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User: Layzej

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  1. Re:Sea ice vs projections on Scientists Propose Plan To Re-Freeze the Arctic (inhabitat.com) · · Score: 1

    Any risk analysis should consider the tails. Don't cower in fear, but certainly take reasonable measures to mitigate the risk.

  2. Re:Sea ice vs projections on Scientists Propose Plan To Re-Freeze the Arctic (inhabitat.com) · · Score: 1

    As far as temperature goes the CMIP5 models used in IPCC AR5 have been bang on: https://andthentheresphysics.f...

    If you compare back to the Hanson 1981 model you find that temperature has risen quite a bit faster than projected: https://patricktbrown.files.wo...

  3. Re:Sea ice vs projections on Scientists Propose Plan To Re-Freeze the Arctic (inhabitat.com) · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Yes. This uncertainty makes the problem much greater because we cannot presume that it will not be much worse than we expect.

  4. Re:Climate change deniers on Scientists Propose Plan To Re-Freeze the Arctic (inhabitat.com) · · Score: 4, Informative
  5. Record low sea ice on Scientists Propose Plan To Re-Freeze the Arctic (inhabitat.com) · · Score: 1

    Global sea ice is at a record low right now - and not just by a bit: http://imgur.com/M3SBq4D

  6. Sea ice vs projections on Scientists Propose Plan To Re-Freeze the Arctic (inhabitat.com) · · Score: 5, Informative

    Here's how arctic sea ice has fared relative to IPCC projections: http://neven1.typepad.com/.a/6...

  7. When present in high levels, e.g. after a strong volcanic eruption such as Mount Pinatubo, sulfur produces a cooling effect, by reflecting sunlight, and by modifying clouds as they fall out of the stratosphere. This cooling

    This graph (red line) shows the estimated impact of CO2 + volcanoes on global mean surface temperature.

  8. Re:Well, damn on A Crack in an Antarctic Ice Shelf Grew 17 Miles in the Last Two Months · · Score: 4, Informative

    The linked article says that these collapses happen naturally. However, ice shelves act as buttresses holding back glaciers flowing down to the coast. The collapse will make the area more vulnerable to climate change.

    Larsen A and B ice shelves, which were situated further north on the Antarctic Peninsula, collapsed in 1995 and 2002, respectively. This resulted in the dramatic acceleration of glaciers behind them, with larger volumes of ice entering the ocean and contributing to sea-level rise.

    Read more at: https://phys.org/news/2017-01-...

  9. Re:Well, damn on A Crack in an Antarctic Ice Shelf Grew 17 Miles in the Last Two Months · · Score: 1

    Somthing wild is happening with global sea ice as well. Could be related...: https://sites.google.com/site/...

  10. Re: companies matter more then usa workers on Microsoft's H-1B Workers Cited In Motion That Successfully Blocked Trump's Travel Ban (geekwire.com) · · Score: 1

    Calling it a Muslim ban...

    Those are Donald's words, not mine:

  11. Ah. A massive conspiracy. I should have guessed. OTOH perhaps travel restrictions != travel ban

  12. Microsoft participated in this lawsuit now, but yet they said or did nothing when DHS put travel restrictions from these very same countries last year

    Maybe travel restrictions != travel ban?

  13. Re:companies matter more then usa workers on Microsoft's H-1B Workers Cited In Motion That Successfully Blocked Trump's Travel Ban (geekwire.com) · · Score: 4, Informative

    Hey! Corporations are people too! Anyway, the Muslim ban is just another of the burdensome regulations that are strangling small businesses. Aren't we supposed to be against regulations?

  14. Re:Today satire requires Marxism on False News, Absurd Reality Present Challenges For Satirists (apnews.com) · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The best satire today is simply to publish official communications verbatim. Some good examples are:

    McSweeneys "My very good black history month tribute to some of the most tremendous black people"

    or Tina Fey as Sarah Palin

    The politicians are writing the material. The satirists just need to point out how rediculous it is by republishing it.

  15. Re:President Trump tweets on US Probes Panasonic Unit For Alleged Bribery Violations (bloomberg.com) · · Score: 1

    Hopefully Donald will step in and remove these burdensome regulations that plague Panasonic and other companies. Bribery is a form of free speech and is protected by the constitution.

