How do you explain all the green leaves still on the trees on October 30. When we moved here 18 years ago, the leaves were turned and generally falling off.
All the long-term-average indicators I know of point to a warmer climate. Short-term indicators are not so meaningful.
That's part of what this study in TFA is about -- we can't point to any single weird event and say "that's global warming!!!!" but we can start to look at sequences of events, and get a handle on how likely that collection of events would be, with and without warming.
Ready, fire, aim, is what I would worry about. Stocking up on firewood, water, and canned goods might give you a better chance of survival (not large, but better), you just don't know when you would need it.
If you actually did plan to relieve pressure, you'd want to spend a good long while doing seismic modeling of the rock structure, so you can figure out what to do, and what not to do. A LOT of seismic modeling, and then a mess of finite elements simulations to figure out the "safest" places to drill and cool.
You need to follow that Iceland reference. John McPhee, The Control of Nature.
This is a very, very, very large pile of energy, stored at very high pressures. When (not if) the rock on top of it cracks or weakens, badness results. Stopping it in the current state does not change the risk much, because it is still under pressure; the rock just hasn't cracked yet; it could crack in an earthquake, our attempts to cool the volcano might weaken it, too (uneven cooling?)
I'm not sure what point you're trying to make here, but the effect of a supervolcano is to loft a mess of dust and sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere (and the bigger the volcano, the more effective the loft) which blocks sunlight and temporarily cools the climate. In some cases, cools it a lot, to the point of massive crop failures. It's a big deal.
The worst of it is that even though it is potentially severe enough to kill billions of people with a year or two of failed crops, on the scale of decades it is temporary, and not a serious reversal of warming trends set in motion by excess production of CO2.
Careful. There's enough pressure to lift the rock on top by 1cm per year, right? The issue with magma is that it CAN have dissolved gasses in it under tremendous pressure; when you drill that hole, if you don't maintain that same pressure, the magma starts to fizz. Fizzy magma doesn't weigh as much, so it gets pushed up, reducing the pressure, making it fizzier and less dense, etc. It just goes and goes faster and faster until all the pressure is relieved, and if it happens to erode a larger hole with the jet of superheated rock, well, that's another way to erupt faster. Think geyser (which accumulates superheated water under pressure until it finally starts to boil, then it all blows at once). Think Macondo blow out in the Gulf of Mexico.
There are some things where you're better off not poking them with sticks to see what happens. I think this might be one of them.
Contrariwise, if you thought you knew what you were doing (note the use of the contrary-to-fact subjunctive:-) you might be able to drill pressure relief wells around the edges, to get smaller "controllable" eruptions.
And how do you know that the only way plants acquire resistance to Roundup, is from Monsanto? Some weeds have evolved it spontaneously. Sure, it's *likely*, but if Monsanto cared, they should take steps to control the spread of pollen containing their IP. Otherwise, this is a handy tool that they can use to destroy the practice of replanting corn.
His main failure was to post his property with an EULA, explaining that GMO pollen is not allowed to cross the boundary, and any allowed to cross the line signaled an implicit agreement with the following terms (10000 lines of legalese omitted).
Seems like you could specify your mashup declaratively, and let the combining be done by the end-user. Say,
combine(video="The Wizard of Oz", audio="Dark Side of the Moon")
and you can imagine audio and video specifications that could be excerpts from larger streams, concatenation of streams, and with speed modified. Time-sync'd captioning also applies.
This would put things back in the realm of "is linking a copyright violation" and completely end-run the whole youtube thing, since they would merely see streams going out. And the masher-upper would necessarily need to work from sources already on the user's own computer, which demonstrates that it is not intended solely to evade copyrights, but has a "legitimate" use (scare quotes because I don't care to argue whether or not the mashups are legitimate or not; that's the whole point of the technical dodge).
Monsanto, or their licensees, violated his property rights by contaminating it with genetically modified pollen. This contaminates corn that is supposed to be not-GMO, and causes problems for farmers who DO reuse their corn and don't want to "do business" with Monsanto. In addition, because weeds have demonstrated the ability to evolve resistance to glyphosate, the mere fact that corn happens to be resistant to glyphosate is not proof that it must have been acquired from patented genes. If Monsanto cares about this, they should take steps to control the spread of pollen containing their intellectual property.
As a general rule, I think "real property" trumps "intellectual property". And yeah, it's not practical to control the spread of corn pollen -- that's the whole point.
