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Secret Pentagon AI Program Hunts Hidden Nuclear Missiles (reuters.com)

Slashdot reader drdread66 shares this article from Reuters: The U.S. military is increasing spending on a secret research effort to use artificial intelligence to help anticipate the launch of a nuclear-capable missile, as well as track and target mobile launchers in North Korea and elsewhere. The effort has gone largely unreported, and the few publicly available details about it are buried under a layer of near impenetrable jargon in the latest Pentagon budget. But U.S. officials familiar with the research told Reuters there are multiple classified programs now under way to explore how to develop AI-driven systems to better protect the United States against a potential nuclear missile strike.

If the research is successful, such computer systems would be able to think for themselves, scouring huge amounts of data, including satellite imagery, with a speed and accuracy beyond the capability of humans, to look for signs of preparations for a missile launch, according to more than half a dozen sources. The sources included U.S. officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity because the research is classified. Forewarned, the U.S. government would be able to pursue diplomatic options or, in the case of an imminent attack, the military would have more time to try to destroy the missiles before they were launched, or try to intercept them.

Reuters calls it "one indicator of the growing importance of the research on AI-powered anti-missile systems," adding "The Pentagon is in a race against China and Russia to infuse more AI into its war machine, to create more sophisticated autonomous systems that are able to learn by themselves to carry out specific tasks."

One official told Reuters that an AI prototype for tracking missile launchers is already being tested.

21 of 40 comments (clear)

  1. Rise of the machines by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Didnâ(TM)t SkyNet start out like this??

  2. What could possibly go wrong? by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 4, Interesting

    They made a movie a long time ago that explored what could happen if the AI controlling the US missiles took the initiative to directly talk to the AI controlling the Russian missiles. (Hint: it didn't turn out well for those pesky humans.)

    1. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by PPH · · Score: 2

      didn't turn out well for those pesky humans

      Define 'not well'. Dr. Forbin got it on with Susan Clark.

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
    2. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by Bonker · · Score: 1

      Ahem.

      *Cough*
      < Ron Swanson >
      Do you want 'Wargames' with Matthew Broderick? Because this is how you get 'Wargames' with Matthew Broderick.
      < /Ron Swanson >

      --
      The next Slashdot story will be ready soon, but subscribers can beat the rush and slashdot the links early!
    3. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by Bomazi · · Score: 1

      Nothing. The idea is to use automation to sift through a large amount of data and flag activities of interest for examination by human analysts. This allows examination of more information, more timely detection and less risk of missing something. No decision is going to be made by software.

    4. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      What are they going to use for a training set? It's not like there's a nuclear missile launch every week, is it?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    5. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by goombah99 · · Score: 2

      That's a "colossally" funny joke because it's flying over the heads of all the high ID number slashdotters.

      --
      Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    6. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I predict a First Strike due to floating point error in a logistic regression somewhere deep inside a neural network. No possible way to ascertain correctness or verification, too little tim

  3. SkyNet v0.1b by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    It begins

    1. Re:SkyNet v0.1b by VAXcat · · Score: 1

      "There is another!"

      --
      There is no God, and Dirac is his prophet.
  4. Not AI by dicobalt · · Score: 2

    AI or just a computer program that analyzes spy photos? AI has become too much of a hollow buzzword.

  5. But does it hunt... by zifn4b · · Score: 1

    ...Nuclear Wessels?

    --
    We'll make great pets
  6. Re:"secret" Pentagon program by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

    We're sharing this program with the Kingdom of Oxymoronia.

    --
    Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
  7. What could possibly go wrong? by jtara · · Score: 2

    I have to state the obvious...

  8. From way back when by Gim+Tom · · Score: 1

    Reminds me of a movie from back in the day. It was a real whopper. Or should I say WOPR?

  9. Seems unreliable by manu0601 · · Score: 1

    Such a system seems unreliable,compared to plain old spying with human agents reporting about what is going on in other states.

    1. Re:Seems unreliable by AHuxley · · Score: 1

      The NRO and NSA don't run human spies. For the NSA and NRO to get the budget growth they crave and are now expect they have to show results. Thats why news like this makes it to the worlds media.
      The CIA would never talk about spying methods.

      In the USA the more media attention a part of the gov/mil gets the more political leaders will feel like granting more budget.
      No good news? No extra budget growth. Thats a years extra budget lost to the CIA, Navy, Army...
      Get people talking about the good news and thats money kept for a winning agency.

      --
      Domestic spying is now "Benign Information Gathering"
  10. "would be able to think" by gweihir · · Score: 1

    No. Not at all. Not even one bit. Actually thinking machines are at the very least 50 years in the future, probably much longer and may also be completely impossible. Stop propagating such utter nonsense. All we have today is "weak AI" which is properly just called "automation". It has no intelligence, it has no concept of anything, it has no understanding of anything and it most certainly cannot think.

    Also, does anybody remember the stupid pattern recognizers (also called "AI" by the clueless) that got fooled by subtle changes to traffic signs? I most definitely do not want something like that in systems that have a part in the decision about a nuclear strike. "Oops, sorry, we nuked you because our training data was faulty."

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  11. AI rules by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I read interesting article about soviet union experiments about high altitude nuclear explosions tests, so the result of them demonstrated that in case of massive attack the first explosion eliminates all radar systems and they become virtually blind, so the only way to intercept missiles is to attack them simultaneously what is virtually impossible. That is why Ronald Reigan's SDI assume use of heavy lasers, since it is only possibility to eliminate all warheads simultaneously in space, otherwise the first exploded warhead blinds all radar systems and eliminates all electronics.

    It does not matter where this first explosion happens above launch site or above target site, only the first missile is gonna be destroyed, all others will go through radar defenses. So all that crap we read about anti-missile rockets can help only help against random individual terrorists attack, but can nothing to do against fully nuclear capable state.

    So what ever we read about anti-missile rockets, it is just marketing justifying budget spending. The only answer is further arsenals reduction and control of proliferation.

  12. Oh Oh, here comes Colossus by Sqreater · · Score: 1

    "Professor Charles Forbin, a leading cybernetics expert of international repute, arrives at the White House to brief the President of the United States of North America (Canada and the United States are one country, the USNA) to announce the completion of Project Colossus, a computer system in the Rocky Mountains, designed to assume control of the USNA's nuclear defences. Although the USNA President eagerly relieves himself of that burden, Prof. Forbin voices doubt about conferring absolute military power to a computer. Advised, yet undeterred, the President announces to the world the activation of the Project Colossus computer system, and its irreversible control of the nuclear defence systems of the USNA." - from a Wikipedia synopsis of "Colossus," a "Sifi?" story from 1966 by D.F. Jones

    So, the desire has always been there as illustrated here; it merely had to wait for the technology. Desire often overcomes reality. Read it.

    --
    E Proelio Veritas.
  13. Waste of time by Big+Bipper · · Score: 1

    Any country that fired a nuclear tipped missile would be painting a target on it's own forehead. Everybody would know who launched it and would retaliate. A much more likeky delivery method, would be to pack the warehead in a container and ship it to a US port where it would detonate during unloading and before it could be scanned for radiation. In the aftermath it would likely be impossable to determine from the hole in the ground which container ship had exploded let alone which container on that ship. Even if analysing the fallout could suggest where the fuel was produced, there would be plausable deniability to delay/deflect retaliation.

    --
    You live and learn, or you don't learn much.