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The Doomsday Clock Is Reset: Closest To Midnight Since The 1950s (npr.org)

The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists has taken the unprecedented step of moving the Doomsday Clock ahead 30 seconds, taking the world to two-and-a-half-minute to midnight. The scientists said Thursday that several factors weighed heavily in their decision, particularly climate change denial by people in power -- they cited U.S. President Donald Trump -- and talk about more nuclear weapons. From a report on NPR: The setting is the closest the clock has come to midnight since 1953, when scientists moved it to two minutes from midnight after seeing both the U.S. and the Soviet Union test hydrogen bombs. It remained at that mark until 1960. "Make no mistake, this has been a difficult year," Rachel Bronson, executive director and publisher of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, said as the new setting was announced Thursday.

745 comments

  1. Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This is a meaningless metric. There is no such thing as doomsday. The World is not a clock. You are OK. Breathe out.

    1. Re:Meaningless by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This is a meaningless metric. There is no such thing as doomsday. The World is not a clock. You are OK. Breathe out.

      Although the analogy with a clock may not be entirely accurate since it isn't always moving forwards, the concept of a metric to determine the risk of nuclear mass destruction isn't. (although it can never be very accurate without knowing what's going on inside the governing bodies behind closed doors).

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    2. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who's got the best Missiles? We've got the best missiles! I was talking to some silo operators the other day. FANTASTIC guys.

      Whoever said MIRVs are off the table?

    3. Re:Meaningless by omnichad · · Score: 5, Funny

      But it's a bigger score than most Presidents achieve. DJT will probably be bragging soon.

    4. Re:Meaningless by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 4, Informative

      It isn't meaningless metric. It is a great piece of elitist propaganda that indicates how they like things at that moment. Whenever someone is against the globalist agenda they advance the clock, and when Obama took over, they love it, and moved it back a bit. Even though Obama pissed off Russia and gave Iran a clear path to Nuclear weapons, none of that mattered.

      It is what it is, propaganda, and as such it has meaning,

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    5. Re:Meaningless by JoeMerchant · · Score: 3, Informative

      It's a published opinion of a group of scientists, it's their way of summing up to the world how they think we are doing in terms of not self-destructing our way of life.

      The meaning in 1953 was: within 2 minutes we could go from the status-quo to a post-nuclear-holocaust world with little or no chance of de-escalation along the way. I think the meaning is similar today, but with some caveats and nuances thrown in about global warming increasing political tensions among nuclear powers, etc.

    6. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No, the doomsday clock is very much meaningless. Basically it does nothing except signifies how unhappy the people who run it are with the current political climate.

    7. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly. When N-day happened, this supposed doomsday clock had been at 2 minutes until midnight for the past 3 years, since the Battle of Vancouver. It's completely unreliable.

      Stay away from major cities beginning next year in 2018, regardless of what the clock says.

      It should probably be closer to a minute from midnight right now, but what's their scale? As far as the end of humanity, that's one thing that won't happen. The end of the international banking elite, yes, at least when we pour concrete over their luxury vaults. Things get better in many ways after the year from hell.

    8. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's meaningless because human beings are unpredictable. The idea that scientists are able to guage the likelyhood of a human being, or group of human beings, deciding to pull the doomsday trigger is absurd. The only thing science can tell us is whether or not the doomsday is possible. But the likelyhood of a doomsday is an entirely different matter, one which nobody can predict, not even a psychologist.

    9. Re:Meaningless by slazzy · · Score: 1

      Thanks but I'll be in my underground bunker with a few years of canned goods just the same...

      --
      Website Just Down For Me? Find out
    10. Re:Meaningless by TWX · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Given that the political climate probably has a lot of bearing on the potential for the use of nuclear weapons, how is this wrong?

      Also, given that chickenhawks tend to push militancy without personal experience in the cost of war, it's not exactly a surprise that when chickenhawks are in power there's concern that war would be more likely, and that war itself would tend to increase the likeihood that nuclear weapons would be used.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    11. Re:Meaningless by Spy+Handler · · Score: 1, Insightful

      There is no such thing as doomsday

      Well, there is a doomsday but nuclear war would not be it. Yes a lot of humans would die in an all-out nuclear war, maybe even the majority, but it would not wipe out the human species. Not even close.

      Climate change is also not it. Primitive stone age tribesmen millions of years ago survived far worse climate conditions than what climate change believers are projecting.

      Big-ass asteroid would do it. Or a rogue planet. Or a mega volcano like the one that caused the Permian extinction.

    12. Re:Meaningless by TWX · · Score: 2

      And here I was thinking that, "Mister President! We cannot accept a missile/bomber/doomsday/mineshaft gap!"

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    13. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      "Basically it does nothing except signifies how unhappy the people who run it [ie, scientist] are with the current political climate [ie, blithe talk of using nuclear weapons]." Make more sense now?

    14. Re:Meaningless by Fragnet · · Score: 0, Troll

      Yes, I was going to say. I don't give a fuck and what's more, I don't think I'll be visiting Slashdot again. It's no longer about tech it's about whoever's marketing their bullshit today.

    15. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Someone's itching to blow his horn!

    16. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Why don't they call it the FUD Ticker 2000?

    17. Re: Meaningless by tysonedwards · · Score: 3, Funny

      My father was a watch maker. He abandoned it when Einstein discovered time is relative. I would only agree that a symbolic clock is as nourishing to the intellect as photograph of oxygen to a drowning man.

      --
      Thirty four characters live here.
    18. Re:Meaningless by MachineShedFred · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah, except that even Trump's detractors say that he has a better relationship with Russia than Obama ever did. If Trump is Putin's patsy, why would he push the big red button?

      I would think that narrative would cause this clock to back off a bit - either the narrative is complete horseshit, or this newest setting of the clock is total propoganda. Maybe both.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    19. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't forget race relations worsened, And the list can go on.

    20. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Because if you read my post I didn't say it was a representation of the current political climate but what a select few people thought about it. It's purely opinion based with little to no fact involved. It's been moved forward because they don't like Trump. That's fundamentally the reason. That's it. No fact. Just opinion. They've tried to support their opinion, but though they worded it as fact, they used nothing but speculation. They didn't base it on change to policy, just based on what they believe his policy will change to. And no, the whole USDA thing isn't a policy change. It's SOP for all administrations. Have the departments not make policy statements until they get a handle on everything going on.

    21. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A clock. Something that the political genius of the high school drama club hollywood celebrities can understand and then use to comment upon and help lead our nation with YouTube videos.

      I am so proud of the state of political intellect in our nation.

      Just more fear tactics to sell headlines and get a link...So we can see those Google ads.

    22. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No one knows the day or the hour!

    23. Re:Meaningless by MightyMartian · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You do understand civilization requires a bit more than workable stone to maintain itself. Anything that would significantly interfere with the productivity of large swathes of arable land would have catastrophic consequences for many human societies. The idea that just because Neanderthals made a living in the last Ice Age somehow we'll be alright is ludicrous. No one predicts the ends of humans, really, and no one predicts that human civilization will end, but significant alteration of rain patterns that could lead to arable land within national boundaries being rendered less productive, well, that's going to create significant regional political instabilities. If there's one lesson from humanity's past, both recent and prehistoric, is that when food gets scarce, people just don't sit around and die. They get up and move, and if there are other people in their way, well, you'll have some sort of conflict.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    24. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Anonymous Trumpy is too simplistic to conceptualize what the clock represents. Sad!

    25. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It may be "published" by a "group of scientists", but it has nothing to do with science.

    26. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "and gave Iran a clear path to Nuclear weapons" - When you lie does your penis shrink accordingly to your nasal growth? Tiny hands, tiny alternative facts?

      Let's face it : The Iran deal is the SINGLE factor reducing or delaying Tehran's procurement of nuclear weapons. If you can't face it, the facts?

      Then you're perfect Trump material. Yes, it's all Obama's fault. Dipshit.

    27. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is a meaningless metric. There is no such thing as doomsday. The World is not a clock. You are OK. Breathe out.

      It's more like the doomsday clock for the destruction of the Progressive agenda.

    28. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Although the analogy with a clock may not be entirely accurate since it isn't always moving forwards, the concept of a metric to determine the risk of nuclear mass destruction isn't. (although it can never be very accurate without knowing what's going on inside the governing bodies behind closed doors).

      No, it's legitimately retarded and purely political. We're making friends with Russia, Mexico doesn't have nukes and China's ICBMs probably couldn't make it over the ocean. Anything other than that clock being moved to 1AM is pure propaganda.

    29. Re:Meaningless by higuita · · Score: 1

      because you can use nukes to many other countries, not just Russia...
      say Siria, China, Philippines (just because they insulted POTS!!), etc :)

      --
      Higuita
    30. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Obama had a terrible relationship with Russia and Hillary was practically calling for air strikes on Moscow. I think we'll be ok with Trump.

    31. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Because if you read my post I didn't say it as a representation of the current political climate but what a select few people thought about it. It's purely opinion based with little to no fact involved. It's been moved forward because they don't like Trump. That's fundamentally the reason. That's it. No fact. Just opinion.

      I prefer their opinion than the opinion of a random internet troll.

    32. Re:Meaningless by DonaId+Trump · · Score: 1

      Lots of people are saying this is the best comment! Would you like a job? I have a YUGE opening in the Ministry of Communications. You know some bigly words, you know about propaganda, you'd be GREAT!

    33. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OMG! Doomsday clock! Ooooh! I'm so scared! Booga booga booga !

    34. Re:Meaningless by geekmux · · Score: 1

      This is a meaningless metric. There is no such thing as doomsday. The World is not a clock. You are OK. Breathe out.

      It is not meaningless because it happens to be represented by a clock.

      It is meaningless because those who effect change measured by this particular clock don't give a shit.

      Perhaps the latter reason is why the doomsday metric is still relevant.

      Looking for validation of doomsday? Perhaps you could review the fossilized evidence strewn across our entire planet...

    35. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Climate change is also not it.

      When the base of the food chain collapses due to a) ocean acidification and b) erratic weather behavior on land, we'll see about that.

    36. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's liberal logic for you.

      Also, I noticed Microsoft NBC and a lot of social media has been pushing the lie lately that the Cuban Missile Crisis wasn't that bad. I don't understand why that is an important agenda for liberals to push. Are they trying to make the current situation appear worse? I'm old enough to remember how concerned everyone was, including the president.

    37. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Scientists they may be, but science this is not.

    38. Re:Meaningless by unrtst · · Score: 1

      It should probably be closer to a minute from midnight right now, but what's their scale?

      Scale is my biggest issue with this "clock". A typical clock face represents 12 hours of time. Thus far, they have only adjusted it by minutes, starting at 7 minutes until midnight, maxing at 17, min at 2.

      IMO, that means they thought the introduction of nuclear bombs changed our doomsday scale from (I assume) 720 minutes until midnight (ie. noon) to 7 minutes until midnight. Since then, we've been living in the bottom 2.3% of the scale.

      Assuming I buy into that (that nukes permanently moved us that much closer to doomsday), then this latest move is a change of only 0.069% (100 * (0.5min / 720)). The largest change was in 1991 with +7minutes added, and that was only a 0.097% change on the scale.

      IMO, the should have done away with the doomsday clock long ago and moved to a something almost as silly but more accurate, such as the Homeland Security Advisory System (ie. Terror Alert Level going from green - blue - yellow - orange - red). Under that system, I'd probably put us down at blue, but I suspect the same group doing the doomsday clock would abuse this one too and we would have been in red since it started. That'd be fine by me though, cause there'd be no announcements of it changing by 0.069% :-)

    39. Re:Meaningless by Gilgaron · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The risk of cozy relations with Russia leading to nuclear war is that if the US/NATO isn't being the 'leader of the free world' and protecting smaller nations, they will be more likely to arm themselves with nuclear weapons to protect themselves from Russia/whoever. Once you've armed every little country with nuclear arms, throw in some Global Warming related crop failures etc to crank tension, and you've got yourself a tinderbox.

    40. Re:Meaningless by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Interesting

      iran HAD a clear path to nuke weapons thanx to W/fucking neo-cons.
      What O and others did, was delay in hopes that down the road more intelligent ppl would take over on BOTH sides.
      With the death in Iran and our election, it is obvious that we went the opposite direction. Still, it will be another 10 years before we have to be concerned about Iran (though they WILL build it).

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    41. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sorry, but there are some other countries with nuclear weapons. And if it is proven that Trump IS Putin's patsy, things could get very messy indeed.

    42. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      there you go.
      One of the brighter comments from the far right. Most far right comments are worthless, but you have it spot on.

    43. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It's more that Trump can't be trusted to be a check on Russia aggression, which could potentially lead to them using their nukes on another country, coupled with the possibility that Trump decides that might makes right and decides to bomb (for example) Iran into the stone age.

    44. Re:Meaningless by Empiric · · Score: 1

      how is this wrong?

      Is it more accurately said that we are a "half-hour from Doomsday", five minutes, or 10 seconds?

      Please provide specific scientific rationales differentiating these possibilities and the respective evidence for each as being most accurate.

      To use the common parlance, this claim is "not even wrong".

      --
      ~ Whence do you come, slayer of men, or where are you going, conqueror of space?
    45. Re: Meaningless by Salgak1 · · Score: 3, Funny

      Does anybody really know what time it is ? Does anybody really care ??

    46. Re:Meaningless by lgw · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It's been moved forward because they don't like Trump. That's fundamentally the reason. That's it. No fact. Just opinion.

      Seriously. Hillary was openly hostile with Russia, and while I doubt it would have reached the point of increased risk of nuclear war, Russia still has real nukes, so you never know. Trump on the other hand is, if anything, too friendly with Russia.

      And, sorry, but I just can't see climate change as some world-ending event. Maybe because I grew up Fearing The Bomb, but temperatures going up a few degrees and water levels rising a bit just doesn't provoke the same emotional reaction as global thermonuclear war.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    47. Re:Meaningless by Kierthos · · Score: 1

      It's very hard to read your post when you look like every other Anonymous Coward.

      --
      Mr. Hu is not a ninja.
    48. Re:Meaningless by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

      It is possible to analyze risk and represent it as a metaphor based metric.

      --
      “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
    49. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Given that the political climate probably has a lot of bearing on the potential for the use of nuclear weapons, how is this wrong?

      How does having a President who doesn't believe in human caused global warming climate change affect the potential use of nuclear weapons?

    50. Re:Meaningless by dcw3 · · Score: 1, Interesting

      The sanctions were working. And all that deal did was show how naïve people are when it comes to negotiating with tyrants. You think they'll all just want to sing kumbya with you if you hold out an olive branch. But snakes don't turn into soft cuddly bunnies just because you hold a carrot out. And to top it all off, we gave them $400M, followed by another $1.3B. Yeah, that's gonna help delay them.

      --
      Just another day in Paradise
    51. Re:Meaningless by LeftCoastThinker · · Score: 1, Informative

      This exactly. And beyond that, who exactly is going to nuke who? Russia is happy with our new president. China may get pissed at him because the days of them screwing the US are over, but unless they want to write off $1,130,000,000,000 in US debt that they own, along with $500B/year of very lucrative trade with the US, they will suck it up. China is not stupid, they have 200 nukes, the US has 2,000.

      The only real hazard right now is the 10 year clock that started when Iran signed the nuclear deal, which guarantees a terrorist fanatic regime nuclear capability in 10 years. Those crazy bastards want to watch the world burn and are happy to set the fire.

      --
      If you disagree, please post your argument. (-1, Overrated) isn't your personal censorship tool for views you don't like
    52. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/25/us/politics/some-agencies-told-to-halt-communications-as-trump-administration-moves-in.html

      Longtime employees at three of the agencies — including some career environmental regulators who conceded that they remained worried about what President Trump might do on policy matters — said such orders were not much different from those delivered by the Obama administration as it shifted policies from the departing White House of George W. Bush. They called reactions to the agency memos overblown. On Wednesday, Douglas Ericksen, a spokesman for the E.P.A., said that grants had been only briefly frozen for review, and that they would be restarted by Friday.

      “I’ve lived through many transitions, and I don’t think this is a story,” said a senior E.P.A. career official who spoke on the condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to speak to the news media on the matter. “I don’t think it’s fair to call it a gag order. This is standard practice. And the move with regard to the grants, when a new administration comes in, you run things by them before you update the website.”

    53. Re:Meaningless by lgw · · Score: 0

      It's a published opinion of a group of scientists, it's their way of summing up to the world how they think we are doing in terms of not self-destructing our way of life.

      I give 0 fucks about the political opinion of scientists. It has the same weight as the political opinion of actors and sports celebrities - none at all.
       

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    54. Re:Meaningless by dcw3 · · Score: 1

      So, I was about to respond that it represented global nuclear war, but decided to look it up first, and apparently the meaning has changed over time...

      Originally, the Clock, which hangs on a wall in The Bulletin's office in the University of Chicago,[3] represented an analogy for the threat of global nuclear war; however, since 2007 it has also reflected climate change,[4] and new developments in the life sciences and technology that could inflict irrevocable harm to humanity.[

      --
      Just another day in Paradise
    55. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Well, looky here! Dr. Manhattan in the comments!

      http://www.quotes.net/mquote/131767

    56. Re:Meaningless by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      It should probably be moving the other way. Trump isn't going to start a nuclear war with his buddy Putin. He might piss China off, but I think his own generals would restrain him and China is now maneuvering to be the adult in the room on the world stage, taking over from the spot vacated by the US.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    57. Re:Meaningless by dcw3 · · Score: 1

      It does cover climate change...
      Originally, the Clock, which hangs on a wall in The Bulletin's office in the University of Chicago,[3] represented an analogy for the threat of global nuclear war; however, since 2007 it has also reflected climate change,[4] and new developments in the life sciences and technology that could inflict irrevocable harm to humanity.[

      --
      Just another day in Paradise
    58. Re:Meaningless by WindBourne · · Score: 5, Informative

      first off, we gave them NOTHING, except what they were owed. That money was being held from the Iran Hostage Crisis and under reagan, we agreed PRIOR that it belonged to Iran and could NOT be used for hostage or other items. So, our sitting on it was useless.

      Per international laws, namely, nuclear related, everything that they had done up to that point, WAS LEGAL. They were doing NOTHING ILLEGALLY. So, getting a 10 year delay was about as good as it was going to go.
      As to the sanctions that Obama had gotten on Iran, well, we saw what happened with sanctions on Iraq. Most nations agreed, and then ignored them after some time. Hell, many American businesses with nice GOP contacts, were busy trading with Iraq.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    59. Re:Meaningless by x0ra · · Score: 5, Insightful

      people you disagree with != internet troll

    60. Re:Meaningless by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      I suppose there is a slim chance of him starting something with China, or of supporting a nuclear attack by Israel on some other middle eastern state that could escalate.

      Maybe they think he is likely to damage the UN further and that would lead to more dangerous situations.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    61. Re:Meaningless by Dread_ed · · Score: 1

      Based on the fossil record of extinctions, which arguably only records a very small percentage of the total species that have gone extinct since life began on Earth, the clock should be in superposition between 11:59 and 12:00.

      Or, in other words, if the system continues to operate in the same way the system has been operating for billions of years, we could be wiped out at any instant, and will be, soon. In geological terms we are already dead and gone; just averaged right out with the rest of the species that went extinct in this 100 million year period. Sentient plants will dig up our fossilized remains 600 million years hence, along with dodos, woolly mammoths, and Tasmanian wolves, and see no difference in when we were eliminated from the extant and active DNA configurations on the planet.

      Here's the real truth: There is no safety. Security is an illusion and a lie. It's not OK and neither are you. The universe is an infinite expanse of sterile uncaring desolation, devoid of even death, just waiting to extend one infinitesimally small finger of itself onto this oasis of life, the merest touch of which will completely eradicate all of mankind. Even the area occupied by life on earth is only a wisp, the habitable area a phantom, a limning of genetic flotsam precariously suspended over seething molten rock, trapped below stark vacuum. As a part of that wisp, you are not even insignificant. Statistically, you do not exist.

      Find solace in that, if you must find it somewhere.

      --
      When the only tool you have is a claw hammer every problem starts to look like the back of someone's skull.
    62. Re:Meaningless by Junta · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Because it's not based in data, just subjective opinion. It's a subjective opinion that I happen to share, but I can't pretend for a moment that I can quantify real imminent risk to humanity as an objective measure.

      It's an appeal to authority that isn't very well baked.

      --
      XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve the problem, use more.
    63. Re:Meaningless by GameboyRMH · · Score: 5, Informative

      It's a fact that Donald Trump has said some scary stupid shit about nuclear weapons. It's not just speculation to reason that the President of the US might act in accordance with his stated positions.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    64. Re:Meaningless by rahvin112 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You may not be smart enough to realize this but China is a nuclear power with ICBM's just like Russia and threatening to attack China's artificial islands in the south china sea is not a way to prevent hostilities that could quickly escalate to a nuclear exchange.

    65. Re:Meaningless by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      " They didn't base it on change to policy, just based on what they believe his policy will change to."

      Trump has stated his policies in advance. That's the point of having an election. It's true that he may abandon those policies now he is in office, as politicians tend to do, but policies he has already stated are still a close approximation for the policies he will now advance.

    66. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No shit. These hyperventilating anti-Trumpetists are really starting to piss me off, and I don't think I'm alone. Sure, he's not right about many things, but who the fuck is. There is no universal right and wrong, and trying to impose a view like that on others makes you just seem like a Nazi yourself. So please, do breathe, be quiet and try to learn what democracy is all about.

    67. Re:Meaningless by I'm+New+Around+Here · · Score: 0, Troll

      On the other hand, it's very easy to read your post even though you look like every other anonymous internet persona with a limited intellectual capacity.

      --
      If you think I voted for Trump because of this post, you're wrong. I voted for Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party. Again.
    68. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, and it's redundant. We
      already have DEFCON levels.

    69. Re:Meaningless by sinij · · Score: 4, Insightful

      No, the doomsday clock is very much meaningless. Basically it does nothing except signifies how unhappy the people who run it are with the current political climate.

      I have to agree with the above after reading: "The setting is the closest the clock has come to midnight since 1953".

      Really? We are now in more danger of all-out nuclear war than during Cuban Missile Crisis?

    70. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If Trump is Putin's patsy, why would he push the big red button?

      What happens when Trump and Putin are playing a round of golf, or sharing some of the finest imported Ukrainian peeing girls money can buy, and Putin says something that deeply hurts Trump's feelings? "My country is bigger than yours," or "You should embrace your baldness as I have," or some other statement that puts Trump's fragile ego to shame. Suddenly Putin becomes Trump's mortal enemy, as Obama did during the White House Correspondents Dinner, and Trump decides he'll stop at nothing to take his new enemy down. I can easily envision a scenario where in Trump's mind, the big red button starts looking very inviting.

    71. Re:Meaningless by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      Wiping out civilisation is hard. Wiping out mankind is a lot harder. If you only wipe out civilisation, then civilisation will eventually re-emerge. Probably quite quickly too, as records and relics of the past will still be around to accelerate the process. A couple of centuries later and we'll be right back where we started, except with the political map redrawn and a higher cancer incidence. Then the Restored Republic of Amerika and the Kingdom of Rusland can point their newly-made nukes at each other and start the whole thing over.

    72. Re:Meaningless by ClickOnThis · · Score: 4, Informative

      The Science and Security Board of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists did not change the position of the clock just from speculation, or because they "don't like Trump." They did so based on their observations of world events, including those surrounding Donald Trump. TFA quotes the Board:

      Over the course of 2016, the global security landscape darkened as the international community failed to come effectively to grips with humanity's most pressing existential threats, nuclear weapons and climate change ... This already-threatening world situation was the backdrop for a rise in strident nationalism worldwide in 2016, including in a U.S. presidential campaign during which the eventual victor, Donald Trump, made disturbing comments about the use and proliferation of nuclear weapons and expressed disbelief in the overwhelming scientific consensus on climate change.

      --
      If it weren't for deadlines, nothing would be late.
    73. Re:Meaningless by GLMDesigns · · Score: 0, Troll

      More, hysterical, mindless political posturing. Keep digging guys. Make yourselves irrelevant.

      --
      If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
      Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
    74. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In that case, I agree with the move, just not the timing.
      Trump should have nothing to do with it.

      Things like Robot overerlords, the upcoming singularity, being able to easily mass produce humanity ending bugs or nanobots easily and cheaply as we advance, all those are things that should push it closer. Not some "we hate trump so we are pushing it closer today" timing.

    75. Re:Meaningless by ClickOnThis · · Score: 5, Informative

      The position of the clock was not changed during the Cuban Missile Crisis. From the Bulletin's FAQ page:

      Were the hands moved during the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962? No. They were not moved during the 10-day crisis because too little was known at the time about the circumstances of the standoff or what the outcome would be. In fact, after the crisis, US and Soviet leaders installed a direct telephone line for communication, and within months signed the Partial Test Ban Treaty outlawing underground nuclear weapons testing—the first treaty addressing the nuclear weapons threat. On the basis of these steps, the Bulletin set the clock back from seven minutes to midnight to 12 minutes to midnight in 1963.

      --
      If it weren't for deadlines, nothing would be late.
    76. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In addition, I believe that Obama was the greatest president since Anthony Jackson and I expect that we'll see him on currency within the decade.

      - Archangel Michael -

    77. Re:Meaningless by jwhyche · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Totally agree with you. Those of us that grew up under the constant pressure of instant annihilation from nuclear attack just don't get worked up over climate change that much.

      But anyway this is what I don't under stand. So many liberals that I know are losing their shit that Trump is openly talking to Russia. Russia has many nukes and a delivery system that will work and will reach us. Why would you not want to have a open dialog with Russia? Seems insane to not have it.

      When we didn't have a open dialog with Russia in the 1960's we almost exterminated ourselves. We WANT to have a dialog with our "enemy." I would much better have a war of words than a war of nukes.

      --
      I read at +2. If your post doesn't reach that level I will not see or respond to it.
    78. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      citation needed.

    79. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It isn't an OBJECTIVE measure of 'political climate' it is 1 groups subjective FEELING of 'political climate'. IF you have some way to objectively measure that then go right ahead & share it please. Hell, I'm sure there's some way to turn that in to stupid amounts of money.

      Of course you don't have a way because 'political climate' is not a measurable quantity in any sense of the word 'measurable' so you're just being purposely obtuse/stupid.

    80. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >Also, given that chickenhawks tend to push militancy without personal experience in the cost of war, it's not exactly a surprise that when chickenhawks are in power

      You mean a chickenhawk like Obama who had the US military involved in wars in the Middle East for the ENTIRETY of his presidential tenure.

    81. Re:Meaningless by r1348 · · Score: 1

      I still fail to see how the risk of nuclear mass destruction is increased by climate change denial, and by the fact that the two major nuclear powers are now in much more friendly terms than in the last decade.

    82. Re:Meaningless by shadowrat · · Score: 1

      We need something like the smokey the bear fire danger signs we see in the parks.

    83. Re:Meaningless by jwhyche · · Score: 0

      Really? We are now in more danger of all-out nuclear war than during Cuban Missile Crisis?

      I highly doubt that we are. That is one of the reasons why I can't take this clock seriously. Over the past 40 years I have heard the line "we are closer to nuclear war than we have been since."

      Play with your clock if it makes you feel better. Call me when the nukes fly. I still have the sunscreen lotion and the bottle of tequila I was saving from the '80.

      --
      I read at +2. If your post doesn't reach that level I will not see or respond to it.
    84. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      " If Trump is Putin's patsy, why would he push the big red button? " - Because he questioned China's one-China policy, and that's a shooting-war issue? READ MUCH, TRUMPY?

    85. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "and gave Iran a clear path to Nuclear weapons" - When you lie does your penis shrink accordingly to your nasal growth? Tiny hands, tiny alternative facts?

      Let's face it : The Iran deal is the SINGLE factor reducing or delaying Tehran's procurement of nuclear weapons. If you can't face it, the facts?

      Then you're perfect Trump material. Yes, it's all Obama's fault. Dipshit.

      So, "give us money and uranium" or it's war! That's extortion, threats, and blackmail, same as North Korea has used. You're the ED suffering dipshit if you think Iran is actually going to abide by the terms of that agreement. All it's done is buy a few years, the end of which they'll be in a very good position to push their proxy terrorist agenda harder, and maybe even go to war directly with Saudi Arabia or Israel, with nukes at their disposal.

    86. Re:Meaningless by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      Then let me ask you something. Why are you actually commenting on political topics? I mean, your opinion also has zero weight, maybe actually even somewhat less, because you aren't as intelligent as an actual scientist.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    87. Re:Meaningless by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Russia disliked Clinton but she was competent and her presidency would not have resulted in a u.s./russia nuclear war.

      On the other hand President Trump just lost all the senior state department officials.
      President Trump is a huge narcissist and most of his cabinet choices are not chosen for competency.

      President Trump is emotionally erratic, rash and impulsive.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    88. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The connection between climate change and the end of the world is ridiculous....
      I would be much more worried about Pakistan

    89. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Everything is fine. Everything is fine. Everything is fine.

    90. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow! You mean the Doomsday Clock isn't actually a clock to Doomsday?!
      Glad you cleared that up for us, Dr. Science.

    91. Re:Meaningless by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Throw that tequila out.

      In 1980 Cuervo Gold was 'the good stuff', now it's piss. Not because it's gotten worse, but because Tequila in general has gotten much better. One concrete consequence of NAFTA and Mexico's improving economy.

      I know, I know, offtopic.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    92. Re:Meaningless by ClickOnThis · · Score: 1

      Is it more accurately said that we are a "half-hour from Doomsday", five minutes, or 10 seconds?

      Please provide specific scientific rationales differentiating these possibilities and the respective evidence for each as being most accurate.

      The actual position of the clock is not intended to be an accurate measurement of any kind. Its purpose is illustrative. The metaphor of a clock near midnight is intended to convey a relative sense of concern over world events. To put it another way, the actual setting of the clock is not as important as the reason its setting is changed.

      --
      If it weren't for deadlines, nothing would be late.
    93. Re:Meaningless by allcoolnameswheretak · · Score: 0

      Yes, yes. The association of nuclear scientist and everyone with a rational mind who hasn't given up on real facts instead of "alternative facts" is elitist and left wing biased. The entire world has lost its way and only American Conservatism remains on the path of truth and honesty.

      http://www.politifact.com/pers...

    94. Re:Meaningless by PoopJuggler · · Score: 1

      That doesn't make it meaningless. It's no more meaningless that the words coming out of your fingers, or any work of art, or editorial essay, etc... It's just not a "clock" per se.

    95. Re:Meaningless by PoopJuggler · · Score: 3, Insightful

      just doesn't provoke the same emotional reaction as global thermonuclear war.

      That doesn't make it any less real. The people on the Titanic didn't see icebergs as some boat-ending event. Until it happened.

    96. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      STAWP OPPRESSING MEEEEE!!!!

    97. Re:Meaningless by PoopJuggler · · Score: 2

      Yeah, because a nuclear war with Russia is the only conceivable route to doomsday.

    98. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      either the narrative is complete horseshit, or this newest setting of the clock is total propoganda.

      Both.

    99. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, basically it's a "butthurt meter" then.

    100. Re:Meaningless by lgw · · Score: 1

      , because you aren't as intelligent as an actual scientist.

      You're ugly and your mother dresses you funny. (Also, you have no clue what I do for a living.) Nice combination of ad-hominum and ad-expertum though - 2 fallacies in one!

      I don't believe there are experts when it comes to politics, but if there are it will be it's own field, not physicists. Political ideas need to stand on their own merits. But the left these days is so obsessed with being the Smart Tribe, and of course that's measured by whether you agree with Smart People (your betters), not by whether the ideas in question make any damn sense.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    101. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you don't like the analogy? Whatever. The point is that because we now have a hypersensitive, bloviating narcicist prone to reactive, uninformed decisions in the white-house the probability of nuclear annihilation has increased.

    102. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You gave yourself away as a liberal shill when you used the stale name-calling of "chickenhawks". You lose.

    103. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      China talked about new nukes earlier this week. A few weeks ago Russia "leaked" a new nuclear torpedo designed to destroy harbors and ports (Neutron absorption of elements in seawater creates isotopes that make the area completely uninhabitable). Trump has openly talked about revamping the nuclear arsenal.

      Those are facts. Those are real concrete evidence of increased proliferation.

      You and the other breathless Trump supporters that instantly flooded this post with slanted rhetoric are biased.

    104. Re:Meaningless by phantomfive · · Score: 2

      and no one predicts that human civilization will end

      Lies. Coal is the single greatest threat to civilization. He's a scientist, well respected, too.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    105. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think we can count on Russia and China to rein in the Iranians. They've got a lot more to lose than we do.

    106. Re:Meaningless by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      For 70 years +- the USA paid lip service to 'one China', while making sure that Taiwan was capable of defending itself. Developing into a MAD situation, just on Taiwan's military vs the mainland's.

      Nothing has changed except some diplomatic posturing, large investments by Taiwanese companies in mainland industry and one of history's biggest financial bubbles.

      We'll see how China feels about their artificial islands after their bubble pops and the next F5 cyclone rolls through.

      Remember, China is a command economy, being run to keep their industrial utilization at 100%...babes in the capitalist woods wasting Billions $US/month on useless construction to hit their metric. They will soon eat their folly. The next Chinese revolution will be a dangerous inflection point.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    107. Re:Meaningless by InfiniteZero · · Score: 1

      Sure, from the POV of a long enough time-scale -- that is, if you sufficiently compress the time-scale, all blips and dips get smoothed out in the data plot. You can't see the ~100 years of a human life span, or even ~10,000 years of recorded history of human civilization.

      But it doesn't mean we don't exist. You just need to zoom in. Again, it's a matter of POV.

      Same concept: Just because we live on Carl Sagan's Pale Blue Dot -- viewed from a large enough distance, it doesn't make daily struggles of yours and mine any less real.

    108. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "none at all"

      By a strange coincidence “None at all” is exactly how much suspicion the ape-descendant Arthur Dent had that one of his closest friends was not descended from an ape, but was, in fact, from a small planet somewhere in the vicinity of Betelgeuse.

