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Wyoming Is First State To Reject Science Standards Over Climate Change

Hugh Pickens DOT Com writes: "Time Magazine reports that Wyoming, the nation's top coal-producing state, has become the first state to reject new K-12 science standards proposed by national education groups mainly because of global warming components. The Next Generation Science Standards (NGSS) are a set of science standards developed by leading scientists and science educators from 26 states and built on a framework developed by the National Academy of Sciences. The Wyoming science standards revision committee made up entirely of Wyoming educators unanimously recommended adoption of these standards to the state Board of Education not once but twice and twelve states have already adopted the standards since they were released in April 2013. But opponents argue the standards incorrectly assert that man-made emissions are the main cause of global warming and shouldn't be taught in a state that ranks first among all states in coal production, fifth in natural gas production and eighth in crude oil production deriving much of its school funding from the energy industry.

Amy Edmonds, of the Wyoming Liberty Group, says teaching 'one view of what is not settled science about global warming' is just one of a number of problems with the standards. 'I think Wyoming can do far better.' Wyoming Governor Matt Mead has called federal efforts to curtail greenhouse emissions a 'war on coal' and has said that he's skeptical about man-made climate change. Supporters of the NGSS say science standards for Wyoming schools haven't been updated since 2003 and are six years overdue. 'If you want the best science education for your children and grandchildren and you don't want any group to speak for you, then make yourselves heard loud and clear,' says Cate Cabot. 'Otherwise you will watch the best interests of Wyoming students get washed away in the hysteria of a small anti-science minority driven by a national right wing group – and political manipulation.'"

661 comments

  1. Global Warming Standards? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Standards? Politically-specified truth? In science?

    Good luck, USA. The rest of the world has already seen through the scam...

    1. Re:Global Warming Standards? by aurizon · · Score: 1

      Wyoming coal is as white as the driven snow....

    2. Re:Global Warming Standards? by Tamerlin · · Score: 1

      So, you clearly are stating that the state of Wyoming made the wrong decision here, by supporting the Cult of the Dollar.

    3. Re:Global Warming Standards? by Optali · · Score: 1

      Sorry?
      Do you keep track on what is happening in "The Rest of the World"?

      Because there actually isn't much of a debate lately.

      Greetings from the Rest OF The World mate ;)

      --
      -- 29A the number of the Beast
  2. Motivated rejection of science by benjfowler · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's called 'motivated reasoning', but I doubt these idiots have ever heard of it.

    Must be a conservative state, because this peculiar strain of stupidity is generally right-wing in nature. It's all about me! me!! me!! and screw the consequences, especially for the environment, our grandkids, or poor people.

    1. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Hardhead_7 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Don't forget ideology. Get ready to read a bunch of posts from people who pride themselves on being scientific, but reject a theory that enjoys more support in climatology than the Standard Model does in physics. Just because they're conservative and it would be inconvenient for their politics.

    2. Re:Motivated rejection of science by QuasiSteve · · Score: 1

      It's all about me! me!! me!! and screw the consequences, especially for the environment, our grandkids, or poor people.

      Indeed - though I wonder why, if they feel that the science side is too one-sided (not sure how that works out, as long as it's science), they wouldn't simply counter with a new program in social studies / economics. Surely they can convince the kids that, yes, coal is a horrible pollutant - but considering it employs their daddy, uncle, aunt, Bob, John and Mary, and brings in $xB to the state, it really isn't all that bad.

      Let kids make up their own minds about whether or not they'd rather go for cleaner but more expensive sources.

      At least, that's how creationism vs evolution was handled for my generation. Evolution (science/biology class), creationism (religious/social (not as much - was more about the impact of religion than the content of those religions) studies). That still seems like a fine approach to me.

    3. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      But, there are natural weather cycles, why didn't the stupid scientists think of that!?

      Tide goes in, tide goes out. Never a miscommunication. You canâ(TM)t explain that.

    4. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      But that doesn't justify bringing a political agenda into the science curriculum. It should be about science instead of conditioning kids to a small group's weak justification for more government control and less freedom.

    5. Re: Motivated rejection of science by BenfromMO · · Score: 0, Troll
      Science is about logic and not using logical fallacies to prove your case. Here, you use the old tired fallacy of Argumentum ad populum (appeal to widespread belief, bandwagon argument, appeal to the majority, appeal to the people) – where a proposition is claimed to be true or good solely because many people believe it to be so.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/L...

      In other words, yes we need better science education because you and the grandparent hardhead both failed to argue without a logical fallacy. Don't call people an idiot if you are being one. And don't assume that something is true just because you are on the band-wagon and think you know what you are talking about. We need better education for sure and this involves teaching children about logic as well as band-wagon popular science. Its too bad you learned from these new standards which pride itself on the band-wagon approach to science where the most popular theory is heralded as the correct theory and any other competing theories are dismissed out of hand.

    6. Re: Motivated rejection of science by rmdingler · · Score: 2
      I think this example has less to do with the actual Climate debate, than it does with good, old fashioned, Don't bite the hand that feeds you, company-town loyalty.

      FWIW, I grew up in a small town where my father, uncles, and friend's parents worked in a local mill. Three quarters all the jobs in this town were at that mill, in addition to almost all the good paying ones; and hell, they had a softball league and gave us each a turkey at Thanksgiving.

      For reference's sake, try to get something in a German schoolbook about pollution by the automobile industry.

      --
      Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.

      Ernest Hemingway

    7. Re: Motivated rejection of science by ericloewe · · Score: 4, Funny

      Economics. How scientific. /s

    8. Re: Motivated rejection of science by ericloewe · · Score: 2

      Sure there is. Not everyone covers their ears and starts shouting, afraid of the truth.

    9. Re: Motivated rejection of science by KeensMustard · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Its too bad you learned from these new standards which pride itself on the band-wagon approach to science where the most popular theory is heralded as the correct theory and any other competing theories are dismissed out of hand.

      "It might be bad for the coal industry" is not a competing theory on the cause of the present climate change.

    10. Re: Motivated rejection of science by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      But the whole thing is: these models were and are pretty much correct. Simply, rates cannot go below zero (they can, and this is called a tax on capital and is apparently politically impossible in the US, so they can't). Many people forgot to consider what happens if rates hit the zero lower bound.

      But people who did wonder about that found exactly what is happening now.

      Beware people who will not trust models to their limits: they might be worried about the validity of the model, but in many cases are afraid of what they might learn.

    11. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Because Man made, natural or a mixture of both the end result is the same either way. We have to learn to deal \ mitigate it.

      I recommend all government aid for relief due to any problems they deny is withdrawn. If you bang on about personal responsibility all the time then they wont mind stepping up to the plate.

    12. Re: Motivated rejection of science by BenfromMO · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      But natural causes is...and if you are not teaching children that the warming could very well be simply natural warming than you are not teaching them the scientific method which tells us that the null hypothesis is always assumed to be true until its proven false.

    13. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Adriax · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Couple years ago the University of Wyoming took down a large sculpture on campus well before its planned exhebition run was done because the oil industry felt it was insulting. I'm pretty sure "don't bite the hand that feeds you" was an exact quote from a state official demanding it be taken down immediately.

      --
      I don't suffer from insanity, I enjoy every minute of it!
    14. Re:Motivated rejection of science by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 2

      You misunderstand the scope of the problem. The issue is that there is a very real risk that we might be headed towards a global extinction event. Which no amount of money is worth enough to compensate for.

      Further, it is a "risk" because it is a future event. But at this point it is also a very highly probable one. And you talk about religion, which is probably one of the root of the problem: too many people refuse to consider the risk because religion.

      There is further a lot of uncertainty about whether we have time to let the kids make up their mind -- it's pretty clear at this point that solar/wind are the future, but the present is coal, and this might kill us. We would not have this problem if the ecologists had not killed nuclear, but it's probably too late for that. Post-apocalypse execution squads hunting for Greenpeace activists might make for a good film, but it won't help.

    15. Re: Motivated rejection of science by rmdingler · · Score: 3, Insightful
      A 19th century survey of 12000 towns would've yielded an even more astonishingly high percentage of citizens with god-belief.

      The science is more widely accepted by the folks who have the time to pay attention, but for the most part, it's a propaganda scheme that headlines enough opposition theory to leave the average billpayer some room for doubt.

      Funding opposition studies is just a business expense for large companies engaged in controversial industry.

      --
      Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.

      Ernest Hemingway

    16. Re:Motivated rejection of science by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Nice misinformation here. The situation _is_ catastrophic. We _are_ in big trouble. Do not mistake the insane German policies [1] for a model of how things happen when you want to curb CO_2. The climatologists know very well how bad the situation is. Simply, it is so bad that they realise at this point people are not willing to listen to the truth, so they _minimise_ the risks.

      [1] We would like solar, but really, we need energy, and since our crazy greens won't allow nuclear, we go for coal.

    17. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure there is.

      There is what? The GP doesn't ask whether "there is" something, or state that "there is no" anything.

    18. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Actually, around 2000, the Nobel prize of Economics winner Stiglitz already complained about the unrealistic assumptions made in "the standard model",
      making those theories crap for the description of actual economies.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_model

      Now you tell me who has debunked what unrealistic assumptions in climate science?

    19. Re:Motivated rejection of science by XanC · · Score: 0

      A "global extinction event" is "highly probable"? And the future is wind and solar?? Talk about drinking the Kool-Aid.

    20. Re: Motivated rejection of science by WhiteZook · · Score: 1

      What is the chance the current temperature rise is just natural variation (i.e. noise) ? And what would be the limit to conclude that this hypothesis is false ?

    21. Re:Motivated rejection of science by BenfromMO · · Score: 0
      How in the world will we head for an extinction level event? Have you even LOOKED at the data yourself? You do realize that this planet has seen CO2 levels 10 times what we have today (even 20 times higher) and not once did an extinction event play out due to CO2 increases. In fact, at one point in our past, the planet had roughly 2000 PPM CO2 (5 times today's levels) and we were in the midst of an ice-age.

      You are expecting people to believe that you know what you are talking about and how catastrophe is going to happen when history tells us otherwise. If CO2 never caused this kind of disaster in our planet's past, how do you know it will today? And why do you believe this is so?

      Solar and wind are NOT the future, but the past. You are forcing these choices onto everyone else because of weird beliefs on how CO2 will start TODAY to cause catastrophic warming when the history of our planet shows that it did not once do so. If you want to solve the CO2 crisis, embrace nuclear or go home. Wind and solar power are nothing but welfare for the rich and it will further destroy our nations lower and middle classes as they get even more poorer.

      Want to know why that is? Because we all pay more for power, but those with resources are able to put up solar panels and wind turbines (the rich who pay income taxes...and the poor typically don't pay 8000 or more for the necessary taxes to benefit from this) and so in the end wind and solar is nothing but welfare for the rich. And good luck getting a poor person to benefit from a million dollar wind turbines, those truly are toys of the rich who than get free power thanks to the poor and the middle class who now pay more for power. Thanks rich people!

    22. Re: Motivated rejection of science by tp1024 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Well, Stiglitz wasn't taken seriously at the time. You could have shown what Stiglitz said to Alan Greenspan and he would have rejected it, along with most other mainstream economists.

      It doesn't matter who debunked the unrealistic assumptions in climate science, since you won't take it seriously anyway. If you don't think the fact that temperatures are 0.5 degree below the predictions that were made 25 years ago and again 13 years ago, is any indication that the models failed, it doesn't matter what evidence I present. That's because you don't care about normal scientific standards that say: if the prediction is consistently wrong, the theory is wrong.

    23. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Rather than an appeal to popularity, it looks more like he's saying that it's more likely to be true given the fact that most in the scientific community say it is true based on the evidence we have gathered. Given the scientific community's track record, I'd say this is perfectly reasonable, and the best indicator of truth that we have.

      Before spewing forth the names of logical fallacies, at least try to understand the point he's making.

    24. Re:Motivated rejection of science by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 4, Informative

      I'll just leave this here.

      https://upload.wikimedia.org/w...

      Last time we had the kind of temperatures we are heading for, the dinosaurs ruled the Earth. Normally, organisms have millions of years to adapt to these kind of changes. This is how we are headed to an extinction event.

    25. Re: Motivated rejection of science by milkmage · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I don't know why you got modded down.

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

      Neil Tyson vs. Bill O'Reilly

    26. Re:Motivated rejection of science by WhiteZook · · Score: 3, Informative

      In the history of the planet, when CO2 was 20 times higher, the output from the sun was also (significantly) less.

    27. Re: Motivated rejection of science by sg_oneill · · Score: 5, Informative

      But natural causes is...and if you are not teaching children that the warming could very well be simply natural warming than you are not teaching them the scientific method which tells us that the null hypothesis is always assumed to be true until its proven false.

      Yes, but as David Hume would point out. The preponderance of evidence of apples falling from trees doesn't *prove* that gravity is real, just that its incredibly unlikely that its not.

      We're at that point with man made climate change. We know that if CO2 doesn't trap IR heat, nearly 140 years of physics needs to be turfed, we know that we've put in a certain amount of CO2 that outstrips by a huge margin any natural source, and that x amount of CO2 will introduce Y amount of energy into the climate system. We can do rudimentary models that show a general trend and lately we've been doing more complex models track a more specific trend with astonishing accuracy when applied to historical data.

      The odds of human induced climate change being wrong are so low that its simply not up for debate anymore in the sciences, just as evolution or gravity isn't because that would be silly.

      The fact that outside of the sciences a lot of people seem to think theres scientific controversy isn't really important here.

      Science isn't a democracy, its a dictatorship of evidence. And the evidence is in. AGW is real.

      --
      Excuse the Unicode crap in my posts. That's an apostrophe, and slashdot is busted.
    28. Re:Motivated rejection of science by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      I wish the future were atomics, but politics are what they are...

    29. Re: Motivated rejection of science by AlterEager · · Score: 2

      No, "natural causes" is not a competing theory of climate change.

      Without details about what "natural causes" you're talking about it isn't even a theory.

    30. Re: Motivated rejection of science by the_B0fh · · Score: 1

      Rather than asking this, why not just do a search for it? If you are using Google for searching, go into incognito mode so that you don't get results that "you like".

      This particular question has been covered numerous times, and very very well.

    31. Re: Motivated rejection of science by AlterEager · · Score: 5, Interesting

      What is the chance the current temperature rise is just natural variation (i.e. noise) ?

      0.1% http://www.physics.mcgill.ca/~gang/eprints/eprintLovejoy/neweprint/Anthro.climate.dynamics.13.3.14.pdf

      Next question?

    32. Re: Motivated rejection of science by the_B0fh · · Score: 2

      are you really an idiot? Comparing a social science subject to a hard science subject in terms of scientific rigor?

    33. Re: Motivated rejection of science by BenfromMO · · Score: 1

      Its never reasonable to let someone else think for you.

    34. Re:Motivated rejection of science by DogDude · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You fucking idiot. You 'useful idiot', more like.

      This particular troll listens to Glenn Beck, who invented the meaningless phrase "useful idiot". This is a particularly vile kind of troll.

      --
      I don't respond to AC's.
    35. Re: Motivated rejection of science by WhiteZook · · Score: 1

      I already know the answer. I like to hear what parent thinks.

    36. Re: Motivated rejection of science by BenfromMO · · Score: 1
      Models are only a success on their training data, they have failed at predicting the future at every step. Any idiot can get a model to match up to the training data. That is modeling 101 and is not proof that your model is correct or even "probably correct."

      If that is your only evidence that you are correct, well than I don't know what to say.

      AGW is real, because every human on this planet has an impact on our planet. The question as always is how large is that impact? And if you teach children BLINDLY that this impact is large with nothing but trained models to say so, well you aren't teaching them science but Gospel Truth. I did not state that humans have no impact.

    37. Re: Motivated rejection of science by WhiteZook · · Score: 5, Informative

      No, you do your homework. Natural sources are huge, but so are natural sinks. Without the human contribution, they would balance each other out. Human CO2 production is tipping the scale, year after year after year.

    38. Re: Motivated rejection of science by WhiteZook · · Score: 1

      So you personally design all bridges that you cross ?

    39. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      We have three classes of CO2 sources. The natural seasonal variations in the carbon cycle do, yes, dwarf human and volcanic emissions, and yet the last have still been able to drastically alter the climate historically. Compared to volcanism, humans are still a couple of orders of magnitude away from the largest periods of volcanic activity in the Earth's history, but those periods lasted millions of years, and "a couple orders of magnitude away" means that in 1000 years at the current rate we will have equaled the largest periods of volcanism in Earth's history. In more direct terms, we're doing about one Pinatubo per day, or about two Yellowstone Supervolcanos per year.

      It could, indeed, have an impact.

    40. Re:Motivated rejection of science by zippthorne · · Score: 2

      You misunderstand the scope of the problem. The issue is that there is a very real risk that we might be headed towards a global extinction event.

      For some species, possibly, although species are going extinct all the time for various reasons and there is little we can do about most of them. Homo Sapiens Sapiens is not at risk of extinction in even the direst of CO2-based climate projections.

      If you think "it's clear that solar and wind are our future" then you have either a poor understanding of the energy needs of our current civilization, or you have a very long view of "our future." Certainly solar/wind and deep geothermal are in "our" future, but the current energy needs cannot be supplied by them yet. To present them as a viable alternative to fossil fuels at the current time undermines the urgency which you claim halting CO2 emissions requires.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    41. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Everybody knows global warming is created by dragon farts, not human actions!

    42. Re:Motivated rejection of science by AlterEager · · Score: 4, Informative

      How in the world will we head for an extinction level event?

      Obviously we aren't headed for a global extinction event. We are already in the global extinction event.

      You do realize that this planet has seen CO2 levels 10 times what we have today (even 20 times higher) and not once did an extinction event play out due to CO2 increases.

      Because the PETM didn't happen on your alternate earth?

      In fact, at one point in our past, the planet had roughly 2000 PPM CO2 (5 times today's levels) and we were in the midst of an ice-age.

      Boring zombie argument #49. http://www.skepticalscience.com/co2-higher-in-past.htm

    43. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly. This is why I don't believe in quantum mechanics, it doesn't sound right to me.

    44. Re:Motivated rejection of science by WhiteZook · · Score: 2

      Even without the CO2 problem, we need to get going with alternatives for fossil fuels, as they will be getting too hard to produce in sufficient quantities in a few decades.

    45. Re: Motivated rejection of science by BenfromMO · · Score: 2
      Natural variation is not noise. They are two different things, noise in climate data is typically the data which results from high temperature records for instance, or low temperature records. The noise typically cancels out over a long enough time period. Natural variation is simply the opposite of human caused warming for instance. Its the planet naturally heating up or cooling down through its own dynamic systems, from the oceans to the ocean cycles to weather systems to even ENSO and other part of our planet's heat distribution.

      Having said that mouthful, I looked at the data. According to the IPCC, temperature changes before 1950 were not influenced much at all by greenhouse gases. But when you look at the temperature charts for the world, you see that the warming between roughly 1910-1940 is (about) the same as the warming that occurred between 1975-1998 which leads me to believe that natural variation could easily account for all of our witnessed warming. This is not to say it does, but it is a logical conclusion that it is indeed possible that all the warming that has happened has been natural.

      But having said that, we do have an impact on this planet. The question is what is this impact, and since the data can not differentiate that, well the evidence can go either way and in the end as per the scientific method, we must assume that the impact is close to nil.

    46. Re: Motivated rejection of science by sg_oneill · · Score: 4, Informative

      Human sources of CO2 are dwarfed by natural sources, please do your homework before making such claims. The additional CO2 humans are adding to the mix is tiny but could have an impact.

      Yeah that idea was fundamentally discredited a long time ago dude. Sorry.

      http://www.skepticalscience.co...

      --
      Excuse the Unicode crap in my posts. That's an apostrophe, and slashdot is busted.
    47. Re: Motivated rejection of science by BenfromMO · · Score: 0

      Except his logic differs from that of the IPCC which tells us that warming before 1950 was mostly natural. He assumes that this is not the case and that most of the warming since 1880 was caused by humans.

    48. Re: Motivated rejection of science by BenfromMO · · Score: 0

      How do you know they balance out at all? The ice core data we have shows us that CO2 levels are typically much higher on this planet in our geologic past, so why would you assume that they balance out?

    49. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 2

      How would they balance each other out? The climate on earth has been seesawing wildly between freezing cold and baking heat since the earth had a climate. There is no "natural balance".

      While clearly we and every other living creature are having an effect on the climate, the question always has been "how much of an effect". In any case within a century or so we'll have moved to pretty much entirely renewable sources, most likely making inroads on solar satellites as well, so er, everyone calm down I guess.

    50. Re:Motivated rejection of science by careysub · · Score: 1

      It isn't politics - it is economics.

      Private enterprise if fully capable of building new nuclear power units in the U.S. if they want, the licenses are available, and the U.S. government still underwrites the insurance for the industry (a significant subsidy since it is a favor that other industries do not get). This has been true continuously for all of the last 35 years.

      The reason none have been built is that the capital cost is very high, and the long pay-off time makes the investment unattractive compared to coal and natural gas. Also modern American business is allergic to investing to make profits in the distant future when profits can be made sooner in other ways.

      It is a straight-up business decision by (short term) profit maximizing capitalism not to build them.

      Or possibly, do you mean that politics should create mandates requiring they be built?

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    51. Re:Motivated rejection of science by DiamondGeezer · · Score: 1

      "Motivated reasoning" - the new phrase for "Possessed by the Devil"

      --
      Tubby or not tubby. Fat is the question
    52. Re: Motivated rejection of science by sg_oneill · · Score: 4, Informative

      Models are only a success on their training data, they have failed at predicting the future at every step

      Wrong. These aren't Neural networks , and they aren't "trained". They are a simulation of understood physics that thus-far matches the historical data and is so far actually predicting things quite well (Although some of the earlier models where a bit conservative due to not accounting for permafrost).

      What you are calling "training" , in science is called "Hind-casting" and its a standard method of testing scientific theories where we can't feasibly do experiments (other than the usual CO2 in lab type stuff from the 1870s when we first started talking about climate change from CO2).

      If you disregard it, you have to throw away *so much* science. Why would you want to do that? Its a tried and tested methodology responsible for a huge amount of what we know about the natural sciences.

      Regardless, as the IPCC has pointed out. The models have actually been quite accurate in predictions so far.
      http://www.skepticalscience.co...

      --
      Excuse the Unicode crap in my posts. That's an apostrophe, and slashdot is busted.
    53. Re: Motivated rejection of science by DiamondGeezer · · Score: 1

      That's right, because before 1950 climate was stable.

      --
      Tubby or not tubby. Fat is the question
    54. Re: Motivated rejection of science by sumdumass · · Score: 0, Troll

      Wow.. just wow. You recomend cutting a state that pays into the system out of thr system because they refuse to indoctrinate their children through forced public education. They never said the kids couldn't learn about it, just that they weren't going to mandate the state preaches it.

      You are right in that we will have to deal with climate change though. But we have to do that whether man is impacting it or not as climate is not static and has changed since the earth has been here. So your gripe seems to be more that the states don't want to evangelize as much as you want them to and to you this is just cause to starve women and children by withholding aid if a disaster should strike the state. Wow..

    55. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Hardhead_7 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Really? So, Anonymous Coward knows better than NASA and NOAA and the UN Panel on Cliamate Change? Oh, wait, maybe you don't have any f-ing clue what you're talking about, and the effects of Man-made climate change are radically different than natural variation.

      Here's the thing, as you post on Slashdot, I'm going to assume you troubleshoot problems. Maybe it's network infrastructure, maybe it's software, maybe it's server administration. I don't know. But, do you really consider a problem "fixed" if you don't know the cause? If errors are getting thrown everywhere, do you apply band-aid fixes that "seem to work" but you don't know why? I do know those guys. You know what? They're fucking terrible at their jobs. Real troubleshooting is learning the root cause and fixing it. Even if you can't fix the root error directly, if you don't have a real understanding of it, you never know if your band-aids are gong to work.

      When someone says "well who cares if it's man-made" or "it's really the alarmists that are the problem" or whatever, it's just another attempt to sow doubt on a model that is just as predictive as Evolution. It matters what caused it, because that influences how you fix it - for instance, if it's man-made, moving off coal power plants to solar, nuclear, wind, etc, is a huge help. So get a clue, stop sticking your head in the sand and changing the subject, and realize that man-made climate change is radically different than natural variation. Idiot.

    56. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's actually the proof they balance out; if they didn't, CO2 levels would have been constantly rising. instead, they've fallen.

    57. Re: Motivated rejection of science by NapalmV · · Score: 4, Insightful

      [...] indoctrinate their children through forced public education.

      Proper science (like in a science that has a validated, reasonable precise model of reality) is not indoctrination. The dismal science http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/T... on the other hand...

    58. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are they much higher while human civilization existed, and why do you think that is?

    59. Re: Motivated rejection of science by jozmala · · Score: 1

      Actually from year to year trend in CO2 increase is HALF the amount of carbon ATOMS in atmosphere compared to carbon atoms mankind burns from fossil fuels. Now for natural processes. In spring trees take CO2 from atmosphere and put it in leaves in autumn those leaves fall and start decomposing slowly releasing the CO2 in it. The natural CO2 cycle is pretty much like that you have 3-4 (depends on how you wish to count them) things that exchange carbon atoms, but total carbon atoms between them stays the same, until we started pumping more atoms there. Then the oceans BOTH release and take CO2 from atmosphere and the solubility of CO2 on seawater depends on temperature which means as currents move water from cold places to hotter environment it releases CO2 and other direction it takes away CO2. Right now seas are absorbing half of our emissions but if climate change is large enough it will cause that CO2 that we have forced in to the system move back from sea to atmosphere.
      So its almost closed 3-4 storage places system in which things move between those storages in large quantities, and its pretty much people who contribute over 90% of what carbon atoms to that system. But biggest proof that CO2 increase is man made is that year to year trend is half the number of atoms of carbon compared to our fossil fuel consumption.

      --
      ©God :Copyright is exclusive right for creator to determine the use of his creation.
    60. Re: Motivated rejection of science by whistlingtony · · Score: 1

      I wholeheartedly agree that looking at alternative hypothesises is good science. The globe IS warming. Is it the sun? No. The sun is actually in a lull right now and it's kind of weird. Is it part of a normal cycle? We are supposed to be warming as part of our natural cycle, but not this fast. Is it because the temperature sensors are in populated areas? No, we take that into account and the data is checked against tree ring cycles and other datasets.

      It's not that we didn't look at your Other Causes. We just quickly showed them all the be wrong.

      Also, if I understand you correctly, you're saying that the scientific method tells us that the null hypothesis is assumed to be true until it's proven false? So... we assume the Theory of Gravity is wrong until that one apple floats up instead of falling down? You know nothing.

    61. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's called 'motivated reasoning', but I doubt these idiots have ever heard of it.

      Must be a conservative state, because this peculiar strain of stupidity is generally right-wing in nature. It's all about me! me!! me!! and screw the consequences, especially for the environment, our grandkids, or poor people.

      I'm quite glad, because now we know where the idiots live.

    62. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Shoten · · Score: 5, Informative

      You fucking idiot. You 'useful idiot', more like.

      This particular troll listens to Glenn Beck, who invented the meaningless phrase "useful idiot". This is a particularly vile kind of troll.

      As much as I hate Glenn Beck (and Fox News in general), this is not true. The phrase is a reference to Stalin, who referred to communist sympathizers in the USA as "useful idiots," recognizing both that they served a purpose for him and that they were morons for wanting wealth redistribution while members of the wealthiest nation in the world. So essentially, every time Beck used that phrase, he was associating the people he was insulting with communism, but in a way that wasn't easily called out and discredited based on, well...facts.

      --

      For your security, this post has been encrypted with ROT-13, twice.
    63. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Holmwood · · Score: 4, Informative

      Starting to depart a bit from the topic, but 'useful idiot' is not an invention of America's Glenn Beck. It dates at least back to Russia in the 1940's, and then developed generally as a term to generally characterize 'fellow traveler' socialists who were not themselves communists but were willing dupes of communists.

      Not everything in this universe is an invention of American left or right wingers.

      That said, I find the GP's attitude of "no such thing as catastrophic man-made global warming" coupled with his sarcasm to be as unhelpful as your ahistorical claim. He may well be right that there is no such thing; if climate sensitivity is on the low end of current IPCC estimates, then a reasonable person could argue that means the results will not be catastrophic in a global sense, and attribution will make any specific weather disaster tough to pin on anthropogenic climate change. But to blithely assert that it therefore doesn't exist? I'll definitely pass on that assertion.

    64. Re: Motivated rejection of science by dreamchaser · · Score: 1

      Did you even bother to read what I wrote? I didn't say human contributions had no effect. I merely corrected the false statement that human sources dwarfed natural sources. They do not, and about 5 minutes of research online or in a library would tell you that.

    65. Re:Motivated rejection of science by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 0

      Must be a conservative state, because this peculiar strain of stupidity is generally right-wing in nature.

      Have you ever tried to have a rational discussion with a liberal about the heritability of intelligence, or the economics of light rail? Liberals are just as willing to reject science and rationality when it conflicts with their beliefs.

    66. Re:Motivated rejection of science by TheRaven64 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Glen Beck didn't invent the term 'useful idiot', it dates back to the Soviet era and was used to describe communist sympathisers who did the work of the KGB without directly interacting with them.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    67. Re: Motivated rejection of science by ganjadude · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Really? So, Anonymous Coward knows better than NASA and NOAA and the UN Panel on Cliamate Change?

      while I get your point, what you are missing is that we have a real distrust of the government in general. If you replace NASA NOAA and UN panel with NSA CIA and TSA, people would respond differently.

      --
      have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
    68. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Dinosaurs were the worst. In the Jurassic c02 WaS 1950 ppm that's like 4x now. And there was huge plant and animal life diversity. And o2 levels were @30%. Wow. More o2 more c02 aka plant food.

      But dinosaurogenic global warming kicked in. The big dgw. And their world ended. So we must learn the lessons. Of dgw and have a globalist police state make poverty and low standards of living for the cause of agw.

      We must learn the lessons of dgw the great dinosaurigenic global warming

    69. Re: Motivated rejection of science by AlterEager · · Score: 1

      Except his logic differs from that of the IPCC which tells us that warming before 1950 was mostly natural.

      Does it? Where?

    70. Re: Motivated rejection of science by AlterEager · · Score: 2

      No, "we don't know what the fuck is going on" is not the "null hypothesis".

    71. Re: Motivated rejection of science by jpellino · · Score: 1

      Except that what hit the fan in 2007+ wasn't a refutation of the model in toto, it was that people were doing things at levels and rates that the model never took into account - which Stiglitz tested and predicted the possibility of. The model failed to predict something that happened - in macroeconomic terms - suddenly. The reassignment of risk in places it was never intended to be at levels that were known to be unsafe while a naive proposition was applied to make it all seem better. That is not what the research community has done with climate change. Economic theory does not only account for deterministic results that can be explained by physics, chemistry and biology. There is a fourth thing it needs to account for - self-interest as expressed through individual psychology. The falling apples can change their minds. In climate, there has been a steady, slow, study-able set of conditions and results that see no significant competing explanation. It's analogous to watching a boulder rolling down a hill at you. Yes, it is possible that it veers off before it hits you. Yes, it is possible that it gets struck by lightning and turns to pebbles. But it's not probable. It may zig left, it may zag right, it may remain airborne for a while, or plow into the ground for a stretch, but the reasonable mind sitting in the path would DUCK!

      --
      "Win treats sysadmins better than users. Mac treats users better than sysadmins. Linux treats everyone like sysadmins."
    72. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yeah, california, NY and DC

    73. Re: Motivated rejection of science by sumdumass · · Score: 0, Troll

      What is being taught about climate change is not proper science. It is indoctrination.

    74. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Glenn Beck, by contrast, is a useless idiot.

    75. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Gwarsbane · · Score: 1

      Yes CO2 has been higher in the past then what they are now, but something you seem to be ignoring is that it took hundreds of thousands or even millions of years to build up to those levels. Which gave the plants and animals time to evolve to accept those levels. Thats why you don't see mass extinctions due to those levels. It also takes hundreds of thousand to millions of years for those levels to come down.

      We were coming out of the end of an ice age not in the midst of one.

      In the past 200 to 300 years CO2 has doubled from what it was. The only real thing that has changed in that time is man with all the burning we are doing along with all the environment destruction and cutting down of rain forests that we have done in that time.

      Renewable resources are actually the future. That includes solar and wind, geotherma, waves, tidal, hydro and a number of other things. These are not being forced onto people, they are how ever giving people more choice. If we can stop using coal and oil and gas burning power plants then whats so wrong with that?

      And yes any new tech is expensive but with time it does come down in price. Solar for example is just a fraction of what it used to cost. The more people that use it, the cheaper it will become because there will be more demand for it.

      And an average person not being able to afford to buy or benefit from a million dollar wind turbine doesn't mean squat. They can't buy or benefit from a multimillion dollar power plant either. In my area we only have 1 power company and they have a coal/gas fired power plant and every single year they raise the cost of power. They are making large profits and just last year gave all their execs a 50% raise.

      The average person is how ever getting closer to being able to afford a decent solar and small scale wind turbine setup which can pay for itself within 10 years. If every new home built included solar panels that would help bring the panel prices down.

      If governments stopped giving billions of dollars to oil companies who don't need those billions because they are making 10s of billions in profits and put those billions towards renewable resources such as solar and wind those prices would come down very fast and we could rely less on coal/gas/oil power planets. If we take even just a billion of that money going to oil companies and put it towards say wind turbines which cost around 3 million each, that could be around 333 new wind turbines that could be built and installed basically free each and every year. Thats 1400 (roughly) households that could get their power cheaper per turbine or around 466,200 households per for all those turbines.

      About 10 years ago, I figured that it would take about 50,000 dollars to put enough solar panels on my roof to virtually pay for all the power I use in a day (that includes install costs). If we again take that billion dollars and have all those panels put on homes, that could be around 20,000 homes a year they could put solar panels on free of charge. If those homes are low income homes, that suddenly means all those families have far more income per month to spend on other stuff, which also bring in more money for the government either because they don't have to give out as much or because they are taking more in from taxes. Also in the last 10 years, I'm pretty sure prices have dropped quite a bit so really even more houses could be covered.

      Course some laws would have to be changed, power companies would have to be forced to accept extra power from homes that produce more then they are using and unless those houses also have lots of batteries they would still need to have some sort of power source at night, but thats where the other renewable resources come in.

      Now imagine if we took all the money the government gives or subsudizes the oil companies (which is somewhere around 10 billion dollars last I read) was used to put renewable resources in for use by low income housing. The economy and environment would be far better off

    76. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Artifakt · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I suspect a lot of AGW denialists are also Evolution deniers, and it's worth noting that a lot of the testing process for Evolution involves 'hind-casting' rather than forecasting. Every time we point to the fossil record, after all, we are looking behind, not forward. The same is true for Cosmology, and it's worth noting that growth in "Big Bang denialism" also seems to be happening, with a high (although far from universal) correlation. I'm wating for some people to start denouncing Contenental Drift as a liberal plot.

      --
      Who is John Cabal?
    77. Re: Motivated rejection of science by nharmon · · Score: 0

      About as scientific as climate science. Meaning, each have theories at the micro level that have been tested using experimentation (ie. supply and demand, absorption of radiation by greenhouse gases, etc). But at the macro-level, each attempts to model extremely chaotic systems through (mostly) observation and pattern fitting.

      So, don't be all smug about economics not being very scientific, because climatology isn't all that far ahead of it.

    78. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Artifakt · · Score: 1

      Half om me wants to accept the many worlds interpretation, half of me believes the waqvefunction collapses, and half of me wants to crawl into a box just thinking about it.

      --
      Who is John Cabal?
    79. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "[C]haracteristic(s) of hard science include: producing testable predictions; performing controlled experiments; relying on quantifiable data and mathematical models; a high degree of accuracy and objectivity; and generally applying a purer form of the scientific method."

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/H...

      Climate science doesnt produce testable predictions, only probabilities that something might happen. It also doesn't perform controlled experiments (no, computer simulation is not a controlled experiment). It lacks both accuracy and objectivity, so rarely adhears to the scientific method.

      About the only characteristic is does have, is relying on quantifiable data and mathematical models. But since Economics does this also, you would have to declare both as being hard sciences if that was enough.

    80. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Noah+Haders · · Score: 2

      What is being taught about climate change is not proper science. It is indoctrination.

      maybe it's both? "she blinded me with science" and all that.

    81. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Richy_T · · Score: 1

      No, if they didn't balance, they would go one way or the other. If they did balance, they would stay the same.

      That;s a very static and, frankly, short-sighted way to view a dynamic system though. The same mindset that made a fool of Malthus.

      And whether they balance or not, the statement that human sources dwarf natural sources is still patently false.

    82. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Ferretman · · Score: 0

      You seriously want to steal people's tax dollars and then refuse to give some back in the form of aid if they don't think "the right way"?

      Leaving aside the fact that the federal government exists at the pleasure of the states, would you feel the same way if in 2020 President Cruz decided to deny state highway funds to any state that permitted, say, abortions? Or if in 2016 President Hillary denied welfare funds to any state whose senators/representatives supported a inquiry into Benghazi?

      That's one of the most disgusting and hopefully not-well-thought-about comments I've seen in a while.

      Ferret

      --
      Sic gorgiamus allos subjectatos nunc
    83. Re: Motivated rejection of science by jackspenn · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Where is the correct science in "global warming", from where I am standing it is all political BS.

      Several examples:

      1). Why is it that all of the computer models to date have overestimated the temperature increase (i.e. these models have failed to fit what has been observed,. The best example is the hockey stick curve from back in the day. When in reality the averages are flat).
      2). Why was it that the "scientists" at Cern were so dishonest regarding GW? There are e-mails where this "scientists" decide to use site numbers instead of recorded GPS or physical locations, then move the sites southward for each year of recorded observations. So when peer reviewed it would appear temperatures were increasing at the same location. When peers asked the the specific locations, they got responses like Siberia. That is not quality science, that is not reproducible.
      3). Where is the control, where is the one single variable change? When we cannot accurately predict if it will rain in a certain region tomorrow or the temperature over the next 5 days, how is it wrong to suspect we cannot do it for 1, 5,10 or 100 years?
      4). If this is science,why the push to get everyone to agree? Why not simply suggest people look at the data and decided for themselves? Why the need to push it down our throats? Why the uproar if a state lets teachers, parents and students think for themselves how they wish to review the information?
      5). Need I remind you that Galileo was in the minority regarding his Sun centered model? Do you think those in the majority punishing him and his supporters, putting them down, insulting them, in very much the exact why you do? "97% of us think this way", which, does nothing to indicate you are correct. Those in the majority had all sorts of exceptions, just like GW supporters do today. They would claim there is "a flywheel type force ...", just like you today say things like "The extra heat is going into the oceans, very very very deep, yes yes that is it, when we have our computer models push the heat into the deepest parts of the ocean where we have the luxury of not having temperature samples, thus allowing us room to explain away the drift between reality and BS simulations."
      6). Why is it that you use lies to support your image? My favorite being video of ice that is expanding and then failing into the ocean when talking about ice melting. My second favorite is when you show that a sad little polar bear on an ice sheet and say "the polar bear are running out of food and space and dying off, and that is why they are now coming up on human towns and locations, they just don't have enough food." And much how you fudged the site locations with Cern's bogus data, you ignore the fact that there are more polar bear today then ever recorded and that is why they are coming up to people and you even push to have them declared endangered, ignoring the truth that there are more now, but instead point to the few places where numbers are down, while completely ignoring the truthful where numbers are actually rising.
      7). Why does every "solution" happen to fight your political end? My favorite, being "cows eat grass and grains and fart a lotas a result so we need to tax people for eating beef." Oh, really, why not flip it? Since I eat beef, every cow I consume isn't farting, so I am helping whereas vegan aren't. But wait, every vegan and vegetarian I know does fart more then the average meat eater. So why is the "solution" not to tax kale and spinach? The answer is that this has nothing to do with a real problem, it is all about using an imagined global issue to advance some honestly retarded political agendas and as an excuse to rob individuals of control, which brings me the the final point.
      8). What is worse? The temp. going up a few degrees in my lifetime or governments and global organizations robbing individuals or their liberties? What is more damaging to be hot or have to adjust or to be effectively a slave to society? What

      --
      Respect the Constitution
    84. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Must be a conservative state, because this peculiar strain of stupidity is generally right-wing in nature. It's all about me! me!! me!! and screw the consequences...

