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Tesla, Panasonic Are Freezing Plans To Add More Battery Production Lines At Gigafactory (techcrunch.com)

Tesla and Panasonic are reportedly freezing their plans to add more battery production lines at Gigafactory 1, its massive factory outside of Reno, Nevada that is a cornerstone to the automaker's business. "The partners had planned to increase capacity by 50 percent next year, but financial problems have forced a rethink," reports TechCrunch, citing a report from Nikkei. "Nikkei also reported that Panasonic was suspending a planned investment in Tesla's automotive battery and EV plant in Shanghai." From the report: TechCrunch confirmed that Tesla is not adding more battery production lines and will instead focus its efforts on existing equipment. Tesla stressed that it will continue to make new investments as needed into the plant. However, the automaker noted that attention and investments might be focused on improving existing equipment to increase battery cell output.

As of November, Panasonic had 11 production lines operating at Gigafactory 1. Panasonic president President Kazuhiro Tsuga told Bloomberg that the company planned to add two more lines by the end of the year to bring total capacity up to 35 gigawatt-hours. The last number shared by Tesla is from July when the company reported an annualized run rate of 20 gigawatt-hours of capacity. It's not clear if those two production lines were added.
"We will of course continue to make new investments in Gigafactory 1, as needed. However, we think there is far more output to be gained from improving existing production equipment than was previously estimated," a Tesla spokesperson wrote in an emailed statement.

52 comments

  1. Thought end game for Gigafactory was home battery by JoeyRox · · Score: 2

    I could've sworn I read several articles when Gigafactory was first announced that the intermediate and long-term goal for the factory was to pump out high-capacity batteries that would let residential and commercial solar users finally get off the grid permanently, with short-term production more geared toward electric car use.

  2. Bad for Panasonic, but neutral for Tesla... by SuperKendall · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Panasonic ended up downgrading the demand from companies making electric cars.

    But it's not like the demand for electric cars is getting any lower, interest is steadily climbing...

    So even though Tesla loses some money from Panasonic, it probably is an indicator they have even a larger leg up on the electric car market than previously thought as car makers struggle to get near what Tesla is doing at scale.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Bad for Panasonic, but neutral for Tesla... by slashdice · · Score: 1, Informative

      Do you get busy with all that spin? Panasonic doesn't have a problem partnering with Toyota. Guess when your bro Elon calls them up and begs for more price cuts every 6 months, they look at the overdue bills and told him to fuck off.

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    2. Re:Bad for Panasonic, but neutral for Tesla... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >Toyota

      You mean the company that bet on hydrogen and had to be drug kicking and screaming in to the plug-in hybrid market, and still has no good plan for full electric?

      Granted they make the most popular hybrids on the market- But Toyota made some really poor choices

    3. Re:Bad for Panasonic, but neutral for Tesla... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Panasonic's problem is that they concentrated too much on meeting Tesla's needs and the rest of the industry went in a different direction.

      Tesla uses cylindrical cells. They are high quality and work great in high performance sports cars like the Roadster, but they are also more expensive. Most other manufacturers went with pouch cells, similar to what you get in mobile phones. Cheaper to produce, and more than adequate for 99% of vehicles.

      Panasonic needs to pivot and build new factories making the cells that car manufacturers want. The only significant demand for cylindrical cells will be from Tesla and maybe a few other high end manufacturers, with the bulk of the volume requiring new lines and new designs.

      --
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  3. let's see by negrace · · Score: 0

    1) Non tech-news at all. 2) boring as hell So some companies are not expanding a battery factory. This is what passes as "news" these days? Have to keep those clicks coming to show more ads, huh?

    1. Re:let's see by liquid_schwartz · · Score: 3, Funny

      ... boring as hell...

      No, that would be this one https://www.boringcompany.com/

    2. Re:let's see by VanessaE · · Score: 1

      He said boring AS hell, not boring TO hell.

