I use LP too, though I have to confess that I don't make full use of their password generation feature. I haven't tried the mobile apps - do those make it easy to log into sites from your phone? What about when you're at a different computer (not your own) - you simply use the mobile app to retrieve your password?
Fact two: the "king" in question is the head of state for an unstable, authoritarian government.
There's been, more or less, a civil war in the country for about 17 months. And by their own reports, production is down to 200k bbl/day or less. The instability of Syria should be already priced in to a rational market.
Fact three: a country in full blown civil war, which is what could happen with the death of Assad, won't be producing much oil for sale. A lot of infrastructure would be broken as well, depressing Syria's future oil production.
Discussed immediately above, but to repeat, production is already depressed to less than one quarter of one percent of the world's production. Due to sanctions, they are (basically) only able to sell to Russia and China. While such sales would affect the price (by alleviating the need for Russia to buy from elsewhere), it is hard to argue that the lack of that supply should affect prices in any meaningful way given how small the volume is relative to the total market.
Fact four: In the event of a civil war, the fun and games could extend to other countries with greater oil production, leading possibly to other drops in oil production. After all, the current Arab Spring tensions originated in Tunisia a country with half the population of Syria.
And the Arab Spring is almost 2 years old, and there has not been any appreciable protests in the top 14 oil producers (only 5 of which are in the region: Saudi Arabia, Iran, UAE, Kuwait and Iraq*). These 14 countries account for about 70% of the worlds production (see wikipedia link above).
*Iraq has had it's own problems, of course, but those are long standing and we can assume they are priced in to the market. There may be an argument to be made that a power vacuum in Syria could cause problems in Iraq, but if we leave Iraq out of the equation there is still a lot of oil.
What is the elasticity of supply and demand? My take is that there's some problems somewhere, if prices can jump up so easily.
That's because you assume that price is only affected by real supply and demand, and not by speculation, fear, assumptions, etc. The fact that there is so much money (pdf) involved in oil derivatives - it rose from $6.2B in mid-1995 to about $180B in mid-2008 (see page 6 of the pdf), and this is only counting activity on NYMEX - mean that the speculators began to outweigh the bone fide hedgers.
There are two types of traders in the commodities market: hedgers are those who actually produce or consume the commodity (in this case oil); and speculators are those who buy and sell futures contracts, but don't ever deliver or take delivery of the commodity. The speculators are necessary so that there is a fluid market and there is someone available to make a trade. Historically, the speculators have been limited as to the size of a position they can take - that is, how much of the market they can corner - so that they don't gain undue influence on the market. Hedgers (pig farmers if we're talking pork bellies, corn farmers if we're talking corn, oil companies if we're talking oil) never had that restriction. Sometime in the 2000's, I'm not sure exactly when, the did away with that restriction on speculators. Around the same time, Goldman Sachs and others convinced their institutional clients (pension funds, etc.) to invest in commodity indexes and this fueled the explosion of money into the market. All this money
My Debian brings all the beards to the yard And they're like, it's better than yours Damn right it's better than yours I could fork it and I wouldn't even charge
But still, their vision of how email works doesn't really jibe with mine. Say one of my business contacts sends me an email about a project we're working on. Is this the time to follow their Twitter feed? Probably not. All of that functionality just seems like feature creep, and I suspect it has something to do with marketing partnerships.
Didn't they say in the blog post that Outlook was still aimed at the business user, while Outlook.com is for the individual/consumer?
The company I left in April, 2011 was still on Windows XP and Office 2003. As the person responsible for buying new technology products, I was expressly forbidden from upgrading people to Win7 or Office 2007/2010 (though at the end I was able to get 2007 for myself via a volume license purchase with multi-version media).
If someone can't figure out that labels can be used exactly like folders, then they have no business using the series of tubes we call the interwebs.
It's only in the last, what, 18 months? that labels could have parent/child relationships. I still have label names with slashes in them from when I used Gina Trapani's plugin that made the original gmail labels act like folders.
I don't know if things are better in recent years with Outlook's search capabilities,
I've found search to be much improved (finally) in Outlook 2010 and Windows 7. While I still file everything into countless folders, I will more often than not search for something and find it more quickly. And I've started using the Win7 search function on the "Start" menu to find programs, rather than navigating the All Programs labyrinth.
32 hours x 50 weeks = 1600 which puts you just under the poverty line (by about $100). GGP included the caveat about " those who do not maintain full time employment, and while the term "full time" is not strictly define by the FLSA, 32 hours is at the very low end of what is generally considered full time. I think most people consider anything less than 40 hours to not be full time (I know I do).
Why pay for streaming with Netflix, which doesn't work on Linux,
Is that a failing of Netflix or Linux? I don't think Netflix wrote the client programs on my Wii, PS3 and Roku box through which I stream Netflix. (But maybe they did. They wrote the iOS app I guess.)
If Netflix initiates the requirement that you must have a cable subscription in order to use it, what's left?
Has this been suggested? That's a requirement for HBO Go, but I've never seen that suggested for Netflix. It doesn't even make sense given their business model.
