Actually, his point was that America has done far less invasion and damage than say Germany who created 2 WWs. Of course, that is not quite true. Germany invaded neighbors, who happened to be world powers as well. The war was then spread around the world due to so many of the EU countries were the very definition of Imperialism (Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Portugal, UK, Dutch, etc). If China/America ever get in a direct war, you can bet on it that it will be a WW as well. Short lived, but still a WW. China will attack the entire west with their growing nukes. More than likely it will be combined with the expected space weapons for their new space based weapons.
As to America vs. history, we are no different. We did a cold war with USSR who did not have the economic might of us (or any of the large western countries), but certainly had the military might. But like all the previous superpowers, we are doing our fair share of senseless wars. At this time, W and the neo-cons have shown why bad leaders in a democracy can be so horrible. To be honest, I do not see that much difference between NK and ourselves. NK's leaders has ran their country economically into the ground, all the while pursing military might. If NK's leader thought that they could invade SK and get away with it, I have little doubt that we would hear a false pretext on it that would lead to an invasion. My guess is that they would claim that they KNOW that SK has WMD. THey would then present evidence that is KNOWN to be false by all, but backed by some big names. Then they would get China, Iran, or some other Asian countries to go along with them. In the mean time, they would disregard their damage to their own economic future. Oddly, I think that NK would handle their Invasion/Occupation better than we did. They would allow Generals to do it, rather than VietNam Era Chicken Hawks, that spent their youth avoiding having fight a war.
At some future time, we may need those. Obviously once used, they will be worthless. The reason is that all other countries will change their tactics. At this point, it allows us to hit bunkers hard that are holding ICBM/Nuke Tipped. That is needed for countries that have 500+ bunkers, rather than 10.
There are stories that are coming from Burma/Myanmar in which North Korea is helping them to create their own production line. This same country that has done all that it can to hold its citizen back in terms of education, had Russia bring in a 10MW reactor.Burma's explanation for it: Nuclear Medicine. That country is nearly 50 years behind in primary medicine and they are claiming that they want a monster reactor for Nuclear Medicine. Well, nice. Of course, the reactor is being buried in the hillside with Russia and North Korea's help. And apparently, North Korea has been busy helping these ppl. That is why NK absolutely did not want us to board that ship. Apparently W's admin KNEW that Burma was doing this and did nothing about it.
Now, we may be forced down the road to either blow nukes or blow a conventional bomb to destroy these bunkers. Which would you prefer that we do?
What does bother me, is why are we talking disarmament? China is actively building new launch vehicles and there is overwhelming evidence that they have started up new production lines of nuke warhead. They are KNOWN to have at least 600 warheads, but there are some indications that they have over 1000.
Quite honestly, they are trying to compete against established bigger companies that have gone out of businesses. By doing all made electronic gadgets, they are hurting themselves. OTH, they could go in a different direction. How about selling not just electronic parts, but items for building ideas? The reason that I suggest that, is that America used to have an infrastructure that made it possible to build a number of gadgets, ideas, etc. That is slowly going away. For example, radio shack no longer has the ability to build computers. And the capabilities to breadboard things is minimal. BUT, if they put together kits for learning from, and then made it possible to order on-line and simply pick up the parts in a couple of days at a local shack they would go far. Also, at the same time, they should consider targeting items such as adding speakers to a house. And why not offer innovative products. Heck, at this time, they would be wise to ask for new patentable ideas to be made by Americans (or at least in the west) and sold here.
We have to throw away 90% CURRENTLY. But it does not have to be that way. For example, it is possible to do a rail launch esp up the side of a mountain. Or if we go back to hypersonic engine and craft development, it may be possible to obtain mach15 at 100K feet in a REUSABLE vehicle and then simply launch a rocket which has VERY little waste. If W really shut down BlackSwift (and not just simply moved it into a black project), W. would truly be one of the bottom 3 presidents ever (as opposed to bottom 10 that he is currently ranked).
This same panel is apparently recommending that more private launches be done. IOW, they are pushing SpaceX, Orbital, and even Bigelow. Of course, that is not official yet.
