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User: Talderas

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  1. Ok, ok, so you're about to say that you meant a victory. Well, guess what? Implementation of the Wyoming Rule AND proportional award by population in a state gets Hillary a win.

    Adding extra electoral votes based on the Wyoming method ends up with 110 extra electoral votes of which Trump gains more than half. Distributing the electors within the state proportionally (Representative + Senator electors) based on the Wyoming rule results in the following.

    Hillary (310), Trump (301), Johnson (18), Stein (2), McMullen (10). There is a deficit of 7 here, which is likely caused by rounding but with 648 electors you would need 325. If you distribute the electors granted by representatives proportionally and the state winner gets the extra two then you end up with the following results Clinton (310), Trump (313), Johnson (12), Stein (1), McMullen (10) with a deficit of 2. In neither case would either candidate secure the 325 necessary electoral votes to avoid going to Congress. Puerto Rico, since you brought it up, would inject another 7 or 9 electoral votes and bring the threshold up to 328 for 7 and 329 for 9. If Hillary had acquired the remaining balance on the rep+senators proportional and all of Puerto Rico's electoral votes then she would have sat at 324 of 328 or 326 of 329. And yes, she secures 270 electoral votes here but any sane person would be able to view in context and realize that 270 meant electoral college victory and would turn to 325 under the Wyoming rule.

    There are plenty of distribution methods where Hillary fails to secure the electoral majority. You won't find a method that gives Hillary an electoral victory without somehow tying that to winning the popular vote nationwide. Anything proportional is going to give third party candidates enough electoral votes deny an electoral victory precisely because she failed to secure a majority of the popular vote and failed to secure a majority of states.

    As to the other options you're talking about moving from a plurality to majority voting system, which is fine but as we don't actually vote that way you'd have to analyze and estimate the preferences of voters to determine who would have won. Such a system would also necessarily eliminate the electoral college, unless you're employing it to determine how you appropriate electors, in which case it would be outside the scope of my comment on how Hillary has little chance of an electoral college victory.

  2. If every state distributed its electoral votes like Nebraska and Maine which is probably the most reasonable way to express both the interest of the people and the states in the President then Trump would have still secured the 270 electoral votes required. I have heard of no configuration of the electoral college that would resulted in Hillary securing 270+ electoral votes without going with the "winner of the popular vote gets all the electoral votes" scheme.

  3. First...what exactly does the "Department of Energy" do for us in the US?

    It provides a common vehicle for introducing and supplying human antagonists in fictional stories... like Stranger Things.

  4. Re: Is this a straman argument on Struggling Workers Found Sleeping In Tents Behind Amazon's Warehouse (thecourier.co.uk) · · Score: 1

    I would say that there are literally only three people would could remember the 19th century if you believe infants and fetuses can remember things.

  5. Re:CEO Gift on Alphabet Donated Its Employees' Holiday Gifts To Charity (fortune.com) · · Score: 1

    The email didn't include any of the following letters: Q, X, Z

  6. Re:Pratchett and Baxter already predicted this on Cesarean Births Could Be Affecting Human Evolution, Study Says (bbc.com) · · Score: 1

    The muscles of the vagina can weaken from many births which causes them to be unable to hold the vaginal wall properly. This in turn causes the vaginal wall to descend out of the body. There's a cosmetic surgery to correct it.

  7. It's kind of freaky to look at the top ten Vietnamese surnames as a percentage of total population.

    Nguyen: 39%
    +Tran: 50%
    +Le: 60%
    +Pham: 67%
    +Huynh: 72%
    +Phan: 77%
    +Vu: 81%
    +Dang: 83%
    +Bui: 85%
    +Do: 86%

  8. Cai is a Chinese surname... although Nguyen is definitely Vietnamese.

  9. The original article that Ars sourced was posted July 27, 2016.

    Well done, Ars, well done.

  10. Re:Lets not worry about this yet on Trump Will Get Power To Send Unblockable Mass Text Messages To All Americans (nymag.com) · · Score: 4, Interesting

    How is it that whenever there is a discussion regarding low UIDs you guys seem to crop up. Is there like a mailing list that people report to that you're all subscribed to for notifications?

    Maybe I just don't pay attention to UID except when UID is mentioned.... nah, that's too plain and boring. I'm going with the conspiracy theory.

  11. Vote switching complaints are usually with voting machines and can be readily explained by user error and poor user interface design. The machines I used to vote at had a display which had physical buttons along the side to correspond with various options for the measures. I can easily see how someone who isn't paying attention to what they are doing could press one button thinking they were voting one way and end up pressing the button for the wrong option. It would be impossible to audit this user error as the user is going to claim the machine switched their vote because their intent did not match the output they were given. You can't actively monitor users to verify this because doing so would be a violation of voting laws. What you can audit is the machine software and hardware specs to verify how the outcome could be generated.