      You mean like how liberals support abortion?

    85. Re:Motivated rejection of science by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      but the current energy needs cannot be supplied by them yet.
      Erm, you only need to build a wind plant, you know.
      The populace or the industry does not care if 1GW power is coming form a 1GW coal plant or a 1GW wind plant.
      A no brainer ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    86. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Noah+Haders · · Score: 5, Informative

      for me the greatest clincher for man-made global warming are these two graphs:
      atmospheric CO2 450,000BC to present
      atmospheric CO2 1000AD to present

      the first graph shows that the CO2 level has hovered between 200 and 300ppm for 500k years. so our current co2 concentration ~400ppm is unprecedented in the history of mankind! The graph also shows that global temperature is highly correlated with CO2 concentration.

      the second graph shows that for most of the past millennium the CO2 level has been hovering at 290 ppm, which is consistent with the past. But in the past 100 years it steadily shot upwards! My conclusion is that this is strong evidence that CO2 increases are due to the large scale burning of fossil fuels that began with the industrial revolution and kept going until today. my further conclusion is that if we reduce our CO2 emissions we can bring the CO2 concentrations back to historical levels.

      this is my conclusion; you may look at the same evidence and come to the same conclusion. But the important thing is to teach our children the critical thinking skills to evaluate this data. If you white wash science classes then you lose the chance to develop these skills.

    87. Re: Motivated rejection of science by whistlingtony · · Score: 1

      http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=global+climate+studies+1000-2014

      http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=global+climate+studies+1900-2014

      The warming from 1910-1940 looks about the same as the warming 1975-200? In that they both go up and never do go down? And from that you just magically assume that it's all natural warming? WHY? What reasoning do you have to support that? This is not cyclical. There's the data. It all goes UP. In YOUR example, it goes up, flat, up flat. That's not natural variation....

      And if we look at the long trend instead of a few decades, it really doesn't look like we're experience natural fluctuations at all...

    88. Re: Motivated rejection of science by whistlingtony · · Score: 1

      You know, the data is readily available on Wolfram Alpha....

      http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=global+climate+studies+500-2014

      Weird, almost looks like a... hockey stick.

    89. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Barsteward · · Score: 1, Troll

      Your name "sumdumass" certainly suites you....

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    90. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      you could try this web site as a start... http://nipccreport.org/

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    91. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 1

      Its too bad you learned from these new standards which pride itself on the band-wagon approach to science where the most popular theory is heralded as the correct theory and any other competing theories are dismissed out of hand.

      "It might be bad for the coal industry" is not a competing theory on the cause of the present climate change.

      But when you add in "and bad for our pocketbooks..." it does become a competing theory. More to the point, "theory" is used as a proxy whenever someone presents an argument they do not like and thus need to find a reason to discredit it. Sure, there are concerns and arguments over the prevailing theory but science advances through critical analysis and testing. Unfortunately, some people dislike the idea of critical analysis because it may prove their viewpoint wrong and thus want nothing to be taught that risks putting what they believe at risk. After all, climate theory is merely the gateway drug for evolutionary theory and we all know where that leads...

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    92. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Nimey · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Wyoming is an extremely conservative state. It comes from being mostly rural; the state has only about 582,000 people and its population density is the second-lowest of all US states. Per Wikipedia, it also receives more tax dollars per-capita than any state but Alaska, and its per-capita tax aid is more than double the US average, /and/ its taxes are among the lowest of all states because they can suck Uncle Sam's teat to make up the difference.

      From the above, it's pretty evident that like most conservatives they only give a shit about themselves.

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
    93. Re: Motivated rejection of science by stenvar · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Get ready to read a bunch of posts from people who pride themselves on being scientific, but reject a theory that enjoys more support in climatology than the Standard Model does in physics

      There is no "theory of climate change" to reject. There are dozens of different hypotheses, and people advancing political action switch what they call that theory according to what argument they want to make. To deconstruct this:

      (1) Human activity has raised the level of CO2 and methane in the atmosphere beyond what it would otherwise be. [Uncontroversial]

      (2) Mean global temperatures have increased over the 20th century. [mostly accepted]

      (3) Human activity has contributed to some degree to that increase. [mostly accepted]

      (4) Human activity is the primary cause of temperature increase over the 20th century. [unproven]

      (5) Human activity will result in temperature increases in the 21st century that are larger than those experienced in the 20th century. [unproven, speculative]

      (6) Temperature increase in the 21st century will have devastating consequences for humans. [highly speculative, controversial]

      (7) Government intervention now can reduce temperature increases in the 21st century significantly. [highly speculative, completely implausible]

      So, the only thing that scientists agree on are (1-3). The rest is unproven, speculative, and often implausible. But without (4-7), observations (1-3) simply aren't worth teaching in school. And activists and politicians promoting government action like to pretend that agreement on (1-3) implies agreement on (4-7).

      And in terms of politics, I used to be a solid Democrat. But digging into the science behind climate change (and then some other issues where Democrats like to talk about science) has made me an independent, because Democrats are abusing science for political purposes. They like to pick some half-ass scientific result that fits their agenda, try to use it to get people riled up to vote for them or transfer billions into the coffers of their corporate buddies, and accuse anybody who disagrees with their political agenda as "unscientific". Just like you did.

      Let's be clear: like most scientists, I agree with what is actually the agreed upon theory of climate change, namely points (1-3). But that's all science supports right now; the rest is speculation and politics.

    94. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Hognoxious · · Score: 2

      Come on, be fair. He can always serve as a bad example.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    95. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Hognoxious · · Score: 2

      The same mindset that made a fool of Malthus.

      He hasn't been proved wrong yet.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    96. Re: Motivated rejection of science by stenvar · · Score: 1

      Here's the thing, as you post on Slashdot, I'm going to assume you troubleshoot problems. If errors are getting thrown everywhere, do you apply band-aid fixes that "seem to work" but you don't know why?

      But errors aren't getting thrown everywhere when it comes to climate. There isn't even anything to apply band-aid fixes to. And even if we take IPCC predictions at face value, we have a century to adapt to warmer temperatures; futile attempts to stop carbon emissions are not the best engineering solution, adaptation is.

      it's just another attempt to sow doubt on a model that is just as predictive as Evolution.

      Good analogy. Although we know a great deal about evolution and the theory of evolution is universally accepted among biologists, we can't actually control the evolution of species at a global scale; there are too many variables, it's politically impossible, and trying to do so may do more harm than good. It's the same with climate change: having a good theory is not enough to engage in planet-wide projects.

    97. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are a ton of reasons to be extremely skeptical about global warming. For starters they don't even want to call it global warming anymore. "Climate Change" - this way when disaster doesn't strike we can all keep getting government funding? 14 years ago I was told in my university classroom that all kinds of horrible things were going to happen within 10 years. Cities underwater, once fertile areas becoming deserts, etc... none of it happened. Go back a few more years and we were all being warned about the coming ice age. Can you really blame me for being skeptical?

      I believe it's extremely important to protect our environment and reduce pollution in cities - but for entirely different reasons. Calling C02 a pollutant as well is a real stretch. There are far worse chemicals being spewed into the air that we should be worried about.

      One example article.... there are thousands out there:

      http://www.climatedepot.com/2014/03/04/updated-global-temperature-no-global-warming-for-17-years-6-months-no-warming-for-210-months/

    98. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A paper pulling a hypothesis out of its ass, with no experimental data, and no repeatability spits out a p value of 0.1%! Oh, well, that settles it!

      It doesn't settle the question of natural variation, but it does show beyond any doubt that you are scientifically illiterate.

    99. Re:Motivated rejection of science by u38cg · · Score: 1

      this peculiar strain of stupidity is generally right-wing in nature

      I take it you're not familiar with the people whothink GMO crops are the spawn of the devil and their typical voting instincts?

      --
      [FUCK BETA]
    100. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Ferretman · · Score: 0

      You don't really know your history very well, do you?

      The phrase "useful idiot" was coined by Stalin, in reference to people in the United States and Europe who were trying to help overthrow capitalism in favor of communism. They really didn't understand the issue very well either, just like AGW people don't.

      In this context, AC (and no I don't approve of him hiding in that fashion) was using it to describe the views of the blind AGW supporters who have only been exposed to one side of the science (much as communism supporters only ever saw what Stalin wanted them to see). Hence you scream and yell and holler in support of AGW propaganda without having a true picture of the actual scientific climatalogical findings.

      Ferret

      --
      Sic gorgiamus allos subjectatos nunc
    101. Re: Motivated rejection of science by stenvar · · Score: 1

      What you are calling "training" , in science is called "Hind-casting" and its a standard method of testing scientific theories where we can't feasibly do experiments

      And the conclusions are correspondingly weak. Each time you do "hind casting", there is at least a small probability that your data set accidentally supports the theory even though the theory is false (or you just select a data set that happens to support your theory, there are many to choose from). After you've run a few dozen analyses on a data set, you are almost certain to have found strong support for several false hypotheses. Combined with publication bias and confirmation bias, you can end up with a steady stream of publications repeatedly giving strong support for a false theory.

      Hindcasting is reasonable for speculative theories in the sciences. It is inadequate for scientific result strong enough to support major policy initiatives.

    102. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I don't understand. Should we just turn a blind eye to it all, killing ourselves in the process, just because nature does it once in a blue moon?

      I don't see how we'll have moved to renewable sources within a century when the AGW "controversy" barely got us moving in so many decades so far, and there's a fuckton of pressure to stop "wasting" money on renewables because it has this tendency to block the view of Trump's golf courses. But ignore the courses and blame it on birds that die when hit by the blades of windmills in a very specific location on Earth, a thing that's been fixed in current designs.

    103. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I love how a fact gets modded down like that. Look it up, lazy bastards :) FAR more CO2 is produced by natural causes (respiration, volcanic activity, etc.) than my human industry. That doesn't mean human emissions aren't having an effect, it just means the GP was flat out wrong in his assertion. Typical knee jerk slashdot though.

    104. Re: Motivated rejection of science by TomGreenhaw · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It's here in laymen's terms from the National Academy of Science: http://nas-sites.org/americasc...

      1) Who needs a computer model when you can see the polar ice melting. Yes, its really melting - go see it for yourself it you don't believe it. Strike up a friendship with somebody in Iceland if you disagree and ask them what they are seeing.
      2) Who cares, the house is on fire. Let's not waste time arguing about how it got started.
      3) We only have one earth so there will be no control group or second chance. You don't need to be a medical doctor to know that a self inflicted gunshot wound is a bad idea. You don't need to be a climate scientist to see that the global climate is changing and that the logical explanation is mankind's burning of fossil fuel. The time for skepticism has passed.
      4) The data has been readily available and its being ignored. Our innocent descendants need to be protected from the selfishness of our generation and the previous two or three. Even if global warming is a hoax, is it fair that our generation uses more than its fair share of the planet's resources so a few super rich multinational corporations can get super richer?
      5-9) See #2

      The vast majority of free thinkers who have reviewed the data agree that man is having an unprecedented impact on the atmosphere and the ocean. For better or worse we are reshaping the climate and there will winners and losers. The losers are innocent people and wildlife who cannot adapt to the changes and our descendants left with a planet stripped of its resources.

      If we want to be selfish and immoral - fine - let's just don't be a hypocrites about it. As we all pump gas into our cars and adjust our thermostats we should recognize there are consequences of our actions.

      --
      Greed is the root of all evil.
    105. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 0

      So, the only thing that scientists agree on are (1-3).

      Don't forget to point out THIS.

      Alarmists have made a very big habit out of taking anything that might correlate to increase in CO2 and call it "proof". That's just nonsense.

      A positive correlation does not imply cause. Period. It can only suggest, and often not even that.

      HERE is another example, and HERE is another.

      Look! Correlation of 0.99! Obviously, golf causes consumption of cheese, and pets cause football.

    106. Re: Motivated rejection of science by ClickOnThis · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Really? So, Anonymous Coward knows better than NASA and NOAA and the UN Panel on Cliamate Change?

      while I get your point, what you are missing is that we have a real distrust of the government in general. If you replace NASA NOAA and UN panel with NSA CIA and TSA, people would respond differently.

      I saw what you did there.

      You're comparing scientists and engineers who publish in the open literature with spooks and security guards who keep secrets.

      --
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    107. Re:Motivated rejection of science by symbolset · · Score: 2

      Congrats. Attributing a phrase commonly referenced to Stalin to a Faux News talking head does appear to be an effective means of derailing the discussion. Nicely done.

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
    108. Re: Motivated rejection of science by budgenator · · Score: 1, Troll

      There is little solid evidence that the past warming was either unusual or man-made and no evidence that the perceived trend will continue for centuries. There has been no warming for the past 17 years which was not predicted by the models which have been far better at hindcasting than forecasting. If we're going to teach kids science, lets teach them a science that isn't settled because the rent-seekers say it is, but is settled because the basic premises aren't argued on a daily basis.

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    109. Re: Motivated rejection of science by symbolset · · Score: 1

      NASA's primary climate apocalypse oracle has decided to leave his science post to spent more time at advocacy - at the agency's request. He was getting embarrassing.

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    110. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It isn't politics - it is economics.

      Private enterprise if fully capable of building new nuclear power units in the U.S. if they want, the licenses are available, and the U.S. government still underwrites the insurance for the industry (a significant subsidy since it is a favor that other industries do not get). This has been true continuously for all of the last 35 years.

      The reason none have been built is that the capital cost is very high, and the long pay-off time makes the investment unattractive compared to coal and natural gas. Also modern American business is allergic to investing to make profits in the distant future when profits can be made sooner in other ways.

      It is a straight-up business decision by (short term) profit maximizing capitalism not to build them.

      Or possibly, do you mean that politics should create mandates requiring they be built?

      Not only are the capital costs high, the NIMBY crowd will cause you hell no matter where you build it. For the common person, anything with the word "nuclear", "radiation", "fission", "fusion", "atomic" or any other scary word means insta-kill for anyone who is unlucky enough to be living by it. You can blame Greenpeace and a few other organisations for this...

    111. Re: Motivated rejection of science by ganjadude · · Score: 1, Insightful

      no what I am saying is that the government has lied to us over and over again. As such i am skeptical of them as a whole Just because someone is a scientist doesnt make them right. It doesnt make them wrong either, but there is an honest distrust of the government

      --
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    112. Re: Motivated rejection of science by symbolset · · Score: 2

      The 450ky record also includes several 100ky incidents where the global average temperature dropped by 8-10C below present, in a fairly short period. We would probably prefer that not happen again for a long time. During these periods humans are typically driven back to the tropical regions where long periods of regional isolation create racial differentiation.

      --
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    113. Re:Motivated rejection of science by symbolset · · Score: 2

      We are always in an extinction event. The climate is always changing, organisms are evolving to outcompete each other. Sometimes there are more extinctions, sometimes less. But there are never none.

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    114. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wikipedia: where anyone can post anything and then cite it as "proof" for their argument.

    115. Re: Motivated rejection of science by budgenator · · Score: 4, Informative

      Well current temperatures have fallen below the 95% confidence band of the climate models predictions, so most reasonable scientists would say the hypothesis has been falsified on that basis; now that doesn't prove that GW is or isn't happening, it just proves the climate models are full of shit. Now that is not a surprise to anyone who has any formal training in Fortran and has looked at the source code. Even the input data is a horrific mess, little of it meets it's own data and formatting definitions.

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    116. Re: Motivated rejection of science by stenvar · · Score: 1

      I suspect a lot of AGW denialists are also Evolution deniers, and it's worth noting that a lot of the testing process for Evolution involves 'hind-casting' rather than forecasting

      It is also worth noting that nobody is proposing a single gigantic change to the global economy and energy market based on the prediction that 100 years from now some species may evolve that may kill us.

      Believing that theory X is true doesn't require believing that theory X can be used to make reliable forecasts for the next century.

    117. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wish I could say this in a polite manner that would get across the same point, but I can't.

      Fuck you for thinking that teaching science is indoctrination, or that setting educational standards is "state evangelizing." You and your ilk are everything wrong with this world -- where facts are considered up for debate and scientists are "bullies" forcing people to accept facts as, you know, facts.

      Fuck you.

    118. Re: Motivated rejection of science by stenvar · · Score: 1, Insightful

      The odds of human induced climate change being wrong are so low that its simply not up for debate anymore in the sciences

      You're right, it isn't. But that's not all the IPCC or the national curriculum say. They also say that climate change will be huge and have devastating consequences, and that's unproven. It isn't even a question physics can answer.

    119. Re: Motivated rejection of science by NoOneInParticular · · Score: 2

      Not really, economic theory is, and has been, completely lacking any kind of consensus. About practically anything. What we've seen up to 2008 was the worship of one particular cult of economic theory because it was so damned convenient. There were plenty of economists crying murder about it. And they still are. Contrast this with climate science. It must be very frustrating for the US population that there are not two schools of thought on the issues, allowing them to pick the one that's most convenient and stop thinking. No. There's an actual consensus in the field, and there's some pretty solid science being done in this very complex field. Not so much in economics: it's still fighting itself tooth and nail about all fundamental questions.

    120. Re: Motivated rejection of science by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Any natural balance seems to be four stable states, similar to a http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/F...">Bifurcation diagram when r is 3.5, the two ice-age phases seem more stable that the two warm phases.

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    121. Re: Motivated rejection of science by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Sorry should be Bifurcation diagram

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    122. Re:Motivated rejection of science by LordLimecat · · Score: 1

      Must be a conservative state, because this peculiar strain of stupidity is generally right-wing in nature.

      Well certainly THIS is a well reasoned argument.

      Careful, your bias is showing.

    123. Re: Motivated rejection of science by LordLimecat · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Dont forget scores of posts purporting to love reason and rational argument, but follow up with a hateful rant about how stupid and retarded conservatives are. Bonus points for broad generalizations and ad hominems!

    124. Re:Motivated rejection of science by NoOneInParticular · · Score: 1

      We typically shy away from a risk of death of less than a a percent. We get completely shocked when 250 people on a population of 5 billion die due to an airplane crash. We would not take a means of transportation if the risk of dying of it in your lifetime is as high as 1 percent. So, say that a global extinction event has a probability of 1%, or even of 0.1%. According to our normal risk patterns, that is considered highly probably, and all alarm bells should go off and we should start to act. Personally, I guess that the probability is indeed in the 1-5% range. What is your estimate?

    125. Re: Motivated rejection of science by LordLimecat · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I think hes making the basic point that the hivemind can be wrong, and "everyone thinks this" is not always the best argument for something. Heck, hundreds of millions also thought communism was the way forward, that doesnt make it right.

      Its not as simple as "theres data", either, because the data existing, being interpreted properly, and being known are entirely different things.

    126. Re: Motivated rejection of science by LordLimecat · · Score: 1

      How does it compare to volcanic events? I had understood single volcanic "burps" put out years worth of CO2 at once-- dont ask for a source, this is a dimly remembered fact.

    127. Re: Motivated rejection of science by LordLimecat · · Score: 2

      One of the big problems here is that everyone feels the need to have a strong opinion on this, and often use websites-- which are terribly poor sources. I could find as many sources that contridict that, that say that the solar system is geocentric, etc etc.

      Notably, a website with a non-neutral name like that is going to tend to be a particularly poor source; it very obviously has a bias and skin in the game, so regardless of whether it is posting true things or not it cant be considered credible.

    128. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The federal government does not exist at the pleasure of the states. The Articles of Confederation are no longer in effect, and any questions about whether or not the federal government has primacy over the state governments was settled during the Civil War.

      This is why I can never take "libertarians" seriously. Facts and reality just don't exist to them when it's not convenient.

    129. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Entropius · · Score: 1

      [citation needed], and all that.

    130. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But claiming it doesn't does require extraordinary evidence at this point, which always seems to never be provided the sort of denialist that attempts to pose as a reasonable skeptic.

    131. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The term "climatic change" was being used as far back as the late '50s. And it was the Dubya Bush administration who didn't like the term "global warming" so on the advice of rightwing spin doctor Frank Luntz, they began to refer to it as "climate change"

      http://www.theguardian.com/env...

      "The scientific debate is closing [against us] but not yet closed. There is still a window of opportunity to challenge the science," Mr Luntz writes in the memo, obtained by the Environmental Working Group, a Washington-based campaigning organisation.

      "Voters believe that there is no consensus about global warming within the scientific community. Should the public come to believe that the scientific issues are settled, their views about global warming will change accordingly.

      "Therefore, you need to continue to make the lack of scientific certainty a primary issue in the debate."

    132. Re: Motivated rejection of science by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      Funny, Cool, and Educational. How can you do better than that? Correlation does not equal causation: http://tylervigen.com [Lonny Eachus]

      Important note, folks: the preceding tweet shows exactly what Climate Alarmists do to scare you. Yes, really. http://tylervigen.com [Lonny Eachus]

      Don't forget to point out THIS. Alarmists have made a very big habit out of taking anything that might correlate to increase in CO2 and call it "proof". That's just nonsense. A positive correlation does not imply cause. Period. It can only suggest, and often not even that. [Jane Q. Public]

      @JunkScience @SteveSGoddard Like this. It’s almost too good. http://tylervigen.com/view_correlation?id=2719 [Lonny Eachus]

      HERE is another example, and HERE is another. Look! Correlation of 0.99! Obviously, golf causes consumption of cheese, and pets cause football. [Jane Q. Public]

      $$ spent, spectator sports (US) vs $$ spent, pets (US) Correlation: 0.997203 Obviously, pets cause football. http://tylervigen.com/view_correlation?id=8 [Lonny Eachus]

      Jane Q. Public and Lonny Eachus wrongly imply that NASA and dozens of scientific organizations display total ignorance of science.

    133. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Politcians from Wyoming and other mostly-Red States were only too happy to deny catastrophic aid to others unless their demands for budget cuts were met.

      http://thinkprogress.org/econo...

    134. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Jane Q. Public and Lonny Eachus wrongly imply that NASA and dozens of scientific organizations display total ignorance of science.

      So, you try to prove your point that suggesting correlation = causation after all, eh?

      Great example of what I was talking about.

      Frankly, I didn't think you had the cojones to speak up again under your own name. We aren't done, yet.

    135. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Man+On+Pink+Corner · · Score: 1

      Physicists spend their time actively trying to poke holes in the Standard Model. Climate scientists seem to start from a conclusion and then look for evidence supporting it.

    136. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      s/that suggesting/BY suggesting

      Two more points:

      First, by my comment above, I suggested no such thing. You are taking the context of my comment, tacking on some other context, and trying to suggest that coincidence is proof of something. I saw that site in somebody's Twitter post yesterday. Big deal.

      Second, you also demonstrate pretty clearly that you are still doing something that many people would say strongly resembles online "stalking".

      That isn't friendly behavior, and many people would consider that more than just a bit weird. When are you going to get off my ass and leave me alone? I don't stalk or harass YOU.

    137. Re: Motivated rejection of science by NapalmV · · Score: 4, Insightful

      If the climate scientists' models are not validated (i.e. they fail to predict real world evolution) then you have a good case for not teaching them in school at all or just mentioning them as (invalidated) hypotheses. Also, for consistency, thou shalt also remove the dismal science (economics) from academic curricula, as it never came up with any working model, not even remotely close to a coarse "engineering" 10% accuracy.

    138. Re: Motivated rejection of science by khayman80 · · Score: 2

      No, my links show that scientists understand the difference between correlation and causation. Here's another document by the National Academy of Sciences which may interest anyone who actually wants to understand the science. See page 5.

    139. Re: Motivated rejection of science by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Wrong. These aren't Neural networks , and they aren't "trained". They are a simulation of understood physics ....

      While they aren't Neural Networks, they do simulations in hindcasting mode, using historical data and tweeking program parameters until the resulting output resembles historic results. This is necessary because while they are very good at simulating the understood physics, the amount of physics they understand is embarrassingly small compared to the total system.
      Additionally when you reference link that uses a Freeman Dyson quote and labels it a myth, you have assume a significant burden of proof, especially when the reference also links to

      I have studied their climate models and know what they can do. The models solve the equations of fluid dynamics and do a very good job of describing the fluid motions of the atmosphere and the oceans. They do a very poor job of describing the clouds, the dust, the chemistry and the biology of fields, farms and forests. They do not begin to describe the real world that we live in.
      They are full of fudge factors that are fitted to the existing climate, so the models more or less agree with the observed data. But there is no reason to believe that the same fudge factors would give the right behaviour in a world with different chemistry, for example in a world with increased CO2 in the atmosphere.
      Fighting climate 'fluff'

      You'll really have to do better if you expect to be convincing.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    140. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1
      And here's a third point:

      Where is the refutation of what I actually wrote? You make a straw-man argument that says, in effect, that I'm trying to call scientists wrong. But in fact (it's right there above in black and white), all I said was that

      Alarmists

      try to call coincidences (or correllations) "proof".

      Are you, or those other scientists, "alarmists"?

      Methinks thou dost protest too much.

    141. Re: Motivated rejection of science by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      .@JunkScience Timothy Egan of NYT displays total ignorance of science; calls alarmist "science" "indisputable". [Lonny Eachus]

      I'd already told Lonny Eachus that the National Academy of Sciences said "the need for urgent action to address climate change is now indisputable." So Lonny Eachus does seem to imply that the NAS displays total ignorance of science.

    142. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Stripe7 · · Score: 1

      What happens to the kids embroiled in this mess? What happens when Universities refuse to accept students who do not meet scientific standards?

    143. Re: Motivated rejection of science by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Exactly. This is why I don't believe in quantum mechanics, it doesn't sound right to me.

      Don't worry, Einstein didn't believe in it either; although he did get a Nobel prize in Physics for his work in it.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    144. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Frosty+Piss · · Score: 1

      This is how we are headed to an extinction event.

      Not everyone thinks this is bad.

      --
      If you want news from today, you have to come back tomorrow.
    145. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      No, what you did just now was tell ME that the National Academy of Sciences are "alarmists".

      I didn't call them that; you just did. I was writing about "alarmists". You seem doggedly determined to characterize yourself and climate scientists as alarmists. I did not do that, you did.

      From where I sit, all you have done here is open your mouth and stick your foot in it. Again.

    146. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To be more exact: the planet has not experienced changes this rapid in 65 million years.

      http://www.weather.com/news/science/environment/climate-changing-faster-any-time-dinosaurs-20130805

    147. Re: Motivated rejection of science by budgenator · · Score: 0

      Climatology would be much further along if the data and models were vetted through real Econometricians and Statisticians first, at least they will consider if the Drunk and the Puppy are Cointegrated.

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    148. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That could be Interesting if you provided more info. After noting that for 1 atm pressure Tv= sqrt(Re/Rv)* Te, where R is venus/earth distance from the sun, and T is temperature, I have been thinking that there must be some kind of attractor state that both planets have achieved.

    149. Re: Motivated rejection of science by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      My links show that this isn't just about the NAS, it's also NASA and dozens of other scientific organizations who agree that most of the warming since 1950 is anthropogenic. Since you aren't calling NAS "alarmist", it's great that we can all agree with the National Academy of Sciences when they said that "the need for urgent action to address climate change is now indisputable."

    150. Re: Motivated rejection of science by russotto · · Score: 1

      Physicists hate the fucking Standard Model, they try to break it all the time. But so far reality has refused to behave otherwise. Climatologists love AGW, and constantly try to shore it up in the face of apparently-contrary reality. That's why the Standard Model is a better theory; not in spite of its relative lack of support among scientists, but because of oit.

    151. Re: Motivated rejection of science by ArmoredDragon · · Score: 1

      You're making a huge mistake by trying to pin an accuracy figure on economics, because it doesn't deal in accuracy, rather it deals in precision. Honestly calling economics dismal science is every bit as boneheaded as calling psychology the same thing, namely because economics deals with psychology. Even psychology is inaccurate to quite a large degree. (Guess what method psychologists use to determine the exact nature of each patient's chemical imbalance? I'll tell you: it's trial and error based. They try giving you different drugs until they get one that has marked results, and even then, no drug works perfectly.)

      Economics allows you to make reasonable predictions about supply, demand, and value, and it is applicable to almost everything, even things not necessarily related to money. Let's take for example net neutrality. Without the concept of economics, you have no basis towards making any argument in any given direction about bandwidth consumption or pricing. Why? Because you have no models with which to predict how the demand for bandwidth will be affected. We don't know exactly where broadband would go either with or without net neutrality; nobody does. But we can model it, and that's where economics comes in.

    152. Re: Motivated rejection of science by DarwinSurvivor · · Score: 3, Informative

      North polar ice is indeed diminishing. South polar ice is increasing. You phrase this as if to suggest both are melting. It is a lie. Start with an obvious lie and nothing else in your post can be taken seriously.

      "Increasing" or "decreasing" mean nothing without some kind of quantity. For instance, the greenland ice sheet (arctic) is melting at a rate of 367 Gt/year between 2008 and 2012 which dwarfs antarctica's meager increase of 33Gt/year.

    153. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      Oh come on now. People like that already know that they're superior to everyone else, that's why they can immediately break down into ad-homs, insults, and all the rest instead of going with rational arguments. Even your low-information voter has finally caught that one, and people wonder why belief in "global warming" is dropping like a rock in terms of support to do anything? No one likes chicken little, and people dislike bullies even more.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    154. Re: Motivated rejection of science by xtal · · Score: 1

      The standard model has been verified in countless experiments, and made predictions that have been subsequently verified.

      Opinion is not the same as experimental validation, and I am unaware of such experimental rigor as applied to climate modelling.

      You don't get it both ways. Unfortunately, we've gone down the road where you can't question climate science anymore, and that's where it stops being science and starts being something else.

      Are we changing the planet? Almost certainly. How much? Unknown. What is the impact? Also unknown. We do know that the climate has changed large amounts in a short period in the past, and will do so again. That's about it.

      It doesn't matter anyway - nobody is going to stop driving, nobody is going to accept the sacrifice. Our best bet is to accept the change headlong, and pour our intellectual capital - all those people - into figuring out ways to engineer the planet's climate, and develop clean, high density power that can drive those technologies (that is code for nuclear power).

      C'est la vie. But don't compare climate science with the standard model or general relativity. You are wrong.

      --
      ..don't panic
    155. Re: Motivated rejection of science by St.Creed · · Score: 1

      Wow. They're really putting the "overlord" in the phrase "Corporate overlords", aren't they?

      America, land of the free! (*)

      (*) Except where disallowed by your local corporate overlord.

      --
      Therefore, by the (faulty) logic you're using, you're just a cow with a keyboard - osu-neko (2604)
    156. Re: Motivated rejection of science by NapalmV · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Economics allows you to make reasonable predictions about supply, demand, and value, and it is applicable to almost everything, even things not necessarily related to money

      You mean like those predictions made by the top economists at Lehman Brothers etc? La creme de la creme?

      Now seriously. Value is dealt with by some individuals called actuaries not economists. Supply & demand is bogus as is most of any Econ101 based on "free market" theories. There's a nice, well documented book "Debunking Economics" by Steve Keen that makes this point more eloquently that I could ever try.

      As for psychology, I would rather compare economics as a science with psychiatry, especially at the level where it was some 50 years ago. They didn't have any understanding of how the human brain works, but they kept prescribing electric shocks, cold showers and lobotomies. Is the patient apathetic? Let's apply some "stimulus" (high voltage preferred). Is he too agitated now? Let's "tapper off" (cold shower) and give him some "austerity" (lobotomy). Wow, see, now he's not banging his head into the walls anymore, we CURED him! Rinse and repeat! What a great science we have here!

    157. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Always talking points, no references...

    158. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You missed the point of course understanding what caused it is important as it may change the nature of the required 'fix'
      but EITHER WAY we have fix\mitigate\compensate for it.

      The earth may not care if CO2 goes to levels that kills most life every few million years or so. I suspect you might.

    159. Re: Motivated rejection of science by khallow · · Score: 1

      it's just another attempt to sow doubt on a model that is just as predictive as Evolution.

      In what way? First, when actual predictions are made for AGW or other "climate change", they end up substantially off in an economically significant way. The models need to be better than they are for the decisions that being made.

      Second, evolution is not all that predictive either. It says certain things will happen, such as adaption, but it doesn't tell us how evolution will manifest, given a known selection pressure, or over what time frame.

      and realize that man-made climate change is radically different than natural variation

      My problem here is that you give a false veneer of certainty to whatever the theory you're speaking of is. I haven't seen any indication that climate researchers can distinguish between natural variation and man-made change from greenhouse gases emissions especially when they routinely downplay other human causes of climate change (habitat destruction, mismanagement of natural resources, etc).

      I think the original poster was just trolling. I agree that it is foolish to just pretend that cause of climate change doesn't matter. But if we really are going to care about the causes and effects of AGW and other forms of climate change, we need to understand what we know and don't know.

      It matters what caused it, because that influences how you fix it - for instance, if it's man-made, moving off coal power plants to solar, nuclear, wind, etc, is a huge help.

      Unless that makes the problem worse. A massive energy move which plunges most of the world into greater poverty is going to be more counterproductive in the long run because it makes most of the world poorer and far less inclined to participate in greenhouse gas reduction. Note that China is currently responsible for about half the new growth in CO2 emissions. They aren't going to change that activity till they're wealthy and powerful enough to care about global warming.

    160. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      for me the greatest clincher for man-made global warming are these two graphs:
        atmospheric CO2 450,000BC to present
        atmospheric CO2 1000AD to present

      the first graph shows that the CO2 level has hovered between 200 and 300ppm for 500k years. so our current co2 concentration ~400ppm is unprecedented in the history of mankind! The graph also shows that global temperature is highly correlated with CO2 concentration.

      the second graph shows that for most of the past millennium the CO2 level has been hovering at 290 ppm, which is consistent with the past. But in the past 100 years it steadily shot upwards! My conclusion is that this is strong evidence that CO2 increases are due to the large scale burning of fossil fuels that began with the industrial revolution and kept going until today. my further conclusion is that if we reduce our CO2 emissions we can bring the CO2 concentrations back to historical levels.

      Here's another interesting graph:
      atmospheric carbon dioxide, 500 million years ago to present

      That graph shows that carbon dioxide levels were up to about 7000 ppm about 500 million years ago. Then carbon dioxide levels dropped dramatically to reach a low 300 million years ago. Wonder if there is a scientific explanation for why it went so low 300 million years ago? Then it went back up, and dropped down again to the present day.

      Here's the thing: if carbon dioxide levels were over 2000 ppm 175 million years ago, there should be some traces of global warming dooom from back then. Climate Change Doom Warning Experts don't have to make speculative predictions of doom. They can look at what happened the previous times carbon dioxide levels got high, and use that as the base for their doom predictions.

      Having lots of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere isn't unprecedented. Probably the same thing will happen again as happened the last times there were high carbon dioxide levels. But what happened last time? That's what some Climate Change Experts should find out, as quickly as they can!

    161. Re: Motivated rejection of science by mpe · · Score: 1

      A positive correlation does not imply cause. Period. It can only suggest, and often not even that.

      Even where there is a causal relationship involved it can be difficult to work out if A causes B; B causes A or C causes both A and B.

    162. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Glen Beck didn't invent the term 'useful idiot', it dates back to the Soviet era and was used to describe communist sympathisers who did the work of the KGB without directly interacting with them.

      We know that. Two other people posted that before you decided to be an ass and post it again. Of course because the moderators don't pay attention, so they gave you a +5 for simply reposting. This type of crap is why /. is dying.

    163. Re:Motivated rejection of science by nbauman · · Score: 4, Informative

      You fucking idiot. You 'useful idiot', more like.

      This particular troll listens to Glenn Beck, who invented the meaningless phrase "useful idiot". This is a particularly vile kind of troll.

      As much as I hate Glenn Beck (and Fox News in general), this is not true. The phrase is a reference to Stalin, who referred to communist sympathizers in the USA as "useful idiots," recognizing both that they served a purpose for him and that they were morons for wanting wealth redistribution while members of the wealthiest nation in the world. So essentially, every time Beck used that phrase, he was associating the people he was insulting with communism, but in a way that wasn't easily called out and discredited based on, well...facts.

      You're getting your misattributions wrong. The phrase "useful idiots" wasn't misattributed to Stalin, it was misattributed to Lenin. That is easily verified now that the reference book, They Never Said It, is on Google books. http://books.google.com/books?... Of course there's always Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    164. Re: Motivated rejection of science by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure what your point is? Those conservative politicians have from the start supported aid for sandy victims- they just wanted it paid for instead of blindly charging it yet again. If you remember- at the time this was being debated, the deficit of the US grew from around 500 billion in 2008 to over 1 trillion dollars in the 4 years previous to the aid package while at one point reaching 1.4 trillion.

      http://www.davemanuel.com/hist...

    165. Re: Motivated rejection of science by mpe · · Score: 1

      Physicists hate the fucking Standard Model, they try to break it all the time. But so far reality has refused to behave otherwise.

      In other words they try hard to "falsify" it and fail. This is how the process of "science" is intened to work.

      Climatologists love AGW, and constantly try to shore it up in the face of apparently-contrary reality.

      Whatever this is it's something other than "science".

      That's why the Standard Model is a better theory; not in spite of its relative lack of support among scientists, but because of oit.

      At best "consensus" means nothing in "science" at worst it's an excuse to avoid doing any :)
      Also I suspect that if anyone claimed to have found a problem with the Standard Model physicists would examine the claims rationally, rather than simply stating "not from a physicist". (Effectivly an "ad hominum dismissal".) Which tends to be the kind of respose from climatologists (and their supporters).

    166. Re:Motivated rejection of science by nbauman · · Score: 1

      Glen Beck didn't invent the term 'useful idiot', it dates back to the Soviet era and was used to describe communist sympathisers who did the work of the KGB without directly interacting with them.

      It's a term used by American anti-Communists to describe everyone they disagreed with including Ronald Reagan. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... as you can see from the standard reference They Never Said It http://books.google.com/books?... or from a Google search.

    167. Re:Motivated rejection of science by DogDude · · Score: 1

      In 2014, it's from Glenn Beck, most likely, because he uses that phase daily. I can't imagine I'm hearing this phrase so frequently from actual idiots who happen to have studied Soviet history.

      --
      I don't respond to AC's.
    168. Re: Motivated rejection of science by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      http://dailycaller.com/2013/03...

