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Amazon Has Everything it Needs To Make Massively Popular Algorithm-Driven Fiction (qz.com)

Thu-Huong Ha, writing for Quartz: Amazon's power in books extends way beyond its ability to sell them super cheap and super fast. This year, a little over 40% of the print books sold in the US moved through the site, according to estimates from Bookstat, which tracks US online book retail. (NPD, which tracks 85% of US trade print sales, declined to provide data broken out by retailer.) In the US, Amazon dominates ebook sales and hosts hundreds of thousands of self-published ebooks on its platforms, many exclusively. It looms over the audiobook scene, in retail as well as production, and is one of the biggest marketplaces for used books in the US. Amazon also makes its own books -- more than 1,500 last year.

All that power comes with great data, which Amazon's publishing arm is well positioned to exploit in the interest of making books tailored exactly to what people want -- down to which page characters should meet on or how many lines of dialogue they should exchange. Though Amazon declined to comment specifically on whether it uses data to shape or determine the content of its own books, the company acknowledged that authors are recruited for their past sales (as is common in traditional publishing). "Amazon Publishing titles are thoughtfully acquired by our team -- made up of publishing-industry veterans and long-time Amazonians -- with many factors taken into consideration," says Amazon Publishing publisher Mikyla Bruder, "including the acquiring editor's enthusiasm, the strength of the story, quality of the writing, editorial fit for our list, and author backlist/comparable titles' sales track."

Amazon's Kindle e-reader, first released in 2007, is a data-collection device that doubles as reading material. Kindle knows the minutiae of how people read: what they highlight, the fonts they prefer, where in a book they lose interest, what kind of books they finish quickly, and which books gets skimmed rather than read all the way through. A year after the Kindle came out, Amazon acquired Audible. Audiobooks have been a rare bright spot in the publishing industry, with double-digit growth in total sales for the past few years. Audible now touts itself as the "world's largest seller and producer of downloadable audiobooks and other spoken-word entertainment," and its site has around 450,000 audio programs.

79 comments

  1. Just generate the books by Quakeulf · · Score: 1

    Then hit "refresh" if you want a completely new read in the same universe, or "I'm feeling lucky" if you can live with some algorithmic imprecisions. It'll come soon enough.

    1. Re:Just generate the books by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      So it will generate loli rape books for incels and black cock harlequin books for the micropeened, peckerwood white nationalists.

    2. Re:Just generate the books by Quakeulf · · Score: 1

      Tell Weev this shit isn't funny anymore and has gone on for too long. Trolling the /. comment-field is low, and even worse if you're in your 30's.

    3. Re:Just generate the books by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You literally cannot stop thinking about n1gger dicks, what's wrong with you people?

    4. Re:Just generate the books by srmalloy · · Score: 2

      And you can switch between genres just by changing out the noun tables -- one-button swap between sci-fi, westerns, and action novels.

    5. Re:Just generate the books by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm gay and love black cocks, peckerwood incel.

    6. Re: Just generate the books by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey everybody - look at the nazi cuck! Look at this nazi loser projecting his own closeted fantasies onto the groups his masters told him to hate.

      Listen up, nazi asshole: Go home. Nobody here wants what you're selling.

  2. Do you believe you may be obsessed? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Perhaps, when you start writing your own fanfic about a company then perhaps you have an unhealthy obsession.

  3. We really are in the Matrix by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Echo chamber books, no need to question anything since reality is dished up with a nice bottle of Cabernet.

  4. following Hollywood and TV by liquid_schwartz · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Yay, now books can become as predictable as Hallmark movies.

    1. Re:following Hollywood and TV by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't necessarily agree, but I modded you up because you're the only commenter who didn't mistake this for a story generating AI.

    2. Re:following Hollywood and TV by mikael · · Score: 1

      Try reading a book and skip the odd page or two. I used to make that mistake while reading a short story for English class at high school.

      "Dr Evil ran from compound with the secret weapon he had stolen from the research lab and ran towards his waiting escape ..." [NEXT PAGE] ... "donkey. He put his belongings in the satchels on either side, climbed into the saddle and gave the creature a gentle kick. The donkey brayed and he begin his slow ascent up the mountain. Behind him he could hear men shouting, but soon the voices died away. He was all alone in the wilderness in the dark where no one could find him..."

