Bitcoin's Price Was Artificially Inflated Last Year, Researchers Say (nytimes.com)
A concentrated campaign of price manipulation may have accounted for at least half of the increase in the price of Bitcoin and other big cryptocurrencies last year, according to a paper released on Wednesday by an academic with a history of spotting fraud in financial markets. From a report, first shared to us by reader davidwr: The paper by John Griffin, a finance professor at the University of Texas, and Amin Shams, a graduate student, is likely to stoke a debate about how much of Bitcoin's skyrocketing gain last year was caused by the covert actions of a few big players, rather than real demand from investors. Many industry players expressed concern at the time that the prices were being pushed up at least partly by activity at Bitfinex, one of the largest and least regulated exchanges in the industry. The exchange, which is registered in the Caribbean with offices in Asia, was subpoenaed by American regulators shortly after articles about the concerns appeared in The New York Times and other publications. Mr. Griffin looked at the flow of digital tokens going in and out of Bitfinex and identified several distinct patterns that suggest that someone or some people at the exchange successfully worked to push up prices when they sagged at other exchanges. To do that, the person or people used a secondary virtual currency, known as Tether, which was created and sold by the owners of Bitfinex, to buy up those other cryptocurrencies.
The big MtGox bubble in 2013 was caused by Willybot. Other bots have been developed since then to pump the price. I seen the price of Bitcoin rise over a 1000 dollars in a minute at the peak of the bubble due to bot activity.
So the price is always artificially inflated.
Bitcoin has no value. It is just smoke and mirrors.
Paper money is only mildly better, especially now that it has no gold backing.
Gold backed was also not real.
Gold in fact has no real value other than what it can actually be used for to make things of use.
To find something with real value we need to go back to beans, firewood, pork, tools, etc. These sorts of things have real value.
And how do we know these "researchers" are not artificially pushing down the price of Bitcoin now...
It's true Bitcoin is really volatile, but it could also be true that it has long term viability especially as there are a lot of people who want currencies not tied to a particular country.
Good news for all though, this should hopefully bring down the GPU prices again!
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
it has the value of the drugs it's being used to buy and money laundering done with it. That's what formed the base of the Crypto currency market (with a smattering of ransomware and video game 'skin' gambling). A serious of transactions that needed to be kept off the books. It was only later Crypto currencies branched out into unregulated and unbacked securities (e.g. the "Proof of Stake" coins that have become so popular).
If you want to see Bitcoin's price _really_ tank legalize drugs, crack down on money laundering and kill the securities scams. It'll go back to a few bucks a coin while the rest of the currencies will be worthless.
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Shocked, shocked is anyone?
Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
artificially inflated you say? how could that possibly happen?
Just like video cards thanks F***ing miners!
Value is a perceived desire within someone for something.
So based on your list of valuable things.. Did you post this from 1840's rural Minnesota?
This is an excellent research opportunity into how unregulated markets will be manipulated. I am glad to see somebody took it.
Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
During times of hyper inflation of currencies, people run out and hoard food, consumer durables (washing machines for example), cars, and other necessities.
BitCoin and other cryptocurrencies are just too abstracted from any real economic activity. In other words, they have no worth other than as a gambling medium.
I can win/buy a shit load of chips in a casino and cash them in for real money too - or even a room and food.
Pity the fool who jumped in at $15k expecting a rocket ride to riches..
Organization? You must be joking..
It was clear to me from the outset that Crypto-Coins were even funnier money than government fiat currency. Now we see that the eCoins are rather more susceptible to all sorts of fudgery.
We all remember LIBO, right? The London Interbank Offered Rate. One of the causes of the 2008 bank crash, especially in Europe. Same thing -- under the table manipulation of a rate by a few key players for their own benefit. It can and will happen in any unregulated market. Just finished reading "Open Secret" by Erin Arvedlund, 2014, ISBN 978-1-59184-668-0. "The global banking conspiracy that swindled investors out of billions". I would recommend it highly. Cryptocurrency investors, watch out!
