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Insects Could Vanish Within a Century At Current Rate of Decline, Says Global Review (theguardian.com)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from The Guardian: The world's insects are hurtling down the path to extinction, threatening a "catastrophic collapse of nature's ecosystems," according to the first global scientific review. More than 40% of insect species are declining and a third are endangered, the analysis found. The rate of extinction is eight times faster than that of mammals, birds and reptiles. The total mass of insects is falling by a precipitous 2.5% a year, according to the best data available, suggesting they could vanish within a century. The planet is at the start of a sixth mass extinction in its history, with huge losses already reported in larger animals that are easier to study. But insects are by far the most varied and abundant animals, outweighing humanity by 17 times. They are "essential" for the proper functioning of all ecosystems, the researchers say, as food for other creatures, pollinators and recyclers of nutrients.

Insect population collapses have recently been reported in Germany and Puerto Rico, but the review strongly indicates the crisis is global. The researchers set out their conclusions in unusually forceful terms for a peer-reviewed scientific paper: "The [insect] trends confirm that the sixth major extinction event is profoundly impacting [on] life forms on our planet. The analysis, published in the journal Biological Conservation, says intensive agriculture is the main driver of the declines, particularly the heavy use of pesticides. Urbanization and climate change are also significant factors.
"One of the biggest impacts of insect loss is on the many birds, reptiles, amphibians and fish that eat insects," the study says, noting a recent study in Puerto Rico where there was a 98% fall in ground insects over 35 years. Butterflies and moths are among the worst hit.

241 comments

  1. Re:Great Job, President Trump!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    shut up apk

  2. Fortunately by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    By the time this whips back around to fuck humanity, the denialist will be spouting off how mass extinctions happened in the past without human influence. Perfectly normal part of the lifecycle in Earth.

    1. Re:Fortunately by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep, this is clearly white people's fault.

    2. Re:Fortunately by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's true! I deny we've ever used pesticides to nuke insects from existence. No amount of your so called 'science' will change my opinion.

    3. Re:Fortunately by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Do you normally accept whatever is the latest apocalyptic prediction without questioning it? No wonder "global warming", "climate change", "extreme weather", whatever they're calling it today has become a religion.

    4. Re:Fortunately by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is happening for sure. But it's not c02 that's causing it like many of you are claiming. Otherwise insects would have been wiped out during the Eocene.
      It's clearly the insecticides which are new.

    5. Re:Fortunately by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I love this news, it means humanity is winning in the battle of Man vs. Nature. I fucking hate bugs I hope they all DIE DIE DIE!

  3. Draw a line by phantomfive · · Score: 5, Informative
    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  4. Loss of insect species is very alarming by wierd_w · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Insects are a keystone species in many food webs. Without insects, many plant waste products (wood logs, dead grasses, fallen leaves, etc) would not break down fast enough for the carbon and nutrients to be recycled into the food chain, or otherwise returned to the ecosystem.

    Add to that, that insects are essential pollinators for many plant species, including (and especially) those that are valuable human agricultural crops, (or are otherwise essential to other macrofauna), and you end up with bad juju very quickly.

    The loss of insect species at this rate is alarming. Very alarming. Making quips about mother fucking donald trump, or wasting everyone's goddamn time with pointing fingers at one political group or the other to preserve their complacent lifestyles and personal peace of mind--- rather than being mindful and alert about this problem, and going for the needed fixes to prevent the looming catastrophe this represents--- It is fucking damning as hell about why this catastrophe has happened in the first place; It's part of the problem, not any solution.

    1. Re:Loss of insect species is very alarming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're explaining basic science to infants and toddlers with nicotine habits and zero scruples. Of course you're right and everyone who's half-brained or greater knows insects are the majority of the animal kingdom on Earth.

      Republicans can't be forced to know anything that doesn't make them fatter, gassier, sassier, or Putin's sex slave. You're wasting your keystrokes here.

      Educate the next generation, the one that matters most now.

    2. Re:Loss of insect species is very alarming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      No Kendall, it's actually done by insects also. Bacteria, fungii, protozoa, single-celled organisms all play a role. Learn more about science, Republican children. Nicotinoid "weed killers" are chemical warfare on our food chain. We're killing it.

      All of it.

    3. Re:Loss of insect species is very alarming by wierd_w · · Score: 5, Informative

      I see you did not pay attention in grade school AC. this is not surprising.

      https://www.ck12.org/biology/i...

      While the article is very short, I understand that your attention span is ALSO very short, as evidenced by your lack of creativity in your word choice in your ad-hominem. So, here is the pertinent portion of the article, with added bold emphasis.

      Insects are crucial components of many ecosystems, where they perform many important functions. They aerate the soil, pollinate blossoms, and control insect and plant pests. Many insects, especially beetles, are scavengers, feeding on dead animals and fallen trees, thereby recycling nutrients back into the soil. As decomposers, insects help create top soil, the nutrient-rich layer of soil that helps plants grow. Burrowing bugs, such as ants and beetles, dig tunnels that provide channels for water, benefiting plants. Bees, wasps, butterflies, and ants pollinate flowering plants (Figure below).

    4. Re:Loss of insect species is very alarming by vux984 · · Score: 1

      soil mites
      termites
      ants
      wasps ...

    5. Re:Loss of insect species is very alarming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The insect loss rate is a grossly inaccurate, and covers tiny little chunk of land.

      "The 98% ground insect loss" between 1976 and 2012 was taken from a research plot of land in the Luquillo Mountains.

      This plot of land was DESTROYED in 1990 by Hurricane Hugo, as was the insect and animal populations. https://pr.water.usgs.gov/public/webb/hurricane_hugo.html

      The paper attempts to blame this on an increase in temperature and max/min temperatures without any conclusive evidence, without any good data points, and I imagine that its an attempt tot secure funding by the massive amounts of 'Climate Change' money there is. FYI, the only data points that are year on year contiguous that they have (2012 and 2013) actually show a small growth in the population.

      Climate Change is real and terrible, but the science behind this crap is utterly disgraceful.

    6. Re: Loss of insect species is very alarming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well we just need the currency. Too bad for life it's never enough currency.

    7. Re:Loss of insect species is very alarming by AbRASiON · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Mod this guy up, the idiot whiners who keep referencing Trump need a hiding.

      Republicans are /generally/ worse with the environment, but this problem hardly, hardly rests entirely on their shoulders, in the slightest. Our entire culture, our entire behaviour as a species has led to this, almost every element of our worthless, stupid, consumerists lives have got us here. This is hardly some idiot time to whinge about god damn @#%ing moron Trump.

      The far left are now, as bad or worse than the far right.

      Get your shit together people, you could Bernie or Hilary in charge for 4 decades (if the poor guy lasted that long) and it'd barely make a dent.

      You want to solve this shit, for real? Actually quickly?
      Reduce the population by 97% and we'll all STILL probably be screwed.
      Inertia is a hell of a thing and we've just started the mother of all snowballs, it's just moving very very slowly.

    8. Re: Loss of insect species is very alarming by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Insects aren't going to disappear. At this point it's still in the stage of preliminary studies, and worth looking at more deeply, studying more. It's not worth the hyperbole and panic.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    9. Re:Loss of insect species is very alarming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Don't panic my friend. Whether global warming is true or not, you can be fairly sure that nearly 100% of people alive right now will be dead in 120 years. Does that make you feel better?
      The problem with society, as I see it, if that most people are absolutely shit scared of the future and of dying.
      You don't have to worry about the latter, it's guaranteed! Absolutely no point worrying about it.
      The future will be what you make of it. Are there going to be challenges? I hope so. Otherwise life will be fucking boring as shit.

    10. Re: Loss of insect species is very alarming by Truth_Quark · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Insects aren't going to disappear.

      When they say Four aquatic taxa are imperilled and have already lost a large proportion of species, that means that some of them have already disappeared. They are not saying that they will all disappear. But in Luquillo where there have been large population drops observed, these have been accompanied by parallel decreases in Luquillo’s insectivorous lizards, frogs, and birds.

      It's not worth the hyperbole and panic.

      The observed collapse of a food web in some areas. It's not hyperbole, and panic is justified, unless you're already in your late 80s or have terminal cancer.

    11. Re:Loss of insect species is very alarming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      well... the earth is/was fun while it lasts/lasted...

      just like the Amiga in its golden years!

      Commodore went bankrupt in the year 1994 and the Earth will go bankrupt in the year 2100!

      As the Dolphins will say... So long, and thanks for all the fish!

      So you all on the other side...

    12. Re: Loss of insect species is very alarming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Heheh... If we put it to a vote I'm guessing you'd be the one getting shot in the face.

    13. Re: Loss of insect species is very alarming by djinn6 · · Score: 1

      It's worth looking into whether something can be done, but panic is neither justified nor helpful.

      Even if the study's conclusions are correct and we lose some insects and some animals that eat them. So what? How many people will die as a result?

      The few insect species that we do rely on are nowhere near extinction, while intensive farming techniques and cheap energy are bringing billions of people out of poverty, of whom a significant percentage would have died due to the lack of food, clean water or healthcare. Any proposal to fix the problem must take the needs of those people into account, or it simply won't be implemented.

      Besides, there's nothing to panic about when it comes to the ecosystem either. Regardless of what humans do, life will continue on Earth as it has for billions of years. After every mass extinction, a large number of ecological niches become available for new species to occupy, leading to an explosion of biodiversity. You can even say that the evolution of complex life on Earth is driven by mass extinction events.

    14. Re: Loss of insect species is very alarming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thatâ(TM)s one....one study. Google It and there are hundreds of individual papers on a range of insects from around the world. Butterflys, Honey bees, etc., even Dung Beatles are all in deep crap. Even the crickets, nats, and lighting bugs of my childhood are all gone. Do use a favor and sell your petroleum stocks and bury your head somewhere else.

    15. Re:Loss of insect species is very alarming by Truth_Quark · · Score: 4, Informative

      The insect loss rate is a grossly inaccurate, and covers tiny little chunk of land.

      What do you mean by "grossly inaccurate"?
      As in plus or minus how much?

      The authors seem to have data for 19 years (1993 to 2011, inclusive) for the walking sticks, and each of those was taken with 5 days of sampling over 10 traps for 50 samples to get each of the 19 points.

      So there's some evidence of statistical rigour. How small is the "tiny little chink" of land?
      As in what area?

      Do you have any reason to suspect that this area isn't representative?

      The 98% ground insect loss" between 1976 and 2012 was taken from a research plot of land in the Luquillo Mountains.

      This plot of land was DESTROYED in 1990 by Hurricane Hugo, as was the insect and animal populations.

      As you can see from figure 5 C, the walking stick population was declining overall since 1991. The decline is correlated with temperature (figure 5 D, same link as 5 C, above). It does not show a flat or recovering population as if the 1990 even had destroyed the population.

      The paper attempts to blame this on an increase in temperature and max/min temperatures without any conclusive evidence, without any good data points

      No they don't. They show that that is the likely cause using multiple regression, and discuss the alternative hypothesis of the effect of clear-cutting, showing to be not the case in the study area.

      ... and I imagine that its an attempt tot secure funding by the massive amounts of 'Climate Change' money there is.

      Oh, you're one of those conspiracy theory crackpots that think that climate scientists simply do 25 years of education, then get pathetically lowly paid positions as post docs rather than getting a highly paid job in the private sector, so that they can compete for grants that barely fund their research, and they do not get to pocket any of, because that's a sensible route to personal enrichment by deception?

