Okay, so now it's down to Ohio and New Mexico. If Bush takes Ohio, Kerry takes New Mexico (and NH, the rest of the states follow the trend from 4 years ago), there will be a tie.
Which means we would probably end up with President George Bush and Vice-President John Edwards. That'd be a hoot.
Also, it looks like Kerry is set to take Nevada and New Hampshire; if you give Bush every other state that he had the last time, that puts it at 264-274, Colorado, New Mexico, and Ohio are all close enough that if any one of them goes to Kerry, he will probably win.
So there you have, it's down to Ohio (which everyone expected), or Colorado and New Mexico, which no one expected to be much of a deciding factor.
Don't expect this to end tonight; absentee ballots are very likely to be needed in a few states.
CBS is giving Bush Ohio; which is BS when Cuyahoga and Hamilton counties (Cleveland and Cincinnati) have only reported 30-50% of their precincts. Cuyahoga currently shows a significant margin for Kerry, if that trend continues, that's another 100,000 or so Kerry votes in Ohio when it hits 100%. We're going to see the same thing we saw 4 years ago where one network will call a particular state and then find out 4 hours later that a certain place heavy to one side wasn't in yet and it changed the results. At least this time they waited until every poll but Alaska was closed.
No one other than voters, poll works, and certain challengers are allowed in the polling places in Ohio. The law has been that way for some time in the state. It is meant to keep any campaigning away from the voting booths. (The challenger issue will likely be discussed in depth for the next four years, since they were mostly used in heavily black areas in Ohio in order to intimidate voters, whether or not any were actually challenged.)
I worked as a legal volunteer for Election Protection / Ohio Voter Protection Coalition this morning in Dayton, OH; and voted later in south Dayton.
We had many complaints of challegers intimidating voters, directly interacting with and interrogating voters, requesting voters to give their name to the challenger, among other things. Most of the problems voters had were locating the right place to vote, or they registered and weren't on the list, or hadn't registered at all.
The challengers were intimidating even if they didn't say anything, and I fail to see the purpose they serve. First, they sit behind the poll workers with a list of names (which more than likely contained the names they tried to challenge before the election, in which case they are in direct violation of a federal order enjoining them from doing that.) Then, they just glare at voters and make them feel uncomfortable. This is especially true in areas were the population is overwhelming black. They serve no purpose, because if they do challenge someone, the poll judge asks a few questions of the voter and the voter is allowed to vote almost every time. The only reason they are there is to intimidate and discourage people from voting. (If you believe in your candidate, you should want everyone to vote, shouldn't you?)
There were a few other minor things, but most centered around inappropriate actions of challengers. Hopefully a few will be tossed out before the end of the day.
My voting experience had a few bumps as well. I was immediately asked for ID, which I respectfully refused, and had to find my own name in the roster, because the poll worker couldn't hear me apparently. Once that was done, I had to get in a second line, where they took my ballot, wrote down the number, then wrote my name and address as they were on a second roll. (I'm not sure what the point was in that). As I was waiting in line, a lady asked if her son who has frequent epileptic seizures could be allowed to vote instead of waiting in line, so as to not disrupt everyone, and make it easier for him. The lady refused, so I made it a point to inform the poll worker and the voter that if there is any kind of disability, they can request to have the worker bring the ballot out to them in their car or whatever, and vote there. There is no reason why having a disability should prevent you from voting.
That said, I've heard some great news regarding early exit polls; the number of new voters I ran into was incredible; people genuinely seem to actually care about voting and making sure their vote is counted. It was somewhat reassuring to see so many people be so determined to vote.
The more people that vote, especially among groups that tend to avoid the polls, the better it is for the candidate I support. From what I've seen, things are looking very good.
Funny, because those who respond "undecided" vote 2:1 democrat over republican.
Your speculation is pretty much unfounded. In 2000, Gore was several points behind in polls the day before the election, and he ended up winning the popular vote. That tells me that polls favor republicans.
The bigger problem that I see is that the sample size is actually more like 20,000; and only 3,000 chose to respond. Were it a more compulsory sample, I'd have a little more faith in it.
It's Slashdot, you don't have to be right to get modded up, you just have to say it like you know what you're talking about. Sort of like all the presidential candidates.
