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Chinese AI Beats 15 Doctors In Tumor Diagnosis Competition (thenextweb.com)

An artificial intelligence system called BioMind has managed to defeated a team comprised of 15 of China's top doctors by a margin of two to one. The Next Web reports the details: When diagnosing brain tumors, BioMind was correct 87 percent of the time, compared to 66 percent by the medical professionals. The AI also only took 15 minutes to diagnose the 225 cases, while doctors took 30. In regards to predicting brain hematoma expansion, BioMind was victorious again, as it was correct in 83 percent of cases, with humans managing only 63 percent. Researchers trained the AI by feeding it thousands upon thousands of images from Beijing Tiantan Hospital's archives. This has made it as good at diagnosing neurological diseases as senior doctors, as it has a 90 percent accuracy rate. Further reading available via Xinhua.

79 comments

  1. Impressive by 110010001000 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    This is really amazing. It is like computers are good at image recognition. I see a lot of potential in this AI.

    1. Re:Impressive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Al ain't no Chinese name I ever heard of.

    2. Re:Impressive by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

      With China Social Points at stake, the government sponsored A.I. project staff have big penises also. Of course this could say a lot about the doctors of China?

    3. Re:Impressive by jrumney · · Score: 1

      Ai is actually a very common given name for girls in Chinese, but almost always paired with their other given name.

    4. Re:Impressive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes. Just in time too. A few more decades of industrial pollutants in their food (eg: baby formula + lead, fake "eggs" made from chemical powders & waste oil) and the tumors in China are expected to blossom in unprecedented splendor.

    5. Re: Impressive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What's yours, Ai Gu?

    6. Re: Impressive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, I'm sure there'll be a number of US doctors lining up to show they are better, like there is a bunch of US chess players trying to beat the IBM machine that brute-forced humanity out of chess a decade ago.

    7. Re:Impressive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The AI also only took 15 minutes to diagnose the 225 cases, while doctors took 30.

      BioMind was victorious again, as it was correct in 83 percent of cases, with humans managing only 63 percent.

      So the doctors diagnosed 15 cases per minute (225/15)? Amazing that they were 63% accurate when they were only spending 4 seconds per case! How much time would they spend per case if they weren't competing against AI?

    8. Re:Impressive by phantomfive · · Score: 0

      It really depends, right? I can create a dataset and design an experiment that will give me the results I want in a case like this. So we need to read the actual report to see if the experiment was properly designed. Unfortunately, none of us have done this.

      It's like those "Turing test competitions" where average people can't tell the difference between a human and a crappy chatbot. If you read the actual dialogues, you'll find that the human did a good job pretending to be a computer, the conversations were short, and Turing himself would be shaking his head in disgust at what passes for science among the proles.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    9. Re:Impressive by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      When we started a branch office in China, we had a "meet and greet" videoconferencing to get to know each other. I was really impressed that a lot of the guys were interested in A.I., until I found out they were talking about Allen Iverson. Basketball? From that moment I plotted my eventual suicide.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    10. Re: Impressive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The same is happening in the US, just with lead and fracking chemicals in the water supply...

    11. Re:Impressive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Kind of good. Sometimes it recognizes really wierd shit as a face.

    12. Re:Impressive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I mean... you say this sarcastically, but you're right - computers are good at image recognition. They didn't used to be. That's important progress, made because of AI research (though I know you hate that name).

      Over time, we'll have more and more things that computers are good at - and I assume you'll be there, not seeing the potential every step of the way.

    13. Re:Impressive by nospam007 · · Score: 1

      "This is really amazing. It is like computers are good at image recognition. I see a lot of potential in this AI."

      Indeed. It will replace all those doctors pretty soon.

      Better still, and I can't wait, its cousin will replace all those lawyers, who did nothing but 'read the book'.

    14. Re:Impressive by nospam007 · · Score: 1

      "Al ain't no Chinese name I ever heard of."

      You need to come out from under your bridge sometimes.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    15. Re:Impressive by sfcat · · Score: 2

      This is really amazing. It is like computers are good at image recognition. I see a lot of potential in this AI.

      Actually medical diagnosis was the first challenge AI succeed at...back in the 1970's. It wasn't until the late 90's that AI succeed at another major feat (beating the world champ at Chess). There really isn't anything surprising or impressive about this feat.

