This channel stuffing nonsense needs to stop. Nobody is buying phones to throw away. They get sold. After five years of this nonsense it is just tedious.
Sorry, no. My most optimistic model, which assumes immediate global intervention at best speed with perfect execution has 1.2 million dead. And that is exceedingly unlikely.
If only the/. summary were attached to some sort of News article. They should consider making that an option so that people could read the attached article before commenting on it.
Regrettably, this is actually a thing. Also, bathing children in the funerary water of an Imam. This was a recent story. Ah, there it is... http://awoko.org/2014/09/15/si...
Let't not exaggerate and cause a panic. The community resolution death rate is ~90%, not above 90%. And with treatment your chances of surviving Ebola exposure might be as high as one in three.
Ebola doesn't have to become airborne to wipe out mankind. It just has to change enough to kill the 1% who survive the first (West Africa) and second (DR Congo) waves.
This strain of misinformation is not helpful. Doctors are human all over the world. They make mistakes when they are on a long shift without sleep, making do with limited resource, doing their best against an insurmountable terror. Just imagine dedicating yourself to a life of saving lives and thrust into a situation where no matter what you do 60% of your patients are going to die. Struggling with all your might because even that is four times the survival rate without modern medical treatment. And yet outside your clinic are guards who turn away more desperately ill people than they let in, and more every day. This is the reality. In the US you are proud of our first world medicine? Try to access that care when any kid with sniffles can be carrying a disease that kills doctors. You will find that a lot of doctors in the first world can afford a long sabbatical.
The West Point slum quarantine was only for a few days. There were already more patients outside the quarantine than inside. It was more of a toll road than a medical quarantine anyway - people were regularly crossing for as little as $2. This is Liberia.
Except for storage these phones are on par with the 2012 champ SGS III. With millions more apps, better hardware video support, better battery life and India specific features like dual Sim, FM radio they should do well.
Ebola gets through healthy skin. This is one very nasty virus. Five virions on one skin cell is all it takes to be 100% certain the victim will be infected. One virion has a good chance. 90% of the infected die. One cc of blood from a terminal Ebola victim is more than enough virions to infect all mankind.
While there is a certain amount of local ignorance or incapacity of hygiene going on here, that does not mean that areas with different unsafe practices are safe. In the US we have borders porous to immigrants, transparent to smugglers. We shake hands, high five, snort coke of unknown provenance and send our kids to school/go to work sick.
It takes three medical support people to keep an Ebola patient clean, dry, hydrated, fed, and disposed of when he dies. And three more armed and dangerous army types to defend you while you do it. Now look at the Monrovia metro area with 4.4 million souls. On a moment's notice where are you going to get 15 million health professionals, 15 million soldiers, and the materials necessary to ensure this virus "only" kills 70% of the population? You aren't.
This strain kills 90%. There is a concurrent strain in DR Congo that kills 60% that survivors of this strain have no immunity to. Between the two that is 96% before you consider network effects and viral evolution. This could wind up being the big reset button that puts the global population down to 2 million, if it doesn't wipe us out altogether. Maybe we need to revisit the Great dying in this context. If we have time.
Slashdot Mirror
Every extra hour it takes to get from the hot zone to Miami is a good thing. That is an extra hour for the victim to become detectable.
And all of the people boarding a flight out of Monrovia today, tomorrow, and until the outbreak is over.
This channel stuffing nonsense needs to stop. Nobody is buying phones to throw away. They get sold. After five years of this nonsense it is just tedious.
Obligatory replay of contemporary analysis by noted mobile industry wizard Steve Ballmer: https://www.youtube.com/watch?...
Now that they have made all their software trustworthy there is no more need for the group, right? Declare victory and go home.
Sorry, no. My most optimistic model, which assumes immediate global intervention at best speed with perfect execution has 1.2 million dead. And that is exceedingly unlikely.
Losing 90% of your population in one year can really put a dent in economic growth. But the survivors will probably have other things to worry about.
If only the /. summary were attached to some sort of News article. They should consider making that an option so that people could read the attached article before commenting on it.
It is actually geometric growth, because the doubling period is getting shorter. Not that it matters much.
Regrettably, this is actually a thing. Also, bathing children in the funerary water of an Imam. This was a recent story. Ah, there it is... http://awoko.org/2014/09/15/si...
Let't not exaggerate and cause a panic. The community resolution death rate is ~90%, not above 90%. And with treatment your chances of surviving Ebola exposure might be as high as one in three.
Ebola doesn't have to become airborne to wipe out mankind. It just has to change enough to kill the 1% who survive the first (West Africa) and second (DR Congo) waves.
This strain of misinformation is not helpful. Doctors are human all over the world. They make mistakes when they are on a long shift without sleep, making do with limited resource, doing their best against an insurmountable terror. Just imagine dedicating yourself to a life of saving lives and thrust into a situation where no matter what you do 60% of your patients are going to die. Struggling with all your might because even that is four times the survival rate without modern medical treatment. And yet outside your clinic are guards who turn away more desperately ill people than they let in, and more every day. This is the reality. In the US you are proud of our first world medicine? Try to access that care when any kid with sniffles can be carrying a disease that kills doctors. You will find that a lot of doctors in the first world can afford a long sabbatical.
Yuuup.
Americans have other dirty habits West Africans don't have, such as snorting drugs of unknown origin.
The West Point slum quarantine was only for a few days. There were already more patients outside the quarantine than inside. It was more of a toll road than a medical quarantine anyway - people were regularly crossing for as little as $2. This is Liberia.
Compare to the SGS3. http://m.gsmarena.com/samsung_...
Except for storage these phones are on par with the 2012 champ SGS III. With millions more apps, better hardware video support, better battery life and India specific features like dual Sim, FM radio they should do well.
Google and their hardware partners are doing a lot to bring the benefit of technology to more people than have had it before.
Civilization was us pretending for a while that we were better than we are. We aren't. We are dirty, nasty voracious animals with poor self control.
Ebola gets through healthy skin. This is one very nasty virus. Five virions on one skin cell is all it takes to be 100% certain the victim will be infected. One virion has a good chance. 90% of the infected die. One cc of blood from a terminal Ebola victim is more than enough virions to infect all mankind.
While there is a certain amount of local ignorance or incapacity of hygiene going on here, that does not mean that areas with different unsafe practices are safe. In the US we have borders porous to immigrants, transparent to smugglers. We shake hands, high five, snort coke of unknown provenance and send our kids to school/go to work sick.
Be careful what you wish for. Some wishes are granted.
It takes three medical support people to keep an Ebola patient clean, dry, hydrated, fed, and disposed of when he dies. And three more armed and dangerous army types to defend you while you do it. Now look at the Monrovia metro area with 4.4 million souls. On a moment's notice where are you going to get 15 million health professionals, 15 million soldiers, and the materials necessary to ensure this virus "only" kills 70% of the population? You aren't.
This strain kills 90%. There is a concurrent strain in DR Congo that kills 60% that survivors of this strain have no immunity to. Between the two that is 96% before you consider network effects and viral evolution. This could wind up being the big reset button that puts the global population down to 2 million, if it doesn't wipe us out altogether. Maybe we need to revisit the Great dying in this context. If we have time.