What I've seen of the Netflix streaming selection, however, is that it's pretty poor.
Netflix does not carry many A-list feature titles from the US. Currently they have the latest Transformers movie, and they had Toy Story 3 a while after it was in theaters, but it's gone now. They have a lot of quality Asian (mostly Korean) features, and a lot of independent films and documentaries. Netflix's strength, to me, is it's episodic content. It has a lot of TV show, old and new. Breaking Bad, Lost, Damages, 24, Luther, Sherlock, Battlestar Gallactica, Dr. Who, Archer, Louie, Mad Men, Scrubs, Top Gear, Futurama, Mythbusters.... the list goes on and on.
To clarify and expand, it appears that what the NSA is doing is simply saving a copy of tons of data (they must have exabytes or more) and claiming that until they actually query the database they don't need a search warrant or probable cause. The problem is, of course, that saving a copy of our private communications should, in and of itself, require a warrant.
On this complicated, opaque subject, Sanchez is among the most informed observers in America. His best guess at what's really going on: The NSA is collecting and saving vast amounts of private date, like phone calls, emails, and text messages; and rather than asking whether the Fourth Amendment permits them to put all of this information on a hard drive, they're postponing questions about whether a search is constitutional or not until they want to query the database.
And? The end result is that there are 2+ times a year where a person goes out and kills 6+ people (two times in the last decade the count was 4 and 3). Regardless of the motivation, it is troubling. I'm not making a statement for or against gun control, or on how to address the problem. I'm simply countering the GGP's statement that this occurs "VERY" infrequently in the US.
I use LP too, though I have to confess that I don't make full use of their password generation feature. I haven't tried the mobile apps - do those make it easy to log into sites from your phone? What about when you're at a different computer (not your own) - you simply use the mobile app to retrieve your password?
Fact one: Syria has substantial oil production.
Eh... In 2009, they were 31st in the world, behind North Dakota. They were producing about 400k bbl/day, or 0.48% of the world's production. (More on this later.)
Fact two: the "king" in question is the head of state for an unstable, authoritarian government.
There's been, more or less, a civil war in the country for about 17 months. And by their own reports, production is down to 200k bbl/day or less. The instability of Syria should be already priced in to a rational market.
Fact three: a country in full blown civil war, which is what could happen with the death of Assad, won't be producing much oil for sale. A lot of infrastructure would be broken as well, depressing Syria's future oil production.
Discussed immediately above, but to repeat, production is already depressed to less than one quarter of one percent of the world's production. Due to sanctions, they are (basically) only able to sell to Russia and China. While such sales would affect the price (by alleviating the need for Russia to buy from elsewhere), it is hard to argue that the lack of that supply should affect prices in any meaningful way given how small the volume is relative to the total market.
Fact four: In the event of a civil war, the fun and games could extend to other countries with greater oil production, leading possibly to other drops in oil production. After all, the current Arab Spring tensions originated in Tunisia a country with half the population of Syria.
And the Arab Spring is almost 2 years old, and there has not been any appreciable protests in the top 14 oil producers (only 5 of which are in the region: Saudi Arabia, Iran, UAE, Kuwait and Iraq*). These 14 countries account for about 70% of the worlds production (see wikipedia link above).
*Iraq has had it's own problems, of course, but those are long standing and we can assume they are priced in to the market. There may be an argument to be made that a power vacuum in Syria could cause problems in Iraq, but if we leave Iraq out of the equation there is still a lot of oil.
What is the elasticity of supply and demand? My take is that there's some problems somewhere, if prices can jump up so easily.
That's because you assume that price is only affected by real supply and demand, and not by speculation, fear, assumptions, etc. The fact that there is so much money (pdf) involved in oil derivatives - it rose from $6.2B in mid-1995 to about $180B in mid-2008 (see page 6 of the pdf), and this is only counting activity on NYMEX - mean that the speculators began to outweigh the bone fide hedgers.
There are two types of traders in the commodities market: hedgers are those who actually produce or consume the commodity (in this case oil); and speculators are those who buy and sell futures contracts, but don't ever deliver or take delivery of the commodity. The speculators are necessary so that there is a fluid market and there is someone available to make a trade. Historically, the speculators have been limited as to the size of a position they can take - that is, how much of the market they can corner - so that they don't gain undue influence on the market. Hedgers (pig farmers if we're talking pork bellies, corn farmers if we're talking corn, oil companies if we're talking oil) never had that restriction. Sometime in the 2000's, I'm not sure exactly when, the did away with that restriction on speculators. Around the same time, Goldman Sachs and others convinced their institutional clients (pension funds, etc.) to invest in commodity indexes and this fueled the explosion of money into the market. All this money
if you quote Shakespeare out-of-context.
That's a Shakespeare line? I thought it was from the INWO card game.
This is exactly what happened in the most recent Eurocup. National football associations were fined for the behavior (hate speech) of their fans.
Which goes to show you the odd dichotomy between free speech laws in Commonwealth countries (and Europe) and the US.
Alright, that's it! You go to timeout! ;)
My Debian brings all the beards to the yard
And they're like, it's better than yours
Damn right it's better than yours
I could fork it and I wouldn't even charge
Is that in baht or rupiah?
