OK, but in this scenario (repeated intercourse without barrier), the circumcision (reduces risk by 50%) won't help either. Let p be the baseline probability of infection; let n be the # of times of intercourse. The probability of being clean afterward with circumcision is (1-(0.5*p))^n which is approximately equal to (1-p)^n for any n larger than 10 or so. Seriously, plug in values for p and plot the two curves against n.
Circumcision "gives you" about something on the order of 10 "free fucks" before your risk catches up; but at the point it catches up you basically have a very low chance (<<5%) of being clean anyway, so... yeah, not a viable strategy for an individual. It might be effective in an epidemic model, where lowering the transmission rate even slightly can change the graph topology, which is what the research is toward.
In short: possibly effective at treating entire populations which don't understand/accomodate safe sex; absolutely bollocks at helping an individual in a developed country.
Second the Kimono recommendation, for any and all penises. They pioneered the thin condom and are significantly more comfortable (i.e. feels a little bit more like not wearing one) than the others.
The wikipedia article is kind of dry but the problem is at its simplest: after visiting an alien planet for X days and observing n species at times t1, t2,..., tn, to estimate the number of unseen species. You can make it more difficult by adding a regression-model, i.e. assuming that species are easier to find in proportion to their mass or another characteristic.
It's easy to imagine applying this to search the key-space in cryptography, but people actually use it for ecology (species) and genetics (estimate the number of functional variants) too. It has also been used to inform authorship statistics by allowing an "unknown"/unclassifiable category of authors.
No cheat code, but you could save; change the difficulty level mid-game; and load. It forces you to admit failure, as opposed to sleaze your way through; but you can save face by choosing a lesser handicap. Setting it to Kindergarten difficulty basically is cheating; going down to Normal is more acceptable.
At any rate, I maintain that it's definitely possible to be able to compute integrals and not understand the concepts; as it is possible to understand the concepts and not be able to compute (difficult) integrals. After all, no practitioner living today computes integrals the same way as Newton did, except perhaps as an esoteric exercise. Computation is a skill which is partially orthogonal to understanding.
I'd say Leibniz understood the concept pretty damned well,having co-discovered it.
And, yet, he fucked up the product rule for derivatives, claiming that (fg)'=f'g', which of course implies that he fucked up integration-by-parts (if he'd even gotten that far). Newton mocked him mercilessly for this. Some people just can't compute.
I suspect that the median monthly payment is much smaller, and that there's a "long tail" of people-who-would-be-called-irrational-by-economists, who see the game as a social venue and thus are chipping in a lot. I used to play Kingdom of Loathing, and some of the hard core users seemed to be spending upward of $100 a month on the game partly because they spent a lot of their social time in the game and meta-game (forums; auctions; clan dungeons; &c.). They seemed to be getting a whole lot more out of it than I was and I was very impressed at the tight-knit community. Anyway, I just chipped in $10 after my first ascension and shortly thereafter lost interest entirely.
Or, the (hypothetical) gene for suicide is, directly or as part of a mediatory network, related to positive traits such as intelligence; creativity; or even, somewhat paradoxically, long-term planning (which would help overall, but every so often you get a false negative and...). Or, suicidality is the recessive of a gene which is beneficial when co-dominant. There are many explanations which don't require altruism or the so-called "extended phenotype".
If they didn't insist on the militaristic approach, they could probably get more enforcement done per (tax) dollar... oh well. Maybe we're better off this way (except for the poor guy eating pavement).
How rare are these injunctions? Is it a safe bet that the $15 DVD players at whatever-store are cheap because they're not paying the license fee? I can't believe that the domestic brands don't enforce this...
Re:No Sword of Fargoal?
on
Vintage Games
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· Score: 1
I've noticed the save game occasionally glitches, but apart from that it just seems much easier (I think that the monsters get less movement per second).
If you're going to cheat, use the source (which is very well-commented and easy to read), and go whole-hog! I added descend/ascend keys which was kind of fun, for like 30 minutes. I also think that the amulets are far too rare, esp. amulet of light, so I upped the drop rate a bit.