Man's TRUE advantage is the ability to deal with differing situations. Robots can not do that nicely. OTH, the disadvantage of man is the difficulty of living conditions ESP. in space. The more that we have to keep man in space floating around, the greater the expense and difficulty. That is exactly where robots excel. We are far better off sending ppl on one way missions to Mars (possibly the moon first) and allowing them to survive there (some MAY die). In the mean time, we should send some probes around the solar system to examine various asteroids/comets (small nukes with VASMIR).
But the idea that we will simply send man around the solar system makes absolutely NO sense.
It is the fact that Xcell has to be capable of supplying ALL THE ELECTRICITY that is needed. What happens if that is at night? Not likely, but possible. As such, Xcell needs a peak load that is so much higher, than what they normally do.
The US govt does an incredible amount of RD that they never follow up on i.e. it is more Rd, rather than RD. The reason is money. Take the example of TransHab. Thankfully, Bigelow has been pursuing it. If we are VERY lucky, the Augustine commission will recommend that we buy one or two and attack to the ISS to help him alone.
And this particular example, the Navy does a LOT of nuke funding. Have to. If we can create a reactor that is much smaller in size, it will change a lot of things for US. DARPA also has its fair share of black funding.
I agree with your last paragraph. As to the first paragraph, just because cops CAN write tickets, does not mean that they will. I use to see them write tickets for the littering that was going on, but I have not heard of a one in over 20 years. Yet, I see ppl throwing their butts and even paper cups out the window. We will see if any drivers get tickets for blocking traffic, but I doubt that they will.
On several different occasions, I have ridden with ppl that drive like that (once up the Poudre, another going up the Thompson and another up to Fraser/winter park). I asked them why they were driving like and basically, they all said that they were afraid of the cliffs/river. In essence, they did not mind an accident in a head-on, or simply crashing into a pole, but going off a 200M/600Ft cliff or into the raging Poudre/Thompson, made them too afraid.
What I found interesting is that once those items were removed from their sight, they were all to happy to drive the speed limits. Sadly, those times were on the flats and not a one of them had the idea that the bypass was designed to allow other drivers pass such ppl. I even pointed it out to one, but he did not care. Sad. That attitude leads to accidents by those that will pass. I know; driving for an hour behind somebody that is doing 25/30 and not yielding when it is safe to pass frustrates me as well; years ago, I have passed several ppl on different occasions going up the Poudre.
Oh, You must like in Colorado. You just described MANY of the drivers here. The one that you missed is when they drive fast to get to the front of the line AND THEN slow down to the same speed.
I really think that all states should require (and ENFORCE) that the left lane be used ONLY for passing. When I was growing up Wisc did that and enforced it and it made driving enjoyable. OTH, Illinois did not and they allways had issues.
Funny. When I have driven there, I thought that ppl were actually pretty nice, though fast.
In fact, I normally speed at about 9 over, but was being passed all over in Atlanta.
Another nice place was Seattle, but they tend to be slow.
Denver Colorado has some horribly rude drivers (esp. Highlands Ranch), but these are the types that cause jams. They like to drive in left lane AND go slow. I do a lot of passing on the right because ppl here are so bad. Likewise, they like to jam up. I do my utmost to get pass idiots like that and be in the open where I do not have to worry about bad drivers. Drivers here will actually try to prevent you from passing them and will flip you off if you do. We have far too many Texans and Easterners.
Will likely have a LOT more fuel and much longer life. I suspect that all future probes will be using ion thrusters combined with some long life nukes. VASMIR is going to be a major change for such probes even though I am not sure that it is the ideal choice for small thrusters. As it is, we will have much larger rockets that are capable of sending probes like New Horizon, Dawn etc. on a fast trip loaded with LOTS of fuel esp. if using these thrusters.
In fact, if America was not hurting financially as bad as we are, I think that it would be useful to see us send a new set of voyagers using a ares V/Direct launcher, a great deal more nukes, and obviously a lot of fuel for a vasmir. We could get outside of the solar system in a relatively short period of time, while doing a LOT more exploration.
