Look at this graph:
http://www.rimmkaufman.com/content/Goog-Growth-Q1-2012.png
CPC go up and go down. But not like Wolff says, always going down. They went sharply down around 2008, then went up for a bit, now go down. I blame economic contraction in Europe which account for half of Google's traffic.
320 men year of highly qualified researchers for 50 million, that works out pretty cheap. 150 000 dollars for a year of research? Where can you get that?
One thing that keeps bugging me, is the compatibility between share alike licenses. The travel content on world66 is licensed under the creative commons license, but we cannot use content from the wikipedia, because of license incompatibility. And if they were compatible, theirs would probably also include a requirement to include the license information, which could lead to the situation where a document based on various sources gets a long list of licenses used.
Google sits in an excellent spot, but there are not many barriers to entry in the search engine arena; who uses altavista, excite or lycos anymore? As long as people start surfing from windows, I would not bet against Microsoft.
Maybe an aliance between Nokia and Google could make a dent into Bills armour.
I don't think it is very relevant how fast java can be in these kind of benchmarks for most applications. Usually the processor is not the bottleneck. What matters is the responsiveness of the userinterface. Java (Swing actually) still feels very sluggish even on faster computers. That is what is stopping the adoption of Java on clients, not the fact that triogonomy is slightly slower than when done in C++
Every year or so, an article is published along this lines. Moores law is obsolete, no more bigger hard disks etcetera. The thing is that Moores law isn't a law as such, but the prediction that a series of revolution will increase computer power by a seemingly nice and constant line. Every time we get to the physical limits, we find other limits to go to.
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Sample my Google Hacks
It seems a lot for a computer playing mp3s. But if you compare it to what most multi-room stereo systems cost, it is quite ok. We seem to be heading towards a situation where specific devices with limited capabilities are more expensive than pc's that do the same.
Well, I think the project was Open Source. Sure, you still should keep the copyright, but you won't be really building equity. If they would own the code, then they still would had to adhere to the GPL, so in the end it won't make much of a difference.
The article is typical example of the lump of labour fallacy, which usually goes something like this: we produce all this stuff to make society run. Now, if we find a way to make the same amount of stuff with less people (using computers), we'll end up with less employment.
If this was true, almost everybody would have been out of work by now. 2000 years ago the work of almost everybody was needed just to grow enough food for everybody. The truth is, that there is no limit to the amount of possible work. What matters is total production of society and how we divide it. Computes will raise total production of society, so it could make us all richer. If we succeed in distributing the wealth in any kind of just way, employment could rise. Or we could choose for a society where the rich have a lot and the poor are unemployed. But that choice does not have anything to do with the amount of efficiency improving computers do.
And still the bandwidth (and processing power) you need for running the central database is quite expensive (note: that's why you can't compare bittorrent to napster, it just isn't centralized in the same way, and it solves the big-expensive-central-server problem.). Decentralized networks (including bittorrent following the reasoning above) are the only possibility way to do filesharing organized only by hobbiists, and that's why they will prevail.
Well, that is the point of the article. Once compulsary licensing allows anybody to setup bittorrents (however that is going to work), Google will win out. Distribution will be done through bittorrent, searching through Google. Kazaa with its smart tricks of hiding the central server will have no place to go.
Network effects will bring one party to the top, as is already happening. Kazaa is not the best p2p app, but the most used and therefore most people use it. If legal changes make it possible again to have a central database, Kazaa is still in the best position to capitalize on that, because most people are still using Kazaa for downloading stuff.
Of course Google is bigger, but Google is bigger than eBay too and as the article states, eBay is the biggest auction site because of the same network effects. People go to eBay for auction searches and to Google for general searches, just as they go to Kazaa for music searches. If I type in the name of a song in Google, lots of results will appear, not just the mp3's.
It doesn't mean Google couldn't go after this market. If they would, they would stand a pretty good chance of winning, but so would Microsoft or Yahoo.
Well, not really. They can charge different prices in the UK and Germany, but not different prices to people from the UK and Germany. Also, if they sell the PS2 in Germany for less than in Austria, they cannot stop anybody from cross importing the stuff.
I very much doubt whether this is legal in the EU. With the internal market directive, you can't really sell something to people from one EU country and not to another (or even charge differently depending on the country).
Space just is not a very friendly environment for men. Machines are much more suitable and they don't require a return ticket. Instead of focussing on building machines to put people in space and take them, ESA should concentrate on developing robots to do the work and research.
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Second half of 2004 is still some time away. I see all kind of devices around me in the shape of SD Cards or Sony Memory Stick, from modems to GPS cards. Mini Memory Stick works in my phone. It wouldn't be the first new standard that didn't make it because there was already something else that did the job and had the marketshare.
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A big difference between open content and open source is the lack of tools in the former. If I would start a literature encyclopedia based on the content of the Wikipedia I could get started really fast. But once my visitors start adding contents and the Wikipedia changes, there are no real good standards to merge back the content. A fork seems unavoidable.
A good XML specification could help here, but currently open content usually means html files that can be freely copied. Until open content fixes this, the success of open source won't be copied.
On my website I implemented a genetic algorithm to choose the colorscheme. The number of pages people view determines the amount on influence on the general color scheme.
The 380M-odd people of Europe *do* participate in the same election when they vote for the common parliament every five years. Everybody votes on the same day and there are even sort of European parties with their own fractions in the parliament. EU council is indirect.
The parliament isn't very important, of course, but it has some power.
Slashdot Mirror
This https://tradingeconomics.com/s... says unemployment in South Korea is 3.6%
Look at this graph: http://www.rimmkaufman.com/content/Goog-Growth-Q1-2012.png CPC go up and go down. But not like Wolff says, always going down. They went sharply down around 2008, then went up for a bit, now go down. I blame economic contraction in Europe which account for half of Google's traffic.
