Apple charging 30% of even the services offered through apps is just the tip of the iceberg.
Okay you're correct in many ways except for this right here. Apple's 30% cut is an extremely great price point given the market share and central access it provides. You might not be aware that we've (developers) had to put up with much higher rates in the past from similar offerings that were only a fraction of the Apple ecosystem. While lockout may seem like "death", there are elements that I can't deny are far more beneficial and efficient than a pure open system.
The rest of the components, such as the mainboard and battery, aren't flexible. I was under the impression we would see some curved phones that are rigid rather than a fully flexible screen. I read this article and I didn't see any specific mention of what exactly what Samsung have planned, anyone know the answer?
> Under Win7, if the keyboard and mouse are idle long enough for the display to shut off, I still have that half-second grace period to nudge the mouse and not need to punch in the password to unlock it
To be fair I found it takes a full 2 seconds to come out of sleep mode, far faster than the 5-10 it took win7. I'm now happy to leave it go to sleep after 30 mins of inactivity because my monitors take longer to flick back on now than windows!
> Under Win7, if the keyboard and mouse are idle long enough for the display to shut off, I still have that half-second grace period to nudge the mouse and not need to punch in the password to unlock it
To be fair I found it takes a full 2 seconds to come out of sleep mode, far faster than the 5-10 it took win7. I'm now happy to leave it go to sleep after 30 mins of inactivity because my monitors take longer to flick back on now than windows!
He's also a "Christian scientist", which I'll let wiki explain
"Christian Scientists believe that sickness and disease are the result of fear, ignorance, or sin, and should be healed through prayer or introspection. Combined with a belief that the use of medicine is incompatible with Christian Science healing methods, this has led to outbreaks of preventable disease and a number of deaths. Its claim that sickness can be healed through prayer rather than medicine, its rejection of science as illusory, and its attempts to present itself as science make Christian Science a pseudoscience, in the view of philosopher John R. Searle."
Actually you are correct, numerous cores are the future. Intel are planning a 48 core smartphone within the decade, http://www.engadget.com/2012/10/30/intel-48-core-chip-smartphones-tablets/ and Haswell is concentrating on both a reduction in power and has some neat improvements to make multicore programming much easier to manage (TSX looks very intriguing) http://www.anandtech.com/show/6290/making-sense-of-intel-haswell-transactional-synchronization-extensions. Both of these will continue as we up the core counts. The power is important as we race to the 1 exaflop supercomputers, which is actually slightly ahead of the exponential growth curve. There's some worry about continuing that trend to exaflop by 2015-2018 but we now have India, China and the US all attempting to beat one another and only India lacks every having the experience of a number 1 supercomputer. We could be entering a space-race like era again but with super computers.
Who needs all that computing power? You do know what that sounds like right? That mythical "640K ought to be enough for everybody". Look I don't want to be too mean but what you seem to lack is vision, do you really not expect new applications to arise from the excess power and fill the void? Maybe it's because I've been programming for 20 years and can see the bottlenecks so I can assure you every little bit of cpu power can be squeezed out and will bring new opportunities previously too slow for real-time calculations. We use the power we have available is how it's best summed up. I haven't even touched on the world's middle class exploding by 100's of millions, a scale like never before thanks to India and China. The strain this will place on resources does warrant a consideration, but that's a whole debate on it's own. Many applications of AI will start showing up in Joe average's devices because the power to run them is now possible, if you can only think of trying to streamline server requests you really need to read up on the near future. There's some exciting times ahead:)
Err how exactly are we slowing down on CPU power? We're still well on the curve of Moore's law with exponential increases in transistor counts. Intel have already mapped down to 5nm, with 10nm expected in 2015 (probably 16 for retail). The only potential to slow us down is the process shrinks below 10nm being potential unsuitable using silicon and I say potential because Intel aren't revealing their research but have a roadmap to 5nm.
Then once shrinkages are put on hold the progress switches to more research in post-silicon, more efficient designs and better handling of multi-cores such as a push for some artificial neuron designs that learn and adapt to your computer usage. We currently don't have as great a need for those areas yet but once the shrinking stops we'll see more research invested to continue market competitiveness. We're still showing progress beyond shrinkage with the first steps into 3d processor designs, with mRam's recent introduction we can count on bandwidth potential increasing and carbon nanotube transistors are showing promise of being a decade away and every tech that has replaced computational power in the past century has kept pace of exponential increases from mechanical, tubes to transistors and many expect the silicon successor to quickly gain the upper hand again.
