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The Rate at Which the World is Getting Online Has Fallen Sharply Since 2015, New Report Suggests (theguardian.com)

Ian Sample, writing for The Guardian: The growth of internet access around the world has slowed dramatically, according to new data, suggesting the digital revolution will remain a distant dream for billions of the poorest and most isolated people on the planet. The striking trend, described in an unpublished report shared with the Guardian, shows the rate at which the world is getting online has fallen sharply since 2015, with women and the rural poor substantially excluded from education, business and other opportunities the internet can provide.

The slowdown is described in an analysis of UN data that will be published next month by the Web Foundation, an organisation set up by the inventor of the world wide web, Sir Tim Berners-Lee. The data shows that growth in global internet access dropped from 19% in 2007 to less than 6% last year. "We underestimated the slowdown and the growth rate is now really worrying," said Dhanaraj Thakur, research director at the Web Foundation. "The problem with having some people online and others not is that you increase the existing inequalities. If you're not part of it, you tend to lose out."

68 comments

  1. Because...Pornhub by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's not fair only the first and second world can view porn on demand.

  2. Not necessarily a bad thing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    20 years ago the internet was a valuable resource. Now it's pretty much worthless, a cesspool of privacy invasion, spying, advertizing and battleground for the so-called "culture war".

    It's not about reducing inequality, it's about getting fresh meat into the machine to be exploited for everything they are worth...

    1. Re:Not necessarily a bad thing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      -1? Why? Did the truth make some vewwy shpeshul snowflakes cry?

    2. Re:Not necessarily a bad thing by jellomizer · · Score: 2

      As you post this online.

      I expect it the rate decline, is for the most part internet is accessible to the world now, nothing about the content on what is on it.
      We are at a point where anyone who wants to be online is online, it isn't something that people are striving to get.

      Back when I was a Kid, The "internet" was just across some universities, and government R&D. By the time I was a teenager, it was mostly just for Colleges and Universities, with some businesses using it for email. Some BBS's were using it (such as the FIDO Net) to avoid long distance calls to share message data, as well large businesses were using it for FTP sites.
      By my late teens, with the World Wide Web becoming popular. More consumer content was out, dial up internet was cheap but slow. However it was a toy for geeks.
      By my young adult, it became popular for normal users, as well early broadband that isn't thousands of dollars a month. was available. But still it was a first world luxury.
      Then it just became more common and now it is generally available for anyone around the world. Growth rate now is probably getting close to normal population growth.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    3. Re:Not necessarily a bad thing by jellomizer · · Score: 1

      I think it was -1 because it was just misinformed ranting, because you were just pointing out only a small portion on what is online vs its whole. Get off Facebook and the mainstream sites, there is a whole internet with more info and usefulness.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    4. Re:Not necessarily a bad thing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Reading comprehension seems to not be your strong point.

      Yes, at some point, when 80% of everyone is online, you'll expect a drop-off.

      Problem is " for billions of the poorest and most isolated people on the planet" - if billions is only 2 billion, that's almost 30% of the planet without internet, and I'm sure it's higher than that.

    5. Re:Not necessarily a bad thing by Dutch+Gun · · Score: 1

      20 years ago the internet was a valuable resource. Now it's pretty much worthless, a cesspool of privacy invasion, spying, advertizing and battleground for the so-called "culture war".

      It's not about reducing inequality, it's about getting fresh meat into the machine to be exploited for everything they are worth...

      It's still incredibly valuable to me. Any question I have about programming or most other tech questions, even incredibly obscure topics, are more than likely to be found and answered. I stream my entertainment on-demand these days, both video and videogames. All shopping is done online, except for grocery shopping, and that may even change someday too. Instant communication with anyone in the world at any time. And those are just my everyday benefits.

      Am I being exploited here? Certainly I have privacy concerns as well, but damn... what a jewel of the modern age we've received in return. Try looking at it with fresh eyes, and maybe you won't sound like such a bitter old man yelling at the cloud.

      --
      Irony: Agile development has too much intertia to be abandoned now.
  3. Happy Friday From The Golden Girls! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Thank you for being a friend.
    Travel down the road and back again.
    Your heart is true, you're a pal and a cosmonaut.

    And if you threw a party,
    invited everyone you knew.
    You would see the biggest gift would be from me
    and the card attached would say,
    thank you for being a friend.