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
  5. It doesn't really by phantomfive · · Score: 4, Insightful

    They can tell things like when people stop reading in their Kindle, but they don't have really great data to determine why the person stopped reading. They may be able to tell how long popular dialogues are, but an interesting dialogue is determined by much more than length. In fact you might say that length is one of the least important factors.

    So great, they have tons of metrics, but they don't have the ability to extract the metrics they need to make a book interesting. And that is entirely the problem.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    1. Re:It doesn't really by Quakeulf · · Score: 1

      "Choose your own ending" except it now changes the next page based on your reading page on the previous page.

    2. Re:It doesn't really by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      They can tell things like when people stop reading in their Kindle, but they don't have really great data to determine why the person stopped reading.

      I think they do, and it's because of the volume. They don't even need to know any more than whether someone finished a book, but they are also getting other useful information. Whether they then looked for more books from that author, or more books like the book they just read (etc.) is probably more useful information than how long they took to read certain pages. That can be influenced by external factors. But if they simply process the text of books to characterize them, and then look at which elements drive completion and follow-on sales, they'll have the most useful information.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    3. Re:It doesn't really by phantomfive · · Score: 1
      That's a good point. In fact they do have all the data they need.

      But if they simply process the text of books to characterize them,

      It's not simple, though. Those kinds of AI algorithms, presumably that actually understand the text, don't exist yet.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  6. Pornosex... by Voice+of+satan · · Score: 1

    So, the mechanically written books for the masses imagined in Orwell's 1984 may become a reality ? If i recall well it was called "pornosex".

    Well, you can already automate generation of postmodern essays so why not ?

    On of the many: http://www.elsewhere.org/journ...

  7. Troll, insightful, or both? Re:Just generate ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Even trolls speak the truth every now and then.

  8. Bring the US into the 20th century!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I bought a device that seems to only work in Fahrenheit. It's time that California mandates that all products sold in the state support Celsius out of the box and can easily switch from Fahrenheit to Celsius. Only California can make the US progress in that way...

    (I'll talk about meters next)

    1. Re: Bring the US into the 20th century!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Celsius is clearly superior because you get more precision. That's why Celsius thermostats have half degrees, am I right?

      No, it's stupid to switch to a unit system that's not up for the task of picking a house temperature in its base units.

    2. Re: Bring the US into the 20th century!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But muh science! Big brain science types use Celsius and metric, so everyone else should too! BaSe-TeN mAkEs MoRe SeNsE pErIoD!

    3. Re:Bring the US into the 20th century!!! by mikael · · Score: 1

      This is California They would mandate the temperatures that water boils and freezes at.

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
  9. Re: That's what SHE Said! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Your "contributions" are not welcome here. Please leave.

  10. Excited for generated fiction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I look forward to reading titles like: "The Ethical Billion Dollar Company," "The One Thing Everybody Agrees On," "The Functional Government," and "The Man Who Got Everything For Free At No Cost to Anybody."

  11. OSC by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So it will be indistinguishable from the writings of Orson Scott Card.

  12. Everything but fuxxoring readers, dumbasses. by Seven+Spirals · · Score: 2

    Readers aren't the same as Vidiots. They have enough brain cells to tell that they are reading AI-generated garbage. I'm more inclined to believe GAN will produce movies before it'll write a decent book. However, I'm probably just heavily biased since I'm a voracious reader myself (and completely fucking unashamed of it).

    1. Re:Everything but fuxxoring readers, dumbasses. by Voice+of+satan · · Score: 2

      I am sorry but there are tons of people who read and write crud all the time. Published crud will be cheaper that is all.

      I recall the interview of some guy form a French recording company. He was explaining that he was making dance album with one guy paid to make quickly rhythms and mixed parts of nonsensical sentences uttered by a female singer paid a flat fee.

      He added "Our approach may sound cynical but this is how we make money we use later to produce real music made by real artists".

      Except i do not expect Amazon to use the generated money to finance great writing.

    2. Re:Everything but fuxxoring readers, dumbasses. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Netflix original content feels like a straight-to-video movie. Amazon original content feels like it was written by someone with a 90 IQ and created by a team of students. I cannot fathom Amazon creating good books. Their shows and, especially movies, are SO BAD!

    3. Re:Everything but fuxxoring readers, dumbasses. by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      You must be kidding right? Have you seen the top 10 best seller list? Hint: Harry Potter books were most of them. John Grisham. Pure junk.

    4. Re:Everything but fuxxoring readers, dumbasses. by N7DR · · Score: 2

      You must be kidding right? Have you seen the top 10 best seller list? Hint: Harry Potter books were most of them. John Grisham. Pure junk.