      Not a wonder you had so many misconceptions about the paper. Which science-denial website did you pick up your opinions from, if you don't mind be asking?

      FYI, the only data points that are year on year contiguous that they have (2012 and 2013) actually show a small growth in the population.

      Nope. As you can see from the figure I link, they have data for every year from 1993 to 2011 for walking sticks as well. Decreases occurred on 10 of those sequential years.

      Climate Change is real and terrible, but the science behind this crap is utterly disgraceful.

      Irony (adj): a bit like an iron.

    16. Re:Loss of insect species is very alarming by Truth_Quark · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Whether global warming is true or not ...

      Whether gravity is true or not, global warming's been measured.

      Yep, warming.

    17. Re: Loss of insect species is very alarming by Truth_Quark · · Score: 1

      So what?

      Extinction Is a bad thing because it denies humanity access to the living thing and its ecosystem as a scientific resource.

      It is also a bad thing because we are a long way from understanding the interconnectedness of the global ecosystem, so we don't know which extinction will be followed by the extinction of a very important pollinator or competitor or predator of a pathogen that will lead to the impacts for us or important domestic or agricultural species.

      Extinction aside, drops in biomass of things like 98% are indicative of a collapse of productivity of the land. Humans already use about 30% more resources per year than the world produces. We already need to develop technologies that improve that number or face a nasty crash. Having parts of the world dropping to more or less zero productivity makes that equation worse, and is indicative of a problem that may be affecting other ecosystems.

      How many people will die as a result?

      It's very difficult to guess.

      The few insect species that we do rely on are nowhere near extinction

      These populations drops are coupled with related drops in insectivores. Insects are just the bottom of the food chain. The collapse will flow upwards.

      while intensive farming techniques and cheap energy are bringing billions of people out of poverty

      Great for them, but not relevant to the impact on humanity of the loss of some of the world's ecosystems.

      After every mass extinction, a large number of ecological niches become available for new species to occupy, leading to an explosion of biodiversity.

      Right. But that won't help humanity. The problems we face will hit crunch point in the next thousand years. Probably early in that time.

      You can even say that the evolution of complex life on Earth is driven by mass extinction events.

      So what? How many people will live as a result?

      A hint: None.

    18. Re:Loss of insect species is very alarming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1 degree increase in 140 years?
      The truth is if humanity wanted to solve our claimed warming problem we have the technology right now to do it. We could quite easily build out double our current global power generation capacity with nuclear and use the surplus to remove the carbon from the atmosphere. Why don't we do it? Because we aren't being impacted enough from any warming effects to justify the effort and expense.
      I think you can rest easy knowing that if the oceans start to rise so much that all the banker's and politician's ocean front homes become endangered, solutions will be enacted before you can say "too big to fail".

    19. Re: Loss of insect species is very alarming by DogDude · · Score: 1

      Insects aren't going to disappear.

      Source?

      --
      I don't respond to AC's.
    20. Re:Loss of insect species is very alarming by bluegutang · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It's not just one research plot in the Luquillo Mountains. There are cases of decline across the world.

    21. Re:Loss of insect species is very alarming by Denver_80203 · · Score: 1

      We'll be gone long before or very shortly after them

    22. Re:Loss of insect species is very alarming by Truth_Quark · · Score: 2

      1 degree increase in 140 years?

      About 50 years.
      In the case of eucalypts, that about 25% of species outside their range. Which means they have to migrate or go extinct. Other plants are probably similar.

      The truth is if humanity wanted to solve our claimed warming problem we have the technology right now to do it.

      Agreed. The problem appears to be that humanity is manipulable by marketing, and fossil fuel interests are paying for marketing.

      We could quite easily build out double our current global power generation capacity with nuclear and use the surplus to remove the carbon from the atmosphere.

      We'll need about seven times if we want our current transportation to go electric as well, assuming my arithmetic is about right.

      Why don't we do it? Because we aren't being impacted enough from any warming effects to justify the effort and expense..

      Oh yes we are. We aren't doing it because of marketing on one hand, and the difficulty in deciding who should contribute to the power generation on the other. On the third hand, moving the power generation away from fossil fuels dramatically disadvantages some nations compared to others.

      I think you can rest easy knowing that if the oceans start to rise so much that all the banker's and politician's ocean front homes become endangered, solutions will be enacted before you can say "too big to fail"

      There's a lot of inertia in the system. If we stop building new fossil fuel power plants tonight we wont stop burning fossil fuels for 30 to 50 years. If we stop emissions tonight the warming will continue for 50 to 100 years. If the warming stops tonight, the ice sheet mass loss will continue for thousands of years.

      This can't be turned around in a few years.

    23. Re: Loss of insect species is very alarming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even the crickets, nats, and lighting bugs of my childhood are all gone.

      Hmm. I haven't had one cricket in my house or the last couple years. i still do have the glowy showy bugs, which are neither fire nor lightning. And gnats are everywhere.

    24. Re: Loss of insect species is very alarming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Insects only don't matter when we stop eating grains and fruits and the results of other flowering plants. You know, that simple shit we built civilization upon. Show me the robot that can pollinate a section of canola or a section of grain, or a section of apple trees. If you're confused, a section is 1 mile by 1 mile square, or about 2560 acres.

      It is true that the planet has survived mass extinctions before, and eventually other species evolved to fill niches. In 100,000 years something may evolve to pollinate the new vegetation that evolves following the collapse of the current species. Don't know about you, but I'll be damn hungry in 100,000 years.

      Catcha: Consumes. How fitting

    25. Re:Loss of insect species is very alarming by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      insects are essential pollinators for many plant species, including (and especially) those that are valuable human agricultural crops,

      Don't worry, Elon Musk will 3D print new crops that pollinate via IoT meshworks. With blockchains.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    26. Re:Loss of insect species is very alarming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your post is grossly inaccurate. This problem was detected two decades ago and study of it has been ramping up over that time. There is ample data from far flung parts of the world to conclude that the problem is real and growing.

    27. Re:Loss of insect species is very alarming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Opposite. Climate Change is real and annoying but not terrible. The insect loss is real and seriously fucking scary but nothing to do with climate change.

    28. Re:Loss of insect species is very alarming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Go outside!

      In Virginia, our Salamanders basically became extinct in the 90s, beetle populations died out in the early 2000s, butterflies and moths all but vanished about 10 years ago, and we're now down to mosquitos, deerflies, and dragonflies, with a handful of wasps and hoverflies. Last summer the dragonflies were eating each other for lack of other prey. Frogs and insect-eating birds are rare now. I don't know how much longer the freshwater fish will hold out, and their loss will kill the large shorebirds (herons, egrets, ospreys, etc).

      I really don't know what to expect this year.

      Newport News is a lost cause but there are already rural outlying regions an hour or two from here where all life is dead. The entire Nansemond watershed is dead.

      And we're far from the worst when it comes to agricultural runoff and pollution.

    29. Re: Loss of insect species is very alarming by Gilgaron · · Score: 1

      It isn't clear that humans will survive a mass extinction, as apex predators a species like ours is most vulnerable to significant disruption to the food web.

    30. Re:Loss of insect species is very alarming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Without insects, many plant waste products (wood logs, dead grasses, fallen leaves, etc) would not break down fast enough for the carbon and nutrients to be recycled into the food chain, or otherwise returned to the ecosystem.

      So you're saying... we not only get rid of icky bugs but fight climate change at the same time? It's win-win!

    31. Re: Loss of insect species is very alarming by djinn6 · · Score: 1

      Extinction Is a bad thing because it denies humanity access to the living thing and its ecosystem as a scientific resource.

      So the only negative there is that scientific progress might be slower?

      It is also a bad thing because we are a long way from understanding the interconnectedness of the global ecosystem, so we don't know which extinction will be followed by the extinction of a very important pollinator or competitor or predator of a pathogen that will lead to the impacts for us or important domestic or agricultural species.

      We can find out which species are pollinators and ensure they are unaffected. Actually those insects would be just fine if we just stop spaying insecticide on them. We already provide them with an abundant food source. And if their competitor or predator goes extinct, that's even better.

      Extinction aside, drops in biomass of things like 98% are indicative of a collapse of productivity of the land. Humans already use about 30% more resources per year than the world produces.

      What does that even mean? We can only consume 100% of what we produce. Who's making the extra 30%? Can you provide a citation?

      while intensive farming techniques and cheap energy are bringing billions of people out of poverty

      Great for them, but not relevant to the impact on humanity of the loss of some of the world's ecosystems.

      One leads to the other. You can't have both. All climate change solutions I've seen so far are only affordable to people living a middle class lifestyle in a first world country.

      After every mass extinction, a large number of ecological niches become available for new species to occupy, leading to an explosion of biodiversity.

      Right. But that won't help humanity. The problems we face will hit crunch point in the next thousand years. Probably early in that time.

      What problems specifically? Bad weather? Fires? Ice age? Desertification? Sea level rise?

      Yeah those all suck, but none of those are extinction-level threats to humans. Prehistoric humans survived all of those with stone-age technology, and I'd say we're a little bit more advanced now.

      You can even say that the evolution of complex life on Earth is driven by mass extinction events.

      So what? How many people will live as a result?

      A hint: None.

      That's funny.

    32. Re: Loss of insect species is very alarming by djinn6 · · Score: 1

      Name a specific threat caused by climate change and I can find a point in time where stone-age humans survived that. If anything, it's rapid climate change that created humans in the first place.

      Besides, we're not exactly a normal apex predator given how we can eat everything and the majority of our calories come from plants.

    33. Re: Loss of insect species is very alarming by Gilgaron · · Score: 1

      Any one thing is survivable, yes. We are, however, seeing multiple buffered systems appear strained. Arguably we might be able to even survive a full biosphere collapse a la Blade Runner 2049, but that's still getting increasingly tenuous.

    34. Re: Loss of insect species is very alarming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1 square mile is 640 acres not 2560

    35. Re: Loss of insect species is very alarming by Truth_Quark · · Score: 1

      So the only negative there is that scientific progress might be slower?

      There are many negatives to speices loss.
      One is the the biotechnology and medical science that we will never have access to.
      Another is the capacity of the world to carry life, including ours
      Another is the risk of losing a species or group that collapses an important system for human survival.

      We can find out which species are pollinators ....

      Well, we'd have to put a lot of money into species identification if we're going to identify all the pollinators. And a lot of time.
      But being a pollinator isn't the only mechanism by which a species is important to an ecosystem. There are fungi and bacteria that are critial for soil fertility and for nutrient supply.

      ... and ensure they are unaffected.

      We are not yet able to ensure a species does not go extinct.

      What does that even mean?

      It means that we're depleting natural resources.
      Overfishing. Overhunting. Fossil fuel use for fertilzer production and spreading. Forest clearing.

      Can you provide a citation?

      Here's a non-technical write up.

      You can't have both. All climate change solutions I've seen so far are only affordable to people living a middle class lifestyle in a first world country.

      In the poor parts of the world, according to this estimate for the year 2000, 160,000 people died because of the anthropogenic part of climate change.

      Wind is cheaper than coal now, and that's without the health impacts of pollution.

      Fossil fules are not affordable for the third world.

      What problems specifically? Bad weather? Fires? Ice age? Desertification? Sea level rise?

      Well, except "ice age", yes. Food shortage. Biodiversity loss. Disease. People Displacement. Famine. War.

      Yeah those all suck, but none of those are extinction-level threats to humans.

      The 30% population drop in Europe around the black death had impact on civilization, as skills were lost, and communities, child care and cultural norms broke down.
      So there are things that are not extinction-level threats, that would never-the-less be good to avoid.

    36. Re: Loss of insect species is very alarming by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Do you think they will?

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    37. Re: Loss of insect species is very alarming by djinn6 · · Score: 1

      Thank you for actually providing a citation. Though I hesitate to trust the actual numbers from an article written by an "Associate Professor of Sustainable Development" on a clearly conservationist website.

      Wind is cheaper than coal now, and that's without the health impacts of pollution.

      Yet I didn't see any wind farms when I was traveling across India. Beating coal not a particularly high achievement, nor is it all that useful. Even in the US, coal power is dying because it's much cheaper to use natural gas. If wind was cheap and reliable, people would be crawling over each other to build more of it.

      The 30% population drop in Europe around the black death had impact on civilization, as skills were lost, and communities, child care and cultural norms broke down.

      That's not exactly an effect of climate change.

      Well, except "ice age", yes. Food shortage. Biodiversity loss. Disease. People Displacement. Famine. War.

      "Ice age" in Europe is actually one predicted consequence of climate change due to a potential shutdown of the gulf stream. Infectious disease and war happens no matter what the climate is. Being displaced is not lethal to most people. Biodiversity loss isn't either.

      Food shortage and famine are two sides of the same thing, and would be an actual concern if it manifested itself. However in first world countries, we produce so much more than what we eat that most of it goes to waste. Moreover, data from the Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum shows higher CO2 concentrations lead to a warmer and wetter world, with significantly more foliage cover than today. Vast swaths of land are currently unusable due to freezing temperatures, including the majority of Russia and Canada, and due to dryness, such as the Middle east and the Sahara. Once those places thaw and receive rain, we will have even more arable land than we do today.

    38. Re: Loss of insect species is very alarming by Obfiscator · · Score: 1

      Well, of course dung beetles are in deep crap! They would be in a lot more trouble if they weren't in deep crap.

      --
      "Nothing shocks me. I'm a scientist." -Indiana Jones
    39. Re: Loss of insect species is very alarming by jedZ · · Score: 1

      Despite the fact that you somehow "didn't see" any wind farms in India there is an installed capacity just shy of 35 GW (end of 2018). The target for 2030 is 60 GW. Here's the citation

    40. Re: Loss of insect species is very alarming by Truth_Quark · · Score: 1

      Though I hesitate to trust the actual numbers from an article written by an "Associate Professor of Sustainable Development" on a clearly conservationist website.

      The conversation are pro-scientific, in that the author has to be a scientist. The story is edited, and the scientist signs off on the final draft. So you don't get the mis-reporting that is becoming more and more common in these says of cost cutting in journalism.

      But "clearly conservationist" is not fair, except to the extent that conservationist is the scholarly default position because that's what happens when you understand the costs and risks.

      Yet I didn't see any wind farms when I was traveling across India

      Their generation by coal is increasing faster than their wind generation. But the proportion is decreasing.

      Beating coal not a particularly high achievement, nor is it all that useful.

      It is in India. 66% of their power generation is coal.

      "Ice age" in Europe is actually one predicted consequence of climate change due to a potential shutdown of the gulf stream.

      The gulf stream may well slow as the melting of the Greenland ice sheet accelerates.
      But "Ice age" doesn't usually mean that the Thames freezes in winter. Geologically, it means that there are significant ice sheets in both hemispheres. So you will notice we are in an ice age, and the risk is we might come out of it.

      A common meaning of "ice age" in the field of climate rather than geology is what geologists call a glaciation. That is, the advance of glaciers in Milankovitch cycles. This is a much more global phenomenon than a 3C-6C cooling of Europe.

      Infectious disease and war happens no matter what the climate is.

      Increases in the range of Malaria due to climate change are killing people. And the conflicts in the horn of Africa are related to nomadic cultures being driven out of their traditional lands by climate change.

      And as food shortages encroach on the richer countries, the scope of the conflicts will increase.

      Being displaced is not lethal to most people.

      We haven't displaced most people yet. I don't think it will be a pretty as you hope.

      Biodiversity loss isn't either.

      How do you know? The cure for any disease or disorder could be amongst the biochemistry of any of the species that have been lost.

      Food shortage and famine are two sides of the same thing, and would be an actual concern if it manifested itself.

      Malnutrition due to the anthropogenic part of climate change killed 77,000 people in 2000, but the estimate in the Patz et al. paper, linked above.
      Most people would call that a manifestation at some level.

      However in first world countries, we produce so much more than what we eat that most of it goes to waste.

      And that will last for a while. The drop in agricultural productivity will be in the lower latitudes. Canada and Russia look forward to increased arable land.
      It's still killing people though.

      ... and due to dryness, such as the Middle east and the Sahara. Once those places thaw and receive rain, we will have even more arable land than we do today.

      I've got bad news for you about what climate change will do to deserts under Hadley cells, which are the circulation in the lowest latitudes. As warming increases, the temperature differential increases, putting more energy into the Hadley circulation. The consequences are increased rainfall (and flooding) in the tropics, longer and dryer dry spells in the adjacent deserts, and a movement polewards of the edge of those deserts.

      The general rule of thumb is that the dry bits of the world get dryer and the wet bits get wetter.

  5. Re:Draw a line by alzoron · · Score: 5, Funny

    I slept in a half hour today. At this rate I'll be sleeping for nearly 200 hours per day this time next year.

  6. Re:Draw a line by mentil · · Score: 1

    I extrapolate that by 2035, all intelligent discourse will consist of threads of XKCD links.

    --
    Corruption is convincing someone that the selfless ideal is the same as their selfish ideal.
  7. Re:Draw a line by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I extrapolate that by 2035, all intelligent discourse will consist of threads of XKCD links.

    You can't find an XKCD for that?

  8. Re:Draw a line by ClickOnThis · · Score: 1

    I extrapolate that by 2035, all intelligent discourse will consist of threads of XKCD links.

    We should be so lucky. I can imagine worse.

    --
    If it weren't for deadlines, nothing would be late.
  9. Only good bug by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    is a DEAD bug

    1. Re:Only good bug by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Score: +1, Starship Troopers

  10. Re:Draw a line by SirAstral · · Score: 5, Interesting

    No it will not, XKCD links are actually a source of the problem.

    I like XKCD and all, but let get real for a minute, problems can hardly be summed up as such and are tantamount to nothing other than mudslinging. Unless someone is 100% in lock step with your beliefs on something then XKCD articles are mostly used to imply that dissenters are just ignorant morons. The problem is far more complex and what is even worse... XKCD's articles are better though of as a problem that all sides in every debate shares.

    Everyone has confirmation bias, and all sides have people that will overlook the sins of their fellow compatriots because the ends really do justify the means. Take an politically polarized subject and you will find someone calling for criminal charges, fines, imprisonment, and even the death of those disagreeing with them. There is no faster proof of an unscientific moron than when someone trots out one of these following fallacies...

    Consensus = Truth/Fact/Proof.
    Correlation = Causation.
    Gatekeeping qualifications... Only a certified, licensed, or recognized group/institution/team are allowed to have an opinion... except skeptics because their opinions are invalidated by the professionals that I happen to agree with.
    Gaslighting people for not believing in something.
    Asking for skeptics to prove a negative, or asking that they provide scientific evidence for their position when the evidence being unable to convince them is the evidence.
    Acceptance of controvertible evidence, scare or abundant, as good enough to be proof as though it were incontrovertible evidence.

    I don't consider name calling or generic aspersions as proof someone does not know what they are talking about. Even Einstein said... Only two things are infinite... the universe and human stupidity and I am not sure about the former.

    People are stupid... epicly stupid, and human stupidity is constantly being underrated. Especially proven by all the pseudo scientists guilty of the fallacies I mentioned above.

    Hopefully XKCD will keep being nothing more than a funny and witty little site where groups of pseudo intellectuals can mentally masturbate with each other.

  11. Good Riddance! by littlewink · · Score: 0

    I've had it with insects biting my ass (and everything else), giving me diseases, keeping me awake at night and in general fucking up my air filters, my car's grill and my cat and dog. To hell with the damn bugs! I'm going to get a can of insect repellant and spray it in my bedroom to keep the buggers out tonight. And all you bug-huggers can go straight to Hell, where all the dead insects are, and they can bite your ass for an eternity! I'll live here in a bug-free environment.

    1. Re:Good Riddance! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except everything has more than one consequence. Insects dying affects more than just your skin. It can be the beginning of a dead planet.

    2. Re:Good Riddance! by Stephen+Chadfield · · Score: 2

      The only good planet is a dead planet.

    3. Re:Good Riddance! by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      So I guess you'll be fine with eating just bread, oatmeal porridge and hazelnuts?

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
  12. Monsanto? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wouldn't be surprised if Monsanto knows and is covering up the effects of their insecticides.

  13. Re:Why do you believe this new fantasy? by ClickOnThis · · Score: 5, Funny

    First we were told cockroaches were the only things that were survive a nuclear war. Now we are to believe that insects are super fragile? I don't think so, they have a super short lifespan and prodigious replication rates so as to be able to out-evolve any threat and take over any exposed ecological niche.

    1. Cockroaches can survive nuclear war.
    2. Cockroaches are insects.
    3. Therefore, stop worrying about the ecological fragility of insects.

    That's logically compelling. Not.

    --
    If it weren't for deadlines, nothing would be late.
  14. Re:Draw a line by _Sharp'r_ · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Just as true as the original headline: "Insect researchers could vanish within a century!"

    The italicized word is doing a lot of work in both sentences....

    --
    The party of stupid and the party of evil get together and do something both stupid and evil, then call it bipartisan.
  15. Debugging by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Don't worry, someone is just running Earth in debug mode.

  16. Breaking News by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The entire planet Earth could spontaneously explode in 15 minutes.

    It won't, but it could. It COULD.

    1. Re:Breaking News by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      No. Actually, it could not. At least there is no indicator that would even remotely point in the general direction of that possibility.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    2. Re:Breaking News by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, you can say with 100% confidence the world will not explode in 15 minutes?

      That is a religious belief, not a scientific fact. You are a preacher, not a scientist.

    3. Re:Breaking News by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      There is no reason to assume that it will. You can't prove a negative, that's why it's sensible to start with the assumption that something is not and using evidence to show that it is.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  17. Re: Why do you believe this new fantasy? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So you propose waiting until it's too late, nothing else short of blind driving? Do you have any credibility? No.

  18. Re:Thanks, greens. by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    This is a problem humanity is causing that it could fix.

    How would it be fixed?

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  19. Re:Draw a line by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Man, you're a downer. If you want to find pseudo-intellectual crap look no further than your post.

    XKCD comics are funny, and slashdot is not meant for rigorous scientific debate. XKCD comics aren't meant to encompass arguments in their entirety - nor clearly does one comic represent the entirety of the argument. But it is still relevant and is hilarious.

    You could be more fun at a party AND still be the smartest dood around.

