tesla batter will also play games much like modern cell phones.

      I wouldn't really call it playing games.
      A limitation of the batteries they use is that the batteries breaks down faster when going outside that range.
      By derating the batteries they last longer. (Works for most electric components. If you only use relays at half the rated current they will last a lot longer.)

      You could argue the NiMH batteries experiences the same issues. You can technically discharge them to below 0.8V, but if you do that they will break even faster than Lithium.
      The difference is that the charge you can get out of the NiMH battery there is pretty insignificant so nobody cares.

      In lithium batteries there is a lot more usable charge if you don't think it is a problem to replace the batteries every month.

    21. Re: Too expensive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      kWh, not kW. Units matter. One is energy, the other power: two different things. What's the value of your post if you can't even get the very basics right ?

    22. Re:Too expensive by inflex · · Score: 1

      If you're just having a once-off voltage sample only, then yes, predicting the current % capacity of a lithium pack is quite tricky given their fairly flat discharge curve and the fact that depending on what load you're imposing the voltage swings a fair bit depending on the pack internal resistance; however, in its place we use coulomb counting, with coulomb counting you're measuring the energy being put in and taken out, and as such you can track with a far greater level of predictability.

      Here's a quick stater guide - https://www.digikey.com.au/en/...

    23. Re:Too expensive by jeremyp · · Score: 1

      That seems like a reasonable number to me. If the manufacturer quoted range is 300 miles, you can bet that is under ideal conditions i.e. on a flat route with no heavy acceleration or deceleration and with the air conditioning turned off. Also, if you know you will only be doing 100 miles in a day, you might drive a bit harder, reducing the range still further.

      --
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    24. Re:Too expensive by pezpunk · · Score: 1

      the range on Tesla vehicles is certified by the EPA. Testing consists of both highway and city duty cycles, and is intended to simulate real-world conditions -- their cars go through the same process that internal combustion engine cars go through for their MPG estimates.

      --
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    25. Re: Too expensive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ouch, jealous much?

    26. Re:Too expensive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There wouldn't be a big enough power drain on a bike for it to matter. The problem with Tesla's battery pack is it is so large passive or even active air cooling is a nonstarter.

    27. Re: Too expensive by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      Yikes. Not sure how I made that mistake once, much less five times.

      *hangs head in shame*

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    28. Re:Too expensive by MDMurphy · · Score: 2

      Some of it already is. The trick to maximizing battery longevity ( not vehicle range ) is to charge slowly and not charge or discharge too much. The OTA update that let Florida owners have an extended range to evacuate ahead of a hurricane was an example of relaxing that discharge amount temporarily. If use only 60-80% of a battery packs actual capacity it will live longer.

      There are electric bicycle chargers that do this, charging at a lower rate and to a lower voltage to extend the battery's life. Some are adjustable so you can charge faster when needed or to a higher level for the occasional planned long trip. Setting the battery management system's low voltage cutoff to a higher value keeps you from discharging too deep.

      There's no free lunch. If you want to use 700 W/hr of power on your electric bike you can have a 700 W/hr battery and use it till it's dead every time. Or you can have an 850 W/hr battery, use less than it's total capacity and it will have a longer lifespan.
      That's essentially what Tesla does, the usable range based on something less than the battery's absolute capacity. People who didn't understand whined when Tesla extended the capacity in FL, incorrectly thinking that Tesla had been holding back range from them all along. In reality, it's been a balance between vehicle range and battery longevity.

    29. Re:Too expensive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the range on Tesla vehicles is certified by the EPA

      Those Edmunds.com haters managed to repeat the pathetic range (equivalent of ~140 miles) with a Model X towing a small trailer.

      Some German energy minister had to reject his Model S (P100 apparently) because 300km (170 miles) unrecharged range.

      Looks like EPA estimates are not being realized in real world driving.

      BTW pezpunk, where are your battery survey results? (seems like Rei is all talk and no action to the same question)

    30. Re:Too expensive by sexconker · · Score: 1

      Yes, that's why the Android battery usage graph and estimated time to empty / full charge is so accurate!
      It's also why my 1 year old, $800 smart phone absolutely never hard shuts off at 15%.

    31. Re:Too expensive by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      I was referring to the pack balancing circuitry. Why would that be useless on a bicycle?

      It wouldn't be. I interpreted the GGP post to be saying that the cells should behave similarly on a bicycle already, and was explaining why Tesla's battery management tech matters. (That said, as a previous poster noted, there may not be enough cells in the pack for it to make any difference.)

      --

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    32. Re:Too expensive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      good comment, why only a score of 2?

    33. Re:Too expensive by inflex · · Score: 1

      That's a separate but still important issue, relating to the internal resistance / health of the pack.

      You can have a pack that still has plenty of energy left in it but if it's internal resistance is too high relative to the demand you're imposing on it then the voltage output will drop significantly and subsequently your device shuts down. As the cells get older their Ri increases and for a given load and requirements then the pack effectively "fails" at a higher charge% state from the observer's perspective.

    34. Re:Too expensive by pezpunk · · Score: 1

      my range is great. when i take trips, it's always within 1% of its predicted range.

      like i said, we took a 550 mile trip recently and it was wonderful. you seem to have a real grudge against Tesla for some reason, but i'm in love with this car. by far the best and most fun car i've ever owned.

      feel free to respond with more snark and anger, but all i have to report is happiness with my vehicle.

      --
      i could live a little longer in this prison
    35. Re:Too expensive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      like i said, we took a 550 mile trip recently and it was wonderful/quote>

      like i said, edmunds.com took a 120 mile trip recently, and that german politician took a few 170 mile trip recently...it wasn't so wonderful

    36. Re:Too expensive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      like i said, we took a 550 mile trip recently and it was wonderful

      like i said, edmunds.com took a 120 mile trip recently, and that german politician took a few 170 mile trip recently...it wasn't so wonderful

  2. Re: Survey? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Can't do wrong selling cars when you can't produce any to sell!

  3. Shelf Life? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    More interesting would be the capacity rating over a say 10 year life period, rather than (partial) charge cycles. Tesla hasn't been in existence long enough for this though.

    1. Re:Shelf Life? by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

      It should be possible to do analysis on changes that have occurred in cells over a short period of time and infer a future mode of failure. Don't ask me how specifically because I'm not a battery chemist.

      --
      “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  4. Tesla Batteries by grep+-v+'.*'+* · · Score: 0

    I thought they used 18650s -- just a BUNCH of them with a lot of battery monitoring hardware.

    If that's right, would they hold their overall charge capacity longer because people (I assume) keep them topped off and not routinely run them down to 0%? (Who wants an unexpected walk?) Or is it the battery monitoring stuff being "nice" to the battery as long as possible?

    Or do they have "special selected electrons" in their power stations? (Only the roundest ones for our customers, so they slide around easier. One, two.

    --
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    1. Re:Tesla Batteries by intermelt · · Score: 3, Interesting

      18650 (18mm x 65mm) is a size. Implies nothing about the battery technology. Also Tesla is now using a 2170 (21mm x 70mm) cell which is not only 50% larger in volume/capacity, it can also deliver about 2x more instantaneous current due to the adjusted proportions.

    2. Re:Tesla Batteries by mspohr · · Score: 1

      Tesla does use 18650s (2170s in the Model 3) but their chemistry is "special"... not the same as laptop batteries.
      Teslas do have a sophisticated battery monitoring system and a battery cooling/heating system to keep the batteries at a comfortable temperature. They don't overcharge the batteries and don't permit them to get run down too low. Charging at Superchargers is carefully controlled to keep the battery temperature and charge rate in the range that is healthy for the batteries.
      This is much different than laptop batteries where most manufacturers want to publish high numbers for battery capacity so they routinely overcharge them and allow them to go very flat.