      I am a writer. It seems to me that Amazon, or anyone else, is welcome to generate as much junk as they like. I don't see that it's going to affect any writer who creates substantive, complex, original works. The two are aimed at quite different markets -- but both are real markets, and if people want to enjoy, and spend money on, let's call it "computer-generated drivel", then it's not obvious why Amazon or someone else shouldn't profitably cater to that market; I don't see why I would care whether some automated system is responsible for "creating" books for the people who enjoy the kind of material that appears on any "top 10 best seller list".

  13. More LIkely by Luthair · · Score: 5, Funny

    We'll have an algorithmic tech blog that generates nonsensical stories. The formula is simple company x + category y + fad z.

    1. Re:More LIkely by Seven+Spirals · · Score: 3, Funny

      Huh? I thought I was already on that site. :-)

  14. Re:That's what SHE Said! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why don't you stop licking the assholes of random homeless drunks/addicts? That's just nasty! Fucking disgusting pig!

    the gerald butler impersonator

  15. Parent is an incel faggot. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Cool story, newfag.

  16. Re:Fiction like BULLY ZIP's IMPERSONATION? apk by forkfail · · Score: 1

    I finally understand this APK nonsense.

    It's Amazon's beta testing it's story writing AI!

    Seems they have quite a bit of work that needs be done, though....

    --
    Check your premises.
  17. Amazon and Netflix driven data mining by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Amazon and Netflix driven data mining is what gives us such ridiculous combinations as Sharknado and Clown Tornados
    EG: http://www.killerclown.org/killer-clown-clownado

    makes me wonder just how advanced these algorithms really are..
    On the other hand I've seen some really bad moves based on really bad themes that were made prior to any of all this whoo haa .

  18. Would that be "Harem Superhero Urban Fantasy"? by gweihir · · Score: 2

    Or some similar utter crap? I have been wondering where all that trash comes from...

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  19. Re:That's what SHE Said! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Look at this poor, little incel. Always raging at women becase he thinks he deserves poon, but no one wants to get within 500 feet of his shit breath and micropeen.

  20. Zach Patterson / ZIP "Greatest Hits" (lol, not) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "I'm a much better programmer than APK" - by Anonymous Coward ZIP on Monday October 08, 2018 @11:27PM (#57449082)

    BIG TALK - ZIP has nothing to show in programs.

    I can https://news.slashdot.org/comm...

    (From registered /.ers liking/using/praising my work (& 100k users worldwide too) - He can't!)

    "ZIP" (Zach Patterson) tried to take credit for what I solved before him https://tech.slashdot.org/comm...

    (He says he can code? I don't see it & DOUBT IT - he even needs to LEARN TO READ)

    I even show 2 ways to do it YOURSELF https://tech.slashdot.org/comm... (he couldn't).

    Delphi/FreePascal/ObjectPascal HAS no issue w/ null-term'd string bufferoverflows https://developers.slashdot.or... - C does, C++ can UNLESS you do what I said 1st loser.

    He likes CODE SIGNING (that's been STOLEN & ABUSED) https://www.helpnetsecurity.co...

    MY METHOD CAN'T BE (upmodded +2 INTERESTING in CODING FOR DEFCON no less) https://it.slashdot.org/commen...

    LIAR ZIP says he has no account "I don't have an account, so I don't have mod points" https://news.slashdot.org/comm...

    Yet LIAR ZIP says he downmods my posts (IMPOSSIBLE MINUS AN ACCOUNT on /.): "I down-modded a few of your post on other threads" - by Anonymous Coward "ZIP" on Thursday October 11, 2018 @11:31AM (#57461058) FROM https://yro.slashdot.org/comme...

    APK

    P.S.=> KEEP IMPERSONATING ME https://science.slashdot.org/c... - this comes out every time EXPOSING your BLOWHARD incompetence... apk

  21. Pricing by rogoshen1 · · Score: 1

    Basically without any scarcity (since the content can be produced almost instantly, and without any limitations at all due to quantity) -- there's nothing stopping the market being glutted with this crap, and the price asymptotically dropping to zero...

    So would the end result be that human authors get priced out of existence, since they can't compete at all -- or perhaps in the long run worth it in the long run for amazon to make content like this?
     