  4. looks like electric cars were way overhyped by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    surpise, surprise. When car companies are shutting down plants to increase SUV productions, you can tell that nobody cares about electric vehicles. They are inconvenient, they suck in cold weather climates, and tax incentives are expiring. The best bet right now is to go short on Tesla, all-in

  5. where's Rei? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    she can tell us why this is good news for Tesla. Or did she get fired in their last round of stealth layoffs?

  6. Non tech news??? by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    1) Non tech-news at all. 2) boring as hell

    Good grief, Batteries are the ultimate tech news!

    If there was a BatteryDot I'd read that more often than SlashDot...

    Our world depends so much on batteries these days...

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Non tech news??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Batteries are boring. Lots of companies make batteries. It is what you do with them that is interesting.

      So, not news, and not nerdy. Fail.

    2. Re:Non tech news??? by Cmdln+Daco · · Score: 1

      Batteries not included.

  7. That is a the big plan by SuperKendall · · Score: 4, Informative

    the intermediate and long-term goal for the factory was to pump out high-capacity batteries that would let residential and commercial solar users finally get off the grid permanently

    The PowerWall is available already. And they have been used in large installations as well, in Australia and other places.

    I've thought about getting one just for backup power for the house but it really makes more sense with a solar system, just waiting to see if solar shingles work out long term or what as I would prefer that form factor...

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:That is a the big plan by Michael+Woodhams · · Score: 3, Interesting

      For cars and cell phones, energy density matters a lot. For stationary home and industrial scale installations, it matters much less. Are lithium ion batteries still the best choice for such applications? (For the purpose of this question, I'm only considering batteries. I am aware that there are many other industrial scale electricity storage technologies proposed or in use.)

      --
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    2. Re:That is a the big plan by drinkypoo · · Score: 2, Interesting

      For cars and cell phones, energy density matters a lot. For stationary home and industrial scale installations, it matters much less. Are lithium ion batteries still the best choice for such applications?

      It depends on how you measure. If your primary consideration is TCO then yes. Otherwise, LiFePo4 is currently the best battery chemistry you can buy. It holds almost as much as LiPo, but it's as stable as NiMH, and it has as many charge cycles as Li-Ion. Unfortunately, it costs about twice as much as Li-Ion.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    3. Re: That is a the big plan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      LiFePO4 isn't that expensive. I recently rebuilt an electric ATV to replace its decayed lead-acid batteries with 16 40Ah Winston cells, and they were cheaper and 30kg lighter than deep cycle traction lead-acid. Only the cheapest no-brand lead-acid batteries could match the LiFePO4 price, but these were unfit for the purpose, as the previous setup proved.

    4. Re:That is a the big plan by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      Are lithium ion batteries still the best choice for such applications?

      "Depends." I took a look at what I'd need for my house, and it's roughly three PowerWalls at around $20K or a shed full of Ni-C for $30K (plus shed, cabling, and charge controllers). I expect the PowerWalls to be useless in about ten years and the Ni-C option to be useless sometime after 2100AD.

      I have the room for a shed but I could also put that extra $10K into more solar panels. Also, the opportunity cost of building the shed, maintaining it, and tying up the money for ten years might lean towards PowerWall. Then again, if Tesla goes out of business (I hope not, but...) the generic battery stack won't ever require esoteric replacement parts, so it's possible the lifetime of the PowerWalls could be far less, depending on business conditions.

      If you have the room and capital and are risk-adverse, don't get the PowerWall. If I were in a townhouse and only had $10K I'd get a Powerwall. Or put a deposit down on a house with real property - there's also the zombie apocalypse factor (i.e. $21T debt).

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    5. Re:That is a the big plan by Jzanu · · Score: 1

      A large expensive product sold to large industrial sites in large industrial countries... Seems very much like a niche product. A better option is the vanadium flow battery. It is 100% flexible in terms of capacity, can be expanded to any degree or reduced as needed. That's not a small advantage - a lithium ion battery that is inadequate must be completely scrapped, while Vanadium flow just needs to be refitted with larger tanks while every other component remains as installed. Lithium ion batteries are also fire hazards in comparison.

