Maybe you should explain how you think the two are related, I took it to mean that he would rather do the show without voices than with a different cast.
I've experienced that, but even then they are fleeting, and usually rather mundane (the guy above mentions both battles with aliens and nuclear weapons...).
I'm not making any assertion about the actual shape of the supply curve, just pointing out that supply and demand can interact in a way where price never changes.
I would expect that the savings from building 5 ships (especially fancy-doo carbon composite ships like Rutan likes to build) are rather minimal and will simply be skimmed off as profit, but that's just speculation.
And all that leaves aside that they don't actually have any competitors, so supply is strictly a function of their choices, not the result of a market.
How bout you factor the decline in the rate of increase into your extrapolations?
In the last 100 years, we have seen the most explosive growth rates in history, and in some geographic areas, some of the lowest growth rates in history.
There is no such thing as a recipe for galactic war, if you have the resources to wage interplanetary warfare, you won't care about waging interplanetary warfare.
(remember, your enemy would be sitting there waiting for you and preparing while you carried your resources between the stars)
You shouldn't invest so much emotion in the things they say, especially if past experience has shown that they are unreliable.
Personally, I find that weather forecasts have been steadily improving for quite a while (but I still tend to simply look in the direction that weather usually comes from rather than bother to make sure I catch a forecast).
I would guess that we are already quite a bit quieter than we used to be (mostly because I can't think of any regular broadcasts that were more powerful than analog television).
Why so pessimistic? Eventually, Malthusians will be right about the amount of human life that Earth can support (the planetary mass provides a simple upper limit), until then, they will always have been wrong, and if you look at developed countries, you can find examples of populations that are no longer growing exponentially (so there is at least a chance that resource consumption will not increase indefinitely).
You need to throw in a bunch of hand waving about statistics.
It is at least possible that we are the first, most advanced civilization, out of some huge number in this vicinity (even if it is extremely unlikely...).
Acrobat is a different product than Adobe Reader (which used to be called Adobe Acrobat Reader, but isn't anymore). Reader is a pdf viewer, Acrobat can do a bunch more.
The installer for Adobe Reader still weighs in at 30+ megabytes (and my install is taking up 180 megabytes; 60 of that is setup files, I think the updater sometimes 'works' by downloading a whole new install, it isn't clear to me why there are multiple installers).
Also, 9.x is a big improvement over versions 7 and 8.
To me, it sounded like the study in question used regular ol' malaria (the commercial development was pursuing a similar process using weakened malaria).
My connection fee is $10 a month. No way can I get off the grid for $120 a year.
Are you going to disconnect the sun if they refuse to pay you?
Maybe you should explain how you think the two are related, I took it to mean that he would rather do the show without voices than with a different cast.
Because it works.
I've experienced that, but even then they are fleeting, and usually rather mundane (the guy above mentions both battles with aliens and nuclear weapons...).
What was AIDS about?
You make my dreams seem so...boring.
I barely ever remember a dream, and about 2 have rated as 'mildly disturbing'.
I'm not making any assertion about the actual shape of the supply curve, just pointing out that supply and demand can interact in a way where price never changes.
I would expect that the savings from building 5 ships (especially fancy-doo carbon composite ships like Rutan likes to build) are rather minimal and will simply be skimmed off as profit, but that's just speculation.
And all that leaves aside that they don't actually have any competitors, so supply is strictly a function of their choices, not the result of a market.
Given a perfectly flat supply curve, Econ 101 wouldn't predict any change in price.
The nice thing about being assigned Catcher in the Rye is that it gives you context when you have to deal with people who were moved by it.
Human history doesn't suggest anything about the fantastic levels of technology and resources required to travel between the stars.
Sure, we floated across the oceans, but that was to get more resources, not to expend them on the trip.
How bout you factor the decline in the rate of increase into your extrapolations?
In the last 100 years, we have seen the most explosive growth rates in history, and in some geographic areas, some of the lowest growth rates in history.
There is no such thing as a recipe for galactic war, if you have the resources to wage interplanetary warfare, you won't care about waging interplanetary warfare.
(remember, your enemy would be sitting there waiting for you and preparing while you carried your resources between the stars)
The Gros Michel cultivar is not extinct, it simply isn't commercially viable. More here:
http://www.promusa.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=133
Something to keep in mind when traveling in banana country (well, for those of us that would like to see what all the noise is about).
You shouldn't invest so much emotion in the things they say, especially if past experience has shown that they are unreliable.
Personally, I find that weather forecasts have been steadily improving for quite a while (but I still tend to simply look in the direction that weather usually comes from rather than bother to make sure I catch a forecast).
I would guess that we are already quite a bit quieter than we used to be (mostly because I can't think of any regular broadcasts that were more powerful than analog television).
I don't think it was intended to predict anything, I think it was intended to focus the discussion, and to demonstrate how 'big' the question is.
Why so pessimistic? Eventually, Malthusians will be right about the amount of human life that Earth can support (the planetary mass provides a simple upper limit), until then, they will always have been wrong, and if you look at developed countries, you can find examples of populations that are no longer growing exponentially (so there is at least a chance that resource consumption will not increase indefinitely).
You need to throw in a bunch of hand waving about statistics.
It is at least possible that we are the first, most advanced civilization, out of some huge number in this vicinity (even if it is extremely unlikely...).
It is quite likely that Microsoft would make money charging $15 or $20 for Windows, but no way are they going to try it before they have to.
Oh boo hoo, science hasn't slowed down any, and it isn't as if current researchers are working on easier problems.
Acrobat is a different product than Adobe Reader (which used to be called Adobe Acrobat Reader, but isn't anymore). Reader is a pdf viewer, Acrobat can do a bunch more.
The installer for Adobe Reader still weighs in at 30+ megabytes (and my install is taking up 180 megabytes; 60 of that is setup files, I think the updater sometimes 'works' by downloading a whole new install, it isn't clear to me why there are multiple installers).
Also, 9.x is a big improvement over versions 7 and 8.
The effect was observed 4 weeks after the subjects ceased taking chloroquine.
So good work freaking out about how evil these researchers are. The paper is here:
http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content/full/361/5/468
Linked earlier here:
http://science.slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=1321071&cid=28890691
Soooo, are you describing the Netherlands there? That's where this study happened.
To me, it sounded like the study in question used regular ol' malaria (the commercial development was pursuing a similar process using weakened malaria).