Go to the firehose, easy to get first post there. Not much people will read it though.
"Much" if you can't count it; "many" if you can.
Sorry, but I've been going over this again and again the last couple of days. With my 4 year old.
But still, their vision of how email works doesn't really jibe with mine. Say one of my business contacts sends me an email about a project we're working on. Is this the time to follow their Twitter feed? Probably not. All of that functionality just seems like feature creep, and I suspect it has something to do with marketing partnerships.
Didn't they say in the blog post that Outlook was still aimed at the business user, while Outlook.com is for the individual/consumer?
The company I left in April, 2011 was still on Windows XP and Office 2003. As the person responsible for buying new technology products, I was expressly forbidden from upgrading people to Win7 or Office 2007/2010 (though at the end I was able to get 2007 for myself via a volume license purchase with multi-version media).
Apple is similar in that it wants an "Apple ID" to get onto some of its weird online stuff.
You mean like encryption key parties?
If someone can't figure out that labels can be used exactly like folders, then they have no business using the series of tubes we call the interwebs.
It's only in the last, what, 18 months? that labels could have parent/child relationships. I still have label names with slashes in them from when I used Gina Trapani's plugin that made the original gmail labels act like folders.
I don't know if things are better in recent years with Outlook's search capabilities,
I've found search to be much improved (finally) in Outlook 2010 and Windows 7. While I still file everything into countless folders, I will more often than not search for something and find it more quickly. And I've started using the Win7 search function on the "Start" menu to find programs, rather than navigating the All Programs labyrinth.
Isn't it US comedy films that are filled with fauxwits?
No, you're thinking of our cable news channels.
VP of middle eastern marketing,
Read this as "VP of middle earth marketing."
One veep to rule them all,
One veep to find them,
One veep to sell them all and with an iPad blind them,
The worst thing Google will deliver is laser-guided advertisements.
The worst thing NSA will deliver is laser-guided bombs.
Exactly. That is the difference between a corporation and a government, something that many don't seem to get.
I think a more apt comparison is:
The worst thing BP will deliver is untargeted crude oil to your entire Gulf coastline.
32 hours x 50 weeks = 1600 which puts you just under the poverty line (by about $100). GGP included the caveat about " those who do not maintain full time employment, and while the term "full time" is not strictly define by the FLSA, 32 hours is at the very low end of what is generally considered full time. I think most people consider anything less than 40 hours to not be full time (I know I do).
Why pay for streaming with Netflix, which doesn't work on Linux,
Is that a failing of Netflix or Linux? I don't think Netflix wrote the client programs on my Wii, PS3 and Roku box through which I stream Netflix. (But maybe they did. They wrote the iOS app I guess.)
If Netflix initiates the requirement that you must have a cable subscription in order to use it, what's left?
Has this been suggested? That's a requirement for HBO Go, but I've never seen that suggested for Netflix. It doesn't even make sense given their business model.
What I've seen of the Netflix streaming selection, however, is that it's pretty poor.
Netflix does not carry many A-list feature titles from the US. Currently they have the latest Transformers movie, and they had Toy Story 3 a while after it was in theaters, but it's gone now. They have a lot of quality Asian (mostly Korean) features, and a lot of independent films and documentaries. Netflix's strength, to me, is it's episodic content. It has a lot of TV show, old and new. Breaking Bad, Lost, Damages, 24, Luther, Sherlock, Battlestar Gallactica, Dr. Who, Archer, Louie, Mad Men, Scrubs, Top Gear, Futurama, Mythbusters.... the list goes on and on.
Most people who earn minimum wage do not live below the poverty line in the united states.
Common misconception among opponents of the minimum wage. Can you back your assertions with data?
Federal poverty line for a single person is $11,710
Federal minimum wage is $7.25 which equates to roughly $14,500 (assuming you only work 50 weeks).
If you work 1615 (about 9.3 months @ 40 hrs/wk) hours at minimum wage, you exceed the poverty line.
To clarify and expand, it appears that what the NSA is doing is simply saving a copy of tons of data (they must have exabytes or more) and claiming that until they actually query the database they don't need a search warrant or probable cause. The problem is, of course, that saving a copy of our private communications should, in and of itself, require a warrant.
A much better article than linked to in the summary.
On this complicated, opaque subject, Sanchez is among the most informed observers in America. His best guess at what's really going on: The NSA is collecting and saving vast amounts of private date, like phone calls, emails, and text messages; and rather than asking whether the Fourth Amendment permits them to put all of this information on a hard drive, they're postponing questions about whether a search is constitutional or not until they want to query the database.
The quality of whiskey is inversely and exponentially proportional with the absolute value of the distillery's longitude.
Hey this isn't 4cha.... oh, nevermind.
And? The end result is that there are 2+ times a year where a person goes out and kills 6+ people (two times in the last decade the count was 4 and 3). Regardless of the motivation, it is troubling. I'm not making a statement for or against gun control, or on how to address the problem. I'm simply countering the GGP's statement that this occurs "VERY" infrequently in the US.