Under the influence of random mutations,
It is funny, but I now think that this is wrong. I am thinking that majority of our mutations are not really random in the classical sense, but are clips of DNA (or RNA but obviously reverse transcribed) that are brought in via virus. The idea of a new base being added easily is NOT the case. In fact, DNA is built to resist that. The double part is designed as well to resist changes. So, that really only leaves bringing in small to large viral pieces. When you think about it we are slammed with LOADS of virus. The ones that we know about are those that symptomatic. But, I believe that there is a LARGE number of undiscovered virus that are symptomatic only to our children over a long genetic haul. Perhaps more important, the changes that occur do not show up as slow changes, but I think tend to show up rather quickly. That alone should be indicative. But to take it a step further, recently birds were shown to be changing into new breeds, but only when separated by a distance. So, what is the difference? The physical separation allows the birds to be exposed to different virus and pass on those changes.
Hopefully, some group decides to explore those birds. I would bet that they will find a virus or set of virus that were spliced to one of them that is driving the difference.
So, why does it apply here? Because it is possible that the plant has not been exposed to a virus that clipped it or inserted a new segment to break the transcription.
So, we can use these and scale them up right now. Yes? What do you mean no. You mean that it had support for just 2 crew for VERY short periods, had no shielding, and could not hop around on the moon, and we pretty much do not have capability to build it right now (without lots of money)? Oh, Ok. NOW, I understand your comment.
Here is armadillo's new ship and it has the ability to go up and down.
Seriously, if they have this down and working, could this be used on the moon? For the most part, I think that this craft will be limited here on earth. Though I could see it hoping from mountain top to mountain top to place weather instrumentation and perhaps even telescopes. It seems that the really useful place for this would be either the moon or even possibly mars.
is this about science, or about putting humans into space and in particular, on another planet (for good)? If NASA is to be ONLY about science, then we would be smart to just push private industry for rocket launches and then simply fund other companies to build sats. I think that would likely be the death of Space and ultimately, Science in America.
OTH, if we say that we are going to put man in other locations in space, then it makes sense to have a diversified rocket launch capability. That means that we should PUSH private rockets as well as develop a new large system. We can not afford Ares I AND ares V. Makes zero sense. Instead, I hate to admit it, but Direct makes a LOT more sense. It is cheaper to develop and has the ability to grow to ares V capability (4 engines combined with 2, or possible 4, 5 stage boosters).
Silverlight and flash are closed attempts to take over HTML (and both control not only the future, but what platforms are useful). Javascript is a simple scripting language to CONTROL HTML. With HTML5 coming, javascript will finally have a real tool to work with. In addition, since it is an out and out open language spec, then the platform becomes unimportant. Anybody can create the language. As to being slow, it depends on implementation. Java compared to C/C++ is slow if used 100% for an OS, BUT, for much of what it does, it is plenty fast. Javascript will be calling more funcationality of HTML 5, and doing less work. More importantly, the implementations will be heading towards compiling javascript.
Yes, but future competitor is the real issue
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You are taking out MS and I think that you will succeed. MS has done more to destroy real innovation, so I will not be sorry to see them taken out to the point where they can not continue to do this. THOUGH, I do wonder how you will control their hardware. They marginalized game boxes via Xbox. That is a growing one for them. Is google going to use the new OS to compete head on against that? (and may the force be strong with Google for taking out such an evil company:) ).
My real question is, what about China and all the companies it spawns? The chinese gov. does everything it can to learn about companies (mostly American, but any western one works) inner workings, then they build barriers to them. THey have backed Baidu to compete against all western search engines, but mostly you guys. I saw that wonderful article in which they insisted that you folks had to remove "Im feeling Lucky" button shortly after Baidu decided to steal the idea (claims of too much porno, and yet, Baidu had more). China, with its illegal and immoral backing of MULTIPLE companies, is long term a MUCH MUCH bigger threat to Google. How is Google going to take that on? The ONLY way that I can see, is if Google aqcuires new world-wide patents, but they do not appear to be doing that. Or does Google not have this in their sight?
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Actually, his point was that America has done far less invasion and damage than say Germany who created 2 WWs. Of course, that is not quite true. Germany invaded neighbors, who happened to be world powers as well. The war was then spread around the world due to so many of the EU countries were the very definition of Imperialism (Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Portugal, UK, Dutch, etc). If China/America ever get in a direct war, you can bet on it that it will be a WW as well. Short lived, but still a WW. China will attack the entire west with their growing nukes. More than likely it will be combined with the expected space weapons for their new space based weapons.
As to America vs. history, we are no different. We did a cold war with USSR who did not have the economic might of us (or any of the large western countries), but certainly had the military might. But like all the previous superpowers, we are doing our fair share of senseless wars. At this time, W and the neo-cons have shown why bad leaders in a democracy can be so horrible. To be honest, I do not see that much difference between NK and ourselves. NK's leaders has ran their country economically into the ground, all the while pursing military might. If NK's leader thought that they could invade SK and get away with it, I have little doubt that we would hear a false pretext on it that would lead to an invasion. My guess is that they would claim that they KNOW that SK has WMD. THey would then present evidence that is KNOWN to be false by all, but backed by some big names. Then they would get China, Iran, or some other Asian countries to go along with them. In the mean time, they would disregard their damage to their own economic future. Oddly, I think that NK would handle their Invasion/Occupation better than we did. They would allow Generals to do it, rather than VietNam Era Chicken Hawks, that spent their youth avoiding having fight a war.
At some future time, we may need those. Obviously once used, they will be worthless. The reason is that all other countries will change their tactics. At this point, it allows us to hit bunkers hard that are holding ICBM/Nuke Tipped. That is needed for countries that have 500+ bunkers, rather than 10.
My guess is that this is as much a copy of GrandSlam as the B-2 is a copy of Avro Lancaster, only slightly scaled up.
There are stories that are coming from Burma/Myanmar in which North Korea is helping them to create their own production line. This same country that has done all that it can to hold its citizen back in terms of education, had Russia bring in a 10MW reactor.Burma's explanation for it: Nuclear Medicine. That country is nearly 50 years behind in primary medicine and they are claiming that they want a monster reactor for Nuclear Medicine. Well, nice. Of course, the reactor is being buried in the hillside with Russia and North Korea's help. And apparently, North Korea has been busy helping these ppl. That is why NK absolutely did not want us to board that ship. Apparently W's admin KNEW that Burma was doing this and did nothing about it.
Now, we may be forced down the road to either blow nukes or blow a conventional bomb to destroy these bunkers. Which would you prefer that we do?
What does bother me, is why are we talking disarmament? China is actively building new launch vehicles and there is overwhelming evidence that they have started up new production lines of nuke warhead. They are KNOWN to have at least 600 warheads, but there are some indications that they have over 1000.
Quite honestly, they are trying to compete against established bigger companies that have gone out of businesses. By doing all made electronic gadgets, they are hurting themselves. OTH, they could go in a different direction. How about selling not just electronic parts, but items for building ideas? The reason that I suggest that, is that America used to have an infrastructure that made it possible to build a number of gadgets, ideas, etc. That is slowly going away. For example, radio shack no longer has the ability to build computers. And the capabilities to breadboard things is minimal. BUT, if they put together kits for learning from, and then made it possible to order on-line and simply pick up the parts in a couple of days at a local shack they would go far. Also, at the same time, they should consider targeting items such as adding speakers to a house. And why not offer innovative products. Heck, at this time, they would be wise to ask for new patentable ideas to be made by Americans (or at least in the west) and sold here.
We have to throw away 90% CURRENTLY. But it does not have to be that way. For example, it is possible to do a rail launch esp up the side of a mountain. Or if we go back to hypersonic engine and craft development, it may be possible to obtain mach15 at 100K feet in a REUSABLE vehicle and then simply launch a rocket which has VERY little waste. If W really shut down BlackSwift (and not just simply moved it into a black project), W. would truly be one of the bottom 3 presidents ever (as opposed to bottom 10 that he is currently ranked).
This same panel is apparently recommending that more private launches be done. IOW, they are pushing SpaceX, Orbital, and even Bigelow. Of course, that is not official yet.
