What is needed is to ask CHina nicely to follow their legal obligations, and if not, then we drop MFN, slowly. Once they do the right thing and follow the CLinton agreement, as well as WTO accords, then we restore MFN with the provision that it drops again if they ever reneg on their legal requirements .
The reactor that will use burn waste, is expected to be the thorium reactor. We can re-start the project fairly quickly. In addition, it is known for great low costs and safety.
The feds should not be picking winners. They have a long history of doing the wrong thing because of lobbyists. THink of our ethanol debacle. Right now, EACH of the YEARLY fossil fuel subsidies outweigh all that we have spent on ethanol. In addition, nuke subsidiy is bigger than ethanol. Likewise, the total subsidiy for Ethanol is bigger than the total subsidy for ALL OTHER AE (wind, solar PV, solar thermal, geo-thermal, etc). ALl of this is the wrong way. There is a MUCH simplier and better approach to this.
kill all subsidies and loans guarantee as currently defined.
Offer up loan guarantee for any clean energy that is a set size and is for American products (no different than any other nation).
Offer up a LIMITED TIME subsidy for ALL CLEAN energies. It should be for limited time of say 10 years. This will include things like Nukes, but also Wind, Solar PV, solar thermal, geo-thermal, ethanol, etc. BUT, it would be the same across the board.
Offer up an ADDITIONAL limited time subsidy for ALL CLEAN ENERGY THAT IS BASE LOAD POWER. This will be items like nukes, geo-thermal, and even ethanol.
Offer up another subsidy for any energy storage. That would be such things as nukes, geo-thermal, salts stored heat, air, hydro, etc. This would help to flatten the demand vs. supply issue. Also, it would allow for energy in post disaster times.
Our problem is that due to lobbyist, we have an INSANE approach to energy. It needs to be changed.
SpaceX is going to space regardless of what NASA and Obama do. The issue is, what we will do to solve the NASA problem. Phil is actually pointing out that most of the in-the-know reports says that Obama will kill Constellation, continue funding of cots, and most importantly FOCUS ON A NEW HEAVY LIFTER. So, exactly where does SpaceX stock figure in this? It does not.
Yeah, I can never imagine why any private company would want to have satellites. Likewise, no company would want to mine an asteroid or even the moon with automated equipment and not have to deal with EPA. Likewise, no company would want to discover a new vaccine that is only possible in space and not on high g's. And no company will be able to come up with new ideas in which to make money.
I mean, ask Portugal and China all about that. It worked great for them.
All of the private space will use standard connectors when it comes to hooking up large parts. For example, NASA will come up with standards for various liquid and gas exchange, electricity, etc. Otherwise, we will do what is done today; an adopter will be used.
If the research is taxpayer funded, then it is owned by us.
RD is always unfinished.
RD is always redundant. That allows for checks and balance IN SCIENCE.
Constellation, as far as Orion goes, will continue forward. That would be a lose. In fact, it will be put back on track. Many cuts were made to it because of the Ares I debacle.
OTH, Ares I and even Ares V are NIGHTMARES. Not only were they not funded by W (only in 2007 and 2008 once the congress went neutral did it go up), BUT, we are looking at another 32 BILLION dollars to build these. Ares I is looking at being ready no earlier than 2015 (likely 2017) at a cost of another 5 billion. It will cost about 100 million to launch less than 25MT. A stage one jupiter could be ready in 3 years. It will cost about 6-7 Billion to have ready. It will launch 70+MT into space. It will cost 130 million to launch. THe price per kg is MUCH less for Jupiter than Ares I.
The Ares V will be another 20-25 billion to develop. The second stage of Jupiter will cost about 2 billion. It would be ready by 2015. Ares V would be a BIT cheaper (per kg) to run than Jupiter, BUT, the difference in development costs is about 18-24 billion. That will buy a LOT of launches on Jupiter.
Losing the Ares is the smartest thing that can be done.
It can make it available when another nation decides to try and corner it. For example, China believes that they hold the only reserves to a number of rare earth minerals. These are increasingly becoming important in electronics and military applications. So china is now lowering what can be exported and has already cut off several of these. The SMART thing to do is to make certain that we have supplies available elsewhere. Otherwise, the west (possibly the world) MAY feel the need to go get it. That is why you do not take embargoes lightly against NUCLEAR ARMED COUNTRIES.