    6. Re:That is a the big plan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They don't use the same energy densities for cars vs grid use, but they do use lithium derivitives of each type. Phone batteries degrade extremely quickly. Car batteries don't but need to be as light as possible and require substantial cooling to supply what a home would use in a week for a few hours worth of driving. Home batteries can be less energy dense to save money and formulated for cheaper discharge stability since nobody's home uses 1700 amps at 400 volts all at once like a car.

      Lithium is still the best use of this application, you can use lead acid or NiMH but they have less favorable lifetimes, emit toxic gases, or are so poorly energy dense that storage space becomes as much an issue as costs. The world's abundance of lithium makes is so cheap it's just become preferred for this type of application due to how much research has gone into it because of its widespread affordability.

  8. Let the shorts profit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Gonna see the stock tank before it rises again.

  9. That was more Toyota panicking... by SuperKendall · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Panasonic doesn't have a problem partnering with Toyota.

    It's hard to claim that is a "Partnership" when it was really Toyota panicking and wanting to be able to move faster on electric cars.

    It was also an earlier phase of Panasonic lowering the integration with Tesla, as what the Toyota deal did was move ownership of five Panasonic battery manufacturing facilities in China and Japan to the new combined battery entity jointly owned (49% Panasonic and 51% Toyota), in the process reducing the exposure to Panasonic if the electric car battery market does not grow as expected... which Panasonic is saying now, it will not.

    You really must learn how to read "partnering" agreements to understand what is really going on, but then coming from a Tesla hater it's no surprise you aren't really understanding the car, or the car battery market and where the payers are at...

     

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:That was more Toyota panicking... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      No, that's spin. You're making this really complicated, but in business often the simplest answer is the correct one.

      Tesla's car deliveries in Q1 tanked. A week later, Panasonic decides investing more in growing Tesla's capacity isn't really necessary. It's pretty clear what happened: Panasonic is worried Tesla can't deliver any more, and when Tesla did deliver Panasonic lost money. They're seeing it as a losing partnership and are backing out.

      https://arstechnica.com/cars/2019/04/panasonic-stops-investing-in-tesla-gigafactories-as-sales-slump/

    2. Re:That was more Toyota panicking... by dgatwood · · Score: 2, Informative

      Tesla's car deliveries in Q1 tanked.

      I'd hardly call more than 100% year-over-year growth "tanking". Most companies would LOVE to fail that hard. Yes, they missed Street estimates because of logistics problems overseas, but it happens. It definitely is not an indication of soft demand, as you seem to be implying.

      --

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  10. The Tesla demand cliff is real by vipvop · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Q2 Tesla deliveries are going to be even worse, with Jaguar and Mercedes offering luxury electric vehicles that actually go through some form of QC before they're sold to the public.

     

    1. Re:The Tesla demand cliff is real by drinkypoo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Q2 Tesla deliveries are going to be even worse, with Jaguar and Mercedes offering luxury electric vehicles that actually go through some form of QC before they're sold to the public.

      I know jack about Jags, but Mercedes is just another car. Has been ever since the 1990s. 1991 is the last time they overbuilt a car. Unless you're buying a UNIMOG, a Mercedes isn't any more reliable than anything else.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:The Tesla demand cliff is real by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      with Jaguar and Mercedes offering luxury electric vehicles

      What have *luxury* electric vehicles have to do with Tesla sales when Tesla is headed for mostly selling a consumer car? Do you think the people who want a Model 3 will buy a Jaguar instead? In what alternate reality?

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    3. Re:The Tesla demand cliff is real by rainer_d · · Score: 1

      > a Mercedes isn't any more reliable than anything else.