Yes the general public need more processing power so that it can start using NLP on the phone itself rather then sending it away to a server. Of course making Siri more accurate will bring more value especially as we shift over to Augmented Reality in the coming years linking our smart phone to process vocal requests that appear without any further interaction required from us. Getting more accurate also means understanding a greater range of context and start handling more tasks with simple requests.
In short, you don't need that much vision to see the potential ahead without radical tech shifts and from my view we're not slowing down but rather increasing our computational power exponentially in our continued progress.
I've been following the studies and progress for a little while and most experts are now suggesting we have some decent algorithms that will increase in accuracy the more power we throw at it. For things like Siri and any NLP that means AI will indeed progress exponentially for the foreseeable future. Though that's only one facet, it will still help change how we interact with computers in a (relatively) short time span.
Oh yes and that's repeated several times in the paper, the 530 billion neurons simulated are not comparable to our meagre 30-100 billion. Should have noted that though! thanks.
I'll go away and do some research myself, as I always do when confronted with someone who appears credible and goes against what I've been lead to believe. But I have a hard time believing you're links are bias-free.
I held that same belief until I reminded myself that emotions and feelings have no place in facts. So I did my research using both sides of the argument and, like I've always done no matter the issue, I dropped my belief in the face of evidence.
I always try to follow a very logical way of thinking but sometimes I get caught up by my emotional brain and ignore fact checking. I'm only human, but I'm trying everyday to fix that:)
Being an Aussie kid in the 90's I can attest to the horrors of constant bullying. In year 10 I wanted out so bad I gave up hiding my tracks in circumventing the school's computer network, I'd been breaking into it for over a year by this stage, and started changing the teacher's passwords to speed up my discovery. Being expelled and having other local schools decline my entrance was the best thing that happened to me! No more having to worry about peers trying to light my hair on fire during science class!
I still remember my amazement when first attending higher eduction, people actually respected my intelligence and welcomed my help!
That's only BCI, I did state neuroscience progress. You really can't concentrate on such a specific field to come up with possible trends in the overall field. It'll be like concentrating on the airplane engine in your examples rather than the field of aeronautics.
Maybe it's because I've been researching this daily for the past few months (must get a job....), but if you look beyond wikipedia and at the release of studies related to neuroscience it's actually scary to me how fast we're progressing. It's mostly thanks to computing too with even the simulations of neural networks helping to reveal new details on the structure and function of our brains.
Consider just how far we've come since 1992, by 2034 we'd be edging very close to nanobot level technology and our understanding of neuroscience can't be overstated enough judging by the last decade of progress. With this kind of early cross over between tech and medicine it's unavoidable to think you could do without a single upgrade.
The only nueroprosthetics that comes to mind where this might not be the case are cochlear implants.
Since the lifespan of current generation consoles is close to a decade I'm more of the belief this will be the last "gen" of consoles no matter what happens. With the success of mobile computing I don't see them capable of continuing this tradition of large gaps in hardware releases. With AR and neurofeedback likely to play a part in the new gen consoles I see consoles dying down alongside desktops as we transition to a mobile computing world with yearly refresh cycles.
It's easier to think of matter as not being contained but rather sitting on top of the fabric of spacetime. The distance between the two galaxies/stars will accelerate faster than light while the matter itself comfortable sits still relative to spacetime.
At least that's how I visualise it, correct me if I'm wrong!
Apple charging 30% of even the services offered through apps is just the tip of the iceberg.
Okay you're correct in many ways except for this right here. Apple's 30% cut is an extremely great price point given the market share and central access it provides. You might not be aware that we've (developers) had to put up with much higher rates in the past from similar offerings that were only a fraction of the Apple ecosystem. While lockout may seem like "death", there are elements that I can't deny are far more beneficial and efficient than a pure open system.
Yeah I caught myself just after I posted, too true! My bad.