    109. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Maybe because I grew up Fearing The Bomb, but temperatures going up a few degrees and water levels rising a bit just doesn't provoke the same emotional reaction as global thermonuclear war.

      Same. A global nuclear exchange ends civilization as we know it in minutes while climatic changes are something that we can adapt to (despite what sensationalist movies like "The Day After Tomorrow" tried to portray.)

    110. Re:Meaningless by lgw · · Score: 3, Insightful

      There's no scenario in which climate change is going to reduce the overall ability of the planet to support life, including human life. We know what a warm Earth looks like, and it's far more dense with life than the current Quaternary Ice Age.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    111. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Eh, while not all people you disagree with are trolls it does not hold that no one you disagree with is a troll. Anon posters posting inflammatory remarks are especially suspect.

    112. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "interfere with the productivity of large swathes of arable land"

      You mean like maybe extending the growing season? Or maybe increasing land that's arable? The effects of a warmer climate aren't necessarily all negative.

    113. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd say it's a wash. He's friendlier with Russia, but more hostile and provocative toward China.

    114. Re:Meaningless by Obfuscant · · Score: 1

      It is possible to analyze risk

      It is one thing to analyze risk in solid, scientific, quantifiable terms, and another thing altogether to analyze risk as "OMG DJT!".

      The "atomic scientists" are expressing their political opinions, and now they're including "climate change" in that metric. I could point out that none of them are climate scientists, which is one of the standard methods of discounting any disagreement about the consensus from other scientists who aren't "climate scientists". If not being a climate scientist means you have nothing of value to add to the debate about climate science, then that applies both ways.

    115. Re:Meaningless by Howitzer86 · · Score: 1

      Free speech and legal protests are a useful and democratic way of galvanizing the political opposition. Tea Partiers did it. The opposition here can and should do it too. Being quiet is not the way this works.

    116. Re:Meaningless by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      They should rename it the Chicken Little Clock.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    117. Re:Meaningless by meta-monkey · · Score: 5, Funny

      "You know, they said it couldn't be done. All the frauds at the failing New York Times, they all said 'Oh, 11:55, 11:56, closest you can get to doomsday.' What do these morons know? And then you saw it, you saw it right?! That guy saw it! (points to crowd, cheering) So then I said climate change is a Mexican hoax to send more rapists and I tweeted I was moving two carrier groups into the South China Sea and boom, bing, boom, just like that, 11:58! Happened so fast, it's so easy, it's so easy. (crowd cheering) And this is just the beginning, folks, just the beginning. We're getting that all the way up, to 11:59, to 12:00, to 1 AM who the hell cares! We're gonna make doomsday great again, believe me!"

      --
      We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
    118. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe its not Russia they are afraid the US will nuke. Let's forget Russia for a moment. Maybe CHINA, or Israel will do false flag ops to get Trump to nuke Iran.

      Maybe anti trump propaganda appears in baltic states and then Russia rolls tanks in and Germany gets itchy.

      The actor in the White house is a unhinged worse than dementia Reagan died as at the end, but unlike Reagan, he's not an affable sort of guy to start with.

    119. Re:Meaningless by jwhyche · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Russia disliked Clinton but she was competent

      I'm sorry but you lost your argument here. How can you call Clinton "competent?" She was the media and the Whitehouse chosen successor to Obama. She all but had the election in the bag, but she managed it so badly the lost to Bozo the Clown."

      For god sakes she was running a mail server out of her closet for state business. This woman was far from competent.

      --
      I read at +2. If your post doesn't reach that level I will not see or respond to it.
    120. Re:Meaningless by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Yep people only fear what can quantifiablly affect them potentially right at this moment.

    121. Re:Meaningless by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      If Trump is Putin's patsy, why would he push the big red button?

      Who says Trump will push it when looking at Russia?

    122. Re:Meaningless by meta-monkey · · Score: 1

      Those crazy bastards want to watch the world burn and are happy to set the fire.

      Yeah, mutually assured destruction isn't really much of a deterrent for religious fanatics who worship martyrdom.

      --
      We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
    123. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I definitely expect one or more huddled groups to survive most of the lists so far. Any catastrophe that leaves places with vaguely tolerable temperature and gravity will be survived. A toxic atmosphere or the sun blocked out are "Maybe". The global supply chain does shatter into crumbs, but tiny survivor pockets mean nicely concentrated resources. A space station (eg escaping gray goo scenario) with 100 humans left may not qualify, too low on resources, too low on DNA to survive a plague.

    124. Re:Meaningless by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      The complete annihilation of our existence is a religious definition of doomsday.

      Ending life as we know it is well and truly another definition, though the problem with global warming in this scenario is it won't be attributed to a day, but rather a couple of generations.

    125. Re:Meaningless by religionofpeas · · Score: 2

      Plus a thermonuclear winter could nicely offset the global warming...

    126. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Impulsive leaders are generally the most successful.

      Also, the left is tearing itself apart with their Trump-Russia rhetoric. Right now they are crying that Trump had Russia hack the election, Trump is a KGB spy or Putin's boyfriend, while just a few months these same people were convinced that Trump will start a war with Russia and chanted, "We cannot let this man have the nuclear codes."
      So which is it?

    127. Re:Meaningless by elrous0 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      They moved it forward several minutes when Reagan got elected to. In reality, not only did he not start a nuclear war but he ultimately ushered in the age of Perestroika and an end to the Cold War.

      The Doomsday Clock is nothing more than a liberal masturbation device. It's the liberal equivalent of a right-wing bible-thumper holding up a sign with "WE'RE DOOMED!" on it above some biblical quote about men laying with other men.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    128. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Percy. Percy Jackson.

    129. Re:Meaningless by Empiric · · Score: 1

      The actual position of the clock is not intended to be an accurate measurement of any kind.

      Okay. I'll be exactly that much concerned about it.

      --
      ~ Whence do you come, slayer of men, or where are you going, conqueror of space?
    130. Re:Meaningless by sycodon · · Score: 1

      Senior Staff:

      People that should be fired regularly regardless of the organization.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    131. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This whole discussion seems to have an extra GOTO 10 statement...

    132. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It's been moved forward because they don't like Trump. That's fundamentally the reason. That's it. No fact. Just opinion.

      Seriously. Hillary was openly hostile with Russia, and while I doubt it would have reached the point of increased risk of nuclear war, Russia still has real nukes, so you never know. Trump on the other hand is, if anything, too friendly with Russia.

      This is all you need to know about this analysis.

      Trump being a little too friendly to Russia, a dictatorship, is another yuge problem, but increased chance of nuclear war isn't a consequence of it. More likely him looking the other way while Estonia, a NATO country, is invaded.

    133. Re:Meaningless by Obfuscant · · Score: 3, Informative

      Really? We are now in more danger of all-out nuclear war than during Cuban Missile Crisis?

      The position of the clock was not changed during the Cuban Missile Crisis.

      He didn't say they did. He asked if we are really in more danger now than during the crisis when Russia was actually putting live nuclear missiles a very short distance off our shores.

      From the Bulletin's timeline page, we were 7 minutes away in 1960 (before the crisis), and 12 minutes away in 1963 (after). Today, we are supposedly 2.5 minutes away. The clock is set to indicate that we are in much more danger of an all-out nuclear war today than when Russia was putting nukes on an island run by a dictator in Russia's pocket that was just a couple of minutes (90 miles) from the US, and the US was conducting a naval blockade of that island.

      I remember the tension back then, the concern that it would turn into war. It was a major issue and a very very major danger that Cuba or Russia would continue and 1962 would end in hostilities.

      In addition, the clock was not changed in April of 1961 when the failed invasion of the Bay of Pigs happened, which was a major impetus for the later missile crisis.

      Having the clock one third of the distance today than during that time of active political hostility and military action is just pathetic, and is an irrational demonstration of a political hatred, not a scientific fact. The clock's position is not one of serious analysis of threat, it's based on "OMG DJT and we hates The Donald...". Just one factor that is being ignored in this "analysis" is that the proposed Secretary of State has worked with and knows the Russian leadership, so he understands them better than HRC ever could. But because he actually knows them he's a bad choice, as if we should select someone who has read books and briefing papers about the Russians but never spoken to them personally.

      It is propaganda promoting fear and hatred, and if it were a conservative organization doing it towards the previous President there would be a public outcry of "racism".

      The excuse from their FAQ page is nonsense. "We didn't know it was happening, so we didn't change the clock"? Head in the sand. And they ignored the Bay of Pigs which was more than a year prior to the missile crisis. They can't claim they didn't know that happened.

    134. Re:Meaningless by Captain+Splendid · · Score: 0, Redundant

      Those of us that grew up under the constant pressure of instant annihilation from nuclear attack just don't get worked up over climate change that much.

      Sez you. I'd much rather have gone out in the 80s with a 45 minute warning and instant annihilation than deal with the decades of increasing shit that global warming's gonna deliver.

      For those who still really don't get it: Imagine the Syria refugee crisis, only repeat it every few years with larger and larger numbers. No thanks.

      --
      Linux, you magnificent bastard, I read the fucking manual!
    135. Re:Meaningless by CylanR77 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's all just opinion, you just agree with them so you don't see it.

      the global security landscape darkened

      darkened is opinionated, non-factual language.

      the international community failed to come effectively to grips with humanity's most pressing existential threats

      Also opinion - what threats specifically? How did they fail to effectively "grip" the threats? Why are they humanity's most pressing threats?

      This already-threatening world situation

      How was it threatening? To whom?

      a rise in strident nationalism

      Implicating that nationalism is a negative political motivation, with no basis in fact whatsoever.

      Donald Trump, made disturbing comments

      More colored and decidedly non-factual language. No rationale as to how his actually rather insightful comments merit both being described in negative terms and how they advance "the world" towards war, nuclear or otherwise.

      --
      http://cylan.deviantart.com/gallery/
    136. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Climate change isn't "an existential threat". Moving in from the sea over 100-300 years won't even be difficult, much less existential, when most of it will be done by robots.

    137. Re:Meaningless by allcoolnameswheretak · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Also, the symbolic atomic clock is not just about nuclear annihilation. It also considers other threats to humanity as a whole, such as climate change. And the current US president and a great chunk of his cabinet are climate change deniers with the stated goal of pulling out of the internationally mediated Paris climate agrement.

    138. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >On the other hand President Trump just lost all the senior state department officials.

      All? Nope. Only 4 state department officials -- 3 appointed to their positions during the Obama administration -- resigned. Patrick Kennedy, who served with the state department since 1987 and was in his current position for 9 years under Obama, decided to retire when the writing on the wall about his status under a Trump state department became clear (he was going to lose his job). The simultaneous resignations from the other 3 Obama appointments is just for show and predictably hyped by the media.

    139. Re: Meaningless by WarJolt · · Score: 1

      Climate change != doomsday and if you disagree you're a troll.

    140. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      1. It won't because they need the US to buy their stuff -- tens of thousands of people, including the leaders, rely on it for personal wealth.

      2. Somebody has to uphold law of the sea, which disallows creating artificial islands for the purpose of declaring military or fishing exclusion zones.

      It is bluster and nothing more. Speak softly and carry a big stick.

    141. Re:Meaningless by jwhyche · · Score: 0

      I probably should. I've moved since then, several times, I don't even know what box its in.

      --
      I read at +2. If your post doesn't reach that level I will not see or respond to it.
    142. Re: Meaningless by cyber-vandal · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Our current civilisation is based around growing food in the current climate. If that changes dramatically before we can find new food sources the consequences will be devastating. Some humans will no doubt survive but how well will our civilization cope with such a shock.

    143. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >is a KGB spy

      This is hilarious to me. All these liberal journalists, pundits, policy hacks, (and a good number of anti-Trump republicans) etc. tweeting about the Russian intelligence service that hasn't existed since 1991. If they're gonna spout this silly shit, they should try, at least, to have some grasp of the facts to bolster their claims.

    144. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think their clock is wrong, if its at 23.30, wouldn't that suggest an escalation of a situation and we're on the brink?

      A more realistic "time" would be 12:00, or at most 18:00 - the guns are loaded, but no one has an intention of pulling the trigger at the present time or in the immediate future?

    145. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      that all came after the campaign where he talked openly about war with Russia.
      hence, the moving up of the clock when he won the election.

    146. Re:Meaningless by jwhyche · · Score: 0

      Obama had a terrible relationship with Russia and Hillary was practically calling for air strikes on Moscow. I think we'll be ok with Trump.

      I'm not worried about Trump starting a nuclear war with Russia ether. Trump is at first a businessman and contrary to what the rules of acquisition say war is not good for business. I also believe in the system in place. If Trump does go "off the rails" congress will step in and remove him.

      --
      I read at +2. If your post doesn't reach that level I will not see or respond to it.
    147. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No one predicts the ends of humans

      I'm pretty sure he was talking about the end of humans and you're talking about the end of our current society.

    148. Re:Meaningless by dywolf · · Score: 3, Insightful

      nothing to do with elitists, propaganda, or the globalist agenda.

      Obama openly talked and campaigned on drawing back from conflicts that Bush had gotten us into, and resisting efforts of conservatives to advance into all out conflict against islam in all corners.
      Hence, moving it back.

      Meanwhile Trump has openly wondered why we don't use nukes more often, thinks nuclear war is winnable, called for increasing our stockpile, and advocated for Japan and Korea getting their own.
      And you're f'ing surprised they move the Doomsday Clock forward some?!?!

      also, as long as we're dispelling the BS propgranda...we should address the other s*** you're peddling:: no he didn't give Iran a path to nuclear weapon, and why is it conservatives all of a sudden want to buddy up with repeated human rights violator putin after years of calling Obama weak for trying not to tick him off?

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    149. Re:Meaningless by geekmux · · Score: 1

      There is no such thing as doomsday

      Well, there is a doomsday but nuclear war would not be it. Yes a lot of humans would die in an all-out nuclear war, maybe even the majority, but it would not wipe out the human species. Not even close.

      Really? Last time I checked, the combined capability of just two countries on this planet held enough nuclear firepower to destroy the entire planet several times over. Not sure why you assume everyone would just pop off one round if shit ever did hit the fan.

      Climate change is also not it. Primitive stone age tribesmen millions of years ago survived far worse climate conditions than what climate change believers are projecting.

      Primitive tribesman did not have to survive nuclear fallout and try to thrive on a radioactive planet, which is the ultimate "climate" change.

      Let's stop applying Hollywood science here, because the aftermath script is not Mad Max. Not even close.

    150. Re:Meaningless by dywolf · · Score: 4, Informative

      Yes, the sanctions were working..... because the was the purpose of the sanctions .

      the purpose wasn't endless punishment, sanction for sanction sake, but to drive them to the negotiating table, and set back their program.
      and it worked: they came to the table, and they made a deal, one that verifiably sets them back tremendously.

      and we didn't GIVE them anything. it was THEIR MONEY to start with.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    151. Re:Meaningless by arth1 · · Score: 2

      There's no scenario in which climate change is going to reduce the overall ability of the planet to support life, including human life. We know what a warm Earth looks like, and it's far more dense with life than the current Quaternary Ice Age.

      We also know what Venus looks like.

    152. Re:Meaningless by pastafazou · · Score: 1, Insightful

      It's a fact that Trump is an unhinged leader?
      Definition of unhinged: mentally unbalanced, deranged.
      Please provide citations to verify this claim. Psychological assessments, previous public safety employment tests, or neuropsychological tests indicating he's deranged would be acceptable proof of this claim. Otherwise it's just your opinion.

    153. Re:Meaningless by arth1 · · Score: 1

      Also, the symbolic atomic clock is not just about nuclear annihilation. It also considers other threats to humanity as a whole, such as climate change.

      Which is why it generally isn't called the atomic clock, but the doomsday clock.
      There are many potential ways we can perish. Only a few of them are worth worrying over, and that would be the ones where we can do something about it.

    154. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Jaw, Jaw is better than War, War.

    155. Re:Meaningless by dywolf · · Score: 1

      a) the "primitives" barely survived, and not in conditions worse than what we're talking about.
      b) the Permian extinction was driven by climate change, change triggered by massive volcanism, but still climate change as the primary force impacting the planet and making uninhabitable for 95% of species. it also happened over a period of tens of thousands of years; we're on pace to beat that record.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    156. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe because I grew up Fearing The Bomb

      Shall we get off your lawn now?

    157. Re:Meaningless by pastafazou · · Score: 1

      So, at the height of the cold war, 1963, the clock was 7 minutes and 12 minutes from midnight, but now it's 2? I'd say it's pretty inaccurate...

    158. Re:Meaningless by pastafazou · · Score: 0

      You know you were lied to, right? http://nypost.com/2016/05/05/p...

    159. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Uhh, the part in bold pretty much says they did what you said they didn't do. The only 'observation' they made, according to you, is that Donald Trump has said things they disagree with.

    160. Re:Meaningless by Mab_Mass · · Score: 3, Insightful

      temperatures going up a few degrees and water levels rising a bit

      Sure, if you frame the issue that way, how bad could it be?

      Here's another way of thinking about it. Picture in your mind the difficulties involved in the number of refugees currently fleeing into Europe from wars in the Middle East. Now, picture the population of Bangladesh being displaced by rising seas.

    161. Re:Meaningless by bfpierce · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Maybe delusional is a better word.

      If you can't figure that out in the first week of press releases and twitter happenings you're a fucking brainless puppet.

    162. Re:Meaningless by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 1, Insightful

      It's a fact that Donald Trump has said some scary stupid shit about nuclear weapons. It's not just speculation to reason that the President of the US might act in accordance with his stated positions.

      Right. On the other hand, his predecessor helping Iran get closer to nuclear capabilities didn't move the clock.

      Odd, isn't it?

    163. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Let's face it : The Iran deal is the SINGLE factor reducing or delaying Tehran's procurement of nuclear weapons. If you can't face it, the facts?

      Really? I credit STUXNET to disrupt their enrichment programs a lot more than I trust some agreements they can violate behind our back and handing them a giant wad of cash they can use to fund the damned program.

    164. Re:Meaningless by arth1 · · Score: 1

      The complete annihilation of our existence is a religious definition of doomsday.

      I suggest you take a look at the piece of pulp sci-fi called the book of revelations. If it were to be trusted, lots of people will survive doomsday, and suffer. The faithful will be lifted away by the rapture and spared all the suffering.

      What's truly frightening is how many religious nutjobs look forward to doomsday. And they vote. For populists who pander to them.

    165. Re: Meaningless by cyber-vandal · · Score: 2

      I was thinking about the Day After Tomorrow and how it would have been a lot harder for the survivors to have sought refuge in Mexico if there had been a huge great wall in the way.

    166. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As opposed to Hillary's plan of shooting down planes in a Syrian No Fly Zone where only Russia is flying planes. An act of war against the country with the most nuclear armament is less dangerous than being friendly with the same power? Talk about false narrative.

    167. Re: Meaningless by ArmoredDragon · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I keep hearing that, and yet every year more and more people keep moving here to Phoenix because they don't like the cold, and we still haven't had any kind of movement out of even warmer areas that can't afford air conditioning.

      I could see people moving away from coastal areas, but frankly that wouldn't be anything new at all; the coastlines have never actually been all that constant, we're just used to thinking they are because we see them remain relatively similar across enough generations that we never notice how much they actually change.

      And truth be told, there are many former towns that are now under ocean water. It's only going to be harder to deal with it now because we've built massive infrastructures right on the sea line, where in the past it was small huts that were easy to move or just flat out ignore if they got flooded.

    168. Re:Meaningless by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      The metric is deliberately worthless to avoid value judgements. "2 minutes" to what? What are they asserting my chance of death is? When multiplied over 50 years, a 2% chance gets pretty large, and hasn't happened. So what's being measured?

    169. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      The doomsday clock has always been speculation. What's your point?

      It's been moved forward because they don't like Trump.

      Oh, so your point is "it's been moved forward while My Guy is in office, therefore the people making the decision are biased against My Guy". Thanks for clarifying.

    170. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's because Mr. Trump is Mr. Putin's poodle dog.

    171. Re:Meaningless by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      People who post disagreeable things because they like the attention = Internet troll.

    172. Re:Meaningless by tripleevenfall · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      I can't handle being 2.5 minutes from doomsday on top of Trump, Firefly, and everything else! I am heading off to the nearest university to find a safe space where I can color.

    173. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Gorbachov ushered in the age of Perestroika.

      Reagan was receptive to backing down on the Cold War confrontations. Possibly because he saw WarGames, possibly information about the Soviet over reaction to the Able Archer war games, possibly he like Sting's song.

    174. Re:Meaningless by Dishevel · · Score: 1

      So sayeth the AC douche bad so must it be.

      --
      Why is it so hard to only have politicians for a few years, then have them go away?
    175. Re:Meaningless by Jahoda · · Score: 1

      China may get pissed at him because the days of them screwing the US are over, but unless they want to write off $1,130,000,000,000 in US debt that they own, along with $500B/year of very lucrative trade with the US, they will suck it up. China is not stupid, they have 200 nukes, the US has 2,000.
      Oh really, is that what China is going to do? "Suck it up"?
      Those crazy bastards want to watch the world burn and are happy to set the fire.
      Really? It's Iran who is happy to set the fire? Not the newly-emboldened global policy "experts" who believe that diplomacy is "shut up and take it, cause we're 'murica?".
      Well, anyway, Mr. "LeftCoastThinker" I bet you've done well in your career and have many friends and personal successes. Your handle is great, because I am sure that you're the only smart person with all those dumb liberals there on the coast. LOL.

    176. Re: Meaningless by Deathlizard · · Score: 2

      Yeah. Because when I think of the bulletin of atomic sciences I think climate science

      I would be more receptive to climate change affecting the clock if the bulletin was pushing atomic energy research and development as a clean energy replacement to coal but it seems like they don't or it falls on deaf ears because the media is too busy using this change to call Trump Hitler than to report about their purposed energy policies

    177. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It isn't meaningless metric. It is a great piece of elitist propaganda that indicates how they like things at that moment. Whenever someone is against the globalist agenda they advance the clock, and when Obama took over, they love it, and moved it back a bit. Even though Obama pissed off Russia and gave Iran a clear path to Nuclear weapons, none of that mattered.

      It is what it is, propaganda, and as such it has meaning,

      Yup.

    178. Re:Meaningless by Dishevel · · Score: 4, Informative

      On the other hand President Trump just lost all the senior state department officials.

      See. Your opinions here are questionable because you base your beliefs on blind headlines from partisan sites. Then you spew it out as fact for the world to notice.
      Here is the org chart.

      The Undersecretary for Management and 3 others under him resigned.

      At this point you can realize that what you just said and your thoughts from what you just believed are really, super wrong when faced with facts, or ....
      You can pretend like it is no big deal and that all the rest of the information you get in that way is fine so there is no need to reevaluate any of your positions on things.

      --
      Why is it so hard to only have politicians for a few years, then have them go away?
    179. Re:Meaningless by rahvin112 · · Score: 2

      You're as big of a fool as Trump if you think China won't defend those islands to the limit of thier defensive abilities. The Chinese people would see the loss or an attack on those islands as equivalence to what the British did to them with Hong Kong and the public would demand a retaliation and there would be vast portions of the population and leadership demanding war.

      You do not have an understanding of Chinese culture, history or their political positions about the South China Sea. Unfortunately like Trump you think the Chinese can be bullied with economics over something that's not at all related and you're absolutely wrong. The "One China Policy" is the bread and butter of the entire Chinese political philosophy and they will defend it to their dying breath and have made it abundantly clear for 40 years that they will. America ignores that resolve out our peril.

    180. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Heh. You should probably should see where the new administration's sensitive data is currently served from.

    181. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      42.

    182. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OMG! Doomsday clock! Ooooh! I'm so scared! Booga booga booga !

      That's why I visit Slashdot -- for the incisive political discourse. Donald, is that you?

    183. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      silly wabbit, snakes dont eat carrots.

    184. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why is this drivel voted interesting? It's a gross, immature troll. I still see the Clintonites are out in force, remembering a comment one immature primary candidate made to Trump who hasn't mentioned it once since. It's still such a dear favorite meme of yours isn't it? Bless your heart.

    185. Re:Meaningless by Ogive17 · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I'm all for improved communications however his insistence in "alternative facts" is what really pisses me off.

      Trump thinks water boarding works, despite many in the intelligence community that deem it unreliable. I think he should be water boarded to see if he finally starts speaking the truth.

      --
      "Action without philosophy is a lethal weapon; philosophy without action is worthless."
    186. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Does anybody really know what time it is ?

      Flavor Flav!!!

    187. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You forgot The Big Swim.

    188. Re:Meaningless by SmokeyRobot · · Score: 1

      Not to mention that the change is based on speculation from talk of a well-known liar versus actual bombs being set off back in the 1950's. This is a well-crafted PR stunt and nothing more to compare the two time periods is simply insulting to a reasonable mind.

    189. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And, those so-called scientists are full of sh*t.

    190. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It worked for Kennedy in Cuba....so why not now? Or is it just ok when it is your Lib side that is bringing us to the brink of nuclear war.
      And excuse me global warming will not destroy the Earth. The Earth will be just fine. We might all die off...but hell that is probably gonna happen from a disease or asteroid such and they dont have a clock for that. This is more bed wetting by the liberals....even though they had no problem striking 26,000+ during the last 8 yers killing people all over the globe...but hey now that their ordained didnt win...its end of times.

      Really....no one who know history believes it is end of times.

    191. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The big difference is that nuclear attack is a man-made decision. We have control over that.

      Climate change is literally a force of nature, so there is no negotiating, no pleading with it. That should scare you more, but I understand if it doesn't.

      Are you being deliberately dense? Talking to Russia is good. No matter how much you demonize Clinton or Obama they talked to Russia. They just weren't fooled by Putin as much as Trump appears to be. With Trump any talk with Russia appears to be related to doing business with them to make it profitable for his company, which he still hasn't removed conflicts of interest from. With all the talk about Clinton's corruption, I am aghast how the same people turn a blind eye to what is even more blatant corruption with a foreign power.

      You were ready to lock Clinton up for talking to Goldman Sachs, why not the same for Trump? He is appointing a GS employee for god's sake.

    192. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "President Trump just lost all the senior state department officials."
      This statement by itself is FACT. However, it is total BS when you don't include the fact that this turn over is normal and happens every time there is a change in the Presidency. The top officials in the State Department are political appointees.

      "u.s./russia nuclear war"
      So Trump gets hammered for supposedly being Putin's BFF and that some how equates to the threat of nuclear war happening?
      Clinton's tenor at the State Department is one of the main reasons that US/Russia relationship has returned to the Cold War era. So of course there could never be a US/Russian nuclear exchange with her steering the ship? The chance of a US/Russian nuclear exchange has been raised due to the simple fact that nuclear weapons are the only thing Russia has to push the idea that they are somehow a world power. The state of California has a higher GDP than Russia and the California National Guard alone could take care of Russia's depleted and obsolete conventional armies. Keep in mind that US nuclear submarines and supporting battle group elements call California home.

    193. Re:Meaningless by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      Or, Russia isn't the nuclear superpower we should be worried about.

    194. Re: Meaningless by Triklyn · · Score: 1

      ... you mean weather patterns change?

      monsanto will find a way.

      i'm more worried about what will happen between india and pakistan if they can't get over their water issues on the indus, shits going to get nuclear serious real fast.

    195. Re:Meaningless by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      It's a published opinion of a group of scientists, it's their way of summing up to the world how they think we are doing in terms of not self-destructing our way of life.

      I give 0 fucks about the political opinion of scientists. It has the same weight as the political opinion of actors and sports celebrities - none at all.

      Understandable, and you are not their target audience.

    196. Re: Meaningless by lgw · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It won't change so very fast that current farmland becomes unusable in 1 season. Viable areas for farmland will simply move (mostly move towards the poles) gradually over the years. If we were still primitive, that could be disastrous, but we're not. Clearing farmland, fertilizer, and so on just aren't that hard. And shipping food is a very well solved problem.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    197. Re:Meaningless by SnowZero · · Score: 1

      The fact that Trump is a dipshit doesn't mean that the rest of us have to lose our minds. Many of my friends on social media have lost all ability to think or reason, and just pass through shoddy unsubstantiated articles as fact, which is sad because that's the problem with the POTUS that they are decrying in the first place. Fight idiocy with well sourced and reasoned explanations, and calm refusal to capitulate with the worst of it. Do not return in kind.

      If you look at the Science and Security Board of the Bulletin, you'll see that only two of the 14 members have an atomic science background, and only two more have meaningful nuclear policy experience. This is very different from how it was when it started in 1945. Most of the people there now are environmental and public policy folks. Only 8/14 seem to have PhDs (what many would expect when you say "scientist").

      It'd be more accurate to call it the Bulletin of Environmental Policy Scientists. In that lens their determination does make sense, as Trump will be nothing but bad for global warming. However a clock-to-midnight is a poor representation of a threat like that, which takes sustained and difficult work over a long period rather than a reduction of tensions to solve.

      Apparently Elon Musk has tried to float the idea of a carbon tax with Trump. While unsuccessful so far, that's probably a bigger impact than the Bulletin will have during this administration.

    198. Re:Meaningless by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      You just have officially declared yourself a self-righteous hypocrite. Thanks for proving my point for me.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    199. Re:Meaningless by neurocutie · · Score: 1

      "What's truly frightening is how many religious nutjobs look forward to doomsday. And they vote. For populists who pander to them."

      Perhaps as frightening is the notion, openly espoused by many, that, since the return of Christ and the Rapture are coming SOON, there really is no point in planning for the long term future, no point in saving the environment, invest in R&D and infrastructure, etc. And in fact, hastening the "end of days" would be a good thing...

    200. Re:Meaningless by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Yea you know.. people who served under bush, clinton, bush, bush, obama, obama.. let's get rid of them. They know nothing... Nothing!

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    201. Re:Meaningless by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Senior heads always submit letters of resignation as a matter of courtesy.

      Normally, they are let go before the inauguration if they are not going to be retained.

      It's clear at least one of them had intended to stay as of the inauguration and chose to take retirement.

      The most likely case is that Tillerson sent a secret email they couldn't tolerate as is happening in the other cabinet departments.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    202. Re:Meaningless by lgw · · Score: 4, Informative

      Do you honestly believe that's a risk? On the assumption you aren't trolling, let me explain.

      The Earth has a geological-scale carbon cycle. All the carbon in the air and ocean is something like a hundred-thousandth of the carbon in the rock cycle. Venus's atmosphere is not simply carbon similar to what's in our air, oceans, fossil fuel reserves, etc, but the result of all that carbon in the crust being released. There aren't any surface features on Venus more than a few 100 million years old. It's thought that the entire crust melted, recently (geologically speaking), and that this may happen regularly, as Venus doesn't have plate tectonics to allow internal heat to escape via convection.

      So, 1, Venus's atmosphere is a result of the crust melting, and, 2, the atmosphere is the least of your worries if the crust melts!

      Historical CO2 concentrations on Earth have been 10x what they are today. It certainly wasn't an ice age, but life prospered. In general, plants like CO2, to the point where, in the last warm era, megaflora supported the grazing habits of 40-ton herbivores.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    203. Re:Meaningless by lactose99 · · Score: 1

      It is an informed opinion by people who spend their life studying such things, particularly enough to understand personal bias and how to leave it at the door. If that happens to coincide with my worldview so be it.

      --
      Fully licensed blockchain psychiatrist
    204. Re:Meaningless by asylumx · · Score: 1

      Missiles are faster now.

    205. Re:Meaningless by AthanasiusKircher · · Score: 1

      And let's not forget that this isn't just "liberals" who are concerned. Last March, 100 senior Republican national security officials signed an open letter expressing serious concern about Trump. In August, 50 similar folks signed an even stronger letter opposing their own party's candidate and implying he was unfit to handle the nuclear arsenal. John McCain, former Presidential candidate for the Republicans, when asked about it directly, stammered out a generic answer about how the person the people elect is qualified. Other Republicans and security officials made similar statements over the past couple years.

      Whatever you may think of these people or Trump, it is simply UNPRECEDENTED to an open letter from large groups of major advisers from previous administrations opposing their own party's nominated candidate over fears over his warmongering and stated foreign policy opinions.

      I have no idea whether Trump will act on any of these things. But I think it's perfectly reasonable for people to be concerned that he might, as members of his own party stated repeatedly throughout the campaign.

    206. Re:Meaningless by SnowZero · · Score: 1

      Ok, I have a PhD relevant to doomsday scenarios (robotics and AI, from a top university).

      On the Bulletin's Science and Security Board, only 8/14 have PhDs, and most of those are related to environment or international policy. They don't have any scientists in the area of AI (overblown but nonzero threat) or biological warfare or disease (generally underestimated threat).

      Will you listen to me?

    207. Re:Meaningless by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I don't think that's the cause.

      First, let me agree that The Doomsday clock is just the opinion of one group of people. They are reasonably intelligent but they have their own bias.

      But...

      Mr Trump displayed a very casual attitude towards nuclear weapons ... that *is* a reason to adjust the clock.

      He displayed a very casual attitude towards nuclear proliferation... another reason to adjust the clock.

      He has an incredibly thin skin and is also extremely vindictive. Having a president with those traits raises the risks of a nuclear war by any standard.

      Mr. Trump showed incredible ignorance in the debates. This will lead him into embarrassing situations. And for embarassing situations-- see the thin skin point.

      Mr. Trump has shown incredible incompetence as president elect. He has 4,000 employees to hire. He didn't even do basic vetting on his nominees. He sent his nominee's late. He is way behind and likely to hire unqualified candidates. Based on his cabinet picks-- probably about 3/4 of the people he hires for the minor positions won't be competent.

      He's a real estate guy who thinks running a government for 330 million citizen's is easy.

      Mr Trump is a perfect example of the Dunning-Kruger effect. And since he's picking wildly unqualified cabinet nominees for about 75% of his cabinet, they ALSO suffer from Dunning-Kruger. He is so ignorant, he doesn't realize how ignorant he is. I'm not saying he's stupid. Ignorant means you don't know- not that you can't know. But he's not applying himself.