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    3. Re:Tesla Batteries by dfghjk · · Score: 2

      2170 (21mm x 70mm) Implies nothing about the instantaneous current as it also Implies nothing about the battery technology.

    4. Re: Tesla Batteries by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      If that's right, would they hold their overall charge capacity longer because people (I assume) keep them topped off and not routinely run them down to 0%?

      You couldn't run them down to 0% if you wanted to; the software won't let you.

      The exact percentages aren't publicised, but the onboard software likely only ever let's you charge up to maybe 85-90%, and discharge to 10-20%. If you actually could charge to 100% and discharge to 0% you would get a significant bump in range, but would also destroy the battery pack much faster.

      I have an extended battery for my phone so I now do the same thing roughly; on a typical day I will limit the charge to 84% and discharge to maybe 30-40%. On days when I'm at home and not using it much I'll leave it plugged in and set to maintain the charge between 62 and 64 percent (pretty much the best range for battery health). After a year of doing this the capacity loss is significantly less than previous batteries I've had.

    5. Re:Tesla Batteries by viperidaenz · · Score: 1

      Lithium batteries tend to lose capacity fastest when they're kept at full charge and high temperature.
      If you manage temperature well and keep them between 20 and 80% charge, they'll last a long time.

      I wouldn't be surprised if they over-provisioned the batteries to trade capacity for service length by not charging the cells as much as they could.

    6. Re:Tesla Batteries by Khyber · · Score: 1

      "it can also deliver about 2x more instantaneous current due to the adjusted proportions."

      Uh, no not really. It can deliver more current because of additional and thinner layers providing more surface area for electrons to travel across, plus a tweaked battery chemistry.

      --
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    7. Re:Tesla Batteries by Rei · · Score: 5, Informative

      Indeed. A few other things:

        * For a vehicle with a range of, say, 250 miles, where the driver drives, say, 25 miles per day, is only using 1/10th of a cycle per day.
        * Few owners charge to 100% daily. Most set a limit in the 60-90% range, with 70% and 80% being common. So not only are they doing shallow cycles, but they're doing shallow cycles in a near-optimal-for-longevity portion of the pack.
        * Unlike laptop batteries, which are often just cells in series and thus limited by the weakest cell, Tesla packs have many dozen cells in parallel forming bricks, which are then linked in series (these in turn are linked in parallel). A failure in an individual cell has an insignificant impact on the whole.

      In short, you have shallow cycles, in a gentle portion of the charge curve, with a chemistry specifically designed for long life, a failure-resistant architecture, and climate controlled to optimal operating conditions. You get what you design for. A cell phone and a laptop, by contrast, design for low unit cost and high energy density. Tesla packs are only 150-180Wh/kg, whereas you might get over 240Wh/kg in a cell phone battery. But cell phones and laptops are only designing for a couple year lifespan, with deeper cycles every day, no redundancy, no climate control, etc

      --
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    8. Re:Tesla Batteries by Rei · · Score: 1

      It's a combination. Tesla locks off the top several percent (depends on the chemistry / pack, but say 5%) permanently, and the owner never sees it (the bottom is also locked off). Beyond this, however, owners generally only charge to 70-80% in their everyday life, because there's no need for more and it's good for longevity. You only charge up to "100%" (which is really ~95%) when you know you're going on a long trip the next day. Some people don't even do that. And almost nobody supercharges to 100%; it's time-inefficient, since charge rates are so much faster at lower SoCs. You just charge up enough to get to the next place you want to stop (plus whatever safety buffer you prefer), unless you're busy doing something while charging (eating a meal or whatnot) and might as well let the vehicle keep charging.

      --
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    9. Re:Tesla Batteries by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 2

      Sounds like a pretty busy job, managing your charge level this way. Enthusiasts (the present customer base) may be into it. The general public won't be.

    10. Re: Tesla Batteries by haliburns · · Score: 0

      Yes , this sounds like one of those things computers will never automate.

    11. Re: Tesla Batteries by geoskd · · Score: 1

      I have an extended battery for my phone so I now do the same thing roughly; on a typical day I will limit the charge to 84% and discharge to maybe 30-40%.

      Just as important for phone battery longevity is keeping them in a healthy temperature range, which means not keeping them in a pocket, and keeping them out of direct sunlight when driving. A belt mounted phone clip can effectively double the lifespan of the battery.

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    12. Re: Tesla Batteries by Octorian · · Score: 1

      Yeah, they'd never have a slider on the charge settings screen where you can set the max charge level. Where they set it to 80% by default, and show that anything above is only for the roadtrip exception. Oh wait...

    13. Re: Tesla Batteries by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      "A belt mounted phone clip can effectively double the lifespan of the battery."

      This also makes for great birth control.

    14. Re: Tesla Batteries by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      I don't think that's how you're supposed to use the clip ...

    15. Re:Tesla Batteries by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The laptop batteries I've opened all seem to have the same "string of battery pairs" configuration (pairs of cells are placed in parallel, then those pairs are put together in series). Over many discharge/recharge cycles this means that some of the pairs will run at lower and lower voltages (undercharge) while others get charged to higher and higher voltages to make up the difference (overcharge), so it's hardly surprising the battery life isn't what you might expect.

      Optimally during charging each battery would be (electronically) taken out of series and effectively charged on its own to its optimal operating voltage, but this is more complicated (and hence expensive) and besides; why would a manufacturer want you to replace your laptop less often?

    16. Re:Tesla Batteries by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      lap top batteries (in fact ALL lipo/lion cells in series) are charged with a balancing charger. Unless you want it to go boom that is.
      If you open a laptop battery up you'll see the string of cells in series, sometimes one by one by one and sometimes two paralleled. the main connections are at the ends, giving the full voltage of the series array, but there are also wires at each cell junction which run to the charge controller allowing it to prevent over charging of cells and allowing each series cell to get to the correct voltage.
      You can see this more clearly in the lipo batteries used for quadcopters and other RCs.
      The have the main connector (XT-60 usually) with just the positive and negative rails, then a smaller connector with the wires running to individual cells so you can check the voltage of each cell. The charger, usually an imax-b6 or clone, uses the balance connector to properly charge it up and you can watch the voltage of each cell in the battery as it charges. It's a good way of seeing if there is a weak cell.

      Fun thing is in most dead(ish) laptop batteries i've taken apart (about 70 or so) there's usually one cell that's toast ( 0v ) and the rest are ok. i've had a fair few where the whole lot are dead but more often it's just one cell.

    17. Re: Tesla Batteries by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The default on the charge level slider is at 90% charge, not 80%...

    18. Re:Tesla Batteries by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      no chemistry is the fucking same. (they are panasonic batteries)

      why is it that people keep up with this bullshit?

    19. Re:Tesla Batteries by sexconker · · Score: 1

      Damn, you got him with his own juice!

    20. Re:Tesla Batteries by sexconker · · Score: 1

      Because TESLA = MAGIC, okay? Even when they use COTS parts.

      The only thing Tesla does is over provision. You advertise a capacity and throw in more cells than you need for that capacity. Then you have your controller expose, drain, and charge only the advertised capacity. At the beginning, this means you're getting less usable capacity than you actually have, but it meets the advertised figure. As the cells wear out, your controller simply uses more of the actual capacity to maintain the advertised figure. Eventually, they'll still wear out to below the advertised figure.

      I'd much rather see smaller batteries or batteries run closer to actual capacity and battery swaps. Wasn't Tesla advertising battery swap stations to compete with the refuel time of a regular car? Let Tesla manage battery lifecycle outside of the car. Let the car run with less dead weight and give it more trunk space, or give it a longer rated range (closer to the full capacity of the cells). Tesla can recharge drained batteries whenever and send off aging cells for recycling / reconditioning. The end game would be similar to swapping your LPG tank for your grill at the supermarket.