"In 1932 the Washington Redskins were neither the Redskins nor a Washington team: they were the Boston Braves, and they played in Braves Field, which they shared with the National League baseball team of the same name. On 6 November 1932 they won at home against the Staten Island Stapletons, 19-6, a result that should have foretold a presidential victory for the incumbent Republican party. Neither the Redskins' team name nor their predictive powers were yet evident, however, as President Herbert Hoover lost to his Democratic challenger, Governor Franklin Delano Roosevelt of New York, on 8 November 1932"
There is no reasonable competition for the iPod right now; so they're not competing. Any comparable products are either: more expensive, bigger, less storage. I don't consider any product that is deficient in any of those categories to be reasonable competition with an iPod.
Apple has never had to deal with competition like that before. They manage to keep their computers priced much higher than PCs, because they held a niche market. While it might be nice to think that Apple would drop their price to $50; I don't have that much faith in Apple's ability to compete.
Nothing that costs 4x as much as the iPod will lead to its demise, but if someone made a very comparable product that cost 1/2 as much, then you might have some good competition at least. All that it would really do is serve to bring the price of the units down, which would be the greatest thing for all of us.
Did anyone else get the image of some serial killer known by the name "The iPod Killer" that managed to find someway to turn an iPod into a murderous device?
If not, I blame Daylight Saving Time. (I just moved from a non-DST state to a DST state.)
I wouldn't even call total lunar eclipses rare. We had 2 last year, and 2 this year. For a metereological event to be rare, it should be something more like once in a lifetime.
The RIAA is technically doing the same thing; they're going after the distributors, not the "end users." It's just that in their case the distributors tend to be your average person that probably didn't even realize they were doing it.
Slashdot Mirror
Okay, so now it's down to Ohio and New Mexico. If Bush takes Ohio, Kerry takes New Mexico (and NH, the rest of the states follow the trend from 4 years ago), there will be a tie.
Which means we would probably end up with President George Bush and Vice-President John Edwards. That'd be a hoot.
Also, it looks like Kerry is set to take Nevada and New Hampshire; if you give Bush every other state that he had the last time, that puts it at 264-274, Colorado, New Mexico, and Ohio are all close enough that if any one of them goes to Kerry, he will probably win.
So there you have, it's down to Ohio (which everyone expected), or Colorado and New Mexico, which no one expected to be much of a deciding factor.
Don't expect this to end tonight; absentee ballots are very likely to be needed in a few states.
CBS is giving Bush Ohio; which is BS when Cuyahoga and Hamilton counties (Cleveland and Cincinnati) have only reported 30-50% of their precincts. Cuyahoga currently shows a significant margin for Kerry, if that trend continues, that's another 100,000 or so Kerry votes in Ohio when it hits 100%. We're going to see the same thing we saw 4 years ago where one network will call a particular state and then find out 4 hours later that a certain place heavy to one side wasn't in yet and it changed the results. At least this time they waited until every poll but Alaska was closed.
Your logic doesn't make any sense.
Lack of terrorist attacks != Result of the Patriot Act.
Prove to me it would be any different if the Patriot Act had not passed.
No one other than voters, poll works, and certain challengers are allowed in the polling places in Ohio. The law has been that way for some time in the state. It is meant to keep any campaigning away from the voting booths. (The challenger issue will likely be discussed in depth for the next four years, since they were mostly used in heavily black areas in Ohio in order to intimidate voters, whether or not any were actually challenged.)
The pollworkers themselves live in the areas where the people voting are from; they know the people.
Your ID is verified when you sign next to your name and the signatures match.
I have a feeling that voter fraud is not as widespread many may believe it to be.
I worked as a legal volunteer for Election Protection / Ohio Voter Protection Coalition this morning in Dayton, OH; and voted later in south Dayton.
We had many complaints of challegers intimidating voters, directly interacting with and interrogating voters, requesting voters to give their name to the challenger, among other things. Most of the problems voters had were locating the right place to vote, or they registered and weren't on the list, or hadn't registered at all.
The challengers were intimidating even if they didn't say anything, and I fail to see the purpose they serve. First, they sit behind the poll workers with a list of names (which more than likely contained the names they tried to challenge before the election, in which case they are in direct violation of a federal order enjoining them from doing that.) Then, they just glare at voters and make them feel uncomfortable. This is especially true in areas were the population is overwhelming black. They serve no purpose, because if they do challenge someone, the poll judge asks a few questions of the voter and the voter is allowed to vote almost every time. The only reason they are there is to intimidate and discourage people from voting. (If you believe in your candidate, you should want everyone to vote, shouldn't you?)