    1. Re:Pricing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Until we get something better than the script written by an AI that was, at best, a fun watch when you so drunk it almost started to make sense, the difference between algorithm written fiction and human written fiction will be enough that human written fiction won't be dropping in price to match the algorithm based stuff anytime soon. I'd counter it's entirely possible it could have a net positive effect, as shitty authors would be forced out of the market because they would be the direct competition with the algorithmic stuff, and good authors would be able to charge more because they were actually creating something with more staying power than some garbage formula schlock.

    2. Re:Pricing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So would the end result be that human authors get priced out of existence, since they can't compete at all

      I agree, that is a major concern. Or a slight variant: that human authors will start "writing to the metrics" that are "the best" for "capturing attention", rather than just creating great literature.

      I used to believe that people would not reward utter drek in the marketplace, but the internet has changed my mind about this.

  22. Sounds like SCIgen for fiction by redmasq · · Score: 1

    SCIgen referring to https://pdos.csail.mit.edu/arc... if anyone is interested

    I have little doubt that Amazon had the necessary corpus to generate books including ones containing all the elements that people look for in a good book. That said, well designed and programmed robots can make reasonable food out of correct quantities of each ingredients in the correct order, but after a while it will all just begin to taste the same and be bland. In the case of the software generated stories, some of it might be accidentally good enough to make it into a literary publications if all of the vogue themes show up; however, until such time that we have "electric readers" that will read for us so that we won't have to do so, I doubt the bulk of it will make the upper ranks for the bulk of readers, at least for the first few generations of such.

    1. Re:Sounds like SCIgen for fiction by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

      some of it might be accidentally good enough to make it into a literary publications if all of the vogue themes show up;

      Seems unlikely: with those metrics, Amazon will most likely attempt to make books that people actually want to read

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
  23. Big Data Buzzword Bingo by grumbel · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I believe it when I see it. Sure, companies do collect a whole truckload of data all the time and AI has made some huge progress in the last 10 years, but in terms of end user features I have seen pretty much zero of that ever being used to create something useful.

    If they wanted to they could run face detection and AI on every movie out there and tell you exactly how long each character is on screen, with which characters they share a scene, what they are doing in the scene and so on. But they don't. We are still stuck with recommendation algorithms that are complete junk and provide no explorability.

    In their store they can't even manage to group related items together. Want to buy a book or movie from a series? Better know what you are looking for already, since they down show you which are part of the series or in what order they go. A trip to Wikipedia is often needed to figure things out.

    For most of the items they sell they can't even bother to scan the backside.

    There is a lot of cool stuff one could do with all that collected data, but I have yet to see somebody actually do something with it.

  24. I really don't believe it by Headw1nd · · Score: 4, Informative

    Seeing as how Amazon still has no idea what I might actually be interested in buying despite me doing quite a bit of shopping and browsing with them, (You bought a part for your car, so how about the same part, for a different car?) I have a hard time believing they would be able to make a full length book that would be anything more than a poor remix of something I had previously read.

    1. Re:I really don't believe it by mentil · · Score: 1

      I agree, Amazon couldn't possibly understand what you might want to buy, despite how often you purchase from them and use their website. Say, if you purchase an accessory for your motorcycle, it suggests a similar part for a bicycle. I also disbelieve that Amazon could create a novel that would be any better than the works they already offer for sale.

      *Preceding message auto-generated by Alphabet/DeepMind. Check out Google Books today!*

      --
      Corruption is convincing someone that the selfless ideal is the same as their selfish ideal.
    2. Re:I really don't believe it by Headw1nd · · Score: 1

      This is an underrated comment.

  25. Re:That's what SHE Said! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    My usual comment regarding CHILD MOLESTING IMPERSONATOR COWARDS applies here. Please shut the fuck up if you aren't willing to speak under your real name. Oh, that's right, your name is Chester the Molester!

    the gerald butler impersonator

  26. Re: That's what SHE Said! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Your presence on earth are not welcome. Please leave. Preferably by slitting your own throat and drowning in your own blood.

    Be careful not to cut the dick off the guys penis that is down your throat though.

    the gerald butler impersonator

  27. they might.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    but they still gotta buy the books they would feed into the 'ai' author bot that would 'write' them...

    and the first time their bot 'writes' a best seller that infringes on another work will be very expensive, very important, legal case.

  28. It was the best of times by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It was the blurst of times.

    Stupid monkey.

  29. Re: That's what SHE Said! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    (') I am Bandit the penis, and I object to this thread.