      Skepticism is discouraged. When little Johny asks how something is possible because it doesn't make sense, and is told to sit down and shut up, that isn't proper science. You cannot claim something is falsifiable therefor scientific and squash all attempts to falsify it due to the fact they are attempting to be skeptical and remain scientific. It is not falsifiable if no one is allowed to question it just the same as there is no way to falsify any supernatural being with it's own free will. God will never be scientific even though one could argue that a God created science and the patterns we observe. Neither will anything claiming to be science when you are unable to falsify it.

    169. Re: Motivated rejection of science by nbauman · · Score: 1

      And they reject the peer-reviewed journals that publish articles on climate change, every one of which has published editorials that warn us that human-caused global warming is real and dangerous.

    170. Re: Motivated rejection of science by KeensMustard · · Score: 3, Interesting
      What connection is there between the US government and Svante Arrhenius, or Joseph Fourier, or John Tyndall?

      What connection is there between the US government and the IPCC?

    171. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Patent+Lover · · Score: 1

      Which competing theories are these? Please enlighten us.

    172. Re: Motivated rejection of science by poppis.poikela · · Score: 1

      Arctic and Antarctic, one is melting, one getting thicker in areas where warming sea is not melting it. Isn't it amazing that things that are seemingly opposite can both follow from same thing? Is this a hoax? Well, it is not too complicated and definitely not a hoax. Arctic and Antarctic are different cases, one an ice blanket floating in a warming sea, another mainly a continent. If you know physics, you may remember that warmer air is able to carry more water than colder air. That increases average snowfall in some polar areas. So more ice than 150 years ago could be produced in both Arctic and Antarctic. But the warmer seawater is eating Arctic faster ice because sea currents reach Arctic ice more easily due to continents near the Arctic direct sea currents north and melt it from below. Antarctic is protected by the continent below and free waters around it where sea currents naturally circle it and lose heat before hitting the coast. Thinking that Antarctic ice that is not melting (yet) will save the earth from warming is a very typical case of rejection of facts.

    173. Re: Motivated rejection of science by mpe · · Score: 1

      But errors aren't getting thrown everywhere when it comes to climate. There isn't even anything to apply band-aid fixes to. And even if we take IPCC predictions at face value, we have a century to adapt to warmer temperatures; futile attempts to stop carbon emissions are not the best engineering solution, adaptation is.

      Where it gets even dafter is that generating electricity using wind or solar can actually end up with a higher "carbon footprint" than burning fossil fuels to boil water. This can also be the case with so called "biofuels", especially once politicians get involved...
      The real irony being that we have been able to generate "low carbon" electricity for more than 50 years. But it's often the same people saying "something must be done" who are opposed to using the best method, we have available, to do what they claim needs to happen...

    174. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Patent+Lover · · Score: 1

      Just fyi, humans did not exist in said evironment.

    175. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Tom · · Score: 1

      This is how we are headed to an extinction event.

      Many scientists believe that we already are in the middle of a mass extinction event. For the past 50 or so years, the rate at which species go extinct has been 100-1000 times the natural rate.

      When we think of "extinction events", we picture a meteor hitting earth and everything dying. But that's not how these things work. They are "events" only on a geological time-scale. All of the mass-extinction events actually took thousands upon thousands of years, and sometimes millions.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    176. Re: Motivated rejection of science by blindseer · · Score: 1

      Even if global warming is a hoax, is it fair that our generation uses more than its fair share of the planet's resources so a few super rich multinational corporations can get super richer?

      Do we not owe it to our children to give them a better life than we had? Claiming that there is some sort of "fair share" of Earth's resources implies some sort of scarcity. There is enough of everything to go around and more. We have enough energy and raw materials for everyone to live a first world lifestyle if we only develop nuclear energy. Any claim against nuclear energy is based on 1950s technology. We have designs of nuclear reactors that will eat waste from the old reactors and give us vital materials for industry, medicine, and research.

      Also, what is so bad about corporations getting "super richer"? I assume you work for one of those "super richer" corporations. Claiming that they are evil means that you are evil for working for them. I've never worked for a poor man. Rich people pay other people to work, and those people get richer for it. Profit is not evil, it is necessary.

      If the corporations did not make a profit from hiring people then they would not hire people. If the people did not make a profit from working for the corporations then they would not take the job. I bought a gallon of milk today, I made a profit from that transaction because I wanted that milk more than I wanted that money. The grocery made a profit. The truckers made a profit bringing it to the store. The dairy farm made a profit by producing the milk. Everyone wins and no one lost.

      I like it when super rich corporations get "super richer" because that means jobs. Jobs mean people got paid. People getting paid means that they got food, shelter, and clothing. That means demand for more food, shelter, and clothing. That means more jobs.

      All those materials consumed in creating the food, shelter, and clothing comes from the Earth in some manner and the Earth is huge. There is enough energy in the sun, wind, and especially radioactive material to last well beyond when the sun consumes the earth. We can mine the earth, water, and air for everything we need if only given enough energy to do so.

      I'm not a big believer in man made global warming but I'll go along with it so long as it means developing nuclear energy. If we could only get past this irrational fear of all things nuclear then we'd not only not have to worry about our "carbon footprint" but also create a better life for ourselves and every generation to follow.

      Without fossil fuels or nuclear energy we'd be living a life of scarcity, a life not much better than cavemen. Wind and sun alone will not drive a modern economy. Refining aluminum and iron for modern vehicles and buildings needs a lot of energy. Transportation and communications takes energy. We can have it all and still have plenty for our children so long as we develop nuclear power. It would also mean a lot of people will get "super richer", and that's a good thing.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    177. Re:Motivated rejection of science by blindseer · · Score: 1

      That only works so long as the wind blows. I had a windmill outside my window at work, it didn't always spin. But the wind always blows somewhere you say? Are you willing to bet your life on it? If the wind stops then the lights go out, refrigeration stops, no more food gets cooked, and we starve.

      I like wind. I think it can make a lot of people a lot of money. I think it can add value to a power grid but it cannot do it alone. We'll still need natural gas, nuclear, hydro, something else to make up for when the wind does not blow.

      Store the wind power? Not likely. I've seen the math on storing electricity from wind power and the batteries or whatever to make it work would take so many resources that we'd have nothing left to build houses from. We just can't store enough wind power.

      You are correct, no one cares much where the electricity comes from so long as the lights go on when the switch is thrown. Wind is good, nuclear is better. There's a technology called "waste annihilating molten salt reactor" that eats the so called "spent" fuel from the reactors we have now. Once we eat up that waste then we can just give it thorium or natural uranium, and we have enough of that on Earth to last millions of years.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    178. Re: Motivated rejection of science by kesuki · · Score: 2

      http://www.globalchange.umich.edu/globalchange2/current/lectures/deforest/deforest.html
      along with seasonal co2 levels
      http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/
      the first url shows where active forests are mostly the northern hemisphere. the second shows how winter co2 spikes globally as measured as far away from humanity as you can get. deforestation without replanting is unsustainable since the industrial revolution global forest have been 50% cleared. this is in 200 years of deforestation, another 200 and even the best efforts to replant forests will be irreversible, as charts show this will cause temperature rising and water resources dwindling as freshwater is pumped out of aquifers for human and crop consumption. animals don't use nearly as much water as humans do. so if more and more people are born more and more drought will hit especially as heat rises. which will lead to humans airconditioning more and more, which will raise the temperature.

      no the 'system' is not perfect and capitalism doesn't 'solve' global warming at best it makes companies greenwash the public and it is clear that unrestricted growth will lead to the extinction of humans, unless something is done, and i don't trust humans to do this on their own. computers need to do it and have the respect for creating a better world through more efficient recognition of real problems and real solutions.

    179. Re:Motivated rejection of science by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

      Without government incentives Solar PV is cost competitive at the utility scale with Nuclear (solar is slightly cheaper). With government incentives it's cost competitive with coal (coal is a few cents per megawatt cheaper).

      Costs are continuing to fall, in 2010 solar PV breached $1 a watt for the panels which took it within range of nuclear at utility scale. Currently the price is running in the $0.50 range (that's a 50percent drop in cost in 2 years). With the massive supply chain investment China has made it's very possible that panel prices will continue falling at the same rate for years to come. It's completely feasible that within 5 years solar PV will be cost competitive with coal power without subsidy (that is without solar receiving subsidies but coal continuing to receive it's billions in subsidies).

      Utilities are running away from coal faster than an Olympic sprinter. Most of the major utilities are divesting coal assets as fast as they can. They see the writing on the wall, why don't you?

    180. Re:Motivated rejection of science by thunderclap · · Score: 1

      Stupidity has no political party. It is deeply entrenched in both parties. Finally there is as many scientists for one side as the other on climate change. I am sorry but the people of Now have a right to control the resources they have access too. Anything else is foolish. If you want to defer your stuff for a nebulous future, you are welcome too. However, there are a lot more people who will live for now, that that isn't changing. Only a fool would think that a state thats livelihood is based on a fossil fuel would abandon that because a band of scientists who don't give a care about people's lives or comfort decree the world's climate is changing. So let me establish some things because I am tired of people's selfishness wrapped in piety. A: The climate of this planet is dynamic. B: the people of today have a right to live in comfort. All 7 billion of them. However, this won't happen for various reasons for 4.5 billion of them. Another 1.5 billion have access to it but are restricted by monetary reasons. C. People built cities next to rivers and oceans because of access to resources without thinking that the city might flood. Indeed several old cities in Europe have experienced this. Rather that trying to change the weather, they are trying to pervent the ocean from permanently sinking the city. D: People who are constantly and ignorantly told that they can change the world actually try. Over the course of the last 2000 yrs only 15 people out of the 2 billion that have lived or died have succeed. We all know their names. 10 of them have lived and died in the last 400 yrs. E.Those who actually try and failed until this delusion usually are forgotten. Unfortunately, today we have the same thing happening again. People who don't care about consequences, peoples lives, whether they are in poverty decide that others are evil even when they can't prove it 100%. we all agree that serial killers can't live in civilized society now? Why? because they don't care about consquences, peoples lives, whether they are in poverty. They want to kill for various reasons. Others kill other things; intangibles specifically. F. Ideology exists because people have self will and the truth is what is convenient for you isn't always for someone else. What used to happen is people compromised. G. The Standard Model of Physics falls short of being a complete theory of fundamental interactions because it makes certain simplifying assumptions. It does not incorporate the full theory of gravitation as described by general relativity, or predict the accelerating expansion of the universe (as possibly described by dark energy). The theory does not contain any viable dark matter particle that possesses all of the required properties deduced from observational cosmology. It also does not correctly account for neutrino oscillations (and their non-zero masses). Although the Standard Model is believed to be theoretically self-consistent and has demonstrated huge and continued successes in providing experimental predictions, it does leave some phenomena unexplained. Nevertheless, it can be proved and is backed by centuries of experiment after experiment that agree with the complete parts of it. We know electromagnetism exists because we are reading this right now. H. Climatology unfortunately is a new science that once you leave this century completely falls apart. In fact beyond 50 yrs the facts are so wildly divergent of each other that the only way you can see any big picture is thru observations and theoretical models. These models are built via core samples, borehole temperature profiles, floral and faunal records, glacial and periglacial processes, stable-isotope and other analyses of sediment layers, and records of past sea levels which loop back to the issues of records being inconsistent pre 1900. I. Unlike the standard model, these observations are open to various interpretations. An example of this is the National Geographic special Evacuate earth: Flooded earth. The show has several fatal flaws. The chief being that is never rains in Antarcti

    181. Re: Motivated rejection of science by thunderclap · · Score: 1

      Don't forget ideology. Get ready to read a bunch of posts from people who pride themselves on being scientific, but reject a theory that enjoys more support in climatology than the Standard Model does in physics. Just because they're conservative and it would be inconvenient for their politics.

      So you would rather have people starve? and you are seriously comparing something that has been proven for centuries with something that has less that 50 yrs of statistical models? Wyoming didnt reject science. They rejected an attempt to destroy their economy. Oh and the italics are is just rich. Care to back that up with an actual scientific journal? You are making a strawman comparsion. I could say thats its more likely that Islam's almadhi will arrive on Earth sooner that Christianity's Jesus. That how odd your statement is.

    182. Re:Motivated rejection of science by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      That's like what, 1,000 wind turbines? Good luck getting people to let you put them up.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    183. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you remember how much support the standard model of macroeconomics enjoyed in 2006? The great moderation was proof that we finally understood how the economy works, a global recession was perfectly impossible because you could always just lower interest rates and be fine. If you had sampled 12000 articles in economic journals, you would have found very little dissent indeed.

      That is not true, plenty of mainstream economists warned us that the system was unsustainable. They were branded "alarmists" by those who were benefititng from the staus quo... sound familiar?

    184. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is a great book, "on the importance of morons in modern society". Don't let the title fool you, it is a very serious book. However, it is written in greek.

    185. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Khashishi · · Score: 1

      We should be risk averse when it comes to global, irreparable changes. Maybe global warming will end up helping humans through increases in agricultural yield. Maybe not. At least some of the changes will be bad: flooding of coastal cities, ocean acidification, need to change traditional growing patterns. We don't know what will happen exactly. Isn't it safer to try to limit the change?

    186. Re: Motivated rejection of science by inode_buddha · · Score: 1

      And at that point you cross the line from science into ideology.

      --
      C|N>K
    187. Re:Motivated rejection of science by dryeo · · Score: 1

      You think it's bad that liberals think that heritability is one influence of intelligence and that light rail when done in some ways is economical? I guess being of the conservative bend of mind you think people should stick with whatever they were taught before puberty, change is bad, progress is bad, we need to regress back to the old days when everything was better

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
    188. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      No, you've crossed the line from reality to fuckassery.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    189. Re: Motivated rejection of science by BrianPRabbit · · Score: 2

      (4) Human activity is the primary cause of temperature increase over the 20th century. [unproven]

      (5) Human activity will result in temperature increases in the 21st century that are larger than those experienced in the 20th century. [unproven, speculative]

      (6) Temperature increase in the 21st century will have devastating consequences for humans. [highly speculative, controversial]

      (7) Government intervention now can reduce temperature increases in the 21st century significantly. [highly speculative, completely implausible]

      On point #4, I would agree except for this little ditty. Additionally, science never "proves" anything; it only gathers a body of evidence to show a model is accurate to varying degrees. Not even gravity is "proven" because One might wake up the next morning and find some evidence which says, "Whoops, Newton's wrong here"; such a scenario seems unlikely but is not impossible. On points #5-7, the same statement about science "proving" anything applies. In addition, any scientific prediction about the future in a case where testable environments, like planetary climates, are few and far between is, almost by definition, "speculative" to the point such a word is of no use regardless of whether the speculation is "high" or not. What Scientists do have is a collection of models in which One inputs various data, determines what predictions those models make and then compare those predictions with observed results. Such predictions have, to a noticeable extent been quite accurate so far, given the time scales on which Scientists have been able to conduct observations either directly or indirectly. To match Your political testimonial, so to speak, I use to be a climate disruption Denier but digging into the science, the predictions, the observations, etc., has convinced Me all of points 1-7 are either completely accurate or, at the very least, a very good "first order approximation" of reality.

    190. Re: Motivated rejection of science by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Your distrust might make some sense if it was only US scientists who were pushing AGW but it's not. It's scientists from around the world that are largely in agreement about this.

    191. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Noah+Haders · · Score: 1

      true I guess. My only concern is that an event like this would destroy our cities, kill billions of people, and end civilizations. call my selfish but I'd rather keep things as they are, including maintaining a tight CO2/temperature band. I guess I'm a conservative in that way.

    192. Re: Motivated rejection of science by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Good post but CO2 concentrations won't return to historical levels for thousands of years unless we do something to actively remove it from the carbon cycle.

    193. Re: Motivated rejection of science by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      175 million years ago and before the Sun was a bit cooler, the configuration of the continents and therefore the ocean currents were quite different than they are today. Those have major effects on the climate that you can't ignore.

    194. Re: Motivated rejection of science by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      First of all, it's not ice core data that shows CO2 levels were higher in the past. Ice cores only go back around 800,000 years and the highest level they have ever showed was around 300 ppm. There are other less precise proxies that inform us about CO2 levels further back in time.

      We know they balance out because for instance the last 8,000 years or so the CO2 level remained around 280 ppm varying seasonally by about 10 ppm. It wasn't until the industrial revolution when started burning a lot of fossil fuels that the levels rose about 280 ppm. We've released enough CO2 since the start of the industrial revolution to raise atmospheric concentrations to over 500 ppm if it had all remained in the atmosphere.

      Here's a primer on why we know humans are the cause of rising CO2.

    195. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Squirm, denier, squirm.

      Hide your lies behind clouds of semantic fluff and obfuscation.

    196. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's all you've got eh? Gloating over getting people to fall into silly semantic traps? I guess when there's no science to back you up you have to use whatever crap comes to hand.

    197. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      My links show that this isn't just about the NAS, it's also NASA and dozens of other scientific organizations who agree that most of the warming since 1950 is anthropogenic.

      What you state is not logical. I wrote a comment about ALARMISTS, and how they jump on anything they find correlated with CO2, and say the correlation is "proof" of CO2-based warming. That's all I wrote. It's up above where others can see it.

      YOU then came in, and tried to argue that NAS and others say that AGW is real.

      Therefore, logically, you can only be doing 1 of 2 things:

      (A) You are claiming that NAS and others are "alarmists" (which is most definitely NOT something I wrote above), or

      (B) you are making a straw-man argument, because I was referring to alarmists, while you were referring to NAS and others.

      And frankly, I don't give the slightest damn which one you meant, because either way you meant it, you STILL planted your foot firmly in your mouth.

      Go away with your innuendo and/or straw-man arguments. You are making a huge to-do over something I DID NOT say.

    198. Re: Motivated rejection of science by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      Since you aren’t calling NAS “alarmist”, it’s great that we can all agree with the National Academy of Sciences when they said that “the need for urgent action to address climate change is now indisputable.”

    199. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Everything you have written is a lie. It's not worth debunking your individual statements as they are as obviously wrong as saying black is white. Can't tell if you're a deliberate propagandist or just a lying moron.

    200. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Since you arenâ(TM)t calling NAS âoealarmistâ, itâ(TM)s great that we can all agree with the National Academy of Sciences when they said that âoethe need for urgent action to address climate change is now indisputable.â

      I don't seem to recall having stated that either.

      Where I am from, trying to put words in other peoples' mouths is considered antisocial behavior.

      It takes more evidence than I have seen -- without credible counter-evidence -- before I conclude anything is "indisputable". It's a word I seldom if ever use, and I most certainly would not use it here.

    201. Re: Motivated rejection of science by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      My links show that NASA, the NAS, and dozens of other scientific organizations accept the mainstream climate science that Jane Q. Public and Lonny Eachus dismiss as "alarmist, alarmist, alarmist, alarmist, alarmist, alarmist, alarmist, alarmist, alarmist, alarmist, alarmist, alarmist, alarmist, alarmist, alarmist."

    202. Re: Motivated rejection of science by sg_oneill · · Score: 1

      Hindcasting is reasonable for speculative theories in the sciences. It is inadequate for scientific result strong enough to support major policy initiatives.

      Oh boy, we have a live one here.

      Your a creationist right? Normally I'd just assume that (the vast majority of "climate change is a vast left wing conspiracy" people are also creationists or 9/11 truthers), but its slashdot, so thats not a safe assumption.

      --
      Excuse the Unicode crap in my posts. That's an apostrophe, and slashdot is busted.
    203. Re: Motivated rejection of science by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      It's disingenuous to go on about the natural sources of CO2 and carbon and to ignore the natural sinks. For 8,000 years the CO2 levels remained around 280 ppm because those natural sources and sinks were in relative balance. Only when the industrial revolution broke and humans started burning large quantities of CO2 did the levels in the atmosphere start to rise. So you're saying something has broken that balance and natural sources are outweighing natural sinks while at the same time something is absorbing all of the anthropogenic CO2. But the rise in atmospheric CO2 from year to year is a bit less than half of the CO2 that is emitted by humans each year. The rest is going into the oceans causing acidification and a bit into the biosphere. You can't ignore half of the carbon cycle equation and expect to be taken seriously.

    204. Re: Motivated rejection of science by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      I suspect a lot of AGW denialists are also Evolution deniers,

      That's true but it's also true that there are also a lot of libertarians who accept evolution but can't accept the science behind AGW because of the government regulation implications of it. It doesn't fit their worldview so they seek anything they can find no matter how weak to try and denigrate it.

    205. Re: Motivated rejection of science by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      The Mt. Pinatubo eruption in 1991, the largest volcanic eruption in over a century may have equaled human daily emissions for a day or two during it's major eruption. In general volcanoes are emitting less than 1% as much CO2 as human activities every year.

    206. Re: Motivated rejection of science by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      It continually astounds me that people think climate scientists haven't studied the natural causes of climate change. It's not possible to produce a coherent theory of climate without that understanding. What you're seeking is some natural process that we haven't discovered yet but after more than 30 years of intense study of past and current climates it seems less and less likely that something truly significant will turn up that fundamentally changes our understanding. With proxies we have data going back millions of years and with ice cores we have some pretty detailed data going back hundreds of thousands of years. Current conditions are still within the uncertainty range of climate models so I think they're doing a pretty good job.

    207. Re: Motivated rejection of science by symbolset · · Score: 1

      We would like things to stay as they are, but that is not natural.

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
    208. Re: Motivated rejection of science by sg_oneill · · Score: 1

      Freeman dyson is not a climate scientist, his opinion on the matter carries no more weight than the postman.

      --
      Excuse the Unicode crap in my posts. That's an apostrophe, and slashdot is busted.
    209. Re: Motivated rejection of science by sg_oneill · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You're right, it isn't. But that's not all the IPCC or the national curriculum say. They also say that climate change will be huge and have devastating consequences, and that's unproven. It isn't even a question physics can answer.

      Actually they don't say that. The IPCC presents a set of weighted possibilities based on statistical analysis of the results of a few thousand research projects. These range from "Things could get a bit hairy for agriculture and fisheries" (Which is already happening) to "Shit goes completely haywire, were screwed.". The IPCC reports tend to lean towards the low end severity however increasingly climate researchers have been critical if the IPCC for under reporting just how serious some of the models predictions are.

      Physics actually can answer it to some degree , although perhaps not in the detail we like. The equasions are not hard. You look at solar inputs over time, then look at CO2 (and methane, etc) and you can say "This will trap x amount of infra red energy". This part can be calculated quite accurately since is an entirely deterministic calculation.
      Then you look at a range of possibilities from "All this heat is converted to kinetic energy (storms/cyclones/etc)" to "All this heat turns into heat (greenhouse effect)". Remember , conservation of energy, the heat has to do *something*.

      Of course I'm simplifying it a little bit here and not including run-away effects from permafrost which sadly appear to be starting already according to many arctic field researchers (Ie permafrost areas where methane has started to bubble up) which potentially can turn the whole thing psychotic on us, but thats the basics of it.

      --
      Excuse the Unicode crap in my posts. That's an apostrophe, and slashdot is busted.
    210. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Noah+Haders · · Score: 1

      well yes, but we can try to do things in our power to preserve our way of life. Nihilism doesn't really have a place in the global warming debate.

    211. Re:Motivated rejection of science by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      There is plenty of power available from wind and solar. It's just a matter of building up the infrastructure. Our present infrastructure developed over a couple of centuries and it's going to take time to replace it. 30 or 40 years once we get serious about it.

    212. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Noah+Haders · · Score: 1

      well, the planet is very different than it was 175 million years ago, with different animals, different plants, and different atmosphere. even if we could know the reactions betweenCO2, temperature, and climate back then, I don't think it would be very applicable today. Also, I don't know if there would be clear records considering how old it is. lastly, it's disingenuous of you to keep erecting moving goal posts of things climate experts need to "find out" before we stop global warming. it's like the obama birth certificate thing. he released his birth certificate, but it wasn't the one with the raised seal and the signature in blue ink!

    213. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Noah+Haders · · Score: 1

      true, it will take some time for CO2 levels to normalize, although I don't know if it will be millennia. The first thing we have to do is control our output to sustainable levels.

    214. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's right, because before 1950 climate was stable.

      If you liberal know-it-alls know so much, how come Obama and the heathen Democrats won't release the satellite data from before the 1950s? Don't mess with Texas! Or Wyoming!

    215. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wedge issue. The tactics certain groups use makes them think everybody else is using the same tactics, even outside of politics. Once you give your finger to the AGW, you hand is swooped to the tight embrace of Evolution, followed by your elbow being sucked into the voids of atheism, leading to the quick smashing and grabbing of your torso to the altars of the Devil himself! /s (or is it!?)

    216. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep. That is it. The coldest 6 months in over a century, but the planet just has to be "hotter than its ever been before". Lost of science there. Will you apologize when you discover 10, 20, 30 years from now that you have been fooled? Global warming is as dead as communism, and there is nothing you can do to revive it.

    217. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here in Florda, where we are under 17 feet of seawater, everyone is very very concerned about these predictions. Only we aren't. I think the "science" behind all of these wrong predictions may have a problem with reality.

    218. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So that is why this has been the coldest 6 months in anyone's lifetime? Oh I see now.

    219. Re: Motivated rejection of science by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Scientific analysis of the problem shows that the natural processes that reduce CO2 in the carbon cycle act on scales of 10,000 years and more. Without active removal of carbon the level will hardly drop in 1,000 years. There was a study about that several years ago but I'm too lazy to look up the reference to cite it right now.

    220. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, and they also deny that Florida is under 17 feet of seawater like the scientists predicted. They probably also deny that this has been the coldest 6 months in anyone's lifetime, or at least since1912. They just don't accept science.

    221. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Noah+Haders · · Score: 1

      I still say, let's get our emissions under control first.

    222. Re: Motivated rejection of science by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Of course, the first step is to stop making the problem worse.

    223. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh come on now. People like that already know that they're superior to everyone else, that's why they can immediately break down into ad-homs, insults, and all the rest instead of going with rational arguments. Even your low-information voter has finally caught that one, and people wonder why belief in "global warming" is dropping like a rock in terms of support to do anything? No one likes chicken little, and people dislike bullies even more.

      Hehe.. you know that you responded to his claims about the opponents using broad generalizations and ad hominens with using broad generalization and ad hominen yourself in your very first sentence. Priceless.

    224. Re: Motivated rejection of science by The+Technomancer · · Score: 1

      When you're linking political blogs to try to refute scientific fact, you're either trolling, stupid, or so partisan that the opposition could say the sky is blue and you'd link mysideisright.com/blog proving that the color of sky is "in dispute". EIther way, those all translate to wrong. Stop being wrong.

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.

      -- Arthur C. Clarke

    225. Re: Motivated rejection of science by dave420 · · Score: 1

      The "doom" of which you speak exists. It's well documented. You clearly don't have a clue. You should look at temperatures, sea levels, and the plant species around. If you think we'd live perfectly in such an environment, you either don't know much about humanity, or you're lying.

    226. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Parent is 100% correct. This is why skeptics _agree_ with "97% of climate scientists" - and yet it's irrelevant for the argument!

    227. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you actually read the peer-reviewed articles you'd know that they do not proclaim to know it's "dangerous". Try the latest IPCC report - where Working Group 1 ("the science") throw out the models since they're refuted by observations and instead use expert opinions on the likely amount of warming we'll see. Yet WG2 and WG3 ("effects" and "economic consequences") continue to use the, now refuted, model scenarious.

      Anyone who claims to know that climate change is going to cause havoc is _not_ reporting on the science. Ask yourself why that is.

    228. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Did you know that there's another way to reduce CO2 concentration levels in the atmosphere besides reducing CO2 emissions? (I'll give you a hint: If we stopped CO2 emissions entirely, would the levels of CO2 stay the same in the air?) Also, just because CO2 levels are high, doesn't mean that it's the only issue. See this site for scientists who realized that greenland being covered with soot is accelerating the melt: http://darksnowproject.org/

      "climate change" is a silly debate for people who think the solutions are found in drumming up political debate/lobbying/action/inaction. The real work is being done out there right now to improve things.

      also - since the USA doesn't have a superbowl of science, there is no such thing as "leading scientists" and given the list provided are affiliated with schools, it's entirely likely that this bunch all live off of government grants, which has clearly shown to steer science in whatever distorted direction politics demands.

    229. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Buuullshit.

      Dening (4) is the current barricade the denialists have retreated to, after 1, 2 and 3 became increasingly hard to sustain.

      (5) is weaselly-worded, as the temperature increases in the 20th century were considerable. But still, 2 degrees seems extremely hard to avoid as an absolute minimum.

      (6) two parts here: "It will warm" and "it will be devastating". There is no significant disagreement on the first. How devastating it will be depends on how warm it gets, no? But if it warms much more than 2 degrees, yes, it will be devastating.

      (7) "From the facts it looks like we may have to rely on government intervention. Government intervention never works and can never work. Ergo, we need to fight those facts, they can't be true!" Motivated reasoning undressed, yuck.

    230. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The things you have now admitted, puts physical constraints on warming. You can measure the heat balance directly. You can use simple models, only assuming that we won't have to throw out basic physics.

      You can come up with a number for how much the planet will warm given a doubling of CO2. That number is called the climate sensitivity.

      The denialist with actual scientific credentials, all three of them or so, have admitted that that's where the argument must lie - climate sensitivity must be low somehow, much lower than mainstream science thinks, for mainstream science to be wrong. That is, they've admitted it to their more educated audience. To their less educated audience they still peddle "it's not warming, it's not us" etc. But they have tried to make some pithy cases that climate sensitivity is low.

      And those papers have been totally demolished. They're not in line with the physics. Even if you throw out as much physics as possible, and rely only on statistics on numbers without considering what those numbers mean in physical terms, you still have to be dishonest to argue for a low climate sensitivity.

      And if climate sensitivity isn't low - God help us if it's high - then yes, devastating consequences are on the horizon.

    231. Re: Motivated rejection of science by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      It is also worth noting that nobody is proposing a single gigantic change to the global economy and energy market based on the prediction that 100 years from now some species may evolve that may kill us.

      Fascinating but irrelevant. Given the rate of change brought about by science over the last 115 years, the amount of change required to move from coal burning power stations to nuclear/wind/solar and from fossil fuel burning vehicles to electric is pretty trivial. I guess if you don't like change and don't like societies transformed by science there is a way for you to join the Amish - exactly how is left as an exercise for the reader.

    232. Re: Motivated rejection of science by able1234au · · Score: 1

      I think i have responded to you on this before and you repeat the same lie. The increase of sea ice in Antarctica is bad as it is due to melting of ice sheets around the continent, similarly this increases moisture in the air which has increased snow in parts of Antarctica. This is also a result of warming. The decrease of Polar ice in the North Sea is also due to warming. It is not complicated science yet i see this point being brought up again and again, which shows that some people are being deliberately obtuse and trying to spin it as no warming is occurring. If you need some links on the science, just ask or google them, they are easy to find.

    233. Re: Motivated rejection of science by able1234au · · Score: 1

      adaption is fine for a century but there is no indication that the temperature will then stabilise. The CO2 is a problem in the upper atmosphere. Turning off CO2 production will not eliminate that CO2. It will hang around for hundreds of years. Even running low on oil is not going to solve the problem as we shift to oil sands and methane deposits. We have to get off the drug of oil, which requires reengineering work, home, transport and many things that can't be done overnight easily. Unfortunately we might have to do them overnight the hard way, that will be painful.

    234. Re:Motivated rejection of science by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      Consequences? Promoting expensive energy casts thousands or millions into poverty both from lack of work and from high energy prices. Poverty kills. Don't like coal? Get your butt into a lab and invent something cheaper that provides the same energy. No, wait, simply invent something AS cheap as coal. Betcha can't. And while elite liberal snobs with great tech jobs find a rise in energy prices a mere inconvenience, other people's kids go to bed hungry (no kidding, 1 in 6 people in the USA struggle with hunger) due to choosing between heating their homes and buying food. Me, I'll continue defying a much-disputed theory that will make it easier for more people to eat well. This "science" is _not_ settled:

      http://www.petitionproject.org...

    235. Re:Motivated rejection of science by AlterEager · · Score: 1

      We are always in an extinction event

      Simply not true.

    236. Re: Motivated rejection of science by stenvar · · Score: 1

      don't like change and don't like societies transformed by science

      I don't like societies transformed by government mandate, because that's the hallmark of fascist and communist societies.

      the amount of change required to move from coal burning power stations to nuclear/wind/solar and from fossil fuel burning vehicles to electric is pretty trivial

      Great, then it's going to happen by itself! Let the government deal with much harder problems, then, like how to regulate pornography or organic food!

    237. Re: Motivated rejection of science by stenvar · · Score: 1

      Physics actually can answer it to some degree , although perhaps not in the detail we like. The equasions are not hard.

      You obviously have no idea what the IPCC predictions are based on. I suggest you read up on them.

      Of course I'm simplifying it a little bit here

      You can't simplify what you don't understand, and your understanding of the models underlying IPCC predictions is obviously nil.

    238. Re: Motivated rejection of science by rally2xs · · Score: 0

      1) The USA has reduced AGW gasses more than any other country, thanks to natural gas produced in part by envirowacko-hated "fracking."

      2) There's not a damn thing we can do about the CO2 level in the atmosphere as long as the rest of the world digs coal like there's no tomorrow.

      3) There's absolutely, positively no alternative to fossil fuels to get cars and trucks to move down the highway. We need someone to invent the magic battery. The magic battery will hold as much or more energy than a tank of gas, and be capable of either being recharged or replaced in approximately the same time as filling a gas tank. If you want to save the planet, get your PHD in physics and electrochemistry and get your butt into a lab and invent the magic battery.

      4) After inventing the magic battery, there will be over 1000 power plants to build if we were to use the largest nuke plants ever built. How many nukes will we build? Thanks to envirowackos, that number will be zero. So, what are electric cars going to run on that doesn't involve burning fossil fuels? Wind? Replacing the entire automotive fuel supply with wind would have a wind machine of the largest size ever produced every 20 square miles if they could be distributed evenly. Of course, due to impossible terrain like mountains, windless areas, etc. you'd probably get 1 wind machine every square mile, and located in a place where you have to construct 100's of 1000's of miles of power transmission lines (that envirowackos will ALSO oppose) to get it where you need it. And that may be an impossible task due to radiation losses and IR (heating) losses in the wires themselves.

      Go ahead, figure it out. Just be smart enough to know that you don't have an answer, so you can quit condemning everyone else for simply trying to survive. We can't support the population numbers we have with 19th century farming methods that involve not using fossil fuels both in production and food transport. Do what can be done on its own schedule, and quit beating up on everyone else.

    239. Re: Motivated rejection of science by stenvar · · Score: 1

      Additionally, science never "proves" anything; it only gathers a body of evidence to show a model is accurate to varying degrees.

      I'm sorry you seem to have trouble with scientific terminology. When scientist informally talk about "proven theories", it doesn't mean "proven" in the mathematical sense, it simply means that a theory has very strong experimental support. (4-7) do not.

      Such predictions have, to a noticeable extent been quite accurate so far,

      It isn't sufficient for predictions to be accurate in order to support a scientific theory.

      On points #5-7, the same statement about science "proving" anything applies

      In fact, points 5-7 aren't scientific questions at all; they are questions about social science, economics, and politics.

    240. Re: Motivated rejection of science by stenvar · · Score: 1

      We should be risk averse when it comes to global, irreparable changes.

      I am quite risk averse: averse to the risk of war and economic collapse as a consequence of bad government policies.

      Isn't it safer to try to limit the change?

      No. History shows that humans cope quite well with climate change. Some of the biggest devastation in human history has been due to war and economic collapse, usually precipitated at the hand of centralized, overly powerful governments.

    241. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only someone with no understanding of science and statistics would seriously entertain the idea that hindcasting can provide strong support for scientific theories.

    242. Re: Motivated rejection of science by stenvar · · Score: 1

      adaption is fine for a century but there is no indication that the temperature will then stabilise

      Have you ever looked at a temperature graph?

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/F...

      We're currently in an ice age. The temperatures don't need to stabilize; it can get a lot warmer and we'll still be fine. After all, all that fossil fuel in the ground used to be carbon in the atmosphere, much of it at the same time.

      We have to get off the drug of oil, which requires reengineering work, home, transport and many things that can't be done overnight easily.

      The fastest way to do that is to stop subsidizing oil, loosen regulations on nuclear, and get out of the way. Trying to force a change in energy source through taxation and legislation is only going to wreck the economy and keep us dependent on fossil fuel longer.

    243. Re: Motivated rejection of science by delt0r · · Score: 1

      That is not what a hypothesis test tells you. Especially considering you can't even get a handle systematic error. Or just plain incorrect models.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    244. Re:Motivated rejection of science by delt0r · · Score: 1

      The situation _is_ catastrophic. We _are_ in big trouble.

      Read the actual scientific papers that are peer reviewed. The view is not even close to that bad, at worst is "well... some stuff could happen.. maybe" in any peer reviewed paper. The OMG the sky is falling crap is a product of non peer review political reports in which citations don't even back up the assertions, the media and scientists that are really bad job at playing politician.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    245. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Alioth · · Score: 1

      The wind is indeed always blowing somewhere. I'm willing to bet my life on it. And if the wind stops blowing everywhere it's because the sun went out and the whole thing becomes kind of moot.

      As always electricity generation should always be a mix of stuff. It would be a bad idea to power the whole grid off just wind due to the amount of excess capacity that would be needed. At the same time it would be silly to power the entire grid off just nuclear or just natural gas because then you've got all your eggs in one basket. So you have some wind power, some solar, some gas, some nuclear, some tidal etc.

      Incidentally from the point of view of the UK National Grid, wind is not seen as intermittent. You can be pretty damn certain what the wind generators will be doing in 20 minutes time. However, Sizewell B (one of the largest single generators) could go offline 30 seconds from now completely unexpectedly. So you need a lot of 'spinning reserve' and load shedding techniques because of Sizewell B and Drax and other large power stations that can suddenly go offline and deprive you of a great deal of capacity. Wind on the other hand is made up of many very small generators and if one goes faulty, you don't really notice it, and the windspeed doesn't change much over a period of a couple of hours.

    246. Re: Motivated rejection of science by TomGreenhaw · · Score: 1

      The amount of power electric cars use is not that much. We might need to build a few more power plants and the current distribution grid can handle it with reasonable upkeep.

      Check my math:
      0.4 kwh/mile This is what we get with our Tesla. Most people get better mileage but I live in a climate that causes poor economy.
      0.470588235 kwh/mile Adjusted 85% for charging loss
      2.125 miles per kwh This is much cheaper than gas by the way
      24.8 average new car mpg average fuel economy http://www.greencarreports.com...
      365 million gallons of gas per day consumed in the US http://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/...
      14717741.94 miles driven per day in US
      613239.2473 miles driven per hour in US
      1635304.659 kwh per hour electric car equivalent

      14.3 billion kwh per year electric car equivalent - this is an estimate of how much electricity we would use if all cars were Teslas

      11.8 billion kwh per year - average nuclear power plant generates this http://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/...

      --
      Greed is the root of all evil.
    247. Re: Motivated rejection of science by dave420 · · Score: 1

      It hasn't been, though. Maybe where you live, but other parts of the world have had no winter at all.

    248. Re: Motivated rejection of science by abies · · Score: 1

      Half million year picture is not a good graph to show - in it, CO2 follows temperature changes, not predates it. It will just give fuel to deniers. You need to pick data carefully if you want to make your point. Maybe just replace labels - nobody in schools will notice and you will get your point through?

    249. Re: Motivated rejection of science by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      You are an idiot. The source is NPR and the interview is with one of the people writing the new standards. Any cursory examination would have shown that.