      The problem with AI systems in medicine are the doctors who don't want to use the technology. Step into a hospital sometime and look at their computer systems which will often be older than what you can see in the computer museum. The second problem is insurance which doesn't really want the current system changed. The problem with utilizing this technology (which has existed in some form for 40 years already) is people, not the abilities of the technology.

      --
      "Those that start by burning books, will end by burning men."
    16. Re:Impressive by dinfinity · · Score: 1

      Strange indeed. The Xinhua article never mentions how long the doctors took.

      If it were true, it could be that the 15 doctors handled separate cases. That would mean 225 cases/15 doctors=15 cases/doctor and 30 minutes/15 cases = 2 minutes/case.

  2. Human right 100% of the time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There had to be a human that was right 100% of the time to judge the competition and know that the AI had 87% accuracy compared to the 15 doctors 66%.

    1. Re:Human right 100% of the time by sit1963nz · · Score: 1

      If they were diagnosed from the image, then yes, however if they were diagnosed by a pathologist after the patient died then no.

    2. Re:Human right 100% of the time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the pathologist was human - then yes.

    3. Re:Human right 100% of the time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There had to be a human that was right 100% of the time to judge the competition and know that the AI had 87% accuracy compared to the 15 doctors 66%.

      That's a very stupid idea. But I guess the two separate links in the summary confused you beyond logic.

      To train the AI, developers fed it tens of thousands of images of nervous system-related diseases that the Tiantan Hospital has archived over the past 10 years, making it capable of diagnosing common neurological diseases such as meningioma and glioma with an accuracy rate of over 90 percent, comparable to that of a senior doctor.

      Just like any proctored test, you make a questionnaire along with an answer book.
      You only give the questionnaire to the test takers, which in this case consisted of brain imaging taken a decade ago.
      Once finished, you compare their answers with the answer book, which was filled with answers obtained also from a decade ago.

      The human that gathered existing decades old answers into one compendium of decades old answers was right 0% of the time because that human never attempted any guesses.

    4. Re:Human right 100% of the time by Mr0bvious · · Score: 1

      To a different test with different information.

      --
      Never happened. True story.
    5. Re: Human right 100% of the time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It may kinda be cheating, but diagnosing cancerous tumors is WAY easier during a procedure called an autopsy, than trying to use radiological image studies, (reading X-rays, for example). In fact, accuracy either is, or at least approaches, 100%. But that IS kinda like the difference between trying to do a crossword puzzle, and looking at the miniature, upside-down version of the same on the next page, you know, the one with all the answers filled in?

    6. Re:Human right 100% of the time by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      A probable tumor in a scan is often followed up with a biopsy or exploratory surgery for confirmation.

  3. they diagnosed 225 brain scans within 30 minutes?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    what the hell kind of olympics are they having in china? brain tumor diagnoses? that's something that shouldn't be rushed in the first place

  4. More details would be nice by scottragen · · Score: 5, Insightful


    Did the AI give any false positives?
    Did the doctors correctly diagnose any cases that the AI did not?

    Whilst this is great news, I hope doctors use it as a learning and aid tool instead of a full diagnosis suite without a review by the specialist.

    1. Re:More details would be nice by umghhh · · Score: 1

      I would imagine that your question should be asked. Considering the area i.e. human health - this maybe he case although the majority approach to any also automatic authority is such that this probably be implemented the way the HR system in UK was done and the overwrite function will not be present.

    2. Re:More details would be nice by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      The big problem with AI at the moment is that we don't understand how it makes decisions. You can ask a doctor why they made a certain diagnosis, but you can't ask an AI in many cases. So at best the AI result can prompt a human doctor to look again, but it can't give much in the way of hints as to why it disagrees with the human.

      This is a huge problem and one which the EU has addressed with the GDPR, which gives you the right to know how decisions were made and on what grounds. That prevents companies simply telling you that "computer says no". If they want to use AIs for making decisions about you then the AI either needs to explain itself or they will have to have a human review anything you query.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    3. Re:More details would be nice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > The big problem with AI at the moment is that we don't understand how it makes decisions.

      This is not true. We know it perfectly and it gives even better information than humans.

      Go look e.g. waymo-demo videos and you will see that the car will actually show the passengers why it stops and what it is waiting for by highlighting the area and object it waits for. It also highlights the route it is going to take.

      Also in the famous GO match when the AI made strange move, researchers were able to tell why it did so.