      Unfortunately, that's a sentiment shared by many current E-class owners.
      The cost-and-corner-cutting is real on these, too.
      The EQC will be much "nicer" than a Tesla, for sure - but range remains a concern, as well as price and availability.
      Also, no frunk and a smaller trunk apparently, compared to a Model X. And less range, less efficiency.
      Compared to a five year old car.

      I'm somewhat ready to pull the trigger on an E-class - but I'm also thinking of holding out yet another year or even two and wait for Model Y - or whatever is available then that has some sort of trunk comparable to an E-class.

      Teslas, at least until now, have a reputation of being somewhat easier to maintain.

      Though, TBH, there is great concern about the viability of a Tesla as a daily driver because if it needs repair, it can take a long while to get parts and you don't always get loaners.

      --
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    4. Re:The Tesla demand cliff is real by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Jaguar are not known for their reliability either. Never have been. They have a luxury sporty brand, and to be fair the i-Pace is very nice. Horribly inefficient but it drives very well and is built to a way higher standard than anything Tesla produce, but if it's anything like their ICE cars then reliability will be just average and repairs will be extremely expensive.

      Jaguar do over-the-air software updates too, meaning your car is forever in beta and half of it barely works. Their autopilot systems is pretty janky, for example.

      --
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      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    5. Re:The Tesla demand cliff is real by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the model 3 still sells for over 50k euros, yes, I'll consider a better car from a traditional luxury car maker. Model 3 is like a fucking Lada Granta on the inside.

    6. Re:The Tesla demand cliff is real by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Tesla has been heading toward a consumer car since it's inception.

      So far, there's zero sign of them getting there. Model 3 was their attempt at making such a failure, and it ended up a luxury vehicle in terms of cost. They'll obviously keep on trying, but with failure of model 3 in this regard new try is unlikely for at least half a decade.

    7. Re:The Tesla demand cliff is real by vipvop · · Score: 1

      Except the $35k M3 is never going to happen, which is why Tesla is doing everything in their power to keep people from trying to buy them. They can't sell them profitably at $35k, but they're desperate for cash which is why you can now "lease" one, except it's more like renting one because you have no option to buy at the end of the term. Tesla just wants those sweet customer deposits because they have a ton of inventory sitting around not making them any money.

      You don't have to compare the high end models to Tesla, you can also look towards Hyundai's new ones coming out. Either way, all cars made my people who know how to make cars, and not built in a tent.

      How many fanboys on here are willing to put their money where their mouth is? I'll be buying puts shortly before the Q2 delivery numbers are released.

    8. Re:The Tesla demand cliff is real by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      It said "Jaguar" and "Mercedes", not "Hyundai", though. In any case, your speculation as to what Tesla can or can't sell profitably is pointless, unless you work for their management. And how is something "not going to happen" that has already happened?

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    9. Re:The Tesla demand cliff is real by stooo · · Score: 1

      >> Model 3 is like a fucking Lada Granta on the inside.
      No.

      --
      aaaaaaa
  11. Overall Auto demand is down by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They are selling into a saturated auto market with tapped out consumers.

  12. yes and no by mbkennel · · Score: 4, Informative

    Volumetric density still matters somewhat because that determines costs for housing, connections & cooling. Also, at the moment, lithium ion has one of the highest round-trip efficiencies.

    Lithium ion also has one of the highest potentials per cell so getting enough voltage to convert efficiently takes fewer cells, which also helps lower costs. And a major issue in utility needs is rapidly responding to loads and lithium batteries can easily do this.

    In long run for longer term storage past a few hours, e.g. days or weeks of energy, we will need big flow batteries which decouple power from energy capacity.

    For utility applications, maybe Aluminium-ion may prove less costly. Power isn't as good as lithium ion but may end up cheaper.

    The cost of lithium ion batteries is to a major degree the nickel and cobalt. There's no fundamental physical necessity that those elements are used in batteries.