It doesn't really go into who actually advertises on spyware or which networks supply the ads.
320 men year of highly qualified researchers for 50 million, that works out pretty cheap. 150 000 dollars for a year of research? Where can you get that?
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World66, the largest open content travel site
Google sits in an excellent spot, but there are not many barriers to entry in the search engine arena; who uses altavista, excite or lycos anymore? As long as people start surfing from windows, I would not bet against Microsoft. Maybe an aliance between Nokia and Google could make a dent into Bills armour.
I don't think it is very relevant how fast java can be in these kind of benchmarks for most applications. Usually the processor is not the bottleneck. What matters is the responsiveness of the userinterface. Java (Swing actually) still feels very sluggish even on faster computers. That is what is stopping the adoption of Java on clients, not the fact that triogonomy is slightly slower than when done in C++
- - - - - - - - - -
Sample my google hacks
You don't need Linux for this. Have a look at my balloon movies to see what happens if you just attached a camera to a balloon.
Every year or so, an article is published along this lines. Moores law is obsolete, no more bigger hard disks etcetera. The thing is that Moores law isn't a law as such, but the prediction that a series of revolution will increase computer power by a seemingly nice and constant line. Every time we get to the physical limits, we find other limits to go to.
- - - - - - -
Sample my Google Hacks
- - - - - - - - - -
sample my google hacks
Well, I think the project was Open Source. Sure, you still should keep the copyright, but you won't be really building equity. If they would own the code, then they still would had to adhere to the GPL, so in the end it won't make much of a difference.
The article is typical example of the lump of labour fallacy, which usually goes something like this: we produce all this stuff to make society run. Now, if we find a way to make the same amount of stuff with less people (using computers), we'll end up with less employment.
If this was true, almost everybody would have been out of work by now. 2000 years ago the work of almost everybody was needed just to grow enough food for everybody. The truth is, that there is no limit to the amount of possible work. What matters is total production of society and how we divide it. Computes will raise total production of society, so it could make us all richer. If we succeed in distributing the wealth in any kind of just way, employment could rise. Or we could choose for a society where the rich have a lot and the poor are unemployed. But that choice does not have anything to do with the amount of efficiency improving computers do.
- - - - towards a lawyer free interentAnd still the bandwidth (and processing power) you need for running the central database is quite expensive (note: that's why you can't compare bittorrent to napster, it just isn't centralized in the same way, and it solves the big-expensive-central-server problem.). Decentralized networks (including bittorrent following the reasoning above) are the only possibility way to do filesharing organized only by hobbiists, and that's why they will prevail.
Well, that is the point of the article. Once compulsary licensing allows anybody to setup bittorrents (however that is going to work), Google will win out. Distribution will be done through bittorrent, searching through Google. Kazaa with its smart tricks of hiding the central server will have no place to go.
Network effects will bring one party to the top, as is already happening. Kazaa is not the best p2p app, but the most used and therefore most people use it. If legal changes make it possible again to have a central database, Kazaa is still in the best position to capitalize on that, because most people are still using Kazaa for downloading stuff.
Of course Google is bigger, but Google is bigger than eBay too and as the article states, eBay is the biggest auction site because of the same network effects. People go to eBay for auction searches and to Google for general searches, just as they go to Kazaa for music searches. If I type in the name of a song in Google, lots of results will appear, not just the mp3's.
It doesn't mean Google couldn't go after this market. If they would, they would stand a pretty good chance of winning, but so would Microsoft or Yahoo.
more from Douwe Osinga
Well, not really. They can charge different prices in the UK and Germany, but not different prices to people from the UK and Germany. Also, if they sell the PS2 in Germany for less than in Austria, they cannot stop anybody from cross importing the stuff.
- - - -
Help draw the world map of our collective minds.
I very much doubt whether this is legal in the EU. With the internal market directive, you can't really sell something to people from one EU country and not to another (or even charge differently depending on the country).
- -
Help draw the world map of our collective minds.
The site already seems to be cracking. google has a cached version.
Space just is not a very friendly environment for men. Machines are much more suitable and they don't require a return ticket. Instead of focussing on building machines to put people in space and take them, ESA should concentrate on developing robots to do the work and research.
.ianal top level domain petition.
Support a lawyer free internet top level domain
Sign the
Second half of 2004 is still some time away. I see all kind of devices around me in the shape of SD Cards or Sony Memory Stick, from modems to GPS cards. Mini Memory Stick works in my phone. It wouldn't be the first new standard that didn't make it because there was already something else that did the job and had the marketshare.
Support a lawyer free internet top level domain
Sign the
... if you want to moderate stories.
A big difference between open content and open source is the lack of tools in the former. If I would start a literature encyclopedia based on the content of the Wikipedia I could get started really fast. But once my visitors start adding contents and the Wikipedia changes, there are no real good standards to merge back the content. A fork seems unavoidable.
A good XML specification could help here, but currently open content usually means html files that can be freely copied. Until open content fixes this, the success of open source won't be copied.
On my website I implemented a genetic algorithm to choose the colorscheme. The number of pages people view determines the amount on influence on the general color scheme.
http://douweosinga.com/projects/colorscheme describes it in more detail.
The parliament isn't very important, of course, but it has some power.
Oops slashdot didn't like my html:
0 J: www.cybersource.com.au/users/conz/linux_vs_sco_mat rix.html+&hl=en&ie=UTF-8
http://216.239.37.104/search?q=cache:mkRx2aiBJC
Hi,
Site seems down already. Read it at google: