Climatology would be much further along if the data and models were vetted through real Econometricians and Statisticians first, at least they will consider if the Drunk and the Puppy are Cointegrated.
Wrong. These aren't Neural networks , and they aren't "trained". They are a simulation of understood physics....
While they aren't Neural Networks, they do simulations in hindcasting mode, using historical data and tweeking program parameters until the resulting output resembles historic results. This is necessary because while they are very good at simulating the understood physics, the amount of physics they understand is embarrassingly small compared to the total system. Additionally when you reference link that uses a Freeman Dyson quote and labels it a myth, you have assume a significant burden of proof, especially when the reference also links to
I have studied their climate models and know what they can do. The models solve the equations of fluid dynamics and do a very good job of describing the fluid motions of the atmosphere and the oceans. They do a very poor job of describing the clouds, the dust, the chemistry and the biology of fields, farms and forests. They do not begin to describe the real world that we live in. They are full of fudge factors that are fitted to the existing climate, so the models more or less agree with the observed data. But there is no reason to believe that the same fudge factors would give the right behaviour in a world with different chemistry, for example in a world with increased CO2 in the atmosphere. Fighting climate 'fluff'
You'll really have to do better if you expect to be convincing.
Any natural balance seems to be four stable states, similar to a http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/F...">Bifurcation diagram when r is 3.5, the two ice-age phases seem more stable that the two warm phases.
Well current temperatures have fallen below the 95% confidence band of the climate models predictions, so most reasonable scientists would say the hypothesis has been falsified on that basis; now that doesn't prove that GW is or isn't happening, it just proves the climate models are full of shit. Now that is not a surprise to anyone who has any formal training in Fortran and has looked at the source code. Even the input data is a horrific mess, little of it meets it's own data and formatting definitions.
There is little solid evidence that the past warming was either unusual or man-made and no evidence that the perceived trend will continue for centuries. There has been no warming for the past 17 years which was not predicted by the models which have been far better at hindcasting than forecasting. If we're going to teach kids science, lets teach them a science that isn't settled because the rent-seekers say it is, but is settled because the basic premises aren't argued on a daily basis.
Sorry I wasn't totally clear, there are no roads, railroads praved trails between Nome and Delta Junction Alaska, if you get from China to America via a rail tunnel across the Barring Straight to Alaska, your stuck. You can't drive from highly populated cities like Anchorage and Fairbanks to the state capital. If your going to load the cars onto a train ferry and ship the down to Vancouver or Seatle, you would have been better off just shipping via freighter.
You just don't realize how remote Alaska is, there are places where you literally can't get there from here.
It's even more complicated than that thre's gage breaks, a train that runs on Chinese tracks can't run on Trans-Siberian tracks, a train that runs on Trans-Siberian tracks can't run on North American tracks, so the trains either have to be off loaded-on loaded 3 times ot the cars have to have their axles changed. After all that you end up near Nome AK and Google says, "We could not calculate directions between Nome, AK and Edmonton, AB, Canada.", remember the bridge to nowhere, we'll have to build a lot of them because almost everywhere is nowhere in Alaska.
The hardest part is training the support staff if they've been Windows-centric their whole careers. Somehow just reiterating that everything-is-a-file isn't enough, and many professionals struggle to understand UNIX-style paths.
People struggle to understand windows-style paths too.
We're on Win8 at work, when I'm trying to figure out something that used to be easy in WinXP, Windows knowledgebase tells me how to do it in Windows7, and Windows8.1 but that doesn't help in windows 8! I saw that there is a free upgrade to 8.1 but that just plain does not work so it's not just XP thats been EOLed
A big piece of the increased cost was due to training expense, when migrating from windows to kubuntu all of the users had to be trained. When migrating from W2K to WinXP the users don't need retraining because they already know it. Now my real world experience is most windows users a very superficial knowlege of windows and any applications they don't use daily, so getting everyone trained to a common level of competency doesn't seem like an expense exclusive to a linux conversion.
On the whole, I like weapons being more selective, tends to cut down on civilian casualties, but I think that it's a topic more deserving of careful scrutiny than a reflexive ban.
The problem now is that's pretty much who os doing the fighting, there is no Talabanistan or United Al-Qaedian Emerates; look at the misery the drug cartels and gangs bring to Latin-American countries like El Salvador, Honduras, Mexico and California. Even in the Ukraine It's mostly Pro-russian civillian millitias and a cadre of Russian Spetsnaz. In the old days any combatant that was ununiformed or undocumented was a spy and summarily executed and the any collateral damage were harboring anyways
I usually say "if 10 is the worst pain I've ever felt, you better be getting out the narcotics at 4 because I've been on fire and peeled like a banana in hydro-therapy!"
All of you socialist leaning liberals take note, your average American sees socialized medicine as "Everybody stuck with an Army or VA Doctor". I'm actually surprised that the congress-criters that voted for Obamacare weren't tarred and feathered after they were thrown out of office.
Your assuming that it's a smell that can be washed off, the implication of the article is the way to get rid of the smell is to cut off your testicles.
Bedding material from unfamiliar male mice and guinea pigs, as well as pet beds slept in by unsterilized male cats and dogs, produced the same response:
Might be interesting to test if females evoke an effect depending on where they are in their estrous cycle, seeing that it is more of a pheromonal thing than an odor thing.
That's called modal learning and it's a real thing, but it's also likely your over-estimating your skill when drunk (most of us do). Modal learning associated with drink is also seen in bowlers and golfers.
"the truth may be hard to decipher in an industry shrouded in security" Well that because the Illuminati tell the Trilateral Commission Puppeteers how to pull the Koch Bros strings to have Big-Oil funnel billions of dollars of secret funding to Climate deniers so that they can continue to sell fossil fuels at commodity prices instead of selling their post-peak resources as high profit boutique petro-chemicals. Of course the answer could be just plain ol' boring nothing to see here. At the end of the day the last line of security is most of the workers are more conscientious than management deserves and frequently have friends and family that would be in harm's way if they weren't.
Well the thing is we told Ukraine that if they gave up their nuclear weapons, we'd help protect them from foreign aggressors; they did and then got invaded by Russia. Unless we do something effective pretty soon, it's going to be a hard sell to get anybody else to give up their nucs.
I support using said data to take action to eliminate bias in your own organization.
I do not support using a quota system to set up a system of racial or gender preferences.
So how is bias eliminated without a quota? Especially how is bias eliminated when the source of the bias external? How does a university know as a Hockey and Lacrosse powerhouse with a basketball program that sucks ass compete against Kentucky or Illinois for quality black students? What about Northern Michigan University, local population is 4.4% black?
Slashdot Mirror
Taking courses in science done by somebody else is history, not science. Science is doing it yourself.
Now I wish I had mod-points, for that was truly insightful.
Climatology would be much further along if the data and models were vetted through real Econometricians and Statisticians first, at least they will consider if the Drunk and the Puppy are Cointegrated.
Exactly. This is why I don't believe in quantum mechanics, it doesn't sound right to me.
Don't worry, Einstein didn't believe in it either; although he did get a Nobel prize in Physics for his work in it.
Wrong. These aren't Neural networks , and they aren't "trained". They are a simulation of understood physics ....
While they aren't Neural Networks, they do simulations in hindcasting mode, using historical data and tweeking program parameters until the resulting output resembles historic results. This is necessary because while they are very good at simulating the understood physics, the amount of physics they understand is embarrassingly small compared to the total system.
Additionally when you reference link that uses a Freeman Dyson quote and labels it a myth, you have assume a significant burden of proof, especially when the reference also links to
You'll really have to do better if you expect to be convincing.
Sorry should be Bifurcation diagram
Any natural balance seems to be four stable states, similar to a http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/F...">Bifurcation diagram when r is 3.5, the two ice-age phases seem more stable that the two warm phases.
Well current temperatures have fallen below the 95% confidence band of the climate models predictions, so most reasonable scientists would say the hypothesis has been falsified on that basis; now that doesn't prove that GW is or isn't happening, it just proves the climate models are full of shit. Now that is not a surprise to anyone who has any formal training in Fortran and has looked at the source code. Even the input data is a horrific mess, little of it meets it's own data and formatting definitions.
There is little solid evidence that the past warming was either unusual or man-made and no evidence that the perceived trend will continue for centuries. There has been no warming for the past 17 years which was not predicted by the models which have been far better at hindcasting than forecasting. If we're going to teach kids science, lets teach them a science that isn't settled because the rent-seekers say it is, but is settled because the basic premises aren't argued on a daily basis.
Sorry I wasn't totally clear, there are no roads, railroads praved trails between Nome and Delta Junction Alaska, if you get from China to America via a rail tunnel across the Barring Straight to Alaska, your stuck. You can't drive from highly populated cities like Anchorage and Fairbanks to the state capital. If your going to load the cars onto a train ferry and ship the down to Vancouver or Seatle, you would have been better off just shipping via freighter.