    21. Re: Tesla Batteries by sexconker · · Score: 1

      Too bad modern Android phones are all about TURBO RAPID MAX BLAST charging and the shitty SoCs heat the damn phone like nobody's business.

      Simply charging my current phone with the screen on results in temperatures that are uncomfortable to touch.
      If I'm running GPS navigation with the screen on, I have to place it in front of the AC vent.

      The situation isn't unique to my phone, several Nexus devices I've had first hand experience also love overheating, as does a budget mid range phone from Motorola.

  5. 80 percent over 500,000 miles is more impressive? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    THIS IS SURVEY DATA so that is of note off the bat.. I wonder though how short 'actual driving and charging' randomness would affect that outcome as compared to long 'highway miles' full cycle testing regimes?

  6. So Warranties and Guarantees dont describe quality by intermelt · · Score: 1

    This isn't news but really just standard practice. News would be comparing the real world battery life and degradation against all available EV batteries and then comparing those figures.

    A warranty means nothing compared to real world figures. I have several products warrantied for life. In most cases it costs more to ship the product in for replacement or repair than it does to purchase a new one. Then there are the standard 1 year warranties on electronic products. I'm sure 99% have far exceeded their warranty period.

    All this is saying is that a piece of technology didn't catastrophically fail.

  7. Re:So Warranties and Guarantees dont describe qual by intermelt · · Score: 1

    One thing I would like to add. It is highly possible these and other EV batteries are treated more like SSD's. You may purchase a 480 gig SSD, but it really has 500+ gigs available. This "extra" capacity fills in for failures and makes you think your drive is reliable when it may not be.

    If an EV predicts your mileage. You use that as the number. It tells you nothing about the actual battery capacity. Also you can't really check batteries for pass/fail cells like a sector on a drive. Some could be at 90% some at 99% and others at 75%. The car will just give you a random estimated range that is associated with capacity which was most likely a very conservative number in the beginning.

  8. How are their batteries so much better than laptop by greenwow · · Score: 1

    batteries? I have a pile of Dell Latitude batteries on my desk for laptops mostly between eighteen months and two years old that I need to distribute. We've recently been buying Dell Precision laptops since they have internal batteries that don't have the problems removable batteries have. Too many of our users have laptops shutoff when they're walking into conference rooms. It sucks having to wait on people running meetings that take 5+ minutes for Windows to reboot while you're waiting on them to screen share. I hate not having user replaceable batteries, but they do have fewer problems with unintentional disconnects. I'm just dreading our next round of Dell battery replacements since I'll have to open the case. We bought a batch of Precision 5520 laptops last July, and I've replaced batteries in almost half of them so far. They take me about twenty-five minutes to do. I know I'll get better with practice, but that's still a lot of work.

    Why can't laptop batteries last as long as Tesla batteries?

  9. Re:So Warranties and Guarantees dont describe qual by MrL0G1C · · Score: 2

    You must really hate electric vehicle to be so negative. I think the fact that these batteries last 500,000 miles is pretty amazing. Usually lifetime warranties are not for batteries because no-one expects batteries to last a long time. Look at laptop batteries, they only used to last 2-3 years regardless of whether you even used the laptop.

    "All this is saying is that a piece of technology didn't catastrophically fail." No, it's saying that the battery tech is very good and the batteries can be recharged a shit-ton of times without major degradation.

    "standard practice" isn't even a term you can apply to goods.

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    Waterfox - a Firefox fork with legacy extension support, security updates and better privacy by default.
  10. Musk's dilemma.... by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 5, Interesting
    He never wanted to go public, he hates all the strictures that come with SEC regulation of being a publicly traded company. He would love to take it private. But too many people believe in him and it is nearly impossible to find private investors at this valuation. So in some sense if the shorts crash the stock price and take it low, he will be able to put together financing to take it private.

    Of course, that will void all the billion dollar options and package he has now, but he does not care much about money personally. So that is not a problem. But he has so much ego and would not like the shorts to win either. That is his dilemma.

    He needlessly limited his options, by responding to Economist and Bloomberg, saying categorically he is not going to seek financing etc. He should have thrown in some weasel words in there.

    But, in the end, Space X is very good shape, it is likely to land some really big defence contracts and communication satellite launches. So like he used Tesla to rescue Solar City, he will use SpaceX to rescue Tesla. By the time Tesla rescue package bill comes due, Tesla is likely to be in a much better shape and will weather the storm.

    If it is not SpaceX, he can tap the Japanese bond market through the battery making partner Panasonic. Or he can sell out to the devil and bring China in and they would gladly retire the Solar City rescue package debt for a decent chunk of Tesla and access to its AI experts. So my personal hunch is the shorts are going to escape with just some minor losses, suing for a draw.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    1. Re:Musk's dilemma.... by Rei · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Indeed. There's so many funding sources it's not even funny (even the short-selling echo chamber over at Seeking Alpha has covered this). And they didn't even get into the Musk aspect like you did. He's already demonstrated that he's more than willing to use some of his companies to bail out others, and that other stakeholders in his companies are - despite some grumbling dissenters - more than willing to let him. SpaceX is on a roll - they'll probably have half of the global launch market this year. Russia has basically thrown in the towel. SpaceX just got a 500M investment at a $24B valuation, and there's tons more investors wanting a piece of it who can't get one. If Tesla needed it, who wants to wager a bet that SpaceX doesn't suddenly decide that it wants to preorder a ton of semis for hauling rockets, preorder a gigacharger network along their route, order some powerpack buffers for their liquid oxygen plants, offload (at contracting rates) engineering work to Tesla, etc, if not outright buy part of the company? To say nothing of Musk's other ventures. At some point, for example, Boring Company is going to need to do a fundraising round in order to pay someone who engineer and build the Loop vehicles. Gee, what company do you think they might pay to do that?

      Beyond the cash issue, the short selling thesis is fatally flawed because of numerous wrong assumptions, such as "Model 3 production will only be 2500-3500/wk at the end of the year", "SG&A will remain at a constant ratio with automotive gross profits", and "There's serious competition on the near horizon". All three of these premises are nonsense; for each of them, I understand their logic train, but it derailed a couple stops ago. They also ignore the growth potential of Tesla's other divisions (although, sure, they're not going to carry Tesla on their own).

      --
      No matter how kind you are, German children are kinder.
    2. Re:Musk's dilemma.... by Kjella · · Score: 1

      Meh, to me it looks like a lot of exaggerated drama. Tesla got >3 billion on hand and can burn money at their current rate for well over a year. Meanwhile they've had a massive facility ramp-up. Bloomberg estimates they now produce 2733 Model 3s a week, if they can hit their 5k/week end of quarter goal all those shorting will be crying. Either way I think this more for investors and how good ROI they're getting, not that Tesla is going anywhere...

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    3. Re:Musk's dilemma.... by whoever57 · · Score: 4, Informative

      I saw one article (I can't find it now -- perhaps it has been pulled), that attempted to compare ICE cars and Tesla cars, specifically the Model 3. It claimed that the Model 3 had a big drawback that would have to buy a new battery in 20 years time. Guess what you call most ICE cars when they are 20 years old? Mostly: recycled metal and other materials. The basis for the new battery claim ignored published data on the life of batteries, choosing instead to substitute some numbers the author had pulled out of one of his orifices.

      The article also chose to arbitrarily increase the cost of batteries from what they are today, instead of assuming that battery prices would continue to drop.

      I am convinced that some big short sellers are paying for a disinformation campaign, to force Tesla stock down.

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    4. Re:Musk's dilemma.... by Michael+Woodhams · · Score: 2

      SpaceX has big capital intensive plans of its own, and may not be available to bail out Tesla. Not only is SpaceX building the BFR, but they're also planning to build and launch at least 2200 of their own satellites at 400kg each.