The rest of the components, such as the mainboard and battery, aren't flexible. I was under the impression we would see some curved phones that are rigid rather than a fully flexible screen. I read this article and I didn't see any specific mention of what exactly what Samsung have planned, anyone know the answer?
Stupid slashdot being anti-WYSIWYG....
> Under Win7, if the keyboard and mouse are idle long enough for the display to shut off, I still have that half-second grace period to nudge the mouse and not need to punch in the password to unlock it
To be fair I found it takes a full 2 seconds to come out of sleep mode, far faster than the 5-10 it took win7. I'm now happy to leave it go to sleep after 30 mins of inactivity because my monitors take longer to flick back on now than windows!
> Under Win7, if the keyboard and mouse are idle long enough for the display to shut off, I still have that half-second grace period to nudge the mouse and not need to punch in the password to unlock it To be fair I found it takes a full 2 seconds to come out of sleep mode, far faster than the 5-10 it took win7. I'm now happy to leave it go to sleep after 30 mins of inactivity because my monitors take longer to flick back on now than windows!
It's actually less resource hungry than 7! Probably a first for Windows.
He's also a "Christian scientist", which I'll let wiki explain
"Christian Scientists believe that sickness and disease are the result of fear, ignorance, or sin, and should be healed through prayer or introspection. Combined with a belief that the use of medicine is incompatible with Christian Science healing methods, this has led to outbreaks of preventable disease and a number of deaths. Its claim that sickness can be healed through prayer rather than medicine, its rejection of science as illusory, and its attempts to present itself as science make Christian Science a pseudoscience, in the view of philosopher John R. Searle."
Actually you are correct, numerous cores are the future. Intel are planning a 48 core smartphone within the decade, http://www.engadget.com/2012/10/30/intel-48-core-chip-smartphones-tablets/ and Haswell is concentrating on both a reduction in power and has some neat improvements to make multicore programming much easier to manage (TSX looks very intriguing) http://www.anandtech.com/show/6290/making-sense-of-intel-haswell-transactional-synchronization-extensions. Both of these will continue as we up the core counts. The power is important as we race to the 1 exaflop supercomputers, which is actually slightly ahead of the exponential growth curve. There's some worry about continuing that trend to exaflop by 2015-2018 but we now have India, China and the US all attempting to beat one another and only India lacks every having the experience of a number 1 supercomputer. We could be entering a space-race like era again but with super computers.
:)
Who needs all that computing power? You do know what that sounds like right? That mythical "640K ought to be enough for everybody". Look I don't want to be too mean but what you seem to lack is vision, do you really not expect new applications to arise from the excess power and fill the void? Maybe it's because I've been programming for 20 years and can see the bottlenecks so I can assure you every little bit of cpu power can be squeezed out and will bring new opportunities previously too slow for real-time calculations. We use the power we have available is how it's best summed up. I haven't even touched on the world's middle class exploding by 100's of millions, a scale like never before thanks to India and China. The strain this will place on resources does warrant a consideration, but that's a whole debate on it's own. Many applications of AI will start showing up in Joe average's devices because the power to run them is now possible, if you can only think of trying to streamline server requests you really need to read up on the near future. There's some exciting times ahead
Err how exactly are we slowing down on CPU power? We're still well on the curve of Moore's law with exponential increases in transistor counts. Intel have already mapped down to 5nm, with 10nm expected in 2015 (probably 16 for retail). The only potential to slow us down is the process shrinks below 10nm being potential unsuitable using silicon and I say potential because Intel aren't revealing their research but have a roadmap to 5nm.
Then once shrinkages are put on hold the progress switches to more research in post-silicon, more efficient designs and better handling of multi-cores such as a push for some artificial neuron designs that learn and adapt to your computer usage. We currently don't have as great a need for those areas yet but once the shrinking stops we'll see more research invested to continue market competitiveness. We're still showing progress beyond shrinkage with the first steps into 3d processor designs, with mRam's recent introduction we can count on bandwidth potential increasing and carbon nanotube transistors are showing promise of being a decade away and every tech that has replaced computational power in the past century has kept pace of exponential increases from mechanical, tubes to transistors and many expect the silicon successor to quickly gain the upper hand again.