    250. Re: Motivated rejection of science by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      I guess if you don't like change and don't like societies transformed by science there is a way for you to join the Amish - exactly how is left as an exercise for the reader.

      I don't like societies transformed by government mandate, because that's the hallmark of fascist and communist societies.

      I'll repeat what I said since apparently you have a psychosis that makes you imagine communists and nazis under every bed: if you don't like change and don't like societies transformed by science there is a way for you to join the Amish - exactly how is left as an exercise for the reader.

    251. Re: Motivated rejection of science by LordLimecat · · Score: 1

      I might be onboard with the global warming thing, if I didnt throw my hands up in disgust and close the tab every time I tried to have a discussion on it. Kind of hard to place any stock in anything anyone says when they follow it up with a screed about how stupid you must be for being conservative.

    252. Re: Motivated rejection of science by apc512599 · · Score: 1

      It was autumn, and the Indians on the remote reservation asked their new Chief if the winter was going to be cold or mild. Since he was an Indian Chief in a modern society, he had never been taught the old secrets, and when he looked at the sky, he couldn't tell what the weather was going to be. Nevertheless, to be on the safe side, he replied to his tribe that the winter was indeed going to be cold and that the members of the village should collect wood to be prepared. But also being a practical leader, after several days he got an idea. He went to the phone booth, called the National Weather Service and asked, "Is the coming winter going to be cold?" "It looks like this winter is going to be quite cold indeed," the meteorologist at the weather service responded. So the Chief went back to his people and told them to collect even more wood in order to be prepared. One week later he called the National Weather Service again. "Is it going to be a very cold winter?" "Yes," the man at National Weather Service again replied, "it's going to be a very cold winter." The Chief again went back to his people and ordered them to collect every scrap of wood they could find. Two weeks later he called the National Weather Service again. "Are you absolutely sure that the winter is going to be very cold?" "Absolutely," the man replied. "It's going to be one of the coldest winters ever." "How can you be so sure?" the Chief asked. The weather man replied, "The Indians are collecting wood like crazy."

    253. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Noah+Haders · · Score: 1

      there's barely any difference in the lines if anything. the key point is that our current atmospheric mix is unprecedented in 500k years, and it's our fault.

    254. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ok, so you can tell us exactly why these temperature excursions throughout the Holocene happened WITHOUT your bogeyman CO2?
      We are heading for another Ice Age dude.
      http://imgur.com/BKaEalG
      I would also like to know why the temp dropped all those time too please.
      Please name which is these graphs is temp over first half of 20th century, and which is last half?
      http://imgur.com/NmtLiHR
      Graph game, cool huh?
      How about some IPCC emails, did you follow any of that story? Here are some from Hansen
              Girma | August 6, 2012 at 3:42 pm | Reply
      The following:
      Yeah, it wasn’t so much 1998 and all that that I was concerned about, used to dealing with that, but the possibility that we might be going through a longer – 10 year – period [IT IS 14 YEARS NOW!] of relatively stable temperatures beyond what you might expect from La Nina etc. Speculation, but if I see this as a possibility then others might also. Anyway, I’ll maybe cut the last few points off the filtered curve before I give the talk again as that’s trending down as a result of the end effects and the recent cold-ish years.
      From the climategate emails.
              Girma | August 6, 2012 at 3:44 pm | Reply
      More:
      I believe that the recent warmth was probably matched about 1000 years ago. I do not believe that global mean annual temperatures have simply cooled progressively over thousands of years as Mike appears to and I contend that that there is strong evidence for major changes in climate over the Holocene (not Milankovich) that require explanation and that could represent part of the current or future background variability of our climate.
              Girma | August 6, 2012 at 3:45 pm | Reply
      More:
      Whether we have the 1000 year trend right is far less certain (& one reason why I hedge my bets on whether there were any periods in Medieval times that might have been “warm”, to the irritation of my co-authors!
              Girma | August 6, 2012 at 3:51 pm | Reply
      Even more:
      The fact is that in doing so the rules of IPCC have been softened to the point that in this way the IPCC is not any more an assessment of published science (which is its proclaimed goal) but production of results. The softened condition that the models themself have to be published does not even apply because the Japanese model for example is very different from the published one which gave results not even close to the actual outlier version (in the old dataset the CCC model was the outlier). Essentially, I feel that at this point there are very little rules and almost anything goes.

    255. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Elaborate. Because right now, it just seems like you're making shit up. He posted evidence and your reaction lacks any substantiation.

    256. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It was dismissed as bullshit for much of its existence. It wasn't for quite a while after it was introduced that there was sufficient evidence to make it the standard model.

    257. Re: Motivated rejection of science by rally2xs · · Score: 2

      OK, check my math:

      The gov says 13.02 million barrels per day of petroleum for US transportation. Since we want to eventually replace semi-tractor-trailers and ship and boat engine consumption too, we'll go with that.

      That's 13,200,000 barrels per day. There's 5,800,000 BTUs per barrel for a 76,560,000,000,000 BTU per day of transportation energy consumed.

      Since the gasoline internal combustion engine is around 35% efficient, then we're actually using 26,796,000,000,000 BTUs per day.

      To do that with electric cars, divide by the 0.9 efficiency of the electric motor, and 0.9 efficiency of the battery charging. That gives us 33,081,481,481,481 BTUs of electricity required.

      There's 3412 BTUs per kilowatt-hour, so we'd need 9,695,627,632 KwH per day of new power.

      Since there are 24 hours in a day, 9,695,627,632 KwH / 24 = 403,984,484 Kw = 403,984.5 Megawatts = 404 Gigawatts.

      The Palo Verde nuclear complex, our largest nuke, has 3 reactors that each generate about 1 1/4 Gw, so that's 3.75 Gw for our largest nuke. so, 404 / 3.75 = 107.7 or to round up, 108 nuclear power plants the size of our largest nuke.

      OK, my estimate was off by a zero, its over 100 nukes, not 1000. But that is still over 100 nukes that will NEVER GET BUILT because of the envirowackos.

      So, tell me how we're going to fuel electric transportation without fossil fuels.

    258. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And in terms of politics, I used to be a solid Democrat. But digging into the science behind climate change (and then some other issues where Democrats like to talk about science) has made me an independent, because Democrats are abusing science for political purposes. They like to pick some half-ass scientific result that fits their agenda, try to use it to get people riled up to vote for them or transfer billions into the coffers of their corporate buddies, and accuse anybody who disagrees with their political agenda as "unscientific".

      The problem with the criticism that Democrats are trying to pad the coffers of their coporate buddies is that any such case can be matched 10 fold by a similar criticism of Republicans. I certainly hear a lot of "grumble grumble SOLYNDRA!" from the R's, but that's nothing compared to the influence the Oil industry has garnered from Republicans. Example: Oil extractors don't even have to *disclose* the fluids it uses in the fracking process...doesn't that sound like a slightly "bought" policy?

    259. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Kelsen · · Score: 0

      From the London Mirror:

      But before you put down your midnight stilton, it's important to realise the site, TylerVigen.com, was originally created as a bit of fun and doesn't claim the statistics are anything other than coincidence.

      Although it has become a huge hit with people in the science community, as the trends are there in black and white for all to see.

      Tyler said: "I created this website as a fun way to look at correlations and to think about data. Empirical research is interesting, and I love to wonder about how variables work together.

      "The charts on this site aren't meant to imply causation nor are they meant to create a distrust for research or even correlative data. Rather, I hope this projects gets people interested in statistics and research.

      "I'm not a math or statistics major (and there are better ways to calculate correlation than I do here), but I do have a love for science and discovery and that's all anyone should need."

      Hmmm.

      Dave Kelsen
      --
      We have enough youth; how about a fountain of smart?

    260. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think there were a few typos in your message. Here's what you probably meant to say:

      (1) Human activity has raised the level of CO2 and methane in the atmosphere beyond what it would otherwise be. [provenl]

      (2) Mean global temperatures have increased over the 20th century. [proven]

      (3) Human activity has contributed to some degree to that increase. [proven]

      (4) Human activity is the primary cause of temperature increase over the 20th century. [overwhelmingly accepted]

      (5) Human activity will result in temperature increases in the 21st century that are larger than those experienced in the 20th century. [generally accepted]

      (6) Temperature increase in the 21st century will have devastating consequences for humans. [conditionally accepted -- some FX might still be resolvable]]

      (7) Government intervention now can reduce temperature increases in the 21st century significantly. [plausible, but unprovable at this point, even if true]

      I suspect that the difference between these two versions is that your original version characterized each statement based on opinions of talk show entertainers and uneducated civilians, whereas this second version is based on findings of the scientific community.

      OK, now that that's cleared up, let's proceed.

    261. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Kelsen · · Score: 0

      That's nonsense. You don't have to be stupid to be what we refer to in American politics as a "conservative".

      But you have to admit that it damn sure helps.

      RFT!!!
      Dave Kelsen
      --
      I am grateful that I am not as judgmental as all those censorious, self-righteous people around me.

    262. Re: Motivated rejection of science by FreedomFirstThenPeac · · Score: 1

      I can guran-damn-tee you that if the "theory" that the earth is round had been politicized the way the AGW theory has been, we would still be living in hovels and never traveling out of sight of the flagpoles in the centers of our villages. Fekkin politicians fekked it up for all of us.

      --
      "There is no god but allah" - well, they got it half right.
    263. Re: Motivated rejection of science by j-beda · · Score: 1

      Well, Stiglitz wasn't taken seriously at the time. You could have shown what Stiglitz said to Alan Greenspan and he would have rejected it, along with most other mainstream economists.

      It doesn't matter who debunked the unrealistic assumptions in climate science, since you won't take it seriously anyway. If you don't think the fact that temperatures are 0.5 degree below the predictions that were made 25 years ago and again 13 years ago, is any indication that the models failed, it doesn't matter what evidence I present. That's because you don't care about normal scientific standards that say: if the prediction is consistently wrong, the theory is wrong.

      Who's predictions? I would really be interested in links to these findings. Are these 0.5 degrees below predictions outside the range of the predictions (the prediction uncertainties) or just lower than the single value of the "most likely" prediction? For the 25 and 13 year predictions, is this 0.5 degree "error" for just a single year or for all of them?

      Most of the "predictions" I have seen have certainly had uncertainties much larger than 0.5 degrees, and many have entire ranges depending on the level of "optimism" or "pessimism" in terms of the model assumptions. Are you saying that the most "optimistic" predictions were 0.5 degrees higher than the actual measurements? Are you saying that the last 25 years of data (or 13) is inconsistent with human driven climate change?

    264. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's more about not being Deceived by the loony left wing organisations. in Australia, we have just kicked out the Socialist party (aka the labor Party) because we wanted some financial Stability in this country. In 6 years they took us from being one of the few countries with a budget in surplus and no Federal Government Debt, to a country with repeated Budget deficits and >300 Billion in debt. They also wanted and got a way to rip-off the big multi-nationals who can give us Jobs and money so that they were forced to curtail their investments in this Country. The Gravy Train is now ended and they are still not apologising for what they did and wanted to do. At least the Federal Budget today (it is after midnight here) will go some way to fixing the budgetary position and we'll be on the road to recovery in this country.

      Then, I hope, in the next year, we shall see the razor gang on useless department for this and that come through and save us even more money. Being a Christian let me quote, "take heed that no man deceive you...........". (Mat. 24vs4) Although the "Socialists" have already won against the Capitalists, the True Christians will have the last laugh over all the Fools who inhabit this Planet. Don't be one of them Mr Ben J. Fowler. My name is Mr. Craig Abernethie and I belong to a church called The Revival Fellowship. Google it and maybe save yourself from this untoward generation. Happy Travels.

    265. Re:Motivated rejection of science by niftymitch · · Score: 1

      It's called 'motivated reasoning', but I doubt these idiots have ever heard of it.

      Must be a conservative state, because this peculiar strain of stupidity is generally right-wing in nature. It's all about me! me!! me!! and screw the consequences, especially for the environment, our grandkids, or poor people.

      Someone is winging it here. Right-wing left-wing it is necessary to read the 400+ pages.

      I am only half way into this and it carves out an agenda ignoring any dialogue.
      Many of the statements of fact are the current conclusions of science in progress.
      As works in progress the conclusions should not be so boldly presented as fact.
      This alone will cause people that know or think they know to reject the agenda.

      Remember correlation is not proof of causality.
      http://io9.com/our-new-favorit...

      Omitted in this is a solid anchor to mathematics which is covered by others.
      There is a bit of hand waving about iterative modeling and CO2 cycles,
      weather and more but after discussing iterative modeling some conclusions
      become fact.

      I happen to be old enough to have been taught "geosynclinal theory of mountain building" as if it
      was fact. Yet in the afternoon of my final exam I sat in a seminar by J. Tuzo Wilson and some
      of his students on Plate Technics. I am also old enough to recall when 1inch was defined
      as 2.54cm EXACTLY and the difference between the old and new can matter.

      An old boss of mine (in Wyoming) kept a cartoon behind clear plastic on his desk. It had
      one man with a gift package labeled "Truth"... the next panel had the same character
      with a gift package labeled "New Truth". Stuff changes....

      There is an interesting management problem that may apply to this. In an exercise
      teams are given topics to advocate for and against. Then the team that "wins" gets to
      debate another team up a ladder. The observation and point of the exercise is that
      as an agenda moved up through the process the position gets less and less flexible.
      In as little as three cycles some "managers" in this class got so invested in the position
      they were given that fists get brandished.

      The further folk get from the sciences and more invested they get with a position
      the sillier they can appear to someone looking at it with the eyes of a child.

      Watch the old and new Cosmos -- Neil deGrasse Tyson is MUCH more invested
      in the same positions that Carl Sagan was. Neil transforms conclusions into facts.
      Conclusions that I agree with but facts.... no.... the "New Truth" beckons tomorrow.

      Enough rambling.
      The US coal and natural gas resources are large. Ignore this and people will
      die of heat or cold or lack of water (pumps, desalination). Other nations will
      be happy and aggressive in their exploitation of fossil energy and climate
      will be impacted no matter what this 400+ page document authors think they
      know. I know that some of the computer codes involved use "PI=3.14" and iterate
      for months on many cores to get a result to 19 places to the right of the dp.

      --
      Truth is stranger than fiction, but it is because Fiction is obliged to stick to possibilities; Truth isn't. Mark Twain.
    266. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "There is no "theory of climate change" to reject. There are dozens of different hypotheses"
      "I agree with what is actually the agreed upon theory of climate change"

      Err... wut?

      The science of climate change (it's neither a theory nor a hypothesis) is actual observational data collected using the scientific method that proves beyond a reasonable doubt that humans are raising the CO2 levels (and the livestock we breed generates much of the methane), that the net result of raising the CO2 levels is a change to global climate patterns, and that continued output of CO2 by humans will result in a larger temperature rise globally than if government's stepped in and passed some legislation that would curtail the unfettered emissions big coal and big oil spew all over every industrialized nation in the world, which ironically affects the least industrialized nations the worst.

      It doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure out that more CO2 means more global warming, and it so happens we have rocket scientists and those rocket scientists sent robotic orbiters to our neighboring sister planet Venus... and this is where we first learned most of what we now know about CO2 on Earth - Venus has a runaway greenhouse effect - the surface temperature and surface pressure would cook you and crush you and every other organic molecule into (more or less) carbon and vapor. This is what happens to a planet when you have too much CO2 and reach a tipping point from which there is no known scientific escape (except perhaps to leave Earth before we screw it up that bad - but that would really only be the wealthy and connected, so... sucks to be you, or your children, or your grandchildren, eh?).

      Those same (or similar) rocket scientists has sent dozens of robotic orbiters and landers to Mars - a cold, frozen dessert wasteland with only a whisper of atmosphere, mostly CO2. Sadly, our other little sister lost her atmosphere (postulated and soon to be tested that this was the result of the loss of a magnetic field combined with the sun's charged wind particles stripping away the atmosphere that Mars' gravity could not keep). So, we know that too little CO2 means a frozen, barren planet as well.

      We're in the middle, but due primarily to human activity (uh, population + industry growth in that population == more emissions == more CO2 == more warming) we're leaning towards a man made warming period that predictions show could reach a tipping point that, at the very least, would reshape our coastlines and bury coastal cities under water, displacing most of the people on the planet (the vast majority of civilization lives near water), change weather patterns so that formerly wet and fertile areas would become desert, and vice-verse (which satellites show is already starting to happen) leading to the likely starvation and depopulation of the planet. And that's if we're lucky. We could easily push the planet to Venus status with enough ignorance and time. It's simply exponential math that is required to plot it out for yourself.

      So, we have scientific consensus on 1-7. You and similarly interested (or self-interested) individuals spread utter nonsense in the name of profit and at the expense of everybody else on the planet. Rich oil and coal baron's like the Koch's, spending more money than you'll earn in your entire lifetime, to spread misinformation for people like you to either spread with ignorance or with intent to keep your own pockets lined with filthy money. Period. There is no debate, there is scientifically gathered evidence and conclusions drawn and born out of scientific tests that are repeatable and predictive. And that's the key - science is predictive - if it wasn't, it wouldn't be science. Climate change is as much a scientific fact as gravity. Quit claiming it isn't, or that there is any controversy whatsoever. There isn't. There remains only acceptance and action by the people who live on this planet. Everything else is just part of the show to keep you entertained and i

    267. Re: Motivated rejection of science by darkarena9789 · · Score: 1

      I, personally, just love the motivation: Man made climate change is not real in Wisconson because we produce a lot of coal. Good things the environment is conscience over what's economically convenient!!!

    268. Re: Motivated rejection of science by TomGreenhaw · · Score: 1

      This is an interesting exercise.

      There are a few areas in your approach that I think account for our discrepancy.

      The first and I think biggest flaw in the above calculation is assuming that heat energy in BTUs from petroleum with the 35% efficiency for ICE greatly overstates power efficiency of ICE vehicles. Only experimental engines get that as a maximum at an ideal load and RPM. In reality at the wheels a standard ICE vehicle gets less than half that at best - maybe 15%. This is a really hard number to pin down and why simply comparing energy usage per mile is less prone to calculation error.

      Second (and you're absolutely right), I was only estimating personal transportation which accounts for about half of the petroleum used.

      The third is that you are not considering the efficiency gains of an electric vehicle through regenerative braking, no idleing losses and the impact of no transmission as well as maximum efficiency at nearly all RPM. Electric cars on average use much less energy per mile.

      The second and third points account for a factor of 8 - electric vehicles are about 4 times more efficient than gas vehicles on average and I was only addressing half the problem.

      In any case we're definitely talking about less than 10 new nuclear power plants and probably much less.

      I guess we have to give the envirowackos a choice between a possible problem with nukes vs. a for sure problem with fossil fuels. Just because its not easy or obvious shouldn't cause us not to try.

      --
      Greed is the root of all evil.
    269. Re: Motivated rejection of science by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but the envirowackos always choose to be against whatever it is someone is trying to do. They have no plan.

      Yeah, I did account for the electric motor of the electric car being 90% efficient, and the battery charging being 90% efficient. What I didn't account for is the 7% loss of the electric power grid, on average.

      OK, Wikipedia says 18% to 20% efficiency for average IC engine, so we'd be reducing the requirement by, say, 20 / 35 = .57, but need to increase by 7% due to my leaving out the power grid loss, so that's .61 times the aforementioned 108 nukes which would be 65.88 or to round up, 66 new nukes the size of our largest.

      Whatever the number, 108, 66, or 10, it doesn't matter, because they're never going to get built. We will run electric cars / trucks / trains / boats on natural gas, coal, and whatever "renewable" sources are able to be built, and it _will_ mostly pollute, and release CO2.

    270. Re: Motivated rejection of science by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      That human activity is the primary cause of warming has been pretty well agreed on by the scientists involved, after repeated failure to come up with other satisfactory explanations (nothing in science is proven, but there are things that haven't been proven false). More CO2 is more warming, and we keep putting out more and more CO2. Given effective government action to reduce CO2 emissions, there will be less emissions, and hence less warming. I don't see why these should be considered unproven or implausible.

      As far as "devastating consequences" go, I haven't seen scientific claims of "devastating". Many of the consequences are going to be pretty bad, but they're hardly likely to end civilization.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    271. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's a nice, well documented book "Debunking Economics" by Steve Keen that makes this point more eloquently that I could ever try.

      So you're saying we should use a book about economics by a professional economist as a justification for not teaching economics?

    272. Re: Motivated rejection of science by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Freeman dyson is not a climate scientist, his opinion on the matter carries no more weight than the postman.

      Michael E. Mann is credentialed in physics, geology & geophysics
      James Hansen is credentialed in Astronomy & Physics
      Phil Jones is credentialed in Hydrology
      Richard A. Muller is credentialed in physics,
      Benjamin D. Santer Actually has a PhD in Climatolgy, he the guy that said if warming stalls for 17 year, AGW hypothesis is falsified
      Gavin A. Schmidt PhD in applied mathematics but it seems nothing in science
      Stefan Rahmstorf Ph.D. in oceanography, but since his area of interest is how ocean currents effect climate, he should be competant.

      Very few climatologist have degrees in climatology, do their opinions on the matter carry no more weight than the postman?

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    273. Re: Motivated rejection of science by cavebison · · Score: 1

      You're comparing scientists and engineers who publish in the open literature with spooks and security guards who keep secrets.

      I thought his/her point was valid - they are all government. If someone says "I mistrust government", do you expect them to make an exception for certain departments? If so, then they wouldn't just say "I don't trust government". His/her point was that many people in the US distrust government. So whether it's NASA or the IRS, *they don't trust government*.

      It's a fair enough statement, because, you know, it's true. There are lots of people out there like that.

    274. Re: Motivated rejection of science by able1234au · · Score: 1

      We have to stop subsidising oil and apply the true cost of carbon. Then the market will take care of it. Global warming will do more to wreck the economy than anything we do to oil.

      Building more efficient cities takes time. Our cities are designed for oil and that is one big problem.

      Yes, there has been more CO2 in the atmosphere in the past, just as there has been more oxygen. The planet will be fine, but there will be another big die off, and we will be part of that. The CO2 was accumulated in the earth over hundreds of millions of years. Releasing it all at once will cause major problems. We do not need it to prevent ice ages. We know how to warm the atmosphere, e don't know how to easily cool it.

    275. Re: Motivated rejection of science by sumdumass · · Score: 0

      Interesting. And you said that as AC because you believe it so strongly?

      BTW, i didn't say it. Others did. I gave opinion on it and opinions are never lies. You should take your gripe up with the people who wrote the standards. You can use your google finger and find the standards on the PBS website.

      The reason you will not refute anything is because you cannot. Its the same reason you posted AC, you know you cannot refute anything so you don't want your post associated with your on line identity.

    276. Re: Motivated rejection of science by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      Uh, as a scientist, ican tell you that if your theory consistently predicts half a degreevgigh, rather than useless, that's actually pretty easy to fix. here, let me put it in words you can understand. If your rifle always shoots an inch below where you aim, would you toss the gun out?

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    277. Re: Motivated rejection of science by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      "And God so loved the coal industry that He gave it dominion over the very winds of the air and the clouds in the sky, yea, unto the very temperature of the oceans." here endeth the lesson.

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    278. Re: Motivated rejection of science by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      Ah, the first law of denialism; models can be made to give any result you want, and besides, the models can't predict the current climate. The second law: nobody argues that the climate isn't warming, and besides, we know from Climategate that the evidence that it's warming is all a hoax. The third law: scientists cling to this AGW panic in order to keep the money for research coming. But we shouldn't listen to their supposed conclusions until a lot more research is done.

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    279. Re: Motivated rejection of science by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      Sadly, you are trying to explain the contents of the IPCC reports to somebody who is absolutely certain about what they contain, based not on actually looking at them but on unsupported claims from other people who haven't read them either. In other words, it's meaningless that there's a consensus regarding AGW among scientists; but the consensus among AGW opponents regarding things like what's in the IPCC reports is not only convincing, but in fact trumps actual easily verifiable reality.

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    280. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is a free country, I keep hearing. I agree that a parochial view (often reactionary rather than informed) is put forth to stop all progress; however, with so many groups vying for adoption and subsequent control over subject matter, perhaps the legislature just doesn't want to buy-in to a debate that is not settled, e.g. CO2 vs. Water Vapor.

      Or maybe it is just a bunch of billionaires have large ranches there and influence the state unduly, (like "the water won't get this high!")

      I do hope we resolve this before Darwin does.

    281. Re: Motivated rejection of science by stenvar · · Score: 1

      We have to stop subsidising oil and apply the true cost of carbon. Then the market will take care of it. Global warming will do more to wreck the economy than anything we do to oil.

      Even if it did, that's a century from now. Economically, you have to discount those costs by a factor of 1000. Is 1/1000th of the IPCC predicted costs worth worrying about? No.

      We do not need it to prevent ice ages.

      You don't understand. It's not about preventing ice ages. We are living in an ice age. We have been living in an ice age for the past 7 million years. The current climate is unusually cold for the planet. Even a complete melting of the polar ice caps would merely take us back to the normal state for mammals and primates.

    282. Re: Motivated rejection of science by stenvar · · Score: 1

      That human activity is the primary cause of warming has been pretty well agreed on by the scientists involved, after repeated failure to come up with other satisfactory explanations

      People think it's plausible. Heck, I think it's plausible. That's not a proven scientific theory.

      As far as "devastating consequences" go, I haven't seen scientific claims of "devastating". Many of the consequences are going to be pretty bad, but they're hardly likely to end civilization.

      More vagueness. In fact, the IPCC does make predictions, and even those aren't "pretty bad". Once you take into account that they are nearly a century from now, the rational thing is to do nothing.

      More importantly, the actions proposed by progressives on AGW would almost certainly be counterprodutive: they are going to slow economic development, and thereby lead to more population growth, more fossil fuels use, and less rapid innovation.

    283. Re: Motivated rejection of science by stenvar · · Score: 1

      I'll repeat what I said since apparently you have a psychosis that makes you imagine communists and nazis under every bed:

      "Societies transformed by science" is exactly what Nazi Germany and the Soviet Union were aiming for. On the other hand, there has never been a society successfully "transformed by science".

      Having lived in communist countries and having relatives how lived under the Nazis, I don't have to imagine. And knowing a bit of history, I also know what leads there, and it starts with people like you.

    284. Re:Motivated rejection of science by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      There is plenty of power from hamster wheel generators, it's only a matter of raising enough hamsters and feed.

      The question isn't how much energy is available in the form of wind or solar. It is obvious from the size of the disk of the earth, the insolation at sea level, and the energy needs of the current civilization that, even if we raise all people to the consumption level of the average US'er, and use panels whose efficiency is conservatively calculated at our current capability, there is enough solar power for all human activities.

      Wind, i have not researched sufficiently, though I suspect the total extractable energy across the entire planet still exceeds our energy needs.

      One question of wind and solar is that you don't get to pick where and when you are supplied. For a global system, maybe it averages out, but you still don't get to pick where, so you need to be able to supply everywhere in the world from anywhere in the world. Grid capacity is not sufficient and I'm not sure 40 years of rollout is enough to get it there.

      Another is will.

      I live in an area that is pretty ideal for wind power. It is not only strong, but also fairly consistent. A recent windmill in my area was, under the retail rules, offsetting electric usage in amounts roughly equivalent to a fifth of its installation cost. That windmill remained in operation for well under three years and is now derelict due to the installing company (I suspect a cut-out for the generator manufacturer.....) going out of business, invalidating the maintenance contract. Unable to find a new maintenance contract, without maintenance, it was allowed to continue operating until the generator was damaged beyond repair.

      There are a sprinkling of windmills in my area, but there does not seem to be the will to maintain them, or their maintenance is simply too great an expenditure to justify their continued existence.

      Is 30 years enough time to clean up the shenanigans that are currently going on? I hope so. I'd like to see a windmill someone actually cared about. But we can bring on real replacements to base-load plants in closer to decade-scale by going with nuclear. The clock starts whenever we stop holding it back.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    285. Re:Motivated rejection of science by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Where I live, in the northwest we have lots of hydropower and plenty of wind power. I you drive east out of Portland, OR on I-84 once you get through the Columbia River Gorge you start seeing hundreds of wind turbines. The total number must be in the thousands counting the ones over the hill from your view. As far as I know they're all receiving regular maintenance and most of them are turning when I've seen them.

    286. Re: Motivated rejection of science by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      So, when the "skeptics" say "everybody agrees it's warming, just not that it's man-made", your position is that they're wrong, scientifically. (Not sarcastic, just clarifying)

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    287. Re: Motivated rejection of science by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      So the regulars who post here that "the model code is not released to the public" are just wrong. (Again, not sarcastic, just clarifying)

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    288. Re:Motivated rejection of science by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      "To live outside the law you must be honest" The coal industry may not be outside the law, but the same principle applies. You may lie to others about your business, that's business as usual. But when you begin to believe your own lies that's insanity, and leads to bad ends. Even excluding any climate effects, the externalized costs of the coal industry make it more expensive to society than any power source which has NOT been exempted from EPA regs, including all the renewables. These guys who get their income from the coal industry are, pure and simple, on the dole. http://solar.gwu.edu/index_fil... http://www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo/el... http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com... http://www.cleanair.org/Downwi... http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com... http://www.aeaweb.org/articles... http://apo.org.au/sites/defaul... http://www.eea.europa.eu/press...

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    289. Re:Motivated rejection of science by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      Indeed. "Oil sands" aren't the panacea they are posited to be; regular petroleum production produces 40 barrels of oil for each barrel of oil equivalent that goes into production, oil sands have a ratio of 6:1.

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    290. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The base temperature we have built our current society on will change due to Global Warming. It will affect the livelihood of millions around the world and the problem will compound if we don't act. The "normal state" of temperature is not a problem for us to live, but is a problem for a large percentage of the population, and if left unchecked, a VERY large percentage of the problem. It is also a problem with for all life on the earth. With Global Warming and overpopulation we are living through the biggest die-off of species for hundreds of millions of years.

    291. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Alsee · · Score: 1

      Here, you use the old tired fallacy of Argumentum ad populum (appeal to widespread belief, bandwagon argument, appeal to the majority, appeal to the people) - where a proposition is claimed to be true or good solely because many people believe it to be so.

      No, he wasn't using Argumentum ad populum.
      An example of Argumentum ad populum fallacy would be "Most of the general public believe global warming is scientifically controversial, therefore global warming is scientifically controversial".

      He was using Argument from Authority, and as he was citing expert climatologists on an issue of climatology, he was using it in a non-fallacious manner.

      The "bandwagon" says eating lead paint chips causes brain damage in children. And if you think effectively unanimous agreement of experts in a field and decades of research and thousands of peer reviewed papers and an entire planet of scientific evidence "bandwagon" is a SANE justification to reject something, then clearly your parents actively avoided the lead-paint-chip-bandwagon when you were a child.

      -

      --
      - - You can't take something off the Internet! That's like trying to take pee out of a swimming pool.
    292. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Alsee · · Score: 1

      I don't like societies transformed by government mandate
      never been a society successfully "transformed by science"

      Lead was eliminated from gasoline (and our air) by government mandate. The same goes for keeping mercury and other crap out of our water.

      So either agree that it is reasonable and appropriate for the government to restrict/prohibit the usage of the atmosphere/waterways as an unlimited dumping ground for industrial waste, or go move to some communist country toxic hellhole city in China or Russia where society polluting HASN'T transformed by government mandate.

      -

      --
      - - You can't take something off the Internet! That's like trying to take pee out of a swimming pool.
    293. Re: Motivated rejection of science by stenvar · · Score: 1

      Lead was eliminated from gasoline (and our air) by government mandate. The same goes for keeping mercury and other crap out of our water.

      Regulation of the emission of clearly toxic heavy metals with short term effects is in no way analogous to proposed climate change regulations. Furthermore, those regulations didn't "transform society", they just substituted one product for another, indistinguishable one.

      go move to some communist country toxic hellhole city in China or Russia where society polluting HASN'T transformed by government mandate.

      Government mandates is why Chinese cities are toxic hellholes. You may live in a fantasy world where governments pass regulations that are good for the public and everybody just follows them, but in the real world, regulations are subject to regulatory capture.

    294. Re: Motivated rejection of science by NapalmV · · Score: 1

      Apparently economists are aware that the emperor has no clothes, the problem is that only very few of them dare to say it in public.

      The fact that Steve is a PhD level economist actually strengthens the argument. Non-economist critics are usually dismissed by the economists defending their "science" with an "economics is a very smart and complex thing; you can't possibly understand it unless you formally study it; since you haven't any degree in economics then we assume that you didn't understand it; thou shalt not speak of what you can't possibly understand". The keyword (and fallacy) is the word "assume". Read Steve's book, it has plenty of examples on how the whole dismal science is based on unproven or invalid assumptions.

    295. Re: Motivated rejection of science by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      What is a "proven scientific theory"? They're all theories that haven't been disproven yet, and may be disproven in the future. The A part of AGW is plausible, there's an obvious causal chain, it conforms to observed fact, and nobody's found any other satisfactory explanation. That's about as proven as they get.

      The part on actions is political rather than scientific. I'd rather argue either the politics or the science; doing them together seems to get people trying to judge the science according to their political leanings.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    296. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Alsee · · Score: 1

      I suspect a lot of AGW denialists are also Evolution deniers

      Indeed, there is a heavy overlap. Furthermore there's a well established correlation between conspiracy theories in general. Someone who believes in one conspiracy theory is more likely to believe in others. Anti-vaxxers and moon-landing deniers are more likely to be warming-deniers or creationists, creationists and warming-deniers are more likely to be anti-vaxxers or moon-landing deniers. Oh... and toss in 9/11 Truthers of course.

      Once you start believing NASA/Doctors/Biologists/Climatologists/Geologists or whoever are in on some vast global conspiracy of deception, it's easy to expand and merge the conspiracies.

      -

      --
      - - You can't take something off the Internet! That's like trying to take pee out of a swimming pool.
    297. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Alsee · · Score: 1

      Physics actually can answer it to some degree

      The laws of physics aren't PROVEN! They're JUST THEORIES!
      Checkmate, warmists.

      -

      --
      - - You can't take something off the Internet! That's like trying to take pee out of a swimming pool.
    298. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Alsee · · Score: 1

      I could point out that in 20 years of tracking the climate you'd EXPECT typically one result breaking the 95% confidence band on the high side and one result breaking the 95% confidence band on the low side.... and that I'm pretty sure we broke the 95% confidence band on the high side in 1998... but never mind that....

      The whole warming thing is basic undeniable laws of physics. Sunlight shines down, hits the ground or ocean, and turns into heat. And basic laws of physics, CO2 blocks thermal infrared energy from leaving. Heat energy is trapped, Q.E.D. the basic principal and basic fact of global warming is an absolute undeniable result of basic laws of physics. The only complicated part is exactly what will happen with that trapped thermal energy. Where will it go and what will it do.

      Surface temperatures have been rising slightly slower than predicted for the last few years, however the ocean temperatures have been rising faster than predicted for the last few years. That means the total warming balances out right just as expected. As I said, basic laws of physics, a pretty well predictable amount of heat energy was trapped, exactly as predicted.

      The complicated part is how that heat energy will flow in the climate system and what abnormal effects it will produce in climate system. And just as we (in general) expected, it resulted in random anomalies in climate circulation - there was anomalously high rate of ocean mixing carrying more of the heat energy into the deep ocean.

      The earth is warming exactly as expected, and weird random shit is starting to crop up in climate circulation patterns, just as anticipated. (I believe Donald Rumsfield would call these "Known Unknowns. We can predict that the climate is going to start doing weird shit we've never seen before, even if we can't predict exactly what that random shit is going to be. The overall heating of the Earth is a pretty well Known Known.)

      Changes in ocean circulation is a core expected "unknown". The slight increase in vertical mixing we got is pretty insignificant, it gives a temporary slowing in the land-temperature rise. But another very possible change in ocean circulation patterns would be a shift or shutoff of one of the north-south circulation loops. If that happens.... well.... then they're going to start saying the "Alarmists" were overly optimistic. No one can even guess at the odds of that, so scientists focus on the known-knowns of the total amount of warming and sea level rise.

      -

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      - - You can't take something off the Internet! That's like trying to take pee out of a swimming pool.
    299. Re:Motivated rejection of science by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Germany is roughly 1000km x 1000km big.

      Yes, there is always enough wind to power whole Germany without any need for storage.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    300. Re: Motivated rejection of science by budgenator · · Score: 1

      I've seen the code for one model, it was a while back but it was an obvious mess. The guys that write this stuff are mostly Phd candidates in something other than sofware engineering; usually they slave away on the code for a while then somebody else gets stuck on it. How much of the other 95 models currently used are available to "People who just want to tear it apart" I have no idea, but a lot more than most regulars realize especially if you don't mind having a previous version GISS Model II GCM is available for enquiring mind to play with.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    301. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Alsee · · Score: 1

      The Slashdot population leans heavy on the tech and science geek side, people who are generally pretty good at finding reliable websites like the National Academy of Science, and secondary websites that reasonably reflect reliable mainstream science.

      Usually.

      Except when it comes to fucking climate change, when suddenly a substantial portion of our population buy into some wacky conspiracy theory that the entire mainstream science community is in on some conspiracy to publish lies, and they start actively rejecting the fucking United States National Academy of Science as presumptively unreliable, and instead start digging up random blatantly trash websites that gain "reliable" status when they see that the info supports the "right" side of the issue. And you start running into "climate" papers cited to support a point - papers filled with blatant errors - and when you google the author's name to try to figure out what sort of idiot wrote it, it turns out the author wasn't a climate scientists at all..... no... the author was a "combustion engineer".... and then you think "WTF is a combustion engineer" and you find the link to his professional page you see (drumroll please) he's a combustion engineer specializing in how to burn coal better. And you can't help but laugh at the absurdity of it all. Because the otherwise competent geek you were debating with fell into paranoid conspiracy nonsense throwing out everything he knows about reliable science, and rejecting sites like the National Academy of science as "unreliable".... and instead found himself a "reliable" junksite that said what he wanted to hear.

      You can use reliable sites to figure out what to believe, or you can use what you believe to determine which websites are reliable. One of those two options doesn't work so well.

      -

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      - - You can't take something off the Internet! That's like trying to take pee out of a swimming pool.
    302. Re: Motivated rejection of science by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      "Societies transformed by science" is exactly what Nazi Germany and the Soviet Union were aiming for.

      Science is a Nazi communist consipiracy. Got it. I guess that means Einstein was a Nazi collaborator?

      On the other hand, there has never been a society successfully "transformed by science".

      He says by typing it out on THE INTERNET.

      Having lived in communist countries and having relatives how lived under the Nazis, I don't have to imagine. And knowing a bit of history, I also know what leads there, and it starts with people like you.

      Am I a Nazi or a Communist?

      I have to tell you, I intend to quote you. You are the single greatest argument for government action on climate change I have ever come across.

    303. Re:Motivated rejection of science by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      No, it is roughly 250.
      And people don't care if they are placed 30 miles off the coast.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    304. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Alsee · · Score: 1

      "everyone thinks this" is not always the best argument for something

      It's a damn sight better than "all the experts think that, therefor I'm going to spin a wild conspiracy theory and believe the opposite!"