You just don't realize how remote Alaska is, there are places where you literally can't get there from here.
It's even more complicated than that thre's gage breaks, a train that runs on Chinese tracks can't run on Trans-Siberian tracks, a train that runs on Trans-Siberian tracks can't run on North American tracks, so the trains either have to be off loaded-on loaded 3 times ot the cars have to have their axles changed. After all that you end up near Nome AK and Google says, "We could not calculate directions between Nome, AK and Edmonton, AB, Canada.", remember the bridge to nowhere, we'll have to build a lot of them because almost everywhere is nowhere in Alaska.
The hardest part is training the support staff if they've been Windows-centric their whole careers. Somehow just reiterating that everything-is-a-file isn't enough, and many professionals struggle to understand UNIX-style paths.
People struggle to understand windows-style paths too.
We're on Win8 at work, when I'm trying to figure out something that used to be easy in WinXP, Windows knowledgebase tells me how to do it in Windows7, and Windows8.1 but that doesn't help in windows 8! I saw that there is a free upgrade to 8.1 but that just plain does not work so it's not just XP thats been EOLed
A big piece of the increased cost was due to training expense, when migrating from windows to kubuntu all of the users had to be trained. When migrating from W2K to WinXP the users don't need retraining because they already know it. Now my real world experience is most windows users a very superficial knowlege of windows and any applications they don't use daily, so getting everyone trained to a common level of competency doesn't seem like an expense exclusive to a linux conversion.
You can use all the killer robots you want, but it ain't over untill there are boots on the ground.
On the whole, I like weapons being more selective, tends to cut down on civilian casualties, but I think that it's a topic more deserving of careful scrutiny than a reflexive ban.
The problem now is that's pretty much who os doing the fighting, there is no Talabanistan or United Al-Qaedian Emerates; look at the misery the drug cartels and gangs bring to Latin-American countries like El Salvador, Honduras, Mexico and California. Even in the Ukraine It's mostly Pro-russian civillian millitias and a cadre of Russian Spetsnaz.
In the old days any combatant that was ununiformed or undocumented was a spy and summarily executed and the any collateral damage were harboring anyways
I usually say "if 10 is the worst pain I've ever felt, you better be getting out the narcotics at 4 because I've been on fire and peeled like a banana in hydro-therapy!"
All of you socialist leaning liberals take note, your average American sees socialized medicine as "Everybody stuck with an Army or VA Doctor". I'm actually surprised that the congress-criters that voted for Obamacare weren't tarred and feathered after they were thrown out of office.
How do you know if you felt pain or not if you don't remember when you regain consciousness?
Sex in the dark is boring.
Never thought I'd see sex and boring in the same sentence on slashdot.
Your assuming that it's a smell that can be washed off, the implication of the article is the way to get rid of the smell is to cut off your testicles.
Might be interesting to test if females evoke an effect depending on where they are in their estrous cycle, seeing that it is more of a pheromonal thing than an odor thing.
That's called modal learning and it's a real thing, but it's also likely your over-estimating your skill when drunk (most of us do). Modal learning associated with drink is also seen in bowlers and golfers.
"the truth may be hard to decipher in an industry shrouded in security"
Well that because the Illuminati tell the Trilateral Commission Puppeteers how to pull the Koch Bros strings to have Big-Oil funnel billions of dollars of secret funding to Climate deniers so that they can continue to sell fossil fuels at commodity prices instead of selling their post-peak resources as high profit boutique petro-chemicals. Of course the answer could be just plain ol' boring nothing to see here. At the end of the day the last line of security is most of the workers are more conscientious than management deserves and frequently have friends and family that would be in harm's way if they weren't.
The alternative would be to go in and physically remove the server; then have all the data on the drives vulnerable to the whims of law enforcement.
Well the thing is we told Ukraine that if they gave up their nuclear weapons, we'd help protect them from foreign aggressors; they did and then got invaded by Russia. Unless we do something effective pretty soon, it's going to be a hard sell to get anybody else to give up their nucs.
I am pro-data collection.
I support using said data to take action to eliminate bias in your own organization.
I do not support using a quota system to set up a system of racial or gender preferences.
So how is bias eliminated without a quota? Especially how is bias eliminated when the source of the bias external? How does a university know as a Hockey and Lacrosse powerhouse with a basketball program that sucks ass compete against Kentucky or Illinois for quality black students? What about Northern Michigan University, local population is 4.4% black?