    1. Re:Happy Friday From The Golden Girls! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Cosmonaut?

      It's either a joke over my head or your hearing is a bit off.

    2. Re: Happy Friday From The Golden Girls! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yea, I've also tried pointing that out in the past to no avail. Not sure I understand either.

  4. Fewer Anonymous Cowards, then. Great. by Seven+Spirals · · Score: 1

    Bonus.

    1. Re:Fewer Anonymous Cowards, then. Great. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Seven Spirals... A world renowned creator absolutely not anonymous.

  5. low hanging fruit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The smaller and smaller percentage of people not yet online will require greater and most costly infrastructure to bring online. At some point it will be easier to relocate entire population to urbanized areas than to upgrade their local technological level by the necessary amount.

    1. Re:low hanging fruit by Calydor · · Score: 1

      Came here to say exactly this. If the people that remain offline are in inaccessible areas that you usually need a full group of sherpas and a week's worth of supplies to go visit in a Tibetan monastery then maybe, just maybe, it's not exactly cost effective to bury a fiber cable all the way up there.

      And I don't mean just cost effective in this quarter but in this century.

      --
      -=This sig has nothing to do with my comment. Move along now=-
    2. Re:low hanging fruit by h4x0t · · Score: 1

      Missing out on a lot of micro transactions with thinking like that.

    3. Re:low hanging fruit by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      So it's yet another 80/20 problem?

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    4. Re:low hanging fruit by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      So it's yet another 80/20 problem?

      Right now it is about 50/50, with about half the world online. African women are least likely to be online, European men the most.

      Iceland is #1, with 98.2% adoption. Eritrea is at the bottom, with 1.2%.

      Internet adoption is still growing at about 6%. That isn't as good as a few years ago, but is still solid growth.

      In many places, the problem is not infrastructure, but politics. For instance, Eritrea is one of the world's most repressive countries.

    5. Re:low hanging fruit by Muros · · Score: 4, Informative

      It's not even as bad as that. The rate that was shown in the article was about the rate of growth of the number of people with internet access. I tried working backwards with the figures they gave (44.9% of women, 50.9% of men, for an average of 47.9%) and estimating the percentage of the world's population that had internet access in each of the years the graph in the article showed a growth rate for. The resulting numbers give an almost linear increase of 3% per annum, so the numbers getting online each year isn't diminishing, it's just that each year there are more already online compared to newcomers. If that trend continues the entire world will be online around 2035.

    6. Re:low hanging fruit by Muros · · Score: 1

      I should have said, a 3% linear increase in the percentage of world populalation online.

    7. Re:low hanging fruit by jellomizer · · Score: 1

      Except there is a good part of the population living in these areas who would rather stay there then move to the City.

      There are a lot of people who do not want to live in the city. And will fight tooth and nail (and probably guns, a lot of guns) to keep their homes.

      Also many of these rural areas need internet, because rural areas are used for farming, and modern farming is often more advanced then most tech companies in silicon valley.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    8. Re:low hanging fruit by Calydor · · Score: 2

      Ahh, that makes sense. They're trying to create an exponential growth in a finite population and that'll never happen.

      --
      -=This sig has nothing to do with my comment. Move along now=-
    9. Re:low hanging fruit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can someone explain to me how gender is a factor? I would think internet access would have much to do with geographical location and little to do with genitals/identity/dna/whatever people are calling this nowadays.

      Or is it that men value being online at the expense of some other item of comfortable living because most guys are happy to live in a dirty cave versus a nice clean house in order to afford things seen as less necessary to live?

    10. Re:low hanging fruit by TheCastro1689 · · Score: 1

      It's like when they say the rate of cell phone adoption has decreased. It's because everyone has one.

    11. Re:low hanging fruit by Calydor · · Score: 1

      Culture. Some cultures don't allow women to do much other than cook food and make babies.

      --
      -=This sig has nothing to do with my comment. Move along now=-
    12. Re:low hanging fruit by Jarwulf · · Score: 1

      "Women are victims" is an easy lazy tagline to throw into any story to give it more sociological cred. Its like adding adjectives to pad out the length of your writing assignment.