  13. Gigafactory 1 plan by GeLeTo · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The initial plan was to produce 35GW when the Gigafactory 1 is finished. Right now the plant is far from finished, with only a fraction of the whole building built, and yet it is expected to reach 35GW this year and when finished to be at 3 times the originaly planned capacity - at 105GW, and on top of that to have enough space to produce battery packs for model 3 and soon Y, S and X, without expanding the plant size. All this is happening because of advancements in production efficiency and battery power density. So it's not surprising Tesla chose to optimize efficiency and density instead of adding new lines. Their recent purchase of Maxwell Technologies is also an indication of that. I don't get why everybody is acting surprised and spells doom and gloom.

    1. Re:Gigafactory 1 plan by evanh · · Score: 1

      I'd wouldn't be surprised if there might be a technology timing factor involved in this as well. As in reserving some expansion for newer less fragile battery chemistry tech. None of the lithium-cobalt variants ever really made the grade.

    2. Re:Gigafactory 1 plan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Their recent purchase of Maxwell Technologies is also an indication of that.

      Purchase hasn't been completed yet.

    3. Re:Gigafactory 1 plan by Idou · · Score: 1, Informative

      I don't get why everybody is acting surprised and spells doom and gloom.

      Short trading . . .

      --
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    4. Re:Gigafactory 1 plan by ClarkMills · · Score: 1

      Has the Maxwell Technologies gone through yet? I thought it was still being talked about...

    5. Re:Gigafactory 1 plan by taiwanjohn · · Score: 1

      What I've heard is that not enough of Maxwell's shareholders have signed onto the deal yet to pass the 50% threshold. And since TSLA stock has taken a beating recently, they may have to renegotiate.

      --
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    6. Re:Gigafactory 1 plan by hankwang · · Score: 1

      "35GW"

      That's the correct unit but the wrong number. If they produce 35 GWh worth of battery capacity per year, that's 35 GWh/y or 0.0040 GW on average.

    7. Re:Gigafactory 1 plan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      less fragile battery chemistry tech.

      current tesla batteries are fine. 80% after 1M km is pretty good IMHO. https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-battery-life-80-percent-capacity-840km-1-million-km/

    8. Re:Gigafactory 1 plan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yep, FUD going on.

    9. Re:Gigafactory 1 plan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...

      You are technically correct, but I think I prefer the GWh/yr figure as they are producing battery capacity, not power.

    10. Re:Gigafactory 1 plan by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      Indeed. I can't speak to how authoritative this is, but some choice parts:

      I called this report questionable for a few reasons. Nikkei is generally a respected publication and they do seem to often have good sources, especially in the Asian business world and specifically in Japan, where Panasonic is based. But in this case, they don’t even cite sources and state everything as a matter of fact.....Also, the report states that Panasonic is suspending a planned investment in Gigafactory 3 in Shanghai, but we didn’t even know that they planned to invest in Gigafactory 3.

      --
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    11. Re:Gigafactory 1 plan by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      More like culprit is the cell type being manufactured being rather useless for anyone but tesla. And for any supplier, it's a very high risk venture to produce a product that is only consumed by a single company that is in a questionable financial state.

      So the ambitions are probably being scaled down to match the increasingly realized risk on Panasonic's side, as all other electric vehicle majors like BYD are going for pouch cells over cylindrical ones used almost exclusively by Tesla.

    12. Re:Gigafactory 1 plan by Luthair · · Score: 1

      How much of that is actually due to over provisioning? If the car is over provisioned, access to a more durable battery technology could allow it to use that excess capacity for additional range, or the manufacturers could reduce the capacity saving money & weight despite having the same range.

  14. Shifting volume to China... by ClarkMills · · Score: 0

    ...so don't need expansion at GF1.

    Ultimately it will all be China (decade) but in the interim the high-value can come out of the US.

    All IMHO of course...

  15. Re:Thought end game for Gigafactory was home batte by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yeah tesla lied to get money.

    Shocker i know.