  20. Share in Eden or reign in Hell? by Dasher42 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    What happens when the food supply declines, because nutrients don't cycle with fauna, because pollinators are gone, because all the interrelated parts of nature unravel? That is the basis for a planet habitable to humans.

    Do we use more pesticides to fight harder for what's left, considering that pesticides cause the implosion of the very ecosystem benefits we depend on to raise food to begin with? Then we're finished.

    What happens to poor people when sustenance and shelter and resources that once came freely become scarce? I'm sure the rich will have their hydroponic gardens - atop places where oaks once rivaled wheat fields for output and salmon arrived to spawn in such numbers that it appeared possible to walk across rivers on their back. If manufactured solutions are a replacement for ecosystems for the many, though, why aren't we all snapping up real estate in places like the Sahara or Antarctica?

    We are turning an Eden into a much more barren world, because we so insist on dominating and concentrating its wealth. We don't live where ecosystems aren't established. Humans have got to learn to share the world with others - or else.

    1. Re:Share in Eden or reign in Hell? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Earth was not created 7000 years ago as Eden. If you want to go the religious route, Genesis1:28 is clear, it's our job to rule everything.

      There is no natural steady-state of earth that is the one good state. It has always changed, and it will always keep changing. Human life is just too short to notice the significance of the changes, and it was pretty stable last 100 years or so. Earth is not a perpetual now like some TV series.

      If we need new pollinators we're going to genetically engineer some that are resistant to whatever we use to kill the bugs that we don't like, or build robots that do the job. Whatever is more cost-effective.

      The reason we do that is to increase output to be able to feed the masses of the poor, those who multiply excessively in other places of the word.

    2. Re:Share in Eden or reign in Hell? by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      The most cost effective ones are probably the already existing ones. They're free, and in the form of honey bees they also produce additional revenue while performing the desired primary operation.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    3. Re:Share in Eden or reign in Hell? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Share the world with Nancy Pelosi and Maxi Waters and Kamala Blojobber and Liz Redskin? Fuck no. Squirt that insecticide pad're.

    4. Re:Share in Eden or reign in Hell? by DNS-and-BIND · · Score: 1

      Since when do you care about the deplorables? The world would be a better place without the poor from what I've heard. As we no longer need a working class because of automation, they can either learn to code or die in a ditch somewhere. You're really going to pretend you give a crap about mouth breathing double digit IQs?

      --
      Shutting down free speech with violence isn't fighting fascism. It IS fascism!
    5. Re:Share in Eden or reign in Hell? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Soylent Green

    6. Re:Share in Eden or reign in Hell? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you think the people fighting to provide healthcare and job training to the working poor don't care about the working poor? You seem to have things backwards, it's not the progressives who want the poor to die in a ditch as soon as they lose their job. It's the other guys

  21. Re:Draw a line by grep+-v+'.*'+* · · Score: 4, Funny

    At this rate I'll be sleeping for nearly 200 hours per day this time next year.

    Your ideas are intriguing to me and I would like to subscribe to your newsletter.

    --
    If the universe is someone's simulation -- does that mean the stars are just stuck pixels?
  22. Re: Why do you believe this new fantasy? by SuperKendall · · Score: 0

    I propose you see if there is actually a problem before acting or panicking. Wow, what a radical concept, to insist on replication of results.

    Or you know, you can continue to deny the scientific method has any validity for causes you favor.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  23. Anecdotally, I've noticed the same, approx 5 years by AbRASiON · · Score: 2, Interesting

    For around the past 5 years, I've generally noticed simply less insects around in places I would traditionally expect them.

    Obviously they are still around but there just /seems/ to be less.

    I am firmly, firmly in the camp of the post, I definitely believe we've begun the 6'th mass extinction. It's gonna be a doozy.

  24. Re:Draw a line by SirAstral · · Score: 2

    Huh? Why do you consider me being a downer for refuting the guys claim that all future intelligent discourse would be XKCD links?

    I said I like XKCD and I said they are witty, I am just saying that if all discourse being distilled down into XKCD links then it is just a sign of the problem.

    Nothing of what I said was pseudo-intellectual, many well respected scientists including Nobel Laureates have espoused the exact same views I have on the subject. Heck even many therapists have commented negatively on our "twitter" like shortness in regards to the news.

    I also did not saying XKCD was not relevant, but I am saying it is counter productive because it really over generalizes many issues without providing any solutions. Of course XKCD is hilarious sometimes... that is the nature of humor.

    I already said I like XKCD, just that people often don't care about the material at hand and are instead in a dead rush to be first to be right, with someone else's words.

    And slashdot is just fine for at least some meaningful debate, just because it may not be able to be vigorous is not call to throw the baby out with the bath water.

  25. Re:Thanks, greens. by SirAstral · · Score: 1

    Stop using all of these nasty chemicals and start looking for ways to control for problems without causing other problems.

    One of the main reasons we use chemicals is because governments only allow chemicals to get patents, well... time to get rid of patents so businesses will no longer have a perverse incentive to develop nasty chemicals as solutions to problems and instead let them develop more natural solutions, they do exist, they just cannot be monetized and for good reason!

    What is sad here is that people no longer listen to smart people, the moment they find something in their politics they don't like and they get buried under the mountain of morons and the moment they offend one of the gate-keepers they are marginalized into oblivion. It is one of the reasons the internet is turning into a giant divided mess of echo chambers. No one cares to learn the truth, they just care to parrot ideals.

  26. Re: Draw a line by phantomfive · · Score: 0

    You're missing the humor. That guy wasn't actually saying that all intelligent conversation would be done by xkcd comics ever. It was kind of a wish moment. He was joking around and you took it seriously. It's OK, we all do it.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  27. Re:Draw a line by bondsbw · · Score: 1

    And in 100 years you'll be sleeping 18,000 hours a day.

    Which is pretty much the truth.

    --
    All my liberal friends think I'm a conservative, all my conservative friends think I'm a liberal.
  28. Statistics. by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 0

    according to the first global scientific review ... More than 40% of insect species are declining

    If the populations were static, there was nonzero sampling error in the data (so you almost never get EXACTLY the same numbers twice in a row), and you define "decline" as lower this measurement than last, the expectation is that just under half the species would show a "decline". Similarly, just under half would be expected to show an "increase" the few species showing "stability" by jackpotting two identical population measurementes in a row account for the shortfall from 100% total.

    "More than 40%" sounds enough less that 50% that there might be a real problem: An insect population explosion. ... and a third are endangered,

    I thought "endangered" was a legal designation, which required a declaration by a bureaucracy after considerable data collection deliberation. There are a HECK of a lot of insect species. I think the count far exceeds the number of bureaucrats in a position to rule a species "endangered". So how could a third of them have been designated? Or did these guys redefine the term for the purpose of their press release?

    This has the smell of yet another chicken-little, panic-the-plebes boost-your-power propaganda operation.

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    1. Re:Statistics. by Truth_Quark · · Score: 2

      Actually the article is watered down a bit from the paper.

      The paper says that [o]ur work reveals dramatic rates of decline that may lead to the extinction of 40% of the world's insect species over the next few decades., not merely declining.

    2. Re:Statistics. by DogDude · · Score: 1

      This has the smell of yet another chicken-little, panic-the-plebes boost-your-power propaganda operation.

      First off, congrats for being able to smell academic papers. I have to read them with my eyes, and then interpret them with my brain. I wish I could just smell them. That would certainly save a lot of time.

      Secondly, who gets what sort of power from this paper that you smelled?

      --
      I don't respond to AC's.
  29. Re:Why do you believe this new fantasy? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well, the decline of insect populations is something I've observed myself, so forgive me if I'm not convinced by your claim that they're all hiding or whatever bullshit you're selling today, Ken.

  30. Re: Why do you believe this new fantasy? by Dasher42 · · Score: 4, Informative

    I propose you see if there is actually a problem before acting or panicking. Wow, what a radical concept, to insist on replication of results.

    Why not check to see if there are other comparable results before using rhetoric which depends on their non-existence?

    https://journals.plos.org/plos...
    https://www.washingtonpost.com...

  31. B-b-b-but Insects are the Beef of the Future! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    /. told me that last week we're all going to be eating crickets in 5 years...

  32. Sorry everybody. by Narcocide · · Score: 1

    As a child, I used to wish for this to happen.

  33. Re:Draw a line by MrL0G1C · · Score: 4, Informative

    Why, so you can bury your head in the sand and sing la la la la la whilst we exterminate the planet? Sure there will be some slow down eventually but so far in Europe at least half the insects are dead already and we are heading for a disaster the likes of which we've never seen before if we don't change our rape and pollute the planet ways.

    --
    Waterfox - a Firefox fork with legacy extension support, security updates and better privacy by default.
  34. Insects provide $57 billion in services to the US by Dasher42 · · Score: 2

    Insects provide $57 billion in ecological services to the USA alone, and that's just dealing with quantifiable things.

    https://www.scientificamerican...

  35. Re: Draw a line by phantomfive · · Score: 0

    You make a very emotional argument. Look, can you go somewhere else with all the angst? On slashdot there are at least some people who can understand statistics, we don't need to be scared into action through theoretical scare scenarios.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  36. So we can lay off half the insect scientists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    .. and a good number of the humans who study insects too.

  37. Not exactly correct reporting. by Truth_Quark · · Score: 3, Informative

    The analysis, published in the journal Biological Conservation, says intensive agriculture is the main driver of the declines, particularly the heavy use of pesticides. Urbanization and climate change are also significant factors.

    No, habitat loss from intensive agriculture and urbanization are both the main driver.
    The heavy use of pesticides and fertilizers are second.
    Invasive species and diseases from microorganisms are third (not mentioned).
    Climate change is fourth.

    From the abstract:
    The main drivers of species declines appear to be in order of importance:
    i) habitat loss and conversion to intensive agriculture and urbanisation;
    ii) pollution, mainly that by synthetic pesticides and fertilisers;
    iii) biological factors, including pathogens and introduced species; and
    iv) climate change.

  38. Re:Anecdotally, I've noticed the same, approx 5 ye by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Everyone accepted long ago that humans have been causing a new mass extinction event.
    When I was a young man, raised on a diet of Walt Disney and talking animals I really gave a shit.
    Now that I'm older I've come to accept that as humans compete with other animals for land and resource, the other animals are going to lose.
    It's true we're heading for a Bladerunner style future, and aesthetically it does look pretty horrible compared to the glory of mother nature in all her splendor, but at the end of the day, even if we are in a Bladerunner style future, as long as there exists beautiful girls, everything else pales in comparison.
    20 billion humans composed of 10 billion females, at least 1 billion of them super attractive...I can live that. Will I mourn the loss of pristine nature with all its glorious wildlife? Sure. But the 1 billion hotties will more than make up for it.

  39. Re:Draw a line by mentil · · Score: 0

    Maybe you'd like to link to these pages rather than XKCD, then.

    --
    Corruption is convincing someone that the selfless ideal is the same as their selfish ideal.
  40. Re:Anecdotally, I've noticed the same, approx 5 ye by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It's been the last couple of years of significant decline only. I'm a pilot, and as an unavoidable side effect of flying I kill lots of insects, which afterwards need to be cleaned from the plane. Cleaning has become noticeably easier over the last few years. However, I'm quite sure that this is a local artificial process, i.e. more advanced (less natural) agriculture in this area.