    13. Re:low hanging fruit by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Or at least, everyone who wants one.

      This sounds like your standard sigmoid growth curve; lower slope - early adopters, steep slope - going mainstream, flattening off near the top - saturation.

      But where's the story in that?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  6. Down Town by JustinJack · · Score: 0

    The Internet is going down in these. Instead of search typing people's are now using voice search. This is the biggest turn into the world of internet. As I am managing a site called whatsapp dp images my site has no searching yet due to that voice search.

  7. UUNet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The internet growth fell the sharpest after UUnet stopped publishing bogus data and went bust.

  8. Low hanging fruit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Rate limiters, low hanging fruit, Russian hacking ect.

  9. Two things by cascadingstylesheet · · Score: 0

    Two things

    1. Duh - rate of technology spread slows, low hanging fruit eaten first, getting to last edges of something much harder than initial gains. News at 11.

    2. "with women and the rural poor substantially excluded from education, business and other opportunities the internet can provide."

    Re the rural poor, see point #1 (duh - "poor 'excluded' from stuff that costs money")

    Re women being excluded/limited from stuff, see those wonderful cultures that we in the West are told we must import more and more of, because of all the wonderful "vibrance" they will bring us.

    1. Re:Two things by cascadingstylesheet · · Score: 1

      Downmodding is easier than engaging, lol :)

      It's the fine article itself that made the point about "women and poor hardest hit" ... the "poor" part is fairly obvious - it takes money to get online - but the "women" part less so.

      It's reasonable to ask what factors, including cultural factors, might be involved there.

  10. Good, take the dark web with you by p51d007 · · Score: 1

    Maybe the "new" has worn off, and now some civility can be established on the web.

    1. Re:Good, take the dark web with you by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but no. Here's how it works: https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    2. Re:Good, take the dark web with you by sycodon · · Score: 1

      Maybe people that are concentrating on finding tonight's dinner have no time and aren't interested in watching Cat Videos.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
  11. "digital revolution"? What "digital revolution"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The only thing we ever got from the internet is Trump. I think we should shut the whole thing down until we get our shit together.

  12. priorities... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When you can barely get enough food to eat, or clean drinking water, internet access heads way down towards the bottom on the list of priorities.

  13. I think I know why by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Someone stumbled on creimer's poems and videos, and they set fire to their laptop.

    1. Re:I think I know why by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Check out creimer's video channel!

    2. Re:I think I know why by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let me save you the trouble, gentle reader, and summarize creimer's videos.

      (PS: This was shot at creimer's work yesterday. They say it's like that every day. The management at the Grove told creimer if he kept using the toilets in the apartment they will start charging for the repairs., so he uses the work restrooms.)

    3. Re:I think I know why by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Translation: Creimer hurt my covfefe.

  14. Re:Nice Post by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    Looks like someone's ordering a DDoS stress test of his webpage...

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  15. Duh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    "Saturation". Look it up.

    There's *always* going to be a group of people who don't have access to the internet, whether it's because it's too expensive for them, they have no use for it, or they don't have access to at least one of the other requirements that are necessary to have an internet connection, like, you know, *electricity*.

    The question from TFS really isn't why the growth rate is slowing down, it's why this should be "worrying". What dumb fuck is expecting 100% reach?

  16. Injustice against woman, again! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This really unfair: Women have got a longer life than men. Older people are less likely to use internet. All women should be younger than men but men are dying on purpose. The patriarchy at its paroxysm!

    https://www.indexmundi.com/graphs/population-pyramids/european-union-population-pyramid-2016.gif
    https://www.indexmundi.com/graphs/population-pyramids/world-population-pyramid-2016.gif

    1. Re:Injustice against woman, again! by avandesande · · Score: 1

      They missed the part about global warming slowing the digital revolution.

      --
      love is just extroverted narcissism
  17. I face the same problem by houghi · · Score: 2

    I have this great idea where you I get two people to invest in me, those two find 2 other people invest in them.

    So a growth of 2 to 4 is 100%, from 4 to 7 is only 75%, while it is more. Amazeballs!

    --
    Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
  18. How is the slowdown distributed? by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 2

    Is Internet penetration slowing in the parts of the world where building the infrastructure to remaining large populations is the most difficult, because of either physical remoteness or social chaos, or is the problem getting to the most remote people in the developed world?