Raise your hand if you're surprised.
I'm sorry, but while some people may be able to luck some money out of cryptocurrency, the long game is an idiot's game. If *nothing* else, the most basic problem with the entire currency is that it is essentially still tied to your identity, unlike cash, because you have to provide your information (even your tax information) in order to transfer funds into the currency... *and* you are severely limited on your ability to pull money out. If something terrible happens and you're like "shit, I need to get my ten million bucks worth out", what good is it when you can only take out $500 to $2,000 per day? By the time you can withdraw all of your currency and make actual use of it, it'll have dropped to nothing.
The Great Simoleon Caper — written in 1995 (!) — is a cautionary tale...
Discrediting an alternative currency, which the government can not control, to protect their own fiat papers is the motive. As for the means — recall the NSA buying computing power by the acres...
In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
It's almost as if investment stuff is regulated for a reason: https://www.investopedia.com/t...
Anyone that watched the buy/hold/sell orders on any exchange knew that was what was happening.
Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
It was much higher than the 10 month turnaround on equipment + electricity which has been the norm for a very long time. BUT it was almost exclusively due to idiots in Wall Street dumping money into it when the SEC said they could mixed with idiots reacting to idiots on Wall Street doing this.
Thats unpossible.
Just another method of manipulation. They should investigate the authors for price manipulation
Pump and dump - it's not just for hookers anymore.
Silence is a state of mime.
You mean the bitcoin market is manipulated?
So what you're telling me is that large institutional investors allocated large sums of capitol to buy market assets when their prices dropped? What could possibly have possessed them to pursue this novel investment strategy?! Next thing you're going to tell me is that people are selling assets when their prices rise!!
to Zero.
5 out of 6 people enjoy Russian Roulette & 6 out of 7 Dwarfs are not Happy
why do you think there are so many crypto currencies now? You buy Monero with cash and then Ethereum with your Monero and maybe two or three other currencies in there and then finally buy some bitcoin and cash it out. That's how you do the money laundering.
As for buying drugs with bitcoin, yeah, and lots of folks get caught. Lots of folks don't. Right now in a lot of the world drug laws are selectively enforced. In America if you're middle class or above and white you can pretty much do drugs with impunity. Depending on your jurisdiction you can do drugs if your black as long as you stick to your side of town.
Our drug policy is how we enforce racial segregation in the parts of the country that want it. It's also how we bust up groups of young people when they start protesting for change. This isn't me making crap up either. Nixon's old aids admitted to it.
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The only crypto-currency that is guaranteed to keep its value is Dogecoin. Since the beginning, one Dogecoin has always had a value of one Dogecoin.
#DeleteFacebook
When silver ran up from $20 to $50 recently, that was done through manipulation too, probably by the major banks. The U.S. government looked the other way.
Use quarters. They are easy to buy and sell and you can launder them with soap and water.
Bitcoin.
rather than real demand from investors
Investors in... bitcoin. You've ready entered crazy town. It's an internet currency. People speculating on it are already nuts. The fact that things are crazy in crazy town isn't shocking at all. And frankly it doesn't subtract from it's utility. IF you get $50 worth of bitcoin, do your transactions, and then sell your coins for cash, bitcoin still does it's job. Cheaper, faster, more secure international money transfers. ...And laundering. That too.
Are (any) fiat-currency and (any) cryptocurrency really equivalent, as cryptocurrency fans claim?
For example, US Dollar and Bitcoin are really equals?
Value/validity/authorization of US dollar is provided/guaranteed by US Government (and in-turn whole US Public)!
Also, not to mention, US Dollars in any US Bank is insured by US Government!
What authorization/guarantee/insurance is behind Bitcoin? Nothing!
Sorry but that is the end of discussion then!
Why do you think Satoshi Nakamoto is really hiding his identity, if Bitcoin is really such a great innovation?
He is just someone does not like media/fan attention?
Or, could it be really because Bitcoin (and all cryptocurrencies followed it) are actually Ponzi Schemes?