    Climate change is going to make an impact in future, especially if we're going to see the typical +5C up within a few decades as has happened a couple of times in the (long) past, but I'm quite sure humans can help seed some bugs from here to there to make the transition more smooth than it would otherwise be.

  41. Spiders by alaskana98 · · Score: 1

    I'd be happy it was just spiders that were going extinct (and mosquitos and roaches, too). The rest of em' don't really bug me.

  42. Re:Alarmist propaganda based on anecodtal evidence by Truth_Quark · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Lets talk for a minute, objectively, about alarmist fake-news.

    Okay.

    The above is anecdotal evidence; one person, one observation.

    Not it's not. It's a scholarly paper with many observations of insect biomass and local tempertature..

    Am I going to seriously make a change to my lifestyle because the never fallable Brad Lister, scientist extraordinair, made an observation? No. The bar of evidence is a study. I need hard data.

    The data are decribed in the paper linked above. Knock yourself out.

    Lowest price I can find for me to get copies was around $6k.

    So there's two possibilities here; either this is fake news and I have a publication so desperate they need to post clickbait, or this isn't fake news and the rich are keeping vital information from the public because, most likely, we're screwed as a species.

    There's a third possilbilty. This research was published in a scientific journal that isn't open access.

  43. Re:Alarmist propaganda based on anecodtal evidence by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For me it says "purchase this content - none of the above - 48.76 EUR".
    Where did you find 6k?

  44. Re:Why do you believe this new fantasy? by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1, Funny

    First we were told cockroaches were the only things that were survive a nuclear war. Now we are to believe that insects are super fragile?

    Gosh you're right! Cockroaches are insects. Thererfore all inscts are cockroaches. Let's expand it. Cockraoches are animals therefore all animals are cockraoches. Including you.

    This does make a lot more sense now.

    --
    SJW n. One who posts facts.
  45. Re:Why do you believe this new fantasy? by Truth_Quark · · Score: 5, Informative

    The one time humans could have maybe made dent, with DDT and mosquitos, they checked out thanks to more fake science [reason.com] that claimed DDT harmed birds eggs.

    No, that's not fake science.

    DDT and Birds
    Birds played a major role in creating awareness of pollution problems. Indeed, many people consider the modern environmental movement to have started with the publication in 1962 of Rachel Carson's classic Silent Spring, which described the results of the misuse of DDT and other pesticides. In the fable that began that volume, she wrote: "It was a spring without voices. On the mornings that had once throbbed with the dawn chorus of robins, catbirds, doves, jays, wrens, and scores of other bird voices there was now no sound; only silence lay over the fields and woods and marsh." Silent Spring was heavily attacked by the pesticide industry and by narrowly trained entomologists, but its scientific foundation has stood the test of time. Misuse of pesticides is now widely recognized to threaten not only bird communities but human communities as well.

    The potentially lethal impact of DDT on birds was first noted in the late 1950s when spraying to control the beetles that carry Dutch elm disease led to a slaughter of robins in Michigan and elsewhere. Researchers discovered that earthworms were accumulating the persistent pesticide and that the robins eating them were being poisoned. Other birds fell victim, too. Gradually, thanks in no small part to Carson's book, gigantic "broadcast spray" programs were brought under control.

    But DDT, its breakdown products, and the other chlorinated hydrocarbon pesticides (and nonpesticide chlorinated hydrocarbons such as PCBs) posed a more insidious threat to birds. Because these poisons are persistent they tend to concentrate as they move through the feeding sequences in communities that ecologists call "food chains." For example, in most marine communities, the living weight (biomass) of fish-eating birds is less than that of the fishes they eat. However, because chlorinated hydrocarbons accumulate in fatty tissues, when a ton of contaminated fishes is turned into 200 pounds of seabirds, most of the DDT from the numerous fishes ends up in a relatively few birds. As a result, the birds have a higher level of contamination per pound than the fishes. If Peregrine Falcons feed on the seabirds, the concentration becomes higher still. With several concentrating steps in the food chain below the level of fishes (for instance, tiny aquatic plants crustacea small fishes), very slight environmental contamination can be turned into a heavy pesticide load in birds at the top of the food chain. In one Long Island estuary, concentrations of less than a tenth of a part per million (PPM) of DDT in aquatic plants and plankton resulted in concentrations of 3-25 PPM in gulls, terns, cormorants, mergansers, herons, and ospreys.

    "Bioconcentration" of pesticides in birds high on food chains occurs not only because there is usually reduced biomass at each step in those chains, but also because predatory birds tend to live a long time. They may take in only a little DDT per day, but they keep most of what they get, and they live many days.

    The insidious aspect of this phenomenon is that large concentrations of chlorinated hydrocarbons do not usually kill the bird outright. Rather, DDT and its relatives alter the bird's calcium metabolism in a way that results in thin eggshells. Instead of eggs, heavily DDT-infested Brown Pelicans and Bald Eagles tend to find omelets in their nests, since the eggshells are unable to support the weight of the incubating bird.

    Shell-thinning resulted in the decimation of the Brown Pelican populations in much of North America and the extermination the Peregrine Falcon in the eastern United States and southeastern Canada. Shell-thinning caused lesser declines in populations of Golden and Bald Eagles and White Pelicans, among others. Similar declines took place in the Br

  46. Re:Alarmist propaganda based on anecodtal evidence by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not it's not. It's a scholarly paper with many observations of insect biomass and local tempertature..

    Umm...

    Insect biomass has 6 plots, 2 in 1970 and the other 4 in 2012/2013. I'm guessing you opened it and just looked at the first graph, which is just a temperature over time. No correlation to the insects.

  47. Re:Why do you believe this new fantasy? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    1. Nuclear wars kill much of humanity and destroys industrial base
    2. Lack of industrial base eliminates much of insecticide production
    3. Cockroaches and other insects recover due to elimination of insecticides

  48. Most are parasites anyway? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What insect is really beneficial anyway? Most have parasite behavior in terms of occupy, nest (or hive), multiply, defend. Ants bite, bees and wasps sting, mosquitos suck blood... carpenter ants, carpenter bees, termites all go after wood in various capacities... so do we NEED insects or have we just been forced to coexist because there is no one method to eliminate them all, citywide, statewide, nationwide, worldwide?

    1. Re:Most are parasites anyway? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We sort of need bees to pollinate a lot of crops, you imbecile. Also, they will only sting you if you attack them.

  49. Re:Draw a line by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Just as true as the original headline: "Insect researchers could vanish within a century!"

    The italicized word is doing a lot of work in both sentences....

    And of course the solution is to sit on your ass and do nothing except make snarky comments and maybe increase the use of pesticides because the 70-90% declines in insect populations we are seeing already is clearly a non-issue.

  50. Panic! Or not? by bradley13 · · Score: 1

    We're all gonna die!!! Eleventy!!! This may be a genuine problem. Or it may not. There is no way for the average person to know. Breathless headlines touting climatic disaster have become so ubiquitous that my first reaction - and that of many people - is a yawn. Ecologists and climate alarmists have done their causes active harm.

    Are insects declining? Sure, along with all other animal species that share our habitat. Intuitively, mass agriculture is the most likely culprit, since it creates huge zones of monoculture. Amusingly, the vegetarians may be doing active harm - I'll bet that good, natural grazing land has more biodiversity than a soy field. But the real problem is and remains human overpopulation.

    tl;dr: Our planet would be a lot healthier if there were fewer of us.

    --
    Enjoy life! This is not a dress rehearsal.
    1. Re:Panic! Or not? by djinn6 · · Score: 1

      Amusingly, the vegetarians may be doing active harm - I'll bet that good, natural grazing land has more biodiversity than a soy field.

      Too bad most people eat animals raised on corn.

    2. Re:Panic! Or not? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      "This may be a genuine problem. Or it may not. There is no way for the average person to know."

      Who gives a shit what the average person thinks? I only want to know what experts think. I don't call a burger flipper to fix plumbing.

      "Are insects declining? Sure, along with all other animal species that share our habitat."

      Oh, everything is suffering? That's all right then. I mean, it's actually wholly false, the coyotes, trash pandas, rats, cockroaches, and several other species have actually flourished while in contact with humans, but let's not let facts get in the way of an impassioned argument, right?

      " I'll bet that good, natural grazing land has more biodiversity than a soy field."

      You'd be right, but meat eaters are no better, because most cattle is not on natural grazing land.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    3. Re:Panic! Or not? by shess · · Score: 1

      We're all gonna die!!! Eleventy!!! This may be a genuine problem. Or it may not. There is no way for the average person to know. Breathless headlines touting climatic disaster have become so ubiquitous that my first reaction - and that of many people - is a yawn. Ecologists and climate alarmists have done their causes active harm.

      Is it your position that if ecologists and "climate alarmists" didn't exist, that the average person would spend a few hours a week doing their research to understand how the world is progressing in the many ways that will indirectly harm them? If so, have you ever met another person in real life?

      The problem isn't that there are two sides, both doing research and trying to figure it out, and one side is "politically correct" and drowns out the other side. The problem is that some people are doing science, and others are aggressively denying that science. They aren't providing research to back up their hypothesis, because they don't even think it's worth doing science in the first place. Their concerns are in different directions, and their goal is not to actually answer questions, it's to be left alone. The problem is that when your actions damage the system everyone depends on, leaving you alone is not viable in the long run.

      When you come down to it, "insects are dying in large numbers" is pretty believable because we have entire industries which are devoted to helping people kill insects in large numbers, and we have basically zero industry devoted to protecting insects. So if insects were NOT dying out in large numbers, that would imply that capitalism really isn't working, that these big companies are selling "insecticide placebos". They aren't, they legit work.

      Furthermore, a farmer having a problem with corn borers doesn't really directly care about whether killing those corn borers will also kill bees or unrelated moths or other insects. I'm not saying they hate those insects, just that those insects are not their focus. So they'll probably be happy to use a safer alternative to address the corn borers IFF it's of comparable overhead - but they aren't going to make a change without some sort of proof that their current behavior causes problems. Which means that the starting point pretty much always is killing off more insects than intended, simply because it's easier and gets the job done.

    4. Re:Panic! Or not? by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      Too bad most people eat animals raised on corn.

      No they don't.

      Beef cattle are grass fed for two thirds of their life, and only grain fed for the last third. The USDA tracks these things.

    5. Re:Panic! Or not? by spitzak · · Score: 1

      Article says that 2/3 of FARMS are pasture, not 2/3 of cows.

  51. Because the media are lying to you? by thesupraman · · Score: 1, Insightful

    You should mostly care because of the amount of effort being made to push such politicized BS down your throat, mostly in the aim of growing government control over you.
    Its not a new thing, we even have a word for it, Totalitarianism.

    The '98% drop' BS has been widely and strongly show to be utter BS, basically written an a sensationalist opinion piece by a 'researcher' who wanted a bit of attention, using a highly selected location which was statistically irrelevant and measures a short time after a couple of natural disasters had slammed the local ecosystem.

    Most people with a bit of critical thinking made it about 10% of the way through before seeing this and turning off.
    The media however grabbed and ran with what is pure sensationalism.

    Now we have the second wave, people trying to use this false 'fact' to grab their own little bit of media frenzy attention.

    Why does this happen? Its simple really, it suits the powers-that-be that there are 'scary things' for them to protect us from. They always love a good 'do something or there will be a disaster!' story.. because it gives them the ability to grab a bit more power, which they never let go.