      Bare in mind that Musk really really does not want to take SpaceX public. He wants to take SpaceX to Mars, which can't be justified in dollars, so couldn't happen if SpaceX were public.

      --
      Quattuor res in hoc mundo sanctae sunt: libri, liberi, libertas et liberalitas.
    5. Re:Musk's dilemma.... by 110010001000 · · Score: 0

      You must be dumb then to invest in a company that needs other companies to "bail them out". It always boggles my mind why people invest in companies that have no earnings, pay no dividends, and have a real chance (even small) of going bankrupt. What is the point? Because you think Tesla is cool? Do you think the stock is going to go up 3000%?

    6. Re:Musk's dilemma.... by Rei · · Score: 3, Informative

      Apparently you stopped reading before "the short selling thesis is fatally flawed because of numerous wrong assumptions"

      --
      No matter how kind you are, German children are kinder.
    7. Re:Musk's dilemma.... by Rei · · Score: 3, Informative

      Nah, the shorts will first try to claim it's a burst rate. After a few weeks they'll start switching their attacks to "Tesla can't be profitable." Once Tesla turns a profit they'll switch it to "It's a one-time thing, but doom is just around the corner. DOOOOM!!!"

      --
      No matter how kind you are, German children are kinder.
    8. Re:Musk's dilemma.... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      The battery is actually a big asset. When the car is recycled or the battery does reach end of its useful life for propulsion, it can be sold off for use in less demanding applications like home battery packs, UPS systems, utility level smoothing etc. Or even just passed on to someone who can live with 150 mile range, which it turns out is an awful lot of people.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    9. Re:Musk's dilemma.... by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 2

      I am smart enough not to buy Tesla stock. I am also smart enough not to short Tesla stock.

      --
      sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    10. Re:Musk's dilemma.... by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1
      No. Lots of shorts will get their fingers burned and learn not to short Tesla.

      The big hedge funds will move on. But the small time shorts that lost money will stay on the sidelines and egg on the next batch of shorts "go ahead, *this* time it will be different".

      In each iteration their numbers will shrink and they will be reduced to bad mouthing Tesla in Seeking Alpha and in sub reddits.

      --
      sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    11. Re:Musk's dilemma.... by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1
      Tesla's production rate has a phase lag of about a quarter. At the rate of 2500 cars a week and 45K per car, it works out to 1.5 billion dollars. For operations as big as SpaceX or Tesla 1.5 billion loan for one more quarter is not a big deal.

      Musk is not writing off 1.5 billion from SpaceX. He is just rearranging the cash flow. In his mind, Tesla is not writing off the Solar city bonds. He believes all the companies will succeed, and all that is going on is simple rearrangement of cash flow.

      So he will not be averse to using SpaceX to squeeze the shorts.

      --
      sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    12. Re:Musk's dilemma.... by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      Forget justifying it in dollars. The specter of liability looms overhead knowing that statistically, someone might die on such a mission to mars.

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    13. Re:Musk's dilemma.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, kind of like those morons who use to scream that every hiccup at Microsoft was "another nail in their coffin" and that "Linux will rule the desktop in 5 years."

      I love the people who think that these mammoth companies (and sometimes even entire industries) are going to shrivel up and blow away overnight. The doom sayers are pretty easily ignored.

    14. Re:Musk's dilemma.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You really don't understand public trading, do you?

  11. Unlike my Apple laptop by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

    Which lasts about 18 minutes after two years of charge-discharge cycles.

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
    1. Re:Unlike my Apple laptop by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Attention, I must cry out loud!" But you cry because you bought an APPLE LAPTOP, lol, but are then after being pre-milked are too cheap to have the battery replaced? Haha. You deserve yourself obvious whiner.

    2. Re:Unlike my Apple laptop by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 1

      Really? The 2015 MacBook Pro I got for work in Spring 2016 can still go 8+ hours - I’ve recently taken it through a full work day on battery as a test of the estimates it provided (until I upgraded from El Capitan - High Sierra doesn’t provide those estimates).

      I admit I rarely fully discharge it though; usually the furthest I take it is to 50-60%. But over the years I’ve had consistently good battery experiences with Mac laptops... excepting perhaps the second-generation Air whose battery eventually started swelling. I can’t speak to the 2016 and 2017 generation of laptops, however.

      --
      #DeleteChrome
    3. Re:Unlike my Apple laptop by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

      And if I said it was a Dell laptop you wouldn't have said a word.

      I think it's interesting that a Tesla doesn't need a new battery, but a laptop does.

      --
      “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
    4. Re:Unlike my Apple laptop by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

      Mine sits on my desk charging about 99% of the time. I usually don't realize how short the battery life has gotten until I that rare occasion when I need a laptop in a meeting. Replacing the battery made all the difference, and I'll see if in another year or two if the problem repeats itself.

      --
      “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  12. Tesla is Done by apoc.famine · · Score: 5, Funny

    Teslas don't work in the winter, they are too expensive and nobody buys them, there is no way to charge them on any sort of reasonable road trip, they won't work for me because I commute 500 miles every day, and they're just propped up by the government anyway. Add to this that they can't manufacture them in volume, they will run out of batteries, they'll run out of the raw materials for the batteries, and nobody wants them anyway, and look at all the recalls!

    My ICE doesn't drop down to 90% capacity after 160,000 miles. This is just proof that Tesla will never be successful, and there's no reason for us to keep talking about them.

    Tesla. Is. Dead.

    (Did I hit all of the hater points, or did I miss one or two?)

    --
    Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    1. Re:Tesla is Done by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 5, Funny
      You missed many more: Tesla factory must be terrible if the CEO had to pull all nighters to fix the issues. The Solar City bonds will kill them. And the fit and finish is so poor, you can actually fit a Prius in the gap between the frunk lid and the fender.

      And we all will sorely miss matching our wits against the dealership salesdroid. I love doing research on Truecar, Vehix.com Edmunds and Costo.....

      --
      sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    2. Re:Tesla is Done by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      i am afraid you are not the normal user. normal people don't commute 500 miles every day.

      most people drive their cars less than 10 miles per trip.
      http://www.solarjourneyusa.com/EVdistanceAnalysis7.php

    3. Re:Tesla is Done by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      My ICE doesn't drop down to 90% capacity after 160,000 miles.

      Yes it does. I have a 1992 seventh generation Toyota Corolla with just under 500k miles. The vast majority trips I take are less than half a mile since that's how far I live from Microsoft where I've worked since 1993 so that's hard miles. I only paid $6,500 for it since it was wrecked during a test drive when new. I've kept a spreadsheet every time I've bought gas, and it got about 20% less gas mileage when I had 160k miles as compared to new.

    4. Re:Tesla is Done by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1
      Most important reason why electric cars are doomed to fail:

      Someday I plan to buy a boat and haul it once a year for 1200 miles to Chesapeake bay from Tulsa OK. And if that trip can not be done in one tank of gas, that truck, that I have not bought yet, is totally worthless. So not only I won't buy it, nobody else will buy it either. So all electric cars are doomed to fail.

      --
      sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    5. Re:Tesla is Done by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      And the fit and finish is so poor, you can actually fit a Prius in the gap between the trunk lid and the fender.

      Oh, that's priceless. I'm stealing that, thank you very much.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    6. Re:Tesla is Done by viperidaenz · · Score: 1

      You ICE probably burns 10% more fuel after 160,000 miles and has probably lost power too.
      Unless you completely rebuild the engine...

    7. Re:Tesla is Done by alvinrod · · Score: 1

      I think you got most of them, but you probably could have dedicated a paragraph or two towards hate for Elon Musk personally. I don't think you can really drive home how terrible Tesla is without pointing out that Elon Musk is a massive failure that can't run a business.

