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Climate Modeller Wins $10,000 Wager Against Solar Physicists, Fails To Collect (blogspot.com)

Layzej writes: Back in 2005, solar physicists Galina Mashnich and Vladimir Bashkirtsev made a $10,000 bet that global temperatures, driven primarily by changes in the Sun's activity, would fall over the next decade. The bet would compare the then record hot years between 1998 to 2003 with that between between 2012 and 2017. With temperatures falling from their peak during the 1998 super El-Nino, and solar output continuing to fall, this seemed like a sure bet. The results are now in and all datasets show that climate modeler James Annan is the clear winner.

At the time of the wager, Annan had supposed that the reputation of the scientists involved would be enough to ensure payment once the bet was settled. Unfortunately, as was the case with Alfred Russel Wallace's famous 1870 bet against flat-Earthers, the losing parties have refused to pay up.

"More precisely, Bashkirtsev is refusing to pay," writes the climate modeler on his blog, "and Mashnich is refusing to even reply to email.

"With impressive chutzpah, Bashkirtsev proposed we should arrange a follow-up bet which he would promise to honour."

3 of 195 comments (clear)

  1. Not so fast ... by Jerry · · Score: -1, Troll

    Anecdotally, this summer has been the coolest and wettest I can remember in at least 60 years or more. The average first frost date is November 4th. We had a hard freeze of 27F three weeks early, which followed a 5" snow on Oct 14th. Elephants and Giraffe in Africa are wading through 10" of a late spring snow. While claiming such snow falls are common the news media are still making a big deal of it, so it must not be as common as some claim. How many times in the past have you seen photos of elephants in Africa wading through deep snow?
    https://www.msn.com/en-za/trav...

    And, why would he pay of the "winner" had the advantage of being supported by fudged data?

    https://realclimatescience.com...

    https://science.house.gov/news...

    https://climatecenter.fsu.edu/...

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/ne...

    AGW is all about dialectical materialism: the transfer of wealth from the West to Marxist countries via "Carbon Credits", which made Al Gore a millionaire.
    http://variable-variability.bl...

    ... But one must explicitly say: We de facto redistribute the world’s wealth due to climate politics. That the owners of coal and oil are not enthusiastic about this is obvious. One has to free oneself from the illusion that international climate politics is environmental politics . This has almost nothing to do any more with environmental politics, ...

    IOW, Climate Change is used by Globalists to justify their push toward Marxist "solutions" to all problems. They have their "Arm and Hammer" and they see every problem as a nail requiring hits from their hammer.

    --

    Running with Linux for over 20 years!

    1. Re:Not so fast ... by Crashmarik · · Score: -1, Troll

      This if anyone was cheating it was the people reporting the temperature data.

  2. HE could claim that all the fraud voids the bet, o by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    or even reverses the result. Just in the recent year, and entire continent (Australia) worth of data was discovered to have been tempered with.
    Why does such a vertain theory need so much data fraud?