Re:No Sword of Fargoal?
on
Vintage Games
·
· Score: 1
It's quite not the same. I can actually finish the new one...
Fair enough. I agree that public displays of suicide are pretty disgusting (although does this mean that society should be more supportive, in helping people to do it privately?), and that "suicide by cop" is pretty much the epitome of this kind of wrong-doing, apart from actions which actually threaten other people's lives (e.g. driving into traffic). Train jumpers are pretty lousy too.
Hell, I've been using linux for years and I'm skittish about an update which involves the kernel. If I have a presentation later that day or the next, I'll put it off until afterward. I don't want to be googling and dmesg'ing the bug in console for upward of an hour, when I have something else to do. It has happened...
Yeah, yeah. It's a troll. But cutting out the spurious stuff (which I can't blame them for trying), I can't find anything there which which doesn't also implicate fundamentalist Christianity. This is OK to me, as an atheist, but its value to a certain American audience is proportional to that audience's discapaciousness for critical thought.
In the original D&D (as opposed to AD&D), dwarves were a class; i.e. all dwarves were basically fighters with racial abilities and modifiers and a d8 (?) instead of a d10 for HP. I think maybe they got some limited hide-in-(cave)-shadows ability or something too. I don't remember.
Hey, pedantry and trolling go together like a PC and a 10' pole.
Slashdot Mirror
OK, but in this scenario (repeated intercourse without barrier), the circumcision (reduces risk by 50%) won't help either. Let p be the baseline probability of infection; let n be the # of times of intercourse. The probability of being clean afterward with circumcision is (1-(0.5*p))^n which is approximately equal to (1-p)^n for any n larger than 10 or so. Seriously, plug in values for p and plot the two curves against n.
Circumcision "gives you" about something on the order of 10 "free fucks" before your risk catches up; but at the point it catches up you basically have a very low chance (<<5%) of being clean anyway, so... yeah, not a viable strategy for an individual. It might be effective in an epidemic model, where lowering the transmission rate even slightly can change the graph topology, which is what the research is toward.
In short: possibly effective at treating entire populations which don't understand/accomodate safe sex; absolutely bollocks at helping an individual in a developed country.
Second the Kimono recommendation, for any and all penises. They pioneered the thin condom and are significantly more comfortable (i.e. feels a little bit more like not wearing one) than the others.
Turing made substantial contribution to statistics in the course of his work: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Good-Turing.
The wikipedia article is kind of dry but the problem is at its simplest: after visiting an alien planet for X days and observing n species at times t1, t2,..., tn, to estimate the number of unseen species. You can make it more difficult by adding a regression-model, i.e. assuming that species are easier to find in proportion to their mass or another characteristic.
It's easy to imagine applying this to search the key-space in cryptography, but people actually use it for ecology (species) and genetics (estimate the number of functional variants) too. It has also been used to inform authorship statistics by allowing an "unknown"/unclassifiable category of authors.
And years later, you would learn it's never really 95% anyway (nominal vs. actual level; all models are wrong; &c.).
But what a ghastly example. It made me cringe.
No cheat code, but you could save; change the difficulty level mid-game; and load. It forces you to admit failure, as opposed to sleaze your way through; but you can save face by choosing a lesser handicap. Setting it to Kindergarten difficulty basically is cheating; going down to Normal is more acceptable.
I was basing that on what my calculus teacher told me; that Newton called it "Leibniz' Rule" as a sort of mocking joke.
However, it would appear Leibniz did correct his mistake, after ten days. He did make the mistake at first but maybe it was just one of carelessness (see these websites and their citations if needed: http://www.math.tamu.edu/~dallen/history/calc1/calc1.html; http://www.math.usma.edu/people/rickey/hm/CalcNotes/ProductRule.pdf).
At any rate, I maintain that it's definitely possible to be able to compute integrals and not understand the concepts; as it is possible to understand the concepts and not be able to compute (difficult) integrals. After all, no practitioner living today computes integrals the same way as Newton did, except perhaps as an esoteric exercise. Computation is a skill which is partially orthogonal to understanding.
I'd say Leibniz understood the concept pretty damned well,having co-discovered it.