Man's TRUE advantage is the ability to deal with differing situations. Robots can not do that nicely. OTH, the disadvantage of man is the difficulty of living conditions ESP. in space. The more that we have to keep man in space floating around, the greater the expense and difficulty. That is exactly where robots excel. We are far better off sending ppl on one way missions to Mars (possibly the moon first) and allowing them to survive there (some MAY die). In the mean time, we should send some probes around the solar system to examine various asteroids/comets (small nukes with VASMIR).
But the idea that we will simply send man around the solar system makes absolutely NO sense.
It is the fact that Xcell has to be capable of supplying ALL THE ELECTRICITY that is needed. What happens if that is at night? Not likely, but possible. As such, Xcell needs a peak load that is so much higher, than what they normally do.
s/attack to the ISS to help him alone./attach to the ISS to help him out/
The US govt does an incredible amount of RD that they never follow up on i.e. it is more Rd, rather than RD. The reason is money. Take the example of TransHab. Thankfully, Bigelow has been pursuing it. If we are VERY lucky, the Augustine commission will recommend that we buy one or two and attack to the ISS to help him alone.
And this particular example, the Navy does a LOT of nuke funding. Have to. If we can create a reactor that is much smaller in size, it will change a lot of things for US. DARPA also has its fair share of black funding.
This aircraft will have to be a flying wing.
If eestor is for real, then make the aircraft electric, and use power from the ground.
I agree with your last paragraph. As to the first paragraph, just because cops CAN write tickets, does not mean that they will. I use to see them write tickets for the littering that was going on, but I have not heard of a one in over 20 years. Yet, I see ppl throwing their butts and even paper cups out the window. We will see if any drivers get tickets for blocking traffic, but I doubt that they will.
On several different occasions, I have ridden with ppl that drive like that (once up the Poudre, another going up the Thompson and another up to Fraser/winter park). I asked them why they were driving like and basically, they all said that they were afraid of the cliffs/river. In essence, they did not mind an accident in a head-on, or simply crashing into a pole, but going off a 200M/600Ft cliff or into the raging Poudre/Thompson, made them too afraid.
What I found interesting is that once those items were removed from their sight, they were all to happy to drive the speed limits. Sadly, those times were on the flats and not a one of them had the idea that the bypass was designed to allow other drivers pass such ppl. I even pointed it out to one, but he did not care. Sad. That attitude leads to accidents by those that will pass. I know; driving for an hour behind somebody that is doing 25/30 and not yielding when it is safe to pass frustrates me as well; years ago, I have passed several ppl on different occasions going up the Poudre.
Oh, You must like in Colorado. You just described MANY of the drivers here. The one that you missed is when they drive fast to get to the front of the line AND THEN slow down to the same speed.
I really think that all states should require (and ENFORCE) that the left lane be used ONLY for passing. When I was growing up Wisc did that and enforced it and it made driving enjoyable. OTH, Illinois did not and they allways had issues.
Funny. When I have driven there, I thought that ppl were actually pretty nice, though fast.
In fact, I normally speed at about 9 over, but was being passed all over in Atlanta.
Another nice place was Seattle, but they tend to be slow.
Denver Colorado has some horribly rude drivers (esp. Highlands Ranch), but these are the types that cause jams. They like to drive in left lane AND go slow. I do a lot of passing on the right because ppl here are so bad. Likewise, they like to jam up. I do my utmost to get pass idiots like that and be in the open where I do not have to worry about bad drivers. Drivers here will actually try to prevent you from passing them and will flip you off if you do. We have far too many Texans and Easterners.
Will likely have a LOT more fuel and much longer life. I suspect that all future probes will be using ion thrusters combined with some long life nukes. VASMIR is going to be a major change for such probes even though I am not sure that it is the ideal choice for small thrusters. As it is, we will have much larger rockets that are capable of sending probes like New Horizon, Dawn etc. on a fast trip loaded with LOTS of fuel esp. if using these thrusters.
In fact, if America was not hurting financially as bad as we are, I think that it would be useful to see us send a new set of voyagers using a ares V/Direct launcher, a great deal more nukes, and obviously a lot of fuel for a vasmir. We could get outside of the solar system in a relatively short period of time, while doing a LOT more exploration.
