How much for
People reading Slashdot at work? $5 billion?
People replying to Slashdot messages? $3 billion?
Web sties sideline while be "slashdotted"? $3 billion?
I was doing a lot of rounding.
The shakiest figure is "100,000,000 workers
with email." There are about 134,000,000 workers,
many without desk jobs. If only 50 million read email, thats would still be a large wage number.
The device is a little hard to see in the picture: A person lies prone on a table, front or back down. Then a computer guided "thingee" hanging from a ceiling wire slides back and forth various parts of your skin. I think it can change the amount of pressure. The version at the show appeared to be entirely computer-run. People using it reported either being soothed or tickled.
I presume this could be converted into a teledildonic device by adding human control to the machine. Someone could say something erotic and touch various places on the body.
A.I. is like porn- its hard to define what an A.I. is,but people will know when they see it. A corallary is, is that people know when they don't see it.
I suggest an interesting Artificial Intelligence will
(1) Communicate by a reasonable braod set natural language concepts and vocabulary;
(2) Have something interesting to say. That wouldbe something novel or creative.
My hunch is the first interesting A.I.s will be in the entertainment industry. Possibilities include a character in a game, a character in movie, or some sort of playbot. Humans have a drive to play which is very strong and lasts life long. The more conventional motivators of A.I.- business and military applications- just don't have the push of people wanting to play.
Apple pushed this as a business-class computer between the Apple II and Mac I. It was too stuffy for hobbyists who continued to upgrade their aging Apple IIs. And Apple did not have enough of an "adult image" to compete with the recently introduced IBM-PC. Apple finances were flailing during this period.
The Lisa(s) were another failed attempt in the business market between the Apple II and Macs, but other people have discussed that.
You need good social skills to develop business
and good technical skills to implement it.
There is often a disconnect between these two capabilities in IT consultants. For better or worse, the person with good social skills and mediocre technical skills often comes out ahead. So the advice is to beef up the social skills.
The early iPod batteries didn't last long and cost a fortune to replace- $99 (at Apple Store).
MacIntosh introduced in 1984 SuperBowl
on
The Dot Com Super Bowl
·
· Score: 3, Interesting
The Apple Mac introduction is the most infamous techie & SuperBowl commercial. At the time people complained the commercial was too obscure, because it didnt show the product. Steve was secretive about the actual shape until the official introduction later in the year.
The 1985 commercial about the [ IBM ] suits marching off the cliff to their destruction was entertaining too.
I'd guess there will be a fair number of goofy Budweiser and Pepsi commercials. Last year the controversy was election commercials- the moveOn.org stuff. I wonder if anyone would spoof the "wardrobe malfunction"?
I have seen people write a program consisting on a single C++ or Java class that is the entire program. Sometimes it is a single method- main. It may e hundreds of lines long and use only primitive data types. No concept of data abstraction through classes at all.
MS was losing hundreds of millions on their game box for many years, but made a modest profit this year due to some hit games. MS has the resource to weather years of slow product ramp-up.
I was hospitalized in an auto accident in 2003. I was mortified to see my SSN most pieces of paperwork- the doctors reports, the medical provider invoices, the insurance company records, the lawyer records. I did not give any of these my SSN, but guess the insurance company gave it out.
My benefits admin switched away from SSN to its own number two years ago, which is useful. If some medical asks for my SSN, I leave it blank or give them a fake (memorize it to be consistant). SSN are only required for taxable transactions.
I've read of several experiments converting images to pressure arrays attached to one's back, scalp, or tongue (lots of nerves there). You may have a 16 by 16 or 32 by 32 image-to-actuator array. These pressure arrays resemble those pin arrays in science museums and novelty stores, which convert the shape of your hand or face into a shiny metal surface.
Users of these arrays, both blind and sighted, say that after a few days you brain starts automatically "seeing" them as visual images. One guy mentioned in Hawkins book "On Intelligence" could walk through hallways and doors because he could "see" the crude outlines via the pressure array. Braille students report similar magic after a few weeks. The brain starts "seeing" letters and words rather than arrays of dots. Hawkins and other psychologists explain this as the brain's plasticity to re-wire and re-use old circuits.
The Clipper technology was designed by Schlumberger and FairChild in the mid 1980s and sold to InterGraph. There was a "sweet spot" in the early 1980s when a small R&D group of less than ten people could design and manufacture an advanced chip. This was after Conway and Mead wrote a "circuit compiler" to computer design these chips (I was drawing/taping chips on drafting boards in the 1970s) and before the number of transistors got so large that you needed a larger team to manufacture it. The Clipper proceded the SPARC and was similar in capabilities to the recently discontinued DEC-Compaq-HP Alpha chip. Intel was not even in the 32-bit market at that time. The Clipper invented several clever 32-bit circuits that other companies either reinvented or, apparently illegally, copied.
