How Qualcomm Tried and Failed To Steal Intel's Crown Jewel
An anonymous reader shares an article from Bloomberg: In early November, Qualcomm Chairman Paul Jacobs stood on a stage in the heart of Silicon Valley and vowed to break Intel's stranglehold on the world's most lucrative chip business. The mobile internet and cloud computing were booming and the data centers running this digital economy had an insatiable thirst for computer servers -- and especially the powerful, expensive server chips that Intel churns out by the million. Qualcomm had spent five years and hundreds of millions of dollars designing competing processors, trying to expand beyond its mobile business. Jacobs was leading a coming-out party featuring tech giants like Microsoft and HP, which had committed to try the new gear. "That's an industry that's been very slow moving, very complacent," Jacobs said on stage. "We're going to change that."
Less than a year later, this once-promising business is in tatters, according to people familiar with the situation. Most of the key engineers are gone. Big customers are looking elsewhere or going back to Intel for the data center chips they need. Efforts to sell the operation -- including a proposed management buyout backed by SoftBank -- have failed, the people said. Jacobs, chief backer of the plan and the son of Qualcomm's founder, is out, too. The demise is a story of debt-fueled dealmaking and executive cost-cutting pledges in the face of restless investors seeking quick returns -- exactly the wrong environment for the painstaking and expensive task of building a new semiconductor business from scratch. It leaves Qualcomm more reliant on a smartphone market that's plateaued. And Intel's server chip boss is happy.
Less than a year later, this once-promising business is in tatters, according to people familiar with the situation. Most of the key engineers are gone. Big customers are looking elsewhere or going back to Intel for the data center chips they need. Efforts to sell the operation -- including a proposed management buyout backed by SoftBank -- have failed, the people said. Jacobs, chief backer of the plan and the son of Qualcomm's founder, is out, too. The demise is a story of debt-fueled dealmaking and executive cost-cutting pledges in the face of restless investors seeking quick returns -- exactly the wrong environment for the painstaking and expensive task of building a new semiconductor business from scratch. It leaves Qualcomm more reliant on a smartphone market that's plateaued. And Intel's server chip boss is happy.
Nobody else could screw them like they screwed themselves
In their effort to move stock, Bloomberg conveniently ignores the speculative execution debacle at Intel. Intel's chips are shit right now.
They need a registered+unregistered ECC-capable DDR4 memory controller capable of driving at least 2-4 sockets and either hypertransport lanes to a PCIe controler, or onboard PCIe 4.0-5.0 lanes ranging from 16 to 48 minimum, depending on the market segment they are trying to capture, ideally supporting bifurcation along all power of two possibilities.
If they did that their chips would be capable of driving PCIMG passive backplane motherboards, actual x86 style motherboards, and the full range of consumer, professional, and industrial grade hardware.
This isn't rocket science. The technologies, licensing, and engineering are all non-trivial, but also well within the capabilities of companies like Qualcomm. The fact that they managed to fumble this bad enough to take themselves down is both technological and political in nature (the trade war with china closely aligns with Qualcomm's failed attempt, doesn't it?)
Seems to have been written (or edited) by someone without a semiconductor background. The biggest question I had was what processor architecture were they building around, something the Bloomberg piece never seemed to answer.
If they mean this it's 48 cores and based on ARMv8. Potentially interesting, but the piece lacks all the technical detail about how Qualcomm intended to position the chip technically against Intel, and what advantages it might have over competing ARM-based offerings.
But "ARM" never even appears in the Bloomberg article...
Lawrence Person (lawrencepersonh@gmailh.com (remove all "h"s to mail)
http://www.lawrenceperson.com/
Why just go the fist, when you can go the whole ARM?
they just focused on the corporate dealings of qualcomm...
technically if they can focus their efforts for centriq on the 5G edge (fixed in home modems and cell sites with caching, SDN etc) then they have a chance to expand their footprint otherwise intel will own the server and have a 5G modem competing with qualcomm which is not good for corporate returns at all...
..the Chinese expected Qcom to just turn over the cellphone patent IP without any guarantee of the server chip sales. Qcom was too smart to fall into that trap (unlike many others) but not smart enough to not fall for the setup lure to the trap.
AMD has been trying to get an edge. They did for a few years, but lost it.
Server chips are not mobile chips. Qualcomm was in over their head's before they started.
They never had a chance.
Some of us remember how much of the design of the DEC Alpha was stolen by Intel for the Pentium. See https://www.nytimes.com/1997/0.... Between this and the theft of VMS technologies to create Windows NT, DEC went bankrupt and stopped producing new technologies to be stolen.
However, Chandrasekher had earlier brokered a deal with the Chinese province of Guizhou to fund part of Qualcomm’s server chip work. In return, the local government demanded the transfer of chip designs and exclusive rights to sell the processors in China.
They're still walking away with the tech, no matter what. Now the open question is can their factories produce it?
Also of note since you mentioned x86. If Linux is indeed as dominate as people say, then x86 compatibility isn't as important, as it would be if Windows was involved. Since Linux is one of the most diverse OS out there, running on more architectures than any other. It's open-source nature means it can be easily ported to many more. So a Wintel situation will never happen with Linux. Especially true in the controlled environment that's a cloud provider.