    When I become the anthropomorphic man sized Killer Penis in 2097, and I find a way back in time to 2018, I'll be slitting all of your throats and sacraficing your heads to Satan. Be warned.

  30. See: Big Mouth and Oh, Hello! by SethJohnson · · Score: 1

    I don't think you have really given Amazon and Netflix content a decent survey. Have you seen Big Mouth by Nick Kroll? What about the Marvelous Mrs. Maisel on Amazon?

  31. That database must have MANY copyright holders by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I've never heard of a derived work made from so many other copyrighted works. Each query of this database must cost a royal fuckton when you think about how many tens of thousands of authors they must be paying.

  32. Autogenerate People Magazine by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    According to a future spoof news article: "We at AruvB Labs have taken Machine Learning, Big Data and applied facial and scene recognition to tabloid photos with the results generating a new issue of People Magazine with pictures, captions, advertisements and information snippits - All Automatically with no human intervention."

    hmmm....maybe worthy of submission to the Onion.

  33. Don't forget the ever popular titles by SuperKendall · · Score: 2

    I'm really looking forward to "Fifty shades of Magic", and "Ready, Player".

    In the end I think pretty much all of the AI generated books will come off like really poor fanfic with cringe-inducing sex sprinkled throughout.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Don't forget the ever popular titles by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

      AI generated books will come off like really poor fanfic with cringe-inducing sex sprinkled throughout.

      Isn't cringe-inducing sex one of the main hallmarks of really poor fanfics?

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
  34. Not gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You don't need petabytes worth of data to understand what makes for a "good" book. There are countless analyses of plots and characters and pacing and on and on. James Patterson and Stuart Woods and many others have capitalized on formula fiction for decades. KDP has hundreds of thousands of books with bestselling quality covers, blurbs, characters, plots, pacing and so on that are NOT bestsellers or even mediocre sellers. What the data doesn't tell you is what kind of voodoo to add to make the book resonate with people and become a bestseller. That bit isn't as definable.

  35. Loved it by martinX · · Score: 1

    I love the one where the guy in the hat killed the other guy in the hat.

    --
    When they came for the communists, I said "He's next door. Take him away. Goddam commies."
  36. Not impressed ... by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

    ... Trump does that with actual intelligence.

    [sorry, low-hanging fruit]

    --
    It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
  37. Player Piano by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Player Piano had it right. You don't have Algorithm-Driven Fiction. You have Algorithm-Driven Author selection paid to write books.

  38. authenticity badge by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is such a terrible thing. I don't want to read books written by an algorithm! Authors have always written because they have a story to tell, either about something they lived through, or about something they've created on their own. If this becomes more prevalent, I think we should demand that books include sworn statements from the authors that they wrote the book and that it wasn't written by an algorithm. And if an 'author' is found to be a fake person, then that author's books should be labelled as written by an algorithm.

  39. Re: That's what SHE Said! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How ironic that for all your hatred of ACs, your posts are of such low quality that the only people who will bother to engage with you are ACs.
    Seems like all your simpering, fragile masculinity is the result of you winning the inferiority contest.

  40. Re: That's what SHE Said! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Incel: n. A term of abuse hurled by whoremongers and cuckolds to disparage romantics.

  41. Author's rights? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Since the algorithm is trained by reading real books written by real humans, how will Amazon compensate the authors?

  42. This will be in video games first by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 1

    Procedural generation of game content is already eating everything else that used to be hand coded in games, and it won't be long before the writing of the quests will itself be done by some sort of neural net trained on the feedback of millions of gaming hours. First it will be the side quests, and they will suck, but I'm keeping an open mind about the potential that this might actually get good one day. It's not like the games I play have a staff of JRR Tolkiens and GRR Martins doing the writing.

  43. Everything they need? by Tony+Isaac · · Score: 1

    Sure, they have words, sentences, story outlines, distribution infrastructure. That's everything they need, right?

    There are intangible qualities that AI can't master, and won't for a long time. Amazon can't even figure out what I want to buy yet, much less what I want to read!

  44. Re:The best spinner by wolfheart111 · · Score: 1

    Its come a long way baby. :) To bad G can now recognize spun content. :( Ohh the glory days...

    --
    [($)]
  45. Re: That's what SHE Said! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's so weird that your'e such a faggoty, child-molesting, cowardly bitch who balls up in the fetal position and sucks his own dick while chanting, "make the bad man stop" instead of being a man and posting under your real name. Loser!

    gerald butler's impersonator