And, yet, he fucked up the product rule for derivatives, claiming that (fg)'=f'g', which of course implies that he fucked up integration-by-parts (if he'd even gotten that far). Newton mocked him mercilessly for this. Some people just can't compute.
I'm just guessing here: you put a printed Cyrillic document through English OCR, right?
Yeah or, you know, almost anyone.
A real-life person who actually behaved consistently with economic theory, would be the biggest freak you could possibly imagine.
I suspect that the median monthly payment is much smaller, and that there's a "long tail" of people-who-would-be-called-irrational-by-economists, who see the game as a social venue and thus are chipping in a lot. I used to play Kingdom of Loathing, and some of the hard core users seemed to be spending upward of $100 a month on the game partly because they spent a lot of their social time in the game and meta-game (forums; auctions; clan dungeons; &c.). They seemed to be getting a whole lot more out of it than I was and I was very impressed at the tight-knit community. Anyway, I just chipped in $10 after my first ascension and shortly thereafter lost interest entirely.
Or, the (hypothetical) gene for suicide is, directly or as part of a mediatory network, related to positive traits such as intelligence; creativity; or even, somewhat paradoxically, long-term planning (which would help overall, but every so often you get a false negative and ...). Or, suicidality is the recessive of a gene which is beneficial when co-dominant. There are many explanations which don't require altruism or the so-called "extended phenotype".
Stanislaw Lem is a dick.
Let the books speak for themselves.
Apart from wanting evidence for the first statement, would self-consistency be too much to ask from an AC?
If they didn't insist on the militaristic approach, they could probably get more enforcement done per (tax) dollar... oh well. Maybe we're better off this way (except for the poor guy eating pavement).
Thanks for the informative post.
How rare are these injunctions? Is it a safe bet that the $15 DVD players at whatever-store are cheap because they're not paying the license fee? I can't believe that the domestic brands don't enforce this...
I've noticed the save game occasionally glitches, but apart from that it just seems much easier (I think that the monsters get less movement per second).
If you're going to cheat, use the source (which is very well-commented and easy to read), and go whole-hog! I added descend/ascend keys which was kind of fun, for like 30 minutes. I also think that the amulets are far too rare, esp. amulet of light, so I upped the drop rate a bit.
It's quite not the same. I can actually finish the new one...
Fair enough. I agree that public displays of suicide are pretty disgusting (although does this mean that society should be more supportive, in helping people to do it privately?), and that "suicide by cop" is pretty much the epitome of this kind of wrong-doing, apart from actions which actually threaten other people's lives (e.g. driving into traffic). Train jumpers are pretty lousy too.
They could try to keep the money, but they'll change their tune quick when the flood of cheap Chinese knockoffs for $40 cheaper shows up.
Under patent laws, such imports are (in principle) stopped at the border.
I think the consumer would find a differential fairly quickly.
Windows (XP, since SP2) and Mac were better in this regard.
I use linux still because it's easier for me to get stuff done overall, but kernel updates do make me flinch.
Hell, I've been using linux for years and I'm skittish about an update which involves the kernel. If I have a presentation later that day or the next, I'll put it off until afterward. I don't want to be googling and dmesg'ing the bug in console for upward of an hour, when I have something else to do. It has happened...
Doesn't communication complexity try to model this?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Communication_complexity
My iPod just died. I'd love to get an off-brand 120GB mp3 player for $250/10=$25. Link please?
Yeah, yeah. It's a troll. But cutting out the spurious stuff (which I can't blame them for trying), I can't find anything there which which doesn't also implicate fundamentalist Christianity. This is OK to me, as an atheist, but its value to a certain American audience is proportional to that audience's discapaciousness for critical thought.
In the original D&D (as opposed to AD&D), dwarves were a class; i.e. all dwarves were basically fighters with racial abilities and modifiers and a d8 (?) instead of a d10 for HP. I think maybe they got some limited hide-in-(cave)-shadows ability or something too. I don't remember.
Hey, pedantry and trolling go together like a PC and a 10' pole.
Since I'm not in a court of law, I may judge as I please: by intent. HAND.