Under the influence of random mutations,
It is funny, but I now think that this is wrong. I am thinking that majority of our mutations are not really random in the classical sense, but are clips of DNA (or RNA but obviously reverse transcribed) that are brought in via virus. The idea of a new base being added easily is NOT the case. In fact, DNA is built to resist that. The double part is designed as well to resist changes. So, that really only leaves bringing in small to large viral pieces. When you think about it we are slammed with LOADS of virus. The ones that we know about are those that symptomatic. But, I believe that there is a LARGE number of undiscovered virus that are symptomatic only to our children over a long genetic haul. Perhaps more important, the changes that occur do not show up as slow changes, but I think tend to show up rather quickly. That alone should be indicative. But to take it a step further, recently birds were shown to be changing into new breeds, but only when separated by a distance. So, what is the difference? The physical separation allows the birds to be exposed to different virus and pass on those changes.
Hopefully, some group decides to explore those birds. I would bet that they will find a virus or set of virus that were spliced to one of them that is driving the difference.
So, why does it apply here? Because it is possible that the plant has not been exposed to a virus that clipped it or inserted a new segment to break the transcription.
So, we can use these and scale them up right now. Yes? What do you mean no. You mean that it had support for just 2 crew for VERY short periods, had no shielding, and could not hop around on the moon, and we pretty much do not have capability to build it right now (without lots of money)? Oh, Ok. NOW, I understand your comment.
Here is armadillo's new ship and it has the ability to go up and down.
Seriously, if they have this down and working, could this be used on the moon? For the most part, I think that this craft will be limited here on earth. Though I could see it hoping from mountain top to mountain top to place weather instrumentation and perhaps even telescopes. It seems that the really useful place for this would be either the moon or even possibly mars.
is this about science, or about putting humans into space and in particular, on another planet (for good)? If NASA is to be ONLY about science, then we would be smart to just push private industry for rocket launches and then simply fund other companies to build sats. I think that would likely be the death of Space and ultimately, Science in America.
OTH, if we say that we are going to put man in other locations in space, then it makes sense to have a diversified rocket launch capability. That means that we should PUSH private rockets as well as develop a new large system. We can not afford Ares I AND ares V. Makes zero sense. Instead, I hate to admit it, but Direct makes a LOT more sense. It is cheaper to develop and has the ability to grow to ares V capability (4 engines combined with 2, or possible 4, 5 stage boosters).
Looking at my log files, I would say that there are millions of those online right now.
Silverlight and flash are closed attempts to take over HTML (and both control not only the future, but what platforms are useful). Javascript is a simple scripting language to CONTROL HTML. With HTML5 coming, javascript will finally have a real tool to work with. In addition, since it is an out and out open language spec, then the platform becomes unimportant. Anybody can create the language.
As to being slow, it depends on implementation. Java compared to C/C++ is slow if used 100% for an OS, BUT, for much of what it does, it is plenty fast. Javascript will be calling more funcationality of HTML 5, and doing less work. More importantly, the implementations will be heading towards compiling javascript.
You are taking out MS and I think that you will succeed. MS has done more to destroy real innovation, so I will not be sorry to see them taken out to the point where they can not continue to do this. THOUGH, I do wonder how you will control their hardware. They marginalized game boxes via Xbox. That is a growing one for them. Is google going to use the new OS to compete head on against that? (and may the force be strong with Google for taking out such an evil company :) ).
My real question is, what about China and all the companies it spawns? The chinese gov. does everything it can to learn about companies (mostly American, but any western one works) inner workings, then they build barriers to them. THey have backed Baidu to compete against all western search engines, but mostly you guys. I saw that wonderful article in which they insisted that you folks had to remove "Im feeling Lucky" button shortly after Baidu decided to steal the idea (claims of too much porno, and yet, Baidu had more). China, with its illegal and immoral backing of MULTIPLE companies, is long term a MUCH MUCH bigger threat to Google. How is Google going to take that on? The ONLY way that I can see, is if Google aqcuires new world-wide patents, but they do not appear to be doing that. Or does Google not have this in their sight?
how soon before MS copies it (or out right steals it) and the declares it to be their work?