Nobody needs to pay for a camera in what is suppose to be a display/input unit. Keep it simple and cheap. Heck, if they really want to be inventive, make it work with the Cameras in any other android phone. That way you attach your phone to a stand, plug it into your apad, and then have the camera stream to the apad.
That I have been saying that here for the last 8 years. And this was talked at in the CDC lab that I worked at back in 1981. IOW, this is not a new theory. All you have to do is pay attention to how things are jumping. It has everything to do with bio density of population and how fast virus mutates. It also has to do with the blood transfusions in which we transfer these virus.
My guess is that a number of asymptomatic virus exists that are slowly able to move from species to species. Those will increase our evolution. Oddly, it means that it will allow us to pick up diseases that take decades to show. My guess is that when we have a colony on Mars, we will get to see evolution difference show up.
For far too long, the West (esp. America) starts projects and then does not finish them; Too expensive, when the simple truth is, the next party does not have the fortitude to follow the vision. Clinton killed the Super Collider as well as the IFR. Both were short times away from being done. He started the X-33 as test craft to replace the shuttle. When it was headed towards testing, W/neo-cons killed it. Worse, when DOD BEGGED for multiple years to have the X-33, W/neo-con had the craft destroyed. So then, W starts a new program (constellation), but severely underfunded. In fact, all of the real money was pushed to be done NOW (which we can not really afford).
HOWEVER, if Obama gives the push for MULTIPLE LVs, a private space station, and ideally a tug/fuel depot, then we will see private space take over. Once the corps are making money on the private space station, they will certainly push for the moon. In fact, if done right, we could be back on the moon by 2017. Of course, that depends on BA going back to their old schedule (starting space station by 2011), rather than the new schedule (2014).
Yes, shit happens in China but it's not much different than everywhere else in the world except that they are better at hiding it, disguising it or worse, making their population numb to it.
Not even CLOSE to being the truth. The west outs the majority of our junk. We know and object to the issues here. In china, the majority of junk is hidden from the citizens. Heck, it is amazing that you state that we hide things, when it is CHina that has the control over their media and goes to great lengths to prevent publications of such.
Yet, to all the people in China who are barely starting to see a modern life quality for the first time in generations, want nothing to do with their government's stance on internal affairs or are actively fighting it on their own, I think it's a bit unfair to lump all of them together with this whole "China's evil" slogan, don't you think?
First, that is quite the sentence. Second, in general, when referring to a nation (such as China's evil), that is the GOV, not the ppl. There is a difference ESP. in a totalitarian nation such as China. The reason is that you can not vote that gov. in or out. What I am telling you, is to not take it personal. I think that there are few who would state that the Chinese ppl are inheritantly evil. I speak out against China all the time, but that is because China, the gov., is in a cold war mentality against the west, and the west is doing nothing about it. However, I HOPE that Chinese ppl will ultimately rise up against their gov. Somehow, I doubt it, while their nation is in a fast economic tear. That is why I want the west to have China honor their treaties and WTO obligations.
Just boot China out of the WTO and drop their MFN with America. Look, CHina is NOT going to give freedom's to their citizens. Their move towards capitalism was to prevent their citizens from revolting. There is ZERO intention of ever restoring their freedoms. OTH, China is in a cold war with the rest of the west, and most likely with the world. Their goal is control. Even now, they had LEGAL obligations under MFN AND WTO, to which they have not honored any of it.
It would inject the money back into our nation's system; If combined with Bigelow's multiple space stations, It would drop the price of launches (multiple locations will increase the rate of launches, which will lower the price). It would bring back our high tech industries.
OTH, if we go with Russia launches, then I suspect that those who push that, will follow it up with pushing us to use Chinese launches.
Yeah, it is VERY DIFFERENT. I prefer us to stay with private Launches, or at least stay with western launches.
Is United Launch actually NASA? You do KNOW that they are the ones that fit the Shuttle and make it work, yes?
Likewise, by your opinion, it must be NASA that has the delta and Saturn's.