(So he knew very well that law enforcement would come after him sooner or later?!)
If so-called cryptocurrencies are really good innovation, why they attract so many criminals/criminal activity?
Could it really be because, all cryptocurrencies themselves are scams, and that is why they attract all kinds of criminals/criminal activity?
If so-called cryptocurrencies are really currency, why no company/store can use Bitcoin as currency anymore?
Because the price of Bitcoin proved to be extremely unstable to use as a currency?
Would the result be different, if Bitcoin replaced by any other "cryptocurrency"?
Aren't all work the same way?
If so-called cryptocurrencies are really money; isn't people issuing their own money, illegal already, in all countries?
If so then, why they are still not banned in all countries?
Or, they are not actually virtual currency but virtual investment?
But, if they are actually investment, why we need/want them?
What would happen to world economy, if people invested in virtual investments, instead of real investments?
Or, all so-called cryptocurrencies are actually just a modified (made decentralized and paying variable interest) Ponzi Schemes?
(Price of cryptocurrencies would keep increasing in the long term (by their design), so it is equivalent of paying variable interest to all long term investors.)
Also, since all so-called cryptocurrencies are actually financial scams (Ponzi Schemes), that means, they cannot be the solution for any of existing financial problems of our world!
As more and more people invest in cryptocurrencies, it will become harder and harder to ban their trading everywhere (because people invested in cryptocurrencies, would try to stop anyone trying to ban cryptocurrencies)!
All cryptocurrencies need to be banned globally before it is too late!
What exactly is the problem here? They bought bitcoins when they were cheaper. This seems totally normal to me. Even if it was with the intent to push the prices up, isn't that also done with everything? Three central banks do that for sure. And if rising prices animate others to buy something without intrinsic value then it's their fault I would say.
I would have guessed that idiots buying bitcoin was enough to explain the prices. The claimed explanation is bittersweet, since criminals losing more money than I thought is balanced out by idiots losing less money than I thought.
Laugh all you want, but I'll be a bazillionaire in 5 years, so I'll have the last laugh. HODL! /s
The entire thing is a get rich quick scam of one form or another. Really, why would you invest in this stuff?
This sig intentionally left blank.
And it'll be artificially deflated when any country bans the currency, as we've seen before. Bitcoin is too easy to manipulate. No regulation, go figure...
A concentrated campaign of price manipulation may have accounted for at least half of the increase in the price of Bitcoin and other big cryptocurrencies last year,
Just say it. It's a Ponzi scheme. Admit it and you'll feel better.
If you are an honest believer in cryptocurrencies I admire your earnest faith in humanity but virtually everything about cryptocurrences virtually screams scam to anyone with a functioning brain and any sense of skepticism. It is nothing more than a bunch of greedy people trying to make a fast buck from credulous fools using the latest financial fad.
What exactly is the problem here?
Please go research what a Ponzi scheme is and maybe you'll comprehend. Then go research Pump and dump. Finally try to understand the meaning of the term securities fraud.
Even if it was with the intent to push the prices up, isn't that also done with everything?
No it isn't.
Cryptocurrency, even all the coins put together, is still well within the range of what well financed individuals can screw with and fleece other investors.
The British Pound is well within the range of what well financed individuals and hedge funds can screw with. Bitcoin and other so called cryptocurrencies are childs play by comparison.
Real currencies are debt backed.
Not really they aren't. What every currency and every asset for that matter are backed by is nothing more than belief. People believe it has value and so it does. Usually there is some rationality to this belief but not always. You cannot explain the price of gold based on any sort of rational valuation. (Which is why a gold standard is a stupid idea) You can say a currency is backed by something but all you are doing in that case is making a derivative and the value still ultimately depends on belief in the value of the underlying asset. (which again is why a gold standard is a stupid idea)
Cryptocurrencies are stupid for many reasons but not because of what they are (or aren't) backed by.
All my money is safe in BitConnect.
Flutter Shy is more stable,
although Apple Jack has more Stables.