  16. Re:Not either or but both on The Doomsday Clock Is Reset: Closest To Midnight Since The 1950s (npr.org) · · Score: 5, Informative
    Lucky for us it's not one or the other that we have to worry about, but both:

    "Over the course of 2016, the global security landscape darkened as the international community failed to come effectively to grips with humanity's most pressing existential threats, nuclear weapons and climate change ... This already-threatening world situation was the backdrop for a rise in strident nationalism worldwide in 2016, including in a U.S. presidential campaign during which the eventual victor, Donald Trump, made disturbing comments about the use and proliferation of nuclear weapons and expressed disbelief in the overwhelming scientific consensus on climate change."

  17. Re:Contrast this with the incoming administration on Two-Thirds of Americans Give Priority To Developing Alternative Energy Over Fossil Fuels (pewresearch.org) · · Score: 1
    Yes exactly! or adding regulations to solar. It's backwards thinking: The trend of wind and solar energy production becoming less expensive will continue for years, said Rob Godby, an associate professor and director of the Center for Energy Economics and Public Policy at the University of Wyoming.

    The legislators' push to punish renewable energy use "clearly picks a preferred energy source regardless of cost. This may not only cost ratepayers and consumers in Wyoming, but it could harm our potential to attract new industry," Godby said.

  18. Re:Hate crimes increased after election on George Orwell's '1984' Tops Amazon's Bestseller List (theguardian.com) · · Score: 1

    This is not a credible source.

    Ok. Their data is largely anecdotal. FBI has national data but has only released up to 2015. Some local municipalities have released current data. Here's one I could find:

    “We’ve had an uptick in hate crimes—actually a little bit more than an uptick,” he said. “We’re up 31% from last year. We had at this time last year 250; this year we have 328. Specifically against the Muslim population in New York City, we went up from 12 to 25. And anti-Semitic is up, too, by 9% from 102 to 111.

  19. Re:I really hope... on George Orwell's '1984' Tops Amazon's Bestseller List (theguardian.com) · · Score: 1

    There's no way to tell if they're fake or not

    Maybe just use teh Google like AmiMoJo did? Save your self some embarrassment over having every one of your examples shown to be false?

  20. Re:Who's buying? on George Orwell's '1984' Tops Amazon's Bestseller List (theguardian.com) · · Score: 3, Interesting

    When confronted with the facts, Obama didn't say, "Hey, you have your facts and we have our own alternative facts." Instead he conceded that Benghazi "wasn't just a mob action."

    It's important to acknowledge that there is such a thing as the truth. We all share the same reality.

    It has been suggested that Donald Trump is not a liar. "He does not reject the authority of the truth, as the liar does, and oppose himself to it. He pays no attention to it at all."

  21. Captain Picard ain't havin' none of it on George Orwell's '1984' Tops Amazon's Bestseller List (theguardian.com) · · Score: 1

    Captain Picard ain't havin' none of it:: https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

  22. Doublethink on George Orwell's '1984' Tops Amazon's Bestseller List (theguardian.com) · · Score: 1

    Doublethink - "the acceptance of or mental capacity to accept contrary opinions or beliefs at the same time, especially as a result of political indoctrination." The very idea that there could be facts on the one hand, but officially endorsed alternative facts on the other, is an example of doublethink. Chuck Todd was refreshingly frank when presented with the notion: "Four of the five 'facts' he uttered were just not true. Look, alternative facts are not facts. They’re falsehoods."

  23. Hate crimes increased after election on George Orwell's '1984' Tops Amazon's Bestseller List (theguardian.com) · · Score: 1

    However the coverage of the "hate crime" was front and center

    It's still a problem: "A burst of hate incidents and crimes reported in the days following Donald Trump's election in November has eased, but hate activity remains above pre-election levels", the Southern Poverty Law Center says.Jan 5, 2017

  24. Re:Who's buying? on George Orwell's '1984' Tops Amazon's Bestseller List (theguardian.com) · · Score: 1

    They may not be able to fire a civil servant, but they have just given themselves the power to cut the salaries of individual civil servants to $1, which may be just as effective.

  25. Re:Who's buying? on George Orwell's '1984' Tops Amazon's Bestseller List (theguardian.com) · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Why Donald's staff are lying:

    By requiring subordinates to speak untruths, a leader can undercut their independent standing, including their standing with the public, with the media and with other members of the administration. That makes those individuals grow more dependent on the leader and less likely to mount independent rebellions against the structure of command. Promoting such chains of lies is a classic tactic when a leader distrusts his subordinates and expects to continue to distrust them in the future.

    Another reason for promoting lying is what economists sometimes call loyalty filters. If you want to ascertain if someone is truly loyal to you, ask them to do something outrageous or stupid. If they balk, then you know right away they aren’t fully with you. That too is a sign of incipient mistrust within the ruling clique, and it is part of the same worldview that leads Trump to rely so heavily on family members.