    1. Re: Because the media are lying to you? by c6gunner · · Score: 0, Troll

      Yeah no shit. I read "insects could disappear" and literally laughed out loud. Anyone who seriously believes such blatant bullshit has definitely been drinking the kool-aid.

    2. Re:Because the media are lying to you? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      This 98% is not BS. This was something that was put into peer reviewed scientific journals. You know, reviewed by scientists more qualified than either of us on this topic.

      We are talking facts here and permanent ecosystem damage, not Alex Jones propaganda.

      You might laugh at this, but no insects might mean a food shortage. Food shortages mean riots and wars as countries go for what fertile land is left. Wars, especially when people have nothing to lose, so they will be happy to fire up their backyard CRISPR lab to make bioweapons, will be devastating.

      Yes, people make light of it, because Trump and the Republicans are able to keep the US and world economy at the most prosperous levels yet... but once people start starving, all bets are off.

    3. Re:Because the media are lying to you? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ah, you're one of those...

      Go yell at a brick wall or something, the adults are talking here.

    4. Re:Because the media are lying to you? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      People absolutely lose their minds when a small snow storm comes around and clean off the grocery store shelves. Imagine modern civilization during a food shortage? Holy fuck. I hope I'm dead by then.

    5. Re:Because the media are lying to you? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree with you. The media is clearly pushing "progressive" policies (although progressive isn't a nice word and their policies definitely aren't nice).
      But there are some undeniable facts: Climate change is real. It doesn't require socialist answers to solve though. Local adaptation to increased floods, stronger storms and bursts of heavy rain is what's required.

      The insect loss, is another thing entirely though. It's similar to DDT. We need to get rid of the neonititinoids and fast.

  52. UN Lead global communism is the only solution! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I assume the thinly wailed "UN Lead global communism" is presented as the only solution.

  53. "century" by mapkinase · · Score: 1

    Piss off

    --
    I do not believe in karma. "Funny"=-6. Do good and forbid evil. Yours, Oft-Offtopic Flamebaiting Troll.
  54. Re:Insects provide $57 billion in services to the by mapkinase · · Score: 1

    This is a better link, btw:

    http://www.xerces.org/wp-conte...

    and I smell bullshit. Second digit? Really? Interpret this bullshit figure as 0-100B estimate.

    --
    I do not believe in karma. "Funny"=-6. Do good and forbid evil. Yours, Oft-Offtopic Flamebaiting Troll.
  55. Biodiversity is bullshit by eggstasy · · Score: 0

    I would much rather live in a perfectly controlled greenhouse with a whitelist of useful species and perfectly controlled processes, than out in the wilderness to be eaten by bugs or bears or what have you. I don't care if it's on Earth or the Moon or an orbital station, I live in a warm country and spend way too much money coping with hordes of mosquitos and cockroaches.

    1. Re:Biodiversity is bullshit by geggam · · Score: 1

      Cockroaches could be the food of the future.

    2. Re:Biodiversity is bullshit by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Too bad that's not how it works. So far the only attempts to build a controlled biosphere which will support humans have failed for a combination of technical and personal reasons. And the cockroaches will likely persist in spite of any efforts to the contrary, because they are so very resilient. Mosquitoes might go eventually, but you will probably go first.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  56. Re: Draw a line by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What are you doing? Citation needed.

  57. Self healing by geekymachoman · · Score: 0

    I don't have science or evidence behind this. I don't even know that such exists, but I know what I'm seeing around me.. and this is how stuff work:

    - If something happens very quickly - usually there's a disturbance that negatively affect everything that's related to the change, but all balances out eventually
    - If it happens gradually, the things around it change in such a way to adapt ... to the new situation.

    Example of first case -
    Bees disappear tomorrow, all of them. It would destroy the things closest to the Bees, like flowers / whatever, because pollination.
    In span of XX years, new kind of flowers would evolve, that don't depend on Beees, but rather something else - whatever it might be.

    In the second case -
    Bees disappear gradually over a span of 100-200 years. While they are disappearing, because of the new, hardened conditions the flowers and plants live in, they change and evolve to account for the lack of bees.

    What I really want to say is... our planet, and our environment is a living, changing organism that adapts itself to the new conditions. Our perspective is based on timespans of 60-80 years, which are our lifetimes, as something that matters. We're judging events by that small subset of data. It's like geologist taking 1 milimeter of earth surface, and start drawing conclusions about the whole planet from this little 1 millimeter of dirt.

    I bet you that in 120 thousand years, the animals and insects and everything else will be quite different than what it is today. Change is good, change is normal... and everything is supposed to die at one time or another, nothing is permanent.

    1. Re:Self healing by Ormy · · Score: 2

      You are more or less correct, no matter what happens life itself will continue by adapting and evolving (you're a bit off on the timescales, the changes will be a lot slower than you seem to think), we humans pose very little threat to the continuation of life in general.

      However a secondary or tertiary effect of the changes likely to happen is that humans go extinct. Change is good, change is normal, for the planet as a whole. Not so good for our species in particular.

      What's the most depressing is we are causing the very changes that will bring about our own extincting. Moreover we are aware (some of us are, some chose to deny) of the changes we are causing and that they will likely lead to our extinction, we still have the ability to reverse them but we chose not to.

    2. Re:Self healing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It would not be a bad thing for the Earth for humans to go extinct. In fact it would be quite good, and I would not be surprised by it as most planetary process outcomes are, wait for it, good for the planet.

      Nature doesn't naturally do things that kill nature. Life wants to thrive, which is why evolution exists - to fight death. The biosphere adapts to maximize life, and the moment humans become an obstacle to that, nature CAN and WILL kill us off.

    3. Re:Self healing by shess · · Score: 1

      You are more or less correct, no matter what happens life itself will continue by adapting and evolving (you're a bit off on the timescales, the changes will be a lot slower than you seem to think), we humans pose very little threat to the continuation of life in general.

      However a secondary or tertiary effect of the changes likely to happen is that humans go extinct. Change is good, change is normal, for the planet as a whole. Not so good for our species in particular.

      It is very unlikely that humanity will go extinct. We're the first species who can respond effectively to being endangered.

      Though I suppose one could quibble about whether it matters if the population goes from 7.5B to 10M or if it goes to 0M. I mean, humanity survives, but everyone you know and all their descendants are dead.

    4. Re:Self healing by Ormy · · Score: 1

      We're the first species who can respond effectively to being endangered.

      The point I was making in my 3rd paragraph (the bit you didn't quote) is that, yes, we COULD respond effectively to being endangered, but (for various reasons) we AREN'T responding effectively. If we were to respond effectively, we'd have significantly cut CO2 emissions and pollution/waste as soon as AGW/etc gained strong scientific consensus. We are NOT responding effectively because those in power who dictate our response either have a financial or political incentive to not respond in an effective way (or they're just plain stupid). We COULD respond effectively but we WON'T and therefore we'll go extinct anyway.

      Between the military industrial complex, disposable personal computing devices (smartphones), and hugely extravagant lifestyles for the super rich (to name but a few examples) do you honestly think our species is responding effectively? If your answer is "but we're not endangered yet", by the time we are becoming an endangered species we're well past the point of being too late to change anything anyway.

    5. Re:Self healing by shess · · Score: 1

      We're the first species who can respond effectively to being endangered.

      The point I was making in my 3rd paragraph (the bit you didn't quote) is that, yes, we COULD respond effectively to being endangered, but (for various reasons) we AREN'T responding effectively. If we were to respond effectively, we'd have significantly cut CO2 emissions and pollution/waste as soon as AGW/etc gained strong scientific consensus. We are NOT responding effectively because those in power who dictate our response either have a financial or political incentive to not respond in an effective way (or they're just plain stupid). We COULD respond effectively but we WON'T and therefore we'll go extinct anyway.

      Between the military industrial complex, disposable personal computing devices (smartphones), and hugely extravagant lifestyles for the super rich (to name but a few examples) do you honestly think our species is responding effectively? If your answer is "but we're not endangered yet", by the time we are becoming an endangered species we're well past the point of being too late to change anything anyway.

      I wasn't at all addressing the point of whether we're responding effectively, and I wasn't saying "we're not endangered yet". My post explicitly suggested that on our current course, most of humanity will die, which seems like an ineffective response to me. Just that extinct means ALL of humanity dies, and that probably won't happen.

  58. the world ends by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    it is only Monday and I have already an occasion to celebrate. If only humanity idiots would disappear at some date too - this I would celebrate even more.

  59. Re:Insects provide $57 billion in services to the by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    true, because Americans only understand things if they're expressed as money ....

  60. Re: Thanks, greens. by c6gunner · · Score: 1

    The vast majority of "nasty chemicals" which kill insects are naturally occurring insectides which plants themselves have developed as a defense mechanism. Good luck getting rid of those.

  61. Re:So? by Cloud+K · · Score: 2

    You obviously don't. But a lot of people do because if not us then any kids we have, are looking likely to experience our own extinction unless there is drastic action (which is very unlikely, as humanity simply doesn't change that quickly). That's going to be no picnic for anyone

  62. mosquitos and DemoRats vanish together by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Indeed any well-thought person will miss the mosquito ... who better to make picnic music about the campfire, but not to pine or birch . DemoRats breed lustily in open vats of pale ale . They will always be with us. Nibberizzzzzzzzzing and gaffotizzzzzzzzing ....

  63. Re:Draw a line by Cloud+K · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Funny you should mention xkcd... https://xkcd.com/1732/

  64. The solution by vbdasc · · Score: 4, Interesting

    is obvious, if somewhat cynical. Stop using new pesticides. Get used to reduced yields and higher prices of food. There will be famines in the 3rd world. It is inevitable. The human population on our Earth is already well past the line where it can be fed safely. The first few decades will be the hardest. But a century in the future, our descendants will thank us for having evaded the looming catastrophe.

    1. Re:The solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Earth can support far more people than we currently have in population. Don't be ridiculous.

    2. Re:The solution by DNS-and-BIND · · Score: 1

      It sure is generous of you to condemn billions of brown people to death by starvation. I noticed how your own whites don't figure in the equation. Seeing alt-right opinions modded up to +4 is disturbing but par for the course on Slashdot.

      --
      Shutting down free speech with violence isn't fighting fascism. It IS fascism!
    3. Re: The solution by Evtim · · Score: 1

      https://youtu.be/Sm5xF-UYgdg

      Please stop advocating for genocide and stop living in the past!

    4. Re:The solution by spitzak · · Score: 1

      You guys are pretty stupid to not recognize this is sarcasm.
      I suppose it is a bit refreshing to see this stupidity from the left, for a long time the right had almost a monopoly on stupid posts here...

  65. It's not Climate Change, it's Neonicotinoids by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Insects can adapt to climate change (unlike humans, apparently). All of nature can adapt to climate change.

    However, insects cannot adapt to being bathed in nerve agents. The entire planet needs to immediately stop using insecticides of all kinds.

    "But people will starve!"

    Then tell people to stop making so many babies they can't feed. Seriously. We reproduce so damn irresponsibly it's sickening. We already have 10 times the people the Earth can sustainably feed and we keep right on paying people to crank out 10 kids and rewarding irresponsible behavior in exchange for votes.