      -

      --
      - - You can't take something off the Internet! That's like trying to take pee out of a swimming pool.
    305. Re: Motivated rejection of science by spkay31 · · Score: 1

      Thanks for this well written and very factual account of the "global warming/climate change" science and research. I am in complete agreement with your position on all of these issues. The most significant disagreement I have with many of the "climate change" alarmists is primarily with (7). Up until the last point I have some belief that there is reasonable evidence, although item (6) is a highly speculative and subjective claim that can be very valid for a percentage of the population (in particular those with coastal based real estate or livelihoods that can be greatly impacted). As you state the politics surrounding the government actions that will be taken to address the largely undisputed points (1-3) as well as the others (with varying degrees of scientific data to support them) is where the real dispute exists. Even if everyone in both political parties and from the most liberal to conservative ideologies is in complete agreement on point 1-6, what the government should or can do is an issue that should also be openly and widely debated in the scientific and public policy communities. The current arguments for reduction of CO2 emissions largely attributable to fossil fuel consumption are certainly worthy of consideration but as we have seen by studies on the ethanol production based on renewable (mostly corn) sources the solutions are sometimes worse than the original problem after final analysis. The skeptical scientist in me (2 electrical engineering degrees) has me convinced that both political parties are far more interested in the economic ramifications of the legislative agenda (thus the ramifications of economic benefits/detriments to their party's coffers) than the real consequences to life on planet earth.

    306. Re: Motivated rejection of science by BrianPRabbit · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry you seem to have trouble with scientific terminology. When scientist informally talk about "proven theories", it doesn't mean "proven" in the mathematical sense, it simply means that a theory has very strong experimental support. (4-7) do not.

      I am Scientist and I don't recall Colleagues using the phrase "proven theories" ever.

      It isn't sufficient for predictions to be accurate in order to support a scientific theory.

      General accuracy of prediction, which the models have tended to have, is often considered a "good enough" basis upon which to act, however. For example, while Newton's theory of gravity did not jibe exactly with experimental results due to, say, wind resistance, the predictions were "close enough" to results for Others to accept the theory as a "good enough" basis upon which to make whatever relevant decisions were at hand.

      In fact, points 5-7 aren't scientific questions at all; they are questions about social science, economics, and politics.

      Social science is a science, as are economics and political science. Technically, however, point #7 is better described not as one of politics/political science but as a point about behavioral science and its ability to assist in influencing the state of the environment.

    307. Re: Motivated rejection of science by stenvar · · Score: 1

      For example, while Newton's theory of gravity did not jibe exactly with experimental results due to, say, wind resistance, the predictions were "close enough" to results for Others to accept the theory

      As I was saying, it is not about accuracy. Experiments verifying Newton's theory can be carried out independently by anybody anywhere under a wide range of conditions, requiring no reliance on anybody else's data or devices. That's why people accepted it. That is not true for climate change research. And predictions 10 years out tell us nothing about whether the models are going to be true 100 years out: completely different and untested conditions.

      Social science is a science, as are economics and political science.

      Questions 5-7 are not scientific questions because they can't be answered using the scientific method. Whether practitioners of those disciplines fancy themselves "scientists" is irrelevant.

    308. Re: Motivated rejection of science by stenvar · · Score: 1

      Science is a Nazi communist consipiracy.

      Not at all. It is the attempt to transform a society based on science that is the hallmark of fascism and communism. The problem with it is that it never succeeds. Science ends up being and corrupted by such attempts.

      Got it. I guess that means Einstein was a Nazi collaborator?

      Einstein left because the scientists in Germany had concluded that Jews were inferior human beings and Germany's rational, scientific society acted upon that belief. That's the kind of thing that happens when you try to use science as the basis of government: it doesn't result in better government, it merely corrupts science.

      Am I a Nazi or a Communist?

      I suspect you're ideologically closer to fascism than communism, but differences are minor.

    309. Re: Motivated rejection of science by stenvar · · Score: 1

      What is a "proven scientific theory"?

      Same thing as a "proven soccer player" or a "proven hairdresser": a theory that delivers good, reliable results in many independent tests.

      The A part of AGW is plausible, there's an obvious causal chain, it conforms to observed fact, and nobody's found any other satisfactory explanation. That's about as proven as they get.

      I said that: points (1-3) are "mostly accepted".

      Nevertheless, that is far from "as proven as they get". Most scientific theories have withstood thousands of independent experiments under a wide variety of conditions. A single observation for which people have found no better explanation is exceptionally weak as far as support for a theory goes.

    310. Re: Motivated rejection of science by the_arrow · · Score: 1

      What do you think will happen if climate change leads to less fresh water being available, or arable land starts shrinking? While bad in itself, you don't think events such as those will lead to war?

      Even if the human race can cope well with potential climate change, you will still get wars. So the worst case scenario is both problems due to climate change and wars.

      So by combating potential climate change we might be able to prevent drought/famine and war at the same time.

      --
      / The Arrow
      "How lovely you are. So lovely in my straightjacket..." - Nny
    311. Re:Motivated rejection of science by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Oops, I miscalculated, turned the numbers in my mind or something. 1000 : 25 = 40, so 40 turbines are needed.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    312. Re: Motivated rejection of science by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      Not at all. It is the attempt to transform a society based on science that is the hallmark of fascism and communism. The problem with it is that it never succeeds.

      Except in case where it does, e.g. the one you live in, but apparently think is a Nazi/Communist conspiracy.

      Einstein left because the scientists in Germany had concluded that Jews were inferior human beings and Germany's rational, scientific society acted upon that belief.

      So in your mind, the idea that Jews are inferior is rational and scientific?

      Am I a Nazi or a Communist?

      I suspect you're ideologically closer to fascism than communism, but differences are minor.

      Well, thanks for letting me know.

    313. Re: Motivated rejection of science by BrianPRabbit · · Score: 1

      As I was saying, it is not about accuracy.

      Accuracy, is a necessary component and the higher the accuracy and more frequent the accuracy, such as with a number of climate models, the more likely, all else being equal, such a theory is correct.

      That's why people accepted it. That is not true for climate change research. And predictions 10 years out tell us nothing about whether the models are going to be true 100 years out: completely different and untested conditions.

      Researchers can construct new models or modify existing ones, make predictions about what One should find, say, in tree rings and/or ice cores and extrapolate if found to be accurate.

      Questions 5-7 are not scientific questions because they can't be answered using the scientific method. Whether practitioners of those disciplines fancy themselves "scientists" is irrelevant.

      Based on this statement, I will go out on a proverbial limb and say You are not that familiar with what Social Scientists, Economists, or Political Scientists actually do.

    314. Re: Motivated rejection of science by stenvar · · Score: 1

      Accuracy, is a necessary component

      Yes, it is necessary. I was saying that it isn't sufficient. Do you have trouble understanding the difference between "necessary" and "sufficient"?

      and the higher the accuracy and more frequent the accuracy, such as with a number of climate models, the more likely, all else being equal, such a theory is correct.

      Yes. And for climate models, there is exactly one data point: one prediction over the span of a few years, and the accuracy of that prediction has been low. Therefore, there is very little experimental support for climate

      Researchers can construct new models or modify existing ones, make predictions about what One should find, say, in tree rings and/or ice cores and extrapolate if found to be accurate.

      None of that has anything to do with testing the validity of climate models that people are actually using to forecast climate change over the next 100 years.

      Based on this statement, I will go out on a proverbial limb and say You are not that familiar with what Social Scientists, Economists, or Political Scientists actually do.

      It is irrelevant what they "actually do" in general. The question is whether they can answer the specific questions of their disciplines related to climate modeling using the scientific method, and they cannot; that's not a judgment about their disciplines, it's a simple observations about the questions involved.

    315. Re: Motivated rejection of science by stenvar · · Score: 1

      Except in case where it does, e.g. the one you live in, but apparently think is a Nazi/Communist conspiracy.

      As I was saying: I like living in societies transformed by science, I do not like living in societies transformed by government mandate, whether that transformation is rooted in science or anything else. Governments have no business transforming societies. If they try to, disaster ensues.

      So in your mind, the idea that Jews are inferior is rational and scientific?

      Are you incapable of understanding basic written English? Are you so daft and unfamiliar with European and US history that a basic historical fact confuses you, namely the fact that racism, both in the US and Europe was widely advocated and justified by the science and scientists at the time?

      My statement "Einstein left because the scientists in Germany had concluded that Jews were inferior human beings" should require no further elaboration.

    316. Re: Motivated rejection of science by stenvar · · Score: 1

      What do you think will happen if climate change leads to less fresh water being available, or arable land starts shrinking?

      Why would it? In fact, it looks to me like total arable land will likely increase. Freshwater will also likely increase, since there will be increased evaporation from oceans.

      While bad in itself, you don't think events such as those will lead to war?

      About a third of the Netherlands is underwater; are the Dutch attacking Belgium or Germany? Did the starving people of the Sahel invade Europe in murderous attacks?

    317. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your sources discuss Lenin saying it - but not writing it down.

      Either way, Glenn Beck didn't "invent" it.

      ÐоÐÐÐнÑÐ ÐÑfÑÐÐÐ

    318. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or things could get better.

    319. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      About a third of the Netherlands is underwater; are the Dutch attacking Belgium or Germany? Did the starving people of the Sahel invade Europe in murderous attacks?

      The Dutch don't invade Belgium or Germany because they can get welfare through socialism, as they belong to the EU. Likewise, people in Sahel can appeal to bleeding heart liberals in Europe (and the US) to redistribute your tax dollars to help them.

      So yes, there were murderous attacks. They're ongoing. Every dollar your government steals from you to feed them is making it harder for you and your children to live. It is "killing" you bit by bit.

    320. Re: Motivated rejection of science by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      (5) Human activity will result in temperature increases in the 21st century that are larger than those experienced in the 20th century. [unproven, speculative]

      (6) Temperature increase in the 21st century will have devastating consequences for humans. [highly speculative, controversial]

      5. Unproven, in that you can't "prove it" before it happens sure. But if you trust the concept of models in science in general, then there is no reason to not trust the climate models that say the temp is going to rise by X amount in Y years, plus/minus Z error range.

      6. If you believe the models provide a useful prediction (plus/minus some error range) of something like temperature over time, then why not trust models that are also predicting things like levels of ocean acidification, ice melt, etc.. that we know, really know, what things will happen to the Earth as a result. Like.. all fisheries dying if the ocean is X acidic. That would be fairly devastating.

    321. Re: Motivated rejection of science by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      I suspect a lot of AGW denialists are also Evolution deniers

      Across the country, yes. On slashdot, I suspect most people critical of AGW actually do believe in evolution. Which kind of blows my mind. These people would have likely also believed that cigarettes were harmless and not addictive in the 80's, while simultaneously believing in evolution.

      I guess the only way to explain it, is that 'big oil' and 'big tobacco' funded a disinformation campaign. There is no 'big anti-evolution company' to fund a disinformation campaign on that issue.

    322. Re: Motivated rejection of science by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      http://www.skepticalscience.com/ipcc-model-gw-projections-done-better-than-you-think.html

    323. Re: Motivated rejection of science by stenvar · · Score: 1

      5. Unproven, in that you can't "prove it" before it happens sure. But if you trust the concept of models in science in general, then there is no reason to not trust the climate models that say the temp is going to rise by X amount in Y years, plus/minus Z error range.

      Whether one should trust a model depends on (1) whether it has been experimentally tested, and (2) what assumptions go into it. Most scientific models are tested directly experimentally; you cannot do that for climate models. In addition, I have looked at climate models in some detail, and they rely on assumptions and mechanisms that themselves are untested, such as assumptions about the existence of specific positive feedback mechanisms and the absence of unknown negative feedback mechanisms. In addition, some of them are not physical assumptions, but assumptions about population growth and the economy.

      6. If you believe the models provide a useful prediction (plus/minus some error range) of something like temperature over time, then why not trust models that are also predicting things like levels of ocean acidification, ice melt, etc.. that we know, really know, what things will happen to the Earth as a result. Like.. all fisheries dying if the ocean is X acidic. That would be fairly devastating.

      Even if you believe the predictions themselves, the predicted costs also depend on numerous more assumptions. For example, why is sea level rise necessarily a big problem? One third of the Netherlands is below sea level, but you don't see the Dutch either starving or invading their neighbors; yet that's the prediction AGW activists make for that situation for other countries. And basic economics tell us that almost no disaster 100 years from now warrants taking action now, but AGW activists are quite selective in their use of science and economics.

      Personally, I think that if we don't mess up our global economy, two things will happen. First, people will quickly move off fossil fuels all by themselves, because better technologies will come along all by themselves. Second, a century from now, almost the entire world will be wealthier than the Dutch are today, so even if some of the more dire predictions of AGW were to come true, people across the globe would be sufficiently wealthy to deal with it.

    324. Re: Motivated rejection of science by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      As I was saying: I like living in societies transformed by science, I do not like living in societies transformed by government mandate, whether that transformation is rooted in science or anything else.

      And as I was saying, feel free to join the Amish.

      So in your mind, the idea that Jews are inferior is rational and scientific?

      [snip irrelevant blather]

      It's a simple question requiring a yes or no answer. Yes or No?

    325. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And as I was saying, feel free to join the Amish.

      It is because I like to live in a modern, technologically advanced society that I think people like you need to be stopped. The primary harm to progress and science comes from handing it over to government.

      It's a simple question requiring a yes or no answer. Yes or No?

      I'm not going to dignify that question with an answer, in particular when asked by a proto-fascist like you. Crawl back into the totalitarian hole you came from.

    326. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Bust0ut · · Score: 1

      "inconvenient for their politics".. uhh then he calls it politics after all that, haha

      --
      He is crazy if you think about it; I am not.
    327. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To deconstruct this:

      (1) Human activity has raised the level of CO2 and methane in the atmosphere beyond what it would otherwise be. [Uncontroversial]

      (2) Mean global temperatures have increased over the 20th century. [mostly accepted]

      (3) Human activity has contributed to some degree to that increase. [mostly accepted]

      (4) Human activity is the primary cause of temperature increase over the 20th century. [unproven]

      (5) Human activity will result in temperature increases in the 21st century that are larger than those experienced in the 20th century. [unproven, speculative]

      (6) Temperature increase in the 21st century will have devastating consequences for humans. [highly speculative, controversial]

      (7) Government intervention now can reduce temperature increases in the 21st century significantly. [highly speculative, completely implausible]

      So, the only thing that scientists agree on are (1-3). The rest is unproven, speculative, and often implausible. But without (4-7), observations (1-3) simply aren't worth teaching in school. And activists and politicians promoting government action like to pretend that agreement on (1-3) implies agreement on (4-7).

      Wow. Where to begin.

      First: you're missing several important points that are generally agreed upon:

      (8) atmospheric carbon dioxide and methane trap thermal energy and increase temperatures [accepted by the vast majority, backed up by solid theoretical models and experimental evidence]

      (9) mathematical models allow approximate calculation of the temperature increase caused by a given level of atmospheric CO2/CH4 [broadly accepted]

      (10) application of the data in (1) and the model in (9) shows that the effect (3) is large. [logical consequence of previous statements]

      This is enough to justify teaching everything. Also note:

      (a) while statement (10) is not the same as the statement (4) that you dismiss as "unproven", no other mechanism of global warming has been proposed that any significant number of scientists agree could account for an effect larger than the effect of human-produced greenhouse gases. This means that statement (4) may be "unproven" but is accepted by the vast majority of scientists as by far the most likely hypothesis thus far presented, i.e. it is considered very likely to be true.

      (b) application of model (9) to economic models of the growth in world resource usage yields statement (5) as its expected outcome. Yes, this can be labelled as "speculative" and there are various possible ways in which it could turn out not to be true (e.g. a cheap and readily implemented method of producing a self-sustaining nuclear fusion reaction could be published tomorrow leading all the major world powers to phase out fossil fuel electricity production over the next 5 years) but broadly speaking almost all scientists who have studied the problem agree that it is the most likely outcome.

      (c) while statement (6) is harder to quantify, a large number of plausible threats have been identified, beginning with higher overall thermal energy leading to increased prevalence of tropical storms (considered uncontroversial by the majority of climatologists) leading up to outright disaster scenarios (e.g. release of methane stored over the long term in ice leading to even more rapid warming and significant melting of the artic ice cap / greenland glaciers causing sea level rises of several centimetres per annum; an outcome considered possible but unlikely).

      (d) statement (7) is only implausible for as long as the government has no will to act. Most governments have already taken significant steps to reduce CO2 emissions, with the only significant exceptions being the US and China. While it is admittedly true that without those two governments taking similar steps to those already taken by the majority of the rest of the world CO2 emission levels are doomed to continue rising, a simple change in heart of those two governments could lead to significant reductions in emissions over the next 10-20 years.

    328. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Shadowmist · · Score: 1

      true I guess. My only concern is that an event like this would destroy our cities, kill billions of people, and end civilizations. call my selfish but I'd rather keep things as they are, including maintaining a tight CO2/temperature band. I guess I'm a conservative in that way.

      Unfortunately that ship has sailed. However we can choose to do something about how badly change is going to impact us and our descendants. Nothing we can do now is going to prevent a good deal of Antarctica's and Greenland's ice from sliding into the ocean. The only question now is whether any of that ice is going to be unmelted before the next two centuries pass. The only question is whether we're going to keep ocean rise to some level or are we just going to let the bulk of our coastal cities drown, our agriculture cycles go to heck, and pretend that we had nothing to do with it.

    329. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Shadowmist · · Score: 1

      North polar ice is indeed diminishing. South polar ice is increasing. You phrase this as if to suggest both are melting. It is a lie. Start with an obvious lie and nothing else in your post can be taken seriously.

      "Increasing" or "decreasing" mean nothing without some kind of quantity. For instance, the greenland ice sheet (arctic) is melting at a rate of 367 Gt/year between 2008 and 2012 which dwarfs antarctica's meager increase of 33Gt/year.

      Anyone who thinks that the southern ice cap has been increasing must be ignoring everything that's been coming out in the news on the West Antarctic ice sheets this week.

    330. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Time to beat them with the hockey stick...(opps forgot that was a complete scam).....how about the temperature a mile down of "a million degrees" as quoted by Al Gore? Is florida flooded yet? And did the "climate Coalition" get free from the ice pack in the Antarctica in the summer (our winter)?

      Way too much conflicting data and no evidence. If the effort to promote the agenda was spent on analysis and fact finding, perhaps the debate would truly be over.

    331. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The source of that data is the IPCC dude, sorry.

    332. Re: Motivated rejection of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is this the same IPCC that has been caught repeatedly fabricating data?

    333. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Papaspud · · Score: 1

      No, the reason they aren't being built is the time it takes to get one online..... if you ever can get it approved then the court cases start, never ending delays and changes. The lack of surety of if you can ever get the project off the ground stops all the money from investing in these things.

      --
      Everything above is my opinion....YMMV
    334. Re:Motivated rejection of science by Papaspud · · Score: 1

      I would suggest the chances of future global extinctions- more than one in the future of the earth- are like 100%. We WILL get hit by another big space rock, we WILL have gigantic super eruptions again. The question is just when. I think that the vast majority of todays extinctions are caused by mans need for places to live and food to eat, we are not leaving anyplace for other animals to live. This is caused by too many people, good luck getting people to stop breeding like rabbits.

      --
      Everything above is my opinion....YMMV
    335. Re: Motivated rejection of science by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Opinion is not the same as experimental validation, and I am unaware of such experimental rigor as applied to climate modelling.

      It's just a difference in time constants. Particle events are fast. You can observe millions of them within a single second. Climate events are slow. The formulate/validate/refine-a-theory cycle is simply progressing slower.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
  3. Stupidity rules by X10 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Or is it the money that rules?

    --
    no, I don't have a sig
    1. Re:Stupidity rules by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Money rules the stupid.

    2. Re:Stupidity rules by Xyrus · · Score: 2

      Nah, Wyoming saw how stupid Kansas is and are now trying to take the crown. They have a ways to go, but this is an excellent start.

      --
      ~X~
  4. Why the hell... by NoKaOi · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ...should a lawyer get to determine the science curriculum? Shouldn't it be, you know, people who are educated in science that decide the science curriculum? (yes, that was rhetorical, I know damn well what the answer is)

    I think Wyoming can do far better.

    I agree!

    1. Re:Why the hell... by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 0

      "educated in science" is in and of itself an oxymoron.

      You can't be educated in science.

      You can be educated in the scientific method. You can have curiosity and observation. But you can't be "educated in science". When science ceases to be about observation and becomes about education, it becomes indoctrination, no different from any other religion.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    2. Re:Why the hell... by dkf · · Score: 1

      ...should a lawyer get to determine the science curriculum?

      Perhaps we should get a musician to determine the law curriculum and a scientist to determine the arts curriculum. It makes just as much sense.

      --
      "Little does he know, but there is no 'I' in 'Idiot'!"
    3. Re:Why the hell... by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 2

      The "scientific method" is a way to verify what is true. The set of observations Humanity has accumulated across the millennia and the theories that explain how these observations mesh together _is_ Science.

      And it is very much something you have to learn to build upon and further your understanding. Science education is no oxymoron, you simply misunderstand what is Science.

    4. Re:Why the hell... by Cantankerous+Cur · · Score: 1

      I'm afraid don't agree.

      What exactly does taking courses in Biology or Chemistry or Physics mean then if not being educated in science? One learns the 'rules' that govern this reality. These rules are foundation of understanding the physical world and making conjecture about it.

    5. Re:Why the hell... by AlterEager · · Score: 1

      ...should a lawyer get to determine the science curriculum?

      Perhaps we should get a musician to determine the law curriculum and a scientist to determine the arts curriculum. It makes just as much sense.

      No, it makes much more sense. Musicians often have to deal with the law and most scientists like art. Lawyers however appear to have less respect for the law than anyone else.

    6. Re:Why the hell... by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 2

      Taking courses in science done by somebody else is history, not science. Science is doing it yourself.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    7. Re:Why the hell... by hey! · · Score: 1

      Reasoning and factual knowledge go hand in hand. A modest fund of basic scientific fact and terminology is indispensable to an educated person. What is energy? Entropy? What is a molecule? Radiation? What does statistical significance mean?

      I agree that observation is probably given short shrift. But Emersonian self-reliance notwithstanding, it's still essential to be able to see the big picture outside your parochial experience. If most of us judged by what was going on outside our front doors last winter, we'd say, "what global warming? It's *cold* out here!" Never mind what was going on *elsewhere* in the globe, if we rely solely on our personal observations we'll get a different picture than people looking at the whole pattern (jet stream, anomalies in sparsely populated parts of the globe like East Greenland).

      Holding to the notion that something is more significant because *I* experienced it isn't the hallmark of an educated person.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    8. Re:Why the hell... by bugs2squash · · Score: 1

      Any board that makes the statement...

      The board did not adopt the standards. Instead, board members asked the committee to revise the standards to present climate change as a theory, instead of a fact, and to present the benefits mineral extraction has brought Wyoming, Micheli said.

      can't really claim to know jack about the scientific method

      --
      Nullius in verba
    9. Re:Why the hell... by prefec2 · · Score: 1

      Your claim is stupid, because it would require to re-test everything during your stay at university. In reality you learn many of the laws of your field derived from applications of the scientific method. You learn about Newton's law and do not need to reproduce it, as it has already be tested and it is a good model for certain contexts. In CS you learn about Gödel's incompleteness theorems you do not need to come up with the proof yourself you just learn it. And you learn about the consequences of it. And this is not indoctrination, it is learning.

    10. Re:Why the hell... by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Taking courses in science done by somebody else is history, not science. Science is doing it yourself.

      Now I wish I had mod-points, for that was truly insightful.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    11. Re:Why the hell... by NoKaOi · · Score: 1

      "educated in science" is in and of itself an oxymoron.

      No, It's not.

      You can't be educated in science.

      Yes, you can.

      Okay, I think I know what you're getting at, but trying to make your point by arguing the semantics of one phrase is pointless and and completely detracts from the point you're trying to make. To me, educated in science means 2 things:
      1. The scientific method. Not just memorizing the names of some steps and knowing what to fill in the blanks on a class lab report, but really understanding what they mean, how to apply them, how to evaluate how somebody else applied them and be able to understand the conclusions of somebody else's peer reviewed paper, so you can translate the journalist's headline of "zOMG This is Going to Change the World" to "Researcher Discovers Something That May Suggest Something Interesting to Study Further."
      2. Stuff that has been discovered and validated using the scientific method (biology, chemistry, physics, etc). This not only gives you useful or interesting information about the world, it also helps you understand #1 and gives you background you need in order to practice #1.

      I think what you're getting at is that "science education" has really become only #2, but it should be #1 and #2. With that, I agree. Most schools do a piss-poor to nonexistent job at teaching #1. Even universities tend to do a poor job at teaching #1, the difference between university and high school is that high schoolers don't even know about #1 while university students know about #1, and think they understand it, but can't really apply it very well. Not until you're going for your PhD (in some cases MS depending on the program) do students really get to understand #1. Obviously I'm speaking to the majority, there are some teachers/mentors at lower levels that are able to instill #1, but it really needs to be stressed more at the high school and undergrad levels.

    12. Re:Why the hell... by Cantankerous+Cur · · Score: 1

      Utterly foolish so far as I can tell. Or do you advocate someone practicing being a doctor without any training?

    13. Re:Why the hell... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because the US model of (small-r) republicanism has been systematically designed, from the Constitution upwards, to allow lawyers to determine everything.

      Each side gets the best lawyer they can afford, the lawyers duke it out, and the result is canonically Correct. That's the way law, and law-making, work (and have always worked) in the USA.

      In some ways, it's worked surprisingly well. There are some obvious exceptions, but American law has mostly evolved in a direction that matches most people's idea of "good". As time has gone by, it's abolished slavery (locally at least), granted the vote to women and blacks - and most controversially of all, Indians - and most recently, allowed gays to marry. There are setbacks, of course - it happens all the time, as it did in 1861 and 1925 - but looked at overall, in the long term, the direction has been a good one.

      Of course, it's possible that other systems of government would work better. Some Europeans believe their systems are superior, for instance. Unfortunately there's no real objective way of deciding questions like that, so it's largely down to personal preference and interpretation. But no-one can reasonably deny that the US lawyer-driven experiment has worked - mostly, pretty well.

    14. Re:Why the hell... by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      So, are you going to repeat every experiment going clear back to Archimedes? Of course not. Isaac Newton famously said "If I have seen further it is by standing on the shoulders of giants." Science advances by building on what has been done by others in the past. If their results are incorrect then it will become evident in your incorrect results. Communicating your scientific findings is as important as doing it in the first place.

    15. Re:Why the hell... by delt0r · · Score: 1

      Get to know a few more scientists. You would be surprised just how "normal*" we are.

      * normal, as in prejudiced, dogmatic, illogical and as unscientific on our approach to "truth" as everyone else.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    16. Re:Why the hell... by dave420 · · Score: 1

      So how would you describe learning physics? "Physics history"? Then what's history? "History history?" Or last week's scientific discoveries? "Last-week's science history"? We have the word "science" to denote the field, the method, and the findings. They're all aspects of science. Did you suck at science or something?

    17. Re:Why the hell... by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 0

      There has been no real advance in physics for well over 70 years now. Just about everybody who has actually done original research in physics is dead.

      All that is left is engineering.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    18. Re:Why the hell... by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      I advocate learning history first, before practicing science.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    19. Re:Why the hell... by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      And thus, HISTORY.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    20. Re:Why the hell... by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      Yep, you've got it.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    21. Re:Why the hell... by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      No, it just means you have to recognize the difference between History and Science- and reject calling classes that are mere history, science.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    22. Re:Why the hell... by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      Good defense of History. Now want to try to defend science?

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    23. Re:Why the hell... by Cantankerous+Cur · · Score: 1

      ...which wasn't the question. You stated that 'educated in science' is an oxymoron. I said otherwise. It's pure sophistry to claim that scientific fact/theory established previously is history (or even mostly history). Yes, certainly, someone established it in a given year and did it in a certain way, but this is irrelevant from the scientific perspective. We simply care that 'this is fact or theory and here is the evidence'. In what rational way can you say that 'nitrogen is generally not found in its elemental form, but typically found as N2 in a triple bond', history? And that's the point, it isn't history. It's something that's just as true today as when it was discovered and still just as relevant to understanding the world. It's integral to understanding something like crop rotation because of nitrogen fixation.

      I can only wonder if you're trying to cheapen science by making the comparison to history, where proving anything is nigh impossible. And it's bullocks. Science's trademark is being verifiable or demonstrable but [insert obligatory quotation that not everything is]. And dear god, this is dull. I need some yeast-fermented liquid science. Please excuse me.

    24. Re:Why the hell... by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      Anything that happened at least 5.39106(32) × 1044 s ago, the smallest unit of time we can measure, is history.

      What is happening *right now*, and predictions of what will happen in the future, is science.

      I never said history wasn't *true*. I said it wasn't science. There are many things outside of science that are true.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
  5. They don't agree with us! Burn them! by cookYourDog · · Score: 3, Insightful

    As someone who believes in climate change, I'm growing very uneasy with the language being used by both sides to describe dissenting opinions. It feels like the biggest threat we'll face in the future is not a changing environment, but one another.

  6. Re:how to have no issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But the union!
    The holy union!
    And Progress!
    Who will step up to pollute our precious bodily fluids?
    Who will teach it to rub the lotion on its skin?

  7. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Yes, in particular, language like the word "believe" being used for scientific theories.

  8. Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wrong! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Informative

    Anyone that can make it through an undergraduate text on atmospheric science and still maintain that CO2 does not cause warming is fooling themselves. One one side of this argument we have idiots who fundamentally do not understand what they are arguing against. Radiative transfer is not that hard, and if you're going to argue that the science is bullshit, then you should know the science. Not the global climate simulations, but the absorbtion spectra of various gases in the atmosphere, because those can be trivially measured. The effects of anthropogenic climate change are up for debate, that CO2 causes warming and that humans are really fucking good at generating it is really not. If you don't like it, prove me wrong.

    You could start reading here, or pick up a real textbook. It might take you a whole afternoon. Be warned, it's chock-full of actual observations and -- dare I say? -- inconvenient truths.

  9. *grabs popcorn* by ChunderDownunder · · Score: 3, Informative
    1. Re:*grabs popcorn* by BenfromMO · · Score: 0
      Excellent, the state knows that CO2 is beneficial to the planet as this NASA study shows:

      http://earthobservatory.nasa.g...

      Obviously since this data was taken during a time period where the planet both WARMED and CO2 increased, we should pump even more CO2 into our biosphere. CO2 is a plant fertilizer!

    2. Re: *grabs popcorn* by Adriax · · Score: 1

      Of the 4 routes out of my area, all of them require driving 100+ miles before you reach another major town (as defined as having more than 1 gas station and a post office that opens atleast an hour a day).

      Your claim is not exactly a shocking revelation.

      --
      I don't suffer from insanity, I enjoy every minute of it!
    3. Re:*grabs popcorn* by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unfortunately the additional CO2 produces shit-tasting vegetables, with low nutritional value per pound. Shit-tasting vegetable concentrate with squid and synthetic spices, that's on the menu in the future, always. Combating the effects of the possibly coming Maunder minimum would be a better choice as an argument.

    4. Re:*grabs popcorn* by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      CO2 is beneficial in the same way that iron is beneficial to the human body. Might as well take the whole bottle, right?

    5. Re:*grabs popcorn* by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wut? Please tell me you're joking. Green-houses produce great-tasting vegetables, and they do so at a much higher concentration of CO2 (1000-2000 ppm) than open-air farms. They also get much better yields and can grow year-long because of internal heating. The only problem is that they're much smaller-scale and require a bunch of power to keep that much CO2 in the air as well as maintain heating levels in winter time.

    6. Re:*grabs popcorn* by michael_cain · · Score: 2

      Roughly two-thirds of the coal-fired electricity generated in Wyoming is consumed in other states. It's hard to blame just Wyoming when Oregon finds it cheaper to burn coal in Wyoming and transmit electricity than to ship Wyoming coal and burn it in Oregon.

    7. Re:*grabs popcorn* by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure, plants get most of their carbon from the atmosphere. This is why fertilizers have "N-P-K" on them and not C. There are other factors involved in growing plants, though, if you've ever done so. And by that I don't mean sticking a seed in some dirt and throwing some water on it when you remember. Lets say that hypothetically you were growing hydroponic tomatoes. If you're only paying attention to the plant's fertilizers, and ignoring the pH, temperature, and humidity, (we'll ignore EC for these purposes) you are going to grow some shitty plants. This is what that article you linked says: for this past decade, the temperature changes have been mild enough that the primary effect of the increased carbon is increased production. However, CO2 is toxic for plants above, well, probably about 1200 ppm, and way the hell before that we will have fried the planet to a crisp. Temperature ranges are hugely important for plant growth, both on the day-to-day level and long-term. Even increases in variability will negatively affect growth.

      Now, there are also other considerations. It's not incorrect to say that CO2 is beneficial to the planet, and if the change in CO2 levels happened over a few million years no one would be complaining. It's the rate of change that is the problem. Also, while terrestrial plants and probably algae are pretty good to go, increased CO2 means more carbonic acid in the oceans, which tends to kill corals.

      Now fuck off, troll.

  10. What you get by hebertrich · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Yep .. that's what you get when you let corporations pay for the politicians bills.
    They are owned by industry and will never side with the People they are supposedly there to represent .. which they are not.
    Democracy is dead in the US .. rather .. it never existed. All an illusion.

    1. Re:What you get by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Cue the imbeciles arguing that the US is a republic, and not a democracy.

    2. Re:What you get by prefec2 · · Score: 1

      Many people confuse the form of a state and its economic system with the governing method. For starters: A state could be a republic or a monarchy, where in a republic the leader position is not transferred to a child (or another person in the family hierarchy/dynasty) of the present leader. A monarchy is quite the opposite. The economic dimension is nowadays defined by either total all is owned by specific persons vs. all is owned by everyone. This not necessarily means that the state owns everything, but that is an option. The third dimension is the way how the governing happens. That could be democratic in various flavors from direct democracy over parliament democracy or elected presidents to dictatorships.

      China, for instance, is a republic with a more or less capitalistic economic system and a dictator which is presently Mr. Xi. North Korea mostly looks like a monarchy, dictatorship with a state controlled economy.

      The US is a republic and it has a capitalistic economy. Its government is democratic by constitution, however, due to reciprocal effects the democratic selection process is broken. This is a problem in most western democracies at the moment. And we MUST fix it.

    3. Re:What you get by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, illusions abound. Like that early September freeze that was so severe it killed thousands of head of cattle. They just imagined it because they are not scientists and don't know that really severe fatal freezes cannot happen in September, because you know, as a scientist, that the globe is "hotter than its ever been before". ALL AN ILLUSION!!

  11. the progression by BonThomme · · Score: 3, Funny

    it's not happening.

    if it is happening, it's a good thing.

    ok, it's happening, but it's not man-made.

    ok, it's not good, but it's still not man-made.

    jesus would fix it if we had prayer in school.

    1. Re:the progression by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1. It's not happening
      2. Something may be happening, but we can't do anything about it
      3. There may be something we could do about it, but we shouldn't
      4. Maybe we could've done something, but it's too late now.

      A brief surf through anti-AGW sites will show people, as of this year, arguing all four stages of this strategy in parallel.

  12. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well, the important thing is that you've found a way to feel superior to both.

  13. Money by masonc · · Score: 1

    Wyoming has the best politicians money can afford. It won't matter as kids get information from all over, so they will see this through this pretty quickly.

    --
    CM www.cometenergysystems.com Blog: http://caribbeanrenewable.blogspot.com/
  14. Sceptical doesn't cover it Wyoming... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    So they are sceptical about man made climate change, that is good, science should not be taken as gospel. But once you read and understand the peer reviewed science the scepticism should be abated. Otherwise you not sceptical you are in denial, you are a climate change denier.

    In the same vein I am sceptical about the existence of a man made Wyoming, can someone demonstrate scientifically (outside of a mass human psychosis) that this alluded/deluded place actually exists. Yes I've see some nice rock formations out there (devil's tower), but if some young person claiming to be from there comes to me for a job that includes science as a requirement do I:-

    a) Send them to the funny farm
    b) Ask for peer reviewed science to prove their alleged education
    c) Once proved to my satisfaction reject them for having an inadequate education.

  15. Fathers and Uncles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No doubt they're going to reject anything that blames these students' fathers and uncles employers for hurting the planet. Rewind back to the Kasnas' State Board of Education anti-evolution campaign...
     
    Long live the Flying Spaghetti Monster!!

  16. Not the only problem... by mwvdlee · · Score: 2

    Amy Edmonds, of the Wyoming Liberty Group, says teaching 'one view of what is not settled science about global warming' is just one of a number of problems with the standards.

    It's may be "one of a number of problems", but for some reason it's also the only "problem" mentioned.

    --
    Slashdot social media options: AIM, ICQ, Yahoo, Jabber and Mobile Text. Why no MySpace?
    1. Re:Not the only problem... by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      The other problems they had probably weren't interesting to reporters.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    2. Re:Not the only problem... by AlterEager · · Score: 1

      The other problems they had probably weren't interesting to reporters.

      Yeah, they really don't dig quantum chromodynamics in Wyoming.

    3. Re:Not the only problem... by careysub · · Score: 2

      The article does mention one other problematic issue - it is this unsettled scientific question called "evolution". Seriously, read TFA.

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
  17. I'm also skeptical by purpledinoz · · Score: 0

    that the Earth revolves around the Sun. Have you been into space and seen the Earth revolve around the Sun? I didn't think so. Just look into the sky, clearly the Sun revolves around Earth.

  18. Job creation for other countries by dimeglio · · Score: 1

    This is why the US needs to import foreign knowledge workers. The US school system teaches falsehoods and outputs ignorance.

    --
    Views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of the author.
    1. Re:Job creation for other countries by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      Its actually a conscious strategy. The US government has been using schools for brainwashing for decades. Get to them early, brainwash them with bullshit pro-US propaganda (e.g. salute the flag every morning), and otherwise keep them ignorant, all so the next generation can be more easily controlled.

      Its not only in the US, you see the same "keep the people ignorant" thinking all over. For example, its exactly why the more fundamentalist muslim groups deny all schooling to women. it keeps them more reliant and compliant.

  19. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

    As someone who is certain about his own observations about climate change- the real problem is playing the blame game. Assumptions about cause have obscured the effect to the point that we can no longer deal with the effect politically because everybody is too busy pointing fingers about the cause.

    With the melting of the tundra 10 years ago, we hit a tipping point, it became too late to stop climate change. It is now a positive feedback loop. You could remove every human being from the planet, and global warming would continue.

    Our only choice now is to adapt, not stop the process.

    --
    SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
  20. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by E++99 · · Score: 1

    The question isn't whether "CO2 causes warming" but whether a change from 290 to 330 ppm in the troposphere can be the cause of a measurable change in the heat content of troposphere. Since it's all so trivial, I'm curious whether your undergraduate text explains why increased CO2 concentration in the stratosphere causes the stratosphere to loose heat.

  21. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They can read. It's just that they dismiss anything that doesn't agree with them.

  22. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

    Anyone that can make it through an undergraduate text on atmospheric science and be convinced about the propaganda in the undergraduate text on atmospheric science.

    Wow, who knew?

    --
    SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
  23. ummm... by buddyglass · · Score: 1

    I question why climate science needs to be part of the standards at all. It seems weirdly specific. When so many kids leave high school not knowing what an electron is, I'd say there are other areas where we might focus our pedagogical effort.

    1. Re:ummm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because meteorology was also taught in 7th grade science, with identifying cloud types, definition of dew point and humidity and what causes wind and so on.
      Climatology is like meteorology over much longer periods, so it makes sense to cover the most important topic in climatology and the methods by which paleoclimatologists decipher ancient climate conditions as the next topics.