      And he's about to set off a trade war with the country that guards our southern border who we sell 236 $billion dollars a year of product too and who we buy many prebuilt parts for our major industries from (because labor is cheaper in mexico). You know a major cause of world wars? Financial crisis and economic depression. You could trace a direct line from Smoot-Hawley to world war 2- our only nuclear war so far.

      Stop cheering simply because you are on Mr. Trump's "team" and reengage your brains. He won. You can think again. Please start.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    208. Re:Meaningless by Altus · · Score: 1

      Citation needed

      --

      "In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women..." -H. Simpson

    209. Re:Meaningless by hey! · · Score: 2

      No, the doomsday clock is very much meaningless. Basically it does nothing except signifies how unhappy the people who run it are with the current political climate.

      Close, but not quite right. The Doomsday Clock represents the opinion of a commitee of scholars drawn from scientific and international relations fields about risk of some kind of destabilizing event, such as the use of nuclear weapons. It does not reflect the state of happiness of the board with respect to politics in general, although perhaps inevitably the assessment of global risk and happiness with the political climate are somewhat correlated.

      It is true that the assessment of the board is somewhat subjective. But something being a judgment call isn't necessarily the same as "meaningless". It depends on who is doing the judging, which you can weigh for yourself looking at the board bios contained in this year's statement.

      I was surprised to find out I actually know one of the board members. Herb Lin and I were both at MIT around the same time. He's not somebody I'd characterize as given to hysterics.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    210. Re:Meaningless by The-Ixian · · Score: 1

      No, the doomsday clock is very much meaningless. Basically it does nothing except signifies how unhappy the people who run it are with the current political climate.

      So, it's like amber alerts then?

      --
      My eyes reflect the stars and a smile lights up my face.
    211. Re:Meaningless by GameboyRMH · · Score: 2

      Obama got Iran closer to nuclear energy capabilities and further from nuclear weapons capabilities. But maybe you think trying to sanction Iran to death while just hoping that they don't develop nuclear weapons when they have nothing to lose from doing so was a better approach.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    212. Re:Meaningless by Dishevel · · Score: 0

      So you decided to ignore the fact that you stated that, "just lost all the senior state department officials" and that is was a complete and total lie.

      In what world does the head guy of one of 6 depts and 3 of the 10 or 12 guys under him equate to, "all".

      You were not even on the same continent as all. Making a mistake by believing shitty news sources is one thing. Continuing to ignore it when pointed out makes you a piece of shit liar. There is no reason to continue to communicate with a person so heavily separated from the truth. Do not bother retorting with some attack that has nothing to do with the lie that you knowingly perpetrated.

      --
      Why is it so hard to only have politicians for a few years, then have them go away?
    213. Re:Meaningless by whathappenedtomonday · · Score: 0

      > Those of us that grew up under the constant pressure of instant annihilation from nuclear attack just don't get worked up over climate change that much.

      Speak for yourself. Once you've pondered the aftermath of a nuclear war, you're more likely to realize what climate change is likely bringing in its wake.

      > losing their shit that Trump is openly talking to Russia.

      Oh come on. Let him talk; fact is that what he says means shit, it's what he does. People said we're doomed if Hillary won because you know, no fly zones!!!111!. Yea, I know, Reuters, yadda yadda. We have that "we're doomed!!!" clock and might well debate if it's any good and whose purpose it serves, but putting all thing aside, you need to admit that the world has not exactly become a safer place with Trump, albeit ubiquitous cries of "Hillary means WW3!!!!111".

      --
      I hope I didn't brain my damage.
    214. Re:Meaningless by lgw · · Score: 1

      Even if their neighbors decided to genocidally exterminate them rather than let them through, that's peanuts compared to the effects of a nuclear war with Cold War arsenals. But if we really, seriously believe this will happen, shouldn't we start the evacuation now, whiles there's still decades to smooth the transition?

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    215. Re:Meaningless by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Pakistan/India MAD so far shows you to be exactly wrong.

      Nukes force nations to grow the fuck up. It even worked on Stalin.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    216. Re:Meaningless by lgw · · Score: 1

      So you're saying that water boarding works?

      It's funny how half the country is suddenly waking up to the fact the the president sometimes lies. Imagine that, a politician telling lies. What is this world coming to?

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    217. Re:Meaningless by sycodon · · Score: 2

      Considering the state of the world, I'd agree.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    218. Re:Meaningless by Enigma2175 · · Score: 1

      What you say is all true. The biggest issue (at least for Americans) with global warming is the cost. It's not going to kill a bunch of people by itself, although it may kill a few extra with storm surges, heatwaves, drought, etc., but as sea levels rise we will need to either build up coastal areas with seawalls and levees or move away from the current shoreline. This will be hugely expensive, a large portion of our population and industry is on the coast. For low-lying poor countries (like Bangladesh) it will probably be the end of their country but for first world countries it probably just means a good percentage of the GDP will be going to mitigation efforts.

      --

      Enigma

    219. Re:Meaningless by PrimaryConsult · · Score: 1

      They moved it forward several minutes when Reagan got elected to. In reality, not only did he not start a nuclear war but he ultimately ushered in the age of Perestroika [wikipedia.org] and an end to the Cold War.

      If this is how things go for the next 8 years, then the biggest disaster we'll need to worry about is a shortage of crow to eat in blue states...

    220. Re:Meaningless by The+Grim+Reefer · · Score: 1

      Given that the political climate probably has a lot of bearing on the potential for the use of nuclear weapons, how is this wrong?

      The "Doomsday Clock" was set at 7 minutes in 1962. During the Cuban missile crisis the US was at DEFCON 2. There were US bombers in the air carrying nukes 24 hours a day in Europe. The Soviet Union was at the same state of readiness. Fortunately Khrushchev wasn't willing to see if Kennedy was bluffing.

      On November 9, 1979, NORAD experienced a computer glitch. The US thought the Soviet Union had launched multiple missiles at North America. The president's doomsday plane was launched and preparations for a retaliatory strike were under way. The Clock was at 9 minutes at that time.

      September 26,1983. The clock was at 4 minutes.A Soviet satellite mistakenly reported the sun reflecting off of a cloud over Montana as the US launching 5 ICBMs. If a Soviet Colonel hadn't thought better of it, they would have launched a return strike.

      That same year in November there was the Able Archer exercise. Able Archer was so convincing to the Soviets, that they readied for launch. The clock was still at 4 minutes.

      But Donald Trump is in office now. So it's at 2.5 minutes. The closest it's ever been. Because, he doesn't believe in climate change? While questionable at best, and stupid at worst, I fail to see how this makes us closer to nuclear war than any time since 1947. It's meaningless, other than to tell you what the people in charge of it are feeling.

    221. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      I enjoy how people take Donald seriously when he says shit about nuclear weapons, and don't take him seriously for much else.

      Are you guys ever consistent in your thought processes? Or do you just make shit up and troll people for fun like Trump?

      And fuck this doomsday clock. It is complete bullshit and everyone who has a brain knows it. The world is not close to ending, civilization is not close to collapse, climate change is not going to seriously effect people for a long time, and no one plans to use nuclear weapons.

      Jesus, I thought neocons were dumb assholes, but the progressive left are the biggest fucking blowhards and doomsayers. They're both anti science unless it's useful to push their ideology.

    222. Re:Meaningless by rtb61 · · Score: 0

      How about this for a time line. Russian forced out of the Crimea by global censure. Russians start dying in the Crimea (keep in mind the number of Russians who have died protecting the Crimea when it was part of Russia prior to being stolen by the Soviet Union, which according to US history was a very bad government). Russian government destabilised (US goal to open it for exploitation once again by US corporations) and then replaced by new government (government seen as weak get replaced by more aggressive governments, not sometimes, always). Russian government to mollify the very angry Russian population invades the Crimea. US government claims invasion of Europe, attacks, badly underestimating Russian military (as well as US military competence, a military driven by corporate profits, it only needs to look like it works and only really needs to work against primitives). NATO starts losing badly, really badly, panics and the US fires off a tactical nuke into the Crimea, claiming it is not a strike against Russia but a defensive strike into their own territory. Russia disagrees and fires off a strategic nuke, target, Pearl Harbour (to match the strike on the Crimea, considering the significance of the Crimea to the Russian people, plus it's an easy target) and everyone is hosed. Don't forget China will be forced to join in (might as well, US targets Russia they certainly wont leave the Chinese military intact and the government of China knows it), well, not everyone but a whole bunch, including surprisingly nations.

      Want sick how likely is it that the US targets all South American capitals, consider how weakened the US would be after a full Russian retaliatory strike, how vulnerable to a no longer controlled South America, you think those sick fucks at the top would take that chance, nope. For similar reason China would target surrounding Asian countries but so would the US, just in case.

      Aftermath, significant global armies would mutiny (their families were just killed), form an international junta and execute all those involved in nuclear Armageddon, including those in the military that used the weapons, all the politicians that failed to strive to prevent it (if you were anything other than totally opposed, they would hang you) and all the corporate executives tied to it (as many as possible, somebody always has to be blamed). Military trials, so they a guilty before the trial even begins (no bribes possible they take it all anyhow and tax havens and hidey holes, if they refuse to hand you over, exactly what do you think a global military junta would do. Attack, kill all the politicians and take those attempting to escape justice).

      Barack Hussein Obama the president who was thwarted in starting world war three, that is the uncle toms only true heritage.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    223. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've fought 4 of Bill Clinton's wars, 2 of Bush's, and 5 of Obama's. They moved the clock the wrong direction. Trump gets a trivial fraction of his money from war; Clintons got most of theirs from wars.

    224. Re:Meaningless by PrimaryConsult · · Score: 1

      I cannot comprehend what goes on in people's minds, that they are more concerned about nuclear war (of all things) in this climate than they would have been with Hillary (who was openly hostile towards Russia). The decision to first strike with a nuke isn't ever going to be a knee-jerk reaction, so the cavalier statements Trump has said aren't any more dangerous than the loudmouth at the bar shouting "turn the middle east to glass!" However, continuing to poke the bear as Hillary would have done would have a greater chance at us being the target of said first strike. And then we retaliate, and then goodbye Northern Hemisphere.

    225. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Baron's bedroom?

    226. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Obama openly talked and campaigned on drawing back from conflicts that Bush had gotten us into

      Yes, I fought in 5 of Obama's wars, but only 2 of Bush's.

    227. Re:Meaningless by Megane · · Score: 1

      the concept of a metric to determine the risk of nuclear mass destruction isn't

      That was fine until (as mentioned in the summary) they combined it with things that weren't related to nuclear anything, like "climate change". Now it's a "some things make us uncomfortable so we're going to change this number" metric.

      --
      #naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
    228. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Retard!

    229. Re:Meaningless by Koby77 · · Score: 1

      The doomsday clock is not a metric of anything. It unable to quantify the chances of any any type of event actually occurring.

    230. Re:Meaningless by unixisc · · Score: 1

      This is a meaningless metric. There is no such thing as doomsday. The World is not a clock. You are OK. Breathe out.

      Thank you. Leave these ideas to religion - every one of them has different criteria on eschatological futures.

    231. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      EXACTLY. I have no doubt that climate change will impact people, its been doing that for millenia long before we contributed to it. And yeah that may mean that it could seriously impact some small island countries who will have to take in as refugees. And guess what, this MAY impact some really rich guys in New York who massive towers...hint hint Trump Tower making them worthless, but the land BEHIND that 'above the water line' will be the new 'coast' and THAT land will be worth stupid amounts of money and we'll build new office towers on that land.

      And...and than you have countries that can actually benefit. Specifically Canada (and probably Russia for 2) where HUGE swaths of land are 'unlivable' today as nothing of substance can be grown on that land & the weather is generally bitterly cold even more so than the rest of Canada, I know that as I'm Canadian. I'm not saying its totally unlivable or 'below zero year round' but not even hardy Canadians even consider mass migration to live there. I'd have to google it but I know there was a study on economic impact of 'climate change' and Canada will be a 'net winner'...nobody wants to talk about THAT though because that totally goes against the narrative that 'climate change is BAD(TM)'...

      Climate change has always impacted us & will continue to do so & we will find a way to live with it. It isn't anything like the potential for a nuclear war in terms of total devastation of the human race.

      I try not to watch Alex Jones on CNN as I consider him an outright bigot/racist & he is certainly not 'fair' in regards to any topics he chooses to report on but last night I happen to turn over to CNN JUST as he was making the following statement about the Keystone & Dakota pipelines (paraphrased' "It is a fact this will cause immediate and permanent damage to Mother Earth" there is so much wrong with that I don't even know where to begin:

      1) It's not a FACT that the pipelines themselves or the oil that will flow through them will have ANY impact, certainly not immediately and long term if we think its a priority we will create technologies to remove CO2 from the atmosphere (which of course we are already doing) or capture it 'at source'. Not easy but certainly within the realm of possibility.
      2) 'Damage' is a relative term...the earth habitat may change, species may change - plant & animal...and of course human civilization may change that doesn't make it 'damage'
      3) Mother Earth can take care of herself. Not that I do love the place, but it was here LONG before we came along & I'll put my money on it being around long after we're gone.

      So I care more about the impact on HUMANS both now & in the future. And if as humans we need that oil that it will come out of the ground one way or the other. Wishing & hoping that everyone will switch over to driving purely 'clean energy' vehicles (and I use 'clean energy' in a relative sense) isn't going to make it happen. Nothing wrong in developing technologies to help it along, and when they are price competitive, ubiquitous and as easy to use I'm quite sure humans will switch over.

    232. Re:Meaningless by tsotha · · Score: 1

      Yep. It's a political statement, nothing more.

    233. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And here's one for you...picture in your mind a 'slow rising tide'...and you walking away...yes, literally walking. Bangladesh is not going to undergo a 'flash flood' to put it all under water over night.

      And what you are REALLY worried about isn't climate at all but humans being able to 'get along' so maybe we should work on that instead of worry about climate change....the outcome would be FAR more valuable.

    234. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Historical CO2 concentrations on Earth have been 10x what they are today. It certainly wasn't an ice age, but life prospered. In general, plants like CO2, to the point where, in the last warm era, megaflora supported the grazing habits of 40-ton herbivores.

      The devil is in the detail. For as long as "life" existed on Earth, "life" has always"prospered." The important question is at 10X the current CO2 level, what type of "life" prospers? Human life?

      What about sea level? How high was it? More importantly, humans has a nasty habit of overpopulating and needs a structured predictable environment to prevent mass chaos.

      I am sure plants and 40 ton herbivores can survived, but as a human who buys his food from the local grocery store and lives by the ocean, will I survive?

    235. Re:Meaningless by LeftCoastThinker · · Score: 3

      "Oh really, is that what China is going to do? "Suck it up"? "

      China's options:
      Option1: suck it up, accept that fair trade still boosts their economy and live with a balanced trade ratio with the US
      Option 2: start a trade war because the US is a less lucrative market that it was in the past, potentially lose $500B annually of their overseas market. Potentially lose over $1T in US debt that they hold.
      Option 3: start a shooting war with the US. Face the most advanced military on the planet with 2000 nukes and 10 aircraft carrier groups and 14 nuclear equipped Trident II submarines. China brings 1 million soldiers, 200 nukes and 1 aircraft carrier and 4 nuclear ballistic missile subs. When Saddam invaded Kuwait, he had 1 million soldiers as well. It didn't take long for the US military to decimate them. China has been working hard for the last 8 years to steal our tech, because they know that numbers are virtually meaningless on today's battlefield.

              "Really? It's Iran who is happy to set the fire? Not the newly-emboldened global policy "experts" who believe that diplomacy is "shut up and take it, cause we're 'murica?". "

      The US policy for a long time was to uplift other countries by giving them deals that allowed for trade imbalance in their favor. With the end of the cold war, those policies should have ended, but they didn't. No other country on the planet would tolerate such imbalanced deals and the US no longer can either. Your attitude reveals your complete lack of experience or knowledge on the subject. I invite you to go and visit Iran, since you are so enlightened. Make sure to advocate your ideals while you are there, and spout off about various religions.

              "Well, anyway, Mr. "LeftCoastThinker" I bet you've done well in your career and have many friends and personal successes. Your handle is great, because I am sure that you're the only smart person with all those dumb liberals there on the coast. LOL."

      Fairly accurate in your assessment, although there are plenty of other smart people out here, the problem with liberals is not raw intelligence, it is emotional maturity and common sense. Typically exposure to the real world and the economy (working, getting laid off, having friends in law enforcement and the military, paying bills, paying taxes, running a business, etc.) tends to cure these over time, but these days there are many professions (along with welfare) that are immune to many of the above, (or create insulating, self re-enforcing echo chambers), leading to emotionally immature, ignorant sections of the population with a raging case of confirmation bias and ignorant pseudo-righteousness.

      --
      If you disagree, please post your argument. (-1, Overrated) isn't your personal censorship tool for views you don't like
    236. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you only knew how many lives, disaster, and suffering nuclear weapons save on a daily basis. You ever wonder why the cold war wasn't the bloodiest war this world had ever seen? Because both sides knew that they both would be completely destroyed if they ever invaded the other.

    237. Re:Meaningless by dcw3 · · Score: 1

      "and we didn't GIVE them anything. it was THEIR MONEY to start with."

      Right, so we should give back weapons to every felon who used one when they get out of prison. Makes total sense to arm your sworn enemy. You idiots will never learn.

      --
      Just another day in Paradise
    238. Re:Meaningless by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      ... and China's ICBMs probably couldn't make it over the ocean.

      They've put numerous satellites--and people--in orbit, so no way they could take out Denver or Des Moines, much less DC. *eyeroll*

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    239. Re:Meaningless by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      Not to mention Trump's "pay their fair share" rhetoric that makes it pretty clear that he's more than willing to throw NATO/EU partners under the bus for a few bucks, which is exactly why Putin is so absolutely delighted to make nicey-nicey with him.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    240. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, China is really going to start firing off ICBMs because Trump had a fucking phone call with the kind-of President of Taiwan.

      You seem to think that these world leaders have the same temperament that you are displaying.

      Go fuck yourself.

    241. Re:Meaningless by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      Folks could benefit from recalling what Anwar Sadat had to say about trusting Russia vs trusting China some years ago. Still largely true today.

      [*Spoiler alert* Sadat trusted the Chinese a lot more.]

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    242. Re:Meaningless by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      You're off by some orders of magnitude: It just advanced by 20%.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    243. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The logistics is solved, sure, but if you look at the actual distribution of food in the world today: enough is produced that no one should have to starve, but people still starve. Politics makes things complicated. Hungry people are dangerous people, historically wars ensue when a critical mass is reached.

    244. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and clearing land increases co2, shipping is overly reliant on fossil fuels... I don't think you think enough about what you say.

    245. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's from thinkprogress.org, so it must be true!

    246. Re:Meaningless by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Clinton? You mean the one who insisted that Russia interfered against her in the election, and pressed President Obama to take action against them (including booting out dozens of diplomats)? That Clinton?

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    247. Re:Meaningless by Mashiki · · Score: 0

      Using think progress for anything other then to mock, shows just how deep in that ideological hole you are. They're very well known for quote mining, out-of-context statements, and outright fabrications.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    248. Re:Meaningless by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Syria, Crimea, Ukraine, Turkey... Yes, a stunning list of foreign policy victories by that crew in the last several Administrations! By all means let's keep that crew...

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    249. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I highly doubt your father was a watch maker in 1905.

    250. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      looks pretty senior to me... sure, not "all", but that was rhetorical hyperbole.

    251. Re:Meaningless by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Iran continues to deny the IAEA access and continues its weapons plans, even after President Obama's "historic" agreement.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    252. Re:Meaningless by Dishevel · · Score: 1

      Not even 10%.
      A Mistake is admitted. That was just a fucking bold faced lie.

      --
      Why is it so hard to only have politicians for a few years, then have them go away?
    253. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      'd much rather have gone out in the 80s with a 45 minute warning and instant annihilation than deal with the decades of increasing shit that global warming's gonna deliver.

      Wow, what ridiculous hyperbole.

    254. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Clinton, Bush, and Obama, the three most increasingly incompetent Presidents in the last 100 years. So anyone who has worked for all three only knows how to kiss up.

    255. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Prove it

    256. Re:Meaningless by AutodidactLabrat · · Score: 1

      The Guess of the wise contains wisdom
      That's why this isn't an Op-Ed from Breitbart, but considered and carefully analyzed response to insane people in the White House spouting pro-war rhetoric.

    257. Re:Meaningless by kenai_alpenglow · · Score: 1

      The "clock" didn't move, hence no citation available.

    258. Re: Meaningless by PoopJuggler · · Score: 1

      Mother Earth can take care of herself

      What about all the countless living creatures who exist in her habitat? Wake up. We are destroying that very habitat. Yes, the actual ball of rock and magma called the "planet" will survive a long time, but it's inhabitants are in grave danger. Countless species are already extinct due to human actions, the oceans have literally 50 percent of the fish they had in the 70s, atmospheric CO concentrations are sky high (pun intended), the list goes on and on. Hell, even the fucking ozone layer still isn't fixed. And the only reason any of this is happening is because of humans and their lust for wealth and shiny useless garbage. These are not alternative facts, these are the real kind of facts. The kind that will not be remedied unless we make massive course adjustments right now. It's not fair to future generations to trash the planet and expect them to fix it.

    259. Re: Meaningless by PoopJuggler · · Score: 1

      climatic changes are something that we can adapt to

      Hello? We're not the only things on the planet. If the bees die, we die. If the oceans die, we die. Not everything is about humans.

    260. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If Reagan ushered-in this new age, why does it have a Russian name instead of something like Reaganstruction? Probably because he had nothing to do with it.

      I mean, sure, Wikipedia isn't exactly a primary or exhaustive source, but Reagan isn't even mentioned a single time.

    261. Re: Meaningless by PoopJuggler · · Score: 1

      It's cute that you think rising oceans are the only consequence of climate change.

    262. Re:Meaningless by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 0

      Russia disliked Clinton but she was competent and her presidency would not have resulted in a u.s./russia nuclear war.

      Given that the policies and actions she and Obama implemented were the bulk of what led to the rise of ISIS (just to name ONE global-level failure that MIGHT YET continue to escalate into global thermonuclear war), I find it difficult to agree with your assertion.

      On the other hand President Trump just lost all the senior state department officials.

      Yay! No more globalist neocons. Trump (or his delegates) gets to fill those important positions as soon as suitable people are identified to hold the positions, rather than first going through a lengthy stage of sorting out and extracting those who oppose his policies - while they fight tooth-and-nail to sabotage the implementation of his foreign policy.

      President Trump is a huge narcissist and most of his cabinet choices are not chosen for competency.

      President Trump has a long track record of building a multibillion dollar commercial organization - by setting policies and picking people who can implement them successfully (or talk him into allowing appropriate changes if necessary). I'd expect him to make appropriate choices to do the corresponding thing in running the executive branch.

      And I'd be inclined to defer to his expertise in this, especially when it comes to deciding what qualities are necessary for each position. Even if it looks to ME like he's making a bad choice, I wouldn't trust either my contrary opinion or that of even alleged experts. Others who have had similar success might be able to give an informed critique, but even their statements would be suspect, as people in such positions normally don't make a boat-rocking public statement unless there's something in it for them that outweighs the costs.

      President Trump is emotionally erratic, rash and impulsive.

      As compared to Hillary? ROFL! As far as I can see, to the extent Hillary is more stable, it's in the execution of her program to amass as much under-the-table funding as possible. I'd rather foreign policy be operated by an independently-wealthy resort hotel magnate than as a for-profit enterprise.

      Also: The MAD doctrine of the Cold War is STILL part of holding off World War III. For that to work, the president has to look JUST crazy and volatile enough that he might actually "push the button" if provoked too hard - but sane enough to make deals and stick to them. The track record in business - and as the author of "The Art of the Deal" - has the latter covered. But to cover the former he needs to be VERY CAREFUL to keep looking just a little erratic and crazy.

      --
      Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    263. Re: Meaningless by PoopJuggler · · Score: 1

      So then every symbolic representation of feelings is meaningless.

    264. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And line 10 is just GOTO 10.

    265. Re: Meaningless by PoopJuggler · · Score: 1

      Can a real clock predict anything?

    266. Re:Meaningless by bongey · · Score: 1

      Robots look competent when you have 100s of people making one robot work.

    267. Re:Meaningless by bongey · · Score: 1

      We could just make diesel fuel out of them, problem solved. (joke)

    268. Re:Meaningless by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Yes, the sanctions were working..... because the was the purpose of the sanctions

      The purpose of the sanctions was to crush Iran's economy and bully them into surrendering their sovereignty for the next 30 years. Because, as the CIA and even Mossad will tell you....Iran had no nuclear weapons program. Of the two countries, only the USA was actually in violation of the NPT - for ignoring the disarmament provisions of the treaty. But you wont see Iraqi weapons inspectors searching Los Alamos any time soon to ensure compliance.

    269. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I imagine it's more like they're jerking each other off in the closet and Putin laughs at the size of Trump's dick.

    270. Re:Meaningless by Uberbah · · Score: 2

      We are now in more danger of all-out nuclear war than during Cuban Missile Crisis?

      Turkish Missile Crisis. The only reason Russia wanted missiles in Cuba was to counter the missiles the U.S. had placed in Turkey. That fact usually gets left out of the American storyline, though....

    271. Re:Meaningless by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      In reality, not only did he not start a nuclear war but he ultimately ushered in the age of Perestroika and an end to the Cold War.

      As has already been pointed out, that was Gorbachev, not Reagan. In fact, all Reagan's saber-rattling accomplished was delaying the fall of the Soviet Union, as it's easy to whip up popular, patriotic support in your country when another is openly threatening it.

    272. Re:Meaningless by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Obama got Iran closer to nuclear energy capabilities and further from nuclear weapons capabilities.

      Iran was already far from from weapon capabilities because the country had no interest in acquiring one. As even Israelis will tell you.

    273. Re:Meaningless by bongey · · Score: 1

      The left and right called out Reagan for becoming "cozy" with the Soviet Union. What happened? Nuclear arms reduced, cold war ended.
      NATO was to combat the threat from the Soviet Union , hint the Soviet Union doesn't exist anymore.
      You are an liberal idiot hack.

    274. Re:Meaningless by bongey · · Score: 1

      There has never been a country that has built islands to extend their sea/land claims.

    275. Re:Meaningless by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Russia disliked Clinton but she was competent

      How so. Her foreign policy work in Honduras, Egypt, Syria, Libya and Ukraine was a complete and utter disaster. Competent people don't praise the Reagan's for their work on AIDS - might as well tell people about your fond memories of David Duke's civil rights activism. Competent people don't make up stories about being shot at in Bosnia that are easy to debunk. Competent people don't run private email servers a mere two years after savaging the Bush Administration for...using private mail severs.

    276. Re:Meaningless by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      including human life

      Climate change makes for more powerful storms, that can kill thousands. Climate change makes for more droughts and floods, which can kill thousands more. A hundred million here, a hundred million there through famine and resource wars - probably wont affect you so no big whoop.

      We know what a warm Earth looks like, and it's far more dense with life

      Willful ignorance does not become you. Every mass extinction has come from rapid climate change that occurs too fast for most life to adapt. Even without climate change, humans are already a mass extinction event on a geological scale.

    277. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let's see hear.
      Trump is a billionaire. This is not an easy thing to accomplish no matter if he started off with a few million from his old man.
      Trump is now the President of the worlds most powerful country.
      You can hate the man all you want but an ignorant or stupid person does not rack up these kind of accomplishments. And the world needs to see the US flex it's muscles to remind them where the true power exists. The US has backed itself into a corner when it comes to international relationships. It should give the whole world a reason to re-evaluate what things would look like when like without US involvement. The US has been the whipping boy for ever problem in the world. All the shitty little countries do is encourage their proles to blame the US for all of their internal problems. Then they have the gall to proclaim themselves US allies to extort money and military protection.

    278. Re: Meaningless by ememisya · · Score: 1

      The difference is, the metrics used to move the doomsday clock are specified by scientists. Educated folk, letting you know, that we could all possibly be a mass of carbon, fairly soon. I think perhaps electing the giant meteor, with its running mate, Mr. Sanders could have been the better choice. Now we all have to listen to the baby with the golden hair, it'll be fine.

    279. Re: Meaningless by jwhyche · · Score: 0

      It wouldn't surprise me if he was running it out of the dumpster behind Trump tower. I don't believe anything he did would surprise me.

      --
      I read at +2. If your post doesn't reach that level I will not see or respond to it.
    280. Re: Meaningless by Your.Master · · Score: 1

      What are you talking about? On the front page of the bulletin of atomic sciences webpage are several articles about how that's a very plausible solution whose main problem is political, not technical.

      Excerpts, of which only the fourth of those options is somewhat negative on nuclear power:

      Introduction: Nuclear power and the urgent threat of climate change
      Wasting time: Subsidies, operating reactors, and melting ice
      The incredible shrinking nuclear offset to climate change
      What role could nuclear power play in limiting climate change?
      Can North America’s advanced nuclear reactor companies help save the planet?
      Safety first: The future of nuclear energy outside the United States
      The case for American nuclear leadership
      Kerry Emanuel: A climate scientist for nuclear energy

      The top news is the atomic clock, but more time is spent on the exact issue you said they don't talk about.

    281. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      might as well tell people about your fond memories of David Duke's civil rights activism.

      Talk to Donald Trump, he probably will.

      Then after being prompted, remember to denounce him, then a week later you can do the same thing.

    282. Re:Meaningless by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      I agree there is a problem with my assessment. When I heard a third of senior management left, I thought it was the poeple managing state, not the senior people on the "management" group which is below senior management..

      I.e. the term "management:" is over loaded here.

      I finally got hold of an org chart and it is like

      executive leader
      about a half dozen assistants to the executive and sub executives.
      --the text ABOVE is what I normally think of as "management"--

      Several groups--- one of which was called the management team.
      In that group, a third of the senior positions and the top person left.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    283. Re: Meaningless by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      That works when you have a few nuclear powers. The more nuclear powers we have the more likely we are to have nuclear war break out and/or to lose control of a nuclear weapon into the hands of non-state actors who can't be targeted by nuclear weapons.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    284. Re:Meaningless by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 2

      He started off with a lot more than "a few million" and you must know that fact.
      He's gone bankrupt many times.
      He's regularly cheated people who did business with him.

      You don't get bankruptcy "do overs" when you are the president of the united states.

      He's knowledgeable about real estate. He showed over and over in the debates that he is ignorant about foreign policy, domestic policy, and running a large federal government. Despite massive efforts by the Obama team to transition to the Trump team, they failed to even nominate unvetted candidates for close to 1,000 positions so far. And have made no progress on the 2950 positions you don't need approval for. The cabinet secretaries doing the hiring have none of the experience needed to hire qualified peope for those 2950 positions.

      Now he's talking about bringing back torture which isn't effective and is illegal and which the army and the cia say are ineffective and illegal.

      He's going to get a lot of young people killed unless he gets his head screwed on straight really quickly.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    285. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To phrase it otherwise, it gives you a simple indicator of the reasoned risk asessment of several highly educated, intelligent people, which do form an actual elite.

      At least to people outside the US, thus is still considered a good thing.

    286. Re:Meaningless by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      No, the doomsday clock is very much meaningless. Basically it does nothing except signifies how unhappy the people who run it are with the current political climate.

      Or the actual climate and the way politicians claim it isn't changing.

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
    287. Re:Meaningless by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      It's been moved forward because they don't like Trump. That's fundamentally the reason. That's it. No fact. Just opinion.

      Seriously. Hillary was openly hostile with Russia, and while I doubt it would have reached the point of increased risk of nuclear war, Russia still has real nukes, so you never know. Trump on the other hand is, if anything, too friendly with Russia.

      Oh, so the world is safe because Trump won't turn the nukes against his ally? Too bad there are more countries than just the US and Russia, and that Trump is easily enraged, has an itchy finger and the nuclear launch button is now right next to his twitter app.

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
    288. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well apparently Podesta disagreed with you about the Iran deal: http://www.nbcchicago.com/news/local/Leaked-Clinton-Campaign-E-Mail-References-Kirk-Quote-on-Iran-Deal-396874011.html

      (Yeah I know... don't look the Russians did it etc.)

    289. Re:Meaningless by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      There's no scenario in which climate change is going to reduce the overall ability of the planet to support life, including human life. We know what a warm Earth looks like, and it's far more dense with life than the current Quaternary Ice Age.

      Oh? And humans could have lived on on this warm Earth? Because the largest mammals back then were rat sized, and dinosaurs roamed the world. So what are you, a rat or a dino?

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
    290. Re: Meaningless by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      It won't change so very fast that current farmland becomes unusable in 1 season.

      It doesn't has to become "unusable". It only has to become unsuitable for the crops grown before. Because the farmer's tools are tailored for those crops, and they don't make enough to either change those machines or move a hundred miles north and buy all new farmland.

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
    291. Re:Meaningless by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      The Earth has a geological-scale carbon cycle.

      And we fucked it up. The End.

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
    292. Re:Meaningless by jandersen · · Score: 2

      There's no scenario in which climate change is going to reduce the overall ability of the planet to support life, including human life.

      Well, sure, but how much? We are in the beginnings of a major extinction event (this is something most, if not all scientists appear to agree on), and sure, on geological timescales, new species will evolve quickly - a few million years or so. People have always imagined that we could essentially let the whole ecosystem die around us without any major consequences for us - unfortunately it isn't true. Life depends strongly on other life, and if the ecosystem collapses, it will affect all parts, including humanity. Will we be able to support a human population of 5 - 10 billion in that situation? I don't know, but I wouldn't bet on it. The extinction of mankind is not unthinkable; maybe not likely, but how close to 0 do you want to go?

      We know what a warm Earth looks like, and it's far more dense with life than the current Quaternary Ice Age.