    Two things will solve this mass extinction event we've started:

    1) Mandatory sterilization after 1 child. If the kid dies, too bad.
    2) Complete global ban on all insecticide use in agriculture

    Get the world population down to 1 billion and all the problems humans are causing go away.

    1. Re:It's not Climate Change, it's Neonicotinoids by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How about a cash bonus if you get sterilized without having any child?

    2. Re: It's not Climate Change, it's Neonicotinoids by Evtim · · Score: 1

      Why the hell every post suggesting genocide is upvoted?

      Don't you know that we have passed 'peak child' ?

      Yes, 40 yrs ago things looked desperate since we did not know that family size shrinks within 2 generations after child mortality drops...but now we see it in every society.

      Never heard about Hans Roseling?

      Please, stop living in the past!

      https://youtu.be/Sm5xF-UYgdg

  66. Re:Why do you believe this new fantasy? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    What I can tell you is there here in Northern Ontario, Canada, when I used to go fishing as a boy (~35 years ago) our truck would be covered with insect guts before we even got to our destination 50 miles away. You would be eaten alive by flies and mosquitoes at the destination until you got out onto the water.
    Nowadays, we can go and do the same trip and it's not apparent we've hit even a single bug on the way. And bugs at the shoreline are hardly a nuisance anymore, relatively speaking.
    And it's not just insects. I can go on a trip in the bush and not see any animals, not even birds sometimes.

    I can't speak for anywhere else in the world, but something is very wrong with this.

  67. Re:Anecdotally, I've noticed the same, approx 5 ye by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And when you grow up a little more and have children with one of these hotties, you'll have no nature to share with your kids. That, my friend, WILL be a sad state of affairs, when your lust for attractive women has morphed into a protective and nurturing role for your family. Nothing can replace nature's beauty.

  68. Re:Insects provide $57 billion in services to the by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

    $57 is easy to come up with. Just tax the rich and finally start making them pay their fair share and we won't need the bugs. We can do $57B worth of things EASILY. It's barely more than 1% of the entire budget (not even including state and local budgets).

  69. Hurry and give millionaires another trillion dolla by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The priorities and preferences of this White House have shown no interest or effort in helping any of the worldâ(TM)s environmental problems. More money for the 1% so the can weather the coming environmental and world economic collapse. Survival of the richest.

  70. Time to study animals that eat insects? by olddoc · · Score: 1

    I used to spend a lot of time in Puerto Rico and the US Virgin islands in the 1970s. I remember anole lizards being all over the place. I recently visited Puerto Rico and the British Virgin Islands and I thought there were significantly fewer lizards running around. The lizards eat insects so I would be curious if there is any evidence of decreased lizard food causing trouble with the population. I must admit that I think that insects are remarkable adaptable and resilient and I find it hard to believe that insect populations are declining that fast, but the lack of lizards in the Caribbean seems real to me.

    --
    Power tends to corrupt, and absolute power corrupts absolutely.
  71. Re: Draw a line by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Angst ins understandable in this case.

    It *is* extremely scary.

  72. Re:Alarmist propaganda based on anecodtal evidence by Truth_Quark · · Score: 3, Interesting

    You read the materials and methods section?

    An you found they used 6 data points?

    I'll copy the relevant part of the section here:

    Arthropod Samples.
    Lister (22) sampled arthropods within the Luquillo forest during July 1976 and January 1977. Following the same procedures and using the same study area, arthropod abundances were again estimated during July 2011 and January 2012 using both sticky-traps and sweep netting. Our 10 traps were the same size (34 × 24 cm) as Lister’s (22), and also utilized Tanglefoot as the sticky substance. Traps were laid out on the ground in the same-sized grid (30 × 24 m), and also left uncovered for 12 h between dawn and dusk before all captured insects were removed and stored in alcohol. Hoop sizes of our sweep nets (30-cm diameter) matched those used by Lister (22). Body lengths of all captured arthropods were measured to the nearest 0.5 mm using a dissecting scope and ocular micrometer. Regression equations were used to estimate individual dry weights from body lengths (142, 143).

    Anolis Abundance.
    To compare Anolis densities with Lister’s (22) estimates from July 1976 and January 1977, we sampled anoles within the same 15 × 15-m quadrat during July 2011 and January 2012. Following Lister (22), we used the Schnabel multiple recapture method (27) to estimate densities. However, instead of marking captured lizards by toe clipping, we used Testor’s enamel paint to create small (2 mm) spots with different color combinations directly above the dorsal base of the tail.

    Climate Data.
    We analyzed climate data taken at two locations in the Luquillo forest: the United States Forest Service El Verde Field Station and the Bisley Lower meteorological tower, which is part of the Luquillo Critical Zone Observatory. The El Verde station lies 5 km southwest of our study area (18.3211 N, 65.8200 W), at an elevation of 350 m. The upper Bisley Tower is located 3.2 km southeast of our study area (18.3164 N, 65.7453 W) at 352 m in elevation. Temperature data for the El Verde station span 37 y, from 1978 to 2015 (Fig. 1A), and for the Bisley station 21 y from 1993 to 2014 (Fig. 1B). Given that the highest ambient temperatures for a given area should have the greatest impact on fitness, especially for ectotherms (144), daily maximum temperatures were utilized in our analyses. Climate data for the Estacion de Biologia Chamela were obtained from www.ibiologia.unam.mx/ebchamela/www/clima.html.

    Luquillo Long-Term Ecological Research Data.
    Data sets from the Luquillo long-term ecological research (LTER) online Data Center were downloaded and analyzed for trends in population abundances over time. Detailed methods employed in the various studies can be found at the LTER Data Center website (https://luq.lter.network/luquillo-information-management-system-luq-ims).

    Canopy arthropods.
    Data were collected by Schowalter (23) near the El Verde field station between February 1991 and June 2009. Several articles have analyzed these samples with respect to invertebrate diversity, functional groups, arthropod composition in gap and intact forest, and recovery from disturbance (145), but none have looked for trends in overall abundance. Here we summed all arthropods sampled each year across taxa, forest type, and tree genera.

    Walking sticks.
    We analyzed data from a census of walking sticks (Lamponius portoricensis) carried out by Willig et al. (24) between 1991 and 2014 in the 16-ha Luquillo Forest Dynamics Plot (LFDP) near the El Verde Field Station. Sampling was conducted during the wet and dry seasons and captured individuals were classified as adults or juveniles. To analyze walking stick abundance through time, we summed all juveniles and adults across seasons and land classes.

    E. coqui abundance.
    We analyze census data for the Puerto Rican frog E. coqui taken by Woolbright (29, 30) between 1987 and 1997 at study areas n

  73. How to fix this by AHuxley · · Score: 1

    Stop the import of the bad pesticides.
    Stop removing the forests for farm land and housing.
    The bugs will return when the bad use of pesticides stops.

    --
    Domestic spying is now "Benign Information Gathering"
  74. No, YOU STFU moron... apk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    See subject: Whoever you replied to wasn't I - take your own advice scumbag trying to FRAME me via UNIDENTIFIABLE anonymous posts you do.

    APK

    P.S.=> GROW UP, moron... apk

  75. Re:Draw a line by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why, so you can bury your head in the sand and sing la la la la la whilst we exterminate the planet?

    Why is it that none of the people who blame humanity for all the world's ills ever volunteer to go first in the mass human suicide that they obviously think is needed to save Mother Earth? I mean, lead by example, right?

  76. Re:Draw a line by thereddaikon · · Score: 1

    Yet nobody can explain how we could have this effect if it started before we actually began putting carbon into the air in large quantities.

  77. gene by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Overpopulation uber alles.

  78. Re: Draw a line by DogDude · · Score: 1

    I understand statistics very well, thanks. If you're not scared, it's clear that you don't.

    --
    I don't respond to AC's.
  79. See "The Hellstrom Chronicles" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The pendulum swings -- back in the 1970s, I think, the movie "The Hellstrom Chronicles" predicted that insects would win against humans.

  80. Mosquitoes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't worry, someone is just running Earth in debug mode.

    Can someone make sure that blood-sucking parasites die first? Starting with mosquitoes, then working their way up to bigger bugs like politicians, religious "leaders" and other frauds and charlatans, etc.?

  81. Who cares? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oh no, I won't be bitten by mosquitos! I won't have to kill spiders for my wife! EVERYONE PANIC because the libtards want us to pay more taxes to support there agenda!

  82. Literally anything 'could' happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Doesn't mean it will. There's a difference between 'awareness', which is good and useful, and 'conjecture founded in abject panic and a little data' which is not. I don't trust modern studies, anyway, particularly the millennial variety. Our algos are shit, and our humans are regressing by decades. Be aware, do your best, but losing control of yourself isn't going to fix anything, especially not yourself.

  83. Christ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Every single time there's a study like this, there's another study that wants us to panic over the exact opposite. EVERY. SINGLE. TIME.

    A few weeks ago--I'm pretty sure it was right here on Slashdot--we were being told we were headed for some calamity because world-wide warming was going to make the disease-carrying insert population explode and there wasn't a damned thing we can do about it. Except cut carbon, as usual the miracle solution.

    I'll believe any compelling evidence as much as the next guy, but please, when you have such contradictory positions, stop making the claim "the science is settled" and acting as if it was all done deal. Because you can't have both opposites going on at the same time.

    1. Re:Christ... by Gilgaron · · Score: 1

      There's no incongruity in noting that insect populations are collapsing overall while parasitic insect species ranges are expanding. The latter are adapted to live alongside humans so they're not going to be impacted the same way. The vertebrate biodiversity in the jungle can be crashing at the same time the number of Norway rats in the sewer is growing. "Tigers going extinct, ridiculous! I got bit by a plague rat yesterday!"

  84. Another scenario by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Or, nature, given that it doesn't, in fact, need humanity, could just chew us up and spit us out and carry on just fine without is for another few hundred millennia, as it has with other species. The earth is not who is imperiled in this, nor is its ego the one pulling strings. The earth itself will be just fine. We are the ones that think we are entitled to be here and manipulate her, for our own good or ill.

  85. Re:Anecdotally, I've noticed the same, approx 5 ye by Holi · · Score: 1

    It's called the Holocene extinction event. It may or may not have been going on since we spread out around the globe.

    --
    Sorry, teleporters just kill you and then make a copy. A perfect, soul-less copy.
  86. agriculture by arnott · · Score: 1
    > intensive agriculture is the main driver of the declines, particularly the heavy use of pesticides.

    This ! Agriculture is destructive on the environment, leading to loss of top soil, destruction of local plants and animals. Check what happened to Limberlost Swamp.

    1. Re:agriculture by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How does a swamp drained over 100 years ago have any bearing on current insect population declines?

  87. Re: Draw a line by Shaitan · · Score: 1

    Pot, meet kettle.

  88. "cold" LED lights? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I seem to remember hearing that the cold white and blue LED lights kill insects. These are a new thing we've introduced. I still think pesticides are more likely, but doesn't hurt to examine LED street lamps.

  89. Re:Why do you believe this new fantasy? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Similar story here, we're practically in the middle of nowhere in Québec (a long way north of Montréal) and there's way less bugs than 35 years ago. And we're surrounded by a forest on all sides of the town.

  90. 100 by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 1

    The total mass of insects is falling by a precipitous 2.5% a year, according to the best data available, suggesting they could vanish within a century

    But 0.975^100 ~ 8% not 0.