  12. Re: Yet another win for the people with Trump vic on James Clapper, US Director of National Intelligence, Has Resigned (thehill.com) · · Score: 1

    It took the Snowden leaks to reveal the scope of the NSA activities. This seems like the sort of prediction that can never be refuted without a completely open government.

  13. Re:futurist on Stephen Hawking: We Might Have 1,000 Years Left on Earth (usatoday.com) · · Score: 1

    Jules Verne predicted the submarine almost 100 years before we ever built one - and he got almost all the core technologies it would require right. The way it worked is very much like the real things do - including ballasts, he was so influential in the building of the first real submarine that it was NAMED after the one in his book: the nautilus.

    Jules Verne was born in 1828. Twenty Thousand Leagues Under the Sea was published started in 1869. The Nautilus did its first test dives in 1800.

  14. Re:And how is this not a legitimate point? on Google Surfaces Fake News About Election Results (theverge.com) · · Score: 1

    How can it be the best when it's factual incorrect? While many may find cannibalism distasteful humans aren't inherently inedible.

  15. Re:And you think Hillary would be any different? on Trump Picks Top Climate Skeptic To Lead EPA Transition (cbsnews.com) · · Score: 1

    Which one? The head of state or head of government?

  16. Re:Or, Gary Johnson may have won it for Trump: on Donald Trump Won Because of Facebook (nymag.com) · · Score: 2

    There is a dive into party preference for people who supported Johnson and Stein. One thing that was visible from polling data was that including Johnson or Stein on a poll would see Clinton with a narrower margin over Trump. That is suggestive that third party candidates were leeching from Clinton not Trump. I also recall reading on fivethirtyeight, although I can't find it anymore, information that suggested that if Johnson voters had to pick Clinton or Trump they would be split about 48% Clinton and 52%, something very close to even while Green party supporters were closer to 25% Trump and 75% Clinton.

    If we used those ratios then the only state where Trump did not secure 50% of the vote (there were seven, of which one was Utah) that would have flipped from Trump to Hillary was Michigan and that state isn't even declared. If Clinton supporters are blaming third party for Clinton's loss then they're idiots.

  17. If we're honest, probably no one here knows how many cups are in a gallon without looking it up

    Not looking it up so someone can verify whether I am correct.

    1 gallon = 2 half-gallons = 4 quarts = 8 pints = 16 cups = 128 fluid ounces

  18. Re:Eurocentrism on Mirai Botnet Attackers Are Trying To Knock Liberia Offline (zdnet.com) · · Score: 1

    There was a recent ebola outbreak in Liberia. "little-known" seems like a big stretch.

  19. Script kiddies didn't do this shit.

    Level 3 found it to be a configuration issue this time and it's probably not too dissimilar from the issue reported in early October '16.

    http://www.networkworld.com/ar...

    Either the summary was poorly written, the source of the problem would be a key info to put in the summary, or the article was updated after the Slashdot thread was created.

  20. Re:and if I shoplift a rack full of CD's it's just on Repeat Infringers Can Be Mere Downloaders, Court Rules (torrentfreak.com) · · Score: 1

    Copyright infringement isn't stealing.

    If you steal a rack full of CDs on Tuesday and go back and steal another rack full of CDs on Wednesday, aside from stealing from a very stupid shop, I'm pretty sure you would get two separate shoplifting charges.

  21. Despite your claim, there are several diseases that no longer exist.

    Only smallpox and rinderpest have been eradicated and rinderpest is not a human disease. Polio is close at 74 new cases reported in 2015 all of which were type 1. Type 2 cases were last reported in 1999 and the last reported type 3 case was in 2012. Only Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Nigeria are not considered polio free.

  22. the measles vaccination is not 100% effective, so even if you have had it you can still get measles. Its bloody rare but I personally had the misfortune to catch it as a young adult

    99.7% of vaccinated individuals are immune if they went through the full treatment. If you only received one vax shot then it's somewhere between 80-95% of individuals are immune.

  23. Herd immunity is the concept that with a sufficiently high enough level of vaccination a disease is unable to move effectively from one host to another due to a lack of hosts. Via this mechanism, individuals who are unable to receive the vaccine (due to a negative reaction or not being old enough) or individuals in which the vaccine does not take (it happens) are still protected from the disease. This threshold varies based on the disease in question but here's some common ones. Influenza (33-44%), Ebola (33-60%), SARS (50-80%), Mumps (75-86%), Polio (80-86%), Smallpox (80-86%), Rubella (83-86%), Diptheria (83-86%), Pertussis (92-94%), Measles (92-95%).

  24. Re:But . . . on Donald Trump Running Insecure Email Servers (theregister.co.uk) · · Score: 1

    The security of Hillary's email server is an ancillary topic at best. The primary motivator behind the issue is the questions on whether government business was conducted on that server to avoid FOIA requests and government retention policies and whether classified information was on the server.