It was interesting, back when we had that sharp spike in the price of gasoline (2007?), that there was sort of an uptick in the number of people commuting on bikes around here (Boston area). The let-the-market-work way to encourage this sort of investment is to boost the price of gasoline somewhat, and then let consumers make their choices. Maybe it would be more bicycles (they're really cheap compared even to cheap cars), maybe it would be more carpooling (there's startups already attempting to sell services to match people up for carpooling), maybe people would just move closer to their jobs.
No kidding. Years ago, in Menlo Park, I saw the result of a parking lot accident where a teenage driver backing up a large Mercedes sedan (with mom in the passenger seat) stepped on the wrong pedal and smashed a Sentra and a Jaguar. Not a lot of happy faces there.
Sometimes it makes more sense to just avoid the hazard. There was a large tree in our back yard that was distinctly tilted towards a neighbor's house, and it was starting to look less healthy. We spent almost 11 years of your insurance increment to have it cut down, but I still think that was the right choice.
I don't think it's phrased plainly enough for dimwitted drivers. My brother's favorite sign along those lines was Philadelphia's "Wait for Green". Because, you know, if the light's been red for a while and you're impatient, why not go?
It is the default that you are not allowed to make left turns from the right hand lane, and whenever that is not the case, I have seen the exception noted, even up here. I've never seen this sign anywhere else in the country, but twice in one particular town (Waltham). Are you sure that is what they intended? How do you know? Are you sure they're not just making shit up as they go along and ignoring standards?
They test kids on everything nowadays. If it's worth teaching, it's worth testing to see if it was learned, and to perhaps notice when there are better (or worse) ways to educate kids, at least that's the theory.
I have no particular faith in the goodness of the American people. Consider health care as an example. We spend more than any other country per capita or as a percentage of GDP. We leave many people uninsured, medical expenses are a common cause of personal bankruptcy, our infant mortality rate is high, our life expectancy is low.
If governments were as bad as you seem to think, and the American people so fundamentally good, if we looked at the 20-some OECD countries with government funded/run/heavily-regulated healthcare, we should NOT see the following:
- their life expectancies are longer than ours - their infant mortality is lower than ours. - everyone gets medical care - no bankruptcies caused by cost of medical care
However, that is precisely what we do see. Based on this evidence, I MUST have more faith in government (at least, government in all those other countries) than I do in the "goodness of the American people", because government-run health care is better and cheaper and covers everyone.
(And if you want to quibble about "better", my two metrics are "fewer dead babies" and "longer lives".)
And if some states decide to test out driving on the left-hand side of the road?
That's a joke and an exaggeration, but one of the annoying things about driving in New England, where much of the infrastructure predates federal standards, is bizarro signs and light standards. WTF does a combined red-yellow light mean? WTF does a blinking green light mean? I never saw this weird stuff in Texas, Florida, or California.
Or, more recently "Left lane for left turn". Apparently this does not mean "Left lane must turn left". Perhaps they are informing us that left turns are not allowed from the right lane?
I think there are also federal standards (not yet learned by the Massachusetts highway departments) for proper sign placement, to ensure that (1) you can see the sign and (2) you can read it soon enough to do something useful with the information.
Federal standards are boring, conservative, and UNIFORM.
Raising taxes back to Clinton levels would help quite a bit. Cutting defense spending also helps quite a bit. We need to increase the efficiency of how we deliver medical care; there's about 20 examples (other OECD countries) of how we can spend less and get more. They do it, therefore it is possible.
We're not spending anywhere near a level that would require "70% taxes on anyone with a job". If someone told you that, you were misled.
Pretty much. Some currencies are more volatile than others, and the dollar is relatively non-volatile, and has a huge chunk of the world economy depending on it being not-too-volatile, and a Federal Reserve Bank devoted to keeping inflation at or below 2%, and willing to tolerate pretty nasty levels of unemployment to achieve it. It's just a matter of scale.
Good point. Earth's orbital speed is 100,000 km/h. The moon is only 385km away. Things have got to be just-so for that comet to stay in the same parallax for a whole day if it is closer than the moon.
Slashdot Mirror
How do you explain all the green leaves still on the trees on October 30. When we moved here 18 years ago, the leaves were turned and generally falling off.
All the long-term-average indicators I know of point to a warmer climate. Short-term indicators are not so meaningful.
That's part of what this study in TFA is about -- we can't point to any single weird event and say "that's global warming!!!!" but we can start to look at sequences of events, and get a handle on how likely that collection of events would be, with and without warming.