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  91. Its not pesticides, its climate change. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    arable farmland, where we use pesticides and herbicides and fungicides, only makes up at most 11% of the total land area of the world. The rest is land where insects have free reign and their existences aren't threatened by humans.

    This means something has to be affecting them out there, like interfering with their food sources.

    There should be plenty of food for insects out in the remote, unsettled lands, as they existed like that for millions of years.

    For there to be such a massive drop in the counts it means something has happened to it. So unless the pesticide industry is hiding a thousand factories or so and is producing the amounts necessary to spray it on remote lands where no humans have ever lived...

    its probably something else.

    1. Re:Its not pesticides, its climate change. by arnott · · Score: 1
      Check my earlier comment:

      > intensive agriculture is the main driver of the declines, particularly the heavy use of pesticides.

      This ! Agriculture is destructive on the environment, leading to loss of top soil, destruction of local plants and animals. Check what happened to Limberlost Swamp.

  92. Re: Why do you believe this new fantasy? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    One of those is a direct link to what is being discussed and the other is a tabloid.

    Neither are science replication results, nor have been replicated.

  93. Re:Great Job, President Trump!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Overall, America's CO2 emissions/pollution continues to drop, EXCEPT for last year, due to the economy booming (which was more Obama that did that).
    Blame should go to the west for the build up prior to knowing, and then to China once it was known. China, along with some 3rd world nations such as India, continues to grow their CO2/pollution in spite of knowledge as well as wind/solar costs being dropped.

  94. An anecdote... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...but over years (say since early 90s) I really see significantly less dead bugs on my windshield when driving on highway.

  95. Is this bad? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Does it affect cattle? Because if it doesn't affect beef, nobody cares. If a little bit of water gets in your house from sea, nobody cares. If it gets hot and a few people die, nobody cares.

    But maybe if the atmosphere becomes unbreathable, then people will care..briefly.

  96. Re:Draw a line by liquid_schwartz · · Score: 1, Funny

    Why, so you can bury your head in the sand and sing la la la la la whilst we exterminate the planet? Sure there will be some slow down eventually but so far in Europe at least half the insects are dead already and we are heading for a disaster the likes of which we've never seen before if we don't change our rape and pollute the planet ways.

    Does this mean that Europe will now import masses of insects from third world countries and call anyone who disagrees racist?

  97. Re: THERE ARE ALWAYS CONSEQUENCES NAZI FAGGOT KEN by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The nazis were as left as North Korea and China are right-wing
    1: Democratic People's Republic of Korea
    2) People's Republic of China

    I was going to include Iran in this, but the fact is, Iran IS a far right wing nation. Other than being islamic based, they are no different than America's GOP.

  98. Re:Insects provide $57 billion in services to the by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's the value of the sector they provide. Hiring people to do what they do would cost considerably more, even if you paid them like shit. (Many insects you can actually pay with shit.)

  99. Bug report by presearch · · Score: 1

    It's OK. In 100 years, Windows will still be chock full 'o bugs.

  100. Re:Draw a line by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why, so you can bury your head in the sand and sing la la la la la whilst we exterminate the planet? Sure there will be some slow down eventually but so far in Europe at least half the insects are dead already and we are heading for a disaster the likes of which we've never seen before if we don't change our rape and pollute the planet ways.

    How about everybody that is so concerned compost themselves. Then the deniers can enjoy a much happier planet.

  101. Ahh, more crackpot pseudo-science... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ahh, more crackpot enviro-pseudo-science from our esteemed ./ senior editor, BeauHD...

    "Insects Could Vanish Within a Century At Current Rate of Decline," give me a break! Anybody who goes outside instead of sitting around in a dimly lit office cubicle all day could easily prove to themselves that the premise of this article is totally retarded. Just go outside and flip over some logs, rocks, or go poking around in the dirt. There are bugs literally EVERYWHERE.

    This isn't science. This is "environmentalism" -- a religious sect based on screaming at the top of their lungs that the sky is falling (it's not) in the hopes that someone will bequeath them some further funding for further "research."

    1. Re:Ahh, more crackpot pseudo-science... by Sique · · Score: 1
      You willfully misinterpret the article to simulate being insightful.

      It says nowhere that insects have died out. So yes, you still will find insects everywhere. All the article says is that the amount of insects being around falls 2.5% every year. So if you turn a stone today, you will find only about 97.5% of the insects you would have found a year ago.

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      .sig: Sique *sigh*
  102. Re:Why do you believe this new fantasy? by ljw1004 · · Score: 1

    First we were told cockroaches were the only things that were survive a nuclear war. Now we are to believe that insects are super fragile? I don't think so, they have a super short lifespan and prodigious replication rates so as to be able to out-evolve any threat and take over any exposed ecological niche.

    SuperKendall, you are making incorrect logical steps. I'll spell out for you where.

    The popular press article said "More than 40% of insect species are declining". That relates to a sentence from the original academic paper, "Our work reveals dramatic rates of decline that may lead to the extinction of 40% of the world's insect species over the next few decades." https://www.sciencedirect.com/...

    Obviously that means that 60% of insect species AREN'T declining.

    Your faulty logic was (1) from the figure that 40% are declining you understood that all insect species are fragile, and (2) you know that cockroaches are robust and assumed they must be in the 40% of declining species, rather than in the 60% of non-declining species.

    If we abandon that faulty logic and instead think how to reconcile the data which suggests decline in some species, with the knowledge that cockroaches are robust? Here's one obvious resolution, building as it does upon your own statement about fast-breeding and adaptability:

    https://www.bbc.com/news/scien...
    "Fast-breeding pest insects will probably thrive because of the warmer conditions, because many of their natural enemies, which breed more slowly, will disappear, " said Prof Dave Goulson from the University of Sussex who was not involved in the review.

    "It's quite plausible that we might end up with plagues of small numbers of pest insects, but we will lose all the wonderful ones that we want, like bees and hoverflies and butterflies and dung beetles that do a great job of disposing of animal waste."

    Prof Goulson said that some tough, adaptable, generalist species - like houseflies and cockroaches - seem to be able to live comfortably in a human-made environment and have evolved resistance to pesticides.

  103. Re:Insects provide $57 billion in services to the by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If insects earn 57 billion where are their fucking accounts? Tax evading scum.

  104. Who cares? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Species come and go. So what? The only species that matters is us. We're doing fine. Onwards to 10 billion!

  105. Re:Draw a line by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Cueball and Black Hat, With the knife.

  106. Doubling down might actually help by The+Snazster · · Score: 1

    It might actually be better to target certain insects for complete extinction via the new CRISPR-based technologies. These would be the specific insects that people are trying so hard to poison right now. Removing the economic motive for indiscriminate use of insecticide might just help save the others. Research would be needed to see if this could be effective, just don't take too long.

  107. Re: Draw a line by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Clinton never said "Trump supporters are deplorable." You can find links to claims she did because you can also find links to flat earthers, birtherism, creationism, laims that islam is the true religion and all other kinds of craziness.

    Now, you can also find factual statements that are similarly worded, but have a different meaning. Statements involving fractions, and broad brushed categorization using baskets.

    But she never said what you said she said.
    So you are a liar, a dupe, or both.

  108. Re: Draw a line by mapkinase · · Score: 1

    >whilst we exterminate the planet?

    You are a blithering alarmist imbecile. Go kill youself.

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  109. Re: Draw a line by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

    You are very ignorant, go educate yourself.

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  110. Re: Draw a line by MrL0G1C · · Score: 2

    There's nothing theoretical about the huge decline in insect numbers, Germany has a 75% decline, France now has a 50% decline in birds likely due to the decline in insects.

    If you're not scared it's because you don't know enough about the level of destruction going on.

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  111. Re:Draw a line by greythax · · Score: 2

    Nobody in your knitting circle, maybe, but climate scientists can explain that graph pretty well these days.

  112. How impossibly sad by FuzzyDaddy2 · · Score: 1

    I confess I feel horribly guilty when I think about the world my children will be raising their children in. One hundred years from now looks so grim.

  113. Re:Draw a line by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    https://images.dailykos.com/images/299172/large/Gotcha.png

  114. You may be able to do something about this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The reasons list habitat loss and invasive species. Doug Tallamy is an entomologist. He lectures about the decline in birds due to the decline in caterpillars. In his lectures he points out that recent agricultural practice is to kill plant competitors all the way to the roadside where before there was a weedy strip between roads and fields. These previous weedy strip created virtually continuous bands of habitat where various native species of insects and birds could live and spread. The recent removal of these roadside strips of natives weeds has made a situation where the ever shrinking oases of wild areas are completely separated from one another. This makes species vulnerable as minor fluctuations can result in zero population at an oasis and there will be no influx to restore the population as there was with roadside weedy strips. Invasive ornamental plant species also are a serious issue as they do not support native insects so those insects are not available for birds. This results in large population decreases of insects and birds.

    You may be able to do something significant simply by making small changes in your home landscaping choices. Instead of planting exotic ornamentals like Callary (Bradford) Pear or burning bush, you can plant native species suitable for landscaping. There are a large number of natives already used for landscaping so there is a full selection of native plants that landscapers and gardeners know how to manage. Just that little bit can change your yard from a virtual wildlife desert into a much needed spot that will support wildlife. As more people make this very small change the yards with informed landscaping choices will become bands of habitat that can serve the function lost when agricultural practices changed to removal of weedy roadside areas.

  115. Disco by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Did you know that disco record sales were up 400% for the year ending 1976? if these trends continue...AY!

  116. Re: Draw a line by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    If you're not scared it's because you don't know enough about the level of destruction going on.

    If I'm not scared it's because I'm an adult and somewhere along the way learned to face reality. Time to grow up, Mr Logic.

    --
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  117. Re: Draw a line by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    I understand statistics very well, thanks.

    Good job, I'm proud of you.

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    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  118. Re:Draw a line by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    You mean, because it's extrapolating at the end of that graph? Or.......

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    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  119. Re:Thanks, greens. by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    One of the main reasons we use chemicals is because.....mountains of morons

    The primary reason we use chemicals is because everything is chemicals. There's no other option.

    Your post is clear and readable though, thanks.

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    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  120. Re:Draw a line by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

    I'll make you a $50 bet, 2019 USD, that there are insects around in the year 2100. Care to take the counter?

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  121. Stop farming. by Reziac · · Score: 2

    Seriously. Farming introduces monocultures and reduces populations for large swaths of insects, such as locusts. Stop farming. Problem solved. (Or you could just let insects eat the crops, but the effect is the same.)

    Oh, btw, you'll have to run a lot more cattle to feed everyone...

    [waits for envirowhacks' heads to explode]

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  122. Re:Draw a line by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

    Why, that would be completely besides the point. A serious bet would be to bet that 50% of insects still remain 10 years from now worldwide as compared to some baseline in the last century.

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  123. Re: Draw a line by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

    If you're not scared it's because you don't know enough about the level of destruction going on.

    Fear is a valid human emotion when your life or the life of your family is at risk. It is at risk.

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  124. Re: Draw a line by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    Fear is a valid human emotion

    Every emotion is valid, every emotion is irrational. Emotion is the antithesis of rationality.

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  125. Re: Draw a line by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

    Emotion is the antithesis of rationality.

    No it's not at all, it's rational to feel fear in dangerous situations, that emotion is to stop yourself from getting killed.

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  126. Re: Draw a line by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    Amazing, you don't know the definition of rational.

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