InterGraph had the same business stategy as SGI. They originally wrote CAD software. But this software was such a CPU hog, that they also made high end workstations to run the software. When Sclumberger (an oil services company) descided to get out of the chip business, InterGraph bought them. InterGraph never acheived the success of SGI and juts remained in its CAD niche.
A "wife" I never met put her name on my checking account some years ago.
I had to file a police report before the bank would cancel the bad checks.
I lived in city #1, my bank was in city #2, and the band checks were passed in city #3.
You wouldnt believe how hard it was to get oneof these three police stations to take a report.
Forged checks are so commonplace that no one wants to bother.
I'd hate to multiple this by many accounts, if a larger identity was stolen.
I'f like to add taht another entertainment A.I. might be a "playbot" like those in Spielberg's movie. These include both the childhood toys and adult varieties:-) Possibly a pet or companion substitute. The Japanese seem fascinated with this direction in A.I.
The laws are a science fiction plot device. At first glance they sound reasonably comprehensive, but are fuzzy enough to give inspire dozens of interesting science fiction stories. Its sort of like the Ten Commandments compared to the nooks and crannies of the Talmud.
Its been my feeling for some time that the first interesting Artificial Intelligence will be a character in a game or movie. The scientists in academia are working on narrow problems in A.I. and are unlikely to build a full Artificial Intelligence. People in business and military have been working on A.I. applications for a long time, but again these may be for targeted uses like making money or killing enemies. Nothing motivates a craftsman as competative "play", so thats why I am betting on entertainment.
You have probably noticed that I haven't defined what an interesting Artifical Intelligence is. Thats partly because I don't know the answer. The best answer is "I know when I see it, and I know when I don't see"- kind of an intuitive thing. In the past the latter has been true. For example a fair amount of A.I. work has gone into making computers play chess and other board games very well, or doing symbolic algebra. However, when these projects are operation people say "thats smart, but not really an A.I.".
I further conjecture an interesting Artificial Intelligence will be able converse in an ample amount of ordinary English (natural language). This A.I. will be creative and clever, that is, surpise us and educate us with its behaviors.
Slashdot Mirror
How much for
People reading Slashdot at work? $5 billion?
People replying to Slashdot messages? $3 billion?
Web sties sideline while be "slashdotted"? $3 billion?
I was doing a lot of rounding.
The shakiest figure is "100,000,000 workers with email." There are about 134,000,000 workers, many without desk jobs. If only 50 million read email, thats would still be a large wage number.
2.8 minutes x 200 days x 100,000,000 workers with email = 56 billion minutes ~= 1 billion work hours. The median hourly wage is $18.
Some of those gurlz are worth at least ten seconds!
The device is a little hard to see in the picture: A person lies prone on a table, front or back down. Then a computer guided "thingee" hanging from a ceiling wire slides back and forth various parts of your skin. I think it can change the amount of pressure. The version at the show appeared to be entirely computer-run. People using it reported either being soothed or tickled.
I presume this could be converted into a teledildonic device by adding human control to the machine. Someone could say something erotic and touch various places on the body.
It only took me two seconds to decide this was a bad book. Sounds kind of new-ageish.
Though Trek was about the 22nd to 24th century, it couldn't really break into the 21th century. The fifth series Enterprise struggled from the start.
A.I. is like porn- its hard to define what an A.I. is,but people will know when they see it. A corallary is, is that people know when they don't see it.
I suggest an interesting Artificial Intelligence will
(1) Communicate by a reasonable braod set natural language concepts and vocabulary;
(2) Have something interesting to say. That wouldbe something novel or creative.
My hunch is the first interesting A.I.s will be in the entertainment industry. Possibilities include a character in a game, a character in movie, or some sort of playbot. Humans have a drive to play which is very strong and lasts life long. The more conventional motivators of A.I.- business and military applications- just don't have the push of people wanting to play.
Apple pushed this as a business-class computer between the Apple II and Mac I. It was too stuffy for hobbyists who continued to upgrade their aging Apple IIs. And Apple did not have enough of an "adult image" to compete with the recently introduced IBM-PC. Apple finances were flailing during this period.
The Lisa(s) were another failed attempt in the business market between the Apple II and Macs, but other people have discussed that.
You need good social skills to develop business and good technical skills to implement it. There is often a disconnect between these two capabilities in IT consultants. For better or worse, the person with good social skills and mediocre technical skills often comes out ahead. So the advice is to beef up the social skills.
Some worshiper of Steve Jobs cant take a little bit of humor. Sad.
The early iPod batteries didn't last long and cost a fortune to replace- $99 (at Apple Store).