      We know what is looks like after it has had time to adjust. The problem with the current, anthropogenic climate change is that it happens very fast; in the past, nature had has time to move with the change in climate. A species of forest trees can move north, if it has time to spread by seeds, but we have every reason to think that this time it happens too fast; plus, of course, we contribute to the destruction of ecosystems in so many other ways. We have, since the start of the industrial revolution, seen quite a marked change, and that is no more than, say, 250 years ago, to be generous. There are well reasoned arguments for thinking that climate change will start off slowly, then accelerate near exponentially, before slowing down again, reaching a new level. I think we can survive it - well, some of us - but I don't think it will be a lot of fun.

    293. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They're probably capitalizing on the Trump hate by knowing the media will have a frenzy over it.

      That said, the interaction I'm most afraid of is North Korea. They are actually crazy enough to do something if Trump pisses them off. And I'm saying this as someone who voted for Trump.

    294. Re:Meaningless by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      Citation needed

      Breitbart.com - oh, you meamt something to be taken seriously?

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
    295. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not that they know nothing, it's that they have served in those positions through multiple previous administrations and nothing has changed. Cleaning house can be a very good thing. While there is a place for the so called diplomatic processes, sometimes the diplomats get so entrenched in those processes that meaningful change is impossible because it isn't found within those processes.

      Good riddance to those who chose to quit, they were likely to be fired by the new Sec State anyway.

    296. Re:Meaningless by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      I know it's a biased source, unfortunately the only one with such an expansive compilation of statements, so I've verified them all. That's called using facts rather than acting on partisan reflex. I linked to Breitbart a couple weeks ago if it makes you feel better.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    297. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why would Israel bother with a false flag op to get Trump to Nuke Iran? They've said that they will not allow another nuclear power to rise in the region. They proved this in the 80's by bombing an Iraqi reactor under construction. If they feel threatened they don't wait for false flag ops that may or may not work, they simply strike. They have the capability and can do so with either conventional weapons or with their own nukes.

    298. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Some might say that a politician acting in accordance with his stated positions is a purely hypothetical scenario.

    299. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I hear Venus is especially nice this time of year...

    300. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not really, rockets are rockets. And they were a lot closer in 62 (90 miles from Miami)

    301. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Metrics? What Metrics? It's a political opinion tool that is far from accurate, we were far closer to doomsday in the early 60's than we are today but the clock is set far closer than we were back then.

    302. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It makes them a racist, bigot, homophobe, xenophobe, agoraphobe, anti open source, and pro-DMCA.

    303. Re:Meaningless by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      Seriously. Hillary was openly hostile with Russia, and while I doubt it would have reached the point of increased risk of nuclear war, Russia still has real nukes, so you never know. Trump on the other hand is, if anything, too friendly with Russia.

      Trump and Hillary had similar strategies. They wanted a plausible external enemy that they could blame. Hillary was smarter, because she picked Russia when Trump picked China. The US economy could easily survive complete isolation from Russia, but couldn't survive isolation from China without a lot of careful planning (China has either the second or third highest GDP, depending on whether you count the EU as a single entity or not, Russia comes in 12th, even behind Italy).

      Unfortunately, the converse is also true: if Trump damages US-China trade, then it's going to hurt China about as much as it will hurt the USA, and China is a country with a strong military, nuclear weapons, a surplus of men (about a hundred more military-age men than women of similar age) and a need to present the ruling elite as infallible. That's not a good combination.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    304. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That happened because the Soviet economy was already in big trouble and needed reforms in society to begin repairing the damage. However, Reagans escalation almost did result in a nuclear exchange in 1983.
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1983_Soviet_nuclear_false_alarm_incident

      The world lucked out and nuclear war didn't happen.

    305. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You have the most clearly written and factual explanation to the matter. Yet Trump supporter will still say you're wrong. They just can't seem to see any of his flaws.

    306. Re: Meaningless by Salgak1 · · Score: 1
    307. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      pizza, clocks, shemales, damm son, these liberals masturbate to really fucking weird shit

    308. Re: Meaningless by Stuarticus · · Score: 1

      Monsanto will find a way alright, a way to make money out of it.

      --
      If you think someone isn't free to have a different definition of "freedom" you may be a tyrant.
    309. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The future generations can screw themselves. What have they ever done for us?

    310. Re:Meaningless by Shane_Optima · · Score: 1

      We are now in more danger of all-out nuclear war than during Cuban Missile Crisis?

      Turkish Missile Crisis. The only reason Russia wanted missiles in Cuba was to counter the missiles the U.S. had placed in Turkey. That fact usually gets left out of the American storyline, though....

      I hate to correct your "America is just as bad" whatabout-ing, but the crisis was the standoff itself, which did not occur near Turkey but rather near Cuba. Incidentally, during that crisis only one of the sides is known to be armed with nuclear torpedoes, and they came very, very close to firing them at the other side.

      Not saying that it was a good idea for us to put Jupiter missiles in Turkey, but trying to retcon the location of the blockade and subsequent standoff is dumb.

    311. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We gas them. Problem solved.

    312. Re:Meaningless by Dishevel · · Score: 1

      One of SIX groups, not several. The head guy of one of six groups and three of the 10 under him resigned. This is an accurate statement.
      So out of the six groups of people in one single group 4 out of 11 positions resigned. Even if you ignore the the fact that it is just one of six groups it is significantly less than half, which when put up next to shit like, "ALL" means that they are lying on purpose.

      Still waiting for the apology for spreading massive lies as fact.

      --
      Why is it so hard to only have politicians for a few years, then have them go away?
    313. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The frog fears boiling hot water and will struggle to save itself against touching boiling water. Yet the frog boils to death in a slowly boiled pot. Thanks for proving you are the frog.

    314. Re:Meaningless by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      Perhaps the real answer would be for the Atomic Scientists to give them personal experience in the cost of war.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    315. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you honestly believe that's a risk? On the assumption you aren't trolling, let me explain.

      The Earth has a geological-scale carbon cycle. All the carbon in the air and ocean is something like a hundred-thousandth of the carbon in the rock cycle. Venus's atmosphere is not simply carbon similar to what's in our air, oceans, fossil fuel reserves, etc, but the result of all that carbon in the crust being released. There aren't any surface features on Venus more than a few 100 million years old. It's thought that the entire crust melted, recently (geologically speaking), and that this may happen regularly, as Venus doesn't have plate tectonics to allow internal heat to escape via convection.

      So, 1, Venus's atmosphere is a result of the crust melting, and, 2, the atmosphere is the least of your worries if the crust melts!

      Historical CO2 concentrations on Earth have been 10x what they are today. It certainly wasn't an ice age, but life prospered. In general, plants like CO2, to the point where, in the last warm era, megaflora supported the grazing habits of 40-ton herbivores.

      Based on what facts was carbon 10x todays limits. From the science we have, the concentration of CO2 was less than 300 ppm for over 600,000 years until the age of industrialization. Now we're topping 400 ppm. We're in unchartered territory. Last I checked, who gives a damn if 40-ton herbivores that are extinct could survive in a climate mankind is creating. The salient point here is preventing the extinction of mankind and the living organisms we depend on for survival. I would point these facts out using Nasa's data, but I'm sure El Cheeto has scrubbed those websites now.

    316. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We WANT to have a dialog with our "enemy."

      Why must we consider Russia our enemy?

    317. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This. Add to the list his willingness to believe in whatever "alternative facts" he wants to believe. I mean, just because millions of Americans who have died are still on voter registration rolls, that counts as fraud? Really? How irresponsible of people to not deregister before they die.

    318. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think you mean mathematical models that included temperatures (which have not actually gone up) as part of their input. The whole "hockeystick" crap was debunked a long time ago by simple investigation into the sensors that reported the raise in temperatures. They were modified at that time in ways that would cause inaccurate readings -- such as being placed too close to black asphalt in the sun.

      Accepting faulty data as fact is not science.
      Clearly the Doomsday clock folks are highly politicized, and have an axe to grind. This makes them irrelevant to any meaningful conversation.

    319. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Competent?

      So "C" is for Cookies, right? Yes, Mrs. Competent claims to not understand classified material.

      She's not even a competent at her most used tool -- lying.

    320. Re:Meaningless by fropenn · · Score: 2

      People are bad at estimating true risk, particularly when it compares something dramatic (like an airplane crash) and something more mundane (like a car crash). This can cause people to change behavior toward the thing that is actually more risky (e.g., driving on a long trip instead of flying - driving is much more dangerous mile per mile).

      Global thermonuclear war is certainly a dramatic, and important, threat to our survival as a species. But, the chance of it occurring is small compared to the risk from climate change (which is already happening, perhaps irreversibly).

    321. Re: Meaningless by lgw · · Score: 1

      Vast agribusiness corporations have plenty of money to retire their southernmost fields and acquire some land to the north. And that's what farming is in the modern era - large corporations. Efficiency of scale is what makes food so cheap (OK, probably less cheap if we actually remove illegals from the workforce, but that's a different problem).

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    322. Re:Meaningless by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      It's an evaluation of what some intelligent people think about something they've considered. Nothing more, nothing less.

      It's not a matter of "not liking Trump", it's a matter of evaluating how likely he is to start a really big war. He has no apparent filtering over what he says and tweets, so in a tense diplomatic situation there's a decent chance he'll inadvertantly screw things up. His foreign policy may or may not increase the chance of war (he seems much friendlier towards the Russians than his predecessors, which could reduce tensions and/or could induce Putin to push harder and raise tensions), but he seems a lot less likely to change his policy on the basis of events. His protectionist policies are likely to hurt a lot of economies. He seems less likely to back down from a confrontation. He's likely to do things like publicly support Taiwan that could start conflicts.

      In short, there are good reasons to think President Trump is more likely to get us into a nuclear war than other Presidents. The conclusion may not be accurate, but it's reasonable to believe it.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    323. Re:Meaningless by lgw · · Score: 1

      Ha, no. Even if we burned all the known fossil fuel reserves, it's not even a rounding error in the rock cycle. Won't help us any, since we're talking about geological time scales, but releasing all of the carbon "above the crust" (oceans, life, whatever), plus all the coal, oil, etc, all at once, won't even be noticed on that scale.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    324. Re:Meaningless by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      So far, we've managed to avoid nuclear war for over seventy years. While it would be an incredible disaster, it appears to be avoidable. Global warming and climate change are happening, and although the effects aren't nearly as bad it seems more of a worry to me. This is not 1962, when it looked like nuclear war was very likely to happen and how much the climate would change was very speculative, some people projecting that increased particulates in the air might counteract the increased carbon dioxide.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    325. Re:Meaningless by david_thornley · · Score: 0

      She lost the electoral vote, not by much, after interference from Wikileaks, likely Russia, and the FBI director. There's statistical evidence of vote fraud in some states that were pretty close (as in counties with easily hackable voting machines seeming more pro-Trump than expected). Republican efforts to suppress votes that are probably Democratic continue. Currently, the Republicans are much more involved in manipulating elections than Democrats (although this has not always been the case).

      Large government departments had pretty miserable internal IT services for some time, and there was no strong reason for Clinton not to run her own server. It's fascinating to see problems attributed to Clinton while ignoring worse ones on the part of Trump.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    326. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I live in Utah. What climate change means for me is different that what it means for everyone else. Some call it a problem. I see zero problem in warmer climate. I only see benefits.

      When I hear: Rising coastlines, I think, if rising coastlines results in death valley becoming part of the ocean, then that means a 6 hour drive to the beach instead of an 11 hour drive to the beach. Good news.

      When I hear, warmer temperatures, I think, great less harsh and snowy winters. I don't ski. Skying wouldn't go away, it would just move further north. Utah benefits from the Sku resort industry but really, Mormonism is the strongest economic driver and will not go away.

      When I hear drought, I laugh. California takes most of Utah's water, and we are the dryest state in the US. If California is mostly swallowed up by rising oceans, that means a net positive more water in Utah. Less total. I also think, gee, we pump gass all over the country. We can pump ocean water into the Great Salt Lake. We need to do that regardless of climate change. So the closer the coastly, the less costly that is for me.

      So climate change might be happening, but let's stop pretending it is a problem for everyone. For everyone not on a coastline, or not near the equator, it is a good thing.

    327. Re:Meaningless by lgw · · Score: 1

      600,000 years? We're talking geology. 600,000 years ago until today is just the tail end of the Quaternary ice age. There's been ice at the poles the whole time, and ice covering a big chunk of the Earth, interrupted every 100k years by brief inter-glacial eras, like the one we're in.

      In a warm period, there's no ice at the poles. During the Silurian period atmospheric CO2 reached 4500 ppm. Life was simple, because of the mass extinction event at the end or the Ordovician (thought to be due to very extensive and sudden glaciation, which in turn caused the high CO2 levels, which in turn brought temps back up to something livable).

      who gives a damn if 40-ton herbivores that are extinct could survive in a climate mankind is creating. The salient point here is preventing the extinction of mankind and the living organisms we depend on for survival.

      You understand that the larger the herbivore, the more dense and rapid plant growth is required to support it? Plants grow like crazy in a high CO2 environment (you do understand that plants are made of the carbon from CO2, right?). We're omnivorous, we'll certainly have something to eat. Even if we fully transition to a worldwide tropical climate (which would take thousands of years), there's plenty of current food that grows in a tropical climate.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    328. Re:Meaningless by easyTree · · Score: 1

      This is a meaningless metric. There is no such thing as doomsday. The World is not a clock. You are OK. Breathe out.

      I propose a meta-doomsday clock where the closer to midnight, the more relevant the wrapped doomsday-clock concept. It's six pm.

    329. Re:Meaningless by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      We aren't going to turn into Venus.

      The amount of carbon in the rocks is irrelevant. What's important now is the amount in the atmosphere and the oceans.

      CO2 levels on Earth have been much, much higher than we have today, but modern life has evolved for relatively modern CO2 levels, and a rapid return to the old maximum is going to cause some real serious problems ("rapid", in this case, meaning faster than evolution can adapt, which is likey at least in the tens of thousands of years). Moreover, the Sun was noticeably dimmer in those days, so we'd be noticeably warmer than in those days.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    330. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Definitely not a a Trump supporter, but I really don't see anything unreasonable about what he's said in your link. If anything, it's actually reassuring that he seems to take the negative consequences of nuclear weapons and war in general very seriously.

    331. Re:Meaningless by lgw · · Score: 1

      Warm is vastly easier than cold. Larger mammals would just have been tasty snacks at the time, so we didn't see larger until niches opened up.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    332. Re:Meaningless by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      It is opinion, but it's the opinion of intelligent people who educate themselves on the situation and think about it.

      The threats they mentioned were nuclear war and climate change. You just removed them so you could say they were vague about them, a really cheap rhetorical trick.

      The world situation is already threatening to people. Climate change is going largely unchecked, and there are plenty of international tensions that could lead to war.

      Nationalism may or may not be a good thing in some situations, but it does seem to foster wars. It tends to fuel arms races, which are dangerous, and it can interfere with international trade, which has a peaceful effect.

      Again, you made the intellectually pants-on-fire decision to remove what they said about why Trump's comments were disturbing, and complaining about it.

      Overall grade: B-. You need to work harder on your dishonesty to get to Trump levels, but you're well on the way.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    333. Re:Meaningless by lgw · · Score: 1

      climate change (which is already happening, perhaps irreversibly).

      Climate change is always happening. "Irreversibly" is scare tactics. There's nothing mankind can do to keep the climate stable long-term, because climate is not a stable thing. But the Earth has been 90% covered with glaciers, and the Earth has seen CO2 concentrations 10x today (first the one, then the other). It's self-correcting, on geological time scales. A snowball Earth threatens mankind's existence as a species - one most of the oceans are covered with glaciers, there's just no ecosystem left. A warm Earth doesn't. Oh, there may be transition costs, even war (another thing that will always be with us), but it hardly threatens the species.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    334. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Accidentally replied to a reply:

      Definitely not a a Trump supporter, but I really don't see anything unreasonable about what he's said in your link. If anything, it's actually reassuring that he seems to take the negative consequences of nuclear weapons and war in general very seriously.

    335. Re:Meaningless by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Do you know how Reagan ushered in glastnost and perestroika? He pushed an arms race with the Soviet Union that they couldn't keep up with. He put Gorbachev in a situation where the only way he could hold the Soviet Union together was to start a war. In lots of similar situations, the reaction has been to go to war We owe Gorbachev for the decision to "bust", not Reagan for pushing him to "war or bust". Reagan made nuclear war considerably more likely.

      Right-wing Bible thumpers are getting their "information" from misinterpreting ancient writings and insisting they've got to be right. You can't really argue with a right-wind bible-thumper. The Doomsday Clock is set by people who study the actual facts and engage in rational discussions. They can certainly be wrong, but they've got actual reasons for what they say, and they're amenable to argument.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    336. Re:Meaningless by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      In case you didn't notice, they classified climate change as a major threat in addition to nuclear war. We really didn't understand what was going to happen with the climate in the 1960s. We knew it was probably going to get warmer, but even that wasn't completely clear.

      Also, back then there were darn few nuclear powers: the US, the USSR, the UK, France, and I can't remember offhand when China started with their own nukes. There's much more opportunity for nukes to actually get used nowadays, and it's reasonable to think that a major nuclear war has an increased chance of happening when minor powers are using nukes. The first five nuclear powers had a lot to lose in a nuclear exchange, and had strong central governments controlling their nukes, which is not the case for Pakistan or North Korean.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    337. Re:Meaningless by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The risk of devastating global warming is increased by climate change denial, and they did mention climate change as a major threat they were considering. Also, we've got a lot more minor nuclear powers and wannabes than we used to. During the Cuban Missile Crisis, neither Pakistan nor North Korea had nukes.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    338. Re:Meaningless by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      This is a meaningless metric. There is no such thing as doomsday. The World is not a clock. You are OK. Breathe out.

      We really do need a cleansing of poor people though. They use up so many resources, the lazy assholes.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    339. Re:Meaningless by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      You know, you could always read their reasoning and debate that, rather than running you fingers off like an idiot and calling it elitist propaganda because you project your own political views onto it.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    340. Re:Meaningless by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      If the sanctions were working, what the heck did we need Stuxnet for? That malware exposed a lot of hidden vulnerabilities that could have been saved for later. It wasn't cheap.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    341. Re: Meaningless by The+Grim+Reefer · · Score: 1

      Not at all. But in this case it is supposed to represent how likely we are to be in a nuclear war. It seems to me that if Trump and Putin as such great pals, then this thing should be set to 2:00 pm. And given how much closer we were to "doomsday" in the examples I cited, it makes little sense. So in this case, for its supposed purpose, it is meaningless.

    342. Re:Meaningless by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The other risk I see is that it may embolden Putin to go too far and destabilize things in Eastern Europe or along the Chinese border that might lead to war. Global diplomacy is not a simple game.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    343. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Suck it up, cupcake.

    344. Re:Meaningless by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The Chinese can afford to be patient on "One China", but if US-Taiwan relations get obviously warm to the point where it looks like the US is publicly disagreeing with "One China", China may be forced to take military action to save face. As long as everyone maintains or at least allows a fiction that China and Taiwan are one country and are moving towards peaceful reunification at some future time, nobody gets hurt.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    345. Re:Meaningless by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      China has a GDP close to that of the US. They're plenty big enough to be dangerous.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    346. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here is how the clock works. Republican Administration = move it closer to midnight. Democrat = move it back.

    347. Re:Meaningless by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      So far, we haven't had a big-assian-enough asteroid to do it for over a billion years.

      A catastrophe wouldn't have to wipe out the species to be a game-changer. Modern civilization is a lot more fragile than the species as a whole, and it would not be easy to recreate it if we lost it, considering the non-renewable resources we used to get it this far.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    348. Re:Meaningless by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      It's possible to have political disagreements without insults. It doesn't seem to be all that popular nowadays, but making stupid claims about liberals in general doesn't help the discussion any. Just saying. (I've done all the things you think would change me into a conservative, and I'm still a leftist. I've also learned I can't run a business worth crap, but at least I tried.)

      The US military is the best ever, and it's not close (unless you're comparing it to earlier versions of the US military). It's also based in the US, and while it has great power projection it's limited. China has an economy far larger than Iraq's, very close to the US. They've also got a more impressive air force than Saddam had. They have enough subs to give the US a hard time, since they'll be fighting near their own shores where the conventional subs will be useful.

      I see no reason to think the US would definitely win a war over Taiwan, say. The Chinese could put a lot more fighters into the air than a US carrier can, for example. Also, winning a shooting war with a major trading partner isn't an unalloyed blessing.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    349. Re:Meaningless by Obfuscant · · Score: 1

      In case you didn't notice,

      I notice that the "Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists" has over-extended their reach into opinions on climate science, I just dismiss their standing on the matter. They are not climate scientists.

      We really didn't understand what was going to happen with the climate in the 1960s. We knew it was probably going to get warmer,

      Really? Warmer huh? The TRUTH is that in the 60's and 70's we though it was going to get COLDER. We THOUGHT we understood the system then, just like we think we understand it today. You might want to refresh yourself on what the facts are.

      There's much more opportunity for nukes to actually get used nowadays,

      I think having an actual crisis with an armed, nuclear nation (USSR) just 90 miles from our own borders (Cuba) where we were conducting an actual military operation is a lot closer to a crisis than just "India has a nuke and might be stupid enough to use it, wow!".

      The first five nuclear powers had a lot to lose in a nuclear exchange,

      Everyone has a lot to lose in a nuclear exchange.

    350. Re:Meaningless by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 1

      A global nuclear exchange ends civilization as we know it in minutes while climatic changes are something that we can adapt to

      Climate change makes wars and conflicts more likely. (That's a Pentagon assessment.) More wars make escalation into a nuclear exchange more likely.

      I do love how the denialist positions has evolved from "There is no warming!" to "Ok, there's warming, but it's not human caused!" to "Ok, there's warming and we're causing it, but we'll just adapt!"

      --
      Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
      You cannot wash away blood with blood
    351. Re:Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      because you can use nukes to many other countries, not just Russia...
      say Siria

      Ok, I'll admit that Apple's Siri has some flaws, but don't you think nuking it is a bit harsh?

    352. Re:Meaningless by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

      Regardless, we should be careful in challenging that because said country might be willing to go far farther to protect that claim than we are.

    353. Re:Meaningless by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      You are claiming that it is fact that Trump is unhinged? Do you have a copy of that psychiatric diagnosis?

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    354. Re:Meaningless by laie_techie · · Score: 1

      Republican efforts to suppress votes that are probably Democratic continue. Currently, the Republicans are much more involved in manipulating elections than Democrats (although this has not always been the case).

      Where is your proof that Republicans want to suppress legitimate votes? Why do illegals and the dead overwhelming vote Democrat?

    355. Re:Meaningless by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      Also, Rum is better ;)

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    356. Re:Meaningless by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      and China's ICBMs probably couldn't make it over the ocean.

      If you said North Korea, sure, I would agree there, but what evidence do you have that China has any issues launching? They have an actual space program that launched stuff into orbit. Nukes are trivial compared to that.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    357. Re:Meaningless by EmptyHead · · Score: 1

      She was probably the only person the DNC offered in the primary that could have lost to Trump. Your local mail man would have given him a run for his money.

    358. Re:Meaningless by laie_techie · · Score: 1

      In case you didn't notice,

      I notice that the "Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists" has over-extended their reach into opinions on climate science, I just dismiss their standing on the matter. They are not climate scientists.

      Exactly: being an expert in one field rarely means you're an expert in another field. Just because I'm a Software Engineer doesn't automatically mean I'm an expert at computer networks or hardware design.

      We really didn't understand what was going to happen with the climate in the 1960s. We knew it was probably going to get warmer,

      Really? Warmer huh? The TRUTH is that in the 60's and 70's we though it was going to get COLDER. We THOUGHT we understood the system then, just like we think we understand it today. You might want to refresh yourself on what the facts are.

      I was born in the 1970s and I remember the scientific community warning about an impeding little ice age (1300-1850) or year without a summer (1816).

    359. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This was the funniest part of it all, they could have put anyone up instead of her... anyone... and they would have won. The most ridiculous show of incompetence I've seen yet. Even one of the biggies, don't remember who, in the DNC recommended picking someone other than her. haha, what a circus.

    360. Re:Meaningless by unrtst · · Score: 1

      Huh? 20% of what?
      It's a clock, and time is infinite(-ish). The clock face covers 720 minutes, and it did not advance by 20% of that (144 minutes).
      If this clock only ever advanced, than *maybe* you could say it was 20% of the remaining time, and always use remaining time as the scale of what's left, but this clock has moved backwards multiple times before. That means the scale goes all the way back to however far back it can go, which is entirely undefined. The clock is just a really bad representation.

    361. Re:Meaningless by bfpierce · · Score: 1

      Think the other guy handled that case pretty well, and I think I gave the appropriate label. Do you guys even read these days?

    362. Re:Meaningless by EmptyHead · · Score: 1

      And why do liberals viciously fight voter ID efforts? The argument that it is too hard for someone to go get a free ID is ridiculous, why they have no problem showing up on voting day.

    363. Re:Meaningless by EmptyHead · · Score: 1

      Kennedy was involved with concealing Hillary's email server issues somehow. It's too bad, he was a very accomplished guy -- bet on the wrong horse.

      Trump was gunning for him at some point, I guess he decided to pull the retirement trigger while he still could.

    364. Re:Meaningless by Methadras · · Score: 1

      It's a meaningless metric to normal and reasonable thinking people. For the emotionally unhinged and mentally deranged it's an indicator of doom because after all they have no way to gauge how doomy things will get until they see the big hand moving towards the 12 to justify their lunacy.

    365. Re:Meaningless by Methadras · · Score: 1

      Nuclear mass destruction is about as looming as a the second coming of Christ. Nuclear weapons are a political tool, not a militaristic one. A lot of people can't see the difference, but it's there.

    366. Re:Meaningless by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Behold the power of the American Exceptionalist Distortion field, where basic chronology and cause-and-effect may be dismissed out of hand, because you are a unique snowflake and your shit doesn't stink.

    367. Re:Meaningless by Shane_Optima · · Score: 1

      Yeah, it's a reality distortion field to insist that a specific, local crisis about X not be named about shit that happened months or years earlier. Why stop at Turkey? The west-communism conflict is rooted in the overthrow of the Tsar, so really this should be called the "October Revolution crisis." All I'm saying is not to swallow propaganda whole without question. Tell me, do you believe Russia's explanation that the troops in Crimea were "on vacation", too?

      The standoff didn't occur over or near Turkey, and it's certainly debatable whether Russia would have taken no interest in Cuba in the absence of the Jupiters in Turkey. Been a while since I read the details here, but the casual connection to the Bay of Pigs may well stronger than the connection to the Jupiter missiles. So if you wanted to call it "the Cuban crisis" or even something slightly more biased like the "Cuban sovereignty crisis", that might at least pass the sniff test. Pretending that the Soviets had no desire or plans whatsoever to increase their ICBM coverage of America pre-Turkey is not only absurd, it's flatly contradicted by subsequent events.

    368. Re:Meaningless by bhiestand · · Score: 1

      Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Syria, Crimea, Ukraine, Turkey... Yes, a stunning list of foreign policy victories by that crew in the last several Administrations! By all means let's keep that crew...

      I am not saying they were perfect, but can we at least make sure everyone on the new crew knows where Crimea is?

      ...And not just because they served there under Putin.

      --
      SWM seeks new sig for a brief fling
    369. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your cynicism is actually disgusting. Fuck off.

    370. Re:Meaningless by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Other people left and/or were told to leave before this. The 4 are no the only people to leave.
      At this rate, they won't be the last.

      But it's okay, I'm sure he can find another person with 12 years of consular affairs experience by going to an employment agency- they are very common.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    371. Re:Meaningless by Crashmarik · · Score: 1

      Alternative facts ?

      Hey how bout this why don't we have a discussion where I get to decide what's right and whatever positions you take are alternative facts.

    372. Re:Meaningless by Grim+Beefer · · Score: 1

      Ever heard of the Cuban Missile Crisis? Global Warming? We are NOT "OK". For the metric to be "meaningless" you would have to make the case that we can't make probabilistic claims, based on available evidence, as to how likely we are to be annihilated. Furthermore, you'd have to make the case that certain factors are not possible contributors to an increase in such probability - such as sticking your giant blonde head in the sand, and ignoring carbon emissions, while crying big, beautiful, hysterical tears about Muslims and Mexicans.

      Obviously, the clock is a metaphor, so your attempt to explain something so intentionally blatant is just another example of the anti-intellectual bias rampant in Trump's America. It's that deep seated belief people hold that they're somehow "smarter than scientists" and all information that runs contrary to their "gut" is to be discarded, no matter how credible the source, that is the root of many of our problems.

    373. Re:Meaningless by Dishevel · · Score: 1

      I am sure you can find some other way to lie to people to make your point.
      Did it every occur to you that if you feel that lying is the best way to push your position that your position is that of a fucking retarded dung beetle?
      Fuck Off. Your opinion is invalid. You argument is weak. Your positions can not be defended and you are probably a lousy lover.

      Go home. Draw a bath. Take out a package of the good Feather Double Edge Razor Blades and do what is right.

      --
      Why is it so hard to only have politicians for a few years, then have them go away?
    374. Re:Meaningless by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      Warm is vastly easier than cold. Larger mammals would just have been tasty snacks at the time, so we didn't see larger until niches opened up.

      How would you know? Humans lived just fine during The Ice Age. They did not live during the hot periods you love so much - because you didn't actually live at the time - like all "conservatives" just love the times when they didn't have to live. Have you even read a biology book in you whole life? Are you aware that mammals, especially big mammals die when the overheat? Can humans evolve to have elephant's ears to cool down in the time fame you claim wouldn't be a problem? Will you continue to ignore the death tolls of the heat waves happening more and more regularly?

      Better yet: when will you shut the fuck up with your idiotic claims you bring up again in every discussion even when proven wrong?

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
    375. Re: Meaningless by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      Vast agribusiness corporations have plenty of money to retire their southernmost fields and acquire some land to the north

      So humanity can survive . they just have to sell their soul to Monsamto

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
    376. Re:Meaningless by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      The only reason the Soviets tried to place missiles in Cuba was to counter the American missiles in Turkey. Full stop. Whether the resulting standoff occurred in the Atlantic or Antarctica is completely and utterly irrelevant to what started the "crisis".

      Tell me, do you believe Russia's explanation that the troops in Crimea were "on vacation", too?

      No more than American marines station in Guantanamo are "on vacation", for the same reason: an existing agreement for a military base. You have any more stupid bullshit, or are we done here?

    377. Re:Meaningless by Shane_Optima · · Score: 1

      The only reason the Soviets tried to place missiles in Cuba was to counter the American missiles in Turkey. Full stop.

      And the only reason Bush Jr. invaded Iraq is because of weapons of mass destruction.

      The removal Jupiter missiles was a concession we made. That much we do know. Everything else is pure conjecture as best and blind propaganda swallowing at worst... unless you know of some pre-crisis internal Soviet documents that I'm unaware of that shows Cuba was talked about only after and due to the missiles in Turkey, wasn't talked about before that point, wasn't done at Castro's request in response to the Bay of Pigs, etc.

      No more than American marines station in Guantanamo are "on vacation"

      The American government never made such a dumbassed claim. The Russian government did regarding Crimea. The Russians have historically been much more brazen and prolific about propaganda than Americans (which is not to say we don't do it.) Claiming retroactively that the Cuban Missile Crisis would not have happened if not for Turkey would be a very obvious and subdued lie, in comparison.

    378. Re:Meaningless by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      So when faced with the truth, you attack people and tell them to commit suicide.

      Lovely.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    379. Re: Meaningless by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      AC wrote: You have the most clearly written and factual explanation to the matter. Yet Trump supporter will still say you're wrong. They just can't seem to see any of his flaws.

      You are correct.

      http://www.politico.com/magazi...
      "
      The One Weird Trait That Predicts Whether Youâ(TM)re a Trump Supporter

      And itâ(TM)s not gender, age, income, race or religion.
      ----
      Trumpâ(TM)s electoral strengthâ"and his staying powerâ"have been buoyed, above all, by Americans with authoritarian inclinations
      "
      A primary trait of authoritarians is that when their chosen leader says something, they want to believe it is true. So they do believe it is true. Even when it makes no sense.

      http://www.vox.com/2016/3/1/11...

      Authoritarians prioritize social order and hierarchies, which bring a sense of control to a chaotic world. Challenges to that order â" diversity, influx of outsiders, breakdown of the old order â" are experienced as personally threatening because they risk upending the status quo order they equate with basic security.

      Authoritarians prioritize social order and hierarchies, which bring a sense of control to a chaotic world. Challenges to that order â" diversity, influx of outsiders, breakdown of the old order â" are experienced as personally threatening because they risk upending the status quo order they equate with basic security.

      There's more. it's worth reading.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    380. Re:Meaningless by lgw · · Score: 1

      Wow, all the ad hominems. No actual arguments or science, as expected, just "reeeeeeeeee - out-tribe, out-tribe".

      You might consider that humans were on the scene for many millennia, but didn't flourish, didn't start the climb to civilization, until 10k years ago when this unusually warm period began, unlike the narrow peaks of previous inter-glacial eras.

      Can humans evolve to have elephant's ears to cool down

      My opposable thumbs work quite well for that, thanks.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    381. Re: Meaningless by lgw · · Score: 1

      Monsanto doesn't own farms, but almost all farmland in America is farmed by large corporations. Dig into US agricultural subsidies some day - it's the dirtiest, most corrupt area of government.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    382. Re:Meaningless by LeftCoastThinker · · Score: 1

      I will leave the discussion on liberals for another time, since what I describe has been exclusively my experience in dealing with them. There are exceptions to every rule, and maybe you are one, but the exceptions don't make (or break) the rule.

      Regarding an armed conflict with China, you made my point. The US is not going to start a shooting war with China. The US is not in the business of starting wars, we react to defend ourselves and our allies. If China were to start a shooting war, it would end badly for them http://www.globalfirepower.com... as long as we don't run out of munitions (which I am pretty sure we will not). I ignored the fact that China would also be facing every NATO ally, as well as the JSDF locally http://www.globalfirepower.com... , and just about every other country in the Asian Pacific except for North Korea. The Chinese have been pissing off everyone around them with their attempted expansions in the South China Seas. The point I was making was that it is still in China's best interest to get along with the US, even though they may now have to play on an even playing field economically.