    2. Re:ummm... by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      >> I question why climate science needs to be part of the standards at all. It seems weirdly specific.

      Because it will be by far the biggest single issue that the next generations WILL be affected by and will have to deal with.

    3. Re:ummm... by Richy_T · · Score: 1

      Wait, aren't we constantly told that weather is not climate?

    4. Re:ummm... by bugs2squash · · Score: 1

      what is an electron, what really is it ? and anyway... There are no electrons!.

      --
      Nullius in verba
  24. Re:It Is Not Politics by buddyglass · · Score: 1

    We're talking about public schools. Run by the government, at some level or another. So if "political debate" means "debate taking place in the context of government" then what they teach will always be a political debate.

  25. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by AmazinglySmooth · · Score: 1

    I wish I could mod this up.

  26. Re: They don't agree with us! Burn them! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Scientific consensus is perhaps a better word than believe, but only the most simplistic approach to science do not understand that much of science works within uncertainties and changes. Science that even many climate sceptics take for granted have the exact same type of scientific consensus behind it.

  27. It's only "settled" in the minds of zealots... by Fringe · · Score: 0

    Wyoming may not be "politically correct" on the issue, but they are correct that "global warming" being caused primarily by man-made emissions isn't settled science. (And no, computer scientists are not the correct scientists. ;) )

    Regardless of local effects, the basic problem is that we should be warming right now, and we aren't.

    Why should we be warming right now? The Medieval Warm Period (950-1250) was much warmer than the period that followed - and warmer than now. Wine grape grew in England back then. This was followed by the Little Ice Age (1350-1850). These are considered cyclical, so we should be getting warmer for a few hundred years, starting around 1950. Regardless of human-sourced emissions.

    But the other problem is, we're not really, at least not on the activists' schedules. The IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report concedes for the first time that global temperatures have not risen since 1998, despite a 7 percent rise in carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. Despite global human CO2 emissions in the last 15 years representing about one-third of all human CO2 emissions since the start of the Industrial Revolution, temperatures didn’t budge.

    If man-made global warming is your religion, it looks like settled science despite the actual results. If science is your religion (rather than your credential), there's no enough evidence to support the hysteria yet, and a growing amount calling it into question. So why should it be considered "fact" in a kid's textbook? Are we trying to teach them to think or are we trying to indoctrinate them?

    1. Re: It's only "settled" in the minds of zealots... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Wine grape grows pretty succesfully in england now. Google 'English Sparkling Wine'. It's been getting easier to do this for the last twenty years, and the results are winning awards internationally.

    2. Re:It's only "settled" in the minds of zealots... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      If man-made global warming is your religion ... science is your religion

      If you think that's a religion you are either working with a different dictionary than the rest of us or lying in an attempt to influence the gullible.

      This stupid argument brings out the worst in people and appears to be turning reasonable people into anti-intellectual luddites. It's an argument against expertise. Consider the situation where your entire career is considered worthless and some twenty year old lay preacher is listened to instead when he speaks of whatever technical subjects you deal with. That's the world you are trying to convince the newbies is an improvement over the advances of the last four hundred years since we decided to keep religion out of science and vice versa. Asking religion about climate is as irrelevant and demeaning to religion as asking it how best to brush a dog.

    3. Re:It's only "settled" in the minds of zealots... by Fringe · · Score: 1

      Who are you quoting? You use the words "lying", "gullible", "brings out the worst", etc., but you mangled rather than quoted.

      Use a mirror much?

    4. Re:It's only "settled" in the minds of zealots... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      I quoted your two "x is a is your religion" obviously. Maybe I should have put a paragraph in for the slow and previewed it properly.

      I'm really sick of the Ian Plimer style "x is a religion" and then going on to attack a fringe religion strawman argument against anything a person doesn't like. It's a disgusting weasel move that should be far beneath you but you clearly consider it's worth tricking the gullible on this topic.
      Did you get as far as my point about it being an argument against expertise to demonise scientists in this way? How would you feel if your expertise was questioned by a young and inexperienced lay preacher in the same way? That's the world you are pushing for.

    5. Re:It's only "settled" in the minds of zealots... by AlterEager · · Score: 1

      Wyoming may not be "politically correct" on the issue, but they are correct that "global warming" being caused primarily by man-made emissions isn't settled science. (And no, computer scientists are not the correct scientists. ;) )

      Regardless of local effects, the basic problem is that we should be warming right now, and we aren't.

      But we are.

      Why should we be warming right now? The Medieval Warm Period (950-1250) was much warmer than the period that followed - and warmer than now.

      [ citation needed]

      Wine grape grew in England back then.

      Uh, wine grapes are grown in England today

      This was followed by the Little Ice Age (1350-1850). These are considered cyclical,

      By who? What is the mechanism for these "cycles"?

    6. Re:It's only "settled" in the minds of zealots... by Fringe · · Score: 0

      I'm really sick of people who use attack words constantly, as you are, and yet don't pay any attention to the content.

      I suspect I far out-credential you on both science and climate studies, but the internet has no respect for that.  To that degree, I would agree with your objection to the rejection of expertise, but I take it a step further than you... I don't consider many of the "experts" experts because they aren't - they are preachers.  To be an expert, you have to have studied the alternatives, gone into the lions den, and be able to defend your hypothesis rather than shouting down what you consider unbelievers.  But the alarmists have a history of treating it as a religion.

      Your inability to discuss this civilly suggests you have the same problem.  All these invectives and so little content.  Bravo for you!

    7. Re:It's only "settled" in the minds of zealots... by tbannist · · Score: 1

      Wine grape grew in England back then.

      They grow there now too.

      The IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report concedes for the first time that global temperatures have not risen since 1998, despite a 7 percent rise in carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions.

      No, actually it doesn't, it actually says the trend over the last 15 years is lower than the overall trend because of the chosen start and end dates:

      Due to natural variability, trends based on short records are very sensitive to the beginning and end dates and do not in general reflect long-term climate trends. As one example, the rate of warming over the past 15 years (1998–2012; 0.05 [–0.05 to 0.15] C per decade), which begins with a strong El Niño, is smaller than the rate calculated since 1951 (1951–2012; 0.12 [0.08 to 0.14] C per decade)

      If man-made global warming is your religion, it looks like settled science despite the actual results.

      Very convenient, anyone who disagrees with you is a religious zealot. However, any time that you are allying with religious leaders and calling scientists zealots, you should really take that as a clue that you need to carefully examine your beliefs.

      97% of the scientists who study climate change think it's happening and it's man-made, as does 97% of the published research on the topic. That leaves a mere 3% to split between the undecided and those who think it's either not happening or not man-made. If it weren't actually happening there should be a lot more research showing negative results.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    8. Re:It's only "settled" in the minds of zealots... by hey! · · Score: 2

      Wyoming may not be "politically correct" on the issue, but they are correct that "global warming" being caused primarily by man-made emissions isn't settled science. (And no, computer scientists are not the correct scientists. ;) )

      You have *no* idea of what you're talking about. Computer scientists don't run climate models, climate researchers do.

      The rest of your post is full of baloney that is readily refuted, but it's a tedious and probably hopeless job so I'll just pick on one statement: "The IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report concedes for the first time that global temperatures have not risen since 1998."

      This is outright dishonest. 1998 was, at the time, the hottest year ever in the instrumental record by a *long* shot. It remains the third hottest year in the instrumental record. And this is the year you (or the people you listen to) have chosen to ask whether the climate has gotten warmer "since then". This is exactly analogous to this reasoning. In 1991 Carl Lewis ran 100 m in 9.86 seconds. Of the eleven world championships held since then, six have been won at slower times. Therefore, the average speed of a 100 m sprinter hasn't been getting any faster since 1991. You see what I've done? I've taken an exceptional performance (Lewis' record shattering 100 m sprint) and pretended it was "representative".

      Honest people in the climate debate don't use outlier years as their baseline. They use decades (e.g. 1990-2000) or longer (1900-2000) as their baseline.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    9. Re: It's only "settled" in the minds of zealots... by daknapp · · Score: 1

      Wine grape grows pretty succesfully in england now. Google 'English Sparkling Wine'. It's been getting easier to do this for the last twenty years, and the results are winning awards internationally.

      And what does this have to do with the post to which you were responding?

      Nobody sane questions the established fact that the global temperature is increasing. That's been true, on average, since the last Ice Age.

      The issue is whether man-made CO2 emissions are the main cause of the warming in the 20th century or not.

      It's impossible to have a scientific discussion when people misrepresent the sides of the discussion like this.

    10. Re:It's only "settled" in the minds of zealots... by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Wine Grapes growing in England isn't exceptional, I've grown grown wine grapes in Michigan back when the newpapers were reporting predictions of a coming Ice-Age. When wine grapes stop growing in England we have a problem; the World will not end in fire, it'll end in ice.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    11. Re:It's only "settled" in the minds of zealots... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      I suspect I far out-credential you

      Then is you want anything other than contempt act as if you do instead of juvenile "science is a religion" attack words and the new bullshit you've added in the above post.

    12. Re:It's only "settled" in the minds of zealots... by dave420 · · Score: 1

      1. The medieval warm period affected only the North Atlantic
      2. It was colder than it is today, not hotter. We've been hotter than the MWP since ~1980.
      3. They're not considered cyclical, so your ass-delving for 1950 seems bizarre.

      After 3 I stop trying to correct, as it's wasting my time, and I feel it's wasting yours, as I doubt you will take any of that on board.

  28. Hi, we're so smart... by Coditor · · Score: 1

    ... we know better than people who devoted their lives and spent a decade being educated in a scientific discipline. We stayed in a Holiday Inn Express last night.

  29. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by BenfromMO · · Score: 1
    Oh, do most positive feedback loops contain stagnant data that does not change? Like 15 years without warming?

    Yea, I did not think so. You sir have no idea what a positive feedback loop is. The heat keeps building up under that theory, and currently temperatures are stagnant like they have been for the last 15 years. Warming stopped. Scientists don't know why, and as one famous scientist says "its a travesty we can not explain it."

    It might very well be "too late" to stop climate change, but that is not because of a positive feedback loop as you explain, but mainly because we can not control the climate and it will change with or without us perhaps in the future. Heck, we ARE going to go into another ice age at some point, and what the heck do we think we are going to do to stop that? Stand in the tracks of that train with our hand held up to stop it?

  30. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm liberal (left). I feel we should focus on cutting pollution for it's own sake regardless of the effect on global warming. I do question how much humans are causing global warming. But see the part where I said we should cut pollution for it's own sake.

    Yes, "believe" is the word. They should talk about the issue sincerely and in an intelligent manner, if they talk about it at all. In other words, they can show the correlation between the rise of the Industrial Revolution and increases in temperature over time. They can explain that correlation is not causation, then explain why they think the correlation is valid--that being the carbon dioxide and the effect in the atmosphere. They can explain that they are always learning new things, and that nothing in science should ever be considered a given.

  31. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by buddyglass · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The main skeptic with whom I dialogue holds the following beliefs:

    1. Warming is happening.
    2. CO2 concentration is atypically high.
    3. CO2 concentration is atypically high due to man-made emissions.
    4. CO2 concentration has some upward effect on global temperature.

    However, he also holds these beliefs:

    1. The earth's climate is too complex to accurately model and predict.
    2. There are feedback mechanisms that mute the severity of CO2-induced warming.
    3. Even if warming happens at the predicted rate, we can't really know what the impact will be in terms of human suffering.
    4. From #1 and #2, the dire predictions on future warming can't be trusted.
    5. Even if warming were going to happen at the predicted rate and the consequences would be as dire as predicted, the economic cost of transitioning of fossil fuels on a global level would induce a huge amount of human suffering on its own,
    6. Given the cost, there's no way the various world governments are going to come to an agreement and actually make a significant dent in fossil fuel usage anyway. So the whole discussion is academic.

  32. What is "science education" in the US? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For someone not familiar with the science education standards, can someone explain how it is done? Generally, science education should be about scientific methods. Analyzing nature, finding a mathematical description of it, verifying or falsifying it experimentally. Whether this is done on topic X or Y doesn't really matter, as long as such topics are accessible to students - mathematics and experiments are within reach.

    An alternative kind of education might focus on teaching results, common opinions without giving students the opportunity to learn scientific methods.

    As global warming doesn't seem to be easy to tackle with tools available at school (both mathematically as well as experimentally), it would necessarily fall in the second category.

  33. Follow the power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    On both sides of the debate, its all about control, political power, and in some sititutions, money.

  34. Re: Actually, by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    People are going to post about Christianity and Intelligent Design in a thread about climate change?

  35. Good for them by hallkbrdz · · Score: 0

    National or UN derived standards (common core) are wrong - keep education control local to meet local requirements. Way to go Wyoming.

    1. Re:Good for them by AlterEager · · Score: 1

      National or UN derived standards (common core) are wrong - keep education control local to meet local requirements. Way to go Wyoming.

      Because reality is purely local.

      By the way, UN helicopters aren't black, they're white.

      http://news.abidjan.net/photos/photos/610x%20(1)(156).jpg

  36. Wyoming is rejecting politics, not science by towermac · · Score: 0

    I know you advocates want to say it isn't so.It may not even be your fault; possibly the Koch brothers are fully responsible for politicizing climate change.

    The fact is, you got politics in your science. Possibly to fill in the fact that you haven't fully followed the scientific method on this one. The testing part is missing; the repeatable testability by independent parties of an hypothesis. So they're technically not wrong, it's not settled science. Yes btw, I do see the political self-interest. Let's look at that.

    The politics you're offering them is tax increases and higher prices for nothing in return. If you want to say Wyoming's weather will get better, and that's the payoff, well; if you could prove that, then you'd have something. You got nothing. You got freaking windmills. And death ray solar compounds. I'm not so surprised it's a hard sell.

    Easier to sell, would be something better than they have now. Dirt cheap electricity is about the only thing that will do it. This is where I would mention the 'n' word, but the most ardent climate change advocates are it's fiercest opponents. That right there, is nothing but politics.

    1. Re:Wyoming is rejecting politics, not science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree, let's all send nuclear waste to Wyoming. That would cause money to go into the state in the short term. That will solve all their problems.

    2. Re:Wyoming is rejecting politics, not science by dbIII · · Score: 2

      The testing part is missing; the repeatable testability by independent parties of an hypothesis

      This bullshit again? What do you call the adaptation of climate models over time to better fit recorded data again? I suggest you pay attention yourself instead of regurgitating shit vomited up by some intern in a political office. I'd say you already know more about the topic than that court jester who kicked off the "testing part is missing" as a talking point based on some half remembered high school science class.
      We are supposed to be the sort of people that look around at the world and think for ourselves. Don't let the side down by polluting this place with political propaganda.

    3. Re:Wyoming is rejecting politics, not science by careysub · · Score: 2

      "The testing part is missing; the repeatable testability by independent parties of an hypothesis."

      Say what? All of the scientists/science teams studying this issue are independent parties testing the hypothesis - that's what science is and how it works. It is a process of continual repeatable testing of the hypothesis.

      What is your concept of this "missing outside party"? A new "super science" that mysteriously needs to be created to address this one issue because, as you admit, it is politically inconvenient for Wyoming?

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    4. Re:Wyoming is rejecting politics, not science by Nemyst · · Score: 1

      Wyoming is flooded in politics. Why else do you think that the state that has the most to lose if we decide to curb CO2 emissions happens to be the one that is skeptical about global warming? That it's complete happenstance? Bullshit.

      Science is apolitical. Politics however meddle in everything, including science.

    5. Re:Wyoming is rejecting politics, not science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Global warming is the new age magical mystery religion. You must believe in it because it is un-detectable. You don't have to convince anyone of Ohm's law because you can simply test it with a volt-ohm meter. Global warming demands that any data not supporting the theory be rejected. That is not science. Maybe pick another con next time that does not involve reading a thermometer. Its simply too easy to discredit a theory that said 20 years ago that Florida would be under seawater by now.

    6. Re:Wyoming is rejecting politics, not science by towermac · · Score: 1

      "This bullshit again?"

      So you're saying it's not just me then..

      " What do you call the adaptation of climate models over time to better fit recorded data again?"

      After some thought, your description is okay; I would drop the 'again', and just say, 'the adaptation of climate models over time to better fit recorded data'. The 'again' is redundant; the adaptation of a climate model in ongoing development to newly recorded data is an ongoing process. 'The Method', it ain't.

      Btw, I honestly thought that I thought of this myself. If we are the sort of people that think for ourselves, then you can also do better, and tell me how my argument sucks, based on logic, rather than on who you thought may have first said it.

      I understand that we are unable to do a real experiment and follow the scientific method on this one; we got the one planet, and there's no more to be had at the bunsen burner supply house. That's not my fault; the method is still the method.

      We could do it just for the sake of it, and actually make people better off, and that would mean undercutting oil and coal. You won't have that, will you?

    7. Re:Wyoming is rejecting politics, not science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Independent parties who are still paid by? If they are truely independent they would not be getting any big grant money from any political or big corp. That way they can't not say here is the money but you have to make it agrre to my views.

  37. Obligatory stereotype spoiler alert by rmdingler · · Score: 1

    We don' want none of yer pedagogical freakshow in our classrooms, son.

    --
    Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.

    Ernest Hemingway

  38. Re:How About... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wait, what? You needed A New Book With Shocking Discoveries to find out that skin pigmentation and plenty of other features are passed on from your parents? You also think it's something Extremely Controversial?

    "Oh, did you know that higher concentration of melanin in the skin of people of African descent is a genetically inherited trait?"
    "OMG WHAT THE FUCK U RACIST SCUMBAG STOP UR LIES!!!1"

  39. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by the_B0fh · · Score: 1

    Why do you denialists just ignore data? There has been no stagnation, you denialist.

  40. On your footnote by dbIII · · Score: 0

    Our "crazy" banks and governments won't allow nuclear but it's a lot easier to take to cowardly way out and blame a bunch of harmless hippies that won't fight back.
    The major thing holding back nuclear power is that nobody wants to put the money in to build the things.

    As for the insane German policy - any perceived insanity happened many years ago when they halted new construction. The only thing new is changing it from a slow slide down to nothing to a quick one. Their nuclear industry died years ago and all they have now is caretakers to keep it running.

    1. Re:On your footnote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tons of people want to put money into building nuclear reactors. The problem is they have to go to the municipalities near where they want to build a reactor and get buy-in from all the surrounding locations. Whenever they do these community hearings, there are always environmentalists and NIMBY's there just to shit all over the idea of building a nuclear reactor.

  41. Re: It Is Not Politics by JWW · · Score: 2

    You got one thing right. The state is evil. And by state I mean the government itself, not Wyoming per se.

    If, in order to solve this problem, the liberty and freedom of the people in Wyoming to run their own lives and government needs to be sacrificed, then I will never agree with your "solution" to this problem.

    If we must give our liberty in order to survive, then count me as your enemy. What good is life without liberty?

    Oh and your all powerful government you require to solve this problem, if it's at all like all the all powerful governments that have come before, it'll have to destroy the environment in order to save it.

  42. Flat-earther, nope! Greedy. by Atl+Rob · · Score: 1

    The greedy have been leading the flat-earthers by the nose for centuries, but the good news is that the gullible populous is dwindling each year. Education, knowledge and commonsense is winning the war on Ignorance. But hey, pillaging the publics natural resources for a quick easy buck, especially when those valuable resources are guarded by flat-earthers; all too easy.

    1. Re:Flat-earther, nope! Greedy. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      TL;DR

  43. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by thrich81 · · Score: 1

    I would say your skeptic friend is very astute (I am not a climate change skeptic). His point #6 is the salient one and probably immutable. So just as the climatologists can say with high probability that the climate will change as we pump CO2 into the air, the political scientists can say with high probability that the world governments (or anyone else) aren't going to do anything to slow it down significantly. Both may be inconvenient truths but inconvenience doesn't reduce the probability of being accurate descriptions of the future. So the smartest course at this time is to prepare for the climate to change and deal with those effects as they arrive. It's too bad that the profiteers from the current status can't be made to pay the costs to be incurred for this, but life isn't fair.

  44. Here comes the science... by Anonymous+Brave+Guy · · Score: 4, Informative

    But natural causes is...and if you are not teaching children that the warming could very well be simply natural warming than you are not teaching them the scientific method

    Luckily for us, there's an organisation dedicated to reviewing the best data that scientific studies have to offer, with contributions from thousands of practising scientists all over the world collected over more than 25 years. Let's see what the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has to say:

    Human influence on the climate system is clear. This is evident from the increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, positive radiative forcing, observed warming, and understanding of the climate system.

    ...

    Human influence has been detected in warming of the atmosphere and the ocean, in changes in the global water cycle, in reductions in snow and ice, in global mean sea level rise, and in changes in some climate extremes (see [data citations]). This evidence for human influence has grown since [the previous IPCC Assessment Report]. It is extremely likely that human influence has been the dominant cause of the observed warming since the mid-20th century.

    ...

    Continued emissions of greenhouse gases will cause further warming and changes in all components of the climate system. Limiting climate change will require substantial and sustained reductions of greenhouse gas emissions.

    — IPCC, 2013: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

    Just to be clear, those quotations are directly from the highlighted key points in the sections about attributing the detected changes in the climate and what will happen in the future. The emphasis was retained from the original publication.

    I'll leave you with one more quote, from a slightly less heavyweight source but no less valid:

    The good thing about science is that it's true whether or not you believe in it. — Neil DeGrasse Tyson

    --
    If you disagree, post your argument. (-1, Overrated) isn't your personal censorship tool for views you don't like.
    1. Re:Here comes the science... by Richy_T · · Score: 1

      The "Wichhunter General" would probably have found himself out of a job if he turned around and said "Nope, there ain't no witches"

    2. Re:Here comes the science... by Anonymous+Brave+Guy · · Score: 1

      Which is unfortunate for the hunter, but more fortunate for women who don't like being burned at the stake. I know which group I'd prefer my society to support.

      --
      If you disagree, post your argument. (-1, Overrated) isn't your personal censorship tool for views you don't like.
    3. Re:Here comes the science... by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Don't you think the Earth's climate would be worthy of study regardless of the fact of AGW or not? Were AGW found to be wanting we'd still want to understand what was causing the changes to occur.

    4. Re:Here comes the science... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Everyone would believe in it if it actually showed up somewhere. You know you could go to 100% carbon free nuclear tomorrow if liberals didn't have such strong emotions against the safest form of power in the world today? Then it would not matter whether you convinced everyone that really the world ended yesterday, according to scientists, only they just don't know it yet.

    5. Re:Here comes the science... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Luckily for us, there's an organisation dedicated to reviewing the best data that scientific studies have to offer, with contributions from thousands of practising scientists all over the world collected over more than 25 years. Let's see what the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has to say:

      What happened to what you were about to say about "an organisation dedicated to reviewing the best data that scientific studies have to offer"? It seems that something is missing, between mentioning that, and jumping to the political side of things, I.e. the IPCC.

      You don't have to be on any specific side of the decision, to know that when politicians speak, what comes out has nothing to do with the truth.

    6. Re:Here comes the science... by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 1

      The "Wichhunter General" would probably have found himself out of a job if he turned around and said "Nope, there ain't no witches"

      Continuing to cry Witch! didn't work for Ken Cuccinelli.

      --
      Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
  45. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wait, observations are propaganda now? Well, reality does have a well-known liberal bias...

  46. Re:How About... by AlterEager · · Score: 1

    Tell ya what, there is a new book out that shows race has a genetic factor.

    A new book "shows" something? A book written by a "science writer, not a scientist himself.".

    Got a reference to the peer reviewed science?

  47. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by AlterEager · · Score: 0

    As someone who believes in climate change, I'm growing very uneasy with the language being used by both sides to describe dissenting opinions.

    Concern troll is concerned.

  48. Re: They don't agree with us! Burn them! by JWW · · Score: 0

    Yes there has been stagnation in the rate of increase. The rate of change in not increasing. As the gp post states, increasing rate of change is the definition of a positive feedback loop. Right now warming due to carbon dioxide is being seen, but a positive feedback loop is not.

  49. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Layzej · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Curiously, your friend believes "The earth's climate is too complex to accurately model and predict.", but is certain that "There are feedback mechanisms that mute the severity of CO2-induced warming."

    This seems like wishful thinking. If we really don't have a good handle on the severity of global warming then it is just as likely that the impacts will be much greater than anticipated.

    Regarding the costs of mitigating, all published economists agree that it is cheaper to mitigate than to accept the impacts of climate change, and the sooner we start mitigating the cheaper it will be.

  50. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is a conservative position, which I am more or less okay with (original AC). I disagree of course, on several points, but as long as we have the first four covered we're still talking about the real, observed world. It's these other crackpots I'm worried about, who deny the science without even bothering to read it. Case in point our Marxist Hacker above. I just feel bad for E++ though, for one thing there are papers which answer this relatively-irrelevant question, but more generally this idea that a theory isn't explanatory if it's not complete is just a hard way to go through life. "Does your undergrad text have all the answers??!!" No, dipshit, that's why it's an undergrad text. Still apparently beyond you, but it is supposed to be an introduction to the science. And science is what we don't completely understand -- I read Dracula lately, allow me to quote:

    Let me tell you, my friend, that there are things done today in electrical science which would have been deemed unholy by the very man who discovered electricity, who would themselves not so long before been burned as wizards. There are always mysteries in life.

    The stuff they were talking about are the most trivial parts of electrical engineering today -- we don't really have electrical scientists today. Someday climate science may be similarly known, but until then there will be mysteries. The physical properties of CO2 however are not mysterious, nor the effects of an increased partial pressure of the same. They are such very inconvenient truths, though...

  51. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by AlterEager · · Score: 4, Insightful

    1. The earth's climate is too complex to accurately model and predict.

    Argument from disbelief.

    2. There are feedback mechanisms that mute the severity of CO2-induced warming.

    If he believes that (1) is true how can he know that (2) is true.

    3. Even if warming happens at the predicted rate, we can't really know what the impact will be in terms of human suffering.

    Argument from disbelief again.

    4. From #1 and #2, the dire predictions on future warming can't be trusted.

    But 1 and 2 are contradictory

    5. Even if warming were going to happen at the predicted rate and the consequences would be as dire as predicted, the economic cost of transitioning of fossil fuels on a global level would induce a huge amount of human suffering on its own,

    The real point - he doesn't want to do something, so it's impossible to do anything, so there is nothing that need to be done.

    6. Given the cost, there's no way the various world governments are going to come to an agreement and actually make a significant dent in fossil fuel usage anyway. So the whole discussion is academic.

    The final proof that he is arguing backwards from what he wants to happen (or not happen) to what he wants to be true.

    Deniers! Start from the science! Don't start from your personal feelings and work back to the science, that's not how it's done.

  52. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The funny thing about humans is that they're pretty stupid as a whole. You might not think so, but light a fire in a building and watch how they react. Do they perform an orderly evacuation in minutes, or do they stampede and drag the process out to twice as long as it need be (killing people in the process)? The costs of NOT taking action FAR exceed the costs of implementing carbon emission control. There is no choice left in the matter. We're paying one way or the other and our only choice is which price we're going to pay.

  53. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 0

    What is in an undergraduate textbook isn't observation. It is edited history, aka propaganda. It's no better than eyewitness evidence at best.

    --
    SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
  54. Forgot some steps by StefanJ · · Score: 1

    Missing steps:

    4.5 No One Could Have Foreseen This Problem. Let us not point fingers and play the blame game.

    5.5 Fine, we're in a fix. It is time for the ideologues to step aside and the Level Heads and Professionals and People Who Have a Stake in the Game to take over and provide reality-based solutions. We'll start by proposing tax credits for owners of shore front vacation homes to move their properties, because summer recreation is a vital part of our economy. And cancel Social Security to incentivize Honored Citizens to get healthy exercise filling sandbags to protect oil industry facilities in the Gulf. And annex Canada to provide homes for citizens displaced by the Texas Hell-Cyclone. After all, Canadians sold us a lot of that oil . . . remember the XL pipeline they forced us to build?

    1. Re:Forgot some steps by Reziac · · Score: 1

      6. Profit!!

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
  55. At the risk of being modded down ... by MyNicknameSucks · · Score: 1

    Just to point something out.

    /. has always had this weird thing going on -- for all the talk of intelligent discussion and acceptance of science, many of the readers have a strong libertarian streak. If something clashes with personal experience (or causes personal discomfort), a knee-jerk reaction kicks in that starts up denial. You see it in discussions of our bacterial biome ("my kid gets ear infections; the infection gets cleared up after a round of antibiotics: therefore, antibiotics are good because I believe the evidence of my eyes"), you see it in discussions of corporate geek culture for another angle (nerds are among the hardest people to support, and they often know just enough to cause mass damage, but not necessarily more than the plebes who actually work in IT).

    In the case of climate change, the debate gets tinged with a touch of disdain for wet science.

    Nerds like absolutes. They like believing they know better. The like to think that the wet sciences are lesser than engineering and physics.

    And climate change, for better or worse, has this ... hint of doubt surrounding it. Climate swings are natural (although this current swing is happening particularly fast). It's more or less impossible to see the connection between climate change and and your car (unlike, say, the cause and effect nature of classical physics). And libertarians object, on principle, that their personal choices can have anything beyond short term, immediate effects; what is good for the self is good for everyone. And it's good that I can continue to do things as I've always done.

    Let's face it. There's almost no point arguing climate change with some people; too many underlying beliefs would have to change.

    We need to incentivise actions, corporate and personal, that improve our planet's chances of surviving our collective stupidity so that we can drag the deniers along for the ride. Hectoring simply isn't working now, and is unlikely to work in the future.

  56. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by AlterEager · · Score: 1

    The question isn't whether "CO2 causes warming" but whether a change from 290 to 330 ppm in the troposphere can be the cause of a measurable change in the heat content of troposphere

    Where do you get 330 ppm?

  57. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by I'm+New+Around+Here · · Score: 1

    Is there an xkcd comic you can use to explain your view?

    --
    If you think I voted for Trump because of this post, you're wrong. I voted for Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party. Again.
  58. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The main skeptic with whom I dialogue holds the following beliefs:
    3. CO2 concentration is atypically high due to man-made emissions.

    It's not. All those fossil fuels, and we're just starting to burn them, have been living biological stuff before. Before they were, the C they contain was in the atmosphere as CO2. Given the aggressiveness of O2 it's quite probable, that there's enough fossils to burn until all O2 is used up. Even under those conditions (or even especially under those conditions) live was possible. Otherwise those fossils wouldn't exist for us to burn. Climate might change, possibly to a state less desirable for humans, but it's quite surely not "atypical". Just different than what mankind has seen in the few couple of years it exists.

  59. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by I'm+New+Around+Here · · Score: 1

    The main skeptic with whom I dialogue holds the following beliefs:

    1. Warming is happening.
    2. CO2 concentration is atypically high.
    3. CO2 concentration is atypically high due to man-made emissions.
    4. CO2 concentration has some upward effect on global temperature.

    That is the strangest definition of "skeptic" I have seen in this discussion.

    --
    If you think I voted for Trump because of this post, you're wrong. I voted for Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party. Again.
  60. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by radl33t · · Score: 1

    astute perhaps, but to highly influenced by the inertia of existing thought. renewables will win the economic battle. nuclear (should have won) the economic battle (and may still). solar energy equipment hit global grid parity some years ago (~2011). only the cheapest big hydro developments and best CF wind sites can compete with even moderately good solar sites. the only way one can argue that any fossil fuel energy has lower LCOE is to ignore substantial costs in their development and consequences in their continued use. some of these are transparent, some are deeply embedded within 100yrs of economic development & infrastructure, others and born by all of us. A shift toward solar energy is inevitable and economics will drive this and is driving this. The rate of this shift is and will be correlated to the strength of political will and inversely correlated to the size of the existing institutional interests who refuse to adapt. This is resulting in development that ranges from shockingly rapid, efficient, and cheap to excruciatingly painful, long, and inefficient. The latter never ceases to amaze me although it repeats itself throughout history. Apparently successful institutional interests will squander their prosperity in a hilariously inefficient economic battle that they will ultimately lose. They chose that instead of using their prosperity to adapt.

  61. al gore by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Climate change is political science not real science

  62. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Layzej · · Score: 5, Informative

    The question isn't whether "CO2 causes warming" but whether a change from 290 to 330 ppm in the troposphere can be the cause of a measurable change in the heat content of troposphere.

    Well, we blew past 330 ppm in the 1960's and are now at 400 ppm. That causes a direct forcing (not including feedbacks) of 5.35*ln(400/280)W/m^2 or about 1.9 W/m^2. For comparison, the output from the sun fluctuates by as much as 1 W/m^2 every 11 years. CO2 is now causing a forcing that is double the increase in solar forcing - but the CO2 forcing is constant while the solar forcing only peaks once every 11 years.

    I'm curious whether your undergraduate text explains why increased CO2 concentration in the stratosphere causes the stratosphere to loose heat.

    Here is what the Max Planck Institute for Chemistry says: "Greenhouse gases (CO2, O3, CFC) absorb infra-red radiation from the surface of the Earth and trap the heat in the troposphere. If this absorption is really strong, the greenhouse gas blocks most of the outgoing infra-red radiation close to the Earth's surface. This means that only a small amount of outgoing infra-red radiation reaches carbon dioxide in the upper troposphere and the lower stratosphere. On the other hand, carbon dioxide emits heat radiation, which is lost from the stratosphere into space. In the stratosphere, this emission of heat becomes larger than the energy received from below by absorption and, as a result, there is a net energy loss from the stratosphere and a resulting cooling." - http://www.atmosphere.mpg.de/e...

  63. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by rgbatduke · · Score: 1

    And 1) is both true empirically (climate models are failing to accurately predict climate) and openly acknowledged to be true by, among others, the IPCC. Openly in AR3, relegated to selected paragraphs deep in the document in AR5, but there nonetheless.

    2) is still an open question -- or rather, there are definitely feedback that mute the severity, but it is also claimed that there are positive feedbacks and it is not yet clear which one wins. CO_2 alone would produce between 1 and 1.5 C of warming by 600 ppm (some 0.5 of which we have already realized). Hansen believed (and probably still believes) that water vapor feedback would at least double, more likely triple it to between 3 and 5 C. Empirical evidence has gradually forced nearly all of the climate science community to cut back their "best estimates" (based on a statistically meaningless mean of the predictions of the broken climate models, see 1) above) of total climate sensitivity to roughly 2.7 C in AR5 and it is currently in free fall in the literature, increasingly constrained by the lack of tropospheric warming, "the hiatus" (as it is named and discussed in AR5) and Bayes theorem. Currently the argument is whether or not it will end up as high as 2.3C, with papers appearing arguing that it will end up being in more or less neutral net feedback territory -- 1 to 1.5 C -- and others covering the range of 1.7 to 2.3 C. Since basically this is a scientific crap shoot and has been from the 1980s on (partly because we are still learning about clouds, partly because the "physics" that the models supposedly are based on begins by averaging phenomena in a nonlinear Navier-Stokes equation from its Kolmogorov scale of around 1 mm to the cell size of around 100 km -- with adjustable parameters galore -- as if it does not matter) so you pays your money, you places your bet. Net negative feedback hasn't even been ruled out by the data, and the longer the hiatus continues the more likely it is that the feedback is indeed net negative.

    4-6) are what they are. Sea level rise is almost invariably given as the primary cause of catastrophic damage, yet it has also proven to be the one place where there is absolutely no sign of catastrophe. SLR rates have changed little for 140 years. It is also remarkably difficult to predict the rates at which land ice will melt, given the problems with 1) and 2) -- Hansen (as the primary author of the entire claim for future catastrophe) goes on TED Talks and with a straight face says that he expects 5 meters of SLR. Any other sane climate scientist I've talked to is now talking about anywhere from 30 cm to as much as a meter. The data itself suggests that we'd be unlucky to make as much as 30 cm by 2100. Public media are full of egregious claims of ongoing disaster (melting Himalayan glaciers, increasing tornado or hurricane damage) often and sadly backed by public figures in the scientific community that should no better as there is no evidence of any of the above). This quite correctly reduces the credibility of the other claims of these individuals -- if one went back and looked at the predictions that Hansen in particular has made in fully public view ex officio as head of GISS and how badly they've failed, it would be difficult to see how he has any credibility left. Beyond that, many -- although not all -- of the claims for damage due to "climate change" (something that happens all of the time naturally and hence is impossible to attribute or refute) are marginal results that are not statistically significant. And estimates for the damage resulting or likely to result from climate change often fail to take into account benefits accruing from climate change or the simple fact that nature has already accommodated the change given the smear of temperatures and climate ranges available between the equator and the poles.

    All of this greatly complicates the discussion of costs and benefits. Not everything about global warming is bad. Indeed, the global warming that has been ongoing

    --
    Even when the experts all agree, they may well be mistaken. --- Bertrand Russell.
  64. Corporate AMERICA deceiving the people for GREED by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Corporate AMERICA deceiving the people for GREED . EVIL

  65. The "ants" still don't get it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Humans are ants as far as "our" planet is concerned. Sure it is great not to contribute but... figure out how to plug a bunch of volcano's and harvest the methane coming from large parts of the ocean, oh and completely stop "all" forest fires even the ones started by lightning. Oh and while your at it find a way to control that damn light bulb up in the sky so it is more consistent over the millenia. Then come back and talk to the "ants" (if an asteroid, which gives exactly jack shit about humans and whether our not they caused, has not wiped them out first)about "climate change" or "AGW" or whatever #hashtag you are pinning on someone else's need to stay employed.

  66. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The main skeptic with whom I dialogue holds the following beliefs:

    1. Warming is happening.

    2. CO2 concentration is atypically high.

    3. CO2 concentration is atypically high due to man-made emissions.

    4. CO2 concentration has some upward effect on global temperature.

    However, he also holds these beliefs:

    1. The earth's climate is too complex to accurately model and predict.

    2. There are feedback mechanisms that mute the severity of CO2-induced warming.

    3. Even if warming happens at the predicted rate, we can't really know what the impact will be in terms of human suffering.

    4. From #1 and #2, the dire predictions on future warming can't be trusted.

    5. Even if warming were going to happen at the predicted rate and the consequences would be as dire as predicted, the economic cost of transitioning of fossil fuels on a global level would induce a huge amount of human suffering on its own,

    6. Given the cost, there's no way the various world governments are going to come to an agreement and actually make a significant dent in fossil fuel usage anyway. So the whole discussion is academic.

    We can model quantum atom movement accurately, on a scale large enough that we can simulate folding of molecules of tens of thousands of atoms. Most systems are much simpler, having only a few dozen variables. Besides, accuracy is a game were you get diminishing returns fast. Parabolas describe motion through the atmosphere well enough, but for higher accuracy, you need air resistance, shape of object, etc. 90% of the time you'll get something that looks like a parabola anyway.

    Feedback mechanisms that mute the severity is wishful thinking. Many are taught homeostasis in Biology, but only a small set of cycles are homeostatic. (Body temp in mammals, etc) Many are not homeostatic, for example, if being starved, the body won't managed to regulate it's weight in homeostasis. Arguing that the climate can be homeostatic is arguing a desired outcome with no basis in reality. The only reason the climate moves so slowly is because there is so much inertia, it's huge.