It also snowed here (near Boston) on October 29, 2005: http://www.flickr.com/photos/32419497@N05/sets/72157627882228751/
Ready, fire, aim, is what I would worry about. Stocking up on firewood, water, and canned goods might give you a better chance of survival (not large, but better), you just don't know when you would need it.
If you actually did plan to relieve pressure, you'd want to spend a good long while doing seismic modeling of the rock structure, so you can figure out what to do, and what not to do. A LOT of seismic modeling, and then a mess of finite elements simulations to figure out the "safest" places to drill and cool.
You need to follow that Iceland reference. John McPhee, The Control of Nature.
This is a very, very, very large pile of energy, stored at very high pressures. When (not if) the rock on top of it cracks or weakens, badness results. Stopping it in the current state does not change the risk much, because it is still under pressure; the rock just hasn't cracked yet; it could crack in an earthquake, our attempts to cool the volcano might weaken it, too (uneven cooling?)
I'm not sure what point you're trying to make here, but the effect of a supervolcano is to loft a mess of dust and sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere (and the bigger the volcano, the more effective the loft) which blocks sunlight and temporarily cools the climate. In some cases, cools it a lot, to the point of massive crop failures. It's a big deal.
The worst of it is that even though it is potentially severe enough to kill billions of people with a year or two of failed crops, on the scale of decades it is temporary, and not a serious reversal of warming trends set in motion by excess production of CO2.
Careful. There's enough pressure to lift the rock on top by 1cm per year, right? The issue with magma is that it CAN have dissolved gasses in it under tremendous pressure; when you drill that hole, if you don't maintain that same pressure, the magma starts to fizz. Fizzy magma doesn't weigh as much, so it gets pushed up, reducing the pressure, making it fizzier and less dense, etc. It just goes and goes faster and faster until all the pressure is relieved, and if it happens to erode a larger hole with the jet of superheated rock, well, that's another way to erupt faster. Think geyser (which accumulates superheated water under pressure until it finally starts to boil, then it all blows at once). Think Macondo blow out in the Gulf of Mexico.
There are some things where you're better off not poking them with sticks to see what happens. I think this might be one of them.
Contrariwise, if you thought you knew what you were doing (note the use of the contrary-to-fact subjunctive :-) you might be able to drill pressure relief wells around the edges, to get smaller "controllable" eruptions.
And how do you know that the only way plants acquire resistance to Roundup, is from Monsanto? Some weeds have evolved it spontaneously. Sure, it's *likely*, but if Monsanto cared, they should take steps to control the spread of pollen containing their IP. Otherwise, this is a handy tool that they can use to destroy the practice of replanting corn.
His main failure was to post his property with an EULA, explaining that GMO pollen is not allowed to cross the boundary, and any allowed to cross the line signaled an implicit agreement with the following terms (10000 lines of legalese omitted).
Seems like you could specify your mashup declaratively, and let the combining be done by the end-user. Say,
combine(video="The Wizard of Oz", audio="Dark Side of the Moon")
and you can imagine audio and video specifications that could be excerpts from larger streams, concatenation of streams, and with speed modified.
Time-sync'd captioning also applies.
This would put things back in the realm of "is linking a copyright violation" and completely end-run the whole youtube thing, since they would merely see streams going out. And the masher-upper would necessarily need to work from sources already on the user's own computer, which demonstrates that it is not intended solely to evade copyrights, but has a "legitimate" use (scare quotes because I don't care to argue whether or not the mashups are legitimate or not; that's the whole point of the technical dodge).
Monsanto, or their licensees, violated his property rights by contaminating it with genetically modified pollen. This contaminates corn that is supposed to be not-GMO, and causes problems for farmers who DO reuse their corn and don't want to "do business" with Monsanto. In addition, because weeds have demonstrated the ability to evolve resistance to glyphosate, the mere fact that corn happens to be resistant to glyphosate is not proof that it must have been acquired from patented genes. If Monsanto cares about this, they should take steps to control the spread of pollen containing their intellectual property.
As a general rule, I think "real property" trumps "intellectual property". And yeah, it's not practical to control the spread of corn pollen -- that's the whole point.
It was interesting, back when we had that sharp spike in the price of gasoline (2007?), that there was sort of an uptick in the number of people commuting on bikes around here (Boston area). The let-the-market-work way to encourage this sort of investment is to boost the price of gasoline somewhat, and then let consumers make their choices. Maybe it would be more bicycles (they're really cheap compared even to cheap cars), maybe it would be more carpooling (there's startups already attempting to sell services to match people up for carpooling), maybe people would just move closer to their jobs.