    If you are operating off-grid in the Sierra Nevada, getting Internet service at a reasonable price will be no easier than joining the electrical grid. You can put up some solar panels for cheap basic power, but if your only chance at getting Internet is an Iridium subscription, you might opt to wait for Project Loon.

    1. Re:How is the slowdown distributed? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      we peaked at interent :) lets face it internet become shit in 2015

    2. Re:How is the slowdown distributed? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here you go:
      https://www.hughesnet.com/coverage-areas
      https://www.viasat.com/internet

    3. Re:How is the slowdown distributed? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My only provider AT&T has dropped official support from my neighborhood because they don't want to upgrade the last mile equipment. I'm certain we are one unluckly lightning strike from zero internet access. There are populous neighborhoods on both sides of my street. My street just isn't dense enough to warrant service.

  19. The internet: a benefit, or a hazard? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    If you're in extreme poverty, does internet access really help your situation any?

  20. Basic Math/Science. Try it. by gerald.edward.butler · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It's called an S-Curve. It's the normal way things grow. First exponentially, then linearly, then logarithmicly. S-Curve. Say it once. Say it twice. Stop being surprised by this basic fact on everything. Maybe if dumb-ass MBA's and business people learned more about "growth" than "exponential" (which they don't understand) we could stop having these stupid, "Wow! This new thing is growing really fast. Oh no, this thing that was growing really fast isn't growing fast anymore. What is going on?" stories.

    1. Re:Basic Math/Science. Try it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But then, what would we all talk about? ^^

      Sort of like the weather, universally true and small talkable.

      Cold out today here.

    2. Re:Basic Math/Science. Try it. by Camel+Pilot · · Score: 1

      Yes... Or more formally known as the Logistic Equation.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    3. Re:Basic Math/Science. Try it. by gerald.edward.butler · · Score: 0

      I love these kind of equations. They are beautiful!

    4. Re:Basic Math/Science. Try it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I love these kind of equations. They are beautiful!

      Which explains why you are frantically pumping that that s-curve shaped dildo up your ass right now.

    5. Re:Basic Math/Science. Try it. by gerald.edward.butler · · Score: 0

      Stop with your pedophile fantasies. Stop molesting children. Let the kids out of your basement and turn yourself into the police. You are a pedophile. You know it.

    6. Re:Basic Math/Science. Try it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Classic projection from the pedo butler. Were you born with that silver dildo up your ass, or did it just slide in there while you were diddling yourself watching sesame street?

    7. Re:Basic Math/Science. Try it. by gerald.edward.butler · · Score: 0

      I'm sorry that your retarded uncle molested you while you were watching Children's Television Workshop and Mister Rogers. That must've been traumatic. But, please, don't take it out on other children. Get help now.

    8. Re:Basic Math/Science. Try it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm sorry that your retarded uncle molested you while you were watching Children's Television Workshop and Mister Rogers

      So now we know your favorite shows to pump your rump to. Frankly, you didn't need to tell us.

  21. lol by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Women and minorities hardest hit! Thanks, guardian.

  22. Try again Anal-clam by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You make generalized statements without adding in what it is you're actually critiquing. When, in fact, he was right the entire time. Understanding why billions still aren't online isn't the problem here. It's the nature of the article and dumbass MBA's. I suspect... you have an MBA and that is all there is to it. Dumbass.

  23. Who doesn't have internet access? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There are literally billions of cellphones in use in the world (yes the smartphone kind, not flip phones), in contrast to desktops and laptops in which there are only about 100 million in use. Considering there are only billions of adults in the world, and most of them are married, who doesn't have access to the internet, if not by having their own personal phone but access to a family member's?

  24. Re:Try again stemfart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What part of ”poorest and most isolated people” did you fail to understand? Sounds like an S to me (for now).

  25. farming vs silicon valley by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    modern farming is often more advanced then most tech companies in silicon valley

    Questionable, but at least In farming BS is a byproduct, not the main product.

  26. Comcast rape project complete! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's because Comcast has raped all of those folks who they can get on board their ultra-expensive and completely broken network. The poor are left out.

  27. RC networks considered difficult by epine · · Score: 1

    Somebody hand these morons a capacitor, a resistor, a battery, and an oscilloscope.

    Or even just a common cellphone, already charged to 90%