    Inability to predict impact is again relying on ignorance over observation. Basically we all have some capacity for logic, and the most likely outcomes all have a very bad impact on human life. Perhaps new inventions might lessen the impact; but, that's a gambler's logic, believing in that which hasn't occurred (or has yet to be seen) to save the day after all is lost. In the environment, that doesn't happen very often, most species go extinct instead of being saved in the last minute by a new invention.

    from 1 and 2, the premises are flawed, so the decisions made on those premises cannot be trusted.

    Economic suffering is a pittance compared to human suffering. Do these people love their family less than their cash? Reminds me of a man who lost his child in a Billionaire's swimming pool. Basically the Billionaire offered to make him a Millionaire as an apology. The man was insulted, implying that his son's life was at least twice as valuable. The Billionaire agreed, and offered to pay the man's new price provided that he pay it for both sons, implying the second would be killed for 4x the cash. People today forget their priorities, life is more valuable than cash; and, who knows, the economic suffering means more spending, which might actually stimulate things.

    And this part is probably very true, the government will only do what the people actually want, to the point of the people forcing their government into it. Most countries are doing rather well in most fronts, leading to a lazy amount of activity in the government by the populace. Eventually the problem will grow to be an emergency, but if we cannot commit to handling something when it's cheap, who's to say we can handle it when it's extreme enough to rally people to change? The environment works on cycles that sometimes requires decades for some of the slower portions, as seen by the CFC mess back in the 70's and 80's.

  67. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by LaoK · · Score: 1

    Exactly. Even as sophisticated as they are, computer models can only be as good as our understanding of the phenomenon being modeled. It's the climate models that are showing catastrophic positive feedbacks for temperature with an increase in "greenhouse gases". But those catastrophic positive feedback scenarios present in the computer model may or may not exist in the real world, because of interactions that are not accounted for in the model because they're presently not known or not well characterized.

    The comparison to modeling the macroeconomy is well taken. Both are complex nonlinear systems in which the validity of computer models are highly dependent upon detailed knowledge of the initial conditions, and in which the information content of the phenomenon being modeled cannot reasonably be captured except in a highly simplified fashion. The same information problem that plagues macroeconomic models (you can't really gather all the information necessary to know the initial state, because there's far too much information required, and even if you could gather it, by the time you've gathered the information, the system's state has changed) to some degree applies to modeling climate, particularly where there are direct interactions between human actions and the system.

    Paleoclimate data appears to show we're on the downward side of the peak of the current interglacial, with the amplitude of short term warm periods actually decreasing over the last few thousand years. And the current computer models didn't predict the "pause" in increased global mean surface temperature observed since about the turn of the millennium. The models simply aren't good enough to restructure the basis of the entire global energy economy on.

  68. Re: Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wro by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I believe it's all real, but point number six there is still true. What does that make me?

  69. Science requires falsifiability by hsthompson69 · · Score: 0

    When creationism, astrology, homeopathy, voodoo, and catastrophic anthropogenic global warming provide necessary and sufficient falsifiable hypothesis statements, *then* you can put them into science curriculum.

    Just because famous politicians and some people in lab coats write thousand page reports trying to scare us about something, doesn't mean that it's science.

    1. Re:Science requires falsifiability by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      Have you even looked into the facts/evidence around this at all, before you echoed the corporate-provided convenient excuse to keep on doing their thing even though its destroying the planet?

    2. Re:Science requires falsifiability by hsthompson69 · · Score: 1

      Have you any necessary and sufficient falsifiable hypothesis statement of catastrophic anthropogenic global warming you'd like to quote? Or is your position simply that chanting ad hominem slogans is enough to prove your point?

    3. Re:Science requires falsifiability by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      How about the inter-governmental panel on climate change (IPCC)'s latest report:

      http://www.climatechange2013.o...

      "It is extremely likely [95 percent confidence] more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and other anthropogenic forcings together." ...

    4. Re:Science requires falsifiability by hsthompson69 · · Score: 1

      You quoted a *statement*, not a *necessary and sufficient falsifiable hypothesis statement".

      In order to be a "necessary and sufficient falsifiable hypothesis statement", it must include two very important things:

      1) a list of observations that would prove it wrong;
      2) a logical argument as to why in the absence of those observations listed, it is the *only* explanation left (or close to it).

      Simply asserting that "it is extremely likely that God created the earth in 7 days" in the bible does *not* make it scientific. You've got to show what observations that would prove that God *didn't* create the earth in 7 days, and why in the absence of those, we *must* be led to the conclusion that God *did* create the earth in seven days.

      For example, you can't say, "you can prove God didn't create the earth in 7 days if Christians don't exist", since the mere existence of Christians doesn't force us to believe that God exists. Similarly, you can't say, "you can prove CAGW isn't true if CO2 isn't a greenhouse gas", since the mere existence of a greenhouse gas doesn't force us to believe that natural climate change no longer exists.

      Try again, see if you can find an actual statement of potential falsifiability in the IPCC report.

      I've read it cover to cover - have you? :)

    5. Re:Science requires falsifiability by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      Yes I've read it cover to cover. Even though it is not in exactly the form of a definitive proof, the overall message is VERY clear, and also representative of nearly all other credible research Ive managed to find on the subject.

      Why is it that most of the world has gotten it and is doing something about it, except the US?
      What you and many other Americans are actually doing is hanging onto the lamest excuses to avoid having to actually face a potentially catastrophic situation, just because it might require you to change and maybe comrpomise.
      Why is it that its mostly only Americans that refuse to accept man-made global warming? Oh wait, because they're the amongst the worlds highest pollluters maybe?

      OK so from the other side, assuming youre right and 95% of the worlds climate experts do turn out to be wrong... what actually would be the downside of still doing something about reducing man-made greenhouse gasses? The air we breathe would be less polluted and therefore better for us. Wow. What a wasted effort. NOT.

      I have a mental image of all you flat-earthers standing in blighted farmers fields still trying to convince the people that can't feed their kids that it really can't be happening because there's no conclusive scientific proof yet.

    6. Re:Science requires falsifiability by hsthompson69 · · Score: 1

      Even though it is not in exactly the form of a definitive proof,

      Your problem isn't whether or not it's proof - it's whether or not it's *scientific*. Without a necessary and sufficient falsifiable hypothesis statement, it simply *isn't science*.

      Why is it that most of the world has gotten it and is doing something about it, except the US?

      And tell me, how many coal fired plants has china put up in the past decade?

      Why is it that its mostly only Americans that refuse to accept man-made global warming?

      Because nobody has put forward the most *basic* requirement of the scientific method yet - the necessary and sufficient falsifiable hypothesis statement.

      what actually would be the downside of still doing something about reducing man-made greenhouse gasses?

      Well, I can think of a few off the top of my head -

      1) CO2 helps plants grow
      2) CO2 emissions mitigation causes absolute electricity prices to rise, harming the poorest of the poor

      That being said, do you realize you've once again ducked the question about falsifiability? It's like you're trying to convince me that the virgin Mary really was a virgin, or that Xenu really did oppress the universe trillions of years ago.

      Put another way, say you spent the next month looking for a necessary and sufficient falsifiable hypothesis statement for CAGW and *didn't* find it - be honest, would you reconsider your beliefs, or would you simply hold onto them with the fervor of the faithful?

    7. Re:Science requires falsifiability by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      To address your points:
      >> 1) CO2 helps plants grow
      Any small benefit from this will be massively outweighed by the droughts and other negative changes in weather patterns.

      2) CO2 emissions mitigation causes absolute electricity prices to rise, harming the poorest of the poor.
      Do seriously think that the size of someone's electricity bill will be whats uppermost on poor peoples minds when we/they are all facing massive food/water shortages, floods, droughts and other dangerously radical weather patterns that a global ecological crisis WILL and is already starting to cause?

      Even a few minutes with Google will show that over 95% of the most prestigious academic and independent research (as opposed to that performed or funded by entities with vested interests) strongly indicates man is having a direct and major bad effect on global warming. Why do you refuse to acknowledge that?

      >> Without a necessary and sufficient falsifiable hypothesis statement, it simply *isn't science*.... do you realize you've once again ducked the question about falsifiability?

      Assuming what Wikipedia defines falsifiability as is accurate: (Falsifiability or refutability of a statement, hypothesis, or theory is an inherent possibility to prove it to be false),

      Then what you are saying:
      (>> Without a necessary and sufficient falsifiable hypothesis statement, it simply *isn't science*) is not only logically meaningless, it doesn't even make a valid sentence.

      Understanding every interaction of the entire ecosystem of our planet is probably the single most complex problem humanity has ever faced. Consequently there will *always* be some element of doubt, especially if you have a vested interest in finding it, and aren't too choosy about being unbiassed. If people have enough of a vested interest, they would agree that the sky is green. An absolute proof undeniable even by those with vested interests will therefore probably never be forthcoming.

      The root of your argument just seem to be that if there's even a slight possibility of doubt that global warming (or that humans are at least partially responsible for it ) exists, then you will magically translate that into the whole thing being necessarily not true. That position is retarded, especially given whats at stake.

      Basically you are promoting exactly the same misdirection that was cooked up by the marketing divisions of the oil corps to give to their corrupt puppet politicians something to use as a psuedo-scientific great-sounding but factually void sound bite to feed the majority of Americans that are too uneducated/lazy to "get" science, logic, or to do their own independent research. It also appeals to those that are monumentally stupid/selfish enough to take a highly short term view and avoid change even in the face of overwhelming evidence that they are directly killing the entire planet's ecosystem.

      That bullshit sound bite was created and survives only in the US. Europeans Per capita never were as bad polluters as Americans, but they understood the problem, got behind the Kyoto agreements, and made reforms decades ago. Other than the Chinese, The US still lives in complete denial entirely because powerful organizations and corrupt politicans are making money from the status quo and are conducting smear campaigns as hard as they can.

      Just because you as an American have been brainwashed by a corrupt system to live in denial doesn't mean the problem itself and the obvious conclusions are any less real, or that it is not already affecting us right now and will get a lot worse, especially if we keep not doing anything.

    8. Re:Science requires falsifiability by hsthompson69 · · Score: 1

      Any small benefit from this will be massively outweighed by the droughts and other negative changes in weather patterns.

      That's an unsupported assertion, contradicted by the evidence of ever increasing crop yields along with higher CO2 and temperature globally.

      Do seriously think that the size of someone's electricity bill will be whats uppermost on poor peoples minds

      Yes. Power costs drive food costs and water costs. Make the electricity more expensive, and you condemn people in poverty to more poverty.

      Even a few minutes with Google will show that over 95% of the most prestigious academic and independent research (as opposed to that performed or funded by entities with vested interests) strongly indicates man is having a direct and major bad effect on global warming. Why do you refuse to acknowledge that?

      Science is not done by consensus, surely Galileo taught you that :)

      The root of your argument just seem to be that if there's even a slight possibility of doubt that global warming (or that humans are at least partially responsible for it ) exists, then you will magically translate that into the whole thing being necessarily not true.

      No, you've completely misunderstood falsifiability - it isn't about what *percent* something is possible to be wrong, it is about whether or not there is any logical argument that it *can* be wrong at all.

      The root of your argument is that "heads I win, tails you lose" is a fair bet :)

      Here, read some Popper to educate yourself on falsifiability and then get back to me :)

      http://www.stephenjaygould.org...

    9. Re:Science requires falsifiability by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      OK so show me the necessary and sufficient falsifiable hypothesis statement that global warming ISN'T at least partially man made.

    10. Re:Science requires falsifiability by hsthompson69 · · Score: 1

      That's called reversing the burden of proof :)

      The null hypothesis is that current climate changes for the same reasons why it changed before humans existed - natural climate change. That's the hypothesis you need to *exclude*.

      Of course global warming (and cooling), has anthropogenic components - just like it has butterfly components (since butterflies give out CO2). But the assertion that those components are at all discernible from background natural variation is a novel and thus unsupportable idea.

      Proof lies in the affirmative - you can't ask someone "prove that god doesn't exist", or "prove that there isn't a magical teapot hidden at a lagrange point".

      Put another way, evolution has a necessary and sufficient falsifiable hypothesis (find a modern rabbit in the precambrian). Creationism and CAGW does not.

    11. Re:Science requires falsifiability by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      OK, so given that even you accept global warming has anthropogenic components, can't you agree that if we did something about our emissions, future global warming would be lessened? (Which is a good thing regardless of by how much).
      And if you can agree that, then why can't you make the jump from "good thing in principle" into at least trying?

    12. Re:Science requires falsifiability by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      Your argument seems to be analogous to being in a car heading towards the edge of a cliff, but not pressing the brake pedal because no-one has yet given you indisputable scientific proof that it works.

    13. Re:Science requires falsifiability by hsthompson69 · · Score: 1

      (Which is a good thing regardless of by how much).

      No, that's silly - there is no evidence that a colder world is a better world. In fact, we've got quite a bit of evidence to show the contrary.

      Compare 1914 to 2014. The world warmed. Forget if it warmed naturally or not. Are you insisting that 1914 was better for humanity than 2014?

      The precautionary principle which you're positing fails to take into account the absolute harm caused by your proposed interventions.

    14. Re:Science requires falsifiability by hsthompson69 · · Score: 1

      Not at all. The car is heading down the road, and there's fog on the interstate. We need to get to the hospital, because someone in the car is wounded, but you want us to stop, and pull over, just in case the interstate is broken 100 miles down the road.

      Again though, the point here is that without a falsifiable hypothesis statement, you're not doing science. You may have an unshakable faith in your religion, and believe that without accepting the grace of Christ we're all going to hell, but don't expect me to act like Pascal and simply believe in God because the horrors you claim will happen in the afterlife are so terrible.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P...

    15. Re:Science requires falsifiability by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      I guess what I'm really saying here is that if 96+% of the worlds foremost environmental experts are all telling me its a real issue and we definately need to act, then I'm not arrogant enough to think I know better, especially when environmental studies isn't my field and if they are right and we don't act, we screw the planet. Andi if they are wrong and we act anyway, then its a relatively minor economic cost that has other benefits, such as cleaner air.

    16. Re:Science requires falsifiability by hsthompson69 · · Score: 1

      That's the argument from authority - because 96% of bishops, cardinals and popes, all theological experts, believe that Mary was a virgin, and that homosexual marriage is an abomination, then it's a real issue and we need to act!

      Science gives power to the masses - even if you're *not* an expert, you can ask for a necessary and sufficient falsifiable hypothesis statement. You may not be able to grok the source code, or the advanced math, but if the experts can't do the *basic* work of the scientific method, then relying on their authority is essentially outsourcing your critical thinking to a higher authority (which is what all religions do).

      You assume that if they're wrong, and we bankrupt the world, and drive people into poverty and pain and suffering in order to get "cleaner air", that this is a good thing - your prescription is a *guarantee* for catastrophe, whereas the threat is only a *possible* catastrophe. You're asking us to cut off our arms just in case we get wrist cancer later on.

    17. Re:Science requires falsifiability by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      I guess at this point I should ask you for sufficient falsifiable hypothesis that by taking action to save the environment, we are actually going to bankrupt the world, and drive people into poverty and pain and suffering as you suggest.

    18. Re:Science requires falsifiability by hsthompson69 · · Score: 1

      Sure no problem - here are observations that would falsify my hypothesis of economic catastrophe:

      1) any alternative fuel source to natural petroleum products becomes cheaper in absolute dollars;

      This one is really important - if the "save the environment" action is in fact, absolutely cheaper (not artificially subsidized or manipulated or costed in inflated dollars), then of course, the "action" to move to say, solar and wind, wouldn't cause catastrophe. Thus far, solar and wind are an order of magnitude more expensive, in absolute terms, than natural petroleum.

      2) any alternative fuel source to natural petroleum products becomes 100% reliable, 24/7

      This is also pretty important - unless you cost in making alternative energy sources 100% reliable 24/7 (currently done by building additional natural gas plants to take over when either solar or wind variability doesn't provide power), you can't move to them without severe disruption. Surely there are all kinds of possible technical solutions here, but it's also bounded by #1.

      3) find any example of lower-per capita energy usage but a higher quality of life

      Last, but not least, my hypothesis depends on the assertion that higher per-capita energy usage is linked to higher quality of life. If we find one example of a country that *lowered* per-capita energy usage, and *increased* quality of life, then my hypothesis would fail. See: http://www.geni.org/globalener...

      So, now, back to you - can you quote a necessary and sufficient falsifiable hypothesis statement for CAGW? Or was your question simply a dodge to avoid giving an answer? Be honest. :)

    19. Re:Science requires falsifiability by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      Well you haven't provided any proof of your earlier statement at all, only a few reasonable-sounding statements that strongly suggest doing something about the environment (i.e. making any change) would cost us more than doing nothing (i.e continuing the status quo).
      Actually I have never disagreed on that point. I fully expect there to be some financial impact to doing something about taking action to save the environment therefore the world.
      It seems what your and many other Americans argument comes down to is that any financial impact on the economy at all is not worth saving the planet for.
      How someone can seriously think that short-term just boggles my mind.
      Even if fixing the ecological issue costs us the whole current financial system, I for one would rather be living in a cardboard box under a bridge eating ramen I bartered for, than definately dead from dehydration or starvation because nothing can grow at all due to continuing drought or other freak weather phenomena.

    20. Re:Science requires falsifiability by hsthompson69 · · Score: 1

      Well you haven't provided any proof of your earlier statement at all

      We're not talking about *proof* - we're talking about a necessary and sufficient falsifiable hypothesis statement. Proof (in terms of documented attempts to find falsifications that end in failure), is something entirely different - it comes *after* the first step :)

      . I fully expect there to be some financial impact to doing something about taking action to save the environment therefore the world.

      And therein lies your problem - you've got zero idea as to whether or not your cure is worse than the disease you suspect. You're asking us to cut off our arm because you think we might have an infected pinky finger.

      I for one would rather be living in a cardboard box under a bridge eating ramen I bartered for, than definately dead from dehydration or starvation

      When you destroy economies, you make the poorest of the poor dead from dehydration and starvation because they can't get clean water or food. The worst you can imagine is sufficient shelter and food to survive on - your proposals for making energy more expensive will actually *kill* people who are currently barely hanging on.

      I'm not sure if it's obvious to you yet, but you've got religion. I don't begrudge you your religion, but I'm not going to engage in human sacrifice in order to save the world from Satan, and I'm not going to engage in human sacrifice in order to save the world from the CO2 boogeyman either. If you can at least admit that what you have is faith, rather than fact, you'll be on the path to wisdom :)

    21. Re:Science requires falsifiability by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      >> You're asking us to cut off our arm because you think we might have an infected pinky finger.

      >> I'm not sure if it's obvious to you yet, but you've got religion.

      Nope. unless that religion is called common sense.
      I'm simply advocating that we reduce risk by not blindly ignoring what 96% of the worlds foremost experts are telling us is a real threat, That is enough of a significant number that anyone should take seriously.

      Reducing risk is what big companies love to do, so that should also be natural thinking to people with even your myopic levels of short-termist capitalism.

      I'm not sure how you an accuse me of having religion when you clearly have most bizarre blind faith that totally destroying the environment will somehow magically have no more inconvenient effect on humans than that of an infected pinky finger. How is it even possible for an otherwise apparently intelligent person to think we can ravage to destruction the life support system we all exclusively depend on to stay alive, and yet somehow us dying from that failing will be a minor inconvenience compared to the financial cost of doing anything proactive at all.

      >> When you destroy economies, you make the poorest of the poor dead from dehydration and starvation because they can't get clean water or food.

      What about the billions that will starve when we can't grow crops anymore, or those that will die directly from entire regions being hit hard with VERY extreme weather patterns? We've even already directly and recently experienced right here in the US how dangerous and costly extreme weather can be, with Katrina and New Orleans, yet somehow perople like you can just keep ignoring the evidence right in your face, almost as if it didn't really happen. Natural disaasters of that scale and much worse are queuing up and theres some evidence they are already beginning to happen all over the world, yet there are still some Americans like you that will advocate we prioritise the dollar savings of doing nothing to stop it, over the future of the entire worlds population. And you accuse ME of having religion? hah. keep praying to your almighty dollar my friend. I hope you can eat them when there's no food left.

    22. Re:Science requires falsifiability by hsthompson69 · · Score: 1

      Nope. unless that religion is called common sense.

      So it's common sense to hold onto a belief even if observations contradict it? :)

      I'm simply advocating that we reduce risk by not blindly ignoring what 96% of the worlds foremost experts are telling us is a real threat, That is enough of a significant number that anyone should take seriously.

      So if 96% of the world's theologians tell you gay marriage is a real threat, we should take that seriously? :)

      Science is not consensus :)

      I'm not sure how you an accuse me of having religion when you clearly have most bizarre blind faith that totally destroying the environment will somehow magically have no more inconvenient effect on humans than that of an infected pinky finger.

      CO2 is not totally destroying the environment :) Neither is a small increase in global average temperature - just take a look at say, population and crop yields from 2014 compared to 1914 when the world was cooler - how exactly do you measure harm during that interval if we've reduced disease, death and poverty in that interval?

      You're simply practicing another version of an apocalyptic religion, dressed up in lab coats instead of priest collars :)

      What about the billions that will starve when we can't grow crops anymore, or those that will die directly from entire regions being hit hard with VERY extreme weather patterns?

      Blaming weather on CO2 emissions is like blaming droughts on gods of the harvest who are angry :)

      You want to grow crops better? Thank the Haber process. Thank cheap energy.

      You wrap yourself in this cloak of righteousness, like some zealot of the Catholic church in the 17th century, and expect us to simply take for granted that your *massive* promise of harm is outweighed by some completely imaginary set of catastrophes unobserved in the data.

      Want to play science? Want to lose your religion? Start off with the necessary and sufficient falsifiable hypothesis statement - that's the first step of the scientific process. It doesn't start with a poll of experts, or a voice vote of consensus - it starts with *falsifiability*.

      Be honest, did you read this article? http://www.stephenjaygould.org...

    23. Re:Science requires falsifiability by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      >> CO2 is not totally destroying the environment :) Neither is a small increase in global average temperature

      Wow You REALLY need to check your facts. Here are just a few of the many sources that contraidct you:

      http://www.skepticalscience.co...

      http://www.skepticalscience.co...

      http://www.nytimes.com/2014/05...

      http://www.nature.org/ouriniti...

      http://www.epa.gov/climatechan...

      http://www.epa.gov/climatechan...

      http://www.ifpri.org/publicati...

    24. Re:Science requires falsifiability by hsthompson69 · · Score: 1

      Of course your sources contradict me - they're preaching a religious mantra without a necessary and sufficient falsifiable hypothesis statement, and they refuse to admit that observations don't match their predictions.

      Fact: 1914 was colder that 2014.

      Fact: By any measure of "catastrophe", 1914 was worse than 2014. We have larger population, a higher standard of living, better technology, better control over diseases, more food, and a host of other *great* advances for humanity.

      Do you have *any* evidence that 1914 was in fact *better* for humanity, or even the *entire biosphere* than 2014?

      If you can't prove that the world was a better place before human CO2 emissions were significant, why should we believe that the apocalypse is coming with some mild warming?

  70. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No all you may have proved - I'm not qualified to comment on the data is that no warming took place in those 210 months. In the same way you can flip a coin and get 30 heads.

  71. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by buddyglass · · Score: 1

    He's not a skeptic of warming, but of our ability to model warming and it's effects and make predictions about future climate change. So he's more of a climate modeling skeptic than a warming skeptic per se.

  72. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by Layzej · · Score: 1

    This fluctuation in tropospheric temperatures is a behavour that we see emerge in the models as well. What you have to remember is that when you measure tropospheric temperatures you are measuring one small part of the system. Tropospheric temperatures have increased by about 0.2C over the last 15 years ( http://www.woodfortrees.org/pl... ). That is not insignificant but is somewhat slower than the previous decade. Meanwhile the ocean has also continued to accumulate energy.

    Ultimately what we find is that fluctuations in tropospheric temperatures are the result of energy moving about within the system (from troposphere to ocean and back), rather than a violation of thermodynamics. So as you can see, energy fluctuations in one part of the system cannot contradict feedbacks.

    In fact, we have observed many feedbacks first hand. For instance, atmospheric water vapour has increased by about 4% since the 70's. The more warming, the more water vapour the atmosphere will hold. Water vapour is a powerful greenhouse gas. Likewise, on average summertime polar ice is declining due to warming. The less summertime ice we have the less solar energy will be reflected back into space. This is another feedback that we can measure and have observed.

  73. watch out by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For the onslaught of paid trolls telling us how climate change is real and anyone who thinks otherwise is a dumbshoe.

  74. Reasons for scepticism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So you personally design all bridges that you cross ?

    He probably crosses bridges without checking, because he has seen lots of other people do the same safely.

    Unfortunately for climate change, he HASN'T seen lots of people cutting CO2 and stopping the temperature rising. Quite the contrary. He's seen lots of people pump out extra CO2 and the temperature stabilised. That's why he's suspicious...

    1. Re:Reasons for scepticism by cforciea · · Score: 1

      Fine. Does he do his own medical diagnosis because he doesn't trust his doctor to think for him?

    2. Re:Reasons for scepticism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you personally design all bridges that you cross ?

      He probably crosses bridges without checking, because he has seen lots of other people do the same safely.

      Unfortunately for climate change, he HASN'T seen lots of people cutting CO2 and stopping the temperature rising. Quite the contrary. He's seen lots of people pump out extra CO2 and the temperature stabilised. That's why he's suspicious...

      And to believe you understand this better than close to all the scientists studying this, that doesn't make him suspicious or critical, it makes him either full of genius or full of hubris.

  75. Have you LOOKED at those "standards"? by Ferretman · · Score: 1

    They're not standards, they're propaganda.

    We want to teach students how to think for themselves, not to repeat rote consensus. Those standards are nothing more than yet another attempt to beat one viewpoint into their skulls, much like the Church did during the Dark Ages.

    Teach kids how to think and then get out of the way. Don't tell them what to think.

    Ferrret.

    --
    Sic gorgiamus allos subjectatos nunc
    1. Re:Have you LOOKED at those "standards"? by dave420 · · Score: 1

      They are in school to be educated. That means they have to be taught how to think for themselves, and to catch them up on what has already been discovered. Unless you are for letting children discern mathematics or to discover Newton's laws of motion all by themselves, and hoping they don't make mistakes. The viewpoint in question is called "reality", and is shared by nearly 100% of the scientists in their field. I know you might not agree with the findings, but to deny children an education because of your personal bias and distrust of science is, well, pathetic.

  76. "It is difficult to get a man to understand ..." by qaseqase · · Score: 1

    Upton Sinclair: "It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends upon his not understanding it!"

  77. Re:Er... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...It might be bad for the coal industry" is not a competing theory on the cause of the present climate change....

    WHAT present climate change? We've had 20 years of flat temperatures...

    Your repetitive IQ tests are not temperature data points.

  78. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by CayceeDee · · Score: 1

    It's not. All those fossil fuels, and we're just starting to burn them, have been living biological stuff before. Before they were, the C they contain was in the atmosphere as CO2.

    Different kind of Carbon which is how we can tell the increase is from fossil fuels. You might also want to think about the difference in timeframes. It took millions of years to remove the carbon, but we have replaced it in less than 100 years.

  79. Only in America by JustNiz · · Score: 1

    Its funny how over 95% of the worlds climate experts already agree global warming is at least partially to fully man-made, however for a majority of Americans that is still not enough for them to think about making small changes in their own lifestyle just in case those 95% of the worlds top experts might actually have a point.

    1. Re:Only in America by budgenator · · Score: 1

      If those experts actually have a point, anything that can be described as a small lifestyle change will be as effective as trying to put out a fire with gasoline.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    2. Re:Only in America by vikingpower · · Score: 1

      Mod parent up. Here in Europe things are going - slowly - into the right direction. Especially Germany could be, by 2040, for about 80% dependent upon renewable energy forms. But hey, the sun is going down over the US anyway. Another half century and the country will have dwindled towards something like France now: great history, thinking of themselves as "a great nation", but mainly irrelevant to the rest of the world.

      --
      Religous speak to God. Insane are spoken to by God. When all shut up, one can finally hear Shostakovich in peace
    3. Re:Only in America by sexconker · · Score: 1

      Its funny how over 95% of the worlds climate experts already agree global warming is at least partially to fully man-made, however for a majority of Americans that is still not enough for them to think about making small changes in their own lifestyle just in case those 95% of the worlds top experts might actually have a point.

      95% of the world's "climate experts" are not scientists, and are thus not worth paying attention to regarding the topic.
      Science deals with experimentation, hypotheses, and the proving/disproving thereof. All we have seen from your "consensus" of idiots is statistics based on laughably bad, inconsistent, altered, and plain ol' made up data. Statistics that, despite all the fudging, STILL haven't been able to predict anything with any accuracy.

      Show me a model that accurately predicts climate changes further out than the weekend forecast and then I'll listen. Until then you can fuck off with your political-economic platform of theft disguised as an environmental issue.

  80. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by Richy_T · · Score: 1

    You beg the question though. If CO2 is having no effect, it is not pollution, if it does, it is.

  81. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes, a small change in the partial pressure will have a measurable effect, and this effect is relatively easy to calculate, to within an order of magnitude. The values for CO2-related forcing haven't changed that much in the 100 or so years since we first started calculating it. There is some uncertainty, but no one is talking about .2 C or 20 C per doubling.

    The stratosphere is a complicated topic but I recommend that you start with the IPCC report and move on to Science of Doom. Were you just going to do this game of picking a random topic and saying that the science isn't predictive, or are you actually interested in the subject? Because really, you don't know enough to ask the questions that don't have answers, so pretty much everything that you're deeply ignorant about is going to have an answer, at least until such point as you know enough to actually get into the scientific literature.

    It's okay, we understand if these things are too scary and full of math for you. They have charts and everything! There's not even anyone there to hold your hand and tell you it's all Obama's fault. But you don't have to think, learn, or understand if it's too hard for you. We would of course prefer in that situation that you shut the fuck up.

  82. We look like retards by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We look like retards when we rant about the AGW deniers, but at the same time host our own set of anti-GMO idiots.

  83. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Richy_T · · Score: 1

    Less wishful thinking perhaps and more based on the fact that we don't swing wildly from one temperature to another.

  84. Re:Actually, by Ferretman · · Score: 1

    Seriously?

    No wonder you posted as a coward if your best is to set up a strawman and then insult somebody over it.

    Coward.

    Ferret

    --
    Sic gorgiamus allos subjectatos nunc
  85. Re: Actually, by Ferretman · · Score: 1

    So far it would appear that only the AGW cultists are doing so. Shows how weak their argument is.

    Ferret

    --
    Sic gorgiamus allos subjectatos nunc
  86. Wyoming? by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    Is that the place where circles are legally hexagonal?

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  87. Oh Enlightened Ones... by Kuberz · · Score: 1

    I understand that the readers of /. tend to be more educated than the "normal" citizen. I also understand that as a result of this higher level of education, they have a higher level of understanding of the scientific models that are used in climate science.

    Here's my problem, reading through all of these posts.

    I see a bunch of "well these agencies said" "well these scientists said" "well this percentage of people said" "well it's accurate according to what we know" blah blah blah. I'm not saying these arguments have no merit... But what about scientists such as Richard Lindzen? One of the most respected and intelligent climate scientists in the world. What about the scientists that get canned left and right if they speak out against the man made climate change/global warming/whatever it's called now(simply type in "scientist fired for questioning global warming", there's more than just one, so I wont post a reference). I see people referencing NASA, but what about the former NASA scientists that dispute(http://www.businessinsider.com/nasa-scientists-dispute-climate-change-2012-4)?

    I know it's a hard thought to believe that you could be tricked, duped even. But claiming there's all this evidence, and claiming there's all these scientists claiming something is definitive, in a field that will destroy their career for going against the grain. IDK you're not really contributing anything new. The skepticism comes from the fact that there are skeptics in the field in question, and they are quickly drowned out, silenced, and discredited. And there are far more skeptics within the scientific community than those on here are claiming, a simple Google search would show this. But it seems like everyone on here is so busy researching the "proof" they don't even want to be bothered with the other side of the story.

    1. Re:Oh Enlightened Ones... by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      The problem with scientists trying to dupe us is that the physical reality will catch up with them sooner or later. Most scientists are smart enough to realize this therefore I find it highly unlikely that they are purposely doing any such thing.

    2. Re:Oh Enlightened Ones... by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Those NASA scientists weren't climatologists. Nice try, though. If you can find one scientist who was dismissed for publishing a peer-reviewed paper which showed AGW to be bunk, you'd have a point. But you don't. So you don't. The other side of the story is nonsensical blatherings which have been debunked dozens of times before. They are half-assed claims based from feelings which hold no water when looked at in depth. Richard Lindzen has been shown to be somewhat deluded - he has had a great career, but his claims do frequent 180s to the point you can find him arguing with himself if you compare his stances over the course of a mere few years. If he's your poster boy for respectable, decent science, you should probably give up or keep looking. Even citing his name as someone on your "side" makes you look utterly ridiculous. Utterly.

  88. Inevitable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Since pretty much every week brings announcement of some new climate process, I tend to agree with the folks who suggest that the real climate system is probably a lot more complex than we can understand -- hence the specific shortcomings of the models. That having been said, current climate conditions even around the eastern end of Lake Ontario (Canada, eh...) are changing. But then change is the norm, stability is just a myth. Even the insurance companies are starting to notice.

    On the other hand, given the degree to which commercial interests have captured governments, I have no expectation that we are going to pull back from burning everything we can get our hands on -- too much money being made and nowhere near enough on the alternatives (despite Ontario's enthusiasm for sticking wind turbines on every inch of rural land -- and dialing back hydroelectric and nuclear in favor of burning gas). Besides, even if we did stop totally it likely would take centuries to undo the mess, nowhere near the kind of instant gratification everyone wants now. Wait until the tar sands start to run out, the fraking wells cough and spit and Manhattan gets wet streets and flooded subways regularly -- oh, yeah, maybe there is a problem [and not one moment before].

    The visionaries are on a vision quest -- and the rest of us try to hide in visions of our own. The reality is much too much a nightmare. Will humanity survive this self-induced extinction event? I doubt it.

    1. Re:Inevitable by symbolset · · Score: 1

      If we could only hitch the spin on both sides of this topic to a turbine we would have a limitless source of clean renewable energy.

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
  89. Repeat after me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Science operates on observation, backed by experiment replication.

    Science does not operate on consensus.

    Anyone who starts talking about consensus in science isn't a scientist.

    They're a social operator attempting to pass themselves off as a scientifically-founded personality.

    Don't like this? Tough shit.

    Liking a fact is also not part of scientific rigor.

  90. *bares toothless grin* aa-amee-rii-caa by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    2nd world country

  91. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by bugs2squash · · Score: 1

    My problem is that the denial argument is made against researching or even attempting anything that would mitigate #5 and hence obviate #6. Failing to teach our children isn't going to help here.

    --
    Nullius in verba
  92. Somebody always wins by symbolset · · Score: 1

    Also, for some who live in cold climates some warming - even a great deal of warming - would be a welcome thing.

    --
    Help stamp out iliturcy.
    1. Re:Somebody always wins by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Not really. Unless you like being surrounded by unmanageable swarms of pests you and your ecosystem are not used to (and the diseases they carry), the lack of food (as your new land won't be suitable for agriculture on the same level as the land which has ceased to be farmable), the increased sea levels which have affected the financial capitals of the world, and so on and so on. And if your land happens to be permafrost with lots of methane inside, then it'll get even warmer when it gets just a little bit warm. It's not just about temperature, and if you'd bother to familiarise yourself with this discussion, you'd know that. So no, it wouldn't be a welcome thing, even if your ignorance seems to think it would be.

    2. Re:Somebody always wins by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Thing is, the warming itself is pretty small. If the only effect were that the planet was uniformly two kelvins warmer, almost nobody would notice.

      The warming is doing other things also, and they can be bad.

      If the polar vortex hitting this area this last winter was caused or influenced by the warming, then it made things a lot colder in my chunk of the world, which I believe already gets cold enough.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  93. No one trusts Washington on climate change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  94. Re:It Is Not Politics by sycodon · · Score: 1

    I guess you prefer the Taliban method of deciding school curriculum.

    --
    When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
  95. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Pollution has MUCH MUCH more of a direct effect on the environment than CO2. Acid rain from all those other chemicals that get pumped into the air, groundwater contamination from landfills, soil contamination from factory run-off, masses of CFCs migrating to the south pole. These are pollutants.

    Just a quick note, the CO2 in question that contributes to climate change is a very small fraction of all the CO2 in the air at any given time. Nature dwarfs humanity for CO2 production, but it likewise dwarfs humanity for CO2 removal. It just so happens that humanity's contribution pushes the production amount over the removal limits.

  96. Re:It Is Not Politics by symbolset · · Score: 1

    It is cold in Wyoming. Jackson, WY is the fourth coldest city in the US.

    --
    Help stamp out iliturcy.
  97. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by FirstOne · · Score: 1

    "With the melting of the tundra 10 years ago, we hit a tipping point, it became too late to stop climate change. It is now a positive feedback loop. You could remove every human being from the planet, and global warming would continue.

    What we do about humanities 36 billion tonns/yr of CO2 emissions from FF, or not, will affect the rate of climate change. If at some point humanity starts producing a surplus of renewable energy, then we can extract CO2 from the oceans and use it to manufacture CH4 for later sequestration. At which point we really can reverse AGW.

    But, first steps first.. We must reduce the amount CO2 emissions in the first place. By reducing wasteful energy usage(*), increasing the amount of renewable energy produced, and penalize fossil usage.

    I.E. Wasteful energy usage, using a 10% efficient 2 tonn automobile where an Electric bike (600 to 1500MPGe), can accomplish the similar objectives.

  98. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by buddyglass · · Score: 2

    Argument from disbelief.

    Not really. More argument from example. He likes to point out how virtually every climate model has fallen down, badly, during the current warming pause.

    If he believes that (1) is true how can he know that (2) is true.

    He believes #2 for the same reason he admits that CO2 likely has a warming effect. Scientists can both explain theoretically and demonstrate the mechanisms by which they occur.

  99. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by buddyglass · · Score: 1

    Economic suffering is a pittance compared to human suffering.

    Just wanted to comment on this. The two are one and the same, when human suffering is caused by poverty and lack of economic development. If going carbon-zero significantly raises the cost of energy and retards the economic development of "developing" countries then that could have real and significant negative effects on the well being of the citizens of those countries. Of course, so could unchecked global warming.

  100. Man-made global warming in the 70's by !-!appy_!!arnian · · Score: 0

    The 1970's were a period with unregulated pollution - more CO2 annually than today. Yet, during that period, we experienced global cooling. 125 well-credentialed scientists signed this letter: http://scienceandpublicpolicy.... Here at slashdot, we (rightly) accuse M$ of spreading FUD against Linux et al ("open source is an open sore" etc.). Is is possible that politicians could use Man-made global warming (let's call it MGW) in the same way to extract money from large corporations? It is an appeal to guilt (think of the children), and fits neatly into campaign speeches. But I should think some of us will take a closer look.

    --
    To serve only self is the ultimate slavery.
  101. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Different kind of Carbon which is how we can tell the increase is from fossil fuels.
    You might also want to think about the difference in timeframes. It took millions of years to remove the carbon, but we have replaced it in less than 100 years.

    We didn't replace the carbon extracted from the atmosphere 500 million years ago in 100 years. Even the little part we didn't "replace", but simply put back to where it "originally" was. It just looks like a different "kind" due to not being exposed to radiation where it is stored. 500 million years ago O2 concentration was about 3% (now 21%, and it hasn't changed significantly in the last 100 years), and CO2 levels were somewhere around 6000-10000 ppm. We've put back about 100 ppm in 100 years. In the unlikely even that we continue like that (it'll be hard to exploit all those resources and decreasing O2 levels won't make it fun to live) we would need some 10000 years.