      --
      If you disagree, please post your argument. (-1, Overrated) isn't your personal censorship tool for views you don't like
    383. Re:Meaningless by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      China is an export dependant economy. They are very unlikely to attack their customers.

      They are also in a huge mess as a result of mismanaging their economy. The place is run by Engineering grads focused on one metric (Industrial utilization). The whole place is currently a huge 'perverse economic incentive' because of that one metric. They will learn the hard way that 'managing capitalism' isn't easy. Babes in the woods about to be surprised.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    384. Re: Meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Trivia point. That's because the US of A is basically a cold country. In the US cold weather causes people more grief than hot weather. Your hottest places are only hot some of the time. Where I live in Darwin, NT, Australia its hot 12 months a year. Folks come here for some work then leave after a few years because it's too hot. Sadly for me and my home town the last decade has been the hottest ever and thanks to comments like I read here in blogs like this nothing will get done about it. The good news for egocentric bastards in the US who don't give a rats about anyone else is your weather going to improve for the next 100 years or so.

    385. Re:Meaningless by Mashiki · · Score: 0

      It's not a biased source. It's an untrustworthy source, that's the difference. Then again you know what the difference between think progress and breitbart is? The former has a bunch of people sitting in a room, taking things out of context. The latter has people out in the field writing about what they saw.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    386. Re:Meaningless by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      Wow, all the ad hominems. No actual arguments or science, as expected,

      You know, that's what I wanted to reply a couple of posts back, but in vain I tried to reason with you blockhead.

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
    387. Re:Meaningless by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      Wow so breitbart is more trustworthy than thinkprogress? Now that's being deep in an ideological hole.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    388. Re:Meaningless by Dishevel · · Score: 1

      Truth.
      You started with a bold lie and have yet to have the decency to retract it.

      --
      Why is it so hard to only have politicians for a few years, then have them go away?
    389. Re:Meaningless by laie_techie · · Score: 1

      She lost the electoral vote, not by much, after interference from Wikileaks, likely Russia, and the FBI director.

      Did Wikileaks (or even Russian hackers) interfere with the election? Does exposing FACTS constitute interference? For me, I'd call interference if the voting boxes were hacked or if people who intended to vote were impeded.

    390. Re:Meaningless by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      If China invades Taiwan, what would we do? Start a war over it? NATO is pretty irrelevant in the South China Sea. That's the one serious aggressive action I can see China doing (although they'll doubtless continue with minor aggressions). In a war between China and the US, both parties would be worse off after the war.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    391. Re:Meaningless by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I notice that the "Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists" has over-extended their reach into opinions on climate science, I just dismiss their standing on the matter. They are not climate scientists.

      Fair enough, but it does explain why they moved the doomsday clock where they did. Feel free to disagree with their reasoning and conclusions, but acknowledge that they do have reasoning and conclusions.

      Really? Warmer huh? The TRUTH is that in the 60's and 70's we though it was going to get COLDER.

      That was one theory, yes. There were others. Read the Wikipedia article you cited, why don't you? It supports what I was saying.

      just like we think we understand it today.

      A lot of this depends on what we do. After the hypothesizing about global cooling, we reduced the amount of particulates going into the atmosphere, and hence reduced the chance of global cooling. Moreover, we've gathered far more data about how global climate works, and we have tremendously increased computational resources. It's not like science has taken the last forty years off.

      As far as the threat of nuclear war goes, MAD was coming into effect (the first Polaris-armed missile subs were out there), and there were strong reasons not to use nukes. It was definitely a crisis, and I have vivid and unpleasant memories of it, but not near-certain doom. Nowadays, there are nuclear powers that are not particularly rational in their governance, and I'm not sure Western and Russian nuclear arsenals will dissuade them. It's a different kind of threat.

      As an aside, Nostradamus wrote a quatrain about the "great bird of fire" in a South Asian war in July 1999. That Spring, it was looking fairly likely. Fortunately, India and Pakistan found ways to stand down.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    392. Re:Meaningless by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I read about things. Voting machines being few and defective in Democratic areas. Voter ID laws combined with closing offices that issue licenses in heavily Democratic areas. Illegals and dead people do not vote in significant amounts. This is the sort of fraud that would be easy to find lots of examples of it it were going on, and we haven't seen them.

      Read some real news sometime.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    393. Re:Meaningless by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Yes, they interfered. Releasing selected facts on a schedule that interferes with the election campaign is interference. You have a very narrow view of what it means to interfere.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    394. Re:Meaningless by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The argument is that it's too hard for someone to get a free ID when the state shuts down offices in heavily Democratic areas that would issue the IDs. I'm not inherently against voter ID, but every proposal I've seen has had some sort of attachment about deliberately making it difficult for the wrong voters to vote.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    395. Re:Meaningless by Obfuscant · · Score: 1

      It supports what I was saying.

      It clearly does not support what you were saying. You claimed we knew it was probably going to get warmer. And yet, we KNEW it was going to get colder. At least some people knew. That was the point. What we know today isn't necessarily the truth.

    396. Re:Meaningless by laie_techie · · Score: 1

      I read about things.

      You READ about things? Well, stop the presses then! With literally millions of news sources, could you cite something at least a bit specific?

      Voting machines being few and defective in Democratic areas.

      States run the elections and voting places, so why would Democrats tamper with voting machines in their own areas?

      Voter ID laws combined with closing offices that issue licenses in heavily Democratic areas.

      Voter ID laws prevent illegals and dead people from voting, not to mention preventing people from voting multiple times. Again, why would Democratic states close offices earlier if it impacts Democrats from voting?

      Illegals and dead people do not vote in significant amounts. This is the sort of fraud that would be easy to find lots of examples of it it were going on, and we haven't seen them.

      Funny, but Google pulls up enough examples of voter fraud:

      Read some real news sometime.

      May I suggest the same to you?

    397. Re:Meaningless by laie_techie · · Score: 1

      The argument is that it's too hard for someone to get a free ID when the state shuts down offices in heavily Democratic areas that would issue the IDs. I'm not inherently against voter ID, but every proposal I've seen has had some sort of attachment about deliberately making it difficult for the wrong voters to vote.

      Wrong voters being illegals, felons, or the deceased.

    398. Re:Meaningless by laie_techie · · Score: 1

      Yes, they interfered. Releasing selected facts on a schedule that interferes with the election campaign is interference. You have a very narrow view of what it means to interfere.

      You can correctly state that the timing was political, but better information should lead to more informed decisions. Wikileaks should be prosecuted for hacking, but it doesn't affect the veracity of their statements.

    399. Re:Meaningless by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Read the Wikipedia article you cited.. It's very up front about global cooling being a minority view, almost a fringe view. Most climate scientists expected global warming. A few expected global cooling, and they got a lot of press.

      Global cooling was a conjecture during the 1970s of imminent cooling of the Earth's surface and atmosphere culminating in a period of extensive glaciation. This hypothesis had little support in the scientific community, but gained temporary popular attention due to a combination of a slight downward trend of temperatures from the 1940s to the early 1970s and press reports that did not accurately reflect the full scope of the scientific climate literature, which showed a larger and faster-growing body of literature projecting future warming due to greenhouse gas emissions.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    400. Re:Meaningless by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      I do not think that word means what you think it means.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    401. Re:Meaningless by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Okay, try this one.

      Looking at the links you supply that seem to be from actual news sources (note that I didn't link the HuffPo article I found), we find snopes claiming that someone registered nineteen dead people, CBS4 talking about up to a dozen people who may have voted twice, and Fox mostly speculating. Multiple registrations aren't vote fraud, and some of Trump's nominees appear to have multiple registrations. For all I know, I'm still registered in some of my old residences, but I haven't checked.

      I don't understand why people keep claiming that voter ID stops that kind of voter fraud. Multiple voting in significant numbers is easy to catch, and if the authorities are going to overlook that they're not likely to enforce ID. Do you have any actual evidence that it would help more than it hurts?

      Also, Republicans run a lot of states, and it's in those that Democrats tend to have problems voting. Duh.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    402. Re:Meaningless by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      Considering it's one of the top 50 websites in the US? Has a larger pull then the Washington Post. Yep. Perhaps you should go spend some time reading something that's ideologically different then what you regularly do. Or maybe you can enjoy this little nugget, from an ideologically similar organization called media matters. Which has decided to go full propaganda. TP and MM have worked together on multiple things, get funded by the same people. Time to realize that the sources you're using are full-on propaganda arms that are lying.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    403. Re:Meaningless by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      Again, you're the pot calling the kettle black, at best. I linked to a list of independently verified facts on a site that I admit is biased and untrustworthy. You think a site that is *at least* equally bad in all respects is trustworthy, and point to the site's popularity as evidence of this. You've lost your marbles.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    404. Re:Meaningless by laie_techie · · Score: 1

      Okay, try this one.

      Looking at the links you supply that seem to be from actual news sources (note that I didn't link the HuffPo article I found), we find snopes claiming that someone registered nineteen dead people, CBS4 talking about up to a dozen people who may have voted twice, and Fox mostly speculating. Multiple registrations aren't vote fraud, and some of Trump's nominees appear to have multiple registrations. For all I know, I'm still registered in some of my old residences, but I haven't checked.

      I didn't include any links from Huffington Post because of its reputation. Snopes confirms that someone registered 19 dead people, but is unable to verify if that student was going to vote for the deceased, much less vote for Hillary 19 times. Voting multiple times is voter fraud. Registering multiple times without voting manipulates statistics.

      I don't understand why people keep claiming that voter ID stops that kind of voter fraud. Multiple voting in significant numbers is easy to catch, and if the authorities are going to overlook that they're not likely to enforce ID. Do you have any actual evidence that it would help more than it hurts?

      Providing voter ID means that a person MUST be registered to vote and can only vote once (at least per voting station). Multiple voting is only caught in the case of an audit, such as when too many votes are registered in a polling place or the results are way off whack from what the latest polls predicted. With such low voter turnout, it is unlikely to demand an audit because of too many votes.

      Also, Republicans run a lot of states, and it's in those that Democrats tend to have problems voting. Duh.

      Same could be said of Republicans living in a Democrat-run state. And if there are so many Democrats, how did Republican governors and mayors get elected there?

    405. Re:Meaningless by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Providing voter ID means that a person MUST be registered to vote and can only vote once (at least per voting station).

      Assuming anyone at the voting station cares. If you vote twice at one station, you're taking a pretty big risk that someone will notice, with or without voter ID. If nobody's going to complain when you show up five times and vote, nobody's going to care about your ID. If you are registered in multiple places (and apparently lots of people are, with no intent to vote twice), then your ID is good in multiple places. If we don't have it, and somebody shows up at the polling place claiming to be me, I'll notice that someone else signed my name in the register, so while it will help prevent the problem (if it's at all likely) this is fraud that will be noticed. I'm not saying voter ID is useless, but in most situations I envision it doesn't help much if at all. If you've got one where it really matters, I'd like to hear of it.

      Same could be said of Republicans living in a Democrat-run state. And if there are so many Democrats, how did Republican governors and mayors get elected there?

      Um, huh? Who says "so many Democrats"? Voting tends to differ over geography (we have a few token Republicans in our neighborhood), and if the balance is at all close the Republicans will get in now and then. I'm completely failing to comprehend what you could mean here.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  2. Not doomsday by neonv · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Climate change is not doomsday nor does it in any way compare to nuclear holocaust. It is a different climate, one in which humans and life can continue to prosper. Comparing that to total destruction of half of the world while the half would have to live in nuclear fallout for thousands of year is just a joke.

    1. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      about 2 Billion people live in areas will be under water if all ice melts. This wil mean large scale war.

    2. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you put it past Trump to drop a nuclear weapon on a leader somewhere that calls him an idiot? I'd like to think his military advisors would talk him out of it (they are pretty reasonable and honest people, from what I know them), but I'm not sure they could.

      I could absolutely see him doing that.

    3. Re:Not doomsday by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Climate change changes resource availability. Particularly water. If areas that once had water no longer have water that will put stress on their economy potentially making them less politically stable.

      If natural disasters increase linked to climate change, certain seas may no longer be feasible to collect oil from. Perhaps flooding from rising sea levels will cause areas to be evacuated causing widespread homelessness and unrest.

      Climate change has upset the status quo many times over history. Encouraging the Vikings to leave Scandinavia and invade Europe. The mass migrations of populations throughout Europe, the so called "barbarian invasion" of Rome. Dynasties have been overturned in China with links to climate change, or natural disasters.

      Climate change whether man made or natural always upsets the status quo... but now we have nuclear weapons.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    4. Re:Not doomsday by dpilot · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The US military recognizes that global warming puts stress on people and governments. Human life can prosper with a changed climate, but it can't always continue in-place. People may have to move, because their current habitation may no longer be habitable. If that movement requires crossing national borders, it becomes an international incident.

      That's why global warming advances the Doomsday Clock - its side-effects on national sovereignty and politics.

      --
      The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
    5. Re:Not doomsday by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      One of the bigger threats of climate change is that it may trigger a nuclear power to use their weapons due to environmental stress.

    6. Re:Not doomsday by NatasRevol · · Score: 1

      Like on Mexico for cancelling their meeting and embarrassing him.

      Week one.

      --
      There are two types of people in the world: Those who crave closure
    7. Re:Not doomsday by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1, Informative

      One study predicts that the Persian Gulf will be uninhabitable due to increase temperatures by 2100. The people living there will have to move to cooler areas, wear environmental suits or die off.

      http://www.cnn.com/2015/10/27/world/persian-gulf-heat-climate-change/index.html

      Silicon Valley will be under four feet of water by 2100, as it was built on a flood plain. No one yet is talking about building miles of levees to keep the water at bay.

      https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2016/apr/22/silicon-valley-sea-level-rise-google-facebook-flood-risk

    8. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Comparing that to total destruction of half of the world

      The human race will survive, but we are such an assholes that we can't adjust to a couple of billion climate refugees by maximizing our food production in the remaining areas, re-engineer our political values and societies to carry much tighter living conditions and greater adherence to common rules, adjust culturally by creating/selecting and teaching a universal language crossing the cultural lines and re-distributing land and other property in such a scale that it will be like the 17th or 18th century all over again.
        The alternatives are much more comfortable for all involved and don't involve starting a few civil wars in various, previously rich countries. It's not the Doomsday, but a rite of passage to adulthood for the human race. It will only be the beginning of the end of various mistakes of the previous centuries. It will be our great grand children's job to ensure that humanism and the Enlightenment are not among the discarded, but instead part of the solution to fuse the "non-fusable" people together.

    9. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you put it past Trump to drop a nuclear weapon on a leader somewhere that calls him an idiot? I'd like to think his military advisors would talk him out of it (they are pretty reasonable and honest people, from what I know them), but I'm not sure they could.

      I could absolutely see him doing that.

      As the madmen play on words and make us all dance to their song
      To the tune of starving millions to make a better kind of gun.

    10. Re:Not doomsday by Salgak1 · · Score: 1

      Technical point: unless someone was liberally using cobalt-salted bombs, radiation would be down to manageable levels in a month or two: The 7-10 rule applies here.

      I might also add that we've been living in the shadow of fallout for nearly 70 years now. No mutants. No Godzilla. Not even giant ants. . .(grin).

    11. Re:Not doomsday by ooloorie · · Score: 1

      All ice melting takes upwards of a thousand years.

      What you are suggesting is the equivalent of people in the year 1000 giving up farming, metal working, horses, clothes, and roads in order to avoid depleting resources for the people of the 21st century.

      Worrying about what happens centuries from now isn't just stupid, it is utterly irresponsible.

    12. Re:Not doomsday by ooloorie · · Score: 0

      Do you put it past Trump to drop a nuclear weapon on a leader somewhere that calls him an idiot?

      I certainly don't put it past Hillary to kill people who get in their way or who have insulted her. After all, Hillary has already approved many killings in her official capacity.

      While I don't particularly like Trump, he actually strikes me as less of a psychopath than Hillary; that woman has liquid Helium in her veins. So, given the alternative...

    13. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

      Silicon Valley will be under four feet of water by 2100...

      So you're saying there's a silver lining.

    14. Re:Not doomsday by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Whew, then it's a good thing we got the bigger guns, eh?

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    15. Re:Not doomsday by ooloorie · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This was embarrassing.

      The Mexican president canceling a meeting in a huff? Not so much.

    16. Re:Not doomsday by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 3, Funny

      So you're saying there's a silver lining.

      Yes, Silicon Valley real estate prices will be under water.

    17. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That seems like quite a leap. "Oh no, my town is starting to flood from sea level rise. I'd better go shoot some artillery at my neighbors?"

      It doesn't quite line up.

    18. Re:Not doomsday by slew · · Score: 1

      about 2 Billion people live in areas will be under water if all ice melts. This wil mean large scale suffering .

      FTFY. Not all disasters result in war, but all result in suffering. For example, Black Plague (1350), Year w/o a Summer (1816), Chinese Floods (1887, 1931), Spanish Flu (1918), Indian Tsunami (2004).

      On the other hand, some disasters are brought on by war. For example 1938 Yellow River Flood among others (some think the Spanish Flu spread might have been facilitated by WWI)...

    19. Re:Not doomsday by MightyMartian · · Score: 2

      No, what's being suggested is that we alter the way we produce energy now so we don't fuck our grandchildren over. Sea level rise is already occuring (just ask your average insurance actuary), so there's no "thousand years from now" to talk about. There are coastal areas that will be significantly affected well within my lifetime.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    20. Re:Not doomsday by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      Well, he's always had the option of pulling out a gold plated Colt 1911 .45 and blowing someone's head open that called him an idiot, and he's never done that. Why would you think he would immediately go to launching a Minuteman-III?

      Also, what military officer would give the launch order, after having sworn to protect and defend the constitution? That launch order would violate that oath, and amount to an illegal order which would not be followed.

      This is so much handwringing and chicken little that it's beyond ridiculous.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    21. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well shit, they only have 83 years to build some concrete walls and pumping stations. Let's raise the alarm bells and get to work! I mean, that's only 30 years longer than the entire history of man launching things into space...

    22. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Losing the left's version of humanism and enlightenment would be a good thing.

    23. Re:Not doomsday by quantaman · · Score: 1

      Climate change is not doomsday nor does it in any way compare to nuclear holocaust. It is a different climate, one in which humans and life can continue to prosper. Comparing that to total destruction of half of the world while the half would have to live in nuclear fallout for thousands of year is just a joke.

      Climate change increases the number and severity of adverse weather events, and longer term increases sea levels.

      Both of these increase political instability and thus war, that's why the US Department of Defence is very concerned about climate change.

      You also have the issue of the new President who is absurdly temperamental (he's been in power for less than a week and has already started two ridiculous spats over his inauguration crowd size and voter fraud claims).

      What happens if he has to deal with a genuine international crisis?

      The grown-ups in the room might be able to stop him from making a single monumentally stupid decision, but crisis don't necessarily happen that way. A few months of tit-for-tat escalating tensions with China and it might be hard for even the grown-ups to stop an actual conflict.

      --
      I stole this Sig
    24. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Get a bone cancer and suffer you worthless faggot.

    25. Re:Not doomsday by citylivin · · Score: 1

      How many people have to die in your estimation before we can call it a doomsday scenario? 2/3rds of the worlds population? Technically "life can continue to prosper" with as little as two people surviving, but i think a mass population decline caused by climate change (and ensuing wars for remaining resources and arable land) qualifies as doomsday for most.

      FYI some small amount of people will likely survive a nuclear holocaust too. Many studies state that.

      " Comparing [climate change] to total destruction of half of the world while the [other] half would have to live in nuclear fallout for thousands of year is just a joke."

      I think you will be surprised at how much humans have been conditioned for a particular climate. Climate change will most assuredly effect us for many thousands of years too, if the problem is let to run out its course without intervention. Both situations fundamentally change the configuration of the planet. Are they binary equal? no. Are they similar enough to both be considered a "doomsday scenario" for currently existing humans in currently existing places? You bet! Especially considering that the definition of doomsday is "a time of catastrophic destruction and death" which can easily encompass any global mass dying event, such as the ones climate change predicts by the end of the century.

      --
      As a potential lottery winner, I totally support tax cuts for the wealthy
    26. Re:Not doomsday by JackieBrown · · Score: 1

      You don't understand!!!

      There is a red button on his desk and all he has to do is push it and the missiles will soar!!! It is the end!

      At least, this is how a lot of people seem to think nuclear missiles are launched.

    27. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One melts and the other one is what? Growing. I'll just leave this here.

      NASA Study: Mass Gains of Antarctic Ice Sheet Greater than Losses
      https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/nasa-study-mass-gains-of-antarctic-ice-sheet-greater-than-losses

    28. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I imagine he'd announce it in a tweet

      "Ordered Nuclear strikes on . #sorrynotsorry

    29. Re:Not doomsday by JackieBrown · · Score: 1

      Climate change changes resource availability. Particularly water. If areas that once had water no longer have water that will put stress on their economy potentially making them less politically stable.

      And for the areas that now have water but didn't before will be rich!
      Do you really think the environment will just change from one day to the next giving economies and people no chance to adept?

    30. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How quaint, you think that government actions are based on well thought out reasoning. You must have missed the Iraq "war", when the US bombed a country back into the stone age because of the actions of a few of their neighbors (I think it has been proven that most if not all of the 911 attackers were from countries other than Iraq).

    31. Re:Not doomsday by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      Well shit, they only have 83 years to build some concrete walls and pumping stations.

      This is why developers build housing on flood plains. By the time persistent flooding become an issue for homeowners, the developers will be long gone and taxpayers will bailout the homeowners. Not their fault that they bought a house on a flood plain and real estate prices are under water.

    32. Re:Not doomsday by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      Do you really think the environment will just change from one day to the next giving economies and people no chance to adept?

      It has before, and appears to be happening now. A country like the US that has multiple ecological zones and climates may be able to adjust with minimal impact by moving resources around, but you take a country in a single climate zone with a less diverse economy and it could be disastrous. Historically there have been single flood events or famine events that have led to regime changes.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    33. Re:Not doomsday by Calydor · · Score: 1

      You left out part of that line. Here's the full quote:

      "Oh no, my town is starting to flood from sea level rise. I'd better go shoot some artillery at my neighbors who live 100 feet higher than me."

      --
      -=This sig has nothing to do with my comment. Move along now=-
    34. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you put it past Trump to drop a nuclear weapon on a leader somewhere that calls him an idiot?

      There are not that many nuclear weapons.

    35. Re: Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Is anyone else concerned about the underlying system that would bring two terrible choices and ensure they are effectively the only options? That is where we need much more thoughtful discourse.

    36. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The killings that Hillary approved in her official capacity were either terrorists or people who had not invited her to their wedding (and their guests).

      While I don't particularly like Trump, he actually strikes me as less of a psychopath than Hillary

      It's quite sad that the best choice is "less of a psychopath".

    37. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The launch order is given by the President, who has sole legal authority to do so. Your officer is not the one giving the order, he is the one charged by his oath to carry it out immediately and without question. It is not his place to question whether a foreign power's nuclear ordinance truly is inbound and minutes away from our cities or not.

      The entire system was set up so that a cool-headed civilian leader can override an insane general who wants to end the world. It has absolutely no provisions for the opposite scenario. I don't know about you but I consider this to be a frightening position for humanity to suddenly find itself in.

    38. Re:Not doomsday by lgw · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's funny that people making this argument are generally also happy to increase the overwhelming burden of debt we pass to our grandchildren. It's a consistent view though: everything is just another reason to increase government power, from forcing action on climate change to increasing spending, it's all good.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    39. Re:Not doomsday by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Interesting

      And you don't think fucking over the next few generations by unrestrained CO2 emissions, thus creating vast costs for them to pay for, isn't passing on a debt?

      How about this. We use market forces to fix the problem, slap a price on carbon, and then we start solving the problem now. Screw the carbon credits and all that nonsense. Charge $200 a ton for emissions across the board.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    40. Re:Not doomsday by lgw · · Score: 1

      Didn't Nixon get drunk once and order a nuclear strike on North Korea? I think they added a breathalyzer to the big red button after that.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    41. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mexico announced the cancellation after Trump tweeted that the meeting should be cancelled.

    42. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Listen, Climate Change is not only about rising seas. It is about the collapse of the food chain both in the sea (acidification) and on land (desertification). If you haven't perceived any change in the climate patterns where you're an alienated person, especially if you live in the Northern hemisphere. I live in the southern hemisphere, in a least impacted region, and I can see change with my naked eyes.

    43. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not his or her place, but you can bet they would. They are powerful people too, not automatons.

    44. Re:Not doomsday by khallow · · Score: 1

      Climate change changes resource availability. Particularly water. If areas that once had water no longer have water that will put stress on their economy potentially making them less politically stable.

      When you put it that way, that doesn't very bad at all. We just need more resilient societies.

    45. Re:Not doomsday by Dread_ed · · Score: 1

      If we don't want to "fuck our grandchildren over" we need to kill 20-75% of our children. This is regionally variable based on resource availability and cultural memes. (Meme used in the way the term's creator, Richard Dawkins, used it.)

      Wars are fought over population pressure and resource scarcity, even perceived scarcity. Wars are also fought over meme conflicts.

      If we want to maintain our civilized world we need to exterminate or severely restrict the reproduction of those human cultures that are antithetical to civilization. We also need to do the same with those cultures that cannot justify their resource consumption by increasing human viability.

      Responsibility for memes transmitted to the next generation are a viable criteria to determine whether or not a next generation is allowed to you.

      (I don't subscribe to these things, however they are easily argued as justifiable if the motivation is "don't fuck over the grandchildren.")

      --
      When the only tool you have is a claw hammer every problem starts to look like the back of someone's skull.
    46. Re:Not doomsday by lgw · · Score: 1

      How unexpected! You proposed a tax - I never saw that coming. You combine both ways to make the government more powerful.

      The climate's going to change, regardless. People are going to move off of coal-fired powerplants, regardless. Electric cars will eventually dominate, regardless. Technology marches on. When new products are actually better, and they will be, people switch to them.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    47. Re:Not doomsday by bfpierce · · Score: 1

      I think you're forgetting that climate change (in history) has caused major civilizations to falter and die. This leaves a bunch of nuclear warheads in the hands of whoever fucking wants them. We were concerned about Russia falling to 'democracy' and losing track of them, and that's just a minor blip compared to climate change.

      Humanity will live just fine, it's 'governments' that will have a hard time surviving it.

      It's a damn shame this is 'insightful'.

    48. Re:Not doomsday by MightyMartian · · Score: 1, Troll

      Yes, I'm proposing a tax. Taxes are not inherently evil..

      And jesus christ, seriously, the old "climate is gonna change" meme. We are responsible through unrestrained CO2 emissions for a significant amount of climate change that is happening *right now* and into the future, and your only response is a moronic meme and brainless contempt for taxes? What are you, five years old?

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    49. Re:Not doomsday by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      And on more time, a large amount of global CO2 emissions come from countries with birth rates below replacement rate. The rest is just you being a sociopathic monster.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    50. Re:Not doomsday by lgw · · Score: 1

      The US military under Obama was quite politically correct. Now Mad-Dog Mathis is in charge, and bullshit will be phased out.

      But yes, of course, people will have to move. There's a real risk of war once the current tolerance of mass immigration fades. And it seems to be fading. But that has nothing to do with "Doomsday". There will always be wars. Life goes on.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    51. Re:Not doomsday by Dread_ed · · Score: 1

      You're right.

      I should have added "Reproduction should be enforced and enhanced in countries that express industrial prowess, provided that prowess enhances viability of mankind."

      Like I said, I don't believe these things are right or correct, merely justifiable through the "think of the grandchildren" lens.

      --
      When the only tool you have is a claw hammer every problem starts to look like the back of someone's skull.
    52. Re:Not doomsday by Dread_ed · · Score: 1

      Not if we nuke all of them before they can escape the rising waters.

      --
      When the only tool you have is a claw hammer every problem starts to look like the back of someone's skull.
    53. Re:Not doomsday by lgw · · Score: 0, Troll

      Yes, I'm proposing a tax. Taxes are not inherently evil..

      Of course they are. Anything that makes the government more powerful is inherently evil. You have to prove that more good will come from that power, even with an evil government openly hostile to it's people, for a tax to be justified.

      We are responsible through unrestrained CO2 emissions for a significant amount of climate change that is happening *right now* and into the future,

      So you say. It's can't be quantified, of course. Heck, climate models are giving about 2 sigmas of accuracy right now, which would laughable even in social science. We have no useful data on which to say that reducing CO2 emission will be cheaper than coping with climate change. But the argument that we can somehow stop climate change is obvious bullshit. Climate change is always happening "right now". The climate is just not a stable sort of thing.

      One thing's for sure though: warming is vastly easier to cope with than glaciers covering all of Europe, Russia, Canada, and the Northern US.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    54. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nuclear winter would fix this whole global warming problem though

    55. Re:Not doomsday by dpilot · · Score: 1

      WWI and WWII got so bad, at least partly because of strategic alliances. Even if you're not directly involved, if you have a mutual assistance pact with some other nation, and they get involved in a conflict, you're involved too. The question is what happens when this chain of involvement leads to each side having a nuclear-armed power.

      There will always be wars - perhaps. The difference is how hot those wars get, who is involved, etc. That Trump doesn't seem to be into mutual assistance might actually be a positive for avoiding nuclear war. That Trump seems to be in favor of nuclear proliferation (Let them defend themselves.) is a decided negative.

      Life goes on, almost certainly.
      Human life is a bit less certain.
      Civilized human life is far less certain yet.

      --
      The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
    56. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Taxes are not inherently evil..

      Yes, yes they are.

      At least under a form of government that is supposed to promote, protect, and preserve individual freedom & liberty.

      Of course, under authoritarian, central-command-and-control forms of government of the type you seem to prefer evidenced by your comment history, taxes are the norm.

      Sadly for you, you will never have your preferred authoritarian utopia because you are an unarmed coward that must rely on others who are armed (and thus not likely to agree w/you) to enforce your desires upon others.

      Go ahead. Make our day.

    57. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So it's more of an... Administrativeinconvenienceday Clock

    58. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All that is fine, but is light years from "an existential threat".

      A government over-reaction slowing the economy could be worse by far, looking 100 or 200 years ahead. Worst of AGW + year 2200 tech vs. nice peaceful meadows and year 2100 tech in 2200 means megadeaths more because of lesser tech. Advancing tech, or the lack of it driven by government overreaction, is the closest thing to an existential crisis related to global warming.

    59. Re:Not doomsday by Obfuscant · · Score: 1

      The question is what happens when this chain of involvement leads to each side having a nuclear-armed power.

      You mean like in the Korean conflict, where the US and China exchanged multiple rounds of nuclear missiles, decimating a large part of the Chinese and US landscape and making much of the south Pacific region uninhabitable?

      Or the Vietnam War, where a similar round of nuclear cataclysm made Australia, New Zealand, the Phillipines, and Hawaii into vast wastelands of radioactive fallout?

      Or the Malvinas, I mean Falklands, where Great Britain lobbed a couple of gigaton nukes into Argentina to get them to back off?

      Human life is a bit less certain.

      It is a great shame that the alleged capability of that species to build tools and adapt to their environment will simply cease to exist because OMG DJT.

    60. Re:Not doomsday by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

      Strain on borders over 100-200 years is called migration, not an existential threat.

      Differentials between western lifestyles (and corruption at all levels of government) from the source countries is driving very, very fast migration currently, here and in Europe.

      And there is nothing remotely existential about any of it.

      --
      (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
    61. Re:Not doomsday by dywolf · · Score: 0

      Conservative ideal #2182:
      Planning ahead and thinking about generations other than ourselves...something only irresponsible commies do.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    62. Re:Not doomsday by dywolf · · Score: 1

      Only if you're too stupid to draw the chain of events in how a war over resources or land gets started, something very well documented throughout history.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    63. Re:Not doomsday by dywolf · · Score: 1

      sadly that still makes it too expensive to live there

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    64. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If they are tridents they might score an own goal!

    65. Re:Not doomsday by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      sadly that still makes it too expensive to live there

      If you live a modest lifestyle, it's not bad. If you want the American Dream of having it all, it gets very expensive in Silicon Valley.

    66. Re:Not doomsday by pastafazou · · Score: 1

      People may have to move so they advance the clock, but millions of migrants flooding into Europe all through 2016 didn't cause it to budge? My BS sensors are going off....

    67. Re:Not doomsday by dywolf · · Score: 1

      I thought we were playing with the idea of not just being "under water", but literally under water, cause of rising sea levels.
      and living underwater is expensive. :P

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    68. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How many people have to die in your estimation before we can call it a doomsday scenario?

      Umm... all of them?

    69. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All ice melting takes upwards of a thousand years.

      You might like to be introduced to Lake Agassiz. It is a reminder of how fast a sea level rise can happen. Then maybe you'll reconsider your beliefs.

      Who knows how many liquid water bodies are trapped in some random glacier, ready to wreak havoc in a world scale.

    70. Re:Not doomsday by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      CO2's properties have been known for over a century. Increasing PPM increases heat trapped. You can try to handwave it away all you like, you can try to make the science sound more uncertain than it is if you like, but that just means you're a coward and a moron.

      Reducing CO2 emissions will at least slow the trapping of energy. This is physics, and it doesn't care about your stupidity. CO2 has the properties it has, so grow the fuck up you fucking piece of denying shit.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    71. Re:Not doomsday by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      The universe doesn't give a fuck about your libertarianism. Co2 has the properties it has, no matter your ideological bent. Grow the fuck up you pathetic coward

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    72. Re:Not doomsday by The-Ixian · · Score: 1

      Unless government and/or the people living there deny that global warming is happening....

      --
      My eyes reflect the stars and a smile lights up my face.
    73. Re:Not doomsday by lgw · · Score: 1

      CO2's properties have been known for over a century. Increasing PPM increases heat trapped.

      That has never been the point anyone has taken issue with. How expensive will it be? How expensive will it be to eliminate CO2 emission? How much of the ongoing warming is because of mankind's CO2 emissions, vs changes in the Sun?