    8. Re:Tesla is Done by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1

      most people also will detect sarcasm 500 miles a away.

      --
      sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    9. Re:Tesla is Done by quantaman · · Score: 1

      Teslas don't work in the winter, they are too expensive and nobody buys them, there is no way to charge them on any sort of reasonable road trip, they won't work for me because I commute 500 miles every day, and they're just propped up by the government anyway. Add to this that they can't manufacture them in volume, they will run out of batteries, they'll run out of the raw materials for the batteries, and nobody wants them anyway, and look at all the recalls!

      My ICE doesn't drop down to 90% capacity after 160,000 miles. This is just proof that Tesla will never be successful, and there's no reason for us to keep talking about them.

      Tesla. Is. Dead.

      (Did I hit all of the hater points, or did I miss one or two?)

      I actually think you only hit half a hater point, the rest are new to me.

      The one you got half-right is the recalls, which is related to the recent Tesla production issues, basically Tesla is still a new entrant to a very old industry. Re-inventing the car manufacturing process (as any new entrant must do) means you're going to make a bunch of screw ups along the way. Some will show up as production delays, others as recalls when the cars start breaking down in ways they don't expect.

      But the real big "hater point" is the auto-pilot, which they're promoting to be far more safe and capable than it really is. If it weren't for the auto-pilot I'd still be a big Tesla fan, but I have very little patience for selling a fake self-driving car just so you can go down as first in the record books.

      --
      I stole this Sig
    10. Re:Tesla is Done by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      And the fit and finish is so poor, you can actually fit a Prius in the gap between the frunk lid and the fender.

      That is so totally an exaggeration. No WAY can you fit a Prius. A Ducati, maybe.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    11. Re:Tesla is Done by OldMugwump · · Score: 1

      I esp. like "nobody wants one because they can't make them fast enough to fill the orders".

      --
      "Shoot, a fella could have a pretty good weekend in Vegas with all that stuff."
    12. Re:Tesla is Done by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      I can't believe I forgot that one.

      "Tesla won't be successful until their vehicles can haul a 20 ton boat over the Rockies during the winter on a single tank of gas on autopilot. I expect a vehicle to conform to my lifestyle, goddammit!"

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    13. Re:Tesla is Done by whoever57 · · Score: 1

      The *real* problem is that the frunk is too small to fit the Ducati.

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    14. Re:Tesla is Done by pezpunk · · Score: 5, Interesting

      i did pick up that post was sarcastic. but still i feel like mentioning that my Tesla has worked just fine through two winters, including days well below freezing.

      I also wanna mention just this spring, my family took the Tesla on a 550-mile road trip to Charleston, and it was a phenomenal trip. counter-intuitively, it was easier and more pleasant than it would have been in an ICE vehicle. Only had to stop every 4-5 hours or so, and since superchargers tend to be located in the parking lots of nice places to eat most of the time, it lined up perfectly with our meal schedules. the car was ready to go long before we were.

      My wife thought we would have to take the minivan, because we don't pack light at all. But we were able to fit everything the four of us needed for a week in an unstocked beach house (including clothes / towels / food / toys / house supplies / beach chairs / pool noodles / etc) easily with plenty of room to spare. for a "sport sedan" the Model S has an unreal amount of cargo room.

      also it's neat to drive 1200 miles on a vacation and spend $0.00 on fuel.

      --
      i could live a little longer in this prison
    15. Re:Tesla is Done by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Sadly, with the way Teslas on autopilot will ram motorcycles we will soon see if a Duc will fit in the gaps...

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    16. Re:Tesla is Done by pezpunk · · Score: 0

      (i drove 80mph the whole way, by the way. there was no need to hypermile or worry about my range at any point)

      --
      i could live a little longer in this prison
    17. Re:Tesla is Done by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      You guys are being so fancy.

      The short and simple is:

      "Tesla won't be successful."

      It won't scale up to the whole world.

      Keep having fun, niche products are rewarding to enthuse about. The Macintosh. for example, has been a joy for it's owners for decades now. Like the Tesla, it only works if a small minority of the population can gain membership to the club.

    18. Re:Tesla is Done by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My ICE car is at 145,000 miles and it's down to 75% capacity. The tank didn't get any bigger and the engine isn't as efficient anymore.

    19. Re:Tesla is Done by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why would you say those are hard miles? When I interviewed with Microsoft I got frustrated because nobody moved. Biggest bunch of pussy drivers I've ever seen. I can't imagine anybody pushing their car driving there.

    20. Re:Tesla is Done by Octorian · · Score: 1

      No, normal people commute 500 miles with a fully loaded pickup truck every day... To a shack out in the hills where there is no electricity.

      At least that's what at least one stereotypical hater usually comments on these threads :-)

    21. Re:Tesla is Done by Octorian · · Score: 1

      Probably an artifact of the "full-size" hatchback design... The Model S has an unbelievable amount of cargo room for a "car".

    22. Re:Tesla is Done by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You missed the biggest problem of all, the "Tesla crash" effect. When a normal car is involved in an accident, it is simply a car accident; but when a Tesla is involved in an accident it is a "Tesla crash" and appears at the top of all major news sites immediately. There are roughly 16K car accidents per day in the US. If all of them were Teslas, it would be devastating to the internet - there wouldn't be enough bandwidth left any other news.

    23. Re: Tesla is Done by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, you missed two.

      Tesla is a horrible company because they won't allow people to buy a salvage Tesla and rebuild it (Tesla purposely bricks the cars).

      Tesla won't service those cars, leaving owners with a lump of crap.

      Tesla won't provide service manuals except at exorbitant prices and only to citizens of Massachusetts.

      Tesla won't sell parts to anyone except if Tesla installs them.

      And Tesla refuses to replace unsafe Takata airbags in salvage teslas despite it being required to do so by law.

      Tesla won't sell service tools or give you access to them.

      We'll, that's more than two. BTW, all other auto manufacturers don't do those things. Ford will sell you service tools, service manuals, will repair any Ford even if it was branded salvage, will sell you parts, and is fine with you servicing it elsewhere. Also, Ford doesn't brick your car because you sold it to a junkyard.

    24. Re:Tesla is Done by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      >

      My ICE doesn't drop down to 90% capacity after 160,000 miles. This is just proof that Tesla will never be successful, and there's no reason for us to keep talking about them.

      Once you take account of wear in the engine and other age-related degragation, your ICE is probably getting less than 90% the mileage it got new.

    25. Re:Tesla is Done by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

      "Tesla won't be successful until their vehicles can haul a 20 ton boat over the Rockies during the winter on a single tank of gas on autopilot. I expect a vehicle to conform to my lifestyle, goddammit!"

      ITYM:

      "I expect a vehicle to conform ot the lifestyle I wish I had dammit!"

      Now the bigger question is why some people do apparently fantasize about hauling very large things over steep terrain on a single tank of gas. I'd never have guessed it but honestly it does seem to be a thing.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    26. Re:Tesla is Done by bazorg · · Score: 2

      Only had to stop every 4-5 hours or so, and since superchargers tend to be located in the parking lots of nice places to eat most of the time, it lined up perfectly with our meal schedules.

      Having a Tesla supercharger is likely to be a way to tell good restaurants from lesser competitors.

    27. Re:Tesla is Done by Rei · · Score: 1

      Wow, a car barely bumped a motorcycle at low speeds causing no damage. That never happens! Please, someone alert the world media!

      --
      No matter how kind you are, German children are kinder.
    28. Re:Tesla is Done by Rei · · Score: 1

      The one you got half-right is the recalls, which is related to the recent Tesla production issues

      This is not correct.

      1) The recall was on Model Ss. There are no production issues with the Model S.
      2) The defect was in a Bosch part. Bosch supplies pretty much everyone, not just Tesla.