Yes the general public need more processing power so that it can start using NLP on the phone itself rather then sending it away to a server. Of course making Siri more accurate will bring more value especially as we shift over to Augmented Reality in the coming years linking our smart phone to process vocal requests that appear without any further interaction required from us. Getting more accurate also means understanding a greater range of context and start handling more tasks with simple requests.
In short, you don't need that much vision to see the potential ahead without radical tech shifts and from my view we're not slowing down but rather increasing our computational power exponentially in our continued progress.
Analysts are predicting that next year China will overtake the US as the leader in scientific output.
Wonder if that might be a big enough blow to the US ego to consider a reverse in funding cuts?
I've been following the studies and progress for a little while and most experts are now suggesting we have some decent algorithms that will increase in accuracy the more power we throw at it. For things like Siri and any NLP that means AI will indeed progress exponentially for the foreseeable future. Though that's only one facet, it will still help change how we interact with computers in a (relatively) short time span.
Oh yes and that's repeated several times in the paper, the 530 billion neurons simulated are not comparable to our meagre 30-100 billion. Should have noted that though! thanks.
And this is why I get so upset when religious idiots question where non-believers get their morals if not from a sky fairy.
IBM recently announced success in simulating 2 billion of their custom designed synaptic cores, 1 trillion synapses apparently. Here's the pdf report
I'll go away and do some research myself, as I always do when confronted with someone who appears credible and goes against what I've been lead to believe. But I have a hard time believing you're links are bias-free.
Yeah, because a website like muslim.org isn't at all bias. Just look at their tagline: "presenting Islam as peaceful, tolerant, rational, inspiring"
Indeed, http://www.thereligionofpeace.com/
I held that same belief until I reminded myself that emotions and feelings have no place in facts. So I did my research using both sides of the argument and, like I've always done no matter the issue, I dropped my belief in the face of evidence.
:)
I always try to follow a very logical way of thinking but sometimes I get caught up by my emotional brain and ignore fact checking. I'm only human, but I'm trying everyday to fix that
Or more rather, don't Warner Brothers have enough money from the hollywood accounting of the LoTR trilogy?
Being an Aussie kid in the 90's I can attest to the horrors of constant bullying. In year 10 I wanted out so bad I gave up hiding my tracks in circumventing the school's computer network, I'd been breaking into it for over a year by this stage, and started changing the teacher's passwords to speed up my discovery. Being expelled and having other local schools decline my entrance was the best thing that happened to me! No more having to worry about peers trying to light my hair on fire during science class!
I still remember my amazement when first attending higher eduction, people actually respected my intelligence and welcomed my help!
That's only BCI, I did state neuroscience progress. You really can't concentrate on such a specific field to come up with possible trends in the overall field. It'll be like concentrating on the airplane engine in your examples rather than the field of aeronautics.
Maybe it's because I've been researching this daily for the past few months (must get a job....), but if you look beyond wikipedia and at the release of studies related to neuroscience it's actually scary to me how fast we're progressing. It's mostly thanks to computing too with even the simulations of neural networks helping to reveal new details on the structure and function of our brains.
Consider just how far we've come since 1992, by 2034 we'd be edging very close to nanobot level technology and our understanding of neuroscience can't be overstated enough judging by the last decade of progress. With this kind of early cross over between tech and medicine it's unavoidable to think you could do without a single upgrade.
The only nueroprosthetics that comes to mind where this might not be the case are cochlear implants.
Nice comparison, but to me fair it takes $100 plus an existing Mac to get started developing iOS games. At least that's what it cost me, https://itunes.apple.com/au/app/laundry-rush/id417527984?mt=8 /shameless plug
Since the lifespan of current generation consoles is close to a decade I'm more of the belief this will be the last "gen" of consoles no matter what happens. With the success of mobile computing I don't see them capable of continuing this tradition of large gaps in hardware releases. With AR and neurofeedback likely to play a part in the new gen consoles I see consoles dying down alongside desktops as we transition to a mobile computing world with yearly refresh cycles.
It's easier to think of matter as not being contained but rather sitting on top of the fabric of spacetime. The distance between the two galaxies/stars will accelerate faster than light while the matter itself comfortable sits still relative to spacetime. At least that's how I visualise it, correct me if I'm wrong!