The Apple Mac introduction is the most infamous techie & SuperBowl commercial. At the time people complained the commercial was too obscure, because it didnt show the product. Steve was secretive about the actual shape until the official introduction later in the year.
The 1985 commercial about the [ IBM ] suits marching off the cliff to their destruction was entertaining too.
I'd guess there will be a fair number of goofy Budweiser and Pepsi commercials. Last year the controversy was election commercials- the moveOn.org stuff. I wonder if anyone would spoof the "wardrobe malfunction"?
I have seen people write a program consisting on a single C++ or Java class that is the entire program. Sometimes it is a single method- main. It may e hundreds of lines long and use only primitive data types. No concept of data abstraction through classes at all.
MS was losing hundreds of millions on their game box for many years, but made a modest profit this year due to some hit games. MS has the resource to weather years of slow product ramp-up.
I was hospitalized in an auto accident in 2003. I was mortified to see my SSN most pieces of paperwork- the doctors reports, the medical provider invoices, the insurance company records, the lawyer records. I did not give any of these my SSN, but guess the insurance company gave it out.
My benefits admin switched away from SSN to its own number two years ago, which is useful. If some medical asks for my SSN, I leave it blank or give them a fake (memorize it to be consistant). SSN are only required for taxable transactions.
I've read of several experiments converting images to pressure arrays attached to one's back, scalp, or tongue (lots of nerves there). You may have a 16 by 16 or 32 by 32 image-to-actuator array. These pressure arrays resemble those pin arrays in science museums and novelty stores, which convert the shape of your hand or face into a shiny metal surface.
Users of these arrays, both blind and sighted, say that after a few days you brain starts automatically "seeing" them as visual images. One guy mentioned in Hawkins book "On Intelligence" could walk through hallways and doors because he could "see" the crude outlines via the pressure array. Braille students report similar magic after a few weeks. The brain starts "seeing" letters and words rather than arrays of dots. Hawkins and other psychologists explain this as the brain's plasticity to re-wire and re-use old circuits.
The Clipper technology was designed by Schlumberger and FairChild in the mid 1980s and sold to InterGraph. There was a "sweet spot" in the early 1980s when a small R&D group of less than ten people could design and manufacture an advanced chip. This was after Conway and Mead wrote a "circuit compiler" to computer design these chips (I was drawing/taping chips on drafting boards in the 1970s) and before the number of transistors got so large that you needed a larger team to manufacture it. The Clipper proceded the SPARC and was similar in capabilities to the recently discontinued DEC-Compaq-HP Alpha chip. Intel was not even in the 32-bit market at that time. The Clipper invented several clever 32-bit circuits that other companies either reinvented or, apparently illegally, copied.
InterGraph had the same business stategy as SGI. They originally wrote CAD software. But this software was such a CPU hog, that they also made high end workstations to run the software. When Sclumberger (an oil services company) descided to get out of the chip business, InterGraph bought them. InterGraph never acheived the success of SGI and juts remained in its CAD niche.
A "wife" I never met put her name on my checking account some years ago. I had to file a police report before the bank would cancel the bad checks. I lived in city #1, my bank was in city #2, and the band checks were passed in city #3. You wouldnt believe how hard it was to get oneof these three police stations to take a report. Forged checks are so commonplace that no one wants to bother.
I'd hate to multiple this by many accounts, if a larger identity was stolen.
Hardware and software. More than feature movies.
Type your social security number here: _________________ and see if it is on the stolen number list.
I'f like to add taht another entertainment A.I. might be a "playbot" like those in Spielberg's movie. These include both the childhood toys and adult varieties :-) Possibly a pet or companion substitute. The Japanese seem fascinated with this direction in A.I.
The laws are a science fiction plot device. At first glance they sound reasonably comprehensive, but are fuzzy enough to give inspire dozens of interesting science fiction stories. Its sort of like the Ten Commandments compared to the nooks and crannies of the Talmud.
Its been my feeling for some time that the first interesting Artificial Intelligence will be a character in a game or movie. The scientists in academia are working on narrow problems in A.I. and are unlikely to build a full Artificial Intelligence. People in business and military have been working on A.I. applications for a long time, but again these may be for targeted uses like making money or killing enemies. Nothing motivates a craftsman as competative "play", so thats why I am betting on entertainment.
You have probably noticed that I haven't defined what an interesting Artifical Intelligence is. Thats partly because I don't know the answer. The best answer is "I know when I see it, and I know when I don't see"- kind of an intuitive thing. In the past the latter has been true. For example a fair amount of A.I. work has gone into making computers play chess and other board games very well, or doing symbolic algebra. However, when these projects are operation people say "thats smart, but not really an A.I.".
I further conjecture an interesting Artificial Intelligence will be able converse in an ample amount of ordinary English (natural language). This A.I. will be creative and clever, that is, surpise us and educate us with its behaviors.