      --
      No matter how kind you are, German children are kinder.
    29. Re:Tesla is Done by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What about the shitty working environment at the Tesla factories? It's so utterly terrible, the team in charge of styling the cars make them look like garish pile of crap rather than a slick, lean flying machine.

    30. Re: Tesla is Done by Rei · · Score: 1

      I know someone who salvages Teslas. If you want a salvaged one, I can point you in his direction. Then again, you refer to "salvage Teslas" despite saying that they don't exist, so I'm not sure how to interpret your post.

      --
      No matter how kind you are, German children are kinder.
    31. Re:Tesla is Done by argStyopa · · Score: 2

      "also it's neat to drive 1200 miles on a vacation and spend $0.00 on fuel." ...he/she said, having spent upwards of $75000 on a sedan to save what....$180 (assuming 20 mpg/$3 per gallon)

      Look, you may love Teslas and it may work for your life-patterns, but let's not try to fool anyone that you're driving one to save money.

      You could have purchased a BMW 6-series GT (assuming you want that 'level' of vehicle based on you having the $ to buy a Tesla in the first place) *retail* and saved about $4000 or about the equivalent of TWENTY TWO of those trips.

      --
      -Styopa
    32. Re:Tesla is Done by b0bby · · Score: 2

      Yeah, but I bet that if you drove the 6 series and the S back to back you'd choose the S. I have never driven either, but I'm about to sell my 3 series convertible because I prefer to drive my Leaf. And the Leaf is about the crappiest econobox EV you can get, with a battery tech which will probably see me losing 20% of my already paltry range in 5 years. And still, I enjoy driving the EV more.
      If I can limp my other ICE along for a few more years, I hope to never have to buy another car with an ICE.

    33. Re:Tesla is Done by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      At least they will have the option to. Good luck doing any maintenance on your Tesla :)

    34. Re:Tesla is Done by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      No, Tesla's Autopilot ran into a motorcycle. The police officer who was hit (yes - it hit a POLICE VEHICLE) got off the bike in time; this Norwegian rider wasn't so lucky. Need we go on with more Autopilot failures?

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    35. Re:Tesla is Done by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, but I bet that if you drove the 6 series and the S back to back you'd choose the S. I have never driven either

      How can you claim knowledge of what someone else would choose when you could not know what you would choose yourself?

    36. Re: Tesla is Done by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fortunately we would run out of Teslas in a week and a half at that rate, so the crisis would be short-lived.

    37. Re:Tesla is Done by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Where I live, recently a driver crossed into oncoming traffic, striking a cyclist head on and killing them.

      Need we go on with more human driver failures?

    38. Re:Tesla is Done by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      mmm, 550/80 = 6.875

      and you stopped every 4-5 hours, lol something smells?

    39. Re:Tesla is Done by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Is the driver of the car called an autopilot, and promised as a technology to revolutionize driving?

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    40. Re:Tesla is Done by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A car hit a motorcycle? That's never happened before.

    41. Re:Tesla is Done by b0bby · · Score: 1

      I know, based on having driven an EV, that I would not choose a remotely similar spec ICE over an EV. I extrapolated from that, in the term "I bet", that others would have a similar reaction. I claim no knowledge of what others would choose, I feel that there is a likelihood one way or another and I bet that it's in favor of the EV.

    42. Re:Tesla is Done by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "I drove 80 mph the whole way" is colloquial for "I occasionally reached a top speed of 80 mph in optimum conditions." Averaging 80 mph over a whole trip is serious bat-out-of-hell speed, especially if there is any heavy traffic, construction, or metropolitan area involved. You'll have to do long stretches of 100+ to make up for even a few short slowdowns. No way OP is doing that with wife and kids on board.

    43. Re:Tesla is Done by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Did I hit all of the hater points, or did I miss one or two?

      You forgot the two most egregious: the owners and the vanity plates.

    44. Re:Tesla is Done by pezpunk · · Score: 1

      haha, that's correct. my highway cruising speed was 80mph. yes, there were occasional slowdowns for traffic, on ramps, side roads, etc.

      --
      i could live a little longer in this prison
    45. Re:Tesla is Done by pezpunk · · Score: 1

      ok you caught me, i didn't LITERALLY drive 80mph the whole way -- there were on ramps and side streets and bouts of traffic where i we travelled more slowly. great point???

      --
      i could live a little longer in this prison
    46. Re:Tesla is Done by pezpunk · · Score: 1

      call me when they make a 6-series that does 0-60 in 2.4 seconds. the kids LOVE that. :)

      --
      i could live a little longer in this prison
    47. Re:Tesla is Done by pezpunk · · Score: 1

      (the wife ... not so much)

      --
      i could live a little longer in this prison
    48. Re:Tesla is Done by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Either your car is very old (like 1970's or older), or is poorly maintained. 145k is nothing on a modern car if it's reasonably well taken care of.

  13. Re:How are their batteries so much better than lap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And worse, why do Dell laptop batteries die so suddenly? We setup Dell Command Power Manager to not charge batteries above 80% to increase life, but we still have so many batteries die in less than two years. We have an IT guy that travels between our offices, and I think nearly half of his time is spent on troubleshooting and replacing batteries. Worse now is that the internal Dell batteries are expanding and breaking cases now.

  14. Re:So Warranties and Guarantees dont describe qual by viperidaenz · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Laptop batteries are kept fully charged, right next to the hottest components in the system.

    It's like they are designed to degrade the life of the high margin consumable part of the product you can usually only buy from the manufacturer due to its proprietary design..

  15. Re:How are their batteries so much better than lap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The last battery we bought from Dell was for a Precision 5520 bought new last July. We paid $325 for it. Apparently Dell considers batteries to be profitable so they're not going to do anything that increases their life.

  16. Re:Survey? by Rei · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Hint: Tesla owners didn't collect this data for you. They collected it for themselves.

    --
    No matter how kind you are, German children are kinder.
  17. Re:How are their batteries so much better than lap by Rei · · Score: 5, Informative

    1) Laptop batteries are designed for energy density, not longevity. There are tradeoffs in chemistry selection.
    2) They're not climate controlled. Just the opposite, they're right next to a source of heat.
    3) They go through deeper cycles, over a wider portion of the SoC range.
    4) They have no redundancy / cell bypass
    5) They're designed for a product with a pre-determined expected lifespan of only a few years, so they have no incentive to do better.

    You can design to any spec, if you're willing to accept the tradeoffs.

    --
    No matter how kind you are, German children are kinder.
  18. Batteries will outlast the car by OldMugwump · · Score: 1

    Since most cars are junked before 250k miles, and virtually all are before 500k miles, this means that Telsa battery packs ought to outlast the car. It'll be interesting to see what can be done with the resulting cheap secondhand battery packs. OTOH, maybe Telsas will last longer than ICE cars. They have hardly any moving parts compared to ICE cars - even the brakes don't wear out because most braking energy goes back into the battery pack. Esp. the Models S and X, which are made out of aluminum and so won't rust. I've yet to hear of a Model S dying from old age. (Just got my long-awaited invite to order my Model 3. Yay!)

    --
    "Shoot, a fella could have a pretty good weekend in Vegas with all that stuff."
    1. Re: Batteries will outlast the car by mspohr · · Score: 1

      Most cars are junked because the engine and transmission wear out and need to be replaced or rebuilt. Teslas don't have either, just an electric motor with one moving part which should go for many more miles.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    2. Re:Batteries will outlast the car by toddestan · · Score: 1

      Well, there's two components here - the number of cycles and age. Most ICE cars are scrapped at around 15-20 years of age. I kind of doubt the batteries are going to be much good for anything at that age (except for recycling) no matter how few miles the car was driven. Actually, I would guess that a decent number of electric cars will meet their end when the original battery gives up when the car is over 10-12 years old.