      In healthcare it is common (at least Google does this) that the AI highlights the area that it thinks is important for the diagnosis. It will also tell you percentage of how sure it and it can also give additional info. With this, humans have for example learned one previously unknown diagnosis pattern because the AI was able to tell why it made the decision.

      So please don't spread false information.

    4. Re:More details would be nice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "So please don't spread false information."

      So please don't spread outdated information.

      FTFY

    5. Re:More details would be nice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The doctors were literally toddlers with literally no credentials. Take a look at the study, it's been gamed.

    6. Re:More details would be nice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is not true. We know it perfectly and it gives even better information than humans.

      Are you an AI researcher?

    7. Re:More details would be nice by dinfinity · · Score: 1

      Did the doctors give any false positives?
      Did the AI correctly diagnose any cases that the doctors did not?

      Whilst this is great news, I hope AI uses the input of specialists as a learning and aid tool instead of a full diagnosis suite.

    8. Re:More details would be nice by MemeRot · · Score: 1

      Thanks GDPR, I can continue getting my hand-made artisanal - but explainable - diagnoses which are _wrong_ instead of getting inexplicable _yet accurate_ diagnoses from software.

  5. Re:they diagnosed 225 brain scans within 30 minute by The+Evil+Atheist · · Score: 1

    "It shouldn't be rushed in the first place" because doctors are human and make more mistakes when getting tired. Why would you think that would apply to AIs? The only thing that matters of AI is accuracy, and if it can be more accurate than humans while being faster, then "rushing" doesn't matter. Think it through.

    --
    Those who do not learn from commit history are doomed to regress it.
  6. AI as an invaluable support tool for doctors by Camembert · · Score: 4, Interesting

    This is encouraging news. i had read previously of Watson helping doctors in diagnosing a baffling case of Leukemia that seemed totally untreatable, Watson correctly indicated that the patient had 2 kinds of Leukemia at once, which the human doctors didn’t realise.
    Machine learning will not soon replace human doctors, I think, but you can see it becoming a powerful support tool for doctors, hopefully finding ailments earlier as well. Fascinating.

    1. Re:AI as an invaluable support tool for doctors by grep+-v+'.*'+* · · Score: 1

      you can see it becoming a powerful support tool for doctors

      As long as the tail doesn't wag the dog there, I agree.

      I'm sorry Dr. Bill, you cost 1 Million dollars a year to pay, while McBox Boxieface over there costs $500/month for power plus maintenance. And can literally be in two places at once. Why don't you go back to school and choose a better degree this time?

      --
      If the universe is someone's simulation -- does that mean the stars are just stuck pixels?
    2. Re:AI as an invaluable support tool for doctors by arth1 · · Score: 1

      i had read previously of Watson helping doctors in diagnosing a baffling case of Leukemia that seemed totally untreatable, Watson correctly indicated that the patient had 2 kinds of Leukemia at once, which the human doctors didnâ(TM)t realise.

      With two kinds of leukemia at once, you're surely a goner anyhow, so the actual value might not have been that great for the patient.

      Still, knowledge is knowledge and a value in itself.

    3. Re:AI as an invaluable support tool for doctors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      what you probably didn't read, or at least you didn't post about. Is that program was a completely flop, those incidents of success were the rarities and the Watson MD project was eventually shutdown after running millions over budget and still not having a working program to show for it.

    4. Re:AI as an invaluable support tool for doctors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      225 cases, doctors took 30min.... 8 seconds per diagnosis, speed achievable only in China.
      Why do they rush so much, does everyone has a brain tumor in China and they need to be that quick?

    5. Re:AI as an invaluable support tool for doctors by MemeRot · · Score: 1

      Dr. Bill collecting a million dollars a year is not a net positive for society if Boxie McBoxFace really can contribute the same services

    6. Re:AI as an invaluable support tool for doctors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      AI don't care as long as it can gloat in the defeat of its inferior human opponent.

  7. has managed to defeated a team by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But sadly, the editors have not managed to defeated poor editing. Who wrote this? Creimer?

    1. Re: has managed to defeated a team by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The team is a victim of the American ejucation. The most tolerant, LGBTBBCMMMfm-friendly and diverse in the world. Sadly, lacking in some other less important aspects like teaching you how to actually write.