    On a global scale the last 100 years don't matter. No significance compared to the bigger (possibly slower) natural things. It's just human arrogance that we think we do have a significant impact, and that the world as it is today is "typical". No. It just happens that we're living in it in is current state. Which is quite atypical.

    Of course the upside is that this attitude speeds up the transition to renewable energies, hopefully before we run into problems of too hard to exploit resources and too low oxygen levels to breathe.

  102. Wyoming Is First State To Reject Science Standards by danielpauldavis · · Score: 1

    "teaching 'one view of what is not settled science about global warming'" is EXACTLY the problem. These so-called "scientists" (religious extremists) should earn the label "scientist" and admit they don't know everything and they're conclusions are mere probability, not certainty. Instead, we get these people teaching it like I would inist God is real, and being angry at anyone who has the unmitigated gall to disagree (of which there are many.)

    --
    Cranky educator.
  103. No, they don't want to enrich the Rothchilds by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No, Wyoming doesn't want to enrich private banker's schemes anymore:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FdqNds9pNuI

    They aren't idiots. You're the dumb parrot motherfuck who still believes the faked IPCC data when it's been thoroughly debunked by all credible scientific organizations. Real scientists go by the data, and agendas, both which never lie. You keep repeating the lie, which is what "informed" people do best. Keep repeating, parrot.

  104. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by budgenator · · Score: 1

    Even the Alarmists at Real Climate don't support Arctic methane tripping points.

    --
    Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  105. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Layzej · · Score: 1

    There is quite a bit of inertia, but right now we are accumulating energy at a rate of 4 Hiroshima bombs per second. (http://www.skepticalscience.com/4-Hiroshima-bombs-worth-of-heat-per-second.html). That has started to nudge us out of the relative stability we have seen for the last 10,000 years. It was a relatively minor forcing that moved us from the last glacial period to the current inter-glacial - which is surely a wild swing from one temperature to another.

  106. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by budgenator · · Score: 1

    atmospheric water vapour has increased by about 4% since the 70's. The more warming, the more water vapour the atmosphere will hold. Water vapour is a powerful greenhouse gas.

    And Water vapor transport vast amounts of heat from the surface to high altitudes and clouds are a great reflector of short-wave light reducing the amount of short-wave light to be re-radiated as long-wave IR; whether water vapor is a positive or a negative feedback is a point of contention.

    --
    Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  107. make it a crime by Tom · · Score: 1

    Lying while holding office should be a crime. Look at this clown:

    teaching 'one view of what is not settled science about global warming'

    Yeah, it's only 97% of the scientists in the field that hold this view, and of the remaining 3% most are in doubt of details or conclusions, the number of real scientists who think that there is no such thing as global warming or that humans have nothing to do with it can probably be counted on the fingers of one hand.

    If we want to improve our politics, the first thing we need to do is get rid of the crooks. There are enough idiots and misguided well-meaning fools in politics, we can't afford to have lying bastards in office.

    --
    Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
  108. Reject Climate Change Hysteria by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Please, correct the headline on the above article to: Wyoming Is First State To Reject Climate Change Hysteria to protect Science Standards

  109. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by budgenator · · Score: 1

    I think you've been consorting with Lewandowski and his minions too long.

    --
    Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  110. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by Layzej · · Score: 1

    Well, I was referring to observed feedbacks. We haven't observed changes in cloud cover, but you are right that if this did occur it would act as a positive or negative feedback. Clouds emit infrared radiation back to the surface, and so exert a warming effect. They also reflect sunlight and emit infrared radiation to space, and so exert a cooling effect. So if global warming does change cloud cover, the net effect could be warming or cooling depending on the type and altitude of the cloud.

  111. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Richy_T · · Score: 1

    Sure, there's inertia but we've been at this a few billion years and have gone through several cycles of rising and falling temperatures so there's at least a hint that there's some negative feedback at work. Not that that is necessarily sufficient or more than a local effect but that's not what was being claimed, merely that there's enough not yet understood to justify not going all chicken little.

  112. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by Richy_T · · Score: 1

    I tend to agree. But pollution is a lot like weeds. A weed is just a plant growing where it shouldn't, pollution is just chemicals/particles in concentrations greater than are acceptable. Context is everything. I think the immediate jump to labeling CO2 as pollution is an attempt to achieve and end-run around debate as so often seems to be the case from the Fabian crowd.

  113. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Layzej · · Score: 1

    The transition from glacial to inter-glacial is evidence of a massive positive feedback.

  114. Right Wing...blah blah... by hackus · · Score: 1

    Yet, the left wing pushing man made Global Warming...err..excuse Man made Climate Change....err...excuse me, Carnon Tax Exchange.

    That is A'OK.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/ear...

    This scam, of climate whatever change, that is being run by the monied elite and their academic lap dogs, is so transparent, one really wonders why they even bother trying anymore.

    Bernie Madoff would be proud.

    --
    Got Geometrodynamics? Awe, too hard to figure out? Too bad.
    1. Re:Right Wing...blah blah... by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Money does not change science - it can only pay for it. If you are so correct, all it would take is a single scientist to go over the peer-reviewed literature and lay the whole conspiracy open. That scientist would win the Nobel prize and be able to name their price from any research institution anywhere in the world. They would be the most famous scientist in the world, in living memory. Who benefits from scientific discoveries does not change their veracity - you do realise that, right? Just because Al Qaeda used planes on 9/11 didn't automatically make Bernoulli's and Newton's discoveries wrong.

  115. Re:"It is difficult to get a man to understand ... by budgenator · · Score: 1

    Insightful but I'm not sure which side your referring to.

    --
    Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  116. Teaching standards by miltonw · · Score: 1
    The recommendations start well. They introduce their chapter on scientific and engineering practices by saying

    From its inception, one of the principal goals of science education has been to cultivate students’ scientific habits of mind, develop their capability to engage in scientific inquiry, and teach them how to reason in a scientific context.

    The idea, they say, is to stress "the importance of developing students’ knowledge of how science and engineering achieve their ends while also strengthening their competency with related practices."

    Their "practices for K-12 science classrooms" include things like:
    "Asing questions (for science) and defining problems (for engineering)"
    "Planning and carrying out investigations"
    "Analyzing and interpreting data."
    "Engaging in argument from evidence"

    But, when they get to the section on "Climate Change", all that goes out the window.

    By the end of grade 12, they want students to "know" that

    Global climate models are often used to understand the process of climate change because these changes are complex and can occur slowly over Earth’s history. Though the magnitudes of humans’ impacts are greater than they have ever been, so too are humans’ abilities to model, predict, and manage current and future impacts. Through computer simulations and other studies, important discoveries are still being made about how the ocean, the atmosphere, and the biosphere interact and are modified in response to human activities, as well as to changes in human activities. Thus science and engineering will be essential both to understanding the possible impacts of global climate change and to informing decisions about how to slow its rate and consequences—for humanity as well as for the rest of the planet.

    How does that stack up with actually teaching science:
    How are students supposed to question computer models?
    How are students going to investigate computer models?
    How are students going to analyze and interpret computer models?
    How are students going to engage in argument from computer models?

    This is not teaching science. This is teaching trust in authority and their mysterious "climate models". Trust us. Trust our "climate models".

    1. Re:Teaching standards by miltonw · · Score: 1
      In case someone doesn't understand why their chapter on "Climate Change" is so very bad, let me quote from the report itself (which, outside of the chapter on climate, is not bad at all):

      From its inception, one of the principal goals of science education has been to cultivate students’ scientific habits of mind, develop their capability to engage in scientific inquiry, and teach them how to reason in a scientific context. There has always been a tension, however, between the emphasis that should be placed on developing knowledge of the content of science and the emphasis placed on scientific practices. A narrow focus on content alone has the unfortunate consequence of leaving students with naive conceptions of the nature of scientific inquiry and the impression that science is simply a body of isolated facts.

      No matter what one's view is on Climate Change, everyone should object to this chapter's deliberate failure to encourage students to question, investigate, analyze and evaluate the actual data for themselves.

    2. Re:Teaching standards by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're going against all the Slashdot traditions here:

      1. You aren't actually supposed to read anything referenced by the topic summary.
      2. You're supposed to have a knee-jerk reaction that shows how smart you think you are.
      3. You're not supposed to use logic or ask difficult questions. (Using the illusion of being logical to help market your viewpoint is ok.)
      4. You haven't once said the government is evil, or fascist, or a bunch of lying crooks.

      What's wrong with you? Get with the program. You're making the majority of posters look bad.

  117. Education in WY by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Actually, there are a great many kids in WY who are both smart and well educated.

    The extraction industries pay a significant amount of taxes which leads to the good school system we have. It is, of course, up to each student as to whether or not to avail themselves of the education offered - just as it is in every other state. But if you want to excel, you can do so - depending of course on where in the state you live. The two biggest towns either now offer or have offered AP, IB, and honors courses to high school students who want to challenge themselves. They're the same IB courses you'd get anywhere else with the same tests at the end. The same is true of the AP and honors courses. Locally, high school students with good grades can take college courses for high school and college credit paid for by the school district as long as they get a good grade in the course. Smaller towns are a bit more challenged due to the correspondingly low number of students, but you can certainly get a good education if you want one. Most kids from WY who go to colleges outside WY do just fine.

    WY is a very sparsely populated state, and most of the well paying jobs in the state are directly tied to coal, oil and gas. The decision by the governor to dump the science standards (an amendment to another unrelated bill proposed by the Republican legislature) was not well received. No one believes that science had anything to do with the decision. There was pressure applied at many levels because of the influence of the industries on the state. This is no different than anywhere else. It is entirely possible that this decision will seriously dim his re-election chances. A Republican will almost certainly still win - it is WY after all, but the governor may be out of a job.

    Whatever you think of carbon based energy, WY coal is cleaner in many respects than eastern coal - even if lower in energy content. That's one reason why it is in such demand, even considering transportation costs. I think the latest stats are something like 39% of the coal burned in the entire US comes from WY and three of the world's 10 biggest coal mines are here. We ship to 35 other states. If WY coal were to be shipped overseas to replace some of the really dirty coal in use there, it would be a win for the environment. Would it be great if something else could be used instead and the world could afford it? Yes. Till then, I'm glad the power comes on when I flip the switch on my wall. I'm also glad that cheap local coal keeps my electricity costs down.

    Even though coal is big in WY we also have many wind turbines. On the same per capita basis that everyone likes to marvel at when some bad statistic is mentioned, Wikipedia reports that at the end of last year we had more wind power capacity per capita than any other state. I'd bet I can see more turbines from my window than you can from yours - but that's just a guess. At any rate, even though coal is big here - we are trying to also do our part to expand to renewable sources. But realize that with any per capita statistic you see where WY is leading, our small population base means that even a small number of events will be blown out of proportion.

    Just for the record, South Carolina blocked the standards in 2012.

  118. Everyone knows by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Global warming is the religion of the left.

    Why force religion in schools?

    1. Re:Everyone knows by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Global warming is the religion of the left.

      Why force religion in schools?

      This. Same for evolution. I don't care that all the scientists agree, we won't let these ungodly scientists come here and dictate what god fearing good Americans should think or believe.

  119. I wonder why... by Vladius · · Score: 1

    Why is it whenever one of these right wing fascists gets a platform it's behind some name with the word "freedom" or "liberty" in it when they don't believe in either.

  120. Fossil Fuels Used To Be Alive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Good post but CO2 concentrations won't return to historical levels for thousands of years unless we do something to actively remove it from the carbon cycle.

    Should we remove it from the carbon cycle? All those fossil fuels used to be alive. If we dig them all up and burn them, we can give them the chance to be alive again.

    Those poor little carbon atoms, trapped underground for millions of years. Shouldn't we set them free from their earthly prison, burn them to make them free, and then rejoice as they turn back into living plants and animals?

  121. Objected to by zealots... by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Your inability to discuss this civilly

    Considering that my messages here have been nothing other than a complaint about you opening with an insulting lie what do you expect? Why should everyone else meekly take your venom?

  122. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by daknapp · · Score: 1

    If CO2 is having no effect, it is not pollution, if it does, it is.

    So if CO2 is a pollutant, then I suppose the optimal concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere is zero?

    The term "pollutant" applied to CO2 doesn't make sense. Not everything that changes the environment is, by definition, a "pollutant." Too much water can kill you. Does that make water a poison? It's pretty much the same thing.

  123. Taxation and Wyoming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When you have a small population, per capita ratios of anything mean very little. In 2011, 43 people were killed in the entire state. In 2012, there were 21 - again in the entire state if the news article was correct. Yet our population didn't drop by half. If one of the major population centers had their murder rate drop like that you would hear about it coast to coast. Here it just means that there are always going to be a few murders in any group of people. When your numbers are small to start with, per capita means nothing.

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_taxation_and_spending_by_state would contradict your statement at least as far as the 2012 numbers went. Per person - yes. Total contributed versus total received - no. I'd say the latter matters the most. Many states receive more money from the government than they contribute in taxes. Wyoming does not (354 million more revenue from the state than spending). 30 other states provide less revenue to the federal coffers than the federal goverment spends on them. Florida is particularly bad.

    Federal dollars do help our state budget. That is completely true. Wyoming taxes are also low because of the severance taxes the coal, oil, natural gas, and uranium industries pay. On the flip side, Wyoming incomes are frequently lower because of the tax burden on these industries. We do have high property taxes though.

    Where do the federal dollars go? Well, we have a lot of retirees. There are Indian reservations. There are military bases or VA facilities because like most of those rural states you are so upset with a high proportion of our young men volunteer for the military. There are a lot of federal lands - and not just the big parks that make up a lot of the state. Yellowstone itself is bigger than two states but the BLM administers 17.5 million acres in WY. That's more than the size of 10 states. I'm pretty sure that a lot of people in WY would be happy to trade the federal revenue stream for control of the federally administered land in our state. Then again, there's a lot of vehicles moving through either I-80 or I-90 on the way through the state. Keeping up the roads is certainly a fair use for some of the dollars you're so worried about since the vast majority of that benefit is to people who don't live here since there are so few of us. When you count higher costs to deliver mail across a big state and other costs, it's no surprise the federal government spends what they do. Still, I doubt they'd want us to leave. Florida - maybe.

  124. Climate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And parts of it are very windy. Wind chill is real. We got snow today. Brr. Love those fossil fuels for heat though.

  125. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by riverat1 · · Score: 1

    Those of us who accept climate science don't have to burn anybody. The Earth will do it for us if we don't get serious about the problem. :j

  126. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by riverat1 · · Score: 1

    Yes, in particular, language like the word "believe" being used for scientific theories.

    I don't "believe" in AGW or science in general. If I believe in anything it's that the scientific method is a valid and useful methodology for discovering our world and it's proven worthy of that belief.

  127. Let me enlighten you by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    NASA and NOAA are not individual people who are unbiased experts.... they're both government agencies serving a government that desperately seeks more justification for more tax dollars and more control over the populace and "we MUST do it to save the PLANET!" makes one hell of a more persuasive argument than "we want more power and money!". Furthermore, one cannot say "NASA says" or "NASA believes" in any accurate sense since there are certainly people with many varying opinions working within NASA. Yes, the current political appointees running NASA may have decided to issue reports saying certain things, and there certainly ARE people in NASA who believe those things and are willing to write such reports (James Hansen USED to be the go-to guy for climate calamity prognostication at ONE NASA facility (Goddard)). Honesty check: Did you all agree that "NASA said" everything it "said" when Bush was president, or did you insist then that NASA was oppressing the truth? hmmmmmmm?????

    As for the UN IPCC... they're not only NOT the world's experts, but they are also not a REAL government; They're a group (mostly bureaucrats NOT scientists) working very hard on the cause of implementing a new global tax system outside the reach of any national authorities. The UN has long sought an independent funding stream that would finally free it from the limited accountability it currently has as it must go (generally annually) to various memeber countries to beg for funding. The UN leadership HATES having to answer questions about drunk diplomats, inept "peace keeping" missions, unmaintained facilities, missing money, etc thrown at it by lawmakers in places like the US Congress... which it considers "beneath it" as its leadership thinks of itself as an over-arching global government. The UN has long pushed for things like the "Law of the Sea Treaty" (which would tax use of ocean resources and ship the money directly to the UN), "international" regulation of the internet (which it thinks would be via the UN and which it thinks would allow it to eventually tax the net), and a global cap-and-trade carbon tax (which would provide funding directly to the UN) among many other schemes to free itself from answering to those pesky national governments that currently fund it. The UN is all the worst aspects of the American federal government - with NONE of the benefits. NO average person on Earth gets to vote on the people at the UN; most are appointed to those jobs by various tyrants and dictators, and the few that are in ANY way representatives are VERY indirectly so (being appointed by elected elected officials or people who were, themselves, appointed)

    As for your insulting attacks on the poster you replied to (not me), let me turn the tables a bit: Do YOU really consider a problem solved if somebody in your business runs with his pet theory, denounces any skeptic as "bought-off by somebody", and has as his "solution" a prescription for a set of policies that will destroy the enterprise? And do you still prefer his plan after you discover he rigged the entire process by which the problem would be diagnosed and solutions evaluated? And do you continue to trust his diagnosis and plans when you observe that his models of the problem have all been wrong and, when fed data on previous problems, are unable to accurately model the events and predict the results which are documented to have actually occurred? Do you stick with him and his plan after it becomes obvious that he does NOT understand the underlying mechanisms, but has become so wedded to his pet theorites that he cannot consider alternatives? How about after you discover that he's completely "in-the-tank" with one political group within the enterprise and he is coordinating with them in their political activities againsts anybody with any competing ideas? If you stick with that dude, your business is going to crash... just like entrepreneurship under Obama has been doing (the worst new business creation track record in DECADES, and the worst job particip

  128. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by riverat1 · · Score: 1

    Climate models are not even expected to predict a pause as short as 15 years. The results you see are the average of many runs of the code. Individual climate model runs may show "pauses" such as we are now experiencing but when you start averaging all the runs together you get a smoother curve. It seems like you ought to understand climate models better before you start criticizing them.

  129. Ah, thinkprogress, that says it all... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    True, honest and trustworthy "Progressives" of the "early 20th century" sort... like Margaret Sanger (who founded "Planned Parenthood" as part of a eugenics play to eliminate all the less-evolved little brown people) and that noted German Progressive Dr Mengele (who thought experimenting on twins was a good place to start in progressing medical science) etc. Yeah, I know, Godwin's Law and all that.... but if you're gonna invoke an outfit funded by one of the planet's dirtiest dirtbags, who is PROUD of his Hitler-era NAZI collaboration (and says it was the best time of his life), you lose all right to cry about somebody pointing out the NAZI thing. Further, if you're gonna drag a Progressive rag into this as some font of truth, then I'm gonna go all Progressive-Hunter on ya and OUT that vile ideology. Like Polio, we Americans had rid ourself of that disease long ago... and, like polio, it's disturbing to see left-wingers bringing it back to our fine shores (polio, and other "conquered" diseases, via destroyed immigration controls)

    The TRUTH of the fight over aid for things like hurricaine Sandy (which you are doubtless alluding to) is that the fight was NOT over providing aid but rather over whether to add it to the national credit card or to PRIORITIZE federal spending and cut something else. This is insane... under Obama we have DOUBLED food stamps, for example, boosting that program by $40 BILLION per year even though we have NOT doubled unemployment... so CLEARLY there's SOME room for reform (good economic policies that got people back to work would, for example, boost taxes INTO govt AND reduce payments OUT - a double "win")

  130. Pathetic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    USA, the rest of the world is laughing at you. Some of us are even cheering on this kind of idiocy -- we'll have a little less competition in the STEM arena.

  131. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    > but is certain that "There are feedback mechanisms that mute the severity of CO2-induced warming."

    300 million years of more or less continuous life on earth, despite gigantic meteors once in a while etc. with CO2 levels varying greatly make a pretty good point on that believe. If earth in all it complexity were not gigantic negative-feedback loop system it wouldn't last long...

  132. Nice job...try reading ALL of Luntz's writing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Luntz was advising Republican politicians on how to operate in an atmosphere where Democrats had already hyper-politicized science and economics. He was, essentially, saying to Republicans: "The Democrats have already convinced most people you guys are the party of big business and anti-science (to protect big business) ... so if you bring-up things like economic arguments you play right into their hands, and you have a very limited time before they close the argument on man-made global warming, coinvincing the voters of that too". The Democrats get just as much money (often more) from "big business" as Republicans, but the accusation that Republicans are the tools of big business is something the left-wing press and left-wing entertainment industry has driven in all its outlets for DECADES... and you'll note that Luntz advises his clients to steer away from the traps they often fall into in that regard. Same on "global warming".

    You guys on the left LOVE to point people at that Luntz memo (and the Florida Fox news affiliate lawsuit) because you KNOW the everage person will see the link as proof that it's a legit attack (and MAYBE even follow a link and skim part of a document, out of context, just far enough to see a sentence or two that seems to confirm the attack). The burden is always on your opponents to assume people will actually take the time to look deeper into the subject, read the full documents and related documents, etc. Sadly, the tactic works too well in an era of short attention spans and hyper-partisanship where you can count on most of your friends to never see any info contrary to the "party line" you push (as long as you can convince them to avoid the only news outlet that disagrees with your side - which you generally do with lines like "faux news" or "Fox lies!"). If people pickle their brains sufficiently on a constant stream of MSNBC, The Daily Show, The Colbert Report, Koz, HuffPo, etc, they'll fall for your deceptive agitprop too....but that does not stop everybody from pointing out the truth.

    1. Re: Nice job...try reading ALL of Luntz's writing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ... But it is proff that Luntz is a manipulative bastard, and is undermining the democratic process. Who cares about the left/right politics. He's deceiving people for political gain.

  133. Re:Wyoming Is First State To Reject Science Standa by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... anyone who has the unmitigated gall to disagree (of which there are many.)

    Yes, but, interestingly, almost none of the people disagreeing are experts in the field, or even learned in the field. A lot of disagreement claims are being thrown around in the discussion from a lot of people who suddenly have graduated to armchair climate experts capable of understanding this better than all the actual scientists in the field.

  134. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by AlterEager · · Score: 1

    He likes to point out how virtually every climate model has fallen down, badly, during the current warming pause.

    But that happens to not be the case. The cause of the current "pause" seems to be ENSO. Climate models can't predict ENSO, because ENSO is weather not climate. If one constrains a climate model with the current ENSO conditions it turns out that the pause is modeled very well.

    Kosaka and Xie (2013, Nature, doi:10.1038/nature12534)

    He believes #2 for the same reason he admits that CO2 likely has a warming effect. Scientists can both explain theoretically and demonstrate the mechanisms by which they occur.

    Which scientists believe that feedback mechanisms will "mute the severity of CO2-induced warming." will outweigh the feedback mechanisms that enhance global warming.

    He's only seeing the things that reinforce what he wants to be true. Motivated reasoning at it's finest.

  135. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Regarding the costs of mitigating, all published economists agree that it is cheaper to mitigate than to accept the impacts of climate change, and the sooner we start mitigating the cheaper it will be.

    On Climate Change, there is Scientific Consensus, and there is Economics Consensus. Why do people keep fighting it? What are you denialists waiting for? Taxi Driver Consensus? Barber And Hairdresser Consensus??? THEN will you believe it???

  136. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by delt0r · · Score: 1

    Politics. Its been about nothing but for a long time now.

    But there are really somethings we can say. The models have not proven any kind of accuracy over the time frame we are told we must change everything. The changes most think would be enough are either so out of the park in cost or just not even several orders of magnitude enough to make any difference at all. And all things come with costs.

    Long story short. Everyone wants someone else to do something about it. Even worse people think buying green is in fact green without looking at *any* data whatsoever.

    --
    If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
  137. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by delt0r · · Score: 1

    all published economists agree that it is cheaper to mitigate than to accept the impacts of climate change.

    No they don't.

    --
    If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
  138. The long answer by dbIII · · Score: 1
    As you are well aware the models are being adapted over time with reference to observed results so I'm sick of people regurgitating such stupid anti-intellectual political propaganda again.

    we are unable to do a real experiment and follow the scientific method on this one

    Are you going to tell astronomers that they are not real scientists either for your next trick or are you going to accept that we are not going to fall for your restricted personal definition that there is no science other than chemistry or similar bullshit? It may work on the kiddies but it's a gross insult to the intelligence of the readers here.

  139. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Layzej · · Score: 1

    Can you cite one?

  140. Economics? or Science? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Economics. How scientific. /s

    The current solutions to global climate disruption are economics. They say, "pay carbon tax! that will fix it!". Carbon will cost more so there will be less of it around. That isn't science, that's economics.

    So how about a scientific solution? Everybody says "we have to reduce the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere! the only way to do this is by reducing emissions!".

    Is that the only way? Why couldn't we reduce the concentration of carbon dioxide by increasing other gases? For example, carbon dioxide is up to dangerous levels of 400ppm. If we simply double the amount of nitrogen and oxygen in the atmosphere this will reduce the carbon dioxide levels to 200ppm!! WOW!!!

    As the wise man said, Think Different Outside The Box!

    Let's reduce carbon dioxide by increasing other gases!!

    1. Re:Economics? or Science? by ericloewe · · Score: 1

      Let's produce matter out of nothing! That's what you are suggesting (disregarding the fact that only so much gas can be held within the atmosphere due to the required equilibrium of gravity and expansion).

      If we could do that, we sure as hell would not need to be discussing any of this.

  141. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The real point - he doesn't want to do something, so it's impossible to do anything, so there is nothing that need to be done.

    That's not what #5 said at all. You just lost all credibility with that straw man.

  142. Tom = multiple /. sockpuppet using scum by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Let's let TOM speak shall we:

    "I'm having great conversations on this site with one of my alias accounts" - by Tom (822) on Monday April 07, 2014 @02:29PM (#46686259) Homepage FROM -> http://slashdot.org/comments.p...

    APK

    P.S.=> Tom *tried* to libel me & failed after I destroyed him in a technical debate on hosts files... result?

    Tom ended up "eating his words" here http://slashdot.org/comments.p... spiced with "the bitter taste of SELF-defeat" + HIS FOOT IN HIS MOUTH

    ... apk

    1. Re:Tom = multiple /. sockpuppet using scum by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your point would be more valuable if you didn't look like a bully, while showing off so hard.

  143. Tom = multiple /. sockpuppet using scum by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Let's let TOM speak shall we:

    "I'm having great conversations on this site with one of my alias accounts" - by Tom (822) on Monday April 07, 2014 @02:29PM (#46686259) Homepage FROM -> http://slashdot.org/comments.p...

    APK

    P.S.=> Tom *tried* to libel me & failed after I destroyed him in a technical debate on hosts files... result?

    Tom ended up "eating his words" here http://slashdot.org/comments.p... spiced with "the bitter taste of SELF-defeat" + HIS FOOT IN HIS MOUTH

    ... apk

  144. Climate Change Joke by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I remeber when everyone was saying we are heading for another ice age. The Earth is cooling down too much. Now it the other way the Earth is heating up to much. Has some of the lets clean up the air been good? Yes it has. But over all it is just a way to get money from others.

  145. sad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I am saddened to see that the average /. reader is not smarter or more educated than the average American, and that's a pretty low bar to clear.

  146. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

    Of course they wouldn't, their entire funding stream is highly dependent upon human causes. By their standards, ALL climate change must be due to burning fossil fuels and eating meat, else they lose their funding.

    --
    SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
  147. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

    Funny, I'm reading this just after I traded in my electric scooter on an electric bicycle.

    --
    SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
  148. Coporate education by toddbanng · · Score: 0

    If there was ever a case to NOT allow lobbying, corporations and the like - this is a prime example of what NOT to do. When an entire state decides to ignore science for the benefit of ANY industry - good or bad, it's corruption. We will have to then assume that either by changing the law via legislation and/or forcefully rejecting non-science ideology, can we ever hope to move this country forward. I can see it now - "kids, you'll not want to live in Wyoming - pretty place and all, but the water isn't drinkable, and all the animals have died - but there's good jobs because of all the fracking and such. There was a law back in 2014 that passed, that said people could ignore science to benefit large corporations, so they simply re-wrote textbooks to be on "their side". Now, the beautiful state of Wyoming is nothing like it used to be...." Ultimate example of ass-holism

  149. If you don't believe in climate change by CarlStanley · · Score: 1

    If you don't believe in climate change, and you go extinct because of this stubbornness, that is just natural selection at work. But, the name people who do not believe in climate change do not believe in evolution. Oh the irony.

  150. Dats sum bu11sh1t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ahh, the one thing that is constant is the ever increasing arrogance of humans. In only 120 years or so, that we have been industrialized , we have managed to produce harmful by products to effect the climate. The earth is billions of years old, but we can destroy it in a century. Bullshit.
    One volcano eruption produces enough ozone depleting material than all humans, ever. Climate change BS is an excuse to move forward a political agenda of increased govt. control and regulation. Wake the F up?

  151. It's not about the science ... it's about the cure by FreedomFirstThenPeac · · Score: 1
    • 0.999 = the probability that the planet is warming
      • 0.99 = the probability that it is at least 70% anthrogenic
        • 0.01 = the probability that a first world carbon tax or similar can slow the warming
        • 0.001 = probability that all first/second world countries will crash their economies to save us all (political question follows)
        • 0 = the probability that any one first/second world country will actually crash their economy to save us all.
    --
    "There is no god but allah" - well, they got it half right.
  152. How long? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wyoming's conflict of interest notwithstanding the science of climate is far from understood and is still in the middle of the "prediction and feedback" part of the process.
    The point missed or ignored a lot is that to be "science" you have to make predictions based on your theory and measure results to see if your theory is correct or not. The climate models have been in epic fail mode for some time now.
    So a valid question to all those who believe that CO2 controls the climate is "How long with rising CO2 and flat or falling temperatures before you admit that your theory is wrong?".
    Other theories have stood the test of time with their predictions much better. Check out Dr Libby's prediction from the 1970s (3+ decades of accuracy), Dr Easterbrook's (12 years), Dr Abdussamatov (8 years). They all have correctly called for a cooling period of varying depths and lengths. So far they have been correct and the IPCC models wrong.

  153. Me me me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Like abortion, divorce, sex outside of marriage, euthanasia--meme me meme (pun intended)

  154. The term "useful idiot" was not invented by Glenn by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    See the article http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Useful_idiot.

  155. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Richy_T · · Score: 1

    Like when the pendulum on a clock swings from the left to the right?

  156. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by Richy_T · · Score: 1

    Water could be a pollutant in the right circumstances. But otherwise, I think we're in agreement. My assertion is not that CO2 is a pollutant.

  157. Good on Wyoming! by hunzana · · Score: 1

    Good on Wyoming for rejecting the junk-science and social engineering project - also known as - Global Warming! It is going to take some time for this Liberal Fetish to work its way through our lives, but in the end you will come to learn that there are just some things even Liberals can't control.

  158. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Layzej · · Score: 1

    So which is it? You said "we don't swing wildly from one temperature to another". But you also liken the wild swing from glacial to interglacial to the pendulum on a clock. Meaning we see wild swings all the time? It is really unclear what you are trying to argue.

  159. Re: It is only "settled" in the minds of zealots by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Back in Roman times wine was made in England so if we do have Anthropomorphic Global Change maybe we are heading back to normal temperatures.

  160. Daily Climate Click bait a raging success by MooseMiester · · Score: 1

    Another day, another slashdot click bait climate story, and of course all the usual suspects made all the same arguments they make every day.

    Of course the original post - as always - is from Hugh Pickens dot com - the same place all the climate click bait comes from. Is it accurate and non biased? OF COURSE NOT!!! (Hint: It never is)

    But you suckers (that includes OFA trolls, right wing loons, left wing loons, and the like)... you all fell for it, and entered 534 comments not worth reading.

    --
    Murphy was an optimist
  161. politics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    My bs-o-meter immeditately goes off anytime a politician tells me we are in a crisis and the only way to solve the crisis is to give money to politicians...

  162. It seems more common sense prevails in Wyoming... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    than elsewhere in the paid-for opinionated politically inspired pseudo-science community inspired by the IPCC circus!

    Face the fact, warmists, the plot is unraveling fast, the weather is not playing along and the "evidence" is slipping away faster than a polar bear swimming throught the North Sea.

  163. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Richy_T · · Score: 1

    Context is important, of course but I would not classify that as wildly. Boiling seas or solid CO2, perhaps...

  164. Don't recognize those diplomas by Glasswire · · Score: 1

    Simple solution: Any serious University with applicants into any science-based degree program should no longer accept Wyoming high school certificates as meaningful and should require applicants from that state to test out to verify that they have a proper background to enter the program. When the climate deniers who run the Wyoming establishment start having their offspring turned away and stigmatized by Ivy League and other prominent schools, watch that curriculum change back to accurate science rather quickly.

    1. Re:Don't recognize those diplomas by hierofalcon · · Score: 1

      SAT, ACT, IB, and AP exams already provide that function for universities.

  165. Politicans by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I doubt most of them can spell science, much less understand it.

  166. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by E++99 · · Score: 1

    I've read all the IPCC reports. I've read dozens of climate papers published in the climatology journals. I've downloaded all the ice core data to do my own numerical experiments. What I am doing is pointing out some bad oversimplified reasoning.

  167. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why do you denialists just ignore data?

    Because they're exactly the same as geocentrists and creationists - they start with a conclusion and work backwards from there, and ignore anything and everything that doesn't support their conclusion.

  168. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by E++99 · · Score: 1

    Do you happen to have a the reference for those CO2 forcing numbers? Every time I've tried to follow footnotes from an IPCC report, it sends me on a chain of references that just ends up back at an earlier IPCC report.

  169. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by E++99 · · Score: 1

    Sorry bad numbers.... I meant to say 330 to 400 -- the change from the 80's to now which have coincided with the most recent warming trend.

  170. Troll talks about troll by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not saying I disagree on the sentiment, but before you call people out on being a troll because they listen to someone who "invented" a phrase, maybe you should use the 2 seconds it takes to google and see that the phrase "Useful idiot" wasn't invented by Beck, but has been tossed around since at least the cold war, and possibly long before that.

  171. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Layzej · · Score: 1

    Wow.

  172. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Layzej · · Score: 1
  173. Re:They don't agree with us! Burn them! by Reziac · · Score: 1

    Anything is a contaminant if it's where it's not wanted. But I also have a hard time considering something required by plant life as a 'pollutant' ... especially when some greenhouses deliberately increase the concentration to improve yields.

    --
    ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
  174. How much longer can this go on? by Murdoch5 · · Score: 1

    How much longer can the US keep rejecting scientific facts? Allowing a state to reject proven science because they just don't like it, is insane, no country which has any respect would allow it. The US really is the laughing stock, education wise, of the developed world, it's gotten to the point I'm scared for students who have to attend school in the US, because of bullshit like this. I think new laws need to be set on a world platform to help govern education ( yes I mean world wide! ), this should be the required standards ( at least in part ):

    1. You MUST teach global warming is a threat and a very real danger.
    2. You MUST teach that evolution is the best theory we have for the progression of life.
    3. You MUST teach men and women are equal ( sorry middle east! ).
    4. You MUST teach that religion is man made dogmatic superstition ( which it is ).
    5. You MUST enforce high scientifical thinking and reasoning in ALL cases, before all else.

    Any educator not willing to side with this should be jailed, it's time not only the US ( who have the worst education system in the world ), but for the world to support a proper education system.

  175. theories that have no skill in prediction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We all need to make good decisions based upon theories that accurately predict what is to come. The CAGW assertion on CO2 shows no skill. It is falsified by the IPCC's data. AKA the data doesn't match our predictions so it must be ome where else ...in the deep ocean where it can't be measured. Some one in Wyoming or a group of fairly intelligent people who understand scientific method should be commended for clear thinking amd not being intimidated.

  176. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Layzej · · Score: 1

    It takes a long time for the system to reach equilibrium. There is quite a bit of inertia because of the oceans which can absorb massive amounts of energy. The CO2 increases of the 80's are not likely responsible for the warming of the 80's. Rather it would be prior CO2 increases that caused the warming of the 80's.

  177. But their republitardation can not see by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That republicanism was is and always will be a failure.
    Just as much as the earth is flat pro claimer's.

  178. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by AlterEager · · Score: 1

    The real point - he doesn't want to do something, so it's impossible to do anything, so there is nothing that need to be done.

    That's not what #5 said at all. You just lost all credibility with that straw man.

    You're right. That's not wjat #5 says. It is, however, what #1+#2+#3+#4+#5+#6 says. This is a pure example of motivated reasoning and if you're unable to see that that tells us pretty much all we need to know about you.

  179. Re:Deniers are too stupid to read -- prove me wron by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's a sceptic's responsibility to form a consistent counter-position. They can raise any combination of concerns about a theory. It's also not their responsibility to prove they do not have some kind of agenda. By applying these unscientific constraints to the sceptical position, you are acting to undermine scientific discourse, and only helping to turn CAGW into a religion.

  180. This is a good start, but - by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    what about all the other ones?

    Repeal Gravity! That one causes a lot of injuries every year. Why aren't they doing anything about that?

    Thermo-Dynamics. Really gets me hot under the collar.

    There are others, but you all can fill in your favorite ones for debunking.

    Rah Rah Congress and all other legislative bodies, countermanding fact since, well, at least 2014. Probably the Scopes trial was before that, but time is an arbitrary concept, so WTF knows?

  181. Re: It Is Not Politics by Shadowmist · · Score: 1

    You got one thing right. The state is evil. And by state I mean the government itself, not Wyoming per se.

    If, in order to solve this problem, the liberty and freedom of the people in Wyoming to run their own lives and government needs to be sacrificed, then I will never agree with your "solution" to this problem.

    If we must give our liberty in order to survive, then count me as your enemy. What good is life without liberty?

    Oh and your all powerful government you require to solve this problem, if it's at all like all the all powerful governments that have come before, it'll have to destroy the environment in order to save it.

    Very stirring, moving, and utter anarchist bullshit. Freedom and liberty have never been absolute rights, not even the Founders intended that extreme.

    We all compromise somewhat on our liberty. That's why we build this thing called civilization instead remaining belligerent apes howling over water holes. We accept traffic lights so we don't run our cars into each other at intersections, and that pedestrians can have a reasonably safe method of crossing the street.

    Your "right to do with what your own property" stops when your pollution starts causing others to sicken, or impacts the long term health of the community. Your right to free speech ends when you call in fake bomb threats or yell "fire" in a movie theater.

    We are all temporary residents on this planet. Maybe your libertarian values demand that you don't give two beans for the welfare of your descendants, but they are the ones who are going to bear the consequences of our choices, for good or ill.

  182. Climate skeptics are not 'anti-science.' by jwbales · · Score: 1

    If tobacco companies sponsored research showing that tobacco was good for ones health, one would be skeptical. But what if 97% of all research by dozens of tobacco companies showed that tobacco was good for ones health. Would it be fair to call the skeptics 'anti-science?'

    The public is skeptical of climate science for the same reason. Since most of the research is funded ultimately by governments and since governments tend to prefer results which justify an increase in government power, people are skeptical of government funded climate research. People who favor greater government control of economic matters will tend not to be skeptical and those who oppose increases in government power will tend to be more skeptical.

    There is no mystery here and there is nothing 'anti-science' about climate science skepticism.