The U.S. government blocked the deal in the end. But before that happened, many investors sided with Tan, forcing Qualcomm to slash spending plans by a billion dollars. The budding server business was the main victim of those cuts.
The problem was never technical. Defending against a hostile takeover was the problem.
Broadcom’s Hock Tan saw inevitable commodification and preached consolidation and cost-cutting to prepare.
AND
But earlier today GlobalFoundaries announced a major strategic shift and essentially abandoned development of its planned 7nm node to focus on the continued evolution of its 14/12nm processes for clients focused on high-growth markets.
Hock Tan and Global Foundries have the same playbook.
Qualcomm repurposed its design center in Raleigh, North Carolina, adding engineers from Intel, IBM and Advanced Micro Devices Inc. It was home to some of the most accomplished processor engineers in the industry.
Engineers from already established producers of server chips. So much for the "over their heads" thing.
You don't just "walk in" and take over a huge market.
Who lost the most money in this?
Intel's transition to 10nm is delayed until late next year at best, whereas TSMC is selling (similar-size) 7nm chips en-masse today. Furthermore, Intel is facing a 14nm chip shortage due to their long-term planning on having moved to 10nm already, which is hitting the server chip business hard. Now is the time when Qualcomm should've doubled-down and pushed into the market.
Corruption is convincing someone that the selfless ideal is the same as their selfish ideal.
Hypertransport was such a promising technology, but all of a sudden it kinda like vanished .
What happened ?
It seems to be a one-true Scotsman argument. ARM chips account for 85% of processors currently, Intel only 15%. Sure they dominate the Windows PC and "Cloud Data Center" markets...... Trouble is, your more likely to be reading Slashdot on a non Windows non Intel device these days, with your office or home based server being ARM based (e.g. a Synology RAID). The "true" Scotsman in this claim has changed from "processors" to "server processors" to "cloud scale data center processors".
Sure Intel still dominates the "cloud" data centers, with Xeons running big assed server racks and Qualcomm don't have market share with their ARM based server.... but that's not how the ARM world works. It's not *one* supplier that overwhelmed Intel in the other markets, it was thousands of other companies making thousands of competing commodity products. Pecking away until Intel is driven from that market.
The big growth in cloud servers for Intel *was* China, but the trade war means Intel gets hit with big phased in price hikes in China, while Chinese companies want to sell ARM based servers. Its not like these trade wars can end, because they never had a win scenario, the PR for the trade war *is* the win scenario for Trump. The war is the win. At best, the adults in the room, might resurrect the TPP and EU trade agreements (which locked China out of markets if it infringed IP) and label them "Trump" agreements to save face, but that's a long shot. Most likely the tarrifs will continue for years and Chinese ARM server makers will take over.
I'm not bullish on Intel. They seem to be complacent and in decline.
OK, what's the story then with Oracle's SPARC M8 processor ?
It was an anti-trust problem for them, they couldn't both own ARM and x86, and they believed they could make smaller cheaper x86 chips to own the mobile market. If they'd been a bit nimbler and less complacent they could have done it. Instead they pretty much priced the mobile chips up and crippled them down, so as not to undercut their margins.
https://www.vox.com/2016/4/20/11463818/intel-iphone-mobile-revolution
They sold ARM, it developed at a furious pace, driven by its OEMs, and Intel slugged along slowly, eventually withdrawing from the mobile market.
It's kindof a tippy point now, you could increase the clock speeds of ARM v8 chips to match Intel (with cooling) and they would outperform their Intel competitors at a lower price. Microsoft are porting Windows, lots of things coming together to swamp a complacent Intel.
Infinity Fabric.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HyperTransport#Implementations
https://wccftech.com/amds-infinity-fabric-detailed/
Intel LIED and STOLE from us and gave tge NSA a backdoor OS. FUCK Intel. Only an abused wife puts up with this shit And she'ld still take the kids to her parents over this shit.
Intel owes us money.
Idiots.
I really can come up with only one description for all this childish behaviour: Idiots.
An Investor who thinks he can enter a complex market in less than ten years is simply an Idiot.
An Entrepeneur who promises to enter a complex market in less than ten years is simply an Idiot.
Lets check the market:
Google Mail needed seven years to conquer the market.
Android needed six years to conquer the smart phone.
Linux needed 12 years to vanquish the commecial unices.
Whatsapp took six years to rise.
Facebook even needed nine years to get where it is now.
Twitter needed seven years too.
AMD needed five years to create the Ryzen Architecture. And will need another five years to gain greater market share.
Sooo... what is the moral of the story? If someone promises you he can conquer the world in a year take your money and put it somewhere else.
I really think ARM might in the long run be able to catch a part of the market share from Intel. But it will take many years and many little steps.
Where is the cheap Mini-ITX board with a Snapdron 850 and up to 32BG memory?
Where can I get a cheap Add-In-Board with 128 ARM cores for my PC, something like an Xeon Phi for cheap?
Whats the driver situation for ARM multi media solutions?
Is there any standard how ARM Desktops, Workstations and Servers are working, booting, initializing?
Bullshit. There is nothing except broken unrealistic promises.
"Life is short and in most cases it ends with death." Sir Sinclair