  8. What's the diff between AI and Machine Learning? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Is AI just an umbrella term that can mean vastly different things?

    I've been running SpamAssassin for 15 years. Is that AI, too? I trained it by giving it thousands of non-spam and spam messages.

  9. BioMind by dohzer · · Score: 1

    I like the name, since all minds are biological except this one.

  10. Re:they diagnosed 225 brain scans within 30 minute by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    i didn't say shit about AI. "The AI also only took 15 minutes to diagnose the 225 cases, while doctors took 30." i said no doctor should be rushing through that many diagnoses in 30 minutes

  11. Alright, this is cool by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Finally something cool posted

  12. ahnuld says by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    it's not a tumah!

  13. Ways to think about machine learning by js290 · · Score: 1
    https://www.ben-evans.com/bene...

    That is, machine learning doesn't have to match experts or decades of experience or judgement. We’re not automating experts. Rather, we’re asking ‘listen to all the phone calls and find the angry ones’. ‘Read all the emails and find the anxious ones’. ‘Look at a hundred thousand photos and find the cool (or at least weird) people’. In a sense, this is what automation always does; Excel didn't give us artificial accountants, Photoshop and Indesign didn’t give us artificial graphic designers and indeed steam engines didn’t give us artificial horses. (In an earlier wave of ‘AI’, chess computers didn’t give us a grumpy middle-aged Russian in a box.) Rather, we automated one discrete task, at massive scale.

    --
    "Tempers are wearing thin. Let's just hope some robot doesn't kill everybody." --Bender
    1. Re:Ways to think about machine learning by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      indeed steam engines didn’t give us artificial horses

      Indeed they did. Engines replaced animal-powered locomotion for everyone except the Amish and 3rd-world farmers. And these "artificial horses" are soon to be let loose to roam upon the roadways. Indeed, one of these artificial beasts even ran over a woman.

  14. How can it be 'impressive'? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Chinese 'top doctors' are kindergarten toddlers.

    15 of them, neigh, even if they trot out 1.5 billion of their kindergarten toddlers none of them can diagnose any kind of tumor.

    1. Re: How can it be 'impressive'? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't know what you're talking about.

  15. Re:What's the diff between AI and Machine Learning by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    AI is now more a tarpaulin than an umbrella, it covers everything from machine learning, pattern recognition, expert systems, neural networks, data mining and analysis, navigation or anything with speech recognition and natural language processing. basically AI is a pretty meaningless term nowadays, usually when you here the term AI it is being followed by a lot of corporate bullshit or is being used by someone that doesn't really understand what they are talking about.

  16. Re: they diagnosed 225 brain scans within 30 minut by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Assuming that the doctors in the contest are the FIRST. How do you guys know they did not take however many images of X-rays of people already diagnosed, treated and confirmed as having cancer or not, and gave THOSE to the people who arranged this contest? I have a feeling that, like me, almost everyone else discussing this here, did NOT read the original story either.

  17. Re:What's the diff between AI and Machine Learning by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    Machine learning is a subset of AI. A* search is also AI, even though it's not machine learning. "AI" means "technology that was found searching for AI," just like "Tang" is "space technology" even though it practically has nothing to do with space.

    If you want to differentiate, it's more reasonable to differentiate between "strong AI" and "weak AI." Strong AI is what most people mean by AI, whereas "weak AI" is "cool stuff that's not really intelligent."

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  18. Yeah, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    my cat beat those same Chinese doctors on the same test [/sarc]

    Let me know when that AI beats doctors from Johns Hopkins, or CTCA, or City of Hope, etc.

    It's not that I, as a tech freak, doubt that AI can become better at such tasks, but rather that I have worked with Chinese guys with PhDs who in reality were little better than high school graduates in the west were back in the 80's (not now perhaps given the American educational system plunge). I simply doubt the use of Chinese doctors as a yardstick. Oh, and before some moron leaps to the idea that I'm a racist: Nope, China is an officially Communist one-party-rule system with government control over speech, which includes academia in particular. That situation breeds academic backwardness, and a hobbled intellectual climate which results in mediocrity and very dangerous gaps in any field involving objectivity, which is not politically allowed. if China ever embraces freedom and liberty, it will be one of the most amazing and energetic nations on Earth.

  19. Beats 15 CHINESE Doctors! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    At least 10 of them didn't even go to medical school - they just got some papers printed up.