Personally, I always thought that it was private industry that ran these, not NASA.
Look, NASA has done a lot of positive things. BUT, we NEED to bring private enterprise into this. If nothing else, we need private money to get us to the moon and mars.
If EADS and the others had a brain, they would skip the beaming of power down, and instead developed a means of sending power to orbit first (useful for sending power to the ISS or other sats; it will require ultra caps up there), AND develop a way to relay the energy. The relay would be useful on a plane for the DOD (sending power to forward bases) as well as for disaster areas. FOr example, think Haiti. Think Katrina. Think Ca last week. By being able to put a drone up with infrared sending power to it, and then beam it down via multiple signals, it would allow real power tools to be brought in. We have seen the walking skeletons (aka alien), and the ability to lift things. Think of how useful that concept would be in Haiti right now.
Once you get beaming of power around, THEN, it becomes useful to put solar cells into space. Personally, I would put it around mars and the moon first. Have 2 or three sats providing power, to beam down to missions with ultra-caps.
A corp has no real responsibility, no sense of morals, and rarely ever is punished for many of its crimes. ANd yet, we equate it to man. That single warped logic is killing us.
offer to spin off mysql. Perhaps after a few years. It would seem that if their intentions was to acquire Solaris and that market, they would have offered mysql up. However,.....
Apple never helped MS with any of that. OTH, MS made friendly with many companies and then destroyed them after they had the advantage. Apple's desktop comes first to mind. Sybase is next. But so does Borland, AOL, Novell, and netscape. In fact, when MS wants into an area, they are more than happy to destroy any 'Friend' to get to what they perceive as a threat.
Intuit, Survives because they have a monopoly backing their books desktop. Without that, intuit would have lost LONG ago. Basically, when a company falls into bed with MS, MS will us that knowledge and position to destroy.
So was Al Capone and his minons bright? Are the gangs of today bright? When you are FORCED to use illegal means to acquire and hold a monopoly, and to throw 10000x more money at competitor, then you are composed of idiots. Had MS been composed of brilliant ppl, then they would not have been forced to be illegal or to have to outspend their competitors by that amount.
Apple should realize that once MS comes on strong with Bing in this space, that they will use it on their phone. The issue here is that MS is composed of total idiots, HOWEVER, they like to throw money and their already established monopolies at other ones. As such, MS will go after Apple's iphone. And they will slowly eat away at them. OTH, if Apple either works with a different company, or even with Google, they will still remain the leader.
Actually, WTO is opposed to Dumping/Flooding/Subsidies to protect your own local market. Freetrade does NOT mean unfair trade. And the WTO has regularly allowed a nation to impose tariffs against another nation if the nation was dumping, flooding, or using subsidies.
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What is needed is to ask CHina nicely to follow their legal obligations, and if not, then we drop MFN, slowly. Once they do the right thing and follow the CLinton agreement, as well as WTO accords, then we restore MFN with the provision that it drops again if they ever reneg on their legal requirements .
The reactor that will use burn waste, is expected to be the thorium reactor. We can re-start the project fairly quickly. In addition, it is known for great low costs and safety.
Our problem is that due to lobbyist, we have an INSANE approach to energy. It needs to be changed.
SpaceX is going to space regardless of what NASA and Obama do. The issue is, what we will do to solve the NASA problem. Phil is actually pointing out that most of the in-the-know reports says that Obama will kill Constellation, continue funding of cots, and most importantly FOCUS ON A NEW HEAVY LIFTER. So, exactly where does SpaceX stock figure in this? It does not.
Yes, centuries old China, Vikings, and several hundred years ago Portugal will agree with your assessment. It worked great for them.
Yeah, I can never imagine why any private company would want to have satellites. Likewise, no company would want to mine an asteroid or even the moon with automated equipment and not have to deal with EPA. Likewise, no company would want to discover a new vaccine that is only possible in space and not on high g's. And no company will be able to come up with new ideas in which to make money.
I mean, ask Portugal and China all about that. It worked great for them.
Constellation, as far as Orion goes, will continue forward. That would be a lose. In fact, it will be put back on track. Many cuts were made to it because of the Ares I debacle.