No kidding. Years ago, in Menlo Park, I saw the result of a parking lot accident where a teenage driver backing up a large Mercedes sedan (with mom in the passenger seat) stepped on the wrong pedal and smashed a Sentra and a Jaguar. Not a lot of happy faces there.
Sometimes it makes more sense to just avoid the hazard. There was a large tree in our back yard that was distinctly tilted towards a neighbor's house, and it was starting to look less healthy. We spent almost 11 years of your insurance increment to have it cut down, but I still think that was the right choice.
never let the facts get in the way of a good story.
I thought we recently (at least in the US) made it much harder to do just that.
http://www.metro.co.uk/news/837812-barack-obama-shuts-down-british-libel-tourism
I'm not exactly sure what changes with this; is it all libel judgements, or only those that fail to meet a certain test?
I don't think it's phrased plainly enough for dimwitted drivers. My brother's favorite sign along those lines was Philadelphia's "Wait for Green". Because, you know, if the light's been red for a while and you're impatient, why not go?
It is the default that you are not allowed to make left turns from the right hand lane, and whenever that is not the case, I have seen the exception noted, even up here. I've never seen this sign anywhere else in the country, but twice in one particular town (Waltham). Are you sure that is what they intended? How do you know? Are you sure they're not just making shit up as they go along and ignoring standards?
This is NOT a jug handle. We have some of those here too, but they're rare.
They test kids on everything nowadays. If it's worth teaching, it's worth testing to see if it was learned, and to perhaps notice when there are better (or worse) ways to educate kids, at least that's the theory.
Why should Pennsylvania care about cleaner coal? The wind just carries the smoke away to "somewhere else".
I have no particular faith in the goodness of the American people. Consider health care as an example. We spend more than any other country per capita or as a percentage of GDP. We leave many people uninsured, medical expenses are a common cause of personal bankruptcy, our infant mortality rate is high, our life expectancy is low.
If governments were as bad as you seem to think, and the American people so fundamentally good, if we looked at the 20-some OECD countries with government funded/run/heavily-regulated healthcare, we should NOT see the following:
- their life expectancies are longer than ours
- their infant mortality is lower than ours.
- everyone gets medical care
- no bankruptcies caused by cost of medical care
However, that is precisely what we do see. Based on this evidence, I MUST have more faith in government (at least, government in all those other countries) than I do in the "goodness of the American people", because government-run health care is better and cheaper and covers everyone.
(And if you want to quibble about "better", my two metrics are "fewer dead babies" and "longer lives".)
And if some states decide to test out driving on the left-hand side of the road?
That's a joke and an exaggeration, but one of the annoying things about driving in New England, where much of the infrastructure predates federal standards, is bizarro signs and light standards. WTF does a combined red-yellow light mean? WTF does a blinking green light mean? I never saw this weird stuff in Texas, Florida, or California.
Or, more recently "Left lane for left turn". Apparently this does not mean "Left lane must turn left". Perhaps they are informing us that left turns are not allowed from the right lane?
I think there are also federal standards (not yet learned by the Massachusetts highway departments) for proper sign placement, to ensure that (1) you can see the sign and (2) you can read it soon enough to do something useful with the information.
Federal standards are boring, conservative, and UNIFORM.
Excluding evolution from standardized tests is boneheaded, so it's hard to see how we should be satisfied that Kansas "only" did that.
Raising taxes back to Clinton levels would help quite a bit. Cutting defense spending also helps quite a bit. We need to increase the efficiency of how we deliver medical care; there's about 20 examples (other OECD countries) of how we can spend less and get more. They do it, therefore it is possible.
We're not spending anywhere near a level that would require "70% taxes on anyone with a job". If someone told you that, you were misled.
Pretty much. Some currencies are more volatile than others, and the dollar is relatively non-volatile, and has a huge chunk of the world economy depending on it being not-too-volatile, and a Federal Reserve Bank devoted to keeping inflation at or below 2%, and willing to tolerate pretty nasty levels of unemployment to achieve it. It's just a matter of scale.
And wear a condom while you drive, you'll be that much safer.
AACK. 385,000km away.
Good point. Earth's orbital speed is 100,000 km/h. The moon is only 385km away. Things have got to be just-so for that comet to stay in the same parallax for a whole day if it is closer than the moon.