  19. Re:Self selected survey, no reason to trust it by dgatwood · · Score: 3, Informative

    Tesla batteries have an eight year warranty. Tell us another one.

    --

    Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

  20. Temperature controlled by burtosis · · Score: 4, Informative

    Tesla batteries last in part because of the advanced temperature control. They are kept warm in the winter, and cooled when you are flooring it, hot lithium batteries don't last long and cold ones don't perform well till they warm up. That's why the leaf is bad in some situations as a very cold or hot pack hurts performance and lifetime accordingly. A second strategy is to not fully charge or discharge them, using only a fraction of the battery pack capacity. This also extends life quite a bit and is used by virtually all electric car manufacturers. Here is a good article on a particular cell the tesla uses. Tesla, like several others, use cells that are more robust to abuse with a long life at the expense of actual capacity at high discharge rates, but it's a good tradeoff price wise even though the cells are more expansive. Not covered here is the long term stability of the cells as not a function of cycles but one of cycles and time. Just like any battery they age even if not used. You may get a whopping 35 thousand charges if you go from 80% to 20% capacity but that's not the case if you wait 10 years and store the battery properly. So take this article with a grain of salt because it does not have an actual time component other than couple of years it takes to get the data. These cells haven't been around 20 years so one needs to extrapolate and guess as to the actual long term viability.

    1. Re:Temperature controlled by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      There are 8 year old Nissan Leafs out there that suggest these numbers are looking quite reasonable. There were some early issues with the Leaf packs in certain climates that Nissan resolved, but beyond those they have proven to be remarkably reliable robust.

      To this day Nissan has never sold a replacement battery pack (there is a part number and a price, about $4k). They removed the 80% charge long-life mode from newer models too, which is actually kinda annoying as it was more energy efficient too.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    2. Re:Temperature controlled by Rei · · Score: 1

      To this day Nissan has never sold a replacement battery pack (there is a part number and a price, about $4k).

      $5,5k plus installation, according to this. For the 2011-2015 (84 mile) leafs.This more recent article suggests $6,2k for the 24kWh, $7,6k for the 30kWh pack, and $7800 kWh for the 40kWh pack. Being made available in May. So I'm not sure where you're getting this "To this day Nissan has never sold a replacement battery pack" stuff.

      There were some early issues with the Leaf packs in certain climates that Nissan resolved, but beyond those they have proven to be remarkably reliable robust.

      It's not just been one pack. The introduction of the 30kWh pack led to a new wave of degradation problems. Not that the improved 24kWh degradation rate was stellar, it just wasn't catastrophic for people in hot climates like it previously was.

      Nissan seems to go through battery problems every time because of their cost-cutting no-active-cooling system approach. The most recent is #RapidGate; the 40kWh pack generally hits an overheat temperature around 200-250km, sometimes as much as 300km, into a trip, and from thereout charging rates are cut in half.

      Nissan is finally introducing active pack cooling next year. About bloody time.

      --
      No matter how kind you are, German children are kinder.
    3. Re:Temperature controlled by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      To date I don't think they have sold any replacement packs. They have done some under warranty but I don't know of any actual sales to someone who just wanted to replace their out-of-warranty one.

      The new scheme is quite interesting. Maybe they have reached the point where they think there is demand, although you have to wonder if anyone will take them up... $6200 isn't much less than you can buy a good condition 24kWh Leaf for anyway.

      Maybe if you could upgrade to the 30 or 40kWh pack or something it might be more attractive, and I think that at least for the 30 it's pretty much a straight swap. The Leaf BMS seems to cope just fine with people adding extra cells to their packs.

      The 30 does seem to have higher degradation, but it's probably too early to tell how much of an issue it is. The 40 #RapidGate stuff is terrible, a complete disaster. As summer comes around and temperatures go up people are finding they can't even do the first rapid of the day at full speed.

      I really hope they can fix it for the 60. It needs 100kW charging as well. It's such a shame about the 40, it's a nice looking car and ProPilot at that price-point is pretty incredible, but the battery problems and the crappy instrument cluster (analogue speedo, really?) and the rather old head unit software is disappointing.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  21. Odd metric by Archfeld · · Score: 1

    How long did it take to get that many miles ? Not a really good metric. They need to quantify how long it took to get to that mileage, or how many recharge cycles that encompassed. If I drove 20k miles per year, or 40k miles per year, it makes a huge difference.

    --
    errr....umm...*whooosh* *whoosh* Is this thing on ?
    1. Re:Odd metric by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      from the data it is impossible to tell as NO ONE in the dataset actually did that many miles, they seem to have made up the numbers beyond 200k

    2. Re:Odd metric by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A business I'm a part-owner of has a Model X 100D doing a regular courier run into the Australian outback that's a 1,300km roundtrip.

      There are three runs per week so it's doing about 200,000km/year. We've only had it going for about 6 months, but are very happy with the performance and cost savings already of almost $8,000 alone in fuel. The driver prefers it greatly over the Mercedes van that we were using before.

      A supercharger is used at about the half way point, but at each end of the trip it is plugged into a Tesla wall charger (20kW three-phase I think it is) for overnight charging on off-peak rates while the driver sleeps.

      It's going to be interesting to see how the battery is holding up at the 12 month mark and then 12 months after that. I'm actually more interested in how the rest of the car holds up to so many miles though, even though the route is entirely bituminised.

      I wonder how Tesla's hold up to being driven on unsealed roads?

  22. Re:Here You Go by wolfheart111 · · Score: 1

    Just got one of these about week ago, amazing machine. A guy can drive by in a new tesla, nobody would notice... ride one of these people gawk... even the ones driving $100,000 wheels.... bloody annoying. https://www.voltbike.ca/voltbi...

    --
    [($)]
  23. Survey? by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 1

    Looks more like a web forum discussion. I have to admit, I was initially expecting another “internal”memo - Tesla’s PR wing has been working overtime to change the tone of the overall public discussion lately.

    In any case, it’s not really news that the batteries of pretty much *all* EVs and Hybrids have lasted longer than was initially estimated, even before Tesla was a thing. So I’m not sure why this is particularly noteworthy. However it’s good news for Tesla owners, for sure.

    --
    #DeleteChrome
  24. What you call an ICE car when over 20 years old by Latent+Heat · · Score: 2

    My "daily driver", you insensitive clod!

  25. Gas Tank by wisnoskij · · Score: 2

    And my Gas tank still has 100% capacity after 160,000 miles.

    --
    Troll is not a replacement for I disagree.
    1. Re:Gas Tank by pezpunk · · Score: 2

      analogy fail.

      it's unlikely you are still getting the same MPG as when the car was new, at least not without rebuilding a number of major components. and if you are, you are an outlier.

      --
      i could live a little longer in this prison
    2. Re:Gas Tank by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 5, Funny

      My Subaru gas tank developed a rust through hole on the side wall of the gas tank at around 109K miles. It lost more than 80% of capacity.

      --
      sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    3. Re: Gas Tank by mspohr · · Score: 1

      But your engine and transmission are shite.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    4. Re:Gas Tank by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe I'm an outlier, but my 20 years old car with about 140000 miles does not show significant degradation of fuel efficiency. I attribute it to the fact that it is almost exclusively used for long trips. It does 2000-3000km in a week 2 or 3 times per year and then stays parked (I just take it out for a 100km ride every 3 or 4 weeks to keep the AC in shape). In short, the motor, gearbox and so on, have very few thermal cycles for their age, well below 50 per year, so about 1000 altogether.
      Of course a few parts have been changed, but apart from the obvious (tires fairly regularly, oil and other fluids), the most frequent item needed replacement has been the (lead-acid) battery. This is a manual transmission, gearbox is in theory lubricated for life.

    5. Re:Gas Tank by houghi · · Score: 1

      Mine had a hole and went from 50L to infinite.