OTH, Ares I and even Ares V are NIGHTMARES. Not only were they not funded by W (only in 2007 and 2008 once the congress went neutral did it go up), BUT, we are looking at another 32 BILLION dollars to build these. Ares I is looking at being ready no earlier than 2015 (likely 2017) at a cost of another 5 billion. It will cost about 100 million to launch less than 25MT. A stage one jupiter could be ready in 3 years. It will cost about 6-7 Billion to have ready. It will launch 70+MT into space. It will cost 130 million to launch. THe price per kg is MUCH less for Jupiter than Ares I.
The Ares V will be another 20-25 billion to develop. The second stage of Jupiter will cost about 2 billion. It would be ready by 2015. Ares V would be a BIT cheaper (per kg) to run than Jupiter, BUT, the difference in development costs is about 18-24 billion. That will buy a LOT of launches on Jupiter.
Losing the Ares is the smartest thing that can be done.
It can make it available when another nation decides to try and corner it. For example, China believes that they hold the only reserves to a number of rare earth minerals. These are increasingly becoming important in electronics and military applications. So china is now lowering what can be exported and has already cut off several of these. The SMART thing to do is to make certain that we have supplies available elsewhere. Otherwise, the west (possibly the world) MAY feel the need to go get it. That is why you do not take embargoes lightly against NUCLEAR ARMED COUNTRIES.
So, lets start looking in space for these.
Nobody needs to pay for a camera in what is suppose to be a display/input unit. Keep it simple and cheap. Heck, if they really want to be inventive, make it work with the Cameras in any other android phone. That way you attach your phone to a stand, plug it into your apad, and then have the camera stream to the apad.
That I have been saying that here for the last 8 years. And this was talked at in the CDC lab that I worked at back in 1981. IOW, this is not a new theory. All you have to do is pay attention to how things are jumping. It has everything to do with bio density of population and how fast virus mutates. It also has to do with the blood transfusions in which we transfer these virus.
My guess is that a number of asymptomatic virus exists that are slowly able to move from species to species. Those will increase our evolution. Oddly, it means that it will allow us to pick up diseases that take decades to show. My guess is that when we have a colony on Mars, we will get to see evolution difference show up.
For far too long, the West (esp. America) starts projects and then does not finish them; Too expensive, when the simple truth is, the next party does not have the fortitude to follow the vision. Clinton killed the Super Collider as well as the IFR. Both were short times away from being done. He started the X-33 as test craft to replace the shuttle. When it was headed towards testing, W/neo-cons killed it. Worse, when DOD BEGGED for multiple years to have the X-33, W/neo-con had the craft destroyed. So then, W starts a new program (constellation), but severely underfunded. In fact, all of the real money was pushed to be done NOW (which we can not really afford).
HOWEVER, if Obama gives the push for MULTIPLE LVs, a private space station, and ideally a tug/fuel depot, then we will see private space take over. Once the corps are making money on the private space station, they will certainly push for the moon. In fact, if done right, we could be back on the moon by 2017. Of course, that depends on BA going back to their old schedule (starting space station by 2011), rather than the new schedule (2014).
And the nice thing is that fuel, water, many items could potentially be launched via another cheaper mechanism.
Yes, shit happens in China but it's not much different than everywhere else in the world except that they are better at hiding it, disguising it or worse, making their population numb to it.
Not even CLOSE to being the truth. The west outs the majority of our junk. We know and object to the issues here. In china, the majority of junk is hidden from the citizens. Heck, it is amazing that you state that we hide things, when it is CHina that has the control over their media and goes to great lengths to prevent publications of such.
Yet, to all the people in China who are barely starting to see a modern life quality for the first time in generations, want nothing to do with their government's stance on internal affairs or are actively fighting it on their own, I think it's a bit unfair to lump all of them together with this whole "China's evil" slogan, don't you think?