There were a few other minor things, but most centered around inappropriate actions of challengers. Hopefully a few will be tossed out before the end of the day.
My voting experience had a few bumps as well. I was immediately asked for ID, which I respectfully refused, and had to find my own name in the roster, because the poll worker couldn't hear me apparently. Once that was done, I had to get in a second line, where they took my ballot, wrote down the number, then wrote my name and address as they were on a second roll. (I'm not sure what the point was in that). As I was waiting in line, a lady asked if her son who has frequent epileptic seizures could be allowed to vote instead of waiting in line, so as to not disrupt everyone, and make it easier for him. The lady refused, so I made it a point to inform the poll worker and the voter that if there is any kind of disability, they can request to have the worker bring the ballot out to them in their car or whatever, and vote there. There is no reason why having a disability should prevent you from voting.
That said, I've heard some great news regarding early exit polls; the number of new voters I ran into was incredible; people genuinely seem to actually care about voting and making sure their vote is counted. It was somewhat reassuring to see so many people be so determined to vote.
The more people that vote, especially among groups that tend to avoid the polls, the better it is for the candidate I support. From what I've seen, things are looking very good.
Ke(X+#)[NULL]OH
Funny, because those who respond "undecided" vote 2:1 democrat over republican.
Your speculation is pretty much unfounded. In 2000, Gore was several points behind in polls the day before the election, and he ended up winning the popular vote. That tells me that polls favor republicans.
It just shows that Bush supporters are just as stubborn and crazy as he is; so much so that they'll even put money on it.
The bigger problem that I see is that the sample size is actually more like 20,000; and only 3,000 chose to respond. Were it a more compulsory sample, I'd have a little more faith in it.
Satire can spill over into headlines, you know. People with a real sense of humor don't need it spelled out to them that something is satirical.
It's Slashdot, you don't have to be right to get modded up, you just have to say it like you know what you're talking about. Sort of like all the presidential candidates.
The rule follows for the incumbent party, not just the incumbent president. That makes 17 data points now, possibly 18.
It's obviously just a coincidence, but an interesting one at that.
Also, I'm sure that if the Redskins won, we would have had the same story, and the same things would be said except with "Bush" instead of "Kerry".
You're going too deep; the Packers won by a 2:1 margin, so Kerry will win by a 2:1 landslide.
Wrong.
p
"In 1932 the Washington Redskins were neither the Redskins nor a Washington team: they were the Boston Braves, and they played in Braves Field, which they shared with the National League baseball team of the same name. On 6 November 1932 they won at home against the Staten Island Stapletons, 19-6, a result that should have foretold a presidential victory for the incumbent Republican party. Neither the Redskins' team name nor their predictive powers were yet evident, however, as President Herbert Hoover lost to his Democratic challenger, Governor Franklin Delano Roosevelt of New York, on 8 November 1932"
http://www.snopes.com/sports/football/election.as
Yeah, that was my point. =]
Then it's not competition; that's like Microsoft's argument for not being a monopoly.
There is no reasonable competition for the iPod right now; so they're not competing. Any comparable products are either: more expensive, bigger, less storage. I don't consider any product that is deficient in any of those categories to be reasonable competition with an iPod.
Apple has never had to deal with competition like that before. They manage to keep their computers priced much higher than PCs, because they held a niche market. While it might be nice to think that Apple would drop their price to $50; I don't have that much faith in Apple's ability to compete.
Nothing that costs 4x as much as the iPod will lead to its demise, but if someone made a very comparable product that cost 1/2 as much, then you might have some good competition at least. All that it would really do is serve to bring the price of the units down, which would be the greatest thing for all of us.
Did anyone else get the image of some serial killer known by the name "The iPod Killer" that managed to find someway to turn an iPod into a murderous device?
If not, I blame Daylight Saving Time. (I just moved from a non-DST state to a DST state.)
I wouldn't even call total lunar eclipses rare. We had 2 last year, and 2 this year. For a metereological event to be rare, it should be something more like once in a lifetime.
The RIAA is technically doing the same thing; they're going after the distributors, not the "end users." It's just that in their case the distributors tend to be your average person that probably didn't even realize they were doing it.
Who knows intimate details of the goals and focus of a brand new Microsoft program?
Anyone who bothered to RTFAs posted above?