      You seem emotionally unstable. Are you seeing a therapist? It might help.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    74. Re:Not doomsday by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Don't pretend it's a simple question. CO2 greenhouse gas effects by themselves _are_ insignificant, not even in dispute.

      It's all about the CO2/temperature/Water vapor positive feedback coefficient used in the models. Also about the CO2/temperature/Cloud cover feedback.

      Both those numbers are in question and cannot be backcast. Further don't pretend that 'climate scientists' have been caught using absurd values for these numbers to produce alarmist predictions.

      As I've said before: The definition of 'competent modeler' includes 'able to get the model to tell him/her anything they want to hear'.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    75. Re:Not doomsday by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      When you've got a valuable economic resource to protect, living under sea level is practical. See the Netherlands.

      When you've got a shithole, not so much. See the 9th ward of New Orleans.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    76. Re:Not doomsday by lactose99 · · Score: 1

      Worrying about what happens centuries from now isn't just stupid, it is utterly irresponsible.

      At the same time, sticking one's head in the sand and completely ignoring the continued compounding of the problem is also utterly irresponsible.

      --
      Fully licensed blockchain psychiatrist
    77. Re:Not doomsday by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      I know you're familiar with Sacramento.

      You should look at how North Natomas development was authorized. It's a classic case study in regulatory capture.

      Taxpayers aren't bailing out anybody, N. Natomas homeowners are paying to build/rebuild the levees they were told were already there. The politician involved (who's name escapes me at the moment) was fired (didn't run for reelection when the facts were revealed) but not prosecuted in any way.

      The whole city is in a floodplain, except 3 suburbs (those with the word 'heights/highlands' in their name). 2 of those are shitholes.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    78. Re:Not doomsday by lactose99 · · Score: 1

      Don't forget the same talking heads that are denying climate science are the ones who want to protect the "unborn", the "preborn" and the "whateverborn" simply because their sex life is unhappy and they want everyone else's to be too.

      --
      Fully licensed blockchain psychiatrist
    79. Re:Not doomsday by dpilot · · Score: 1

      I hope that trend continues and your confidence is well founded.

      --
      The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
    80. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Cool plan, bro. How do you think you're going to make China adhere to it?

    81. Re:Not doomsday by PrimaryConsult · · Score: 1

      Yes but this clock is either representing "global" annihilation or "American" annihilation depending on how you look at it. If "American" you've already made my argument for me (people and resources can move). So global: if an arbitrary 20% of the countries in the world literally disappeared under the ocean tomorrow, unless one of those was China, "most" of the world is still fine and the event would not be called "doomsday". When it was concerned with just nuclear war, it was a measure of actual doomsday, as in more than half the planet becoming uninhabitable in less than an hour.

    82. Re:Not doomsday by ooloorie · · Score: 1

      I was responding to a posting that talked about "all ice melting". Is it that you can't read, or are you deliberately shifting the goalposts?

      Sea level rise is already occuring (just ask your average insurance actuary), so there's no "thousand years from now" to talk about.

      Yes, it occurs at 1-2 feet per century. Your point being?

      There are coastal areas that will be significantly affected well within my lifetime.

      Coastal areas are always significantly affected by something. The best thing to do is to stop subsidizing people living there.

    83. Re:Not doomsday by ooloorie · · Score: 1

      Conservative ideal #2182. Planning ahead and thinking about generations other than ourselves...something only irresponsible commies do.

      Correct. If you understood rational behavior, discounting and risk, you would understand why.

    84. Re:Not doomsday by ooloorie · · Score: 1

      At the same time, sticking one's head in the sand and completely ignoring the continued compounding of the problem is also utterly irresponsible.

      The problem is already solving itself: prices for renewable energy sources keep falling without government help. If you want to help further, stop subsidies, reduce taxes, and reduce regulations.

      On the other hand, adding massive crony capitalism, raising taxes, and wrecking the world's economy is going to make the problem worse, and that's what Democrats and people like Gore are proposing.

    85. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fortunately those ideas were formed before there was a left or a right wing.

    86. Re:Not doomsday by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      The whole city is in a floodplain, except 3 suburbs (those with the word 'heights/highlands' in their name). 2 of those are shitholes.

      I'm familiar with North Highlands and Citrus Heights. My parents retired up there in the 1990's.I might move up there one of these days, somewhere above the floodplains and below the snow line.

    87. Re:Not doomsday by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      DelPaso Heights (DPH) used to be the 'high rent district'. There are some great old houses there, but wear you body armor.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    88. Re:Not doomsday by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      The Secretary of State, not being in the chain of command, doesn't have anything to do with approving or disapproving military action. Nice try, though.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    89. Re:Not doomsday by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      The military are trained to obey any lawful order, period. So you can stop kidding yourself now.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    90. Re:Not doomsday by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      For many of those areas, we're talking salt water. Good luck drinking that, or using it to water your crops.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    91. Re:Not doomsday by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      You might want to check out the proportion of humans who live close to coastlines before making yourself look more foolish than you already have.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    92. Re:Not doomsday by kayoshiii · · Score: 1

      How much of the ongoing warming is because of mankind's CO2 emissions, vs changes in the Sun?

      This is fairly easy to measure: let's concider this from two angles.

      Warming via greenhouse gases (trapped radiation) predicts a pattern of warming, warming from external radiation predicts a different pattern. The pattern we are seeing is one where warming is concerntrated towards the poles, the stratosphere is cooling while the troposphere is warming, warming is occuring more at night than in the day etc. This points in the directionion of trapped radiation being the source of the warming with a high degree of probability

      Secondly we have been observing the sun dirrectly for some time now and that data doesn't look like it can explain the recent warmng.

    93. Re:Not doomsday by bongey · · Score: 1

      Don't mind coastal liberal cesspools being 10 feet under water.

    94. Re:Not doomsday by bongey · · Score: 1

      That was only under Obama Secretary of Defense . We are just laughing that Obama is out. https://si.wsj.net/public/reso...

    95. Re:Not doomsday by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Of course they are. Anything that makes the government more powerful is inherently evil.

      Looney Tunes. Well, maybe you got that way after you old man stubbornly used lead paint on your crib when you were a baby. Had to stick it to those big librul science types, the Fairy Rand Grandmother told him so...

    96. Re:Not doomsday by PrimaryConsult · · Score: 1

      Calling me foolish? If you are seriously telling me that sea levels rising 6 inches a year is even in the same universe of terrifying as the world becoming uninhabitable within an hour, I think you'd best look in the mirror. Your low UID is implying to me that you've gone senile.

      I will humour you to and pretend that you are capable of rudimentary thought. When water gets higher, you move inland. If there is no more inland to move to, sucks for you. But there's plenty of people who have further inland to move to, and plenty of people who are already inland. Like China, Europe, USA, Canada, Australia. Eventually landlocked countries will get some coastline. Essentially, those too stupid or poor to be able to escape slow but steady climate change will die off, likely at the hands of the military of more fortunate countries, while the majority of humanity continues on.

    97. Re:Not doomsday by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      How are you going to move 15million people out of New York? Where are you going to put them? Where are you going to put people on islands where the vast majority of the islands are going to be at danger of regular flooding.

      You don't seem to understand the concept. It's not just that water moves 6inches higher- it's that storm surges go up as water levels go up. Warmer temperatures mean higher storm surges too. Sure, you may live 8 inches above sea level and think- I'm safe, I have an extra 2 inches- but when the storms come in and flood your major cities- and areas like subways (which have parts below sea level... not sure if you knew that) get filled

      Then there are countries like The Netherlands where half their country could be underwater if flood controls break and let in the sea water. You seem to have this rather naïve idea that water just slowly rises, there are no tides- no sudden flood events or storms that exacerbate the problem. Being a fly-over state person, many people don't really get ocean-front dynamics.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    98. Re:Not doomsday by JackieBrown · · Score: 1

      If only someone could invent some kind of water purification system...

    99. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It demonstrates the genetic difference between intelligent, white European Dutch of the Netherlands, and the primitive African jungle animals who populate New Orleans. One group is successful, the other is a pack of feral jungle animals.

    100. Re:Not doomsday by lgw · · Score: 1

      Way to not read the whole post.

      Giving power to the government is always evil, because we are governed by humans, not angels, and any power will eventually be used against the people. You must justify that evil with some good that balances it.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    101. Re:Not doomsday by PrimaryConsult · · Score: 1

      There's only 9 million in New York city, using the state population for hyperbole doesn't really help your case. In any event, the rest of the state (except Long Island, sorry guys) has tens of thousands of acres of quality land far above sea level. Much of it is currently being held by rednecks who *already* have been selling their parcels to developers building high end housing for people moving out of the city. Given the right storm, the situation would only be about 100x worse than New Orleans after Katrina. A disaster? Of course! Doomsday? Hardly not! The economy will take a dive for a little while, I'll get some new neighbours at 200' above sea level, but most importantly life goes on. Which it would not in the event of global nuclear war.

    102. Re:Not doomsday by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      Actually, I underestimated not over estimated- there is close to 20 million in the New York City metro area!

      If one of those nations impacted by climate change is a nuclear nation. (India, Pakistan, both set to lose out on rainfall as part of climate change) It very well COULD be a nuclear war, that's the point. Climate change has led to war many times throughout history- it made the Vikings leave Denmark, caused the mass migration in Europe that led to the fall of Rome. Caused Egypt to fall, Chinese dynasties to be overthrown.

      Predicted Climate change itself can probably only kill at most millions not billions at worst. but countries struggling to adapt and pushed to war because of climate change could kill billions. If the world went to a full nuclear war, most people would be wiped out. Some would presumably survive, but that is still pretty catastrophic.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    103. Re:Not doomsday by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Actually, Democrats tend to be more interested in fighting climate change, and since 1980 they've been the more fiscally conservative party. Deficits have gone up under Republican Presidents and down under Democratic ones.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    104. Re:Not doomsday by PrimaryConsult · · Score: 1

      Fair enough. I acknowlege that as a possibility, albeit an unlikely one. Currently through luck more than anything else, the nuclear-armed nations are large enough and have enough high elevation land to be able to help their own people resettle within their borders. Some might even have their populations benefit from climate change (deserts becoming less desert) at the expense of the current non-human ecosystem. In that sense I would say Donald Trump's election is dangerous - he wants to give places surrounded by water (Japan, S. Korea) nukes.

    105. Re:Not doomsday by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      And I will agree that, we're more likely to have nuclear war through other means rather than as a forced effort due to climate change- climate change is just one of many factors that could lead to nuclear war. US, Europe, Russia... probably not going to be led to destitution by climate change. China has a slight risk.

      Israel, Pakistan and India are the three nuclear powers with the most risk to be majorly screwed by climate change.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    106. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For many of those areas, we're talking salt water. Good luck drinking that, or using it to water your crops.

      Joke's on you; I water my crops with Brawndo. It's got what plants crave!

    107. Re:Not doomsday by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This was embarrassing.

      Yes, an embarrassing set of hysteria from the right wing, who forgot the truth on their way to their latest outrage.

      Tell us about the curtains, the birth certificate and the training exercise.

      The Mexican president canceling a meeting in a huff? Not so much.

      Oh oh, oh, ooloorie, you forgot, Trump said it was "mutual" so you are passing the wrong story.

      Of course, now he has to meet with another populist radical, who wants to advance her own agenda over the wishes of the actual elected government which only now is she spinning as what she intended to do all along.

      I guess we can start calling it AirStrip One.

    108. Re:Not doomsday by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Way to not read the whole post.

      The whole post was just more of the same Randian gibberish.

      Giving power to the government is always evil, because we are governed by humans, not angels, and any power will eventually be used against the people. You must justify that evil with some good that balances it.

      Completely ignoring the fact that monied interests are more than happy to use their power to exploit you for profit. The worst bureaucrat at the worst Soviet agency did not have a personal, vested interest in screwing you over for financial gain. As opposed to capitalist companies, which may get you killed in the process - see GM ignitions alone.

      Whats the only institution that can stand up to car companies that don't care if you die in a fire? Railroad barons that build lines across public lands and then charge you a kidney for transportation? Force companies to stop making insulation made form asbestos and using lead paint on your kids toys? Government.

      You make as much sense as a communist ranting that anyone who starts their own business is going to sexually harass his secretary while defrauding investors and cheating customers - because what one business does, all businesses will do. Except communists have more sense than that.

    109. Re:Not doomsday by lgw · · Score: 1

      Completely ignoring the fact that monied interests are more than happy to use their power to exploit you for profit

      So you're saying Hitler wasn't so evil, since he attacked Stalin? Look, centralized power is bad, because power attracts assholes. Obviously the trade-off is sometimes worth it, but one should be very skeptical in every case, demand proof that every new power really is a net positive.

      The worst bureaucrat at the worst Soviet agency did not have a personal, vested interest in screwing you over for financial gain.

      Yeah, you don't understand how that worked, do you? They very much screwed people over for their personal financial gain (at least, at the top). Under capitalism, the rich become powerful. Under communism, the powerful become rich.

      Whats the only institution that can stand up to car companies that don't care if you die in a fire?

      What's "regulatory capture"?

      You make as much sense as al the people saying "government is too corrupt, and the only way to fix it is to give the government more power".

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  3. Herp derp... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Pay attention to us!!!!!111111

  4. I remember... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Back 20 years ago when each and every thing wasn't politicized. This doomsday clock used to actually mean something.

    1. Re:I remember... by Salgak1 · · Score: 1

      Really. Especially in the late 80s and early 60s, when we were often a hair-width away from someone on either side actually pushing the button and kicking off World War Three.

    2. Re:I remember... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You mean back when US presidents didn't have public feuds with reporters, celebrities, scientists over trivialities? Back when they weren't publicly demanding that our country torture suspects? Back when the thought of using nukes was restricted solely to massive military assaults and not because a handful of religious extremists?

    3. Re:I remember... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Back 20 years ago when each and every thing wasn't politicized. This doomsday clock used to actually mean something.

      Yes, it was great when science was science and large portions of it weren't just ignored because it is politically easier to ignore a problem than fix it.

  5. are you protected? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    1. Re:are you protected? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'll just drink lots of vodak like in S.T.A.L.K.E.R.

  6. Remember us? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Anybody? Please care about us again!

  7. Awesome ... by jodokast98 · · Score: 1

    One step closer to playing Fallout in real-life!

  8. "Science" by Empiric · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Make some arbitrary metric from an infinite series of divisible time units, politicize it, and call it "science".

    And no, "advancing" the "clock" is hardly an unprecedented event.

    And people call eschatology a dubious methodology.

    --
    ~ Whence do you come, slayer of men, or where are you going, conqueror of space?
    1. Re:"Science" by omnichad · · Score: 3, Informative

      Just because they are scientists, that doesn't mean they are calling it science. If a scientist eats a cheeseburger, that's not science either.

      Compare it to DEFCON, except it's civilian and non-actionable.

    2. Re:"Science" by Empiric · · Score: 1, Insightful

      If it is being presented by the "Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists", and they aren't claiming it's science, it needs a disclaimer.

      Which won't be happening.

      --
      ~ Whence do you come, slayer of men, or where are you going, conqueror of space?
    3. Re:"Science" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just because something is hard to measure and quantify accurately, doesn't mean it isn't important. Obviously the clock metaphor is accounting for global trends, recent events, political leaders, etc... Those kinds of things are hard to 'accurately measure', so a -metaphor- being used to indicate their 'level of fear' regarding a nuclear war... is in and of itself important.

      Just because my chemistry teacher tells me he gets the feeling that there will be a fight in the school today, I don't ignore him and tell him "that isn't chemistry" (admittedly a contrived example, but the point still stands)

      You are trying to equate this with "Dr Oz" "promoting" some "miracle cure for hypertension" on his non-medical-Entertainment show... Yes, one needs a disclaimer, the other is from the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.

    4. Re:"Science" by Empiric · · Score: 1

      I am equating the two precisely because they are equally psudoscience, regardless of the source. The Appeal to Authority Fallacy doesn't apply any better because the authority is "atomic scientists" when the claim has nothing to do with any valid methodology of science.

      And I'm not at all claiming it's unimportant. It's very important. It's just that from your worldview, Climate Change being true or not, nuclear annihilation being true or not, you personally will be nonexistent within 120 years, guaranteed, going by your worldview or mine. And going by mine, I will still be existent regardless of the outcome of those "threats". You have no possible useful resolution to your global issues, I do. That doesn't mean the issue isn't important.

      --
      ~ Whence do you come, slayer of men, or where are you going, conqueror of space?
    5. Re:"Science" by PolygamousRanchKid+ · · Score: 1

      If it is being presented by the "Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists", and they aren't claiming it's science, it needs a disclaimer.

      How about renaming it the "Bull of the Atomic Scientists" . . . ?

      And who are these "Atomic Scientists" anyway? I don't remember nominating or voting for any of them, so who chose them? Or they like the "Atomic Boy Scout", who got the title by building a reactor in his mom's backyard? They sure don't seem like the Physics professors I knew during my university days. These "Atomic Scientists" sound more like political cranks with an axe to grind.

      Anyway, the start of a nuclear war would be a quick two minute deal, but these folks are also claiming that their clock was shifted because of climate change. The predicted results of climate change would be a slow, painful death, not a two minute deal.

      . . . and anyway, Russia and the USA are not going to start a nuclear war. The Russians are too smart . . . they are great chess players, and know that a nuclear war between the USA and Russia would lead to disaster for both. Trump is, at heart, a real estate guy. He knows that dumping nuclear weapons on land would negatively impact its market value. So he may huff and puff, but he will not push the button either.

      Now Krazy Kim . . . or some kooks in God's Monkey House (aka the Middle East) . . . that's where it's bound to start, and where the Atomic Scientists should be watching.

      --
      Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
    6. Re:"Science" by bfpierce · · Score: 1

      Apparently when a 'bunch of scientists' get together to eat a cheesburger it needs a fucking disclaimer that 'no guy, honest, we're not doing science'.

    7. Re:"Science" by Empiric · · Score: 1

      No, but if they publish in the "Bulletin of Atomic Scientists" that cheeseburgers are better than salads, then they do, indeed, need a disclaimer.

      And if they're the materially-reductionistic variety of scientists (i.e. Philosophical rather than Methodological Naturalists), the cheeseburger is mammal-on-mammal genocide, so that should be explained as well.

      --
      ~ Whence do you come, slayer of men, or where are you going, conqueror of space?
    8. Re:"Science" by PPH · · Score: 1

      Just because they are scientists,

      They don't have a lot of scientists on their staff or as contributiong authors. Mainly journalists and public policy wonks.

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
  9. more disguised opinion by micahraleigh · · Score: 1, Insightful

    I find it rich how scientists masquerade their opinions as facts. If the facts are so important, why don't you present facts?

    Same thing goes for the stealth editorialists in the media, prostitutes who look down on prostitutes because they're prostitutes, etc.

    Happy is the man who walks a straight path.

    1. Re:more disguised opinion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If the facts are so important, why don't you present facts?

      We do, we present facts on a regular basis. That's our job.

      Problem is, the regular person doesn't spend much time reading academic journals. They'd rather get their news from Facebook or Twitter. So we've created these sensationalist measures to call attention and stir debate on the real facts that otherwise might go unnoticed by the general population.

    2. Re:more disguised opinion by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      Ah, I see; you're not worried at all about there being more nuclear weapons in the world?
      So in other words, you're perfectly OK with North Korea and Iran having nuclear weapons, so long as we have more of them. Gotcha.

    3. Re:more disguised opinion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sensationalist garbage only calls attention to sensationalist garbage. Fear mongering is doing nothing to convince the 'other side,' nor is it bringing back disaffected liberals. Why is this so hard to learn?

    4. Re:more disguised opinion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thanks to the EPA, you can never maintain an air conditioning system for any length of time. The refrigerant always gets banned. Thanks to the EPA, we have ethanol in fuel that worsens mileage and wreaks havoc on engines. The year it became mandatory, everyone had to replace their lawnmowers because the new fuel destroyed them. Thanks to the EPA, cold weather states changed their traffic signals over to LEDs which weren't warm like the older lights. They get covered in snow. Now they have heating elements. Awesome. Despite having an EPA, things like the Gulf oil spill and Flint happened anyway. Both were poorly managed demonstrating that this agency is ill equipped to handle anything real-world. We lose jobs and waste tons of money on the stupid antics of agencies like that.

    5. Re:more disguised opinion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That, and the fact that the majority of "facts" that are presented are actually personal conclusions and interpretations.

    6. Re:more disguised opinion by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Shut-off the fuel and let your mower run the carb bowl dry. It's not that complicated, you should have been doing it all along.

      Still mowing with a two-stroke in CA. Been illegal coming on 20 years. New mowers are mostly MTD crap.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    7. Re:more disguised opinion by micahraleigh · · Score: 1

      Ah, I see. You're not following what I said.

      I said scientists' opinions are only as good as anyone else's opinions because science isn't opinion based.

      And, no, I don't believe we are 2 minutes before a nuclear apocalypse. The whole doomsday clock is a sham.

    8. Re:more disguised opinion by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1
      The so-called 'Doomsday Clock' is qualitative, not quantitative.

      And the sign flashed out its warning
      In the words that it was forming
      And the sign said The words of the prophets
      Are written on the subway walls
      And tenement halls

      I'd sooner listen to the 'opinions' of learned, lettered men, than that of politicians, the media, and Average Joe.
      It doesn't take an IQ of 180 and multiple PhD's to reason through that more nuclear weapons are worse than fewer nuclear weapons -- especially with who in the world has their fingers on the Red Buttons right now -- and who might have their fingers on their own Red Buttons (i.e., extremists, terrorists, etc); the more of them that legitimate countries have, the more nervous some of the whackos out there get.
      Just because you can do something, doesn't mean you should do it; just because we can make more nuclear weapons doesn't mean we should. Besides, I think anyone in the command structure of the military (assuming they're sane, at least) will tell you that nuclear weapons aren't practical; they're last-resort only, and last time I heard about it, we still have enough in our collective arsenals to make the Earth uninhabitable several times over. Why do we need more of them?
      If we're going to advance the concept of human civilization -- REAL civilization -- then we need to move away from this all-or-nothing train of thought that involves doomsday weapons. I know that nukes are just a symptom of the real problem, and that problem will require changing hearts and minds on a global scale, but we've got to start somewhere, and getting everyone to stop pointing their guns at everyone else is a first step to ending this nuclear Mexican standoff.

    9. Re:more disguised opinion by micahraleigh · · Score: 1

      Thanks for taking the time to flesh out where you are coming from. +1 for the "nuclear Mexican standoff" depiction.

      On the surface of it everything you are saying is true. In some ways that's what science tells us: what is observable. What you don't see every day is wars NOT happening because of the fear of nuclear retaliation ... but just because you don't see it doesn't mean it isn't real.

      Deaths due to national conflicts have dropped significantly since nuclear weapons were invented.

      I note your emphasis on the apocalyptic scenario because you are saying the principle differs en masse because it doesn't apply in the isolated cases (e.g. a person is less likely to be robbed if everyone knows he is packing heat). This is similar to Keynesians saying you can spend your way out of a debt (doesn't apply in the particular, so ... extraordinary evidence required, etc).

      I listen to the experts when it comes to things like transmission repair, coronary bypasses, etc. but not when it comes to human life. Understanding human life doesn't come with being a professional (either in business or government administration). It is simply something each human being understands for himself. Having an opinion about how to risk things doesn't come with technical or scientific knowledge.

  10. What it really is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    This is nothing more than a way for the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists to protest against Trump's environmental policy.

    1. Re:What it really is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is nothing more than a way for the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists to protest against Trump's environmental policy.

      Why shouldn't they? Trump clearly doesn't know what the fuck he's doing, is delusional, and never should have been allowed to be POTUS in the first place. Let's see how happy you are with your boy when the air you breathe and the water you drink start giving you cancer, and your grandchildren have to live on houses on stilts because the ocean level keeps rising.

    2. Re:What it really is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is nothing more than a way for the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists to protest against Trump's environmental policy.

      Good! Evil should always be protested and acted against. To ignore evil is to allow it to thrive.

  11. Political statement by mysidia · · Score: 2

    No "Science" behind the reasoning of what they set their doomsday clock at.
    This sounds like someone's way of expressing personal disdain for different political situations.

    Particularly climate change denial by people in power -- they cited U.S. President Donald Trump -- and talk about more nuclear weapons.

    Climate change in the short term is as inevitable as continued population growth.
    It's not too important whether people in power acknowledge it; It's going to happen.

    If you want to stop climate change, then make human populations stop growing and start declining
    in countries that consume the most energy per person, And build nuclear power capacity, LOTS of
    nuclear power capacity.

    1. Re:Political statement by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      Oh for chrissakes, the whole overpopulation claim again. A significant proportion of CO2 emissions are coming from countries that have birth rates BELOW replacement rate.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  12. Watered Down by chispito · · Score: 1
    From TFA

    Created in 1947, the Doomsday Clock was conceived by scientists who had participated in the Manhattan Project. Initially seen as an indicator of the likelihood of disastrous nuclear conflict, it now also includes other threats, such as climate change, biological weapons and cyberthreats.

    The more stuff they throw in, the less this thing means.

    --
    The Daddy casts sleep on the Baby. The Baby resists!
    1. Re:Watered Down by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The more stuff they throw in, the less this thing means.

      Do you use Kali, peradventure?

  13. Re:Not either or but both by Layzej · · Score: 5, Informative
    Lucky for us it's not one or the other that we have to worry about, but both:

    "Over the course of 2016, the global security landscape darkened as the international community failed to come effectively to grips with humanity's most pressing existential threats, nuclear weapons and climate change ... This already-threatening world situation was the backdrop for a rise in strident nationalism worldwide in 2016, including in a U.S. presidential campaign during which the eventual victor, Donald Trump, made disturbing comments about the use and proliferation of nuclear weapons and expressed disbelief in the overwhelming scientific consensus on climate change."

  14. Newsflash: Liberals Don't Like Trump by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Liberal group of pseudo-scientists tries to instill fear of Trump...

    Color me shocked.

    1. Re:Newsflash: Liberals Don't Like Trump by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If it wasn't for Gullible Liberals who would click on their Adsense ads and make their paycheck ?

  15. Just more Trump hysteria by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    I can't wait for another 4 or 8 more years of this.

    Not.

    PS - Overblown "Oh noes! Trump has unhinged me!" hyperventilating is just going to make him immune to legitimate criticisms, as the signal-to-crazy-noise ratio will be too low to get attention

  16. Poor BAS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    With the end of the Cold War, and the last chance that the world would need their "wisdom" to avoid dying in nuclear annihilation, the pitiful Bulletin of Atomic Scientists has been trying to maintain relevance.
    "Pay attention to me!", they cry. "We still matter!"

    They really need to just accept that the Cold War is over, and move on.

    1. Re:Poor BAS by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      And all the nukes and other threats magickally went away. Got it.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
  17. Politicized science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    That's one way to make people mistrust science, by politicizing it. This is an example for why it is not a good idea to blindly trusts scientists. Everyone has an agenda to push.

    1. Re:Politicized science by TWX · · Score: 1

      It's also a good idea to not blindly trust politicians, or CEOs, or marketing folks, or priests, or the hotdog vendor.

      What's your point?

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    2. Re:Politicized science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure it's a good idea in theory but in practice too many people consider "science" to be infallible just because "it's science", especially when it comes to political topics. Implying otherwise often automatically gets you pushed into whatever corner is the enemy of the month: troll, rightwing nutjob and, ironically, religious people.

  18. Trump supporters need to STFU by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Your boy Trump is already fucking everything up, his inner circle doesn't agree with him on many subjects and keep having to clean up after the messes he keeps making on Twitter and in the press, and the final sign that this overgrown 70-year-old baby is not living in the Real World, is his obsessive insistance that there was 'massive voter fraud' on the scale of millions of votes -- and if you actually believe that nonsense yourself, then you need to be checked into a mental institution, because you're delusional (if not outright psychotic). Trump is melting down mentally right before our eyes. Before the 2020 gets here, the Doomsday Clock will probably be less than a minute to midnight -- assuming we make it that far -- unless of course someone assassinates the fat sonofabitch (we can always hope).

    1. Re:Trump supporters need to STFU by MightyMartian · · Score: 0

      So you think "diplomacy by Twitter", where Trump tells the President of Mexico to stay home if he won't pay for Trump's border wall, is somehow a responsible way for the leader of the Free World to behave? You don't think being an unapologetic jerk and bully is going to cause all sorts of problems?

      I get that you're probably a shameless prick, but surely even a 4chan circle jerker like you can see that this sort of indiscriminate use of executive powers to be a cunt is going to hit some pretty big brick walls.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    2. Re:Trump supporters need to STFU by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The DOW is at a record high, companies are relocating jobs to the states, we're finally defending our borders, we have a President that has good relations with Russia, we're out of the TPP.. seems like he's doing an excellent job to me, and it hasn't even been a week yet!

    3. Re:Trump supporters need to STFU by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wahhhhh Trump is bullying Mexico. I'm literally shaking right now!

      Mexico deserves to be bullied and there's not a fucking thing they can do about it. Get used to it, the free ride is over.

    4. Re:Trump supporters need to STFU by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you think "diplomacy by Twitter", where Trump tells the President of Mexico to stay home if he won't pay for Trump's border wall[...]

      In this case, Twitter is indeed the comparative form of Twit.

    5. Re:Trump supporters need to STFU by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      And why precisely does Mexico deserve to be bullied? The history of US-Mexican relations have been a very long stream of US imposition on Mexican sovereignty.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    6. Re:Trump supporters need to STFU by x0ra · · Score: 0

      "You see, in this world there's two kinds of people, my friend: Those with loaded guns and those who dig. You dig."

    7. Re: Trump supporters need to STFU by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I am swelling with patriotic pride, my countrymen revel at the tyranny they may spread.

    8. Re:Trump supporters need to STFU by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You think going on shows like "The View" and rocking out in a private concert in the White House while the gulf was getting covered in oil were proper ways for the previous President to behave?

      Twitter is paying off for our new POTUS. His tweets are bringing jobs home. If you like transparency, you should like getting our leader's opinion unfiltered and direct to your social media feed.

    9. Re:Trump supporters need to STFU by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      They appear incapable of cleaning up their own nation.

      Their major political parties are each wholly owned subsidiaries of drug cartels. Just look at who gets raided vs. which party is in control.

      They sure do like border controls when discussing _their_ southern border. It's only 'evil' when considering their northern border.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    10. Re:Trump supporters need to STFU by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      The only debate is:

      Proper form to address a twitter user? Twit or Twat?

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    11. Re:Trump supporters need to STFU by bongey · · Score: 1

      You do realize the current president of mexico has been investigated multiple times for corruption? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    12. Re:Trump supporters need to STFU by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They appear incapable of cleaning up their own nation.

      Their major political parties are each wholly owned subsidiaries of drug cartels. Just look at who gets raided vs. which party is in control.

      I prefer drug cartels to banks myself, they're a lot less evil.

      They sure do like border controls when discussing _their_ southern border. It's only 'evil' when considering their northern border.

      That's because America stole no less than six states from them.

      Hand them back, and it won't be a problem.

  19. Almost there by jxander · · Score: 2
    --
    This signature is false.
    1. Re:Almost there by Bratch · · Score: 1

      YES! I came here to post the same, but thought I would check the comments before posting redundant, like most people do here.

      --
      Beware of the Redittor who loans you a Sharpie.
    2. Re:Almost there by freeze128 · · Score: 1

      I know, right?

      There is a general sense of nuclear doomsday in the music of the mid eighties. Ozzy Ozbourne's "The Ultimate Sin" has a few songs about "dropping the bomb", which seems a little strange considering nothing ever came of it.

      I think everyone just needs to relax a little. We're not there yet.

    3. Re:Almost there by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Every time I see a story about the doomsday clock i have Iron Maiden playing in my head. :-) Don't need Youtube for it.

  20. We elected the guy who doesn't want war w Russia by zerofoo · · Score: 0, Troll

    President Trump and Putin are cultivating a bromance and somehow that puts us closer to nuclear war?

    This stinks of propaganda.

    Look for NPR's reporting to become more desperate as their funding becomes threatened.

  21. Yeah, climate change is pushing us to annihilation by SensitiveMale · · Score: 1

    What a fucking joke.

  22. no respect by ooloorie · · Score: 4, Funny

    I have no respect for these guys; they simply use their scientific credentials to promote their own political prejudices. These people are so ignorant, they still believe in a Malthusian catastrophe.

    I think The Onion puts it pretty well:

    Doomsday Clock Pushed To One Minute To Midnight After Arby’s Threatens Launch Of 3-Cheese Jalapeño Beef ’N Bacon Melt

    http://www.theonion.com/articl...

    1. Re:no respect by freeze128 · · Score: 3, Funny

      Doomsday clock pushed to one minute AFTER midnight due to iPhone daylight saving time bug.

    2. Re:no respect by sinij · · Score: 1

      Doomsday clock pushed to one minute AFTER midnight due to iPhone daylight saving time bug.

      +1 Funny

    3. Re:no respect by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      3-Cheese Jalapeño Beef ’N Bacon Melt

      I googled that because it sounds delicious. Apparently not a real sandwich, you bastard.

  23. unprecedented? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Am I confused, or the word "unprecedented" is wrongly used in this article? Wasn't the clock already moved to this time once in 1953?

    1. Re:unprecedented? by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      That the words of an illegitimate POTUS in his first week of office was enough to move the clock forward is unprecedented.

    2. Re:unprecedented? by WindBourne · · Score: 2

      yes, but why did Putin's actions for the last 5 years do nothing?

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    3. Re:unprecedented? by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      yes, but why did Putin's actions for the last 5 years do nothing?

      Putin haven't talked about using nuclear weapons in public. Trump has — repeatedly.

      http://time.com/4437089/donald-trump-nuclear-weapons-nukes/

    4. Re:unprecedented? by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      you think that Putin flying their nuke bombers over our land is NOT a threat? Seriously?
      You think that Putin's invasions of Georgia, Crimea, Ukraine, and then bombing the rebels in Syria was not a threat? Seriously?

      You think that running hidden subs 1 mile off the shores of norway, sweden, finland, etc was not a threat? Seriously?