First, that is quite the sentence. Second, in general, when referring to a nation (such as China's evil), that is the GOV, not the ppl. There is a difference ESP. in a totalitarian nation such as China. The reason is that you can not vote that gov. in or out. What I am telling you, is to not take it personal. I think that there are few who would state that the Chinese ppl are inheritantly evil. I speak out against China all the time, but that is because China, the gov., is in a cold war mentality against the west, and the west is doing nothing about it. However, I HOPE that Chinese ppl will ultimately rise up against their gov. Somehow, I doubt it, while their nation is in a fast economic tear. That is why I want the west to have China honor their treaties and WTO obligations.
Just boot China out of the WTO and drop their MFN with America. Look, CHina is NOT going to give freedom's to their citizens. Their move towards capitalism was to prevent their citizens from revolting. There is ZERO intention of ever restoring their freedoms. OTH, China is in a cold war with the rest of the west, and most likely with the world. Their goal is control. Even now, they had LEGAL obligations under MFN AND WTO, to which they have not honored any of it.
It would inject the money back into our nation's system; If combined with Bigelow's multiple space stations, It would drop the price of launches (multiple locations will increase the rate of launches, which will lower the price). It would bring back our high tech industries.
OTH, if we go with Russia launches, then I suspect that those who push that, will follow it up with pushing us to use Chinese launches.
Yeah, it is VERY DIFFERENT. I prefer us to stay with private Launches, or at least stay with western launches.
Is United Launch actually NASA? You do KNOW that they are the ones that fit the Shuttle and make it work, yes?
Likewise, by your opinion, it must be NASA that has the delta and Saturn's.
Personally, I always thought that it was private industry that ran these, not NASA.
Look, NASA has done a lot of positive things. BUT, we NEED to bring private enterprise into this. If nothing else, we need private money to get us to the moon and mars.
ALL mirrors outweigh even solar cells from 20 years ago, let alone now. It is actually cheaper to send up cells then to send up mirrors.
If EADS and the others had a brain, they would skip the beaming of power down, and instead developed a means of sending power to orbit first (useful for sending power to the ISS or other sats; it will require ultra caps up there), AND develop a way to relay the energy. The relay would be useful on a plane for the DOD (sending power to forward bases) as well as for disaster areas. FOr example, think Haiti. Think Katrina. Think Ca last week. By being able to put a drone up with infrared sending power to it, and then beam it down via multiple signals, it would allow real power tools to be brought in. We have seen the walking skeletons (aka alien), and the ability to lift things. Think of how useful that concept would be in Haiti right now.
Once you get beaming of power around, THEN, it becomes useful to put solar cells into space. Personally, I would put it around mars and the moon first. Have 2 or three sats providing power, to beam down to missions with ultra-caps.
A corp has no real responsibility, no sense of morals, and rarely ever is punished for many of its crimes. ANd yet, we equate it to man. That single warped logic is killing us.
offer to spin off mysql. Perhaps after a few years. It would seem that if their intentions was to acquire Solaris and that market, they would have offered mysql up. However, .....
Apple never helped MS with any of that. OTH, MS made friendly with many companies and then destroyed them after they had the advantage. Apple's desktop comes first to mind. Sybase is next. But so does Borland, AOL, Novell, and netscape. In fact, when MS wants into an area, they are more than happy to destroy any 'Friend' to get to what they perceive as a threat.
Intuit, Survives because they have a monopoly backing their books desktop. Without that, intuit would have lost LONG ago. Basically, when a company falls into bed with MS, MS will us that knowledge and position to destroy.
So was Al Capone and his minons bright? Are the gangs of today bright? When you are FORCED to use illegal means to acquire and hold a monopoly, and to throw 10000x more money at competitor, then you are composed of idiots. Had MS been composed of brilliant ppl, then they would not have been forced to be illegal or to have to outspend their competitors by that amount.
Apple should realize that once MS comes on strong with Bing in this space, that they will use it on their phone. The issue here is that MS is composed of total idiots, HOWEVER, they like to throw money and their already established monopolies at other ones. As such, MS will go after Apple's iphone. And they will slowly eat away at them. OTH, if Apple either works with a different company, or even with Google, they will still remain the leader.
Actually, WTO is opposed to Dumping/Flooding/Subsidies to protect your own local market. Freetrade does NOT mean unfair trade. And the WTO has regularly allowed a nation to impose tariffs against another nation if the nation was dumping, flooding, or using subsidies.