See all those servers in Virgina ?
yah... just saying.
Do you think a global information network is really private ?
Al Gore didn't build the intertubes that way...
Many more faster and more stable systems a
come built in to every new phone...
NFC, Android & Apple makes bitcoin completely obsolete.
but their successors are. That's blindingly obvious enough I really shouldn't have to point it out...
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the sky is blue and Antarctica is still cold.
I said you were ignoring a blindingly obvious point. I didn't say why you were ignoring it. There's probably no converting you. You're either a professional troll or someone like me: completely beaten into the ground by life and lashing out. I lash out from the left with hope for the future. You're doing it from the right with hope that it all burns. I can't convert you, you're too far gone. What I can do is keep your kind from doing any more harm.
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I deeply regret my lack of mod points.
A serious of transactions that needed to be kept off the books.
Off the books ? Using a system with a distributed public ledger ? (which can by design be checked and controlled by all nodes of the network ?)
Somebody hasn't been paying attention to *what* bitcoin protocole was designed for.
The main point isn't off the books. It's pretty much the opposite : it ends up in everyone's book by design.
The main point is that there isn't (in theory, though in practice some mining pools are becoming worrying) a single central authority.
There's no "Bitcoin Inc." that you can sue to make transaction stop.
In the drugs' case : even if you've been buying drugs, there's no bank that can be sued because they helped an illegal transaction and there's no way to freeze the transaction.
(As a counter example, one of the first big push for crypto-currencies was when Visa and Mastercard companies decided to freeze donations to Wikileaks. This is the exact kind of thing which bitcoin protocol makes impossible because there's no single entity that could enforce such freeze. You would have to persuade the majority of the nodes on the network to refuse the transaction successfully)
"Sufficiently advanced satire is indistinguishable from reality." - [Tips: 1DrYakQDKCQ6y52z6QbnkxHXAocMZJE61o ]
eh, same things done with metals like gold and silver too...no difference
Oh but there are some very big and important differences. Not the least of which is that you don't have to handle and exchange a hunk of metal.
doesn't matter what the market's good/currency is, can be done in all of them
In principle yes but some crimes are far more elegant and easy to get away with than others. Cryptocurrency is a criminal's wet dream. Hard to trace, hard to restrict, no physical object to handle, crosses borders easily, confused and conflicted to non existent regulations, fairly easy to convert to other currencies or assets, and a bunch of greedy fools clamoring to get rich quick using it. You couldn't design a better system for money laundering and facilitating illegal payments if you tried.
I'm shocked, shocked I say, that scammers would go to where the money is. Sure, I believe crypto currency is the way of the future, but I predict a lot of shenanigans before the general public feels comfortably safe in its usage.
Just another day in Paradise
Bitcoin is nothing but another fiat. For those that think spending money on electricity as proof of computational work is somehow value that goes into your own hands instead of an electric company, you are completely clueless.
Imagine if I showed up ad your front door, hot, sweaty with an axe in my hand because I just got done cutting and stacking a lot of wood and you can see the pile of wood behind me on the edge of the street. That's proof of work, so that means you should pay me right? Right after you do, then the Electric company comes along and grabs all the wood and drives off.
I never said it was YOUR'S.
There's no reason to implement a blockchain on anything unless the ones implementing it want to be in control of it. If you think you are independent of banks, you are about to get en eye opener, because if the banks don't already control BitCoin, then they will soon not accept it in the banks from Walmart, or Starbucks, and they will stop taking it because they can't do anything with it.
Crypto currencies are a way to seize control over you and your freedom.
Is it pronounced like "doggie" or "dodgy? If the latter, why would someone buy into something like that...
dodgy /däj/
adjective
Britishinformal
adjective: dodgy; comparative adjective: dodgier; superlative adjective: dodgiest
dishonest or unreliable.
"a dodgy secondhand car salesman"
potentially dangerous.
"activities like these could be dodgy for your heart"
of low quality.
Just another day in Paradise