      And the build-out of new nuclear warheads and delivery mechanisms for the last 7 years might also mean something about nukes.

      But, hey, I can see why you would fear an idiot that speaks during election time, as opposed to somebody that is showing massive actions of what they are capable of doing.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    5. Re:unprecedented? by x0ra · · Score: 1

      He was elected as per the US constitution, what's illegitimate ? The US never was a direct democracy.

    6. Re:unprecedented? by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 2

      But, hey, I can see why you would fear an idiot that speaks during election time, as opposed to somebody that is showing massive actions of what they are capable of doing.

      Putin is former KGB agent. Of course, he wants to bring Russia back to its former military glory. All those actions you cited was fairly routine during the Cold War — not surprising that Putin dusted off the Soviet playbook. But Putin is the least likely person to start a nuclear war because he knows its unwinnable. Trump is dangerous because he doesn't know anything and willfully ignorant beyond his immediate needs for self-glorification.

    7. Re:unprecedented? by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      He was elected as per the US constitution, what's illegitimate ? The US never was a direct democracy.

      A majority of American voters voted against him (54%) just like a majority of Republican voters voted against him during the primaries. Winning by default should have made a humbler person. Can you image George W. Bush acting like Trump after the Supreme Court gave him the White House?

    8. Re:unprecedented? by x0ra · · Score: 1

      PoTUS is elected by the electoral college, not by the popular vote, as per the US Constitution. Neither candidate ran their campaign to win the popular vote. They campaigned in swing states for the electoral college. Making *any* assumption on what the score would have been if the PoTUS had been elected by popular vote is highly hazardous. Get over it. It's just losing.

    9. Re:unprecedented? by x0ra · · Score: 1

      Btw, Trump won the primary 1500 delegates to 500, how can you even remotely say that "a majority of Republican voters voted against him during the primaries". Now, if you want to discuss how super-delegates allowed HRC to steal the primary to Bernie, I'm all there for you, brother.

    10. Re:unprecedented? by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 2

      Btw, Trump won the primary 1500 delegates to 500, how can you even remotely say that "a majority of Republican voters voted against him during the primaries".

      Trump won by default by getting the most votes in a crowded field. He got less than 50% of the vote in most primary elections. He didn't reach 50% until the end.

      http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/poll-trump-reaches-50-percent-support-nationally-first-time-n562061

      Now, if you want to discuss how super-delegates allowed HRC to steal the primary to Bernie, I'm all there for you, brother.

      Super delegates has been a standard feature of Democratic conventions since 1968. After Super Tuesday, Bernie needed to win every election with 60% of the vote to win the nomination. He repeatedly failed to get those votes. If super delegates weren't considered towards the nomination, he still wouldn't have enough votes to win.

    11. Re:unprecedented? by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      Get over it. It's just losing.

      As a moderate conservative, I'm opposed to Trump and his Russian cabal in the White House.

    12. Re:unprecedented? by x0ra · · Score: 1

      That's still just losing, get over it, cuckservative !

    13. Re:unprecedented? by x0ra · · Score: 2

      Trump won by default by getting the most votes in a crowded field. He got less than 50% of the vote in most primary elections. He didn't reach 50% until the end.

      There was more than 2 candidates, so that's no problem. Actually the GoP was actually more democratic then the Democrats, as they didn't prevent people from running in the primary (as the Dems did with L. Lessig).

      Super delegates has been a standard feature of Democratic conventions since 1968. After Super Tuesday, Bernie needed to win every election with 60% of the vote to win the nomination. He repeatedly failed to get thos e votes. If super delegates weren't considered towards the nomination, he still wouldn't have enough votes to win.

      It doesn't make them right, or even democratic... To some extend, it actually makes them all alike the USSR' Central Committee.

    14. Re:unprecedented? by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      That's still just losing, get over it, cuckservative !

      People like you is why I stopped being a Republican after 20 years.

    15. Re:unprecedented? by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      Actually the GoP was actually more democratic then the Democrats [...]

      More choices doesn't make it better, sometimes it worse. For example, Trump winning by default, expected by everyone to lose the election, and won an electoral victory by being the most unpopular presidential candidate in history. Never mind that 54% of Americans voted against him.

      [...] as they didn't prevent people from running in the primary (as the Dems did with L. Lessig).

      Never heard of L. Lessig. Looking at his Wikipedia page, he had less name recognition than the 16 candidates who ran for the Republican nomination.

      To some extend, it actually makes them all alike the USSR' Central Committee.

      If that was so, why did Putin endorse Trump?

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LNK430YOiT4

    16. Re:unprecedented? by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Trump is surrounded by all sort of ppl that will have NOTHING to do with a nuke war.
      Just like Trump is speaking of torturing prisoners for info, I doubt that he will get that too far. We saw during W's wars that it really did not do much. More importantly, there are enough ppl that know that if they keep quiet about it and allow it to occur under American watch, they will be held legally responsible, and believe me, few of them want to be in Leavenworth and now know it.
      Putin is far more likely to get us into a nuke war with his current actions. He has gone over the lines many many times in the last 5 years that USSR NEVER would have done to us. We would have taken them out right away.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    17. Re:unprecedented? by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      We saw during W's wars that it really did not do much.

      George W. and Dick Cheney committed war crimes against humanity. Trump will be hard pressed to find anyone to reinstate those policies.

      He has gone over the lines many many times in the last 5 years that USSR NEVER would have done to us.

      USSR was behind the Berlin Blockade in 1949-48, the Hungary invasion in 1956, the Suez Crisis in 1956, the Berlin Crisis of 1961, the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962, and the Czechoslovakia invasion in 1968. Just to name a few. Most were allowed to happen by the US because nuclear war was the most likely outcome.

    18. Re:unprecedented? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      People like you is why I stopped being a Republican after 20 years.

      One down.

      And with any luck, Republicans will get rid of the rest of the RINOs and closet-Libs like you that are hell-bent on completing the job of turning the US into an authoritarian banana-republic-like hellhole.

    19. Re:unprecedented? by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      And with any luck, Republicans will get rid of the rest of the RINOs and closet-Libs [...]

      Won't be long before the Republican Party is a southern white nationalist regional party.

      [...] turning the US into an authoritarian banana-republic-like hellhole.

      I didn't vote for Trump.

    20. Re:unprecedented? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There was more than 2 candidates, so that's no problem.

      "how can you even remotely say that "a majority of Republican voters voted against him during the primaries".

      Creimer can say it, because it's factually true.

      Actually the GoP was actually more democratic then the Democrats, as they didn't prevent people from running in the primary (as the Dems did with L. Lessig).

      Lawrence Lessig prevented himself, he resigned because he wasn't getting in a debate, he wasn't getting in a debate because his polling was low, his polling was low because he didn't enter soon enough to make a name.

      But no, WTA, FPTP, are not more democratic, they are less. They lead to lower representation and poorer results.

      Super delegates has been a standard feature of Democratic conventions since 1968. After Super Tuesday, Bernie needed to win every election with 60% of the vote to win the nomination. He repeatedly failed to get thos e votes. If super delegates weren't considered towards the nomination, he still wouldn't have enough votes to win.

      It doesn't make them right, or even democratic... To some extend, it actually makes them all alike the USSR' Central Committee.

      Why? Because the Democratic Party wants to exercise some control of their political party? The horrors.

      But if you want to complain about elections in this country, do take a fairer, more unbiased look, and see the results of gerrymandering, FPTP, WTA, and Malappoitionment.

      It isn't just a Presidential primary problem, that's a side issue from the day to day legislative non-representation.

      Fix that.

      Or rail at Democrats some more.

      Whatever.

    21. Re:unprecedented? by manu0601 · · Score: 1

      You think that Putin's invasions of Georgia, Crimea, Ukraine, and then bombing the rebels in Syria was not a threat?

      Your presentation of Crimea and Ukraine as distinct nations is interesting. It embraces the Russian (and Crimean) point of view you seem to criticize.

    22. Re:unprecedented? by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Super delegates has been a standard feature of Democratic conventions since 1968.

      And the Electoral College has been around far longer than that, but it doesn't stop it from being an elitist idea that never should have been implemented in the first place*.

      *No, I'm not trashing the EC because 'zomg Hillz should be prez cuz she got more votes', as it would have been a different race entirely if entirely different rules had been in play. Trump would have campaigned in California, and Hillary would have campaigned in Texas.

    23. Re:unprecedented? by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Russia had NO RIGHTS to invade Georgia OR Ukraine.
      Crimea is a different issue. It has for centuries been part of Russia. It was only in the 50s (60s?) that Ukraine was given 'title' to it, but russia still controlled it until the break-up. SO, did Russia have rights to invade? Well, a lot more than they did on the other 2.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    24. Re:unprecedented? by manu0601 · · Score: 1

      Oh right, then your point of view makes more sense. After all, Crimea already had the status of being an autonomous republic inside Ukraine, and the People here massively voted to be merged into Russia.

      For the two others... Russia involvement in Ukraine happens only in Donbass, where the population has shown some will to merge into Russia. That does not allow Russia to interfere into Ukraine internal affairs, but on the other hand, the Kiev government has been bombing its own citizen in separatist Donbass for years. Choose your evil.

      You may want to check Wikipedia about the conflict in Georgia, since this is a more complicated story than "Russia invaded Georgia".

    25. Re:unprecedented? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually the GoP was actually more democratic then the Democrats, as they didn't prevent people from running in the primary (as the Dems did with L. Lessig).

      What are you talking about? Lawrence Lessig quit the race because he got shut out of a debate, the same as the GOP did to their also-rans.

    26. Re:unprecedented? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh right, then your point of view makes more sense. After all, Crimea already had the status of being an autonomous republic inside Ukraine, and the People here massively voted to be merged into Russia.

      After its invasion. And occupation. Putting the whole thing under suspicion. Support a plebiscite? Ok, fair enough. Occupy the place, then have a vote, nope, that's thuggery.

      For the two others... Russia involvement in Ukraine happens only in Donbass, where the population has shown some will to merge into Russia. That does not allow Russia to interfere into Ukraine internal affairs, but on the other hand, the Kiev government has been bombing its own citizen in separatist Donbass for years. Choose your evil.

      Why? I assure you, you can reject both, if you want that moral high ground.

      You may want to check Wikipedia about the conflict in Georgia [wikipedia.org], since this is a more complicated story than "Russia invaded Georgia".

      You may want to check Wikipedia yourself.

  24. Re:We elected the guy who doesn't want war w Russi by TWX · · Score: 1

    Yeah because the US and Russia are the only two nations on the planet with nuclear weapons and are the only two possible targets for the use of nuclear weapons!

    --
    Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
  25. Mexico embarrassment by mi · · Score: 0

    Like on Mexico for cancelling their meeting and embarrassing him.

    Mexico's currency tumbled as a result — are you sure, it was Trump, who got embarrassed by the cancellation?

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    1. Re:Mexico embarrassment by dgatwood · · Score: 3, Informative

      Tumbled? What a load of ultra-right propagandist bulls**t (a.k.a. Fake News). The Mexican dollar got slightly stronger yesterday, and after the announcement, it weakened to almost precisely where it opened yesterday. It is still considerably stronger than it was a week ago, and there's no indication that it is continuing to get weaker as a result of cancelling the meeting with Trump.

      In other words, there was a bit of pure statistical noise that resulted in a tiny change that happened to coincide in timing with the cancellation. The market didn't really react to that at all, and anybody who thinks otherwise is kidding themselves. Any trade war between the U.S. and Mexico will have little effect on the relative values of our currency, because we both rely on each other pretty heavily. What it will do is lower the dollar of both the Peso and the Dollar against all other world currencies.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    2. Re:Mexico embarrassment by JackieBrown · · Score: 1

      I love your signature line.

    3. Re:Mexico embarrassment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So what happened today influenced the past? That's some heavy shit. Idiot.

    4. Re:Mexico embarrassment by NatasRevol · · Score: 1

      From that source.

      LOL at tumbled.

      http://markets.businessinsider...

      Regardless, doesn't matter, trump just raised the price of most things by 20%. Elites won't care. Middle America will be going bankrupt faster.

      Meanwhile, MX will shift some of it's $318B in trade from US to China. Peso will go up, tariff will cost us even more.

      Great policy.

      --
      There are two types of people in the world: Those who crave closure
    5. Re:Mexico embarrassment by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      I have no idea what you think you're talking about. If the price Thursday was the same as Wednesday, then the events of Thursday didn't even influence Thursday significantly, much less the past.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

  26. Re:We elected the guy who doesn't want war w Russi by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

    What happens when they fall out? There is nothing more dangerous than a woman scorned! How do you think Trump will react when Putin says "it's not you, it's me... can't we still be friends?"

    --
    "That's the way to do it" - Punch
  27. Re:We elected the guy who doesn't want war w Russi by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

    Mexico has repeatedly said it won't pay for THE WALL that Trump wants to build for $20B. If a push comes to a shove, Trump could always nuke Mexico City. That would fix immigration issues on the border for a long time.

  28. Fails The Sniff Test by totallyarb · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This is a *Doomsday* clock, yes? As in, something that measures how close we potentially are to Doomsday - that is, an event that leads to the total extinction of the human race.

    Can anyone - anyone! - say with a straight face that we are closer to that scenario right now than we were, say, at the height of the Cold War? That was a period when two nuclear superpowers were genuinely considering launching thousands of nuclear warheads at each other; where one bad day might literally end the species.

    I don't disagree with the assessment that the world has become less stable recently. I think the prospect of some rogue dictator or terrorist group setting off a nuclear bomb is high and increasing. However, the retaliatory aspect is missing: If Russia had nuked New York, America would have levelled Russia in response. One nuke would have lead to thousands. But if, say, ISIS nukes New York... what target is there to hit back at? Any response would almost certainly be in the form of conventional weapons. There would be chaos and war, sure, but not outright extinction.

    The truth is, we are waaaaay further away from Doomsday than we were in the '60s.

    --
    -- Note to Mods: There is a good reason there's no "-1 Disagree" option. --
    1. Re:Fails The Sniff Test by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      But if, say, ISIS nukes New York... what target is there to hit back at?

      Trump will probably order an immediate nuclear strike on the Middle East for the destruction of Trump Tower. As my Jewish friends reassured me, God will protect Israel from any radiation fallout.

    2. Re:Fails The Sniff Test by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Judging by the USA's response to 9/11 they'll probably nuke Dr. Kongo, or some other country that had nothing to do with it.

    3. Re:Fails The Sniff Test by Drethon · · Score: 1

      Heck, that was a time when a solar flare was going to initiate doomsday, except for one Russian who decided he did not want to destroy the world...

    4. Re:Fails The Sniff Test by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The 60s were more than a half-decade ago. They are not the standard by which you should measure human progress.

    5. Re:Fails The Sniff Test by totallyarb · · Score: 1

      "Trump will probably order an immediate nuclear strike on the Middle East for the destruction of Trump Tower."

      ...and that will be Doomsday, how? A terrible event, certainly, but not one that is going to end with the extinction of the human race, now is it?

      The point is, even if Trump turns out to really be the kind of cartoonish, childish villain that some people seem convinced he is, we are NOT closer to Doomsday when the prospect of global nuclear war was a genuine one.

      --
      -- Note to Mods: There is a good reason there's no "-1 Disagree" option. --
    6. Re:Fails The Sniff Test by rhazz · · Score: 3, Insightful

      But if, say, ISIS nukes New York... what target is there to hit back at?

      With Trump in control, I would bet he'd nuke most of the middle east: "Muslims did it. Even the ones that didn't do it, well they did nothing to stop it, and that's just as bad." Today there is no immediate catastrophe looming over our heads, but if something happens, who doesn't think that having Trump in charge dramatically increases the likelihood of a drastic military response?

      Let's say next month, North Korea demonstrates huge leaps in nuclear launch capability. I think the likelihood of nuclear strike one way or the other is MUCH higher with Trump as president than any of the past several.

    7. Re:Fails The Sniff Test by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      ...and that will be Doomsday, how? A terrible event, certainly, but not one that is going to end with the extinction of the human race, now is it?

      Do think the rest of the world will look the other way if Trump nuked Mexico City? Even if the other nuclear powers don't strike back at the US for using nukes, it will trigger an nuclear arms race in Central and South Americas as those countries will arm themselves with nukes against the US. The world doesn't need more nukes.

      The point is, even if Trump turns out to really be the kind of cartoonish, childish villain that some people seem convinced he is, we are NOT closer to Doomsday when the prospect of global nuclear war was a genuine one.

      Looks like Trump is following Nixon on nuclear policies. That was a scary time for my parents. I thought Reagan to be scarier as a teenager.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Madman_theory

    8. Re:Fails The Sniff Test by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      This is a *Doomsday* clock, yes? As in, something that measures how close we potentially are to Doomsday - that is, an event that leads to the total extinction of the human race.

      Can anyone - anyone! - say with a straight face that we are closer to that scenario right now than we were, say, at the height of the Cold War?

      There were a couple of occasions where we were frighteningly close to war- but by and large the public didn't know about them. So no, we're not the closest we've ever been.

      Generally, by and large during the cold war we had rational politicians who wanted to avoid war. Currently we have a militant leader in Russia who is willing to gamble on weakness in the west because he thinks the west will do nothing.

      We have a Chinese government who want to assert their power and gobble up territory all over Asia... and we have a deluded megalomaniac running the United States and is so unstable he WOULD start nuclear war over something trivial rather than lose faith.

      So perhaps we were closer on occasions that the public weren't aware about during the cold war- but right now, despite there being less reason for war,we have three primary world leaders who are much more likely to do something stupid because they don't fear the consequences.

      Yes, by and large, this is more dangerous than the cold war because we have leaders who don't fear consequences.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    9. Re:Fails The Sniff Test by totallyarb · · Score: 1

      I think the likelihood of nuclear strike one way or the other is MUCH higher with Trump as president than any of the past several.

      I don't disagree, but that's not the point. The point is, this is a DOOMSDAY clock, and the prospect of a nuclear strike leading to doomsday has fallen dramatically since the Cold War ended.

      Let's just say Trump really is so irrational as to nuke most of the middle east, or North Korea - what would the result be? Millions dead, sure, and hundreds of square miles of uninhabitable land. But unlike in the Cold War, there would be no ballistic missiles heading in the other direction. None of that Mutually-Assured Destruction. The human race would have a dark chapter in its history, but that history would continue. Forty years ago, that would not have been the case.

      We are marginally closer to doomsday than we were in 1990, I would guess; but we are so much further away than we were in 1960 or '70 or '80 that the difference is frankly laughable. So a Doomsday clock that says otherwise is not one worth paying attention to.

      --
      -- Note to Mods: There is a good reason there's no "-1 Disagree" option. --
    10. Re:Fails The Sniff Test by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Can anyone - anyone! - say with a straight face that we are closer to that scenario right now than we were, say, at the height of the Cold War?

      I know plenty of people who sincerely believe that Trump is some kind of analogue of Hitler, so yeah, those people can definitely say that. I also knew people who sincerely thought that Obama was the anti-christ, so we're kind of insane as a country. We got the president we deserve.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    11. Re:Fails The Sniff Test by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is a *Doomsday* clock, yes? As in, something that measures how close we potentially are to Doomsday - that is, an event that leads to the total extinction of the human race.

      No, it does not measure, it represents.

      Can anyone - anyone! - say with a straight face that we are closer to that scenario right now than we were, say, at the height of the Cold War?

      Absolutely. Putin I may grant is merely a greedy tyrannical bastard, but Trump is a dis-temperate juvenile blowhard. I believe he is likely to do something vicious and petty for no reason other than his own stupidity.

      I cannot say that about any of the other leaders, not even alternates like Goldwater. Maybe Wallace.

      That was a period when two nuclear superpowers were genuinely considering launching thousands of nuclear warheads at each other; where one bad day might literally end the species.

      Oh, it'll take more than one day, that doesn't mean it isn't a real problem.

      I don't disagree with the assessment that the world has become less stable recently. I think the prospect of some rogue dictator or terrorist group setting off a nuclear bomb is high and increasing. However, the retaliatory aspect is missing: If Russia had nuked New York, America would have levelled Russia in response. One nuke would have lead to thousands. But if, say, ISIS nukes New York... what target is there to hit back at? Any response would almost certainly be in the form of conventional weapons. There would be chaos and war, sure, but not outright extinction.

      The truth is, we are waaaaay further away from Doomsday than we were in the '60s.

      I believe Trump would be even WORSE if he employed a conventional solution, it would be a far more destructive and devastating result, because it would take so long to realize.

    12. Re:Fails The Sniff Test by chispito · · Score: 1

      Can anyone - anyone! - say with a straight face that we are closer to that scenario right now than we were, say, at the height of the Cold War?

      That is not what they are saying. Read TFA:

      The group took the "unprecedented" step of moving the clock 30 seconds closer to midnight, to leave it at 2 1/2 minutes away.

      The setting is the closest the clock has come to midnight since 1953, when scientists moved it to two minutes from midnight after seeing both the U.S. and the Soviet Union test hydrogen bombs. It remained at that mark until 1960.

      It is a pointless metric, but it is lower/farther/whatever-er than it was from 1953-1960.

      --
      The Daddy casts sleep on the Baby. The Baby resists!
    13. Re:Fails The Sniff Test by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even if the other nuclear powers don't strike back at the US for using nukes, it will trigger an nuclear arms race in Central and South Americas as those countries will arm themselves with nukes against the US.

      You bet it. Brazil willingly renounced to build nuclear weapons. But we have complete domain of the entire cycle [including proprietary technology for H Bomb], we have fuel enriched at 20% and can put up a nuke in 3 months. Our rockets are still faulty, but we can do better in a war effort. So, yeah.

    14. Re:Fails The Sniff Test by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dear sir, you have overlooked the magic word "scientists" in the summary. How DARE you question their assessments?

    15. Re:Fails The Sniff Test by GuB-42 · · Score: 1

      With Trump in control, I would bet he'd nuke most of the middle east

      The same kind of thing was being said when G.W.Bush became president.
      Still, the 9/11 attacks were the closest thing to an act of war directly against the US since WW2, and he didn't use nukes.

    16. Re:Fails The Sniff Test by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mexico City deserves to be nuked. Mexico is the most racist country in the world. For the whole history of Mexico, an elite class of leftist European whites ( like el presidente Pena himself and his extended 'klan') govern over a kennel full of impoverished, illiterate little brown chocolate gnomes.

    17. Re:Fails The Sniff Test by Shane_Optima · · Score: 1
      One quibble that's worth having:

      That was a period when two nuclear superpowers were genuinely considering launching thousands of nuclear warheads at each other; where one bad day might literally end the species.

      No. There was and still is a zero percent chance of an extinction level event even if every nuke on earth goes off. We might be able to purposefully create an extinction-level event if we tried to by building tons of enhanced-fallout weapons[1], but I don't believe these have ever been created nor do they have many proponents. But I'm serious: we would have to really be trying to kill every last human on Earth through fallout, and it would still be very tall order to pick off every single islander and transoceanic boater on Earth.

      The only other mechanism by which an extinction might occur is nuclear winter, but it's tough to imagine this being severe enough to actually wipe out the species. Given that animal life has repeatedly survived severe particulate-based cooling in the past (triggered by large impactors or supervolcanoes), I'm going to go out on a limb here and say that large forest fires are not going to be enough to kill all of the plants and animals on Earth (and as long as there are some plants and animals still around, humanity will survive.)

      Don't get me wrong; I think it's fair enough to refer to the killing of 80%+ of Earth's population as "Doomsday". But it's not extinction.


      1. Not to be confused with "neutron bombs".

    18. Re:Fails The Sniff Test by Shane_Optima · · Score: 1

      With Trump in control, I would bet he'd nuke most of the middle east: "Muslims did it. Even the ones that didn't do it, well they did nothing to stop it, and that's just as bad."

      This is just gibbering. The generals are not going to come to Trump asking him to name, off the top of his head, the cities he wants nuked. (He'd probably begin with Agrabah.) If the terrorists came from country X, they might give him a list of targets in country X. He'll probably overreact and it may well involve nukes, but he's not going to nuke "most of the Middle East". The people around him would obviously not let him do that. They can even invoke the "it's against the law to obey an unlawful order" defense if they chose to override Trump's command.

      Let's say next month, North Korea demonstrates huge leaps in nuclear launch capability. I think the likelihood of nuclear strike one way or the other is MUCH higher with Trump as president than any of the past several.

      Possibly. NK is the best response to the people who keep talking about Russia, but it depends on just how crazy they are. "Pretty damn crazy", I can hear you say, but I'm not sure they are entirely oblivious to the basic facts of survival. The ruling class has been able to get by well enough by extortion for decades. It doesn't seem likely that they'd blow it all to hell even in the face of a taunting Trump.

      But it's not entirely inconceivable. I think a more likely scenario in response to Trump taunting would be a surprise conventional attack on Seoul, wagering that the nuclear threat would prevent us from retaliating. Still a shitshow and a massive tragedy, but not an apocalyptic one.

    19. Re:Fails The Sniff Test by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Can anyone - anyone! - say with a straight face that we are closer to that scenario right now than we were, say, at the height of the Cold War?

      Two things.

      First, we've had nuclear proliferation, and we have some unstable countries with their own nukes now, which we didn't have at the most dangerous times in the Cold War (except when Reagan decided to push the Soviet Union into war or collapse).

      Second, the prospect of global warming and climate change that we're definitely going to have severe problems with even if we start doing things correctly right now is a lot more certain.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    20. Re:Fails The Sniff Test by rhazz · · Score: 1

      Meh, you can argue the intention behind the meaning of "doomsday", I'm sure it was supposed to sound shocking rather than be literal. Regardless of how it comes about, the first step to global thermonuclear annihilation is launching the first nuke.

      How close we are to that first step is a matter of debate, and these scientists think we're closer than we were. It probably comes down to just how big you think Trump's ego is, and based on what I've seen so far I bet you can see that fucker from the moon.

    21. Re:Fails The Sniff Test by rhazz · · Score: 1

      The same kind of thing was being said when G.W.Bush became president.

      I never heard that, though I didn't read as much into US politics then as I do now. Bush doesn't strike me as a guy with a huge ego.

    22. Re:Fails The Sniff Test by rhazz · · Score: 1
      Yes it's all gibbering. None of this is specifically particularly likely, it is just seems more likely than before Trump was president.

      The people around him would obviously not let him do that

      That would depend on who he has around him. I don't know how trigger happy his military picks are, but some of the others seem to exist in a completely different reality so who knows what they'd go along with.

  29. Re:We elected the guy who doesn't want war w Russi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A nuclear wasteland would actually be an improvement to most of mexico

  30. interesting; moves on trump, but not on Putin by WindBourne · · Score: 4, Insightful

    God, it sickens me that I have to defend trump, but there is so much BS on this.
    It amazes me that so few on the far left pay attention to what is really happening. :
    1) Putin is invading numerous areas for controlling them. Putin shows that he has no issues with taking what is not his. That is OK.
    Putin threatens the west with nuclear war, and that is OK.
    Trump (and unknown) gets into office and then we have nuclear war issues that are as bad as 1953.

    2) China is not only emitting 3-5x the amount of CO2 that America does, but they continue to grow at a frightening rate (check OCO2, not chinese gov numbers).
    Trump gets in and says that he will help Coal. Yet, wind already costs less to run than coal does or can. And solar continues downward. IOW, coal really can not be expanded.
    Then Trump is talking about letting America export oil/nat gas. That will increase America's nat gas on the market, BUT, all it will do is lower the prices elsewhere. IOW, it will not increase the burning of it, or any more CO2.

    So, exactly why is this moved now, and why is this blamed on Trump?

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:interesting; moves on trump, but not on Putin by Translation+Error · · Score: 2

      So, exactly why is this moved now, and why is this blamed on Trump?

      Because the president of the United States has gone on record saying he doesn't believe global warming is real and supports nuclear proliferation? This is likely to have serious implications for efforts to fight these two global threats.

      --
      When someone says, "Any fool can see ..." they're usually exactly right.
    2. Re:interesting; moves on trump, but not on Putin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hold on, you are criticizing Putin.... and praising Trump... who is (or at least wants to be) best pals with Putin and has said that what Putin did (Ukrain, etc) is OK!

    3. Re:interesting; moves on trump, but not on Putin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, exactly why is this moved now, and why is this blamed on Trump?

      Because a person with questionable temperament, disregard for the truth, easily irritable over trivial matters, is now in control of our nuclear launch code. . . .

    4. Re:interesting; moves on trump, but not on Putin by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      neither is factual.
      For starters, he can say what he wants to about AGW. He has NO REAL CAPABILITIES TO IMPACT.
      OTOH, CHina continues to say that they support it, while at the same time, their new coal plants grows faster than their AE, and so does their emissions.

      As to nuclear weapons, Russia, China, and North Korea are all in active production of new warheads. And Trump is good friends with Putin. So, that is also a none-issue.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    5. Re:interesting; moves on trump, but not on Putin by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      no, I am EQUATING them. IOW, Putin has done a lot of damage and yet, we did not move the clock. Now, an idiot gets on-board who really has NO power, and the world is closer than in 1953 when we close to 100,000 warheads in active USE?

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  31. look for the far right to be full of idiots by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    NPR is reporting what Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists are saying, nothing more.
    Sadly, you far righties are so full of lies and BS, that you blast some of the best and ONLY 2 sided reporting that is going on.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  32. Re:We elected the guy who doesn't want war w Russi by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    putin will come by for nighttime hook-ups at Trump's hotel and then leave him a couple of billion here and there?

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  33. At least Hillary wasn't elected by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Because then we would be on midnight, as she would have started nuclear war with Russia. Thank GOD Trump was elected to avoid that.

  34. Not at all meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yeah, except that even Trump's detractors say that he has a better relationship with Russia than Obama ever did. If Trump is Putin's patsy, why would he push the big red button?

    Because Trump is demonstrably unstable, and won't always get his way (even with his butt-buddy Putin)

    1. Re:Not at all meaningless by jwhyche · · Score: 0

      Please demonstrate your option that Trump is "demonstrably unstable."

      --
      I read at +2. If your post doesn't reach that level I will not see or respond to it.
    2. Re: Not at all meaningless by PoopJuggler · · Score: 1

      Well if anything, stable people don't grab girls by the pussy.

  35. More minutes by nwaack · · Score: 1

    If these scientists continue to use the Doomsday Clock to express their political opinions they're going to have to start adding more minutes to the clock.

  36. No such thing as doomsday? by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Here is something interesting.
    Here is a little article about it.

    But, so many here, have such knowledge of the world and what it is all about.
    Shesh. How the fuck does ACs with no intelligence get modded up?

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  37. Fodder for the NPR chattering class by Tailhook · · Score: 1

    A least most Slashdot folks appear to see through this tripe. Be nice if the editors eventually figure it out.

    --
    Maw! Fire up the karma burner!
    1. Re:Fodder for the NPR chattering class by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      NPR's last hurrah. President Trump is defunding them. Pulling the plug. Taking them off life support. No more pesos. No more free taxpayer money. Buh bye, NPR. Good riddance.

  38. Under Hillary, it'd be moved past midnight to 3 AM by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    She wanted to establish a no fly zone in Syria that would risk conflict between the US and Russia. They seemed to be more willing to go to war over a hack than over the invasions of their friends and allies.

  39. We are most definitely at much higher risk now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Can anyone - anyone! - say with a straight face that we are closer to that scenario right now than we were, say, at the height of the Cold War?

    Absolutely. At their worst, the Soviets and Americans during the cold war were always rational, had their own self-interests as nations and world powers clearly in mind, and dealt with facts, not self-delusional made up fiction.

    That can not be said of either party today. Putin puts his own interests ahead of those of his country's, and Trump deludes not only his followers, but himself, with made-up facts supporting a deluded, demonstrably false word-view. This is not a recipe for stability, or even sanity, when it comes to dealing with crisis or conflicts, and so does put us at a significantly higher risk of nuclear war than at any other time in our history, with the possible exception of the Cuban missile crisis (and we are arguably worse off now, because both Kennedy and Khruschev were at least rational human beings who lived in the real world and understood the consequences of what they were doing).

  40. Tangerine Imbecile by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Congratulations, America. The world thanks you for electing the Tangerine Imbecile.

  41. w00! by kirkb · · Score: 1

    If they add thirty more seconds we'll start to hear a particular Iron Maiden song a lot more on the radio.

    --
    Slashdot: come for the pedantry, stay for the condescension.
  42. Iron Maiden by istartedi · · Score: 1

    Impossible for me to not hear Two Minutes to Midnight when ever this is mentioned. This is from the 80s when the threat was real. Today's announcement is just a bunch of domestic politics. Also, get off my lawn.

    --
    For all intensive purposes, "whom" is no longer a word. That begs the question, "who cares"?
  43. Sounds familiar by computational+super · · Score: 5, Insightful

    So, this is basically like when they awarded a Nobel prize first to Al Gore and then to Obama (in his first year in office) just to make sure to remind everybody how much they hated George Bush (and Republicans in general)?

    --
    Proud neuron in the Slashdot hivemind since 2002.
    1. Re:Sounds familiar by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Al Gore actually did something to earn his prize. It wasn't given because he held office, it was given for his promotion of environmental efforts.

    2. Re:Sounds familiar by Orgasmatron · · Score: 1

      If we keep handing out prizes for self-enrichment, we'll never be able to reign in DC.

      --
      See that "Preview" button?
    3. Re:Sounds familiar by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Yes, conservatives love to complain about Gore's proposal for carbon credit trading. Except....that's a conservative, market-based solution to mitigate climate change. If Gore were the leftist you guys seem to think he his, he would have instead proposed a complete ban on coal and nuclear power within three years, to bring back 91% tax rates and slash the military down to the various Guards: Army, Air and Coast.

  44. Study author says CNN story misrepresents her work by raymorris · · Score: 1

    The primary author of the Middle East study which inspired the CNN story you linked to says the CNN story is bunk. 8N other words, their own source says they are full of shit.

    The study's actual conclusion, the author says, is that once every 30 years there may be one six-hour period in which people shouldn't be outside. If they can't go inside, they should get wet (wade in a stream, hose off, whatever).