      --
      Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
    6. Re:Gas Tank by tomhath · · Score: 1

      That's a feature. When you have a hole in your gas tank you get better mileage by driving fast than you do when driving slow.

    7. Re:Gas Tank by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1
      funny! Who modded this funny!

      The garage was in the basement, I could smell gas, and was freaked out. Moved the car to drive way, worried sick, assumed the whole thing can explode any minute. The leak was very small but the underside was coated with gasoline. There was gasoline vapor under the car, there was this hot exhaust ... Shivers even now when I think about it.

      Was exaggerating a little to say it lost 80% of the capacity. The leak was in the neck, near the gas filler cap.

      --
      sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    8. Re:Gas Tank by ghoul · · Score: 1

      Do you get it regularly cleaned to remove the gunk from gas which collects at the bottom? Mine after 5 years is only at 80% capacity as if I go below that gunk starts to enter the engine

      --
      **Life is too short to be serious**
    9. Re:Gas Tank by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      Though I know you posted this in jest, the difference is to replace a gas tank is what a couple hundred dollars? To replace a Tesla battery would be what 5 or 10k to replace?

  26. Re:Survey? by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 0

    That sounds a little cultish. Are these people the 21st centuries' Airstream owners?

  27. Percent Charging Power by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

    As an electrical engineer, this made me dumber.

  28. Re:How are their batteries so much better than lap by geoskd · · Score: 1

    And worse, why do Dell laptop batteries die so suddenly?

    The number one battery killer is heat. The absolute worst place to have a laptop battery is inside a laptop next to 50 watts of space heating. Cooking a battery at temperatures above 100 degrees Fahrenheit will destroy it quickly even if it is not being actively used. That is why laptop and phone batteries don't last very long. Car batteries on the other hand are actively cooled to prevent damage to the battery, and they are not subjected to external heating from other system components.

    --
    I wish I had a good sig, but all the good ones are copyrighted
  29. Re:Survey? by Rei · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Gee, I can't imagine why owners would want to collect data to determine how long they can expect their batteries to last. It's just beyond comprehension.

    --
    No matter how kind you are, German children are kinder.
  30. Cooling batteries during charging in the key by dev-in-seattle · · Score: 1

    The Tesla batteries last longest because they are actively cooled (and heated in cold weather) when charging. That's the magic key to keeping the batteries from going bad, and not being impacted why charging at high kws. That's the reason why leaf's are damaged by frequent high voltage/amperage charging. It's tesla's magic feature, and it's a major piece of tech that up to now at least their competitors haven't build. I suppose the new porsche that will take 400kw charging must have a cooling and heating system, or the batteries would be quickly destroyed.

  31. Re:How are their batteries so much better than lap by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

    Some laptop manufacturers are a bit crap.

    I finally abandoned my eee 900 after a decade of use. It was still getting about an hour of charge on the original battery (down from 3.5 hrs). Not bad for 10 years old. My current W510 rocking in at 8 years old, well, that battery was never long lasting in the first place, barely an hour (IIRC, maybe less!), and is now measured at about 10 minutes.

    I get some degradation due to the properties you listed, but 5 minutes of use after 2-3 years is really terrible.

    --
    SJW n. One who posts facts.
  32. Re:So Warranties and Guarantees dont describe qual by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

    They used to have an 80% charge option on older laptops, which was mysteriously removed from newer ones.

    Fortunately there are still plenty of good laptops that don't have the battery glued in so you can replace it easily. Good ones don't need the battery to even be installed just to get maximum performance (like Macbooks do), so you can take it out and extend its life greatly by avoiding the heating/cooling cycles it experiences when installed but not used.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  33. Re:So Warranties and Guarantees dont describe qual by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Every Dell laptop I've seen from Inspirons to XPS have that option not only in Windows software (Dell Power) but in the UEFI as well so it works in any OS. They use their own special-sauce EC in their laptops for this, among other interesting things.

  34. Start making replacement batteries by Jedi+Holocron · · Score: 1

    IMNSHO, Tesla should start making after-market replacement batteries for the existing crop of hybrids, etc. Let's face it, most people aren't going to be trading "up" to a Tesla anytime soon. And while I understand their likely preference for a modularized battery, it seems like if they have better tech they could come up with something.

  35. Re:How are their batteries so much better than lap by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

    The axiomatic truism still holds - "Cheaper, Better, Faster, - you can only pick two"

    --
    Life is not for the lazy.
  36. Re:How are their batteries so much better than lap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    My 18 years old Camry has 100% full tank once I fill it up

  37. Under What Conditions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This article doesn't say under what conditions these estimates were achieved.

    How will an EV be in a subzero climate?

  38. How about longevity? by mysidia · · Score: 1

    I am impressed by the mileage numbers. But How can the Batteries and the rest of an Electric Vehicles' components be expected
    to hold up over the long time?

    I think it matters whether those 160,000 miles are due to frequent driving OR if those 160k miles are spread out over a long period of time.

    Suppose I consider getting a model 3 versus and a recent Toyota gasoline model.
    With an intention of keeping the car for at least 15 years. HOWEVER, In any case, I am concerned
    about what the total and average annual maintenance costs will be over that period --- I expect to
    replace SOME components over the life of my car, but nothing generally costing more than $500 in parts and labor in a year;
    assuming the car doesn't get into a wreck.

    For the traditional Gasoline car I expect ~$400 to $500/Year in maintenance non-fuel costs average for about 11000 miles a year over almost the entire life of the car --- mostly due to oil/fluids changes and occasional replacement of the starter battery, brake pads, belts, filters, etc, with very few deviations that are generally all minor.

    If I keep a Tesla for 15 years; can I expect that kind of longevity, and a comparatively good deal on maintenance throughout the life of the car?

    What information is out there to say how the battery pack should hold up for a Tesla?
    Can it be expected to still retain 80% of its original capacity after 15 years?

    Are there any parts on the Tesla vehicles that will likely require expensive maintenance or replacements?

  39. Re:How are their batteries so much better than lap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    almost correct

    but 1. is bullshit (you could try googling before you post shit): http://batteryuniversity.com/learn/article/electric_vehicle_ev

    "The cost of an EV battery has come down to about $350/kWh, but Tesla managed to lower the price to $250/kWh using the 18650, a popular cell of which 2.5 billion were made in 2013. The 18650 in the current Tesla models is an unlikely choice as the cell was designed for portable devices such as laptops. Available since the early 1990s, the 18650 cell is readily available at a low cost. The cylindrical cell-design further offers superior stability over the prismatic and pouch cell, but the advantage may not hold forever as prismatic and pouch cells are improving. Large Li-ion cells are relatively new and have the potential for higher capacities and lower pack-cost as fewer cells are needed."

  40. Tesla 'overbuilt' the Model S/X battery packs by fozzy1015 · · Score: 1

    The Model S/X battery packs are 'overbuilt' in comparison to cheaper BEVs. When new, the BMS never completely discharges(and may never completely charge) the cells to help preserve them. Don't expect the Model 3 battery packs to last as long since it's a less expensive vehicle. It's also the reason Tesla made sure to state warranty for the battery pack in Model 3 only applies if the battery pack loses over 70% of its capacity with in the warranty period. Of course, who knows what entity may be around to service that warranty in a few years.

  41. Re:How are their batteries so much better than lap by beanpoppa · · Score: 1

    An electric car, sitting out in the sun on hot asphalt, will easily be over 120 deg F.

  42. Re:How are their batteries so much better than lap by samwichse · · Score: 1

    You know you can have basically any battery chemistry you want inside an 18650 cell FORMAT? Tesla uses its own proprietary chemistry inside a cell that has the dimensions 18mmx65mm... which was a size made to fit laptops and other portable devices.

    But no, 1) is not bullshit.