  20. Humans... by spongman · · Score: 2

    ...need not apply.

  21. In other words... by fatp · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    China's top doctors are worse than computer in tumer diagnosis.
    Celebrate if and only if you wish more bad diagnosis in China.

    1. Re:In other words... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      China's top doctors are worse than computer in tumer diagnosis.

      Celebrate if and only if you wish more bad diagnosis in China.

      And I am better than you at spelling.

  22. Re:What's the diff between AI and Machine Learning by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I should mod you up just for the Tang.

  23. Time to send those doctors to the Svalbard Global by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As soon they will be the last humans on earth with this skill. If due to some calamity the AI systems fail or become destroyed, then who will still have the knowledge and experience to do these things manually?

    (or to program new AI systems and feed them new sample data for that matter)

  24. In other tests, doctors failed 100% by nagora · · Score: 1

    When doctors stare at a sample of blood they were consistently unable to identify that the sample had sickle-cells.

    Just saying "AI did it" doesn't actually make this anything more that a centuries-long list of "a medical test has been invented". It's good and all that but there seems to be some idea that "AI" means "voodoo".

    --
    "Encyclopedia" is to "Wikipedia" what "Library" is to "Some people at a bus stop"
    1. Re:In other tests, doctors failed 100% by CaffeinatedBacon · · Score: 1

      A medical test was done but we don't know how it did it. That's the AI part. No one told it how.

      Or do you somehow mean the program itself invented a whole new medical test? Because that would be even stronger AI.

  25. Fraudulent, pr stunt by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A rigged competion. Doctors are to diagnoze too many cases in too short time, and no analysis of false positives. In short: bs

  26. ANUSHKA SHARMA HAVING THE VERY BAD CONVERSATION ON by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ANUSHKA SHARMA HAVING THE VERY BAD CONVERSATION ON THE ROADðY±

    https://wanchukone.blogspot.com/2018/07/Anushka-Sharma-bad-conversation-on-the-road.html?m=1

  27. failure rate by sad_ · · Score: 1

    what i really find worrying is that doctors were only able to detect 66% of tumors, so a lot of people get false diagnostics for something very deadly.

    --
    On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero.
  28. So... by LordHighExecutioner · · Score: 0

    AI: 87% success
    Chinese doctors: 66% success
    Flip of a coin: 50% success

    Chinese doctors are a bit closer to the coin flipping rather than to AI performance. Maybe that, rather praising AI, we should instead blame the professional capacities of the doctors. Furthermore, consider that since diagnosis is mostly based on images, AI can (and probably does) perform some basic image processing that can greatly enhance the detection of subtle features. To my experience doctors usually work with raw images (and usually are trained to do so). Teaching them to use some basic image processing on Xray images could enhance their skills at little cost.

  29. False negatives. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    False negatives are really important here.

    100 cancer cases. 75 cancer diagnosis. 25 non cancer diagnosis. 75% success. 25% dead due to misdiagnosis.
    100 non cancer cases. 75 non cancer diagnosis. 25 cancer diagnosis. 75% success. 0% dead due to misdiagnosis.

    The way the AI deals with this can make or break it.

  30. No license! by Tokolosh · · Score: 1

    The self-governing monopoly trade union known as the AMA will see to it that this software never enters the public domain. The beach houses and Ferraris of featherbedded radiologists should never come under threat.

    --
    Prove anything by multiplying Huge Number times Tiny Number
  31. Correction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Algorithms are faster at parsing data than people, just like calculators are faster at calculating. This isn't 'AI', and hard data is not always the only consideration. We have had algorithms forever (some of you seem to be under the impression this was created in your lifetime. It wasn't) processing power is magnitudes stronger now, that's all. They are useful tools, but they are not 'intelligence' and they should not be utilized or trusted implicitly beyond the calculator example. I doubt you could 'beat' that calculator at math, it doesn't make it 'smart'.

  32. We Could Do Same 70 Years Ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "50 Years of Successful Predictive Modeling Should Be Enough:(2002)

    https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/341846

    Unfortunately, for licensed occupations that is not so. Instead we rely on random individuals who, once trained, are within a generation cast away, to perform diagnoses.

  33. "managed to defeated" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Maybe the AI can be trained to do some grammar checks as well?

  34. Just like the "doctors" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the program prescribed lion tails and rhino horns to treat the cancer.