      Currently, normal highs in the southern region of the gulf are around 50C (122F). It's always been pretty damn hot there. People know to either go inside or wet their clothing when it's extremely hot.

  45. Foreign policy failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If it's meaningless then why did all of the senior level management of the US State Department quit yesterday? It's an unprecedented exodus and should be a signal to the world that we are about to be an erratic, unpredictable nation.
    The US is only a few years away from becoming like 1990's Soviet Union.

  46. Arbitrary Measurement as Science by whitlocktj · · Score: 1

    Let me get this straight: A scientific community is using arbitrary and varied social climate factors to predict the end of the world. I'll put my faith in Chicken Little.

  47. Political FUD by argStyopa · · Score: 1

    The BAS has *always* been a purveyor of FUD (or as they themselves characterize their tone: Failure, Peril, and Fear): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    Their Doomsday Clock has been a meaningless bit of political theater that only is publicized when Left-Leaning media need to attack a (generally Right-leaning) president, congress, or leader for something they don't like. They were casting about around the end of the Cold War in fear of their sudden irrelevancy, but fortunately (coincidentally, I'm sure) Global Warming has a taken its place as a new 'sky' they can confidently predict is 'falling'.

    It is, literally, nothing.

    --
    -Styopa
  48. Bulliten of the Atomic Scientists?!?!? by fergettabatit · · Score: 1

    I guess what strikes me as amusing is that there are people that actually get paid to sit around and write this stuff.

  49. How the hell is this closer than Oct 1962? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The late 50s were, in retrospect, pretty close to omnicide. JFKs crew were shocked that SAC command had decided they could launch the Sunday Punch if they felt like it. But closer than the Cuban Missile Crisis? Really?

    I'm no Trump fan but, barring some insane Generals (that you Curtis?) convincing him to first strike China because [ insert Trump joke ] or some insider knowledge that Putin has taken to meth we're no closer than we were last year. Even NATO v Putin in the Baltics would stay conventional because everyone, arguably besides Trump, is smart enough to know that limited becomes full scale and the end of the world includes them and their children. Or maybe Pence rapture blahblahblah ... nah ...

  50. That's your opinion. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And you're not even "a few people".

  51. Bunch of mule fritters by p51d007 · · Score: 1

    Oh gee...a "republican" comes into office, and the clock is set closer. A liberal comes into office and its set back. This group of concerned scientist is nothing more than a bunch of PHD types who've never worked outside the academic settings in private industry. They are book smart, common sense STUPID.

    1. Re:Bunch of mule fritters by MostAwesomeDude · · Score: 1

      Hi! I'm going to test your claim.

      Truman (D) -4
      Ike (R) +4
      JFK (D) +5
      LBJ (D) -5
      Nixon (R) +2
      Ford (R) +0
      Carter (D) -2
      Reagan (R) -1
      Bush Sr. (R) +11
      Bill (D) -8
      Dubya (R) -4
      Obama (D) -2
      Trump (R) -0.5

      Dems: -16
      GOP: 11.5

      Result: You're a fucking idiot! Congratulations.

      --
      ~ C.
  52. Re:We elected the guy who doesn't want war w Russi by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

    There are ways Trump could force Mexico to pay short of war. They just have unfortunate consequences.

    He could, for example, put a large tax on remittances. Mexicans living in the US, legally and illegally, send a lot of money back to Mexico. This would create serious diplomatic trouble though: There would be immediate and irresistible pressure on the Mexican government to respond somehow, which probably means legal action of some sort. There would be riots in Mexico. People would die. Somehow, I don't think Trump cares. If Trump announces this, expect Bitcoin to shoot up in value and shady back-street money transfer agents to flourish.

    He could also go one step further, and simply seize assets. Confiscate the homes and bank accounts of Mexicans living in the US, and the assets of Mexican businesses with a US presence. This would destroy international trust in the US, but leave the Mexican government with no choice but to bail out the affected.

    He could hold illegal immigrants hostage: Throw them into the most miserable hole of a prison he can, make sure a few of them die in there, and demand a payment from Mexico per immigrant returned.

    For anyone else, such extreme measures would be unthinkable. But this is Trump: Normal rules do not apply.

  53. Yawn by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    taxpayer-funded Leftist propaganda outfit NPR hypes the propaganda from leftist "Bulletin of Atomic Scientists". Is there something here that is NEWS????? This is not a "man bites dog" story.... it's a "dog bites man" story.

    BAS has been hysterical during Republican presidencies and passive during Democrat presidencies for as long as it's been around, and while itt has always been terrified by weapons in the hands of American and Brits, it has never been particularly alarmed by the weapons in the hands of Russia, China, Pakistan, India, North Korea or Iran.

    Where were all their extremely terrified alarms over the Norks going nuclear? {crickets} They were not particularly alarmed because that would shed a bad light on Bill Clinton and those weapons would be aimed AT Americans rather than BY Americans.

    Where were all their extremely terrified alarms over Iran going nuclear? {crickets} They were not particularly alarmed because that would shed a bad light on Barack Obama and those weapons would be aimed AT Americans rather than BY Americans.

    These very dishonest and anti-American trolls were big supporters of American disarmament and "nuclear freeze" policies during the cold war but never spent any effort on a Soviet disarmament or a Soviet nuclear freeze. If they'd had their way, the cold war would still be underway, Germany would still be divided, Poland would still be under Soviet control, and MILLIONS of people would have less freedom. These clowns at the Bureau are EVIL.

  54. Oh Miss Cleo ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In other news, psychics by any other name can't see into the future any better than a turnip can. Liberals still wetting their beds. Film at 9:00.

  55. Midnight? by PPH · · Score: 3, Funny

    I thought it was almost lunchtime.

    Damn!

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  56. Re:We elected the guy who doesn't want war w Russi by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1, Interesting

    He could, for example, put a large tax on remittances.

    There are proposals to confiscate all remittances to Mexico. Nobody cares about screwing over illegals. But Mexican-Americans will file lawsuits left and right.

    For anyone else, such extreme measures would be unthinkable. But this is Trump: Normal rules do not apply.

    Or Mexico could declare war, deliberately lose with minimum causalities, and Trump will have no choice to annex Mexico into the United States of North America. That would take care of the existing border problem.

  57. So dumb, so sad, and truly yuge. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nuclear bombs have always been a threat to world peace and stability. Somebody needs a new tact because the fear is not large enough, not enough bombs so we gotta add Presidential beliefs and global warming.

  58. Yuge and bigly! by tekrat · · Score: 1

    Great! I'm looking forward to Nuclear War. It'll help with population control. Just think of all the jobs for Americans if we nuke Mexico for NOT paying for the wall.

    And if we nuke the middle east, that'll mean our oil is more valuable.

    Now if only we can nuke America's welfare population without affecting the rich, who do all the work in this country.

    --
    If telephones are outlawed, then only outlaws will have telephones.
  59. Re:Study author says CNN story misrepresents her w by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

    The study's actual conclusion, the author says, is that once every 30 years there may be one six-hour period in which people shouldn't be outside. If they can't go inside, they should get wet (wade in a stream, hose off, whatever).

    This is the Trump era. Facts are not permitted to ruin a perfect doomsday scenario. Next thing you will be saying that Trump misrepresented a Pew study about millions of illegals voting for Hillary in California and New York.

  60. My hopes by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1
    I want to be far away enough from the blast that I have a chance to see the mushroom cloud, and close enough that I am quickly incinerated.

    I'm saying it's 50/50 we gonna do this baby! Popcorn and Tequila for all!

    --
    The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  61. Real life is deadlier than a phony clock by erapert · · Score: 1

    Let me get this straight: during the cold war the fear of nuclear attack basically boiled down to the idea of "We could all die at any moment!" and everyone being firmly convinced of it.

    How is this different from every day life?
    The truth is that death could come for us all at any moment already.

    Thermonuclear war is much less likely because those in charge of pushing the little red button have reasons to not push it.

    Entropy is killing you slowly every moment as errors add up in your DNA.
    The dice are rolling every time you get into your car to commute to work.
    Slipping and bashing your head open in the shower is a statistically measurable possibility.
    Hell, just sitting here at a desk for half the day is statistically the single most deadly thing I could be doing yet I do it every day!

    If we're concerned about our continued ability to breathe then I suggest we ignore some blowhards and their phony clock analogy; we've got much more pressing issues to be concerned about.

  62. Still under the influence by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I guess the people in charge of the doomsday clock are still under the influence of the gloomy picture that Mr Trump painted about the situation of the USA and its population in his inauguration speech. I never knew you people had it quite so bad and I've seen some Michael Moore "documentaries."

  63. That clock only exists to give nightmares to kids by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Adults don't pay much attention to it. But kids don't know what politics is and so it ruins their young lives.

    That damned thing ruined the 80s for me.

  64. So what is it? A trend? Reality? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When the world climate data gets adjusted, or there's a down turn in the temperature, the climate change deniers are quick to point out that climate change isn't really a thing. In response the climate change believers are quick to jump all over that by pointing out it's a long term trend and brief downturns don't change a thing.

    The doomsday clock has been going to hell since 1991. Just look at the graph and numbers https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_Clock. In 2015 alone it dropped 2 minutes. 2 MINUTES! Not a mere half a minute. I've forgotten now, who was president in 2015? Oh right, not Trump.

    It's clearly obvious that the trend has been going heading to midnight for more than a decade. Yet Trump, who has been in power less than week, is suddenly the reason for it.

    Damn! You Americans are one whiny bunch of sore losers...

  65. So getting a president that does NOT want war... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Brings us closer to a nuclear war than a person who DOES? That make no sense to me...

  66. Re:So getting a president that does NOT want war.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Where are you getting that from? He has publicly said he wants to nuke the middle east I would say that clearly counts as wanting war.

  67. Boy are they going to feel awkward by mandark1967 · · Score: 5, Funny

    when daylight savings time ends.

    --
    Sig Follows: "Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of Congress. But I repeat myself." -- Mark Twain
  68. oh no!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Im so fucking scared now! The entire Rothschild propaganda network is spouting this "News" today!

  69. it's bitztream by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the autism-hating, custom EpiPen-hating, Musk-hating Slashdot troll!

  70. Threat to Humanity from climate change? by pastafazou · · Score: 2

    More people die from cold waves than from heat waves. And higher CO2 increases crop yields. Deserts over the past 30 years have been shrinking as atmospheric CO2 has risen. The theory of increased CO2 leading to increased hurricanes hasn't panned out. So where's the threat to humanity here? Shrinking property values for coastal mansions?

  71. Changes resources for the better, not worse by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    Climate change changes resource availability. Particularly water. If areas that once had water no longer have water

    Except that is exactly backwards as to what happens as the earth warms. A generally warmer climate means water evaporates more quickly. If you believe that oceans are gong to rise significantly, that means even more surface area with water to evaporate more quickly...

    Some weather patterns may change but overall there is more, not less, water as the climate warms.

    If natural disasters increase linked to climate change

    Which they aren't.

    widespread homelessness and unrest.

    Some areas being more like San Francisco is not doomsday. Perhaps they will get trendy toast shops.

    Climate change has upset the status quo many times over history.

    Again how is that doomsday? It is change, but it is certainly not an event that means the destruction of everything. It is something slowing down, and something starting anew.

    Climate change whether man made or natural always upsets the status quo... but now we have nuclear weapons.

    Not everyone, and the ones that do are generally stable enough not to use them because of shifting changes. Except of course for Iran but you can ask Oabma why he thought it was a good idea to make sure Iran would have nuclear weapons.

    Oh and North Korea, but come on. They aren't shifting anywhere.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Changes resources for the better, not worse by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      Some places get more rain others get fewer, that's what is meant by water resources changing. If you think countries with populations suddenly not able to have access to clean water are just going to migrate peacefully and gradually to countries that gain from this, you're mistaken. The places that get extra rainfall will get more deluges. This isn't good either. Flooding events do not produce much clean useable water even if you can trap it. It's frequently polluted and ill-suited to consumption.

      Countries going to war is not necessarily doomsday. Status Quo is not necessarily doomsday. If parts of China suddenly become arid, and neighbors don't want to share water... well now, that could be doomsday. If you think suddenly stressed countries won't go to war- or elect unstable regimes... well, I'm sorry, you've got a surprise coming.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    2. Re:Changes resources for the better, not worse by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

      Some places get more rain others get fewer, that's what is meant by water resources changing.

      Which I also mentioned by saying weather patterns may shift.

      But OVERALL there is more water. Overall being warmer there is far more land that can grown and be farmed as areas to the north grow warmer.

      If you think countries with populations suddenly not able to have access to clean water

      If you think that has anything to do with weather shifts you are badly mistaken, and do not understand how modern municipal water systems work, nor where major water supplies come from.

      Flooding events do not produce much clean useable water even if you can trap it.

      But they don't hurt it either, and they do help in slightly replenishing underground reservoirs.

      Countries going to war is not necessarily doomsday. Status Quo is not necessarily doomsday.

      Now you are getting it. So events like these should not matter to a Doomsday clock.

      If parts of China suddenly become arid, and neighbors don't want to share water... well now, that could be doomsday.

      Aaaaand you lost it.

      I'm sorry, you've got a surprise coming.

      I don't have any surprises coming because I expect all of those things to happen over time. I just recognize they are not Doomsday, not even close.

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    3. Re:Changes resources for the better, not worse by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it." - George Santayana

      (often misquoted as "Those who do not learn from history are doomed to repeat it")

      If the rest of humanity is as unable to understand the concept that throughout history weather pattern changes have led to the rise and fall of civilizations, that sudden loss of resources lead to mass migrations of people and warfare, we're doomed to face catastrophic actions. WEATHER CHANGES DO impact people. Be it, forcing the Danes out of their native land to look for arable land to conquer- or the people of North Eastern Europe during the mass migration event that brought down the Roman Empire.

      Famine in Egypt that brought down dynasties and let other nations conquer them. Floods in China have changed dynasties there. When nations a re plagued by famine because rain patterns change and inhabited parts of the globe no longer get rain, they will take little solace from your claim that there is more rain overall.

      When Texas flooded not too long ago, that did nothing to relieve drought where I am. Nor did it really help Texas agriculturally. Having large swathes of the planet go dry and other parts of the planet suddenly subject to mass flooding events doesn't help.

      Having areas of drought and monsoon doesn't help anyone, it certainly doesn't help feed the planet. There will be areas without food and water. There will be war (history has taught us this). Will nuclear nations be involved? That I can't say. I'm sure, to you in your comfortable home, two nations in Africa killing each other over water access will be inconsequential.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
  72. Expected from the assimilated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    More Stockholm Syndrome panic from the globalist Borg.

  73. Maybe This is a Belated Reaction by BECoole · · Score: 1

    to 0bama threatening Russia by moving US troops into Poland?

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/...

  74. Shortsighted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Maybe because I grew up Fearing The Bomb, but temperatures going up a few degrees and water levels rising a bit just doesn't provoke the same emotional reaction as global thermonuclear war.

    And then there is the destruction of crop yields and other damage to agriculture. And there is also the reduction of fresh water because of droughts.

    And then there is the mass migrations of people looking for resources and food.

    And of course, that WILL cause wars.

    Anyone thinks migration is a problem now, wait till things start heating up more. I'm middle aged so, I'll be on my out when it starts getting bad.

    But the short shortsightedness of you and other people are condemning our children to a world where they will not have our way of life: it'll be much worse.

    And they'll look back and wonder how we could have been so stupid.

  75. Brinkmans clockmaker by WaffleMonster · · Score: 1

    Doomsday clocks interestingly enough seem to have very narrow operating ranges.

    Furthest from 100% (Doomsday) this particular clock has ever been was 17 minutes to midnight in 1991 @ 98.8% of the way till doomsday.

    Now it's 2.5 minutes or 99.8% of the way to doomsday.

    Do these wonderful PhD scientists really have objective scientific information they believe is able to inform predictions able to discriminate between 98.8% vs. 99.8% distance to doomsday or have the hands been driven primarily by random noise since the clock started ticking?

  76. Anti-War Credentials by dcollins · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "Hillary was openly hostile with Russia, and while I doubt it would have reached the point of increased risk of nuclear war, Russia still has real nukes, so you never know. Trump on the other hand is, if anything, too friendly with Russia."

    Consider very recent history. George W. Bush ran his whole campaign in 2000 on a "compassionate conservative" platform, including that we needed to put America first, not being involved in foreign adventures, stop telling other countries what to do, etc. But he was a dimwitted cowboy wannabe who had no capacity for a real commitment or follow-through to that. He surrounded himself with belligerent neocons like Cheney and Rumsfeld and gave them incredible power. He spent the summer of 2001 saber-rattling at China which turned out not to be the actual brewing threat. Then we did suffer an actual attack on 9/11 and bam, within 24 hours he's freaked out and flipped to the exact opposite; global alliances, regime change, and a philosophy of first-strike invasions if needed around the globe. Before his term was done he'd started two separate intercontinental wars -- one having entirely nothing to do with the attack on us -- which have proved to be the longest in American history, and still not done after almost two decades now.

    That is the proven historical result of a fundamentally dumb, belligerent, yahoo, volatile commander-in-chief. It's easy to predict; this is the standard reaction of a chaotic, short-attention-span bully. Sometime in a quiet space ask yourself this: Is Trump truly more or less volatile than George W. Bush?

    --
    We know where leadership by an anti-intellectual "strongman" who scapegoats minorities and likes boisterous rallies goes
    1. Re:Anti-War Credentials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is the proven historical result of a fundamentally dysfunctional electoral system and government.
      But you prefer to run around screaming about the latest product off the line, instead of redesigning the factory line itself.
      You deserve everything you get ...

  77. No nuke middle east - Israel. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Trump wouldn't nuke the Middle East because of the fall out for Israel.

    I'd see even more military aid to Israel as well as support of her policies.

    I wish he would Nuke Jerusalem, say he's the hand of God, and be done with it. That ancient shithole causes more problems than the ancient artifacts there are worth. And many of those artifacts are nothing but crap invented in the Middle Ages for getting money out of wealthy pilgrims. It was Disneyland in its day. Fighting over shows the idiocy of religion and tribalism.

  78. Re:Meaningless (and a bit 'hype-ey"): for context, by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the furthest we have **ever** been from 'midnight' is seventeen minutes, in 1991.

    The closest, two minutes, was in 1953 when "The United States and the Soviet Union test thermonuclear devices within nine months of one another."https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_Clock

  79. trump won by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Trump won. Get over it.

  80. Not meaningless by fyngyrz · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's been moved forward because they don't like Trump. That's fundamentally the reason.

    No, it's been moved forward because the man who is now president of the United States of America, a very heavily armed nuclear power, that has stated it is "at war" with terrorism, where terrorism is sourced from a fairly distinct group of countries, has said:

    We have nuclear arsenals which are in very terrible shape

    And in response to this remark by interviewer Matthews...

    They`re hearing a guy running for president of the United States talking of maybe using nuclear weapons. Nobody wants to hear that about an American president.

    Trump said:

    Then why are we making them? Why do we make them?

    That's a "holy shit, the man is outright insane" remark. Period. That's not why we make them. We make them because of MAD; which is to say as a deterrent against others using them. Russa, China, even stupid little North Korea shoots them off, then we guarantee we will shoot ours off in response. IOW, whoever uses them gets to meet their own particular sky-daddy. Or hellspawn, as the case may be.

    In response to interviewer Bolling, who said, in the context of using nuclear weapons:

    Europe, what about that?

    Trump responded:

    Europe is a big place. I’m not going to take cards off the table. We have nuclear capability.

    In both cases, after he said these things, he walked them back. However, he said them, and given the usual word salad he spews, they have to serve as a window into his attitudes. You can only pick out individual remarks in Trump's meanderings; he presents incoherent verbal streams when taken more than a sentence at a time (which is why Twitter kind of works for him... he has to limit his remarks to 140 characters. It provides the structure he is incapable of providing for himself.)

    Interviewer Dickerson:

    They talk about the presidency and who has the finger on the button. The United States has not used nuclear weapons since 1945. When should it?

    Trump responds:

    Well, it is an absolute last stance. And, you know, I use the word unpredictable. You want to be unpredictable.

    Let's just be perfectly clear about this: No sane person wants the USA to be "unpredictable" about its policy for use of nuclear weapons. This is a window into the fact that Trump is a fucking idiot. Not just any fucking idiot, but THE fucking idiot with his finger on the button. He's insane.

    This is the root of the problem. Trump's obviously not like previous presidents. So people are paying very, very close attention to what he says. And there are times when what he says is very, very worrisome. As above.

    So yes, there's a reason people are thinking we're closer to the use of nuclear weapons, and that reason isn't a dislike of Trump; it's just actually listening to what the man has said on the subject. A sane person would not make the remarks Trump has made. Simply would not. He is visibly, obviously, and frighteningly batshit. And he's the guy who can shoot them off. If it's North Korea he decides to make glow, or some little Arab country, we might not see an escalation; then again, we might. Perhaps if we fire, Israel will too; perhaps Russia will feel it needs to step in. Pakistan. India. Etc.

    It's also worth noting that Trump has spent the last two years making severe economic threats in China's direction. China is another nuclear power, and they are not like us in their thinking. It is not wise to severely piss off people you do not understand -- and it is patently obvious that Trump does not understand China at all. I mean, quite aside from the demonstrated fact that he doesn't understand why we have nuc

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    1. Re:Not meaningless by nintendoeats · · Score: 1

      I wish there was a way that I could compress that line of reasoning into a twitter post so that a larger number of people would actually listen to it. Unfortunately, if it can't fit in 140 characters it isn't worth thinking about. After all, when I want to blow up another country I just call somebody and say "fire the nukes". That's WAY less than 140 characters, I have words left over to order a pizza. Clearly nobody had to spend decades of their lives developing complex theories of matter and engineering solutions to make any of this happen.

    2. Re:Not meaningless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The unpredictability and totality of nuclear escalation are, unfortunately, part and parcel of modern brinksmanship. Even more regrettably, an aggressive posture is rewarded - until escalation actually does kick off.

      However, none of what you say indicates Trump is adopting a bullying posture. Indeed, he seems to think of escalation as the least desirable tactic, and therefore seeks to shroud it in unpredictability. In this, I simply see pragmatic brinksmanship, and not the button-pushing madness you aparently perceive. To this end, it does strike me that setting the clock closer to midnight indicates political distaste and not an understanding of the dynamic of the situation.

    3. Re:Not meaningless by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      There are dangers in being predictable and dangers in being unpredictable in terms of nuclear response. If you're too predictable, then Russia, China, or whoever can walk right up to the line, confident that you won't press the button unless they cross it. Annex the Crimea? Annex the whole of the Ukraine? What about Turkey, they're barely friends with NATO? Okay, what about Greece, they're pretty small - is it worth nuclear war for Greece? What about the Balkans? They mostly used to be part of the USSR anyway, and the opinion polls from Moscow show that there's overwhelming support. Eventually you realise that you've just ceded half of Europe to Russia or half os South-East Asia to China because they knew that your threshold for a nuclear response was the border of Germany, or Japan. The danger of being too unpredictable is that it gives an incentive for first strike: if there's a good chance someone is going to nuke you, you don't have much to lose by hitting them first.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    4. Re:Not meaningless by gregorthebigmac · · Score: 1

      As much as I agree with everything you said there, let me alleviate one of your concerns. Trump does not actually have the power to launch a nuke on his own. He has the *authority* to launch nukes, in the form of nuclear access codes which *authorize* the launch of a nuke, but he alone does not have the *power* to launch them. Now, that might sound like a semantic difference, but it really isn't. The USAF is in charge of our nukes, and *they* are the ones who actually push the launch button, and more importantly, they must *approve* of the president's decision to launch nukes. While I totally agree with you that Trump wouldn't hesitate to launch nukes at a country, I don't think the Air Force would allow it unless they felt it was warranted. Maybe it's because I'm former Army, but I have a lot more faith in the Air Force's ability to judge whether or not a situation merits a nuclear strike, but I think we'll be okay in that regard. But once again, you're absolutely right about his words being a window into his mind, and every time we get one of these quick glances inside, it's a terrifying sight.

    5. Re:Not meaningless by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      The USAF is in charge of our nukes, and *they* are the ones who actually push the launch button, and more importantly, they must *approve* of the president's decision to launch nukes

      Would this come as a surprise to the officers of a boomer or other nuclear-armed naval vessel?

      Regardless, pretty sure the chain of command on any nuke release is very, very short. Otherwise, those weapons could be destroyed where they sit. I do not, however, know the details. If you have details, I would like to learn about this. Please feel free to elaborate.

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    6. Re:Not meaningless by corydoras · · Score: 1

      Seeing what he said about nuclear weapons, he actually seemed surprisingly reasonable. Context is important here. He definitely doesn't come across as itching to use them. What he actually said seems pretty much in line with the mutually assured destruction policy. Which yes, is in fact making and having them to use them under extreme circumstances. That is the context under which he made those remarks. So what if he's open to nuclear retaliation to a nuclear attack from Europe? He obviously doesn't expect this to happen though. I think by saying he wants to be unpredictable, he means he doesn't want to give blanket statements like "I'll never use nuclear weapons," because he fears that will open America to nuclear attacks.

    7. Re:Not meaningless by gregorthebigmac · · Score: 1

      Oh, shit. Sorry, I didn't see your response until just now. Yes, I forgot about the subs. Obviously, they have some nukes, too. And yes, you are correct, that the chain of command is pretty short. But as far as the people involved in the physical launching of the nukes, they are all actual military personnel. They weren't (and won't be) people appointed by Trump, they will be people who come up through the ranks, just like any other soldier.

      I'm former Army, and I've talked to many of my friends about this, who are former military of various branches, and we all seemed to be on the same page about this. We find Trump horrifying, but the one thing none of us are/were worried about was him having control over the nukes, because we all thought there's no way the military would go along with it. He might order it, but surely the military wouldn't comply, unless there was a damned good reason for it.

      Then I just now decided to look a bit deeper into this topic, just to make sure I wasn't just talking out of my ass. It turns out Trump being in control of our nukes is a bit scarier than I (or my other military friends) had thought. https://www.bloomberg.com/poli...

  81. Why the Clock Moved by firewrought · · Score: 2

    Everyone seems to be attacking or defending the clock along thinly-veiled pro/anti-Trump lines. Let's pause for a moment and start a discussion about the underlying state of the world the clock is supposed to represent. To help with this, here's a short list of why the clock moved closer to midnight, taken from the 2017 Clock Statement written by the scientists who made the decision to move the clock:

    • The U.S. and Russion remain at odds with each other over Syria, Ukraine, and NATO.
    • North Korea conducted 2 nuclear tests.
    • Militant attack on 2 Indian bases intensified the Pakistan/India conflict.
    • Continued threat of global warming (though good news included flat emissions growth and Paris climate accord).
    • Rise in strident nationalism "worldwide".
    • Wavering public confidence in democratic institutions.
    • Russian deception campaigns "have brought American democracy and Russian intentions into question".
    • Donald Trump's comments about expanding US nuclear aresnal.
    • Donald Trump's "propensity to discount or outright reject expert advice related to international security".
    • Donald Trump and his nominees dispute climate change.
    • North Korean missile tests (including a claimed upcoming ICBM test).
    • Russia is building new missile silos and new submarines.
    • U.S. is modernizing its nuclear arsenal.
    • China is helping Pakistan build submarine platforms.
    • Pakistan and India are both expanding their nuclear arsenal.
    • Iran nuclear deal in doubt under Trump administration.
    • Various stalled negotiations on nuclear disarmament.
    • Little progress on climate change beyond the Paris Accord.
    • "Information monocultures, fake news, and the hacking and release of politically sensitive emails...[threaten] the fabric of democracy, which relies on an informed electorate to decide the direction of public policy."
    • Hacking has the potential to threaten financial activities, electric power facilities, and personal freedoms/privacy.
    • Autonomous machines "open up a new set of risks", esp. weapons that make kill decisions w/o human intervention.
    • Advances in synthetic biology (CRISPR) create the potential for new bioweapons.
    --
    -1, Too Many Layers Of Abstraction
  82. Oh Bullshit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You're telling me that giving Iran hundreds of millions of dollars and freeing them from the requirement to bury all nuclear work somehow magically prevents them from developing weapons? You've drunk the coolaid. Nothing in this agreement has, in any way, hindered their nuclear activities. It has reduced the cost.

    but, but, inspectors, you say. Really? Given 42 days, you can't clean your room and make it nice like mom wants it? Are the inspectors allowed to watch what comes in and out in the notification period? Who picks what the inspectors may and may not see? The Russians were more open and honest about their nuclear weapons program in the 60's and 70's than the Iranians are now. You're a naïve fool, and deliberately, willfully so.

  83. AND EAT EACH OTHER by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They eat each other.

  84. Re:We elected the guy who doesn't want war w Russi by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

    You wouldn't be familiar with "The Mouse that Roared" by any chance?

  85. Doomsday Clock by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Doomsday Clock has always been bogus. It is a political stunt. It always was.

  86. Why the "scientists" are not named? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Are they political scientists who know to predict wars? Sociologists and feminist reaserchers? Are they statisticians? How would they do the prediction given the fact that global doomsday never happened?

    What are they except a bunch of pundits who disagree with something.
    The world is no closer to nuclear annihilation war then yesterday.

  87. Back to the Clock Please by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I feel like the Doomsday Clock is an artifact of the Cold War and another era entirely. It was used to "take the temperature" of the Cold War. Since the Cold War has ended, seems to me that the Doomsday Clock has outlived it's usefulness.

    And this is in spite of Putin, Trump, and all the nukes still in the arsenals.

    Also, "Doomsday Clock" is hopelessly dark and negative. Gee, if we hit 12 Midnight on the Doomsday Clock, does that mean we just started a Doomsday War? Via a clock?? And this is in spite of the Doomsday Clock supposedly reflecting political tensions, not causing them.

    Maybe it's time for a new symbol.

    1. Re: Back to the Clock Please by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Feel free to form your own group, use kickstarter for funding.

      All you need is a catchy slogan and the appearance of authority.

  88. Newsflash: yet another group of never-Trumpers is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    whining for your attention by creating fake news using a long-standing icon of fake news.

  89. Surprise! Doomsday fearmongers guess wrong again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    and again and again and again. Why have these loons never gotten the Nobel Peace Prize? Guess they aren't socialist enough.

  90. Re:We elected the guy who doesn't want war w Russi by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

    You wouldn't be familiar with "The Mouse that Roared" by any chance?

    One of my favorite Cold War movies.

  91. Clock Adjustment by Neuronwelder · · Score: 1

    Daylight savings time or Standard?

  92. Re:So getting a president that does NOT want war.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You are wrong. He DOES NOT want to nuke the middle east. He only wants to nuke muslims. Big difference. For one thing, muslims are not human.

  93. How's life in the hypocrite lane?

  94. inversion of reality by Uberbah · · Score: 1

    Putin is invading numerous areas for controlling them

    Putin, unlike the United States, hasn't invaded shit. If Russia illegally overthrew the government of Canada, can you say with a straight face that the American response would have been so restrained as to accept southern Ontario - if it overwhelming voted to join the U.S.?

  95. Iran HAD no nuclear weapons program by Uberbah · · Score: 1

    The Iran deal is the SINGLE factor reducing or delaying Tehran's procurement of nuclear weapons.

    Iran's stance against nuclear weapons is why Iran isn't seeking a nuclear weapon, as even Israelis will admit.

  96. Russia disliked Clinton but she was competent by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Competent at what?

    She didn't do ANYTHING well, and covered her own arse for deliberately breaking the law.

    What are these wonderful achievements that you attribute to The Secretary Of State-sponsored Terrorism ?

  97. Been there, done that by trigggl · · Score: 1

    According to the Mayans, we've already had doomsday.

    --
    Ops, I shuld have usd the prevuwe but in.
  98. Tick Tock by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yawn,...

  99. BS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The doomsday clock used to signify the risk of all-out nuclear war as perceived by people who developed the first nuclear weapons.

    Those people are all dead, and now the closk signifies the risk of climate change as perceived by scientists who like to be politically active.

  100. Funny you should bring that up, as you forget by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it." - George Santayana

    I am a big fan of that quote, mostly I guess because I remember and know the past so much better than most people - especially you.

    We know that warming does not increase disasters - there will always be floods and large storms, warming or not. It's important to remember that weather is not climate!

    Also we remember from history, that the Medieval Warm Period was one of amazing prosperity for Europe, along with greatly increased agricultural yields.

    Perhaps before bringing up the past, you should seek to understand it better yourself.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Funny you should bring that up, as you forget by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      Perhaps when you got your PhD in history you forgot to study world history. Still, I bet the humus dip parties were nice.

      Look around what was happening in Asia and Africa during the medieval warming period- it wasn't all roses. The world is larger than Europe. That's the thing about climate change, it doesn't impact everyone equally. Canada will almost certainly benefit, for example, the corn belt will spread North. South Asia with it's huge population centers will be hit quite badly with projected rain fall losses. Nowadays even everything is so interconnected, upheaval in one part of the globe can spread quite quickly. If nuclear War between India and Pakistan started (where warming weather will cause more drought, unlike Europe that will likely get more rain) this will be of global importance.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
  101. Wrong reasons by ebvwfbw · · Score: 1

    It's closer, however not because of Trump. He moved it back probably to just 6:00 PM. However North Korea is trying to get the H bomb, want us to believe they have one and they're exporting this knowledge to bad countries, such as Iran.

    Hillary while she was Scty of state worked out a deal for Russians to get Uranium from Canada - https://www.nytimes.com/2015/0... (NY Times because so many of you don't believe anything else). Now they're giving it to Iran - http://www.foxnews.com/world/2... .

    We know they want bombs. We know they can do it. What could go wrong, right? Mad Mad Mad world folks.

  102. Different clock by cwsumner · · Score: 1

    I was there in the '50s and '60s, and that clock was about the danger of nuclear weapons.

    There is no way that the danger is anything like it was then. Or do you personally have a fallout shelter?

    The doomsday clock has been taken over by a bunch of political types that define "the world ending" as their candidate losing... 8-{